Canadian Securities Course Volume 1 Prepared and published by
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Canadian Securities Course Volume 1 Prepared and published by
CSI 200 Wellington Street West, 15th Floor Toronto, Ontario M5V 3C7 Telephone: 416.364.9130 Toll-free: 1.866.866.2601 Fax: 416.359.0486 Toll-free fax: 1.866.866.2660
www.csi.ca
Where leaders learn financial services.
Copies of this publication are for the personal use of properly registered students whose names are entered on the course records of CSI Global Education Inc. (CSI)®. This publication may not be lent, borrowed or resold. Names of individual securities mentioned in this publication are for the purposes of comparison and illustration only and prices for those securities were approximate figures for the period when this publication was being prepared.
Notices Regarding This Publication: This publication is strictly intended for information and educational use. Although this publication is designed to provide accurate and authoritative information, it is to be used with the understanding that CSI is not engaged in the rendering of financial, accounting or other professional advice. If financial advice or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.
Every attempt has been made to update securities industry practices and regulations to reflect conditions at the time of publication. While information in this publication has been obtained from sources we believe to be reliable, such information cannot be guaranteed nor does it purport to treat each subject exhaustively and should not be interpreted as a recommendation for any specific product, service, use or course of action. CSI assumes no obligation to update the content in this publication.
In no event shall CSI and/or its respective suppliers be liable for any special, indirect, or consequential damages or any damages whatsoever resulting from the loss of use, data or profits, whether in an action of contract negligence, or other tortious action, arising out of or in connection with information available in this publication.
A Note About References to Third Party Materials: There may be references in this publication to third party materials. Those third party materials are not under the control of CSI and CSI is not responsible for the contents of any third party materials or for any changes or updates to such third party materials. CSI is providing these references to you only as a convenience and the inclusion of any reference does not imply endorsement of the third party materials.
© 2010 CSI Global Education Inc. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of CSI Global Education Inc.
ISBN: 978-1-926694-19-1 First printing: 1997 Revised and reprinted: 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2010 Copyright © 2010 by CSI Global Education Inc.
Preface
This course covers the three central elements of the Canadian securities industry: investment products, financial markets, and the role of financial intermediaries. Its goal is to help you understand the Canadian financial services marketplace and introduce you to industry terminology and practices. We begin in Volume 1 with an overview of the industry. Your focus should be on gaining an understanding of the different financial markets and the securities that trade on those markets. In Volume 2, the focus shifts to analyzing the various financial products so that you better understand how they are used as part of a well-planned portfolio of investments. Our goal for you is that you gain the knowledge necessary to apply towards an exciting career in financial services or to your own personal financial circumstances. This edition of the Canadian Securities Course (CSC) textbook was prepared in the Fall of 2009. This edition retains all of the enhancements included in its predecessor edition, the 40th anniversary of the Canadian Securities Course released in 2004. The CSC textbook is updated and revised on a regular basis to better reflect the rapidly changing financial services industry.
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PREFACE
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Key Chapter Features Learning features included as part of each chapter include: Chapter Outlines: The chapter outline lets you know what content will be covered in the chapter and will prepare you for the material you are about to read. Learning Objectives: The learning objectives help to focus your studies on important topic areas. Be sure to read each objective before you begin a chapter; the objectives specify precisely what you are expected to know after reading the chapter and studying the material. To highlight their importance, we have linked each objective directly to the chapter’s major headings. Chapter Openers: Each chapter begins with a short overview of the importance and relevance of the material to be covered. The openers set the stage by linking the chapter content to the real world and should help increase your motivation. Key Terms: A list of key terms is provided at the start of each chapter. Understanding the terminology and jargon of the securities industry is an important part of your success in this course. Each key term is boldfaced in the chapter and appears in the glossary included at the end of the textbook. Chapter Summaries: Each chapter closes with a concise summary of the material organized by learning objective. The summaries will help to reinforce the relationship between the material and the chapter learning objectives and may suggest areas of weakness that require further study. Thanks are due to those students and industry representatives who provided input into the revision process, either through their suggestions or by providing or verifying information for the book.
Canadian Securities Course Online Modules Your registration as a student in the Canadian Securities Course includes access to online modules that guide your progress through the course materials. The modules are designed as study guides that help reinforce the textbook content and assess your knowledge. We suggest you log on to the online course and use the modules along with your text. Enhancements to the CSC textbook include providing you with better links between the textbook and the CSC online modules. You will see icons throughout the text that correspond to the various learning resources included in the online modules. Each icon has a matching learning resource for the particular topic discussed in the text. A description for each of the icons in the CSC online modules follows. GETTING STARTED
Getting Started is provided to set up your expectations for each online module. It provides an introduction to the module’s purpose and content. There may also be a review activity or additional reading as preparation for the study of the module’s content. LEARNING ACTIVITIES
The Learning Activities provide you with a variety of online exercises to test your knowledge of the material. The activities may be case- or scenario-based and allow you to practice calculations or comprehension of key concepts discussed in the text. © CSI GLOBAL EDUCATION INC. (2010)
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
POST-LESSON ASSESSMENT
Post-lesson tests are designed to test the key concepts in each chapter and module. You can complete a post-lesson test after studying the material in the chapter. Your results may suggest areas of weakness that require further study.
CSI Global Education Inc. CSI has been setting the standard for world-class, life-long education for financial professionals for more than 30 years. Having trained over 700,000 global professionals, makes us the preferred partner for individual and corporate financial services education internationally. Our expertise extends from securities to mutual funds, from banking and trust to insurance, from portfolio management to financial planning and wealth management. CSI is a thought leader whose real world training sets professionals apart in their field, by developing them into leaders who are able to excel in their chosen careers. Our focus on leading educational and ethical standards means that our graduates have met the highest level of proficiency and certification. We develop course content based on industry trends and continuous involvement from our worldwide partners to ensure our graduates are the most current in every financial sector. CSI is a partner – Working collaboratively with practitioners and industry regulators leads to a higher educational standard in an evolving financial services marketplace. Anticipating industry requirements allows us to develop relevant curriculum and testing for real world application. CSI grants designations that have become a true measure of expertise. We focus on state of the art industry knowledge that is the recognized standard for regulatory authorities, financial organizations and associations in Canada and around the globe. Our graduates come with highly endorsed credentials respected throughout the financial services industry. CSI is valued for its expertise in both course content and program delivery. CSI has established professional designations in growing specialties like financial derivatives and wealth management, adding to our respected and established courses and seminars. We’ve also pioneered the use of the Internet as a powerful tool for teaching and professional development, launching online courses and study aids. CSI – leaders in innovative, lifelong education for career-minded financial professionals. CSI courses are available on demand in a variety of formats anywhere and anytime to suit the needs of learners and their organizations.
© CSI GLOBAL EDUCATION INC. (2010)
VOLUME I
Contents SECTION I THE CANADIAN INVESTMENT MARKETPLACE
1 The Capital Market ....................................................................1•1 What is Investment Capital? ........................................................................... 1•5 Characteristics of Capital ............................................................................................ 1•5 Why Capital Is Needed............................................................................................... 1•6 Who are the Sources and Users of Capital? .................................................. 1•6 Sources of Capital ....................................................................................................... 1•7 Users of Capital .......................................................................................................... 1•8 What are the Financial Instruments? ............................................................. 1•9 Debt Instruments ....................................................................................................... 1•9 Equity Instruments ................................................................................................... 1•10 Investment Funds ..................................................................................................... 1•10 Derivatives and Other Financial Instruments ............................................................ 1•10 What are the Financial Markets? ................................................................... 1•11 Auction Markets in Canada ...................................................................................... 1•11 Stock Exchanges Around the World .......................................................................... 1•14 Dealer Markets ......................................................................................................... 1•17 Private Equity ........................................................................................................... 1•19 Trends in Financial Markets ...................................................................................... 1•21 Summary ...........................................................................................................1•22
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
2 The Canadian Securities Industry ...............................................2•1 Overview of the Canadian Securities Industry .............................................. 2•5 The Role of Financial Intermediaries .............................................................. 2•8 Types of Firms .......................................................................................................... 2•10 Organization within Firms........................................................................................ 2•10 How Securities Firms are Financed ........................................................................... 2•13 Dealer, Principal and Agency Functions .................................................................... 2•13 The Clearing System................................................................................................. 2•15 Trends in the Securities Industry ............................................................................... 2•15 Banks as Financial Intermediaries..................................................................2•16 Schedule I Chartered Banks ...................................................................................... 2•16 Schedule II and Schedule III Banks .......................................................................... 2•17 Trends in the Role of Banks ...................................................................................... 2•18 Trust Companies, Credit Unions and Life Insurance Companies ..............2•18 Trust and Loan Companies ....................................................................................... 2•18 Credit Unions and Caisses Populaires ....................................................................... 2•19 Insurance Companies ............................................................................................... 2•19 Trends in Insurance .................................................................................................. 2•21 Investment Funds, Savings Banks, Pension Plans, Sales Finance and Consumer Loan Companies ....................................................................2•21 Investment Funds ..................................................................................................... 2•22 Savings Banks ........................................................................................................... 2•22 Pension Plans ............................................................................................................ 2•22 Sales Finance and Consumer Loan Companies ......................................................... 2•22 Summary .......................................................................................................... 2•23
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3 The Canadian Regulatory Environment......................................3•1 Who are the Regulators?.................................................................................. 3•5 The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions ......................................... 3•5 Canada Deposit Insurance Corporation ...................................................................... 3•5 Credit Union Deposit Insurance Corporation............................................................. 3•6 The Provincial Regulators ........................................................................................... 3•6 The Self-Regulatory Organizations ............................................................................. 3•7 Canadian Investor Protection Fund ............................................................................ 3•9 Mutual Fund Dealers Association Investor Protection Corporation .......................... 3•11 Role of Arbitration.................................................................................................... 3•11 Ombudsman for Banking Services and Investments.................................................. 3•12 What are the Principles of Securities Legislation? ......................................3•12 Full,True and Plain Disclosure .................................................................................. 3•13 Registration .............................................................................................................. 3•13 The National Registration Database (NRD) ............................................................. 3•15 Know Your Client Rule............................................................................................. 3•15 Fiduciary Duty ......................................................................................................... 3•15 What are the Ethics of Trading? .....................................................................3•16 Examples of Unethical Practices ................................................................................ 3•16 Prohibited Sales Practices .......................................................................................... 3•17 What are Public Company Disclosures and Investor Rights? .....................3•18 Continuous Disclosure ............................................................................................. 3•18 Statutory Rights for Investors ................................................................................... 3•19 Proxies and Proxy Solicitation ................................................................................... 3•20 Takeover Bids and Insider Trading .................................................................3•21 Takeover Bids ........................................................................................................... 3•21 Insider Trading ......................................................................................................... 3•22 Summary .......................................................................................................... 3•24
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
SECTION II THE ECONOMY
4 Economic Principles ...................................................................4•1 Foundations of Economics................................................................................ 4•6 Microeconomics and Macroeconomics ....................................................................... 4•6 The Decision Makers .................................................................................................. 4•7 Demand and Supply ................................................................................................... 4•7 Economic Growth ............................................................................................. 4•9 Measuring Gross Domestic Product .......................................................................... 4•10 Productivity and Determinants of Economic Growth ............................................... 4•13 The Business Cycle ...........................................................................................4•15 Phases of the Business Cycle ..................................................................................... 4•16 Using Economic Indicators ....................................................................................... 4•18 Identifying Recessions............................................................................................... 4•19 The Canadian Labour Market........................................................................ 4•20 Labour Market Indicators ......................................................................................... 4•21 Types of Unemployment........................................................................................... 4•22 Interest Rates................................................................................................... 4•24 Determinants of Interest Rates.................................................................................. 4•24 How Interest Rates Affect the Economy ................................................................... 4•25 Expectations and Interest Rates................................................................................. 4•25 Money and Inflation......................................................................................... 4•26 The Nature of Money ............................................................................................... 4•27 Inflation.................................................................................................................... 4•28 Disinflation .............................................................................................................. 4•31 Deflation .................................................................................................................. 4•32
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International Economics ................................................................................ 4•32 The Balance of Payments .......................................................................................... 4•33 The Exchange Rate ................................................................................................... 4•35 Summary .......................................................................................................... 4•39
5 Economic Policy .........................................................................5•1 Economic Theories ........................................................................................... 5•5 Rational Expectations Theory ..................................................................................... 5•5 Keynesian Theory ....................................................................................................... 5•5 Monetarist Theory ...................................................................................................... 5•6 Supply-Side Economics .............................................................................................. 5•6 Fiscal Policy ........................................................................................................ 5•6 The Federal Budget .................................................................................................... 5•7 How Fiscal Policy Affects the Economy ...................................................................... 5•9 The Bank of Canada .........................................................................................5•11 Role of the Bank of Canada ...................................................................................... 5•11 Functions of the Bank of Canada .............................................................................. 5•11 Monetary Policy ................................................................................................5•13 Implementing Monetary Policy ................................................................................ 5•13 Open Market Operations.......................................................................................... 5•14 Cash Management Operations.................................................................................. 5•16 Government Policy Challenges.......................................................................5•17 The Consequences of Failed Fiscal Policy.................................................................. 5•18 Summary ...........................................................................................................5•19
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
SECTION III INVESTMENT PRODUCTS
6 Fixed-Income Securities: Features and Types ...............................6•1 The Fixed-Income Marketplace....................................................................... 6•6 The Rationale for Issuing Fixed-Income Securities ...................................................... 6•6 Size of the Fixed-Income Market ................................................................................ 6•7 Fixed-Income Terminology and Features ...................................................... 6•7 Interest on Bonds........................................................................................................ 6•7 Face Value and Denomination .................................................................................... 6•8 Price and Yield ............................................................................................................ 6•8 Term to Maturity ........................................................................................................ 6•9 Liquid Bonds, Negotiable Bonds and Marketable Bonds ............................................ 6•9 Callable Bonds.......................................................................................................... 6•10 Sinking Funds and Purchase Funds ........................................................................... 6•11 Extendible and Retractable Bonds............................................................................. 6•12 Convertible Bonds and Debentures .......................................................................... 6•12 Protective Provisions of Corporate Bonds ................................................................. 6•14 Government of Canada Securities .................................................................6•15 Marketable Bonds ..................................................................................................... 6•15 Treasury Bills ............................................................................................................ 6•16 Canada Savings Bonds .............................................................................................. 6•16 Provincial and Municipal Government Securities ........................................6•18 Guaranteed Bonds .................................................................................................... 6•18 Provincial Securities .................................................................................................. 6•19 Municipal Securities ................................................................................................. 6•20 Corporate Bonds ............................................................................................. 6•20 Mortgage Bonds ....................................................................................................... 6•21 Collateral Trust Bonds .............................................................................................. 6•21 Equipment Trust Certificates .................................................................................... 6•21 Subordinated Debentures ......................................................................................... 6•22
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Floating-Rate Securities ............................................................................................ 6•22 Corporate Notes ....................................................................................................... 6•22 Strip Bonds ............................................................................................................... 6•22 Domestic, Foreign and Eurobonds ............................................................................ 6•23 Preferred Securities ................................................................................................... 6•24 Other Fixed-Income Securities ..................................................................... 6•24 Bankers’ Acceptances ................................................................................................ 6•24 Commercial Paper .................................................................................................... 6•24 Term Deposits .......................................................................................................... 6•25 Guaranteed Investment Certificates .......................................................................... 6•25 Bond Quotes and Ratings ............................................................................... 6•26 Summary .......................................................................................................... 6•29
7 Fixed Income Securities: Pricing and Trading ..............................7•1 Bond Pricing Principles ..................................................................................... 7•5 Calculating the Fair Price of a Bond............................................................................ 7•7 Calculating the Yield on a Treasury Bill .................................................................... 7•11 Calculating the Current Yield on a Bond .................................................................. 7•11 Calculating the Yield to Maturity on a Bond ............................................................ 7•11 Term Structure Of Interest Rates .................................................................7•14 The Real Rate of Return ........................................................................................... 7•14 The Yield Curve ....................................................................................................... 7•15 Bond Pricing Properties ..................................................................................7•17 The Relationship Between Bond Prices and Interest Rates ........................................ 7•17 The Impact of Maturity ............................................................................................ 7•18 The Impact of the Coupon ....................................................................................... 7•19 The Impact of Yield Changes.................................................................................... 7•19 Duration as a Measure of Bond Price Volatility ......................................................... 7•20 Bond-Switching Strategies ..............................................................................7•21
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
Bond Market Trading ...................................................................................... 7•23 Clearing and Settlement ........................................................................................... 7•24 Calculating Accrued Interest ..................................................................................... 7•24 Bond Indexes .................................................................................................... 7•26 Canadian Bond Market Indexes ................................................................................ 7•26 Global Indexes .......................................................................................................... 7•27 Summary .......................................................................................................... 7•28
8 Equity Securities: Common and Preferred Shares ........................8•1 Common Shares ................................................................................................ 8•5 Benefits of Common Share Ownership ....................................................................... 8•5 Capital Appreciation ................................................................................................... 8•6 Dividends ................................................................................................................... 8•6 Voting Privileges ....................................................................................................... 8•10 Tax Treatment ........................................................................................................... 8•11 Stock Splits and Consolidations ................................................................................ 8•12 Reading Stock Quotations ........................................................................................ 8•14 Preferred Shares ..............................................................................................8•15 The Preferred’s Position ............................................................................................ 8•15 Why Companies Issue Preferred Shares..................................................................... 8•16 Why Investors Buy Preferred Shares .......................................................................... 8•17 Preferred Share Features ............................................................................................ 8•17 Straight Preferreds..................................................................................................... 8•19 Convertible Preferreds .............................................................................................. 8•19 Selecting Convertible Preferreds ...................................................................8•21 Retractable Preferreds ............................................................................................... 8•21 Floating-Rate Preferreds ............................................................................................ 8•22 Foreign-Pay Preferreds .............................................................................................. 8•23 Other Types of Preferreds.......................................................................................... 8•23
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Stock Indexes and Averages........................................................................... 8•27 Canadian Market Indexes ......................................................................................... 8•25 U.S. Stock Market Indexes........................................................................................ 8•28 International Market Indexes and Averages ............................................................... 8•30 Summary ...........................................................................................................8•31
9 Equity Securities: Equity Transactions .........................................9•1 Cash Accounts ................................................................................................... 9•5 Cash Account Rules .................................................................................................... 9•5 Free Credit Balances .................................................................................................. 9•5 Margin Accounts ................................................................................................ 9•6 Long Margin Accounts ............................................................................................... 9•6 Margining Long Positions ........................................................................................... 9•7 Short Selling ....................................................................................................... 9•9 How Short Selling is Done ......................................................................................... 9•9 Dangers of Short Selling ........................................................................................... 9•12 Trading and Settlement Procedures..............................................................9•13 Trading Procedures ................................................................................................... 9•13 Buying and Selling Securities ..........................................................................9•16 Summary ...........................................................................................................9•19
10 Derivatives ................................................................................10•1 What is a Derivative? ...................................................................................... 10•5 Features Common to All Derivatives ........................................................................ 10•5 Derivative Markets.................................................................................................... 10•6 Exchange-Traded versus OTC Derivatives ................................................................ 10•6 Types of Underlying Assets ............................................................................ 10•9 Commodities ............................................................................................................ 10•9 Financials.................................................................................................................. 10•9
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
Why Investors Use Derivatives ....................................................................10•10 Individual Investors ................................................................................................ 10•10 Institutional Investors ............................................................................................. 10•11 Corporations and Businesses ................................................................................... 10•12 Derivative Dealers................................................................................................... 10•14 Options ............................................................................................................10•14 Option Exchanges .................................................................................................. 10•17 Option Strategies for Individual and Institutional Investors .................................... 10•18 Option Strategies for Corporations ......................................................................... 10•25 Forwards and Futures ................................................................................... 10•26 Key Terms and Definitions ..................................................................................... 10•27 Futures Exchanges .................................................................................................. 10•28 Futures Strategies for Investors ................................................................................ 10•30 Rights and Warrants ..................................................................................... 10•33 Rights ..................................................................................................................... 10•33 Warrants ................................................................................................................. 10•36 Summary ........................................................................................................ 10•38 SECTION IV THE CORPORATION
11 Financing and Listing Securities ................................................11•1 Types of Business Structures ..........................................................................11•6 Incorporated Businesses..................................................................................11•6 Public and Private Corporations ............................................................................... 11•9 The Structure of the Organization .......................................................................... 11•12 Government Financings ................................................................................. 11•13 Canadian Government Issues .................................................................................. 11•14 Provincial and Municipal Issues .............................................................................. 11•16
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Corporate Financings..................................................................................... 11•16 Equity Financing .................................................................................................... 11•17 Debt Financing and Other Alternatives .................................................................. 11•19 The Corporate Financing Process ................................................................ 11•19 The Dealer’s Advisory Relationship with Corporations ........................................... 11•20 The Method of Offering ......................................................................................... 11•22 The Prospectus ....................................................................................................... 11•23 Other Documents and Sale of the Issue .................................................................. 11•26 After-Market Stabilization ...................................................................................... 11•29 Other Methods of Distributing Securities to the Public ...........................11•30 Junior Company Distributions ............................................................................... 11•30 Options of Treasury Shares and Escrowed Shares .................................................... 11•31 Capital Pool Company Program ............................................................................. 11•31 NEX ....................................................................................................................... 11•32 The Listing Process ........................................................................................ 11•32 Advantages and Disadvantages of Listing ................................................................ 11•32 Listing Procedure for a Company ........................................................................... 11•34 Withdrawing Trading Privileges .............................................................................. 11•34 Summary ......................................................................................................... 11•36
12 Corporations and their Financial Statements .............................12•1 The Balance Sheet ...........................................................................................12•5 Classification of Assets .............................................................................................. 12•6 Classification of Liabilities ...................................................................................... 12•11 Shareholders’ Equity ............................................................................................... 12•13 The Earnings Statement................................................................................12•14 Structure of the Earnings Statement........................................................................ 12•14 The Operating Section (items 28 to 34) ................................................................. 12•15 The Non-Operating Section (items 35 and 36)....................................................... 12•16 The Creditors’ Section (items 37 and 38) ............................................................... 12•17 The Owners’ Section (items 40 to 45) .................................................................... 12•17
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
The Retained Earnings Statement ...............................................................12•19 The Cash Flow Statement.............................................................................12•19 Operating Activities ................................................................................................ 12•20 Financing Activities (items 51 to 54) ...................................................................... 12•21 Investing Activities (items 55 to 57)........................................................................ 12•21 The Change in Cash Flow (items 58 to 60) ............................................................ 12•21 Supplemental Information (items 61 to 62) ............................................................ 12•21 The Annual Report.........................................................................................12•22 Footnotes to the Financial Statements ..................................................................... 12•22 The Auditor’s Report .............................................................................................. 12•22 Trends in accounting standards ............................................................................... 12•23 Summary .........................................................................................................12•25 Appendix A - Sample Financial Statements ...............................................12•26
Glossary . ........................................................................................G•1 Selected Web Sites .......................................................................Web•1 Index............................................................................................ Ind•1
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VOLUME 2
SECTION V INVESTMENT ANALYSIS
13 Fundamental and Technical Analysis .........................................13•1 Overview of Analysis Methods ....................................................................... 13•5 Fundamental Analysis ............................................................................................... 13•5 Quantitative Analysis ................................................................................................ 13•5 Technical Analysis ..................................................................................................... 13•5 Market Theories ....................................................................................................... 13•6 Fundamental Macroeconomic Analysis .........................................................13•7 The Fiscal Policy Impact ........................................................................................... 13•7 The Monetary Policy Impact .................................................................................... 13•8 The Flow of Funds Impact...................................................................................... 13•10 The Inflation Impact .............................................................................................. 13•11 Fundamental Industry Analysis ....................................................................13•12 Classifying Industries by Product or Service ............................................................ 13•12 Classifying Industries by Stage of Growth ............................................................... 13•13 Classifying Industries by Competitive Forces .......................................................... 13•15 Classifying Industries by Stock Characteristics ........................................................ 13•15 Fundamental Valuation Models ...................................................................13•17 Dividend Discount Model ...................................................................................... 13•17 Using the Price-Earnings Ratio ............................................................................... 13•18 Technical Analysis ..........................................................................................13•19 Comparing Technical Analysis to Fundamental Analysis ......................................... 13•20 Commonly Used Tools in Technical Analysis .......................................................... 13•21 Summary .........................................................................................................13•28
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
14 Company Analysis ....................................................................14•1 Overview of Company Analysis ..................................................................... 14•5 Earnings Statement Analysis ..................................................................................... 14•5 Balance Sheet Analysis .............................................................................................. 14•6 Other Features of Company Analysis ........................................................................ 14•8 Interpreting Financial Statements ............................................................... 14•9 Trend Analysis ........................................................................................................ 14•10 External Comparisons............................................................................................. 14•11 Financial Ratio Analysis .................................................................................14•12 Liquidity Ratios ...................................................................................................... 14•13 Risk Analysis Ratios ................................................................................................ 14•15 Operating Performance Ratios ................................................................................ 14•22 Value Ratios ............................................................................................................ 14•27 Assessing Preferred Share Investment Quality..........................................14•34 Dividend Payments................................................................................................. 14•35 Credit Assessment ................................................................................................... 14•35 Selecting Preferreds ................................................................................................. 14•36 How Preferreds Fit Into Individual Portfolios ......................................................... 14•37 Summary .........................................................................................................14•38 Appendix A: Company Financial Statements.............................................14•39 Appendix B: Sample Company Analysis .................................................... 14•43
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SECTION VI PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS
15 Introduction to the Portfolio Approach .....................................15•1 Risk and Return ............................................................................................... 15•5 Rate of Return ......................................................................................................... 15•6 Risk ........................................................................................................................ 15•10 Portfolio Risk and Return ..............................................................................15•12 Calculating the Rate of Return on a Portfolio ......................................................... 15•14 Measuring Risk in a Portfolio ................................................................................. 15•14 Combining Securities in a Portfolio ........................................................................ 15•15 Overview of the Portfolio Management Process .......................................15•19 Objectives and Constraints ...........................................................................15•20 Return and Risk Objectives .................................................................................... 15•20 Investment Objectives............................................................................................. 15•21 Investment Constraints ........................................................................................... 15•24 Managing Investment Objectives ............................................................................ 15•27 The Investment Policy Statement ...............................................................15•27 Summary .........................................................................................................15•31
16 The Portfolio Management Process ...........................................16•1 Developing an Asset Mix ................................................................................ 16•5 The Asset Mix .......................................................................................................... 16•5 Setting the Asset Mix ................................................................................................ 16•6 Portfolio Manager Styles ...............................................................................16•13 Equity Manager Styles ............................................................................................ 16•13 Fixed-Income Manager Styles ................................................................................. 16•16
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
Asset Allocation .............................................................................................16•17 Balancing the Asset Classes ..................................................................................... 16•20 Strategic Asset Allocation ........................................................................................ 16•20 Ongoing Asset Allocation ....................................................................................... 16•22 Passive Management ............................................................................................... 16•23 Portfolio Monitoring ......................................................................................16•24 Monitoring the Markets and the Client .................................................................. 16•24 Monitoring the Economy ....................................................................................... 16•25 A Portfolio Manager’s Checklist .............................................................................. 16•30 Evaluating Portfolio Performance ................................................................16•32 Measuring Portfolio Returns ................................................................................... 16•32 Calculating the Risk-Adjusted Rate of Return......................................................... 16•33 Other Factors in Performance Measurement ........................................................... 16•34 Summary .........................................................................................................16•35 SECTION VII ANALYSIS OF MANAGED PRODUCTS
17 Evolution of Managed and Structured Products ........................17•1 Managed and Structured Products ................................................................17•4 What Is a Managed Product? .................................................................................... 17•4 What Is a Structured Product? .................................................................................. 17•5 A Comparison of Managed and Structured Products .................................17•6 Advantages of Managed Products.............................................................................. 17•6 Advantages of Structured Products ............................................................................ 17•7 Disadvantages of Managed Products ......................................................................... 17•7 Disadvantages of Structured Products ....................................................................... 17•8 Risks Involved With Managed and Structured Products .............................17•9 Types of Risk ............................................................................................................ 17•9 Types of Managed and Structured Products ...............................................17•10
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The Evolving Market for Managed and Structured Products ................... 17•11 Market Growth Factors for Managed and Structured Products ............................... 17•11 Changing Compensation Models .................................................................. 17•12 Summary ......................................................................................................... 17•13
18 Mutual Funds: Structure and Regulation ..................................18•1 What Is a Mutual Fund? .................................................................................. 18•5 Advantages of Mutual Funds..................................................................................... 18•6 Disadvantages of Mutual Funds ................................................................................ 18•7 The Structure of Mutual Funds ..................................................................... 18•8 Organization of a Mutual Fund ................................................................................ 18•9 Pricing Mutual Fund Units or Shares ...................................................................... 18•10 Charges Associated with Mutual Funds .................................................................. 18•11 Labour Sponsored Venture Capital Corporations .....................................18•15 Advantages of Labour-Sponsored Funds ................................................................. 18•16 Disadvantages of Labour-Sponsored Funds ............................................................. 18•16 Regulating Mutual Funds ...............................................................................18•17 Mutual Fund Regulatory Organizations .................................................................. 18•18 National Instrument 81-101 and 81-102 ................................................................ 18•18 General Mutual Fund Requirements ....................................................................... 18•18 The Simplified Prospectus ...................................................................................... 18•19 Other Forms and Requirements ................................................................. 18•20 Registration Requirements for the Mutual Fund Industry ....................................... 18•21 Mutual Fund Restrictions ....................................................................................... 18•23 Distribution of Mutual Funds by Financial Institutions .......................................... 18•26 Summary ........................................................................................................ 18•28
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19 Mutual Funds: Types and Features ............................................19•1 Types of Mutual Funds .................................................................................... 19•5 Cash and Equivalents Funds ..................................................................................... 19•5 Fixed-Income Funds ................................................................................................. 19•6 Balanced Funds......................................................................................................... 19•6 Equity Funds ............................................................................................................ 19•7 Specialty and Sector Funds ....................................................................................... 19•9 Index Funds .............................................................................................................. 19•9 Comparing Fund Types .......................................................................................... 19•10 Fund Management Styles ..............................................................................19•10 Indexing and Closet Indexing ................................................................................. 19•11 Multi-Manager ....................................................................................................... 19•11 Redeeming Mutual Fund Units or Shares ...................................................19•12 Tax Consequences................................................................................................... 19•12 Reinvesting Distributions ....................................................................................... 19•14 Types of Withdrawal Plans...................................................................................... 19•15 Suspension of Redemptions .................................................................................... 19•18 Comparing Mutual Fund Performance........................................................19•19 Reading Mutual Fund Quotes ................................................................................ 19•19 Measuring Mutual Fund Performance..................................................................... 19•20 Issues that Complicate Mutual Fund Performance .................................................. 19•22 Summary ........................................................................................................ 19•25
20 Segregated Funds and Other Insurance Products .......................20•1 Features of Segregated Funds ....................................................................... 20•5 Owners and Annuitants ............................................................................................ 20•5 Beneficiaries .............................................................................................................. 20•6 Maturity Guarantees ................................................................................................. 20•6 Death Benefits .......................................................................................................... 20•8 Creditor Protection ................................................................................................... 20•9 Bypassing Probate ................................................................................................... 20•10
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Cost of the Guarantees ........................................................................................... 20•10 Bankruptcy and Family Law ................................................................................... 20•10 Disclosure Documents ............................................................................................ 20•11 Comparison to Mutual Funds................................................................................. 20•11 Taxation of Segregated Funds ..................................................................... 20•12 Impact of Allocations on Net Asset Values .............................................................. 20•13 Tax Treatment of Guarantees .................................................................................. 20•15 Tax Treatment of Death Benefits ............................................................................. 20•16 Regulation of Segregated Funds .................................................................. 20•17 Monitoring Solvency .............................................................................................. 20•17 The Role Played by Assuris ..................................................................................... 20•17 Other Insurance Products ............................................................................ 20•18 Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit Plans ................................................... 20•18 Portfolio Funds ....................................................................................................... 20•19 Protected Funds ...................................................................................................... 20•19 Summary ....................................................................................................... 20•21
21 Hedge Funds.............................................................................21•1 Overview of Hedge Funds ...............................................................................21•5 Comparisons to Mutual Funds ................................................................................. 21•5 Who Can Invest in Hedge Funds? ............................................................................ 21•6 History of Hedge Funds ........................................................................................... 21•7 Size of the Hedge Fund Market ................................................................................ 21•8 Tracking Hedge Fund Performance ........................................................................... 21•8 Benefits and Risks of Hedge Funds ................................................................21•9 Benefits ..................................................................................................................... 21•9 Risks ....................................................................................................................... 21•10 Due Diligence......................................................................................................... 21•13
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Hedge Fund Strategies .................................................................................. 21•14 Relative Value Strategies.......................................................................................... 21•15 Event-Driven Strategies........................................................................................... 21•17 Directional Funds ................................................................................................... 21•18 Funds of Hedge Funds ....................................................................................21•21 Advantages.............................................................................................................. 21•21 Disadvantages ......................................................................................................... 21•22 Summary .........................................................................................................21•23
22 Exchange-Listed Managed Products ..........................................22•1 Closed-End Funds ............................................................................................ 22•4 Advantages of Closed-End Funds.............................................................................. 22•4 Disadvantages of Closed-End Funds ......................................................................... 22•5 Income Trusts .................................................................................................. 22•6 Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) ...................................................................... 22•7 Royalty or Resource Trusts ........................................................................................ 22•7 Business Trusts .......................................................................................................... 22•8 Exchange-Traded Funds.................................................................................. 22•9 Trading ETFs............................................................................................................ 22•9 The Market for ETFs.............................................................................................. 22•10 Recent Trends in ETFs............................................................................................ 22•11 Regulatory Issues .................................................................................................... 22•12 Listed Private Equity ......................................................................................22•12 Structure of Listed Private Equity Companies ......................................................... 22•13 Advantages and Disadvantages of Listed Private Equity .......................................... 22•14 Summary .........................................................................................................22•16
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23 Fee-Based Accounts...................................................................23•1 Overview of Fee-Based Accounts ................................................................. 23•4 Managed Accounts ................................................................................................... 23•5 Fee-Based Non-Managed Accounts ........................................................................... 23•6 Advantages and Disadvantages of Fee-Based Accounts .............................................. 23•6 Discretionary Accounts ............................................................................................. 23•7 Types of Managed Accounts ........................................................................... 23•8 Single-Manager Accounts ......................................................................................... 23•8 Multi-Manager Accounts ........................................................................................ 23•10 Private Family Office .............................................................................................. 23•13 Summary .........................................................................................................23•14
24 Structured Products ..................................................................24•1 Principal-Protected Notes ............................................................................. 24•5 PPN Guarantors, Manufacturers and Distributors .................................................... 24•5 The Structure of PPNs.............................................................................................. 24•6 Risks Associated with PPNs ...................................................................................... 24•8 Tax Implications of PPNs ....................................................................................... 24•10 Index-Lined Guaranteed Investment Certificates .....................................24•11 Structure of Index-Linked GICs ............................................................................. 24•12 How Returns are Determined ................................................................................. 24•12 Risks Associated with Index-Linked GICs .............................................................. 24•13 Tax Implications ..................................................................................................... 24•13 Split Shares .....................................................................................................24•14 What are Split Shares?............................................................................................. 24•14 Risks Associated with Split Shares ........................................................................... 24•15 Tax Implications ..................................................................................................... 24•16 Canadian Originated Preferred Securities (COPrS) .................................24•17
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Asset-Backed Securities ................................................................................24•17 The Securitization Process ...................................................................................... 24•18 Asset-Backed Commercial Paper ............................................................................. 24•19 Mortgage-Backed Securities ........................................................................ 24•21 Structure and Benefits of MBS................................................................................ 24•22 Summary ........................................................................................................ 22•25 SECTION VIII WORKING WITH THE CLIENT
25 Canadian Taxation ....................................................................25•1 Taxation ............................................................................................................ 25•5 The Income Tax System in Canada ........................................................................... 25•5 Types of Income ....................................................................................................... 25•6 Calculating Income Tax Payable................................................................................ 25•7 Taxation of Investment Income ................................................................................ 25•7 Tax-Deductible Items Related to Investment Income .............................................. 25•10 Calculating Investment Gains and Losses ...................................................25•11 Disposition of Shares .............................................................................................. 25•12 Disposition of Debt Securities ................................................................................ 25•13 Capital Losses ......................................................................................................... 25•14 Tax Loss Selling ...................................................................................................... 25•16 Minimum Tax......................................................................................................... 25•16 Tax Deferral Plans ..........................................................................................25•17 Registered Pension Plans (RPPs) ............................................................................. 25•17 Registered Retirement Savings Plans (RRSPs) ......................................................... 25•18 Registered Retirement Income Funds (RRIFs) ........................................................ 25•22 Deferred Annuities ................................................................................................. 25•22 Tax Free Savings Accounts (TFSA) ......................................................................... 25•23 Registered Educations Savings Plans (RESPs) ......................................................... 25•24
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Tax Planning Strategies ................................................................................ 25•26 Summary ........................................................................................................ 25•28
26 Working with the Retail Client .................................................26•1 Financial Planning ............................................................................................ 26•5 The Financial Planning Process ..................................................................... 26•6 Interview the Client: Establish the Client Advisor Engagement ................................ 26•6 Data Gathering and Determining Goals and Objectives ........................................... 26•6 Identify Financial Problems and Constraints ............................................................. 26•8 Develop a Written Financial Plan and Implement the Recommendations ................. 26•9 Periodically Review and Revise the Plan and Make New Recommendations ............. 26•9 Financial Planning Aids ..................................................................................26•10 Life Cycle Analysis .................................................................................................. 26•10 The Financial Planning Pyramid............................................................................. 26•11 Ethics and the Advisor ...................................................................................26•12 The Code of Ethics ................................................................................................. 26•12 Standards of Conduct ............................................................................................. 26•13 Standard A – Duty of Care ..................................................................................... 26•14 Standard B – Trustworthiness, Honesty, Fairness .................................................... 26•15 Standard C – Professionalism.................................................................................. 26•17 Standard D – Conduct in Accordance with Securities Acts ..................................... 26•19 Standard E – Confidentiality .................................................................................. 26•20 Summary ........................................................................................................ 26•21 Appendix A .................................................................................................... 26•23 Appendix B – Client Scenarios .................................................................... 26•27
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27 Working With the Institutional Client ......................................27•1 Who Are Institutional Clients?...................................................................... 27•4 The Institutional Marketplace .................................................................................. 27•4 Suitability Requirements: Institutional vs. Retail Clients ...........................27•7 Suitability Standards for Institutional Clients............................................................ 27•7 Roles and Responsibilities in the Institutional Market ............................... 27•8 The Role of the Institutional Salesperson .................................................................. 27•9 The Role of the Institutional Trader ........................................................................ 27•12 Summary .........................................................................................................27•14
Glossary ..........................................................................................G•1 Selected Web Sites .......................................................................Web•1 Index............................................................................................ Ind•1
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SECTION
I
The Canadian Investment Marketplace
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Chapter
1
The Capital Market
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1 The Capital Market
CHAPTER OUTLINE What is Investment Capital? • Characteristics of Capital • Why Capital Is Needed Who are the Sources and Users of Capital? • Sources of Capital • Users of Capital What are the Financial Instruments? • Debt Instruments • Equity Instruments • Investment Funds • Derivatives and Other Financial Instruments What are the Financial Markets? • Auction Markets in Canada • Stock Exchanges Around the World • Dealer Markets • Private Equity • Trends in Financial Markets Summary
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LEARNING OBJECTIVES By the end of this chapter, you should be able to: 1. Define investment capital and describe its role in the economy. 2. Describe how individuals, businesses, governments and foreign agencies supply and use capital in the economy. 3. Differentiate between the types of financial instruments used in capital transactions. 4. Explain the role of financial markets in the Canadian financial services industry, distinguish among the types of financial markets, and describe how auction markets and dealer markets work. 5. Explain what private equity is, how it has grown and the different ways of investing in this market.
THE CAPITAL MARKET The Canadian securities industry plays a significant role in sustaining and expanding the Canadian economy. The industry grows and evolves to meet the ever-changing needs of Canadian investors, both from domestic and international perspectives. In some way, we are all affected by the securities industry. The vital economic function the industry plays is based on a simple process: the transfer of money from those who have it (savers) to those who need it (users). This capital transfer process is made possible through the use of a variety of financial instruments: stocks, bonds, mutual funds and derivatives. Financial intermediaries, such as banks, trust companies and investment dealers, have evolved to make the transfer process efficient. The first two chapters of this textbook focus on the three central elements of the securities industry: investment markets, products and intermediaries. The emphasis throughout the course, however, is on securities. The text examines the main types of investment products, how to analyze them, how they are sold, and how they are used as part of a well-planned portfolio of investments. For those new to this material, we offer a suggestion: stay informed about the markets and the industry because it will help you better understand the material presented in this textbook. There are countless sources of financial market information, including newspapers, the Internet, books and magazines. The course material will be that much easier to grasp if you can relate it to the activity that unfolds each day in the financial markets. Ultimately, this will help you achieve your goal of becoming an informed and effective participant in the securities industry.
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KEY TERMS Alternative trading systems (ATSs)
Investment advisors (IAs)
Approved Participants
Investment fund
Auction market
Market capitalization
Bourse de Montréal
Market makers
Budget
Mutual fund
Canadian National Stock Exchange (CNSX)
Open-end fund
Canadian Unlisted Board Inc. (CUB)
Option
CanDeal
Participating Organizations
Can PX
Personal disposable income
Capital
Preferred shares
CBID
Primary market
Common shares
Quotation and trade reporting systems (QTRS)
Dealer markets
Retail investors
Debt
Secondary market
Derivative
Stock exchange
Equity
Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX)
ICE Futures Canada
TSX Venture Exchange
Institutional Investors
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WHAT IS INVESTMENT CAPITAL? In general terms, capital is wealth – both real, material things such as land and buildings, and representational items such as money, stocks and bonds. All of these items have economic value. Capital represents the invested savings of individuals, corporations, governments and many other organizations and associations. It is in short supply and is arguably the world’s most important commodity. Capital savings are useless by themselves. Only when they are harnessed productively do they gain economic significance. Such utilization may take the form of either direct or indirect investment. Capital savings can be used directly by, for example, a couple investing their savings in a home; a government investing in a new highway or hospital; or a domestic or foreign company paying start-up costs for a plant to produce a new product. Capital savings can also be harnessed indirectly through the purchase of such representational items as stocks or bonds or through the deposit of savings in a financial institution. The indirect investment process is the principal focus of this course. Indirect investment occurs when the saver buys the securities issued by governments and corporations, who in turn use the funds for direct productive investment – equipment, supplies, etc. Such investment is normally made with the assistance of the retail or institutional sales department of the investment advisor’s firm.
Characteristics of Capital Capital has three important characteristics. It is mobile, sensitive to its environment and scarce. Therefore capital is extremely selective. It attempts to settle in countries or locations where government is stable, economic activity is not over-regulated, the investment climate is hospitable and profitable investment opportunities exist. The decision as to where capital will flow is guided by country risk evaluation, which analyzes such things as: • • • • • •
The political environment – whether the country is involved or likely to be involved in internal or external conflict Economic trends – growth in gross domestic product, inflation rate, levels of economic activity, etc. Fiscal policy – levels of taxes and government spending and the degree to which the government encourages savings and investment Monetary policy – the sound management of the growth of the nation’s money supply and the extent to which it promotes price and foreign exchange stability Opportunities for investment and satisfactory returns on investment when considering the risks to be accepted Characteristics of the labour force – whether it is skilled and productive
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Because of its mobility and sensitivity, capital moves in or out of countries or localities in anticipation of changes in taxation, exchange policy, trade barriers, regulations, government attitudes, etc. It moves to where the best use can be made of it and attempts to avoid areas where the above factors are not positive. Thus, capital moves to uses and users that offer the highest risk-adjusted returns. Capital is scarce worldwide and it cannot be increased synthetically or by government decree. It is in great demand everywhere.
Why Capital Is Needed An adequate supply of capital is essential for Canada’s future well-being. Enough new and efficient plant and equipment must be put in place to ensure expanded output capability, improved productivity, increased competitiveness and the development of innovative, soughtafter new products. If capital investment is inadequate, the result will be insufficient output, declining productivity, rising unemployment, decreasing competitiveness in domestic and international markets – in short, lower living standards. The securities industry attaches great importance to the savings and investment process. It is constantly in touch with governments with a view to improving the saving and investment process. The industry advocates changes, when appropriate, in both government policies and the tax system. These proposed changes are designed to encourage more saving and the investment of savings in productive plant and equipment.
WHO ARE THE SOURCES AND USERS OF CAPITAL? The only source of capital is savings. When revenues of non-financial corporations, individuals, governments and non-residents exceed their expenditures, they have savings to invest. Non-financial corporations, such as steel makers, food distributors and machinery manufacturers, have historically generated the largest part of total savings mainly in the form of earnings, which they retain in their businesses. These internally generated funds are usually available only for internal use by the corporation and are not normally invested in other companies’ stocks and bonds. Thus, corporations are not important providers of permanent funds to others in the capital market. Individuals may decide, especially if given incentives to do so, to postpone consumption now in order to save so that they can consume in the future. Governments that are able to operate at a surplus are “savers” and able to invest their surpluses. Other governments are “dis-savers” and must borrow in capital markets to meet their deficits. Most governments also own or control Crown corporations or agencies that may generate retained earnings for investment. Both federal and provincial governments, until recently, have been running deficits and, therefore, have not been significant suppliers of investment capital. Non-residents, both corporations and private investors, have long regarded Canada as a good place to invest. Canada has traditionally relied on savings for both direct plant and equipment investment in Canada and portfolio investment in Canadian securities.
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Sources of Capital Retail and institutional investors are a significant source of investment capital. Retail investors are individual investors who buy and sell securities for their own personal accounts, and not for another company or organization. Institutional investors are organizations, such as a pension fund or mutual fund company, that trade large volumes of securities and typically have a steady flow of money to invest. Retail investors generally buy in smaller quantities than larger, institutional investors. For example, by the end of 2007, individual Canadians had just over $500 billion in personal savings deposits at the chartered banks alone (Source: Bloomberg). They had many more billions of dollars at other financial intermediaries such as trust companies, credit unions and investment dealers. Canadians also have other substantial assets in the form of securities investments made either directly or indirectly through investment funds and pension plans, equity in homes and businesses, cash values of insurance policies, retirement plans, etc. Over the past ten years, Canadian investors’ holdings of securities have doubled to more than $600 billion today. Ten years ago, 22% of the average investor’s financial assets (bank accounts, registered retirement savings plans, pension, insurance, etc.) were stocks. Today, this share has grown to 30%. Canadians are increasingly turning to the securities industry to ensure their prosperity and future retirement security. Foreign investors also are a significant source of investment capital. Historically, Canada has depended upon large inflows of foreign investment for continued growth. Foreign direct investment in Canada has tended to concentrate in particular industries: manufacturing, petroleum and natural gas, and mining and smelting. There are many industries that are largely Canadian-controlled (e.g., merchandising, finance, agriculture, transportation, construction, utilities). Some industries also have restrictions with respect to foreign investment. Canada’s use of foreign investment, while necessary, has its costs. Some Canadian economic nationalists feel that direct foreign investment implies control. They feel that foreign investment leads to long-term outflows of interest and dividend payments, negatively affecting our international balance of payments. They also fear that foreign owners may favour their own domestic plants, or subsidiaries in other countries over their Canadian subsidiaries in the pursuit of export markets, research and development efforts, and in plant closings or layoffs during recessions. The debate on the appropriate level of foreign investment in Canada will, no doubt, continue. But over the past 20 years there has been a significant swing in government policy away from the protection of Canadian businesses. The Canadian Government and the business community recognize that foreign capital continues to be needed and that foreign investors must be made to feel that Canada is a safe and attractive country in which to invest.
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Users of Capital Based on the simplest categorization, the users of capital are individuals, businesses and governments. These can be both Canadian and foreign users. The ways in which these groups use capital are described below. INDIVIDUALS
Individuals may require capital to finance housing, consumer durables (e.g., automobiles, appliances) or other types of consumption. They usually obtain it through incurring indebtedness in the form of personal loans, mortgage loans or charge accounts. Since individuals do not issue securities to the public and the focus of this text is on securities, individual capital users are not discussed further. Just as foreign individuals, businesses or governments can supply capital to Canada, capital can flow in the other direction. Foreign users (mainly businesses and governments) may access Canadian capital by borrowing from Canadian banks or by making their securities available to the Canadian market. Foreign users will want Canadian capital if they feel that they can access this capital at a less expensive rate than their own currency. Access to foreign securities benefits Canadian investors, who are thus provided with more choice and an opportunity to further diversify their investments. BUSINESSES
Canadian businesses require massive sums of capital to finance day-to-day operations, to renew and maintain plant and equipment as well as to expand and diversify activities. A substantial part of these requirements is generated internally (e.g., profits retained in the business), while some is borrowed from financial intermediaries (principally the chartered banks). The remainder is raised in securities markets through the issuance of short-term money market paper, medium- and longterm debt, and preferred and common shares. These instruments are discussed in detail in later chapters. THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT
Governments in Canada are major issuers of securities in public markets, either directly or through guaranteeing the debt of their Crown corporations. Each year the Minister of Finance presents the government’s budget to Parliament. The budget details the government’s estimate of its revenues and expenses, which in turn results in a projection of a budget surplus or budget deficit. When revenues fail to meet expenditures and/or when large capital projects are planned, the federal government must borrow. The government makes use of four main instruments: treasury bills (T-bills), marketable bonds, Canada Savings Bonds (CSBs) and Canada Premium Bonds (CPBs). The characteristics of each of these instruments are discussed in detail in the material on fixed-income products. PROVINCIAL AND MUNICIPAL GOVERNMENTS
Like the federal government, the provinces issue debt directly themselves and may guarantee unconditionally the interest and principal of securities issued by their Crown corporations, such as the Alberta Municipal Financing Corporation, Hydro Québec, and New Brunswick Electric Power Commission.
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When revenues fail to meet expenditures and/or when large capital projects are planned, provinces must borrow. They may issue non-marketable bonds (i.e., bonds that do not trade in the secondary markets) to the federal government or borrow funds from Canada Pension Plan (CPP) assets (or the Québec Pension Plan in the case of Québec). Alternatively, a province may issue debt domestically through a syndicate of investment dealers who sell the issue to financial institutions or to retail investors. In addition to conventional debt issues, some provinces issue their own short-term treasury bills and, in some cases, their own savings bonds similar to CSBs issued by the federal government. As an alternative to domestic issues, a province may also issue marketable debentures, payable in U.S. currency in the American market or in other currencies in international markets.
Complete the on-line activity associated with this section.
Municipalities are responsible for the provision of streets, sewers, waterworks, police and fire protection, welfare, transportation, distribution of electricity and other services for individual communities. Since many of the assets used to provide these services are expected to last for twenty or more years, municipalities attempt to spread their cost over a period of years through the issuance of instalment debentures (or serial debentures).
WHAT ARE THE FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS? Transferring money from one person to another may seem relatively straightforward. Why then do we need formal financial instruments called securities? As a way of distributing capital in a large, sophisticated economy, securities have many advantages. Securities are formal, legal documents, which set out the rights and obligations of the buyers and sellers. They tend to have standard features, which facilitates their trading. Furthermore, there are many types of securities, enabling both investors (buyers) and users (sellers) of capital to meet their particular needs. Much of this text deals with the characteristics of different financial instruments. The following brief discussion of instruments is included here to remind the reader that financial instruments (products) are one of the three key components of the securities industry. The other two components, financial markets and financial intermediaries, will be covered in subsequent chapters.
Debt Instruments Debt instruments formalize a relationship in which the issuer promises to repay the loan at maturity, and in the interim makes interest payments to the investor. The term of the loan ranges from very short to very long, depending on the type of instrument. Bonds, debentures, mortgages, treasury bills and commercial paper are all examples of debt instruments (also referred to as fixed-income securities). Bonds and debentures are among the most common forms of debt instrument. They are issued by all levels of government, many corporations, and some educational and religious organizations. The term bond is sometimes used colloquially to refer to both bonds and debentures, but these two instruments differ in terms of how they are secured. A bond is secured by specific assets
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of the issuer, while a debenture is secured only by the general credit of the issuer and not by a specific pledge of assets. These securities are discussed in more detail in the chapter on fixedincome securities.
Equity Instruments Equities are usually referred to as stocks or shares because the investor actually buys a “share” of the company, thus gaining an ownership stake in the company. As an owner, the investor participates in the corporation’s fortunes. If the company does well, the value of the company may increase, giving the investor a capital gain when the shares are sold. In addition, the company may distribute part of its profit to shareowners in the form of dividends. Unlike interest on a debt instrument, however, dividends are not obligatory. Different types of shares have different characteristics and confer different rights on the owners. In general, there are two main types of stock: common and preferred. Ownership of a company’s common shares (or stock) usually gives shareholders the right to vote at the company’s annual meeting and also a claim on its profits. The company may issue a dividend to common shareholders when business is profitable, but it is under no obligation to do so. In contrast, owners of preferred shares generally are entitled to a fixed dividend that must be paid out of earnings before any dividend is paid to common shareowners. As well, should the firm wind up its affairs, preferred shareholders have a prior claim on the assets of the company before common shareholders. Unlike common shareholders, however, preferred shareholders usually have no vote on the direction of management unless the company fails to pay preferred dividends.
Investment Funds An investment fund is a company or trust that manages investments for its clients. The most common form is the open-end fund, also known as a mutual fund. The fund raises capital by selling shares or units to investors, and then invests that capital. As unitholders, the investors receive part of the money made from the fund’s investments. The key advantages of investment funds are that they are professionally managed and provide a relatively inexpensive way to diversify a portfolio. For example, an equity fund may invest in hundreds of stocks, which many individual investors could not afford to do directly. The Canadian market offers a wide and ever-expanding range of mutual funds.
Derivatives and Other Financial Instruments Unlike stocks and bonds, derivatives are suited mainly for more sophisticated investors. Derivatives are products based on or derived from an underlying instrument, such as a stock or an index. For example, an option grants the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a certain quantity of an underlying instrument at a set price for a set period of time. Options and futures enable investors to profit or protect themselves from changes in the underlying instrument’s price. The wide range of option-trading strategies makes them useful for many investors. Successful trading, however, requires a high degree of knowledge.
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In the past few years, investment dealers have used the concept of financial engineering to create hybrid products that have various combinations of characteristics of debt, equity and investment funds. Two of the most popular are income trusts and exchange-traded funds. Both of these types of securities trade on stock exchanges. These instruments, and other products, will be discussed in later chapters.
WHAT ARE THE FINANCIAL MARKETS? Securities are a key element in the efficient transfer of capital from savers to users, benefiting both. Many of the benefits of investment products, however, depend on the existence of efficient markets in which these securities can be bought and sold. A well-organized market provides speedy transactions and low transaction costs, along with a high degree of liquidity and effective regulation. Like a farmers’ market, a securities market provides a forum in which buyers and sellers meet. But there are important differences. In the securities markets, buyers and sellers do not meet face to face. Instead, intermediaries, such as investment advisors (IAs) or bond dealers, act on their clients’ behalf. Unlike most markets, a securities market may not manifest itself in a physical location. This is possible because securities are intangible – at best, pieces of paper, and often not even that. Of course, some securities markets do have a physical component. Other securities markets, such as the bond market, exist in “cyberspace” as a computer- and telephone-based network of dealers who may never see their counterparts’ faces. In Canada, all exchanges are electronic. The capital market or securities market is made up of many individual markets. For example, there are stock markets, bond markets and money markets. In addition, securities are sold on primary and secondary markets. The primary market is the market where a security is sold when it is first issued and sold to investors. For example, a company will use an initial public offering (IPO) to sell common shares to the public for the very first time. It is on this market that the user of capital, such as a business or government, receives capital from investors. Subsequent trading takes place in the secondary market and it is here where individual investors trade among themselves. The secondary market is extremely important. It enables investors who originally bought the investment products to sell them and obtain cash. Without secondary market liquidity – the ability to sell the securities with ease at a reasonable price – investors would not buy securities in the primary market.
Auction Markets in Canada Markets can also be divided into auction and dealer markets. In an auction market, clients’ bids and offers for a stock are channelled to a single central market and compete against each other. The bid is the highest price a buyer is willing to pay for the security being quoted, while the offer (or ask) is the lowest price a seller will accept. Brokerage firms usually act as agents for their clients. The prices of all transactions on an auction market are publicly visible. Canada’s stock exchanges are auction markets.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
A stock exchange is a marketplace where buyers and sellers of securities meet to trade with each other and where prices are established according to the laws of supply and demand. On Canadian exchanges, trading is carried on in common and preferred shares, rights and warrants, listed options and futures contracts, instalment receipts, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), income trusts, and a few convertible debentures. On some U.S. and European exchanges, bonds and debentures are traded along with equities. Canada has five exchanges: the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) and the TSX Venture Exchange, the Montréal Exchange (MX also known as the Bourse de Montréal), owned by the TMX Group Inc., the Canadian National Stock Exchange (CNSX), formerly the Canadian Trading and Quotation System (CNQ), and the ICE Futures Canada. Each exchange is responsible for the trading of certain products. • • • • •
The TSX lists senior equities, some debt instruments that are convertible into a listed equity, income trusts and ETFs. The TSX Venture Exchange trades junior securities and a few debenture issues. CNSX provides an alternative equities market to the TSX Venture Exchange for emerging companies. The Montréal Exchange trades all financial and equity futures and options. The ICE Futures Canada trades agricultural futures and options.
Liquidity is fundamental to the operation of an exchange. A liquid market is characterized by: • • •
Frequent sales Narrow price spread between bid and offering prices Small price fluctuations from sale to sale
During trading hours, Canada’s exchanges receive thousands of buy and sell orders from all parts of the country and abroad. Traditionally, the trading floors of the exchanges have been the focal points for trading in equities. More recently, there has been a trend to use computerized systems for trading.
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ONE • THE CAPITAL MARKET
Table 1.1 provides the share volume and dollar value of listed trading on Canada’s stock exchanges. TABLE 1.1
TOTAL SHARE VOLUME AND DOLLAR VALUE OF TRANSACTIONS FOR ALL STOCK EXCHANGES IN CANADA
Comparative Share Volumes (millions) Exchange
2007
%
2006
%
Toronto
96,108.0
64.2
82,049.9
68.4
TSX Venture
53,147.4
35.5
37,693.2
31. 4
381.7
0.3
251.3
0.2
149,648.0
100.00
119,994.4
100.00
CNSX Total Shares
Comparative Dollar Values of Transactions (millions) Exchange Toronto TSX Venture CNSX Total Value
2007
%
2006
%
1,697,185.2
97.41
1,415,500.6
97.70
44,970.5
2.58
33,286.8
2.29
226.8
0.01
70.0
0.01
1,742,382.5
100.00
1,448,857.4
100.00
Source: Bloomberg
EXCHANGE MEMBERSHIPS
When a stock exchange is founded, memberships are sold to different individuals. Historically, in order to trade on an exchange, a firm had to own a “seat.” The term seat originated with the old practice of brokers trading securities while seated around a table. Today, the term means a right of entrance to a stock exchange. The seat itself is a valid and valuable asset that may be sold or leased subject to conditions in the exchange’s by-laws. There are currently two types of exchange ownership. One is the original not-for-profit membership, in which the firm must own a seat to be a member. The second type of exchange ownership is a for-profit private company, where the exchange is owned by shareholders. All Canadian exchanges are set up as for-profit companies. Firms who have access to the trading facilities are known as “Participating Organizations” or “Approved Participants,” and do not have to be shareholders. The Toronto Stock Exchange became a forprofit private company in 2000. The TMX Group became the first North American exchange to become a publicly listed company. Each exchange sets its own requirements for permitting access to trading facilities. Member firms may be publicly owned. There are requirements regarding the amount of capital necessary to carry on business, and key personnel (officers and directors and all others who deal with the public) must complete required courses of study.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
GOVERNING BODIES
The administration and policy setting of the exchanges are the responsibilities of each exchange’s Board of Directors. Each board is comprised of at least one permanent exchange official (e.g., the president) plus some experienced senior executives from the member firms who serve as Directors for stipulated terms of office. Included on each board are two to six highly qualified Public Governors appointed or elected from outside the brokerage community. Public Governors represent the interests of investors as a whole, as well as listed companies, and provide governing bodies with outside points of view and expertise. The provincial securities acts allow the exchanges to exercise considerable self-regulation. These exchanges define acceptable standards of behaviour for member firms and their directors, officers and employees. They also have established extensive rules for trading securities and any other approved instruments on the exchange. They set listing and reporting requirements for listed companies, and they assist in the screening of statements of material facts or exchange offering prospectuses which are frequently accepted by securities commissions in lieu of standard prospectuses for some types of distributions on the exchanges. HOW EXCHANGES ARE FINANCED
Sources of income used to meet operating and development costs include: • • • • •
transaction fees paid for each order executed on the exchange; fees paid by corporations when their securities are originally listed; sustaining fees paid annually by corporations to keep listings in good standing; fees paid by corporations subsequent to listing with respect to any changes in capital structure; and the sale of historical trading and market information.
Stock Exchanges Around the World There are over 80 stock exchanges in over 60 nations. Usually a good gauge of a country’s economy is the size and organization of its exchanges. North America has 10 exchanges; Europe has in excess of 35; Central and South America, around 10; and the balance are in Africa, Asia and Australia. The World Federation of Exchanges reports that the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) was the largest stock exchange in the world in 2007 in terms of domestic market capitalization – a reflection of the comprehensive value of the stock exchange at that time. The TSX ranked eighth, down slightly from 2006.
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ONE • THE CAPITAL MARKET
Table 1.2 shows the ten largest stock markets in the world by domestic market capitalization and by total value of shares traded. TABLE 1.2
THE TEN LARGEST STOCK MARKETS IN THE WORLD - 2007
(In Millions of U.S. Dollars) Domestic Market Capitalization
Total Value of Trading
15,650,832
29,909,933
2. Tokyo SE Group
4,330,921
6,467,147
3. Euronext
4,222,679
5,639,760
4. NASDAQ
4,013,650
15,320,133
5. London SE
3,851,705
10,333,685
6. Shanghai SE
3,694,348
4,069,485
7. Hong Kong Exchanges
2,654,416
2,136,910
8. TSX Group
2,186,550
1,634,869
9. Deutsche Borse
2,105,198
4,324,928
10. Bombay SE
1,891,101
343,775
Exchange 1. NYSE Group
Source: World Federation of Exchanges, www.world-exchanges.org.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
EXHIBIT 1.1
CHANGES TO THE CANADIAN STOCK EXCHANGES
Securities trading has existed in Canada since 1832. Over the years there have been many changes. The late 1990s saw radical changes to securities trading in Canada. In March 1999, Canada’s four major stock exchanges announced that they had reached an agreement to restructure along lines of market specialization. The restructuring was intended to ensure a strong and globally competitive market system, and this resulted in three specialized exchanges: • The Toronto Stock Exchange became Canada’s senior equities market and gave up its participation in derivatives trading and the junior equity market. • The Alberta Stock Exchange, the Winnipeg Stock Exchange and the Vancouver Stock Exchange merged to create a single, national junior equities market, called the Canadian Venture Exchange (CDNX). This new market also consolidated the operations of the Canadian Dealing Network (CDN) as of October 2000. • The Montréal Exchange became the exclusive exchange for financial futures and options in Canada. Responsibility for all equities once traded on Montréal transferred to the TSX or the TSX Venture Exchange. During the year 2000, the Toronto Stock Exchange also joined the Global Equity Market Alliance with seven other stock exchanges to discuss the creation of a round-the-clock, global marketplace. The Canadian Venture Exchange became a wholly owned subsidiary of the Toronto Stock Exchange in 2001. In April 2002, the Toronto Stock Exchange rebranded its abbreviated name from the TSE to TSX, while CDNX was renamed the TSX Venture Exchange. These changes were part of a rebranding initiative as the TSX and its subsidiaries prepared to go public in the fall of 2002. Under the rebranding program, the TSX, TSX Venture Exchange and TSX Markets Inc. (the arm of the TSX that sell market information and trading services) are collectively known as the TSX Group of companies. In November 2002, the TSX (now the TMX Group) Group Inc. went public, becoming the first listed stock exchange in North America. In 2004, the Canadian Trading and Quotation System gained recognition as a stock exchange by the Ontario Securities Commission. The intent of CNSX is to provide an alternative market to the TSX Venture Exchange for emerging companies. CNSX is based on a combination of auction and dealer markets and liquidity is enhanced on a securityby-security basis via market makers. Dealers accessing this marketplace are required to be members of the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization (IIROC) of Canada (formerly the Investment Dealers Association and Market Regulation Services Inc.) and must comply with CNSX’s trading and sales practice rules. Trading on CNSX is also regulated by IIROC in the same way as the other Canadian exchanges and must therefore follow the Universal Market Integrity Rules (UMIR). CNSX also has its own trading rules and policies in addition to UMIR. The exchange also has minimum quotation requirements for public float and business activity that are less stringent than those of the TSX Venture Exchange. In 2008, the TSX and the Montréal Exchange merged to form the TMX Group.
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Dealer Markets Dealer markets are the second major type of market on which securities trade. They consist of a network of dealers who trade with each other, usually over the telephone or over a computer network. Unlike auction markets, where the individual buyer’s orders are entered, a dealer market is a negotiated market where only the dealers’ bid and ask quotations are entered by those dealers acting as market makers in a particular security. Almost all bonds and debentures are sold through dealer markets. These dealer markets are less visible than the auction markets for equities, so many people are surprised to learn that the volume of trading on the dealer market for debt securities is 14 times larger than the equity market. Dealer markets are also referred to as over-the-counter (OTC) or as unlisted markets - securities on these markets are not listed on an organized exchange as they are on auction markets. THE UNLISTED EQUITY MARKET
The volume of unlisted equity business is much smaller than the volume of stock exchange transactions. The exact size of Canadian OTC dealings cannot be measured because complete statistics are not available. Many junior issues trade OTC, but so too do the shares of a few conservative industrial companies whose boards of directors have for one reason or another decided not to seek stock exchange listing for one or more issues of their equities. The unlisted market does not set listing requirements for the stocks traded on its system (hence the term “unlisted market”) nor does it attempt to regulate the companies. Many of the stocks sold on the unlisted market are more speculative, and in most cases offer lower liquidity, than listed securities. TRADING IN THE UNLISTED MARKET
Over-the-counter trading in equities is conducted in a similar manner to bond trading. One veteran described the OTC market as a “market without a market place.” In the OTC market, individual investors’ orders are not entered into the market or displayed on the computer system. Instead, dealers, who are acting as market makers, enter their bid and ask quotations. These market makers hold an inventory of the securities in which they have agreed to “make a market.” They sell from this inventory to buyers and add to the inventory when they acquire securities from sellers. The market makers post their individual bid (the highest price the maker will pay) and ask (the lowest price the maker will accept) quotations. The willingness of the market makers to quote bid and ask prices provides liquidity to the system (although the market makers do have the right to refuse to trade at these prices). When an investor wishes to buy or sell an unlisted security, the broker consults the bid/ask quotations of the various market makers to identify the best price, and then contacts the market maker to complete the transaction. The broker charges a commission for this service. OVER-THE-COUNTER DERIVATIVES MARKET
Derivatives also trade in dealer or OTC markets. The OTC derivative market is dominated by financial institutions, such as banks and brokerage houses, who trade with other corporate clients and other financial institutions. This market has no trading floor and no regular trading hours. Traders do not meet in person to negotiate transactions and the market stays open 24 hours a day. One of the attractive features of OTC derivative products is that they can be custom designed by the buyer and seller. As a result, these products tend to be somewhat more complex, as special features are added to the basic properties of options and forwards.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
REPORTING TRADES IN THE UNLISTED MARKET
In most of Canada, there is no requirement for firms to report unlisted trades. Ontario is the exception. The Ontario Securities Commission (OSC) requires that trades of unlisted securities be reported through the Canadian Unlisted Board Inc. (CUB). CUB was launched as an automated system after the reorganization of the equity markets in Canada. It offers an Internet web-based system for dealers to report completed trades in unlisted and unquoted equity securities in Ontario, as required under the Ontario Securities Act. QUOTATION AND TRADE REPORTING SYSTEMS
Quotation and trade reporting systems (QTRS) are recognized stock markets that operate in a similar manner to exchanges and provide facilities to users to post quotations and report trades. Traditionally, a QTRS is a mechanism for dealers to post quotations indicating the prices at which they are willing to buy and sell stock. The market itself does not match buy and sell orders; they are negotiated and trades are reported after the fact. This is the traditional model for NASDAQ. ALTERNATIVE TRADING SYSTEMS
Alternative trading systems (ATSs) are privately owned computerized networks that match orders for securities outside of recognized exchange facilities. Also referred to as Proprietary Electronic Trading Systems (PETS), they can be owned by individual brokerage firms or by groups of brokerage firms. Profits are made via revenues from the trading system itself and go to the owner(s) of the system. These systems bypass the exchanges because a brokerage firm operating an ATS can match orders directly from its own inventory, or act as an agent in bringing buyers and sellers together. Since there is one less intermediary, more of the commission charged to the client is kept by the dealer. Most client users of these systems are institutional investors, who can reduce transaction costs considerably. Some non-brokerage-owned ATSs even allow buyers and sellers to contact each other directly and negotiate a price. In Canada, the development of an ATS network has been far slower than it has been in the United States. Only since 2001 has the regulatory framework existed for the creation of an ATS market (in contrast, ATSs have been operating in the United States since 1969). ATSs now in operation in Canada include CNSX’s Pure Trading, Perimeter Markets’ Blockbook, and Instinet’s Chi-X. A fourth ATS, called Project Alpha, is scheduled to begin operation in 2008. Project Alpha is a co-operative effort of Canada’s six largest banks and a well-established investment dealer. Alternative trading systems have the potential, however, to threaten market stability due to lessened market transparency, cross-border trading issues and technological glitches such as insufficient system capacity. In Canada, ATSs are members of the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization (IIROC). The trading activity of ATS is also regulated by IIROC. IIROC was established through the consolidation of the Investment Dealers Association of Canada (IIROC) and Market Regulation Services Inc. (RS) that became effective June 1, 2008 – a topic we discuss in more detail in Chapter 3.
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ONE • THE CAPITAL MARKET
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ELECTRONIC TRADING SYSTEMS
With the exception of a few debentures listed on the TSX and TSX Venture Exchanges, all bond and money market securities trade OTC. In the past few years, three electronic trading systems have been launched in Canada. CanDeal, a member of IIROC, is a joint venture between Canada’s six largest investment dealers, and is operated by the TSX. It is recognized as both an ATS and an investment dealer. It offers institutional investors access to federal bond bid and offer, prices and yields from its six bankowned dealers, which represent more than 80% of the transactions in the bond market. CanDeal intends to expand to provincial bonds, corporate debt and commercial paper. CBID, also a member of IIROC and an ATS, operates two distinct marketplaces: retail and institutional. The retail marketplace, Canada’s first electronic fixed-income multi-dealer retail marketplace, was launched in July 2001 and is accessible by registered dealers on behalf of retail clients. The institutional marketplace, launched in July 2002, is accessible by registered dealers, institutional investors, governments and pension funds. CBID currently has over 2,500 Canadian debt instruments trading.. CanPX is a joint venture of Investment Industry Association of Canada (IIAC)/IIROC member firms. The CanPX system provides investors with real-time bid and offer prices and hourly trade data. Issues include Government of Canada bonds and treasury bills, provincial bonds and some corporate bonds..
Private Equity Private equity is the financing of firms unwilling or unable to find capital using public means – for example, via the stock or bond markets. The term “private equity” is a bit of a misnomer as this asset class really encompasses debt and equity investment. Long term returns on private equity typically exceed most other asset classes. But in exchange for these returns, private equity also exposes investors to far higher risks. Private equity plays a specific role in financial markets, in Canada and in other markets worldwide. It complements publicly traded equity by allowing businesses to obtain financing when issuing equity in the public markets may prove difficult or impossible. A good example is venture capital. Venture capital finances businesses at a time when they produce little or no cash flows, invest most or all revenue in more or less unproven technologies or production processes, and have little or no assets to offer as collateral. In such situations, firms must typically turn to investors that are ready to take substantially more risk against significantly higher profit prospects if the venture is successful. There are several means by which private equity investors finance firms. •
Leveraged Buyout – This is the acquisition of companies financed with equity and debt. Buyouts are one of the most commonly used forms of private equity.
•
Growth Capital – The financing of expanding firms for their acquisitions or high growth rates.
•
Turnaround – Investments in underperforming or out of favour industries that are in either financial need or operating restructuring.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
•
Early Stage Venture Capital – Investments in firms that are in the infancy stages of developing products or services in high growth industries such as health care or technology. These firms usually have a limited number of customers.
•
Late stage Venture Capital – The financing of firms which are more established but still not profitable enough to be self-sufficient. Revenue growth is still very high.
•
Distressed debt – This is the purchase of debt securities of private or public companies that are trading below par due to financial troubles at the firm.
THE HISTORY OF PRIVATE EQUITY
Private deals have always existed by definition (e.g., when one individual or company sells assets directly to another individual or company). However, one source identifies 1901 as the first time a private deal in the modern sense of the word was struck. In that year, J.P. Morgan acquired Carnegie Steel Company from Andrew Carnegie and Henry Phipps for the then tidy sum of $480 million. Other sources identify an organized private equity market emerging in 1946 to stopgap the inadequacy of financing for new businesses. The American Research and Development Corporation (ARD) was founded to create a private organization to attract institutional investors. It is only in 1978, when the so-called ‘prudent man’ rule (tending to limit investments in smaller companies and riskier instruments) was amended that venture capital began to grow rapidly. Additional support to venture capital was brought by a 1980 ‘safe harbour’ ruling granting limited partnership managers access to performance-based compensation. SIZE OF THE PRIVATE EQUITY MARKET
The growth of private equity has been remarkable over the last 25 years. In 2007 there were 133 buyout transactions in Canada worth $64.1 billion (Source: Bloomberg). This included the proposed buyout of BCE by Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan, Providence Equity Partners, Madison Dearborn Partners and Merrill Lynch Global Private Equity. Without the proposed BCE deal, $16.9 billion in buyouts were recorded year-to-date at the end of the 2007 third quarter alone, with $3.3 billion and 39 transactions in the third quarter itself, compared to $12.2 billion (and 107 buyouts) for all of 2006. Given that investment minimums tend to be relatively high compared to traditional investing in the retail market, these investments cater mostly to individuals and organizations with sizeable portfolios and resources. For this reason, private equity investors are typically: • • • • •
Public pension plans Private pension plans Endowments Foundations Wealthy individuals and family offices
Given the features of private equity and the differences it shows with other assets typically held in investor portfolios, its role is one of return enhancement and to a certain extent, of portfolio diversification. Return enhancement is the reward for accepting much lower liquidity typical of private equity, particularly when compared to investing in the common shares of a highly liquid stock like Royal Bank or Encana. Recent annual reports of the largest pension fund managers, © CSI GLOBAL EDUCATION INC. (2010)
ONE • THE CAPITAL MARKET
1•21
such as the Caisse de Dépôt et placement du Québec, OMERS and the Ontario Teachers Pension Plan, have shown private equity returns well ahead of traditional portfolio asset classes.
Trends in Financial Markets There have been many changes to global capital markets over the last several years: •
Physical marketplaces (the trading floors) are becoming obsolete, while virtual marketplaces or electronic trading systems are reducing the need for human participants in the market mechanism.
•
Exchanges are merging to meet the challenge of globalization. Ten years ago, there were over 200 exchanges in the world; today there are fewer than 100.
•
In addition to mergers, exchanges are forming alliances, partnerships and electronic links with exchanges in other countries to foster global trading.
•
To prepare themselves for accelerating competition, most exchanges have demutualized, moving from not-for-profit organizations run by their members to for-profit corporations.
Most of these changes were driven by increased global trading, aggressive competition, the ease of electronic communication, improved computer technology and the increased mobility of capital. The speed of innovative computer technology and the globalization and integration of financial marketplaces are likely to increase. Some of the future trends may include: •
Exchanges taking the next step from becoming a for-profit corporation to becoming publicly traded companies.
•
Consideration of “free trade” between stock exchanges to improve the flow of capital across borders. This proposal would allow institutional investors and brokerage firms to trade directly on each other’s stock markets.
•
Despite the number of exchange mergers in recent years, new exchanges are emerging to focus on niche markets. In the summer of 2003, the TMX Group launched a second board of the TSX Venture Exchange called NEX, which provides a trading forum for listed companies that have fallen below TSX Venture’s listing standards.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
SUMMARY After reading this chapter, you should be able to: 1.
2.
3.
Define investment capital and describe its role in the economy. •
Investment capital is available and investable wealth (e.g., real estate, stocks, bonds and money) that is used to enhance the economic growth prospects of an economy.
•
In direct investment, an individual or company invests directly in an item (e.g., house, new plant or new road); indirect investment occurs when an individual buys a security and the issuer invests the proceeds.
•
Capital has three characteristics: it is mobile, it is sensitive, and it is in short supply.
Describe how individuals, businesses, governments and foreign agencies supply and use capital in the economy. •
Individuals generate investment capital through savings and use capital to finance major purchases or for consumption.
•
Retail investors are individuals who buy and sell securities for their personal accounts; institutional investors are companies and other organizations.
•
Businesses use capital to finance day-to-day operations, to renew and maintain plant and equipment, and to expand and diversify activities.
•
Governments use capital when expenditures exceed revenue and to finance large projects.
•
Foreign investors invest in Canada to access returns on investment not perceived to be available in other countries. Foreign investors will use Canadian capital if they can borrow at a more advantageous rate in Canada than elsewhere.
Differentiate between the types of financial instruments used in capital transactions. •
Debt (bonds or debentures): the issuer promises to repay a loan at maturity, and in the interim makes payments of interest or interest and principal at predetermined times. The term to maturity of a debt instrument can be either short (less than five years) or long (more than ten years).
•
Equity (stocks): the investor buys a share that represents a stake in the company.
•
Investment funds (mutual funds, segregated funds): a company or trust that manages investments for its clients.
•
Derivatives (options, futures, rights): products derived from an underlying instrument such as a stock, financial instrument, commodity or index.
•
Other investment products (income trusts, exchange-traded funds): investments that are relatively new and do not fit into any of the standard categories.
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ONE • THE CAPITAL MARKET
4.
5.
Now that you’ve completed this chapter and the on-line activities, complete this post-test.
1•23
Explain the role of financial markets in the Canadian financial services industry, distinguish among the types of financial markets, and describe how auction markets and dealer markets work. •
The financial markets facilitate the transfer of capital between investors and users through the exchange of securities.
•
The exchanges do not deal in physical movement of securities; they are simply the venue for agreeing to transfer ownership.
•
The primary market is the initial sale of securities to an investor.
•
The secondary market is the transfer of already issued securities among investors.
•
Dealer markets are network of dealers that trade with each other directly on a negotiated market with market makers. Most bonds and debentures trade on these markets.
•
In an auction market, clients’ bids and offers for a stock are channelled to a single central market (stock exchanges) and compete against each other.
Explain what private equity is, how it has grown and the different ways of investing in this market. •
Private equity is the financing of firms unwilling or unable to find capital using public means – for example, via the stock or bond markets.
•
It complements publicly traded equity by allowing businesses to obtain financing when issuing equity in the public markets may prove difficult or impossible.
•
The growth of private equity has been remarkable over the last 25 years.
•
Public and private pension plans, endowments, foundations, and wealthy individuals are the main investors in the private equity market.
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Chapter
2
The Canadian Securities Industry
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2 The Canadian Securities Industry
CHAPTER OUTLINE Overview of the Canadian Securities Industry The Role of Financial Intermediaries • Types of Firms • Organization within Firms • How Securities Firms are Financed • Dealer, Principal and Agency Functions • The Clearing System • Trends in the Securities Industry Banks as Financial Intermediaries • Schedule I Chartered Banks • Schedule II and Schedule III Banks • Trends in the Role of Banks Trust Companies, Credit Unions and Life Insurance Companies • Trust and Loan Companies • Credit Unions and Caisses Populaires • Insurance Companies • Trends in Insurance
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Investment Funds, Savings Banks, Pension Plans, Sales Finance and Consumer Loan Companies • Investment Funds • Savings Banks • Pension Plans • Sales Finance and Consumer Loan Companies Summary
LEARNING OBJECTIVES By the end of this chapter, you should be able to: 1. Summarize the state of the Canadian securities industry today. 2. Distinguish among the three categories of securities firms, explain how they are organized, and compare and contrast dealer, principal and agency transactions. 3. Describe the roles of the chartered banks in the capital market. 4. Describe the roles of trust companies, credit unions and insurance companies in the capital market. 5.
Describe the roles of investment, savings, loan companies and pension plans in the capital market.
PARTICIPANTS IN THE SECURITIES INDUSTRY What do the following individuals have in common? A couple needs to borrow money to finance the purchase of a home. An entrepreneur needs to raise funds to help with financing the development of a new product. An investor would like to set up a regular savings program to save for her children’s education. The common strand is that all of these individuals require some form of intermediary to help meet their goals. Simply described, savers (lenders) give funds to a financial intermediary (such as a bank) that in turn gives those funds to spenders (borrowers) in the form of loans or mortgages, among other products. Alternatively, the intermediary can play a direct role in bringing a new issue of securities to financial markets.
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More specifically for our purposes, a typical example occurs when a company needs money to operate or expand its business. One way to generate the necessary capital is by issuing securities, such as stocks and bonds. A financial intermediary, or investment dealer, can help the company issue the securities and sell them to investors. By buying the securities, the investors temporarily transfer their money to the company and, in return, receive securities representing claims on the company’s real assets. If the firm does well, it earns a profit. Its securities may rise in value, yielding a profit for the investor when the security is sold in the marketplace. But investors are not the only ones to profit. Part of the money In the on-line earned by the company may be reinvested in the firm, spurring further economic development. Learning Guide for this module, complete the Getting Started activity.
In the previous chapter, we learned about the various financial markets and instruments that have evolved to meet the expanding needs of financial consumers. The focus here is the role played by the financial intermediaries, the last piece of the capital transfer puzzle. Their role is important because they have established efficient and reliable methods of channelling funds between lenders and borrowers.
KEY TERMS
2•4
Agent
Principal
Closed-end funds
Segregated funds
Demutualization
Self-Regulatory Organizations (SROs)
Primary distribution
Underwriting
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TWO • THE CANADIAN SECURITIES INDUSTRY
2•5
OVERVIEW OF THE CANADIAN SECURITIES INDUSTRY The Canadian securities industry is a regulated industry. Provinces have the power to create and to enforce their own laws and regulations through securities commissions (also called securities administrators in some provinces). Securities commissions delegate some of their powers to self-regulatory organizations (SROs), which establish and enforce industry regulations to protect investors and to maintain fair, equitable, and ethical practices. In that capacity, SROs are responsible for setting rules governing many aspects of investment dealers’ operations, including sales, finance, and trading. The major participants in the industry and their relationships are illustrated in Chart 2.1. The chart highlights the workings of the industry by showing the major participants and their relationships with one another. Investors and users of capital trade financial instruments through the various financial markets (stock exchanges, money markets, etc.). Brokers and investment dealers act as intermediaries by matching investors with the users of capital and each side of a transaction will have their own broker or dealer who match the trades through the markets. Trades and other transactions are settled through organizations like CDS Clearing and Depository Services Inc. and banks. The SROs monitor the markets to ensure fairness and transparency, and they set and enforce rules that govern market activity. Organizations like the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF) provide insurance against insolvency while provincial regulators oversee the markets and the SROs. Organizations like CSI provide education for industry participants.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
CHART 2.1
SECURITIES INDUSTRY FLOWCHART
Brokers k & Investment Dealers
Investors
Self-Regulatory Organizations Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada
Markets k
Users of Capital
Clearing & Settlement
Mutual Funds Dealers Association Bourse de Montréal The Toronto Stock Exchange TSX Ventur V e Exchange
Canadian Investor Protection r Fund
CSI Global Education Inc. (Industry Educator)
Provincial o Regulator (Securities Commission)
(Industry Insurance Fund)
Ancillary Services
Market k Flow
Table 2.1 shows indicators for the securities industry over the three-year period 2005 to 2007. The table shows that there were 203 firms in the securities industry that were members of the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC). Total employment improved over the three-year period, and continues to surpass levels above those recorded in 2000, which represented a peak year in employment levels for the industry. TABLE 2.1
SECURITIES INDUSTRY INDICATORS
Characteristic Number of Employees Number of Firms
2007
2006
2005
42,329
41,985
39,174
203
198
201
Source: Investment Industry Association of Canada website, March 2008.
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TWO • THE CANADIAN SECURITIES INDUSTRY
Still, the industry is small compared to other segments of the financial services sector or even to some companies operating within competing segments. For instance, Canada’s largest bank, Royal Bank of Canada, employed over 70,000 people in 2007 and had total assets of $548 billion. The entire Canadian securities industry is likewise eclipsed in size by several individual U.S. and Japanese securities houses. In spite of its comparatively small size, the industry has provided Canada with a capital market that is one of the most sophisticated and efficient in the world. These qualities are measured in terms of the variety and size of new issues brought to the market and the depth and liquidity of secondary market trading. Table 2.2 shows that new issues brought to the Canadian market have increased over the last three years; while Table 2.3 illustrates that money market, bond and listed stock secondary trading reached $17,477 billion in 2007. TABLE 2.2
SUMMARY OF NEW FINANCING THROUGH CANADIAN SECURITIES MARKETS (EXCLUDING TREASURY BILLS, SHORT-TERM PAPER AND CANADA SAVINGS BONDS)
($ Millions)
2007
2006
2005
Federal
64,761
63,181
58,106
Provincial
37,111
36,875
29,865
Municipal
4,058
4,744
4,465
Total Government
105,930
104,800
92,436
Common Share IPOs
5,734
4,301
5,234
Preferred Shares
5,157
4,533
Non IPOs
34,307
21,782
16,974
Total Equity
45,198
30,616
27,359
10,695
18,016
23,316
599
829
2,198
2,752
14,178
9,239
80,379
45,118
26,854
3,497
2,535
2,079
97,922
80,676
63,686
249,050
216,092
183,677
Government
Debt Securities Conventional Convertible Asset-Backed Medium-Term Notes Mortgage-Backed Total Debt Grand Total
Source: Investment Industry Association of Canada website, March 2008.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
Today the industry is highly competitive and becoming increasingly so. It calls for a high degree of specialized knowledge about securities issuers, investors and constantly changing securities markets. An entrepreneurial spirit of innovation and calculated risk-taking are among its hallmarks. Change and volatility are frequently the norm. TABLE 2.3
SECONDARY MARKET TRADING IN CANADA
($ Billions)
2007
2006
2005
Money Market
8,475
8,225
7,538
Bond Market
7,260
7,231
6,371
15,735
15,456
13,909
1,742
1,449
1,090
17,477
16,905
14,999
Debt Securities
Total Debt Equities Stock Market Total Source: Investment Industry Association of Canada.
THE ROLE OF FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES Intermediaries are a key component of the financial system. The term “intermediary” is used to describe any organization that facilitates the trading or movement of the financial instruments that transfer capital between suppliers and users. We will discuss intermediaries such as banks and trust companies, which concentrate on gathering funds from suppliers in the form of saving deposits or GICs and transferring them to users in the form of mortgages, car loans and other lending instruments. Other intermediaries, such as insurance companies and pension funds, collect funds and then invest them in bonds, equities, real estate, etc., to meet their customers’ needs for financial security. Investment dealers serve a number of functions, sometimes acting on their clients’ behalf as agents in the transfer of instruments between different investors, at other times acting as principals. Investment dealers sometimes are known by other names, such as brokerage firms or securities houses. Investment dealers play a significant role in the securities industry’s two main functions. •
•
First, investment dealers help to transfer capital from savers to users through the underwriting and distribution of new securities. This takes place in the primary market in the form of a primary distribution. Second, investment dealers maintain secondary markets in which previously issued or outstanding securities can be traded.
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TWO • THE CANADIAN SECURITIES INDUSTRY
Investors’ confidence in Canadian financial institutions is high. It is based upon a long record of integrity and financial soundness reinforced by a legislative framework that provides close supervision of their basic activities. It is not surprising that deposit-taking and savings institutions have experienced strong growth, as Table 2.4 illustrates. In today’s financial environment, most banks own a number of other corporations, such as investment dealers and trust companies, as well as operating in the insurance market through subsidiaries. These activities are becoming more and more integrated. An investor, for example, can walk into a bank today and receive advice on purchasing mutual funds and other securities. In the same visit, a mortgage can be arranged. A life insurance salesperson will often sell mutual funds and segregated funds. TABLE 2.4
ASSET GROWTH OF SELECTED CANADIAN FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
($ Millions) Financial Intermediaries
Assets
% Growth
2007
2003
Since 2003
2,980,875
1,957,549
52.28
18,007
11,277
59.98
Life Insurance Companies including Segregated Funds
423,606
336,340
25.95
Credit Unions and Caisse Populaires
193,646
155,139
24.82
Investment Funds
681,261
453,839
50.11
Sales Finance and Consumer Loan Companies
146,331
109,894
33.16
4,443,726
3,024,038
46.95
Chartered Banks Trust Companies (Unaffiliated)
Totals
*Excludes bank trust and mortgage subsidiaries. Source: Bank of Canada website, Banking and Financial Statistics, March 2008.
Table 2.4 also highlights growth rates between different types of financial institutions. Assets of the chartered banks have increased the most in dollar terms. While trust companies recorded the highest percentage growth during the period, it is interesting to note that their asset base is noticeably lower than it was in the early 1990s, falling from $89 billion in 1993 to only $18 billion in total assets in 2007. This decline is primarily the result of the acquisition of trust companies by the chartered banks. Overall, the expansion of chartered bank assets has been facilitated by several factors. These include: • • • •
much greater international activity changes in the Bank Act permitting the banks to compete vigorously in new sectors of the financial services industry the creation of more banks, notably the foreign-owned Schedule II and Schedule III banks the purchase of many major trust companies by banks
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
Types of Firms Three categories of firms make up the Canadian securities industry: integrated firms, institutional firms and retail firms. Integrated firms offer products and services that cover all aspects of the industry, including full participation in both the institutional and the retail markets. The seven largest of these firms, including the securities dealer affiliates of the major domestic banks and one major U.S. dealer, generate about 70% of total industry revenues. Most underwrite all types of federal, provincial, municipal and corporate debt and corporate equity issues, actively trade in secondary markets including the money market, trade on all Canadian and some foreign stock exchanges, and provide many ancillary services to securities issuers and large and small investors. Such services include economic, industry, corporate and securities research and advice, portfolio evaluation and management, merger and acquisition advice, tax counselling, loans to investors with margin accounts and safekeeping of clients’ securities. Many smaller securities dealers or “investment boutiques” specialize in such areas as stock trading, bond trading, research on particular industries, trading only with institutional clients, unlisted stock trading, arbitrage, portfolio management, underwriting of junior mines, oils and industrials, mutual funds distribution, and tax-shelter sales. Some 50 foreign and domestic institutional firms serve institutional clients exclusively. Foreign firms account for about one-third of total institutional firms and include affiliates of many of the major U.S. and European securities dealers. Retail firms account for the remainder of the industry. Retail firms include full-service firms and discount brokers. Full-service retail firms offer a wide variety of products and services for the retail investor. Discount brokers execute trades for clients at reduced rates but do not provide advice. Discount brokers are more popular with those investors who are willing to research individual companies themselves in exchange for lower commission rates.
Organization within Firms The operational structure of securities firms varies widely in the industry, depending on market share, number and location of employees and branch offices, business mix and degree of specialization. Some of the bank-owned firms have integrated the functions of the banking side of their business with the securities side. A typical configuration divides the company into wealth management (which focuses on the retail client and small businesses, both from a banking perspective and a securities perspective) and global capital markets (which concentrates on the trading, investment banking and institutional sales). MANAGEMENT
A key element in the success of any securities firm is the depth and quality of senior personnel. A firm’s success will depend on how well these key people are able to respond to change, seize new business opportunities, penetrate existing markets, maximize the use of available capital and create a responsive and enthusiastic team effort among all employees. Senior officers usually include a chairman, a president, an executive vice-president, vicepresidents, some of whom are also directors, and other directors, including, in a few firms, directors from outside the securities industry. Most senior officers work at head office, but some may be in charge of regional branch offices in Canada or abroad.
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Regardless of a firm’s size, decision and policy making usually rest with the chairman, president, executive vice-president and senior vice-presidents who comprise the Executive Committee. While the organization structure is flexible, a larger, integrated firm might be organized into the following departments. SALES DEPARTMENT
Although trading is the core function of investment dealers, they perform many other services. The success of a securities firm rests largely on profits generated by its sales department, which is usually the largest and most geographically dispersed unit in a firm. Typically, the sales department is divided into institutional and retail divisions. Institutional salespeople deal mainly with traders at major financial institutions and larger nonfinancial companies. Working with their firm’s underwriting department, they help sell new securities issues to institutional accounts. In co-operation with the firm’s trading department, they help generate day-to-day trading in outstanding securities with such accounts. They are normally located at head and major branch offices and are in constant telephone communication with major accounts throughout the country and abroad. The retail sales force serves individual investors and smaller business accounts and usually comprises the largest single group of a firm’s employees. The activities of retail Investment Advisors (IAs) are extremely diverse, reflecting the spectrum of investor types and needs. To sell securities to the public, an IA must be registered with the provincial securities commission, be of legal age, have passed the CSC and the Conduct and Practices Handbook exam, and participate in a 90-day training program. IAs must also complete the Wealth Management Essentials Course within 30 months of their registration. The duties of an investment advisor include developing a list of clients, meeting with them to determine their financial position and goals, providing them with investment information and advice (often based on the investment dealer’s in-house research), and processing their orders for securities. In performing these tasks, the investment advisor must follow the industry’s guidelines for ensuring that clients’ investment decisions are appropriate given their characteristics and objectives. UNDERWRITING/FINANCING DEPARTMENT
The underwriting/financing department works with individual companies or governments that are interested in raising capital or bringing new issues of securities to the marketplace. The underwriting department will negotiate with a company on the type of security, price, interest or dividend rate, special features and protective provisions that are needed to market a new issue successfully in an ever-changing market. The underwriting/financing process is described in Chapter 11.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
TRADING DEPARTMENT
Traders work in close co-operation with a firm’s underwriting and sales departments. The trading department is often divided into bond, stock and specialized product divisions: •
Bond: Typically traded in and out of a firm’s own inventory or from the inventories at other firms specializing in particular issues. Traders tend to specialize in government and corporate money market instruments, medium and long-term Government of Canada bonds, provincial bonds and guarantees, municipal debentures, and corporate bonds and debentures.
•
Stocks: Common and preferred shares trade on stock exchanges rather than from a firm’s own inventory. A separate division staffed by stock traders and phone and order clerks is maintained to link buy and sell orders flowing in from institutional and retail sales staff with traders and market makers on the exchanges.
•
Specialized instruments: Some firms employ mutual fund specialists and many also have trading specialists to handle exchange-traded options and commodity and financial futures contracts.
RESEARCH DEPARTMENT
The research department in a larger securities firm will often consist of an economist, a technical analyst and several research analysts, each of whom covers one or more industries (e.g., mining, retail, industry, oil and gas, etc.). Each analyst is responsible for studying conditions within his or her industry and the current operations and future prospects of many Canadian and some foreign companies in that industry, and for coordinating such data with economic and market trends. Research reports with specific investment recommendations are produced, often with extensive analytical coverage for institutional investors and shorter summaries for retail clients. Research facilities may be divided into retail and institutional sections to service each type of client better. The retail side is geared to handle questions about companies and their securities that IAs receive from their clients and to help IAs evaluate and make proposals for client portfolios. The institutional side may assist institutional salespersons and traders in making investment proposals to institutional accounts and help underwriting and corporate finance department personnel in special studies involving new issues, takeovers, mergers, etc. ADMINISTRATION DEPARTMENT
This key department enables all other departments to function smoothly. The more important administrative areas include: •
Operations: This section is primarily responsible for the recording and accounting of all trades made by the firm on its own behalf and for its clients.
•
Credit and compliance: The focus here is on clients’ accounts. Cash accounts must be checked to see that incoming payments or securities are received by regular delivery dates or, if overdue, are debited or restricted according to industry requirements and in-house policies and controls.
•
Financial: This area includes payroll, budgeting, financial reports and statements, and financial controls. Regulatory bodies require firms to maintain at all times adequate minimum levels of capital which vary according to the volume and type of business being done.
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How Securities Firms are Financed Like other businesses, securities firms are financed by capital originally subscribed by their owner shareholders, by year-to-year net earnings retained in the business and by loans. The industry is highly leveraged. Firms depend on borrowed money to a significant extent to finance their securities inventories, underwriting activity (including bought deals), trading commitments and client margin accounts. Commissions generated from agency transactions are the chief source of revenue for most investment houses, on average making up about 35% of the total. The past few years has seen a shift from commission-based accounts (where the IA charges on a per-transaction basis) to fee-based accounts (where the IA charges an annual fee, typically based on assets under management). Fee revenues from products such as wrap accounts, managed accounts and fee-based accounts are becoming more significant. Returns in the securities business tend to be high in bull markets, reflecting the risks and volatility inherent in the industry. However, with their heavy exposure to loss in trading and underwriting and their costly and extensive staff and communication networks, securities firms are especially vulnerable to: • • •
cyclical business swings; dramatic and unpredictable ebbs and surges in bond and stock trading volumes; and securities price and interest rate gyrations not only in Canada but also throughout the world.
Dealer, Principal and Agency Functions Like other intermediaries, one important role of investment dealers is to bring together those who have surplus capital to invest and governments and companies who need investment capital. This function is performed on the primary or new issue market, and these transactions are achieved through the underwriting and distribution to investors of new issues of securities. Investment dealers often function as principals in this role. When acting as a principal, the securities firm owns securities as part of its own inventory at some stage in its buying and selling transactions with investors. The difference between buying and selling prices is the dealer’s gross profit or loss. A second role of investment dealers is to facilitate active and liquid secondary markets for the transfer of existing or already outstanding securities from one owner to another. As described below, investment dealers may function as principals or as agents in this role. When acting as an agent, the broker acts for or on behalf of a buyer or a seller but does not itself own title to the securities at any time during the transactions. The broker’s profit is the agent’s commission charged for each transaction. UNDERWRITING/FINANCING SECURITIES
In the securities business, underwriting or financing has come to mean the purchase from a government body or a company of a new issue of securities on a given date at a specified price. The dealers act as principals, using their own capital to buy the issue in anticipation of being able to make a profit when later selling it to others. The dealers also accept a risk since market prices may fall during the time the securities remain in their inventory. The issuer normally incurs
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
no liability or responsibility in the sale of its own securities since payment is guaranteed by the underwriter regardless of its success in selling the securities to investors. Dealers underwrite both stock and bond issues, and the range of types available, special features and protective provisions is very broad. The selection of the specific kind of security to be underwritten and its price are determined only after extensive negotiations with the issuer. In the selection process, the dealer advises the issuer on current market conditions and the type of security most likely to be well received by investors. The dealer’s expertise in this area is gained through its activities as a securities trader in secondary markets. The underwriting process is covered more fully in Chapter 11. PRINCIPAL TRADING
Dealers also act as principals in secondary markets (i.e., after primary distribution has been completed) by maintaining an inventory of already issued, outstanding securities. Here the dealer buys securities in the open market, holds them in inventory for varying periods of time, and subsequently sells them. Generally, most secondary trading of non-equity securities is conducted with the securities firm acting as principal, though occasional agency trades take place. For new money market issues, for instance, a dealer may sell the securities as an agent or, alternatively, take them into inventory as principal for later resale. There is no central marketplace for most principal or dealer market activities. Instead, transactions are routinely conducted on the over-the-counter market (described earlier) by means of computer systems of inter-dealer brokers which link dealers and large institutions. By maintaining an inventory of outstanding securities, the dealer provides several useful services. Its knowledge of current conditions in secondary markets tempers the advice it gives about terms and features that should be built into a new issue in the primary market. Yields prevailing on outstanding bonds, for example, provide a benchmark when the yield on a new bond issue is determined in a primary distribution. The dealer may also complete a separate buy or a separate sell transaction from its own inventory. There is no need to wait for simultaneous, matching buy-sell orders from other investors to complete an order. The relative speed and ease with which purchases or sales may be made from inventory greatly adds to the liquidity of already issued securities (i.e., the size of an order that can be quickly absorbed without undue price fluctuation). This liquidity also enhances the primary market since it helps assure buyers of new securities that they will be able to sell their holdings, if needed, at reasonable prevailing prices. Stock exchange trades may involve the securities house only as agent, but in many cases the involvement is as principal. Trades done as principal occur when exchanges appoint some registered traders or market makers who have the responsibility of taking positions in some listed stocks for their own firm’s accounts in order to enhance market liquidity and smooth out undue price distortions. In recent years, some firms have also bought listed stocks as principals in order to accumulate blocks of shares of sufficient size to permit them to be more competitive in serving their larger institutional clients. As well, firms trade for their own account with the intent of making a profit.
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BROKER OR AGENCY TRANSACTIONS
Complete the on-line activity associated with this section.
When acting as a broker, a securities firm is an agent or an intermediary in a secondary securities transaction. The broker’s clients who buy and sell securities are, in fact, the principals or owners of the securities, and the broker acts only as an agent, never actually owning them itself. Both the broker acting for the seller and the broker acting for the buyer charge their respective clients a commission for executing a trade. Commission rates were fixed by stock exchanges until the mid1980s, but are now negotiated between clients and their brokers.
The Clearing System In Canada securities are cleared through CDS Clearing and Depository Services Inc. (CDS). Marketplaces (exchanges such as the TSX and TSX Venture) and alternative trading systems (ATSs) report trades to CDS’s clearing and settlement system, CDSX. Over-the-counter trades are also reported to CDS by participants in the system. Participants with access to the clearing and settlement system primarily include banks, investment dealers and trust companies. During a trading day, an exchange member will be both buyer and seller of many listed stocks. Instead of each member making a separate settlement with another member, a designated central clearing system handles the daily settlement process between members. By using a central clearing system, the number of securities and the amount of cash that has to change hands among the various members each day is substantially reduced through a process called netting. The clearing system establishes and confirms a credit or debit cash or security position balance for each member firm, compiles their clearing settlement sheets and informs each member of the securities or funds it must deliver to balance its account. CDS is a founding member of the Canadian Capital Markets Association, which is promoting a change in settlement date for equities and other securities to one day after the date of a trade from the current three days.
Trends in the Securities Industry The Canadian securities industry continues to realign and reorganize to better position itself to compete globally. Future trends in the Canadian marketplace may include: • • •
•
Continued mergers and alliances between Canadian and global brokerage houses to improve access to capital and global trading. Continued debate over the harmonization of securities laws across Canada and the call for a national securities regulator. A continuation of the trend away from commission-based accounts to fee-based accounts. Over the last 20 years, retail investors in Canada moved from individual ownership of securities to an increase in the purchase of managed products, particularly mutual funds. The creation of an ever-expanding array of innovative financial products to meet market demand and investor needs.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
BANKS AS FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES Banks operate under the Bank Act, which has been regularly updated, usually through revisions every ten years. The Act sets out specifically what a bank may do and provides operating rules enabling it to function within the regulatory framework. At the end of 2007, Canada had 72 banks, made up of 22 domestic banks, 24 foreign bank subsidiaries and 26 foreign bank branches. The largest six domestic banks control more than 90% of the approximately $2.5 trillion in assets. The Canadian banking industry employs close to 249,000 people, making it one of Canada’s largest industries. However, as a result of international consolidation, the largest Canadian banks are becoming relatively smaller when judged against their international competitors. RBC Royal Bank, Scotiabank and TD Canada Trust are in the list of top 50 banks worldwide, when ranked by market capitalization (Source: Bloomberg). Regulations on Canadian bank ownership are designed to protect the Canadian banking system from foreign competition. Recent criticisms that the current structure does not permit Canadian banks to remain competitive in the face of global industry consolidation are now being addressed with a new policy framework for Canadian financial institutions. Banks are designated as Schedule I, Schedule II or Schedule III. Each designation has unique rules and regulations surrounding the banks’ activities. Most Canadian-owned banks are designated as Schedule I banks and the foreign-owned banks are either Schedule II or Schedule III banks. Currently, voting shares of large Schedule I banks must be widely held, subject to rules that restrict the control of any individual or group and non-NAFTA shareholders to no more than 20 per cent. In contrast, a single shareholder, including a company, can control a medium-sized bank (shareholder equity of less than $5 billion) by owning up to 65% of the voting shares, provided that the remaining shares remain publicly traded. A small bank (shareholder equity of less than $1 billion) can be owned by one individual or organization.
Schedule I Chartered Banks Schedule I banks are the giants of Canada’s capital market. There are 19 Schedule I banks, with six (RBC Royal Bank, CIBC, BMO Bank of Montreal, Scotiabank, TD Bank Financial Group and National Bank of Canada) far out-distancing the asset size of other Canadian-owned banks and most other non-bank financial institutions. The major banks have achieved their present asset size largely by establishing a network of more than 9,000 retail branches throughout Canada, augmented in recent years with over 50,000 automated banking machines (ABMs), thus attracting and centralizing the savings of Canadians. They have also become major participants in the international banking scene. Most Schedule I banks are expanding their international operations through acquisitions of, or investments in, U.S. and other international financial institutions. Banking has undergone tremendous change in the past decade. While traditional banking such as retail, commercial and corporate banking services still exist, banks today provide a variety of services through investment dealer, insurance, mortgage, trust, mutual fund and international subsidiaries. In addition, banks have expanded their core services to respond to the increasing demand for wealth management services.
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Canadian banks offer consumer and commercial banking products and services, including mortgages and loans, bank accounts and investments. Banks also offer financial planning, cash management and wealth management services, some directly and some through subsidiaries. Wealth management products and services, including mutual funds and financial planning services, have been a growing part of banking business in recent years, as demographics in Canada provide record numbers of investors as potential clients. Banks have become more dominant players in this field. Services such as investment dealer activities, discount brokerage accounts, and the sale of insurance products are handled by subsidiaries within the banking group. While banks are permitted under current legislation to take part in diverse sectors of the financial services industry, there are controls on how they do so and on the sharing of customer information between subsidiaries. The controls that inhibit information sharing between various businesses and business units are commonly known as “Chinese walls.” Example: A bank may offer chequing accounts and mortgages through a local branch. If a customer wants a discount brokerage account, the customer would be directed to deal with the investment dealer subsidiary and would receive all further related correspondence from that subsidiary. The bank branch would not have access to information about the customer’s brokerage account or trades, and the investment dealer subsidiary would not have access to the customer’s bank account or loan balances. In this way, the operations of different businesses within the same banking group are kept quite separate.
A major activity of the banks is to loan funds to businesses and consumers at interest rates higher than the rates they must pay in interest on deposits and other borrowings. The spread between the two sets of interest rates covers the banks’ operating costs (rent, salaries, administration, appropriations for loan losses, etc.), as well as providing a margin for the banks’ profits.
Schedule II and Schedule III Banks Schedule II banks are incorporated and operate in Canada as federally regulated foreign bank subsidiaries. These banks may accept deposits, which may be eligible for deposit insurance provided by the Canada Deposit and Insurance Corporation (CDIC). Examples of Schedule II banks in Canada include the AMEX Bank of Canada, Citibank Canada, and BNP Paribas. Schedule II banks have been able to open branches in Canada with restricted deposit taking since 1999. Schedule III banks are federally regulated foreign bank branches of foreign institutions that have been authorized under the Bank Act to do banking business in Canada. Examples of Schedule III banks in Canada include HSBC Bank USA, Comerica Bank and Mellon Bank, N.A. A Schedule II bank may engage in all types of business permitted to a Schedule I bank. In practice, most derive their greatest share of revenue from retail banking and electronic financial services. Schedule III banks, in contrast, tend to focus on corporate and institutional finance and investment banking. By allowing foreign banks to operate in Canada, the government has facilitated the expansion in the operations of Canadian-owned Schedule I banks abroad. The presence of foreign-owned banks in Canada also provides a conduit for investment of foreign capital in Canada as well as providing Canadian corporate borrowers with alternative sources of borrowed funds.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
Trends in the Role of Banks As mentioned, one of the most significant developments in Canada has been the move by the major Canadian banks into the securities business. Bank-owned investment dealers are an important part of the securities industry. More recently, they have begun to acquire U.S. investment dealers, primarily discount brokers, as well as investments in international banks. Another significant development is the expansion of powers given to the banks under revisions to the Bank Act. Banks now may hold a range of other types of corporations, including information services, e-commerce, real property holding and brokerage, and specialized financing corporations. Banks may also offer investment counselling and portfolio management services “in-house” rather than only through a subsidiary. Many of the outstanding proposals for change that will allow banks to become more internationally competitive have been addressed. These are being accomplished through changes to bank ownership rules, the continued possibility of mergers and joint ventures, and by enabling the establishment of bank holding companies. Doing so will allow a bank to structure itself so that the more highly regulated banking services, such as deposit-taking, can be separated from the more lightly regulated services, such as credit card services. This flexibility became necessary as the Bank Act now permits non-deposit-taking institutions, such as life insurance companies, securities dealers and money market mutual funds access to the payment system. (Access to the payments system was previously the exclusive domain of the chartered banks.) These institutions will now be able to offer their customers bank-like payment services such as chequing accounts and debit cards. As the wealth management sector grows, and in response to Canadian demographic trends, banks are actively developing products and services traditionally reserved for sophisticated and high-net worth individuals. Most banks now make available non-proprietary investment products, such as the mutual funds of competitors, in recognition of the importance of customer retention. Such broadening of the investment products offered by banks has resulted in the need for upgrading bank employee investment knowledge so that they can fulfill their fiduciary obligations to their clients.
TRUST COMPANIES, CREDIT UNIONS AND LIFE INSURANCE COMPANIES
Trust and Loan Companies Federally and provincially incorporated trust companies offer a broad range of financial services, which in many cases overlap services provided by the chartered banks. For example, trust companies accept savings, issue term deposits, make personal and mortgage loans, and sell RRSPs and other tax-deferred plans. However, trust companies are the only corporations in Canada authorized to engage in a trust business (i.e., to act as a trustee in charge of corporate or individual assets such as property, stocks and bonds). They also offer estate planning and asset management.
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Most of the larger trust companies are now subsidiaries of the major banks. These institutions are regulated under the federal Trust and Loan Companies Act. These institutions are regulated by the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions.
Credit Unions and Caisses Populaires Early in the 1900s, many individual savers and borrowers felt that chartered banks were too profit oriented. This led to the establishment of many co-operative, member-owned credit unions in English-speaking communities in Canada (predominantly in Ontario, Saskatchewan and British Columbia), and the parallel caisses populaires (people’s banks) in Québec. Frequently, credit unions seek member-savers from common interest groups such as those in the same neighbourhood, those with similar ethnic backgrounds and those from the same business or social group. Credit unions and caisses populaires offer diverse services such as business and consumer deposit taking and lending, mortgages, mutual funds, insurance, trust services, investment dealer services, and debit and credit cards. Local credit unions and caisses populaires belong to central provincial societies to further common interests. These societies provide broader services such as investment of surplus funds from member locals, lending them funds when required, and cheque clearing. Many are as small as one branch. Services and stability are provided by these provincial central credit unions and federations. The federal legislation governing credit unions is the Cooperative Credit Associations Act. The act generally limits activities of credit unions to providing financial services to their members, entities in which they have a substantial investment and certain types of co-operative institutions, and to providing administrative, educational and other services to cooperative credit societies. The act also contains a number of specific restrictions, such as those on in-house trust services and the retailing of insurance. The act requires associations to adhere to investment rules based on a “prudent portfolio approach” and prohibits associations from acquiring substantial investments in entities other than a list of authorized financial and quasi-financial entities. It also sets out a number of limits designed to restrict the exposure of associations to real property and equity securities.
Insurance Companies The Canadian insurance industry, including agents, appraisers and adjusters, employs more than 200,000 people, divided more or less evenly between the life insurance industry and the property and casualty insurance industry. Between the two industries, more than $400 billion in assets, either directly or indirectly, is managed on behalf of policyholders. PRODUCTS AND SERVICES
The insurance industry has two main businesses: life insurance and property and casualty insurance. Life insurance and related products include insurance against loss of life, livelihood or health, such as health and disability insurance, term and whole life insurance, pension plans, registered retirement savings plans and annuities. The chief sources of a life insurance company’s funds are premiums on whole life, term and group insurance policies; premiums being paid for annuities, pensions, group medical and dental care programs; interest on policy loans and mortgages; and interest and dividends on securities and
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
mortgages already owned. Life insurance products may be offered through either private or group insurance plans, often those sponsored by employers. Property and casualty insurance encompasses protection against loss of property, including home, auto and commercial business insurance. The largest aggregate premiums are generated by automobile insurance, followed by property insurance and liability insurance. Life insurance companies act as trustees for the funds entrusted to them by policyholders and, therefore, they must exercise extreme caution in selecting their investments. Safety of principal is most important. Contractual obligations will have to be met in the future and certainty of principal repayment is their first investment aim. Historically, life insurance companies have also tried, as far as market conditions permit, to invest as much as possible of their funds in high yielding, longer-term securities, since many of their contracts are long-term in nature, running for the lifetime of the insured. Life insurance companies, therefore, tend to be active in both mortgage and long-term bond markets. Underwriting operations are the most important aspect of the insurance business in Canada. Underwriting is the business of evaluating the risk an insurance company is willing to take from a client in exchange for insurance premiums, followed by the acceptance of the associated responsibility for fulfilling the terms of the insurance contract. The other significant aspect of the insurance business is acting as agent or broker for other underwriters. Such companies sell insurance policies underwritten by other firms. Reinsurance, the business of exchanging risk between insurance companies to facilitate better risk management, is a relatively small part of the Canadian insurance market, although it is an increasingly important business globally. INSURANCE REGULATION
The key federal legislation governing insurance companies is the Insurance Companies Act. The bill establishing the Act was proclaimed June 1, 1992. The legislation permits life insurance companies to explicitly own trust and loan companies, and thus enter new financial businesses through subsidiaries. Similarly, widely held institutions such as mutual insurance companies would be permitted to own Schedule II banks. Insurance companies are also allowed to hold a range of other types of corporations. While companies will have enhanced powers to make consumer and corporate loans, the Act contains a number of restrictions on activities such as in-house trust services and deposit-taking. It also continues the practice of allowing only life companies to offer annuities and segregated funds. The Act also requires insurance companies to adhere to investment rules based on a “prudent portfolio approach” which replaces the “legal for life” rules. Companies are prohibited from acquiring substantial investments in entities other than a list of authorized financial and quasi financial entities. The Act also sets out a number of portfolio limits designed to limit exposure to real property and equity securities. A number of insurance companies are wholly owned by the Canadian Schedule I banks. Although these large domestic banks have established their own insurance subsidiaries, the Bank Act does not permit the selling of insurance through their branch networks.
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Trends in Insurance Change is underway in the ownership structure of several large Canadian insurers as they continue to demutualize. Insurance companies in Canada are organized either as mutual companies, owned by policyholders, or as joint stock companies, owned by shareholders. Demutualization is a process by which insurance companies, owned by policyholders, reorganize into companies owned by shareholders. Policyholders, in effect, become shareholders in an insurance corporation. The significance of demutualization is that it provides insurance companies with access to capital markets, allowing them to acquire other companies with equity, rather than cash, making them better able to compete with other financial institutions such as banks. Demutualization will likely lead to consolidation among insurance companies and the emergence of fewer, larger companies. Already the number of insurance companies in Canada is declining, while the size of the industry increases. Added to this environment of consolidation is an increased atmosphere of competitiveness due to new sources of competition, such as that from insurance subsidiaries of Canadian banks. The entrance of large banks into the insurance business reinforces trends found elsewhere in the financial services sector. These are trends primarily to increase competition and the potential rationalization of intermediaries such as agents and independent brokers. While Canadian banks are permitted to own insurance companies, they are still restricted as to the distribution of insurance products. Current financial reforms affect insurance companies as well as banks. Insurance companies will have access to the Payments System, allowing them to offer products such as chequing accounts and debit cards. The new flexibility with respect to creating holding companies will allow them to compete on an equal level with banks.
INVESTMENT FUNDS, SAVINGS BANKS, PENSION PLANS, SALES FINANCE AND CONSUMER LOAN COMPANIES The institutions discussed in the above sections are among the major participants in Canada’s capital market. Banks, insurance companies, investment dealers and mutual fund companies are not the only distributors of financial products and services in Canada. Other distributors include credit unions, caisses populaires, non-bank-aligned trust companies, insurance brokers and financial planners. Some of these firms distribute their own products and services, while others distribute the products and services of other firms. Although these firms are often characterized by the products that they offer as distributors, they command a significant portion of the competitive Canadian financial services industry. These other financial intermediaries are described below.
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Investment Funds Investment funds are companies or trusts that sell their shares to the public and invest the proceeds in a diverse securities portfolio. There are two types of investment funds: •
Closed-End Funds: normally issue shares only at start-up or at other infrequent periods and reinvest the proceeds and borrowings in a portfolio of securities to produce income and capital gain.
•
Open-End Funds (or mutual funds): continually issue shares to investors and redeem these shares on demand at their net asset or “break-up” value per share of the fund’s investment portfolio. Mutual funds range from those primarily seeking safety of principal and income through the purchase of mortgages, bonds and blue-chip preferred and common shares, to much more aggressive funds primarily seeking capital gain through trading common shares in growth industries.
Of the two types of funds, mutual funds are much larger, accounting for close to 95% of aggregate funds invested.
Savings Banks The Alberta Treasury Branches were formed in 1938 when chartered banks pulled out their branches from many smaller towns. Funds on deposit are 100% guaranteed by the respective province. In some places, they are the only financial service provider in town.
Pension Plans There has been a remarkable growth in the institutionalization of savings through pension plans during the past 55 years. This growth is partly the result of longer life expectancy, earlier retirement and the desire for financial independence during the now-longer period of retirement. Canada’s changing demographic landscape has also focused public attention on the future viability of the Canada Pension Plan (CPP) and Québec Pension Plans (QPP). One or other of these plans is compulsory for virtually all employed persons and, in addition to minimum retirement benefits, both plans provide certain disability, death, widows’ and orphans’ benefits. Based on employee earnings with set maximums, both employee and employer contribute and both have cost-of-living adjustments on contributions and payouts.
Sales Finance and Consumer Loan Companies Such companies make direct cash loans to consumers who usually repay principal and interest in instalments. They also purchase, at a discount, instalment sales contracts from retailers and dealers when such items as new automobiles, appliances or home improvements are bought on instalment plans
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SUMMARY After reading this chapter, you should be able to: 1.
2.
Summarize the state of the Canadian securities industry today. •
Canadian capital markets are among the most sophisticated and efficient in the world. These qualities are measured in terms of the variety and size of new issues brought to the markets and the depth and liquidity of secondary market trading.
•
New issues brought to Canadian markets have increased considerably over the past five years, while money market, bond and listed equity secondary trading has also risen significantly over this same period.
Distinguish among the three categories of securities firms, explain how they are organized, and compare and contrast dealer, principal and agency transactions. •
Firms in the Canadian securities industry are categorized as integrated, institutional and retail. Integrated firms account for about 70% of total industry revenue because they offer products and services that cover all aspects of the industry. Institutional firms primarily handle the trading activity of large clients such as pension funds and mutual funds. At the retail level, there are full-service firms that offer a wide variety of products and services, and discount brokers that provide reduced trading rates but do not provide advice.
•
One main role of an investment dealer is to bring new issues of securities to the primary markets and facilitate trading in the secondary markets. The dealer can act as a principal or as an agent in either market.
•
When acting as a principal, the dealer owns securities as part of its inventory when conducting transactions with clients and investors. Profit is made on the spread between the original cost of the securities and what they eventually sell for.
•
When acting as an agent, the dealer acts on behalf of a buyer or seller but does not itself own title to the securities at any time during the transaction. Profit is realized on the commission charged for each transaction.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
3.
4.
Describe the role of the chartered banks in the capital markets. •
The Canadian chartered banks are the largest financial intermediaries in the country. They are designated as Schedule I, Schedule II or Schedule III banks. Each designation has different rules and regulations regarding ownership levels and the types of services that can be offered.
•
Most Canadian-owned banks are designated as Schedule I banks. They are the dominant competitors in the industry both in terms of the wide-ranging services offered and their overall asset base.
•
Schedule II banks are incorporated and operate in Canada as federally regulated foreign bank subsidiaries. These banks can engage in all the types of business that are permitted to Schedule I banks.
•
Schedule III banks are federally regulated foreign bank branches of foreign institutions. Most operate as full-service branches able to accept deposits, though some are merely lending branches.
Describe the roles of trust companies, credit unions and insurance companies in the capital markets. •
5.
Now that you’ve completed this chapter and the on-line activities, complete this post-test.
These financial intermediaries offer a broad range of financial services that in many cases overlap with the services provided by chartered banks, including deposit-taking and lending, debit and credit cards, mortgages, and mutual funds.
Describe the roles of investment funds, savings banks, loan companies and pension plans in the capital markets. •
Investment funds sell their shares to the public, most often in the form of closed- or openend funds, and invest the proceeds in a diverse portfolio of securities.
•
Loan companies make direct cash loans to consumers who typically use them to repay principal and interest on instalment loans. These intermediaries also purchase instalment sales contracts from retailers on such items as new automobiles, appliances, or home improvements that are purchased on instalment.
•
Pension plans represent a type of institutionalized savings. Trusteed plans are offered to the employees of many companies, institutions and other organizations. One or the other of the government-related plans (the Canada Pension Plan and the parallel Québec Pension Plan) is compulsory for virtually all employed persons and, in addition to minimum retirement benefits, both plans provide certain disability, widows’ and orphans’ and death benefits.
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3
The Canadian Regulatory Environment
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3 The Canadian Regulatory Environment
CHAPTER OUTLINE Who are the Regulators? • The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions • Canada Deposit Insurance Corporation • Credit Union Deposit Insurance Corporations • The Provincial Regulators • The Self-Regulatory Organizations • Canadian Investor Protection Fund • Mutual Fund Dealers Association Investor Protection Corporation • Role of Arbitration • Ombudsman for Banking Services and Investments What are the Principles of Securities Legislation? • Full, True and Plain Disclosure • Registration • The National Registration Database (NRD) • Know Your Client Rule • Fiduciary Duty What are the Ethics of Trading? • Examples of Unethical Practices • Prohibited Sales Practices
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What are Public Company Disclosures and Investor Rights? • Continuous Disclosure • Statutory Rights for Investors • Proxies and Proxy Solicitation Takeover Bids and Insider Trading • Takeover Bids • Insider Trading Summary
LEARNING OBJECTIVES By the end of this chapter, you should be able to: 1. Identify and describe the agencies and legal entities through which the Canadian securities industry is regulated. 2. Evaluate the role the self-regulatory organizations (SROs) play in the regulatory process. 3. Discuss the principles that underlie securities legislation. 4. Identify unethical practices and conduct in securities trading. 5. Describe the rules for public company disclosure and the statutory rights of investors. 6. Explain how takeover bids and insider trading are regulated and list the investigation and prosecution powers of securities regulators.
GOALS OF REGULATION So far we have learned that financial markets and financial intermediaries developed over time to meet the ever-evolving needs of investors. While true, what we also need to consider are the ways in which industry regulation have evolved to protect investors and the industry itself. Although investor protection is the primary goal of securities regulation, it is not the only goal. The various Canadian regulatory bodies play a key role in fostering market integrity.
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What do we mean by market integrity? We have learned that productive investing takes place when savings are funnelled through the capital markets to the various products, for example, stocks and bonds, so that they are channelled into investments and projects that will yield the greatest benefit. For this to happen efficiently, investors must feel confident that they will be treated fairly and equally when participating in the capital markets. Ultimately, what this means is that individuals and institutions can invest with confidence in open and fair capital markets. How does the industry achieve this lofty goal? There are a variety of ways. The industry has developed high professional standards and educational programs to ensure the competence of industry employees. Investor protection funds are in place to protect individual investors in the unlikely event that a firm goes In the on-line bankrupt. The regulatory bodies have the authority to prosecute individuals and firms that are suspected Learning Guide of wrongdoing. Also, they can impose penalties in the form of reprimands, fines, suspensions, and expulsion for this module, where fault has been proven. complete the Getting Started The focus of this chapter is an overview of the regulatory environment in Canada. We look at the role of activity. the various regulatory bodies, the principles of regulation, and the rights of investors.
KEY TERMS Arbitration
National policies
Autorité des marchés financiers (AMF)
National Registration Database (NRD)
Beneficial owner
New Account Application Form
Canada Deposit Insurance Corporation (CDIC)
Nominee
Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF)
Office of the Superintendent of Financial
Canadian Securities Administrators (CSA) Director’s circular Fiduciary obligation
Institutions (OSFI) Ombudsman for Banking Services and Investments (OBSI)
Insiders
Proxy
Investment Advisors (IAs)
Reporting issuer
Investment Representatives (IRs)
Right of action for damages
Mutual Fund Dealer Association Investor
Right of rescission
Protection Corporation (MFDA IPC)
Right of withdrawal
Material change
Self-Regulatory Organizations (SROs)
National Do Not Call List (DNCL)
Takeover bid Universal Market Integrity Rules (UMIR)
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WHO ARE THE REGULATORS? In Chapters 1 and 2, you learned about the role financial instruments, markets and intermediaries play in helping to create efficient capital markets. In this chapter, we examine the regulatory role played by federal regulators, the provincial securities regulators, the self-regulatory organizations (the SROs), and the various investor protection funds.
The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) was established in 1987 to provide a simple regulatory body for all federally regulated financial institutions. OSFI is responsible for regulating and supervising 149 deposit-taking institutions including banks, trust and loan companies, and cooperative credit associations, 308 insurance companies, including life insurance companies, fraternal benefit societies and property & casualty insurance companies and 32 foreign bank representative offices that are chartered, licensed or registered by the federal government. The Office also supervises over 1,200 federally regulated pension plans. It does not regulate the Canadian securities industry. OSFI also provides actuarial advice to the Government of Canada and conducts reviews of certain provincially chartered financial institutions by virtue of federal-provincial arrangements or through agency agreements with the Canada Deposit Insurance Corporation (CDIC).
Canada Deposit Insurance Corporation The Canada Deposit Insurance Corporation (CDIC) is a federal Crown Corporation. It was created in 1967 to provide deposit insurance and contribute to the stability of Canada’s financial system. CDIC insures eligible deposits up to $100,000 per depositor in each member institution (banks, trust companies and loan companies), and reimburses depositors for the amount of any insured deposits if a member institution fails. To be eligible for insurance, deposits must be in Canadian currency and payable in Canada. Term deposits must be repayable no later than five years from the date of deposit. The $100,000 maximum includes all insurable types of deposits you have with the same CDIC member. Deposits at different branches of the same member institution are not insured separately. Accounts and products insured by CDIC include: • • • •
Savings and chequing accounts Guaranteed investment certificates (GICs) and other term deposits that mature in five years or less Money orders, certified cheques, traveller’s cheques and bank drafts Accounts that hold realty taxes on mortgaged properties
These accounts and products must be held at a CDIC member and in Canadian dollars to be eligible for deposit insurance.
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CDIC does not insure: • • • •
Mutual funds and stocks GICs and other term deposits that mature in more than five years Bonds and Treasury bills Debentures issued by governments, corporations, or chartered banks
As well, CDIC does not insure accounts or products held in U.S. dollars, other foreign currencies or held in banks or other institutions that are not CDIC members. It is possible to have more than $100,000 in deposits eligible for CDIC coverage, provided the deposits are held in more than one of CDIC’s six deposit insurance categories. These categories include deposits held: • • • • • •
in one name jointly in more than one name in a trust account in a registered retirement savings plan (RRSP) in a registered retirement income fund (RRIF) in a mortgage tax account
To date, CDIC has provided protection to depositors in 43 member institution failures. As of April 30 2006, the CDIC insured approximately $455 billion in deposits.
Credit Union Deposit Insurance Corporation In each province, one or more organizations exist to protect the deposits of credit union members. This organization may be called a deposit insurance or deposit guarantee corporation or stabilization fund, corporation, board or central credit union. Terms and maximum coverages may vary by province. In British Columbia, for example, the Credit Union Deposit Insurance Corporation (CUDIC), a government corporation, was established in 1958 to protect credit union members against the loss of deposits held by British Columbia credit unions. CUDIC guarantees that money on deposit and money invested in non-equity shares will be repaid up to a maximum of $100,000 per “separate deposit” in each credit union. Accrued interest and declared and unpaid dividends are included in this coverage. All credit unions in the province have deposit insurance coverage with CUDIC. In Ontario, each depositor in any one credit union or caisse populaire is insured to a maximum of $100,000 for the combined principal, interest, and dividends relating to that member’s total deposits. RRSP, RRIF or OHOSP contracts and unique trust or joint accounts are separately insured up to $100,000 per contract or account. This insurance is provided by the Deposit Insurance Corporation of Ontario.
The Provincial Regulators In Canada, the regulation of the securities business is a provincial responsibility. Each province and the three territories is responsible for creating the legislation and regulation under which the
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industry must operate. In several provinces, much of the day-to-day regulation is delegated to Securities Commissions. In other provinces, securities administrators, who are appointed by the province, take on the regulatory function. In Québec, the regulatory body is neither a securities commission nor a securities administrator and its power is not limited to the securities industry only. The Autorité des marchés financiers (AMF) is responsible for administering the regulatory framework for Québec’s financial sector, notably in the areas of insurance, deposit insurance institutions, the distribution of financial products, financial services, and securities. The provincial regulators recognize that their task is a complicated one, particularly for industry participants who operate in more than one province. To lessen the regulatory burden, the regulators work closely with each other for the purpose of harmonizing regulations and to maintain the highest industry standards The 13 securities regulators of Canada’s provinces and territories joined together to form the Canadian Securities Administrators (CSA), a forum to co-ordinate and harmonize regulation of the Canadian capital markets. The mission of the CSA is to give Canada a securities regulatory system that protects investors from unfair, improper or fraudulent practices and that fosters fair, efficient and vibrant capital markets. All Administrators can suspend, cancel or revoke registration, levy fines, order trading in a security to cease, and deny the right to trade securities in a province.
The Self-Regulatory Organizations Self-Regulatory Organizations (SROs) are private industry organizations that have been granted the privilege of regulating their own members by the provincial regulatory bodies. SROs are responsible for enforcement of their members’ conformity with securities legislation and have the power to prescribe their own rules of conduct and financial requirements for their members. SROs are delegated regulatory functions by the provincial regulatory bodies, and SRO by-laws and rules are designed to uphold the principles of securities legislation. The provincial securities commissions monitor the conduct of the SROs. They also review the rules of the SROs in the province to ensure that the SRO rules do not conflict with securities legislation and are in the public’s interest. SRO regulations apply in addition to provincial regulations. If an SRO rule differs than a provincial rule, the most stringent rule of the two applies. Canadian SROs include the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) and the Mutual Fund Dealers Association (MFDA). THE INVESTMENT INDUSTRY REGULATORY ORGANIZATION OF CANADA
The Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) was created through the consolidation of the Investment Dealers Association of Canada (IDA) and Market Regulation Services Inc. (RS). The new organization was approved by the CSA and officially launched on June 1, 2008 with a mandate to oversee all investment dealers and trading activity on debt and equity marketplaces in Canada. IIROC carries out its regulatory responsibilities through setting and enforcing rules regarding the proficiency, business and financial conduct of dealer member firms and their registered employees and through setting and enforcing market integrity rules regarding trading activity on Canadian equity marketplaces.
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IIROC’s mandate is “to set high quality regulatory and investment industry standards, protect investors and strengthen market integrity while maintaining efficient and competitive capital markets.” IIROC plays the following roles: •
Financial Compliance: Includes monitoring dealer members to ensure they have enough capital to carry out their operations.
•
Business Conduct Compliance: Includes monitoring dealer members to ensure policies and procedures are in place to properly supervise the handling of client accounts.
•
Registration: Responsibility for overseeing professional standards and educational programs designed to maintain the competence of industry employees.
•
Enforcement: Includes responsibility for enforcing the rules and regulations that cover sales, business, and financial practices and trading activities of individuals and firms that are under IIROC’s jurisdiction.
IIROC also conducts market surveillance by regulating securities trading and market-related activities of participants on Canadian equity marketplaces—stock exchanges and alternative trading systems. Market surveillance includes: •
Real time monitoring of trading activity on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX), the TSX Venture Exchange (TSX V), the Canadian National Stock Exchange (CNSX), Bloomberg Tradebook Canada, Alpha ATS, Chi-X Canada, Liquidnet Canada, MATCH NOW, OMEGA ATS, Pure Trading (facilitated by CNSX), and Market Securities Inc.
•
Ensuring dealer members comply with the timely disclosure of information by publiclytraded companies in Canada.
•
Carrying out trading analysis and compliance with the Universal Market Integrity Rules (UMIR).
THE INVESTMENT INDUSTRY ASSOCIATION OF CANADA
The former IDA’s mission was twofold: to act as the self-regulatory organization of the industry to protect investors and to act as a professional association for its members. On April 1, 2006, the professional association was separated from the SRO function and a new association was created, the Investment Industry Association of Canada (IIAC). The IIAC is a member-based professional association that represents the interests of market participants. The membership base consists of a broad cross-section of the securities industry, including full service securities firms, institutional and retail boutique firms, and discount brokerages. The IIAC provides support and services that contribute to the success of their members. It also represents the investment industry’s views and interests to federal and provincial governments and their agencies, and to other SROs in such areas as securities and capital markets legislation and regulation and fiscal and monetary policy. THE MUTUAL FUND DEALERS ASSOCIATION
The Mutual Fund Dealers Association (MFDA) is the mutual fund industry’s self-regulatory organization responsible for regulating the distribution and sales of mutual funds by its members
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in Canada. The MFDA does not regulate the mutual funds themselves, as this responsibility has remained with provincial securities commissions. As of November 2007, the MFDA has been recognized as an SRO by Alberta, British Columbia, Nova Scotia, Ontario, Saskatchewan, New Brunswick and Manitoba. The MFDA has the ability to admit members, to audit, to enforce rules and apply penalties, and established an investor protection fund in July 2005.
Canadian Investor Protection Fund The securities industry offers the investing public protection against loss due to the financial failure of any firm in the self-regulatory system. To foster continuing confidence in the firmcustomer relationship, the industry created the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF) in 1969 and the Mutual Fund Dealer Association Investor Protection Corporation (MFDA IPC) in 2005. The primary role of CIPF is investor protection and its secondary role is overseeing the selfregulatory system. The secondary role provides a mechanism to help CIPF contain the risk associated with its primary role. The Fund protects eligible customers in the event of the insolvency of an IIROC dealer member. The CIPF maintains on its website, at www.cipf.ca, a list of members whose eligible customers are entitled to protection. The CIPF does not cover customers’ losses that result from changing market values, and accounts held at mutual fund companies, banks and other firms that are not members of IIROC. The CIPF is sponsored solely by IIROC and funded by quarterly assessments on dealer members. As of August 31, 2008 the CIPF had $530 million of resources. Since its inception, the CIPF has paid claims totalling $36 million to eligible customers of 17 insolvent members. GENERAL ACCOUNT AND SEPARATE ACCOUNTS
All accounts of a customer are covered either as part of the customer’s general account or as a separate account. Accounts of a customer such as cash, margin, short sale, options, futures and foreign currency are combined and treated as one general account entitled to the maximum coverage. Separate accounts are accounts (or groups of similar accounts) disclosed in the records that are treated as if they belonged to a separate customer, and they are each entitled to the maximum coverage. For example, registered retirement accounts are combined into one separate account. Separate accounts include the following: •
Registered retirement plans such as RRSPs and registered retirement income funds (RRIFs), life income funds (LIFs), locked-in retirement accounts or plans (LIRAs or LIRSPs) and locked-in retirement income funds (LRIFs).
•
Registered education savings plans (RESPs).
•
Joint accounts, which are accounts owned on a joint or shared basis and for which each coowner is authorized to act with respect to the entire account.
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COVERAGE
The CIPF covers customers’ losses of securities and cash balances that result from the insolvency (the inability to pay debts as they come due; also referred to as bankruptcy) of an IIROC dealer member, within the limits described below. Under the policies, certain persons are excluded as customers and are not entitled to CIPF protection. Persons who deal with CIPF members through accounts used for business financing purposes, such as for securities lending, are not eligible for CIPF protection. Coverage provided for a customer’s general account is limited to $1,000,000 for losses related to securities and cash balances. Separate accounts of customers are each entitled to the maximum coverage of $1,000,000 unless they are combined with other separate accounts. The maximum amount of financial loss that CIPF may pay to a customer is the shortfall between any available securities and cash that the customer is entitled at the date of insolvency and the distribution of any assets of the insolvent dealer member, less any amounts owed by the client to the member. Example: Judy has $2 million invested in securities and cash with ABC Investment Inc. when ABC declares bankruptcy. She did not owe any amount to ABC. At the time of bankruptcy, the market value of all accounts held by ABC was $100 million, but the amount available for distribution to clients after the bankruptcy was $80 million. Here’s how CIPF determines their involvement: • ABC has a shortfall of $20 million to cover client accounts. • ABC can cover only 80% of Judy’s account, or $1.6 million ($80 million divided by $100 million is 80% and 80% of $2 million is $1.6 million). • The CIPF will step in to cover this shortfall up to the $1 million maximum per account. • Judy will receive $1.6 million from ABC and $400,000 from the CIPF; no loss to her.
Customers have 180 days to file a claim with the CIPF. The 180-day period commences on the date of bankruptcy, if applicable, or the date of insolvency as determined and communicated by the CIPF. In the event of the insolvency of a dealer member, CIPF would normally expect to petition the court under the Bankruptcy and Insolvency Act (BIA) to appoint a trustee liquidate the firm and protect its customers. The trustee and CIPF will usually arrange to have customer accounts transferred in whole or in part to another CIPF dealer member. Customers whose accounts are transferred are notified promptly to deal with the new firm or subsequently transfer their accounts to firms of their own choosing. This procedure minimizes disruption in customers’ trading activities and access to their assets. In the unlikely event that the resources of the Fund are depleted, quarterly assessments within the prescribed limits will be made against dealer members and the proceeds will be distributed from time to time until all legal obligations of the Fund have been discharged. REGULATORY OVERSIGHT
As well as protecting investors through the actual fund, CIPF provides regulatory oversight by working with the financial examiners and senior regulatory officials of the SROs. Their role is to anticipate and to solve financial difficulties of dealer members, and, to the extent possible, bring about an orderly wind-down or transfer of business if required. The CIPF conducts an annual review and evaluation of each SRO’s examination activities to ensure that there is compliance © CSI GLOBAL EDUCATION INC. (2010)
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with CIPF Minimum Standards and it conducts financial examinations of dealer members to ensure that they are in compliance with the CIPF Minimum Standards. The CIPF and its SROs, under the direct supervision of the Administrators, establish and continuously review national standards for capital adequacy and liquidity, financial reporting, accounting records, segregation of clients’ fully and partly paid securities, insurance and other matters relating to the financial condition of dealer members. They also co-ordinate the surveillance and enforcement efforts of the examination staff and have close liaison with the panel of public accounting firms approved to audit and report annually on the financial condition of dealer members.
Mutual Fund Dealers Association Investor Protection Corporation The MFDA Investor Protection Corporation (MFDA IPC) provides protection for eligible customers of insolvent MFDA member firms. Each claim is considered according to the policies adopted by the Board of Directors of the MFDA IPC. The IPC does not cover customers’ losses that result from changing market values, unsuitable investments, or the default of an issuer of a mutual fund. The coverage provided is limited to $1,000,000 per customer account for losses related to securities, cash balances, segregated funds, and certain other property held in the account of a MFDA member firm. Following the structure of the CIPF, customer accounts are covered either as part of a general account or as a separate account. Each account is eligible for up to $1,000,000 in coverage. Separate accounts include registered retirement accounts, such as Registered Retirement Savings Plans (RRSPs) or Registered Retirement Income Funds (RRIFs). These accounts are combined into one separate account for coverage purposes. General and separate accounts held with one MFDA member firm are not combined with accounts customers might hold at another member firm. The MFDA is not recognized as a self-regulatory organization in the province of Québec. Consequently, the MFDA IPC coverage is not currently available to customers with accounts held in Québec MFDA member firms.
Role of Arbitration There are times when clients feel that they have been treated unfairly by a firm that is a member of an SRO. If, after discussing the problem with the firm, they still feel mistreated, clients have the option of suing the firm or requesting arbitration. Arbitration is a method of dispute resolution in which an independent arbitrator is chosen to: • • •
Listen to the facts and arguments of the parties to a dispute; Decide how the dispute should be resolved; and Decide what remedy, if any, should be imposed.
SROs can only discipline member registrants and cannot order restitution to be made to clients. The SROs therefore offer dissatisfied investors the option of pursuing damages through arbitration rather than in court. The arbitration process may assist clients in reaching a settlement due to registrant wrongdoing. Arbitration may also be cheaper and faster than a court action, particularly where smaller amounts of money are concerned.
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A client must receive an arbitration brochure when opening an account. If a written complaint has been received, a current brochure must be sent to the client. If a client requests arbitration from an SRO, the dealer member must accept both the process and the arbitrator’s decision. To be eligible for arbitration, the dispute must meet the following criteria: • • •
Attempts must have been made to resolve the dispute with the investment dealer. The claim cannot exceed $100,000. The events in dispute must have originated after January 1, 1992 in British Columbia, after January 1, 1996 in Québec, after June 30, 1998 in Ontario, after July 1, 1999 in Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba, and after June 30, 1999 in Newfoundland, Prince Edward Island, New Brunswick and Nova Scotia.
Claims that do not fit within the dollar amounts mentioned above may still be arbitrated if both parties agree to the process. The decision of the arbitrator is binding, and at the beginning of the arbitration process both parties must sign an agreement to give up the right to pursue the matter further in the courts.
Ombudsman for Banking Services and Investments Another avenue for investors who feel that they have been treated unfairly is the Ombudsman for Banking Services and Investments (OBSI). OBSI is an independent organization that investigates customer complaints against financial services providers, including banks and other deposit-taking organizations, investment dealers, mutual fund dealers and mutual fund companies.
Complete the on-line activity associated with this section.
It provides prompt and impartial resolution of complaints that customers have been unable to resolve satisfactorily with their financial services provider. The OBSI is independent of the financial services industry. After investigation, the final decision on the fair resolution of complaints rests solely with the Ombudsman. The process is not binding for either the investor or the financial services provider. However, member companies who do not agree to a recommendation by the Ombudsman will be publicly reported. To date no member has failed to follow the Ombudsman’s recommendation.
WHAT ARE THE PRINCIPLES OF SECURITIES LEGISLATION? The securities industry has extensive legislation and regulation to protect the investor and to ensure high ethical standards. This protection flows from self-regulatory organizations (SROs) as well as the provincial securities regulators and administrators. Regulation is covered in much greater detail in CSI’s The Conduct and Practices Handbook (CPH) course. Some of the basic concepts are covered here. Provincial securities acts are designed to regulate the underwriting, distribution and sale of securities, and to protect buyers and sellers of securities. The term act is used here to refer to the securities act or the securities-related legislation of a province. The term administrator is used to
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describe the securities regulatory authority of a province, whether it is a commission, registrar or other government official. No federal regulatory body for the securities industry exists in Canada, in contrast to the United States where the national Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has considerable regulatory authority. With increasing involvement in the investment business by federally regulated financial institutions such as banks, trusts and insurance companies, the number of National Policies issued by the CSA has increased. These National Policies attempt to create a regulatory environment that is harmonized throughout each and every provincial jurisdiction. Formal conferences of provincial administrators are held regularly and informal consultation and co-operation is continuous.
Full, True and Plain Disclosure The general principle underlying Canadian securities legislation is not approval or disapproval of the investment merits of a particular issue of securities by the provincial administrator, but rather that of full, true and plain disclosure of all pertinent facts by those offering the securities for sale to the public. Until disclosure is made to the satisfaction of the administrator concerned, it is illegal to offer such securities for public sale. As discussed earlier, such disclosure is normally made in a prospectus issued by the company and accepted for filing by the administrator concerned. Even the most determined public official and the most exhaustive legislation cannot guarantee that the gullible or the greedy will not suffer financial loss, nor that those intent on dishonest behaviour will be stopped. It is very difficult to restrict completely the activities of unscrupulous promoters without impeding the efforts of legitimate entrepreneurs. The laws are designed to prevent, as far as possible, fraud and deceit and to protect the investor from his or her own naiveté due to a lack of information or undue selling pressure from investment service providers. Nevertheless, no legislation supplants the rule that one must investigate before one invests or recommends an investment. Generally, the acts use three basic methods to protect investors: registration of securities dealers and advisors, disclosure of facts necessary to make reasoned investment decisions and enforcement of the laws and policies. The industry also relies on the SROs for their members’ compliance to legislation.
Registration Generally, every firm and all investment advisors (IAs) employed by such firms must be registered. As well as granting registrations, administrators have the power to suspend or cancel registration or otherwise discipline registrants. All employees of IIROC dealer members who deal with the investing public must register with IIROC as well as with the applicable administrator. Such employees must meet IIROC’s requirements for approval which include, as a minimum, completion of the Canadian Securities Course (CSC) and an examination based on the Conduct and Practices Handbook (CPH) course. New investment advisors must also complete a 90-day training program before they are permitted to deal with the public. After licensing, the registrant is subject to a six-month period of supervision by his or her supervisor. New registrants must also complete CSI’s Wealth Management Essentials Course (WME) within 30 months of becoming licensed as an IA.
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Participation in the industry’s Continuing Education program is also a condition of maintaining a licence. Applicants not giving any advice to clients may choose to be registered as investment representatives (IRs). The proficiency requirements for IRs are similar to those for IAs, with the exception of the length of the training period (30 days as opposed to 90 days) and the 30-month requirement. In order to become a Sales Manager, the candidate must successfully complete the Branch Managers Course (BMC). Within 18 months they must also complete the Effective Management Seminar (EMS). Both courses are offered by CSI. Employees of securities firms who are not primarily engaged in sales, such as trading desk and certain administrative personnel, may occasionally accept orders from the public. In most provinces, such employees may be designated as Non-Trading Employees and may be exempt from registration by the administrator. If exempt status is not given, however, such employees are required to register with the applicable administrator. Firms may have full registration, allowing employees a fair amount of latitude in their dealings with the public. Some firms, such as mutual fund dealers, are restricted as to their permitted activities. IAs should be aware of any restrictions that apply to their firms. REGISTRATION CATEGORIES
Dealer members have several job positions where individuals must be registered. National Instrument (NI) 31-103, Registration Requirements, lists nine registration categories within a dealer member, all of which are distinguished by their functions: 1)
Investment Representative: approved to take unsolicited orders.
2)
Registered Representative: approved to give investment advice (also referred to as an Investment Advisor).
3)
Trader: approved to enter orders into the trading systems of specific exchanges.
4)
Supervisor: approved to supervise the business activities of other approved persons.
5)
Executive: approved to participate in the executive management of a dealer member.
6)
Director: approved to sit on the Board of Directors of a dealer member or occupy a similar position in a dealer member not organized as a corporation.
7)
Ultimate Designated Person: The Chief Executive Officer of a dealer member or person in a similar position, approved to have overall responsibility for the dealer member’s compliance with laws and regulations, including IIROC Rules, governing its securities related activities.
8)
Chief Financial Officer: approved to be responsible for ensuring that the dealer member complies with the financial adequacy requirements of IIROC Rules.
9)
Chief Compliance Officer: approved to be responsible for ensuring that the dealer member has systems and controls reasonably designed to ensure its compliance with laws and regulations, including IIROC Rules, governing its business conduct.
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The National Registration Database (NRD) The National Registration Database (NRD) is a web-based system used by investment dealers and employees to file registration forms electronically when applying for approval by any one or more of the stock exchanges, the CSA or IIROC. The NRD is designed to enable a single electronic submission to satisfy all jurisdictions in Canada. The significance of the NRD means that instead of requiring registrants who want to be licensed in more than one province or territory to file separate registration forms in each jurisdiction, the NRD is designed to enable a single electronic submission to satisfy all jurisdictions in Canada. The NRD also eliminates the burden of providing proof of registration in other jurisdictions because the regulators can use the NRD to verify registration status in other jurisdictions. Both the IA and the dealer member are required to notify the applicable SROs immediately in writing of any material changes in the original answers to the questions on the NRD application. This includes a change of address. Also, each dealer member is required to immediately report to the administrators and SROs to which it belongs, the termination of an IA. If the IA is dismissed for cause, a statement of the reasons for the dismissal must be reported.
Know Your Client Rule The SROs require that dealer members and their investment advisors: • • •
Learn the essential facts relative to every client and to every order or account accepted – the “know your client” rule. Ensure that the acceptance of any order for any account is within the bounds of good business practice. Ensure that recommendations made for any account are appropriate for the client and in keeping with his or her investment objectives, personal circumstances and tolerance to bearing risk – the suitability principle.
The first step in complying with this regulation is completion of a New Account Application Form prior to the acceptance of any order. A partner, director, officer or branch manager of the advisor’s firm must approve the application prior to or promptly after the completion of the first transaction.
Fiduciary Duty Every director of a public corporation has a fiduciary obligation not to reveal privileged or inside information to anyone not authorized to receive it. A director is not released from this obligation until there is a full public disclosure of such data, particularly when the information might have a bearing on the market price of the corporation’s securities. The rules of most stock exchanges deal with the potential conflicts of interest that may arise when a director of a public corporation is also a director, partner, officer or employee of a securities firm, and prescribe what is acceptable conduct by and for the director. The same obligations apply to an advisor or other employee of a dealer member who is assisting in an underwriting or acting in an advisory capacity to a corporation and as a result is discussing confidential matters. Should the matter require consultation with other personnel of the dealer member, adequate measures should be taken to guard the confidential nature of the information to prevent its misuse within or outside the dealer member. © CSI GLOBAL EDUCATION INC. (2010)
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Fiduciary obligations may also arise when an advisor is providing investment advice. Where an advisor undertakes to advise a client, the advisor owes a duty to the client to advise fully, honestly and in good faith. An advisor must ensure that all conflicts are disclosed and all representations made with respect to an investment are honest. In addition, an advisor acts as agent for the client in executing the client’s investment transaction (“best execution”). In doing so, the advisor is bound to do the best for the client and to follow the client’s instructions or intentions. An advisor must advise a client if instructions cannot be carried out, in order to allow the client to make alternate arrangements. A breach of these obligations can result in civil liability being imposed directly upon the advisor and upon the dealer member responsible for supervising the advisor. NATIONAL DO NOT CALL LIST
Advisors often use the telephone as a tool to solicit new clients. By doing so, they are considered as telemarketers by the Canadian Radio-television and Telecommunications Commission (CRTC). The CRTC has established Rules that telemarketers and organizations that hire telemarketers must follow. They include requiring the telemarketer to subscribe to the National Do Not Call List (DNCL). The DNCL Rules prohibit telemarketers and clients of telemarketers from calling telephone numbers that have been registered on the DNCL for more than 31 days. All telemarketers and clients of telemarketers must follow these Rules unless they are making calls that are specifically exempted. Telemarketing is broadly defined and includes sales or prospecting calls. Telemarketing firms must remove or “scrub” their calling lists of persons included in the DNCL. Detailed information about the DNCL can be found on the CRTC’s website: https://www.lnnte-dncl.gc.ca/ind/faqs-eng.
WHAT ARE THE ETHICS OF TRADING? Ethical trading is of paramount importance to both the investing public and the users of the capital markets, the listing corporations. If trading on an exchange were considered unethical it would be impossible for corporations to raise the money they require for expansion and growth because the investing public would simply not participate. This could cripple new financings by both initial and experienced issuers of securities. The exchanges and other SROs have developed extensive rules and regulations in conjunction with the securities regulators to govern trading. Infractions are punishable by fines, suspensions and expulsion. If required, criminal charges can be laid against those found to have violated regulations.Unethical conduct may be defined as any omission, conduct, manner of doing business or negotiation, which in the opinion of the disciplinary body is not in the public interest nor in the interest of the exchange. Decisions made by the SROs can be appealed to the governing body.
Examples of Unethical Practices The following are examples of practices which are considered unethical: •
Any conduct which has the effect of deceiving the public, the purchaser or the vendor of any security as to the nature of any transaction price or value of such security;
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•
Creating or attempting to create a false or misleading appearance of active public trading in a security, e.g., fictitious orders for the same security placed with a variety of securities firms or a series of orders for one security in an attempt to create a false impression of market interest;
•
Entering or attempting to enter into any scheme or arrangement to sell and repurchase a security in an effort to manipulate the market;
•
Deliberately causing the last sale for the day in a security to be higher than warranted by the prevailing market conditions (window dressing);
•
Making a fictitious trade or giving or accepting an order which involves no change in the beneficial ownership of a security for the purposes of misleading the public;
•
Misleading or attempting to mislead any board of governors or any committee on any material point;
•
Confirming a transaction where no trade has been executed (bucketing);
•
Improper solicitation of orders either by telephone or otherwise;
•
High pressure or other selling techniques of a nature considered undesirable;
•
Violation of any statute applicable to the sale of securities;
•
Selling or attempting to sell a prospective dividend on a stock;
•
Leading a client to believe that there is no risk or chance of loss through opening an account or trading in this account or purchasing a specific security;
•
Making a practice, directly or indirectly, of taking the opposite side of the market to clients, or effecting a trade for the advisor’s own account prior to effecting a trade for a client (front running); or
•
Conduct that would bring the securities business, the exchanges, or IIROC into disrepute.
A dealer member is responsible for the acts or omissions of all its employees. Conduct by an advisor considered unethical may be dealt with, in matters of discipline, as though it were the conduct of the dealer member itself, as well as that of the advisor.
Prohibited Sales Practices Securities legislation prohibiting certain types of selling activities exists for very good reasons. Any competent and honest advisor may earn a substantial income while performing a valuable service and will not be materially impeded by these provisions. Unethical, dishonest, high-pressure operators will find that such regulations are designed to curb their style of selling. It is extremely important that all advisors study the rules applicable in their province and conform carefully to all the requirements. All changes in the law should be carefully noted, and the advisor should immediately conform to such changes.
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WHAT ARE PUBLIC COMPANY DISCLOSURES AND INVESTOR RIGHTS? Securities legislation in each of the provinces requires the continuous disclosure of certain prescribed information concerning the business and affairs of public companies. This disclosure usually consists of periodic financial statements (including management discussion and analysis), insider trading reports, information circulars required in proxy solicitation, an annual information form (AIF), press releases and material change reports. The principle of disclosure is seen also in the requirements of the acts, regulations and policy statements of most provinces covering a distribution of securities. Generally, every person or corporation that sells or offers to sell to the public securities which have not previously been distributed to the public, or which come from a control position, is required to file with, and obtain the approval of, the administrator in the province. They must deliver to the purchaser a prospectus containing full, true and plain disclosure of all material facts related to the issue.
Continuous Disclosure Once a reporting issuer has distributed securities, the company must comply with the timely and continuous public disclosure requirements of the acts. The primary disclosure requirements include issuing a press release and filing a material change report with the administrators if a material change occurs in the affairs of the issuer. Any change in a company that would reasonably be expected to have a significant effect on the market price or value of its securities is called a material change. Exhibit 3.1 lists some of the items that constitute a material change in the affairs of a listed company. EXHIBIT 3.1
MATERIAL CHANGES
• A change in the nature of the business. • A change in the Board of Directors or the principal officers. • A change in the beneficial or registered share ownership of the company which, to the knowledge of the company, or its officers, directors or major shareholders, or in the opinion of the exchange, is sufficient to materially affect control. • The acquisition or disposition by the company, in one transaction or in a series of similar transactions, of any mining or oil property or interest, or of shares or other securities in another company. • The entering by the company into any management contract. • In instances of a takeover of one company by another, shareholders who do not tender their shares in acceptance of the offer may, by law, be required to tender their shareholdings at the request of the purchaser if a significantly large percentage of outstanding shares are voluntarily tendered. This force out provision helps eliminate tag-ends of outstanding issued shares not tendered under the offer. • In some cases, the sale of shares of certain companies to persons who are not Canadian citizens or not residents of Canada is restricted. These companies, known as constrained share companies, include banks, trust and insurance companies, broadcasting and communications companies.
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Companies also must file with the administrators annual and interim financial statements meeting prescribed standards of disclosure. Companies are required to ensure that no selective disclosure of confidential material information occurs to third parties, such as during meetings with financial analysts or restricted conference calls with institutional investors. By taping all such discussions and reviewing the tapes immediately after all meetings or conference calls, a company can determine whether any previously undisclosed confidential material information was inadvertently disclosed. If it was, an immediate press release by one of its responsible officers should be released, and the appropriate regulators should be notified of the inadvertent disclosure. While some securities legislation does not specifically require that the financial statements be sent directly to shareholders, provincial corporations legislation and stock exchange by-laws do make this a requirement. Most companies usually provide financial statements in the required form to all shareholders and send additional copies to the appropriate administrators. The financial disclosure provisions also require that the following information be sent to shareholders and administrators: •
Comparative audited annual financial statements including a statement of profit and loss, a statement of surplus (i.e., retained earnings), a balance sheet and a statement of changes in financial position within 120 days of the financial year-end for companies listed on the TSX Venture Exchange and 90 days for senior issuers on the TSX;
•
Comparative unaudited quarterly interim financial statements including an income statement and usually a statement of changes in financial position within 60 days of the end of each of the first three quarters of the financial year for companies listed on the TSX Venture Exchange and 45 days for senior issuers on the TSX.
Some administrators require additional financial disclosure and analysis beyond the financial statements in order to provide an adequate basis for assessment of the issuer’s recent history and outlook for the future. Such additional disclosure consists of the AIF and the Management Discussion and Analysis of financial condition and results of operations (MD&A).
Statutory Rights for Investors Canadian legislation provides three statutory rights for the purchaser of securities issued in Canada under prospectus requirements. RIGHT OF WITHDRAWAL
The relevant securities legislation usually provides purchasers during a distribution by prospectus with a right of withdrawal from an agreement to purchase securities within two business days after receipt or deemed receipt of a prospectus and any amendment, by giving notice to the vendor or its agent. If a distribution that requires a prospectus is done without a prospectus, the purchaser in most provinces can revoke the transaction, subject to applicable time limits. RIGHT OF RESCISSION
Most provinces give purchasers during a distribution by prospectus a right of rescission to rescind or cancel a contract for the purchase of securities, if the prospectus or amended prospectus offering the security contains a misrepresentation (e.g., an untrue statement of a material fact or an omission of a material fact). The right of rescission must be brought within 180 days of the © CSI GLOBAL EDUCATION INC. (2010)
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date of the transaction. In most provinces, a purchaser alleging misrepresentation must choose between the remedy of rescission and damages. In Québec, rescission or revision of the price may be sought without affecting a purchaser’s claim for damages. RIGHT OF ACTION FOR DAMAGES
The acts of most provinces provide that the issuer, the directors of an issuer, the seller of a security, the underwriter who signs a certificate for a prospectus, and any other person who signs a prospectus, may be liable for damages if the prospectus contains a misrepresentation. The same right of action for damages applies to an expert (such as an auditor, lawyer, geologist or appraiser) whose report or opinion, or a summary thereof, containing a misrepresentation appears with his or her consent in a prospectus. Experts are not liable if the misrepresentation did not appear in their report or opinion. For example, liability will not arise against the underwriter or the directors if they act with due diligence by conducting an investigation sufficient to provide reasonable grounds for a belief that there has been no misrepresentation. If the person or company can prove that the purchaser of the securities had knowledge of the misrepresentation, the claim may be considered invalid. The acts also provide certain limitations with respect to maximum liability that may be imposed and time limits during which an action may be brought. A misrepresentation in a prospectus may also be a criminal offence for both the issuer and any of its directors or officers who authorized, permitted or acquiesced in the making of the misrepresentation.
Proxies and Proxy Solicitation Every shareholder who is registered on a company’s books as owning shares is entitled to vote at the company’s annual general meeting. Shareholders receive proxy resolution and voting materials and an information circular to inform them of issues for consideration at the annual meeting. The proxy form or information circular must contain, among other items, information on directors to be elected, management compensation, and any other matters of interest to management. However, it is not always possible for a shareholder to attend the annual meeting. In this case, shareholders have the option of completing a proxy form prior to the meeting. A proxy is a power of attorney given by a shareholder that gives a designated person the authority to vote the shareholder’s stock. A proxy must be in writing and signed by the shareholder granting the proxy. If a shareholder does not vote or leaves the items on the proxy form unmarked, the ballot is automatically cast with management’s viewpoint. It is therefore important for shareholders to read the resolutions and vote their proxy ballots. Proxy forms are available for viewing on SEDAR’s (the System for Electronic Document Analysis and Retrieval) website at www.sedar.com. Most provinces require the management of a reporting issuer to solicit proxies from holders of its voting securities whenever it calls a shareholders’ meeting. These regulations were prompted by the realization that effective control of many companies is achieved through the use of proxies and that management could abuse its position in this area by soliciting proxies without proper disclosure. Shares are most often registered in street form; that is, in the name of someone or some entity other than the true beneficial owner of the shares – referred to as a nominee (e.g., a bank, investment dealer or the Canadian Depository for Securities). To ensure that all shareholders
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receive or could receive corporate information, the administrators introduced a policy requiring the nominees to mail out to all beneficial holders of corporate securities materials relating to meetings as well as certain shareholder information and voting instruction forms. This policy was designed to ensure that non-registered holders have the same access to corporate information and the same voting privileges as registered holders.
TAKEOVER BIDS AND INSIDER TRADING The securities legislation of most provinces contains provisions regulating takeover bids. A takeover is considered a change in the controlling interests of a company and could be a friendly acquisition or an unfriendly bid for control of the target company. Takeover bid legislation is basically designed to safeguard the position of shareholders of a company that is the target of a takeover by ensuring that each shareholder has a reasonable opportunity and adequate information to consider the bid.
Takeover Bids A takeover bid is an offer to the shareholders of a company to purchase the shares of the company that, with the offeror’s already owned securities, will in total exceed 20% of the outstanding voting securities of the company. In a takeover situation, the company (or individual) making the offer, if successful, will obtain enough shares to control the targeted company. The definition includes an offer to purchase, an acceptance of an offer to sell, and a combination of the two. A takeover bid that is not exempted under the relevant act must comply with a number of requirements including the following: •
The takeover bid must be sent to all holders in the province of the class of securities sought, including securities that are convertible into securities of that class prior to the expiry of the bid.
•
The offeror shall deliver with or as part of the bid, a takeover bid circular setting out certain prescribed information. This includes details about the bid, the offeror’s holdings in the target company and its relation to management of the target company.
•
A directors’ circular must be sent to the security holders of the target company within 15 days of the date of the bid. The board of directors of the target company is required to provide certain information and to include either a recommendation to accept or reject the takeover bid and the reason for their recommendation. If that is not done, then the board is required to issue a statement that they are unable to make or are not making a recommendation. If no recommendation is made, they must specify the reasons for not making a recommendation.
•
Any securities taken up by the offeror under the bid must be paid for within three business days.
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A takeover bid is exempt from the above requirements in any of the following cases: •
It is made through the facilities of the exchange in accordance with the by-laws, regulations and policies of such exchange.
•
It involves acquisitions which do not aggregate more than 5% of the securities of a class within a 12-month period and the price paid for any of the securities does not exceed the market price at the date of acquisition.
•
It is an offer by way of private agreement with five or fewer security holders at a price not exceeding 115% of the market price of the securities.
•
It is an offer to purchase shares in a private company.
•
In Ontario only, it is an offer where the number of holders of securities subject to the bid does not exceed 50 and the securities held constitute in aggregate less than two per cent of the outstanding securities of that class.
Under the acts, if a takeover bid circular is found to contain a misrepresentation and a security holder of the target company is deemed to have relied on this information to make an investment decision, that holder may elect to exercise a right to rescind the transaction. The investor also has a right of action for damages against the offeror, every director of the offeror, every expert (but only with respect to reports, opinions or statements made by such expert) and each other person who signed a certificate in the circular. Similarly if a directors’ circular contains a misrepresentation and a security holder of the target company is deemed to have relied on this information, that holder has a right of action for damages against every director or officer who has signed the circular. It is also an offence for a person or company to make a statement in a takeover bid circular or directors’ circular that contains a misrepresentation. EARLY WARNING DISCLOSURE
Most of the acts state that every person or company accumulating 10% or more of the outstanding voting securities of any class of a reporting issuer, or securities convertible into such securities, is required to issue a press release immediately. The purchaser must file the press release with the administrator and file a report within two business days with the administrator. The press release and report are to contain certain details of the acquisition including a statement of the purpose of the acquisition and any future intentions to increase ownership or control. After a formal bid is made for voting securities of a reporting issuer and before the expiry of the bid, every person or company, other than the offeror under the bid, acquiring five per cent or more of the securities of the class subject to the bid is required to issue a press release reporting this information. This press release must be issued no later than the opening of trading on the next business day, and a copy must be filed with the administrator.
Insider Trading Most provinces and the federal act require insiders of a reporting issuer to file reports of their trading in its securities. This is based on the principle that shareholders and other interested persons should be regularly informed of the market activity of insiders. In addition, insiders who make use of undisclosed information must give an accounting of their profits and may be liable for damages. The general principles of the law relating to insiders are described below. However,
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when a practical problem arises, great care must be taken to determine which of the various corporations acts, federal or provincial, apply to the situation. Their provisions differ slightly. WHO ARE INSIDERS
For the purposes of disclosure provisions of the acts, insiders are generally defined to include any of the following: •
A director or senior officer of the company, or a subsidiary;
•
A person or company (excluding underwriters in the course of public distribution) beneficially owning, directly or indirectly, or controlling or directing more than 10% of the voting shares of the company;
•
A director or senior officer of a company which is itself an insider of the company due to ownership, control or direction over more than 10% of the voting shares of the company involved; or
•
A reporting issuer where it has purchased, redeemed or otherwise acquired any of its securities, for so long as it holds any of its securities.
In some circumstances, insiders of Corporation A that has itself become an insider of Corporation B, may be deemed to be insiders of Corporation B. When dealing with trades relating to securities of a company that has been involved in such transactions, care should be taken to ascertain whether the persons involved are deemed under the relevant legislation to be insiders. INSIDER REPORTING
Reports must state the extent of the insider’s direct or indirect beneficial ownership of, or control or direction over, securities of the company. Thereafter, the insider must report to the administrators details of any change from the previous report within ten days of the change, or any trade. Securities firms should be aware that most acts require an insider who transfers (except for giving collateral for a debt) securities of a reporting issuer into the name of an agent, nominee or custodian to file a report with the administrator. All reports filed with the administrator are open for public inspection, and in some cases summaries are published in the administrator’s regular publication. Failing to file an insider report or giving false or misleading information are offences under the acts and are usually punishable by a fine.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
SUMMARY After reading this chapter, you should be able to: 1.
2.
3.
Identify and describe the agencies and legal entities through which the Canadian securities industry is regulated. •
Each province is responsible for creating the legislation and regulation under which the securities industry must operate. This regulatory authority is usually delegated by the province to its own provincial securities commission or administrator.
•
The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) provides regulatory oversight for all federally regulated financial institutions, including banks and insurance, trust, loan and investment companies licensed or regulated by the federal government.
•
The Canada Deposit Insurance Corporation (CDIC) is a federal Crown Corporation that protects eligible deposits from the financial failure of a member institution. Eligible deposits are insured for up to $100,000 per depositor in each member institution.
Evaluate the role self-regulatory organizations (SROs) play in the regulatory process. •
SROs are responsible for enforcing member conformity with securities legislation and they have the power to prescribe their own rules of conduct and financial requirements for their members.
•
Canadian SROs include the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) and the Mutual Fund Dealers Association (MFDA).
•
SRO regulation is divided between securities markets and the mutual funds distribution side. IIROC deals with all investment dealers and trading activity regulation on debt and equity marketplaces in Canada while MFDA deal with distribution side of the mutual fund industry.
•
CIPF protects clients of IIROC dealer members against losses caused by the insolvency of an IIROC dealer member and the MFDA IPC protects clients of MFDA member firms against losses caused by the insolvency of an MFDA member firm.
Discuss the principles that underlie securities legislation. •
The general principle underlying securities legislation is that of full, true, and plain disclosure of all pertinent facts by those offering securities for sale to the public.
•
Securities legislation is designed to protect investors through the registration of securities dealers and advisors, the disclosure of facts necessary to make reasoned investment decisions, and the enforcement of laws and policies.
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THREE • THE CANADIAN REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT
4.
Identify unethical practices and conduct in securities trading. •
5.
3•25
Unethical conduct is defined as any omission, conduct, and manner of doing business or negotiation that in the opinion of the disciplinary body is not in the public interest or in the interest of the exchange.
Describe the rules for public company disclosure and the statutory rights of investors. •
After distributing securities to the public, a reporting issuer must comply with the timely and continuous public disclosure of information. Disclosure can include issuing a press release or filing a material change report when significant changes to the company’s operations occur.
•
Continuous disclosure also requires reporting issuers to regularly file annual and interim financial statements with provincial administrators.
•
There are three statutory rights available to the purchaser of securities issued in Canada under prospectus requirements. – The right of withdrawal gives the purchaser the right to withdraw from an agreement to purchase securities within two business days after the deemed receipt of the company’s prospectus. – The right of rescission gives the purchaser the right to cancel the purchase of securities if the prospectus contains a misrepresentation. The purchaser has 180 days after the purchase to take advantage of this right. – If it is deemed that a prospectus contains a misrepresentation, the issuer, the directors of the issuer, the seller of the security, the underwriter, and any other person who signs off on the prospectus may be liable for damages under the right of action for damages.
6.
Now that you’ve completed this chapter and the on-line activities, complete this post-test.
Explain how takeover bids and insider trading are regulated and list the investigation and prosecution powers of securities regulators. •
A takeover is considered a change in the controlling interest of a company. It is an offer to purchase the shares of the company that will in total exceed 20% of the outstanding voting securities of the company. Takeover bids are subject to a number of disclosure requirements.
•
The reporting of trading activity by insiders of a reporting issuer is based on the principle that shareholders and other interested persons should be regularly informed of the market activity of insiders.
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SECTION
II
The Economy
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Chapter
4
Economic Principles
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4•1
4 Economic Principles
CHAPTER OUTLINE Foundations of Economics • Microeconomics and Macroeconomics • The Decision Makers • Demand and Supply Economic Growth • Measuring Gross Domestic Product • Productivity and Determinants of Economic Growth The Business Cycle • Phases of the Business Cycle • Using Economic Indicators • Identifying Recessions The Canadian Labour Market • Labour Market Indicators • Types of Unemployment Interest Rates • Determinants of Interest Rates • How Interest Rates Affect the Economy • Expectations and Interest Rates
4 •2
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Money and Inflation • The Nature of Money • Inflation • Disinflation • Deflation International Economics • The Balance of Payments • The Exchange Rate Summary
LEARNING OBJECTIVES By the end of this chapter, you should be able to: 1. Define economics, identify the decision makers in an economy, and describe the process for achieving market equilibrium. 2. Define gross domestic product (GDP), explain how GDP is measured, and list the factors that lead to growth in GDP. 3. Describe the phases of the business cycle, distinguish among the economic indicators used to analyze business conditions, and identify the determinants of long-term economic growth. 4. Compare and contrast the two key indicators of the labour market in Canada and the three main types of unemployment. 5. Describe the determinants of interest rates and discuss how interest rates affect the performance of the economy. 6. Define inflation, calculate the inflation rate using the Consumer Price Index (CPI), and analyze the causes and impacts of inflation, disinflation and deflation on an economy. 7. Define the accounts included in a country’s balance of payments, describe the determinants of the exchange rate, and explain the impact the balance of payments and the exchange rate have on the economy.
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4•3
ANALYZING ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE Economic news and events are announced daily. There are monetary policy reports from the Bank of Canada, quarterly gross domestic product estimates, regular changes in the Canadian exchange rate relative to the U.S. dollar, and data on monthly unemployment and housing starts to consider. For an investor or advisor, being able to recognize the impact these events could have on markets and individual investments helps make wise investment decisions. Economics is fundamentally about understanding the choices individuals make and how the sum of those choices affects our market economy. Whether it is the purchase of groceries, a home, or stocks and bonds, the interaction between consumer choices and the economy takes place in an organized market and at a price determined by demand and supply for goods and services by consumers, investors and governments. An example of an organized market is the Toronto Stock Exchange. Investors come together to buy and sell securities anonymously. Millions of transactions are carried out each day, and this anonymous interaction creates a market and an equilibrium price for a variety of securities. The buyer and seller of a security clearly have different views about the security (generally, the buyer believes it will go up in value and the seller believes it will go down), and it is likely that some type of economic analysis went into the decision to In the on-line buy or sell. Learning Guide for this module, complete the Getting Started activity.
4•4
In this first chapter on economics, we start with some of the building blocks, such as economic growth, interest rates, the labour markets, the causes of inflation and the determinants of the exchange rate. These first principles are important because they are the basis of your understanding of how economics and the economy tie into the process of making an investment decision.
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KEY TERMS Balance of payments
Interest rates
Business cycle
Labour force
Capital account
Lagging indicators
Coincident indicators
Leading indicators
Composite leading indicator
Macroeconomics
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
Market
Cost-push inflation
Microeconomics
Current account
Monetary aggregates
Cyclical unemployment
Natural unemployment rate
Deflation
Nominal GDP
Demand
Nominal interest rate
Demand-pull inflation
Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment (NAIRU)
Discouraged workers
Output gap
Disinflation
Participation rate
Economic indicators
Phillips curve
Equilibrium price
Potential GDP
Exchange rate
Real GDP
Factors of production
Real interest rate
Final good
Sacrifice ratio
Fixed exchange rate
Soft landing
Floating exchange rate
Structural unemployment
Frictional unemployment
Supply
Full employment
Terms of trade
Gross Domestic Product
Unemployment rate
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4 •6
CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
FOUNDATIONS OF ECONOMICS Economics is fundamentally about understanding the choices individuals make and how the sum of those choices determines what happens in our market economy. A market economy describes all of the activities related to producing and consuming goods and services, and how the decisions made by individuals, firms and governments determine the proper allocation of resources. Most of us would like to have more of what we have, or at least be able to buy or consume as much as we can. In reality, this is not possible because our spending habits are restrained by the amount of income we earn and by the fact that there is a limit to what an economy can produce during a given period. Because scarcity prevents us from having as much as we would like of certain goods, the performance of the economy hinges on the collective decisions made by millions of individuals. Ultimately, the interaction between these market participants determines what we pay for a good or service, or a stock or mutual fund, for example.
Microeconomics and Macroeconomics Economics is divided into two main topic areas: microeconomics and macroeconomics. Microeconomics analyzes the market behaviour of individual consumers and firms, how prices are determined, and how prices determine the production, distribution, and use of goods and services. For example, consumers decide how much of various goods to purchase, workers decide what jobs to take, and firms decide how many workers to hire and how much output to produce. Microeconomics looks to answer such questions as: • • •
How do minimum wage laws affect the supply of labour and company profit margins? How would a tax on softwood lumber imports affect the growth prospects in the forestry industry? If a government placed a tax on the purchase of mutual funds, will consumers stop buying them?
Macroeconomics focuses on the performance of the economy as a whole. It looks at the broader picture and to the challenges facing society as a result of the limited amounts of natural resources, human effort and skills, and technology. Whereas microeconomics looks at how the individual is impacted by changes in prices or income levels, macroeconomics focuses on such important issues as unemployment, inflation, recessions, government spending and taxation, poverty and inequality, budget deficits and national debts. Macroeconomics looks to answer such questions as: • • • •
Why did total output shrink last quarter? Why have the number of jobs fallen in the last year? Will a decrease in interest rates stimulate economic growth? How can a nation improve its standard of living?
Macroeconomics is our focus for the remainder of this chapter.
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FOUR • ECONOMIC PRINCIPLES
4•7
The Decision Makers There are three main groups that interact in the economy: consumers, firms and governments. • • •
Consumers set out to maximize their satisfaction or well-being within the limitations of their available resources – income from employment, investments or other sources. Firms set out to maximize profits by selling their goods or services to consumers, governments or other firms. Governments spend money on education, health care, employment training and the military. They oversee regulatory agencies, and they take part in public works projects, including highways, hydro-electric plants and airports.
The resources that these decision makers use to produce goods and services are called factors of production and include labour, natural resources, capital and entrepreneurship. Labour refers to the time and effort individuals dedicate to producing goods and services. Natural resources include land, minerals, water, energy and the so-called “gifts of nature” used in the manufacturing process. Capital includes the tools, machinery and instruments used to produce goods and services. Finally, entrepreneurship is a key ingredient as these individuals come up with the new ideas that help to propel the economy forwards. THE MARKET
The activity between consumers, firms and governments takes place in the various markets that have developed to make trade possible. A market is any arrangement that allows buyers and sellers to conduct business with one another. For example, the market for wheat in Canada is a network of producers, suppliers, wholesalers and brokers who buy and sell wheat. These decision makers do not meet physically, but are connected and make their deals by telephone, computer, fax and other delivery methods. Ultimately, this organized marketplace transforms wheat into a product that consumers buy. Within any market, there is a circular flow of goods and services and factors of production between consumers and firms. Consumers decide how much of their labour, entrepreneurship, natural resources and capital to sell to firms in what are called factor markets. In return for this, consumers receive income in the form of wages, rent, interest and profit. With this income, consumers then decide how to spend it on the goods and services produced by firms in what are called goods markets. In their role, firms must decide on the quantity of the factors of production to buy, how to use them, and what goods and services to produce and in what quantity.
Demand and Supply The price paid for a good or service is determined by the interaction between demand and supply. Consumers decide how much of a good or service to buy, while suppliers decide how much of a good or service to sell in the market. The quantity demanded of a good or service is the total amount consumers are willing to buy at a particular price during a given time period. For example, if at a price of $2,000 consumers are willing to buy 200 laptop computers, then 200 is the quantity demanded of laptops at that price. If the price of laptops rises to $2,500 and consumers are willing to buy 150 laptops, then the quantity demanded of this good has fallen to 150 units at this price. The relationship between the quantity demanded of a good and its price is the demand for that good, other factors held constant. These other factors include the prices of related goods, consumer income levels,
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
consumer tastes and preferences, and the population. According to the Law of Demand, the higher the price of a good or service the lower its demand, while the lower the price the higher its demand, other factors held constant. The quantity supplied of a good or service is the total amount that producers are willing to supply at a particular price during a given time period. For example, if a company that manufactures laptops is willing to supply 100 laptops to the market at a price of $1,500, then 100 is the quantity supplied of laptops at that price. The relationship between the quantity supplied of a good and its price is the supply for that good, other factors held constant. These other factors include the prices of inputs used in the production process (labour, natural resources, capital, etc.), the prices of related goods, technology, and the number of suppliers in the market. According to the Law of Supply, the higher the price of a good, the greater the quantity supplied. MARKET EQUILIBRIUM
Market equilibrium occurs when the buying decisions of consumers and the selling decisions of producers balance themselves out. In other words, equilibrium occurs when the price consumers are willing to pay for a good matches the price at which producers are willing to supply it. For example, we can find the market equilibrium of our fictitious laptop market using the information from Table 4.1. TABLE 4.1
MARKET FOR LAPTOPS
Price
Quantity Supplied (units)
$1,000
500
0
$1,500
350
100
$2,000
200
200
$2,500
150
300
$3,000
10
450
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Quantity Demanded (units)
4• 9
FOUR • ECONOMIC PRINCIPLES
Figure 4.1 shows the market for laptops. FIGURE 4.1
SHOWS THE MARKET FOR LAPTOPS.
Supply
Price
$3,000
Equilibrium Point
$2,000
$1,000 Demand 0
200
500
Quantity Supplied
Table 4.1 lists the quantities demanded and the quantities supplied at each price level. At each price above $2,000, there is an excess supply or surplus of laptops in the market because consumers are willing to buy less than producers are willing to sell at prices above $2,000. At each price below $2,000, there is an excess demand or shortage of laptops in the market as producers are unwilling to supply the market with adequate product at prices below $2,000. The one price that ensures a balance between the quantity demanded and the quantity supplied is $2,000. This intersection yields an equilibrium price of $2,000 and an equilibrium supply of 200 units. Prices play an important role in regulating the quantity demanded and the quantity supplied of any good or service. When the price of a good is too high, consumers will spend less on it so that the quantity demanded falls below the quantity supplied. When there is too much supply in the market, this places downward pressure on the price of that particular good. Conversely, when the price of a good is too low, the demand for that good will rise so that the quantity demanded exceeds the quantity supplied. Heavy demand not matched by an increase in supply places upward pressure on the price of that good. As Figure 4.1 shows, there is only one price at which the quantity demanded equals the quantity supplied, and this is our market equilibrium.
ECONOMIC GROWTH There are different ways of valuing a nation’s total production of goods and services – i.e., its output. Economic growth is an economy’s ability to produce greater levels of output over time and is expressed as the percentage change in a nation’s gross domestic product (GDP) over a given period. By measuring growth, we can better gauge the performance and overall health of the entire economy.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
Measuring Gross Domestic Product Gross domestic product (GDP) is the market value of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given time period, usually a year or a quarter. GDP estimates in Canada are prepared on a quarterly and annual basis by Statistics Canada. The quarterly reports are used to keep track of the short-term activity within the market, while the annual reports are used to examine trends and changes in production and the standard of living. Goods and services go through many stages of production before they end up in the hands of their final users. The calculation of GDP looks at the total amount of final goods produced over the period. A final good is a finished product, one that is purchased by the ultimate end user. For example, a Dell computer is a final good, but the Intel Pentium chip inside it is not since the Pentium chip was used to manufacture the computer. If the market value of all the Pentium chips were added together with the market value of all the Dell computers, GDP would be overstated. Only the market value of the Dell computer, a final good, is included in GDP. THE EXPENDITURE APPROACH AND THE INCOME APPROACH
There are two ways of measuring GDP: the expenditure approach, which looks at total spending on final goods and services produced in the economy, or by the income approach, which looks at the total income earned producing those goods and services. The expenditure approach measures GDP as the sum of four components: personal consumption (C), investment (I), government spending on goods and services (G), and net exports of goods and services (exports less imports, or X – M). •
Personal consumption measures the spending by households on goods and services produced in Canada and the rest of the world. It is the largest component of GDP and represented 55% of the total in 2005.
•
Investment measures spending by businesses on capital goods, such as plant and equipment, or by consumers on the purchases of new homes. It also measures the change in business inventories during the year.
•
Government spending on goods and services records the purchases by all levels of governments on such items as national defence, highway construction and public health, among others.
•
Net exports of goods and services records the market value of exports, what Canadian firms sell to the rest of the world, minus the market value of imports, what Canadians buy from the rest of the world.
The expenditure approach measures GDP as: GDP = C + I + G + (X – M)
The income approach measures GDP by summing the incomes that firms pay households for the factors of production they hire – wages for labour, rent for land, interest for capital goods, and profits for entrepreneurs. Since spending on goods and services is a source of income for someone else, the income approach looks at how the output produced in the economy during a period generates income.
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FOUR • ECONOMIC PRINCIPLES
4•11
These two measures of GDP show that all production results in income earned by workers, firms or investors, and all production is eventually consumed (or stored as inventory). Thus, GDP is obtained by adding up either all income earned in the economy, or all spending in the economy. In theory, GDP measured by the income approach and by the expenditure approach should be the same. REAL AND NOMINAL GDP
Producing more goods and services represents an improvement in a nation’s standard of living. However, if the increase in GDP was simply the result of higher prices, then the cost of buying those goods and services has increased, which reflects an increase in our cost of living but not an improvement in living standards. Nominal GDP is the dollar value of all goods and services produced in a given year at prices that prevailed in that same year, and is typically the amount reported in the financial press. Changes in nominal GDP from year to year reflect both changes in the prices of goods and services and changes in the amount of output produced in a year. Table 4.2 illustrates the relationship between the income and expenditure approaches and distinguishes between nominal GDP and the growth or percentage change in GDP on an annual basis. The table shows that nominal GDP was $1.450 trillion in 2006 and $1.536 trillion in 2007. Since GDP was higher in 2007 than it was in 2006, one or both of the following things happened during the year: 1. 2.
The economy expanded and produced more goods and services in 2007 than in 2006. Prices rose and consumers had to pay more for goods and services in 2007 compared with 2006.
Statistics Canada calculates a measure of GDP that isolates the change in production from changes in prices that prevailed during the year. Real GDP, or constant dollar GDP, is the dollar value of all goods and services produced in a given year valued at prices that prevailed in some base year. Holding prices constant to this base year establishes a better measure of the change in GDP that is the result of changes in the amount of output produced during the year. A doubling of GDP during the year tells us nothing about what is happening to the rate of real production unless we also know how prices or inflation also changed over the year. Therefore, differences between real and nominal GDP are entirely the result of changes in prices. Real GDP tells us what would have happened to spending on goods and services if quantities had changed but prices had not changed. For example, Table 4.2 shows that nominal GDP increased by 5.87% between 2006 and 2007, while the growth rate in real GDP was somewhat lower at 2.71%. The difference between the nominal and real GDP of 3.16% is due to price changes, or inflation. Real GDP is therefore the amount of output adjusted for the effects of inflation because it eliminates the impact of changes in the prices of goods and services on the amount of output produced during the year.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
TABLE 4.2
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT AT MARKET PRICES
$ Millions 2007
2006
% Change
Income-Based, Nominal GDP Labour income
788,357
743,313
Corporation profits before taxes
203,231
196,719
Government enterprise profits
15,539
14,638
Interest & investment income
71,515
66,421
110
-154
90,363
86,540
3,272
-2,407
Indirect taxes less subsidies
167,349
160,840
Capital consumption allowances
195,229
185,206
681
-626
1,535,646
1,450,490
Personal expenditures
852,770
803,260
Government expenditures
342,198
319,780
Investment expenditures
311,496
291,175
Exports of goods and services
532,118
522,698
Deduct: Imports of goods and services
502,255
487,048
-681
625
1,535,646
1,450,490
Personal expenditures
788,224
754,179
Government expenditures
307,739
286,683
Investment expenditures
285,363
279,865
Exports of goods and services
508,362
503,322
Deduct: Imports of goods and services
569,420
539,784
-588
554
1,319,680
1,284,819
Accrued net farm income Unincorporated business income Inventory valuation adjustment
Statistical discrepancy Gross Domestic Product
5.87%
Expenditure-Based, Nominal GDP
Statistical discrepancy Gross Domestic Product
5.87%
Expenditure-Based, Real GDP*
Statistical discrepancy Gross Domestic Product
Source: Statistics Canada, National Accounts tables. * Real GDP is measured by Statistics Canada using 1997 prices.
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2.71%
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FOUR • ECONOMIC PRINCIPLES
Productivity and Determinants of Economic Growth Since the industrial revolution, the GDP of industrialized economies has tended to grow over time. For example, Canada’s real GDP is six times higher than it was 50 years ago. Growth in GDP results from a variety of factors; among the more important are: • •
•
Increases in population over time. Even if the output of every worker remained constant, GDP would rise due to the growing work force. Increases in the capital stock. As more workers are provided with additional equipment and as their skills have been improved with better training and education, individual productivity rises. Improvements in technology. Technological innovation helps firms and workers to recombine existing resources of land, capital and labour in new and increasingly productive ways. Generally, this has involved the substitution of capital (i.e., improved machinery) for labour in the production of goods and services. A recent example is the continuing replacement of bank tellers by ATM machines.
Canadian labour productivity, or output per hour worked, has more than doubled since 1961. Gains in individual prosperity are ultimately related to increases in productivity. If productivity growth exceeds increases in the unit costs of production, firms are able to lower the prices of the goods and services they sell. GROWTH IN THE INDUSTRIALIZED WORLD
Table 4.3 reports actual and per capita real GDP growth rates for several countries. The table shows that real GDP per capita growth was fairly uneven for these countries over the last 18 years. Of the industrialized and newly industrialized countries, China reported the strongest growth over the entire period. TABLE 4.3
GDP GROWTH PERFORMANCE, SELECTED COUNTRIES, 1990 – 2007
Average Annual Percent Change Real GDP Growth 1990-99
2000-2005
2007
Canada
2.4
3.0
2.7
France
1.9
2.3
1.9
Germany
2.3
1.0
2.5
Italy
1.4
1.4
0.6
Japan
1.5
1.6
2.1
United Kingdom
2.1
2.7
3.1
United States
3.1
2.6
2.2
China
9.9
9.4
11.4
India
5.6
6.3
9.2
Source: International Monetary Fund,World Economic Outlook, April 2008.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
Sustained growth compounds remarkably over time. A policy measure that increases annual growth from 2% to 3% doubles a nation’s standard of living over a 30- to 40-year period. Apart from the growth slowdown experienced by countries in Table 4.3 in the 1990s, most have shown strong growth in GDP and labour productivity over the past 30-year period. Consequently, the standard of living, as measured by output per individual, has improved dramatically in all these countries. In a separate study, the IMF reported that countries considered to be behind in 1960 have virtually caught up with the U.S. Such convergence to the standard set by the current leader is a feature of the improving economies in many industrialized countries. Most of the countries that had a per capita income much lower than the U.S. in 1950 are now converging towards the U.S. standard. This trend is evident in Figure 4.2, which shows real GDP per capita in Canada and in other countries between 1960 and 2004. The figure shows that Canada had the second-highest real GDP per capita in 2004 next to the United States. Also notice that Japan recorded the most spectacular growth during the 1960s. FIGURE 4.2
ECONOMIC GROWTH AROUND THE WORLD
20,000 Real GDP Per Capita (U.S. Dollars ’000s)
4•14
15,000
10,000
Canada United States Europe Big 4
5,000
0
Japan
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2001 2004
Year Source: World Economic Outlook, International Monetary Fund, 2005.
The analysis of long-term trends in GDP growth rates is important, as it allows for the identification of countries with higher expected growth rates. If the analysis is correct, investment in these countries can lead to superior investment returns. THE DETERMINANTS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH
Increases in output per worker, or productivity, must originate from either an increase in capital per worker or improvements in the technology that combine labour and capital to produce output. The liquidity to support investment – i.e., additions to the capital stock – is generated from savings. In Canada, the ratio of savings to GDP over the last 45 years has averaged approximately 22%, compared with 25% in Germany and 34% in Japan.
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FOUR • ECONOMIC PRINCIPLES
4•15
Current research on the determinants of economic growth (which are reflected in higher investment values) suggests the following conclusions: •
Capital accumulation alone cannot sustain growth. Eventually, increased capital leads to smaller and smaller gains in output. So a higher savings rate is not responsible for a sustained higher growth rate over long periods of time. Nonetheless, a higher savings rate can ultimately support a higher level of output per individual.
•
Sustained growth requires technological progress which is associated with a complex pattern of basic research, applied research and product development situated in a supportive entrepreneurial context.
Growth accounting is a technique that was developed to differentiate between real GDP growth per worker due to capital, versus real GDP growth per worker due to technological progress. According to this approach, the period of high growth in the industrialized economies from 1950 to 1973 was largely due to rapid technological growth. Between 1973 and 1996, a slowdown in productivity growth occurred as technological progress and the rate of capital growth slowed over the period. Although productivity growth improved a great deal during the period 1996 to 2007, largely due to gains in technology, the rate of growth was slower than what was experienced in the 1960s and 1970s.
THE BUSINESS CYCLE Real GDP in Canada has grown on average by about 3.5% since the 1960s. Figure 4.3 shows that this growth has not been uniform throughout the period. In fact, growth was the most rapid in the 1960s and slowest during the 1980s. Economic fluctuations present a recurring problem for policy makers as downturns in economic growth are directly related to rising unemployment. Such fluctuations in output and employment are called the business cycle, and directly affect the value of investments over time.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
FIGURE 4.3
GROWTH RATE IN REAL GDP (%)
8 7 6 5 Growth %
4•16
4 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 '65
'70
'75
'80
'85 Year
'90
'95
'00
'05
Source: Bloomberg
Phases of the Business Cycle Growth in the economy is measured by the increase in real GDP. Figure 4.4 illustrates the various phases of a hypothetical business cycle. Even though the term cycle suggests that the business cycle is regular and predictable, this is not really the case. In reality, fluctuations in real output are both irregular and unpredictable, and this makes each business cycle unique. Nonetheless, the following sequence of events is relatively typical over the course of a business cycle. EXPANSION
In times of normal growth, the economy is steadily expanding. Inflation is stable, businesses have adjusted inventories to meet higher demand and are investing in new capacity to meet increased demand and to avoid shortages. Corporate profits are rising, new business start-ups outnumber bankruptcies, and stock market activity is strong. Job creation is steady and the unemployment rate is steady or falling. Overall, the growth rate of real GDP is rising during an expansion. PEAK
In the final stages of the expansion, demand begins to outstrip the capacity of the economy to supply it. Labour and product shortages cause wage increases and inflation to rise. As a result, interest rates rise and bond prices fall. This begins to dampen business investment and reduce sales of houses and big-ticket consumer goods. Business sales decline, resulting in accumulation of unwanted inventory and reduced profits. Stock prices fall and stock market activity declines. CONTRACTION
The economy contracts, or is in recession, when the level of economic activity actually begins to decline – i.e., real GDP decreases. Firms faced with unwanted inventories and declining profits © CSI GLOBAL EDUCATION INC. (2010)
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reduce production, postpone investment, curtail hiring and may lay off employees. Business failures outnumber start-ups. Falling employment erodes household income and confidence. Consumers react by spending less and saving more, which further cuts into sales, fuelling the recession. As business conditions worsen, economic activity slows in most sectors. If other countries are also experiencing a recession – especially the United States – the magnitude and duration of the recession in Canada is significantly increased by the reduction in the sale of goods to those outside Canada; in short, by the reduction in our exports. In turn, the rate of default and the probability of default by corporate borrowers increase, and are reflected in a higher default premium on corporate borrowings. TROUGH
As the recession continues, falling demand and excess capacity curtail the ability of firms to raise prices and of workers to demand higher salaries, and inflation falls. Interest rates follow, triggering a bond rally. The trough is reached when consumers who postponed purchases during the recession are spurred by lower interest rates to begin satisfying some of their pent-up demand. Stock prices rally. RECOVERY
During the recovery, GDP returns to its previous peak. The recovery typically begins with renewed buying of interest rate–sensitive items like houses and cars. Firms that reduced inventories during the recession must increase production to meet the new demand. They are typically still too cautious to hire back significant numbers of workers, but the period of widespread layoffs is over. Capacity utilization, or the degree to which businesses are making use of their production power, remains low, so firms are not yet ready to make significant new investment. Since unemployment remains high, wage pressures are restrained and inflation may decline further. When the economy rises above its previous peak, at point A in Figure 4.4, another expansion has begun. FIGURE 4.4
THE BUSINESS CYCLE
Peak Rising Trend in GDP Peak GDP
A Contraction
Expansion Trough
Time
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Expansion Recovery
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Using Economic Indicators Economic indicators are statistics or data series that are used to analyze business conditions and current economic activity. They can help to show whether the economy is expanding or contracting. For example, if certain key indicators suggest that the economy is going to do better in the future than had previously been expected, investors may decide to change their investment strategy. Economic indicators are classified as leading, coincident or lagging. LEADING INDICATORS
Leading indicators tend to peak and trough before the overall economy, i.e., they are designed to anticipate emerging trends in economic activity. They are the most useful and widely used of the economic indicators since they anticipate change by indicating what businesses and consumers have actually begun to produce and spend. Among the most important leading data series are housing starts (which precede construction) and manufacturers’ new orders, especially for durables (which indicate expectations of higher levels of consumer purchases of such items as automobiles and appliances). Others include spot commodity prices (which reflect rising or falling demand for raw materials), average hours worked per week (which rise or fall depending on the level of output and therefore anticipate changes in employment), stock prices (which suggest changing levels of profits) and the money supply (which indicates available liquidity and thus has an impact on interest rates). Statistics Canada combines 10 leading indicators into a single index of leading indicators, called the Composite Leading Indicator. Its components are listed in Table 4.4. In addition to Statistics Canada, most financial institutions prepare studies based on similar data to identify changing business cycle trends. TABLE 4.4
COMPONENTS OF STATISTICS CANADA’S COMPOSITE LEADING INDICATOR
1.
S&P/TSX Composite Index
2.
Real Money Supply (M1)
3.
United States Composite Leading Index (which attempts to anticipate American demand for Canadian exports)
4.
New Orders for Durable Goods
5.
Shipments to Inventory Ratio – Finished Goods
6.
Average Work Week
7.
Employment in Business and Services
8.
Furniture and Appliance Sales
9.
Sales of Other Retail Durable Goods
10. House Spending Index (includes housing starts and house sales)
To predict stock market price movements, investment strategists use leading indicators that precede changes in the business cycle by a longer time period than the stock market does.
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There are problems implicit in relying on composite leading indicators to predict changes in the business cycle. On occasion, a trend in published statistics is observable only after the economy has already moved into the stage of cycle the trend predicts. Sometimes a false signal is given. In any case, the magnitude of the anticipated new trend is not signalled (i.e., it may be a pause, an economic slowdown or a recession). However, if all indices are signaling the same trend for a similar period of time, the probability of accuracy is higher. COINCIDENT INDICATORS
Coincident indicators are those which change at approximately the same time and in the same direction as the whole economy, thereby providing information about the current state of the economy. Personal income is a good example because if it is rising, economic growth will typically follow. Other coincident indicators include GDP, industrial production and retail sales. A coincident index may be used to identify, after the fact, the dates of peaks and troughs in the business cycle. LAGGING INDICATORS
Lagging indicators are those which change after the economy as a whole changes. These indicators are important because they can confirm that a business cycle pattern is occurring. Unemployment is one of the more popular lagging indicators because a rising unemployment rate is an indication that the economy is doing poorly or that companies are anticipating a downturn in the economy. Other examples of lagging indicators include private sector plant and equipment spending, business loans and interest on such borrowing, labour costs, the level of inventories and the inflation rate.
Identifying Recessions A popular definition of a recession is at least two consecutive quarters of declining growth in real GDP. However, Statistics Canada and the U.S. National Bureau of Economic Research describe a recession differently. Statistics Canada judges a recession by the depth, duration and diffusion of the decline in business activity. The decline must be of substantial depth, since marginal declines in output may be merely statistical error. The duration must be more than a couple of months, since bad weather alone can cause a temporary decline in output. The decline must be a feature of the whole economy. While a strike in a major industry can cause GDP to decline, that does not constitute a recession. The behaviour of employment and per capita income may also be taken into account. The recession that began in April 1990 (see Table 4.5) posed particular dating problems. After four quarters of unambiguous decline and one quarter of unambiguous growth, the economy neither grew nor shrank meaningfully for six quarters, although employment continued to fall. We have dated the end of that recession to the second quarter of 1992, when employment reached its trough. The latest recession in Canada began in April 2001. However, this episode was viewed by many as a mini-recession as the economy never actually produced two successive quarters of declining growth.
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In recent years, the term soft landing has been used to describe a business cycle phase when economic growth slows sharply but does not turn negative, while inflation falls or remains low. Soft landings are considered the “Holy Grail” of policy makers, who want sustained growth without the cost of recurring recessions. TABLE 4.5
POST-WAR PERIODS OF ECONOMIC SLOWDOWN AND RECESSION IN CANADA
Highest Unemployment Rate (%)
Peak-to-Trough Decline in GDP (%)
Dates
Duration
* June ’51 – Dec. ’51
7 months
3.6
0.7
* June ’53 – June ’54
13 months
5.2
3.1
* Feb. ’57 – Jan. ’58
12 months
6.5
0.5
* Apr. ’60 – Jan. ’61
10 months
7.7
1.7
Feb. ’70 – Sept. ’70
8 months
6.7
0.5
* June ’74 – Mar. ’75
10 months
7.2
0.6
* Nov. ’79 – June ’80
8 months
7.8
1.9
* July ’81 – Dec. ’82
18 months
12.7
6.5
Apr. ’90 – Mar. ’92
23 months
11.5
3.6
** Apr. ’01 – Sept. ’01
5 months
7.9
4.3
* Recession as determined by Statistics Canada. ** Technically a growth slowdown or downturn and not a recession. Some economists feel that the February–September, 1970 period should be regarded as a recession, breaking the expansion period from January, 1961 to June, 1974 into two segments.
THE CANADIAN LABOUR MARKET For most Canadians, the performance of the economy affects them most personally in the labour market. When the economy is strong, so is the demand for labour. Employment rises, the unemployment rate falls, and workers win bigger wage raises and/or non-wage benefits. Conversely, when the economy weakens, so does the demand for labour, and wage demands are restrained. Statistics Canada divides the population into two groups: the working-age population (those individuals aged 15 years and older) and those too young to work. Statistics Canada also defines the labour force as the sum of the working-age population who are either employed or unemployed. Table 4.6 shows the Canadian labour market for 2007. Of the 26.7 million Canadians included as part of the working-age population, 18.1 million were part of the labour force. Within the labour force, 17 million were employed in either full-time or part-time work and 1.1 million
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were unemployed and did not have jobs. The difference between the population and the working age population likely consisted of full-time students and those retired from working. TABLE 4.6
Population
THE LABOUR MARKET IN CANADA AS AT DECEMBER 2007
Working-Age
Labour
Employed Population
26,719,500
18,082,300
17,009,900
33,281,926
Unemployed Force 1,072,400
Source: Statistics Canada website, Labour Force Survey, January 2008.
Labour Market Indicators There are two key indicators that describe the labour market: the participation rate and the unemployment rate. •
The participation rate represents the share of the working-age population that is in the labour force. Using numbers from Table 4.6, the labour force participation rate in Canada was 67.5% (18,082,300 divided by 26,719,500) in 2007. The participation rate is an important indicator because it shows the willingness of people to enter the work force and take jobs.
•
The unemployment rate represents the share of the labour force that is unemployed and actively looking for work. The unemployment rate may rise either because the number of employed fell or the number of people entering the work force looking for work rose, or both. As of December 2007, the number of people unemployed in Canada was 1.072 million and the unemployment rate was 5.9% (1,072,400 divided by 18,082,300). Incidentally, the average unemployment rate in Canada over the past 40 years has been 7.7%.
The participation rate in Canada has followed a mostly upward trend over the last 40 years, rising from 54% in the early 1960s to its current level of 67.5% in 2007. In fact, the participation rate remained relatively stable in Canada over the last several years, averaging around 65%. Figure 4.5 shows the patterns in the Canadian unemployment rate since the 1960s. In general, the upward trend with large fluctuations corresponds to the trend and stages of the business cycle. Significant post-war peaks in unemployment were recorded during the last two major recessions in Canada. The peak at 11.9% corresponds to the recession of 1980–1983, while the peak of 11.4% corresponds to the recession of 1991. Typically, the impact of economic downturns varies across workers, with young and unskilled workers the most vulnerable. The recession of 1990–91 was somewhat different as the unemployment rate among prime-age workers jumped higher than usual.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
FIGURE 4.5
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE IN CANADA (%) 1965 - 2005
12
Unemployment Rate (%)
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10
8
6
4
2 '65
'70
'75
'80
'85 Year
'90
'95
'00
'05
Source: Bloomberg
Some people are unemployed for a short time, while others are unemployed for longer periods. The average duration of unemployment varies over the business cycle and is typically shorter during an expansion and longer during a recession. At times, job prospects are so poor that some of the unemployed simply drop out of the labour force and become discouraged workers. Discouraged workers are those individuals that are available and willing to work but cannot find jobs and have not made specific efforts to find a job within the previous month, and so are not included as part of the labour force. The disappearance of these “discouraged unemployed workers” can produce an artificially low unemployment rate.
Types of Unemployment There are three general types of unemployment: cyclical, frictional and structural. Cyclical unemployment is tied directly to fluctuations in the business cycle. It rises when the economy weakens and firms lay off workers in response to lower sales. It drops when the economy strengthens again. Frictional unemployment is the result of normal labour turnover, from people entering and leaving the work force and from the ongoing creation and destruction of jobs. Even in the best of economic times, people are looking for work because they have finished school, quit, been laid off or been fired from their most recent job. This is a normal part of a healthy economy. Structural unemployment occurs when workers are unable to find work or fill available jobs because they lack the necessary skills, do not live where jobs are available, or decide not to work at the wage rate offered by the market. This type of unemployment is closely tied to changes in technology, international competition and government policy. Structural unemployment typically lasts longer than frictional unemployment because workers must retrain or possibly relocate to find a job. © CSI GLOBAL EDUCATION INC. (2010)
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The distinction between frictional and structural unemployment is sometimes difficult to determine. There are always job openings and potential workers to fill those jobs. With frictional unemployment, unemployed workers have the required skill levels to fill a job vacancy. With structural unemployment, however, unemployed workers looking for work do not possess the needed skills to find a job. A pressing problem in Canada’s economy is the apparent rising trend in unemployment, both frictional and structural, since the mid-1960s as shown in Figure 4.5. Some explanations advanced for this increase: •
Labour market regulations may discourage hiring. Minimum wages may be set too high, thereby reducing the incentive for businesses to hire low-skilled workers and offer on-the-job training.
•
Labour market rigidities, such as the strength of unions to maintain wages in the face of economic downturns, may prompt firms to reduce costs by laying off workers. Payroll taxes and other indirect labour costs also make it more expensive to create jobs.
•
Welfare and employment insurance benefits can make it more attractive for workers to remain unemployed or at least encourage longer periods of searching for work instead of taking low paying jobs. Although the generosity of these programs in Canada has decreased significantly over the past 20 years, they have contributed to the rising trend in the unemployment rate.
•
The severity of recent recessions means workers spend more time unemployed. As a result, their skills may become rusty or even obsolete, especially in a context where technological change is rapidly altering what employers demand of workers. These workers may become unemployable even in strong economic times due to their lack of marketable skills.
The existence of frictional and structural factors in the economy prevents unemployment from falling to zero. This means that even in times of healthy economic growth, there is a level below which unemployment will not drop without causing other negative economic effects. This minimal level of unemployment is called the natural unemployment rate, the full employment unemployment rate, or the non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU). At this level of unemployment, the economy is thought to be operating at close to its full potential or capacity such that all resources, including labour, are fully employed. Further employment growth is achieved either through increased wages to attract people into the labour force which fuels inflation, or by more fundamental changes to the labour market that removes impediments to job creation. The Bank of Canada and the Department of Finance estimate Canada’s natural unemployment rate at somewhere between 61/2% and 7%. The Bank of Canada pays close attention to the actual unemployment rate and the natural unemployment rate as the gap between the two has an important influence on wage inflation. •
When the actual unemployment rate is above the natural rate, an excess supply of workers in the market weakens labour bargaining power, which discourages wage gains and helps to keep inflation in check.
•
When the actual unemployment rate is below the natural rate, a shortage of workers contributes to an increase in wage gains and higher inflation.
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Thus, the natural unemployment rate is often viewed as the level of unemployment that is consistent with stable inflation, which is why it is an important number with respect to monetary and fiscal policy decisions.
Complete the on-line activity associated with this section.
Over time, workers’ wages are determined by their productivity. If the value of what each worker in a firm produces rises by 5% in a year, each worker’s wage can also rise 5% without reducing profits. Occasionally, when unemployment is low, wage increases may outstrip productivity growth. Firms try to recover the increased cost by raising prices, which may contribute to a wageprice spiral. Thus, wage settlements by both unionized and non-unionized workers are considered an important indicator of inflation, firm profitability and international competitiveness.
INTEREST RATES Interest rates are an important link between current and future economic activity. For consumers, interest rates represent the gain from deferring consumption from today to tomorrow via saving. For businesses, interest rates represent one component of the cost of capital – i.e., the cost of borrowing money. Thus, the rate of growth of the capital stock, which determines future output, is related to the current level of interest rates. Interest rates are one of the most important financial variables affecting securities markets. Since they are essentially the price of credit, changes in interest rates reflect, and affect, the demand and supply for credit and debt, and this has direct implications for the bond and money markets. Changes in interest rates made by the Bank of Canada also signal changes in the direction of monetary policy, and this has broader implications for the entire economy.
Determinants of Interest Rates A broad range of factors influences interest rates: •
Demand and supply of capital: A large government deficit or a boom in business investment raises the demand for capital and forces up the price of credit (interest rates), unless there is an equivalent increase in the supply of capital. In turn, the higher interest rate may encourage people to save more. An increase in the savings of government, companies or households may reduce their demand for borrowing. This, in turn, may reduce interest rates.
•
Default risk: The greater the risk that borrowers may default, the higher the interest rate demanded by lenders. If the central government is at risk of defaulting on its debt, interest rates rise for everybody. This additional interest rate is referred to as a default premium.
•
Central bank operations: The Bank of Canada exercises its influence on the economy by raising and lowering short-term interest rates. However, it has much less impact on longerterm rates, especially bond yields. Its influence on bond yields results more from the credibility of its longterm commitment to low inflation rather than any direct influence over long-term bond yields.
•
Foreign interest rates and the exchange rate: Since Canada has an open economy and investors are free to move their money between Canada and other countries, foreign interest rates and financial conditions influence Canadian interest rates.
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Example: A rise in interest rates in the U.S. increases investors’ returns on money invested there. Investors holding Canadian dollars and who would like to invest in the U.S. will need to sell their Canadian dollars to purchase U.S. dollar-denominated securities. This increases the supply of Canadian dollars on the foreign exchange market and places downward pressure on the value of the Canadian dollar. If the Bank of Canada would like to slow or reduce the fall in the value of the Canadian dollar, they can intervene and raise short-term interest rates, even if underlying conditions in Canada are unchanged. This will encourage investors to continue holding Canadian investments rather than switch to U.S. dollar-denominated securities.
•
Central bank credibility: One of the main responsibilities of a central bank is to keep inflation low and stable. The more credible and long-established a commitment to low inflation has been, the lower interest rates will be to compensate for the risk of rising inflation.
•
Inflation: The higher the expected inflation rate, the higher the interest rate that must be charged by lenders to compensate for the erosion of the purchasing power of money over the duration of the loan.
How Interest Rates Affect the Economy Higher interest rates affect the economy in the following ways: •
They may raise the cost of capital for business investments. An investment should earn a greater return than the cost of the funds used to make the investment. Higher interest rates reduce the possibility of profitable investments. In turn, this reduces business investment.
•
By increasing the cost of borrowing, higher interest rates discourage consumers from spending, especially to buy houses and major durable goods like cars and furniture on credit. This encourages consumers to save more.
•
By increasing the portion of household income needed to service debt, such as mortgage payments, they reduce the income available to be spent on other items. This effect may be offset somewhat by the higher interest income earned by savers.
Thus, higher interest rates have a negative effect on growth prospects. The effect of lower interest rates is the opposite in each case and can provide a positive environment for economic growth.
Expectations and Interest Rates Investment decisions are forward-looking. Any decision to purchase a security is based on an expectation about the future return from the security. Increased optimism in the market can generate a rise in stock prices. Consumer pessimism can stall economic growth, and decrease share prices. Moreover, government economic policies may work only through their impact on people’s expectations. For example, the Bank of Canada makes considerable effort to maintain the credibility of its commitment to low inflation. The role of inflation expectations is particularly important in determining the level of nominal interest rates. The nominal interest rate is one where the effects of inflation have not been removed – for example, the rate charged by a bank on a loan, or the quoted rate on an investment such as a Guaranteed Investment Certificate or Treasury bill. Other things equal, the higher the rate of inflation, the higher nominal interest rates will be. In contrast, the real interest rate is © CSI GLOBAL EDUCATION INC. (2010)
CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
the nominal interest rate minus the expected inflation rate over the term of the loan. Since it is difficult to measure investors’ inflation expectations, the realized inflation rate is often used as a proxy for the expected inflation rate. Figure 4.6 shows nominal and historical (or ex post) real rates in Canada over the last 27 years. Notice that nominal interest rates are considerably lower than they were in the early 1980s. Real rates have fluctuated between 5% and 7% until recently when they dropped below 1%. FIGURE 4.6
NOMINAL AND REAL (EX POST) T-BILL RATES CANADA 1980 – 2007
20 Real Rate Nominal Rate
15 T-Bill Rates (%)
4•26
10
5
0 1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
Year Source: Bank of Canada website, Banking and Financial Statistics, March 2008.
If the progress of future inflation is uncertain, then so are expectations of future nominal interest rates. Bond prices reflect both a change in expectations and any uncertainties associated with such expectations. In an environment with consistently low inflation, the pricing of financial instruments such as government bonds is more straightforward.
MONEY AND INFLATION Money makes the market go around. It is used to purchase goods and services, real assets like land and capital goods, and financial assets such as bonds, stocks and other investments. Money is the essential ingredient that makes the economy function. As we discuss below, changes in the amount of money in circulation impacts the economy in different ways. Inflation occurs when prices are rising. This is problematic because as prices rise money begins to lose its value – that is, more and more money is needed to buy the same amount of goods and services, and this has a negative effect on living standards. Inflation is an important economic indicator for securities markets because it is the rate at which the real value of an investment is eroded.
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The Nature of Money Money can be any object that is accepted as payment for goods and services, and that can be used to settle debts. Its function as a medium of exchange is essential. Without money, goods and services would need to be exchanged with other goods and services in some form of barter system. Money also acts as a unit of account so that we know exactly the price of a good or service. Finally, money represents a store of value since it does not have an expiration date if a consumer decides to save it for a later use. The more stable the value of money, the better it can act as a store of value. The amount of money in circulation can be measured in a variety of ways. Some of these different measures, known as monetary aggregates, are described in Table 4.7. As one way of monitoring economic activity, the Bank of Canada looks primarily at changes in the growth rate of M1 and M2+ when conducting monetary policy because these aggregates provide information about changes that are occurring in the economy. M1 gives information on the future level of production in the economy, while the broader aggregates, M2 and M2+, provide a useful leading indicator of the rate of inflation. By monitoring these aggregates, the Bank strives to keep the rate of money growth consistent with low inflation and long-term growth. TABLE 4.7
BANK OF CANADA MONETARY AGGREGATES FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY
M1: Currency (Bank of Canada notes and coin) held outside banks Personal chequing accounts Demand deposits at chartered banks held by individuals and businesses M2 = M1 plus the following: Personal savings deposits at chartered banks Non-personal notice deposits at chartered banks M2+ = M2 plus the following: Deposits at trust and mortgage and loan companies Deposits at credit unions and caisses populaires Life insurance company individual annuities Money market mutual funds M2++ = M2+ plus the following: Canada Savings Bonds (CSBs) Non-money market mutual funds M3 = M2 plus the following: Non-personal term deposits at chartered banks Foreign currency deposits at chartered banks
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Inflation Inflation in an economy-wide sense is defined as a generalized, sustained trend of rising prices. A one-time jump in prices caused by an increase in the price of oil or the introduction of a new sales tax is not true inflation, unless it feeds into wages and other costs and initiates a wage-price spiral. Likewise, a rise in the price of one product is not in itself inflation, but may just be a relative price change reflecting the increased scarcity of that product. Inflation is ultimately about money growth. It is a reflection of “too much money chasing too few products.” The Canadian Consumer Price Index (CPI) is one of the most widely used indicators of inflation and is considered a measure of the cost of living in Canada. Statistics Canada tracks the retail price of a shopping basket comprised of 600 different goods and services, each weighted to reflect typical consumer spending. In this way, the CPI represents a measure of the average of the prices paid for this basket of goods and services. Statistics Canada has a difficult task creating a basket of goods and services that is representative of the typical Canadian household. They try to make the relative importance of the items included in the CPI basket the same as that of an average Canadian household. However, it is almost impossible to construct a “basket of goods” that would be representative of all consumers. For example, the spending patterns of a family with young children would not be the same as the spending patterns of a retired couple. When calculating CPI, prices are measured against a base year, which at the moment is 2002, and this base year is given a value of 100. The total CPI was 111.5 at the end of 2007, which indicates that the basket of goods costs 11.5% more than it did in 2002. The CPI is an important economic indicator because it is used in the calculation of the inflation rate, which is the percentage change in the price level from one year to the next. The inflation rate is calculated by comparing the current period CPI with a previous period: Inflation Rate =
CPI Current Period - CPI Previous CPI PPrevious Period
Pe riod
× 100
The CPI was 111.5 in 2007 and 109.1 in 2006. The inflation rate over the year was 2.20%: Inflation rate
111.5 109.1 q100 109.1
0.021998 q100 2.20%
Inflation has not been much of a problem over the last decade. Over the past 42 years, Canada’s inflation rate reached 12.2% in 1981 and fell as low as 0.2% in 1994. The inflation rate declined dramatically in both the early 1980s and 1990s based on monetary policy actions taken by the Bank of Canada. Figure 4.7 shows the inflation rate in Canada over the last 40 years.
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FOUR • ECONOMIC PRINCIPLES
FIGURE 4.7 THE INFLATION RATE IN CANADA 1965 – 2005
15
Inflation Rate %
12
9
6
3
0 1965
1975
1985
1995
2005
Year Source: Bloomberg
THE COSTS OF INFLATION
Inflation imposes many costs on the economy: •
It erodes the standard of living of those on a fixed income and those who lack wage bargaining power. It rewards those able to increase their income either through increased wages or changes to their investment strategy, in response to inflation. Thus, inflation aggravates social inequities.
•
Inflation reduces the real value of investments such as fixed-rate loans, since the loans are paid back in dollars that buy less. This can be good for the borrower if his or her income rises with inflation. But, more likely, inflation results in lenders demanding a higher interest rate on the money they lend.
•
Inflation distorts the signals prices send to participants in market economies, where prices are critical for balancing supply with demand. Rising prices draw resources into areas of scarcity, and falling prices move funds away from glutted areas. When inflation is high, it is difficult to determine if a price increase is simply inflationary, or a genuine relative price change.
•
Accelerating inflation usually brings about rising interest rates and a recession. Thus, highinflation economies usually experience more severe booms and busts than low-inflation economies.
In recent years, central banks throughout the world have become more acutely concerned with these costs and have increased their commitment to price stability. © CSI GLOBAL EDUCATION INC. (2010)
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
THE CAUSES OF INFLATION
The relationships among the growth rate of money, inflation and the rate of unemployment are a subject of considerable controversy. Areas of agreement on the causes of inflation include: •
In the long run, money is neutral; that is, changes in money growth are reflected fully in changes in inflation. The extra money in the economy is a monetary phenomenon that serves only to bid up prices.
•
Higher money growth may lower interest rates in the short run and lead to increased economic activity through increased investment and lower unemployment. In the long run, nominal interest rates adjust to the new level of money growth and there is no impact on real economic variables such as output and unemployment. Only the inflation rate changes.
•
Some evidence supports a short-run inverse relationship between inflation and the level of unemployment. This relationship is called the Phillips curve.
•
An important determinant of inflation is the balance between supply and demand conditions in the economy. Economists use an indicator called the output gap to measure inflation pressures in the economy by looking at the difference between real GDP, what the economy actually produces, and potential GDP, what the economy is capable of producing when its existing inputs of labour, capital, and technology are fully employed at their normal levels of use. Think of potential output as the maximum level of real GDP that the economy can maintain without inflation increasing. A negative output gap occurs when actual output is below potential output. In this case, economists would say there is spare capacity in the economy – the economy can produce more output because its resources are not being used to their full capacity. Unemployed workers and unused plant and equipment resources can be called into service without impacting wages or prices. Thus, inflation will fall or remain steady. A positive output gap occurs when actual output is above potential output. In this case, economists would say the economy is operating above capacity – the economy is trying to produce more than it can with existing resources. Scarce labour fuels wage increases, and other strains on productive resources place upward pressure on inflation. In general, a positive output gap occurs as the economy moves through an expansion towards the peak. Output continues to expand, consumer income is rising, and this leads to strong consumer demand for goods and services. However, this creates a situation whereby if companies can continue to operate well above normal capacity, they can raise prices in response to this strong demand. In this way, higher and continued consumer demand pushes inflation higher. This state of affairs is called a situation of demand-pull inflation.
•
Inflation can also rise or fall due to shocks from the supply side of the economy – when the cost of producing output changes. For example, the rise of world energy prices in the 1970s caused inflation to rise. At a given price level, when faced with higher costs of production from higher wages or increases in the price of raw materials, firms respond by raising prices and producing a smaller amount of their product. In this way, the higher costs push inflation higher. This is an example of cost-push inflation.
Since determining the output gap and its impact on inflation is so difficult, a number of indicators are monitored for signs of changes in inflation. Commodity and wholesale prices often
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react to shortages or gluts before consumer prices. Wage settlements may give a signal on wage inflation and inflation expectations. Bank credit reflects households’ demand for major purchases. Movements in the exchange rate often affect inflation through their impact on the price of imports.
Disinflation Just as there are costs associated with rising inflation, a falling rate of inflation can also have a negative impact on the economy. Disinflation is a decline in the rate at which prices rise – i.e., a decrease in the rate of inflation. Prices are still rising, but at a slower rate. The potential cost of disinflation is captured by the Phillips curve, which says that when unemployment is low, inflation tends to be high, and when unemployment is high, inflation tends to be low. According to this theory: • •
Lower unemployment is achieved in the short run by increasing inflation at a faster rate. Lower inflation is achieved at the cost of possibly increased unemployment and slower economic growth.
To gauge the cost of disinflation, the sacrifice ratio is used to describe the extent to which GDP must be reduced with increased unemployment to achieve a 1% decrease in the inflation rate. Recent studies by the Bank of Canada suggest that the sacrifice ratio is as high as 5; that is, 5% of output must be sacrificed to bring down inflation 1%. So there may be a considerable cost in lost output in pursuing the goal of lower inflation. This cost could involve a significant period of relatively high unemployment. The costs of disinflation were evident in Canada most recently in the early 1990s. In 1988, the inflation rate in Canada was 4% and the unemployment rate was 7.8%. Six years later in 1994, the inflation rate had dropped dramatically to 0.2% while the unemployment rate had risen to 10.4%. As Table 4.8 shows, real GDP also dropped considerably during this period before it began to recover in 1992.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
TABLE 4.8
THE COSTS OF DISINFLATION IN CANADA
Year
Bank Rate (%)
Unemployment (%)
Inflation (%)
Real GDP (%)
1988
9.69
7.8
4.0
5.0
1989
12.29
7.5
5.0
2.6
1990
13.05
8.1
4.8
0.2
1991
9.03
10.3
5.6
-2.1
1992
6.78
11.2
1.5
0.9
1993
5.09
11.4
1.8
2.3
1994
5.77
10.4
0.2
4.8
Source: Bloomberg and Bank of Canada website.
Deflation Deflation is a sustained fall in prices where the annual change in the CPI is negative year after year. In fact, deflation is just the opposite of inflation. Falling prices are generally preferred over rising prices. Goods and services become cheaper, and our income seems to go a little farther than it used to. Although true in the short term, there are negative consequences of deflation. One view holds that the impact of sustained falling prices eventually leads to a decline in corporate profits. As prices continue to fall, businesses must sell their products at lower and lower prices. Businesses cut back on productions costs and wage rates, and if conditions worsen, lay off workers. For the economy as a whole, unemployment rises, economic growth slows and consumers shift their focus from spending to saving. Ultimately, declining company profits will negatively impact stock prices. As the economy slows and enters a recession, the central bank can use lower short-term interest rates to stimulate consumer and business spending. However, there is a limit to how low interest rates can fall – rates cannot fall to a negative level or below zero. The economy of Japan in the 1990s provides a good example of the impact of deflation. At the time, the Bank of Japan and the government tried to eliminate deflation by reducing interest rates. However, despite having rates near zero for a sustained period, their economy is still in the process of recovery.
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS International economics deals with the interactions Canada has with the rest of the world – trade, investments and capital flows, and the exchange rate. Since the end of the Second World War, the dependence of industrial economies on trade has risen significantly. This is especially so for Canada. In 2005, exports of goods and services equalled 38% of GDP, compared to 19% in 1964. As a result, the economic performance of our trading partners is an important determinant of Canadian economic growth.
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FOUR • ECONOMIC PRINCIPLES
The Balance of Payments The balance of payments is a detailed statement of a country’s economic transactions with the rest of the world for a given period of time – typically over a quarter or a year. The two components of the balance of payments are the current account and the capital account. •
The current account records the exchanges of goods and services between Canadians and foreigners, the earnings from investment income, and net transfers such as for foreign aid.
•
The capital account records financial flows between Canadians and foreigners related to investments by foreigners in Canada and investments by Canadians abroad.
Balance of payments transactions can be thought of as incurring either a demand or supply of foreign currency and a corresponding supply or demand of Canadian currency. Current account outflows, such as to buy foreign goods or pay interest on debt held by foreigners, create a demand for foreign currency to make those payments. Canadian dollars are offered in exchange for this foreign currency unless there is a corresponding demand for Canadian dollars. Table 4.9 shows Canada’s balance of payments in 2007. Items in the current account and the capital account that have a plus sign represent a flow of foreign currency into Canada, while items with a negative sign represent an outflow of foreign currency from Canada. TABLE 4.9
CANADA’S BALANCE OF INTERNATIONAL PAYMENTS, 2007
($Millions) CURRENT ACCOUNT Total Exports of Goods and Services
+ 530,331
Total Imports of Goods and Services
- 501,474
Trade Balance
+
28,857
Net Investment Income
-
14,494
Net Transfer Payments
-
1,056
+
13,307
Total Foreign Investment in Canada
+
148,143
Total Canadian Investment Abroad
-
170,093
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE CAPITAL ACCOUNT
CAPITAL ACCOUNT BALANCE Statistical Discrepancy (Between Current and Capital Account)
-
21,950 4,144
Source: Statistics Canada website, Balance of International Payments, May 2008.
In theory, the current account balance should equal the capital account balance. Think of the current account as what we spend on things and the capital account as what we use to finance this spending.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
During a given year, if Canada buys more goods and services from abroad than it sells, it will run a current account deficit for the year. It will need to sell more assets to finance the spending, which means running a capital account surplus, or go into debt. As an analogy, when an individual spends more than he/she earns, the difference is made up by either borrowing money or selling something of value and using the proceeds to pay off the debt. In this way, a country experiencing a current account surplus is saving more than it is spending and can lend out this surplus amount to foreigners. THE CURRENT ACCOUNT
The most important component of the current account is merchandise trade. Table 4.9 shows that Canada exported $530 billion of goods and services abroad and imported $501 billion worth of goods and services in 2007. The vast majority of this trade involved the U.S. – Canada exported 76% of its goods to U.S. markets and imported 63% of its goods from the U.S. Overall, Canada recorded a current account surplus of $13.3 billion in 2007. A number of factors influence the performance of Canada’s trade. The most important is the relative pace of demand in foreign and Canadian economies. Strong growth in U.S. demand for automobiles, raw materials and other products made in Canada boosts exports. Likewise, strong demand in Canada for foreign products boosts imports. The competitive position of Canadian firms in foreign markets and foreign firms in Canada also influences trade. A falling Canadian dollar, for example, lowers the price of Canadian exports in foreign markets and raises the price of imports in Canada. This boosts exports and depresses imports. Those benefits are lost, however, if the price of Canada’s goods rises in response to the lower dollar. A rising Canadian dollar has the opposite effect. Since many companies in Canada are closely integrated with affiliates and suppliers in other countries, imports are closely linked to exports. Automobile components may be imported and the subsequently assembled autos exported. That is one reason Canada’s exports and imports tend to move in the same direction. Although trade is the largest component of the current account, others are also important: •
Investment income: Canadians pay interest on debt borrowed from foreigners and dividends to owners or investors in Canadian companies. Likewise, foreigners pay interest and dividends to Canadian investors. These payments are investment income. Because Canada has a large net foreign debt, it makes large payments to foreigners in the form of interest on that debt. This substantial deficit on investment income represents the largest contributor to the total current account deficit.
•
Services: Canada usually runs a deficit on services trade, reflecting, among other things, the large contingent of Canadians living part of the year in the southern U.S. Examples of items that fall into the services category are: – Some services trade is directly linked to merchandise trade, such as freight charges. – Canadian companies such as engineering and accounting firms may sell their services in foreign markets. – Tourism and travel represent an important part of services trade.
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FOUR • ECONOMIC PRINCIPLES
•
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Transfers: This category refers to unilateral transfers of money between Canada and foreign countries. Canada’s official development assistance to poor countries is the most important transfer outward. Immigrants bringing their savings to Canada is the most important transfer inward.
THE CAPITAL ACCOUNT
Table 4.9 shows that Canada ran a capital account deficit of $21.9 billion in 2007. This means that more capital flowed out of Canada in the form of loans or investments than Canada received from foreigners in the form of direct investment in Canada. The key difference between current and capital account transactions is that the latter result in an acquisition of an asset and the right to any income it earns. Thus, the purchase of a computer made in Canada is a current account transaction, whereas the purchase of the company that made the computer is a capital account transaction. Over time, a succession of current account deficits results in growing foreign claims on a country, and thus a large foreign debt. Likewise, a country with successive current account surpluses eventually becomes a large creditor nation. The borrowing and lending of these amounts are recorded in the capital account. The major capital account components are: •
Direct investment: Since Confederation, foreign investors have put money into Canada for the purpose of starting new businesses, acquiring existing ones, or buying land and other income producing assets. More recently, Canadians have become active investors in corporate assets abroad, especially in the U.S. If the foreign investor owns 10% or more of a Canadian company, the investment is classified as direct; anything less is categorized as “portfolio investment.”
•
Portfolio investment: The two main types of portfolio investment are debt and equity. This type of investment involves issuing bonds and treasury bills to foreign investors. This takes place usually through foreign purchases of a newly issued or outstanding bond or Treasury bill, or purchases of equity for investment rather than control.
•
International reserve transactions: The Bank of Canada, on behalf of the federal government, buys or sells Canadian dollars in currency markets in exchange for foreign currency to smooth its movements. The acquisition or sale of these reserves is recorded as a capital account transaction.
The Exchange Rate Buying foreign goods or investing in a foreign country requires the use of another currency to complete the transactions. Conversely, when foreigners buy Canadian goods or invest in Canadian assets, they need Canadian dollars. The foreign exchange market includes all the places in which one nation’s currency is exchanged for another at a specific exchange rate – the price of one currency in terms of another. For example, a Canadian dollar exchange rate of US$0.90 means that it costs 90 U.S. cents to buy one Canadian dollar.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
THE EXCHANGE RATE AND THE CANADIAN DOLLAR
Although the United States dollar (US$) exchange rate is the most important rate for Canada because so much of our business is carried on with the U.S., an official exchange rate exists between the Canadian dollar and every other convertible currency in the world. For example, the impact of a rise in the Canadian dollar against the US$ might be offset by a fall against the euro. In an economy as dependent on trade and open to international capital flows as Canada’s, the behaviour of the exchange rate is vitally important. The value of the Canadian dollar relative to other currencies influences the economy in a number of ways. The most important influence is through trade. A higher dollar makes Canadian exports more expensive in foreign markets and imports cheaper in Canada. When the Canadian dollar rises in value relative to a foreign currency, the dollar is said to have appreciated in value against that currency; conversely, when the Canadian dollar falls in value relative to a foreign currency, the dollar has depreciated in value against that currency. Example: Suppose a machine made in Canada sells for $1,000. With the Canadian dollar at US$0.90, it sells for US$900 in the U.S. If a similar product sells for $950 in the U.S., the Canadian manufacturer benefits at this exchange rate as the machine will sell for a lower price in the U.S. market. If the exchange rate appreciates in value to US$0.95, the machine would now sell for US$950, making its manufacturer less competitive in the U.S. market and decreasing sales and probably corporate profitability. Likewise, a U.S. company that sold a similar machine for US$900 in the U.S. would sell it for $1,000 in Canada with the exchange rate at US$0.90, but for only $947.37 with the exchange rate at US$0.95, taking sales away from the Canadian company.
Since many Canadian exporters price their products in U.S. dollars, they will often elect to keep its US$ price unchanged as the dollar appreciates in value, even though that results in less revenue in Canadian dollars. Such a decision would force the exporter either to accept lower profits, or find a way to reduce the costs of making the product. A lower exchange rate would have the opposite effects, making Canada’s exports cheaper and imports more expensive. An exporter that kept its US$ price unchanged would pocket higher profits, or allow costs to rise. Figure 4.8 shows the exchange rate between Canada and the U.S. between 1975 and 2007. The figure shows that the Canadian dollar depreciated steadily against the U.S. dollar for most of this period, other than for a brief rise in the currency in the late 1980s. This downward trend reversed beginning in early 2003, as the currency rose steadily against the U.S. . In fact, the Canadian dollar traded above par (US$1.00) in 2007 for the first time since the mid-1970s.
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FOUR • ECONOMIC PRINCIPLES
FIGURE 4.8
THE EXCHANGE RATE 1975 – 2007
1.2
US$
1.0
0.8
0.6 1975
1980
1985
1990 Year
1995
2000
2005
Source: Bloomberg .
DETERMINANTS OF EXCHANGE RATES
Predicting the direction of exchange rates consumes the attention of many economists and analysts. The following factors are widely accepted as influencing the exchange rate, but the weight ascribed to each is by no means agreed upon. •
Inflation differentials: Over time, the currencies of countries with consistently lower inflation rates rise, reflecting their increased purchasing power relative to other currencies. Historically, Japan, Germany and Switzerland have had lower inflation rates than other major industrial countries and this is reflected in the long-term appreciation of their currencies. They also enjoy lower interest rates, reflecting investors’ willingness to accept a lower return if they expect the currency to appreciate.
•
Interest rate differentials: Central banks can influence the value of their exchange rate by raising and lowering short-term nominal interest rates. Higher domestic interest rates increase the return to lenders relative to other countries. This attracts capital and lifts the exchange rate. Lower interest rates have the opposite effect. However, the impact of higher interest rates is reduced if domestic inflation also is much higher or if other factors are driving the currency down.
•
Current account: A country with a current account deficit is spending more than it is earning and must borrow funds to make up the difference. In effect, this means the deficit country is constantly demanding more foreign currency than it receives through its exports, and supplying more domestic currency than the rest of the world demands for its products. This excess demand for foreign currency puts downward pressure on the domestic exchange rate. This occurs until domestic exports or assets are cheap enough to attract foreigners and imports, or foreign assets are too expensive to attract domestic interests.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
•
Economic performance: A country with a strongly growing economy may be more attractive to foreign investors because it improves investment returns and attracts investment capital.
•
Public debts and deficits: Countries with large public-sector debts and deficits are less attractive to foreign investors for a variety of reasons. First, such debts give the government an incentive to allow inflation to grow – higher inflation means that the government can repay these debts with cheaper dollars. Second, governments must often turn to foreigners to finance those deficits if domestic savings are insufficient – this involves selling government bonds or Treasury bills. This increases the supply of securities outstanding and lowers their price. Third, such debts may eventually cast doubt on the government’s ability to repay them. This raises the threat of default and reduces foreigners’ willingness to own these securities. These last two factors also apply to private-sector debt. Thus, countries with a financially sound public sector but heavily indebted private sector may also see their currencies suffer. For these reasons, decisions by debt-rating agencies, such as Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s and DBRS, often have an impact on the exchange rate.
•
Terms of trade: The terms of trade is the ratio of export prices to import prices. For example, if the price of Canada’s exports rises 5% but that of its imports rises only 2%, its terms of trade have risen about 3%. Rising terms of trade indicate greater demand for a country’s exports and rising revenues from exports. Both of these indicate increased demand for its currency. Since commodities represent a large part of Canada’s exports, movements in their prices heavily influence the terms of trade and thus the exchange rate. Strong commodity prices often result in a rising Canadian dollar.
•
Political stability: Investors seldom like to invest in countries with unstable or disreputable governments, or those at risk of disintegrating politically. Thus, political turmoil in a country can cause a loss of confidence in its currency and a “flight to quality” to the currencies of more politically stable countries.
TYPES OF EXCHANGE RATES
A number of different exchange rate systems or regimes exist in the world. The most common are fixed and floating. Under a fixed exchange rate, a country’s central bank maintains the domestic currency at a fixed level against another currency or a composite of other currencies. Most advanced countries, including Canada and the U.S., have a floating exchange rate. In such a system, the central bank allows market forces to determine the value of the currency. The central bank may intervene if it thinks movements in the exchange rate are excessive or disorderly. The Bank of Canada has occasionally used interest rates to halt free-falls in the Canadian dollar because of the threat such a fall poses either to orderly markets or inflation. For example, if interest rates in Canada rise relative to rates in the U.S., Canadian dollar–denominated assets may become more attractive to investors. If this is the case, the demand for Canadian dollars increases and the exchange rate appreciates in value. Similarly, if interest rates in Canada fall relative to U.S. rates, investors transfer out of Canadian investments and into U.S. dollar–denominated investments. This has the effect of increasing the supply of Canadian dollars and leads to a depreciation in the currency.
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SUMMARY After reading this chapter, you should be able to: 1.
2.
Define economics, identify the decision makers in an economy, and describe the process for achieving market equilibrium. •
Economics is fundamentally about understanding the choices individuals make and how the sum of those choices affects our market economy. Whether it is the purchase of groceries, a home or stocks and bonds, this interaction ultimately takes place within organized markets.
•
The three main decision makers in the economy are consumers, companies and governments. While consumers set out to maximize their well-being and firms aim to maximize profits, governments set out to maximize the public good.
•
The forces of demand and supply and the interaction between buying and selling decisions by consumers ultimately leads to market equilibrium, and this is the price at which we buy and sell goods and services.
Define gross domestic product (GDP), explain how GDP is measured, and list the factors that lead to growth in GDP. •
Economic growth is an economy’s ability to produce greater levels of output over time and is expressed as the percentage change in a nation’s GDP. GDP is the market value of all finished goods and services produced within a country in a given time period, usually a year or a quarter.
•
There are two ways to measure GDP. The expenditure approach measures GDP as the sum of personal consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports of goods and services. The income approach measures GDP as the total income earned producing those goods and services.
•
Growth in GDP is tied to increases in population over time, increases in the capital stock, and improvements in technology.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
3.
4.
5.
Describe the phases of the business cycle, distinguish among the economic indicators used to analyze business conditions, and identify the determinants of long-term economic growth. •
There are five phases to a typical business cycle: recovery, expansion, peak, recession and trough.
•
Various leading, lagging and coincident economic indicators are used to analyze business conditions and current economic activity. They are useful to show whether the economy is expanding or contracting. For example, the combination of higher new housing starts, new orders for durable goods, and an increase in furniture and appliance sales suggests an economy that is moving from recovery to expansion.
•
Improvements in long-term economic growth are attributed to improvements in productivity. Productivity growth has major implications for the overall wealth of an economy, as there is a direct relationship between the amount of output generated per worker and the standard of living of a typical family.
Compare and contrast the two key indicators of the labour market in Canada and the three main types of unemployment. •
The participation rate represents the share of the working-age population that is in the labour force. The unemployment rate represents the share of the labour force that is unemployed and actively looking for work.
•
Cyclical unemployment is the result of fluctuations in the business cycle. Frictional unemployment is the result of normal labour turnover, for example, from people entering and leaving the work force and from the ongoing creation and destruction of jobs. Structural unemployment occurs when workers are unable to find work or fill available jobs because they lack the necessary skills, do not live where jobs are available, or decide not to work at the wage rate offered by the market.
Describe the determinants of interest rates and discuss how interest rates affect the performance of the economy. •
A broad range of factors influences interest rates: demand for and supply of capital, default risk, central bank operations, foreign interest rates and inflation.
•
Higher interest rates raise the cost of capital for consumers and businesses. This discourages consumers from spending and borrowing money to purchase, for example, homes, cars, and other big-ticket items. Businesses forgo taking part in expansion projects or other forms of investment. Thus, higher rates lead to slower economic growth.
•
In contrast, lower interest rates have an expansionary effect on the economy.
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FOUR • ECONOMIC PRINCIPLES
6.
4•41
Define inflation, calculate the inflation rate using the Consumer Price Index (CPI), and analyze the causes and effects of inflation, disinflation and deflation on an economy. •
Inflation is a generalized, sustained trend of rising prices measured on an economy-wide basis. A one-time jump in prices caused by an increase in the price of a good or service is not inflation unless it ultimately leads to higher wages and other costs felt throughout the economy.
•
The CPI is considered a measure of the cost of living in Canada. The CPI can be used to measure the inflation rate: Current CPI - Previous CPI q100 Inflation Previous CPI
7.
Now that you’ve completed this chapter and the on-line activities, complete this post-test.
•
Inflation erodes the standard of living for those on a fixed income, it reduces the real value of investments because the loans are paid back in dollars that buy less, and it distorts the signal that prices send to participants in the market. Rising inflation typically brings about rising interest rates and slower economic growth.
•
Disinflation is a decline in the rate at which prices rise, meaning a decrease in the rate of inflation. The Phillips curve can be used to gauge the potential costs of disinflation.
•
Deflation is a sustained fall in prices where the annual change in the CPI is negative year after year. Although falling prices are generally good for the economy, a sustained fall in prices can have negative implications for corporate profits and the economy.
Define the accounts included in a country’s balance of payments, describe the determinants of the exchange rate, and explain the impact the balance of payments and the exchange rate have on the economy. •
The balance of payments is a detailed statement of a country’s economic transaction with the rest of the world.
•
The current account records the exchange of goods and services between Canadians and foreigners, the earnings from investment income, and net transfers.
•
The capital account records financial flows between Canadians and foreigners, related investments by foreigners in Canada, and investments by Canadians abroad.
•
The exchange rate is the price of one currency in terms of another. The key determinants of the exchange rate include inflation differentials, interest rate differentials, the current account, economic performance, public debt and deficits, the terms of trade and political stability.
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Chapter
5
Economic Policy
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5 Economic Policy
CHAPTER OUTLINE Economic Theories • Rational Expectations Theory • Keynesian Theory • Monetarist Theory • Supply-Side Economics Fiscal Policy • The Federal Budget • How Fiscal Policy Affects the Economy The Bank of Canada • Role of the Bank of Canada • Functions of the Bank of Canada Monetary Policy • Implementing Monetary Policy • Open Market Operations • Cash Management Operations Government Policy Challenges • The Consequences of Failed Fiscal Policy Summary
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LEARNING OBJECTIVES By the end of this chapter, you should be able to: 1. Compare and contrast the rational, Keynesian, monetarist and supply-side theories of the economy. 2. Analyze the mechanisms by which governments establish fiscal policy and evaluate the impacts of fiscal policy on the economy. 3. Explain the role and functions of the Bank of Canada. 4. Analyze how the Bank of Canada implements and conducts monetary policy. 5. Discuss the challenges governments face in their fiscal and monetary policies and the consequences of failed policy.
ROLE OF ECONOMIC THEORIES In February each year, the Federal Minister of Finance announces the government’s budgetary requirements, which is its annual fiscal policy score card of spending and taxation measures. Not far from Parliament Hill, the Bank of Canada watches over the economy and uses monetary policy and its influence over interest rates and the exchange rate to maintain balance. Although the government and the Bank operate mostly independently of one another, both have a goal of creating conditions for long-term, sustained economic growth. This chapter builds on information in the previous chapter about the principles of economics to explore the benefits and costs of fiscal and monetary policy, particularly from the standpoint of making investment decisions. For example, if you believe the economy is moving through expansion into the peak phase of the business cycle, what investments or strategies would you pursue given the policy action the Bank of Canada In the on-line is likely considering? If the economy has been stalled in recession and unemployment continues to rise, Learning Guide what fiscal policy options is the federal government likely to consider? for this module, complete the Understanding what route economic policy will follow is a factor in making investment decisions. It is Getting Started important, therefore, to be familiar with the fiscal and monetary policy options available to the government activity. and how these policy actions will affect financial markets.
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KEY TERMS
5•4
Automatic stabilizers
Large Value Transfer System (LVTS)
Bank rate
Monetarist theory
Basis points
Monetary policy
Budget deficit
National debt
Budget surplus
Overnight rate
Canadian Payments Association (CPA)
Rational expectations theory
Drawdown
Redeposit
Fiscal agent
Sale and Repurchase Agreements (SRAs)
Fiscal policy
Special Purchase and Resale Agreements (SPRAs)
Keynesian economics
Supply-side economics
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FIVE • ECONOMIC POLICY
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ECONOMIC THEORIES Prior to the 1930s, most economists believed that the market followed a self-correcting mechanism and would automatically adjust to temporary imbalances. Left to these built-in stabilizers, market adjustments would quickly move the economy from recession to a stable growth path. Over the years, a number of theories have been put forward to help us better understand the workings of the economy.
Rational Expectations Theory Rational expectations theory suggests that firms and workers are rational thinkers and can evaluate all the consequences of a government policy decision, thereby neutralizing the intended impact of the policy. Example: Suppose the government decides to cut taxes temporarily in order to boost consumer spending and improve economic conditions. If consumers behave rationally, they will realize that the tax cut will create a deficit that eventually has to be repaid with higher taxes. Instead of spending the tax cut, they save it to repay future taxes, and the government’s move has no impact. Example: Suppose the central bank decides to let inflation accelerate in hopes of achieving a higher level of demand and lower unemployment. Firms and workers realize inflation is rising, immediately adjust their prices and wage demands upward, and no increase in real demand occurs. Some economists argue that since the consequences of active policy on the part of government are uncertain, it is better for the government to be less active or less interventionist. The economy is better served if the government simply adopts sets of rules to govern its activities. For example, a rule could stipulate that the money supply could only increase by a certain amount each year. On the fiscal side, a rule could restrict the government from running a deficit over a fixed period.
Keynesian Theory Reacting to the severity of the worldwide depression in the 1930s when double-digit unemployment persisted throughout the decade, British Economist John Maynard Keynes offered an alternative to the view that the economy worked best when left to its own devices. Keynesian economics advocates the use of direct government intervention as a means of achieving economic growth and stability. Consider the case when the economy enters a recession. Keynesians advocate an increase in government spending or lower taxes to raise consumer income. With more money in their pockets, consumers increase their spending on goods and services. To meet the higher consumer demand for their products, businesses hire more workers to expand production and unemployment falls. Lower unemployment leads to a further increase in consumer income and spending. The increase in income and spending may continue for some time. However, once policymakers believe that spending is rising too quickly, policy will change to reflect lower government spending and higher taxes. The analysis Keynes put forward became the rationale for the use of government spending and taxation to stabilize the business cycle. When spending was insufficient and a recession loomed, government would pursue a policy of increased spending and lower taxes. During an economic
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
boom and when higher spending threatened inflation, government policy would change in favour of lower spending and higher taxes.
Monetarist Theory Monetarist theory suggests that the economy is inherently stable and, left to its own selfadjusting mechanism, will automatically move to a stable path of growth. In contrast to the Keynesian view, the Monetarist movement, led by American economist Milton Friedman in the late 1950s, held that instability in the money supply is the major cause of fluctuations in real GDP and that rapid money supply growth is the major cause of inflation. In fact, it was Friedman who coined the phrase “inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon.” Monetarists believe that instead of pursuing active monetary or fiscal policy, the central bank should simply expand the money supply at a rate equal to the economy’s long-run growth rate – somewhere in the neighbourhood of 2% to 3% per year, for example. According to this view, controlling inflation as the main policy goal creates a foundation for the economy to grow at its optimal rate.
Supply-Side Economics According to supply-side economics, to foster an environment of prosperity, the market should be left on its own and government intervention should be held to a minimum. Although there are similarities with the monetarist view, “supply-siders” suggest that government intervention should only occur through changes in tax rates. Specifically, this view advocates that changes in tax rates exert important effects over supply and spending decisions in the economy. They maintain that reducing both government spending and taxes provides the stimulus for economic expansion. By the late 1970s, some economists held the view that rising marginal tax rates had the effect of discouraging investment in the economy. Reducing taxes and the size of the government would help to fuel economic expansion. According to supply-siders, a reduction in marginal tax rates stimulates investment in the economy and ultimately leads to a higher level of output. This view provided the foundation for the substantial reduction in marginal tax rates that took place in the United States and several other countries during the 1980s.
FISCAL POLICY Governments, through their power to tax, spend, and borrow, exercise enormous influence on the economy. Since the end of the Second World War, most Western governments have taken it for granted that one of their mandates is to smooth out the fluctuations in the business cycle. Fiscal policy is the use of the government’s spending and taxation powers to pursue such economic goals as full employment and sustained long-term growth. They do this by spending more and taxing less when the economy is weak, and by spending less and taxing more when the economy is strong. Both the federal and provincial governments play a role in Canadian fiscal policy. Both have responsibility for certain areas of activity. The federal government is responsible for such things as employment insurance, defence, old age security, veterans’ affairs and native affairs. The provincial governments are responsible for health, education and welfare. However, the federal government shares some responsibility for those areas with the provinces. A large segment of its
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spending consists of transfer payments to the provincial governments to pay for health, education and welfare. At times, federal deficit reduction efforts result in cuts to these transfers, putting upward pressure on provincial deficits, since the provinces have little other revenue to compensate for the loss of transfers. Federal and provincial governments oversee important areas of spending that do not appear on their respective budgets. These include the Canada and Quebec Pension Plans, Workplace Safety and Insurance Board, the Export Development Corp., and a wide range of other crown corporations ranging from Canada Post to Quebec’s Société générale de financement. In theory, most of these agencies are meant to be self-supporting. In practice, many accumulate large deficits or unfunded liabilities, which are the responsibility of the government that runs the agency or corporation.
The Federal Budget Early each year, usually in February, the federal Minister of Finance presents to the House of Commons the federal budget for the upcoming fiscal year, which runs from April 1 to March 31. The budget contains projections for the coming year, and usually for at least one subsequent year, for spending, revenue, the amount of the projected surplus or deficit, and debt. An important part of the budget is the economic assumptions that underlie projections for tax revenue, debt service costs and other parts of the budget. The government’s budget balance is equal to its revenues less its total spending. If the revenue collected during the year exceeds spending for the year, the government has a budget surplus. If total spending for the year is higher than the revenue collected, the government has a budget deficit for the year. Accordingly, if the revenue collected for the year equals total spending, the government has a balanced budget. When the government runs a budget deficit, it must borrow to make up the difference by selling government bonds and Treasury bills into the market. The accumulation of total government borrowing over time is referred to as the government debt or the national debt. It is the sum of past deficits minus the sum of past surpluses. The amount of the surplus or deficit is the most important number in the budget, because it tells markets the extent to which the government will be borrowing in the coming year and how it will compete with other borrowers for funds. If the government predicts a deficit, the amount projected in the budget may differ from what the government actually borrows in the debt market (called its financial requirements) for several reasons: • •
Previously issued bonds that mature in the coming fiscal year must be refinanced. Since this is not new borrowing, it is usually not included in projected financial requirements. The government has access to several special-purpose accounts for funds. These alternatives reduce its dependence on debt markets. The most important source of such funds is the civil service pension fund, which contains no assets other than IOUs from the government (i.e., a promise to pay the debt). This is the main reason financial requirements are usually less than the deficit.
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Table 5.1 breaks down the major sources of Government revenue and spending over the previous two federal budgets. The table shows that the federal government posted a budget surplus in each of the last two years. TABLE 5.1
FEDERAL GOVERNMENT FISCAL TRANSACTIONS
2006–07 ($ Millions)
2005–06 ($ Millions)
110,447
103,691
37,745
31,724
4,877
4,529
Goods and Services Tax
31,296
33,020
Excise Taxes and Duties
14,021
13,136
198,386
186,100
Employment Insurance Premium Revenues
16,789
16,535
Other Revenues
20,761
19,568
235,936
222,204
Major Transfers to Persons
55,582
52,609
Transfers to Other Levels of Government
42,514
40,815
National Defence
15,732
15,034
Other Transfers
74,441
66,755
Public Debt Charges
33,945
33,772
222,214
208,985
13,722
13,210
BUDGETARY REVENUES
Tax Revenues Personal Income Tax Corporate Income Tax Other Income Tax Revenues
Total Tax Revenues Other Revenues
Total Budgetary Revenues
BUDGETARY EXPENSES
Total Budgetary Expenses Budget Balance
* Excluding foreign exchange balance. Source: Department of Finance, Fiscal Reference Tables, September 2007.
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How Fiscal Policy Affects the Economy Fiscal policy affects the economy in several ways: •
Spending: Governments can purchase goods or services themselves, such as a new highway, thereby boosting economic activity. Or they can simply transfer money to citizens to spend or save themselves, such as with social security cheques. Only the first type is recorded as government spending in GDP.
•
Taxes: The amount of tax collected may vary because the size of the tax base changed, i.e., the number of people or companies paying the tax expanded or contracted. Also, it can vary because the tax rate changed, so that each dollar of economic activity yields more or less tax. Raising tax rates reduces the disposable income of consumers, thereby dampening their spending. The main types of taxes are: – – – – –
Direct taxes, levied on the income of individuals and companies; Sales taxes (including value-added taxes, like the goods and services tax, and excise taxes, such as on liquor); Payroll taxes, levied as a share of wages; Capital taxes, levied on the size of a company’s assets or capital; Property taxes, levied on residential and commercial property.
All taxes tend to discourage the type of activity being taxed. Income taxes reduce the incentive to work and earn; payroll taxes reduce the incentive to hire; and sales taxes reduce the incentive to spend. •
Surplus: In the 2006–2007 fiscal period, the government spent $222.214 billion but it took in $235.936 billion in revenues for a recorded surplus of $13.722 billion.
Persistent deficits emerged during the 1980s and the annual deficit grew considerably. Unfortunately, a vicious circle emerged: the deficit led to increased borrowing; this led to a larger national debt and larger interest payments to service the debt; and these larger interest payments led to a larger deficit and a larger debt. In fact, it was not until 1997 that the federal government finally managed to run a surplus. From its dollar peak of $563 billion in 1996–1997, the federal debt has declined by $105 billion to $457 billion as of March 31, 2008. This is good news from a global perspective, as Canada’s federal debt as a percentage of GDP fell significantly over the past decade. The debt-to-GDP ratio is regarded as a sound measure of a nation’s overall debt burden because it measures the debt relative to the ability of the government and the nation’s taxpayers to finance it. As a share of GDP, federal debt dropped to 29.8% in 2007–2008, down from its peak of 68.4% in 1995– 1996. This is the tenth consecutive year in which the federal debt-to-GDP ratio has declined, bringing it to its lowest level since 1980–1981.
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Figure 5.1 shows the federal government debt as a percentage of GDP for Canada from 1975 to the end of 2007-2008. FIGURE 5.1
FEDERAL GOVERNMENT DEBT AS A PERCENTAGE OF GDP
80 70
Debt-to-GDP (%)
60 50 40 30 20 10 1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
Year Source: Department of Finance, Annual Financial Report, Fiscal Year 2006-2007.
AUTOMATIC STABILIZERS
These are built-in measures that have the ability to stabilize real GDP without any specific action by the government. In this way, they make business cycle fluctuations less severe because income taxes and transfer payments tend to fluctuate with real GDP. Example: When unemployment is rising, government payouts for employment insurance increase and premiums from employers and employees decrease. Thus, government transfers to persons increase at a time when wage income decreases and this helps to soften the drop in disposable income and spending.
Complete the on-line activity associated with this section.
Example: The tax system works similarly. When the economy weakens, tax revenues decrease as profits and employment decline, which tends to increase the size of the budget deficit. When the economy strengthens, tax revenues from both corporations and individuals rise, which tends to move the budget towards a surplus (or smaller deficit).
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THE BANK OF CANADA The Bank of Canada (the Bank) was founded in 1934 and began operations in 1935 as a privately owned corporation. By 1938, ownership passed to the Government of Canada. Responsibility for the affairs of the Bank of Canada rests with a Board of Directors composed of the Governor, the Senior Deputy Governor and twelve Directors from outside the Bank.
Role of the Bank of Canada The duties and role of the Bank are stated in a general way in the preamble of the Bank of Canada Act: • • • •
“To regulate credit and currency in the best interests of the economic life of the nation... To control and protect the external value of the national monetary unit... To mitigate by its influence fluctuations in the general level of production, trade, prices and employment, as far as may be possible within the scope of monetary action and generally... To promote the economic and financial welfare of the Dominion.”
The Act does not specify the manner in which the Bank should pursue these objectives but it (and other legislation) grants powers to the Bank which are designed to enable it to fulfill its role. While the Bank administers policy independently without day-to-day Government intervention, the thrust of policy is the ultimate responsibility of the elected Government.
Functions of the Bank of Canada The major functions of the Bank of Canada are: • •
•
To act for the Government in the issuance and removal of bank notes; To act as the Government’s fiscal agent (i.e., being the Government’s financial advisor on debt management, foreign exchange and monetary policy and acting as its agent in financial transactions); and To conduct monetary policy (i.e., managing the supply of the nation’s money). This is the Bank’s most important function.
ISSUANCE AND REMOVAL OF BANK NOTES
The Bank of Canada is responsible for the issuance and distribution of bank notes to eligible financial institutions (upon request), and for the removal of worn or torn notes from circulation. Coin is issued and distributed by the Royal Canadian Mint on behalf of the Minister of Finance. Each institution must estimate its Canadian note requirements based on what it expects its customers will need and must requisition the amount from the central bank. In turn, the Bank debits each bank’s deposit account maintained at the Bank. THE BANK AS FISCAL AGENT
As fiscal agent to the Government, the Bank has a variety of functions. This includes the role of debt manager in issuing new securities, which is treated in greater detail below.
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The Bank administers the Government’s deposit accounts and funds. This includes (1) deposit accounts with the Bank of Canada and the chartered banks in which Government cash is held; and (2) the Exchange Fund Account, which holds the Government’s foreign exchange reserves. Almost all of the Government’s Canadian dollar receipts and expenditures flow through the account it maintains at the Bank of Canada. The Bank manages Canada’s official international currency reserves. It operates for the Government in foreign exchange markets in keeping with its mandate “to control and protect the external value of the national monetary unit.” The Bank of Canada Act empowers the Bank to: • • •
Buy and sell gold, silver and foreign exchange; Maintain deposits with other central banks and commercial banks inside and outside Canada; and Act as agent and depository for central banks and certain international institutions.
As is the case in connection with monetary policy and debt management, the Bank provides the Government with information and advice and acts as its agent in dealings in gold and foreign exchange. The Bank acts as a depository for gold held by the Exchange Fund Account. It also buys and sells gold. This activity has diminished importance reflecting the marginal role of gold in securing the value of the Canadian dollar. Financial advisor to the Government: The Bank advises the Government on the timing of new federal securities issues. It advises on the price, yield and other special features needed to make them marketable. The Bank also advises the Government about where such securities should be sold (i.e., domestically, in the U.S. or offshore). In order to keep abreast of market developments, the Bank conducts regular discussions with investment dealers, bankers and other investors to obtain views and suggestions. Debt management: The Bank of Canada acts as the federal Government’s fiscal agent in its activities in debt management. The planning and arrangements necessary for a new debt issue are major undertakings. Not only must each issue be distributed and sold, arrangements for payments, transfers of funds, etc., must be made. Then there is regular record keeping, payments of interest, transfers of ownership and finally providing funds to repay the issue at maturity. The Minister of Finance is responsible for debt management programs but relies on the Bank for advice and implementation of policy. While there is a wide range of maturities in Government debt, there are two principal categories of debt: marketable (treasury bills and marketable bonds) and non-marketable (Canada Savings Bonds and Canada RRSP Bonds). These securities are discussed in the material on fixed-income products. In 1996, a special agency, known as Canada Investment and Savings (CI&S), was established by the Government to be responsible for that portion of the debt held by individuals (known as the Government’s retail debt). This agency handles the Canada Savings Bond (CSB) campaigns and the development of new retail products. The Bank of Canada continues to provide operations and systems support for CI&S programs.
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MONETARY POLICY Monetary policy sets out to improve the performance of the economy by regulating the growth in money supply and credit. The goal of monetary policy is to ensure that money can play its vital role in helping the economy run smoothly. Canadian monetary policy strives to protect the value of the Canadian dollar by keeping inflation low and stable. As Canada’s central bank, the Bank of Canada achieves this through its influence over short-term interest rates. The goal of monetary policy is to preserve the value of money by promoting sustained economic growth with price stability. In other words, growth in levels of employment, consumption and our standard of living generally should be supported by increasing liquidity in the system at a rate that is not inflationary. Over time, inflationary increases erode the value of our currency and ultimately our economic health. Since 1991, the Bank has committed to specific inflation-control targets that establish a target range within which it aims to contain annual inflation as measured by the year-over-year rate of increase in the CPI. Currently, the target range extends from 1% to 3%. Here is how the Bank keeps inflation within this range: •
•
If inflation approaches the top of the target range, this usually indicates that the demand for goods and services is rising too strongly and must be controlled through an increase in shortterm interest rates. If inflation falls towards the bottom of the target range, this usually indicates that economic growth is slowing or weakening and support is needed through a decrease in interest rates.
Over the long run, the rate of inflation is linked to the rate of growth of money and credit. Through its influence over short-term interest rates, the Bank affects the demand for, and supply of, money and credit. The influence of monetary policy on total spending is exerted indirectly and with some time lag – roughly one to two years. Monetary policy must therefore be forward looking. Thus, the Bank conducts monetary policy by consistently aiming their efforts at the midpoint of the target range. That is, by aiming for an inflation rate of 2% over the next 12-month period, the Bank believes it can achieve its inflation-control targets. One should keep in mind, however, that complete reliance on monetary policy to achieve all economic goals cannot be expected. External economic developments often have an impact on policy objectives, especially for a country such as Canada, which is so dependent on foreign trade and investment.
Implementing Monetary Policy The Bank of Canada carries out monetary policy primarily through changes to what it calls the Target for the Overnight Rate. The overnight rate is the interest rate set in the overnight market – a marketplace where major Canadian financial institutions lend each other money on an overnight basis. When the Bank changes the target for the overnight rate, other short-term interest rates also usually change.
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Currently, this band is 50 basis points (or one-half of a percentage point) wide. Each day, the Bank targets the mid-point of the operating band as its key monetary policy objective. For example, if the operating band is 5% to 5.5%, then the target for the overnight rate is 5.25%. The target is an important policy tool as it tells financial institutions the average interest rate that the Bank wants to see in the overnight market. Changes in the operating band for overnight rates are very important events. They may signal a policy shift towards an easing or tightening of monetary conditions in order to meet the Bank’s inflation-control targets. The Bank Rate is the minimum rate at which the Bank of Canada will lend money on a shortterm basis to the chartered banks and other members of the Canadian Payments Association (CPA) in its role as lender of last resort. It is closely related to the Target for the Overnight Rate because the Bank Rate is the upper limit of the operating band. Continuing with our example from above, with an operating target range of between 5% and 5.5%, the Bank Rate is 5.5%. Figure 5.2 illustrates a hypothetical example of the target range for the overnight rate. FIGURE 5.2
EXAMPLE OF THE BANK OF CANADA’S OPERATING BAND
5.5%
5.25%
Bank Rate
50 basis points target range
5.0% Bank Rate less 50 basis points
Standing arrangements are in place under which the Bank is prepared to provide secured loans (at the Bank Rate) for one business day to the chartered banks and members of the CPA. Such access to central bank credit plays a useful role in providing individual banks and dealers with a safety valve. Such access provides an underlying assurance of liquidity in circumstances when funds are not readily available from other sources. The Bank is accordingly known as the banking system’s lender of last resort.
Open Market Operations The two main open market operations that the Bank employs to conduct monetary policy are Special Purchase and Resale Agreements and Sale and Repurchase Agreements. Special Purchase and Resale Agreements (commonly referred to as SPRAs or “Specials”) are used by the Bank of Canada to relieve undesired upward pressure on overnight financing rates. If overnight money is trading above the target of the operating band, the Bank may believe that the higher rate will dampen economic activity. To combat this, the Bank intervenes and offers to lend at the upper limit of the operating band. For example, if the upper limit of the operating band is 4.25% while overnight money trades at 4.50%, it does not make sense for financial institutions to borrow at the higher overnight rate. © CSI GLOBAL EDUCATION INC. (2010)
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SPRAs work as follows: the Bank offers to purchase government securities from a primary dealer (such as a chartered bank) with an agreement to sell them back the next day at a predetermined price. This operation is used to reinforce the upper limit or top end of the overnight target and is closely watched by market participants. Sale and Repurchase Agreements (SRAs) are used to offset undesired downward pressure on overnight financing costs. If overnight money is trading below the target of the operating band, the Bank may believe that inflationary pressures in the economy will rise. To combat this, the Bank intervenes and offers to borrow at the lower limit of the operating band. For this example, if the lower limit of the operating band is 3.75% while overnight money trades at 3.50%, financial institutions would much prefer the Bank of Canada rate. SRAs work as follows: the Bank offers to sell government securities to chartered banks with an agreement to repurchase them the next day at a predetermined price. This operation is used to reinforce lower the limit or floor of the operating band and is the focus of considerable market attention. On a number of occasions, the offering itself is sufficient to eliminate the downward pressure on the overnight rate. Partly as a result of this, the amounts of SRAs dealt tend to be quite small relative to SPRAs. Figure 5.3 shows that SPRAs are conducted at the top end of the band, which is also the Bank Rate, while SRAs are conducted at the bottom end of the band. FIGURE 5.3
THE OPERATING BAND
SPRA – the Bank lends overnight at the upper limit of the operating band Bank Rate
Operating Band = 50 basis points wide
Bank Rate less 0.50% SRA – the Bank sells securities at the lower end of the operating band
Instead of letting it vary from day to day depending on conditions in the market, the Bank aims to keep the overnight rate within its 50-basis-point range. Financial institutions know that the Bank will always lend money at the upper end of the band, and borrow money at the lower limit of the band. Thus it makes no sense to trade in the overnight market at rates outside this band. It repeatedly conducts similar operations to keep most of the overnight trading within the range. If the Bank is changing the range, it enters the market and conducts specials or SRAs at the new ceiling or floor. Alternatively, the Bank allows the overnight rate to move to its new range, then confirms the new target with open market operations.
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Changes in the overnight band (and therefore, the Bank Rate) are now accompanied by a press release explaining the Bank’s actions. The Bank’s intention is to make such changes as transparent (or clear) as possible to avoid confusion in financial markets.
Cash Management Operations The trend of the Bank Rate is important to both users and suppliers of credit. A rising trend, for example, signals a desire on the part of the Bank to reduce the demand for credit by raising its cost. Administered rates such as prime rates (i.e., chartered bank rates to their prime or most creditworthy borrowers) usually follow the trend of the Bank Rate. Each day, billions of dollars flow through the financial system to settle transactions between the major financial institutions. These transactions include cheques, wire transfers, direct deposits, pre-authorized debits and bill payments. To facilitate the transfer of these payments, the Bank established the Large Value Transfer System (LVTS) in 1991. This system allows participating financial institutions to conduct large transactions with each other through an electronic wire system. Among other things, this system permits these financial institutions to track their LVTS receipts and payments electronically throughout the day and to know the net outcome of these flows by the end of the day (same day settlement). HOW THE LVTS WORKS
This system provides an important setting for conducting monetary policy. Throughout the day, financial institutions in the LVTS send payments back and forth to each other as part of their normal operations. At the end of each day, all of the transactions that occurred during the day are added up, and some financial institutions may end up needing to borrow funds while some may have funds left over. For example, Bank A had $50 million in payments to other financial institutions and $40 million in receipts during the day. At the end of the day, it finds itself in a deficit position of $10 million for that day. Since participants in the LVTS are required to clear their balances with one another each day, Bank A will need to borrow $10 million in funds to cover that position. Bank A will then need to borrow the funds from another participant in the LVTS at the current overnight rate. Overall, the LVTS helps to ensure that trading in the overnight market stays within the Bank’s 50- basis-point operating target. LVTS participants know that the Bank will always lend money at the upper limit of the band, and will borrow money at the lower limit of the band. Therefore, it does not make sense for financial institutions in the LVTS to borrow or lend outside of the target band. DRAWDOWNS AND REDEPOSITS
The federal government maintains accounts with the Bank of Canada and the chartered banks. As the banker for the federal government, the Bank of Canada can transfer funds from the government’s account at the Bank to its account at the chartered banks or from the government’s account at the chartered banks to its account at the Bank of Canada. This strategy is used to influence short-term interest rates and is achieved using drawdowns or redeposits.
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•
A drawdown refers to the transfer of deposits to the Bank from the chartered banks, effectively draining the supply of available cash balances from the banking system. This decreases deposits and reserves available to the banks to utilize in their business. Removing money from the system causes a contraction in the availability of loans to consumers and businesses, and this places upward pressure on interest rates.
•
A redeposit is just the opposite, a transfer of funds from the Bank to the chartered banks. This increases deposits and reserves and the availability of funds in the banking system. Adding money to the system places downward pressure on interest and gives banks an incentive to increase loans to consumers and businesses.
GOVERNMENT POLICY CHALLENGES Disagreements about the role and nature of government policy are often related to basic differences in analyzing how the economy reacts to changing circumstances. Two attitudes are widespread. The first emphasizes that the economy may be slow to react. As a consequence, interventionist policy may not be effective or even essential in guiding the economy in the right direction. The alternative view emphasizes that the economy makes its way quickly to its natural equilibrium, and that no need exists for policy other than to constrain policy. This difference, for example, is at the heart of the controversy surrounding the role of money growth. Monetary policy may be seen to be effective in the short run but not in the long run. What is unknown is how long is the short run. Two sections in Chapter 4 dealt with the evolution of the economy in this framework. The discussion of the short run emphasized the business cycle and the problems posed by downturns in the cycle. The second dealt with the determinants of long-run growth and emphasized the role of technological development in supporting continued gains in productivity. Government policy in the first context is directed towards counter-cyclical initiatives, and in the second context to the development of human capital and the enhancement of technological advances. In recent years, the federal government has dealt successfully with reducing the deficit to the extent that there is some fiscal room to manoeuvre. Ultimately, the policy challenge for the government is to evaluate the competing claims of those who stress the need for intervention and flexible stabilization policies versus those with a more restrictive view of the role of government in guiding the economy. Each choice has both growth and uncertainty implications for the overall Canadian economy, and for the financial investments issued by both governments and corporations.
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The Consequences of Failed Fiscal Policy In the past, governments’ failure to address their budget deficits have had several consequences: •
Because governments did not eliminate the deficit when it first emerged seriously in the late 1970s and early 1980s, the cost of interest payments on the national debt began to rise rapidly and remained high through the early 1990s. They were the federal government’s single biggest expenditure throughout most of the 1990s, peaking at 27.1% of total spending in 1998–1999, compared to 10.3% in 1974–1975. In turn, the interest burden made it difficult for the government to reduce the deficit. It did so by drastically cutting total expenditures, especially transfer payments to the provinces. Successive budget surpluses in the late 1990s helped to lower the federal government’s overall debt position, with the cost of interest payments falling to about 23% of total expenditures in the government’s most recent budget.
•
Fiscal policy is often unsynchronized with monetary policy, increasing the cost to the economy. For example, in the late 1980s when the economy was growing strongly and inflationary pressure was building, federal and provincial governments in Canada continued to run large deficits. This tended to increase inflationary pressures and led the Bank of Canada to raise interest rates more than would otherwise have been necessary. In turn, the cost of servicing government debts grew and contributed to increased deficits.
•
In the end, a large national debt constrains the ability of governments to run countercyclical fiscal policy. When debts are large, any move to increase the deficit upsets investors, who sell bonds, driving up interest rates. This reaction reduces the beneficial impact on the economy of the increased deficit. When a recession occurs, the government may cut spending and raise taxes to control its growth and, as a consequence, worsen the recession.
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SUMMARY After reading this chapter, you should be able to: 1.
2.
Compare and contrast the rational, Keynesian, monetarist and supply-side theories of the economy. •
The rational expectations theory suggests that firms and workers are rational thinkers and can evaluate all the consequences of a government policy decision, thereby neutralizing its intended impact.
•
Keynesian economics advocates the use of direct government intervention to achieve economic growth and stability. Keynesians believe the use of active fiscal policy, using government spending and taxation, is necessary to stabilize the business cycle.
•
Monetarist theory suggests that the economy is inherently stable, with its own selfadjusting mechanism that automatically moves the economy to a stable path of growth. Monetarists argue against the use of active monetary or fiscal policy and believe the central bank should simply expand the money supply at a rate equal to the economy’s long-term growth rate.
•
Supply-side economics suggests that to foster an environment of prosperity, the market should be left alone and government intervention should be minimal, only occurring through changes in tax rates. This theory maintains that lower government spending and lower taxes provide the stimulus for economic expansion.
Analyze the mechanisms by which governments establish fiscal policy and evaluate the impacts of fiscal policy on the economy. •
Fiscal policy is the use of government spending and taxation to pursue full employment and sustained long-term growth. In general, governments pursue this goal by spending more and taxing less when the economy is weak, and by spending less and taxing more when the economy is strong.
•
In Canada, the federal budget is the key mechanism through which the government conducts fiscal policy. The budget contains projections for the coming year for spending, revenue, and the amount of the projected surplus or deficit.
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3.
4.
Explain the role and functions of the Bank of Canada. •
The role of the Bank of Canada is to monitor, regulate and control short-term interest rates and the external value of the Canadian dollar.
•
The major functions of the Bank of Canada include the issue and removal of bank notes, acting as fiscal agent and financial advisor for the Federal Government, and the implementation of monetary policy.
•
The goal of monetary policy is to improve the performance of the economy by regulating growth in the money supply and credit. The Bank of Canada achieves this through its influence over short-term interest rates.
Analyze how the Bank of Canada implements and conducts monetary policy. •
In Canada, monetary policy involves following specific inflation-control targets that establish a range within which to contain annual inflation. Currently, the target range is 1% to 3%.
•
The Bank uses the target for the overnight rate to implement changes in the direction of monetary policy. The overnight rate is the interest rate set in the overnight market. When the Bank changes the target for the overnight rate, other short-term interest rates also tend to change.
•
Special Purchase and Resale Agreements (SPRAs) and Sale and Repurchase Agreements (SRAs) are the two main open market operations used by the Bank to conduct monetary policy. – SPRAs are used to relieve undesired upward pressure on the overnight rate. If overnight money trades above the target of the operating band, the Bank intervenes and offers to lend at the upper limit of the band. This action effectively reinforces the upper limit of the overnight target. – SRAs are used to offset undesired downward pressure on the overnight rate. If overnight money is trading below the target of the operating band, the Bank intervenes and offers to borrow at the lower limit of the band. This action effectively reinforces the lower limit of the overnight target.
•
The Bank established the Large Value Transfer System (LVTS) in 1991 to facilitate its cash management operations. This system allows participating financial institutions to conduct large transactions with each other through an electronic wire system. This system provides an important setting to conduct monetary policy.
•
A drawdown is the transfer of deposits to the Bank from the chartered banks, effectively draining the supply of available cash balances from the banking system. This causes a contraction in the availability of loans to consumers and businesses, which places upward pressure on interest rates.
•
A redeposit is the transfer of funds from the Bank to the chartered banks, effectively increasing deposits and reserves and the availability of funds in the banking system, which places downward pressure on interest rates.
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FIVE • ECONOMIC POLICY
5.
Now that you’ve completed this chapter and the on-line activities, complete this post-test.
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Discuss the challenges governments face in their fiscal and monetary policies and the consequences of failed policy. •
One challenge the government faces is that the economy may be slow to react to policy changes. As a consequence, interventionist policy may not be effective or even essential in guiding the economy in the right direction.
•
A second challenge is the view that the economy makes its way quickly to its natural equilibrium, and that no need exists for policy other than to constrain policy.
•
Interest payments on the national debt were the federal government’s single biggest expenditure throughout most of the 1990s. However, successive budget surpluses in the late 1990s helped to lower the federal government’s overall debt position.
•
Fiscal and monetary policies are often unsynchronized, increasing the cost to the economy. The late 1980s saw rising provincial and federal deficits at a time when the economy was growing strongly and inflationary pressure was building.
•
The Bank of Canada responded by raising interest rates, which resulted in higher debt servicing costs for governments.
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SECTION
III
Investment Products
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Chapter
6
Fixed-Income Securities: Features and Types
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6 Fixed-Income Securities: Features and Types
CHAPTER OUTLINE The Fixed-Income Marketplace • The Rationale for Issuing Fixed-Income Securities • Size of the Fixed-Income Market Fixed-Income Terminology and Features • Interest on Bonds • Face Value and Denomination • Price and Yield • Term to Maturity • Liquid Bonds, Negotiable Bonds and Marketable Bonds • Callable Bonds • Sinking Funds and Purchase Funds • Extendible and Retractable Bonds • Convertible Bonds and Debentures • Protective Provisions of Corporate Bonds Government of Canada Securities • Marketable Bonds • Treasury Bills • Canada Savings Bonds Provincial and Municipal Government Securities • Guaranteed Bonds • Provincial Securities • Municipal Securities
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Corporate Bonds • Mortgage Bonds • Collateral Trust Bonds • Equipment Trust Certificates • Subordinated Debentures • Floating-Rate Securities • Corporate Notes • Strip Bonds • Domestic, Foreign and Eurobonds • Preferred Securities Other Fixed-Income Securities • • • •
Bankers’ Acceptances Commercial Paper Term Deposits Guaranteed Investment Certificates
Bond Quotes and Ratings Summary
LEARNING OBJECTIVES By the end of this chapter, you should be able to: 1. Describe the fixed-income market and discuss the rationale for issuing debt instruments. 2.
Define the terms used in transactions involving bonds, describe bond features, explain the use of a sinking fund and a purchase fund, and describe the protective provisions found in a bond indenture.
3.
Compare and contrast the types of Government of Canada securities.
4.
Compare and contrast the different types of provincial government securities and municipal debentures.
5.
Identify the different types of corporate bonds and describe their features.
6.
Describe the features of term deposits and guaranteed investment certificates.
7.
Interpret bond quotes and summarize and evaluate bond ratings.
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INVESTING IN DEBT Governments, corporations and many other entities borrow funds to finance and expand their operations. In addition to bank lending and private loans, these entities also have the option of issuing fixed-income securities in the financial markets. From the investor’s perspective, purchasing a fixedincome security essentially represents the decision to lend money to the issuer. Investors become creditors of the issuing organization and do not gain ownership rights as they would with an equity investment. Many investors overlook the fixed-income market. Trading activity on the TSX and other international stock markets grabs most of the investing public’s attention. Trading in bonds, Treasury bills and other fixed-income securities tends to be less enticing because there are not the very public price spikes that are seen in, for example, the shares of Nortel or Microsoft. Most investors would be surprised to learn the extent of the fixed-income market. To put it in perspective, the dollar amount traded on Canada’s bond markets consistently averages about ten times that of total equity trading in any given year. In spite of that value and because they are less visible than the equity markets, bond and fixed-income markets generally remain off the radar screens of In the on-line most investors. Further, investors generally lack an understanding of the features, characteristics and Learning Guide terminology of the fixed-income market.
for this module, complete the In this first chapter on fixed-income securities, we look at the terminology, describe the reasons Getting Started governments and corporations issue fixed-income securities, and describe the features and activity. characteristics of the securities available in the fixed-income markets.
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KEY TERMS After-acquired clause
Guaranteed Investment Certificates (GICs)
Bond
Instalment debenture
Callable bond
Maturity date
Canada Savings Bonds (CSBs)
Moody’s Canada Inc.
Canada yield call
Mortgage
Collateral trust bond
Par value
Conversion price
Payback period
Convertible bonds
Principal
Coupon rate
Purchase fund
Debenture
Real return bonds
Dominion Bond Rating Service
Redeemable bond
Election period
Retractable Bond
Equipment trust certificate
Serial bond
Eurobonds
Sinking funds
Extendible bonds
Standard & Poor’s Bond Rating Service
Extension date
Strip Bond
Face value
Subordinated debentures
First mortgage bond
Term to maturity
Fixed-income securities
Treasury bills
Floating-rate securities
Trust deed
Forced conversion
Yield
Foreign bonds
Zero coupon bond
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
THE FIXED-INCOME MARKETPLACE Fixed-income securities represent debt of the issuing entity. The terms of a fixed-income security include a promise by the issuer to repay the maturity value or principal on the maturity date, and to pay interest either at stated intervals over the life of the security or at maturity. In most case, if the security is held to maturity, the rate of return is fairly certain. Fixed-income securities trading in the market today come in a multitude of varieties, including bonds, debentures, money market instruments, mortgages, and even preferred shares, reflecting widely different borrowing needs as well as investor demands. Borrowers modify the terms of a basic fixed-income security to suit both their needs and costs, and to provide acceptable terms to various lenders. Many Canadians are concerned about high government debt levels. We know that corporate debt can lead to bankruptcy and personal debt can keep individuals from getting ahead financially. It is useful to explore the rationale for borrowing money. There are two main reasons: • •
To finance operations or growth To take advantage of operating leverage
If a government spends more on programs and other payments than it receives in tax revenue, it must make up the difference by borrowing money. Most governments borrow by issuing fixedincome securities. Government borrowing is an example of issuing fixed-income securities to finance operations.
The Rationale for Issuing Fixed-Income Securities Unlike governments, companies have more options when they find themselves spending more on expenses than they receive in revenue; issuing fixed-income securities is only one option. They can also use cash on hand, raise cash by selling assets, borrow from the bank, or issue equity securities. The choice of financing method will depend on the costs associated with each. Companies generally prefer to raise money from the lowest-cost source possible. In many cases, companies do not issue fixed-income securities to finance year-to-year cash shortfalls. These will usually be financed with cash on hand or bank borrowing. A company that consistently finds itself using more cash than it takes in will not be in business for too long. Most companies issue fixed-income securities to finance growth. This usually means using the proceeds of a fixed-income issue to add to or expand the companies’ current operations, or to buy other companies. When companies announce a new bond issue, they usually say why they are issuing the bond. If it is not being issued to buy another company or other specific assets, they will usually state that the proceeds will be used for “general corporate purposes.” This usually means that the company will invest the proceeds in current operations. Companies also borrow to take advantage of operating leverage. If companies believe they can earn a greater return on cash invested in their business than it would cost to borrow money, they can increase the return on shareholders’ equity by borrowing money. This is what is meant by financial leverage. The analysis that determines whether to use leverage is made on an after-tax basis. This increases the leverage potential of bonds because, unlike dividends on equity securities, the interest payments on bonds are a tax-deductible expense for the corporation.
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Example: Suppose a company wants to open a new plant to increase production capacity. It could borrow $1 million for the plant at 10% interest, at a cost of $50,000 a year after tax. If the expanded capacity is expected to increase after-tax profits by more than $50,000 a year, the company will probably proceed with the project. If the after-tax profits are projected to be less than $50,000 a year, the company will either abandon the project or find a cheaper source of funds.
Size of the Fixed-Income Market Perhaps because it is not as highly publicized as the stock market, many people do not realize just how large the fixed-income market really is. For example, a total of $205 billion in new debt was issued in 2007, and this was 10.7% higher than the previous high of $185.2 billion raised in 2006. Furthermore, Canadian secondary market debt trading in 2007 totalled $7 trillion, or approximately 4 times the total equity trading of $1.7 trillion and over 4 times Canada’s GDP of nearly $1.6 trillion (Source: Bloomberg).
FIXED-INCOME TERMINOLOGY AND FEATURES A bond is a long-term, fixed-obligation debt security that is secured by physical assets. The details of a bond issue are outlined in a trust deed and written into a bond contract. Bonds are considered fixed-income securities because they impose fixed financial obligations on issuers – the payment of regular interest payments and the return of principal on the date of maturity. If the bond goes into default, which means the issuer can no longer meet these fixed obligations, the trust deed provisions allow the bondholders to seize specified physical assets and sell them to recover their investment. These physical assets could be a building, a railway car, or any other physical property owned by the issuing company. A debenture is a type of bond that promises the payment of regular interest and the repayment of principal at maturity but may be secured by something other than a physical asset. For this reason, debentures are also referred to as unsecured bonds. In contrast to regular bonds, debentures are typically secured by a general claim on residual assets or by the issuer’s credit rating. In this chapter, we follow the industry practice of referring to both types as bonds, unless the difference is important. For example, government bonds are never secured by physical assets, and so technically are really debentures, but in practice they are always referred to as bonds.
Interest on Bonds Many bonds pay regular interest at a rate known as the coupon rate. The coupon rate may be fixed, such as 6% a year, or may be variable and will change in reference to a benchmark interest rate. Bonds with variable coupon rates are typically referred to as floating-rate securities. The coupon indicates the income that the bond investor will receive from holding the bond, and is also referred to as interest income, bond income or coupon income.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
Interest payment provisions may also take other forms: • • •
Coupon rates can change over time, according to a specific schedule (e.g., step-up bonds, most savings bonds). There may be no periodic coupon interest – interest can be compounded over time, and paid at maturity (e.g., zero-coupon bonds, strip coupons and residuals). A rate of interest does not have to be applied – the loan can be compensated in the form of a return based on future factors, such as the change in the level of an equity index. These securities are known as index-linked notes.
In North America the majority of bonds pay interest twice a year at six-month intervals. Other bonds may pay interest monthly or annually. In all cases, the amount of interest at each payment date is equal to the coupon rate divided by the number of payments per year. Example: A $1,000, 6%, semi-annual coupon bond due May 1, 2024 will pay $30 to the bondholder on May 1 and on November 1 of each year until maturity. The semi-annual payment of $30 represents the fixed obligation the issuer is required to make for the life of the bond.
Face Value and Denomination The amount the bond issuer contracts to pay at maturity (the maturity value) is known as the face or par value. These terms are also used to describe the maturity value of each bond holder’s position. Bonds can be purchased only in specific denominations. The most commonly used denominations are $1,000 or $10,000. Larger denominations may be issued to suit the preference of investing institutions such as banks and life insurance companies. Normally, an issue designed for a broad retail market is issued in small denominations. An issue for institutional investors may be made available in denominations of millions of dollars. To accommodate smaller investors, Canada Savings Bonds are issued in denominations as small as $100. The smallest corporate bond denomination is usually $1,000.
Price and Yield After being issued, bonds are bought and sold between investors in the secondary market at a stated price and a quoted yield. Bond prices are quoted using an index with a base value of 100. A bond trading at 100 is said to be trading at face value, or par. A bond trading below par, say at a price of 98, is said to be trading at a discount (the 98, based on the index of 100, indicates the bond is trading at 98% of par). A bond trading above par, say at a price of 104, is said to be trading at a premium. Example: If you buy a bond with a $10,000 face value at a price of 95, it will cost you $9,500. This is equal to the face value ($10,000) multiplied by the price divided by 100 (95/100 = 0.95). If you paid 105 for the bond, it would cost you $10,500, or $10,000 multiplied by (105/100).
Given the price of a bond, it is possible to calculate a yield for the bond. For most bonds, the yield is an approximate measure of the annual return on the bond if it is held to maturity. For example, if you bought a bond with a yield of 5% and held it to maturity, your annual return would be approximately 5%.
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The yield of a bond should not be confused with the coupon rate; they are two different things. Given the yield and the coupon rate, the following relationships hold: • • •
If the yield is greater than the coupon rate, the bond is trading at a discount. If the yield is equal to the coupon rate, the bond is trading at par. If the yield is less than the coupon rate, the bond is trading at a premium.
Term to Maturity The maturity date is the date at which the bond matures, or expires, and the principal is paid back to the investor holding the bond at maturity. The remaining life of a bond is called its term to maturity. Example: if a bond was issued three years ago with a term of ten years, it is no longer referred to as a ten-year bond. Because three years have passed and only seven remain in the life of the bond, it is referred to as a seven-year bond.
Bonds can be grouped into three categories according to their term to maturity. Short-term bonds have less than five years remaining in their term. Bonds with terms of five to ten years are called medium-term bonds, and long-term bonds have a term to maturity greater than ten years. Table 6.1 shows these categories. TABLE 6.1
CATEGORIZATION OF BONDS BY TERM TO MATURITY
Money Market
Short-Term Bonds
Medium-Term Bonds
Long-Term Bonds
Up to one year term to maturity
From one to 5 years remaining to maturity
From 5 to 10 years remaining to maturity
Greater than 10 years remaining to maturity
Money market securities are a special type of short-term fixed-income security, generally with terms of one year or less. Certain high-grade short-term bonds may trade as money market securities when their term is reduced to a year or less, but for the most part, money market securities include Treasury bills, bankers’ acceptances and commercial paper.
Liquid Bonds, Negotiable Bonds and Marketable Bonds Liquid bonds are bonds that trade in significant volumes and for which it is possible to make medium and large trades quickly without making a significant sacrifice on the price. Negotiable bonds are bonds that can be transferred because they are in deliverable form (in “good delivery” means the certificates are not torn, a power of attorney has been signed, and so on). That a bond be negotiable is not much of an issue anymore, as most bonds are book-based now and certificates are not issued. Marketable bonds are bonds for which there is a ready market. For example, a private placement or other new issue may be marketable (clients will buy it) because its price and features are attractive. It would not necessarily be liquid, however, since most private placements do not have an active secondary market.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
Callable Bonds Bond issuers often reserve the right, but not the obligation, to pay off the bond before maturity, either to take advantage of lower interest rates, or simply to reduce their debt when they have the excess cash to do so. This privilege is known as a call or redemption feature. A bond bearing this clause is known as a callable bond or a redeemable bond. As a rule, the issuer agrees to give 10 to 30 days’ notice that the bond is being called or redeemed. In Canada, most corporate and provincial bond issues are callable. Government of Canada bonds and municipal debentures are usually non-callable. STANDARD CALL FEATURES
A standard call feature allows the issuer to call bonds for redemption at a specified price on specific dates or during specific intervals over the life of the bond. The call price is usually set higher than the par value of the bond. This provides a premium payment for the holder, as it is somewhat unfair to take away from the investor an investment from which he or she expected to receive a stated income for a certain number of years. The closer the bond is to its maturity date before it is redeemed, the less the hardship for the investor. In recognition of this principle, the redemption price is often set on a graduated scale and the premium payment becomes lower as the bond approaches the maturity date. Provincial bonds are usually callable at 100 plus accrued interest. Accrued interest refers to the interest that has accumulated since the last interest payment date. Accrued interest belongs to the holder of the bond. Example: CHC Helicopter’s call feature (for other than sinking fund purposes) is shown in Table 6.2. In this example, if you owned a $1,000 debenture of this issue and your debenture was called:
• • •
after May 1, 2009, and before or on April 30, 2010, you would receive $1,036.88 plus accrued interest; after May 1, 2010 and before or on April 30, 2011, you would receive $1,024.58 plus accrued interest; and so on, with the premium gradually reduced according to Table 6.2. TABLE 6.2
EXAMPLE OF A CORPORATE DEBT CALL FEATURE
CHC Helicopter 7.375% debentures due May 1, 2014. Not redeemable before May 1, 2009. Thereafter, redeemable on 30 days’ notice up to the 12 months ending May 1 of each year, as follows: 2009
103.68
2010
102.46
2011
101.23
2012
100.00
Thereafter redeemable at par to maturity.
For callable bonds, the period before the first possible call date (during which the bonds cannot be called) is known as the call protection period.
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CANADA YIELD CALLS
Most corporate bonds are issued with a call feature known as a Canada yield call. These allow the issuer to call the bond at a price based on the greater of (a) par or (b) the price based on the yield of an equivalent-term Government of Canada bond plus a yield spread. A yield spread is simply an additional amount of yield. Generally, this spread is less than what the spread was when the bond was issued, and remains constant throughout the term of the issue. Example: A 10-year corporate bond is issued at par with a coupon and yield of 7%, which represents a yield spread of 200 basis points above the current 5% yield on 10-year Canada bonds. (A basis point equals one one-hundredth of a percentage point.) The corporate bond contains a Canada yield call of +50, meaning that the bond can be called at a price based on a yield of 50 basis points over Canada bonds, with a minimum call price of par.
The following year, with 9-year Canada bonds yielding 4.75%, the company decides to call the bonds. Given the Canada yield call of +50, the company must call the bonds at a price based on a yield of 5.25% (which is 4.75% + 0.50%), regardless of where the bonds have been trading in the market before the call. At 5.25%, the price of this 9-year, 7% coupon bond would be $112.42 per $100 par value (This calculation is explained in Chapter 7, Calculating the Fair Price of a Bond).
Sinking Funds and Purchase Funds Some issuers must repay portions of their bonds for redemption before maturity, either by calling them on a fixed schedule of dates (via a sinking fund obligation) or by buying them in the secondary market when the trading price is at or below a specified price (through a purchase fund). Some corporate bonds have a mandatory call feature for sinking fund purposes. Sinking funds are sums of money that are set aside out of earnings each year to provide for the repayment of all or part of a debt issue by maturity. Sinking fund provisions are as binding on the issuer as any mortgage provision. Example: Talisman Energy 6.89% debentures, due June 17, 2010, have a mandatory sinking fund. The company must retire $1,000,000 of the principal amount on June 17 every year, from 2006 to 2010 inclusive. Any debentures purchased or redeemed by the company other than through the sinking fund can be paid to the trustee as part of the sinking fund obligation. The debentures are redeemable for sinking fund purposes at the principal amount plus accrued interest to the date specified.
Some companies have a purchase fund instead of a sinking fund. Under such an arrangement, a fund is set up to retire a specified amount of the outstanding bonds or debentures through purchases in the market, if these purchases can be made at or below a stipulated price. Occasionally, a bond will have both a sinking fund and a purchase fund. Example: Domtar Inc. 10% debentures, due April 15, 2011, have a purchase fund. Beginning on July 1, 1992, the company must make all reasonable efforts to purchase at or below par 1.125% of the aggregate principal amount during each quarter, cumulative for eight quarters. The purchase fund normally retires less of an issue than a sinking fund.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
Extendible and Retractable Bonds Some corporate bonds are issued with extendible or retractable features. Extendible bonds and debentures are usually issued with a short maturity term (usually five years), but with an option for the investor to exchange the debt for an identical amount of longer-term debt (usually ten years) at the same or a slightly higher rate of interest by the extension date. In effect, the maturity date of the bond can be extended so that the bond changes from a short-term bond to a long-term bond. Example: 407 International Inc. 7% Extendible Junior Bonds, Series 00-B1, due July 26, 2010, are extendible to July 26, 2040 from July 26, 2010 at a rate of 7.125%.
Retractable bonds are the opposite of extendible bonds. These bonds are issued with a long maturity term (usually at least ten years), but give investors the right to turn in the bond for redemption at par several years sooner (usually five years) by the retraction date. Example: CP Ships 4% bonds due June 30, 2024, are retractable at par on June 30, 2009.
With both extendible and retractable bonds, the decision to exercise the maturity option must be made during a time period called the election period. In the case of an extendible bond, the election period may last from a few days to six months or more, before the short maturity date. During the election period, the holder must notify the appropriate trustee or agent of the debt issuer either to extend the term of the bond or to allow it to mature on the earlier date. If the holder takes no action, the bond automatically matures on the earlier date and interest payments cease. In the case of a retractable bond, if the holder does not notify the trustee or agent before the retraction date of his or her decision to shorten the term of the bond, the debt remains a longer term issue.
Convertible Bonds and Debentures Convertible bonds and debentures combine certain advantages of a bond with the option of exchanging the bond for common shares. In effect, a convertible security allows an investor to lock in a specific price (the conversion price) for the common shares of the company. The right to exchange a bond for common shares on specifically determined terms is called the conversion privilege. Convertibles have the characteristics of regular bonds, in that they have a fixed interest rate and there is a definite date upon which the principal must be repaid. They offer the possibility of capital appreciation through the right to convert the bonds into common shares at the holder’s option at stated prices over stated periods. WHY CONVERTIBLES ARE ISSUED
The addition of a conversion privilege makes a bond more saleable or attractive to investors. It tends to lower the cost of the money borrowed and may enable a company to raise equity capital indirectly on terms more favourable than those possible through the sale of common shares. Convertibles can also be used to interest investors in providing capital for companies if investors would not otherwise be interested in buying relatively low-yielding or non-dividend paying common shares. © CSI GLOBAL EDUCATION INC. (2010)
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The convertible bond permits the holding of a two-way security. In other words, it combines much of the safety and certainty of the income earned on a bond with the option to convert it into common shares and benefit from any increase in their value. The convertible has a special appeal for the investor who: • •
Wants to share in the company’s growth while avoiding any substantial risk; and Is willing to accept the lower yield of the convertible in order to have a call on the common shares.
CHARACTERISTICS OF CONVERTIBLES
For most convertible bonds, the conversion price is gradually raised over time to encourage early conversion. A properly drawn trust deed provides that, if the common shares of the company are split, the conversion privilege will be adjusted accordingly. This is known as protection against dilution. Convertible bonds may normally be converted into stock at any time before the conversion privilege expires. However, some convertible debenture issues have a clause in their trust deeds that stipulates “no adjustment for interest or dividends.” This clause excuses the issuing company from having to pay any accrued interest on the convertible bond that has built up since the last designated interest payment date. Similarly, any common stock received by the bond holder from the conversion will normally entitle the holder only to dividends declared and paid after the conversion takes place. Convertibles are normally callable, usually at a small premium and after reasonable notice. FORCED CONVERSION
Forced conversion is an innovation built into certain convertible debt issues to give the issuing company more scope in calling in the debt for redemption. This redemption provision usually states that once the market price of the common stock involved in the conversion rises above a specified level and trades at or above this level for a specific number of consecutive trading days, the company can call the bonds for redemption at a stipulated price. The price is much lower than the level at which the convertible debt would otherwise be trading, because of the rise in the price of the common stock. This provision is an advantage to the issuing company rather than to the debt holder, because forced conversion can improve the company’s debt-equity ratio and make new debt financing possible. However, it is not so disadvantageous to the debt holder that it detracts from an issue when it is first sold. Once the price of the convertible debt rises above par, subsequent prospective buyers should check the spread between the prevailing purchase price and the possible forced conversion level. Example: The 7% convertible bonds of First Capital Realty that were due February 28, 2008, had a forced conversion clause. Until February 28, 2008, the bonds were convertible into 44.033 common shares for each $1,000 of face value. This gives them a conversion price of $22.71 a common share ($1,000/44.033). The bonds were not redeemable before March 1, 2004. The company has the option to pay the principal amount on redemption or maturity, or to pay the investor in common shares. The price of the common shares will be obtained by dividing $1,000 by 95% of the weighted average trading price for 20 consecutive trading days on the TSX, ending five days before maturity or the date fixed for redemption.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
This is considered to be a forced conversion clause, because the client must choose whether to convert the bond into common shares at $22.71 a share or accept the company’s redemption offer, which could force them to pay a considerably higher price per share. For example, if the weighted average price was $27, the company would divide $1,000 by $25.64 (95% of $27) to arrive at 39 shares. The investor would receive 39 shares, compared to 44.033 shares if they had chosen to convert before the forced conversion was imposed by the issuer. MARKET BEHAVIOUR OF CONVERTIBLES
The market price of convertible bonds is influenced by their investment value as a fixed-income security and by the price of the common shares into which they can be converted. When the stock price of the issuing company is below the conversion price, the convertible behaves like any other fixed-income security with the same credit rating, term to maturity, yield, etc. However, because these debentures can be converted into common shares, their price behaves differently than comparable fixed-income securities when the price of the underlying stock rises above the conversion price. The conversion price is the bond price divided by the number of shares the debenture can be converted in to. Let’s take an ABC 6% convertible bond that trades at $980 and can be converted into 40 ABC common shares that currently trade at $22 a share. Even if interest rates rise sharply and comparable bond prices fall, the ABC bond will have a conversion value of $880 because it can be converted into 40 common shares that trade at $22 (40 × $22 = $880). The same holds true if the price of the ABC common shares starts to rise. If the common shares now trade at $27, the price of the bond will rise accordingly to $1,080, even if comparable bonds still trade at $980. The reason is simple: the investor holds a security that can be sold today for $1,080 (40 × $27) if converted. The conversion price is the bond price divided by the number of shares the debenture can be converted in to. In this example, the conversion price of the ABC convertible is $24.50 ($980/40). The price of the bond will follow comparable bonds if the ABC common shares trade below the conversion price and will follow the underlying stock if the price of the stock rises above the conversion price.
Protective Provisions of Corporate Bonds In addition to principal repayment features, corporate bonds may also have general covenants that secure the bond and make it more likely that the investor will receive all that he or she is due. These clauses are called protective provisions or covenants, and are essentially safeguards in the bond contract to guard against any weakening in the security holder’s position. The object is to create a strong instrument that does not force the company into a financial straitjacket Some of the more common protective covenants found in Canadian corporate bonds are listed below: •
Security: In the case of a mortgage, or asset-backed or secured debt, this clause includes details of the assets that support the debt.
•
Negative Pledge: This clause provides that the borrower will not pledge any assets if the pledge results in less security for the debt holder.
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SIX • FIXED-INCOME SECURITIES: FEATURES AND TYPES
Complete the on-line activity associated with this section.
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Limitation on Sale and Leaseback Transactions: This clause protects the debt holder against the firm selling and leasing back assets that provide security for the debt.
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Sale of Assets or Merger: This clause protects the debt holder in the event that all of the firm’s assets are sold or that the company is merged with another company, forcing either the retiring of the debt or its assumption by the new merged company.
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Dividend Test: This provision establishes the rules for the payment of dividends by the firm and ensures equity will not be drained by excessive dividend payments.
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Debt Test: This provision limits the amount of additional debt that a firm may issue by establishing a maximum debt-to-asset ratio.
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Additional Bond Provisions: This clause states which financial tests and other circumstances allow the firm to issue additional debt.
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Sinking or Purchase Fund and Call Provisions: This clause outlines the provisions of the sinking or purchase fund, and the specific dates and price at which the firm can call the debt.
GOVERNMENT OF CANADA SECURITIES The Government of Canada issues marketable bonds in its own name. It also allows Crown Corporations to issue debt that has a direct call on the Government of Canada. Example: The Farm Credit Corporation, a Crown Agency, issues medium- and long-term notes that are “direct obligations of Farm Credit and as such will constitute direct obligations of Her Majesty in right of Canada. Payment of principal and interest on the Notes will be a charge on and payable out of the Consolidated Revenue Fund.”
These issues are called marketable bonds because, as well as having a specific maturity date and a specified interest rate, they are transferable, which means that they may be traded in the market. This is in contrast to instruments such as Canada Savings Bonds (CSBs), which are not transferable and not marketable.
Marketable Bonds The federal government is the largest single issuer of marketable bonds in the Canadian bond market, having direct marketable debt of about $262.1 billion outstanding as of April 30, 2005, excluding Treasury bills (Source: Bank of Canada). All Government of Canada bonds are noncallable, that is, the government cannot call them for redemption before maturity. When comparing the bonds issued by Canadian issuers (corporations, federal, provincial and municipal governments), investors assign the highest quality rating to federal government bonds. However, foreign investors compare the quality of Canadian issues to the issues of other governments. The relative risk of investing in each country is reflected in the yields of their bonds and the yields fluctuate in response to political and economic events. In the past, Canadian bonds have had higher yields than those of the U.S. Between 1995 and 2000, Canada had lower yields with respect to the U.S. At all maturities, Canadian yields are currently higher than U.S. yields.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
Treasury Bills Treasury bills are short-term government obligations. They are offered in denominations from $1,000 up to $1 million and have traditionally appealed to large institutional investors such as banks, insurance companies, and trust and loan companies, and to some wealthy individual investors. When the government started offering them in denominations as low as $1,000, their appeal broadened to retail investors with smaller amounts of money to invest. Treasury bills are particularly popular when their yields exceed the yield on Canada Savings Bonds and other retail instruments, such as commercial paper. Treasury bills do not pay interest. Instead, they are sold at a discount (below par) and mature at 100. The difference between the issue price and par at maturity represents the return on the investment, instead of interest. Under the Income Tax Act, this return is taxable as income, not as a capital gain. Every two weeks, Treasury bills are sold at auction by the Minister of Finance through the Bank of Canada. These bills have original terms to maturity of approximately three months, six months and one year.
Canada Savings Bonds Unlike other bonds, Canada Savings Bonds (CSBs) can be purchased only between October and April of each year, but can be cashed by the owner at any bank in Canada at any time. Since they are not transferable and hence have no secondary market, CSBs do not rise and fall in price and may always be cashed at their full par value plus any accrued interest. Thus, although they are not marketable, they are liquid. CSBs are not sold in bearer form but must be registered in the name of: • • •
An individual (adult or minor) The estate of a deceased person A trust for an individual
Registration provides proof of purchase, but it also ensures that an individual does not hold more than the maximum amount that he or she is allowed to purchase. (For each series, individual purchases are limited to a certain maximum; the amount varies from series to series.) Purchasers must be bona fide Canadian residents with a Canadian address for registration purposes. Although the ownership of a CSB cannot be transferred or assigned, chartered banks may accept assignments of CSBs as collateral for loans. Individuals, estates of deceased persons and trusts governed by certain types of deferred savings and income plans are allowed to acquire CSBs. REGULAR INTEREST CSBS
Since 1977, CSBs have been available in two forms: a regular interest bond and a compound interest bond. The regular interest bond pays annual interest, either by cheque or by direct deposit into the holder’s bank account on November 1 each year. It is issued in denominations of $300, $500, $1,000, $5,000 and $10,000. Registered owners may hold only five each of the $300 and $500 bonds. Regular interest bonds may be exchanged for compound interest bonds of the same series only during a specified period after the original purchase.
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If the holder of a new CSB issue cashes the bonds in the first three months after the issue date, he or she normally receives their face value without interest. Interest payments on regular interest CSBs is taxable as regular income at the investor’s marginal tax rate. COMPOUND INTEREST CSBS
Compound interest CSBs has been a standard feature since the 1977 series. It allows the holder to forgo receiving interest each year so that the unpaid interest can compound. The holder earns interest on the accumulated interest. The minimum denomination of this type of bond is $100. The compound interest is calculated each November 1, and is accrued in equal monthly amounts over the next twelve months. At redemption, the holder receives the face value plus the total of the earned interest. CSBs should be redeemed early in the month to ensure that the holder receives the maximum amount of interest accrued. For example, an investor redeeming a bond on October 2 will receive the interest owed as of September 30. Another investor waiting until October 29 will also receive the interest owed as of September 30, effectively missing out on a month’s interest. For income tax purposes, holders of compound interest CSBs must report compound interest as taxable income in the year in which it is earned rather than the year in which they receive it. This is a disadvantage for the holder, as the holder must pay tax on the income without actually receiving the cash. CANADA PREMIUM BOND (CPBS)
Canada Premium Bonds (CPBs) are very similar to CSBs, but offer a higher interest rate than other CSBs on sale at the same time. They can be redeemed only once a year without penalty, on the anniversary of the date of issue and for 30 days thereafter and are available with regular or compound interest options. PAYROLL SAVINGS PLAN
The Bank of Canada sells Canada Savings Bonds on a payroll savings plan through more than 12,000 organizations in all parts of Canada. These organizations include all levels of government, universities, school boards, hospitals, crown corporations and private companies. Close to a million Canadians purchase CSBs through payroll deduction each year. REAL RETURN BONDS
The Government of Canada also issues real return bonds (RRB). A RRB resembles a conventional bond because it pays interest throughout the life of the bond and repays the original principal amount on maturity. Unlike conventional bonds, however, the coupon payments and principal repayment are adjusted for inflation. RRBs have a fixed real coupon rate. At each interest payment date, the real coupon rate is applied to a principal balance that has been adjusted for the cumulative level of inflation since the date the bond was issued. The cumulative level of inflation is known as the bond’s inflation compensation. Example: The Government bonds carry a 4.25% coupon, were priced at 100 at issue date, and provide a real yield of about 4.25% to maturity on December 1, 2021. Both the semiannual interest payments and the final redemption value of each bond are calculated by including an inflation compensation component.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
If inflation (as measured by changes in the CPI) had been 1.5% over the first six-month period after issue, the value of a $1,000 RRB at the end of the six months would have been $1,015. The interest payment for the half-year would be based on this amount (4.25% of $1,015) rather than the original bond value of $1,000. At maturity, the maturity amount would be calculated by multiplying the original face value of the bond by the total amount of inflation since the issue date. RRBs have risen in popularity since they were first issued, as understanding of their structure has become more widespread and the net benefit of government-guaranteed inflation protection is better recognized as a valuable component in constructing a portfolio of securities.
PROVINCIAL AND MUNICIPAL GOVERNMENT SECURITIES A typical provincial bond or debenture issue is used to provide funds for program spending and to fund deficits. These expenditures may be charged over a period of years against the tax revenues of those years, since the province has undertaken the project to provide a continuing benefit over those years. Provinces also issue bonds to finance current social welfare expenditures. All provinces have statutes governing the use of funds obtained through the issue of bonds. Provincial “bonds,” like Government of Canada “bonds,” are actually debentures. They are simply promises to pay and their value depends upon the province’s ability to pay interest and repay principal. No provincial assets are pledged as security. Provincial bonds are second in quality only to Government of Canada direct and guaranteed bonds because most provinces have taxation powers second only to the federal government. Different provinces’ direct and guaranteed bonds trade at differing prices and yields, however. Bond quality is determined by two factors, credit and market conditions. The credit of a province – the degree of certainty that interest will be paid and the principal repaid when due – depends on such factors as: •
• • •
The amount of debt the province owes on a per capita basis compared with that of other provinces. Obviously, Province A with half the debt per capita of Province B commands a higher credit rating than that of B. The level of federal transfer payments. The philosophy and stability of the government. The wealth of the province in terms of natural resources, industrial development and agricultural production. A province rich in natural resources and with well-diversified industries, balanced by good farming communities, should be better able to meet its obligations, particularly during recessions, than a province which depends on limited natural resources, small industrial production or almost totally on agricultural production.
Guaranteed Bonds Many provinces also guarantee the bond issues of provincially appointed authorities and commissions.
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Example: The Ontario Electricity Financial Corporation’s 8.5% notes, due May 26, 2025, are “Irrevocably and Unconditionally Guaranteed by the Province of Ontario.” Provincial guarantees may also be extended to cover municipal loans and school board issues. In some instances, provinces extend a guarantee to industrial concerns, usually as an inducement to a corporation to locate (or remain) in that province. Most provinces (and some of their enterprises) also issue Treasury bills. Investment dealers and banks purchase them, both at tender and by negotiation, usually for resale.
The bonds of nearly all the provinces are available in a wide range of denominations, from $500 to hundreds of thousands of dollars. The most popular denominations are $500, $1,000, $5,000, $10,000 and $25,000. The term of a provincial bond issue will vary, depending on the use to which the proceeds will be put and the availability of investment funds at various terms. In addition to issuing bonds in Canada, the provinces (and their enterprises) also borrow extensively in international markets. Unlike the federal government, whose policy is to borrow abroad largely to maintain exchange reserves, the provinces resort to foreign markets to take advantage of lower borrowing costs, based on the foreign exchange rate and financial market conditions. Provinces may also decide to borrow through issues denominated in, for example, U.S. funds, if the proceeds from the loan will be spent in the U.S. The interest cost (in U.S. funds) is offset by the revenues. Issues sold abroad are underwritten by syndicates of dealers and banks similar to those that handle foreign financing for federal government Crown Corporations. In recent years, issues have been sold, for example, payable in Canadian dollars, U.S. dollars, euros, Swiss francs and Japanese yen. Since 1990, provincial guaranteed issues have been offered in a global bond offering. Global bond offerings are distributed simultaneously in domestic and foreign markets, and settle in different clearing agencies (such as EuroClear or Cedel). These offerings are expected to become an increasingly popular financing mechanism for Canadian governments and corporations.
Provincial Securities Most provinces offer their own savings bonds. As with CSBs, there are certain characteristics that distinguish these instruments from other provincial bonds and make them suitable as savings vehicles: • • •
They can be purchased only by residents of the province. They can be purchased only at a certain time of the year. They are redeemable every six months (in Quebec, they can be redeemed at any time).
Some provinces issue different types of savings bonds. For instance, there are three types of Ontario Savings Bonds (OSBs): a step-up bond (interest paid increases over time), a variablerate bond, and a fixed-rate bond. In British Columbia, investors can buy BC Savings Bonds in redeemable or nonredeemable (fixed-rate) forms. As with CSBs, these bonds are RRSP-eligible and they can be purchased in very small amounts, starting as low as $100 ($250 in Quebec).
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
Municipal Securities Today, the instrument that most municipalities use to raise capital from market sources is the instalment debenture or serial bond. Part of the bond matures in each year during the term of the bond. Example: A debenture of $1 million may be issued so that $100,000 becomes due each year over a 10-year period. The municipality is actually issuing 10 separate debentures, each with a different maturity. At the end of 10 years, the entire issue will have been paid off.
Some municipalities issue term debentures with only one maturity date, but these are generally confined to very large cities such as Montreal, Toronto and Vancouver. At present, the usual practice is to pattern issues according to market preference as to term and repayment scheduling. Installment debentures are usually non-callable: the investor who purchases them knows beforehand how long he or she may expect to keep funds invested. Also, if the money is needed at future specific dates, it can be invested in an instalment debenture so that it will be available when it is needed. Municipalities are in the third rank of public borrowers, following the federal and provincial authorities. However, not all municipal credit ratings rank below those of each province. It is not unusual for debenture issues of some large metropolitan areas to be favoured by investors over the securities issued by one or more of the provinces. Broadly speaking, a municipality’s credit rating depends upon its taxation resources. All else being equal, the municipality with many different types of industries is a better investment risk than a municipality built around one major industry. Similarly, the municipality with good transportation facilities is preferable to one that lacks them. Older municipalities with good repayment records are able to borrow money on more favourable terms than less mature municipalities in newly opened areas. Population and industrial growth, the condition of the town’s services, the experience of officials in municipal office, the level of tax collections and debt per capita are also key factors in determining a municipality’s credit rating.
CORPORATE BONDS Corporations have more choices than governments to raise capital. They can sell ownership of the company by selling stocks to investors or by borrowing money from investors. Generally speaking, corporate bonds have a higher risk of default than government bonds. This risk depends upon a number of factors: the market conditions prevailing at the time of issue, the credit rating of the corporation issuing the bond, and the government to which the bond issuer is being compared to, among other things. There are many types of corporate bonds with different features and characteristics to choose from. The most common types of corporate bonds are discussed below.
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Mortgage Bonds A mortgage is a legal document containing an agreement to pledge land, buildings or equipment as security for a loan and entitling the lender to take over ownership of these properties if the borrower fails to pay interest or repay the principal when it is due. The lender holds the mortgage until the loan is repaid, at which point the agreement is cancelled or destroyed. The lender cannot take ownership of the properties unless the borrower fails to satisfy the terms of the loan. There is no fundamental difference between a mortgage and a mortgage bond except in form. Both are issued to allow the lender to secure property if the borrower fails to repay the loan. The mortgage bond was created when the capital requirements of corporations became too large to be financed by the resources of any one individual lender. However, since it is impractical for a corporation to issue separate mortgages securing different portions of its properties to different lenders, a corporation can achieve the same result by issuing one mortgage on its properties to many lenders. The mortgage is then deposited with a trustee, usually a trust company, which acts for all investors in safeguarding their interests under the terms of the loan contract described in the mortgage. The amount of the loan is divided into convenient portions, usually $1,000 or multiples of $1,000. Each investor receives a bond that represents the proportion of his or her participation in the full loan to the company and his or her claim under the terms of the mortgage. This instrument is a mortgage bond. First mortgage bonds are the senior securities of a company, because they constitute a first charge on the company’s assets, earnings and undertakings before unsecured current liabilities are paid. It is necessary to study each first mortgage issue to determine exactly what properties are covered by the mortgage. Most Canadian first mortgage bonds carry a first and specific charge against the company’s fixed assets and a floating charge on all other assets. They are generally regarded as the best security a company can issue, particularly if the mortgage applies to “all fixed assets of the company now and hereafter acquired.” This last phrase, known as the “after acquired clause,” means that all assets can be used to secure the loan, even those acquired after the bonds were issued.
Collateral Trust Bonds A collateral trust bond is one that is secured, not by a pledge of real property, as in a mortgage bond, but by a pledge of securities, or collateral. Collateral trust bonds are issued by companies such as holding companies, which do not own much in the way of fixed assets on which they can offer a mortgage, but do own securities of subsidiaries. This method of securing bonds with other securities is similar to the common practice of pledging securities with a bank to secure a personal loan.
Equipment Trust Certificates A variation on mortgage and collateral trust bonds is the equipment trust certificate. These certificates pledge equipment as security instead of real property. CP Locomotives, for example, issues these kinds of bonds, using its locomotives and train cars as security. The investor owns the rolling stock under a lease agreement with the railway, until all of the stock has been paid off. These certificates are usually issued in serial form, with a set amount that matures each year.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
Subordinated Debentures Subordinated debentures are junior to other securities issued by the company or other debts assumed by the company. The exact status of an issue of subordinated debentures is described in the prospectus.
Floating-Rate Securities Since 1979, floating-rate securities (also known as variable-rate securities) have been a popular underwriting device because of the volatility of interest rates. Since these bonds automatically adjust to changing interest rates, they can be issued with longer terms than more conventional issues. Floating-rate securities have proved popular because they offer protection to investors during periods of very volatile interest rates. For example, when interest rates are rising, the interest paid on floating-rate debentures is adjusted upwards at regular intervals of six months, which improves the price and yield of the debentures. The disadvantage of these bonds is that when interest rates fall, the interest payable on them is adjusted downwards at six-month intervals, so their yield tends to fall faster than that of most bonds. A minimum rate on the bonds can provide some protection to this process, although the minimum rate is normally relatively low. In a portfolio, floating-rate securities behave like money market securities because, if the rate changes every three months, it is similar to holding a three-month instrument and rolling it over.
Corporate Notes A corporate note is an unsecured promise made by a borrower to pay interest and repay the funds borrowed at a specific date or dates. Corporate notes rank behind all other fixed-interest securities of the borrower. Finance companies frequently use a type of note called a secured note or a collateral trust note. When an automobile is sold on credit, the buyer makes a cash down payment and signs a series of notes by which he or she agrees to make additional payments on specified dates. The automobile dealer takes these notes to a finance company, which discounts them and pays the dealer in cash. Finance companies pledge notes like these as security for collateral trust notes. These notes mature at different times and are sold to financial institutions or to individual investors who have substantial portfolios. Another kind of secured note is the secured term note, which is backed by a written promise to pay. These notes are signed by people who buy automobiles or appliances on an instalment plan. These notes trade on the money market.
Strip Bonds A strip bond or zero coupon bond is created when a dealer acquires a block of high-quality bonds and separates the individual future-dated interest coupons from the rest of the bond (known as the underlying bond residue). The dealer then sells each coupon as well as the residue separately at significant discounts to their face value. Holders of strip bonds receive no interest payments. Instead, the strips are purchased at a discount at a price that provides a certain compounded rate of return, when they mature at par. Similar to Treasury bills, the income is considered interest rather than a capital gain. This can cause a problem for the investor as tax
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must be paid annually on the income, even though the interest income on the bond is not received until the instrument matures. For this reason, it is often recommended that strip bonds be held in a tax-deferred plan such as an RRSP. Example: An investment dealer might buy $10 million face value of a five-year, semi-annual pay Government of Canada bond with a coupon of 5.50%, intending to strip the bond for sale to clients. With this bond, the dealer can create 10 different strip coupons, each with a face value of $275,000 ($10 million × 0.055 × 1/2) and each with a different maturity date, as each coupon will have its own maturity date. The face value of each strip coupon is equal to the dollar value of each interest payment on the regular bond. The bond’s principal repayment can be sold as a residual with a face value of $10 million.
The strip coupons are then sold at a discount to the $275,000 face value. For this example, let’s assume that it sells today for $204,626 (bond price calculations are covered in Chapter 7). An investor buying this strip bond today and holding it until maturity receives $275,000 in five years time. The strip bond does not generate any other regular income flow during this five-year period for the investor.
Domestic, Foreign and Eurobonds Domestic bonds are issued in the currency and country of the issuer. If a Canadian corporation or government issued bonds in Canadian dollars in the Canadian market, these would be domestic bonds. This is the most common type of bond. Foreign bonds are issued in a currency and country other than the issuer’s. This allows issuers access to sources of capital in many other countries. For example, Rogers Cable Inc., a Canadian company, has issued U.S. dollar-denominated bonds in the U.S. market; these bonds are considered foreign bonds in the U.S. market. (Bonds denominated in yen are known as Samurais, just as foreign issues in U.S. dollars and placed in the U.S. market are called Yankee bonds.) Some bonds offer the investor a choice of interest payments in either of two currencies; others pay interest in one currency and the principal in another. These foreign-pay bonds offer investors increased opportunity for portfolio diversification while providing the issuer with cost-effective access to capital in other countries. Eurobonds are issued and sold outside a domestic market and are typically denominated in a currency other than that of the domestic market. They are issued in the Eurobond market or the international bond market and can be issued in any number of different currencies. The Eurobond market is a large international market with issues in many currencies, including Canadian dollars, and attracts both international and domestic investors looking for alternative investments. For example, the Province of Ontario has issued Australian-dollar-denominated bonds in the Eurobond market, attracting investors around the globe, including Canadian investors seeking foreign currency exposure. If a Canadian corporation or government issued Eurobonds denominated in Canadian dollars, they would be called EuroCanadian bonds. If they were denominated in U.S. dollars, they would be Eurodollar bonds. Other examples are shown in Table 6.3
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
TABLE 6.3
Issuer
TYPES OF BONDS BY CURRENCY AND LOCATION
Issued In
Currency of Issue
Called
Canadian
Canada
Cdn$
Domestic bond
Canadian
Mexico
Pesos
Foreign bond
Canadian
France
U.S.$
Eurobond (Eurodollar)
Canadian
European Market
Cdn$
Eurobond (EuroCdn bond)
Canadian
U.S.
U.S.$
Foreign (Yankee) bond
Preferred Securities Preferred securities are very long-term subordinated debentures, and are sometimes called preferred debentures. The characteristics of these securities fall between standard debentures and preferred shares: • • • •
They are very long-term instruments with terms in the range of 25–99 years. They are subordinated to all other debentures, but rank ahead of preferred shares. Interest can often be deferred at management’s discretion for up to five years. They often trade on an exchange.
Preferred securities pay interest, have better yields than standard debentures, and offer better protection of principal than preferred shares. However, there is some risk involved, since if the issuer defaults, preferred securities have a lower priority than other debentures. Issuers may also defer interest payments for a number of years, while the security holder will be taxed on this accrued unpaid interest yearly.
OTHER FIXED-INCOME SECURITIES
Bankers’ Acceptances A banker’s acceptance (BA) is a commercial draft (i.e., a written instruction to make payment) drawn by a borrower for payment on a specified date. A BA is guaranteed at maturity by the borrower’s bank. As with T-bills, BAs are sold at a discount and mature at their face value, with the difference representing the return to the investor. They trade in $1,000 multiples, with a minimum initial investment of $25,000, and generally have a term to maturity of 30 to 90 days, although some may have a maturity of up to 365 days. BAs may be sold before maturity at prevailing market rates, generally offering a higher yield than Canada T-bills.
Commercial Paper Commercial paper is an unsecured promissory note issued by a corporation or an asset-backed security backed by a pool of underlying financial assets. Issue terms range from less than three months to one year. Most corporate paper trades in $1,000 multiples, with a minimum initial investment of $25,000. Like T-bills and BAs, commercial paper is sold at a discount and matures
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at face value. Commercial paper is issued by large firms with an established financial history. Rating agencies rank commercial paper according to the issuer’s ability to meet short-term debt obligations. Commercial paper may be bought and sold in a secondary market before maturity at prevailing market rates and generally offers a higher yield than Canada T-bills.
Term Deposits Term deposits offer a guaranteed rate for a short-term deposit (usually up to one year). Usually there are penalties for withdrawing funds before a certain period (for example, the first 30 days after purchase).
Guaranteed Investment Certificates Guaranteed Investment Certificates (GICs) offer fixed rates of interest for a specific term (longer than with a term deposit). Both principal and interest payments are guaranteed. They can be redeemable or non-redeemable. Non-redeemable GICs cannot be cashed before maturity, except in the event of the depositor’s death or extreme financial hardship. Interest rates on redeemable GICs are lower than standard GICs of the same term, since they can be cashed before maturity. Recently, banks have been customizing their GICs to provide investors with more choice. For instance, investors can choose a term of up to ten years, depending upon the amount invested (for less than a month, it must be a large amount). Investors can also choose the frequency of interest payments (monthly, semi-annual, annual or at maturity) and other features. Many GICs offer compound interest. Note that the Canada Deposit Insurance Corporation (CDIC) does not cover GICs of more than five years. Also, not all GICs are eligible for RRSPs. GICs can be used as collateral for loans, can be automatically renewed at maturity, or can be sold to another buyer privately or through an intermediary. GICs with special features include: • •
• •
•
Escalating-rate GICs: the interest rate increases over the GIC’s term. Laddered GICs: the investment is evenly divided into multiple term lengths (for example, a fiveyear $5,000 GIC can be divided into one-, two-, three-, four- and five-year terms of $1,000 each). As each portion matures, it can be reinvested or redeemed. This diversification of terms reduces interest rate risk. Instalment GICs: an initial lump sum contribution is made, with further minimum contributions made weekly, bi-weekly or monthly. Index-linked GICs: these guarantee a return of the initial investment upon expiry and some exposure to equity markets. They are insured by the CDIC. They may be indexed to particular domestic or global indexes or to a combination of benchmarks. Interest-rate-linked GICs: these offer interest rates linked to the changes in other rates such as the prime rate, the bank’s non-redeemable GIC interest rate, or money market rates.
Some banks have also developed GICs with specialized features, such as the ability to redeem them in case of medical emergency, or homebuyers’ plans, where regular contributions accumulate for a down payment.
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CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
BOND QUOTES AND RATINGS A typical bond quote in a newspaper might look like this: Issue
Coupon
Maturity Date
Bid
Ask
Yield
ABC Company
11.5%
July 1/18
99.25
99.75
11.78%
This quote shows that, at the time reported, an 11.5% coupon bond of ABC Company that matures on July 1, 2018, could be sold for $99.25 and bought for $99.75 for each $100 of par or principal amount. (Remember, prices are quoted as a percentage of par, rather than an aggregate dollar amount.) To buy $5,000 face value of this bond would cost $5,000 × 0.9975 = $4,987.50, plus accrued interest. Some financial newspapers publish a single price for the bond. This may be the bid price, the midpoint between the final bid and ask quote for the day, or an estimate based on current interest rate levels. Convertible issues are usually grouped together in a separate listing. In Canada, the Dominion Bond Rating Service, Moody’s Canada Inc. and the Standard & Poor’s Bond Rating Service provide independent rating services for many debt securities. These ratings can help investors assess the quality of their debt holdings and confirm or challenge conclusions based on their own research and experience. Table 6.4 provides a brief overview of the rating scale of Standard and Poor’s. The definitions indicate the general attributes of debt bearing any of these ratings. They do not constitute a comprehensive description of all the characteristics of each category. Similar services in the U.S. have provided ratings on a ranked scale for many years. Investors closely watch these ratings. Any change in rating, particularly a downgrading, can have a direct impact on the price of the securities involved. From a company’s point of view, a high rating provides benefits, such as the ability to set lower coupon rates on issues of new securities. The Canadian rating services carry out credit analysis and provide an independent and objective assessment of the investment grade of securities. The ratings indicate whether an investment is a high or low risk, that is, the likelihood that interest payments will continue without interruption and that the principal will be repaid on time and in full. Ratings classify securities from investment grade through to speculative and can be used to compare one company’s ability to meet its debt obligations with those of other companies. The rating services do not manage funds for investors, buy and sell securities, or recommend securities for purchase or sale.
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TABLE 6.4
STANDARD AND POOR’S BOND RATING SERVICE
Rating
Description
AAA (Highest Credit Quality)
This category is used to denote bonds of outstanding quality with the highest degree of protection of principal and interest. Companies with debt rated AAA are generally large national or multinational corporations that offer products or services essential to the Canadian economy. These companies usually have had a long and creditable history of superior debt protection, in which the quality of their assets and earnings has been constantly maintained or improved, with strong evidence that this performance will continue.
AA (Very Good Quality)
Bonds rated AA are very similar to those rated AAA and can also be considered superior in quality. These bonds are generally rated lower in quality than AAA because the margin of asset or earnings protection may not be as large or as stable as it is for those rated AAA.
A (Good Quality)
Bonds rated A are considered to be good-quality securities with favourable long-term investment characteristics. The main feature that distinguishes them from the higher-rated securities is that these companies are more susceptible to adverse trade or economic conditions. The protection is consequently lower than for AAA and AA.
BBB (Medium Quality)
Issues rated BBB are classified as medium- or average-grade investments. These companies are generally more susceptible than any of the A-rated companies to swings in economic or trade conditions. Some internal or external factors may adversely affect the longterm protection of BBB debt. These companies bear close scrutiny, but in all cases both interest and principal are adequately protected at present.
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6•27
6•28
CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
TABLE 6.4
STANDARD AND POOR’S BOND RATING SERVICE – Cont’d
Rating
Description
BB (Lower Medium Quality)
Bonds rated BB are considered to be lower-medium-grade securities and have limited long-term protective investment characteristics. Asset and earnings coverage may be modest or unstable. Interest and principal protection may deteriorate significantly during adverse economic or trade conditions.
B (Poor Quality)
Securities rated B lack most qualities necessary for long-term fixed- income investment. Companies in this category generally have a history of volatile operating conditions that have left in doubt the company’s ability to adequately protect the principal and interest. Current coverages may be below industry standards and there is little assurance that the level of debt protection will improve significantly.
CCC (Speculative Quality)
Securities in this category are currently vulnerable to nonpayment, and are dependent upon favourable business, financial and economic conditions for the company to meet its financial commitment on the obligation. In the event of adverse business, financial, or economic conditions, the company is not likely to have the capacity to meet its financial commitment on the debt.
CC (Very Speculative Quality)
The company is highly vulnerable to nonpayment of debt.
C (Highly Speculative Quality)
A subordinated debt is highly vulnerable to nonpayment. This rating is used to cover a situation where a bankruptcy petition has been filed or similar action taken, but payments on this obligation are being continued.
D (Default)
Bonds in this category are in default of some provisions in their trust deed. The company may be in the process of liquidation.
Suspended (Rating Suspended)
A company that has its rating suspended is experiencing severe financial or operating problems of which the outcome is uncertain. The company may or may not be in default, but there is uncertainty as to the company’s ability to pay off its debt.
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SIX • FIXED-INCOME SECURITIES: FEATURES AND TYPES
6•29
SUMMARY After reading this chapter, you should be able to: 1. Describe the fixed-income market and discuss the rationale for issuing debt instruments. •
The dollar value of trading in the Canadian secondary debt market is considerably larger than the dollar value of equity trading.
•
Companies use fixed-income securities to finance and expand their operations or to take advantage of operating leverage.
2. Define the terms used in transactions involving bonds, describe bond features, explain the use of a sinking fund and a purchase fund, and describe the protective provisions found in a bond indenture. •
There is a great deal of terminology to remember:
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Face or par value is the amount the bond issuer contracts to pay at maturity.
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The coupon is the regular interest income that the bond pays.
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Bonds that trade in the secondary market have a price and a quoted yield.
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The remaining life of a bond is called its term to maturity.
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The maturity date is the date at which the bond matures and the principal is repaid.
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A bond is secured by physical assets in a trust deed written into the bond contract.
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A debenture is secured by something other than a physical asset. The asset secured may be a general claim on residual assets or the issuer’s credit rating.
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A callable bond gives the issuer the right, but not the obligation, to pay off the bond before maturity, either to take advantage of lower interest rates or to reduce debt when excess cash is available.
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Most corporate bonds are issued with a Canada yield call that allows the issuer to call the bond at a price based on the greater of par or the price based on the yield of an equivalent term Government of Canada bond plus a yield spread.
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Sinking funds are sums of money taken out of earnings each year to provide for the repayment of all or part of a debt issue by maturity. Sinking fund provisions are as binding on the issuer as any mortgage provision.
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A purchase fund arrangement establishes a fund to retire a specified amount of the outstanding bonds or debentures through purchases in the market if these purchases can be made at or below a stipulated price.
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A convertible bond gives the holder the option to exchange the bond for common shares of the issuing company. A convertible bond allows an investor to lock in a specific price (the conversion price) for the common shares of the company.
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6•30
CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
•
Corporate bonds typically include protective covenants that secure the bond and make it more likely that investors receive their principal at maturity. These protective provisions are essentially safeguards in the bond contract to guard against any weakening in the security holder’s position.
3. Compare and contrast the types of Government of Canada securities. •
Marketable bonds have a specific maturity date and a specified interest rate, and are transferable, which means they can be traded in the market. The Government of Canada issues marketable bonds in its own name.
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Treasury bills are short-term government obligations with original terms to maturity of three months, six months and one year. They are offered in denominations from $1,000 up to $1 million.
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Canada Savings Bonds (CSBs) can be purchased only between October and April of each year but are cashable at their full par value plus any accrued interest by the owner at any bank in Canada at any time.
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Canada Premium Bonds (CPBs) are very similar to CSBs but offer a higher interest rate when they are issued. They can be redeemed only once a year without penalty, on the anniversary of the date of issue and for 30 days thereafter.
4. Compare and contrast the different types of provincial government securities and municipal debentures. •
Provincial bonds are actually debentures because they are promises to pay and no provincial assets are pledged as security. The value of the bonds depends on the province’s ability to pay interest and repay principal.
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Provincial bonds are second in quality only to Government of Canada bonds because most provinces have taxation powers second only to the federal government.
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Municipalities typically raise capital from market sources through instalment debentures or serial bonds. Part of the bond matures in each year during the term of the bond.
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Broadly speaking, a municipality’s credit rating depends on its taxation resources. All else being equal, a municipality with many different types of industry is a better investment risk than a municipality built around one major industry.
5. Identify the different types of corporate bonds and describe their features. •
A banker’s acceptance is a short term debt guaranteed by the borrower’s bank that is sold at a discount and that mature at face value.
•
Commercial paper is a one-year or less unsecured promissory note issued by a corporation and backed by financial assets, sold at a discount and that mature at face value.
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SIX • FIXED-INCOME SECURITIES: FEATURES AND TYPES
6•31
•
First mortgage bonds are the senior securities of a company because they constitute a first charge on the company’s assets, earnings and undertakings before unsecured current liabilities are paid.
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A collateral trust bond is secured, not by a pledge of real property, as in a mortgage bond, but by a pledge of securities or collateral.
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An equipment trust certificate pledges equipment as security instead of real property. These certificates are usually issued in serial form, with a set amount that matures each year.
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Subordinated debentures are junior to other securities issued by the company and other debts assumed by the company.
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Floating-rate bonds automatically adjust to changing interest rates. They can be issued with longer terms than more conventional issues.
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A corporate note is an unsecured promise made by a borrower to pay interest and repay the funds borrowed at a specific date or dates. Corporate notes rank behind all other fixed interest securities of the borrower.
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A strip bond is created when a dealer acquires a block of high-quality bonds and separates the individual future-dated interest coupons from the rest of the bond. The bonds are then sold at significant discounts to their face value. Holders of strip bonds receive no interest payments; instead, the income earned is considered interest rather than a capital gain.
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Foreign bonds are issued in a currency and country other than the issuer’s, which allows the issuer access to sources of capital in many other countries.
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Eurobonds are issued and sold outside a domestic market and are typically denominated in a currency other than that of the domestic market.
6. Describe the features of term deposits and guaranteed investment certificates. •
Term deposits offer a guaranteed rate for a short-term deposit (usually up to one year). There are generally penalties for withdrawing funds before a certain period (for example, the first 30 days after purchase).
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Guaranteed investment certificates (GICs) offer fixed rates of interest for a specific term (longer than with a term deposit). Both principal and interest payments are guaranteed, and they can be redeemable or non-redeemable. Non-redeemable GICs cannot be cashed before maturity except in the event of the depositor’s death or extreme financial hardship.
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6•32
CANADIAN SECURITIES COURSE • VOLUME 1
7. Interpret bond quotes and summarize and evaluate bond ratings.
Now that you’ve completed this chapter and the on-line activities, complete this post-test.
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A typical bond quote includes the issuing company, the coupon rate, the maturity date, the bid and ask price, and the yield on the bond.
•
In Canada, the Dominion Bond Rating Service, Moody’s Canada Inc. and the Standard & Poor’s Bond Rating Service provide independent rating services for many debt securities. These ratings can help investors assess the quality of their debt holdings and confirm or challenge conclusions based on their own research and experience.
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Chapter
7
Fixed-Income Securities: Pricing and Trading
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7•1
7 Fixed-Income Securities: Pricing and Trading
CHAPTER OUTLINE Bond Pricing Principles • Calculating the Fair Price of a Bond • Calculating the Yield on a Treasury Bill • Calculating the Current Yield on a Bond • Calculating the Yield to Maturity on a Bond Term Structure of Interest Rates • The Real Rate of Return • The Yield Curve Bond Pricing Properties • The Relationship Between Bond Prices and Interest Rates • The Impact of Maturity • The Impact of the Coupon • The Impact of Yield Changes • Duration as a Measure of Bond Price Volatility Bond-Switching Strategies Bond Market Trading • Clearing and Settlement • Calculating Accrued Interest
7• 2
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Bond Indexes s #ANADIAN "OND -ARKET )NDEXES s 'LOBAL )NDEXES Summary
LEARNING OBJECTIVES "Y THE END OF THIS CHAPTER YOU SHOULD BE ABLE TO $ElNE PRESENT VALUE AND THE DISCOUNT RATE AND PERFORM CALCULATIONS RELATING TO THE TIME VALUE OF MONEY BOND PRICING AND YIELD $ElNE A REAL RATE OF RETURN AND A YIELD CURVE AND EVALUATE THREE THEORIES OF INTEREST RATE DETERMINATION !NALYZE THE IMPACT OF lXED INCOME PRICING PROPERTIES ON BOND PRICES %XPLAIN THE RATIONALE FOR BOND SWITCHING AND DESCRIBE BOND SWITCHING STRATEGIES 3UMMARIZE THE RULES AND REGULATIONS OF BOND DELIVERY AND SETTLEMENT !SSESS THE ROLE OF BOND INDEXES IN THE SECURITIES INDUSTRY
THE FIXED-INCOME MARKET IN ACTION "EFORE THEY INVEST IN OR RECOMMEND lXED INCOME SECURITIES INVESTORS AND ADVISORS MUST UNDERSTAND THE POTENTIAL RISKS AND REWARDS !N IMPORTANT PART OF THIS PROCESS REQUIRES KNOWLEDGE OF HOW BOND YIELDS AND PRICES ARE DETERMINED /NE OF THE MOST IMPORTANT FACTORS TO KEEP IN MIND IS THE STRONG RELATIONSHIP THAT EXISTS BETWEEN PREVAILING INTEREST RATES AND THE PRICES OF VARIOUS lXED INCOME SECURITIES -OST PEOPLE HAVE INVESTED AT ONE TIME OR ANOTHER IN #ANADA 3AVINGS "ONDS 9OU BUY THE BOND AT ONE PRICE RECEIVE A REGULAR STREAM OF INTEREST PAYMENTS HOLD THE BOND TO MATURITY AND CASH IT IN AT FACE VALUE )N FACT IT IS MOST COMMON THAT INVESTORS BUY A BOND OR OTHER lXED INCOME SECURITY WHEN THEY ARE lRST ISSUED AND HOLD THEM TO MATURITY &IXED INCOME SECURITIES CAN HOWEVER BE BOUGHT IN THE SECONDARY MARKETS 4HE PRICE IN THE MARKETS IS AFFECTED BY A NUMBER OF FACTORS INCLUDING ECONOMIC CONDITIONS AND CHANGES IN INTEREST RATES &IXED INCOME SECURITIES GENERALLY REACT DIFFERENTLY TO ECONOMIC FACTORS THAN DO EQUITIES AND IT IS IMPORTANT TO UNDERSTAND THE IMPACT OF VARIOUS EVENTS THAT AFFECT MARKETS
© CSI GLOBAL EDUCATION INC. (2010)
7s3
(OW MUCH SHOULD AN INVESTOR PAY FOR A PARTICULAR SECURITY 4HIS QUESTION APPLIES AS MUCH TO BONDS AS TO EQUITIES ESPECIALLY FOR INVESTORS SEEKING CAPITAL GAINS IN THE BOND MARKET 4HIS CHAPTER LOOKS AT HOW TO DETERMINE THE FAIR PRICE FOR A lXED INCOME SECURITY AND THEN AT lXED INCOME PRICING PROPERTIES AND BOND TRADING STRATEGIES )N THE ON LINE ,EARNING 'UIDE FOR THIS MODULE COMPLETE THE 'ETTING 3TARTED ACTIVITY
KEY TERMS !CCRUED INTEREST
,IQUIDITY PREFERENCE THEORY
"EARER BONDS
-ARKET SEGMENTATION THEORY
"OND SWITCHES
.OMINAL RATE
#ANADIAN $EPOSITORY FOR 3ECURITIES ,IMITED #$3
0RESENT VALUE
#URRENT YIELD
2EGISTERED BONDS
$ELIVERY
2EINVESTMENT RISK
$ISCOUNT RATE
9IELD CURVE
$URATION
9IELD TO MATURITY 94-
%XPECTATIONS 4HEORY
7s4
© CSI GLOBAL EDUCATION INC. (2010)
4&7&/r'*9&%*/$0.&4&$63*5*&413*$*/(ø"/%ø53"%*/(
7s 5
BOND PRICING PRINCIPLES The most accurate method of determining the value of a bond is by calculating its present value—a technique for determining the value today of an amount of money to be received in the future. The present value method sets out to answer the question—what would you pay today to invest in a security that offered you a guaranteed sum of $1,000 in five years? In other words, what is the present value of this investment? Consider the following scenario. Suppose you had the choice of receiving $1,000 today or one year from today—which would you prefer? When you think about it, you know that if you had the $1,000 today you could invest it and earn interest so that you would have more than $1,000 a year from today. We can then say that an amount to be received in the future is not worth as much today; or the present value of an amount is worth less than its future value because of the opportunity of investing the proceeds today at a rate of interest. The question then is how much needs to be invested today at 5% to achieve that future value of $1,000? Here is a simplified way to determine the present value of this future amount. 0RESENT 6ALUE )NTEREST OR $ISCOUNT 2ATE &UTURE