Natural Disasters, Cultural Responses: Case Studies toward a Global Environmental History (Publications of the German Historical Institute)

Natural Disasters, Cultural Responses

The German Historical Institute Studies in International Environmental History explore humanity’s place in the natural world and changing conceptions of nature. On the premise that nature knows no borders, the series brings a comparative and interdisciplinary perspective to environmental history. It features the work of scholars from across the world and seeks to foster international dialogue on the implications of environmental history for the future.

Natural Disasters, Cultural Responses Case Studies toward a Global Environmental History Edited by Christof Mauch and Christian Pfister

LEXINGTON BOOKS A division of ROWMAN & LITTLEFIELD PUBLISHERS, INC. Lanham • Boulder • New York • Toronto • Plymouth, UK

LEXINGTON BOOKS A division of Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, Inc. A wholly owned subsidiary of The Rowman & Littlefield Publishing Group, Inc. 4501 Forbes Boulevard, Suite 200 Lanham, MD 20706 Estover Road Plymouth PL6 7PY United Kingdom Copyright © 2009 by Lexington Books All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior permission of the publisher. British Library Cataloguing in Publication Information Available Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Natural disasters, cultural responses : case studies toward a global environmental history / edited by Christof Mauch and Christian Pfister. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN-13: 978-0-7391-2415-4 (cloth : alk. paper) ISBN-10: 0-7391-2415-3 (cloth : alk. paper) ISBN-13: 978-0-7391-2416-1 (pbk. : alk. paper) ISBN-10: 0-7391-2416-1 (pbk. : alk. paper) ISBN-13: 978-0-7391-3461-0 (electronic) ISBN-10: 0-7391-3461-2 (electronic) 1. Natural disasters. 2. Disaster relief. I. Mauch, Christof. II. Pfister, Christian. GB5014.N384 2009 904’.5—dc22 2008045289 Printed in the United States of America

@ ™ The paper used in this publication meets the minimum requirements of American National Standard for Information Sciences—Permanence of Paper for Printed Library Materials, ANSI/NISO Z39.48–1992.

Contents

List of Figures

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List of Tables

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Acknowledgments

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Introduction Christof Mauch 1

Learning from Nature-Induced Disasters: Theoretical Considerations and Case Studies from Western Europe Christian Pfister

2

Disaster and Political Culture in Germany since 1500 Franz Mauelshagen

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Summer Frost: A Natural Hazard with Fatal Consequences in Preindustrial Finland Timo Myllyntaus

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Society and Natural Risks in France, 1500–2000: Changing Historical Perspectives René Favier and Anne-Marie Granet-Abisset

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CONTENTS

Humanitarianism and Colonialism: Religious Responses to the Algerian Drought and Famine of 1866–1870 Bertrand Taithe

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The Floods of Baghdad: Cultural and Technological Responses Otfried Weintritt

165

7 Interpreting Earthquakes in Medieval Islamic Texts Anna A. Akasoy 8

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Famine in Bengal: A Comparison of the 1770 Famine in Bengal and the 1897 Famine in Chotanagpur Vinita Damodaran

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“Heaven-Sent Disasters” in Late Imperial China: The Scope of the State and Beyond Andrea Janku

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10 Cultures of Disaster, Cultures of Coping: Hazard as a Frequent Life Experience in the Philippines Greg Bankoff

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11 The Paraná River Floods during the Spanish Colonial Period: Impact and Responses María del Rosario Prieto

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12 Documenting Disaster: Archival Investigations of Climate, Crisis, and Catastrophe in Colonial Mexico Georgina H. Endfield, Sarah J. Davies, Isabel Fernández Tejedo, Sarah E. Metcalfe, and Sarah L. O’Hara 13 American Disasters during the Twentieth Century: The Case of New Jersey James K. Mitchell

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Afterword Christian Pfister

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Index

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About the Contributors

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Figures

Figure 1.1

A Functional Model of Disaster Response

Figure 6.1 Map of Baghdad between 1000 AD and 1400 AD (400 AH and 700 AH) Figure 6.2

The Round City in the Reign of Caliph al-Mans.u¯r (754–775 AD)

Figure 11.1 Map Showing Confluence of Paraná, Paraguay, and Uruguay Rivers

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Tables

Table 3.1

Major Crop Failures in Finland, 1500–1899

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Table 3.2

Total Number of Deaths and Deaths Due to Selected Causes in Finland between 1862 and 1870 According to the Population Change Tables (Lutheran Parishes)

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Table 8.1

Hectares of Forest and Woodland in Chotanagpur, 1870–1890

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Table 8.2

Death Rates in Chotanagpur Districts, Summer 1897 223

Table 8.3

Death Rates in Palamau per 1,000—June to September 1896, 1897

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Table 13.1 Major Natural Disasters in New Jersey, 1900–1999

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Table 13.2 Forest Fires in New Jersey by Decade, 1902–2000

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Table 13.3 New Jersey Decadal Population Changes

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Table 13.4 Changes in Population by County

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Table 13.5 Perceived Changes in Causes of Forest Fires

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Acknowledgments

The editors extend their sincere thanks to the staff of the German Historical Institute in Washington, D.C., particularly Christa Brown and Bärbel Thomas, for their help in organizing the conference “Natural Disasters and Cultural Strategies: Responses to Catastrophe in Global Perspective” in February 2004. A small number of the original conference presentations formed the basis of this volume. The reviews from two anonymous readers did much to improve the individual chapters and the introduction. Special thanks go to Mary Tonkinson and Dr. Patricia Sutcliffe, editors at the German Historical Institute, for their skillful work on the manuscript. Finally, we are grateful to Julie Kirsch and her colleagues at Lexington Books for their expert production of this collection.

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Introduction Christof Mauch

Lately it seems that every Borders bookshop and Blockbuster videostore is filled with titles such as Nature on the Rampage, Killer Flood, Devil Winds, Tidal Wave: No Escape, Dante’s Peak, Aftershock: Earthquake in New York, and Storm of the Century.1 Hollywood provides a steady stream of disaster movies featuring erupting volcanoes, earthquakes, tornadoes, and even menacing asteroids. In 2004, The Day After Tomorrow—a rollercoaster drama about a superstorm that devastates New York City at the start of a new Ice Age—was among the topgrossing movies worldwide.2 Like many other books and movies in the “nature-fights-back” genre, The Day After Tomorrow showcases human vulnerability, as well as folly, vis à vis the elements.3 In recent years disaster films have become ever more costly to produce and their special effects ever more refined. A film like Twister, in which the protagonists are tornado-chasers, creates an intensely realistic experience for the viewer through the use of 3-D models and animation. Such portrayals of the interaction between man and nature actually have little to do with scientific reality. Rather, they are the products of our imagination, reflecting and distilling the fantasies and fears that are bound up with natural disasters. That the vagaries of the weather occupy an increasingly central position among our anxieties may be attributable in part to the fact that nature has become one of the most prominent and most watched “actors” on television and the Internet through the Weather Channel and animated weather web-

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sites. Additionally, films that deal with natural disasters serve as a generic surrogate for war films. It is no accident that Hollywood began to produce more natural-disaster films at the start of the 1970s, exactly the moment when depicting graphic images of the war in Vietnam became taboo. Violent and martial language—“hitting hard,” “strike,” “front,” etc.—supplies the vocabulary for disaster narratives as alternative war narratives. Two recent catastrophes have heightened our awareness of natural disasters and of their impacts on both local and global communities. The 2004 Asian tsunami and the flooding of New Orleans in 2005 not only met with an unparalleled outpouring of support from individuals and relief organizations, they also received unprecedented media coverage around the world. The scale, the suddenness, and the aftermath of these calamities were immense. They reminded commentators of the origins of the word catastrophe, a term for the abrupt and often shocking plot twist with which classical Greek tragedies are resolved. Twenty years ago discussions of the effects of global warming on the environment still took place mainly among scientists, while today they reach a broad audience. The realization that global climate change may represent one of the most significant threats of the near future has aroused our collective interest in catastrophes.4 Numerous warnings (several false alarms among them5), admonitory reports, and visual depictions of natural disasters from around the world have created the impression that as the twenty-first century gets underway, catastrophes are becoming more frequent and more terrible.

HISTORICAL DISASTERS AND DISASTERS IN HISTORY The impact of natural disasters has been enormous in the past and remains so in the present. According to UN statistics, every year approximately two hundred million people are directly affected by natural disasters—seven times the number of people who are affected by war. In just the past few years, earthquakes, tsunamis, hurricanes, and floods have wrought tremendous devastation around the world. Hurricane Katrina, which in late August 2005 submerged large parts of New Orleans, was by far the costliest natural disaster of American history after accounting for inflation. The South Asian tsunami on December 26, 2004, known in the scientific community as the Sumatra-Andaman earthquake, was one of the most terrible natural disasters of this type in recent history; more than one hundred eighty

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thousand people died as a result. The earthquake that hit Bam exactly a year earlier, on December 26, 2003, claimed more than twenty-six thousand victims, and approximately fifty thousand people in Southern and Western Europe fell victim to a heat wave in the summer of 2003. A look into the past, however, puts into perspective the size and impact of natural disasters in recent years. For instance, an earthquake in Shaanxi, China, in 1556 claimed no fewer than eight hundred thousand lives; nearly five hundred thousand people in France died from smallpox in 1870–1871; famine in Ethiopia claimed more than nine hundred thousand lives in 1984; and approximately 3.5 million people died in North Korea in the years 1995–1998 alone as a result of catastrophic famine and flooding. Memory of natural disasters is, in contrast to the memory of war, markedly short-lived. As waters return to their preflood levels and the last victims of earthquakes are recovered, so, too, does mass-media interest in natural disasters quickly subside. There are no veterans’ associations and but few memorials to keep alive the memory of great natural disasters; similarly, catastrophes caused by nature frequently receive no mention whatsoever in history books. In this way acute disasters at any given time eclipse destructive natural phenomena that occurred in the past. Individual catastrophes have at the same time exercised an influence on the course of human history and culture that can hardly be overestimated. The eruption of a volcano in 1600 BC that was two hundred times more powerful than the 1980 explosion of Mount St. Helens destroyed the Minoan culture of Crete, the earliest high culture of Europe. If not for this cataclysmic event, Greece would probably have been unable to extend its hegemony throughout the Mediterranean, as it did in the aftermath of that eruption. In 600 AD a combination of earthquakes and El Niño–like gales destroyed the highly developed culture of the Moche in the Peruvian Andes, along with its sophisticated irrigation system.6 More recently, a massive earthquake in 1985 that left a part of Mexico City in ruins led to the collapse of Mexico’s “perfect dictatorship” under the leadership of the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI), which had held power for generations. The disaster created solidarity among Mexican citizens, strengthened civil society and the political consciousness of a repressed population, and with one stroke made manifest the impotence of a regime that was unequipped to conduct critical rescue and recovery operations.7 A positive effect on foreign policy was finally created in 1999 by two successive earthquakes in Turkey and Greece. Following the first quake near Izmit, to which more than seventeen thousand

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people fell victim, Turkey’s ancient rival spontaneously came to her aid; a few weeks later, when another earthquake struck Athens, the Turkish administration provided assistance to the Greeks. The dual catastrophe indirectly contributed to improved relations between these neighboring states and accelerated their rapprochement on basic questions of foreign policy.8

HISTORIANS AND DISASTER The investigation of natural catastrophes has assumed a prominent place in various scholarly fields and disciplines. Sociologists, anthropologists, and psychologists, for instance, have focused on the immediate effects and the long-term impact of disasters on individuals and societies. Risk perception and risk management are at the center of their research agendas. Anthropologists and literary critics explore connections between catastrophe and identity, while geologists and climatologists concentrate mainly on the natural causes of catastrophes. Until the 1980s catastrophes were seen mainly as deviations from the norm, as extreme and destructive forces that descended without warning on unlucky communities. Over the past two decades, however, scholars have increasingly come to accept that natural catastrophes are never “natural” in the true sense of the word; instead, they should be understood as both physical events and social or cultural occurrences.9 The shifting of tectonic plates, for instance, may not be absolutely predictable, but from a geological point of view it is “normal.” The vast majority of these shifts go unnoticed, and no geologist would think of labeling them a catastrophe. In other cases, nature may supply the trigger for a disaster, but whether we call a natural occurrence a catastrophe depends largely on our perception of its impact on humans. During the course of the twentieth century natural scientists have developed complex theories about the origins and the predictability of natural disasters, while architects and engineers have made advances in quake-resistant building design and construction practices. The technology of early-warning systems has also improved dramatically. Their insights are of the greatest significance for minimizing or deflecting the impact of catastrophic events on humans. In contrast to historians, however, scholars from other disciplines rarely deal with events that lie more than a few decades in the past. To be sure, sociological studies of disasters occasionally acknowledge the necessity of a historical-cultural approach. But even when the

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postulate of historical perspective is honored, such studies are almost exclusively concerned with illuminating society’s present condition; previous epochs appear, in a grand theoretical schema, only as a foil for contemporary cultural or social developments. Thus Ulrich Beck, for instance, has analyzed the growing tolerance of risk-taking in a postmodern Risikogesellschaft or “risk-society.” He argues that our leading social institutions have made it increasingly acceptable to create risks, some of which could potentially endanger the survival of the human species.10 Such an approach may help us to understand, for example, why Americans in the postmodern world are, in growing numbers, choosing to settle in the hurricane- and flood-prone areas of their country, but it does not explain how such decisions came about historically and how communities have adapted to “risks” and the “challenges of nature” over time. In general, one must agree with Christian Pfister that current disaster research is “clearly lacking in temporal depth.”11 At first glance one might be surprised that historians have only lately directed their attention to natural disasters, but the explanation for this puzzling fact should be sought in the development of history as a discipline. From Herodotus onward, historical narratives have focused on major political figures and on the wars they fought, the states they governed, and the institutions they founded; nature itself was not part of that story. Historians of the Annales school in Europe and of the American West in the United States were the first to integrate the physical world into their narratives. Climate in particular, as well as its impact on humans, featured prominently in some of these studies. Natural disasters were ignored, however, because of their apparently random character and singularity. The methods of structural history that grew to prominence in the 1960s promoted analyses of social developments over long periods of time. The “Little Ice Age” of seventeenth-century Europe, for example, became a fixture in textbooks, but nature’s impact on humans was never central to such narratives. The rise of environmental history in the 1980s permitted historians in the United States and Europe to recognize natural disasters as an important object of a newly defined historical discipline. Using an integrated approach that takes into account the interactions of economy, ecology, and culture in addition to political and social factors, some of these historians have succeeded in introducing a plethora of original questions into the scholarly discussion. More recent studies address the fact that nature itself can have the character of an event. Floods, tornadoes, and earthquakes undermine the notion of time as the snail-like progress of centuries; they

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demand a unique mode of historical understanding appropriate to their dramatic pace. Studies such as Donald Worster’s on the Dust Bowl (one of the most devastating and significant natural disasters in North American history) see both in nature and in man a historical actor. In his interpretation of the Dust Bowl, Worster emphasizes that not only nature but rather ideology and economy—or, more specifically, capitalism as the decisive factor in the use of nature—exercised an influence on ecological developments and served as the catalyst for natural disasters.12 Other historians highlight the close relationship between social injustice and “natural order.” Ted Steinberg, in his book on disasters in U.S. history, asserts that most catastrophes are neither simply “acts of God” nor random outbursts of nature’s fury, and he exposes the political and economic dimensions of these events by demonstrating how the interests of government and business have trumped those of the socially marginalized and disenfranchised.13 Historians have at their disposal a set of methodological tools that enables them to reflect the entire scope of human interaction with nature, including political and institutional ramifications, socially produced perceptions, and historically variable anxieties, as well as social and economic damage. One of the strengths of the historical approach to disaster research is its capacity to acknowledge both the immediacy of the catastrophe—its sudden incidence and the tragedy of the day—and the long-term effects of such events. Richard Stuart Olson and Vincent T. Gawronski recently introduced the notion of “societies as weaving daily tapestries.” Following this metaphor, “a disaster is a gash or a sharply discordant thread suddenly introduced into the pattern.” According to Olson and Gawronski, “disaster research tends to focus on the gash and its close effects.” A historical perspective, in contrast, forces analysts “to see how a society repairs/ reweaves itself and moves on. In many cases, the tapestry takes off in a dramatically different direction, with new colors and designs.”

MODERNIZATION AND NATURAL CATASTROPHES One of the central issues addressed by contributors to this volume is the relationship between catastrophes and modernization. It has been said that catastrophes have a transformative “phoenix effect” with respect to both economics and society. Consecutive natural disasters have challenged the organization and technological creativity of society over the course of history. Christian Pfister therefore

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argues that disasters should be seen as the “salt of the modernization process.”14 He and other historians contend that societies have undergone a collective learning process as a result of exposure to recurring catastrophes. Catastrophes, it is asserted, have improved emergency preparedness and spurred technological developments; they have also reduced the vulnerability of humans both in the emergent phase of natural catastrophes and during postdisaster recovery.15 In her chapter on natural disasters in Mexico, social geographer Georgina H. Endfield describes the learning process in terms of a “cumulative” character of “disaster knowledge,” which she sees as the prerequisite for the development of new coping practices. The fact that such knowledge is often sophisticated and very technical has led to “social differentiation” in regions where natural disasters occur frequently and, according to Franz Mauelshagen, to the development of an “expert” culture and the rise of entrepreneurs.16 Mauelshagen also reminds us that progress and modernization are not limited to the nineteenth and twentieth centuries, as many scholars of modern history seem to suggest. In his study of “dike culture” in the North Sea region of Germany, Mauelshagen emphasizes that dams have granted humans considerable security not only in recent centuries but in the Middle Ages as well. While modern science has increased our knowledge and understanding of the origins and impacts of natural disasters, the information gleaned from them has not always been used for prevention. History offers numerous examples of deliberate risk-taking. In many cases, short-term economic profits have been chosen over long-term preventative practices that could have averted or mitigated damage from a disaster.17 In some seemingly paradoxical cases technological advances have led to an increase rather than a reduction in risk. In the United States, for instance, close to fifty million people have established permanent residency in the hurricane-prone areas of the east and southeastern coastlines. The state with the highest hurricane risk—Florida—is also the state that has witnessed the greatest population increase over the past two decades. Information received from weather satellites as well as the National Hurricane Center’s fairly reliable early warning system has dramatically reduced the risk of loss of life during that period. Furthermore, the federal government and private insurance companies have financially compensated hurricane victims for property loss. Damage may not always be avoidable, but it has become increasingly insurable. For that reason many Americans have decided to live with risk—be it in San Francisco, the city with the highest likelihood of a massive earthquake, or along the southeastern

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coastline, where hurricanes will strike with absolute certainty. According to their calculations, a natural disaster is likely to be a matter of repairing or replacing their homes; for some, risk-taking even pays off financially: in Texas a homeowner received more than $800,000 in flood-insurance payments between 1989 and 1995, over seven times the value of his Houston home.18 “The margins of safety,” writes James K. Mitchell in his chapter for this volume, “once provided by keeping people and investments away from the physically riskier parts of the state or by using those areas less intensively than elsewhere, [have] narrowed.”19 Interestingly, even when societies have applied their specialized knowledge about disasters in order to avoid or reduce risks, no preventive measures have consistently withstood the power of nature. In some cases, the very measures that were adopted to reduce risks have resulted in greater exposure to nature’s violence. In the United States the Army Corps of Engineers has constructed thousands of dams and more than ten thousand miles of floodwalls and levees to tame America’s rivers and to prevent them from flooding adjacent communities. Historically, the expert knowledge that engineers gained on the Mississippi served as a national standard. And indeed, until 1927 no levee built on the Mississippi by the Army Corps had ever failed. But the Mississippi flooding of that year was unprecedented, and many levees were breached; the river regained vast areas of its floodplains, taking the lives of more than three hundred people in the process. The building of dams and levees had protected communities from floods over long periods, but the more monumental these protective constructions became, the greater was the damage when they gave way. This was demonstrated by the “Great Flood” of the Mississippi in 1993 and again by Hurricane Katrina in 2005.20 Even though engineers had continually constructed and fortified embankments, large tracts of land were flooded on both occasions. These most recent (major) floods also became the two most expensive disasters in the history of the United States. In past years scholars have warned that technology may not be the best solution, and ecologists have argued that the preservation or reestablishment of floodplains may be more effective in the long run than improvements in protective construction. The story of modernization and the perception of natural disaster is complicated. While modernization has generally led to a reduction of risk in terms of human life, it has also contributed to capitalist speculation and deliberate risk-taking. The story becomes even more complex when one compares different parts of the world.

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CULTURES OF COPING: A GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE The chapters in this volume are organized according to geographic and cultural regions. They resemble a journey around the globe—from Europe to North Africa, the Middle East, and Asia, and from the Pacific through South America and Mexico to the United States. While natural disasters appear everywhere on the globe, different cultures, societies, and nations have adopted specific styles of and strategies for coping with disaster. Indeed, how humans deal with catastrophes depends largely on social and cultural patterns, values, religious belief systems, political institutions, and economic structures. The roles that catastrophes play in society and the meanings they are given vary from one region to the next. Human attitudes toward catastrophes change over time, to be sure, but they also differ—and this is one of the principal arguments of this book—from one cultural, social, and political space to the next. All ancient civilizations in Europe, the Americas, and Asia knew the story of an immense, devastating flood. Perhaps the oldest full account is recorded in the Mesopotamian Epic of Gilgamesh, which dates back to the beginning of the second millennium BC. In the Judeo-Christian tradition this tale became the story of Noah, in which the flood takes on a punitive and religious-instructive function. The element of divine judgment is absent in Indian texts from the sixth century BC, in which a fish warns mankind of a flood. And in China the flood myth glorifies the actions undertaken by Yu the Great, who, according to the story, prevented destruction by building canals, thereby making the country suitable for agriculture. The myth of the Ur catastrophe thus possesses a discrete meaning that varies with respect to cultural space. It matters where a disaster occurs. Cities in Europe, North America, or Japan are far better protected against earthquakes than those in the Near East or in other parts of Asia. A “seismic gap” divides the world into societies that are preparing for earthquakes—using quakeresistant designs for new buildings and retrofitting existing structures, for example—and those that lack the financial resources to do so. According to the calculations of seismologists, in Los Angeles approximately fifty thousand people would fall victim to a quake measuring 7.5 on the Richter scale, while in Teheran, where buildings are poorly constructed, the number would reach one million.21 In the chapter that opens this volume, Christian Pfister introduces what could be called a “paradigm of progressive learning” that is symptomatic of the evolution of disaster response in Western Europe. With

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a focus particularly on Switzerland, Pfister shows how explanatory and predictive disaster models have improved over time, and how both the technology and the bureaucracy involved in disaster prevention have become more sophisticated. Pfister demonstrates that the process of learning about catastrophes is closely connected to actual (collective) experiences of disaster. Not surprisingly, where disasters occur most often, preparedness is likely to be most advanced; and every catastrophe has been followed by major shifts in attitudes and policies. Franz Mauelshagen’s study of natural disasters in Germany provides a sweeping account of that nation’s technological, political, and religious reactions to catastrophe over a five-hundred-year period. He argues that one ought to identify “regions of disasters” rather than national cultures, but he also points out that the rise of the nation-state had an impact on disaster management. At the core of Mauelshagen’s chapter is a discussion of Germany’s North Sea region, which is frequently hit by flooding. Borrowing from Simon Schama, Mauelshagen describes this region as a “hydrographic society” that has developed its own technology and “dike culture” over the centuries. In the third chapter of this collection, Timo Myllyntaus discusses a type of disaster that occurs most often in Scandinavia: the summer frost, or kesähalla, as the Finnish call it. This silent and almost invisible natural phenomenon has caused severe crises throughout Finnish history right up to the time of the Great Famine in 1867. Myllyntaus stresses that many factors—including malnutrition and infectious disease—contributed to the disastrous socioeconomic impact of this midnineteenth-century kesähalla. Because the famine years of the 1860s brought about deep structural changes in Finnish society, including modernization and profound alterations in the country’s traditionally agrarian culture, they are often considered a turning point in Finnish history. In their chapter on “natural risks” in France, René Favier and Anne-Marie Granet-Abisset provide a comprehensive discussion of historiographical trends and methodologies in recent French literature. As they focus on the most common disaster in French history, namely floods, they argue that a specific “culture of risk” existed even in early modern times. Divine retribution was by no means the only accepted explanation for the occurrence of disaster. Other reasons—including climatic changes, heavy rain or snowfall, even deforestation—were seen to be triggering flooding. Already in the mid-seventeenth century local authorities in France had taken action to control river floods in a systematic way, and a hundred years later specific codes and regulations were set up in some areas in order to cope with the risk of flood-

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ing. Written records and the memorialization of past disasters played a major role in the acquisition of knowledge that was necessary to live with recurring risks. Bertrand Taithe, in his case study of a late nineteenth-century Algerian drought, explores the origins of humanitarian relief efforts. He contends that humanitarianism is hegemonic in the Gramscian sense. The decision, for example, to publicize the starvation of the Algerian population should be seen not as a benevolent act but rather as a way of demonstrating the supposed inferiority of Arab politics, culture, and religion. Taithe examines the religious underpinnings of humanitarian discourse and reveals the affinity between humanitarianism and colonialism. The chapters by Otfried Weintritt and Anna A. Akasoy address two complementary aspects of natural disasters in Near Eastern history and culture: the role of technology in coping with disaster, and the role of Islamic theology and Arab science. Weintritt argues that the government and people of Mesopotamia experienced disastrous floods on a regular basis, and that their approach to prevention and damage, even over a thousand years ago, was essentially “technical-rational.” Akasoy draws her conclusions from close readings of two medieval treatises on earthquakes written in Cairo. In exploring various Islamic traditions, Akasoy finds that these texts offered both theological and scientific explanations for earthquakes. Even in strictly theological texts, earthquakes were not necessarily interpreted as a form of divine punishment for transgression; the topic of earthquakes also offered authors an opportunity to express political and social criticism. In her chapter on droughts, floods, and famines in India, Vinita Damodaran argues that colonialism (and modernization) were harmful to many native communities in nineteenth-century Chotanagpur. In particular she demonstrates that deforestation by the British destroyed the diversity of wild food sources and thereby the forest economy. In precolonial times the population had relied on the jungle to help them survive and recover in the wake of disaster. The destruction, however, of an essential part of their livelihoods, rendered obsolete their collective experience, local knowledge, and customs, exposing them to the full (and often fatal) effect of major droughts and floods. Andrea Janku argues that calamities in China were seen as “heaven-sent” (tianzai, the traditional Chinese term for “natural disaster”) from very early times until well into the nineteenth century. Natural catastrophes were interpreted either as heavenly punishment or as a warning to the ruler, who could lose his power in the wake of a major calamity or could prove himself a great hero by helping his

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people at a moment of crisis. Throughout the centuries, the preservation of social peace and the consolidation of political power were at the core of official Chinese relief efforts. During the nineteenth century, however, when the British became involved in disaster and famine relief, local or regional reconstruction programs turned into competitive international campaigns that revealed the shortcomings of the Chinese system both to the world and to the educated classes of the Chinese population. The symbolic impact of foreign relief work in China was tremendous, as it undermined the assertion that China could manage its problems without outside help. That experience produces “cultures of coping” in regions with a high frequency of natural disasters is demonstrated in Greg Bankoff’s chapter on the Philippines. Catastrophes are accepted aspects of everyday life for Filipinos, who have developed specific strategies, such as types of architecture or crop diversification, to cope with them. Furthermore, Filipinos exhibit distinct behavioral responses—including bahala na (the “leave-it-to-fate sentiment”)—that reduce or eliminate psychological distress in emergency situations. According to Bankoff, the Filipinos have established a number of local aid agencies among the people of the archipelago, which in recent years have been supplemented with relief efforts by the Catholic Church, the labor movement, and other nongovernmental organizations. In the case of early modern South America, cooperation among local, regional, and foreign actors was less effective than in the Philippines. In her study of communities along the Paraná River, María del Rosario Prieto describes how indigenous peoples and Spanish colonizers each developed distinctive responses to the devastating floods that occurred there in the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries. The Jesuits unwittingly destroyed part of the indigenous culture of coping, as a result of which many natives suffered malnutrition, disease, and death. A group of sociologists led by Georgina H. Endfield presents its findings—the product of extensive archival investigations—on catastrophes in colonial Mexico. Droughts, floods, and hurricanes as well as earthquakes and volcanic activity have continually tested the resilience and resourcefulness of the Mexican people. As Endfield and her team argue, the impact of a catastrophe and the community’s ability to recover from it depended very much on the context and the sequence of events. Experimentation, innovation, and agrarian adaptation steadily improved Mexicans’ ecological understanding, particularly after the eighteenth century. “Cumulative disaster knowledge” has played an increasingly important role both in the development of specific coping practices and in the social memory of the Mexican population.

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Compared with natural hazards in other parts of the world, those in the mid-Atlantic region of the United States have had relatively mild effects. New Jersey geographer James K. Mitchell discusses a variety of disasters, including forest fires, droughts, coastal storms, and blizzards. He shows that many of the hazard-related challenges have remained the same throughout the twentieth century, while political, social, and institutional frameworks as well as scientific insights have radically changed over the same period. In “places of modest extremes” the rhetoric of concern persists, even though hazards that were life-threatening in the late nineteenth century have lost their immediate potential to cause damage and death. More generally, Mitchell reminds us of recent paradigm shifts in the cultural and social construction of natural hazards. These and other issues are taken up by Christian Pfister in his concluding synthesis of current and future challenges to the history of disasters around the globe.

Natural catastrophes, as this historical tour d’horizon shows, are not simply “problems” to be solved. Individual cultures have devised particular answers to the questions of prevention, emergency aid, and reconstruction. Over time, societies confronted with recurring disasters have developed local strategies to minimize and manage their impact. Cultural groups as different as the Hydraulic Society of the North Sea and Ivatan communities in the Philippines offer clear examples of this tendency. That colonialism in Africa, Asia, and South America often resulted in the eradication of indigenous populations’ traditional knowledge must be counted among the tragedies of global development; and the loss of collective local experiences has almost invariably led to increased vulnerability. Conversely, programs set up by international organizations have successfully reduced the exposure of marginal social groups. The recent establishment of “flood kindergartens” in Vietnam, which has significantly contributed to lowering the rate of flood-related child mortality, is a case in point.22 While natural disasters may be similar to those in the past, the manner in which they are anticipated and endured has evolved, in no small part because professionalized cultures of disaster management have emerged. The historical perspective that informs all the chapters in this book clearly demonstrates that coping mechanisms have changed over time, sometimes radically. The underlying developments are complex; they frequently take root in ambivalent or contradictory patterns. Thus deeper insight into the risks does not necessarily lead

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to avoidance of disasters. Coming to terms historically with catastrophes is mostly a process of trial-and-error carried out by human actors and organizations at various levels. Natural disasters are not man-made. But man can intervene and influence environmental processes; man can limit damage by preventing settlement in areas with a high frequency of catastrophes or by using early-warning systems to predict the path of catastrophes. At the same time, the immensity of nature’s own dynamic places it beyond human predictability. No other approach can illuminate the interaction of the social and the natural, of chance and probability, of risk and safety, as clearly as the historical approach to natural catastrophes, through which our self-knowledge is continually expanded and our understanding of humans’ relation to society and to nature is continually redefined.

NOTES 1. See Nature on the Rampage, Harm J. De Blij (Washington, D.C.: Smithsonian Books, 1994); Killer Flood: The Day the Dam Broke (TV), dir. Doug Campbell, 2003; Devil Winds (TV), dir. Gilbert M. Shilton, 2003; Tidal Wave: No Escape (TV), dir. George Miller, 1997; Dante’s Peak (Universal Pictures), dir. Roger Donaldson, 1997; Aftershock: Earthquake in New York (TV), dir. Mikael Salomon, 1999; Stephen King’s Storm of the Century (TV), dir. Craig R. Baxley, 1999. 2. During the first six months of 2004, Twentieth-Century Fox’s The Day After Tomorrow (dir. Roland Emmerich) grossed more than $398 million worldwide, 61 percent of that sum coming from overseas. 3. David Blackbourn coined the term “nature-fights-back” genre in his “Conquests from Barbarism: Taming Nature in Fredrick the Great’s Prussia,” in Nature in German History, Christof Mauch, ed. (New York and Oxford: Berghahn Books, 2004), 10–30, esp. 10. 4. See David Plotz, “Mother Nature: Why You Can’t Trust Mom,” Slate, September 24, 1999, www.slate.com/id/35486/. Plotz argues that “anxiety about nature is surging during a time of domestic tranquility.” 5. Frank Uekötter and Jens Hohensee, eds., Wird Kassandra heiser? Die Geschichte falscher Ökoalarme (Stuttgart: Franz Steiner Verlag, 2004). 6. Brian M. Fagan, Floods, Famines, and Emperors: El Nino and the Fate of Civilizations (New York: Basic Books, 1999); Brian M. Fagan, Little Ice Age: How Climate Made History 1300–1850 (New York: Basic Books, 2001); Bryn Barnard, Dangerous Planet: Natural Disasters that Changed History (New York: Crown Books, 2003). 7. Richard Stuart Olson and Vincent T. Gawronski, “Mexico as a Living Tapestry: The 1985 Disaster in Retrospect,” Natural Hazards Observer 30, no. 1 (September 2005): 1–3, esp. 1; see also Diane E. Davis, Urban Leviathan:

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Mexico City in the Twentieth Century (Philadelphia: Temple University Press, 1994). 8. Donald G. McNeil Jr., “How Nature Changes History,” New York Times, January 2, 2005, Sec. 4, 1. 4. 9. Kathleen J. Tierney, Michael K. Lindell, and Ronald W. Perry, Facing the Unexpected: Disaster Preparedness and Response in the United States (Washington, D.C.: National Academies Press, 2001), 15; Uwe Lübken and Christof Mauch, “Natural Disasters in Transatlantic Perspective: River Floods in German and U.S. History,” Bulletin of the German Historical Institute 35 (2004): 99–111. 10. Ulrich Beck, Risk Society: Towards a New Modernity, trans. Mark Ritter (London: Sage Publications, 1992). 11. Christian Pfister, Am Tag danach: Zur Bewältigung von Naturkatastrophen in der Schweiz, 1500–2000 (Bern, Switzerland: Haupt, 2002), 7. 12. Donald Worster, Dust Bowl: The Southern Plains in the 1930s (Oxford and New York: Oxford University Press, 1979). 13. Ted Steinberg, Acts of God: The Unnatural History of Disaster in America (Oxford and New York: Oxford University Press, 2000). 14. Christian Pfister, Am Tag danach, 16. See also Christopher L. Dyer, “The Phoenix Effect in Post-Disaster Recovery: An Analysis of the Economic Development Administration’s Culture of Response after Hurricane Andrew,” in Susanna M. Hoffman and Anthony Oliver-Smith, eds., The Angry Earth: Disaster in Anthropological Perspective (New York: Routledge, 1999), 278–300. 15. For an extended discussion of how societies learn to cope with catastrophes, see the chapter by Christian Pfister with which this collection opens: “Learning from Nature-Induced Disasters: Theoretical Considerations and Case Studies from Western Europe.” 16. Franz Mauelshagen, “Disaster and Political Culture in Germany Since 1500,” 52, 55. 17. In the Sironko region of Uganda, for instance, the government has been unsuccessful in trying to convince farmers to plant large trees as barriers against landslides. The economic needs of the farmers directly conflict with the recommended ecological measures. See Nahid Bhadelia, “Why a Stitch In Time Can Be a Hard Sell: Fostering A Culture of Disaster Reduction,” Aid Workers Exchange, forum, aidworkers.net/messages/258/10877.html (accessed July 23, 2003). 18. Harvey Blatt, America’s Environmental Report Card: Are We Making the Grade? (Cambridge, Mass., and London: MIT Press, 2005), 48–49; J. R. Cushman Jr., “Citing Insurance Costs,” New York Times, July 17, 1998, Sec. A, 15. 19. James K. Mitchell, “American Disasters During the Twentieth Century: The Case of New Jersey,” 349. 20. On the Mississippi floods of 1927 and 1993, see Diane Raines Ward, Water Wars: Drought, Flood, Folly, and the Politics of Thirst (New York: Riverhead Books, 2002), 171–81. 21. Andrew C. Revkin, “The Future of Calamity,” New York Times, January 2, 2005, www.nytimes.com/2005/01/02/weekinreview/02revk.html?sq=#

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[accessed May 1, 2008]; see also Kerry E. Sieh, The Earth in Turmoil: Earthquakes, Volcanoes, and their Impact on Humankind (New York: W. H. Freeman, 1998). 22. During the 2002 floods, many children were separated from their parents while the latter attempted to salvage their livelihoods. The “flood kindergartens,” into which approximately twenty thousand children were placed, contributed to a drastic reduction in child mortality. See United Nations/ International Strategy for Disaster Reduction, Living with Risk: A Global Review Of Disaster Reduction Initiatives (Geneva, N.Y.: United Nations Publications, 2002).

1

Learning from Nature-Induced Disasters Theoretical Considerations and Case Studies from Western Europe Christian Pfister

CATALYSTS OF CHANGE Fifteen years ago Donald Worster summarized the discipline of environmental history as the study of humans’ relationship to nature through analyses of the interactions between past societies and the nonhuman world.1 Most scholars understand that study as an account of man’s encroachment on and transformation of the natural environment. Few of them view the field from the opposite perspective, as a narrative of nature’s impact on human affairs. The ongoing phenomenon of global warming in conjunction with the increased frequency and severity of climate-driven disasters has made such a perspective more plausible. In addition to causing loss of life and property damage in both developed and underdeveloped nations, disasters sometimes erode the authority of political leaders and can even determine the outcome of elections, as the August 2002 flood of the Elbe River did in Germany.2 The concept of disaster refers exclusively to the human world. Among the many meanings of the word natural listed in MerriamWebster’s online dictionary, the following is most appropriate to the way in which this term is used in combination with the word disaster: “living in or as if in a state of nature untouched by the influences of civilization and society.”3 Even though humans have been transforming the natural world since at least the Paleolithic era, this usage of

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natural fails to express the societal aspects of disaster. The term natural disaster is thus somewhat misleading. A more precise alternative would be the phrase nature-induced disaster, which reflects the fact that such catastrophes are brought about by natural phenomena without obscuring their anthropogenic dimensions. Nature-induced disasters are commonly understood as unpredictable outbreaks of elemental forces that have a sudden, destructive impact on human affairs. Many scholars restrict use of the term to mean consequences of “rapid-onset hazards” such as frosts, floods, storm tides, windstorms, volcanic eruptions, rockslides, earthquakes, and tsunamis, the impacts of which are magnified by their unpredictability. Other scholars include “slow-onset hazards” such as droughts, epidemics, and famines—environmental processes that often precipitate long-term social crises. However, this extension of the term involves other coping strategies. Famines, for example, are strongly linked to social causes such as the unequal distribution of resources, as we know from Amartya Sen.4 Management of epidemics involves not only controlling the disease vector but also providing care for those stricken by the pathogen. To avoid ambiguity, historians should define their use of the term nature-induced disaster; in the present study it refers generally to rapid-onset hazards and specifically to floods. Whether nature-induced catastrophes can generate improvements in disaster preparedness and emergency response remains a matter of debate. Johan Galtung, the eminent professor of peace studies, has argued that “in most cases a catastrophe is needed to implement novel solutions.”5 The renowned French philosopher and cultural critic Paul Virilio has compared the consequences of the Sumatra-Andaman tsunami that occurred on December 26, 2004, with those of the terrorist attack on the World Trade Center in September 2001. He assumes that crucial political stimuli in the twenty-first century “will result from disasters rather than from revolution.”6 Over the past fifteen years, learning has become an important topic in the field of disaster studies. Systematic investigations of “lessons learned” are, for example, being conducted by members of the Natural and Environmental Disaster Information Exchange System (NEDIES), a project sponsored by the European Union.7 Despite intense public interest in learning from disasters, historians have been rather reluctant to address this topic; according to Gerrit Jasper Schenk’s recent overview of the field of disaster studies, the number of historical analyses that deal with the development of disaster-related knowledge is still limited.8 Historian Frank Uekötter gets to the heart of this reluctance when he writes: “A natural

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disaster is like a bee. It stings, and then dies.”9 His metaphor may be appropriate as a description of singular events, but, as Robert W. Kates argues, recurring disasters, such as floods, may well have cumulative effects: “Floods need to be experienced, not only in magnitude, but in frequency as well. Without repeated experiences, the process whereby managers evolve emergency measures of coping with floods does not take place.”10 Historian Martin Körner, in summarizing the results of an international project titled “The Destruction and Rebuilding of Cities,” likewise concludes that “fires, earthquakes, and floods are to be considered as catalyzers if not in fact moving forces of a certain modernization in early modern Europe, especially in the areas of law, administration, risk management, and town planning.”11 Guido Poliwoda is the first environmental historian to focus explicitly on learning. In his case study of Saxony between 1784 and 1845, he distinguishes between short-term steps, medium-term processes, and long-term evolutions of learning.12 The above-average frequency and severity of floods during this sixty-one-year period enabled Poliwoda to measure task performance and to demonstrate improvement over time. Denis Coeur’s unpublished dissertation also deals with the evolution of strategies for coping with floods in and around the French town of Grenoble from the seventeenth to the nineteenth century.13

FRAMING THE ISSUE Before we can understand how communities learn from disasters, we must first know something about the learning process in general. Familiarity with established theories of pedagogy will enable a more sophisticated analysis of the source materials. A brief survey of selected pedagogical theories will also help to ground the argument that follows. According to Chris Argyris and Donald A. Schön, we should begin by distinguishing between the noun and verb forms of the word learning: the first denotes knowledge itself, and the second denotes the process by which knowledge is acquired or produced.14 In the context of disaster studies, learning is more often used as a synonym for knowledge. We must also distinguish between “cognitive” and “behavioral” approaches to learning. The behavioral approach contends that learning is demonstrated by changes in observable behavior, whereas the cognitive approach (advocated by Jean Piaget) argues that mental processes are critical to learning. Another difference between these approaches

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concerns the agent to whom the learning process is attributed. Adherents of the cognitive approach claim that only individuals may be said to learn and that groups therefore learn exclusively through the contributions of individual members.15 Champions of the behavioral approach assert that learning can also occur by means of collective processes that may involve churches, businesses, emergency-response personnel, and political authorities.16 In public policy, at least at the state or national level, learning from catastrophes takes place within networks that include politicians, administrators, scientists, and technical experts.17 At the community level the success of disaster management depends not only on local leaders and small groups— agents who tend to leave few if any records of their activities—but also on relatives and neighbors. Next we must determine what constitutes useful knowledge. Learning is geared either toward prevention of or adaptation to catastrophes. With regard to “managing” natural processes, Joel Mokyr distinguishes between “what” knowledge—which consists of observation, classification, measurement of natural phenomena, and the establishment of governing principles and regularities—and “how” knowledge—which consists of techniques, practices, and instructions.18 Fourth, criteria for evaluating successful learning must be established. Performance can be recognized as “improved” only when it is repeatable.19 Thus analyses of how we learn from disasters will usually compare at least two events of the same type. Because nature-induced disasters are infrequent in many countries, investigations of these events often span decades and even centuries. Substantial changes in the social, economic, political, cultural, and environmental contexts must also be taken into account when studying these longer time periods. Max Miller distinguishes between cumulative learning and fundamental learning. The first type seeks to put current knowledge into practice. For example, until recent decades the main strategy for managing riparian flooding was to upgrade river embankments. The second type, fundamental learning, involves fresh insights into the nature of a problem that lead to innovative solutions.20 Projects to re-nature rivers offer a pertinent example of this type of learning: motivated by a desire to safeguard biodiversity, these enterprises rediscovered the advantage of using large floodplains as “natural” reservoirs.21 The paradigm now used by most researchers to assess the impact of natural hazards is vulnerability, which, according to Nick Brooks, can be of two kinds: social vulnerability and biophysical vulnerability. The category of social vulnerability encompasses all of the conditions and

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factors that either amplify or mitigate the effects of a nature-induced disaster. These include economic status, social condition, food entitlement, housing quality, and insurance eligibility.22 Greg Bankoff shows that some societies are inherently more vulnerable than others by virtue of their geographical location, topography, or exposure to extreme historically unprecedented environmental changes.23 In addition, it needs to be emphasized that the capacity of a political system in terms of technology and subsidization depends on its political stability, administrative efficiency, and financial resources.24 The term biophysical vulnerability stands for the magnitude of material and nonmaterial losses resulting from the combined effect of social vulnerability and natural hazard severity. Most disaster-management plans are divided into three phases: emergency, recovery, and reconstruction.25 These categories provide useful tools for analyzing how communities cope with catastrophe and understanding how time, resources, and agents operate at local, regional, and national levels. In the emergency phase the critical elements at the local level are time and leadership, while mobilizing institutional and popular support at the regional level is the biggest challenge of the recovery phase. Raising funds and supplying materiel for reconstruction were undoubtedly greater obstacles to surmount in the past; therefore, damage compensation may now be a more precise label than recovery for this second phase. Prevention should not be confined to a specific phase.26 Preventive and adaptive measures can be incorporated into each of the three coping phases, and learning can be either conventional or innovative (figure 1.1), though it is not always possible to draw clear-cut distinctions between these two modes. The innovative mode refers to learning that leads to modification of an existing process or even development of a new strategy for reducing vulnerability to future hazards. Such innovations have traditionally been implemented as a matter of course without being publicly debated. A change in this respect occurred during the late seventeenth century in response to the rise of “cameralism.” Hamish Marshall Scott notes that this economic philosophy emphasized the primacy of a state’s wealth and the prosperity of its subjects. Leaders influenced by cameralist ideas sought to closely regulate the lives of those they governed.27 Measures were taken to protect people from several types of hazard, including fires, pests, epizootics, and floods and such objectives became a topic of political discourse. During the second half of the eighteenth century cameralist principles were implemented in Germany, Russia, Denmark, and the territories ruled by the Habsburg monarchs.28 Beginning in the early nineteenth century, rulers and bureaucrats employed university-

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Figure1.1: A Functional Model of Disaster Response

educated professionals to develop disaster-prevention policies. The conventional mode refers to learning that does not result in modifications but which instead implements measures that mirror those taken during preceding disasters of the same kind. An example of conventional learning would be the rebuilding of dikes without any adaptive technological modification after a flood.29

LEARNING IN THE EMERGENCY PHASE The ability to forecast with reasonable accuracy the onset, duration, and severity of a nature-induced disaster is an essential element of

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emergency-response systems set up to minimize the emotional suffering and physical damage caused by such events.30 The timespan between warning of an impending catastrophe and its onset can determine the success or failure of a disaster-management plan.31 Stephanie Summermatter has argued that a risk must be regarded as avoidable before adaptive or preventive measures to mitigate its effects can be envisaged.32 Fires, which were often fueled by meteorological conditions such as droughts or strong winds, were the first type of disaster to be considered avoidable: fire-prevention regulations and measures existed in parts of the Roman Empire, and many medieval towns had night watchmen whose chief responsibility was to alert the community in case of fire.33 Learning processes included the regulation of domestic and industrial fireplaces, the appointment of neighborhood fire patrols, and the obligation of every household to possess a water bucket. In the early modern period city councils subsidized the maintenance of fire engines and improved public access to water for extinguishing accidental fires. Professional urban fire brigades were set up in the late nineteenth century.34 People in the preindustrial world were also acutely conscious of their vulnerability to climatic shocks. First of all, they were familiar with weather spells, which were critical for the outcome of the harvest. In early modern Spain, farmer’s guilds, municipal authorities, and ecclesiastical leaders had developed a sophisticated system of stepwise religious response to drought that was well adapted to this kind of slow-onset catastrophe. Farmers working in the fields were the first to notice signs of climatic stress on crops. They discussed the issue in their guilds and, if necessary, informed the town council, which then decided whether to request the religious authorities to perform a rogation ceremony. This authority could be a simple parish priest or a cathedral chapter, depending on the size and importance of the township. Rogation rituals typically included communal prayers, exposition of holy relics, solemn processions, and even pilgrimages to neighboring sanctuaries. The church determined when and how to incorporate such additional ceremonies into the liturgical calendar. If a drought persisted and became more serious, further rituals were conducted according to a scheme prescribed by the Vatican. During one extreme drought the whole population of Barcelona was called to participate in a procession to the sanctuary of Montserrat. While this system involved multiple bureaucracies, it nevertheless worked smoothly and efficiently. No more than a week was typically required from the first warnings to the performance of a rogation ceremony. Records of such ceremonies appear in the account books of both the

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municipalities that paid for them and the religious authorities that provided them. However, efficient measures to improve food security and thus avert subsequent crises were not taken. Rather, rogation ceremonies were a strategy to soothe the people’s anxieties and to prevent social unrest.35 In late fifteenth-century Basel a watchman was appointed to monitor the Rhine in case of an impending flood. Moreover, after a severe flood in late summer of 1480 a squad equipped with hooks and rods was employed to remove drifting logs from the river in order to prevent the city’s only bridge from being damaged or destroyed. Municipal account books indicate that the squad was called up unnecessarily on numerous occasions. It was finally disbanded during the sixteenth century, when floods became rare for several consecutive decades.36 By the eighteenth century, effective early-warning systems already existed in the Swiss mountain valley of Upper Engadin. This valley was part of the Republic of the Three Federations, in which judicial communities were quasi-self-governing. Residents of this area developed their own strategies to cope with floods, appointing night watchmen, for example, to monitor the level of the Inn River. Emergency tasks were assigned according to gender: while men reinforced the river embankments and destroyed bridges that would obstruct the flow of water, women snatched up valuable belongings and drove the cattle to higher ground for safety. Church bells were rung to warn and call up neighboring communities.37 Analogies to fire prevention are obvious. In Upper Engadin, where the houses are mainly built of stone, floods were regarded as a more serious threat than fire. The French town of Grenoble, located near the junction of the Isère and the Drac rivers, experienced repeated flood cycles from the seventeenth to the nineteenth century. In a remarkable study of this area, historian Denis Coeur establishes three severe flood cycles—1635 to 1675, 1730 to 1780, and 1840 to 1860—during which flood waters routinely reached the second story of buildings in several streets.38 Coeur illustrates how city authorities gradually learned which measures would best protect the population from the worst consequences of these floods. Until the early eighteenth century the danger became apparent only when the floodwave reached the suburbs. At that point the authorities would close the city gates in an attempt to slow down the rushing waters, but this action was known to be largely symbolic. Soldiers who were quartered in town would beat the drum in order to warn the population. Safeguarding the local grain stores was a primary concern for the authorities, and another urgent matter was ensuring a supply of candles for nighttime rescue operations.39

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In September 1733 the grain stores were for the first time carried to higher ground early enough to be saved. In 1764 an ordinance instructed barge owners to be prepared to rescue people stranded by the flood. A systematic protocol of measures to be taken in case of inundation was first devised in November 1802. No early-warning system was established, however, despite the fact that a rider coming from upstream of the flood plain could reach the city up to four hours before the waters would crest there. Eventually the governor (intendant), who represented the crown, allocated funds to develop a coordinated system of defense against the two rivers. The plan was to be drafted by the royal engineer, who had been educated at the École Nationale des Ponts et Chaussées, France’s famous school of engineering. Local initiatives received no financial support.40 Not until the installation of water gauges and the use of the telegraph in 1872 was an effective early-warning system put in place.41 Coeur also highlights the human suffering caused by floods, a subject that is rarely addressed in public documents. A greengrocer named François Blanc, called la Goutte, left a poem titled “Grenoblo Melherou” (Unhappy Grenoble) that describes local citizens’ despair after the disaster of September 1733, which they interpreted as divine retribution for their sins: “Every creature shivers—cattle, birds and humans / The earth disappears, the mountains are brought down / the torrents and rivers swell / Grenoble and his regions sink into the sea / Water penetrates everywhere / it does not run, it flies / Grenoble, you are lost. The monster devours you.”42 Between 1784 and 1845, the electorate and later kingdom of Saxony was affected by no fewer than twelve disastrous floods of the Elbe River.43 Most of them occurred in late winter as the result of a rapid breakup of the ice covering the river.44 The flood of February 28/March 1, 1784, took the region by surprise, causing chaos everywhere along the river. The administration responded to the disaster in the traditional way, inspecting the damage, providing tax relief, and launching an aid campaign on Good Friday to which the elector contributed generously. Sixty years later, at the end of March 1845, an even more devastating flood swept through the area. On this occasion, however, the people had advance warning, a flood-protection plan had been developed, a crisis-management group was organized to oversee rescue and relief efforts, and emergency assistance was provided to victims. This successful adaptation to disaster was the outcome of a learning process that spanned several decades. It was also in part a result of the transition from a late absolutist to a bourgeois society after the turn of the nineteenth century. Under the ancient régime, local of-

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ficials waited for instructions from the prince and his cabinet in the wake of a disaster. After the flood of 1784, these officials increasingly took independent initiatives to improve rescue operations and to safeguard dams and other infrastructure. The transfer of decision-making to regional and local authorities is typical of the conversion from a strictly hierarchical to a more adaptive system.45 Local officials reported their observations to higher levels of administration and made recommendations on how best to manage the emergency phase. Officials who had been charged with solving the disaster problem evaluated these reports. The director of hydraulic engineering, Christian Friedrich Wagner, submitted a memorandum that offered a series of organizational and technical measures. In contrast to the sudden floods of spring and summer, the breakup of ice on the Elbe and other rivers was a more gradual process. Watchmen monitored water levels throughout high-risk periods, cannons were fired as a warning signal, and civilians were subjected to martial law during the emergency phase. Soldiers of the standing army were quartered in private homes in Dresden and the surrounding area. Civilians who didn’t show up to serve as a guard or to fight against the floods were fined.46 In the 1830s, Dresden officials commissioned estimates of the rate at which different parts of the city would be submerged as the floodwaters rose. In 1845 a crisis-management committee successfully coordinated the flow of information between the many local agents and was praised by city residents: “Everywhere there was order, calm, and trust in the insight of our fatherly authorities.”47 These cases support the argument that prior to the twentieth century, learning in the emergency phase was chiefly a matter of local initiatives and leadership. Remarkable results could be obtained even with moderate technical and financial resources. In the case of Saxony these results are mainly due to the excellent cooperation that was established between upper and lower echelons of government after the turn of the nineteenth century.48 Despite the fact that numerous floods affected Grenoble between 1730 and 1780, improvements in disaster management were slow and haphazard. A local culture of disaster preparedness and self-help received little support from royal administrators of the region and did not develop until the twentieth century.

LEARNING IN THE DAMAGE-COMPENSATION PHASE Restoring victims’ usual rhythm of life once the emergency is past requires substantial human and financial resources. On the one hand,

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food, clothes, shoes, furniture, tools, animal feed, and so on are urgently needed, in addition to housing, which must be provided for those whose homes have been destroyed. On the other hand, state and local governments must also subsidize the timely repair of communication lines; transportation routes, including roads, bridges, and railways; and other vital infrastructure, such as dikes and levees. Theologian Hans-Ferdinand Angel argues that coping strategies after the emergency phase are significantly influenced by the ways in which disasters are interpreted. In this context he refers to “framing,” which he defines as a cognitive process that enables us to receive and organize information in patterns that resemble roadmaps.49 Just as a picture frame puts borders or boundaries on what you can see, the frames of reference that you choose based on your beliefs about yourself and others can either limit what you see as being possible or can open up all sorts of options.50 Before the French Revolution disasters were usually interpreted as divine retribution, meant to punish sinful humanity. Logically, this interpretation invalidates any preventive measures except prayer, communal worship, rogation rituals, the suppression of popular festivities, and other forms of public and private penance. Actual coping practices did, however, include more than just religious observances. The primary place of refuge was, of course, the extended family.51 Assistance from neighbors also figured prominently. Disaster-stricken communities usually received some support from the territorial ruler or his surrogate.52 Fire insurance became generally available from the nineteenth century, although rural fire cooperatives existed in Schleswig-Holstein as early as the sixteenth century. In 1676 a fire-insurance company (Feuer Cassa) was founded in downtown Hamburg.53 Many more regional fire-insurance companies came into existence over the next two centuries.54 Insurance against other types of natural hazard (flood, earthquake, avalanche, etc.) came much later, because this risk was more difficult to calculate and adequate evidence for risk assessments was unavailable before the early twentieth century.55 The successful development of national relief efforts is in Switzerland intimately connected to the process of nation-building.56 Nations come into being by means of a communicative process that develops a collective consciousness among different social groups. National identity depends on integrating all individuals and groups within a state in such a way that they can be addressed and mobilized as a political community. In the process of nation-building an individual meets many people who, although unknown to him, are nevertheless

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like him. This experience of similarity promotes a sense of shared destiny.57 In reference to Switzerland we cannot speak about national identity prior to 1798. The Swiss Confederation had been split up into a patchwork of small territories that were highly diverse in terms of geography, economy, law, language, religion, and culture. At that time, people identified with relatives, neighbors, fellow townsmen or villagers, and adherents of one’s own religion. Nature-induced disasters should also be mentioned among the powerful unifying forces that strengthen existing ties and promote new ones in the regions where these events occur. From the early nineteenth century, disaster communication was used as a platform to propagate the idea of the Swiss nation and to create national relief efforts to assist disaster victims. These efforts simultaneously manifested and mobilized Swiss national solidarity.58 In terms of loss of life, the rockslide at Goldau on September 2, 1806, in which nearly five hundred people died, was Switzerland’s worst nature-induced disaster in the modern period. This event inaugurated the first national relief effort. An important element in this context was the obligation to submit the administration of all charities to public scrutiny and control.59 The requirement to make a public accounting of all receipts and expenses was a powerful deterrent to fraud and signaled those responsible for administering these efforts that their credibility was at stake. The entire confederation participated in the Goldau aid campaign, which channeled donations from large prosperous cantons to a tiny mountain community in need. The right of free association, introduced in 1830, initiated the creation of thousands of private clubs and societies, many of which helped to promote the idea of a Swiss nation. In fact, this network became more and more important for the management and the success of national relief efforts. When severe floods ravaged the western and central Alps in 1834 and again in 1839, the losses suffered by every household were registered with officials of each community on specific forms in order to ensure equitable distribution of relief funds.60 Following the huge fire in the town of Glaris on May 10, 1861, the press and these private associations launched a campaign. The Neue Zürcher Zeitung dispatched a special correspondent to Glaris for some two weeks, who filed daily reports on how victims were grappling with the effects of the disaster. The press also designed a new fundraising strategy by publishing the names of generous donors and the receipts of individual relief organizations along with the donated sums. The federal government did not contribute, even though Switzerland was at that time already a federal state. This fund-raising

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campaign, which collected the equivalent of three hundred million Swiss francs in today’s currency, was among the most successful ever undertaken. In the autumn of 1868 two floods inundated the valleys around the central Alps. Along with the massive flood of August 2005, these were Switzerland’s most destructive floods in the past two centuries.61 Confederation president Jakob Dubs visited the area in order to bolster the morale of the flood victims. In his published message, Dubs compared the destructive power of the floods to an attack from an external enemy, saying that it should be combated with the same determination. This metaphor inspired a quasi-military mobilization of the nation’s resources against the forces of nature.62 The relief effort activated tens of thousands of men, women, and children in societies, clubs, associations, schools, factories, and the Swiss army. Concerts, bazaars, and raffles were arranged, and virtually everyone—even the needy themselves—raised money for this campaign. These efforts yielded the equivalent of 335 million Swiss francs. This total is astounding for a population then comprising only 2.6 million individuals.63 Stephanie Summermatter points out that the entire campaign was characterized by an extraordinary degree of cooperation and helped to develop a sense of unity among the cantons. Most of the successful organizational innovations that had been attempted since 1806 were implemented; and while the confederation itself did not make any funds available for the victims, the executive branch of the federal government coordinated many fundraising efforts at various levels. Donations were collected by the federal treasury and redistributed to the affected cantons. Dissension remained as to whether all the funds should be redistributed to the victims or whether part of the money should be used to rebuild the broken dams. The dispute was finally resolved with a compromise.64 Relief efforts to assist victims of the next severe flood event were not even half as successful. A flood struck the midland, which is the area between the Jura mountains and the Alps, in June of 1876. According to Reto Müller, people may have contributed less because they resented the fact that some of the funds collected in 1868 were invested in safety measures. In addition, the later flood affected an affluent part of the country, thereby limiting potential donations. Nor did many of the victims resemble the humble, hard-working mountain dweller, a stereotype that had particularly appealed to donors in the past and which was successfully deployed a few years later in the aid campaign for victims of the landslide at Elm in 1881.65 This disaster was caused by mismanagement of a slate mine and took 114 lives.

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According to the leading expert on such events, the landslide was entirely “man-made,” but human error was brushed aside in the press reports.66 In order to maximize donations, the survivors of this disaster were represented as hard-working mountain dwellers in accordance with the Alpine myth. The strategy was highly effective: donations covered approximately 70 percent of the property losses.67 The press interpreted this result as clear evidence of a coherent national identity. Elm was the last in the series of severe disasters that affected the country from the 1850s to the 1880s. By June 15, 1910, when the next severe flood occurred, assisting the victims had become a routine matter. The Federal Council emphasized in its appeal to the nation that successful disaster-relief efforts had become a Swiss tradition.68 The frequency of floods in Saxony from the turn of the nineteenth century led to the creation of new financial instruments. During the ancient régime, the communities that bordered the rivers maintained river embankments. After 1784 the dams were damaged or destroyed every couple of years for a period of six decades, and the burden of repairing the embankments exceeded the means of these riverside communities. Nor could the state afford to subsidize these frequent repairs. As a consequence, a new embankment regulation was worked out. It combined features of many flood-prevention initiatives that had been taken since 1781. The new “Elbstrom Ufer- und Dammordnung” (Elbe River bank-protection ordinance) signed into law in 1819 engaged all communities situated in districts along the river, not only those that were usually flooded, to make annual contributions to a fund for the repair of embankments. By pooling their risk, these communities were able to reduce their exposure to sudden financial losses from severe events. At the same time, this scheme relieved the state budget. The pooling of risks remains the favored strategy of insurance and reinsurance companies.69 What can we conclude from these two cases? Both developments, the mandatory participation of communities in a risk pool in Saxony and the emerging tradition of national relief efforts, were strategies designed to distribute the cost of disaster relief and recovery without draining the financial resources of the state. In Saxony the new system was legislated, while in Switzerland disaster relief was made into a patriotic cause. The frequency of floods in Saxony during the early nineteenth century provided the momentum for innovative learning; in Switzerland the process evolved in tandem with Swiss nationalism. Such steps as the public control of charities and the pooling and redistribution of relief funds according to need were initiated by the social elites.

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LEARNING IN THE RECONSTRUCTION PHASE The destruction of dwellings and communication lines (bridges, roads, railways, telegraph, telephone) by means of (nature-induced) disasters allowed for innovative lessons to be incorporated in the rebuilding of these artifacts. The design and construction of river embankments also represent innovative learning, though flood control was often just one of several justifications for these costly projects. Reforestation ought to be mentioned as among the earliest mitigation initiatives. The contention that deforestation in the upstream areas of a river leads to more frequent and more severe floods downstream was instrumental in promoting reforestation of many mountainous regions in nineteenth-century Europe.70 Serious problems with controlling rivers in Europe first arose in two highly fertile and densely settled areas: the floodplain and the delta area of the Rhine in the Netherlands, and the valleys of the Veneto and Emilia-Romagna, where numerous larger and smaller rivers converge with the Po as they flow toward the Adriatic Sea. In both regions sedimentation and silting filled up the riverbeds, leading to chronic flooding and displacement of watercourses. These problems were linked to water volumes and flow rates of specific rivers (also known as the fluvial regime) rather than to climate-driven disasters. To protect large areas from being flooded, levees, dikes, and embankments were built in both areas beginning in the High Middle Ages.71 Yet the path of development was different for each of these approaches. In several territories and cities of Northern Italy the tasks related to river management were coordinated by hydraulic boards from the early sixteenth century onward, whereas expert knowledge on the issue was more dispersed.72 Universities and Jesuit colleges began to address the subject in the seventeenth century and to develop theories of fluvial hydraulics. In Mokyr’s formula, these institutions served as a “cognitive basis” for techniques of water control.73 In the Netherlands this mathematical “Galilean” approach to river management was transmitted during the early eighteenth century through the movement of experts, the publication of scientific treatises and books, and the growing connections between the academic community and practitioners of hydraulic engineering, particularly in the second half of the century.74 In the nineteenth century the risk-scenario in the European hinterlands beyond the delta areas changed profoundly, moving away from fires toward floods as principal sources of threat.75 First and foremost, this tendency is related to a fundamental change in the popular view of floodplains. About 1800 the floodplains of European streams and

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rivers still consisted of broad networks of channels and branches, and they were almost devoid of permanent human structures. These zones were seldom used as sites for roads, which would become impassable during seasonal floods. During the nineteenth century, however, a majority of rivers were engineered into straightened, narrow channels through the application of the aforementioned technologies of river management. These changes created large tracts of “empty” land, fertile alluvial plains that were soon put to agricultural uses. At present it is unknown to what extent floods served as the stimulus for river corrections, because, as Uwe Lübken has shown, such projects are only now being investigated under this aspect.76 Flood protection was only one of several goals of these engineering projects, which included the reclamation and drainage of wetlands for agricultural production, the construction of transportation lines (roads, railways), and urbanization. It is doubtful whether parliaments would have agreed to allocate large subsidies just for the sake of flood protection. Land reclamation was necessary, at least before World War II, to cover the substantial initial cost of river corrections, and railroad construction was the priority for many urban planners. However, as Uwe Lübken highlights, new lines of transportation, communication, and commerce were usually located in the level, open corridors of land along the embankments, and sites close to the river were preferred for new industrial and manufacturing plants, which relied on rivers for both a water supply and wastewater discharge. Occasional flooding of these areas had far-reaching effects when supply and communication lines were interrupted.77 Areas that had formerly been the least vulnerable thus became highly vulnerable sites. At the same time, assistance could be mobilized much more swiftly via the railway and the telegraph. We must be careful to discriminate between learning and traditional coping strategies. For example, following floods along the Rhône upstream of Lake Geneva in 1860, federal subsidies were granted to Canton Valais to construct a systematic embankment of the river on condition that the canton and the communities also contributed funds to support the project. A second engineering program was initiated in 1937 after a dike collapsed during a flood event in 1935. More recent floods in 1987 and 1993 made it obvious that the dikes still did not provide a thorough protection. For this reason, a third program was undertaken in 1988 to enlarge the river channel, which will ultimately improve flood protection as well as the river’s ecological functioning.78 This final phase results from fundamental learning in the context of the environmental consciousness that has influenced hydraulic engineering projects since the 1980s.79

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In the reconstruction phase, adaptive and mitigative measures against fires and floods were left to local communities prior to the nineteenth century. Fire security was improved during the Middle Ages by the establishment of building regulations. For centuries the main strategy for dealing with floods was simply risk avoidance. Largescale river engineering programs were undertaken in the nineteenth century, and after the completion of such works, state authorities took an interest in improving embankments in order to prevent the newly built transport and communication lines from being interrupted.

CONCLUSIONS The effectiveness of human responses to nature-induced disasters can be accurately assessed only by analyzing the measures that have been taken over many decades or even several centuries. But despite the growing public demand for such assessments, the number of studies that employ this longue-durée approach is still surprisingly small. Many historical studies refer to adaptive and mitigative practices without taking into account the conditions under which they developed. Because objectives, forms, and contexts of challenges change during the course of a disaster, dividing that process into distinct phases is of fundamental importance. Time and local initiative matter most in the emergency phase. Mobilization of resources through the state bureaucracies has become crucial in the damage-compensation phase, as Poliwoda demonstrates in his study of Saxony and as I have shown in my analysis of disaster-relief campaigns in Switzerland. From the late nineteenth century this task was assumed by natural-hazard insurance and global reinsurance. Advances in the reconstruction phase have depended on the development of new technologies and the administrative efficiency of government bureaucracies in obtaining the necessary funding for their implementation. Methods used to cope with fire hazards paved the way for management of floods and other hazards. The fact that fire departments are still trained in many countries to handle all types of emergencies reflects this historical evolution. Disaster history would greatly benefit from a more systematic exploration of the origins, advances, and diffusion of preventive measures and technologies.80 Further studies will shed more light on the social forces that prevent and promote learning processes. Case studies from the past thirty years will be particularly revealing in this respect for two reasons: first, because many of these

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cases are very well documented, and second, because the dynamics of learning have developed with the rising frequency of nature-induced disasters. NOTES Christian Pfister is supported by the Swiss National Science Foundation (NCCR) and through the European Sixth Framework Program Integrated Project “Millennium—European climate of the last millennium” (017008–2). I wish to express my thanks to Christof Mauch and Greg Bankoff for their helpful comments on an earlier draft of this chapter; to Paul-Anthon Nielson for his careful reading of the manuscript for style; and to Stephanie Summermatter for checking the bibliography. 1. Donald Worster, “What Is Environmental History,” in Major Problems in American Environmental History: Documents and Essays, Carolyn Merchant, ed. (Lexington, Mass.: D. C. Heath, 1993), 1–14, esp. 4. 2. Karlheinz Niclauss, Kanzlerdemokratie: Regierungsführung von Konrad Adenauer bis Gerhard Schröder, second ed. (Paderborn: F. Schöningh, 2004), 324. 3. Merriam-Webster Online, www.merriam-webster.com, s.v. “natural,” 11b. 4. Amartya Sen, “Food Entitlement and Economic Chains,” in Hunger in History: Food Shortage, Poverty and Deprivation, Lucile F. Newman, ed. (Cambridge, Mass.: Basil Blackwell, 1990), 374–86. 5. Johan Galtung, quoted in an interview by David Signer and Armin Guhl, “Es wird mit der Atombombe enden,” Die Weltwoche 73, no. 36 (September 5, 2002): 77. 6. Paul Virilio, quoted in an interview by Daniel Binswanger, “Die Natur wird an Waffen gemessen,” Die Weltwoche 73, no. 1 (January 28, 2005): 68–71. 7. Alessandro Colombo and Ana Lisa Vetere Arellano, eds., NEDIES Project—Lessons Learnt from Flood Disasters (European Commission, DG Joint Research Centre, Institute for the Protection and Security of the Citizen, Technological and Economic Risk Management Unit, Natural Risk Sector, 2002), available online at www.reliefweb.int/rw/lib.nsf/db900SID/LGEL5HKLCD/$FILE/ec-floodlessons-2002.pdf (accessed October 23, 2007). 8. Gerrit Jasper Schenk, “Historical Disaster Research: State of Research, Concepts, Methods and Case Studies,” in Historical Disaster Research: Concepts, Methods and Case Studies, Gerrit Jasper Schenk and Jens Ivo Engels, eds. (Cologne, Germany: Zentrum für Historische Sozialforschung, 2007), 9–35 (special issue of Historical Social Research 32, no. 3 [2007]). 9. Frank Uekötter, “Review of Naturkatastrophen: Beiträge zu ihrer Deutung, Wahrnehmung und Darstellung in Text und Bild von der Antike bis ins 20. Jahrhundert, Dieter Groh, Michael Kempe, and Franz Mauelshagen, eds.,” H-Soz-u-Kult, hsozkult.geschichte.hu-berlin.de/rezensionen/2004-1-021 (accessed January 14, 2004).

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10. Robert W. Kates, “Hazard and Choice Perception in Flood Plain Management,” quoted in Paul Slovic, Howard Kunreuther, and Gilbert F. White, “Decision Processes, Rationality and Adjustment to Natural Hazards,” in The Perception of Risk, Paul Slovic, ed. (London: Earthscan, 2000), 1–31, esp. 8. 11. Martin Körner, ed., Stadtzerstörung und Wiederaufbau, three vols. (Bern: Haupt, 1999–2000), 3:100; see also Urszula Sowina, “Les eaux qui charrient la mort et les désastres: inondations et pollution des eaux dans les villes polonaises aux XVe et XVIe siècles” in Cities and Catastrophes: Coping with Emergency in European History, Geneviève Massard-Guilbaud, Harold L. Platt, and Dieter Schott, eds. (Frankfurt and New York: Peter Lang, 2002), 43–62. 12. Guido N. Poliwoda, “Learning from Disasters: Saxony Fights the Floods of the River Elbe 1784–1845,” in Historical Disaster Research, Schenk and Engels, eds., 169–99, esp. 176. 13. Denis Coeur, La maîtrise des inondations dans la plaine de Grenoble (XVIIe–XXe siècles): Enjeux techniques, politiques et urbains, Ph.D. diss. (University of Pierre Mendès France—Grenoble 2, 2003). 14. Chris Argyris and Donald A. Schön, Organisational Learning II: Theory, Method, and Practice (Reading, Mass.: Addison-Wesley, 1996), 3. 15. Max Miller, “Some Theoretical Aspects of Systemic Learning,” Sozialer Sinn: Zeitschrift für hermeneutische Sozialforschung 3 (2002): 2–58, esp. 4. 16. Argyris and Schön, Organisational Learning II: Theory, Method and Practice, 16. 17. Peter Knoepfel, Ingrid Kissling-Näf, and Daniel Marek, Lernen in öffentlichen Politiken (Basel, Switzerland: Helbing und Lichtenhahn, 1997), 18. 18. Joel Mokyr, The Gifts of Athena: Historical Origins of the Knowledge Economy (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 2002), 4–5, 10, quoted in Karel Davids, “River Control and the Evolution of Knowledge: A Comparison between Regions in China and Europe, c. 1400–1850,” Journal of Global History 1 (2006): 59–79, esp. 67. 19. Argyris and Schön, Organisational Learning II: Theory, Method and Practice, 4. 20. Miller, “Some Theoretical Aspects of Systemic Learning,” 7–8; Hansjörg Siegenthaler, Regelvertrauen, Prosperität und Krisen: Die Ungleichmässigkeit wirtschaftlicher und sozialer Entwicklung als Ergebnis individuellen Handelns und sozialen Lernens (Tübingen: J. C. B. Mohr, 1993). 21. Ralf Immendorf, ed., Hochwasser: Natur im Überfluss? (Heidelberg: C. F. Müller, 1997); Dieter Fügner, Hochwasserkatastrophen in Sachsen, rev. ed. (Leipzig, Zwickau: Tauchaer Verlag, 2002). 22. J. A. Cross, “Megacities and Small Towns: Different Perspectives on Hazard Vulnerability,” Environmental Hazards 3 (2001): 63–80, quoted in Nick Brooks, “Vulnerability, Risk and Adaptation. A Conceptual Framework,” Working Paper 38, Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, www.tyndall .ac.uk/publications/working_papers/wp38.pdf, p. 4 (accessed August 5, 2004). 23. Greg Bankoff, Cultures of Disaster: Society and Natural Hazard in the Philippines (London: RoutledgeCurzon, 2003), 18.

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24. Richard E. Dawson and James A. Robinson, “Inter-party Competition, Economic Variables, and Welfare Policies in the American States,” Journal of Politics 25 (1963): 265–89. 25. Ueli Müller, Willi Zimmermann, Peter Neuenschwander, Andreas Tobler, Stefan Wyss, and Ronald Alder, “Katastrophen als Herausforderung für Verwaltung und Politik: Kontinuitäten und Diskontinuitäten,” Schlussbericht/NFP 31 (Zürich: vdf, 1997); Erich J. Plate, Bruno Merz, and Christian Eikenberg, “Naturkatastrophen: Herausforderung an Wissenschaft und Gesellschaft,” in Naturkatastrophen: Ursachen, Auswirkungen, Vorsorge, Erich J. Plate and Bruno Merz, eds. (Stuttgart: E. Schweizerbart’sche Verlagsbuchhandlung, 2001). 26. Plate, Merz, and Eikenberg, “Naturkatastrophen,” 32. 27. Hamish Marshall Scott, introduction to Enlightened Absolutism: Reform and Reformers in Later Eighteenth-Century Europe, Hamish Marshall Scott, ed. (Basingstoke: Macmillan, 1990), 1–35, esp. 18. 28. Scott, Enlightened Absolutism, 18. 29. Another example might be the rebuilding of San Francisco after the earthquake of 1906; see Karl Fuchs and Friedemann Wenzel, Erdbeben—Instabilität von Megastädten: Eine wissenschaftlich-technische Herausforderung für das 21. Jahrhundert (Berlin: Springer, 2000); and Hans-Wilhelm Windhorst, “‘On Shaky Ground’—Erdbebengefährdung und Erdbebenvorsorge im Grossraum San Francisco,” Vechtaer Studien zur Angewandten Geographie und Regionalwissenschaft 19 (1997): 125–48. 30. Andrew G. Mude, Christopher B. Barrett, John McPeak, Robert Kaitho, and Patti Kristjanson, “Empirical Forecasting of Slow-Onset Disasters for Improved Emergency Response: An Application to Kenya’s Arid Lands,” www .ilri.org/Link/Publications/Publications/Theme%201/Pastoral20conference /Briefs/MudeEtAlBrief_EmpiricalForecasting_Final.pdf (accessed September 12, 2007). 31. Richard Dikau and Jürgen Weichselgartner, Der unruhige Planet. Der Mensch und die Naturgewalten (Darmstadt: Darmstadt Wissenschaftliche Buchgesellschaft, 2005), 24. 32. Stephanie Summermatter, Die Überschwemmungen von 1868 in der Schweiz: Unmittelbare Reaktion und längerfristige Prävention mit näherer Betrachtung des Kantons Wallis, Berner Forschungen zur Regionalgeschichte 5 (Nordhausen: Bautz, 2005). 33. Schott, “Stadt und Katastrophe.” 34. Körner, ed., Stadtzerstörung und Wiederaufbau, 1:28–32; Massard-Guilbaud, Platt, and Schott, eds., Cities and Catastrophes, passim; Dieter Schott, “Stadt und Katastrophe,” Informationen zur Modernen Stadtgeschichte 1 (2003): 4–18; Kay Peter Jankrift, Brände, Stürme, Hungersnöte, Katastrophen in der mittelalterlichen Lebenswelt (Ostfildern: Thorbecke, 2003), passim. 35. Mariano Barriendos, “Climate and Culture in Spain, Religious Responses to Extreme Climatic Events in the Hispanic Kingdoms (16th–19th centuries),” in Cultural Consequences of the Little Ice Age, W. Behringer, H. Lehman, and C. Pfister, eds. (Göttingen: Vandenhoeck & Ruprecht, 2005), 379–414, esp. 394–97.

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36. Oliver Wetter, “Rekonstruktion und Quantifizierung von Hochwassern der vorinstrumentellen Periode am Beispiel des Rheins in Basel,” MA thesis (University of Basel, 2006), 113. Gerhard Fouquet, Bauen für die Stadt: Finanzen, Organisation und Arbeit in kommunalen Baubetrieben des Spätmittelalters. Eine vergleichende Studie vornehmlich zwischen den Städten Basel und Marburg, Städteforschung A/48 (Cologne: Böhlau, 1999). 37. Gion Caviezel, “Hochwasser und ihre Bewältigung anhand des Beispiels Oberengadin 1750–1900,” MA thesis (Institute of History, University of Bern, 2007), 74ff. 38. In addition to Coeur’s dissertation (cited in note 13, above), see Denis Coeur, “Genesis of a Public Policy for Flood Management in France: The Case of the Grenoble Valley (XVIIth–XIXth Centuries),” in Palaeofloods, Historical Data and Climatic Variability: Applications in Flood Risk Assessment, Varyl R. Thorndycraft, Gerardo Benito, Mariano Barriendos, and M. Carmen Llasat, eds. (Madrid: Centro de Ciencias Medioambientales, 2003), 372–78. 39. Coeur, La maîtrise des inondations, 94–96. 40. Coeur, La maîtrise des inondations, 164–202. See also Grégory Quenet, “Villes et tremblement de terre sous le règne de Louis XIV: Limites et réalités d’une mutation,” in Massard-Guilbaud, Platt, and Schott, eds., Cities and Catastrophes, 83–104. 41. Coeur, La maîtrise des inondations, 96–99. 42. Verse 157, quoted in Coeur, La maîtrise des inondations, 88. 43. For a graph of the severe floods along the Elbe in Dresden between 1501 and 2002, see Poliwoda/Pfister, 2002. 44. Poliwoda, “Learning from Disasters.” 45. Argyris and Schön, Organisational Learning II: Theory, Method and Practice; Etienne Wenger, Communities of Practice: Learning, Meaning, and Identity (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1998). 46. Poliwoda, “Learning from Disasters,” 154. 47. Poliwoda, “Learning from Disasters,” 247. 48. Poliwoda, “Learning from Disasters,” 248. 49. Hans Ferdinand Angel, “Aufruf zur Wallfahrt oder Kampf gegen die Prostitution? Problematik und Wirksamkeit christlich-religiöser Katastrophendeutungen,” in Katastrophen und ihre Bewältigung: Perspektiven und Positionen, Christian Pfister and Stephanie Summermatter, eds., Berner Universitätsschriften 49 (Bern, Switzerland: Haupt, 2004), 119–44. 50. Ariella Vraneski and Ravit Richter, “Frames, Framing, and Reframing In, and Through, the Mass Media: Reflection of Four Protracted Environmental Disputes in the Israeli Press,” ICAR Working Paper No. 21, May 2002, www.gmu.edu/depts/icar/Work_Paper21.pdf (accessed September 28, 2004). 51. See the data assembled on this topic by Andreas Gestrich, Geschichte der Familie im 19. und 20. Jahrhundert (Munich: Oldenbourg, 1999), 69. Ludwig Arps’s Auf sicheren Pfeilern. Deutsche Versicherungswirtschaft vor 1914 (Göttingen: Vandenhoeck & Ruprecht, 1965) still provides the most comprehensive survey in German of historical coping practices. 52. See the examples discussed by Schott in “Stadt und Katastrophe.”

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53. See Georg Helmer, Die Geschichte der privaten Feuerversicherung in den Herzogtümern Schleswig und Holstein, two vols. (Berlin: Verb. öffentl. Feuervers. anstalten, 1925–26); and Harald Schloz, Reiner Elwers, Barbara Gunther, and Wolfgang Poppelbaum, eds., Es Begann 1676: Hamburg, Geschichte, Katastrophen, Feuersbrünste, Hamburger Feuerkasse (Hamburg: L&H Verlag, 2001). 54. Margareta Wagner-Braun, “Building Fire Insurance in Europe: Origin as a Cluster and Development from the Middle Ages until the Eighteenth Century,” in Solidarité et assurance: Les sociétés européennes face aux catastrophes (17e–21e s), René Favier and Christian Pfister, eds. (Grenoble: CNRSMSH-Alpes, 2008), 219–46. 55. Hermann Lanz-Stauffer and Curt Rommel, Elementarschäden und Versicherungen. Studie des Rückversicherungsverbandes kantonal-schweizerischer Feuerversicherungen zur Förderung der Elementarschadenversicherung, two vols. (Bern: Rückversicherungsverb, 1936), 56. 56. See Christian Pfister, “Von Goldau nach Gondo: Naturkatastrophen als identitätsstiftende Ereignisse in der Schweiz des 19. Jahrhunderts,” in Pfister and Summermatter, eds., Katastrophen und ihre Bewältigung, 53–78; Christian Pfister, “Disasters, Interregional Solidarity and Nation-building: Reflections on the Case of Switzerland, 1806–1914,” in Favier and Pfister, eds., Solidarité et assurance, 117–42. 57. Kurt Münger, Militär, Staat und Nation in der Schweiz 1798–1874: Das eidgenössische Militärwesen als Faktor der nationalen und nationalstaatlichen Integration von der Helvetischen Republik bis zur Gesamtrevision der Bundesverfassung (Münster: Agenda-Verlag, 2002), 24. 58. Pfister, “Von Goldau nach Gondo,” in Pfister and Summermatter, eds., Katastrophen und ihre Bewältigung; Pfister, “Disasters, interregional solidarity, and nation-building,” in Favier and Pfister, eds., Solidarité et assurance. 59. Alois Fässler, “La naissance de la solidarité confédérale—Les actions d’entraide suite à l’éboulement de Goldau (1806),” in Le jour d’après. Surmonter les catastrophes naturelles: le cas de la Suisse entre 1500 et 2000, Christian Pfister, ed. (Bern, Switzerland: Haupt, 2002), 55–68. 60. See Agnes Nienhaus, “Naturkatastrophe und Modernisierungsprozess: Eine Analyse der gesellschaftlichen Reaktionen auf das alpine Hochwasser von 1834 am Fallbeispiel Graubünden,” MA thesis (University of Bern, 2000), 60ff; Agnes Nienhaus, “Aide au développement et assistance aux pauvres— L’entraide lors des inondations de 1834—le cas des Grisons” in Pfister, ed., Le jour d’après, 69–85; Agnes Nienhaus, “Gemeinnützige Katastrophenhilfe als Anstoss für staatliches Handeln in der Schweiz der ersten Hälfte des 19. Jahrhunderts,” Traverse—Zeitschrift für Geschichte 1 (2006): 63–76. 61. See Nadine Hilker, Michel Jeisy, Alexandre Badoux, and Christoph Hegg, “Unwetterschäden in der Schweiz im Jahre 2005,” Wasser Energie Luft 99.1 (2007): 31–41; Summermatter, Die Überschwemmungen von 1868 in der Schweiz, 41–53. 62. Summermatter, Die Überschwemmungen von 1868 in der Schweiz, 98–107.

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63. Christian Pfister, “Surmonter les catastrophes naturelles—les stratégies de 1500 à nos jours,” in Pfister, ed., Le jour d’après, 209–54, esp. 227, and table 16.1. 64. Summermatter, Die Überschwemmungen von 1868 in der Schweiz, 180–86. 65. Reto Müller, Das wild gewordene Element: Gesellschaftliche Reaktionen auf die beiden Mittellandhochwasser von 1852 und 1876. Berner Forschungen zur Regionalgeschichte 2 (Nordhausen: Verlag Traugott Bautz, 2004), 123–26. 66. Christian Pfister, “Catastrophes naturelles et réseaux d’assistance en Suisse au XIX siècle,” in Histoire et Mémoire des risques naturels, René Favier and Anne-Marie Granet-Abisset, eds. (Grenoble: CNRS-MSH-Alpes, 1999), 165–76, 170. 67. Hans Peter Bläuer, “L’éboulement d’Elm du 11 septembre 1881—Causes et gestion sociale d’une catastrophe provoquée,” in Pfister, ed., Le jour d’après, 113–30. 68. “Vaterland,” vol. 2, no. 138 (June 17, 1910), 3; “Vaterland,” vol. 2, no. 140 (June 19, 1910), 1; “Der Bund,” no. 284 (June 20, 1910), 2. 69. Poliwoda, “Learning from Disasters.” See also Robin Pearson, Insuring the Industrial Revolution: Fire Insurance in Great Britain, 1700–1850 (Aldershot, UK: Ashgate, 2004), 357. 70. Christian Pfister and Daniel Brändli, “Rodungen im Gebirge—Überschwemmungen im Vorland: Ein Deutungsmuster macht Karriere,” in Natur-Bilder: Wahrnehmungen von Natur und Umwelt in der Geschichte, Rolf Peter Sieferle and Helga Breuninger, eds. (Frankfurt: Campus, 1999), 297–323; Alexander S. Mather, J. Fairbairn, and C. L. Needle, “The Course and Drivers of the Forest Transition: The Case of France,” Journal of Rural Studies 15, no. 1 (1999): 65–90; Alexander S. Mather and J. Fairbairn, “From Floods to Reforestation: The Forest Transition in Switzerland,” Environment and History 6, no. 4 (2000): 399–421. 71. Davids, “River Control and the Evolution of Knowledge,” 60–65. 72. Davids, “River Control and the Evolution of Knowledge,” 77. 73. Cesare S. Maffioli, Out of Galileo: The Science of Waters 1628–1718 (Rotterdam: Erasmus, 1994), quoted in Davids, “River Control and the Evolution of Knowledge,” 78. 74. Davids, “River Control and the Evolution of Knowledge,” 70–72. 75. Schott, “Stadt und Katastrophe,” 44. 76. Uwe Lübken, “‘Der grosse Brückentod’: Überschwemmungen als infrastrukturelle Konflikte im 19. und 20. Jahrhundert,” Saeculum 38, no. 1 (2007): 89–114, esp. 92. 77. Lübken, “‘Der grosse Brückentod,’” 94–96. 78. “Public Participation in the Upper River Rhone Basin, Switzerland,” Case-study report produced under Work Package 5 of the HarmoniCOP Project, November 2005, and available online at www.harmonicop.uniosnabrueck.de/_files/_down/CaseStudyCH%20Rhone.pdf (accessed October 29, 2007).

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79. Andreas Götz, “Hochwasserschutzkonzepte: gestern—heute—morgen,” in Am Tag danach: Zur Bewältigung von Naturkatastrophen in der Schweiz 1500–1800, Christian Pfister, ed. (Bern, Switzerland: Haupt, 2002), 197–208. 80. Stephen J. Pyne, Fire: A Brief History (Seattle: University of Washington Press, 2001).

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Disaster and Political Culture in Germany since 1500 Franz Mauelshagen

RE-HISTORICIZING DISASTER Attempting to squeeze the history of natural disasters in Germany since 1500 into a book chapter may seem daring, if not foolhardy, by any standard. But given the present state of research—which lacks as much in detail as it does in conceptualization and is therefore unsuitable for synthesis—any long-term survey of the cultural dimension of German disaster history faces a dilemma. The literature from various disciplines that may provide relevant information—geography, geology, sociology, jurisprudence, theology, anthropology, art history, archaeology, and others—is immense and has never been examined from a historical perspective. At the same time, there is a remarkable dearth of historical studies on natural disasters in Germany—remarkable because documents of the past are full of information on natural forces and their calamitous impacts on societies. Offering the bad news that is esteemed “good” for telling and passing on, these records have always been worth a note. For the early modern Christians, paying attention to a punitive deity was a spiritual duty. This piety, which rarely affects modern historians, has secured disaster a place in medieval and early modern historiography. While metaphysical concepts of salvation and revelation no longer shape our narratives of the past, throughout the Middle Ages and the Renaissance, floods, earthquakes, storms, droughts, rockfalls,

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landslides, and avalanches were recorded in historiographical genres ranging from personal diaries to world chronicles. Natural history— despite its “special relationship” with disaster since Pliny’s death in the Vesuvian eruption of 79 AD—offered only one interpretive context among many for these occurrences before the Scientific Revolution of the seventeenth century and the Enlightenment of the eighteenth, when natural explanations became predominant. These developments have fostered a shift in contextualization that has resulted in the elimination of almost everything “natural” from the agenda of historical study. For nineteenth-century historicism, “natural” disasters were fated incidents and so far beyond human control or action that study of them could be left entirely to the sciences. Only recently have some historians challenged that classification. Well into the 1990s, natural disasters slipped through all the nets of methodological renewal (which may have saved us from a “disastrous turn” in the humanities). Disasters were exempt from the structural theories of social historians in the 1970s and 1980s because they were seen as sudden, rapid, and destructive events that, at best, provoked only short-term political action. Epidemics—mainly the plague—were an exception, because historical demography, a well-established subdiscipline of social history, recognized the importance of epidemics while the effects of other disasters on populations seemed comparatively insignificant. Historical anthropology, a field that emerged in the 1980s, and (new) cultural history, the prevailing critical paradigm of the 1990s, proved to be more suitable approaches.1 They nevertheless maintained the reductionist view of disasters as exceptional, unpredictable, and sudden events in nature. With these assumptions historical study was caught up in farreaching hypotheses that social scientists have questioned for some time now.2 For them, reducing disasters to natural causes is a gross misunderstanding. Even if they are triggered by earthquakes, tsunamis, windstorms, or other such events, disasters are not natural. That is not to deny the role of natural forces within certain—usually very complex—causal chains that may lead to disaster. Rather, it is to make the distinction between cause and effect—or, more precisely, it is to recognize when the cause does not fully and convincingly explain the effect. Natural forces become disastrous only within social and cultural frameworks. It is society where disasters occur, conditioned by its economic and cultural orders as well as by its political structures. Sociologists have therefore rejected the characterization of disasters as “events” and instead analyzed them as processes, most of which are neither sudden nor simply destructive.3 Thus disasters may be called

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“natural” only to the extent that environmental phenomena are involved. And in many cases, that designation will still have to include the possibility of human impacts on the environment that may in some way trigger the triggering event. The term natural disaster can be employed in juxtaposition to technological or man-made disaster(s), but should then be understood as a pragmatic abbreviation for something much more complex. Beyond that it becomes dysfunctional, especially if one seeks a genuine understanding of what Anthony Oliver-Smith has aptly called the “multidimensionality of disasters.”4 What is there to say about the exceptional character of disasters? In 1981—the year after a devastating earthquake in Italy—the distinguished German medievalist Arno Borst published an article on the Villach earthquake of 1348. In his introduction he quoted a series of statements on twentieth-century earthquakes that eyewitnesses and experts had characterized as historically “unique” or “incomparable.” Borst demonstrated that such claims were erroneous. Nevertheless they have been repeated time and again: German Chancellor Schröder described the Sumatra-Andaman tsunami of December 2004 as “the greatest natural disaster from time immemorial.” A newspaper commentary later moderated that remark to “the greatest natural disaster in recent history.”5 But measured by what standard? If the criterion is the number of casualties, then the Indian Ocean disaster of 2004 is comparable to several other twentieth-century catastrophes: the tsunami that struck Messina in 1908 killed approximately 75,000 people; the Chinese drought of 1920, up to half a million; the YokohamaTokyo earthquake of 1923, about 143,000; and an earthquake that struck Tangshan, Peking, and Tientsin in 1976 claimed 242,000 lives. The list lengthens when epidemics are included: the plague in India and China at the beginning of the century and the 1918 influenza pandemic in Europe and the United States both cost millions of lives. And how many millions will die of AIDS in Africa—a region that is almost off the map of Western public consciousness today? The point of historical memory is not to feed curiosity with horrifying statistics that obscure individual fates within abstract numbers; it is to show that disasters are neither unique nor exceptional from a social or historical perspective, even though they may be from a personal or generational one. The difference is in how experience is framed by time. Referring to long-term chronologies of disaster in China and Japan, Borst suggested that, “by means of history, we could live as fully alert as others. . . . In the Far East erudite insight and everyday experience work together to prepare the population for a permanent danger instead of an isolated shock.”6 He goes on to say that

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if, in Europe, disasters are not recognized as a “lasting experience of society and history,” it is because this recognition would “deeply contradict the modern European approach to life, which isolates catastrophes in their present and eliminates them from the past, because they shall not determine the future.” Borst’s comparison with China and Japan suggests that the study of history itself participates in cultures of coping. It may shape as well as be shaped by them. Both aspects are subject to cultural comparison. Even if, at a certain place and time, historians do not study disasters, this is still significant in a world where historical consciousness helps to define identities. The “elimination of history,” which Borst diagnosed with regard to public consciousness about disasters in Europe, is reflected by an elimination of disaster as a subject of research by academic historians.7 This has begun to change only over the past decade. European climate historians, after spending several decades reconstructing climates of the past, have lately become interested in patterns of climatic extremes and the economic and social effects that characterize periods of climate change from the Little Ice Age to global warming.8 Beyond climate history, there are numerous case studies of severe catastrophes.9 Most of them apply approaches from new cultural history or historical anthropology and focus on the social or cultural construction of natural disasters rather than asking how disasters have fostered cultural change. Greg Bankoff’s observation that the relationship between a society’s vulnerability and the adaptation of its culture in terms of local knowledge and community coping practices have rarely been adequately described perfectly summarizes the state of the field in Germany.10 We know very little about protection, prevention, and coping practices or about how they emerged and changed over the centuries. Disasters may be analyzed as events or as processes, depending on the questions we ask, but when studying disasters’ long-term impacts on societies and cultures, event-focused approaches become, from a social scientist’s perspective, even less functional than usual. Cultural practices, organizational achievements, or the building of risk-management institutions that acknowledge the ongoing potential for disaster within a given community are unlikely to emerge from the experience of single aberration. This explains why former approaches to the historical study of disaster have failed to address the issue of sustained cultural change. Communities’ coping strategies must be seen as the result of a series of occurrences that are perceived as similar and recurring even though their unpredictable appearance still defines them as discrete events. In other words, all preventive strategies are based on the expectations generated by repeated experiences

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of disaster. Repetition therefore becomes a key concept in historical research on disasters. It is the link between past and future or, more precisely, between past experiences and future societies. Prevention and management, because they require prediction, rely on the future of the past. And this is why history matters. If disasters are no longer conceptualized as sudden, destructive, isolated, and exceptional “natural” events but instead regarded as recurring social experiences and agents of change that mark the “intersection between nature and culture,”11 then they become a subject of general interest for historians from all subfields of the discipline. The multidimensionality of disasters, once discovered, responds to the multiperspectivity of historical research. The present discussion of historical German disasters will deal mainly with the question of cultural change. Among the great variety of “strategies” developed to cope with catastrophe, I have chosen to focus on political culture and religion. First, I will explore the topography of disaster in a short sketch of the history of natural hazards in Germany that helps to identify “regions of risk.”12 One such region—the North Sea Coast—will then be subjected to case study. I include science, religion, and technology in my perspective, because these are aspects of the political struggle that occurred within the culture in question and, at the same time, dynamic elements that helped to shape it. The political impact of religion on disaster management will be given particular attention in the final two parts of this chapter: changing social attitudes toward religion are still regarded as appropriate markers of the watershed between the early modern and modern periods and therefore cannot be omitted from consideration in a long-term perspective. Again, science and technology will come into play, as religion is often seen as an obstacle to their development. In my own view, culture is neither a fixed entity nor expressive of a stable collective identity or group mentality, as if it were genetically determined. What interests me as a historian is culture in the making—a change emerging from the interaction between nature and culture that is irreversible and yet is neither predetermined nor arbitrary in its course.

NATURAL HAZARDS IN GERMANY In December 1999 an extratropical cyclone named Lothar swept through Central Europe, affecting parts of France, the Federal Republic of Germany, and Switzerland. Natural hazards such as storms, extreme temperature, or precipitation do not stop at the border guard. On the

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other hand, the damage caused by avalanches, rockfalls, or landslides is strictly local. Disasters can fall short of national boundaries just as easily as they can transgress them. In fact, they can do so simultaneously, as was the case with Lothar, which ravaged Germany neither exclusively nor entirely. When looking back over the past five hundred years, a history of hazard loses even the nation-state as point of reference. For most of this period Germany was an imperial monarchy involved in a power struggle with regional or local rulers over a splintered, multidenominational territory. The complexities and challenges of such a history may be ignored if one is willing to accept the nationalistic narratives that typically present the Old Reich as continuous with the empire founded in 1871. Even during that second period, “Germany” contained a series of nation-states rather than a single one: the Kaiserreich (1871–1918), the Weimar Republic (1918–1933), the “Nazi Reich” (1933–1945), two states after 1949 (the Federal Republic of Germany in the west and the German Democratic Republic in the east), and a reunited Germany since 1989. “Germany” was a changing political entity. Germany is known neither for a great variety nor for a high frequency of disasters.13 In terms of global statistics, it is low on the list of countries most affected by natural hazards.14 A few recent events, however, such as the 1997 Odra flood, Lothar in 1999, and the Elbe flood of 2002, have shown the potential risks of natural hazards in a country with relatively high population density (231/sq km in 2005), high living standard, and a comparatively large number of citizens who are insured.15 Nearly all severe “natural” disasters of the twentieth century in Germany were characterized by a considerable loss of material value combined with few casualties. The 2002 Elbe flood—one of the most expensive disasters on European ground in recent years—caused damage that totaled 18.5 billion dollars and affected no less than 330,000 people, 27 of whom were killed and 108 of whom suffered serious injury. The highest death toll from a natural hazard occurred in connection with the great summer heat wave of 2003. Across Europe 21,000 deaths were attributed to it, with 5,250 in Germany during August alone. These numbers include a high percentage of people above the age of sixty-five (16.8 percent of the German population in 2002), who are more vulnerable than the young to extreme temperatures. Nevertheless, the number of casualties in summer 2003 is atypical of the average disaster scenario in twentiethcentury Germany. Even the number of fatalities during the flood event of 1962, which reached 347, was far lower. Technological disasters,

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such as transport and industrial accidents, have killed more people while on average affecting far fewer per incident. Unsurprisingly, with these numbers Germany shows characteristic features of a modern industrialized nation with well-developed government bureaucracies and a robust social-security system. Located on a comparatively “safe” part of the Eurasian plate, far from the faultlines on which massive earthquakes and volcanic eruptions routinely occur, Germany rarely experiences earthquakes in its northern and central regions. There is, however, noteworthy seismic activity on the northern edge of the Alps, around Lake Constance, along the Upper Rhine between Basel and Frankfurt, at the Lower Rhine inlet (near Cologne), on the Swabian Jura (near Stuttgart), and near Leipzig, Gera, the Vogtland, and Hof (near the Czech border).16 Chronologies of earthquakes taken from sources documenting the preinstrumental period indicate that these regions were also the most active seismically in earlier centuries. Only the Swabian Jura (now the most active seismic region in Central Europe) is an exception. Here seismicity became significant only in the twentieth century. Over the 1,202-year period from 800 to 2002, a total of thirty-three major earthquakes were recorded in Germany, very few compared with Italy, Greece, or Turkey. The most devastating earthquake to take place north of the Alps occurred in 1356, destroying the city of Basel, which at that time was a free city of the Reich (becoming a member of the Swiss Confederation only later, in 1501, and now, of course, belonging to Switzerland).17 As in the Lisbon quake in 1755, the San Francisco quake in 1906, and the Tokyo quakes in 1923, the greater part of the damage in Basel was caused not by the temblor itself but by the fires it triggered. Still, the total number of casualties among Basel’s approximately seven thousand citizens was probably less than a hundred—far below the losses associated with severe earthquakes in southern Europe.18 The region most affected by rapid geomorphological hazards like mass movements (rockfalls, slides, debris flows) and avalanches is southern Germany, into which about 3 percent of the Alpine range extends. Several major rockfalls and landslides have occurred there in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries, though none caused any loss of life.19 Avalanches have been a perennial hazard for human settlements, especially in winters with high precipitation. Probably the oldest defense against them and related hazards such as landslides and soil erosion are Schutzwälder, or protective forests, which account for no less than 42 percent of the forests in the German Alps today.20 In historical perspective, concerns about avalanches have risen over the past two

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hundred years as sizable human communities have moved higher and higher up the Alpine slopes—at least partly in reaction to demographic pressures within central European societies. Mass tourism in the Alps, rooted in eighteenth-century alpinism, created a new risk culture that, through its impact on the natural environment (mainly deforestation), has increased the vulnerability of tourist centers. Today’s ski resorts are typically “glocal” heterotopies of recreation and commerce with early-warning systems and mountain-rescue services. By far the most common natural hazard in Germany is flooding, which has caused enormous damage especially in urban areas. The Odra flood in 1997 and the Elbe flood five years later are merely the most recent examples. Social vulnerability to such disasters has many facets and includes settlement in the floodplain, deforestation of catchment areas, certain changes in urban structures, and pollution that degrades riparian ecosystems. However, “natural” disasters “have two historical trajectories,” one societal and the other natural.21 With rare exceptions (e.g., backwater caused by rockfalls), the natural trajectory of floods involves meteorological events and allows us to see flooding in the context of climate history. The complex interaction between climatic variability, precipitation anomalies, and disaster that produces economic, social, and cultural effects has made Germany an important subject of study for a period that reaches from the Little Ice Age to global warming. European climate history, which has long sought to fuse scattered information on past climates, also offers a plausible framework for comparison with Germany’s neighbors: France, Belgium, and the Netherlands in the west; Switzerland and Austria in the south; the Czech Republic, Slovakia, and Poland in the east; and Denmark and Sweden in the north. It is impossible to give here a full chronology of river floods in Germany over the past five hundred years. Reports of damage from inundations along the largest rivers—the Odra, Warthe, Lausitzer Neiße, Elbe, Saale, Rhine, Danube, and Isar—extend back to the Middle Ages and recur on average every three to four years, according to the evidence compiled decades ago by geographer Curt Weikinn, who examined sources dating from the fourteenth century to 1850 for historical references to weather conditions throughout Europe.22 Some of the greatest floods, or “century floods,” occurred along the Rhine in 1374 and 1480; the Elbe in 1651, 1655, 1784, 1799, 1804, 1820, 1830, 1845, and 2002;23 and the Odra in 1698, 1709, 1736, 1785, 1838, and 1997. The flood of 1736 accelerated planning for the Prussian state’s massive project to drain the Lower Odra Break (Nieder-Oderbruch), which was executed between 1747 and 1753 and became the largest engineered

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landscape in what was then the territory of Brandenburg-Prussia.24 Unusually severe floods occurred at various locations in 1500/1501, 1595, 1740, and 1784. The high-water marks for 1784 exceeded those of previous floods at many places in Germany. After an exceptionally long and cold winter, a sudden temperature change at the end of February caused flooding on the Saxonian Elbe, the Neckar, the Central and Lower Rhine, and the Danube. Ice runs worsened the damage resulting from these floods.25 While floods also affect rural areas, it is urban environments where overflowing rivers do the most damage. Storm tides that threaten coastal regions on the German Baltic and the North Sea occur in different topographical circumstances.26 Regions like North Frisia include a number of small villages or towns, but these areas are not dominated by large mercantile and cultural centers. Even in our time the economy in such places remains basically agricultural. Life on the German North Sea coast has created and maintained its own risk culture for many centuries.

A “HYDROGRAPHIC SOCIETY”: THE GERMAN NORTH SEA COAST For centuries, storm tides and the threat of breached dikes have shaped the lives of communities on the North Sea coast. At the beginning of the seventeenth century Matthias Boysen, in his “Commentaries on the Cataclysm of Nordstrand,” wrote that the local people agreed on “the opinion or superstition” (opinio sive superstitio) that the island of Nordstrand was struck by floods at forty-year intervals. Though Boysen criticized the idea of predictable recurrences as mere fatalism, which he considered inconsistent with Christian belief, he nevertheless found that the written historical record correlated closely with this measure. 27 A short chronology of major storm tides might begin with the flood of 1362, known in the history books as “Marcellus flood” or grote Mandränke, the Great Man-Drowning, which caused vast land losses. The number of casualties, while extremely high, was definitely lower than the figure of one hundred thousand given in later chronicles.28 The most severe disasters of later centuries were caused by the All Saints Flood in 1570; St. Burchard’s Flood on October 11, 1634, also known as the Nordstrand Flood or second Mandränke (mandrowning); the Christmas Flood of 1717; the flood of February 3–4, 1825; and, in the twentieth century, the floods on February 1, 1953, and Feb-

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ruary 16–17, 1962.29 But even less disastrous storm tides, such as those in 1643/1644 and 1675, induced dike breaches, caused the deaths of both humans and livestock, and ravaged farms. Water probably reached peak levels in 1570—a flood to which historians have paid comparatively little attention. The 1953 flood had serious consequences in the Netherlands, while the German shoreline was spared because the wind had weakened before the storm tide reached the coast. Vast losses of land characterized fourteenth-century flood disasters, which occurred less frequently during the fifteenth and sixteenth centuries. It seems likely that the coincidence of the 1362 flood with a series of plagues that followed the European pandemic known as the Black Death (1347–1351) created a manpower shortage that would have hindered both the repair and construction of new dikes.30 Damage to and destruction of dikes increased the vulnerability of North Sea coast communities for several decades, as can be inferred from a series of lesser floods in 1380, 1387, 1381, and 1395. Chronicles reported great damage from these floods, despite the fact that all of them occurred in May or June. Under normal conditions, storm tides strike during the autumn and winter months (October to February) almost without exception.31 In the aftermath of the 1362 floods, even weaker storms led to corrosive flooding, which may indicate a failure in dike reconstruction. It was not until the fifteenth century that a new period of diking and land reclamation commenced.32 A similar situation arose two and a half centuries later, when powerful storm tides in 1639, 1642, and 1643/1644 struck a shoreline still recovering from heavy floods in 1625 and 1634. All these floods happened to take place during the Thirty Years War (1618–1648), the military catastrophe that would influence German political institutions, demographic development, and cultural memory more than any other pre-twentieth-century event. When northern Germany had become the center stage of war in the 1620s, the population had been compelled not only to quarter imperial and Danish troops in their homes but also to bear the cost of the war, a financial burden that was prolonged by the Swedes even after the war. Contributions were customarily paid in the “currency” of victuals and lodging. These circumstances increased the exposure of North Sea communities to disease and the forces of nature. After the flood of 1643/1644 residents of the region of Kehdingen petitioned for relief from what amounted to war taxes.33 Salted grounds were expected to threaten winter and summer seeds for years, leaving no surplus for provisions. The strains of war also had their effects on dike renewal. The cycle of damage leading to further damage was on its fatal course. Many of the natural

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and social processes that create vulnerability prove to be similarly self-referential. The term hydrographic society was coined by Simon Schama in reference to the Netherlands, but it also aptly describes the communities on Germany’s North Sea coast, which have been shaped by natural hazard.34 North Sea culture has relied on dikes and drainage systems— sophisticated technologies that were established centuries before the Industrial Revolution. Both are visible marks in a cultural landscape where protection against flooding has always been the prerequisite for settlement, cultivation, and land reclamation. The significance of dike and sluice construction exceeds purely technical achievement and reaches into the political, cultural, and social realms. Over the course of history environmental adaptations have been basic to social order. North Sea societies have always been risk societies. The settlers of late antiquity and the Middle Ages as well as later immigrants into the region developed strategies for coping with, rather than avoiding, the dangers of the North Sea. They were attracted by incentives such as productive land and political privileges. Beside traditional agriculture and cattle breeding, specific economic branches like the exploitation of salt peat stacking grounds developed. Because both secular and ecclesiastical authorities were comparatively weak in the region, communal self-government was prevalent in many places. Particularly after damaging floods, centralistic political powers sought to create additional incentives that would entice new settlers or entrepreneurs to the area.35 Long before the dawn of modernity, North Sea risk culture had its own technology. According to archaeological evidence, dikes date back to the eleventh century.36 The evolution of dike technology, which can be outlined only roughly here, has two closely connected aspects— technical and social. Storm tides that destroyed dike lines and repeatedly forced people to give up ground and settlements have acted as a catalyst for technical development. Like the reconstruction of cities after big fires, the repair of dike lines challenged planners to improve protection. Recently the development of dike construction has been depicted as a learning process in which successive floods led to greater scientific understanding that in turn generated expanded technical skills.37 Declining numbers of flood casualties since the nineteenth century appear to support this historiographical interpretation. Nevertheless, as in so many other subfields within the history of science and technology, the story of linear progress must be put into perspective. The assertion that medieval dikes offered little safety because their seaside slopes were too steep has been refuted by archaeological re-

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search and, therefore, has to be regarded as a myth popularized in eighteenth-century treatises on dike building.38 More important, however, is a new understanding of what exactly stands behind processes that are described as technical or scientific advances. Sociologists would certainly highlight social differentiation in the course of which groups of technical and scientific experts emerged—due less to the expansion of technical and scientific knowledge than to the outcome of complex power struggles within society. From a certain point in history onward, the knowledge and skills of dike construction became disembedded from the community of North Sea denizens where they had been handed down from one generation of residents to another. Technical improvement, often demanding a reorganization of workforce, helped dike constructors to set themselves up as indispensable experts. To give an example: In 1610 the Dutch engineer Johann Claussen Rollwagen first made use of wheelbarrows instead of horses when working on dikes in Eiderstedt. By reducing costs and accelerating construction, entrepreneurs like Rollwagen helped to establish wage work and strengthened their position with respect to landowners, who still claimed the rights of dike building to be theirs alone. Political authorities exploited these entrepreneurs to expand and consolidate their influence in flood-ravaged communities. The social aspect of dike construction will further illuminate these changes. Installing dikes that enclose wide coastal districts requires proper organization and financing. Only if the dike lines are well coordinated can they offer adequate protection. In addition to technical skills, planning and cooperation are essential and must be performed in tandem. Inhabitants of the region organized themselves into higher social amalgamations. In North Frisia such amalgamations came into being as early as the tenth century.39 They can be described as early risk communities, in which protection was from the beginning a matter of self-government and social control by law and order. Therefore the political culture as well as the law in German North Sea regions was largely formed by the ongoing threat of natural hazards. Dike law, like all legal formulae devised for the purpose of ensuring coastal protection, established the basic rules of a risk society and sought to manage conflicts concerning private-property rights, dike supervision, and maintenance that would inevitably arise.40 Many of these rules even became “cultural” in the sense that they found their way into everyday life and people’s consciousness. Dike law—like every type of law—can be read as an expression of culture,41 but it was certainly not the product of a community whose members unconditionally subordinated private interests to the common good. How social

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groups distinguish private from public interest is, in itself, a complex historical process of negotiation within and between communities. Dike law was transmitted orally up to the early thirteenth century, when the first written record of it was made in Eike von Repgow’s Sachsenspiegel (around 1230). With reference to river dikes, this medieval legal text mentions that any landowner unable to maintain the dikes would forfeit his land.42 “No land without dike, and no dike without land” was customary law. Unwritten for centuries, this regulation was still in effect when dike law was finally codified. It was also contained in the so-called spade-land law (Spadelandrecht), or law of the spade (Recht des Spaten), according to which ground that had been “gained with the spade” had to be defended by dikes built with spades. The spade thus became a metaphor for the legal relationship between property rights and dike construction. Landowners who refused to fulfill the safety requirements imposed by the community would lose their land. In such cases a dike supervisor, called Deichgräfe, appointed by the parish or local dike association, would drive a spade into the dike section of the delinquent landowner. In some places landowners could themselves relinquish claim to their land with the same gesture. According to the royal dike orders of 1634, anyone wishing to claim the land would then need only to pull out the spade to do so.43 Systematic codification of German dike law began in the fifteenth century. The so-called Siebenhardenbeliebung of 1426 is the earliest written record of North Sea dike law that survived to the present.44 It included the appointment of dike judges and regulations on “dike peace” (Deichfrieden) that suspended feuds at times when dikes had to be repaired. Spade-land law was codified in the middle of the sixteenth century. Just a few decades later some regulations (for example, “Eiderstedter Dike Orders” of 159545) introduced modifications or alternatives to a complete loss of land: landowners who failed to comply would be fined instead of losing their property, and the fine would then be used to pay laborers to perform the necessary repairs. Dike law was announced from the pulpit to publicize it, and it held the same rank as city law did in the cities. The fact that dike officials also held privileges of lower jurisdiction reveals the comprehensive importance of dike law in the hydrographic society of the North Sea coast. Dike law also enunciated penalties for violators, who for certain offenses could even be sentenced to death. The development of dike law also reflects changes in supervision that can be read as contests between regional autonomy and state regulation. Codification itself can be understood as a step toward centralization. The earliest recorded reference to the office of a dike supervisor (Deichgräfe) dates to 1438 and appears

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in the Spadelandbrief for the Wilstermarsch. According to this document, peasants would elect members of a jury to participate in periodic dike inspections. These dike inspectors also had responsibilities to the princes of the country. By 1600 the office of Deichgräfe was typically occupied by officials higher than the communal level. The number of supervisors with a professional background in dike construction rose. In 1609, for example, the above-mentioned Johann Claussen Rollwagen was appointed “dike supervisor general (Generaldeichgraf) of northern coastal landscapes” by the duke of Gottorf, Johann Adolf.46 Centralization also began to occur during the seventeenth and early eighteenth centuries in Frisia and Lower Saxony under the Swedish and Danish governments. The Swedes introduced the first “General Dike Orders” in 1692 after decades of negotiating power with local authorities. In some regions, such as Kehdingen, resistance to centralization proved to be entrenched. The Swedes succeeded in imposing the orders not least because a series of floods in the 1650s and 1660s had considerably weakened local communities.47 Severe storm tides in the late eighteenth century again inspired centralization and reform, which were demanded by figures such as Johann Nicolaus Tetens, a philosopher and administrative official in Frisia under Danish government.48 In 1800 dike inspectors began to be appointed by the government, and in 1803 the Allgemeines Deich-Reglemet (General Dike Regulations) was published; most of these regulations remained effective in the Prussian Law on Dikes in Schleswig-Holstein, set up in 1848. In the nineteenth century, dike properties were still, to a large extent, in private hands, although central powers had over the centuries become landowners as well as dike owners in some areas of the country. Private landowners sought to strengthen their position by organizing dike associations that would enable them to share the growing financial cost of developing new techniques of dike construction. In the 1870s numerous dike organizations were founded in response to a storm tide that occurred in 1872.49 The modern nation-state was about to emerge. Between 1900 and 1940 the so-called Anwachsrecht (the right to possess reclaimed land) was nationalized almost everywhere in North Germany. The connection between nationalization of coastal properties and technological advances in dike construction and maintenance is obvious. Today, dikes can be up to nine meters high. The cost of new dike construction in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries ultimately exceeded the means of dike associations that had owned dike properties well into the 1960s. After the flood of 1962 no fewer than 99.5 kilometers of protective dikes and high-tide barriers were erected

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or extended. The cost of these projects was assumed by the federal state of Hamburg and the central government. The dike associations that would share responsibility for dike maintenance until 1977 were unable to afford it. The situation in Lower Saxony and SchleswigHolstein was similar. Looking back at the dike culture of past centuries, there is considerable evidence that storm tides have promoted technological development, social differentiation, professionalization, and nationalization in the German North Sea region. It seems that these processes were intermingled: new technical equipment created opportunities for professional dike engineers, while government authorities could use these experts to increase their influence in specific regions. While in the Middle Ages the quest for North Sea settlers strengthened private control over dike construction and local self-government, conditions after 1500 seem to have favored new expert groups. In a period of demographic growth and increasing climatic stress (due to the Little Ice Age), the financial and organizational demands of recovery after ravaging storm tides turned into opportunities for dike entrepreneurs and political governments to gain the upper hand over local communities.50 The German North Sea region could best be compared to the hydrographic culture of the Netherlands. As Simon Schama has shown, the development of dike culture coincided with the wars of independence from Spanish dominance during the late sixteenth and seventeenth century, a conjunction of events that has influenced Dutch national identity. The situation in Schleswig-Holstein and Lower Saxony differs from that in the Netherlands, in the first instance because Germany is a larger political territory with a greater diversity of landscapes affected by various types of natural hazards. Dike culture has shaped regional identity in the north but not throughout Germany. The religious context of the Thirty Years War makes it impossible even to say whether Danish or Swedish rulers and administrators were seen as occupiers—as the Spanish were in the Netherlands. The German inhabitants of the North Sea coast defended their identity against all governmental authorities, regardless of whether they were Danish, Swedish, or Prussian.

DISASTERS, INSTITUTIONS, AND THE MODERN NATION-STATE Disaster has always led to legislative action by local or national governments. At the same time, “natural” disasters are not the only

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kind of catastrophe that has prompted political action and legislation. For centuries, other types of recurring disaster have caused similar responses. Epidemics (mainly the plague) have promoted the establishment of hospitals and national medical care systems in Europe; urban fires have spurred changes in housing construction; war has resulted in the expansion of both the destructive and protective potentials of technology. Defining standards for the management of high-risk technologies has become a major concern of governments worldwide. Competitive disadvantages created by such safety standards and regulations may strain national economies. This phenomenon can be seen in dike cultures of the past, and it is paralleled in our own time by the security standards in use at nuclear power plants. Remarkably, histories of state power and nation-building have paid almost no attention to disaster.51 Recent discussions of national collapse and state failure (mainly in Africa and Asia) have touched on the role played by catastrophe, and the topic has been relatively prominent in the literature on the decline of former high cultures.52 But, in both contexts, historians are more concerned with the destructive potential of catastrophes than with the constructive operations of disaster management that include the formation of political institutions.53 In an international context the “modern nation-state” has been modeled on European political organization and has therefore been treated as a special case of sociocultural development—or what some call the “European Sonderweg.”54 Nevertheless, exactly how the “European path” of coping with disaster has contributed to shaping the European state model—in both theory and practice—is a question that remains unanswered. Generally, an analysis of the social and cultural impacts of natural hazards can be written only within the context of an extensive history of disaster—whether on a national, a comparative, or a global level. Such an analysis will also have to consider the role of war and disease. In the case of Germany studies on the extent to which historical processes of social differentiation or institutionalization were intertwined with the chronology of disaster are missing. Based on reliable national chronologies, comparison could reveal differences between societies that have experienced similar catastrophes but developed specific cultural strategies of coping. Concerning state formation and institution building, research on the European plague pandemics between 1348 and the end of the eighteenth century is by far the most developed in the wider spectrum of disaster studies at present.55 Prominent historians have considered two catastrophic wars essential to the formation of the German nation state. They have de-

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scribed the Thirty Years War (1618–1648), which reduced the total population of the country by one third, as a state-building event from which emerged standing armies and the Immerwährender Reichstag, the permanent Imperial Diet in Regensburg (after 1663).56 World War II had even more far-reaching consequences. “The German catastrophe,”57 as historian Friedrich Meinecke called it, included great losses of territory and population, unconditional surrender and occupation, followed by the “double state-founding” of the Federal Republic of Germany and the German Democratic Republic in 1949.58 What Meinecke could not foresee in 1946 is that the experience of total defeat and responsibility for the Holocaust would form a prerequisite for Germany’s lasting democratic turn after the war. No “natural” disaster has ever had such a profound effect on national government. But in that respect twentieth-century Germany may well be an exception when compared with both the history of other nation-states and its own earlier past. Nevertheless, several recent German floods can be seen under the aspect of nation-building. Several months before West Germany became a NATO member and was officially rearmed, units of the federal army were mobilized during the Bavarian flood of 1954. The newly established army again participated in civil defense when northern Germany was struck by the flood of 1962. This episode certainly contributed to more widespread acceptance of rearmament, which had been a matter of fierce public debate in postwar German society for many years. The Odra flood of 1997 reveals characteristic features of an “event of national mobilization” as well.59 Occurring eight years after the fall of the Berlin Wall, this crisis raised hopes that the wall still “in the heads” of former West and East Germans would finally be pulled down.60 National consciousness was again touched with the Elbe flood of 2002, which came to play an important role in that year’s election campaign and probably helped to save the Social Democrat and Green coalition government from defeat. Modern democratic constitutional states—with their pluralistic media and free press—routinely turn local disasters into national events. The media definitely plays a key role in creating a nationalized perception, but the press need not be free to accomplish this transformation. During the Yangtze River floods in 1998 the Chinese government exploited the event to generate a sense of national unity through the popular television program Juesheng.61 The language used in those broadcasts reveals remarkable and surprising parallels with news reports on the Odra flood of 1997 in Germany. In both cases military metaphors were used to describe the “fight” against the floodwaters. It

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must be acknowledged that political instrumentalization of disasters is neither a democratic, a “totalitarian,” nor a modern invention but a consequence of the fact that the effectiveness and thus the legitimacy of political power is tested in an emergency.

RELIGION AND MODERNITY Historians have regarded religion as the determining factor in how disaster was perceived and interpreted in premodern Germany. The topic is worth treating here for two reasons. First, as an essential aspect of culture, religion deserves investigation for the purpose of cultural comparison, whether on a global or a regional level. Second, religion raises the question of “modernity.” In answering that question, many historians have focused on the relationship between religion and science. The ascendance of scientific concepts of nature and a simultaneous decline of religious belief are still widely recognized as marking the transition from premodern to modern times. This transition is a “master narrative” that can be sketched in a single sentence: the Enlightenment of the eighteenth century, preceded by the Scientific Revolution, challenged the monopoly of religious interpretations of nature and established the authority of scientific rationality, thus displacing religious explanations of natural phenomena with scientific theories and introducing the idea that humans could control nature by means of technology. Patterns of perception and interpretation of natural hazards are often evident in the text of early modern printed pamphlets. Such documents have been used to analyze attitudes and responses to storm tides, fires, earthquakes, and epidemics—events that invariably precipitated a boom of publications ranging from sermons, medical advice, and government orders to scientific explanations. North Sea storm tides continued to be viewed as divine retribution into the eighteenth century. Unsurprisingly, the Enlightenment marks a turning point. Physico-theologians regarded the laws of nature as an expression of God’s creativity that would always turn out to be “good” if seen from a “rational” point of view; divine retribution was replaced by what can be called a model of higher benefit, in which good was drawn out of evil (bonum ex malo) and the meaning of disasters transcended individual suffering. This philosophical evolution can be clearly traced in pamphlets that appeared after three exceptional floods occurred along the North Sea coast in 1570, 1634, and 1717, respectively.62 In earlier investigations, based on categories drawn from Max Weber’s sociology,

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this process was regarded as one of rationalization, secularization, and modernization. Today, such views are not as widely shared as they once were. Pamphleteers in general and physico-theologians in particular were well educated. Therefore present historians hesitate to consider evidence from pamphlets written by vicars, scientists, and intellectuals who belonged to these exclusive circles as any indication of popular opinion. In other words, these texts reflect ideas that were circulating among scholars and members of the political elite. Furthermore, religious interpretations do not simply disappear from people’s minds or from the books, newspapers, or pamphlets after the enlightenment. During the nineteenth century, religious belief went through several waves of revival. One such revival, inspired by the Awakening Movement (Erweckungsbewegung—the German version of the Second Great Awakening), occurred after the storm tide of 1825.63 During the subsistence crisis of 1816/1817—which occurred in the famous “year without summer” after the eruption of Mount Tambora in Indonesia— Swabian Pietists and lay Catholics in Bavaria created pressure from below, expressing a desire for both traditional forms of piety (including penance, prayers, pilgrimage, processions, self-accusation, and other types of devotional behavior) and its ideological foundation, which declared the famine to be a divine punishment. Bavarian Catholics proved more amenable to popular beliefs than Swabian Protestants, among whom Pietists were too small a minority to force a return to former practice. Penance and prayer were limited to the private sphere. Both the storm tide of 1825 and the famine of 1816/1817 show that the “domestication of the punishing Lord” had reached leading representatives of most denominations in Germany but had not been widely embraced by “the people.”64 On the other hand, as one looks further back in time, it becomes less clear that the rhetoric of divine retribution represents the attitude of all sixteenth- and seventeenth-century German Christians. The large number of printed texts about wonders and disasters suggests that the clergy was preoccupied with its own specialized discourse, piling up intellectual arguments that were unlikely to persuade everybody. It is, nevertheless, remarkable to see that experts such as dike constructors or plague doctors would normally consider their achievements, their skills, their methods, and the meaning they would give themselves within society to be in accord with contemporary standards of piety and not claim a monopoly on knowledge in order to challenge theological worldviews.65 This does not mean, of course, that they always succeeded in avoiding conflict. Nor was the theological model of divine

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retribution necessarily meant to be exclusive. Most theologians from the leading denominations tried to make sense of “secular” preventive measures and to give them a place within religious thinking. The widespread (Neo)Aristotelian (and Scholastic) scheme of primary and secondary causes (prima causa et secundae causae) proved a theory open enough to include or even demand prevention. While God was respected as the initial creator and, thus, the primary cause in nature, human attempts to break the causal chain of a disastrous process seemed legitimate. Though theologians gave priority to human vices, “natural causes” and the corresponding knowledge could be included in such models of understanding.66 Nevertheless, the main controversy concerned the point up to which it was justifiable to develop and apply scientific knowledge. Representatives of a few denominations adopted radical positions, deeming any measures of self-protection—except for praying, repentance, or other religious expressions of piety—as a sacrilege committed against the Lord’s providence, which could not be averted in any case. Debates on the possible achievements and the legitimacy of human preventive measures with respect to different types of disasters followed similar paths. Measures against the plague (quarantine, the establishment of hospitals, prohibition of processions, etc.), urban fires, or storm tides raised more or less the same questions about what was possible in a Christian society: Was divine retribution simply to be accepted as the will of the Lord, or was it instead to be regarded as a test of a community’s ability to protect itself against and recover from calamity?67 Standards of political agency, protection, and prevention had to be proposed and negotiated by the governing class. Within this sphere, the influence of religion—which should not be confused with theology—was large, while many historians may have overestimated that of the clergy, along with the degree of agreement between secular and religious authorities.68 It is true that government administrators defined themselves as Christian, and it is important to notice that a sense of shared destiny helped to shape the identity of local communities. Historians have even spoken of a “communal religiousness” in Germany.69 But representatives of the various denominations were rarely capable of pushing their political interests through without resistance, if only because they so often disagreed among themselves. The borderline of confrontation did not run merely between Protestants and Catholics but also within and without Lutheran, Pietist, and Calvinist groups as well as Jesuits, Franciscans, Capuchins, and other Catholic factions. In the face of catastrophe, theologians of differing

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denominations often crossed swords, accusing each other of having brought God’s wrath upon themselves. Religious interpretations of disasters thus became part of the discourse of controversial theology (Kontroverstheologie)—a pattern that has recurred since the Reformation. On the other hand, when concrete political action was required, there were many instances of cooperation across denominational boundaries, episodes that deserve more attention than historians have given them to date.70 So far in this section, I have pointed out problems with generalizing some of the evidence that historians have drawn from printed pamphlets. I have also discussed a broadly accepted account of the historical development of religious concepts of disaster. It would be too much to regard these remarks as sufficient to overthrow prevailing views of historical change since the eighteenth century as processes of secularization, disenchantment, and modernization. Though these concepts have been criticized and become less popular among historians than they used to be twenty or thirty years ago, they have not been fully replaced in describing long-term historical change. In any case this process should not be seen as the simple substitution of scientific theories for religious narratives. Christianity has shaped “Western” cultures beyond the watershed of secularization or modernization. The traditional notion of disaster as an “act of God” may have disappeared from public view in Central Europe, but it has not vanished entirely and forever.71 The coexistence of religious and scientific ideas, of piety and the quest for technological mastery within particular societies—or even within a particular person—cannot be understood if their relationship is reduced to opposition and contradiction. This is true for present as well as past societies. It is a widespread prejudice—even among historians and other scholars in the humanities—that religion and especially belief in divine retribution generate fatalism and lead to passiveness and apathy, which is not necessarily the case.72 Moreover, the cliché view of pre-Enlightenment societies engaging in communal prayer and repentance fails to recognize the Christian metaphysics of disaster as a form of “management.”73 Refusing to analyze these metaphysics more rigorously has obscured their influence on political action as well as the conflicts that emerged from them.

THE MORAL ECONOMY OF DISASTER The basic logic of retributive punishment equates disaster with the proof of vices that had to be overcome in order to regain God’s mercy

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and prevent further punishment. This premise inevitably led to a kind of religious “bartering,” behavior that was common not only among Catholics but also Protestants.74 It was apparent even in the political arena when, for example, in the wake of a disaster, church representatives pressured secular authorities to enact sumptuary laws that would discourage the vices they believed had provoked punishment. Disasters have often triggered “moral” legislation that reflects a fundamentally metaphysical ideology, and sumptuary statutes are not the only direct result of political interaction between the clergy and early modern authorities. Such influence of religion on politics would hardly be imaginable if it were not based on cultural memory.75 Disasters reminded Christians to care for the welfare of their immortal souls. Since “man,” after banishment from paradise, had been punished with mortality, imperfectness, and forgetfulness, “his” memory had to be refreshed time and again. In the perspective of Christian anthropology, the recurrence of disaster mirrored human condition after the Fall. Biblical stories, familiar to every Christian, constituted a storehouse of shared knowledge and communal memory that helped to shape their experience of actual catastrophes.76 Old Testament examples could be generalized, decontextualized, and used to guide Christian action—including reaction to calamity. The stories of the ten plagues of Egypt, the destruction of Sodom and Gomorrah, Noah’s flood, and similar crises were reanimated through sermons and other modes of religious instruction. Biblical commonplaces (loci communes) became powerful tools in the hands of political factions, not only ecclesiastical authorities. For them, Holy Scripture was a guide to explain disaster. Both temporal and regional differences emerge from this general pattern of Christian cultural memory when one considers specific events. Topical examples were first abstracted and then re-embedded in local social, cultural, and political contexts producing numerous variations on Biblical themes. A major regional river flood in 1613 was remembered as the “Thuringian Deluge.”77 Such allusions frequently appear in pamphlets about North Sea storm tides,78 and in 2002 the German media often referred to the Elbe flood as a “deluge” or as the “(Second) Saxonian Deluge”—the first having occurred in 1845.79 Without cultural memory of the prototype of all floods in JudeoChristian tradition, the metaphor would hardly be intelligible. That memory has been on the decline for decades, as religion has been increasingly marginalized in the German educational system and church membership overall has decreased among Germans. Nevertheless,

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even atheists will find it difficult to escape the metaphoric, proverbial, or semantic constraints of languages that owe large parts of their repertoire of verbal expressions, meanings, and connotations to the cultural heritage of the Bible. Core elements of Christian interpretations of disastrous occurrences have survived as more than mere remnants. They live on through tradition, transformation, or revival. An article in the weekly magazine Stern paraphrased passages from the Bible to explain the use of the word deluge in its headline, adding: “It is probably true that the flood disasters at the Elbe and Danube are . . . consequences of human sins: We have accelerated climate change—leading inexorably to weather extremes—by irresponsible energy consumption.”80 Hydraulic engineering, settlement in floodplains, and neglect of the dike systems were listed as further “sins.” The author of a newspaper editorial reports that, while watching a television news program, his little daughter asked him if God hadn’t promised that there would never be a deluge again. Hans-Christoph Plümer, a Lutheran minister in Norderstedt, does not tell us what he responded but says that, in his eyes, to attribute disaster to a “wave of human maliciousness” is a “strange idea”: “It is not divine power that triggers natural disasters. . . . But the feeling that, through our own behavior, we have helped nature to strike back should be taken seriously.” Plümer concludes by expressing his “hope” that “we” will learn to husband the resources of the earth more conscientiously: “Noah’s ark becomes a model of our survival.”81 As can be grasped from these quotations, even for a Protestant minister of our day, the deluge and Noah’s ark have a purely symbolical meaning. Nevertheless, they are still vehicles of a moral message. The metaphor of the deluge remains a universal one among Jews, Christians, and Muslims. Commonplaces become more “local” as they are incorporated into more complex disaster narratives, whether those narratives describe actual or mythical events. A remarkable example of the cultural memory of the German North Sea society appears in the Rungholt saga, which records the legend of a town on the Island of Nordstrand that became prosperous and powerful as a center of regional maritime trade. The saga tells of inebriated citizens who committed sacrilege with the Eucharist by coercing a priest to carouse with them in a pub and using the “holy chalice” for their drinking vessel. The Lord’s punishment struck immediately thereafter, when on a stormy night Rungholt vanished in a flash flood.82 Matthias Boysen, a seventeenth-century priest on the Isle of Nordstrand, was the first to comment on an oral version of the story in which the village was said to have disappeared into a fissure:

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FRANZ MAUELSHAGEN And the superstitious people believe it will re-emerge as it was and return to its old place before the end of the world. And, furthermore, they add specters and delusions: that the city, with all houses intact, remained in the stomach of the earth and that the church tower— though not always, but now and then—would emerge from the water or the shore so that one could see it through the shimmering air, and even the peal of the bells could be heard by those passing by, and other similar things [are told]. These [stories] are either dreams of old women or smell like fables that are made up to confirm superstition. Closer to truth is the opinion of those who believe that this place with its seven neighboring villages was inundated, in a way common to low and flat countries . . . by one of the greatest floods; came to an end; was excluded from the dikes soon afterwards; and finally, due to neglect of rule, was left to the ocean.83

Though Boysen refused to believe the people’s tales, he did not doubt that Rungholt had once existed. Indeed, documents of the fourteenth century mention the place name, and although the exact locality of Rungholt has been a subject of intense controversy, archaeological findings confirm its existence.84 Most scholars believe that Rungholt was destroyed in the “Marcellus flood” (Grote Mandränke) of 1362 and that, whatever traces of it had remained, gradually disappeared over the following decades. When large parts of the Island of Nordstrand were swept away during the flood of 1634, the incident evoked memories of Rungholt’s fate and prompted residents to record the oral legends that included numerous allusions to mortal sins punished by total destruction, as in the case of Sodom and Gomorrah. The narrative combines familiar motifs with elements of a popularized Atlantis myth: a wealthy city, dominant in its region, descends into a state of moral decay leading to cataclysm, but is expected to rise from the waters when the world ends. The myth of Rungholt was transformed in a famous nineteenthcentury poem titled Trutz, blanke Hans by Detlev Liliencron (1844– 1909). Liliencron emphasized the image of a rich and decadent city by means of a somewhat strained comparison with ancient Rome, recombining it with a traditional religious motif, that of hubris. The poem’s title, recurring in the refrain to every stanza, has been attributed to a seventeenth-century workman, who is said to have stuck his spade into a new dike while challenging the sea with these words: “Trutze nun, Blanke Hans” (“Now obstinate, bare Hans”)—an expression of scornful challenge, arrogantly tempting fate.85 “Bare Hans” is a metaphor for the North Sea. In Liliencron’s imagination Rungholt becomes a metropolis of trade and ethnic variety with streets crowded by noisy,

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drunken masses that prowl the dike in the evening, clenching their fists and defying the North Sea in what appears as a Dionysian ritual. Rungholt ist reich und wird immer reicher, kein Korn mehr faßt selbst der größte Speicher. Wie zur Blütezeit im alten Rom staut hier täglich der Menschenstrom. Die Sänften tragen Syrer und Mohren, mit Goldblech und Flitter in Nasen und Ohren. Trutz, blanke Hans. Auf allen Märkten, auf allen Gassen lärmende Leute, betrunkene Massen. Sie ziehn am Abend hinaus auf den Deich: “Wir trutzen dir, blanker Hans, Nordseeteich!” Und wie sie drohend die Fäuste ballen, zieht leis aus dem Schlamm der Krake die Krallen. Trutz, blanke Hans. ... Und überall Friede, im Meer, in den Landen. Plötzlich wie Ruf eines Raubtiers in Banden: Das Scheusal wälzte sich, atmete tief und schloß die Augen wieder und schlief. Und rauschende, schwarze, langmähnige Wogen kommen wie rasende Rosse geflogen. Trutz, blanke Hans. Ein einziger Schrei—die Stadt ist versunken, und Hunderttausende sind ertrunken. Wo gestern noch Lärm und lustiger Tisch, schwamm andern Tags der stumme Fisch. Heut bin ich über Rungholt gefahren, die Stadt ging unter vor fünfhundert Jahren. Trutz, blanke Hans?

Liliencron’s poem draws heavily on the idea of disasters as God’s punishment for sins. Modern societies address the question of human responsibility when looking for the anthropogenic changes to the environment that may contribute to and even cause disaster. The figure of retribution has recurred in a new guise: nature “strikes back” and takes its just “revenge.” This reflects a radical change in the dominant concept of nature.86 During the 1950s and 1960s “nature” was still regarded in Western Germany as a violent enemy posing serious threats to civilization, threats that had to be neutralized or contained.

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Technologies that could control nature appeared to be the appropriate tools with which to achieve that goal. Metaphorical expressions suggested that society would have to wage a “technical war” against natural hazards. Over the next two decades, however, Germans began to view nature not as a threat but as a victim of human hubris. The power relation between man and nature was completely reversed. “Civilization” now seemed to threaten nature and—indirectly—itself, creating disaster through environmental depredations. On a level of intellectual metacritique one could argue that both views are hopelessly anthropomorphic and reflect animistic conceptions of nature. And both of them—fixated on the relationship between nature and technology—are reductionist with respect to the multidimensionality of disasters. Beyond that, in historical perspective, there is a remarkable parallel between the Christian concept of “moral causation” (sin causing punishment) and the modern concept of technological hubris seeking control over nature but losing it as unforeseen effects on global ecosystems repeatedly lead to disaster; in both cases natural hazards become a medium of moral self-reflection. Fulfilling this function, the idea of nature is no longer externalized from human society. This point has escaped widespread historical analyses blaming early modern Christian worldviews for their passivity and fatalism because they referred to “external” metaphysical powers.87 In my opinion, such interpretation reflects a typical postEnlightenment reconstruction of premodern ideas and is, therefore, anachronistic. In medieval and early modern cosmologies, God was neither simply external to society, nor was He simply external to nature. He was fully present in both spheres in that He had determined the course of the world through His providence. As mediator between both realms, He was the key to understanding how nature could become a medium of moral self-reflection. Disorder in nature indicated disorder within society; one was God’s response to the other. As a result, disasters motivated social change—though change in the moral economy of early modern Christian societies usually meant a return to the divine and eternal laws of justice, whereas modern societies would prefer to claim a need for innovation. The “circle of impact” between society and the environment has always politicized the discourse on natural hazards, which helps to explain the need for communication as a means of coping with contingency. In earlier centuries, social critics and historians regarded the vast media output that followed a disaster as a response to public curiosity. Later, curiosity as explanation was replaced by the assumption of an insatiable lust for sensation. Such ideas are still prevalent in recent

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historical studies. They are bound to miss the key function of communication within social systems in responding to violent nature as the “other.” Without reflection on what could or should have been done in advance of the event, there is no path leading back to action in the aftermath of disaster. Public attention to what went wrong in the interaction between culture and nature is what activates the coping capacities of complex societies. This is essentially an intellectual process that starts with telling and retelling the story of what happened. Understanding the limits of coping is to understand the limits of these narratives—and this means coming to grips with history in its most elementary sense. NOTES 1. For surveys of historiography, see Monica Juneja and Franz Mauelshagen, “Disasters and Pre-Industrial Societies: Historiographic Trends and Comparative Perspectives,” in The Medieval History Journal 10 (2007): 1–31; see also the introduction to Naturkatastrophen: Beiträge zu ihrer Deutung, Wahrnehmung und Darstellung in Text und Bild von der Antike bis ins 20. Jahrhundert, Dieter Groh, Michael Kempe, and Franz Mauelshagen, eds. (Tübingen: G. Narr, 2003), 12–14. 2. Still a valuable source of information on the question of definition as discussed by social scientists is Enrico L. Quarantelli, ed., What is a Disaster? Perspectives on the Question (London and New York: Routledge, 1998). 3. For a discussion of these alternatives from a historian’s point of view, see Greg Bankoff, “Time Is of the Essence: Disasters, Vulnerability and History,” in International Journal of Mass Emergencies and Disasters 22 (2004): 23–42. 4. Anthony Oliver-Smith, “Theorizing Disasters: Nature, Power, and Culture,” in Catastrophe & Culture: The Anthropology of Disaster, Susanna M. Hoffmann and Anthony Oliver-Smith, eds. (Oxford: J. Currey, 2002), 23–47, esp. 25–26. 5. See the commentary “Auf Jahre hinaus,” in Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, 30 December 2004, 1 (“größte Naturkatastrophe der neueren Geschichte”). For Schröder’s remark, see the article “Tausend Deutsche vermißt. Schröder: Die schlimmste Katastrophe seit Menschengedenken” in the same issue (also on 1). 6. Arno Borst, “Das Erdbeben von 1348: Ein historischer Beitrag zur Katastrophenforschung,” in Historische Zeitschrift 233 (1981): 529–69, esp. 531 and 532. Unless otherwise noted, all English translations of German sources are my own. 7. Borst, “Das Erdbeben von 1348,” 529. 8. See Rudolf Brázdil et al., “Historical Climatology in Europe—The State of the Art,” in Climatic Change 70 (2005): 363–430, esp. 396–407; Christian Pfister, Wetternachhersage: 500 Jahre Klimavariationen und Naturkata-

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strophen (Bern, Switzerland: P. Haupt, 1999), 213–63; Christian Pfister, ed., Am Tag danach: Zur Bewältigung von Naturkatastrophen in der Schweiz 1500–2000 (Bern, Stuttgart, Wien: Haupt, 2002); and Rüdiger Glaser, Klimageschichte Mitteleuropas: 1000 Jahre Wetter, Klima, Katastrophen (Darmstadt: Primus, 2001), 183–208. 9. Manfred Jakubowski-Tiessen’s Sturmflut 1717: Die Bewältigung einer Naturkatastrophe in der Frühen Neuzeit (Munich: R. Oldenbourg, 1992) is still the most detailed historical account of a German flood disaster, and it deserves to be recognized as a pioneering study. Most other case studies are chapters in recently published books; see, for example, the contributions by Jakubowski-Tiessen, Engels, and Döring in Groh et al., eds., Naturkatastrophen; chapters by Behringer, Jakubowski-Tiessen, Allemeyer, and Gestrich in Um Himmels Willen: Religion in Katastrophenzeiten, Manfred JakubowskiTiessen and Hartmut Lehmann, eds. (Göttingen: Vandenhoeck & Ruprecht, 2003); and the chapter by Schott in Cities and Catastrophes: Coping with Emergency in European History/Villes et catastrophes: Réaction face à l’urgence dans l’histoire européenne, Geneviève Massard-Guilbaud et al., eds. (Frankfurt am Main: P. Lang, 2002). 10. Bankoff, “Cultures of Disaster, Cultures of Coping,” chapter 10 of this volume. 11. Oliver-Smith, “Theorizing Disasters,” 24. 12. Kenneth Hewitt, Regions of Risk: A Geographical Introduction to Disasters (Harlow: Longman, 1997). 13. Marlene Bradford, Robert S. Carmichael, and Tracy Irons-Georges mention only four “German” disasters in their geographical listing in Natural Disasters, three vols. (Pasadena, Calif.: Salem Press, 2001), 3:lxiii. A “Publisher’s Note” (in vol. 1) claims that the disasters taken into consideration cover a time span between 65,000,000 BCE and 2000 CE. In fact, about 90 percent of the examples come from the twentieth century, and a disproportionate majority of them occurred in what is now U.S. territory. This can hardly be called an “encyclopedia.” 14. The online Emergency Events Database, maintained by the Center for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED) at the Université Catholique de Louvain in Brussels, provides data on twentieth-century European disasters; see www.emdat.be. 15. Eckhard Völkening and Michael Odenhausen, “Zur Rückversicherung von Naturgefahren in Deutschland,” Zeitschrift für Versicherungswesen 21 (2003): 632–36, esp. 632. 16. Günter Leydecker, “Erdbebenkatalog für die Bundesrepublik Deutschland mit Randgebieten für die Jahre 1000–1981,” Geologisches Jahrbuch, ser. E, 36 (1986): 3–83. An updated electronic version is available: Günter Leydecker, Erdbebenkatalog für die Bundesrepublik Deutschland mit Randgebieten für die Jahre 800–2002 (Hanover: Bundesanstalt für Geowissenschaften und Rohstoffe und die Geologische Landesämter in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland, 2003). 17. Gerhard Fouquet, “Das Erdbeben in Basel 1356—für eine Kulturgeschichte der Katastrophen,” Basler Zeitschrift für Geschichte und Altertums-

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kunde 103 (2003): 31–49, esp. 40. This judgment is based on the latest geological research, which has detected an active fault near the city; see Mustapha Meghraoui et al., “Active Normal Faulting in the Upper Rhine Graben and Paleoseismic Identification of the 1356 Basel Earthquake,” Science 293 (2001): 2070–73. 18. Numbers drawn from the latest and most complete study on the Basel earthquake, Werner Meyer and Hans Peter Laubscher’s Da verfiele Basel überall: Das Basler Erdbeben von 1356 (Basel, Switzerland: Schwabe, 2006), 101–4. 19. See Karsten Garleff et al., “Germany,” in Clifford Embleton and Christine Empleton-Hamann, eds., Geomorphological Hazards of Europe (Amsterdam and New York: Elsevier, 1997), 147–76, esp. 154. There are no reliable historical chronologies of rockfalls, landslides, or damaging avalanches in Germany since 1500. Some information is provided by Josef Nussbaumer, Die Gewalt der Natur: Eine Chronik der Naturkatastrophen von 1550 bis heute (Grünbach: Ed. Sandkorn, 1996). 20. Garleff et al., “Germany,” 155. 21. Greg Bankoff argues that both trajectories are “‘historical’ in the sense that both forces [i.e., society and nature] change over time” (“Comparing Vulnerabilities: Toward Charting an Historical Trajectory of Disasters,” Historical Social Research 32 [2007]: 103–14, esp. 104). 22. Curt Weikinn, Quellentexte zur Witterungsgeschichte Europas, four vols. (Berlin: Akademie-Verlag, 1958–1963). Weikinn’s collection includes historical records of climatic conditions and events in Germany as well as other European countries. The volumes that were published during his lifetime (1–4) span the period from the fourteenth century up to 1750. Another two volumes (5 and 6), based on material compiled by Weikinn and covering the next hundred years up to 1850, were edited by Michael Börngen and Gerd Tetzlaff (Berlin: Borntraeger, 2000–2002). Martin Schmidt bases his synthesis of German flood events on Weikinn’s data including the period between 1750 and 1850; see Schmidt, Hochwasser und Hochwasserschutz in Deutschland vor 1850: Eine Auswertung alter Quellen und Karten (Munich: OldenbourgIndustrieverlag, 2000). Schmidt included maps as additional source material, mainly to document technical measures of protection against high waters taken in the eighteenth century. His work is compromised by inconsistencies in his citations, and he doesn’t discuss the principal problems of using older collections of source material published by nonhistorians. Wendy T. Bell and Astrid E. J. Ogilvie have pointed to weaknesses in such sources, including some in Weikinn’s collections, in their essay “Weather Compilations as a Source of Data for the Reconstruction of European Climate during the Medieval Period,” Climatic Change 1 (1978): 331–48. Edith Ennen states that the Rhine overflowed its banks eighty-seven times during the winters between 1255 and 1988 in her essay “Eisgang und Hochwasser von 1784 am Niederrhein,” in Stadtzerstörung und Wiederaufbau: Vol. 1: Zerstörung durch Erdbeben, Feuer und Wasser, Martin Körner, ed. (Bern: Haupt, 1999), 303–8, esp. 305; but she offers no documentation for this claim. Flooding on the upper

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Rhine was exacerbated after the river’s degradation in the nineteenth century; see Marc Cioc, The Rhine: An Eco-Biography, 1815–2000. The Life Cycle of a European River (Seattle: The University of Washington Press, 2002), chapter 1. A good survey of river floods in Germany is given in Glaser, Klimageschichte Mitteleuropas, 192–208. 23. On the Elbe floods and flood management between 1784 and 1845, see Guido N. Poliwoda, Aus Katastrophen lernen: Sachsen im Kampf gegen die Fluten der Elbe 1784 bis 1845 (Cologne, Germany: Böhlau, 2007). 24. See Bernd Herrmann, “Nun blüht es von End’ zu End’ all überall”: Die Eindeichung des Nieder-Oderbruchs 1747–1753 (Münster: Waxmann, 1997), 68–75 and 151–54. 25. For a survey of river floods in the year 1784, see Schmidt, Hochwasser und Hochwasserschutz, 258–63; Glaser, Klimageschichte Mitteleuropas, 205–8. Regional studies are: Ennen, “Eisgang und Hochwasser von 1784 am Niederrhein”; Rüdiger Glaser, “Die Überschwemmungskatastrophe im Maintal: Eine Chronologie ihrer witterungsklimatischen Voraussetzungen und Auswirkungen,” in Die Erde 121 (1990): 1–14; and Poliwoda, Aus Katastrophen lernen, 59–84. 26. For a statistical survey of heavy storms and storm floods at the Baltic Sea coast, see Glaser, Klimageschichte Mitteleuropas, 189–92. 27. Matthias Boetii [i.e., Boysen], De Cataclysmo Norstrandico Commentariorum Libri Tres, Otto Hartz, ed. (Neumünster: Wachholtz, 1940), 6–9. The Latin text first appeared in 1623. 28. Kay Peter Jankrift, Brände, Stürme, Hungersnöte. Katastrophen in der mittelalterlichen Lebenswelt (Ostfildern: Thorbecke, 2003), 43–45. For a chronological catalogue of great storms reported in the North Sea 1509–1990, see Hubert Lamb, Historic Storms of the North Sea, British Isles and Northwest Europe (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press, 1991), 35–194. 29. Much has been written on the 1962 flood, though little of it by historians. The two most recent articles are Dieter Schott, “One City—Three Catastrophes: Hamburg from the Great Fire of 1842 to the Great Flood of 1962,” in Massard-Guilbaud et al, eds., Cities and Catastrophes/Villes et catastrophes, 185–204; and Jens Ivo Engels, “Vom Subjekt zum Objekt. Naturbild und Naturkatastrophen in der Geschichte der Bundesrepublik Deutschland,” in Groh et al., eds., Naturkatastrophen, 119–42. On the Nordstrand Flood, two publications must be mentioned: Andreas Reinhardt, ed., “Die erschreckliche Wasser-Fluth” 1634: Die Flut vom 11. Oktober 1634 und ihre Folgen nach zeitgenössichen Berichten und Dokumenten mit einer Darstellung über den Einfluss der Sturmfluten auf die historische Entwicklung des nordfriesischen Küstenraumes (Husum: Husum Druck- und Verlagsgesellschaft, 1984); and Boy Hinrichs et al., Flutkatastrophe 1634: Natur, Geschichte, Dichtung, second ed. (Neumünster: Wachholtz, 1991). On the Christmas Flood, see Jakubowski-Tiessen, Sturmflut 1717. 30. See Friedrich Arends, Physische Geschichte der Nordsee-Küste und deren Veränderungen durch Sturmfluten seit der Cymbrischen Fluth bis jetzt,

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two vols. (1833; Leer: Schuster, 1974), 2:20; Arends also mentions a famine in 1338. 31. Floods happened to occur on All Saints’ Day (November 1) in 1436, 1532, and 1570. Such a coincidence could not be ignored in early modern Christian societies and was memorialized in a rhyming proverb of the region: “Allerheiligendag Vrisland veel beklagen mag” (On All Saints’ Day Frisia might have to lament). See Marcus Petersen and Hans Rohde, eds., Sturmflut: Die großen Fluten an den Küsten Schleswig-Holsteins und in der Elbe, third ed. (Neumünster: Wachholtz, 1991), 46. 32. Petersen and Rohde, eds., Sturmflut, 44–45. 33. Norbert Fischer, Wassersnot und Marschengesellschaft: Zur Geschichte der Deiche in Kehdingen (Stade: Landschaftsverb. der Ehemaligen Herzogtümer Bremen und Verden, 2003), 72. 34. Simon Schama, The Embarrassment of Riches: An Interpretation of Dutch Culture in the Golden Age (London: Collins, 1987), 59. Fischer has picked up the term from Schama to apply it to the German North Sea coast (Wassersnot, 6). Michael Kempe speaks of an “amphibian society” in “‘Mind the Next Flood!’ Memories of Natural Disasters in Northern Germany from the Sixteenth Century to the Present,” in The Medieval History Journal 10 (2007): 327–54. 35. Hans Joachim Kühn, Die Anfänge des Deichbaus in Schleswig-Holstein (Heide: Westholsteinische Verlagsanstalt Boyens, 1992), 26. 36. Kühn, Anfänge des Deichbaus, 11 and 51. 37. Fischer, Wassersnot, 45. 38. Kühn, Anfänge des Deichbaus, 54. 39. Petersen and Rohde, Sturmflut, 147. 40. An excellent survey of typical quarrels about dikes is given in part 2 of Marie Luisa Allemeyer’s study “Kein Land ohne Deich . . . !” Lebenswelten einer Küstengesellschaft in der Frühen Neuzeit (Göttingen: Vandenhoeck & Ruprecht, 2006). 41. A good collection of articles on the wide spectrum of related themes is Sally Falk More, ed., Law and Anthropology: A Reader (Oxford: Blackwell, 2005). 42. Kühn, Anfänge des Deichbaus, 83. An easily accessible edition is Eike von Repgow, Der Sachsenspiegel, Clausdieter Schott, ed. (Zürich: Manesse, 1996). 43. Julius von Gierke, Die Geschichte des deutschen Deichrechts, two vols. (Breslau: M. & H. Marcus, 1901–1917), 1:243. Gierke’s book is still the most detailed survey on the history of German and Dutch dike law into the sixteenth century. There is nothing equivalent for the following centuries. Hermann Djuren, Das Deichrecht im Lande Wursten seit Einführung der Generalkommunion (1661) (Hildesheim: Kommissionsverlag A. Lax, 1963) starts in the seventeenth century but is regionally limited. Allemeyer gives a short survey of dike law in North Frisia and further references; see “Kein Land ohne Deich . . . !,” 82–84. 44. Max Pappenheim, Die Siebenhardenbeliebung vom 17. Juni 1426. Festschrift zur Fünfhundertjahrfeier auf Veranlassung des Vorbereitenden Aus-

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schusses (Flensburg: Verlag des Kunstgewerbemuseums, 1926); Kühn, Anfänge des Deichbaus, 83. 45. See Gierke, Die Geschichte des deutschen Deichrechts, 1:45. 46. Kühn, Anfänge des Deichbaus, 90. 47. Fischer, Wassersnot, 78–82. 48. Petersen and Rohde, Sturmflut, 149. 49. Petersen and Rohde, Sturmflut, 150. 50. See Allemeyer, “Kein Land ohne Deich . . . !,” 154–56. 51. For a valuable synthesis of comparative historical study on the development of state power in Europe, see Wolfgang Reinhard, Geschichte der Staatsgewalt: Eine vergleichende Verfassungsgeschichte Europas von den Anfängen bis zur Gegenwart (Munich: Beck, 1999). Reinhard focuses on institutional structures without suggesting the role of the brief but numerous social emergencies, including disasters, that have often driven legislation and are likely to have contributed to nation-building in many ways. The same is true for the book series on The Origins of the Modern State in Europe, 13th to 18th Centuries, ed. Wim Blockmans et al., seven vols. (Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1995–2001). Paul Warde, Ecology, Economy and State Formation in Early Modern Germany (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2006), underlines the importance of environmental history in the context of state formation. David Blackbourn, The Conquest of Nature: Water, Landscape and the Making of Modern Germany (New York: W. W. Norton, 2006) has also paralleled ecology and the political history of Germany, as has Cioc, The Rhine, who speaks of the river’s “political ecology” (23). 52. On state failure, see Robert I. Rotberg, ed., State Failure and State Weakness in a Time of Terror (Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution Press, 2003); and Robert I. Rotberg, ed., When States Fail: Causes and Consequences (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 2004). Though contributions to these books sometimes point to natural disasters in passing, most exemplify the current constrictions of post-9/11 approaches to state failure as preferred by (mainly) political scientists. They are guided by a concept of state security that excludes all aspects of the relationship between humans and the natural environment. The discussion does not take into account social and geographical studies on vulnerability and risk. One recent example of an almost deterministic view of the impact of climatic change on high cultures is Richardson Benedict Gill’s The Great Maya Droughts: Water, Life, and Death (Albuquerque: University of New Mexico Press, 2000). Archaeologists have only lately adopted more complex approaches that highlight disasters as catalysts of cultural change. See Robin Torrance and John Grattan, eds., Natural Disasters and Cultural Change (New York: Routledge, 2002). 53. Greg Bankoff justly speaks of a “fixation with the destructive qualities” of disasters in his essay “Vulnerability as a Measure of Change in Society,” International Journal of Mass Emergencies and Disasters 21 (2003): 5–30, esp. 12. 54. For a programmatic explanation of this concept, see Rolf Peter Sieferle, Der Europäische Sonderweg: Ursachen und Faktoren (Stuttgart: BreuningerStiftung, 2003).

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55. Three articles by Martin Dinges must be mentioned in this context: “Pest und Staat,” in Martin Dinges and Thomas Schlich, eds., Neue Wege in der Seuchengeschichte (Stuttgart: Steiner, 1995), 71–103; “Süd-Nord-Gefälle in der Pestbekämpfung. Italien, Deutschland und England im Vergleich,” in Das europäische Gesundheitssystem: Gemeinsamkeiten und Unterschiede in historischer Perspektive, Robert Jütte and Wolfgang Uwe Eckart, eds. (Stuttgart: Steiner, 1994), 19–51; and “Pest und Politik in der europäischen Neuzeit,” in Pest, Geschichte eines Menschheitstraumas, Mischa Meier, ed. (Stuttgart: Klett-Cotta, 2005), 283–313 and 440–50. For a short synthesis, see Franz Mauelshagen, “Pestepidemien im Europa der Frühen Neuzeit (1500– 1800),” in Meier, ed., Pest, 237–65 and 432–34, esp. 259–61. 56. See, for example, Johannes Burkhard, Der Dreißigjährige Krieg (Frankfurt: Suhrkamp, 1992). 57. Friedrich Meinecke, Die deutsche Katastrophe. Betrachtungen und Erinnerungen (Zurich: Aero, 1946). 58. Christoph Kleßmann, Die doppelte Staatsgründung. Deutsche Geschichte 1945–1955, fifth ed. (Bonn: Vandenhoeck & Ruprecht, 1991). 59. The term is used by Christian Pfister, “Naturkatastrophen als nationale Mobilisierungsereignisse in der Schweiz des 19. Jahrhunderts,” in Groh et al., eds., Naturkatastrophen, 283–97. See also Christian Pfister, “Von Goldau nach Gondo: Naturkatastrophen als identitätsstiftende Ereignisse in der Schweiz des 19. Jahrhunderts,” in Katastrophen und ihre Bewältigung: Perspektiven und Positionen, Christian Pfister and Stephanie Summermatter, eds. (Bern, Switzerland: Haupt, 2004), 53–78. 60. See Martin Döring, “‘Das Hochwasser wirkt als prima Bindemittel’: Die metaphorisch mediale Konstruktion eines wiedervereinigten Deutschlands in Zeiten der Oderflut 1997,” in Groh et al., eds., Naturkatastrophen, 299–325. 61. See Stefan Kramer, “Kultur der Katastrophen und die Katastrophen der Kultur: Die chinesische Fernsehdokumentation Juesheng,” in Groh et al., eds., Naturkatastrophen, 327–44. 62. See Jakubowski-Tiessen, “Gotteszorn und Meereswüten: Deutungen von Sturmfluten vom 16. bis 19. Jahrhundert,” in Groh et al., Naturkatastrophen, 101–18. 63. Jakubowski-Tiessen, “Gotteszorn und Meereswüten,” 101, 116, and 118. 64. See Andreas Gestrich, “Religion in der Hungerkrise von 1816/1817,” in Jakubowski-Tiessen and Lehmann, eds., Um Himmels Willen, 275–293. 65. Criticizing an earlier article by Raingard Eßer (“‘Ein sonderlich und erschröcklich Wasserflut’: Desaster-Management in der Frühen Neuzeit,” in “Erfahrung” als Kategorie der Frühneuzeitgeschichte, Paul Münch, ed. [Munich: Oldenbourg, 2001], 217–27), Manfred Jakubowski-Tiessen has proved that it was a misinterpretation to attribute a purely naturalist view to dike constructor Adrian Leeghwater, who, when blamed for dikes breaking in 1634, defended himself by stating that the powers of a Lord willing to punish human sins were invincible (“‘Erschreckliche und unerwartete Wasserflut’: Wahrnehmung und Deutung der Flutkatastrophe von 1634,” in JakubowskiTiessen and Lehmann, eds., Um Himmels Willen, 179–200, esp. 193). The case

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of Leeghwater offers an example of how religious views could be welcomed when technical experts sought to be exonerated from failure. 66. For examples, see Jakubowski-Tiessen, Sturmflut 1717, 86; “Gotteszorn und Meereswüten,” 105; and “‘Erschreckliche und unerwartete Wasserflut,’” 189. 67. For religious ideas and debates on preventive measures against the plague, see Mauelshagen, “Pestepidemien im Europa der Frühen Neuzeit (1500–1800),” 245–52 and 259–61. Marie Luisa Allemeyer gives similar evidence for the case of city fires in her essay “‘Daß es wohl recht ein Feuer vom Herrn zu nennen gewesen . . .’ Zur Wahrnehmung, Deutung und Verarbeitung von Stadtbränden in norddeutschen Schriften des 17. Jahrhunderts” in Jakubowski-Tiessen and Lehmann, eds., Um Himmels Willen, 201–34. 68. See my criticism of Wolfgang Behringer’s analysis of the 1570 subsistence crisis in a review of Jakubowski-Tiessen and Lehmann, eds., Um Himmels Willen, in Historische Literatur 2, no. 2 (2004): 10–4. 69. Hillard von Thiessen, Die Kapuziner zwischen Konfessionalisierung und Alltagskultur: Vergleichende Fallstudie am Beispiel Freiburgs und Hildesheims 1599–1750 (Freiburg im Breisgau: Rombach, 2002), 97 and 126. The idea was based on Peter Blickle’s book Gemeindereformation: Die Menschen des 16. Jahrhunderts auf dem Weg zum Heil (Munich: Oldenbourg, 1987). Blickle then developed the concept of early modern Kommunalismus (communalism): Peter Blickle, Kommunalismus. Skizzen einer gesellschaftlichen Organisationsform, two vols. (Munich: Oldenbourg, 2000). 70. Examples for the polemical use of disasters in confessional discourse are given in Mauelshagen, “Pestepidemien im Europa der Frühen Neuzeit (1500–1800),” 246–47. Pietists attached spiritual significance to the coincidence of a major flood in 1717 with the second centenary of the Reformation; see Jakubowski-Tiessen, Sturmflut 1717, 87–88. 71. Today, such patterns are more visible in U.S. media than in Central Europe. In a Gallup poll after the 1993 Mississippi flood 18 percent agreed to the statement that the recent floods in the Midwest were “an indication of God’s judgment on the people of the United States for their sinful ways.” See Ted Steinberg, Acts of God: The Unnatural History of Natural Disaster in America (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2000), xxi. 72. For example, Fischer, Wassersnot, 14; Kühn, Die Anfänge des Deichbaus, 53; and numerous others. 73. The early modern metaphysics of disaster were based on theologies of retribution; see chapter 1 in Franz Mauelshagen, Wunderkammer auf Papier: Die “Wickiana” zwischen Reformation und Volksglaube (forthcoming). 74. In some cases the distinction between (popular) religion and magic was all but lost; see von Thiessen’s excellent analysis in Die Kapuziner zwischen Konfessionalisierung und Alltagskultur, 411–49. 75. For the concept of cultural memory, see Jan Assmann, Das kulturelle Gedächtnis: Schrift, Erinnerung und politische Identität in frühen Hochkulturen (Munich: Beck, 1992); and Jan Assmann, Religion und kulturelles Gedächtnis (Munich: Beck, 2000), 11–44.

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76. The importance of religion for perceptions and experiences of disaster in early modern Europe is also discussed in the disaster section of Münch, ed., “Erfahrung” als Kategorie der Frühneuzeitgeschichte, 211–59. 77. See, for example, the title of a pamphlet written by Georg Goetze and Georg Heinrich Celius: Cataclysmus Thuringiacus, vulgo Die Thüringische Sündfluth (Jena, 1690). The name “Thuringian Deluge” occurs as early as 1613 in a text by Abraham Lange titled Zwo Wetterpredigten/Auß dem 18. Psalm deß Königklichen Propheten Davids. . . . Bey Gelegenheit deß schrecklichen Ungewitters und der Thüringischen Sündflut . . . Gehalten (Jena, 1613). 78. For examples, see Jakubowski-Tiessen, “Gotteszorn und Meereswüten,” 109. 79. A database search of press reports has yielded almost a hundred examples, including the following headlines: “Die zweite sächsische Sintflut,” Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, August 16, 2002; “Die Sächsische Sintflut,” Deutsche Presse-Agentur, August 16, 2002 (with reference to the “First Saxonian Deluge” in 1845); “Nach der Sächsischen Sintflut,” Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, August 29, 2002 (stating that the 2002 flood disaster will be remembered as “Saxonian Deluge”); “Sintflut—Ein Jahr danach: Sachsen hat die meisten Spuren beseitigt. Nur die Erinnerung an die Katastrophe ist noch nicht verebbt,” Hamburger Abendblatt, July 31, 2003. 80. “Lehren aus der Sintflut,” Stern, August 22, 2002, 3. 81. Hans-Christoph Plümer, “Von göttlichem Zorn keine Spur,” in Hamburger Abendblatt, September 12, 2002. 82. Except for Boysen’s short record there are four written versions of the story, reprinted in Hans-Herbert Henningsen, Rungholt: Der Weg in die Katastrophe. Aufstieg, Blütezeit und Untergang eines bedeutenden mittelalterlichen Ortes in Nordfriesland, two vols. (Husum: Husum Druck- und Verlagsgesellschaft, 1998 and 2000), 1:14 and 137–38. 83. See Boysen, De Cataclysmo Norstrandico, 67. 84. See Hans Peter Duerr, Gänge und Untergänge. Essays und Interviews (Frankfurt am Main: Suhrkamp, 1999), 28–50 (“Reichsteins Rungholt”), 60–61 (“Die Suche nach Rungholt und die schleswig-holsteinische Presse”), 62–80 (“Rungholts Untergang: Ein Zwischenbericht”); the most complete study of the subject is Hans Peter Duerr’s Rungholt: Die Suche nach einer versunkenen Stadt (Frankfurt am Main/Leipzig: Insel-Verlag, 2005). 85. See Henningsen, Rungholt, 1:12, quoting Carl Woebcken, Das Land der Friesen und seine Geschichte (Oldenburg: Schulze, 1932), 283. 86. See Engels, “Vom Subjekt zum Objekt.” 87. Kurt Imhof operates on the assumption that, in the process of secularization, catastrophes lose their external character (“außerweltlichen Charakter”); see his essay “Katastrophenkommunikation in der Moderne,” in Pfister and Summermatter, eds., Katastrophen und ihre Bewältigung, 145–63, esp. 147).

3

Summer Frost A Natural Hazard with Fatal Consequences in Preindustrial Finland Timo Myllyntaus

Finland is a country with four distinct seasons. Temperate green summers offer a pleasant counterbalance to brisk white winters. The Gulf Stream and North Atlantic Drift provide this variable and habitable climate, although nearly a quarter of Finland’s territory lies north of the Arctic Circle and Helsinki is the second northernmost capital after Reykjavik. The Barents Sea and the Siberian tundra separate Finland from the Pacific Ocean, and that vast landmass exerts a continental influence on the Finnish climate. Snow covers the country at least three months of the year. The Finns are accustomed to cold, snow, and ice during wintertime. For example, a temperature of –30 degrees Celsius (–22 degrees Fahrenheit), as the Finns have had during the past few winters, does not mean a catastrophe. There are, however, limits to resisting cold. While people can survive extended periods of bitter cold, nature cannot. Because Finland is situated at the northernmost edge of the boreal (or subarctic) zone, where forests can exist and crops can be cultivated, the growing season is the shortest possible in what are considered normal years. In such extreme circumstances, even mild weather disturbances may seriously damage harvests. Historically such disturbances occurred fairly often. Coming at a critical point in the agricultural cycle, summer frost has traditionally been the most dreaded environmental hazard for the Finns. One frosty night can destroy the entire harvest. In southern and

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central Finland, May through early June and the last week of August to about September 6 (that is, planting time and harvest) have tended to be the periods of highest risk. During harvest time, atmospheric pressure frequently rises and heat evaporates from the soil very rapidly overnight.1 Despite its potentially severe consequences for human communities, night frost is a natural phenomenon that seldom has any decisive, long-term impact on Nordic ecosystems. It is interesting that the Finnish term for summer frost—kesähalla—does not sound as frightful as its English counterpart, killing frost. On September 3, 1867, night frost struck in eastern Finland.2 The following night the temperature fell below zero degrees Celsius (0oC) throughout the country, and the next two nights were also icy cold.3 Nearly green spikes of barley became covered with white frost or ice. That frost devastated the last hope of the Finns, who had already endured hard times for several months. The preceding spring had been exceptionally cold. In May ice had still covered the northern part of the Gulf of Bothnia, making it possible to cross the Baltic Sea from Vaasa to Umeå in Sweden by means of horse-drawn sledges. Ice melted from Lake Pielinen only on June 23, six weeks later than usual. In the nineteenth century, snow and frozen earth generally melted in central Finland by early May, and after that farmers could begin to prepare the soil for cultivation. In contrast, plowing and sowing were impossible in 1867 until early June. People hoped then that the summer would be warm and last until September. Instead the night frosts came early. Temperatures in September were below average, and a premature winter followed.4 Because the country had already consumed its regular reserves, the abnormal spring and summer in 1867 led to a catastrophe. The sequence of several poor harvests and a simultaneous economic crisis in the 1860s precipitated a famine in Finland that became the last severe peacetime subsistence crisis in Western Europe. Between 1866 and 1868, roughly every twelfth Finn died of malnutrition and related diseases or distress. The Irish famine historian Cormac Ó Gráda has compared the Finnish case to three other major European calamities: famine in France between 1693 and 1694, the “Big Winter” there from 1708 to 1709, and the Great Famine of Ireland from 1846 through 1852. All of these crises began with weather- or fungus-induced crop failures that resulted in a tremendous drop in annual harvests and a corresponding rise in food prices.5 Even more striking is the fact that a long series of Finnish famines is practically unknown among historians in other countries. This series includes dozens of crop failures, listed in table 3.1, and at least

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one Finnish famine clearly surpasses the Great Irish Famine in terms of both loss of life and enduring social effects. In this chapter I will examine this neglected part of European history in order to analyze how an intangible, silent natural phenomenon of such short duration could cause such a severe calamity in a society long accustomed to coping with subarctic weather patterns.

FREQUENCY OF CROP FAILURES Famine typically causes ancillary problems such as widespread malnutrition, the use of surrogate foodstuffs, chronic digestive disturbances, infectious diseases, miscarriages, and above-average death rates.6 Social disruption also frequently characterizes famine periods. Unemployment rises, poverty expands and deepens, and vagrancy becomes common as people leave their homes in search of work and food. Occasionally, famines have prompted crime waves, riots, or mass migration.7 In southern and central Europe, weather became an object of systematic study in the late seventeenth and early eighteenth centuries, when various devices with which to measure meteorological events were introduced and daily weather records started to be kept.8 This kind of activity, which was stimulated by the Enlightenment, eventually became common in the Nordic countries. In the Baltic region, the systematic documentation of weather observations began in Uppsala, Sweden, in 1739 and, a few years later, in Turku/Åbo, St. Petersburg, and Stockholm as well. Of those early observations, the time series compiled by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences in Stockholm are the most comprehensive. They include statistics on temperature, rainfall, and other meteorological phenomena from the mid-eighteenth century to the present.9 In Swedish and Finnish history the Enlightenment included the so-called Age of Utility (approximately 1719–1772), an era that emphasized the search for economic applications of the sciences and knowledge in general. Any scientific device, system, or principle that could be profitably utilized was highly valued.10 The sciences were expected to provide quick economic benefits. Practical knowledge was appreciated, and it was not long before the techniques of observing and measuring nature as well as keeping weather and agricultural diaries diffused from universities to wider circles of society. Landlords and clergymen began to record daily weather observations, such as sowing times and quantities, harvest dates and yields, in their personal

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diaries. Some of these diaries covered several decades. In addition to practical domestic purposes, many of the diaries aimed at higher objectives. For example, a Finnish landlord named Herman Mjödh, whose statistics cover the period from 1782 to 1801, attempted to test some current hypotheses on climatic regularities. Mjödh aimed to prove statistically the assertion made by experienced farmers that each decade invariably contains two abundant crops, five moderate crops, two poor crops, and one failure.11 In 1785 similar estimates of the frequency of crop failures were made at the university of Turku/Åbo by Pehr Adrian Gadd, a chemistry professor who calculated that the eighteenth century had seen, on average, two severe crop failures per decade, and the harvests in three other years of the same ten-year period were barely enough to feed the population.12 At present it is possible to compile more comprehensive statistics on crop failures in the past, although the reliability of some source materials remains in doubt. These later figures, such as those given in table 3.1, confirm that crop failures occurred with the approximate frequency estimated by Gadd. In a 630-year period from 1300 to 1930, at least 110 major crop failures occurred—that is, an average of 1.7 failures per decade. During the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries, however, the number of crop failures rose to between 3.0 and 3.3 per decade. Consequently, at least part of the population faced a famine every third year during those two centuries. By contrast, weather conditions were much more favorable in the fourteenth and twentieth centuries, which experienced only two or three peacetime crop failures. In the thirteenth century the European climate began to get colder from east to west. Simultaneously, summers became wetter. In northcentral Europe and the British Isles torrential rains and floods caused a famine between 1315 and 1322 that turned out to be the severest of the medieval period. Historians regard this Great Famine as one of the most catastrophic subsistence crises ever to strike northern Europe. For centuries afterward it haunted the minds of Europeans, who recalled tales of widespread starvation, violent social conflicts, tax revolts, ruthless crimes, epidemic diseases, and terribly high mortality. It is assumed that in northern Scotland and large parts of the Nordic countries the famine was less severe. In Finland, as in central Europe, famine was recorded in only one of these years, 1315.13 However, extremely harsh winters were commonplace. It has been claimed that the Baltic Sea was completely ice-bound in the years 1296, 1306, 1323, 1408, 1423, 1426, and 1460.14 Known as the Little Ice Age, this period

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of cooler temperatures on the European continent north of the Alps lasted from about 1300 to about 1850.15 At the beginning of the sixteenth century, climatic conditions worsened from the viewpoint of agriculture. Information on crop failures is fragmentary. For example, Finnish sources do not confirm the main cause for crop failures in every case. The available data does, however, indicate that frost was probably the most frequent and most undetectable reason for crop failures. The second most common hazard was rain, and drought ranked third. Frost was the predominant nuisance in the seventeenth and nineteenth centuries. In contrast, torrential rains and droughts troubled the eighteenth century far more than frost. Poor weather in early modern times was not attributed to random factors but to a climatic change that took place around the middle of the sixteenth century. Especially northern Europe suffered from chilly, rainy summers and cold winters until the mid-nineteenth century, when the turn to a warmer climate began. The crop failures mentioned in table 3.1 afflicted not only the countries that rimmed the Baltic Sea but also countries to the south. While crop failures also occurred in other countries, the weather-induced misfortunes in these nations cannot compare with the severity of winters and the hazards of summers in Finland, where from 1550 to 1868 the climate was most unfavorable for growing grain.

MAJOR FAMINES A mild period that began about 1460 ended in the mid-sixteenth century, and during the next hundred years the climate was mainly continental throughout almost the entire temperate zone of Europe. Winters were chilly and windy, snow cover was thick, and glaciers began to advance. By the mid-seventeenth century the glaciers reached their widest spread in both Iceland and the Alps.16 Climate historians have estimated that in the Nordic countries average temperatures during the years from 1560 to 1600 were 1.5 degrees lower than temperatures from 1880 to 1930.17 The Little Ice Age had reached its climax.18 Throughout this coldest era (1560–1600), climatic disturbances tended to be regional and the worst were usually limited to northern Europe.19 However, two extraordinarily cold decades from 1590 to 1610 seem to have taken place with synchronized cycles on the hemispheric and even global scale.20 In Finland, summer frosts began to occur more frequently from the very beginning of the seventeenth century. In the late 1650s, har-

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vests in four separate years were damaged by night frosts. However, the misfortune was even worse in the 1690s, when frost-induced crop failures took place nearly every second year. The Late Maunder Minimum (LMM) from 1675 to 1715 was one of the harshest periods in the recent history of climate in northern and central Europe. Throughout Europe north of the Alps a long, cold, dry winter in 1695 was followed by a chilly, wet summer when it snowed in June as far south as Lemberg (present-day Lvov) at latitude 50o N.21 In Finland, grain fields were sown in late June—that is, more than a month later than usual—and in August, night frosts destroyed the half-ripe rye. The year 1696 was also exceptional. Lakes thawed as early as February in some places, and in Stockholm grass was already growing long when a cold spell suddenly occurred in March. Lakes froze over again and the tender seedlings of a new crop were devastated. A second crop, sown after the cold spell ended, had not yet ripened by the time severe night frosts began on August 7. Famine broke out in several countries around the Baltic. Starving people ate cats and dogs, and there were even a few incidents of cannibalism. As a result of poor harvests in three successive years—1694, 1695, and 1696—mortality in Finland from 1696 through 1697 exceeded the normal rate by roughly 117,000; roughly 23 percent of the total population—which, including the Käkisalmi province, was approximately a half million people—died during this two-year period.22 In relative terms, this subsistence crisis was the worst in Finnish history, and it took nearly six decades for the country to regain its precrisis population.23 In 1700, long before the kingdom had had time to recover from this catastrophic crisis, the Northern War broke out between Sweden and Russia. Misery worsened when frequent rains ruined harvests from 1704 through 1708. The last of these years was the worst. Wet, unfavorable weather damaged the autumn sowing and night frost destroyed the spring sowing. The Big Winter of 1708–1709 was bitterly cold throughout Europe, making the lives of people who were already starving even worse. It was the severest winter of the past five centuries (1500–2008).24 The Finnish winter of 1740 was cold, and it was followed by the coldest spring and summer of the eighteenth century; in fact, the spring of that year was the coldest of the past five hundred years in all of Europe.25 For a period of twenty-one months from December 1739 to September 1741, bizarre climatic conditions prevailed across the European continent, causing what became known in the British Isles as the Great Frost, which is claimed to have turned Ireland into an Arctic country.26

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Table 3.1: Major Crop Failures in Finland, 1500–1899 1500–1599

1600–1699

1527 1529 1542 1543 1544* 1545 1551 1570 1571 1580 1587 1589 1595 1596 1597 1598

Centenary total (96) ÿ ÿ ÿ

Failures mainly owing to Frost * (21) Failures mainly owing to Rain ø (15) Failures mainly owing to Drought (14)

1700–1799

1600* 1601* 1609 1620 1630 1631 1632 1633ø 1634 1635* 1638 1644 1649 1650 1655 1656* 1657* 1669* 1670* 1672ø 1673ø 1674ø 1675 1676 1678 1685 1687 1688 1689 1692* 1694* 1695ø* 1696*

1800–1899

1704ø 1705ø 1706ø 1707ø 1708ø 1722 1726 1734 1740* 1749 1751 1752 1754ø 1755ø 1757 1762 1763 1766 1769 1770 1771 1772 1774 1776 1783 1784 1785 1790 1791 1797

1808* 1812 1821ø 1831 1832* 1835* 1844ø 1853 1855 1856ø 1857* 1862* 1867* 1878 1892* 1893* 1899

16

33

30

17

1

11

1

8

5

7

3

7

3

4

The absence of a symbol indicates that the cause of the crop failure in that year is unknown. Sources: K. R. Melander and Gustaf Melander, “Katovuosista Suomessa,” Oma maa 5 (Porvoo: WSOY, 1924), 350–59; Jaakko Keränen, Kasvukauden säiden ja vuodentulon keskinäisestä riippuvaisuudesta maassamme vuosina 1921–1928 (Helsinki: Taloudellinen neuvottelukunta, 1931); Gustaf Utterström, “Climatic Fluctuations and Population Problems in Early Modern History,” Scandinavian Economic History Review 3, no. 1 (1955): 3–47.

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Nineteenth-century Finland experienced several serious crop failures, although the climate was warming up. Nevertheless, unfavorable weather events occurred at least once in every thirty-year period, and poor harvests in consecutive years led inevitably to national subsistence crises. The first meager harvest of the century took place in several provinces in 1807. The reduction of nutrition level was reflected as a clear rise in the death rate of adults just a few months later. The situation worsened the next year, when frost damaged crops in northern Finland. In the same year, 1808, war broke out between Sweden and Russia, and as enemy troops began to invade parts of the country, the food supply came under exceptional pressure. The transportation of grain and flour from Russia helped avoid a crisis in the winter of 1808–1809. Nevertheless, the Swedish army could not defend Finland, which in 1809 was annexed to the Russian empire as an autonomous grand duchy.27 Another period of miseries occurred in Finland in the early 1830s. Every year from 1829 through 1832 there were poor harvests, some of which were frost-induced. When a summer frost severely damaged the growing grain in 1832, several provinces were hit by a total crop failure. Soon thereafter, mortality began to rise. It peaked in March 1833, when the number of deaths exceeded the average rate by a factor of four.28 In the same period, cholera entered the country for the first time, but the death toll from this feared disease was negligible by comparison.29 Simultaneous economic stagnation and successive meager harvests contributed to an acute subsistence crisis in the first half of the decade, particularly in northern and eastern Finland. The brisk population increase of the entire grand duchy turned to a clear decrease with abnormally high mortality in 1833.30 The Crimean War (1853–1856) was followed by another crop failure in the northern provinces in summer 1856, but the famine it precipitated was less severe because farmers had some surplus grain in their storehouses.31 Nevertheless, only the southernmost regions of the grand duchy were able to adequately feed their populations. In 1857 a summer frost ruined the rye crop in the central regions from Ostrobothnia to the eastern border. Because of successive poor harvests, the grain reserves of all provinces were gone by the spring of 1858. Insufficient food production, dire poverty, and almost chronic nutritional stress elevated mortality rates in the spring of 1855, 1856, 1857, and 1858. However, the peak in the death rate during that period occurred in early autumn 1857. Epidemics of such diseases as consumption, malaria, and measles increased the mortality among children and the elderly.32

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The next decade again started with harsh weather, and the crop failure of 1862 is attributed to frost. The summer of 1866 produced a very bad harvest, which resulted in depletion of grain reserves, especially in rural areas. Snow cover during the winter of 1866–1867 was extraordinarily thick, and that spring was unusually cold. In Helsinki the mean temperature in May of 1867 was only +1.8oC, seven degrees below the average temperature of +8.8oC for May during the mid-nineteenth century. The freezing cold weather lasted until mid-June. In St. Petersburg, that spring was the coldest of the previous 140 years. Frequent blizzards continued into late May, and floods were commonplace. Long winter and late spring not only postponed sowing but also, owing to the lack of fodder, resulted in the starvation of many cattle even though large numbers of them had already been slaughtered during the winter some months earlier. Slaughter was inevitable because there were not even surplus potatoes to feed the cattle, since a rainy August had damaged the previous year’s potato crop.33 Night frosts of September 3–6, 1867, destroyed the entire harvest in northern Finland, where the failure led to an enormous famine. The situation was worst in north-central Finland. Prior to the crop failure, rye, the staple food of the poor, accounted for more than one half of the total national grain output. The average yield ratio was only four or five to one. Because the previous years had brought bad harvests, granaries in villages were nearly empty. By Christmas, grain reserves had been consumed and crowds of paupers had begun to flow from north to south. The Finnish government began to construct a railway line from Riihimäki to St. Petersburg, a project that attracted malnourished workers from around the country with the promise of employment. As people migrated in search of food and work, they spread epidemics, and communities began to suffer not only from hunger and despair but also from disease. In spring of 1868 mortality rose steeply, being highest in the central provinces of Vaasa and Kuopio and in the remote northern province of Oulu.34 The total population declined from 1.84 million in 1865 to 1.73 million by 1868, a 6 percent drop, while the number of births fell by almost a third.35 The latter statistic reflects the seriousness of this famine, since sharp declines in the birth rate are generally considered a good indicator of malnutrition.36 The next night frost to cause an environmental crisis in Finland took place on August 31, 1892. Night frosts also occurred in the following summer, and July 15, 1893, saw the worst summer frost in a generation.37 Later summer frosts, such as those in 1902 and 1923, did not bring about any national famine, although serious local food shortages did occur. Weather conditions improved considerably in

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the 1930s, and owing to warmer and longer summers, the cultivation of wheat was expanded to the northern province of Oulu. The 1940s witnessed some harsh winters and a few droughts, but widespread weather-induced crop failures did not occur. Bad harvests were not rare in the second half of the twentieth century, but there were no major setbacks in Finland’s total agricultural output. Agricultural production was by then more diversified, exceeding domestic demand for foodstuffs and fodder; as a result, temporary bad weather could no longer trigger a crisis.

PEASANTS’ RESPONSES TO CROP FAILURES Until the early years of the twentieth century, Finland remained one of the most agrarian and poorest countries in Europe. It has been estimated that at the beginning of the 1860s, Finland’s per capita gross domestic product was about 25 percent below the European average. Many farmers were living nearly in a subsistence economy; what little surplus they produced was sold in local markets for cash that was used to pay taxes and to purchase items they themselves could not grow or manufacture. There were several reasons for their low yields. The climate was unfavorable for growing grain. Farms were small and productivity remained low. Rye was the principal crop and barley was of secondary importance. Barley could tolerate harsher climatic conditions than any other sort of grain, however, and was therefore a more widely cultivated crop in the northern provinces, such as Oulu. Oats were also widely sown, whereas wheat was produced in much smaller quantities and only in the southern parts of the country. The cultivation of potatoes increased especially in the late eighteenth and early nineteenth centuries. Replacing turnips, potatoes gradually became an important foodstuff for people and a fodder for livestock. Nevertheless, in various regions, grain output remained so modest that even in the case of an abundant crop, it did not cover local demand. In the nineteenth century grain imports, mainly from Russia, were an ongoing necessity.38 During famines, the Finns attempted to find alternative food sources. Wild berries and mushrooms were important foodstuffs in the late summer and autumn even in ordinary years, but in several summertime crises cold weather destroyed them along with agricultural crops.39 Fishing and hunting intensified, although cold weather had a negative impact on fish stocks and game as well. Only coastal regions and archipelagos could rely on fishing, and in Lapland the herds of

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reindeer leveled out climatic variations. After the crop failures the production of tar, potash, sawn timber, and handicrafts usually increased because country people tried to supplement their incomes by producing and selling those items. However, the prices for these products tended to fall as their supply increased, while the price of grain continued to rise.40 There were frequent shortages of fodder to feed livestock during the winter, and undernourished cows often stopped producing milk for several months. Bad harvests exacerbated these difficulties. When rotten fodder made animals sick, they had to be slaughtered, which meant that during famine years, meat was sometimes replaced by grain as a food source.41 For centuries, a traditional way to avoid malnutrition was to grind the inner bark of pine, known as pettu, and mix it in with grain flour or baking bread. In addition, chaff, straw, lichen, moss, bog arum, sorrel, clover, hay, roots, leaves, and pea and potato vines were used to make food; at the time similar surrogates were also used to make food elsewhere around the Baltic Sea.42 After snowfall these became harder to collect. The preparation of surrogate foodstuffs demanded special skills, and their use involved various other problems.43 Despite its bitter taste and poor digestibility, pettu remained the most popular surrogate until the 1920s; pines were available year-round and were unaffected by sudden climatic disturbances. This indicates how limited the Finns’ subsistence strategies were during serious famines.

FAMINE AND MORTALITY: STARVATION OR DISEASE? Causes of high mortality during famines have been debated for a long time. Oral tradition has reiterated that poverty and malnutrition increased the risk of death. It was often claimed that poor people used to die of “hunger,” that is, the lack of proper food compelled them to eat surrogate food, and that led to malnutrition and lowered resistance, followed by illness.44 Eating bread made from a mixture of grain and pettu or straw was especially regarded as a health hazard. It has been suggested that digestive diseases and bloody diarrhea were directly attributable to the consumption of surrogate foods.45 In international terms, Finnish population records are rich and versatile. The official national population statistics begin in the year 1749 and are generally consistent and reliable.46 Historical source materials thus provide a great deal of information on nineteenthcentury calamities such as the Great Finnish Famine of the 1860s. Some historians studying population records have noticed that, ac-

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cording to these statistics, quite few died of sheer starvation. Instead, disease was most often given as the cause of death. This observation led Oiva Turpeinen to title his doctoral thesis “Was the Killer Hunger or Disease? Years of Terror, 1866–1868,” and to argue that disease was the primary cause of the population catastrophe that occurred in these years.47 He attributes the exceptionally high mortality rates during the famine to the concomitant occurrences of crop failures, other economic misfortunes, and epidemics of lethal infectious diseases.48 An examination of the mortality statistics of the 1860s shows that deaths related to the famine resulted from various diseases, such as typhus, dysentery, and pulmonary tuberculosis, as shown in table 3.2.49 According to these figures, “starvation” caused only two thousand to four thousand deaths during the famine, while an additional ten thousand to twelve thousand, mainly children, died of “unknown” causes. In other words, this data does not expose malnutrition as a major cause of death. On the contrary, the principal culprit is the mysterious disease called “typhus,” which had no clear definition. There were three variants of this fever: typhus abdominalis or typhoid fever, also known as enteric fever; typhus exanthematicus; and epidemic louse-borne typhus. Medical officers rarely attempted to distinguish between these variants, because their symptoms were so similar. In 1868, the peak year of mortality, typhus accounted for 43 percent and dysentery for 6 percent of the total mortality among Lutherans. These two diseases were responsible for more than half of all excess deaths, which were estimated at 132,000 during the three famine years of 1866 through 1868.

Table 3.2: Total Number of Deaths and Deaths Due to Selected Causes in Finland between 1862 and 1870 According to the Population Change Tables (Lutheran Parishes) Year 1862 1863 1864 1865 1866 1867 1868 1869 1870

Total 48,639 51,556 39,914 45,743 61,894 69,774 137,720 42,474 31,071

“Typhus” 1,437 1,574 2,038 3,747 14,151 21,026 59,582 7,471 2,819

Dysentery 878 1,771 728 835 1,299 1,038 7,855 848 615

Pulmonary Smalltuberculosis pox 4,660 4,594 4,460 4,788 5,253 5,895 8,048 4,674 6,758

302 307 321 3,033 4,264 3,103 4,159 712 205

Measles

Whooping cough

2,439 4,179 852 1,215 1,327 808 2,322 727 172

3,546 7,439 2,190 1,945 2,933 3,497 3,494 1,562 1,474

Source: Kari Pitkänen, Deprivation and Disease: Mortality during the Great Finnish Famine of the 1860s (Helsinki: Finnish Demographic Society, 1993), 70.

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As already noted, starvation and diseases were not mutually exclusive causes of death. Indeed, a certain synergy or mutuality existed between these two factors. When a person had to face malnutrition and infectious disease simultaneously, their combined effects might lead to a fatal outcome. Social turmoil is the third major factor behind exceptionally high death rates, and the latest research stresses it as the predominant cause for the steep rise in famine-related mortality. Unemployment and food shortages compelled the country people, especially the landless, to leave their homes in order to find work, a place in a poorhouse, or an itinerant existence wandering from one farmhouse to another as beggars. During the worst famine from autumn 1867 to December 1868, almost one hundred thousand people abandoned their home parishes because of a subsistence crisis, and 20 to 30 percent of these vagrants never returned to their communities of origin.50 Because the crop failure of 1867 was nearly complete in the three northern provinces, the wave of migrants moved southward.51 In 1868 large numbers of vagrants, beggars, and work migrants began to arrive in several municipalities. These were primarily communities where the government had set up extensive construction projects (railway, canals) to ease unemployment. Attracted by economic opportunities, people from the countryside flooded many urban centers. Similarly, parishes with poorhouses and hospitals witnessed significant influxes of migrants. These communities experienced far higher death rates than neighboring municipalities. Even on their arrival, drifters were often in poor physical condition. Poorhouses and other charitable facilities became crowded and could not provide adequate health care. As a result, sanitary circumstances deteriorated substantially, while contacts between people increased. All these factors promoted the spread of infectious diseases. Among ordinary country people in Finland, typhoid fever was endemic, whereas louse-borne typhus was obviously an epidemic disease.52 Nevertheless, the decisive role of epidemics cannot be confirmed by the data because the country was not afflicted by any other epidemic with a similar lethal impact. While the crowds of migrants transmitted diseases along their routes, they themselves suffered from extraordinarily high death rates. An educated guess of some vicars is that 20–30 percent of migrants never returned to their home parishes.53 They had to pay the high toll of the social upheaval and the shortage of foodstuffs. In the Finnish context, the relationship between famine and high mortality rates was a complex one. The three major factors—malnutrition, infectious

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diseases, and socioeconomic turmoil—ought to be regarded as interrelated causes that jointly produced the population crisis.

RESPONSES FROM THE AUTHORITIES Prior to the famines of the 1890s, responses from the authorities remained rather limited. Nor did market forces manage to ameliorate the situation. Why did crop failures so easily cause a crisis in agrarian Finnish society? First, in preindustrial Finland it was impossible to predict night frosts reliably. Even today forecasting remains a very inexact science, and weather conditions can vary dramatically within a small area. Second, because night frost caused damage throughout several provinces around the country, it was difficult for authorities to collect information and establish a comprehensive picture of the situation. When newspapers started hiring local correspondents in provinces, these reporters became the best source of information for the authorities as well as the public. Newspapers were relatively common across the country in the second half of the nineteenth century. Officially, the provincial governor was responsible for submitting reports on major events in his province to the governor general, who was the tsar’s representative in Finland. Often these reports were delayed. Provincial administrations were not very efficient in gathering news and generating reports, nor were networks of local officials capable of instant communication and quick reactions. In addition, governors in the east-central and northern provinces still relied in the 1860s on postal services to communicate with the central government in Helsinki, because telegraph lines connected only the major cities in the south. For example, Governor General Platon Rokassovski read in a newspaper on October 29, 1865, that two months earlier night frost had caused economic disruptions and migrations to Norway, while a growing number of people had become ill in northern Finland. The newspaper story prompted him to request the governor of the Oulu province to send him a report on the situation.54 Third, a delay of two months might be decisive for the transportation of emergency grain, because by November or December, ice was already beginning to cover the coastal areas of the Gulf of Bothnia.55 In preindustrial times, shipping stopped altogether when sea ice formed, and the transportation of grain in large quantities by roads was not feasible. Later, railways solved this problem.

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Fourth, not only were peasants’ granaries nearly empty in autumn 1867, but the supplies in parish granaries and government storehouses around the country were also depleted and could not provide the amount of grain needed to avert a crisis. Several bad harvests in the 1860s had nearly exhausted national reserves. The Great Famine was thus the result of a cumulative series of unfortunate events over a period of several years. Fifth, the value of the crop failure in 1867 has been estimated at forty-five million marks. This sum was three times more than the government’s expected annual revenue of sixteen million marks. Furthermore, senator Johan Vilhelm Snellman, whose rank corresponds to that of prime minister in modern Finland, claimed that by the end of the year, the government had only 1.7 million marks in cash. These figures illustrate the depth of the economic crisis. The government had neither grain nor funds to meet the people’s needs and assuage their despair.56 Sixth, the government’s last resort was to apply for a loan from abroad. It succeeded in obtaining a loan of 5.4 million Finnish marks from the German bank of M. A. von Rothschild and Söhne. Although this amount was transferred in late September 1867 entirely to the relief fund, it was too small to contribute substantially to solving the problem. Snellman later realized that he should have asked for a bigger loan.57 Seventh, in the early 1860s the Finnish government was setting up a national currency, the markka. To guarantee this reform, the central bank limited its loans to the business sector and kept the amount of money in circulation at a low level. Both these measures tended to elevate interest rates. Finally, in 1865, when the mark was tied to the silver standard, the currency was revalued by 20 percent. Consequently, tight monetary policy and the fall of prices aggravated the economic depression. Indebted businessmen were either unable or unwilling to engage in large transactions, such as massive imports of grain. A wave of bankruptcies began to rise even before the crop failure of autumn 1867.58 The government sought to alleviate the agricultural crisis by supplying edible and seed grain for the three northern provinces. Unfortunately, this measure failed in part because the administration had borrowed an insufficient amount of money from international money markets, in part because high grain prices limited acquisitions, in part because Finnish merchants were unwilling to purchase foreign grain on the senate’s terms, and in part because an early winter halted shipping.

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The government attempted to reduce unemployment in two ways. On the one hand, it launched big construction projects, including a railway line to St. Petersburg and some canals. On the other hand, it campaigned for the development of peasants’ handicrafts and small-scale industries and encouraged exportation of these products. The objective of the latter was also to earn foreign currency for grain imports. These aims were not achieved. As a result, the government saw the subsistence crisis and economic depression as inevitable. Snellman’s cynicism is apparent in his famous comment: “What is rotten may collapse!”59

LESSONS OF RECURRENT FROST AND CROP FAILURES Because frost and other weather disturbances were so frequent, one might expect the Finns to adapt their economy to the climatic conditions. They had, of course, made efforts to fight back against frost. Influenced by the theory that night frost arises from water, the Finns began to drain marshes and lakes and to clear hilltop fields. The most straightforward method was by burning bonfires around cornfields in order to cover them with smoke during cold nights. These measures could not solve the problem on a large scale, however. Peasants planted frost-resistant strains, which helps to explain the popularity of particular rye and barley varieties that were developed through experimentation over several decades to withstand night frosts. To utilize the entire growing season, farmers often sowed rye in the autumn. In spring, rye starts growing as soon as diurnal temperature rises above the freezing point. The introduction of the potato was clearly an attempt to diversify crops, but other innovations were both slow and modest until the late nineteenth century. To prepare themselves for possible crop failures, peasants routinely stored extra grain to see them through one or more growing seasons. In the 1620s the Swedish government ordered each parish to build a granary for the temporary storage of grain collected as a tax. From 1642 to the end of the century, the Swedish parliament discussed measures to set up granaries in the northern provinces and mountainous areas as a precaution against crop failures. No clear decisions were made, although the crop failures of the 1690s reanimated discussions. The authorities tried to persuade farmers to build their own, self-governed storehouses, while farmers demanded that the granaries be owned and managed by the crown. In the 1750s the opposition from farmers relaxed somewhat, and dozens of parish storehouses were set up in various parts of the country. Parish granaries were not a rule, how-

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ever, and even if a parish did have a granary, it did not always operate properly. In the late eighteenth century, these granaries were criticized for various reasons, such as a mice problem, poor storage techniques, incompetent bookkeeping, inefficiency, and unpaid loans. 60 Between 1726 and 1809 a total of 124 parish granaries were set up in the part of Finland that was under Swedish rule. On the eve of the War of Finland (1808–1809),61 there were seventy-four granaries in the Finnish part of the kingdom, while in the Swedish part across the Gulf of Bothnia there were more than eight hundred. In both parts nearly every third parish had a granary. Parishes in Finland were generally quite large, while in Sweden they were smaller and more numerous. In Sweden proper, however, parish granaries were much wealthier than those in Finland. In per capita terms, granaries in Finland typically stored enough grain for just a couple of days. During the Swedish period, parish granaries generally failed in their main tasks; nevertheless, they were an important source of relief for the poor under ordinary conditions.62 During the Russian period (1809–1917), the number of parish granaries more than doubled, and by 1850 the amount of grain they stored had grown by a factor of five in per capita terms. Despite this favorable development, these reserves were inadequate when a major famine occurred.63 In preindustrial Finland farmers often supplemented their income from agricultural crops by producing tar, saltpeter, potash, boats, ships, and various handicrafts for sale. They also cut firewood, carried freight, and supplied hewed and sawn timber. For a minority, these subsidiary occupations were crucial to their survival.64 The famine of the 1860s shook farmers’ confidence in grain as a reliable crop, and the search intensified for new cultivation methods and other means by which to earn a living. However, because grain varieties with higher frost resistance and/or a shorter growing season had not yet been developed, the same types of grain were planted even after the famine. In contrast, the cultivation of potatoes expanded after the Great Famine owing to new sorts of potato and better tilling methods, which made it less vulnerable to weather disturbances. The interest in husbandry had been on the rise since the crisis of the 1830s, and the development of dairy production accelerated considerably during the last third of the nineteenth century. By growing more hay and clover, farmers improved their capacities to feed cattle and produce more milk. Milk and butter were sold first to local customers and later exported as well. As the scale of production increased, dairies were set up and milk separators were purchased. In addition, agriculture began to be mechanized, and the rising demand from wood-processing

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industries for timber provided both income and jobs. In short, modernization was considered essential for the prevention of future weatherinduced socioeconomic crises.65

CONCLUSIONS Summer frost was a constant threat to traditional Finnish agriculture. It caused widespread damage to crops once or twice per decade on average and bad harvests even more frequently. Farmers were resigned to these setbacks because there was no realistic alternative to growing grain. Rye and barley were the staple foodstuffs and agriculture the foundation of the Finnish economy. Historians have searched in vain for the principal cause of the exceptionally high mortality in the Great Famines of the 1690s and 1860s. Unfavorable weather might account for a single crop failure, but it cannot adequately explain a long sequence of bad harvests, crop failures, and famines. It is easy to argue that those setbacks could have been avoided with extra investments in agriculture, more efficient cultivation methods, more innovative planning, and better risk management. Many claim that agricultural backwardness must be attributed to poverty and a lack of dynamism. However, a widespread subsistence economy and mercantilist economic policy did not favor reforms or encourage bold business enterprises. The lack of markets has been cited as the main reason for economic stagnation in preindustrial Finland. Small domestic markets and a low level of occupational diversification were two sides of the same coin. By the early modern period, it was clear that poor soil, adverse climatic conditions, and primitive cultivation methods handicapped Finland’s agricultural production and thus the Finnish economy as a whole. Manure was the only fertilizer and it was in short supply. Without markets for dairy products, husbandry was unprofitable, and the shortage of cash income discouraged making further investments in agriculture. As a result, subsistence farmers rarely produced much surplus grain either for storage or for the market. Most farmers could not afford the costs and risks of storing large amounts of grain, and they tended to underestimate the likelihood of famine. This may be the major reason why the system of parish granaries failed. It also explains why a series of two or three famines within a few years usually exhausted the reserves of most parishes. The vicious circle of poverty and limited economic incentives made the Finns less prepared for and more vulnerable to famine.66

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A series of bad harvests and crop failures such as the one in the 1860s compelled landowners to fire both their temporary laborers and even their regular servants. The systems of poor relief in the parishes of the most vulnerable areas could not cope with the steeply rising numbers of the unemployed. When poorhouses became overcrowded, migration and beggary were seen as the last resort. Migration promoted the spread of disease and increased mortality in the destination areas. The toll among some well-off occupational groups, such as medical doctors, was conspicuously high, but the death rate in towns still remained lower than one would expect considering the heavy concentration of migrants in these areas. Urban dwellers may have had better immunity and other ways to avoid infections.67 There were also huge social differences in the quantity and quality of nutrition. Most landowners faced difficulties in feeding their families. However, the landless agrarian proletariat suffered most. While some studies claim that women are able to withstand famines better than men, Kari Pitkänen has studied the data for several Finnish famines of the nineteenth century without finding any consistent sex differences in mortality rates.68 His results do not support hypotheses that attribute “great male vulnerability to inherent biological differences between the sexes, such as men’s inferior regulation of the immune system or their poorer capability to resist the adverse effects of food deprivation.”69 Theft rates rose during the Finnish famines of the nineteenth century, but neither in the 1830s nor in the 1860s did a mob take any action against members of the social elite or the local authorities. In contrast to Poland, no revolt broke out in Finland during those decades.70 The Irish blamed the English for Ireland’s Great Famine of the 1840s.71 In Finland ordinary people accused neither the Finnish senate nor the Russian government. Such political tranquility in the midst of national tragedy was extraordinary. Night frost, a frequent natural hazard—not the public administration—was recognized as the cause of the calamity. According to the religious interpretation, this was how God punished the sinful. Therefore the central actors in the disaster were God, nature, and the individual. The subsistence crisis was viewed as having no social origins. Large deliveries of grain to areas devastated by a crop failure had never occurred in the past and were thus not expected during the famine of the 1860s. From 1865 through 1867, climatic conditions in Finland, northern Sweden, and northwest Russia were quite similar. All three areas suffered simultaneously from economic difficulties, crop failures, rising prices of foodstuffs, and underemployment. Nevertheless, in Sweden

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and Russia death rates rose only modestly by comparison with the rate in Finland.72 Thus the calamity that took place in Finland cannot be explained by environmental factors alone. In this particular case environmental factors interacted dramatically with nutritional, epidemiological, socioeconomic, and political circumstances and influences. The Great Irish Famine went beyond the Finnish calamity of the 1860s in its intensity, duration, and long-term consequences. In Finland, approximately 130,000 thousand out of 1.8 million (7.2 percent) died prematurely, while Ireland lost one million out of 8.5 million (11.8 percent). In Finland, the acute mortality crises of three consecutive years peaked in one catastrophic year, whereas in Ireland above-average death rates continued more than four years. It took Ireland more than half a century to recover, whereas Finland regained its precrisis vigor and population within seven years. These facts may partly explain why the Irish famine is well known around the world while the Finnish famine of 1866–1868 is almost unknown outside Finland.73 The famine years of the 1860s have often been described as a turning point in Finnish history. The severe crisis actually accelerated the collapse of traditional agrarian society. In contrast to Ireland, the calamity did not prompt a huge migration from Finland, and those who survived understood the necessity of restructuring the national economy. In other words, the calamity precipitated deep structural changes in Finnish society and culture. An exceptionally brisk, export-led economic boom between 1870 and 1875 supported the recovery and discouraged a mass migration. A simultaneous rise in the birth rate quickly compensated for the famine-related population loss. In addition, the liberalization of economic policy intensified, and the rising nationalist movement fostered positive sentiments and expectations of a better future. NOTES 1. Eino Jutikkala, “Maanviljelijän talous,” in Suomen taloushistoria 1, Agraarinen Suomi, Eino Jutikkala, Yrjö Kaukiainen, and Sven-Erik Åström, eds. (Helsinki: Tammi, 1980), 171–239, esp. 198. 2. Wiborgs Tidning, 71 (September 4, 1867). 3. Åbo Underrätelser, 105 (September 5, 1867); Tampereen sanomat (September 10, 1867). 4. Ismo Björn, Enon historia 1860–1967 (Jyväskylä: Municipality and parish of Eno, 1994). 5. Cormac Ó Gráda, “Adam Smith and Amartya Sen: Markets and Famines in Pre-industrial Europe,” (2003), www.princeton.edu/rpds/seminars /pdfs/grada_smithsen.pdf (accessed December 28, 2008), 6–8 and passim.

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6. Famine “is a critical shortage of essential foodstuffs leading through hunger to starvation and a substantially increased mortality rate in a community or region” (Peter Garnsey, Famine and Food in the Graeco-Roman World. Responses to Risk and Crisis [Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press, 1988], 10); See also Dionysios Ch. Stathakopoulos, Famine and Pestilence in the Late Roman and Early Byzantine Empire: A Systematic Survey of Subsistence Crises and Epidemics (Aldershot, UK: Ashgate, 2004), 1–14. 7. Cornelius Walford, “The Famines of the World: Past and Present, I–II,” Journal of the Statistical Society 41 (1978): 433–535, and 42 (1979): 76–275. 8. D. S. L. Cardwell, Turning Points in Western Technology (Canton, Mass.: Science History Publications/USA, 1991), 51–57; Christian Pfister, Wetternachhersage, 500 Jahre Klimavariationen und Naturkatastrophen (1496–1995) (Bern, Switzerland: Verlag Paul Haupt, 1999), 20–29, 38; Rudolf Brazdil, Christian Pfister, Heinz Wanner, Hans von Storch, and Jürg Luterbacher, “Historical Climatology in Europe—The State of the Art,” Climatic Change 70, no. 3 (2005): 363–430. 9. Matleena Thornberg, “Ilmaston-ja sadonvaihtelut Lounais-Suomessa 1550-luvulta 1860-luvulle,” Turun historiallinen arkisto 44 (1989): 59–75, esp. 71–72; Heikki Vesajoki and Jari Holopainen, “The Early Temperature Records of Turku (Abo), South-West Finland, 1749–1800,” in Documentary Climatic Evidence for 1750–1850 and the Fourteenth Century, Burkhard Frenzel, Erik Wishman, and Mirjam M. Weiss, eds. (Stuttgart: G. Fischer, 1998), 151–62; Anders Moberg, “Meteorological observations in Sweden made before 1860,” in Frenzel, Wishman, and Weiss, eds. (1998), 99–120; and Pfister, Wetternachhersage, 32–34. 10. Jari Niemelä, Vain hyödynkö tähden? Valistuksen ajan hyötyajattelun, luonnontieteen ja talouspolitiikan suhde Pehr Adrian Gaddin elämäntyön kautta tarkasteltuna (Helsinki: SHS 1998), 59–72. 11. Thornberg , “Ilmaston-ja sadonvaihtelut Lounais-Suomessa,” 71–74. 12. K. R. Melander and Gustaf Melander, “Katovuosista Suomessa,” Oma maa 5 (Porvoo: WSOY, 1924), 350–59, esp. 351. 13. William Chester Jordan, The Great Famine, Northern Europe in the Early Fourteenth Century (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press 1988), 8, 178; Christian Pfister, “Variations in the Spring-Summer Climate of Central Europe from the High Middle Ages to 1850,” in Long and Short Term Variability of Climate: Lecture Notes in Earth Sciences 16, Heinz Wanner and Ulrich Siegenthaler, eds. (Berlin, 1988), 57–82; together with Gudrun Kleinlogel, Gabriela Schwarz-Zanetti, and Milène Wegmann, “Winters in Europe: The Fourteenth Century,” Climatic Change 34, no. 1 (1996): 91–108. 14. Gustaf Utterström, “Climatic Fluctuations and Population Problems in Early Modern History,” Scandinavian Economic History Review 3, no. 1 (1955): 3–17. 15. P. D. Jones and R. S. Bradley, “Climatic variations over the last 500 years,” in Climate Since A.D. 1500, R. S. Bradley and P. D. Jones, eds. (London and New York: Routledge 1992), 649–65; Astrid E. J. Ogilvie and Trausti

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Jónsson, eds., The Iceberg in the Mist: Northern Research in Pursuit of a “Little Ice Age” (Dordrecht and Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 2001); Jürg Luterbacher, Daniel Dietrich, Elena Xoplaki, Martin Grosjean, and Heinz Wanner, “European Seasonal and Annual Temperature Variability, Trends, and Extremes Since 1500,” Science 303 (March 5, 2004): 1499–1503; Brazdil et al., “Historical Climatology in Europe—The State of the Art”; Brian Fagan, The Little Ice Age: How Climate Made History, 1300—1850 (New York: Basic Books, 2002), 47–59. 16. Emmanuel Le Roy Ladurie, Times of Feast, Times of Famine. A History of Climate since the Year 1000 (New York: Noonday Press, 1971), 9–15, 61, 90, 95. 17. Eino Jutikkala, “Ilmaston muutokset ja historia,” in “Pane leipään puolet petäjäistä”—Nälkä—ja pulavuodet Suomen historiassa, Petri Karonen, ed. (Jyväskylä: University of Jyväskylä, 1994), 18–19. 18. Utterström, “Climatic Fluctuations and Population Problems in Early Modern History,” 24–25; Eino Jutikkala, “Ilmaston muutosten vaikutuksia Pohjoismaiden väestö—ja asutushistoriaan,” Societas Scientiarum Fennica, Vuosikirja, ser. B, 51.7 (1974): 3–12. 19. Pfister, Wetternachhersage, 78–197, 206–7, 210–12. 20. Fagan, The Little Ice Age, 50. 21. Christian Pfister, “Spatial Patterns of Climatic Change in Europe 1675–1715,” in Climatic Trends and Anomalies in Europe 1675–1715: High Resolution Spatio-temporal Reconstructions from Direct Meteorological Observations and Proxy Data. Methods and Results, Burkhard Frenzel, Christian Pfister, and Birgit Gläser, eds. (Stuttgart: G. Fischer, 1994), 287–317; J. Luterbacher, R., Rickli, E. Xoplaki, C. Tinguely, C. Beck, C. Pfister, and H. Wanner, “The Late Maunder Minimum (1675–1715)—A Key Period for Studying Decadal Scale Climatic Change in Europe,” Climatic Change 49, no. 4 (2001): 441–62. 22. The Käkisalmi province was annexed to the Swedish kingdom in the peace treaty of Stolbova in 1615, and at the end of that century it was still regarded as a triumphal region by Finns and Swedes. 23. Eino Jutikkala, “The Great Finnish Famine in 1696–97,” Scandinavian Economic History Review 3, no. 1 (1955): 48–63; Ilkka Mäntylä, Kruunu ja alamaisten nälkä: 1690—luvun katovuosien verotulojen vähennys Pohjanmaalla ja esivallan vastatoimenpiteet, Scripta historica XIII, Acta societatis historicae Ouluensis (Kuusamo: Historical Society of Oulu, 1988), 117–18; Seppo Muroma, Suurten kuolovuosien (1696–1697) väestönmenetys Suomessa (Helsinki: Societas Historica Finlandiæ, 1991), 175–80; The Economic History of Finland, Historical Statistics, Kaarina Vattula, ed. (Helsinki: Tammi, 1983), 17. 24. Melander and Melander, “Katovuosista Suomessa,” 356–57; Ladurie, Times of Feast, Times of Famine, 92–93; Luterbacher et al., “European Seasonal and Annual Temperature Variability,” 1499–1503. 25. Luterbacher et al., “European Seasonal and Annual Temperature Variability,” 1499–1503.

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26. David Dickson, Arctic Ireland: The Extraordinary Story of the Great Frost and Famine of 1740–41 (Belfast, Ireland: White Row Press, 1997), 11–16. 27. Gunnar Lindström, “Hätäavustus vuosina 1808 ja 1809,” Historiallinen Aikakauskirja 2 (1904): 77–83; James H. Mielke and Kari J. Pitkänen, “War Demography: The Impact of the 1808–09 War on the Civilian Population of Åland, Finland,” European Journal of Population 5 (1989): 373–98. 28. V. F. Johanson, Finlands agrarpolitiska historia: En skildring av det finlänska lantbrukets ekonomiska betingelser, vol 1, från 1600-talet till år 1870, Lantbruksvetenskapliga samfundets i Finland meddelanden, häfte 13 (Helsingfors: [Suomen maataloustieteellinen seura], 1924), 88–91; Kaisa Kauranen, Rahvas, kauppahuone, esivalta: Katovuodet pohjoisessa Suomessa 1830—luvulla (Helsinki: SHS 1999), 29–37; Kari Pitkänen, “Famine Mortality in Nineteenth-Century Finland: Is there a Sex Bias?” in Famine Demography: Perspective from the Past to Present, Tim Dyson and Cormac Ó Gráda, eds. (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2002), 65–73. 29. Bertel von Bonsdorff, The History of Medicine in Finland 1828–1918 (Helsinki: Societas Scientiarum Fennica 1975), 81–82. 30. Oiva Turpeinen, Näläntorjunta ja hyvinvointivaltion perusteet: Hallinto ja kansalainen Suomessa 1808–1905 (Helsinki: Hallintohistoriakomitea and VAPK-kustannus, 1991), 44. 31. Johanson, Finlands agrarpolitiska historia, 103–8; Santeri Seppälä, “Nälänhätää kärsivän väestön huoltoa tarkoittavasta toiminnasta Laihialla 1850- ja 1860-luvuilla sattuneina katovuosina,” Valvoja-Aika 6 (1928): 300–311. 32. Ernst Brydolf, “Sverige and Finland under Nödvintern 1856–57,” Nordisk tidskrift för vetenskap, konst och industri (n.s.) 20 (1944): 416–27; Johanson, Finlands agrarpolitiska historia, 102–9; Pitkänen, “Famine Mortality in Nineteenth-Century Finland,” 72–73. 33. Melander and Melander, “Katovuosista Suomessa,” 358. 34. Antti Häkkinen, “On Attitudes and Living Strategies in the Finnish Countryside in the Years of Famine 1867–68,” in Just a Sack of Potatoes? Crisis Experience in European Societies, Past and Present, Antti Häkkinen, ed. (Helsinki: Societas Historica Finlandiae, 1992), 149–52; Kari J. Pitkänen, Deprivation and Disease: Mortality during the Great Finnish Famine of the 1860s (Helsinki: Finnish Demographic Society, 1993), 81–89. 35. The Economic History of Finland, Historical Statistics, Kaarina Vattula, ed. (Helsinki: Tammi, 1983), 17–19, 38–39. 36. John D. Post, Food Shortage, Climatic Variability, and Epidemic Disease in Preindustrial Europe (Ithaca, N.Y., and London: Cornell University Press, 1985); John Walter and Roger Schofield, Famine, Disease and Crisis Mortality in Early Modern Society (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1989); Lucile F. Newman, ed., Hunger in History: Food Shortage, Poverty, and Deprivation (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1990); Tim Dyson and Cormac O’Grada, eds., Famine Demography, Perspective from the Past and Present (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2002).

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37. Melander and Melander, “Katovuosista Suomessa,” 359. 38. Arvo Soininen, Vanha maataloutemme: Maatalous ja maalousväestö Suomesa perinnäisen maatalouden loppukaudella 1720-luvulta 1870-luvulle (Helsinki: Societas Historica Finlandiæ 1974), 166–73, 185; Jutikkala, “Maanviljelijän talous,” 188–92. 39. Even in quite normal years, a cold period in June could seriously damage the coming berry harvest. 40. Antti Häkkinen, Vappu Ikonen, Kari Pitkänen, and Hannu Soikkanen, Kun halla nälän tuskan toi: Miten suomalaiset kokivat 1860-luvun nälkävuodet (Porvoo: WSOY, 1991), 64–68, 116–19. 41. Jutikkala, “Maanviljelijän talous,” 200–202. 42. Ingvar Svanberg and Marie C. Nelson, “Bone Meal Porridge, Lichen Soup, or Mushroom Bread: Acceptance or Rejection of Food Propaganda in Northern Sweden in the 1860s,” in Just a Sack of Potatoes?, Häkkinen, ed., 119–47. 43. Antti Häkkinen, “‘Kuolema tulee jäkäläleiwästä!’ Hätäravinto, jäkäläleipävalistus ja sen vastaanotto,” in Häkkinen et al., Kun halla nälän tuskan toi, 91–113. 44. Kari Pitkänen, “Miten kansa kärsi? ‘Ruumiita kuin puita pinossa’— Kuoleman satoisat vuodet,” in Häkkinen et al., Kun halla nälän tuskan toi, 212–14. See also Post, Food Shortage, Climatic Variability, and Epidemic Disease; and Walter and Schofield, Famine, Disease and Crisis Mortality; Newman, Hunger in History. 45. Häkkinen, “‘Kuolema tulee jäkäläleiwästä!,’” 91–113. 46. E. Arosenius, “The history and organization of Swedish official statistics,” in The History of Statistics, Their Development and Programs in Many Countries, John Koren, ed. (New York: Macmillan, 1918); Erland Hofsten, “Wargentin and the Origin of Swedish Population Statistics,” Journal of Official Statistics 4, no. 3 (1988): 261–64. See also Stein Kuhnle, “Statistikkens historie i Norden,” in Norden förr och nu: Ett sekel i statistisk belysning, 18: e, Nordiska statiskermötet, Nordiskt statistiskt samarbete 1889–1989 (Stockholm: Norstedts tryckeri, 1989), 21–48; and Pitkänen, “Famine Mortality in Nineteenth-Century Finland,” 67–69. 47. Oiva Turpeinen, Nälkä vai tauti tappoi? Kauhunvuodet 1866–1868 (Helsinki: Societas Historica Finlandiæ, 1986). 48. This issue is also discussed in Climate Change, Food Production, and Interstate Conflict: A Conference Held at the Bellagio Study and Conference Center, Italy, June 4–8, 1975, Rockefeller Foundation, ed. (New York: Rockefeller Foundation, 1976); and Robert I. Rotberg and Theodore K. Rabb, eds., Hunger and History: The Impact of Changing Food Production and Consumption Patterns on Society (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press, 1983). 49. On average 45,780 died annually in 1860–1864, which period included two years of fairly high mortality. In the late 1860s, the deceased over that figure can be regarded as “excess deaths,” The Economic History of Finland, Historical Statistics, Kaarina Vattula, ed. (Helsinki: Tammi, 1983), 17–19, 38–39.

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50. Kari Pitkänen, “The Road to Survival or Death? Temporary Migration During the Great Finnish Famine in the 1860s,” in Just a Sack of Potatoes?, Häkkinen, ed., 87–118, esp. 103–5; Antti Häkkinen and Jarmo Peltola, “On the Social History of Unemployment and Poverty in Finland 1860–2000,” in Down From the Heavens, Up From the Ashes: The Finnish Economic Crisis of the 1990s in the Light of Economic and Social Research, Jorma Kalela, Jaakko Kiander, Ullamaija Kivikuru, Heikki A. Loikkanen, and Jussi Simpura, eds. (Helsinki: Government Institute for Economic Research, 2001), 309–45, esp. 310–13. 51. See Post, Food Shortage, Climatic Variability, and Epidemic Disease; and sections in Newman, Hunger in History. 52. Kari Pitkänen ponders whether louse-borne typhus was, after all, also an endemic disease in Finland, observing that “[t]he disease may persist in jails and prisons (‘jail fever’) even when it is not present in the population at large” (Pitkänen, Deprivation and Disease, 72–74, 79, 93). 53. Pitkänen, Deprivation and Disease, 109. 54. Turpeinen, Nälkä vai tauti tappoi? Kauhunvuodet 1866–1868, 13. 55. Nowadays the Gulf of Bothnia as a rule starts to freeze in December, and ice-breakers frequently manage to keep shipping routes open throughout the winter. 56. Turpeinen, Nälkä vai tauti tappoi? Kauhunvuodet 1866–1868, 148–50. 57. Turpeinen, Nälkä vai tauti tappoi? Kauhunvuodet 1866–1868, 148–49. 58. Antti Kuusterä, “1860-luvun epäonnistunut talouspolitiikka,” in Nälkä, talous, kontrolli: Näkökulmia kriisien ja konfliktien syntyyn, merkitykseen ja kontrolliin, Kari Pitkänen, ed. (Helsinki: Department of Economic and Social History, University of Helsinki, 1987), 43–57. 59. V. F. Johansson, Suomen maanviljelijäin velkaantuminen ja toimenpiteet sen lieventämiseksi vv. 1931–1934, Suomen maataloustieteellisen seuran julkaisuja 44 (Helsinki: Finnish Society for Agricultural History, 1941), 24. 60. Ilkka Teerijoki, Nälkävuosien turva? Pitäjänmakasiinit Suomessa 1700-luvulla (Helsinki: Societas Historica Finlandiæ, 1993), 25–66. 61. In the War of Finland, the Swedish army failed to defend the Finnish provinces against the attack of the Russian army. As a result, the troops of Tsar Alexander I managed to occupy all of Finland, and the entire country was ceded to Russia. The consequences of this event were not entirely unfavorable; for instance, Finland gained a political status it had never enjoyed under Swedish rule. 62. Teerijoki, Nälkävuosien turva?, 79, 107, 115–21, 204–9. 63. Teerijoki, Nälkävuosien turva?, 206. 64. Pentti Virrankoski, Käsitöistä leivän lisää, Suomen ansiokotiteollisuus 1865–1944 (Helsinki: Societas Historica Finlandiæ 1994); Jan Kunnas, “En bortglömd skogsprodukt: Vedförbrukning vid tillverkning av pottaska i Finland 1800–1908,” in Värna, vårda, värdera: Miljöhistoriska aspekter och aspekter på miljöhistoria, Erland Mårald and Christer Nordlund, eds. (Umeå: Landskapet som arena 2003), 69–75.

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65. Teppo Vihola, Leipäviljasta lypsykarjaan: Maatalouden tuotantosuunnan muutos Suomessa 1870-luvulta ensimmäisen maailmansodan vuosiin (Helsinki: Societas Historica Finlandiæ 1991). 66. J. V. Tallqvist, “Om den inverkan av missväxterna på 1860-talet utöfvade på den ekonomiska företagsamheten i landet,” in Ekonomiska Samfundet i Finland: Föredrag och Förhandlingar Band I, häfte 3 (Helsingfors, 1898), 50–68. 67. Kari Pitkänen, “The patterns of mortality during the Great Finnish Famine in the 1860s,” in Acta Demographica 1992, G. Buttler, G. Heilig, and G. Schmitt-Rink, eds. (Heidelberg: Physica-Verlag, 1992), 81–102; Pitkänen, Deprivation and Disease, 114. 68. Phelim P. Boyle and Cormac Ó Gráda, “Fertility Trends, Excess Mortality, and the Great Irish Famine,” Demography (1986): 543–62; Alex de Waal, “Famine Mortality: A Case Study of Darfur, Sudan 1984–5,” Population Studies 43, no. 1 (1989): 5–24; Ann Bowman Jannetta, “Famine Mortality in Nineteenth-Century Japan: The Evidence from a Temple Death Register,” Population Studies 46, no. 3 (1992): 427–43; Cormac Ó Gráda, Black ’47 and Beyond: The Great Irish Famine in History, Economy, and Memory (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1999), 10. 69. Pitkänen, “Famine Mortality in Nineteenth-Century Finland,” 65–92. 70. Agathon Meurman, Nälkävuodet 1860-luvulla (Helsinki: Kansanvalistuseura 1892); Antti Häkkinen, “Nälkävuosien sosiaalinen protesti” in Pitkänen, ed., Nälkä, talous, kontrolli, 69–77. 71. Cormac Ó Gráda, Ireland Before and After the Famine: Explorations in Economic History, 1800–1925 (Manchester: Manchester University Press, 1988), 110–18; Ó Gráda, Black ’47 and Beyond, 77–83. 72. Marie Clark Nelson, “The Prevention of Moral Decline. The Distribution of Voluntary Contributions to the Destitute in Norrbotten following the Crop Failures of 1867,” in Nälkä, talous, kontrolli, Pitkänen, ed., 11–42; Marie C. Nelson, Bitter Bread: The Famine in Norrbotten 1867–1868 (Stockholm: Almqvist and Wiksell International, 1988). 73. Cormac Ó Gráda, “‘For Irishmen to Forget?’ Recent Research on the Great Irish Famine,” in Just a Sack of Potatoes?, Häkkinen, ed., 17–52.

4

Society and Natural Risks in France, 1500–2000 Changing Historical Perspectives René Favier and Anne-Marie Granet-Abisset

The history of risk and natural disasters does not occupy a particularly prominent place in French historiography. One of the reasons for this marginalization undoubtedly derives from how the subject of study is defined. The word disaster primarily denotes a destructive geophysical anomaly (tempest, landslide, avalanche, earthquake, tsunami, etc.) that results in loss of human life and/or property. But it can also be used in a figurative sense to describe the cultural reception of an event without reference to its physical impact. In other words, events that belong to a recognizable cycle of destruction and renewal are not necessarily considered disasters by communities that accept their cyclical nature; conversely, where no culture of risk exists, an event that causes little or no destruction may still be designated a disaster if it inaugurates transformation—material, psychological, or social—of the community in which it has occurred. The field of disaster studies is a complex one, and the historian who chooses to till it must engage with species of knowledge that lie beyond the usual parameters of his own discipline: geography, sociology, geology, seismology, and climatology, among others. It requires exceptional abilities to integrate historical data with climatological assessments and then to represent the results of that analysis in computer-generated climate models, as Emmanuel Le Roy Ladurie has recently done in his Histoire humaine compareée du climat, so perhaps we should not be surprised by the fact that such studies are

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rare.1 It would not be true to say that, apart from works on climate, environmental historians have completely ignored these demanding topics, but risk and natural disasters have only rarely, as Serge Briffaud rightly stresses, constituted “the subject of history” and have tended to remain a “historiographic crossroads,” reduced to contingent, irreducible events that are quickly superseded by their effects.2

FROM A HISTORY OF FEAR TO A HISTORY OF THE ENVIRONMENT The historiography of disaster has largely focused on three main themes: agrarian and demographic issues, the development of individual and communal coping strategies, and environmental causes and consequences. In the decade from 1960 to 1970 natural disasters were studied only in relation to the subsistence crises and epidemics they precipitated. Comparison of agrarian demographics with the prevailing economic conditions led to questions about climate variation. The seminal example of this approach is Le Roy Ladurie’s Times of Feast, Times of Famine: The History of Climate Since the Year 1000, first published in French in 1967. After identifying the most characteristic climate fluctuations, the next tasks were to interpret price graphs and economic analyses and then to synthesize the large number of meteorological observations that historians of the Languedoc region amassed and which corresponded to “indications of poor harvests, of famine, of food shortages or occasionally of years of abundance.” From this perspective, disasters appeared as climatic aberrations that caused poor harvests and could thus explain demographic crises. Marcel Lachiver’s work on the demographic crises that hit France during the “years of misery” at the end of Louis XIV’s reign, which relies on the remarkable meteorological observations made by Louis Morin throughout the entire period studied, represents the most sophisticated example of this type of research.3 Natural disasters made their next appearance as a cultural prism, something through which were revealed the psychological structures hidden within representations of death. They took their place alongside other fears, of the sea, darkness, plague, uprisings, and the devil. In La peur en Occident (Fear in Western Europe) Jean Delumeau reconstructs the way in which the church categorized and named natural disasters so as to replace chronic anxiety about survival with the fear of divine retribution for sin. Disasters were manifestations of God’s wrath and punishment for human transgressions.4 Apart from the fact that, seen from this angle, the disasters in no way constituted the real

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subject of the analysis, it is noteworthy that these studies focus almost exclusively on bygone societies, whereas very few studies have been done on the behavior of contemporary technical and scientific societies with regard to natural risks. Over the past fifteen years growing interest in the environment and widespread debate on global warming and the greenhouse effect, combined with the steady construction of more and more nuclear power plants, have conspired to point environmental historians in new directions. First, geologists, botanists, hydraulic engineers, and land developers have called on historians in their capacity as archival experts to analyze accumulated data on past disasters, analyses that can then be used to place development models in a broad chronological perspective. It is most frequently problems connected with major rivers and the question of floodwater and flood control measures that have been central to new research, which has been particularly concerned with the Rhône Delta and the Loire Valley. Studies carried out within the framework of the Loire Plan have enabled estimates of possible casualties and damages according to the severity of the floodwaters, calculating losses due to flooding over fifty-year, hundred-year, and five-hundred-year intervals and producing models based on historical data, using the flood of 1856 as a point of reference. Similar partnerships have been established for projects in connection with flooding in the Alps and Vivarais regions. It should be stressed, however, that this type of approach has limitations as far as the possibility of turning raw historical data to practical account is concerned, unless a critical analysis is conducted in parallel. It is important for the historian to explain what his discipline can contribute on the subject of this question of risks; over and above the simple provision of data, the historian insists that information is relative (thus putting an end to the myth of exhaustiveness) and proposes a reading of the data that is both critical and contextualized. Beyond the facts themselves, what is brought to light is the way in which both bygone and current societies function. Charles Desplat, in a pioneering article, spelled out certain perspectives for the history of natural risks in the Pyrenees region under the ancien régime.5 A particularly good example in this respect is provided by Grégory Quenet in his thesis, Les tremblements de terre en France aux XVIIe et XVIIIe siècles (Earthquakes in France in the 17th and 18th centuries), on the site of Manosque.6 Collaborative studies conducted by public and private research institutes in Grenoble employed the same methodology and concluded that we must not only reassess our beliefs about the attitudes of bygone societies toward fate, risk, and the unpredictable, but we must also recognize that the modern

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Western view of risk has been shaped by postindustrial technology and thus cannot be compared with that of rural mountain communities or preindustrial societies. Parallel to the historian’s participation in operational research, the emergence of eco-history, or historical ecology, has led researchers to query human influence on variations in plant habitat and, more particularly, on the lasting consequences of climate fluctuations and natural disasters.7 Some researchers have begun to ask questions about the anthropogenic or natural origin of disasters. Thus, in his work on Provence in the modern period, Georges Pichard throws light on the severe damage caused by storms and rivers in spate by adducing as evidence erosion in specific locations. He also underlines the way in which anthropogenic activity, such as enclosure and clear-cutting, may have augmented the damage from climatic events. His research confirms a correlation between zones of erosion and regions of extensive or cyclical land clearance that reduced the area of uncultivated land; it also “supports the idea that, even if the origin of the storm damage was largely independent of such practices, the severity of the consequences for the soil was directly attributable to them.”8 In his work on the forested areas in the Laon region, Jérôme Buridant also focuses on the historical relationship between humans and of their natural environment in order to demonstrate how, alongside other political, social, and economic factors, climatic disasters (violent storms or exceptionally hard frosts during the Little Ice Age and their impact on population numbers during the winters of 1709, 1740, and 1742) contributed to a radical transformation of the forest landscape. In his study of flooding in the plain of Grenoble, conducted in partnership with hydrologists, Denis Coeur stresses the close link between the recurrence of floods on the Isère and Drac rivers and fluctuations of sedimentary throughput related to the Little Ice Age. Conversely, in his study of the impact of destructive storms that hit the forest of the Vosges in the eighteenth century, Emmanuel Garnier has shown how the scale of the destruction (forests laid waste by violent storms, erosion, floods, and avalanches) over a long period was due to ill-adapted land management imposed by the monarchy, until repeated natural catastrophes from the 1820s onward led to a political about-face and the implementation of risk-management policies negotiated with the population. More recently, the program “High winds and the forest heritage (sixteenth to twentieth centuries)” has, in the wake of the storm of 1999, posed questions concerning the consequences for plant cover and forested areas of similar violent and destabilizing storms since the end of the Middle Ages.9 Geographers have applied similar analytic methods to studies of the Pyrenees.10 Tak-

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ing as a more specific starting point the reconstruction of a chronology of floods and disastrous river spate in the basin of the Ariège, Jean-Marc Antoine has discussed the poor quality and the ineffectiveness of floodcontrol measures taken there, despite the considerable number of plans drawn up since the mid-nineteenth century, most of which remained unexecuted. His analysis has led to a reassessment of the “anthropocentric hypothesis,” according to which man alone is responsible for abnormalities in river flow and floods, in favor of an alternative hypothesis linked to climate fluctuation.11 All these studies, which echo those conducted in Switzerland by Christian Pfister,12 pose a number of questions about the ways in which societies manage uncertainty and risk in relation to their natural environments: the degree of acceptable risk, an understanding of the mechanisms of collective decision-making, preventive measures, and management of natural disaster (in the short and medium term) by both the local community and the state, and even how this management may be used for political ends. Thus Emmanuel Le Roy Ladurie in his recent work underlines a form of “politicization of climate” during the second half of the eighteenth century, when climate crises provided convenient scapegoats for the king. All of these issues deserve investigation. It is primarily up to the historian to reposition natural disasters within the framework of the societies they disrupt so as to study how humans cope with them, and to treat these events as “historical subjects.” Especially worthy of reevaluation are the attitudes of traditional societies toward climatic risks and the consequences of natural disasters to which these societies were exposed. How did they experience these disasters? How did they perceive them or explain them? More particularly, in order to clarify the direction this research will take, we propose to adopt two different lines of inquiry: on the one hand, we will examine the culture of risk in French towns from the sixteenth to the eighteenth century; on the other, we will consider the memory of risk not simply as a means of coping with the threat of future hazards or even with the experience of present catastrophe but as characteristic expressions of the societies that confronted and survived these recurring disasters.

URBAN SOCIETIES AND THE CULTURE OF RISK: FLOODS IN FRANCE UNDER THE ANCIEN RÉGIME From the end of the sixteenth to the middle of the nineteenth century, the threat posed by riparian floods to French towns steadily increased. An abundance of sources and accounts record the frequency

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and the gravity of what was happening.13 Reports throughout the kingdom testify to years of widespread crisis (for example, 1651 and 1740), of which the eighteenth century press gives an account from time to time (1711, 1772).14 This feeling of growing vulnerability was undoubtedly an effect of the much greater quantity of precise information that was circulating more rapidly. However, the consequences of the Little Ice Age as well as a number of anthropogenic factors likely to influence both incidental development (deforestation, the draining of wet lands, the increasing number of mills along the rivers) and the vulnerability of the towns (constant raising of the dikes, urban growth, and consequent settlement on land liable to flooding) all constituted causes of these crises, whose analysis demands a systematic approach. Faced with the repetition of these misfortunes, the local populations began to develop a passive attitude. Thus Nicole Castan writes: “One is struck by the tone of simple acquiescence with which these seasonal accidents are noted: cold which kills the cattle or shrivels the vines, floods which sweep away the gardens, are self-evident scourges against which nothing can be done.”15 Fatalism and the lack of foresight on the part of the authorities, particularly the municipal authorities, would be the order of the day until the eighteenth century.16 Only the advent of the Enlightenment and the growing importance of the role of the engineer would gradually undermine popular superstitions and replace them with rational explanations of the dangers that menaced riverside towns, as well as new technologies to manage those threats.17 This is, however, too simplistic a reading. Of course it is impossible to deny the importance accorded to religious explanations and the fact that there was permanent recourse to divine protection. Nevertheless, this should not entirely obscure the existence of a genuine memory of disasters and of pre-Enlightenment narratives that sought to explain them systematically, or of the reality of a certain know-how in the face of threatening events, in other words of a whole package of acts and practices which bear witness to a “culture of risk.” Everywhere disastrous events were brought within the framework of a religious ceremony; in certain cases, the ceremony anticipated the event. In Toulouse the ceremony of the immersion of the cross, during which representatives of the various guilds petitioned the monks at the Benedictine abbey next to the Garonne River to intercede on their behalf, was believed to protect the town against floods.18 More generally, different disasters had given rise to a more or less universal ritual that included four standard stages: public prayers, the display of relics, processions, and prayers of thanksgiving after the waters had

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subsided. Rituals that followed this general pattern continued to be practiced right through the eighteenth century, in towns of every size. In Valence in 1778 there were many public prayers to protect the community against the floodwaters of the Rhône and “to obtain serenity from God.” We may wonder what end result was expected from such demonstrations, which, at least in the eighteenth century, were not designed solely to appease divine wrath. In the face of public concern, their aim was also to contain anxiety. During the flood of 1740 in Grenoble, it was at the moment when discontent started to rise that the authorities ordered public prayers, and the subdelegate general Jean-Antoine Jomaron underlined the fact that “this pious action began to calm the people’s fears.”19 Above all, intervention on the part of municipal and administrative authorities was by no means limited to a range of religious demonstrations. Belief in divine intervention excluded neither a rational search for secondary causes nor the development of a policy of protection. A Disaster Culture We note in the first place that although there were many authors of the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries who, by way of apologia, put forward explanations that relied on exceptional or miraculous elements, there were others, admittedly less numerous, who explained this belief as resulting from ignorance of what had been done in former times in world history. On a more practical level, nothing could be more untrue than to believe that a sudden rise in water levels always took citizens by surprise. On the contrary, each event was seen in the context of earlier disasters; this perspective gave rise to an account that favored the rational systems of early warning and rescue that had already been tested and established. “Within Living Memory”

There is no doubt that in a number of cases reference to the memory of previous disasters emphasized the fact that there had never been an event of such magnitude “within living memory.” We should not, however, allow ourselves to be led astray by the assertion that this was a quite exceptional event; this characterization stemmed directly from the need to adopt a tone of justification in order to convince either the reader or the authorities from whom material aid was to be sought of the extraordinary nature of an event that

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would adversely affect the lives of all those who experienced it. In fact, if the absence of any comparable event known “within living memory” was asserted, this was frequently in the context of a group of references for comparison. Thus in 1524 the secretary to the Chamber of Accounts of the Dauphiné noted that “the said river Isère rose to a height never before reached, neither in living memory nor in the records of the Chamber of Accounts of our province nor in those of the Assembly of the Consulate.”20 By the eighteenth century, such references to former events had become commonplace. At the time of the flood on the Garonne in 1770, for example, the judge of La Réole recorded: “The inhabitants of the port were obliged to abandon their houses during the night, a thing which had never happened before. About 58 years ago there were two dreadful floods, but that which occurred on the 7th of this month was far worse, because from what we read in books containing explanations [livres de raison] written by those who are no longer alive, and from what those old people who are still alive can tell us, the floodwater this time rose four feet higher.”21 This memory of past events was not retained solely in the “memory of men of old.” It was routinely recorded in official documents on which the authorities relied for comparison. The authorities themselves, who were anxious to preserve the details of memorable events, or to protect themselves against possible future accusations by recording the damages that had been caused, produced one part of this material. In the valley of the Dordogne, the jurats of Bergerac from the fifteenth century onward distinguished floods according to the damage-assessment processes necessary for repairs to the bridge.22 In Grenoble the secretary to the Chamber of Accounts notes with precision, on the first page of the court archives, the damages caused by the floods of 1524 and 1525.23 In the same way, the annals for Toulouse written up in 1701 contain many precise references to past events recorded in the city archives.24 Far from being limited to public-authority archives, the recording of memories of disasters was widespread. Religious establishments, memorialists, and local histories did not fail to write about exceptional events; indeed, some of these events became the basis for a distinct genre of vernacular poetry. In Grenoble, two months after the terrible flood of September 15, 1733, André Fauré, a printer of Grenoble, published under the title Grénoblo malhérou (Unfortunate Grenoble) a long poem of 560 alexandrines, written in the dialect of the Dauphiné by A. Blanc La Goutte, which told the story of the entire disaster.

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Flood Marks and Hydrometric Scales

The memory of disastrous floods also assumed material form in the urban landscape. From very early times, stones and commemorative inscriptions recorded exceptional events. In Avignon, every important flood produced new inscriptions. Similarly, the maximum height of the flood of 1570 was recorded in the Place Confort in Lyon. All along the river Dordogne, the height reached by the floodwaters in 1728, 1768, and 1783 was inscribed on the old houses along the riverbank. These high-water marks were by no means purely commemorative but were used as points of comparison for each subsequent flood. In 1602 in Lyon, the Saône “was swollen so far above its accustomed limits that the water rose higher than all of the marks which had been made formerly on the occasion of exceptional flooding.”25 In Arles, the seventeen steps of the port stairs that had been built at the beginning of the seventeenth century served as measures for the rising waters during the last two centuries of the ancien régime. In Tours, at the time of the 1755 flood, a mark of 1582 in the Faubourg St.-Etienne was used as a point of reference. Nor were the administrative authorities the only ones to make use of these flood marks; in the urban landscape it was customary for local inhabitants to refer to them as well. In the aftermath of the great flood of 1733 in Grenoble, the notary Jean-François Marchand was able to establish a comparison with the 1651 flood by this means.26 Isabelle Backouche has recently discussed the growing concern in eighteenth-century Paris about finding a method of measuring the floodwaters of the Seine, and the role played by Philippe Buache.27 From 1732 onward, the meter scale set up on the bridge of La Tournelle enabled consistent measurements of the water level. From then on, daily readings made by employees of the Hôtel de Ville provided accurate information, on the basis of which Philippe Buache studied the flow pattern of the Seine and drew up the very first bar chart used in hydrology. Subsequently other meters were set up, until in 1854 Eugène Belgrand founded the Seine hydrometric department. Without, of course, wishing to detract from the scientific and technical scope of these new initiatives, we still cannot consider them as inaugurating a full-scale river surveillance program. In Arles at the beginning of the nineteenth century, an official meter was installed which took as its starting point the low water level of 1802, and which replaced the port stairs as a flood indicator. Most frequently, then, these new installations fitted into a continuum of practices initiated by the municipal authorities, who had long kept a careful watch on the major and lesser

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rivers so as to be better prepared to protect their cities and who, to that end, had at their disposal a very considerable amount of information on which to base their decision during a crisis. The Search for Systems of Explanation

In the face of such disastrous floods, the people were not content with a purely religious explanation. Acts of nature, such as heavy rains, were often the obvious cause. In the Alpine and Pyrenean piedmonts, violent snowmelt following rains and warm winds was enough to provide a satisfactory explanation. The flood in Toulouse at the beginning of autumn 1536 “astonished many, because over the previous days it had rained comparatively little, but the cause may have been the melting of the snows in the mountains of the Pyrenees.”28 By contrast, the flood in Grenoble from December 13 through 30, 1651, was preceded by “frequent rains borne on winds from the south . . . during the month of November last, which had caused the snows which lay heavy on the mountains of this province and of Savoy to melt.”29 The floods that posed the most serious problem were those that were quite out of the ordinary and for which standard explanations were inadequate. Although events of this magnitude left room for an interpretation of divine intervention, other hypotheses were also advanced. A chthonic origin—a collapse in lakes beneath the earth’s surface—was the explanation most commonly put forward (as in the case of the floods along the Garonne in 1536 and 1678).30 With regard to flooding on the Rhône, in the middle of the seventeenth century the Grenoble advocate Nicolas Chorier for his part advanced the theory that winds from the south had piled up sand in the estuary in such a way as to block the river’s passage.31 Serge Briffaud has stressed the importance that this search for explanations had for the local elite, which testifies to the expertise on which the king’s administration would rely from the end of the seventeenth century onward when implementing measures against flooding. Indeed, Colbert sometimes placed greater confidence in local residents than in his own engineers, as when in 1648 he advised the intendant, Lebret, who had recently been posted to Grenoble and charged with responsibility for overseeing the flood-defense works on the Drac River, to seek advice from area inhabitants and not to leave everything up to the engineer whom he himself had dispatched: “The local people, who know by experience the effects of similar defense work already carried out against the powerful Drac, are better able than anyone else to decide on these matters. You must therefore take the trouble to confer

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with these people in particular, and subsequently with them together with the Honorable Mr. Dieulamant, in order to come to a detailed decision as to the specification and estimate for the works.”32 Besides, the local elite were also in a position to know whether certain works or land development could make matters worse. In the aftermath of the flood of 1651, the parliament of Grenoble denounced on several occasions the devastating consequences of deforestation.33 In 1710 the Mayor of Orléans attributed the severity of the flood that had just devastated his city to channelization projects carried out four years earlier upstream in the massif of Neulize.34 We cannot, then, summarize the attitude of the population toward recurring floods as being simply superstitious passivity. Far from contenting themselves with a strictly religious explanation, residents based their beliefs on an approach that was rational, that sought to situate and explain the event in terms of their own history, and that testified to the existence of communal memory and a culture of disaster. The establishment of warning systems and procedures for crisis management support this conclusion. Procedures for Sounding the Alarm and Crisis Management Floods caused by rivers in spate, particularly in the foothills of the Cévennes, were the most difficult to foresee and often took the population by surprise. Thus the rise in the water level of the river Gard at Alès in 1605 was “seen rather than foreseen.” In the same way, when the rivers Lez and Merderon flooded at Montpellier in 1715, “the washerwomen did not even have time to collect the washing.”35 In a different climatic context, authorities were equally helpless when faced with the sudden thaw of the ice on the Loire in January 1789.36 Again, the suddenness of the event meant that very little could be done to avert major damage from breaches of the dikes. On occasions when the threat was recognized in advance, it could be made the subject of active surveillance. This was the case in the Loire Valley with regard to the high embankments that had been built up to facilitate navigation on the river, where breaches were particularly feared.37 In Grenoble, memories of the devastating flood of 1219 haunted the local population right up to the eighteenth century:38 this disaster was everpresent in the minds of the consuls of Grenoble, and the anxiety was aggravated until the end of the seventeenth century by the presence of the lake of Oisans, which had been left by the flood. At every new landslide in the valley of the Romanche, the consuls went in person to instigate the draining of the waters. If the local authorities were

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unable to take action themselves when a threat was identified, they requested assistance, sometimes in vain, from regional administrators. In the aftermath of the flood that laid waste the region of Saint-Brieuc and, in particular, the small town of Châtelaudren during the night of August 18, 1773, the intendant, Dupleix, commented: “It would be worthy of the government’s attention to take suitable measures to prevent similar misfortunes in the future, and it was to be hoped that His Highness the Prince of Soubise would listen to the representations of the town of Châtelaudren, to the end that the pond which had caused so much damage to the town through breaches in the dikes should be done away with.”39 Surveillance of the rising water levels required teams and equipment that the towns generally lacked. Until the eighteenth century they relied chiefly on local hydrometric indicators. In Toulouse, the official in charge of sanitation (capitaine de santé) was responsible for checking these devices and reported several times a day to the municipal magistrate. Such surveillance remained localized, however, and hardly allowed for advance planning. It was only during the eighteenth century that surveillance systems along the major and lesser waterways became more effective, when, as in the case of the fight against plague, provincial administrators gradually replaced individual municipal authorities, so as to achieve a broad overview. Thus in June 1764 the first president of the Parliament, Monsieur de Chaponay, provincial commandant in the absence of the lieutenant-general, called on the military for assistance and posted a detachment of soldiers along the riverbanks to keep him informed of the rising water levels.40 The disparity in the effectiveness of possible protective measures naturally resulted in very different impacts in terms of human and animal losses. The only disasters that actually caused many fatalities were flash floods or breaches of the dikes. At Alès in 1605 there were “innumerable men [who] perished because of the flood, most of them entirely buried in mud, the others half buried, none with even the appearance of a human face.” In 1773 more than fifty people were killed at Châtelaudren. Rising water levels on the major rivers, on the other hand, although capable of causing considerable property losses, rarely resulted directly in many deaths; the majority of the victims were buried when the houses in which they were sheltering collapsed. In Grenoble in 1651 it appears that the only victims were the family and servants of the master clockmaker, who lived in the clocktower built on the bridge, which was swept away in the disaster. In Toulouse in 1727 it was the daughters of the Good Shepherd who perished in the same way. Although the lesson had been learned by 1772, and the

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inhabitants were exhorted to leave houses that had been weakened by previous floods in April and May of 1770, this did not prevent some residents of the island of Tounis from being buried in the ruins of their houses. During the flood on the Dordogne in March 1783, only nine deaths by drowning were recorded together with two fatal accidents caused by the collapse of houses in the five electoral divisions of Millau, Rodez, Villefranche, Figeac, and Cahors.41 Disaster Management: The Introduction of Official Codes of Practice Disasters could also produce further victims during rescue operations. At Alès in 1605 some forty inhabitants who were trying to save a soldier were swept away by the collapse of the city wall onto which they had climbed. At Toulouse in 1772 it was the men who had been sent to look for boats who were swept away by the waters. Such accidents in fact called into question the local authorities’ capacity for crisis management. The issue of authorities’ competence raises methodological problems, however, since most of the available documentary evidence on this subject is actually of municipal or administrative origin, and the accounts are often perfect masterpieces of self-satisfaction and glorification of the action taken. The Verbal [Verbatim Report] drawn up by the first magistrate of the town, Monsieur de Cahuzac, and printed in Toulouse on the occasion of the flood of September 1772 praises the magistrate’s own behavior, frequently lapsing into the first person. He boasts of his personal involvement (“We found ourselves on the instant covered with dust”) and alludes to his distress when he learned of the death by drowning of the craftsmen who had been sent to look for boats: “What moments for the magistrates, affectionate fathers to their beloved people.” The consuls of Orléans were even more explicit in glorifying their own actions on the occasion of the flood of January 18, 1789: “Three thousand people owed their salvation to their own active perseverance, but above all to the promptness with which orders were issued, to the good sense of the measures taken, and to the encouragement and example of those city leaders whom we have mentioned.”42 Even if the documentary evidence does not always enable us to make accurate, objective assessments of the real nature and effectiveness of the local authorities’ leadership in the face of disaster, it does at least allow deductions as to the usual scope of the intervention and the forms it took. Descriptions of the different operational systems testify that the authorities often brought past experience to bear when a di-

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saster occurred, rapidly enacting what amounted to a code of practice for intervention, a code that was generally reinforced by the judicial and religious authorities before the second half of the eighteenth century, when it became a formal coordinated effort among the lieutenants of police (where they existed), the intendants or their delegates, and the engineers from the department of bridges and highways. This official cooperation was then able to benefit from additional resources offered by the military who were by then locally garrisoned. The 1789 flood in Orléans provides a good example of this coordination. More specifically, action was concentrated simultaneously on taking protective measures, on organizing rescue of the victims, and on making immediate critical repairs. The first could be accomplished before the disaster became too extensive or to mitigate its worst effects. Protecting lines of communication, particularly highly exposed bridges, was a principal concern. The techniques used to prevent bridges from being swept away were always the same: the bridges were heavily weighted with pig iron, cannonballs, or rocks. Keeping lights burning throughout the night served to prevent accidents, to assist rescue activity, and to deter malicious damage. Even more essential, however, were the measures taken to safeguard food supplies, which depended on the customary expectations of the local people.43 Citizens were expected to comply with any municipal order to remove grain stocks from threatened areas, to purchase bread from city bakers, and even to bake batches of bread themselves on occasion as a precautionary measure. The first precautions were designed to prevent three things—residents being trapped in their own homes by the floodwaters, subjecting rescuers to any unnecessary risk, and the flood-induced collapse of buildings, which could endanger both lives and goods. From the middle of the seventeenth century, an act of parliament forbade Parisian notaries to locate their offices on the bridges, for fear that a flood might sweep away their notarial deeds, as had happened to notary Guillaume Ferret during the flood of February 29/March 1, 1658, when two arches of the Pont Marie collapsed.44 When floods threatened in the eighteenth century, authorities carried out forced evacuations of those who lived on the bridges or along the banks of the Seine. Of the utmost urgency in the aftermath of any disaster was providing aid for the victims. Public buildings might be opened for residents evacuated from their homes. In Toulouse, those displaced by the flooding were lodged in the military barracks, where they found “fire and bread.” The city had also arranged “for those for whom there was no room in the barracks” to be lodged in “the bridge towers or the hô-

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tel de ville.” In Grenoble in 1733 it was the doors of the parliament building that were opened to the victims. These structures were by no means the only emergency shelters available. In 1733, because they were unable to cross the river to take refuge in the parliament building, as the bridge had collapsed, inhabitants of the right bank of the Isère sought shelter in the church and in the parlor of the monastery of the Visitation of Sainte-Marie.45 Faced with resistance on the part of residents who were worried about abandoning their homes, it was often necessary for the authorities to take action themselves. In 1772, for example, the chief magistrate of Toulouse went in person, together with the official in charge of sanitation, to bring pressure to bear on those who lived on the island of Tounis. As the floodwaters began to recede, the consuls kept watch throughout the night. Sometimes, however, experience alone was enough. During the flood of 1740, the inhabitants of Grenoble remembered immediately the lesson they had learned seven years earlier in the floods of 1733. Rescue efforts sometimes provided the occasion for individual acts of courage by local authorities. For instance, all accounts of the flood in Lyons in 1570 bear witness to the personal heroism of the governor, Monsieur de Mandelot. The principal task was to mobilize men and means to come to the aid of inhabitants in danger or trapped in their homes. In Strasburg in 1740 the consuls ordered the cannon to be fired as a signal to residents of neighboring hamlets who had taken refuge on their roofs “that we had taken counsel on the means to go to their aid, which would be effected through the good offices of the burgomaster of the city, who was sending boats for them.”46 However, this mobilization of men cannot be considered as automatic. The consuls had to display energy and ingenuity to successfully counter both the selfishness of those whose first concern was to protect their own possessions and the cowardice of those who feared involvement in an undertaking where they themselves would be at risk. In July 1778 in Seltz, after sounding the tocsin during the night, the authorities resorted to “the cruel stratagem of shouting out: Fire! to force the journeymen to get up and go to reinforce, through their labors, the dykes and the dams which had been thrown up to counteract the rapid flow of the river.”47 Sometimes they had recourse to constraint, even if this meant incurring the anger of those called up for flood defense work or of their families. Thus in Toulouse in 1772 it was necessary to have soldiers escort the workmen who had been called up. There were others for whom the prospect of personal gain was sufficient motivation to risk their lives. As soon as it became apparent that the water level was falling, emergency measures were taken to get rid of the water, to shore up

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the houses, and to get people and transport moving again. If standard methods had failed to stem the rising waters (plugging the breaches in the dikes, raising the level of the dikes, or plugging all openings in the houses, as was the practice in Grenoble, with bricks made of dried dung and straw), steps had to be taken to drain the water. To prevent buildings from collapsing under the weight of the floodwaters, holes were frequently made in the walls and cellar doors were removed to allow the water to flow through. Authorities sometimes ordered channels dug to divert the course of the waters. In 1789, consuls in Tours contemplated reopening the former relief channel of the Sainte-Anne canal linking the Loire and the Cher, which had been closed thirteen years earlier at the request of the department of bridges and highways on the grounds that it posed a threat to the town.48 The consuls occasionally had to forbid the passage of carts and wagons in certain roadways, for fear that the vibrations would cause weakened buildings to collapse. Another main concern was the mud that remained after the floodwaters subsided. In 1570, for example, a citizen of Lyons named Paradin spoke of “the intolerable stench” that pervaded the town “notwithstanding that it was the winter time.” In the eighteenth century, increasing anxieties about hygiene obliged the authorities to force inhabitants to have the mud carted away. In 1733 in Grenoble, a police decree issued after the water level had dropped ordered residents to clear the water out of their cellars and to remove the mud from their houses. After the flood of 1740, again in Grenoble, the police decree not only ordered the cellars to be cleared but also forbade the inhabitants to live in those parts of the ground floor which had been laid waste. This practice became so standard that all farm-tenancy agreements issued within the town boundaries during the second half of the eighteenth century contained a special clause which stipulated that owners should designate one room on the ground floor for the use of farmers in case of flood. Repeated disasters prompted the most vulnerable towns to purchase specialized equipment. By the end of the eighteenth century, Toulouse was making use of hydraulic machines that could be transported from quarter to quarter. This brief overview should not, of course, lead us to conclude that a universal code of disaster-management practices had been established, but local authorities, influenced both by recurring floods and by pressure from the royal administration, appear to have acted in a more systematic and well-regulated fashion from the middle of the seventeenth century onward. The many readily identifiable floodcontrol systems testify to the progressive development of a genuine

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culture of risk that preceded the drawing up of official, written codes of practice, such as the one that was proposed at the beginning of the 1780s by Grenoble’s lieutenant-general of police. The increasingly important role of technical experts, in particular that of the engineers of the department of bridges and highways, marks a genuine break with established practices. No doubt the engineers were occasionally critical of the choice of technical measures to be implemented. There is also no doubt that they played a decisive role in the development of an effective embankment system and in the assessment of flood risk relative to urban development. Their work was supported, however, by a genuine culture of risk and by traditional practices, and could in no way be summed up simply as a strategy to make ill-informed and self-interested populations accept the accuracy of the engineers’ proposals and technical choices. “One foot in administration, one foot in science, and enjoying royal support, these technocrats of the ancien régime benefited from a powerful sanction to practice their naturalist and secular approach to physical phenomena,” as Serge Briffaud observes. For his part, Gregory Quenet has shown how the transformation of the disaster into a subject of knowledge appropriated by the expert brought into play a concept that formed the matrix of a new relationship between the elite and the people, namely, the control of nature. It is no overstatement to say that the engineers, by taking responsibility for risk management and by affirming their exclusive expertise, also contributed in part to a change in France’s culture of risk which had been progressively built up throughout the many disasters suffered.

THE MEMORY OF RISKS: THE HISTORY OF RISK IN THE PRESENT ERA Archival documents from previous centuries, like those that have been quoted in this text, indicate a relatively detailed understanding of phenomena, acquired from repeated observations and from historical records. They show that bygone societies did not passively endure these climatic events, as many historians once believed. Conversely, our own allegedly advanced societies appear helpless in the face of disasters, rediscovering with each catastrophic event that nature can be overwhelming—or at least that there is no guarantee climatic phenomena will follow a regular pattern. It is even possible to see premodern societies’ aptitude for risk management as the opposite of twenty-first-century societies’ more fatalistic view of disasters, a con-

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trast that reflects a reversal of the attitudes toward risk that we usually associate with past and present societies. So are modern societies really weaker and more irrational than their predecessors? To propose this somewhat provocative comparison and hypothesis is to restate the historian’s contribution to the rarely treated problem of risk in the study of societies considered over the long term. The long term is of the essence, for otherwise one is left simply with impressions arising from the immediacy and the originality of the present. Indeed, the way in which our modern vision is refracted can lead to the belief that there has been a very particular and specific increase in disasters. But the historian’s approach gives priority to the importance of context and demands that each event and situation be resituated within its own specific temporal and social framework, which takes into account economic, social, political, scientific, and technical conditions. Such comparisons frequently highlight continuities and ruptures, or at least changes, in those conditions over time. For when we speak of risk or of natural disaster, we are referring to meteorological, geological, and biological events exclusively in terms of their relation to human societies. For the historian, taking an interest in so-called natural hazards is of value only in the context of a dialogue between a social system and ecosystems. At the same time, to study environmental risks is to deal with a theme that lends itself particularly to dialectical approaches based on time scales, something dear to our discipline. Risks link the immediate moment—in which the exceptional (but not necessarily disastrous) or recurring event is an accomplished fact—with extended time—in which knowledge and experience wrestle with memory and amnesia—connecting present and past to a negotiated future.49 How Contemporary Societies Make Use of the Memories of Natural Disasters “Nothing like it has been seen within living memory.” This expression has been widely used in European news coverage of several disasters that have occurred in France over the past decade. These events included the violent storm of 1999 and a series of floods in Provence and in the Aude and the Gard regions of southern France. The formula is invoked every time a community is overwhelmed by a natural event, even when it does not necessarily qualify as an exceptional climatic phenomenon. Torrential rains routinely hit the Mediterranean at certain seasons, known as the “Cévennes spates,” and yet reporters invariably describe these rains as extraordinary. While they are indeed extraordinary, they are so as a result of the destruction caused by vio-

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lent downpours in areas that are unprotected or not considered at risk, rather than simply as measured against the flow of water courses or of major rivers which have been canalized. Put more precisely, there is a feeling in the air of witnessing a renewal of natural disasters and the threat of fresh outbreaks, dangerous, previously unknown, yet at the same time repetitive, which place people’s lives and property in danger. These invocations once again place memory at the heart of social practice, a memory that, in its current state of overuse, is invoked or convoked by various actors. We are firmly within the frame of that “tyranny of memory” described by Pierre Nora and Phillipe Joutard that informs every aspect of social life, including some sectors where it would be least expected.50 In fact, complementary to what has been said on this theme in a general way, it was not until quite recently that memory of natural risks was included among the subjects commonly treated by the historian. What, then, can the historian make of this type of memory, whether of past disasters or impending ones—in other words, a threat that is more or less realized? As always with memory, it must be considered in all its dimensions as well as in its double function of memory-source and memoryobject. In the first place, memory contributes a certain amount of knowledge of events and natural hazards. It is this dimension that is generally recognized by the other precise or human sciences, which leaves the historian with the task of drawing up a detailed chronology of events that complements available archival records. Memory, while it makes valuable factual contributions, serves a much more important function by preserving subjective experience and perception of the event, often expressed in terms of danger, whether accepted, expected, or disregarded, which constitutes what we propose to call “the time of risk.” How does one live with this risk? How does one deal with it and who is responsible for this? How do the different participants behave in the face of this danger? What are the various social expectations with regard to protection, bearing in mind the level of shared knowledge about phenomena and of understanding about the nature of responsibility and its exercise? This also includes questions about the costs of protection, the liability for destruction or damages, and whether or not development of a risk-management strategy is regarded as an urgent matter. Thus, if the historian is to forge a new path and offer a different type of contribution, it is above all as an analyst of the uses to which memory is put by past and present societies with regard to climatic risk. How effective is memory over time and in relation to the different

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groups within a given society? This is a thought-provoking and incisive point of departure for an analysis of humans’ understanding of catastrophe and of how they have dealt with natural hazards over the centuries. Such an analysis will allow us to better understand how communities react in the face of risk and to determine how and why a community preserves, modifies, transmits, or erases the memory of exceptional or recurring events as well as the solutions adopted over time to deal with them, which collectively might be called by the generic term risk culture.51 We thus have, as far as risks are concerned, the essential prism through which to examine the relationship between men and their territory. We are not, of course, taking the line of reductive determinism but reminding ourselves that nature and its limits, material as well as cultural, are an important parameter for man, in which place and birth and the manner in which he defines them are continuously evolving. It is from this point that we will assess how man has used this relationship with nature, sometimes as an ally and sometimes as an opponent of an environment that above all he desires to control. The Historian as Analyst of Memory One of the historian’s principal tasks is to analyze the sources from which he works. To appraise critically the evidence of witnesses, and indeed of any other type of archive, is vital to the discipline of history and distinguishes it from other human sciences that utilize the same documentary evidence. Memory cannot avoid this necessary process. As unprocessed information, memory constitutes a raw material that the historian is obliged to question and analyze. To ignore this necessity demonstrates a lack of understanding of memory’s nature and status. However, we must bear in mind certain obvious facts: “Memory is a mixture of the true, the experienced, the learned and the imagined.” The complexity, richness, and power of memory are all expressed in Joseph Goy’s formula. Whoever the witness may be, the account he gives is always a reconstruction in the present of events that occurred in the past informed by a hope for the future. By using the word reconstruction, we define from the outset the level of communication. What is being presented is not reality but a description of experience that is simultaneously individual, familial, and social, an account that has been rewritten as refracted by a specific intellectual and psychological prism. This memory depends heavily on knowledge that has been transmitted either by traditional means—in church, school, scholarly publications, or print journalism—or by newer forms of communication—radio, telephone, television, Internet, and satellite.

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And it is the historian who must submit this complex record to a critical analysis. He must deconstruct it—in other words, he must as far as possible pinpoint what has been omitted, distorted, exaggerated, obscured, or misrepresented, not simply in order to invalidate them and identify them as suspect, thereby rendering the account unreliable, but to interpret them and to make sense of the communication. This analysis must adhere to two principles: reality (that is, relativity) and truth (or, as we prefer to say, rigor and scientific objectivity). The examples produced by various research programs only serve to confirm this position, whether they relate to the avalanche at Clavans in Oisans or to the floods that affected the high Alpine valleys in 1957.52 On every occasion eyewitness testimony and memory are conveying something other than a simple account of the event. In the first case, the inevitable exaggerations in the description of the phenomenon and the highly colored interpretations of its causes are in the end no more than a protective screen, a means of creating a wall of silence and of resisting the solutions put forward by administrators and government officials, who went so far as to propose abandoning the village altogether in order to avoid all future risk of avalanche. Attempting to understand the sense of words and attitudes by scrutinizing the witness material opens up alternative explanations. This avalanche scarred the local people profoundly, in a way that was both immediate and lasting, because it happened in a place where such a thing had never occurred “in living memory” and where the natural protection of the rock had hitherto been effective. The feeling therefore arose that since neither common sense nor traditional knowledge offered any explanation, only quite exceptional causes could explain the disaster. This feeling was all the more powerful because the reasons advanced by the different agencies involved, particularly the figures known to locals as the “learned men of Grenoble,” did not satisfy the residents of Clavans. This episode of the avalanche, the ensuing operation to deal with the damage, and the way in which it was remembered threw into sharp relief competing schemes for the village’s future development (the role and the type of tourism, for example) and, more broadly speaking, the incompatible interests of retired people with no children or second-home owners and the rest. Finally, this event and its portrayal in the national press expressed in different ways not only the lack of understanding between the administration (whether at departmental or national level) and the inhabitants but also the problems of a rural mountain village.

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The facts and the events may be incontestable, but it is the interpretation of them by eyewitnesses and those who were directly or indirectly affected by them that is open to reassessment and rewriting. This is a fascinating but complex task. The difficulty lies in the fact that, where natural risks are concerned, we sometimes find ourselves confronted with painful memories of loss and even death, while what is at stake is not simply whether people can continue to inhabit a certain place but also of the political, economic, and social factors that influence the administration of regional areas. A comparable situation arose at the time of the disastrous floods of 1957 in the Queyra (Hautes-Alpes). Although no one died, property losses were great, the landscape was physically scarred, and the terrain was permanently altered.53 Furthermore, the floods arrived within the context of economic difficulties common to all the high Alpine valleys: the end of a traditional agro-pastoral society and its replacement by a modern tourism-based economy. Wreaking severe and sometimes irreversible damage to the land that could be cultivated and the means of production, the floods dealt the deathblow in a situation that even before the disaster had become precarious.54 In the many animated accounts of these floods, the terms used are not those of simple narration but constitute a dramatized retelling of a painful experience, reawakened by the interview. The theme of death is linked to that of renewal, or to that of individual and regional survival. These events pose de facto the relentless question of the community’s future. The various oral and written memoirs of those days retain a strong dramatic element. The year 1957 is one of those dates that has become fixed in the collective memory.55 Thus the accounts of a disaster testify to the intensity and gravity of an event that, by its particular features and above all by the feelings it aroused, has imprinted itself on the memory of those who experienced it. But investigations have shown that this impression is periodically refreshed by the retelling of family memories and by the appearance of new landmarks, in particular the landscapes produced by reconstruction or modification to repair damage done by the flood or as a consequence of new preventive measures undertaken by the administration. This memory is also reinforced by all those scholars who, whether or not they personally witnessed the disaster, write accounts of it that define the parameters within which memory operates.56 In a different category, we also have various works by scientists, descriptions in tourist brochures or magazines, and even temporary exhibitions that, with photographs and contemporary documentation to support them, give a fresh slant to memory and knowledge.

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Memory and the Culture of Risk: Living with Risk and Dealing with Accidents of Fate Another approach to this notion of the “culture of risk” is to consider what is known about risks. For some years now there has appeared to be an increase in the number of disastrous events that have occurred or that have featured in the news media. This media coverage demonstrates the degree to which such phenomena are now at the heart of what, for simplicity’s sake, one may call social demand, with its corollary of the emergence of the notion of risk. Yet the knowledge of traditional societies shows that they also were accustomed to live with a “time of risk” likely at any moment to endanger lives, crops, and property, and with the capacity ultimately to affect, either briefly or permanently, the survival of entire societies. To offset this uncertainty, premodern societies developed a knowledge of hazards and unpredictable events, a knowledge acquired through experience and through repetition of the actions and practices devised to cope with them. Memory was the irreplaceable tool used to make successive generations aware of this knowledge and these practices. In fact, for those facing such danger, to speak of a “time of risk” was to integrate the notions of anticipating, ignoring, and enduring catastrophe—in short, the notion of knowledge based on experience of danger and its various manifestations and on the transmission of such information. Without overstating the importance of the common knowledge of ordinary people, we must remind ourselves of their very considerable role in accumulating the knowledge of risks. These types of knowledge are not easily accessible through the standard archives, which often contain no more than the observations and opinions of administrative bodies and the elites responsible for managing the disaster zone. These factors leave the impression that this popular knowledge survives only through oral transmission. Yet community archives, particularly those of mountain communities, testify that attention was paid to these phenomena to the extent of duly recording them in newspapers and in private and public documents.57 These narratives are not confined to the category of simple description or a record of the area’s physical condition, even on those occasions when their authors are clearly seeking financial aid or tax relief. They also propose explanations, showing how at a very early date the natural elements had been taken into account in the communal running of the village. Practices current in the various regions provide another demonstration of this type of common knowledge. There is, for example, the way in which people moved around, choosing different roads in winter and

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in summer as well as different days and times, patterns that were well known to the inhabitants of the valley of Chamonix. Knowing when and when not to use particular roads was the result of long empirical practice and close observation of natural phenomena, experience that was handed down from one generation to the next. An even better example can be seen in how houses were sited, the construction methods and materials used to build them, and the presence of characteristic features (such as oratory or cross), which to our eyes often appears as no more than the embodiment of primitive superstition. Above all is the matter of land management, such as terracing or the maintenance of water courses, tracks, and woodland, the importance of which to the struggle against flooding or avalanches was well understood. In fact, when we look more closely at the attitudes of premodern peoples, it is clear that their settlement of the land was conceived in the context of long-term management. This knowledge remains on an experimental footing and does not conform to conventional scientific standards—in other words, it cannot predict a disaster’s occurrence or provide precise measurements of its extent and intensity. For this reason it has frequently been viewed as simplistic, something that can be disregarded; this tendency to undervalue and even dismiss traditional knowledge became more pronounced with the development of technical and scientific knowledge about disasters. And yet each time we analyze those attitudes considered aberrant by the urban elite, we find that traditional populations adopted an approach different from the passive, fatalistic one that is commonly and disparagingly attributed to them. It is more the case that an acceptance of accidents of fate goes hand in hand with an acceptance of risk in a precise context. What we have is a system of logic that constitutes what might be called the notion of accepted and acceptable risk. Issues of Memory: Between Consigning History and Memory to Oblivion and Putting Them to Practical Use We have already said that the memory of risks concerns past events that are likely to recur, either predictably or randomly, and which may retain either the imprint of regular climatic cycles or, conversely, that of exceptional phenomena that disrupt the functioning of societies. It illuminates and explains changes in conditions together with the causes, effects, and present conditions. In this sense memory has proved its effectiveness. When studying the articulation between current systems of hazard management and the older methods formerly in use, we are pre-

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sented with multiple interested parties, whether area residents, political administrators at every level from local to national, or scientists and technicians from the various government offices charged with implementing current policies. So we have different types of memories, and this makes the work of the historian that much more complex, since with the theme of risk he increasingly finds himself in the thick of issues that go beyond the scope of his scientific and academic work. “We know a great deal about things, all we have to do is ask ourselves the right questions.”58 This is a significant reflection on the fact that whatever those concerned have to say may be either deliberately or unwittingly obscure, depending on who is asking the questions and whether or not the interviewer shares the narrators’ knowledge or their doubts in a given case. Granted, the historian’s discipline enables him to work around gaps or omissions;59 one of his first questions bears precisely on the quality and the sense of what has been omitted. Who has left something out and why? And sometimes even more important than what has been omitted from the narrative is why nothing has been said about it. Various complementary hypotheses can be put forward. The typical omission may be due to the passage of time, related to the fact that the climatic event appears normal or of little importance and has therefore not been encoded in the individual and collective memory—one might call this a commonplace omission. Conversely, something may be deliberately left out, which is not to say that it is entirely absent, an event that the witness refuses to recall or even to envisage; if he does mention it, he does so only indirectly. The deliberate omission is very often linked to the needs or to the interests of the area’s administration. In those regions where tourist development and revenue from land support the local economy, risks and the events to which they relate become political issues of the first importance.60 Silence is therefore a response to protect or even to connive in a common interest that is understood and accepted. It is absolutely necessary to understand the fundamental reasons for omissions. The first form of omission, the typical “act of forgetting,” occurs after a disaster that has brought in its wake personal or collective traumatism. Other forms of omission contribute to social functioning. We observe the paradox that, in a society where there is more discussion of risk and a greater accumulation of knowledge than ever before, and where the intervention of experts is daily more apparent, both forgetting and deliberately obscuring certain types of knowledge occur much more frequently. We may discern here a form of omission linked to a firm belief in the new types of knowledge—science and technology.

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To affirm the preeminence of scientific and technical knowledge is to confine its mastery to experts. It is also to take a line that logically implies a rivalry between knowledge and its affirmation, by distinguishing between those who are authorized to speak and the rest of us. Since the end of the nineteenth century and particularly over the past fifty years, as systems of technical and scientific knowledge of phenomena have been developed, so also has their mastery been confined to accredited institutions. Let us take as an example avalanche forecast charts, which were introduced right at the beginning of the twentieth century. Their implementation was strongly reinforced just after a deadly series of avalanches in 1970. The inquiries that led to the establishment of the Enquête Permanente des Avalanches (Permanent Enquiry into Avalanches, known as the EPA) and the drawing up of the Carte de Localisation Probable des Avalanches (Chart of the Probable Location of Avalanches) were generally entrusted to officials from the Office National des Forêts (the National Forestry Department or ONF, which succeeded the Department of Water and Forests) and coordinated by Cemagref.61 Over that area of territory for which they were responsible, these officials had to draw up a system indicating the location of events that they then recorded in documents with corresponding maps, from which other specialized maps were generated with the aid of accurate geophysical models. These officials have become the recognized experts in the field, the people one must see when it is necessary to obtain accurate information on the nature of a terrain and its risks and then to produce zoning maps in relief. In a way, they have taken over the function of keepers of memory and of local knowledge to whom experts in the various administrations turn whenever they are required to draw up documents or set up inquiries. Their evidence is always considered more reliable than that of the local inhabitants, which is treated with reservation and considered too far-fetched. There is a nice continuity with the comments or the attitudes of their predecessors, the officials of the nineteenth century Department of Water and Forests or Department for the Restoration of Mountain Territory (La Restauration des Terrains de Montagne, or RTM). In order to implement a policy of land conservation, to avoid landslides, and to protect villages from the dreaded floods, these officials analyzed, mapped, and photographed numerous terrains, without letting the inhabitants know which areas they were studying. This symbolized the whole thrust of the reforestation policy to which central government was committed after the introduction of the Code Forestier of 1827 and the laws on reforestation of 1860 (completed in 1864) and

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of 1882. This policy allowed the government agencies, those already established in the eighteenth century (the departments of intendance, of water and forests, and, at the end of the century, of bridges and highways) and those that were inaugurated over the course of the nineteenth century (prefectural departments and the RTM, associated with the Department of Water and Forests62) to make risk the business of the expert and to take over its management for themselves.63 During the nineteenth century a genuine policy of land management developed, based on and legitimated by the Forest Code of 1827 and the law on common land.64 The fight against natural risks was not the sole objective of this policy. The Forest Code made provision for forests in state and especially in community ownership to pass into the care of the Department of Water and Forests. This law was enacted in 1827 under the monarchy, which faced heavy demands for wood to supply the metallurgical and shipbuilding industries. The aim was to undertake a large-scale exploitation of the forests, which would be achieved through complete redevelopment, since they are described as being in a dreadful condition. This proposal led forest officials to make a very biased argument in which they blamed gulley erosion on overexploitation of the right of pasturage and of common land. The most famous of these men, Alexandre Surell, regarded by forest officials and the RTM as the “founding father” of the policy of reforestation, set the general tone in his work A Study of the Watercourses in the HautesAlpes (Étude sur les torrents des Hautes-Alpes [1838]).65 The policy of forest officials during the nineteenth century consisted entirely of a sustained struggle against the right of pasture and the exploitation of Alpine grazing. The RTM’s administrative archives are particularly explicit about the way in which its members built up the notion of risk, particularly in the mountain villages.66 The argument advanced was that the forests constituted the only defense against gulley erosion and the one reliable protection for the settlements against avalanches. This argument has stood the test of time, and traces of it are to be found in the memories of officials of the Department of Water and Forests through those of the RTM right up to the civil servants of the ONF and active land developers. However, this is a complicated question, since several local communities also support the position that the forest plays a protective role, sometimes even in opposition to the administration when it intervenes to exploit these same forests.67 Yet it is the inhabitants who, on account of their agro-pastoral practices, are generally held responsible for the erosion of the mountain slopes, the changing character of the terrain, and the increasing number of disastrous phenomena.

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It is interesting to see the great continuity in state policy despite the different contexts, and just as interesting to see officials still making the same arguments, even if the terms have been brought up to date. Risk has become a matter for experts and scientists specializing in earth sciences. In parallel, the development of technical expertise and of geophysical knowledge progressively nurtured the ideas that it was possible to control the effects of hazards and to guarantee protection from all disasters. A genuine specialist memory, not only that of the administration but also of the experts, has thus been built up. These experts have, in a sense, appropriated the culture of risk, telling the inhabitants what they should do, what policies they should follow, and what emergency actions and preventive measures they should undertake. At the same time, the installation of flood defense structures has changed attitudes toward threat by distancing it from the sphere of daily life: this constitutes yet another factor contributing to its gradual erasure from men’s memory. Faced with this break between the different types of knowledge, inhabitants often have the feeling that their memory should be kept only for those who understand it and think it worthy of consideration. The reactions arising from this feeling are familiar to anyone who conducts interviews—silence or the laughter that leads to exaggeration or ironic comments, a typical defensive reaction, often poorly understood by a researcher who is either too rushed or too “highbrow.”68 In many cases the silence is only superficial and is broken as soon as the witness recognizes that his or her memories are highly valued and of genuine interest to the researcher.

CONCLUSIONS In sum, any historical research on natural risk dictates skepticism about both a simplistic view of premodern societies’ passivity in the face of threat and of a Manichaeism that opposes memory to modern knowledge of these risks. In times past, just as today, by opposing technical knowledge to empirical knowledge and those who possess knowledge to those who do not, we deprive ourselves of riches that can enable us to comprehend and analyze complex phenomena which cannot be formulated simply as models to be applied, however carefully these may be worked out. There is de facto a true complementarity that we must take into account in a critical way while recognizing that no single form of knowledge has the capacity to provide a complete solution. Just as we should not regard the ignorance and

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passivity of bygone societies as the opposite of the well-thought-out management strategies of contemporary technical societies, so neither should we fail to review from scratch data obtained from memory. Every one of these memories (scientific, technical, empirical, written, oral, iconographic) is telling us something that invariably depends on the presuppositions of the originator. Distortion, or we may prefer the word bias, is inherent in every argument, in what is said or omitted or discounted. The nature of the memory of risk and the notion of the “culture of risk” vary in accord with the practical approach to hazard that in turn depends on the historical period and on the interests and actors involved—in short, according to contemporary issues of power. We must then attempt to seize the sense of these accounts and to understand why the individual and, beyond him, the group omits or distorts. While the historian is accustomed to doing this, he must do so with rigor, honesty, and modesty, always remaining aware that he himself is incapable of comprehending the entire reality of the phenomenon. This effort is worth making, however, if it means that riskmanagement policies can be more effectively analyzed and applied.

NOTES 1. Emmanuel Le Roy Ladurie, Histoire du climat depuis l’an mil (Paris: Flammarion, 1967); Histoire humaine et comparée du climat. I: Canicule et glaciers, XIIIe–XVIIIe (Paris: Fayard, 2004). 2. Serge Briffaud, “Vers une nouvelle histoire des catastrophes,” Sources et travaux historiques 33 (1993). Unless otherwise noted, all translations from French to English have been made by the authors. 3. Marcel Lachiver, Les années de misère: La famine au temps du Grand Roi, 1680–1720 (Paris: Fayard, 1991). 4. Jean Delumeau, La peur en Occident, XIVe–XVIIIe siècles: Une cité assiégée (Paris: Fayard, 1978). 5. Charles Desplat, “Pour une histoire des risques naturels dans les Pyrénées occidentales françaises sous l’Ancien Régime,” in Les catastrophes naturelles dans l’Europe médiévale et moderne: Actes des XVe Journées internationales d’histoire de l’Abbaye de Flaran, 10,11 et 12 septembre 1993, Bartolomé Bennassar, ed. (Toulouse: Presses universitaires du Mirail, 1996), 115–63. 6. Grégory Quenet, Les tremblements de terre en France aux XVIIe et XVIIIe siècles: Une histoire sociale du risque, two vols., Ph.D. diss. (University of Paris 1—Panthéon-Sorbonne, 2001). 7. Corinne Beck and Robert Delort, eds., Pour une histoire de l’environnement: travaux du programme interdisciplinaire de recherche sur l’environnement (Paris: CNRS Editions, 1993); Robert Delort and François

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Walter, Histoire de l’environnement européen (Paris: Presses Universitaires de France, 2001). 8. Georges Pichard, Espaces et nature en Provence: L’environnement rural 1540–1789, Ph.D. diss. (University of Aix-Marseille 1—University of Provence, 1999). 9. Pichard, Espaces et nature en Provence; Jérôme Buridant, Les espaces forestiers laonnois (début XVIIe–début XIXe siècle): Hommes, environnement et paysages à l’époque pré-industrielle, three vols., Ph.D. diss. (Université de Lille III, 2000); Emmanuel Garnier, Terre de conquêtes: La forêt vosgienne sous l’ancien régime (Paris: Fayard, 2004); Andrée Corvol-Dessert, “Grand vents et patrimoine arboré, XXVIe–XXe siècle,” manuscript report (2003). We can also recall certain works by historians of antiquity; see, for example, Philippe Leveau, “Le Rhône romain: Dynamiques fluviales, dynamiques territoriales,” Gallia 56 (1999): 1–175. 10. Jean-Marc Antoine, Bertrand Desailly, and Jean-Paul Métailié, “La chronologie des crues et phénomènes torrentiels dans les Pyrénées (XXVIIIe–XXe siècles): Premiers résultats et problèmes d’interprétation,” in Les Cahiers de l’ISARD: Risques et aménagements dans les Pyrénées, Groupement de Recherche Information Scientifique sur l’Aménagement Régional et le Développement (Toulouse: Presses universitaires du Mirail, 1993), 31–58. 11. Jean-Marc Antoine, La catastrophe oubliée: Les avatars de l’inondation, du risque et de l’aménagement dans la vallée de l’Ariège (Pyrénées françaises, fin XVIIe–XXe siècle), Ph.D. diss. (Toulouse, 1992); see also the works of Bertrand Desailly, Crues et inondations en Roussillon: Le risque et l’aménagement (fin du XVIIe siècle—milieu du XXe siècle) (Paris: Nanterre, 1990); and Nancy Meschinet de Richemond, Les inondations catastrophiques sur la bordure montagneuse du Roussillon dégats et sinistrés, Ph.D. diss. (Universitè de Paris X—Nanterre, 1997). 12. Christian Pfister, Wetternachhersage: 500 Jahre Klimavariationen und Naturkatastrophen, 1496–1995 (Bern, Switzerland: Haupt, 1999); and Christian Pfister, ed., Le jour d’après. Surmonter les catastrophes naturelles: le cas de la Suisse entre 1500 et 2000 (Bern, Switzerland: Haupt, 2002). 13. Maurice Champion, Les inondations en France depuis le VIe siécle jusqu’a nos jours, six vols. (Paris: V. Dalmont, 1858–64); this classic work was reissued in a modern edition by Cemagref in 2000. 14. Journal historique sur les matières du temps, mai 1711; Journal historique et politique des principaux événements de l’Europe 2 (October 1772). 15. Nicole Castan, Criminalité et litiges sociaux en Languedoc de 1690 à 1730, MA thesis (Université de Toulouse, 1966), 185–86. 16. J. Céard, “Au regard de la nature et de l’histoire,” in Jean Delumeau and Yves Lequin, Les malheurs des temps: Histoire des fléaux et des calamités en France (Paris: Larousse, 1987), 388. 17. Denis Coeur, La maîtrise des inondations dans la plaine de Grenoble (XVIIe–XXe siècles): Enjeux techniques, politiques et urbains, Ph.D. diss. (University of Pierre Mendès France—Grenoble 2, 2003), 265, 192. 18. Jean-Luc Laffont, “La catastrophe dans l’univers mental des Toulousains

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à l’époque moderne: Éclairages sur un aspect de l’évolution du sentiment religieux,” Bulletin de literature ecclésiastique 101, no. 1 (2000): 53–82. 19. A.D. Isère, II C 816/20, quoted in Coeur, La maîtrise des inondations, 91. 20. A.D. Isère, B 2922, Generalia, t 1, fol. 1r, Parliamentary Order, December 15, 1524. 21. Letter of April 11, 1770, quoted in Champion, Les inondations en France depuis le VIe siécle, 4:231–32. 22. Anne-Marie Cocula, Un fleuve et des hommes: Les gens de Dordogne au XVIIIe siècle (Paris: J. Tallandier, 1981), 36–45. 23. “De Diluvio et rerum mulatione ab astologis predictarum pro anno MVCXXIIII, mense februario,” quoted in Jean-Joseph-Antoine Pilot de Thorey, Grenoble inondé (Grenoble, 1859), 20. 24. Annales de la ville de Toulouse, two vols. (1701), vol. 2, passim. 25. Rubys, Histoire de Lyon (Lyon, 1604), fol. 509r. 26. A.D. Isère, III E 1108/7, Me. Jean-François Marchand. 27. Isabelle Backouche, La trace du fleuve: La Seine et Paris (1750–1850) (Paris: Éditions de l’École des hautes études en sciences sociales, 2000), 98–103. 28. Annales de la ville de Toulouse, two vols. (1701), 2:102. 29. Quoted in Champion, Les inondations en France depuis le VIe siécle, 4:20. 30. Serge Briffaud, “Le savant, l’Etat et le catastrophe. L’émergence d’une nouvelle approche des sinistres à travers une relation du ‘prodigieux débordement’ de 1678,” in Les cahiers de l’Isard, Risques et aménagements dans les Pyrénées, Articles of the Symposium of Foi and Pau 1990 (Toulouse, 1993), 15–29. 31. Nicolas Chorier, Histoire générale du Dauphiné, two vols. (A Grenoble, 1661–1672), vol. 1 (“Causes des débordements de Rhône”). 32. Letter from Colbert to Intendant Lebret, November 10, 1684, quoted in Eugène-Jean-Marie Vignon’s Etudes historiques sur l’administration des voies publiques en France aux XVIIe et XVIIIe siècles, four vols. (Paris: Dunod, 1862–1880), Pièces justificatives, 2:320. Denis Coeur offers a debatable interpretation of this letter on page 168 of his La maîtrise. 33. Rulings of December 20, 1651; September 7 and 20, 1655; August 2, 1672; and December 19, 1682. 34. Quoted in Roger Dion, Histoire des levées de la Loire (Paris: n.p., 1961), 176. 35. Charles D’Aigrefeuille, Histoire de la ville de Montpellier, two vols. (1737), 1:520. 36. A. N. F 14/1201, letter, dated January 21, 1789, and addressed to Boucher, engineer responsible for dikes and embankments; Champion, Les inondations en France depuis le VIe siécle, 3:56ff. 37. Dion, Histoire des levées, 155. 38. René Favier, “Grenoble, 1219: l’inondation et les pouvoirs,” in Les pouvoirs publics face aux risques naturels dans l’histoire, René Favier, ed. (Grenoble: CNRS-MSH-Alpes, 2002), 33–37.

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39. A. N., H1/565, Letter from Intendant Dupleix, dated September 21, 1773; emphasis in original. 40. A.D. Isère, B 2315, Order Register; D. Coeur, La maîtrise des inondations, 94. 41. Decision taken by the inhabitants of the parish of Saint-Nicolas in the Saint-Cyprien quarter of Toulouse, October 18, 1772, quoted in Champion, Les inondations en France depuis le VIe siécle, 4:ccx–ccxiii (appendix no. 279); see also Cocula, Un fleuve et des hommes, 41. 42. A.N., F 14/1201, Extrait d’une relation du débordement de la Loire arrivé à Orléans le dimanche au soir, 18 janvier 1789 (Orléans, 1789), cited in Champion, Les inondations en France depuis le VIe siécle, 3:56ff. 43. See in particular S. Kaplan, Les ventres de Paris: Pouvoir et approvisionnement dans la France de l’Ancien Régime (Paris: Fayard, 1988). 44. Backouche, La trace du fleuve. 45. A.D. Isère, 26 h 60, Account of the flood of September 15, 1733. 46. J.-C. Yenne, Klägliche, quoted in Champion, Les inondations en France depuis le VIe siècle, 5:46. 47. A. D. Bas Rhin, C 134, Minutes of the subdelegate of Wissembourg, July 6, 1778, quoted in Champion, Les inondations en France depuis le VIe siècle, 4:v–viii (appendix 290). 48. A. D. Indre-et-Loire, C 265; A.N., F 14/1202. 49. This summary is an adaptation of Braudel’s theory of temporality. On this particular subject, one must also add the complexity of temporalities varying in accordance with risks, which brings into play different scales of human and of geological time. 50. Pierre Nora, “The Era of Commemoration” in Realms of Memory: The Construction of the French Past, ed. Pierre Nora and Lawrence D. Kritzman, trans. Arthur Goldhammer, three vols. (New York: Columbia University Press, 1998), 3:609–37, esp. 637. 51. For more discussion of what constitutes a risk culture, see René Favier and Anne-Marie Granet-Abisset, eds., Histoire et mémoire des risques naturels (Grenoble: CNRS-MSH-Alpes, 2000); and Gérard Brugnot and AnneMarie Granet-Abisset, eds., Avalanches et risques: Regards croisés d’ingénieurs et d’historiens (Grenoble: CNRS-MSH-Alpes, 2002). 52. For more information on the 1957 avalanche at Clavans, see AnneMarie Granet-Abisset, “Histoire et mémoire: A propos d’une enquête du terrain,” in Brugnot and Granet-Abisset, eds., Avalanches et risques, 113–32. 53. J. Montredon, Une crue, une date: Juin 1957 dans le Queyras, Ph.D. diss (University of Pierre Mandès France—Grenoble 2, 1998). 54. See the assessment made by René Dumont in Voyages en France d’un agronome (Paris: Librairie de Médicis, 1951) in the section titled “L’agonie du Haut-Queyras,” edited 1969. 55. Anne-Marie Granet-Abisset, La route réinventée: Les migrations des Queyrassins aux XIXe et XXe siècles (Grenoble: Presses Universitaire Grenoble, 1994), 73–74, 213. 56. This is particularly so in the case of C. Fournier, a native of Ceillac

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who was not present during the events. Nonetheless, she constantly describes them in her different works, as in the one we have quoted previously. From this point of view, the different editions of Queyras d’hier et d’aujourd’hui are particularly interesting. We have more recently the case of A. Borel de Ristolas, who was present during the flooding. Speaking in general, these learned works, which are circulating freely, play a more important role with regard to the memory of risks than other “scientific” works, such as those of geographers, which remain confidential. 57. See in particular the very informative archive of the commune of Vallorcin or, to get away from a purely French context, those studied by M.-C. Busset-Henchoz and P. Schoeneich, Les Ormonans et les Leysenouds face aux risques naturels: Représentation des risques naturels et des stratégies d’occupation du territoire dans la Vallée des Ormonts (Préalpes vaudoises) (Zurich: Hochschulverlag AG an der ETH, 1998). See also the so-called “Transitons dans le Queyras,” private journals that are not confined to a description of the writer’s personal concerns but which cover in a general way the whole range of important events relating to the valley. Cf. A. D. Hautes-Alpes, series E538–550, or extracts from Jean Tivollier and Pierre Isnel, Le Queyras: Hautes-Alpes (Marseilles: Lafitte, 1977). 58. M. Burnet, interview of October 2000. 59. Anne-Marie Granet-Abisset, “La connaissance des risques naturels: quand les sciences redécouvrent l’histoire,” in Favier and Granet-Abisset, eds., Histoire et mémoire des risques, 36–69. 60. See the factors identified in Brugnot and Granet-Abisset, eds., Avalanches et risques, passim. 61. See D. Strazzeri and G. Borrel, “Enquiries for the Establishment of a Data Base: The Example of Avalanches,” in Brugnot and Granet-Abisset, eds., Avalanches et risques, 95–104. 62. These agencies, which were specially created in 1885 in the Alpine administrative regions, were charged by the Department of Water and Forests with combating gulley erosion. 63. Anne-Marie Granet-Abisset, Les usages de la mémoire et les représentations de l’histoire dans les sociétés alpines contemporaines, Ph.D. diss. (Université de Paris 1, Panthéon-Sorbonne, 2002); and “La tradition de la ‘confiscation’ des terres à usage collectif. DE la RTM aux Parcs naturels: L’Exemple de quelques hautes vallées alpines” (forthcoming). 64. On this subject, see the works of Nadine Vivier-Plisson, “Le débat autour des communaux durant la crise du milieu du XIXe siécle” in La terre et la Cité: Mélanges offertes à Philippe Vigier, Maurice Agulhon, Alain Faure, Alain Plessis, and Jean Claude Farcy, eds. (Paris: Créaphis, 1994), 67–83; and, in particular, Nadine Vivier and Alain Corbin, Propriété collective et identité communale: Les biens communaux en France, 1750–1914 (Paris: Publications de la Sorbonne, 1998). 65. Alexandre Surell, Etude sur les torrents des Hautes-Alpes (Paris: Carilian-Goeury and V. Dalmont, 1841); René Favier, ed., Surell et la restauration des terrains de montagne, special issue of Annales des Ponts et Chaussées

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103 (July–December 2003): 1–96. In fact, Surell’s analysis is more nuanced, but only the type of argument of which this quotation is typical has been retained. 66. Departmental archives, series 5 P; see also the presentation in Avalanches et risques. 67. A. D. Haute-Savoie, 7 M 723 (Vallorcine), Délibérations communales and the archives of Eaux et forêts. 68. Jean-Noël Pelen, “Du progress: Emerveillements, aveuglements, résistances,” in Le Temps bricolé: Les représentations du Progrès (XIXe–XXe siècles), Jean-Noël Pelen et Anne-Marie Granet-Abisset, eds. (Grenoble: Centre Alpin et Rhodanien d’Ethnologie, 2001), 7–23.

5

Humanitarianism and Colonialism Religious Responses to the Algerian Drought and Famine of 1866–1870 Bertrand Taithe

France’s second colonial empire began in earnest in 1830 with the invasion of Algiers. Over the next hundred years the empire grew in Africa and constituted the largest continuous political territory on that continent. Settling in Africa was not without hazards, and a number of historians have highlighted the high mortality rates of the colonial enterprise for the troops and would-be settlers.1 Like much of Africa, Algeria was a land of endemic ailments until at least the mid-twentieth century; enteritis, dysentery, and malaria were rife.2 As a result of pilgrimages and relatively frequent population moves, great epidemics recurred before the French invasion: the bubonic plague struck in 1784, 1787–1789, 1790–1791, 1793–1799, 1817; and significant harvest failures undermined the political order in 1805 and again in 1815–1817.3 Sparsely populated, Algeria acquired the status of a French settlement colony that might match British imperial schemes.4 From 1848 onward it became increasingly assimilated to the metropolitan political entity, to the point of being turned into three departments named after their major cities from west to east: Oran, Algiers, and Constantine. This political assimilation masked a number of important unresolved issues: the conquest of Algeria was not over until the very late 1850s, any “pacification” was patchy, and regular uprisings led to extensive reprisal campaigns in the mid-1860s. Furthermore, the nature of the colony, established along the seashore, meant that pastoralists could retreat to the largely deserted hinterland. The conquest of the Sahara,

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insofar as it was ever realized, began with the occupation of Laghouat in 1852 but did not gain momentum until the end of the nineteenth century and the beginning of the twentieth century. From a geographical point of view Algeria is a diverse country with some mountainous areas in the eastern region of Kabylia; narrow fertile plains near the shore; extensive semi-arid areas beyond the Atlas mountain range, which follows in parallel to the coast; and, further south, the desert, dotted with a number of fertile oases. The climate of Algeria has long been noted for its unpredictability, with few good growing seasons, many mediocre ones, and regular failures. Rain often appears late, falling too sparingly or too vigorously, leading to flash floods along the dried-up riverbeds, or oueds. When the French colonized, they encountered a diverse population whose ethnic and religious groups the colonizers further classified and analyzed in racial and cultural terms: the Arabs living in cities or under tents in a pastoral economy, the Berber-speaking Kabyles (meaning “tribesmen” in Turkish) in the villages of the mountainous east, the urban Jews, and groups affiliated with the Turkish janissaries and administration that dominated the Beylik prior to the invasion. In the south a strict Islamic sect known as the M’Zab, which kept its people isolated, dominated some of the oases. Much of the historical debate has focused on the ethnographic lore that the French imaginatively compiled over the first forty years of occupation and particularly on the manner in which the colonizers claimed to recognize in Kabylia the essential features of a primitive but assimilable agrarian society.5 The occupiers often described the Arabs in the plains and the more nomadic groups who had nevertheless created the most advanced “state” around the Emir Abd-El-Kader as more unruly and alien. The dominant feature of Algeria, beyond its climates and terrain, was Islam and its legal implications. Crucially, the tribal and feudal order of Algeria presented complex rules of ownership. According to Algerian authors, up to eight different modes of ownership existed, while according to modern French authors, there were only three or four.6 The Algerians distinguished between Haouchs (aristocratic holdings), Beylik or azel (state-owned near Constantine), melk (individual ownership of lands under intensive cultivation), Arsh (tribal, corporate, lineage ownership), Habus (managed by or for religious institutions), Markhzen (distributed to tribesmen for public service), Muwat (unproductive areas open to all who chose to cultivate them), and forests and bushland, which remained a common grazing and firewood resource.7 Of these, the French wished to recognize only a few categories of state property: Beylik, Arsh, Markhzen, and Habus. In fact, hardly any of

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these property rights entailed sales and modes of transmission familiar to Europeans.8 The legal framework within which ownership, transmission, and adjudication operated varied from place to place, relying on traditional law and on a multitude of village or tribal assemblies (Djeema or Tajmat) to solve conflicts at a local level. Sociologists who have studied the society of Kabylia have long debated the contradictory jurisdictions onto which the French merely added another layer while attempting to understand preexisting structures.9 In Kabylia, the French did not fully understand how property could be inherited laterally and vertically. Furthermore land sales were often affected by the application of customs preempting the purchase by someone alien to the lineage.10 Even after thirty years’ occupation, the French regarded Algeria as alien and resistant to change. The colony was divided into civilian and military territories: the former mimicked some of the French customs and largely excluded Algerians from participation in politics; the latter was under direct military rule and in particular the bureaux arabes. The bureaux arabes were military officers attached to the tribes that, thanks to their local knowledge, were able to use patronage and protection to manipulate the leading Algerian families and notables. By the mid-1860s, Napoleon III had developed an ideology of the “Arab kingdom” twinned to and subsumed within the French Empire.11 There were many tensions between the colons, who were always eager to obtain more Arab land, and the increasingly dispossessed natives. While preserving the religious and native status of the vast majority, Napoleon III’s Arabist policies had guaranteed, through the Senatus Consulte of 1863 and 1865, French citizenship to Muslims and Jews who were willing to abandon their customs and the protection of their own legal system.12 These laws also marked a step toward defining native land-ownership and to a certain extent protecting it from the colonizers.13 This legislation did not make all colonial subjects citizens, but it postulated their equality in rights with the French and European colons. In spite of Napoleon III’s ideals, the colonial establishment and the army promoted the cause of the hardworking colons against the “indolent” and occasionally “savage” natives. Recent detailed studies have dispelled the myth of a benevolent army protectorate by revealing the collusion between civilian and military elites to exploit and dispossess the colonized.14 In their interpretation of the law the bureaux arabes played a willfully disruptive role. Their policy of cantonment and reorganization of tribes into smaller units (Douars) thus displaced and mixed people from various groups and undermined traditional society by changing its boundaries.15

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Many observers in the 1860s thus saw two societies existing side by side and apparently immune to each other: a modern settler society attempting to adapt agricultural methods and ore exploitation, which nevertheless tended to be mostly urban; and a “traditional” society living in autarky on barely cultivated land and from skeletal herds. The French were connected by the sea to the homeland and benefited from a large military infrastructure; the natives survived either by integrating into the French economic structure as salaried workers on large farms and as townsfolk or by remaining isolated and living in a “traditional” manner. In fact this caricature of the situation in Algeria masked the deep structural changes inflicted by colonial rule. By the 1860s, “traditional” Algerian society no longer existed. Algeria had always belonged to the Mediterranean economic sphere, often serving as a haven for pirates and smugglers and as the terminus of sub-Saharan trade routes. Increased Western naval presence in the Mediterranean had led to the serious decline of Algiers by the time of the French invasion.16 Algerian society was in a long-term crisis as less cash flowed through it even before the French intervened. The French conquest further impoverished local society by adopting the colons’ methods of suppression, which were modeled on those used to quell the Chouan insurrection during the French Revolution and to discourage the Algerian razzias—tactics that left a trail of devastation behind them. Burning crops, felling trees, and destroying habitats were means that the French routinely employed to pressure rebellious groups into seeking a negotiated settlement. The main aim of this military and environmental terrorism was to subdue the Algerians by dominating them in the Turkish rather than the French mode—that is, by creating a relationship of vassalage rather than systematically integrating the people into French forms of control. Punishment was collective, as was taxation, even though French law condemned both modes of governance as archaic.17 If one considers that warfare had largely ended in Kabylia by 1857 and that in the south and the Oran region such reprisals had been applied as recently as 1864, it becomes obvious that Algerian territories were still under considerable ecological strain as a result of military action. In a country where crops could fail on a regular basis, there were few customary safeguards. Landed religious establishments and community leaders guaranteed institutional charity; communal silos preserved the seeds for future crops and often provided a food supply for the local paupers. Cash could also be released to ensure food entitlement and survival.18 All these moderately effective measures were under severe strain largely because of colonial rule and imposed modernization. “Traditional” society was increasingly

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disconnected from trade routes. Thirty years of war had brought about much cash impoverishment, adding to the collapse of seafaring and other ways of injecting liquidities in a predominantly rural economy. The more regular and effective forms of taxation the French exacted had often led to the partial integration of the local communities into the market by forcing them to sell their stock of grain. Ever since the 1820s, the proleptic sales of harvests that sometimes failed to appear and repay the advances made by foreign dealers had aggravated a growing “debt crisis” that was dragging down the entire economy of Algeria and Tunisia.19 As a result of wars and of the early years of colonization, religious charities and community leaders had often been punished with land confiscations. Following from the confusion surrounding the property laws, much common land had become state controlled, leading to numerous restrictions of and infringements on the uses of woodlands.20 All this contributed to the unsustainability of the colony. Like Ireland in the 1840s or many partially integrated economies since, Algeria was in a state of transition whereby the economics of a modern state further drained the resources of a failing traditional economy while new state relief operations remained limited to the urban environment.21 It is in that context that all the forms of natural hazards possible in North Africa combined with each other to form an exceptional crisis in the 1860s. In 1866 the harvest throughout Algeria had been meager, and the summer saw the beginning of a severe drought that did not abate until 1868.22 Cholera that had appeared in the 1866 pandemic had been particularly murderous in the south, where water was scarce. Typhus, then considered to be a disease particularly affecting the hungry, was rampant.23 Plagues of locusts coming from the Tunisian south and Algerian Sahara twice hit southern and southeastern Algeria. An earthquake shook Blidah in January 1867.24 That year the harvest failed entirely, and because the winter that followed was bitterly cold, many of the surviving cattle died.25 A better harvest in 1868– 1869 ended this disastrous sequence of events. Yet by 1870–1871 the financial strain of the 1866–1868 crisis had effectively bankrupted many elite families in the east of the country. At the news of the French defeat by the Germans and with the temporary cessation of military rule in Algeria, the elite of eastern Algeria prompted the last major Algerian insurrection until World War II.26 The aristocratic ElMokrani family led a revolt that became a jihad, with the majority of its supporters located in the regions most affected by the famine. The repression that followed led to mass expropriation and was undoubtedly one of the first systematic steps toward the proletarianization of

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the Algerian native population.27 The task of quantifying this crisis is extremely complex since statistical evidence from this period, reflecting the French administration’s distance from its subjects, tends to be very limited and thus unreliable. In the late 1970s and early 1980s, Djilali Sari undertook to revise upward both the estimated population of Algeria at the time of the famine and the number of fatalities it caused. Of a population that numbered about 4,200,000, Sari calculates a minimum of 820,000 victims of starvation. Previous estimates using French statistics posited a 25 percent decline of Eastern Algeria’s population, with some considerable variations depending on the locality.28 None of this constitutes a single disaster or humanitarian crisis per se, and the colonial authorities and metropolitan rulers could have considered each of its elements separately as a series of discrete disasters rather than as one major event. In 1866 and 1867 administrators followed the medical nosography and reported separately the incidence of cholera, typhus, typhoid, and hunger. The full extent of the crisis was buried in separate reports on the lack of tax revenue, public disorder, or estimates of the additional cost of maintaining Algerian paupers.29 In a colony dominated by the state but reliant on locally raised resources, administrators could not foresee any intervention other than their own. As the general commanding the province of Constantine noted, the “duties of humanity as well as the needs of politics make our intervention necessary, which alone can solve all the ills and end the unleashing of passions aroused by misery.”30 There was never any mention of a call to the public. Nevertheless, a number of key interventions in the French media and in Algeria itself made this crisis the focus of a major humanitarian operation organized by the leader of the Catholic Church in North Africa, Charles de Lavigerie. Arguably, many of the salient features of this operation have endured and are recognizable in more recent forms of humanitarian action in the postcolonial setting. A chief reason for this continuity is the historical coincidence between the Algerian crisis and the liberalization of the press in France, which meant that this catastrophe could become, as many humanitarian situations have since, a public spectacle. Through the media, relief workers facing the human tragedy in Algeria gave a global significance to a conjunction of events, a set of circumstances, and made sense of it as a story worth telling at home or, in Benthall’s words, as a “folk narrative.”31 Xavier Emmanuelli describes this situation punningly as a “theatre of operations” where the media increasingly acts alongside the humanitarian agents and sometimes without them.32

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One key ideological feature of modern humanitarianism is the propensity of its discourse to be hegemonic in the Gramscian sense of the word; another is its identification as a key feature of modernity.33 By asserting that contemporary humanitarianism tends to be hegemonic, one asserts that, while it can never actually achieve that condition, its critical tensions come from within. The debate thus bears on the good, bad, and indifferent usage of humanitarian help. It builds on a specific notion of humanity—that is, on the monogenesis of the species of mankind, a concept that emerged in anthropological and evolutionist discourse only in the late nineteenth century.34 In Algeria racial ideas faced the additional challenge of a confrontation with Islam. The colonial rulers of the Second Empire feared any trespass on the reserved social sphere of Islam, and Napoleon III chose a French convert to Islam, Ismaÿl Urbain, to advise him on Algeria. The military protectorate over a mutilated vestige of a traditional Algerian society was based on tolerance of and respect for Muslim values.35 The great insurrection in India had recently demonstrated the dangers of interfering with religion.36 The French governor general of Algeria, Marshall Mac-Mahon, himself a pure product of the bureaux arabes, even emphasized that religious education in publicly funded institutions should limit itself to the core concepts of the Old Testament, common to all, in order not to alienate any of the established religions in Algeria.37 This French alliance with the “big tent” families, the chieftains of traditional society, and the religious elite was ideologically grounded on Orientalist values that recognized in modern Algeria the remnants of a once-great culture and civilization. Napoleon III, in his long visit of 1865, had made clear that the colonizer’s intended to foster a new civilization from a fusion of the two. Comparing Algerians to Gauls and the French to the Romans, Napoleon III had implied that a new culture would emerge, and he had explicitly stated his desire to protect Islam in Algeria.38 As in sub-Saharan Africa, where the colonial regime maintained local customs (including slavery) in order to keep the colonial economy afloat, this regime could perpetuate itself only by keeping local developments discreet and by denying any open enculturation of French administrative personnel.39 Yet this same regime was ill equipped to confront such a dramatic crisis while maintaining a prosperous appearance to the outside world. Algeria’s colonial administrators had become aware of the problems afflicting the native populations, and some recognized demographic decline even before the famine. On the whole, however, French colonists were indifferent to the threat that famine posed to Arab culture. By the late 1860s many of them considered Algerian

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society as comparable to aboriginal cultures in America or Australia and regarded its demise as inevitable. Fearing that Napoleon III’s Arabkingdom policies might undermine French authority in Algeria and might slow the expected disappearance of native culture, the colonists opposed them. The decision to publicize the starving of the Algerian population under military control was therefore not a gratuitous act; rather, it presented the Arab crisis in two distinct intellectual frameworks: as a spectacle of human suffering and as the decline of an entire social group isolated from civilizing influences. Concepts of humanity thus challenged the forms of cultural relativism supported by the colonial administration and at the same time opened the way for denunciations of Arab culture on religious and even racial grounds. The second significant feature of humanitarian interventionism in the 1860s was that it functioned discursively in the French public sphere, where religion played an often-underestimated role. While humanitarian discourse is predicated on highly abstract notions of universal love and other spiritual values, its rationale is action, physical presence, and material exchange.40 This religious underpinning of a discourse of action has enabled considerable resilience to the secularizing process that continues to engulf European society. This combination created a virtuous circle of legitimacy: when the action could be criticized, the intentions could not and vice-versa.41 The association of religious motifs with humanitarian action represented an attempt to combine theological concerns with a problematic embrace of modernity, a program that also had implications in terms of rhetoric.42 In the French context, religious humanitarianism borrowed from the Counter-Reformation and Sulpician renewal of faith and its dual insistence on the sacrificial and compassionate nature of Christ.43 Secular investment in humanitarianism remained limited largely because solidarisme emphasized the state rather than charitable impulses. Yet the same imagery of the sacrificial victim also permeated the secularist discourse. In Algeria the humanitarian situation could emerge only in a propitious intellectual and political context. The first precondition related to the existence of a public sphere. The peak of the crisis coincided with the liberalization of the Second Empire and the gradual relaxation of stringent censorship rules that had dominated French media since 1849.44 The Algerian government was forced to allow more rights to a press that was openly opposed to military rule and to the regime itself.45 Yet throughout 1866 and 1867 the governor’s grip was strong enough to suppress any mention of the starvation and epidemics rife among the Algerians.46 Within the public sphere only the newly appointed archbishop of Algiers and primate of

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Africa could express dissent, and he was to prove the main architect of the humanitarian response to the famine of 1866–1868. His status as archbishop was politically empowering and exempted him from government censorship. Lavigerie was a state-nominated archbishop, but, as the minister of war regretfully noted, his appointment was not one that the state could subsequently challenge or revoke.47 Archbishop Lavigerie, who was certainly one of the most renowned French clerics of the latter nineteenth century, has been the object of a complex and controversial historiography that balances uneasily between hagiography and denunciation.48 His skills, however, remain uncontested. Among his particular talents was an ability to personally spearhead a campaign using all the modern media as well as older forms of communication, such as church sermons and religious tracts.49 As a luminary of the Catholic Church, he had at his disposal numerous channels by which to convey his messages: the parish priests of his bishopric had to read his letters from the pulpit; parishes in other bishoprics could also be instructed to do so by sympathetic bishops; pamphlets could be printed for distribution to the faithful throughout France, in sympathetic parishes elsewhere in Europe, and even in Canada; he could write open letters to leading ecclesiastical figures (such as the director of the Bureaux de l’Oeuvre des Écoles d’Orient), which might then be reprinted in national or local newspapers; and he could give interviews or publish articles in the public press.50 He also sent representatives around the world to develop his campaign, originally through Christian media.51 Combining emerging and traditional elements of French public discourse in the mid-nineteenth century, Lavigerie saturated the debate on Algeria with his descriptions of a country in crisis. This churchman proved immensely enterprising and inventive: when conflicts arose with the colonial administration, Lavigerie leaked the confidential correspondence of his political enemies to the press and did not hesitate to trigger diplomatic incidents.52 By associating humanitarian action with declining religious networks in the metropolitan territory, the Catholic Church contributed to finding a new dimension for those organizations. The missionary workers who since the seventeenth century had relied on donations to fund their work could now link appeals for charity to those commonly deployed in France, which represented significant financial commitments from and sociocultural capital for the well-to-do.53 Yet this link between charity and foreign missions necessarily modified the relationship of the gift to the beneficiary. When it came to fundraising in 1868, Lavigerie used personalized and mass mailings, sent stories about individual victims to prospective

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donors, and created notional “adoptions” of Algerian orphans by distant foster parents, who, in return for their financial support, could expect a gratifying correspondence with their protégés. This virtual fostering allowed for tailor-made gifts to reach clearly identified (if often renamed) recipients.54 Actual adoptions were seldom offered or solicited. The Bureaux de l’Oeuvre des Écoles d’Orient that oversaw the Arab schools in Lebanon and in the Turkish Empire was charged with finding adoptive “parents.” The donors were meant to provide for their “children” in exchange for la petite histoire, an annual photograph, and letters.55 While they were never meant to meet, the adoptive family was granted the privilege of naming the child at the time of the expected conversion. The cost per child amounted to approximately two hundred French francs per year over a period of four to five years. Archbishop Lavigerie referred to several cases in which bereaved families chose to name an orphan after their own departed child and then depended on their little mediator in heaven to ensure the sincerity of the conversion.56 The standard adoption-conversion narrative ran thus: October 1867, a little boy aged 9, looking bright, he was exhausted. —Where do you come from my boy? said I. —From the mountain, far far away. —And your parents, where are they? —My father is dead, my mother is in her gourbi.57 —And why did you leave her? —She told me there is no bread left here, go to the Christian village; and I came here. —What have you done during your journey? —I have eaten grass, [I have spent] the day in the fields, and at night I was hiding because I had been told that they were killing children to eat them. —And now where are you going? —I don’t know. —Do you want to go to an Arabic Marabout? —Oh no, when I went to see them, they sent me away; and if I did not leave fast enough, they set their dogs on me. —Would you like to stay with me? —Oh, yes, I’d like that. —Well, then, come into my children’s home. I will treat you like one of them, and you will be named like me, Charles!

Immediately after this encounter the child, now named Charles, entered the children’s wing of the St. Etienne seminary. A little later he refused to go back to his mother. The conversion and assimilation

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of this boy—whose real name was Omar Ben Said and who was not technically an orphan—became a key part of the Lavigerie legend, and a nearly identical narrative was reiterated in almost every account of humanitarian work in Algeria.58 Despite their renunciation of the Arab world, the children who suffered during the famine were defined by the French as belonging to an alien geographic, linguistic, and cultural context, one in which they were obliged to remain unless they were among the few who were “repatriated” to sites in France. The motives that drove Lavigerie’s humanitarian efforts were no less important than their structural features. The archbishop’s campaigns, which began in earnest in 1867 and climaxed in 1868, had deeper origins and broader aims than simply helping the starving Arabs of Algeria. Since 1865, religious proselytes in Kabylia had attempted to convert a society that they perceived as more attuned to Western values. They attributed their lack of results to the skepticism of the military powers that, without hindering the missionaries’ efforts, proved unwilling to intervene. Lavigerie had accepted the archbishopric of Algeria precisely because he regarded it as the beachhead of a far-reaching campaign to convert Muslim and heathen Africa. To that end he created in 1868 a vigorous new missionary order, the White Fathers, which flourishes to this day.59 This combination of proselytism with humanitarianism, along with the discursive tropes and fundraising methods established by Lavigerie, was to last throughout the era of the French Empire and beyond. Much of the disturbing humanitarian imagery was not a strategy of emotional manipulation by means of clichés and familiar metaphors but was instead a reflection of the religious roots of a renewed cult of action. The redemptive phraseology stresses the enviable status of victims whose suffering erases sins. In the mid-1980s activists feared that humanitarian agencies were “in a straitjacket with little else than human misery upon which to base their appeal,” but they failed to realize that this condition was the product of their own history and that the straitjacket was itself an ideological necessity of humanitarianism.60 In Algeria the narratives of abjection and compassion were aligned on conflicting axes of disgust and sentimentality. Lavigerie exploited the horrors of the famine in, for instance, his famous homily of Orléans, invoking the tropes of shock and revulsion before recalling the public from their initial rejection with the use of sentimental imagery and the prospect of the Algerians’ atonement and conversion:

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Similar tropes in which the object of charity was simultaneously repulsive, corrupted, and pitiable were regularly deployed in Western Europe for the converted sinner or the fallen woman.62 In the northsouth context, of course, racial characterizations complicated the issue by stressing racial differences at the very moment when solidarity depended on universal values. In the Archbishop’s rhetoric the tensions between indigène and colonizer often confused essential and circumstantial alterity. In a controversial lecture Lavigerie even hinted that the current crisis was the dénouement of civilization’s collapse: “Many agree that all attempts [to save them] are useless and that it would be fortunate for the colony that this race dies out. Humanity is first revolted at the thought, but humanity ought to reason.”63 By contrast, within the framework of humanitarianism abjection narratives had a happy ending, and redemption was made possible by donations from abroad. Lavigerie constructed humanitarianism as an alternative to enlightened humanism, with faith instead of progress as the means of transcending lowly racial origins. While built on traditional forms of charity, humanitarian efforts emphasized distance and alterity in the media of the donor country. Lavigerie’s humanitarianism existed almost entirely through the media, including religious ones, a trend that has continued until quite recently. Many humanitarian workers deplore or celebrate this mutual dependence between relief organizations and the media, which has helped to develop new and symbolically transferred bonds between donors and recipients.64 Some of the founders of Médecins sans Frontières thus used the quasi-evangelical phrase notre lointain (our distant friends) instead of notre prochain (our neighbors) precisely to highlight the alterity of Third World victims and the transfer of more directly identifiable bonds between donors and beneficiaries of charity. In this particular context the image of the victim differs by being entirely constructed and contextualized by humanitarian agencies and the media. All this took place within a narrowly defined period of emergency, a circumstance that prevented lengthy debate and called for immediate action.65 Simply to mention starvation did not in itself create the

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perception of a catastrophe, nor did it constitute a humanitarian crisis. Narratives of hunger and disease require structure, and fragmentary statistical accounts failed to convey the full measure of human losses.66 Moreover, in Algeria the situation was complicated by the fact that what was happening contradicted the stereotype of Arabs’ approach to life. Reconciling the colonial rhetoric of plenty and Orientalist sophistication with these narratives of hunger and deprivation demanded a stronger plot. The key narrative ploy used by Lavigerie derived from a ghastly occurrence near an ancient shrine in Southern Algeria, where seven people were murdered and their corpses allegedly consumed by their starving assailants.67 Cases of anthropophagic behavior were minimized in military reports, but they allegedly took place within one of the hardest-hit tribes, the Sidi Yaya Ben Chalib of the circle of Tebessa, not far from the Tunisian border.68 The military blamed the neighboring Tunisians for the deaths, but no one was convicted for these alleged crimes. Most consumers of the suspected human flesh were arrested in a state of delirium, dying before they could be tried.69 Using cannibalism to demonstrate the depth of the crisis was both sensationalistic and effective, and the press exploited this overworked storyline by adding that the cannibals preyed on Christian children (Arab converts) in particular.70 Even anticlerical newspapers such as Le Figaro seemed to validate these lurid stories, which echoed colonial myths of the New World as well as too-familiar anti-Semitic narratives.71 Linked to a Muslim religious site, this murder of vagrants and then of the cannibals’ own relatives in order to eat them was described by the Gouvernement Général of Algeria as the effect of a “stroke to the brain.” Mac-Mahon observed in a letter to Lavigerie that similar tragedies had occurred in Catholic Ireland. Although the letter was a private communication, Lavigerie leaked a copy of it to the press and ensured that the primate of Ireland received a copy, which led to a minor humiliation for Mac-Mahon, who was himself of Irish descent.72 While obviously a tool to undermine the theological status of Islam in the public eye, the cannibal narrative also portrayed Algerian society as an aboriginal culture akin to those of the South Pacific or existing in remote African jungles.73 As Francis Barker and Peter Hulme have demonstrated, cannibalism has always been associated with tyranny, brutality, and excess united in an incarnation of pure evil.74 On the one hand, this made local social arrangements appear quite inadequate; on the other, this comparison established Algeria as res nullius.75 Similar discursive constructs were developed during the later scramble for colonies in sub-Saharan Africa, and in relation to campaigns against slave-owning regimes such as the kingdom of Samory. Ultimately the

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nineteenth-century humanitarians claimed to seek the moral redemption of the local people as well as their physical salvation.76 Lavigerie decided to challenge the colonial state by establishing standard protocols and a legal structure for the humanitarian intervention he led. As a result, this pioneering humanitarian mission defined its own boundaries and scope of action.77 The Catholic Church perceived the famine in Algeria as an opening into a closed society and as a breach in the French military regime. Lavigerie’s ambitions chimed with the reformist drives in Algeria and in France, and they also exploited the growing differences between Paris and the Holy See. The archbishop therefore launched a media campaign and founded orphanages, refuges, hospices, and asylums without seeking authorization from either French authorities or the Vatican. He created new institutional forms in Algeria while establishing by a fait accompli the judicial framework of his own intervention, daring the colonial administration to stop him at the risk of provoking international outrage. By positioning himself both within and outside of recognized hierarchies, Lavigerie defined the nature and the parameters of his humanitarian action. The institutions he created revealed his core motivation: by far the largest of these were the orphanages, which, in August 1868 housed 1,800 orphans in Algiers province alone.78 The stated goal at the orphanages was to convert the children to the Catholic faith. Their education in farm schools was meant to train them to become Arab colonists for France and the pioneers of a French-Arab Christian society.79 The idea of using orphanages to colonize Algeria had been voiced many times, but it was not until the famine of 1866 that this theory was first put into practice.80 The scheme represented an attack on Arab society that was echoed in the media: Algerian Arabs were portrayed as unable to participate in the modern economy, unable to adapt its agricultural techniques to meet the exigent circumstances, and responsible for turning fertile land into desert by overgrazing, with disastrous consequences.81 This severe critique of Algeria’s “gambling agriculture” persisted in Western readings of African practices and of nomadic customs in general until quite recently.82 This assessment implied an ability to project on the world a set of norms that included ecological and demographic data, economic and spiritual values, as well as social concepts of modernity.83 The demographic data, which stigmatized “primitive societies” for their high rate of natural increase, mirrors Malthusian evangelicalism and early statistical exercises in estimating global resources.84 The notion of ecology attached to these concepts was promoted during the nineteenth century by means of the husbandry practices introduced and

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established throughout the colonial world.85 The crises of the imperial estate that afflicted colonized peoples were thought to reflect their unsuitability as tenants of their own land and to justify the renegotiation of their lease. In terms of economic values, the early attitudes toward a humanitarian “crisis” can be traced to the Irish famine, which served as a template for all subsequent food crises.86 In a nonreligious context, the colonists’ viewed the famine as an opportunity to modernize land use, to mortgage and appropriate tribal property, and to weaken the state’s stranglehold on the Arab economy and presence in Algeria.87 A fundamental trope of early humanitarianism—namely, the assignment of primary responsibility for the crisis to the victims—was grounded in this complex sociopolitical perception of North African native societies. The enquête agricole of 1869–1870 gave an official form to this fallacy and signaled the end of the Arabkingdom policies.88 The military enforced this change by imposing control over the sowing of the grain supplied to Algerian farmers. The French colonizers condemned the consumption of seeds that in their opinion ought to have been reserved for the next harvest.89 They saw the Arabs as passive and unwilling to fight the drought or the locusts as their French neighbors did.90 Secular discourses represented the Arab aristocracy as having failed to support the poor (despite substantial evidence to the contrary, since most sheikhs of the Constantine department were reportedly ruined or on the verge of bankruptcy by 1868) and, because it rejected modern economic structures such as credit and investment, as doomed to vegetate and wither: Their absolute powerlessness to fight the evil that is taking hold of them should be attributed to their social organization, to their custom of ownership, to their ignorance, their apathy, and, one must say the incapability of their leaders. . . . [N]o useful and profitable change can solve this situation as long as the natives form in the colony a separate society under its own laws and without direct contact with the European element.91

Comte Le Hon’s parliamentary report on the state of Algeria crystallized this view in the popular mind. Le Hon condemned the “protective regime” of the Arab kingdom and blamed the famine on Algerian backwardness and the military policies of economic underdevelopment: “[I]t is not the difficulty of providing them that has killed the Arabs but the regime under which they live.”92 Blind to the Arabs’ own viewpoint, Le Hon, like most French colonists and liberals, failed to recognize the complexity of Algerian society, its disrupted but still

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extensive trans-Maghreb transportation routes, or its commercial networks, which were both important and secular. No Frenchman contemplated the possibility that the Algerians’ “inability” to function like French farmers might reflect social and ethical choices rather than a lack of intellectual or social resources.93 The descriptions of despair emanating from Algeria, far from denigrating the colonial experience as a whole, damaged only a certain type of patronizing government.94 French critics regarded humanitarian interventionism as compatible with capitalistic colonialism and potentially instrumental in the liberalization of the Algerian market. The disasters of 1866–1868 also ravaged Tunisia, but humanitarian campaigns could be effective only where it made geopolitical sense for the bearers of gifts.95 In this sense the social critique inherent in humanitarian work offered long-term solutions to a short-term problem—solutions that brought about fundamental change in “traditional” social patterns (integrated into ethnographic lore as historically dated) and the establishment of Western practices that were allegedly more equitable and just.96 Paradoxically, it was only these practices, built on individual property rights and legal frameworks, that could guarantee delivery of humanitarian aid. The crisis in Algeria, like others that occurred elsewhere, was summarized as a failure of tradition aggravated by superstition, fatalism, and amorality as well as an interventionist but incompetent colonial administration. Those obstacles were countered by energetic charitable work, volunteer efforts, Western economic institutions, modern social networks, and hard graft. Native Algerians appeared in this story only as victims or perpetrators. In 1868 humanitarian, liberal, and colonial interests converged, and notable liberals such as Paul Leroy-Beaulieu began to support colonialism enthusiastically on the grounds that it spread humanitarianism, along with Western politics and economics, to undeveloped nations.97 In many ways the Algerian famine of 1866–1868 resembles other crises that have stricken African nations since then, and these early humanitarian responses were replicated in subsequent interventions. Humanitarian efforts frequently express ideological and political concerns of a donor country rather than a nuanced understanding of the victims’ own experience and needs. If Lavigerie, with the best of intentions, still ended up stressing a program more critical of the suffering people of Algeria than sympathetic to them, which implied drastic changes to their fragile culture, and which attempted to change them rather than understand them, it was largely because such were the expectations of the French public to whom he was appealing for help. Lavigerie, as many humanitarian workers have done since, sought to redeem the

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Algerian soul and to reform Arab society. He envisaged his orphans as the founders of a new Christian-Arab agrarian society that would reject the malign influences of both secular French urban culture and the Muslim Douars.98 In a unique instance of “Arab colonization” of Algeria, Lavigerie obtained financial support from the French assembly and secured French citizenship for his protégés.99 His two model villages of Sainte Monique and Saint Cyprien, later united to the colonial settlement of Les Attafs, endured long after his death; by the 1930s, Christian Algerians had integrated and intermarried in French colonial society to such an extent that they had become invisible to other Arabs.100 Algeria’s ecology remained fragile, and as the Algerian demographics recovered after 1872, a growing population put pressure on the food supply. Shortages occurred in the 1890s and, more recently, in 1921, 1937, and 1945, although not in the same horrific proportions. Earthquakes, locust plagues, and periodic epidemics have also left their mark on this country. As recently as the 1980s, riots caused by the scarcity of bread shook the country’s political system, and flash floods demolished entire neighborhoods of Algiers. But in all of these subsequent crises the challenge posed to the state by humanitarian workers in the 1860s has never been matched.

NOTES The research presented in this chapter was made possible by the British Academy and the University of Manchester. Many thanks to Peter Gatrell, Rebecca Gill, and participants in the 2004 “Natural Disasters and Cultural Strategies” conference organized by the German Historical Institute of Washington, D.C., for their comments and suggestions, and to Mary Tonkinson for her careful editing of this text. I wish to thank the archivists of the Société des Missions Africaines in Rome (AGMA) and the Archives d’Outre-Mer in Aix en Provence (AOM) for their invaluable help in tracing the evidence presented in this chapter. 1. Philip D. Curtin, Death by Migration: Europe’s Encounter with the Tropical World in the Nineteenth Century (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1989); Disease and Empire: The Health of European Troops in the Conquest of Africa (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1998). 2. Jacques Berque, French North Africa: The Maghrib Between Two World Wars (London: Faber, 1967), 297. 3. Lucette Valensi, Le Maghreb avant la prise d’Alger, 1790–1830 (Paris: Flammarion, 1969), 20. 4. Xavier Yacono, “Peut-on évaluer la population de l’Algérie en 1830?” Revue Africaine [98] (1954): 277–307; Yacono established the figure of three million Algerians which, while contested by some, tends to remain the accepted figure.

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Yacono also established the demographic decline between 1830 and 1872, which all historians have accepted since while disagreeing on its causes and extent. The net decline of the Algerian Muslim population between the census of 1866 and that of 1872 was 527,000 people, declining from 2,652,000 to 2,125,000. See Dorothy Good, “Notes on the Demography of Algeria,” Population Index 27, no. 1 (1961): 3–32, esp. 6–9. This should be moderated by the knowledge that registrations of birth and death were not applied consistently in the Algerian population; see Xavier Mercier, L’Algérie et les questions algériennes, 136–39. By 1881 the population seemed to have recovered, or the statistical tool had improved enough to give a much higher figure of 2,850,000. 5. Patricia M. E. Lorcin, Imperial Identities: Stereotyping, Prejudice and Race in Colonial Algeria (London: I. B. Tauris, 1995). 6. See, for example, David Prochaska, Making Algeria French: Colonialism in Bône, 1870–1920 (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1990), 49; Mahfoud Bennoune, The Making of Contemporary Algeria, 1830–1987: Colonial Upheavals and Post-Independence Development (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1988), 25. 7. Bennoune, The Making of Contemporary Algeria, 25. 8. Alain Mahé, Histoire de la Grande Kabylie, XIXe–XXe siècles: Anthropologie historique du lien social dans les communautés villageoises (SaintDenis: Bouchéne, 2001), 99–115. 9. L. A. Hanoteau and A. Letourneux, La Kabylie et les coutumes kabyles, three vols. (Paris, 1872), represented an effort to understand and codify aspects of Algeria’s people and its customs. 10. Mahé, Histoire, 117–44. Mahé stresses that this preemption could lead to serious disputes even within a lineage. 11. Marcel Emerit, Les Saint-Simoniens en Algérie (Paris: Société d’édition “Les Belles lettres,” 1941), 233–88; Charles Robert Ageron, L’Algérie Algérienne de Napoléon III à De Gaulle (Paris: Sindbad, 1980), 18–33. Georges Spillmann, Napoléon III et le Royaume Arabe d’Algérie (Paris: Académie des Sciences d’Outre-mer, 1975), 23; Annie Rey-Goldzeiguer, Le Royaume Arabe: La politique algérienne de Napoléon III, 1861–1870 (Algiers: Société Nationale d’édition et de diffusion, 1977). 12. The law was never repealed but was always interpreted in the most restrictive manner. Few Muslims ever took full citizenship. J. Bowlan, “Polygamists Need Not Apply: Becoming a French Citizen in Colonial Algeria, 1918–1938,” Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Western Society for French History 24 (1997): 110–19. 13. A. Sainte-Marie, “La Province d’Alger vers 1870, l’établissement du Douar Commun et la fixation de la nature de la propriété dans le cadre du Senatus Consulte du 22 avril 1863,” Revue de l’Occident musulman et de la Méditerranée 9 (1971): 37–61. 14. For a discussion of such activities in a later period, see Alice L. Conklin, “Colonialism and Human Rights: A Contradiction in Terms? The case of France and West Africa, 1895–1914,” American Historical Review 103, no. 2 (1998): 419–43, esp. 419.

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15. Vincent Confer, France and Algeria: The Problem of Civil and Political Reform, 1870–1920 (Syracuse, N.Y.: Syracuse University Press, 1966), 5. 16. Under threats from the order of Malta, Algerian trade was limited by sea. Pirating was a state business that had declined in the late eighteenth century and led to reprisals such as Lord Exmouth’s campaign of 1816. 17. Kenneth J. Perkins, Qaids, Captains, and Colons: French Military Administration in the Colonial Maghrib, 1844–1934 (New York: Holmes & Meier, 1981). 18. In the considerable literature on food entitlement and hunger, see, for example, Jean Drèze, Amartya Sen, and Athar Hussain, eds., The Political Economy of Hunger (Oxford: Clarendon Press; New York: Oxford University Press, 1995); Jean Drèze, ed., The Economics of Famine (Northampton, Mass.: Edward Elgar, 1999); David Arnold, Famine: Social Crisis and Historical Change (Oxford and New York: Basil Blackwell, 1988). 19. Valensi, Le Maghreb, 82–83. 20. Jean-Paul Charnay, La vie musulmane en Algérie d’aprés la jurisprudence de la premiére moitié du XX siécle (Paris: Presses Universitaire de France, 1965), 127–36. 21. The economic picture of the declining growth rates of African economies is complex and humanitarianism plays an important but controversial role. Conservatives believe that aid is a wasteful use of resources often disturbing necessary reforms, radicals that it reinforces unequal power relations. See, for instance, the Slow Growth in Africa symposium organized by the Journal of Economic Perspective and, more particularly, Paul Collier and Jan Willem Gunning, “Why Has Africa Grown Slowly?” The Journal of Economic Perspectives 13, no. 3 (1999): 3–22, esp. 13–14; Carolyn M. Jenkins and John B. Knight, The Economic Decline of Zimbabwe: Neither Growth nor Equity (Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire; New York: Palgrave, 2002); Paul Collier and Jan Willem Gunning, “Explaining African Economic Performance,” Journal of Economic Literature 37, no. 1 (March 1999): 64–111. 22. A fuller economic and social analysis of this conflict is not the object of this article and will be treated elsewhere. 23. Rudolf Ludwig Karl Virchow, On Famine Fever and Some of the Cognate Forms of Typhus (London, 1868), 20–22. Virchow sought in this study to connect meteorological phenomena taking place around the world. 24. Le Figaro, January 14, 1867. Only the white colonists and the children were reported, fifty-six deaths in all. The French army sent 720 men to rebuild the houses. 25. Archives d’Outre-Mer in Aix en Provence (hereafter AOM), GGA 1 K361, letter from circle of Batna, May 7, 1868. All bureaux arabes reported similar disasters varying only in intensity; see AOM, GGA 66 Mi 232, annual report from Tiaret. 26. The historiography clearly focuses on the political narrative, which is perceived as central in both the colonial and nationalist accounts. Charles André Julien and Charles Robert Ageron, Histoire de l’Algérie Contemporaine, two vols. (Paris: Presses universitaires de France, 1964–79), 1:441–43.

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27. Colonel [Nil Joseph] Robin, L’Insurrection de la Grande Kabylie en 1871 (Paris: H. Charles-Lavauzelle, 1901). See the harrowing portrayal given by Mahfoud Bennoune, “Origins of the Algerian Proletariat,” MERIP Reports (1981), 5–13. But to speak of peasant revolt in 1871 as Bennoune does (10) is to superimpose a neo-Marxist viewpoint on an aristocratic and religious-led insurrection. Cf. Eric R. Wolf, Peasant Wars of the Twentieth Century (London: Faber, 1973), 218–24. 28. Djilali Sari, Le désastre démographique (Algiers: Société Nationale d’édition et de diffusion, 1982), 130; André Nouschi, Enquête sur le niveau de vie des populations rurales constantinoises de la conquête jusqu’en 1919 (Paris: Presses universitaires de France, 1961), 337–78. 29. AOM, GGA 1K361, letter to the General commanding Constantine, April 4, 1868. 30. AOM, GGA 1K361, division de Constantine, report of May 24, 1867. 31. Jonathan Benthall, Disasters, Relief and the Media (London and New York: I. B. Tauris, 1993), 188–92. 32. Xavier Emmanuelli, Les prédateurs de l’action humanitaire (Paris: A. Michel, 1991), 115, 244. 33. The hegemonic nature of humanitarian ideology was first stressed by David Brion Davis in The Problem of Slavery in the Age of Revolution, 1770–1823 (Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press, 1975), only to be contested some ten years later by Thomas L. Haskell in his two-part essay “Capitalism and the Origins of the Humanitarian Sensibility,” American Historical Review 90, no. 2 (1985): 339–61; and no. 3 (1985): 547–66. Good examples of this internalist critical approach are to be found in François Jean, ed., Life, Death and Aid: The Médecins sans Frontières report on World Crisis Intervention (London and New York: Routledge, 1993); Julia Groenewold and Eve Porter, World in Crisis: The Politics of Survival at the End of the Twentieth Century (London and New York: Routledge, 1997). 34. Elizabeth A. Williams, The Physical and the Moral: Anthropology, Physiology, and Philosophical Medicine in France, 1750–1850 (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press, 1994); Emmanuelle Sibeud, Une science impériale pour l’Afrique? La construction des savoirs africanistes en France (Paris: Éditions de l’École des Hautes Études en Sciences Sociales, 2002). 35. Michel Levallois, Ismaÿl Urbain (1812–1884): Une autre conquête de l’Algérie (Paris: Maisonneuve et Larose [2001]). 36. Of course the historiography of the great insurrection has now gone well beyond the myths of a purely religious rebellion but there is evidence that the French army had followed the events with considerable trepidation and read them in this simplistic manner. Mridula Mukherjee, “Peasant Resistance and Peasant Consciousness in Colonial India: Subalterns and Beyond,” Economic and Political Weekly 23 (October 8, 1988): 2109–20; (October 15, 1988): 2174–85. 37. AOM, FM, F80/1746, circulaire aux préfets d’Algérie, October 14, 1867. 38. Voyage de S.M. Napoléon III en Algérie, Algiers, Bastide (1865), speech of May 5, 1865, 38; AOM, GGA 1K290. French policies toward Islam are the

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topic of an interesting debate in sub-Saharan Africa, where they were often more clearly articulated than in Algeria; see David Robinson, “French ‘Islamic’ Policy and Practice in Late-Nineteenth-Century Senegal,” Journal of African History 29, no. 3 (1988): 415–35. 39. On the ambivalence of colonial administrators toward the practice of slavery, see Martin A. Klein, Slavery and Colonial Rule in French West Africa (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press, 1998), 16–31, 242–44. 40. For lengthy discussions of the issue of intentionality, see Thomas L. Haskell’s two-part essay (cited in note 33 above) and the responses to Haskell by David Brion Davis and John Ashworth, as well as Haskell’s reply, in the forum of American Historical Review 92, no. 4 (1987): 813–28. 41. See Jenny Edkins’s analysis of the discursive and spectacular nature of famine, in Whose Hunger? Concepts of Famine, Practices of Aid (Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press, 2000), xvii–xxiii. 42. Such a linkage was particularly complex for Catholic clerics following publication of the Syllabus of Error in December 1864. Archbishop Lavigerie had exhibited modernist tendencies early on, notably by indicating approval of the (revolutionary) spirit of 1848 in his Histoire abrégée de l’Église, first published in 1853 ([Paris, 1871], 247). For discussion of the rhetorical dimensions of humanitarian discourse, see, for example, Jeff D. Bass, “An efficient Humanitarianism: The British Slave Trade Debates, 1791–1792,” Quarterly Journal of Speech 75, no. 2 (1989): 152–65; and on the equalization of pain in humanitarian discourse in Britain and the United States, see Karen Halttunen, “Humanitarianism and the Pornography of Pain in Anglo-American Culture,” American Historical Review 100, no. 2 (1995): 303–34, esp. 324–34. 43. Monsignior Lavigerie, archbishop of Algiers, later cardinal and primate of Africa, had been trained at the Seminary of Saint Sulpice, lectured at the Sorbonne, and participated in the mystical revival of French Catholicism in the second half of the nineteenth century; see Xavier de Montclos, Lavigerie, Le Saint-Siège et l’Église de l’avènement de Pie IX à l’avènement de Léon XIII, 1846–1878 (Paris: E. de Boccard, 1965), 58–74. On this theological renewal, see Ralph Gibson, “Hellfire and Damnation in Nineteenth Century France,” Catholic Historical Review 74, no. 3 (1988): 383–402. See also Ivan Strenski, Contesting Sacrifice: Religion, Nationalism and Social Thought in France (Chicago: University of Chicago, 2002), 45–47. 44. Ernest Mercier, L’Algérie et les questions algériennes, étude historique, statistique et économique (Paris, 1883), 42–44. 45. The removal of censorship in Algeria was slow and reflected external pressure on the governor. See “Comment découvrir la vérité Algérienne,” Économiste Français 268 (June 20, 1868): 94; AOM, FM, F80/1746. 46. The 1868 edition of La Gazette Médicale de l’Algérie thus contained no references to the crisis except in an ethnological context by Dr. Challan. 47. AOM, FM, F80/1746. 48. Joseph Perrier, Vent d’avenir: Le Cardinal Lavigerie (1825–1892) (Paris: Éditions Karthala, 1992); Félix Théaudière, Au Service du Maître avec les

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Pères Blancs (Paris: Librairie Missionnaire, 1943); François Renault, Le Cardinal Lavigerie (Paris: Fayard, 1992); Jules Tournier, Le Cardinal Lavigerie et son action politique (1863–1892) (Paris: Perrin and Co., 1913). 49. The most famous of these sermons was given on June 4, 1868, in Orléans and was later printed and analyzed in the press. Lengthy extracts of this sermon were reproduced in the June 20, 1868, edition of the Économiste Français. 50. AGMA, Papiers Lavigerie, A16–68. On the Oeuvre des Écoles d’Orient and French cultural imperialism in the Middle East, see Mathew Burrows, “‘Mission civilisatrice’: French Cultural Policy in the Middle East, 1860– 1914,” The Historical Journal 29, no. 1 (1986): 109–35. 51. Mary Elizabeth Herbert Herbert, A Search after Sunshine; or, Algeria in 1871 (London, 1872), 97. The orphanages were open to the tourists who, like Lady Herbert, had been active on Lavigerie’s behalf. 52. AOM, FM, F80/1746. Mac-Mahon constantly complained of news leaks and media campaigning; see, for instance, his letter of June 8 to Marshall Niel, AGMA, Papiers Lavigerie, A16–1. 53. For more on how the legal structures of gift-giving in France were then changing, including how gifts were taxed, see Jean-Luc Marais, Histoire du Don en France de 1800 à 1939: Dons et legs charitables, pieux, et philanthropiques (Rennes: Presses universitaires de Rennes, 1999), 51–57. Lavigerie’s financial acumen contrasted sharply with that of his fellow bishops in Algeria, whose more traditional charitable institutions faced bankruptcy. See Henri Barthès, Monseigneur de las Cases, évêque de Constantine (Algérie), Poudis (Tarn), 1819, Béziers (Hérault), 1880: Sa vie et son œuvre (Corneilhan: H. Barthès, 1980), 62, 70, 109–14. 54. Charles Freppel, Les orphelins Arabes d’Alger: Leur passé, leur avenir, leur adoption en France et en Belgique, lettre de l’Archevêque d’Alger (Paris, 1870), 7–8. 55. Abbot Soubiranne, Discours sur l’Oeuvre des Écoles d’Orient (Paris, 1863); the crisis in Lebanon in 1860 had been crucial in Lavigerie’s vocation. The Lebanese model of an Arab-Christian society was constantly referred to in the Kabyle myth; see Charles Lavigerie, L’Armée et la mission de la France en Afrique (Algiers, 1875), 28. Leila Tarazi Fawaz, An Occasion for War: Civil Conflict in Lebanon and Damascus in 1860 (London and New York: I. B. Tauris, 1994). Fawaz’s detailed narrative does not deal with the humanitarian response or image of the massacres of the Maronite Christians. See also AGMA, Papiers Lavigerie, B7 310. 56. Lavigerie, Les Orphelins arabes d’Alger, 21. 57. The Franco-Arab term gourbi had a pejorative connotation of a slum dwelling. 58. Adolphe Thibault, “Les Malheurs de l’Algérie,” Le Gers, March 7, 1868. 59. José de Arteche, The Cardinal of Africa, Charles Lavigerie: Founder of the White Fathers (London: Catholic Book Club, 1964). 60. Barbara Harrell-Bond “Humanitarianism in a Straitjacket,” African Affairs 84, no. 334 (January 1985): 3–13, esp. 4.

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61. I quote this homily from Charles Lavigerie, Oeuvres choisies de son éminence le cardinal Lavigerie, archevêque d’Alger (Paris, 1884), 154; see also Abbot Bellarmin Vincent Burzet, Histoire des désastres de l’Algérie: 1866–1867–1868 (Algiers, 1869), 78. This history of the famine originated from a report by the curé of Tenes, AGMA, Papiers Lavigerie, B7–240 1. In other texts Lavigerie described women picking undigested seeds from horse manure scattered on the streets. 62. Judith R. Walkowitz, City of Dreadful Delight: Narratives of sexual danger in late-Victorian London (London: Virago, 1992); Bertrand Taithe, “Consuming Desires: Prostitutes and Customers at the Margins of Crime and Perversion in France and Britain, c. 1836–1885,” in Gender and Crime in Modern Europe, Margaret L. Arnot and Cornelie Usborne, eds. (London: UCL Press, 1999), 151–72. 63. AOM, FM, F80/1791, Lettre du notaire Léon Parenteau to the Minister of the Interior, May 1868. L’Humanité translated here as humanity can mean both mankind and humanitarians. 64. Emmanuelli, Les prédateurs, 207–14. See also Bernard Hours, L’idéologie humanitaire ou le spectacle de l’altérité perdue (Paris: Harmattan, 1998). On the notion of alterity, see Michel de Certeau, Heterologies: Discourse on the Other (Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press, 1986). On the complex relationship between disasters and the media, which goes far beyond simple parasitism, see Jonathan Benthall, Disasters, Relief, and the Media (New York: I. B. Tauris, 1993), 9–13, 26–29. 65. This feature underpins Françoise Vergès’s comparison between late 1890s abolitionism and modern French humanitarianism, presented in Abolir l’esclavage: Une utopie coloniale—Les Ambiguïtés d’une politique humanitaire (Paris: Albin Michel, 2001). Some have made this step toward a more reflexive approach their priority; see, for example, Rony Brauman, Humanitaire, le dilemme: Entretien avec Philippe Petit (Paris: Éditions Textuel, 1996), 28–103. 66. See W. H. Sykes, “Analysis of the Report upon the State of the Empire of France, Presented to the Senate and Legislative Body, February 1867,” Journal of the Statistical Society of London (March 1868): 49–75. 67. The account given by Lavigerie in many places contained such details as the fact that the victim was eaten while the body was still palpitating or how the flesh was salted and stored (Oeuvres choisies, 164–66). Many of these details had been provided by priests of his diocese; see AGMA, Papiers Lavigerie, B7–223, 232, 236, 237. 68. AOM, GGA 1K361, report of cercle of Ain Beïda, May 1868. 69. AOM, GGA 1K361, report of cercle of Bône, May 10, 1868. 70. AOM, GGA 1K361, report of cercle of Batna, May 9, 1868. 71. Le Figaro, May 19, 1868; Philip P. Boucher, Cannibal Encounters: Europeans and Island Caribs, 1492–1763 (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1992). On the complexity of cannibalism in a historical perspective, see Pamela J. Stewart and Andrew Strathern, “Feasting on My Enemy: Images of Violence and Change in the New Guinea Highlands,” Ethnohistory 46, no.

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4 (1999): 645–69. Morton I. Seiden, The Paradox of Hate: A Study in Ritual Murder (South Brunswick, N.J.: T. Yoseloff, 1968). The stories of cannibalism in time of famine, always attributed to the religious other, were also prevalent in Europe during the Reformation; see Piero Camporesi, The Land of Hunger (Cambridge: Polity Press, 1996), 121. Stories of Jewish ritual murder were to recur throughout Europe in the late nineteenth century; see, for instance, discussion of the 1882 Tiszaeszlár trial in Françoise Basch, Liliane Crips, Pascale Gruson, eds., Victor Basch, 1863–1944: Un intellectuel cosmopolite (Paris: Berg International, 2000), 173. 72. AOM, 1K1746, letter to Marshall Niel, June 12, 1868; letter to the primate of Ireland, Monsignior Cullen, June 11, 1868. 73. On French perceptions of the Pacific, see Alice Bullard, Exile to Paradise: Savagery and Civilisation in Paris and the South Pacific (Stanford, Calif.: Stanford University Press, 2000); and Sibeud, Une science impériale pour l’Afrique?, 70–71. 74. Francis Barker, Peter Hulme, and Margaret Iversen, eds., Cannibalism and the Colonial World (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press, 1998), 3, 33. 75. The 1885 Berlin conference established the concept for sub-Saharan Africa as a whole while simultaneously prioritizing the struggle against slavery in Africa. 76. Charles Lavigerie, L’Esclavage Africain: Conférence sur L’Esclavage dans le Haut Congo faite à Sainte-Gudule de Bruxelles par le Cardinal Lavigerie (Brussels, 1888); Alexis M. Gochet, La Barbarie Africaine et l’action civilisation des missions Catholique au Congo et dans l’Afrique équatorial (Liège, 1889); F. Renault, Lavigerie, L’esclavage Africain, et l’Europe, 1868– 1892, two vols. (Paris: de Boccard, 1971). 77. While contested by the state, these normalizing measures nevertheless contributed to a shaping of the world that has been the focus of groundbreaking cultural studies since Edward Said published Orientalism in 1978. In addition to this seminal work, see Edward Said, Culture and Imperialism (London: Chatto and Windus, 1993); and Gyan Prakash, “Subaltern Studies as Postcolonial Criticism,” American Historical Review 99, no. 5 (1994): 1475–90. The notion of normativity refers to the concept as developed in the work of Georges Canguilhem; see Georges Canguilhem: A Vital Rationalist, F. Delaporte, ed. (New York: Zone Books, 1994). 78. AOM, GGA 1K361, correspondence relating to the moving of orphans to the bishopric’s orphanages. Of these orphans, about eight hundred died of typhus. 79. This predates the later notions of colonisation indigènes that were applied in parts of sub-Saharan Africa where the French did not intend to settle. See Monica M. van Beusekom, “Colonisation Indigène: French Rural Development Ideology at the Office du Niger, 1920–1940,” The International Journal of African Historical Studies 30, no. 2 (1997): 299–324. 80. Previous initiatives, usually aborted rapidly, had aimed at transporting French orphans to Algeria; see AOM, FM, F80/1791, exchange about the

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plans of Poncet for agricultural orphanages based on the Mettray model then protected by the empress, August 1865. See also, M. L. Fauclère, Exploitation et domaine agricole de la Reghaïa (Algiers, 1866), 6. Swindlers also set up bogus societies to develop speculation on ideas of orphan slave labor; see correspondence from 1864–1867 with Abbot Raymond (AOM, FM, F80/1746), who obtained a vote of support from the French senate and petitioned the empress in spite of previous convictions for fraud. 81. Auguste Edmond Vital, Ismael Urbain, Correspondance du docteur A. Vital avec I. Urbain, 1845–1874: L’Opinion et la vie publiques constantinoises sous le Second Empire et les débuts de la Troisième Répbulique, ed. André Nouschi (Paris: Larose, 1959), 216, 241. 82. See R. Capot Rey, “The State of Nomadism in the Sahara” in Man, State, and Society in the Contemporary Maghrib, I. William Zartman, ed. (New York: Praeger Publishers, 1973), 450–64, esp. 454. The 1970s argument that essentially blamed Africans for their droughts, thus reviving some colonial storylines, has received severe criticism, which paradoxically reinforces the victim status of the populations suffering from droughts; see James C. McCann, “Climate and Causation in African History,” The International Journal of African Historical Studies 32, nos. 2/3 (1999): 261–79, esp. 270–73. 83. David Eltis develops the correlation between the growth of humanitarianism and the widening of an understanding of the social bond or contract in “Europeans and the Rise and Fall of African Slavery in the Americas: An Interpretation,” American Historical Review 98, no. 5 (1993): 1399–1423, esp. 1419–23. See also Mary Poovey, Making a Social Body: British Cultural Formation, 1830–1864 (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1995). As recently as 1986, activist Barbara E. Harrell-Bond expressed frustration at “refugee apathy” and urged Ugandan refugees to “redefine social responsibility” using Western norms of social solidarity; see her Imposing Aid: Emergency Assistance to Refugees (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1986), 284. 84. Malthusianism and neo-Malthusianism are currently the objects of some major attacks from within the humanitarian professional community. See Alexander de Waal, Famine Crimes: Politics and the Disaster Relief Industry in Africa (Oxford: James Currey Publishers, 1997), 19–22. On Malthusian theories within an evangelical reading of the world, see Boyd Hilton, The Age of Atonement: The Influence of Evangelicalism on Social and Economic Thought, 1785–1865 (Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1988), 34–35, 108–14. On population theories in France, see Joshua Cole, The Power of Large Numbers: Population, Politics and Gender in Nineteenth-Century France (Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press, 2000). 85. David Arnold, The Problem of Nature: Environment, Culture and European Expansion (Oxford: Blackwell, 1996); John M. MacKenzie, ed., Imperialism and the Natural World (Manchester: Manchester University Press, 1992). 86. As others have remarked, Ireland’s is not a story where theories of entitlement or political balance sheets of gains and losses can be rigidly applied; see, for example, Cormac ó Gráda, Ireland Before and After the Famine: Ex-

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plorations in Economic History, 1800–1925 (Manchester: Manchester University Press, 1988); D. Fitzpatrick, “Famine, Entitlements and Seduction: Captain Edmond Wynne in Ireland, 1846–1851,” English Historical Review 110, no. 437 (1995): 596–619; and Edkins, Whose Hunger?, 3–4. The Irish famine was attributed to the limited integration of Ireland in the world economy, and the repeal of the Corn Laws was one answer to this critique of Irish agrarian society; see Kevin O’Rourke, “Did the Great Irish Famine Matter?” Journal of Economic History 51, no. 1 (1991): 1–22. 87. Capitalists who chose to lend cattle and cash to the tribes were later caught out when the repression of the insurrection seized their own assets. See AOM, GGA 1K361 14/H/37, Affaires Abadie et Consorts, 1872–1877; SainteMarie, “La Province d’Alger vers 1870, l’établissement du Douar Commun et la fixation de la nature de la propriété dans le cadre du Senatus Consulte du 22 avril 1863”; La famine en Algérie et les discours officiels: Erreurs et contradictions (Constantine, 1868), 28–31; and Recueil des voeux d’intérêt général exprimés par les conseils généraux des trois provinces de l’Algérie dans la session de 1869 (Paris, 1870), 80–82. On the other side of the debate, see L’Algérie devant l’Assemblée Nationale, causes des insurrections algériennes par un ancien officier de l’Armée d’Afrique (Versailles, 1871), 4–17. 88. Ministère de l’Agriculture, du commerce et des travaux publics, Enquête Agricole, Algérie (Paris, 1870). 89. AOM, GGA 1K361, 14/H/9, circulaire sur l’ensemencement, 327. 90. Burzet, Histoire des désastres de l’Algérie, 16–17, 30. 91. AOM, GGA 1K361, letter of Chambre de Commerce of Constantine, April 8, 1868. AOM, GGA 1K361, tournée du Commandant Supérieur de Tebessa, October 30, 1868; Mahfoud Smati, Les Élites Algériennes sous la colonisation (Algiers: Dahlab; Paris: Maisonneuve et Larose, 1998), 47. 92. Discours prononcé par le Comte Léopold Le Hon. Question algérienne (Paris, 1869); Discours par M le Comte Léopold Le Hon. . . . séance du 7 mars 1870 (Paris, 1870), 65. Charles de Montebello, Quelques mots sur l’Algérie à propos de l’enquête (Paris, 1870). 93. This is the point made for education, medicine, and religion by Yvonne Turin, Affrontements culturels dans l’Algérie coloniale, écoles, médecines, religion, 1830–1880 (Paris: F. Maspero, 1971). 94. A few exceptions, such as Léon Hugonnet, blamed the circumstances of the 1860s on the colonial regime; see his La Crise Algérienne et la démocratie (Paris, 1868), 38ff. 95. Spillmann, Napoléon III, 103–5. 96. This also includes long-term treatments; see Marie Rose Moro, Serge Lebovici, eds., Psychiatrie humanitaire en ex-yougoslavie et en Arménie (Paris: Presses universitaires de France, 1995), 17–26. 97. Dan Warshaw, Paul Leroy-Beaulieu and Established Liberalism in France (DeKalb: Northern Illinois University Press, 1991), 92. Leroy-Beaulieu’s spectacular conversion took place over the 1870s before he became a keen partisan of colonialism and of the protection of indigenous people in the 1880s. Thus Leroy-Beaulieu denounced the iniquity of taxation without

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representation in Algeria while demanding the annexation of Tunisia; see Paul Leroy-Beaulieu, La Politique française en Algérie (Paris, 1881), 9–10. Ironically Mac-Mahon blamed the humanitarian dramatization of the 1868 situation for the slowdown of trade and the collapse of Algerian credit that threatened the economic survival of the whole colony in 1868 (letter to Marshall Niel, April 27, 1868, AOM, FM, F80/1746). 98. Charles Lavigerie, Appel au Clergé de France pour la fondation de deux congrégations agricoles destinées aux missions étrangères dans le diocèse d’Alger (Algiers, 1869), 18–23. Lavigerie created specific religious orders dressed in the Arab way whose mission it was to rebuild an agrarian Arab Christian society. Lettre de Mgr L’archevêque d’Alger à M le président de l’œuvre des écoles d’Orient sur la création du premier village d’Arabes chrétiens (Paris, 1874). 99. Lettre de Mgr D’Archevêque d’Alger à M Warnier, député de l’Algérie au sujet d’un discours prononcé à l’Assemblée Nationale le 22 Juillet 1874 (Algiers, 1874). The villages were partially funded by the state; see AGMA, Papiers Lavigerie, B7 310. 100. AOM, GGA 20L109, centres de colonisation des Attafs; C. Lavigerie, Lettre de Mgr l’Archevêque d’Alger à Monsieur le Directeur de l’œuvre des Écoles d’Orient sur la mission d’Afrique et la création de villages d’Arabes Chrétiens en Algérie (Paris, 1876), 6–10. See also J. Tiquet, Une expérience de petite colonisation indigène en Algérie: Les colons arabes-chrétiens du Cardinal Lavigerie (Algiers, 1936), 93; AOM, GGA 43L13, 23L215, 23L130. For a methodological questioning of written accounts, see Ingo W. Schroder, “From Parkman to Postcolonial Theory: What’s New in the Ethnohistory of Missions?” Ethnohistory 46, no. 4 (1999): 809–15.

6

The Floods of Baghdad Cultural and Technological Responses Otfried Weintritt

Few regions on earth are as regularly exposed to devastation and destruction by flood as Mesopotamia. Without all the measures humans have devised to protect themselves and their agricultural lands from the annual floods in April and May, much of this area would be neither habitable nor cultivable. This was even truer in the premodern era. In theory, high waters could have flooded Baghdad and its environs every spring if the canal systems had failed to function. If uncontrolled, these floods not only caused immediate damage but also often brought about long-term crises by destroying the seeds sown shortly before their onset. Dams, dikes, and canal works were necessary to keep the Tigris River in its bed by containing the tremendous volume of water during flooding, which in Baghdad could reach a flow rate of six thousand cubic meters per second; the minimal flow rate, by contrast, was three hundred cubic meters per second.1 Severe floods occurred at the time of the spring thaw when warm monsoon winds carrying rain from the southeast followed a winter season with comparatively heavy snowfall in the Zagros and Taurus mountains. In addition, numerous affluents downriver from the mountains and upstream from Baghdad flowed into the Tigris, which increased the river’s volume and velocity. As a result, flood waves could arrive in the city within a few hours, raising the level of the Tigris by as much as twenty feet. Such quantities of water could destroy the canal system and submerge many hundreds of square

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kilometers of land. Under these circumstances, the “unpredictable rivers Tigris and Euphrates” could even change their course, creating new channels.2 Residents of the region had to cope with two different kinds of floods. On the one hand, to use the land for agriculture, they had to control the expected, and indeed necessary, annual high waters. On the other hand, catastrophic floods occurred periodically that threatened the very existence of the entire culture. Mesopotamian agriculture was thus shaped by the distinction between “‘normal’ high-water crises” and “‘abnormal’ catastrophic floods.”3 Such “extreme natural events” were not uncommon in Mesopotamia.4 This is demonstrated by the great flood of 628 AD, which left the region in such a ruinous condition and created such endemic political disorder that the Arabs had no difficulty in conquering Iraq soon thereafter.5 Irrigation agriculture was subsequently reorganized and practiced in Iraq at least until the Mongols conquered the country in the mid-thirteenth century. It is said that after this time the rivers were never again as well controlled.6 Historical circumstances also affected the documentation of flooding in Mesopotamia. Under the ‘Abba¯sid Caliphate, Baghdad, which was founded in 762 AD, became the capital city; over time, however, its importance declined so that floods in the thirteenth through the nineteenth centuries were less thoroughly documented. Baghdad floods such as the one recorded by a European traveler in 1831 were probably no rarity. In that year the Tigris flood destroyed seven thousand buildings, demolishing the city walls in a single night. While the figures given in contemporary records of this event must be understood as a topos,7 there is no doubt that this flood caused extensive damage. Great floods of the Tigris have also been recorded in the twentieth century, occurring in 1906, 1929, 1941, 1946, and 1954. Effective control of the high waters was not achieved until the mid-twentieth century with the construction of large artificial lakes.8 Baghdad is situated in the arid lower half of the Tigris region, where agriculture is possible only through the use of artificial irrigation. During the ‘Abba¯sid era an extensive canal system captured and distributed the high waters each spring in order to ensure an adequate water supply for farms surrounding the city.9 But this method of coping was not always successful, even in years with average spring torrents. Whenever water levels exceeded yearly averages, flooding occurred. City chronicles tell of such “extreme natural events,” describing their effects both on the farmlands made fertile through irrigation

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and especially on Baghdad. From the reports, however, it is not always possible to determine precisely whether these floods were “natural” or whether they stemmed from neglect of the canal infrastructure, which was frequently the case. Thus it seems advisable to qualify the concept of “extreme natural event” with reference to anthropogenic causes. Such instances of destruction reported in the sources must also be understood “at least partially . . . as an immediate consequence of human, individual, and societal errors.”10 The following survey and analysis are derived from historical records that span a 350-year period from the beginning of the tenth century to the middle of the thirteenth century. In this comparatively well-documented era, thirty to thirty-five spring floods of Baghdad were recorded.11 The more detailed of these reports come from the Baghdad chroniclers. Later Islamic histories that did not originate in Baghdad also mention the great floods, indicating the extent of the destruction they caused.12 How did those who lived in Mesopotamia and Baghdad in particular protect themselves from the frequent devastation caused by above-average spring torrents? The chronicles can help us to answer this question by providing information about how people adapted, including the actions they took in emergency situations, their reckoning of loss, and the shared behaviors they used to recover from these events.13 The example of Baghdad and the preventive steps taken there against flooding also show how the culture managed to survive for centuries, even while sustaining great losses. It appears to have been a culture tried and tested by catastrophe, in which residents’ past experience had led to the development of practical measures that were implemented as a matter of course whenever the threat of flood arose.14 Perhaps one can even speak of a flood mentality, or at least of an adaptive behavior with both technical and psychological aspects, precipitated by the frequency of high water—a mentality that also shaped historical records of these crises. The reflexive awareness of flooding in the chronicles mirrors and bears witness to the cultural achievements of adaptation. In the following sections, I distinguish between general and special measures taken against flooding. I organize the special measures into six categories: 1) measures implemented by the authorities, 2) emergency procedures, 3) descriptions of losses, 4) effects on urban life, 5) flood-related changes in the city, and 6) psychological effects. In my closing remarks I employ the term culture of catastrophe to provide a theoretical framework for interpreting these measures.

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GENERAL MEASURES Up to the middle of the thirteenth century, the city of Baghdad appears to have found a way to manage or at least to limit the catastrophic effects of the spring floods. The flood-control systems, when in optimal working condition, offered protection from the annual high water: canals and dams made the floodplain both arable and habitable, and an early-warning system informed residents about the expected height of the water. The caliphs had the water level measured at Diyarbakir, about eight hundred river-kilometers upstream from Baghdad, and if the river reached a specified height, a report was immediately relayed to the capital, probably by signal fire or beacon.15 The rise in water level indicated the degree to which the city was threatened. In Baghdad, a water gauge with a height of twenty-five cubits (approximately thirty-seven feet) was erected on both sides of the Tigris at the beginning of the tenth century; the maximum height of floods reported was about twenty-two cubits (approximately thirty-three feet).16 This of course does not mean that water levels were not measured before that time, merely that the size of the device and the precision of measurement it made possible disposed the historiographer to describe it in detail. A number of other flood-prevention measures were implemented to protect the citizens of ‘Abba¯sid-era Baghdad from catastrophic floods. There was the aforementioned complex canal system that distributed and regulated the approaching floodwaters; with the use of gates in the dams or overflow weirs, it was sometimes possible to control the water’s outflow.17 Floodwaves often destroyed the weirs, however, as well as later repairs. Dikes could be intentionally breached and farmlands deliberately flooded in order to prevent greater damage, but this strategy was used only as a last resort.18

SPECIAL MEASURES Measures Implemented by the Authorities The medieval chronicles contain numerous reports suggesting that the authorities attempted to repair damaged dams or city walls even under emergency conditions. These records sometimes mention the caliph, who personally saw to it that the necessary measures were carried out. In 1207, “the Tigris had reached a high water level,” and it was feared that the city would be submerged. A dike encircling Baghdad had been breached, and water was flowing into the trench between the dike and the city wall. The caliph ordered that this flow be blocked, assigning

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two officials to this task. They apparently did not leave the spot until this was achieved and, it can be assumed, the city was no longer in danger.19 This account is rather atypical because it describes prevention rather than destruction, but it offers insight into the danger the city faced and illustrates the effectiveness of timely countermeasures. In the flood of 1217, which destroyed many parts of Baghdad, the caliph himself appeared “publicly.” Chronicles report that “the Tigris had risen immensely. People had never experienced anything like this in the past. Baghdad was close to disappearing under water. They saw themselves face to face with disaster and thus prepared the boats to save themselves.”20 At the same time, people were busy redirecting the flow of the Quradj Canal in an attempt to prevent the city from sinking altogether and to limit the damages.21 The caliph appeared in the midst of this danger to ensure that this repair work continued. He said: “If I could use money or something else to prevent what I see, I would do it. If it could be driven back with war, then I would do so. There is no resistance to God’s command.”22 In this case, it was probably less important to close the breach during the flood than to reduce the amount of incoming water in order to buy time, for just as quickly as the river rose, from one day to the next, it could recede again. Only the possibility of such a swift change in circumstances enabled the caliph to persuade the people to persist in their efforts.23 Records of other floods demonstrate similar sudden shifts. In 1243, when numerous parts of the city were already submerged, the chamberlain Ibn al-Dawwa¯mı¯ had a gate in a dike repaired. Fearing that it would give way, the people remained behind the gate. The chamberlain also remained by the gate, and overnight the situation changed: “Thanks to the mercy of God, the water receded in this night.”24 In the flood of 1248, which the chronicler explicitly notes was less extensive than that of 1217, the previously mentioned dike around the city was reinforced in order to limit the extent of the floods already in progress. The vizier Ibn al-’Alqamı¯ himself reportedly climbed off his horse and carried the requisite bundles of brushwood to the dike. His exemplary behavior led all to immediately follow his example.25 The crisis was resolved when the water suddenly retreated. The following passage also illustrates the measures typically undertaken to preserve entire city neighborhoods. It is worth noting the close parallels between these objective historiographical reports. In this year, the Tigris rose mightily. In the Qu¯ radj Canal a great breach formed that the one responsible could not bring in order. Thereupon the vizier and other high officials came riding up. The

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Figure 6.1: Map of Baghdad between 1000 AD and 1400 AD (400 AH and 700 AH). Reproduced from Guy Le Strange, Baghdad during the Abbasid Caliphate (Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1900).

vizier had a bundle of briars in hand. Then all did this. They failed to close the hole and had to abandon the attempt. All were forced to flee, with the water pursuing them. In the end, it encircled all of Baghdad, and both parts of the city sank in the water.26

Another preventive measure was the use of walls to enclose parts of the city.27 Techniques for constructing barriers of this kind were repeatedly handed down. At the beginning of the thirteenth century, it was reported that the western part of Baghdad consisted of numerous quarters, each of which was surrounded by walls more than thirty feet thick.28 But these walls were not impenetrable, and floodwaters occasionally broke through individual stretches and destroyed whole sections of the city. The following account indicates the limits of such preventive measures. The trench in front of the wall filled with water. Ultimately the wall was destroyed by the water. A hole formed in the wall on Saturday, whereupon a part of the wall gave way. But this breach was able to be closed. Then the water tore another hole in the wall, which was neglected because it was thought that the wall would withstand the wa-

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ter and not give way. The water triumphed, however, and it became impossible to hold it off. Many parts of the city were submerged. The water went underground at many points, where everything then collapsed.29

The cost of repairs and the source of funding for them are mentioned frequently in the chronicles. In 928, as the flood entered through the Ku¯ fa Gate into the Round City (see figure 6.2),30 one of the canals that encircled the city was breached, and the water overflowed its banks. An emir who stayed with his officers for several days at the point of rupture attempted to repair the breach at his own

Figure 6.2: The Round City in the Reign of Caliph al-Mans.u¯ r (754–775 AD). Reproduced from Guy Le Strange, Baghdad during the Abbasid Caliphate (Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1900).

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expense, but without success.31 Other reports refer to repairs carried out not in the moment of danger but after the flood. It is possible to infer whether these efforts were effective. In the plague year of 938, the caliph offered to provide a thousand dinars from the alms tax to pay for repairs to a broken dike; eventually, however, he yielded to necessity and doubled the sum so that the work, which took fifty days to complete, could be properly done.32 Another breach in the same dike was successfully patched in 1256 with a makeshift barrier that served its purpose for thirteen years, for only then did the vizier have the breach repaired.33 Emergency Procedures The residential buildings of Baghdad, as well as large sections of the great mosques and palaces, were constructed of adobe (sun-dried bricks of clay and straw), which made them highly vulnerable to flood damage. Many were likely to collapse within a few hours of the water reaching them. Evacuating the buildings promptly was thus essential to survival. People boarded boats or, particularly during nighttime floods, took refuge behind the dikes. In one firsthand report of the flood of 1159, the writer claims that he left his house on Sunday morning, that the water came in around midday, and that by late afternoon the building had collapsed.34 As soon as it became clear that the floodwaters would reach the buildings, residents abandoned them; as one record notes: “People left the residences near the river and went to higher ground. A mosque on the Tigris sank into the water.”35 Again and again, writers voiced concern that the city might disappear altogether as a result of a flood’s impact on this method of construction. The same threat arose when water was forced out of the wells and the drainage canals.36 Unlike the residential buildings, the caliph’s palace was not made exclusively of adobe, so its roofs provided safety in some flood situations. Yet the palace’s location and construction rendered it, too, liable to destruction, as one account confirms: After having been trapped in their houses adjacent to the palace, the caliph’s relatives had been rescued and brought to another building. But when the water reached it, too, they were forced to take shelter in tents erected on high ground.37 Ensuring the availability of a large number of boats was a critical part of the “planned” emergency response to flooding. Boats became temporary residences as people waited to see which, if any, buildings would collapse. The Christian chronicler Bar Hebraeus reported that during the flood of 977, people sat in the boats night and day while many large buildings succumbed to the water.38 Because of their im-

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portance, watercraft were moored at the caliph’s palace, a site that was presumed to be safe. Another palace on the bank of the Tigris was protected by a dike and was considered so safe that even in the great flood of 1074, boats were moored below the palace wall.39 Descriptions of Losses Extant historical records frequently describe the flooded areas in detail. Losses included people, structures, animals, trees, and agricultural land. For Baghdad the reports listed the destroyed sections of the city and buildings other than residences. The flood of 1010, for example, was summarized as follows: the Tigris rose from the month of Radjab until Ramada¯n and reached a height of 21 cubits [approximately 31 feet]. The water affected most houses in the areas along the riverbanks, the Daqı¯q quarter, and several of the city gates. It flooded the Ku¯fa mosque in the Daqı¯q quarter and carried away its walls and roofs. The dikes gave way, with the result that villages and estates were submerged.40

Statistics, together with numerous reports, give a sense of the heavy losses incurred. Apparently, nearly all drowned who did not escape safely by boat or who failed to reach higher ground.41 In 835, it was reported that three thousand people drowned in a flood of the Zu¯bata.ra¯, a tributary of the Tigris.42 In the year 903, twelve hundred flood victims were counted, but those who could not be found were not included in this total.43 In 1238, fifty people drowned.44 As for buildings and residences, it was commonly reported that no structures were left standing after floodwaters had swept through a particular neighborhood. After the flood of 939, in several parts of town “not one residence remained. All houses and buildings on the S.ara¯t Canal had collapsed.”45 In 1255, “a trustworthy man is said to have counted the houses destroyed on both sides of the Tigris. There were more than 12,370.”46 In the flood of 883 the dike of one canal broke, causing an entire section of the city to be destroyed. Seven thousand houses collapsed.47 While these figures seem to rely on actual counts, they unmistakably exemplify a symbolic use of the numerals three and seven that is common in Islamic-Arabic documents of this period. The figures given for uprooted date palms demonstrate this symbolic convention particularly well. In the report for 1255 a strong wind that blew through Ku¯fa after heavy rainfall and flooding is said to have uprooted three thousand date palms. In another area a total of seventy thousand palms perished: the chronicler asserts that all the trees were destroyed

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and there was no harvest.48 In the former case, the figure three thousand means that the number of palms was significantly reduced—it signifies serious damage; in the latter, the figure seventy thousand indicates that the scale of destruction was almost unimaginable—it symbolizes a major catastrophe. These figures reflect an awareness of the economic value that was attached to these trees, which, unlike many other plants, took a very long time to replace as an agricultural resource. Along with people and houses, palms were considered great losses and were therefore designated by numbers that represented the magnitude of their loss without giving literal or exact parameters. Animal losses, by contrast, were not counted or expressed in figures but only in general terms.49 The recurring references to lost residences—the homes were reduced to piles of clay and thus did actually disappear—give us insight into the urban dimensions of such catastrophes. The destruction of many residences all at once had direct economic and social consequences. Victims suffered multiple losses, not only losing their homes but also experiencing significant rises in rent and food prices. After the flood of 1255, for example, “[r]ents for the residences that were left in Baghdad’s neighborhoods quadrupled. Prices rose and food was in short supply.”50 Every flood had economic repercussions for each section of the city, and such facts were considered worth recording. Whereas the sources have almost nothing to say about the replacement of residential buildings, they do contain information about the reconstruction of public buildings such as mosques and hospitals. In only one case is residential reconstruction mentioned. A man describing the flood of 932 related that his house, along with many others, had been destroyed, whereupon he moved upstream to Mosul for two years until his home in Baghdad was rebuilt and the flood damage cleared away.51 Effects on Urban Life The evidence is scant, but hygienic problems must have accompanied every flood when, for example, floodwaters flowed into fresh-water fountains, sewers, and cesspools. Two chronicles report such an occurrence in 977. One reads: “[T]he river Tigris reached a height of 20 cubits [approximately 30 feet] and the waters poured down into the wells and drains [or sewers] of Baghdad.”52 In the other, the chronicler relates that the Tigris reached a height of twenty-one cubits (approximately thirty-one feet), several dikes broke, and houses and streets were submerged: “The water gushed from the fountains and sewers.

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People feared for their lives because the city seemed to be sinking below the water. Then the water receded.”53 Similar events were recorded in two other years when rainfall contributed to the rise of the Tigris. In 942, “the sewers filled and overflowed, so that water ran into people’s houses.”54 In 1248, there was an effort—difficult to imagine during a flood—to remedy the overflow of sewers by building new ones. But they filled with water immediately.55 Each of the several dozen Baghdad neighborhoods clearly had one or more cemeteries, which also lay under water when the entire district was flooded.56 Rare references to such occurrences allow for generalization. In 977, the cemeteries in two neighborhoods were submerged following a breach in a dike.57 In 1159, flooding in several quarters destroyed the mausoleums and the graves of caliphs, whose names were listed in the report.58 It is possible that cemeteries were sited with special care, because only once was it reported that corpses had been dislodged from submerged graves and floated to the surface.59 Flood-related Changes in the City Annual flooding of large sections of Baghdad evidently caused ongoing topographic changes in the city.60 The city was so exposed to the Tigris that whole districts were repeatedly determined and then altered by it. Until the tenth century, the caliphs’ city was located on the west bank of the Tigris. In an attempt to escape the recurring floods, it was relocated to the east bank; but the risk was hardly smaller. The frequency of flooding, which typically destroyed at least one section of the city,61 promoted building practices that allowed for the speedy reconstruction of entire neighborhoods. The mostly one- or two-story residential buildings62—which, as the sources vividly report, collapsed within a few hours during floods—were constructed of clay bricks that were dried either in the sun or, in rare cases, over a fire. Clay was also used to reinforce the walls of reed huts. Although these building materials did not hold up well during floods, they could be reused on the spot once the waters had receded. The effects of flooding were even more severe in times of civic unrest, as historians have pointed out. Canals often fell into disrepair or were deliberately destroyed, allowing floodwaters to rush in unimpeded.63 A state of near civil war persisted from 935 to 945, and throughout these years the canals were neglected for long intervals. Consequently, flooding caused extensive damage, which in turn led to the devastation of one of the two large districts on the west bank. The chronicles record at least half a dozen famines during this period

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and just as many outbreaks of the plague in various years. This tenyear period fell in the middle of a span of less than three decades that reportedly witnessed the destruction of nine-tenths of all buildings in the city.64 Moreover, nomads routinely plundered the rural districts after flooding, a pattern that had important consequences for Iraq’s political history.65 Psychological Effects People knew that these catastrophes would inevitably recur; indeed, they expected them. Perhaps this explains why they did not attribute these events to “divine anger” at human sinfulness. On the contrary, catastrophe and the spectacle of destruction offered an opportunity to doubt the meaning of divine actions through a turn toward irony. The poet Ibn al-Mu‘tazz (d. 908) wrote: “The Tigris devours my house and is still not sated; the walls are leaning or have already fallen. The roof has caved in, and water is gushing through the floor. Our orchard is now only a hole in whose waters the frogs praise God.”66 The poem implies that destruction on such a scale, if repeated, could well leave only frogs to praise God, which God could not actually want. It seems to have been beyond imagining that humanity itself might be the reason behind a calamity enacted by God. A writer in 1159 expresses more shock than irony at the destruction that confronted him once the floodwaters had receded: I returned to my neighborhood after two days. I saw no walls there. Except by guessing, no one could tell any longer where his house had stood before. What remained were mere mounds of mud. It was only by the minaret, which had not collapsed, that we knew for sure it was our neighborhood. The graves had washed away and the corpses had emerged. It was an astonishing sign.67

Here the events are deemed so extraordinary that they can be interpreted only as a “sign”—that is, as God expressing his omnipotence. Elsewhere, the river itself is poetically described as a personified agent of destruction. Under the leadership of vizier Ibn al-’Alqamı¯, a breach in a dike was successfully repaired with bundles of brushwood; so this leader was compared to an erudite doctor who knows the appropriate remedy for a disease.68 In this case, the disease infected the river and made “him” go over his banks. When the medicine took effect, “he [the river] turned away in shame as a shameful deed withdraws.” As we see in this instance, the cause of the destruction, which was curable with the proper treatment, could be discussed in objec-

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tive, factual terms without recourse to external causes. The technical standards of the culture determined both its perception and interpretation of flooding, leading to this self-reflexive method of coping with the catastrophe. CONCLUSIONS The Iraqi chroniclers wrote in a factual style, which perhaps explains why they did not attribute “extreme events” to supernatural causes. Nor did they interpret events as tests, punishments, or afflictions from God—water was too valuable for that. Perhaps because water was simultaneously both life-sustaining and destructive, catastrophes were construed as a part of nature and ritualized accordingly. Moreover, the waves of flooding do not appear to have spurred apocalyptic speculation.69 The countless practical, businesslike attempts to address and solve flood-related problems suggest that inadequate action (for example, failure to maintain the water-management infrastructure) was always regarded as a cause of fateful events. Once catastrophes occurred, however, they were also always interpreted from a religious perspective as a sign of divine power. The culture prepared itself for catastrophe by living under, with, and despite constant threat. Historical records show that a certain routine had developed to cope with flooding: in dealing with the damage, residents’ conduct was above all technical-rational, and matter-of-fact problemsolving took priority over religious explanation. Religious norms could even be relativized in the face of threat. “Pilgrimages, religious conflict, and religious war” were temporarily subordinated to social solidarity as people coordinated efforts to minimize the danger.70 A logic of survival prevailed in the culture’s approach to managing the floods that repeatedly destroyed its infrastructure. It is precisely because these rational, functional methods held sway that one can speak of a culture of catastrophe in Baghdad and Iraq. Mesopotamia and Baghdad were, in essence, doubly confronted with flooding—that is, catastrophes of both the first and second order shaped their culture. First-order catastrophes were the annual high waters, which had to be regulated and used productively. When successfully controlled, the floods and other circumstances of potamic living could generally be interpreted as a gift from God. These expected spring floods challenged the culture to develop its capacities so that the first-order catastrophe became normal and could be managed with the help of cultural routine. The second-order catastrophes, on the other hand, were the exceptional floods. The chroniclers bear witness

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to these departures from the expected scale: “The Tigris rose above the normal level. Numerous districts stood under water.”71 As contingent events, they could indeed be expected but not prevented. Nonetheless, the culture prepared for them by setting aside a safety zone that limited people’s exposure to danger. We can therefore rightly claim that a reciprocal relationship existed between Mesopotamian culture and catastrophes, which were perceived not as objective phenomena or occasional aberrations of nature but rather as culturally managed events whose impact was, in part, determined by that culture. In general, one could say that catastrophes are productive insofar as they challenge and liberate cultural capacities that can find application in knowledge (technological, economic, and social). Catastrophes are thus not to be understood as absolute events—in terms, for example, of impact—but rather viewed in relation to patterns of reaction. The term culture of catastrophe in this context designates a culture that learns from its experience of catastrophe and develops in interaction and engagement with recurring challenges. What is considered a catastrophe—whether of the first or second order—is not something unknown; rather, the “catastrophic” incorporates human activity and is culturally relativized. A society that attempted to focus entirely on negative contingencies would be overburdened and thereby bring about its own end. Mesopotamian culture in the late ‘Abba¯sid era provides an example of this reciprocity between humanity and nature. The annual floods made the culture possible; they could also largely destroy it.72 A system was developed for managing floods that stayed within a certain range, and strategies also evolved for surviving the less predictable second-order floods. The culture’s ability to harness the power of the high waters grew out of and reflected this experience of the normal and the excessive.73 The response to first-order catastrophes proceeded according to routine—that is to say, as part of the cultural program of the normal—and from social necessity. If canal maintenance was neglected, however, a flood that might ordinarily have been controlled—a firstorder flood—could cause considerable and foreseeable damage. When second-order catastrophes resulted from such neglect, the culture was partially responsible. When water-control structures were maintained or preventive measures increased, city residents could regulate firstorder catastrophes. Social and technological mechanisms kept destruction within manageable bounds.

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NOTES I wish to thank Prof. Dr. Heinz Grotzfeld and Prof. Dr. Harm-Peer Zimmermann for their support in the preparation of this article. 1. See “Didjla” in The Encyclopaedia of Islam, new ed., ed. H.A.R. Gibb et al., twelve vols. (Leiden: Brill, etc., 1964–2004), 2:249–51, esp. 250, hereafter cited as EI. 2. William B. Fisher, The Middle East: A Physical, Social and Regional Geography, sixth ed. (London: Methuen, 1971), 346; and Joachim Radkau, Natur und macht: Eine weltgeschichte der umwelt (Munich: Beck, 2000), 115. 3. See Linda-Marie Günther, “Das Hochwasser bei Helenopolis,” in Naturkatastrophen in der Antiken Welt, ed. Eckart Olshausen and Holger Sonnabend, Stuttgarter Kolloquium zur Historischen Geographie des Altertums 6, 1996 (Stuttgart: Steiner, 1998), 105–17, esp. 108. Unless otherwise noted, translations throughout the present chapter are my own. 4. See Dieter Groh, Michael Kempe, Franz Mauelshagen, eds., Naturkatastrophen: Zu ihrer Wahrnehmung, Deutung und Darstellung von der Antike bis ins 20. Jahrhundert (Tübingen: Narr, 2001), 19. 5. See Michael G. Morony, Iraq After the Muslim Conquest (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1984), 121, 516. 6. See “Didjla” in EI, 2:250. 7. See Etienne de Vaumas, “Le Controle et l’Utilisation des Eaux du Tigre et de l’Euphrate,” Revue de Geographie Alpine 46 (1958): 235–331, esp. 243, n14. 8. See Vaumas, “Le Controle et l’Utilisation des Eaux,” 248; and Michael G. Ionides, The Régime of the Rivers Euphrates and Tigris (London: E. & F. N. Spon, 1937), 15f. 9. See “Didjla” in EI, 2:250. 10. See Martin Körner, “Stadtzerstörung und Wiederaufbau: Thema, Forschungsstand, Fragestellung und Zwischenbilanz,” in Stadtzerstörung und Wiederaufbau: Zerstörungen durch Erdbeben, Feuer und Wasser, ed. Martin Körner (Bern, Switzerland: Haupt, 1999), 7–42, esp. 23. 11. By comparison, from the fourth century BC to the fourth century AD about thirty floods of the Tiber are known to have occurred. See Holger Sonnabend, Naturkatastrophen in der Antike: Wahrnehmung—Deutung—Management (Stuttgart: Metzler, 1999), 60. Where the fields were irrigated, the aridity only constituted a slight threat. But the water level of the rivers did remain below normal during parts of the period under investigation. In the years that followed such droughts, famines were recorded. 12. The two Egyptian historiographers Ibn al-Dawa¯da¯rı¯ (d. after 1336) and Ibn Taghrı¯birdı¯ (d. 1470) reported the floods of 1006 and 939, respectively: see Ibn al-Dawa¯da¯rı¯, Kanz al-durar wa-dja¯mı¯ al-ghurar (Cairo: [s.n.], 1961), Pt. 6, 276; and Ibn Taghrı¯birdı¯, al-Nudju¯m al-za¯hira fı¯ mulu¯k Misr wal-Qa¯hira (Berkeley and Leiden: University of California Press, 1909–1929), Pt. 3, 157. 13. These considerations also pertain to the question posed by Christian Rohr, “whether the differences in the experience of the catastrophe resulted from this, whether it posed a constant or an unexpected threat.” See “Mensch

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und Naturkatastrophe: Tendenzen und Probleme einer mentalitätsbezogenen Umweltgeschichte des Mittelalters,” in Umwelt-Geschichte: Arbeitsfelder, Forschungsansätze, Perspektiven, Silvia Hahn and Reinhold Reith, eds. (Vienna: Verlag für Geschichte und Politik, 2001), 13–31, esp. 29. 14. In the following analysis the term catastrophe has two meanings. On the one hand, it refers to the destructive effects of spring floods that exceeded average levels, which the Arabic reports vividly describe again and again. On the other hand, as I will explain further below, it can refer to the usual, annual high waters, the control of which was the precondition for life in the river region. This second meaning does not come up in the reports. Only once is the word hala¯k (meaning “ruin” or “destruction”) used in the chronicles cited here, which, like other reports, describe Baghdad as nearly sinking under water. The residents of Baghdad saw themselves as subject to such ruin. Still, one should not read into this word any allusion to divine punishment. See ‘Izz al-Dı¯n ibn al-Athı¯r (d. 1233), Kita¯b al-Ka¯mil fı¯ l-ta’rı¯kh, ed. Carl Johan Tornberg, fourteen vols. (Leiden: Brill, 1851–1876), 7:332. 15. See Ionides, The Régime of the Rivers Euphrates and Tigris, 232f. 16. ‘Abd al-Rah . ma¯n ibn al-Djawzı¯ (d. 1201), al-Muntaz.am fı¯ ta’rı¯kh almulu¯k wal-umam, ed. F. Krenkow, vols. 5–10 (Hyderabad: Da¯’irat al-Ma‘a¯rif al-‘Uthma¯nı¯ya, 1357–1359 AH [1938–1940]), 6:57. 17. Arabic: sikr. 18. See Ionides, The Régime of the Rivers Euphrates and Tigris, 7. 19. See Ibn al-Athı¯r, al-Ka¯mil, 12:278. 20. See Ibn al-Athı¯r, al-Ka¯mil, 12:332. 21. Arabic: li-‘amal al-Qu¯radj h . awla l-balad. 22. See Ibn al-Athı¯r, al-Ka¯mil, 12:332. 23. Arabic: wa- h . aththahum ‘ala¯ l-‘amal. 24. See ‘Abd al-Razza¯q ibn Ah . awa¯dith al. mad ibn al-Fuwa.tı¯ (d. 1323), al-H dja¯mi‘a (Baghdad [s.n., 1932]), 186f. 25. See Ibn al-Fuwa.tı¯, al-H . awa¯dith, 229f. 26. See Ibn al-Fuwa.tı¯, al-H . awa¯dith, Year 1255, 317. 27. See “Baghdad” in EI, 1:894–908, esp. 901. 28. See “Baghdad” in EI, 1:901. 29. See Ibn al-Djawzı¯, al-Muntaz.am, 10:189f. 30. This is the city center, first built in 762, where the royal palace and grounds were located. 31. See Muh . ammad ibn Yah . ya al-S.u¯lı¯ (d. 947), Akhba¯r al-Ra¯d. ı¯ billa¯h wal-Muttaqı¯ lilla¯h: ta’rı¯kh al-dawla al-‘abba¯sı¯ya min sanat 322 ila¯ 333 hidjra min kita¯b al-awra¯q li-Abı¯ Bakr Muh . ammad ibn Yah . ya¯ alS.u¯lı¯, ed. J. Heyworth-Dunne (Beirut: Da¯r al-Ması¯rah, 1979), Pt. 2, 278. 32. See al-S.u¯lı¯, Akhba¯r al-Ra¯d. ı¯, 137f. 33. See Ibn al-Fuwa.tı¯, al-H . awa¯dith, Year 1256, 319. 34. See Ibn al-Djawzı¯, al-Muntaz.am, 10:190. Arabic: waqa’at al-du¯r. 35. See Ibn al-Fuwa.tı¯, al-H . awa¯dith, Year 1248, 230. 36. Cf., e.g., Ibn al-Djawzı¯, al-Muntaz.am, 7:87. Some of the drainage canals ran below ground. See Guy Le Strange, Baghdad during the Abbasid Caliphate

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(Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1900), 285. 37. See Ibn al-Fuwa.tı¯, al-H . awa¯dith, Year 1255, 317f. 38. See Bar Hebraeus, The Chronography of Gregory Abu’l-Faraj 1225– 1286, ed. and trans. Ernest A. Wallis Budge, two vols. (rpt. Amsterdam: Philo, 1976), 1:175f. 39. See Le Strange, Baghdad during the Abbasid Caliphate, 254. 40. See Ibn al-Djawzı¯, al-Muntaz.am, 7:251f. 41. See, e.g., Ibn al-Djawzı¯, al-Muntaz.am, 6:300. 42. See Bar Hebraeus, The Chronography, 134. 43. See Ibn al-Athı¯r, al-Ka¯mil, 7:532. 44. See Bar Hebraeus, The Chronography, 404f. 45. See Ibn al-Djawzı¯, al-Muntaz.am, 6:300. 46. See Ibn al-Fuwa.tı¯, al-H . awa¯dith, 303–4; and “Baghdad” in EI, 1:896. 47. See The History of Al-Tabari: An Annotated Translation, ed. Ehsan Yarshater, trans. Franz Rosenthal, forty vols. (Albany: State University of New York Press, 1985–2007), 38:145. 48. See Ibn al-Fuwa.tı¯, al-H . awa¯dith, 277, 303f. 49. See, e.g., Ibn al-Athı¯r, al-Ka¯mil, 7:532, and Ibn al-Djawzı¯, al-Muntaz.am, 6:300. 50. See Ibn al-Fuwa.tı¯, al-H . awa¯dith, Year 1255, 303. 51. See Le Strange, Baghdad during the Abbasid Caliphate, 44f. 52. Bar Hebraeus, The Chronography, 175. 53. See Ibn al-Djawzı¯, al-Muntaz.am, 7:87. Immediately following this is a report about an earthquake that occurred three months later in Sı¯ra¯f: “It demolished the houses and destroyed all the belongings within them. More than 200 people were killed in this earthquake.” 54. See Ibn al-Djawzı¯, al-Muntaz.am, 6:326. 55. See Ibn al-Fuwa.tı¯, al-H . awa¯dith, 229. 56. In a description of Baghdad from the year 1185, seventeen districts are specified for the eastern part of the city; see “Baghdad” in EI, 1:901. 57. See Ibn al-Djawzı¯, al-Muntaz.am, 7:87. 58. See Ibn al-Fuwa.tı¯, al-H . awa¯dith, 229–34. 59. See Ibn al-Djawzı¯, al-Muntaz.am, 10:189f. 60. See Le Strange, Baghdad during the Abbasid Caliphate, 234. 61. Le Strange, Baghdad during the Abbasid Caliphate, 44. 62. See “Baghdad” in EI, 1:899. 63. Al-S.u¯lı¯ reported one such deliberate act of destruction in Akhba¯r al-Ra¯d. ı¯: “He destroyed the dike of the Nahrawa¯n Canal, so that the water rose over the bank and laid waste to everything [ad-dunya¯]. The people became impoverished, and the prices rose. This situation continues to this day” (105f). See also “Baghdad” in EI, 2:899. 64. This report comes from al-Muh . assin ibn ‘Alı¯ al-Tanu¯ khı¯, who wrote in the year 956; see “Baghdad” in EI, 1:900. 65. For a discussion of how the region’s catastrophic floods influenced Iraq’s political development, see, for example, Vaumas, “Le Controle et l’Utilisation des Eaux,” 248.

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66. See ‘Abdalla¯h Ibn al-Mu¯‘tazz, Der Diwan des ‘Abdalla¯h Ibn al-Mu‘tazz, ed. Bernhard Lewin (Istanbul: Staatsdruckerei, 1945–1950), Pt. 4, 103f. This quotation contains a pun on the different meanings of the Arabic words for swim and praise God. 67. See Ibn al-Djawzı¯, al-Muntaz.am, 10:189f. 68. See Ibn al-Fuwa.tı¯, al-H . awa¯dith, 31f. 69. One might think that this situation arises from the historiographical peculiarity of the sources, and it would be advisable to look for explanations of these events in other types of written records. However, it is unlikely that one would find apocalyptic speculation in other sources because, as Josef van Ess avers, even the numerous earthquakes in the Islamic world barely triggered any kind of theological reflections. See Josef van Ess, Der Fehltritt des Gelehrten: Die Pest von Emmaus und ihre theologischen Nachspiele (Heidelberg: Winter, 2001), 395. 70. See al-S.u¯lı¯, Akhba¯r al-Ra¯d. ı¯, 137f. 71. Cf., e.g., Ibn al-Fuwa.tı¯, al-H . awa¯dith, Year 1243, 186. 72. According to Vaumas, “the floods of the Tigris and Euphrates threatened to sweep away [Mesopotamian culture] nearly every spring” (“Le Controle et l’Utilisation des Eaux,” 243). 73. Occasionally, to be sure, there was too little water, but such occurrences did not significantly shape the culture. In the period under investigation, this situation was reported about half a dozen times. Because of the aridity in many regions, s.ala¯t al-istisqa¯’, a supplication for rain during periods of great drought, became a precise ritual in Islam. It dates back to the earliest Arab times. See “Istisqa¯’ “ in EI, 4:269–71.

7

Interpreting Earthquakes in Medieval Islamic Texts Anna A. Akasoy

Earthquakes are fairly common in Egypt and on the Arabian Peninsula, both part of the historical heartland of the Islamic world, and, thus, Muslims have always sought explanations for these and other natural disasters. The Koran and the prophetic tradition set the initial parameters for a religious interpretation of natural disasters (the Islamic heritage). In medieval Islamic texts this interpretation existed alongside a scientific understanding of earthquakes that was influenced by Greek natural philosophy, especially Aristotle’s Meteorology (the Hellenic heritage).1 In this chapter I will explore how these two hermeneutic modes differ not only in their explanations of earthquakes as empirical phenomenon but also in their notions of causality and in their temporal perspectives. Through a comparison of two religious treatises on earthquakes written in Cairo in the fifteenth and sixteenth centuries, respectively—al-Suyu¯t+ı¯’s Kashf al-s.als.alah ‘an was.f al-zalzalah and Ibn al-Jazza¯r’s Tahsı ¯ n al-mana¯zil min hawl al-zala¯zil—I will also identify variations within the religious tradition with respect to the moral implications of earthquakes, the elements of society blamed for these events, and recommendations for responding to natural disasters.2 THE ISLAMIC AND HELLENIC HERITAGES The Islamic Heritage The earliest source we have on the religious beliefs of Muslims is the Koran. According to the traditional Islamic narrative, the text

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comprises the divine revelations that Muhammad received from 610 until his death in 632. These revelations are understood as belonging to different periods that correspond to stages in Muhammad’s career. The early phase took place in Mecca, the later phase in Medina, where he established a politico-religious community. Some Western scholars have radically challenged this narrative, describing the emergence of Islam as the result of a long-term development that culminated in a much later period and in a more northern milieu. Most, however, subscribe to the traditional account, at least in its general outlines; the distinct phases of Muhammad’s career help to explain varying approaches to the same issue, such as earthquakes.3 My analysis of natural disasters and their interpretation in the Koran and later religious literature reflects this less skeptical, traditional perspective. In the holy scripture of Islam, earthquakes are interpreted within two different yet related frameworks and are viewed either as signs of the future apocalypse or as punishments of a limited duration for specific groups of people in the past. Sura 99 of the Koran (titled alzalzala, meaning “the earthquake” and often translated as “The Quaking”) is usually attributed to the early Meccan period and provides an example of the former function, since it describes an earthquake inaugurating the Day of Judgment: (1) When comes the great earthquake, (2) and the earth brings forth its burdens [i.e., what has been buried in it], (3) and man says: “What is the matter with it?” (4) That day it will tell its news, (5) that thy Lord hath prompted it; (6) that day the people will come forward separately, that they may be shown their works. (7) Whoever has done a particle’s weight of good, shall see it. (8) And whoever has done a particle’s weight of evil, shall see it.4

In these early suras the second role of God as an avenger does not appear because such a threat was not yet needed; in his earliest days as a prophet, Muhammad was presenting previously unknown religious concepts to the Meccan polytheists. Eschatological themes are characteristic of this period because Muhammad sought to rouse the Arabs from their state of ignorance, and the resurrection of the dead and eternal requital in paradise or hell were alien to their pre-Islamic beliefs.5 His threats of a world-ending earthquake must have been all the more impressive to his listeners since the inhabitants of the Arabian Peninsula were familiar with this geological phenomenon.6

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The role of earthquakes as an apocalyptic omen is a well-known biblical theme, as is punishment for having rejected God’s message or messenger. This second function of earthquakes comes out more clearly in the subsequent periods of Koranic revelation. The later suras describe the reactions of the polytheistic Arabs to the first revelations, as well as Muhammad’s divinely inspired response to them. Most Meccans did not believe in individual requital in the hereafter, or that natural disasters acted as harbingers of the resurrection of the dead. Muhammad therefore cited historical examples of God’s severe punishment or even annihilation of peoples who had rejected the prophets sent to them by their Lord and Creator. Muhammad alludes to the familiar biblical stories of Noah and Lot but also introduces ¯ d and Thamu¯d7 and their new stories about the Arab peoples of ‘A 8 prophets, Hu¯d and Sa¯lih, respectively. The latter case is particularly intriguing: Sa¯lih is sent as a prophet to his own people. Producing a camel from a rock as a sign, he demands that the people not harm the animal and threatens divine retribution if they should disobey. The Thamu¯d do not believe him and hamstring the camel, taunting Sa¯lih to send the punishment, whereupon they are destroyed by a natural ¯ d are destroyed by a natural disaster for catastrophe. Likewise, the ‘A their disobedience: “So when our affair came, we turned it upside down and rained upon it stones of baked clay, piled up, marked in thy Lord’s presence; nor are they from the wrong-doers far away.”9 This story became a Koranic archetype of divine retribution in later Islamic literature, not unlike Noah and the flood in the Christian tradition. In sum, earthquakes (and other natural disasters) function in the later revelations of the Koran in different ways: as a punishment that changes conditions on the ground in a very physical sense, and as a warning. They are perceived not as “natural” disasters but rather as terrible large-scale events directed by divine will, either expressing God’s anger at human actions or foreshadowing further punishments and the coming of the Day of Judgment to the people, with all that implies regarding their behavior. The paradigms convey different perspectives on time: a punishment refers to the past, whereas a warning refers to the future. Sandwiched between them is the present time of the Koran’s first audience—the people to whom the last prophet, Muhammad, is sent, making their era decisive for humankind. These two contexts not only reflect God’s warning or punishment but also correspond to different outcomes. A disaster meant to signal the Day of Judgment leaves no room for redemption. Portending the imminent end of all of humankind, it comes when it is too late for

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good deeds. Disasters interpreted as a punishment for a particular group, on the other hand, are intended to validate the prophecies of Muhammad and other prophets before him—that is, among other things, that a future Day of Judgment will come—and thus to make believers of the audience. Such disasters support believers in their struggle to defend and spread their religion. One must remember that these interpretations of disasters in the Koran were written when the success of Islam was still to come. So even if the Koran always presents disasters as warnings or punishments, their implications for readers vary according to their context within the Koran and according to where and when the Koran was interpreted in later centuries. Two types of Islamic religious texts from the ninth century onward have complemented these Koranic notions of “natural” disaster as warning, punishment, and omen. These texts were written to address the emerging Islamic community’s need for explanations of the Koran and its theoretical and practical applications. Exegetical literature (tafsı¯r) seeks to explain the holy scripture, for example, by discussing various interpretations of grammatical structure or by elucidating the meaning of words that were no longer readily understood by contemporary readers. The exegete Tabarı¯ (839–923), in his famous commentary on the Koran, for example, discussed several explanations of words used in sura 11 (Hu¯d):82, quoted above, on the disaster ¯ d; the meanings of the words sajı¯l and mandu¯d that obliterated the ‘A (rendered as “baked clay” and “piled up” by Bell) were no longer obvious in the ninth century. Prophetical traditions (h. adı,th) consist of stories about the prophet’s deeds and sayings that aim to provide specific practical recommendations where the Koran itself is silent or inconclusive. Today, Muslims still extrapolate rules for individual and collective behavior from these texts. The references to earthquakes in the h. adı,ths contextualize the short passages on these phenomena from the Koran within the field of Islamic cosmology and ethics that was emerging when they appeared. These texts often seek to harmonize Koranic and extra-Koranic elements. On the one hand, they discuss earthquakes according to their Koranic paradigms, as a punishment in the past, a warning referring to the future, and a sign of the Day of Judgment. On the other, they apply them to the present as a measure of the moral character of interactions in the Islamic community, fitting them into a more systematic scheme of divine interventions in human life. Within this scheme, earthquakes and other disasters are seen as specific punishments for sins that disturb the social order; they do not comply with the rules conveyed by the divine revelation

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(a point addressed below). The Hellenic Heritage Aristotle is by far the most important author of Greek antiquity whose theories on earthquakes influenced Arabic literature.10 In his Meteorology (Book II, chapters 7–8), the philosopher discusses earthquakes following his usual method. He begins with an account of the views of other philosophers and refutes some of them with scientific arguments. After establishing the status quaestionis, Aristotle presents his own theory that earthquakes are caused by the winds that arise from evaporation. Rain fills the dry earth with moisture, and as the moisture evaporates, wind flows into the earth as the counterpart of this evaporation. He then compares this to bodily processes: “[T]he earth is affected as we often are after making water, when a sort of tremor runs through the body as a body of wind turns inwards again from without.”11 Aristotle attributes a number of other natural phenomena to these winds in the earth as well: noise in the earth, lunar eclipses, tidal waves, and so on. For Aristotle, then, there was a scientific, organic explanation for earthquakes that bore no relation to human behavior. Like many other Greek texts on philosophy and science, Aristotle’s Meteorology was translated into Arabic in the ‘Abba¯sid capital Baghdad during the Greco-Arabic translation movement in the ninth and tenth centuries. Later Muslim philosophers responded to the Aristotelian theories. The ways they dealt with these ideas concerning earthquakes is often indicative not only of their specific approaches to Aristotle but also of their position as Muslim philosophers in a more general sense. The tenth-century philosopher Ibn Sı¯na¯ (lat. Avicenna) in the Muslim East, for example, in his compendium of Aristotelian philosophy, Book of the Cure, adopted Aristotle’s scientific perspective on earthquakes without accepting the Greek philosopher’s specific explanations. This is typical of his more independent attitude. In presenting his own theory of earthquakes, Ibn Sı¯na¯ argues in favor of theories Aristotle had rejected but introduces a distinction—useful or harmful—of phenomena that accompany earthquakes. This distinction is remarkable for being based on exclusively geological criteria; there is no consideration of the condition, moral or otherwise, of the human beings affected by them. Another Muslim philosopher, the Andalusian scholar Ibn Rushd (1126–1198; lat. Averroes), tried to reconstruct Aristotle’s authentic doctrine and cleanse it of alien interpretations. Concerning earthquakes, Ibn Rushd’s commentary on Aristotle’s Meteorology includes

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valuable individual observations, such as a short report concerning an earthquake in Cordoba.12 The Koranic paradigm of natural disasters as punishment does not figure into his scientific explanation. Moreover, there is an anecdote about Ibn Rushd that has important implications for his views on religion and philosophy. One day, Ibn Rushd was asked to give his opinion about the prediction of a strong wind that would destroy Cordoba, and he explained the natural causes such a wind could have. One of his favorite disciples, a certain ‘Abd al-Kabı¯r, said, “If this wind actually comes to be, then it will be for the second time, the first wind being that by which God destroyed the people of ¯ d.” Ibn Rushd replied, “The people of ‘A ¯ d never existed,” which ‘A disturbed ‘Abd al-Kabı¯r.13 Provided that the anecdote has a basis in fact, it suggests that Ibn Rushd believed that the Koranic narrative had no relevance to natural disasters in his own day. For him, the Koran’s significance lay not in its specific historical framework but in its moral lessons and implications for the relationship between God and mankind. Ibn Rushd saw no incompatibility between religion and philosophy when both were properly understood. When we compare the philosophical and religious approaches to earthquakes in the Islamic world, we see that the philosophical treatment differs from religious explanations in being completely independent of human considerations. Islamic philosophical texts are usually devoid of teleological explanations for earthquakes and, furthermore, disregard human notions of time. To be sure, time figures into the philosophical approach: past earthquakes provide a basis for knowledge about earthquakes in general, earthquakes of the present confirm or refute Aristotle’s theories, and predictions about future earthquakes can be made. This temporal perspective does not, however, link earthquakes to human history. This separation between the human and geologic spheres connected Muslim philosophers with Aristotle. At the same time, they did not deny God’s agency in bringing about earthquakes. On the contrary, combining religious doctrine and Greek philosophy, they would not have hesitated to confirm that, ultimately, God was the only true cause of earthquakes, even though they construed nature as a secondary cause. Of course, the religious approach identified its own secondary causes, in a way, but these were primarily the people who had sinned and thus required punishment. On occasion conflicts arose between the Greek tradition and the Koranic worldview. One of the most obvious examples of such a conflict was Aristotle’s assertion that the world was eternal, which contradicted the religious doctrine of its creation by God. A similar skepticism about the visible manifestation of the divine may be detected in the

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philosophico-scientific approach to natural disasters, as illustrated by ¯ d. the anecdote of Ibn Rushd denying the existence of the ‘A

VARIATIONS IN THE RELIGIOUS TRADITION Two treatises on earthquakes written in fifteenth- and sixteenthcentury Egypt illustrate that the philosophical approach did not receive a favorable reception among those who adopted a religious perspective on natural disasters: al-Suyu¯tı¯’s Kashf al-s.als.alah ‘an was.f al-zalzalah [The Study of Rattle for the Description of the Earthquake]14 and Ibn al-Jazza¯r’s Tahsı¯n al-mana¯ zil min hawl al-zala¯ zil [Fortification of the Houses for the Fear of Earthquakes]. Ironically, even as they disagree with Aristotle, both employ his technique of listing competing explanations for earthquakes before refuting them. Despite their common rejection of the philosophical approach, however, they reveal interesting variations within the religious tradition. Al-Suyu¯t¯ı The treatise on earthquakes by Egyptian Abu¯ ‘l-Fadl al-Suyu¯tı¯ (1445– 1505) is the oldest extant Arabic treatise exclusively on this topic.15 Unlike many other treatises, this one has no general prologue to explain its genesis, but we know that al-Suyu¯tı¯, a polymath, wrote on many subjects. He begins with a list of thirty causes for earthquakes based on exegetical texts and prophetical traditions—with the exception of one geological explanation derived from Aristotle’s Meteorology. Some causes relate specifically to medieval Islamic cosmology: the mountain Qa¯f that surrounds the earth makes places shake by moving roots corresponding to them; or Satan makes the fish on which the earth stands feel proud, so it moves.16 He also includes in his list several elements from the Koran and other religious literature which have already been mentioned: the eschatology of the early verses; the historical punishment of non-Muslims; the punishment of misbehaving Muslims, prominent in the prophetical traditions; and exegetical explanations regarding allusions to the Koran. Thus he perceives earthquakes as inclusive phenomena affecting non-Muslims and Muslims alike, as well as past, present, and future—with an emphasis on the future. He does not judge these possible causes of earthquakes but merely compiles them. Aristotle’s explanation is the only one that he rejects. Following the paradigms of the Islamic tradition, al-Suyu¯t¯ı integrates earthquakes into a catalogue of punishments corresponding to

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a catalogue of sins. Both of these catalogues, independent of this text, are part of the list of signs of the Day of Judgment.17 These transgressions jeopardize the moral and social order of the Muslim community and challenge the commandments of the Koran and the prophetical traditions but do not explicitly hasten the Day of Judgment. Rather, the relation is implied: sins can be an omen, but they also provoke punishments in the form of natural disasters, which, in turn, can also be omens. Ibn al-Jazza¯r Unlike al-Suyu¯t¯ı, who simply compiled passages from the traditions on earthquakes as one of many fields that caught his attention, the author of our second source, Ibn al-Jazza¯r, had a specific reason to address this topic. He wrote Tahsı¯n al-mana¯ zil min hawl al-zala¯ zil in the aftermath of the powerful earthquake that occurred in 1576 in the Cairo region, apparently motivated by his anxieties about competing explanations for it among his contemporaries.18 Even though Islamic religious sciences tolerate various opinions, inner divisions can cause concern because the absence of unity (fitnah, meaning “trial” or “civil war”) in a community of believers constitutes one of several phenomena of social disorder resulting from the collective sins of the Muslims. Therefore a situation like the one that Ibn al-Jazza¯r describes after the earthquake—“much prattle arose from them, and the fear of disturbance grew among them”—is to be taken very seriously. It may even suggest apocalyptic expectations. After a brief introduction in which he describes the earthquake, Ibn al-Jazza¯r quotes eight statements representing the diverging opinions of the people of Cairo.19 Among them are several explanations that had already appeared in al-Suyu¯t¯ı’s treatise: the mountain Qa¯f, the fish, people’s sins, and Aristotle’s geological explanation. In the main part of the treatise, Ibn al-Jazza¯r goes on to confirm or refute these opinions. He begins by vehemently rejecting the geological explanation as “idle talk and a corrupt useless opinion which is in accordance with the opinion of the ignorant among the philosophers and physicians.”20 As philosophy and medicine were key elements in the Hellenic heritage, this diatribe is clearly directed at this tradition. That the remark links meteorology and medicine in the same way Aristotle had in his text also points to this heritage as its target. Ibn al-Jazza¯r gives no reasons for his rejection but merely reproaches the philosophers and physicians for their stupidity and madness. One can only assume that it is the philosophical tradition per se he disapproves of,

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as he does not provide a proper refutation of the specific theory. Like al-Suyu¯t¯ı, who also fails to present a detailed refutation of Aristotelian doctrine, he radically rejects the philosophers. Ibn al-Jazza¯r presents much more favorably the opinion of those who say that earthquakes are a punishment for sodomy and adultery. Such explanations seem to accord with his own conviction. In order to corroborate this view, he quotes fifteen h. adı¯ths that mention earthquakes as a punishment. Unlike al-Suyu¯t¯ı, however, Ibn al-Jazza¯r does not discuss earthquakes as omens of the Day of Judgment.21 As instruments of divine wrath, earthquakes reflect a poor moral state in the Muslim community. This selection of quotations sets the tone for the entire treatise. Future earthquakes appear in the scheme he provides as consequences of future sins rather than as precursors of the Day of Judgment. In fact, it seems that Ibn al-Jazza¯r’s intended audience is the sinful of Egypt. His text works in some ways as moral criticism, and he clearly interprets earthquakes as a sign of God’s dissatisfaction. He also presents a prescription for how people should react to these natural phenomena. He discusses the recommendations of many to pray or flee to open land and recommends the former. His moral criticism comes out in his mention of two verses from the Koran which describe the frightening character that God’s interventions in this world may assume (17:59 and 17:60). He relates these measures to the sins that they punish and concludes by denouncing the sinful environment of contemporary Egypt, in particular the coffeehouses where a drug called bursh is consumed. In another treatise, the manuscript of which is preserved in Leiden, Ibn al-Jazza¯r comments specifically on this drug, providing further evidence of a critical stance toward his society.22 Other sins connected with coffeehouses also earn his reproach in Tahsı¯n al-mana¯ zil: The multitude of coffeehouses and . . . the lowest trash such as music instruments and singing, and that the cupbearer does not (even) have a beard—all this is not part of the path of the right religion: usually, there is no man who enters a coffeehouse for his appetite for coffee but rather for his appetite for the beardless cupbearer.

Sex, drugs, and rock ’n roll in sixteenth-century Cairo—Ibn al-Jazza¯r took these references not from the existing literature on earthquakes but from the situation right in front of his eyes. With his treatise, he demanded a response from the people and the authorities.

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Ibn al-Jazza¯r’s text is, in many respects, not only similar to al-Suyu¯t¯ı’s treatise but also directly based on it. Of course, both al-Suyu¯t¯ı and Ibn al-Jazza¯r approach earthquakes from within the religious tradition. However, there are also significant differences between their interpretations. Most importantly, the two authors had completely different intentions and motivations. As we have seen, al-Suyu¯t¯ı was interested in many issues; he addressed earthquakes as a textual scholar rather than, like Ibn al-Jazza¯r, as someone directly affected by a recent temblor. Al-Suyu¯t¯ı’s introductory summary of what theology has to say about earthquakes comes across as an armchair exercise in theory, whereas Ibn al-Jazza¯r presents concrete causes (the coffeehouses) and practical recommendations (prayer and fasting). Finally, Ibn al-Jazza¯r, unlike al-Suyu¯t¯ı, used his text to express political criticism. Like many other authors of apocalyptic or natural-disaster texts, he connected events in this world with supernatural forces to explain the current state of his society. One can imagine that Ibn al-Jazza¯r had been annoyed by the coffeehouses long before the earthquake of 1576. The event, though, not only justified his condemnation of the coffeehouses but also gave him an ideal opportunity to publish his criticism in the hopes of changing this sinful behavior. Ibn al-Jazza¯r did not write about the Day of Judgment coming soon, but this does not necessarily mean he did not believe it would. His contemporary readers would have recognized the disaster, combined with the social and moral disorder of Egyptian society, as a sign of its imminence.

CONCLUSIONS The medieval Islamic texts that have survived to the present are the only evidence we have for ascertaining how these cultures interpreted earthquakes. As we have seen here, very specific intellectual traditions inform each of these texts, to some extent determining from the outset the interpretations that authors will give. For example, within the Islamic heritage, earthquakes will always be interpreted according to the Koranic paradigms of divine punishment or warning and as omens of the Day of Judgment. These paradigms arose in the Koran as Muhammad used earthquakes to achieve different goals according to the stage of revelation. The two types of religious literature that developed in the ninth century, the exegetical tafsı¯r and the

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prophetical traditions, h. adı,th, maintain these paradigms but focus on varying aspects of earthquakes, also according to their specific goals. The tafsı¯r are perhaps more theoretical, seeking to explain difficult passages in the Koran, while the h. adı,th aim to give practical advice, thus concentrating on earthquakes as punishments for specific types of sins. Adhering to the Koranic paradigms of divine punishment or warning, these texts present God as the primary cause of earthquakes and people’s sins as secondary causes within a distinctly human timeframe: earthquakes befall people for their sins within single lifetimes, and earthquakes as a warning announce the imminence of the Day of Judgment. Within the Hellenic tradition, on the other hand, scientific explanations will be sought that divorce earthquakes from human behavior. Muslim philosophers who took up Aristotle’s approach did not necessarily adopt his specific theory of earthquakes; rather, they created their own geological or organic explanations for these phenomena. The timeframe was geological rather than human, however, ultimately undermining a teleological understanding of earthquakes. Despite these patterns, there are still important variations within these traditions that can be found only if we examine the texts within their cultural contexts, asking sociological questions and analyzing them on the “infra-linguistic” level.23 Such reading between the lines can be especially revealing in times of disaster, allowing us to peel away traditional textual interpretations and understand an author’s particular motivations. As we saw with Ibn al-Jazza¯r, for example, although he adheres, like al-Suyu¯tı¯, to a religious view of earthquakes as divine retribution, he is specifically motivated by his desire to condemn the corrupt moral climate of his contemporaries, expressly interpreting the Cairo earthquake of 1576 as God’s punishment for the prevailing “sex, drugs, and rock ’n roll” atmosphere of his culture, whereas al-Suyu¯tı¯ is motivated by theoretical interest. These Koranic paradigms remain important even today as they continue to inform many Muslims’ understanding of earthquakes, despite modern scientific explanations for these geological phenomena. The earthquake in Bam, Iran, in 2003, for example, was viewed by many as a divine intervention with a new twist: they saw it as a test of the Iranian people to prove whether they are worthy of God’s mercy. After this earthquake, which cost more than twenty thousand lives, this was the interpretation given in the daily newspaper Jomhuri-ye Eslami, sanctioned by Iran’s theocratic government.24

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NOTES 1. Several publications examine earthquakes in the Islamic world. See Mustafa Anwar Tahir, “Corpus des textes arabes relatifs aux tremblements de terre et aux catastrophes naturelles de la conquête arabe au XII H./XVIII JC.,” Ph.D. diss. (Paris I, 1979); see also N. N. Ambraseys, C. P. Melville and R. D. Adams, The Seismicity of Egypt, Arabia and the Red Sea: A Historical Review (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1994). A short introduction to earthquakes in Islamic contexts is to be found in the entry on zalzala by Charles Melville in Encyclopaedia of Islam, new ed., ed. H. A. R. Gibb et al., twelve vols. (Leiden: Brill, 1964–2004), hereafter cited as EI. 2. For a comparison of the two texts studied in this article, see Reinhard Schulze, “Islamische Deutungen von Erdbeben und anderen Naturkatastrophen,” in Katastrophen und ihre Bewältigung: Perspektiven und Positionen, Christian Pfister and Stephanie Summermatter, eds. (Bern, Switzerland: Haupt, 2004), 101–18. See also Anna Akasoy, “Islamic Attitudes to Disasters in the Middle Ages: A Comparison of Earthquakes and Plagues,” The Medieval History Journal 10 (2007): 387–410. 3. On problems of the historical context of the Koranic revelation, see Angelika Neuwirth, “Qur’an and History—A Disputed Relationship: Some Reflections on Qur’anic History and History in the Qur’an,” Journal of Qur’anic Studies 5 (2003): 1–18. On periodization, see Tilman Nagel, Der Koran: Einführung, Texte, Erläuterungen (Munich: Beck, 1983), 34ff. On stories of punishment in the Koran, see Alford T. Welch, “Formulaic Features of the Punishment-Stories,” in Literary Structures of Religious Meaning in the Qur’a¯ n, Issa J. Boullata, ed. (Richmond, Va.: Curzon, 2000), 77–116. 4. The Qur’a¯ n, trans. Richard Bell (Edinburgh: T. & T. Clark, 1937–1939). In Su¯rat al-H ajj, earthquakes are mentioned as an omen of the “hour” (i.e., the end of time) as well: “O ye people, show piety towards your Lord; verily the quake of the Hour is a mighty thing” (22:1). 5. This is pointed out, for example, by Rudi Paret in Mohammad und der Koran: Geschichte und Verkündigung des arabischen Propheten, seventh ed., rev. and enl. (Stuttgart: Kohlhammer, 1991), 73. For a discussion of Islam as a movement driven by apocalyptic expectations, see David Cook, Studies in Muslim Apocalyptic (Princeton, N.J.: Darwin Press, 2002); and Patricia Crone and Michael Cook, Hagarism: The Making of the Islamic World (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1977). 6. It should be mentioned, however, that earthquakes do not always occupy a clear position in relation to the Day of Judgment. There is no fixed chronological order of events leading to it in the Koran and other medieval texts. In the Islamic apocalypse, several kinds of fundamental transformations of the earth contribute to the dissolution of nature that announces the resurrection of the dead. ¯ d” by F. Buhl and the entry on “Thamu¯d” by Irfan 7. See the entry on “ ‘A Shahîd, both in EI. See also Albert van den Branden, Histoire de Thamoud (Beirut, Lebanon: Publications de l’Université libanaise, 1960); and Jaroslav

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Stetkevych, Muhammad and the Golden Bough: Reconstructing Arabian Myth (Bloomington: Indiana University Press, 1996). 8. See the entry on “Hu¯d” by A. J. Wensinck in EI; and R. B. Serjeant, “Hu¯d and other pre-Islamic prophets of Hadramawt,” Le Muséon 47 (1954): 121–79. On Salih, see J. Halévy, “Le prophète Sa¯lih,” Journal Asiatique 5 (1905): 146–50. 9. Sura 11 (Hu¯d):82 (Bell translation). A similar expression is to be found in sura 15:74. 10. Paul Lettinck, Aristotle’s Meteorology and its Reception in the Arab World, With an Edition and Translation of Ibn Suwa¯ r’s Treatise on Meteorological Phenomena and Ibn Ba¯ jja’s Commentary on the Meteorology (Leiden, Boston, Cologne: Brill, 1999). 11. Aristotle, Meteorologica, trans. H. D. P. Lee (London: William Heinemann, 1952), 366b14ff. 12. Ibn Rushd, Risa¯ lat al-a¯ tha¯ r al-’ulwiyya, ed. Rafı¯q al-’Ajam and Jı¯ra¯r Jiha¯mı¯ (Beirut, Lebanon: Dar al-Fikr al-Lubnanı, 1994), 64. 13. Josep Puig, “Materials on Averroes’s Circle,” Journal of Near Eastern Studies 51 (1992): 241–60, esp. 246–47. Al-Marra¯kushı¯, Al-Dhayl wa’l-takmila, vol. 6, ed. Ihsa¯n ‘Abba¯s (Beirut, Lebanon: Dar al-Thaqa¯fah, 1973), 29. 14. There are editions by ‘Abd al-Latı¯f Sa’da¯nı¯ (Rabat, Morocco: al-Mamlakah al-Maghribiyyah, Wiza¯rat al-Dawlah al-Mukallafah bi’l-Shu’u¯ n alThaqafiyyah wa’l-Ta‘lı¯m al-Aslı¯, [1971]), ‘Abd al-Rahma¯n ibn ‘Abd al-Jabba¯r al-Farı,wa’ı, (Medina: Maktabat al-Dar, 1984), and Muhammad Kama¯l al-Dı¯n ¯ lam al-Kutub, 1987). There is also a French ‘Izz al-Dı¯n (Beirut, Lebanon: ‘A translation by Saïd Nejjar, Traité du tremblement de terre (Rabat, Morocco: Centre universitaire de la recherche scientifique, 1973–1974), but it does not include the religious prologue. The publishers did not consider the introduction serious theology, as Clément supposes. See Jean-François Clément, “Jalâl al-Dîn al-Suyût’î [sic], séismosophe,” in Tremblements de terre, Histoire et archéologie, IVèmes rencontres internationales d’archéologie et d’histoire d’Antibes (Valbonne, France: Association pour la promotion et la diffusion des connaissances archéologiques, 1984), 253–87. 15. The most extensive study on al-Suyu¯tı¯ in Western scholarship is Elizabeth M. Sartain, Jala¯ l al-Dı¯n al-Suyu¯tı¯: Biography and Background, two vols. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1975). She makes no mention of the treatise on earthquakes. 16. For information on the cosmological background, see Bernd Radtke, Weltgeschichte und Weltbeschreibung im mittelalterlichen Islam (Beirut, Lebanon: Orient-Institut der Deutschen Morgenländischen Gesellschaft, 1992), 18. 17. On the plague as a punishment for similar sins, see Michael Dols, The Black Death in the Middle East (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1977), 23. 18. Mustafa Anwar Tahir, ed., “Traité de la fortification des demeures contre l’horreur des séismes (Tahsı¯n al-mana¯zil min hawl al-zala¯zil) d’Abu¯‘lHasan ‘Alı¯ ibn al-Gazzar, écrit à l’occasion du tremblement de terre de 984 H./1576,” Annales Islamologiques 12 (1974): 131–59. We know next to noth-

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ing about this author. Only his treatise on earthquakes and a short treatise on a drug named bursh (see citation in note 24) have been preserved. 19. Tahir, ed., Annales Islamologiques, 142–43. 20. Tahir, ed., Annales Islamologiques, 143. 21. One exception is that his explanation number 9 corresponds to alSuyutı’s number 14, in which the disappearance of knowledge is mentioned as a sign of the Day of Judgment. 22. Ibn al-Jazza¯r’s treatise on bursh is partly translated into Spanish in Indalecio Lozano, Tres tratados árabes sobre el cannabis indica, Textos para la historia del hachís en las sociedades islámicas, S.XIII–XVI (Madrid: Agencia Española de Cooperacion Internacional, Instituto de Cooperación con el Mundo Arabe, 1990). For the Leiden manuscript, see Jan Just Witkam, “The Kita¯b Qam’ al-Wa¯šı¯n fı¯ Damm al-Barra¯šı¯n by Nu¯r al-Dı¯n ‘Alı¯ b. al-Gazza¯r: A Facsimile Edition of the Unique Manuscript,” Manuscripts of the Middle East 1 (1986): 86–99. 23. Jean-François Clément recommends this approach in “Jalâl al-Dîn alSuyût’î,” 259. 24. Ulrich Ladurner, “Wie viel Gott braucht Iran?” Die Zeit, December 31, 2003, 2. For an account of the impact of the 1999 Marmara earthquake on Turkish politics, see Stephen Kinzer, Crescent and Star: Turkey between Two Worlds (New York: Farrar, Straus, and Giroux, 2001), 183–94.

8

Famine in Bengal A Comparison of the 1770 Famine in Bengal and the 1897 Famine in Chotanagpur1 Vinita Damodaran

Periodic famines have always been seen as a check to population growth. As Mike Davis notes, this Malthusian idea, which was voiced throughout the colonial period, resulted in the pursuit of free-market economics, and India, like Ireland, became a utilitarian laboratory where millions of lives were wagered against a dogmatic faith in omnipotent markets overcoming the “inconvenience of dearth.” This policy became a “mask for colonial genocide.”2 According to the report of the famine commission, in a period of ninety years—from 1765, when the British East India Company took over the diwani of Bengal, to 1858—Bengal experienced twelve famines and four severe scarcities. The impact of this policy in the context of India is part of this study on famines in Bengal in the eighteenth and nineteenth century. Famine research has gained ground in both Asia and Africa in recent times, and it is well known that British India experienced a series of subsistence crises, particularly in the latter half of the nineteenth century. However, analyses of these famines by historians have rarely included a study of environmental changes. This is unfortunate, as it is becoming increasingly clear that a knowledge of the ecological basis of different peasant economies is crucial to an understanding of the capacity of certain communities to withstand drought and other faminerelated hazards. In the nineteenth century many Indian communities were disturbed by the advent of the railways and the inroads of private capital. Such disruptions often destroyed traditional economies,3 dis-

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locating customary patterns of living and making these communities much more vulnerable to famine and disease. To date, most studies of famine have tended to underestimate the changes made by modernization and “development.”4 This chapter seeks to examine the impact of processes of modernization and development on eighteenth- and nineteenth-century India by comparing and contrasting two famines in the late eighteenth century and late nineteenth century in parts of Bengal. Historian Michelle McAlpin has refuted R. P. Dutt’s argument that overtaxation and forced commercialization of Indian agriculture under British rule was responsible for what Dutt believed to be the increasing severity of famine in the nineteenth century, culminating in the widespread and devastating crop failures of 1899–1900, in which as much as one tenth of India’s rural population perished. McAlpin argues instead by comparing recent Indian history with European history where, with the developments of markets and trade, Western Europe saw an evolution from “true famine” to “famines caused by lack of purchasing power”—a transition, in other words, from problems of scarcity to those of unequal distribution in a situation of plenty. The same transition in India, she notes, was completed by India in the late nineteenth century. If this is the case, then the late eighteenth-century famines could be seen in the Indian context as “true famines” caused by real scarcity resulting from the failure of the monsoon. Since more than two thirds of the population was engaged in agriculture and almost wholly dependent on sufficient and well-distributed rain, any deficiency in the actual rain meant that the harvest for that year was reduced. The adverse effects of famines on a predominantly agricultural economy included not only a reduced availability of human labor because of starvation deaths but also a drop in the availability of draft power because of high cattle mortality. However, it is important to sound a note of caution. McAlpin’s argument tends to underestimate the ability of the local populations before the eighteenth century to cope with periods of scarcity. Careful husbandry and elaborate social and cultural systems of security and insurance were designed to counter periodic subsistence crises in this earlier period.5 It was this ability that in the late eighteenth century was systematically destroyed by the changes wrought by modernization. In her attempt to counter a “nationalist” reading of famine, McAlpin perhaps fails to understand the true significance of these changes, wrought both by colonialism and in the immediate precolonial period by Bengal’s integration into a global economy. It is important to note that Bengal’s ability to generate surplus that could be easily turned into cash was as attractive to the British as

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it had been to the Late Mughal Empire. This is not to underestimate the scale of the changes brought by colonial rule but only to underline continuities in forms of revenue extraction. As noted by John McLane, the zamindars of Bengal almost never took an interest in how or what crops were grown. Their economic interests were confined to sharing the profits of cultivation and to the distribution of rights to their collection.6 The East India Company continued these forms of extraction, though in a more efficient manner. By the end of the eighteenth century the drive to enlarge revenue and the company’s investment, combined with its servants’ ambitions of building private fortunes, were the primary motives for British colonial expansion in India.7 The impact of colonial rule varied according to the region and the agro-ecological setting. As Macaulay, commenting on the inequities of British rule in Bengal, noted, “against the misgovernment such as afflicted Bengal it was impossible to struggle.”8 This comment reflected the impact of British revenue-extraction methods on the local population. In 1765 the authority over the Mughal provinces of Bengal, Bihar, and Orissa was transferred to the East India Company, and by the 1820s these provinces constituted the eastern wing of the great new empire in India. Bengal’s western extremity was a segment of the Indo-Gangetic Plain that extends over north India, and its eastern extremity was the rainforested hills of the Burmese border; in the south was the plateau of Chotanagpur. While the majority of the population lived on the alluvial plain, on the edges of the plain was a different world—the world of the hills and the tribals. The Kharwars and the Cheros occupied the eastern part of Chotanagpur, the Oraons and Mundas inhabited the central plateau, the Bhuiyas were in the west, and the Hos were in the far south. The hills south of Orissa were inhabited by the Konds. Bengal thus contained many physical and human environments.9 Most of Bengal received high rainfall, and much of it was irrigated by the flooding of the great rivers. There was a marked difference in the eighteenth century between the old areas of highly concentrated settlement—that is, predominantly western and central Bengal—and those in the north, east, and south of the province, which had been colonized later and more gradually. Lowland Bengal was a largely agricultural economy, with more than two-thirds of the population engaged in agriculture—predominantly rice—and almost wholly dependent on sufficient and welldistributed rain to the extent that any deficiency in the actual rainfall meant that the harvest for that year would be reduced. The problem with rice cultivation was its extreme susceptibility to drought, and during lean years, when harvests were poor or failed altogether, the

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rice tracts had no other crops to fall back on. Rural farmers here cultivated the land and paid the land taxes, but most of the wealth came not from direct cultivation but from participation in the taxation system. Bengali society was divided between the zamindars, the hereditary revenue collectors of the Mughal Empire, and a broad base consisting of landless laborers and a large number of poorer cultivators, most of whom were sharecroppers. Revenue demand under the British escalated in the late eighteenth century, and it is recorded in the Midnapore zamindar’s memorandum to the Floud Commission in 1793 that “the assessment was as severe as it could possibly be made, the amount realised in 1790–1791 being double the assessment of Jafar Khan and Suja Khan, three times the collection of Maharaja Nand Kumar in 1764–1765, and double the collections made by Reza Khan in 1765–1766, though one third of the population has been swept away and half the lands remain uncultivated.”10 Low-caste Hindus occupied the bottom rung in the hierarchy of the cultivators and the landless. There was also a large artisanal class indicated by these statistics on a village outside Calcutta in the eighteenth century, which had nineteen coppersmiths, sixty-six carpenters, forty silversmiths, forty-one oilmen, and one hundred eighty weavers.11 Eighteenth-century Bengal was an integrated economy with a network of markets and waterways; parts of western Bengal were urban, though most of these artisans and merchants rested on an agrarian base, and any shortage adversely affected a large section of the populace. At the top of the hierarchy was the colonial government, which, as Henry Strachey the judge and magistrate of Midnapore noted, was “unquestionably despotic over its subjects. The submission of the natives is perfect and unqualified; so complete as to preclude the necessity of coercion or intimidation of any kind.”12 By the late eighteenth century the exaction of tribute by the East India Company had had a tremendous effect on employment and commerce. Contemporary sources drew a convincing picture of large-scale artisanal and service unemployment in Bengal in 1781 and Cornwallis somberly commented on the “languor that the tribute had thrown upon the cultivation and the general commerce of the country.”13 McLane notes that while Governor [Harry] Verelst, the Select Committee at Calcutta, and Richard Becher blamed the oppressive collection practices of the nawab’s officers and the export of silver from Bengal for the economic decline, the causes were also rooted in the Company’s reliance on land revenue to finance its exports and in allowing its employees

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to divert trade into their own and dependents’ hands and to remove huge sums of money, taken as farming profits, trading profits, and “presents,” from Bengal’s economy. The 1770 famine confirmed and deepened the economic crisis; it did not create it. Even before the famine there was a marked sense of crisis in Bengal.14

THE 1770 FAMINE The famine of 1770 was preceded by partial crop failure due to the failure of the monsoon that was experienced by Bengal and Bihar in 1768.15 By September 1769, Hunter noted that “the fields of rice had become like fields of dried straw.” As reports of the famine intensified, official reports noted that “during the 1770 famine not a drop of rain had fallen in most of the districts of Bengal for six months.” In the famine that ensued, mortality and beggary exceeded all expectations. According to contemporary estimates, “over one third of the inhabitants perished in the once plentiful province of Purnea, and in other parts the misery is equal.”16 Many of the surviving peasants in Purnea migrated to Nepal, where the state was less confiscatory than the East India Company.17 As the famine spread east into Bengal, several districts were abandoned. The famine devastated western and northern Bengal, Bihar, and Orissa, which at that time comprised only the district of Midnapur. That the Bengal government was more concerned about the collection of revenue than about the famine-stricken people is evident from the fact that more revenue was collected in 1770–1771, the year of the famine, than in 1769–1770, the year of dearth that resulted in famine.18 The only serious intimation of the approaching famine to the court of directors in 1769 is not signed by the president, Mr. Verelst, but by Mr. John Cartier, the second in council who was to succeed him. Cartier intimated his anxieties to the company board in January 1770, noting that in one district there was so much suffering that some form of land-tax remission was advisable, but ten days later he informed the board that, although the distress was undoubtedly very great, the council had not yet found any failure in the revenue or stated payments.19 In April, astoundingly, the council, acting on the advice of the Muslim minister of finance, Mohammed Reza Khan, added 10 percent to the land tax of the ensuing year. But the distress continued to increase at a rate that baffled official calculation. In the second week of May, the central government awoke to find itself in the midst of universal and irremediable starvation.20 William Wilson Hunter, who looked at the record of the famine nearly a century later, wrote:

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VINITA DAMODARAN All through the stifling summer of 1770 the people went on dying. The husbandmen sold their cattle; they sold their implements of agriculture; they devoured their seed grain; they sold their sons and daughters, till at length no buyer of children could be found; they ate the leaves of trees and the grass of the field; and in June 1770 the Resident at the Durbar affirmed that the living were feeding on the dead.21

The rain in September 1770 brought some relief, but it came too late to avert depopulation. The epidemic of disease, mainly smallpox, hit them hard, killing millions. Owing to the decomposition of numerous half-putrified dead bodies, which lay unburied or unburned along the streets and in the empty houses, the air had been contaminated and smallpox of a virulent type broke out. The East India Company had little statistical information about its recently acquired territories, and a system of dual government existed in which the company was formally responsible only for revenue collection. But contemporary accounts give some indication of the scale of death. A Persian writer, Ghulam Husain Khan, noted that famine and smallpox both made their appearance in the month of Muharram (May 1770), rising to such a height and raging so violently for full three months together that entire multitudes were swept away.22 An eyewitness account was given by John Shore, an East India Company official, on whom the famine made a deep impression.23 Another anonymous company official recorded the following: One could not pass along the streets without seeing multitudes in their last agonies, crying out as you passed, “My God! My God! have mercy on me, I am starving”: whilst on other sides, numbers of dead were seen with dogs, jackals, hogs, vultures, and other beasts and birds of prey feeding on their carcasses.24

Before the end of May 1770, one-third of the population was calculated to have disappeared; in June the deaths were returned as six of every sixteen inhabitants, and it was estimated that “one half of the cultivators and payers of revenue [would] perish with hunger.”25 During the rains (July–October) the depopulation became so evident that the government wrote to the court of directors in alarm about the number of “industrious peasants and manufacturers destroyed by the famine.” It was not until cultivation commenced for the following year (1771) that the practical consequences began to be felt; it was then discovered that the remnant of the population would not suffice to till the land. The account of Warren Hastings written in 1772 also stated

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the loss as one-third of the inhabitants and subsequent historians have often cited this figure.26 The failure of a single crop, following a year of scarcity, had wiped out ten million human beings. The monsoon was on time in the next few years but the economy of Bengal had been drastically transformed as the record of the next thirty years attests. Twenty years after the famine the population in Bengal was estimated at twenty-four to thirty million. Six in every sixteen persons was officially admitted to have perished in 1770. The government relief measures were woefully inadequate, amounting to a contribution by the company of £4,000 for six months. They also laid an embargo on the importation of rice, but these methods were very limited. Districts in which men were dying at the rate of twenty thousand per month received allotments of Rs 150. The provincial council gravely and magnanimously sanctioned a grant of ten shillings’ worth of rice per diem for a starving population numbering four hundred thousand souls. Local government agents were accused of carrying off the grain of farmers in 1771 under the pretext of government regulation, stopping and emptying boats and even forcing them to sell the seed requisite for the next harvest. Remission of the land tax was not put into effect, though local officials urged it. In a year when 35 percent of the whole population and 50 percent of the cultivators perished, not 5 percent of the land tax was remitted, and 10 percent was added to it for the ensuing year.27 William Wilson Hunter, while exploring the reasons for the devastation of the famine of 1770, noted that the scale and extent of the famine was determined by lack of markets and transport. There was also government interference in the market that did not have a good result. The government prevented private merchants from undertaking the movement of grain. The company issued orders prohibiting the export of grain from one district to another except to the city of Murshidabad. Similar orders were issued to the authorities at Chittagong, and they were asked not to export grain anywhere except to Calcutta. The government was reduced to forcing merchants to sell rice at restricted prices in the capital. The restrictions also prevented traders from importing rice from other parts of the country into the famine-affected areas. The province also had no money to give in exchange for food. The dearth of money, especially silver coins, became so acute that private traders could not carry on their commercial transactions, and trade came to a standstill.28 The absence of means of importation and government policy to prevent movement of grain meant that neighboring districts that might have supplied the grain could not do so. Local transport methods, which included boats,

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seem to have been affected by government measures of seizing boats and preventing importation, and this had the effect of exaggerating the consequences of a local famine. Sylet District in northeastern Bengal had reaped plentiful harvests in 1780 and 1781, but the next crop was destroyed by local inundation; and notwithstanding the facilities for importation affected by water-carriage, one-third of the people died. The same was repeated in 1784 when two-thirds of the cattle perished. The eighteenth-century economist Adam Smith, who believed that intervention in the grain trade by the East India Company had helped to exacerbate the food shortages, voiced criticisms of this policy at the time.29 This had the effect of deterring later British governments from interfering in markets in the name of free trade, which had important and often negative implications for the famines of the nineteenth century. It can be argued that the way in which a local scarcity transformed into a disastrous famine had a lot to do with transport networks, market forces, and administrative policy. More importantly, it was the gradual erosion of a way of life and the whittling away of traditional means of subsistence that rural communities in Bengal experienced in the eighteenth century, a process that was hastened under colonial rule. This latter factor has not been sufficiently understood by historians like McAlpin, who have argued that the effects of modernization have tended by and large toward reducing the impact of scarcity, and this transition was achieved in India much later than in Europe. It is important to note that it was these traditional methods of husbandry that were affected in the Indian context by processes of modernization, high taxation, and incorporation into the modem state apparatus, which had the effect of eroding traditional systems of subsistence and pushing people over the edge.30 In the case of Bengal, this process seems to have happened by the late eighteenth century. Furthermore, this process also included the gradual erosion of traditional systems of subsistence and their ecological basis, access to common lands, trees, and so on, all of which served in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries to regulate the effects of famine and highlight the regional variations of coping strategies in times of scarcity. Even Amartya Sen does not really see famine as a process but more as an event, and fails in his classic study Poverty and Famines to explore the erosion of traditional means of subsistence that made groups particularly vulnerable to famine. A. De Waal in his work has made the important point that while starvation deaths have been the central focus of current definitions of famine, it is more important to identify the destruction of customary patterns of life leading to

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destitution and hunger, as these form the core of any famine situation. Mortality, therefore, is not a necessary condition of famine and is only the most striking manifestation of the phenomenon. De Waal further points out that this was also the way that the local people of Darfur perceived famine, and the increased deaths were significant to the extent that this was a different kind of famine, “one that killed.”31 The absence of studies that look at traditional coping mechanisms is indeed a lacuna that needs to be addressed, as such traditional systems protected village communities. In the case of lowland Bengal and Bihar these communities were regulated through complex networks of patrimonial obligations that were gradually supplanted by a cash nexus.32 For example, south Bihar had elaborate artificial irrigation systems in place that reduced the impact of scarcity. It was reported that famines in this area were fewer after 1770 due to the survival of these traditional irrigation systems. Elsewhere in Bengal these elaborate systems had collapsed in the face of colonial interventions at an earlier date. Water here was stored in ponds; the ponds in turn were fed by diverting river water into artificial channels. Local zamindars were responsible for the cleaning of the canals and ponds well into the nineteenth century, when they began to shirk this responsibility.33 The effect of this ingenuity was to make it possible to grow rice crops in an area that lacked water. By the nineteenth century these local irrigation systems were falling into disuse. Joint control over these works made maintenance difficult. The area also grew a variety of other crops such as wheat, millets, and barley (sown as rabi) or spring crops along with oil seed, opium, and poppy. A specialist gardening caste, the Koeri, cultivated this latter plant.34 Coarse grains dominated the bhadoi (autumn rice) harvest and were of vital importance to subsistence farmers. Clearly, growing a variety of crops allowed the local communities to offset their dependence on rice, making them less vulnerable to monsoonal failure. As rice came to be extensively cultivated in many areas all through the nineteenth century, it increased the vulnerability of these areas to famine. Bengal’s ability to generate surplus that could be easily turned into cash had made it attractive to the late Mughal Empire and then to the British. The fiscal squeeze, the massive invasion of Bengal’s internal trade by private enterprise, the looting of the revenue collections by local English nabobs—all drained the coffers of the province and put ever-increasing tax burdens on an impoverished agricultural class. These were communities that had become increasingly vulnerable to scarcity and famine. As for those classes that did not live off the land, they were also susceptible to high prices and dearth. In this context

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it is important to note that particular groups were more affected than others. For example, lime workers in the 1770 famine in Birbhum, with limited access to land, were badly affected, and in one area only five of one hundred fifty were recorded as surviving.35 Contemporary witnesses suggested that the mortality was exceptionally high among the noncultivating population: the weavers, spinners, silk winders, boatmen, salt and lime workers, and growers of nonfood crops such as cotton and silkworms. A resident of Dacca reported in 1776 that the dacca fabric for these six or seven years had been on the decline as to quality, a great part whereof may be attributed to the ravages of the famine in 1770 having carried away great numbers of the best spinners and ryots who cultivated the cotton plant.36 At the beginning of 1771, local potentates unable to pay the land tax were stripped of their assets and imprisoned. The ruin of the old aristocracy of Bengal dates from this period. The maharajah of Burdwan, the proprietor of Nudeah, and the lady proprietor of Rajshahi all emerged from the famine with their lands threatened with dispossession and in debt. Depopulation was followed by land falling out of tillage. Bengal lost one-third of its people, and one-third of its cultivable area speedily became waste. In the present state of the country, wrote Sir Philip Francis in 1776, “the ryot has the advantage over the zamindar. Where so much land lies waste and so few hands are left for cultivation the peasant must be courted to undertake it.”37 This created a new class of tenantry, the nonresident cultivators, or paikhast, who threw up their previous holdings and went in search of new ones at the lower rates to which depopulation had reduced the value of land. The 1768–1770 droughts and famines were a profound blow not only to the system of revenue but also to the whole rationale of empire. As such, they provided an impetus for the evolution of a famine policy. Under the immediate devastating circumstances, Warren Hastings had no choice but to call for the company to stand forth as diwan in 1772, ending the dual system and placing responsibility for the security, administration, and economy of Bengal squarely on the company’s shoulders. Hastings’s administrative overhaul of Bengal, which paved the way for the establishment of the British-run, districtlevel administration, would continue throughout British rule in India. As Abbe Raynal observed, the famine of 1770 “had throughout Europe excited so much horror of the English” that it caused a rethinking of imperial policy.38 The response to the famine conditions among the local population has been the subject of some interest among historians who have

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tended to cite the passivity of the Bengali peasantry as an indication of the hold of Bengal’s traditional hierarchical society.39 However, as McLane notes, this is not necessarily a correct assessment of eighteenth-century Bengali society. Raiyats did have a strong sense of their rights when they believed their landlords were treating them unfairly: They assembled in rowdy crowds, complained to the government, and withheld their rents frequently. In addition, beneath the jotedar landholders were numerous low-caste peasants on the margins of village society who migrated often and in the early nineteenth century joined dakait gangs by the thousands and terrorised their affluent neighbours.40

We move on to this aspect in the following section. THE RECALCITRANT FRONTIER The impact of the famine on the frontier areas of western Bengal also bears exploration. This is where the hold of the company was most tenuous and the scarcity and famine conditions of 1770 pushed the already hostile population into open rebellion. For the first fifteen years after the famine, depopulation steadily increased. The death of children in the famine meant that the old died off without there being anyone to take their place. Various struggles broke out between landed proprietors to entice tenants. But the desertion was so general that Lord Cornwallis was to announce in 1789 that one-third of the company’s territories in Bengal was a jungle inhabited by wild beasts. Birbhum and Bisunpur were the worst affected areas. In Birbhum, four years before the famine, it was recorded that there were six thousand rural communities, each with a village in the center of its lands. In 1771, three years after the famine, only forty-five hundred of these communities survived.41 The cultivators fled from the countryside to the towns in an attempt to find food, but the towns were equally affected and it was reported by a Birbhum official in 1771 that only one-fourth of the houses in the towns were occupied. Depopulation continued steadily until 1785, by which time fifteen hundred of the original six thousand communities had disappeared and their lands relapsed to jungle. Efforts to collect land tax continued with the harshest methods being used, resulting in several farmers being thrown into debtors’ prisons. Desertion increased, with ryots attempting to flee the collection of the najai tax, attempts that gave the revenue collectors ample scope to oppress the ryots. Warren

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Hastings described the tax thusly: “[I]t is called najay and it is an assessment upon the actual inhabitants of every inferior description of the lands to make up for the loss sustained in the rents of their neighbours who are either dead or have fled the country.”42 In 1771 more than onethird of the arable lands in the entire tillage were returned in the public accounts as deserted; in 1776 the figure was more than one-half, with four acres lying waste for every seven that remained under cultivation. Remarkably, the company increased its revenue demand from less than £100,000 sterling in 1772 to nearly £112,000 sterling in 1776.43 The villagers were dragooned into paying the land tax by Muslim troops, but the utmost severities notwithstanding, the receipts seldom amounted to more than half the demand. The state of Birbhum at the end of the famine of 1770 is clear from eyewitness reports. The district had become a sequestered and impassable jungle. Earlier it had been the route for armies controlling Bengal; in 1780, a small band of sepoys could, with difficulty, find their way through the forest. A contemporary newspaper correspondent reported: “[T]hey marched through an extensive wood, all the way a perfect wilderness; sometimes a small village presented itself in the midst of the jungles, with a little cultivated ground around it . . . these woods abound with tigers and bears.”44 By the end of the famine, “social banditry” was on the increase in these frontier areas of Bengal, as disposed landholders sought to sustain a livelihood through plunder. “A set of lawless banditi,” wrote the Council in 1773, “known under the name of Sanyasis or Faquirs, have long infested these countries; and, under pretense of religious pilgrimage, have been accustomed to traverse the chief part of Bengal, begging, stealing, and plundering wherever they go. . . .” In the years subsequent to the famine, their ranks were swollen by a crowd of starving peasants who had neither seed nor implements to recommence cultivation with, and the cold weather of 1772 brought them down upon the harvest fields of Lower Bengal, burning, plundering, ravaging “in bodies of fifty thousand men.”45

Land revenue remained uncollected and severe military pressure had to be used to subdue these peasant bandits. The repression of thugee was the foremost task of Warren Hastings, and he went about it assiduously, commanding that every convicted dacoit be executed, his whole family made slaves, and every inhabitant of the village fined. The category of banditry was an imprecise one and could encompass phenomena right through from popular looting during famine to the organized armed activities of professional dacoits.

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By the end of the famine period the disorders had become a rebellion. Given the past famine conditions and the terrible fiscal squeeze of the colonial state, social banditry was the only option. In conditions of acute scarcity the dispossessed peasants made common cause with a range of other occupational groups, such as boatmen. The company rule of Bengal had long proved irksome, and the famine sent it into a downward spiral. In 1761 the rajas of Burdwan, Birbhum, and Midnapur had combined their forces and moved against the English. Such feelings of hostility exploded after the famine of 1770 into outright rebellion. Zamindars were the rallying points of dacoits in rural Bengal.46 The faujdar of Midnapur welcomed the dacoits, as he could then thwart the pressure of the company operating from Calcutta. In 1789 the board of revenue commented on the condition of Birbhum, noting that the district is in great want of regulation and order . . . this is in part due to the jungly situation . . . but arisen more from the want of exertion and proper attention on the part of the zamindar . . . as of all the different denominations of officers and servants employed under him who are without any sort of control and act and levy contributions from the country as they think proper.47

In this context, the depredations of the Chuars (aboriginal tribes) in particular is interesting. The Chuars inhabited the Terai region, an area covered by vast stretches of jungle. They were seen as making incursions into Birbhum and Ghatsheela from about the 1760s. Organized under three sardars, they refused to cooperate with the revenue assessments of the company and fuelled the resistance of the frontier zamindars. As Forbes noted, when asked to pay their rents, “they declared themselves to be fighting men . . . they had never paid any rents but they were always ready to fight when called on.”48 The famine condition intensified the Chuar protest, and one can conclusively state that in the frontier areas the famine fuelled peasant resistance, which succeeded in challenging the hold of the company for several decades. As Sen notes, for a long time the western jungles were the habitat of the Chuars, and as early as 1769 their plunder had become a settled theme of public discussion.49 To summarize then, the famine of 1770 was the biggest calamity of the eighteenth century in terms of the enormous loss of life and the extent of human suffering involved. The core areas of central Bengal were devastated, and these included Murshidabad, Rajshahi, and Hooghly. The most vulnerable were the landless laborers, artisans, and boatmen who were without any means of storing reserves of grain. The

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cultivating classes were also seriously affected, because the adverse effects of famines on a predominantly agricultural economy included not only a reduced availability of human labor due to starvation deaths but also a fall in the availability of draft power due to the high number of cattle deaths. It is interesting to note that the famine did not really affect the delta areas of east Bengal, though weavers and spinners died in Dacca in 1770. The frontier principalities of western Bengal, such as Birbhum and Bishunpur, were affected by the famine in a different way. Situated on the verge of British jurisdiction and separated from headquarters by rivers and swamps, they remained in the hands of hereditary princes. The hold of colonial power in these areas was weak and could be challenged in situations of scarcity and high taxation. Both during and following the famine, this region experienced renewed instability. Elsewhere, as in Chotanagpur, the story was different. The 1770 famine did not affect the plateau of Chotanagpur, especially the south of the plateau in the hill tracts, which had a distinctive agroecological setting, being populated mainly by tribal communities that pursued various forest-linked agricultural practices and occupying a territory that was only gradually brought under British control. Here recalcitrant tribal groups such as the Ho resisted incorporation into British rule well into the nineteenth century. By that time the north and central parts of districts such as Palamau contained fertile valleys inhabited mainly by Hindus from the plains growing rice, sugar cane, wheat, and barley, while the southern part continued to be inhabited by tribals who were to come under increasing pressure. The latter half of this chapter argues that it was only in the late nineteenth century that this area became subject to famine, and it is to this proposition that we will now turn.

THE 1897 FAMINE IN CHOTANAGPUR In 1897 a famine of serious dimensions affected Chotanagpur. Food prices increased rapidly,50 and by August the official famine reports noted that there had been a sharp increase in the death rate in all the districts. Unlike earlier periods of scarcity, which can be said to constitute subsistence crises, this was clearly a “famine that killed.”51 What was remarkable about the nature and the scale of the famine was the fact that it was the first major famine recorded in the region, especially in the districts of Ranchi and Hazaribagh. In earlier periods of scarcity, as in 1866–1867 and 1873–1874, the distress was soon alleviated, as the local people could depend on the abundant forest

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produce to avert any major crisis. In 1896, however, the crisis did not have such a simple resolution. By November 1896 the prices of grains were on the increase in several districts. The poorer classes felt the pinch, and one indication of this distress was an increase in beggars, especially in the small towns. The movement of people in search of work and the rise in the numbers of wanderers along country roads was another indicator of the extent of deprivation. This time there were fewer resources in the hands of the people to combat the distress. In the intervening twenty years since the preceding food crisis, the area under reserve and of protected forests had increased, exploitation of forest areas by landed elites had intensified, and the poor, especially in rural areas, had less access to the critically important forest products. The rural people faced increasing problems of landuse pressure from different sources. Apart from population growth that contributed to the pressure on the land, in many areas the state and private capital interests joined hands to extract vital natural resources—such as timber and game—from the rural areas. The crisis had sharpened with the years and climaxed in the last decades of the nineteenth century in the 1897 famine. The following section attempts to identify the growing pressures on the forest economy of the tribal people in Chotanagpur in the nineteenth century and then moves on to examine the famine period. Some attention was paid in an earlier section to the kinds of indigenous strategies for coping with local food shortages that were gradually destroyed by capitalist encroachment and colonial state policy. Here we will consider the most under-researched area of resource use and management in rural India, that of “wild resources.” These resources were of critical importance to the tribal people, not only for their economic and nutritional value but also for the cultural and aesthetic values encompassed within hunting, fishing, and gathering activities and of the natural world in general.

FOREST RIGHTS AND FAMINE IN THE NINETEENTH CENTURY The effect of the developments of the last decades of the nineteenth century on the traditional rights of the tribes was catastrophic. In Hazaribagh District, by the turn of the century, entire tribal villages had been lost to rapacious landlords. Here the settlement reports record that the policy was to exterminate the free raiyati population altogether and to cultivate a serf population. By the end of the nineteenth century, 47 percent of the rice lands and 31 percent of the

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uplands were declared to be in the khas possession of the landlords (lands in which occupancy rights could not accrue). The colonial state further aided this rapid dispossession of the tenantry as, for example, the establishment of East India railway colliery villages was ensured by throwing out original occupancy tenants and replacing them with service tenants, who were forced to render a certain number of working days in the coal mines on pain of ejectment.52 The peasantry was thus forced to grow rice to meet the excessive rent demands on the uplands. As the settlement report for Hazaribagh notes, the lands most liable to failure from drought were the third-class rice lands. Once again, the cultivation of rice increased the propensity of famine. As the peasantry was forced to throw their traditional caution to the winds, their vulnerability to scarcity increased. It was noted that the groups most likely to suffer from the failure of the rice harvest were the nonindigenous settlers, as the indigenous people still depended on forest produce in times of scarcity. In Palamau it was recorded that the failure of the rice crop would cause famine conditions among the nonindigenous population, whose staple food was rice, while the tribes “were capable of subsisting on jungle fruits and herbs.”53 However, within a few decades following the increase of forest destruction, these advantages for the indigenous peoples of the region would soon be lost. The importance of rice cultivation increased in Manbhum and Palamau, with winter rice being the principal crop. In Palamau the areas that were most frequently affected by drought and famine were the areas under rice cultivation in the central and northeastern parts, while the hill tracts to the south had little rice cultivation.54 Singhbhum had 38 percent of the net cropped area under winter rice, and the north east of the region, especially Dhalbhum, became more liable to famine.55 By the end of the nineteenth century landlord incursions had had a marked effect on the traditional jungle rights of the tribal communities. These rights had always been vested in the village community. The indigenous tribes that first entered the districts had found it covered with virgin jungle and reclaimed land for cultivation. Jungle lands were abundant, and each village community extended the limits of cultivation and cut timber for domestic and agricultural purposes.56 Later, a network of feudal chiefs imposed their authority on these lands and received a small tribute, but in no way did this dispossess the original settlers of their proprietary rights either in cultivated or uncultivated lands. In the early days, as the jungle land was still abundant, the landlords did not prevent the raiyats from cutting the timber they required for their own use. Only

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when the timber began to gain marketable value did the landlords begin to assert their proprietary rights. By the end of the nineteenth century, however, the landlords started exacting illegal jungle fees for these traditional rights. In Dalbhum in Singhbhum District, the Midnapur Zamindari Company had taken a lease of the zamindars’ rights for twenty-five years and was levying a cess of six pies per rupee of rent from all the raiyats.57 In 1899 the deputy commissioner gave a useful account of the origin and the collection of the cess in his final report on the management of the estate. He recorded that the majority of the raiyats did not accept the cess sanctioned by the commissioner in 1896. In some parts of the country, especially in the tarafs (divisions of a pargana) of Haldipukur and Kalikapur, the opposition was so great that it was necessary to engage the services of four police constables to be paid out of the assets of the estate. In the Munda country, where the ancient system of land tenure survived in patches as the khuntkati system, a system in which rights accrue on the basis of first clearing the forest, the whole body of cultivators were proprietors of the jungle and thus offered a tenacious resistance to encroachments from the zamindars. In the nineteenth century much of this forest had suffered wanton destruction. The vast jungles, which were once teeming with game, were left with few wild animals.58 F. B. Bradley-Birt observed in 1903 that Only a few years ago vast tracts of jungle remained practically untouched, forming natural game preserves well stocked with tiger, leopard, panther, and bear. But Chota Nagpore is no longer an unexplored district, and there are few parts that have not been well shot over. . . . Enormous tracts of sal jungle, moreover, have been cut down in recent years, exterminating large quantities of game.59

Henry Haselfoot Haines, recording the forest flora of Chotanagpur in 1910, noted that the larger plateau of the region was under cultivation and in the dry season was a monotonous expanse of dried-up fields with scarcely any vegetation, while the once-jungle-covered scarps had been reduced to a state of scrub.60 In Ranchi the district gazetteer recorded the unchecked destruction of forests in the district in the nineteenth century.61 In 1883, J. F. K. Hewitt, the commissioner at Ranchi, called attention to the rapid destruction of private forest and to the incalculable misfortune that would result from their wholesale destruction, not only to Chotanagpur but also to the Bengal districts lying below.62 By 1885, Dr. Schlich, the conservator of forests in Hazaribagh and Ranchi, had concluded that Ranchi District contained little

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forest. In the undulating plateau of Barwe, through which the Sankh River flowed, the country was devoid of jungle, and most of the clearance seemed to have taken place in the last decades of the nineteenth century. Missionaries who had resided here for over twenty years remembered that dense forests had surrounded their stations when they first arrived.63 In the 1882–1884 survey of the Chotanagpur estate (a zamindari estate) it was found that in fourteen areas surveyed, the net decrease of jungle was 11 percent. The decrease was exacerbated by the attitudes of the landlords who consented to land reclamation in return for a salami or landlord cess. In Palamau, the traditional sacred groves were disappearing under landlord encroachments. The major cause of the destruction of jungles in most districts was the sale or the lease of the forest to contractors for supply of railway sleepers. Large areas of forest were destroyed to supply the timber necessary for the railways. The forests of Singhbhum were subject to heavy fellings, and it was reported in 1898 that the “selection fellings for the supply of broad gauge sleepers from trees over 6.5 feet in girth amounted to over 20,921 trees at the average of 10.4 sleepers per tree.”64 These fellings were reported to have greatly impoverished the forests.65 Singhbhum was a district with the largest proportion of forest in the 1880s and with over 80 percent of its population still tribal. This was now threatened. An attempt was launched in the 1880s to acquire all private forests with a view to exploiting timber even in remote areas. The private forests in Dumka subdivision were thus acquired, as were those of Parasnath and Gobindpur, which were seen as particularly valuable, for they lay between the railway and the Grand Trunk Road.66 A recent study of land-use changes in Chotanagpur has concluded that most of the shift in land use here took place prior to 1890.67 The expansion of arable land increased after the mid-nineteenth century, and 80–95 percent of the optimal geographical limit to cultivation was Table 8.1: Hectares of Forest and Woodland in Chotanagpur, 1870–1890 Chotanagpur plateau Dhanbad Hazaribagh Palamau Ranchi Santhal parganas Singhbhum Total

1870

1890

10,382 316,408 555,413 344,317 308,138 274,258 1,808,916

9,794 306,495 530,025 338,749 177,577 244,826 1,607,466

Source: Richards et al., “Changing Land Use in Bihar.”

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reached between 1900–1910. In Palamau District alone approximately one hundred thousand hectares of forest were cleared for the specific purpose of cotton production between 1860 and 1910. As can be seen from table 8.1, woodlands in Chotanagpur declined by 201,450 hectares in the period 1870–1890, or by over 11 percent. This was a large decrease that resulted in dramatic changes of lifestyle for the people affected. To combat the extensive deforestation, the government and the forest department embarked on a wholesale program of forest reservation.68 The results of such a measure had a far-reaching impact on the lives of the local people. In many places the landlord and the state battled with each other to secure large areas of jungle land, extinguishing the traditional common rights of the people. In Ranchi District several of the landlords looked upon the jungles as a providential asset to be utilized for payment of debt.69 They were prevented from fully exploiting this asset only by difficulties of communication, so that the more remote jungles survived. However, most of the latter were taken over by the state for forest reserves. By the 1890s the total area of reserved forest in Chotanagpur was 5,839 square miles. Of these, over 5,431 square miles were closed for grazing purposes. In 1894 all state lands within the five districts of Chotanagpur division were declared to be “protected forest,” further controlling hitherto unclassified forests. Where patches of jungle survived the grip of both the state and the landlords, the spread of the railway system further aided the process of destruction. The opening up of the Purulia-Ranchi railway and the main Bengal-Nagpur line, fringing the southern portion of Gumla subdivision, led eventually to the total deforestation of this previously untouched region.70 The indigenous people of Chotanagpur were thus left with few forests and common rights by the activities of the state and their rapacious landlords. The newcomers had little respect for the spirits that haunted the forests and their traditional lands. The piercing whistle of the new railways and the drone of the timber traders’ saws hounded these ancient spirits out of their homelands.71 The landscape that evolved in Chotanagpur under colonial rule clearly expressed British attempts to dominate the forest, mineral, and water resources in the interest of production and profit. The landscape was thus redefined in a process that threatened the small and relatively autonomous economies of the tribal communities as well as their harmonious relationship with the environment.72 Such changes had catastrophic effects on the lives of the people.

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THE ONSET OF THE 1896–1897 FAMINE “There is no record of famine in early times.” (Ranchi District Gazetteer, 1917)

Horrible death from hunger prevails. Oh! for the days when men knew no cares but drank their fill of home-brewed ale! Woe to this age when men on earth below Do daily die of famine fell. (Munda folksong)73

In Ranchi District there were severe droughts in 1820, 1823, 1827, and 1837. In none of these years was the distress sufficient to cause famine. However, by the 1860s, the impact of the economic changes and the consequences of forest destruction were beginning to be felt, if only marginally. The great famine of 1866 affected the subsistence of the region. On the plateau, the price of coarse rice rose to an unprecedented five seers to the rupee; but though the people felt the pressure of scarcity to some extent, there was no actual scarcity except in one or two places on the border of Singhbhum and in Manbhum.74 The main areas affected were the regions of the plateau below five hundred feet in Manbhum and Singhbhum, and, as Valentine Ball noted in 1867, the people living in jungle villages are more independent and less affected by famine than those who reside in the centre of cultivation and have no access to jungles. Were a census to be taken, it would probably be found that the relative proportion of deserted houses of villagers as a result of famine to those still inhabited is greater in the open cultivated area than in the dense jungle . . . indeed the jungles can be regarded as the saving of the lower races of the population.75

The people most affected by scarcity in 1866 were the nonindigenous settlers, Hindu and Muslim peasants in the plains and the hired tribal labor working in the fields of the villages on the plains. The people living in jungle villages were still unaffected by famine. The scarcity in Manbhum resulted from excessive rain. The crops of 1863 and 1864 were small ones, and the early rice crop of 1865 was damaged by excessive rain. The price of coarse rice had been steadily rising since 1863 and in August 1866 reached a maximum of five seers a rupee. By March the deputy superintendent of police reported a jump in crime. Toward the end of May 1866, crime increased to such an extent that scarcely a night passed without some house being attacked and grain

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being plundered. The deputy commissioner formed a relief fund and employed about a thousand people. It was reported that the funds were totally inadequate to meet the needs of the people who were living in towns such as Barabhum on a diet of sal seeds, oil cake, and chaff of rice. Hoarding by grain dealers caused the price of rice to rise still further. By August there were reports of rising mortality in Purulia town, and rice was selling at the rate of 4–4.5 seers a rupee. It was not until November that the effects of the scarcity were over.76 In the succeeding decades, distress was to affect Ranchi and Hazaribagh districts. In 1873 the rains were late and only a portion of the bhadoi (autumn rice) was sown. The distress was, however, confined to the five parganas, and a bumper crop of mahua and jungle fruits in 1874 served to dispel any apprehension of serious distress in the jungle villages. But by the end of the nineteenth century, famine and scarcity could no longer be contained and instead was to become a general phenomenon affecting the entire region and one that would strike with increasing regularity. The Ranchi District Gazetteer recorded that the past history of the district had led officers to conclude that famine need not be anticipated in the district. However, the report noted “subsequent experience had shown this conclusion to be false, for since 1888 there have been three famines, in 1896–97, in 1899– 1900, and in 1907.” “It is possible,” the report continued, “that the destruction of forests has led to a decrease of jungle products, and this deprived the people of one of their chief means of resistance to famine.”77 The evidence thus seems to suggest that the crunch came with the famine of 1897, which was the most destructive famine to date in the region. It seemed clear to the district officers that the remaining reserves for coping with drought and food shortages had proved insufficient to prevent famine. The preceding years had finally succeeded in destroying the local food strategies, developed over centuries, that had hitherto protected the region from the consequences of scarcity. The onset of the famine was relatively slow and was sparked off by a failure of rains. The harvest in 1895 had been deficient, and in 1896 the monsoon was weak in August and September. The rainfall was badly distributed and affected the bhadoi crop. The whole plateau was affected and rice harvest was greatly reduced, especially in the highlands.78 In Manbhum District, rice was grown by means of a procedure in which the hillside terraces were flooded soon after the rains set in, and the water was retained until the crop ripened. There being no artificial irrigation, the cultivation depended entirely on the rains. In December 1896 it was reported that the rice on the highlands had failed completely, signaling widespread scarcity.79 At first no ap-

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prehension of severe dearth was entertained, but by early 1897 serious shortages in the food supply were envisaged. District officers reported, in November 1896, that Hazaribagh was the only district that gave cause for anxiety, and that the remaining districts would tide over until the next season without requiring relief measures. In Hazaribagh District, with a population in 1897 of 1,204,000, half of which were rice eaters, the remaining 50 percent were recorded as living for eleven months on other grains, mahua, and forest produce. Here, local officers calculated a deficit of 2,979,000 maunds of food grain, while in Lohardaga the estimates were 1,275,000 maunds, in Manbhum 1,480,000 maunds, and in Palamau 1,438,000 maunds. The mahua harvest was taken into account while calculating the food supply but not that of other forest produce. In almost every district, therefore, the district officers reported that they strongly hoped that part of the deficit would be made up by jungle produce, which was roughly calculated as providing one-eighth of the food requirements, mainly for the “aboriginal classes.”80 It is quite clear that the district officers were hoping, as in the past, that jungle produce would partially offset the deficit. That these hopes were futile became only too apparent in the course of the famine, for the preceding decades had transformed the relationship of the indigenous people with their forest. Based on these hopeful premises, the early relief measures were minimal. It was apparent that the local people viewed these government relief works with suspicion and were attempting to cope in the way they best knew: by resorting to the products of the forest.81 It soon became clear, however, that the jungle food sources on which they had always depended had been severely depleted. Women had to travel much farther to collect such foods, and the little that they could procure now was not enough to sustain them. Once, they could have lived comfortably on a diet of mahua flowers and roasted sal seeds supplemented with small fish and water chestnuts. Many of the mahua trees were now in the private hands of the landlord or reserved forests. The central and eastern plateaus, where the best sal forests had stood, were denuded, and only small scrub jungle remained. Enfeebled by a sparse diet of limited jungle produce, the people fell prey to various diseases, mainly cholera. It proved to be a devastating killer. In August and September alone the mortality was 21.18 per thousand.82 The growing distress was revealed by the increase in the emigration to Assam and the rise in the number of beggars in Hazaribagh.83 Dr. Nott, the civil surgeon in the town, reported that some of the coolies he examined for emigration purposes were very emaciated and were on the edge of starvation.84 In practice, migration by the poorest and most vulnerable

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rural strata was one of the commonest survival strategies adopted in time of drought and famine. Migration from Chotanagpur to the Assam tea gardens had increased over time as patterns of life were disrupted.85 This time, however, the poor were too weak even to migrate. The official measures to combat the developing crisis were totally inadequate. By the end of November the district officer in Palamau was calling for the opening of the reserved forests in the district to help relieve the distress of the people by giving them access to mahua flowers.86 Approval of this early proposal to alleviate distress by opening the reserved forests in the state to the people was, however, delayed by bureaucratic bunglings. At first A. E. Wild, the conservator of forests, objected to it on the grounds that the collection of mahua flowers threatened forest fires, it being the custom of the people to clear by fire a space under the tree upon which the flowers were dropped to render collection easier. As the government debated the issue, forest offenses mounted all across Chotanagpur. It was reported that breaches in forest law had increased in number and those taken to court had doubled.87 In Kurchuta reserve, in Hazaribagh District, forest authorities imposed heavy fines for offenses.88 In February 1897 there were disturbances in some of the border markets of the Damini-koh in Godda caused by a forest officer’s attempts to check the sale of sal wood by the paharia community.89 Here, two headmen of the villages of Dhowadanga and Salghati started an agitation against forest conservation and demanded free access to jungle produce. The colonial state seemed more worried about protecting its revenues. The loss of revenue from forests and other sources was seen as an inevitable result of the scarcity. It was widely reported in the midst of the crisis in Manbhum in early 1897 that the collection of the chaukidari tax (a tax for local policing) in the area had fallen due to the inability of the local populace to pay, and that as a result many hundred chaukidars in the district were facing arrears of pay. A proposal to grant the distressed village chaukidars a famine allowance was rejected by the chief secretary of Bengal, C. Boulton, as it would mean incurring unnecessary expenses. He argued that the arrears should instead be paid by a stricter collection of the chaukidari tax.90 In many places the people took matters into their own hands. An early indication of the distress was provided by the disturbances in the princely state of Jashpur, where Korwa tribes resisted the growing pressures on their livelihood in more effective ways. In October 1896 the political chief of Jashpur reported that the Korwas in his area were rioting. He noted that the disturbances had commenced in January in Khuria, where they looted some Ahirs before making incursions

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into the surrounding countryside.91 Two Korwas named Dhanna and Birjhu were said to be responsible for a large number of the riots, and Dharma, who was the leader of a gang of twenty men, had assumed the name of Raja Dharamjit Sinha. Soon the Korwas also commenced looting the bania moneylenders in Kakeya and Maini haats, or markets. Khuda Bux of Majhgaon reported that about forty Korwa men, women, and even children had attacked his house, taking away rice, paddy, clothes, and some utensils.92 In many cases the Korwas also butchered the cattle of the Ahirs. It was reported that in the context of the growing scarcity, the Korwas were incensed owing to their Jhoom crops high on the hills being damaged by the cattle herds of the Ahirs. The economic scarcity and the infringement of the Korwas’ forest and agrarian rights were some of the reasons cited for the riots. The effect of jungle produce in alleviating distress continued to be mentioned in many of the famine reports. The district officer in Hazaribagh, reporting on the growing scarcity, noted that the degree of intensity of the famine would vary with regard to the availability of forest products. He therefore identified the areas most likely to be affected as the thanas that lay along the Grand Trunk Road on the lower plateau, namely Bari, Chouparan, and Bagoda, along with parts of Koderma and Dumri, all of which were substantially deforested areas.93 The mahua crop, the officer commented, was exceedingly important for averting scarcity but only if it was “evenly distributed.”94 This was certainly a forlorn hope in conditions where landlord and state intervention had already resulted in a large percentage of the mahua crop going into private hands. These fears were repeated in Manbhum, where it was quite clear that the stocks of mahua and rabi (spring) rice would “of course not be equally divided,” for, as the report went on, “many of those who have the stocks, such as zamindars and the more well-to-do cultivators, will keep them for their future use, or possibly for sale outside the district, and there will thus be a deficiency of food for the poorer strata of the population.”95 One local jagirdar in Tori pargana in Palamau was found to stock seven hundred maunds of paddy while the rest of the villagers were suffering from acute scarcity.96 Another local zamindar was reportedly seen transporting 484 pack bullocks of paddy to Mirzapur District and to Shahabad, as prices were higher there.97 It was also reported that the zamindars were exporting greater quantities of mahua than ever before outside the district. These exports reduced even further the stocks to be distributed among the starving people. Occasionally the local people were able to force the bania who was hoarding the stocks to surrender some. In Lohardaga, the scarcity-

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deepened “crimes” were reported to be on the increase, and in one of them the local mahajan was attacked for failing to make advances of grain.98 It is important to note that the first onset of scarcity in any famine situation was accompanied by a sudden increase in crime, as in the frontier areas in the 1770 famine.99 Here, once again, we can see crime as a form of social protest. In fact, dacoities had been on the increase since the summer of 1896. In Manbhum, in the coalmining areas, mill hands and colliers were found to be engaged in armed dacoity in the face of a gradually developing crisis.100 Grainlooting was one of the commonest forms of collective action in the face of threatened food shortages. The element of protest was very strong, and many initial acts of looting were expressions of anger at the conduct of the traders. In Lohardaga, in several cases, bhandars, or granaries, were broken into by gangs of villagers. Such lootings were important in that they prompted state intervention. In Toto and Sisai thanas, where crime was most common, the district officer immediately prepared to open test relief works.101 The groups mainly affected by the scarcity were those with no holdings, who had been dispossessed over time. These included not only Adivasi laborers such as the Kharwars, Bhuias, and Kahars but also Hindu low-caste agricultural workers such as Chamars, Dusadhs, and others.102 In 1891, C. J. O’Donnell, compiling his report on the census in Bengal, had found that in Chotanagpur division the percentage of field and general laborers was about one-quarter of the population. The other groups to be affected were the petty cultivators from both tribal and Hindu communities with poor rice lands. Earlier, participation in the large lac trade, such as the one that existed in Palamau District, and the trade in forest produce had permitted these communities to survive. Now their share in this trade had been sharply reduced, leaving them vulnerable to any shortfall in regional grain production.103 In the Santhal parganas, under growing economic pressure, large tracts of uplands that had formerly produced dry crops like maize and millets for local consumption were turned into poor rice lands in order to gain larger profits from rice yields. These lands were cultivated for sale of rice and not food, and when the rains failed, these communities were hard hit by the loss of their rice crops.104 In Heraphoo village, in Tori pargana in Palamau District, where the twenty-one households all belonged to Oraons, it was reported that the stock of rice had fallen very low; and there was little prospect of a good winter crop, as the quality of the rice lands was very poor. Women in the area were foraging far and wide for edible plants.105 In most cases, while the men migrated in search of work, the women and children were left to forage for food.

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Forbes reported seeing several gangs of Kol women in the area traveling over fifteen miles to collect saag (spinach). As the forests around their villages shrank, the women had to travel farther for edible forest produce.106 Forbes worriedly reported to the chief secretary in February 1897 that many villages in Palamau had practically no resources, and that the people in the tract would soon, after eating up their seed, have nothing to fall back on. The government made feeble attempts to encourage the importation of rice to areas suffering from scarcity, and to depute special officers to engage carts to transport grain from Gaya and Shahabad. These efforts were, however, fraught with difficulties, for it turned out that such carts, owing to the demand for them created by the railway works in progress in Gaya District, were almost impossible to procure and very expensive.107 Often, as in Palamau, all consignments of imported rice were bought up as soon as they were offered for sale by pack-bullock traders from the interior of the district, who immediately proceeded to hoard them.108 By January, the retail price of common rice in Palamau had shot up by 40 percent. The rise in the prices of other food was also considerable. Makai (Indian corn) had shot up from thirty seers a rupee to ten seers, a rise of 67 percent, while mahua had shot up from sixty seers a rupee to twenty seers, a rise of 63 percent.109 The reason for the rise in mahua prices was the bad crop due to inclement weather. The mango crop on which the local people depended heavily had also failed in several parts, as in Lohardaga. This further reduced the available produce from trees with grave effects on the local economy.110 A temporary relief was nonetheless reported with the collection of mahua in March and, in areas like Palamau, by people gathering lac in lac harvest time.111 As the months of scarcity progressed, the deaths recorded from starvation continued to be low, eliciting suspicions, in some districts, about the validity of the figures. It was reported that little trust could be placed in them, as the registration of births and deaths throughout the division was most deficient: “the results shown are probably half the real figures, and the variations from year to year are such in these circumstances, to make it apparent that no reliance can be placed in them.”112 However, by March 1897, in Manbhum and Hazaribagh, cholera and smallpox deaths were reported among the local people for the first time. By May, cholera had broken out in a grave way in and around Ranchi. In Hazaribagh a cholera epidemic was declared by July 1897, and in one month alone the reported deaths were fifteen hundred. Fever and dysentery also increased the death rate to a very considerable extent, clearly highlighting the levels of malnourishment

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among the population.113 There was an increase in the death rate in all the districts in August (see table 8.2). While much of the increased mortality was due to the cholera epidemic, the death rate continued to increase despite the deaths from cholera declining. As A. Forbes admitted, this was due to the general weakening of the system among the laboring classes owing to the want of proper food and the consequent diminished resistance against disease.114 It was clearly established in Palamau, where peasants affected by famine were imprisoned in Daltonganj jail for committing petty crimes. Many of them died in prison with famine-related diseases. A doctor examining the dead in the prison reported that they were generally very weak and suffering from low vitality due to starvation and that “they were mostly mere skeletons, simply skin and bone and they would have died much earlier outside the jail.” He went on to report that “since July, I have 215 admissions of under-trial prisoners. Out of these, 109 were in bad or indifferent health and suffering from the effects of famine and starvation; enlarged spleen, anaemia, chronic dysentery, and cholera.”115 In Palamau alone the death rate returns were as shown in table 8.3. These diseases were indisputably caused by famine and can be termed “famine diseases,” and they caused an aggravation of the standard mortality rate. The hesitancy of the local people to work on relief works had been apparent throughout the period of scarcity. In the early stages Table 8.2: Death Rates in Chotanagpur Districts, Summer 1897 Districts

Total Cholera Deaths June

Lohardaga Hazaribagh Manbhum Palamau Singhbhum

424 315 2,113 749 112

July 703 1,470 1,953 1,088 146

Death Rate per 1,000

August

June

5,832 3,600 1,225 1,314 380

2.22 3.03 4.00 3.59 2.00

July

August

3.72 5.34 4.08 4.17 2.26

12.53 10.51 4.48 6.43 6.62

Source: “Famine Report,” volume 13.

Table 8.3: Death Rates in Palamau per 1,000—June to September 1896, 1897

1896 1897

June

July

August

September

29.64 43.08

26.28 50.04

30.96 77.16

37.44 63.48

Source: “Famine Report,” volume 12.

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the local population had evaluated the benefits of the meager rations they would receive from working on relief projects and decided that it would barely compensate them for the expenditure of physical energy. They preferred to depend on the time-honored methods of foraging for jungle foods even though, as it transpired, their traditional nutritional sources were soon exhausted. In the later stages of the scarcity, however, they did trickle back to work on relief works. The blindness and utter insensitivity of the state apparatus to the needs of the people was most clearly revealed in August 1896, when, in the midst of an increasing death rate caused by famine-related diseases, Forbes, the commissioner of Chotanagpur Division, ordered many of the relief works to be closed by the end of the month. This unhealthy haste resulted from the belief that the coming harvest would ease the situation, and, as he declared, “the inference [of the limited numbers on relief works] is that there cannot be much real distress.” In response to this absurd suggestion the deputy commissioner of Palamau protested vehemently, arguing that “to close the works would simply mean to cast off 3,000 or 4,000 people, probably more, to die of starvation.” Despite these protestations he was ordered to reduce the works by half and to further reduce the rates for piecework.116 That this haste was in no way warranted was revealed when in Manbhum the works that were ordered to be closed saw a sudden upswing in numbers from eight thousand to seventeen thousand in one week in September. The failure of the bhadoi crop was responsible for this sudden increase in distress,117 and here the works were reopened. In other places, however, the works were closed. In Palamau, government relief operations were suspended on August 31. In Lohardaga and Hazaribagh, relief works and gratuitous relief by doles were closed on August 31 and September 4. These were all closed on the erroneous presumption that with the harvest the situation would ease, despite reports to the contrary, such as that from Reverend Campbell in Ranchi, who noted that there was still no local produce on sale in the bazaar and that the mahua was selling at over 3 rupees and 5 annas per maund, and that even then only a very small quantity could be had at this rate.118 Thus long before the situation had eased, the works had been closed and the people left to fend for themselves. The recovery from the famine was slow and painful. It was only by the end of the year that conditions improved and food stocks were replenished by marua and early bhadoi (rice) and gondli (millets). The death rate improved more slowly as cholera passed away. No accurate figures of the dead were recorded, but there is no doubt that many had died. Though the peasant economy recovered, the fear of famine did not die away. It was to become a recurring feature in Chotanagpur and was

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to strike the region again in 1899 and then in 1907. Indeed, the more frequent incidence of scarcity after 1897 suggested that agrarian misery was deepening. With the passage of time it was only through their songs and their oral history that the indigenous communities could relive a past when life was kinder. As their forests shrank, their lands were lost to lowland emigrants, and rice cultivation increased, making them much more vulnerable to famine. Only their songs remained to echo unchallenged among the barren hills. We have seen that in contrast to many other parts of lowland India where populations had long been subject to serious famine, as in lowland Bengal in the eighteenth century, the onset of chronic famine had never developed in the forested areas of Chotanagpur since a reliance on a diversity of forest products had ensured that droughts did not cause famine in the precolonial period and well into the nineteenth century. Once deforestation started to take place and the forest department denied tribal people access to traditional jungle produce, Chotanagpur found itself, for the first time, subject to the vulnerability of famine that had long affected the lowland populations. Under colonial rule the sustainable economy of the tribal peoples had become permanently destabilized, prone to drought and frequent famine, destroyed by rapacious landlords and the inroads of private capital. Mike Davis notes that the history of British rule in India could be condensed into a single fact: there was no increase in India’s per capita income between 1757 and 1947. It is true that modernization and commercialization were accompanied by pauperization, but the process affected regions differently, as the evidence from Bengal shows. It was only by the later nineteenth century that the drastic effects of taxation, modernization, and ecological transformation caught up with outlying areas of Bengal and Bihar, resulting in a permanent destabilization of tribal society. That these processes had occurred in central Bengal over a century earlier emphasizes the fact that the transition from premodern to modern occurred in India differentially, and a regional focus reveals the uneven nature of development, local resistance to the forces of modernization, and the survival of husbandry techniques and coping strategies in times of scarcity that withstood the threats of modernization well into the nineteenth century.

NOTES 1. This chapter was originally published in The Medieval History Journal 10.1–2 (2007) © Medieval History Society, all rights reserved. It is reproduced

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here by kind permission of the copyright holder and the publishers, SAGE Publications India Pvt. Ltd, New Delhi. 2. Mike Davies, Late Victorian Holocausts: El Niño Famines and the Making of the Third World (London and New York: Verso, 2001). 3. Lance Brennan argues that behind the famine of 1896–1897 in Nadia District in Bengal lay a series of ecological disasters, from the drying up of some of the Ganges tributaries to the debility of the population caused by epidemics of malaria (linked to stagnant water from atrophying rivers and railway embankments); see Lance Brennan, Les Heathcote, and Anton Lucas, “The Causation of Famine: A Comparative Analyses of Lombok and Bengal, 1891–1974,” South Asia 7, no. 1 (1984): 1–26. 4. See Michelle Burge McAlpin, Subject to Famine: Food Crises and Economic Change in Western India, 1860–1920 (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1983). 5. See David Ludden, Peasant History in South India (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1985); and Scarlett Epstein, “Productive Efficiency and Customary Systems of Rewards in Rural South India,” in Raymond Firth, ed., Themes in Economic Anthropology (London: Tavistock, 1967), 229–52. See also R. P. Dutt, India Today (London: Victor Gollancz, 1940). 6. John R. McLane, Land and Local Kingship in Eighteenth Century Bengal (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press, 1992). 7. See Irfan Habib, “The Eighteenth Century in Indian Economic History,” in The Eighteenth Century in Indian History: Evolution or Revolution?, P. J. Marshall, ed. (New Delhi: Oxford University Press, 2003), 111. 8. David Salmon, ed., “Introduction” to Thomas Babington Macaulay, Macaulay’s Essay on Warren Hastings (London and New York: Longmans, Green, 1923), 9. 9. P. J. Marshall, Bengal—The British Bridgehead: Eastern India, 1740– 1828 (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press, 1987), 3. 10. Chitta Panda, The Decline of the Bengal Zamindars: Midnapore, 1870–1920 (Delhi and New York: Oxford University Press, 1996), 11. See also Binay Bhushan Chaudhuri, “Agricultural Growth in Bengal and Bihar, 1770–1860: Growth of Cultivation Since the Famine of 1770,” Bengal Past and Present 95 (1976). 11. Marshall, Bengal—The British Bridgehead, 10. 12. Henry Strachey, quoted in Panda, The Decline of the Bengal Zamindars, 12. 13. Habib, “The Eighteenth Century in Indian Economic History,” 112. 14. Mclane, Land and Local Kingship, 195. 15. According to Richard Grove, El Niño caused the failure of the monsoon and the subsequent droughts. For South and Southeast Asia we are able to rely much more heavily on documentary evidence for the effect of El Niño at a time when little such evidence was available for either Africa or South America. Grove regards monsoon failures in South Asia as the best and most direct archival benchmark for calibrating historical responses to El Niño. See Rich-

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ard Grove, “El Niño-Associated Droughts, Floods, Famines, and Other Natural Disasters: South Asia and South East Asia in Global Context, 1500–1800,” a lecture delivered at the German Historical Institute in 2003. 16. George Campbell, “Memoir by George Campbell on the Famines Which Affected Bengal in the Last Century,” quoted in J. C. Geddes, Administrative Experience Recorded in Former Famines (Calcutta, 1874). 17. Christopher V. Hill, River of Sorrow: Environment and Social Control in Riparian North India, 1770–1994 (Ann Arbor, Mich.: Association for Asian Studies, 1997). 18. Nani Gopal Chaudhuri, Cartier, Governor of Bengal, 1769–1772 (Calcutta: Firma K. L. Mukhopadhyay, 1970), 31. 19. William Wilson Hunter, Annals of Rural Bengal (London, 1868), 20. 20. Hunter, Annals of Rural Bengal, 21. 21. Hunter, Annals of Rural Bengal, 21. 22. Ghulam Husain Khan, quoted in Nani Gopal Chaudhuri, Cartier, Governor of Bengal, 39. 23. For John Shore’s poem about this dire period, see Arnold, “Hunger in the Garden of Plenty,” 82. See also the contemporary report by an anonymous East India Company official in Gentlemans Magazine and Historical Chronicle 41 (September 1771), quoted in McLane, Land and Local Kingship, 96. 24. “Account of the Dreadful Famine in India,” Indian Annual Register (1771), quoted in Arnold, “Hunger in the Garden of Plenty,” 83. 25. “Account,” quoted in Arnold, “Hunger in the Garden of Plenty,” 83. 26. Letter from the president and council to the court of directors, dated November 3, 1772, reproduced in appendix A (“Bengal portrayed 1772”) of Hunter, Annals of Rural Bengal, 381. See also McLane, Land and Local Kingship, 200. 27. Appendix A (“Bengal Portrayed in 1772”) of Hunter, Annals of Rural Bengal. 28. Nani Gopal Chaudhuri, Cartier, Governor of Bengal, 50. 29. Adam Smith, An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations (London: W. Strahan and T. Cadell, 1776), Bk. IV, chap. 5. 30. Amartya Sen, Poverty and Famines: An Essay on Entitlement and Deprivation (Oxford: Clarendon Press; New York: Oxford University Press, 1981). See also Davies, Late Victorian Holocausts, 19. 31. Alexander De Waal, Famine that Kills: Darfur, Sudan, 1984–85 (Oxford: Clarendon Press; New York: Oxford University Press, 1989), 32–33. 32. Nirmal Sen Gupta, “The Indigenous Irrigation System of South Bihar,” Indian Economic and Social History Review 17 (April–June 1980): 157–90. 33. Vinita Damodaran, Broken Promises: Popular Protest, Indian Nationalism, and the Congress Party in Bihar, 1935–1946 (Delhi and New York: Oxford University Press, 1992). 34. Hunter, Annals of Rural Bengal (1897 ed.), 49–63. 35. Hunter, Annals of Rural Bengal (1897 ed.), 53. 36. Quoted in McLane, Land and Local Kingship, 202–3. 37. Minute by Sir Philip Francis, revenue consulations of November 5, 1776, quoted in Hunter, Annals of Rural Bengal, 38.

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38. Quoted in Richard Grove, Green Imperialism: Colonial Expansion, Tropical Island Edens, and the Origins of Environmentalism, 1600–1860 (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press, 1995), 424. 39. See Arnold, “Hunger in the Garden of Plenty”; and Paul R. Greenhough, Prosperity and Misery in Modern Bengal: The Famine of 1943–1944 (New York: Oxford University Press, 1982), 267–70. 40. McLane, Land and Local Kingship, 199. 41. Hunter, Annals of Rural Bengal (1897 ed.), 40. 42. Chaudhuri, Cartier, Governor of Bengal, 69. 43. Hunter, Annals of Rural Bengal (1897 ed.), 40. For a revision of these estimates, see McLane, Land and Local Kingship, 200–207. 44. Quoted in Hunter, Annals of Rural Bengal (1897 ed.), 77. 45. Quoted in Hunter, Annals of Rural Bengal (1897 ed.), 77. For a detailed study of social banditry in the period, see Ranjit Sen, Social Banditry in Bengal: A Study in Primary Resistance, 1757–1793 (Calcutta: Ratna Prakashan, 1988). 46. Ranjit Sen, Social Banditry in Bengal. 47. Quoted in Ranjit Sen, Social Banditry in Bengal, 37. 48. Quoted in Ranjit Sen, Social Banditry in Bengal, 38. 49. Vansittart to Verelst, 20 December 1769, Midnapur District Records, vol. 11, quoted in Ranjit Sen, Social Banditry in Bengal, 61. 50. According to the telegraphic report of the week ending September 25, the price of rice increased from 12 seers to the rupee in July to 6–10.5 seers a rupee in Palamau, 8.5 seers in Manbhum, 7–7.5 seers in Hazaribagh, 8 seers in Ranchi, and 5.5–6 seers in Lohardaga, which was higher than any previous existing price. 51. See De Waal, Famine that Kills, 32–33. 52. Final Report on the Survey and Settlement Operations in the District of Hazaribagh, 1908–1915, ed. J. D. Sifton (Patna: Government Printing, Bihar and Orissa, 1917). 53. William Wilson Hunter, A System of Famine Warnings (London, 1874), 154–55. 54. Palamau District Gazetteer (Calcutta, 1907), 78. 55. Singhbhum District Gazetteer (Calcutta, 1910), 120. 56. Final Report on the Survey and Settlement Operations in the District of Ranchi, 1902–1910, ed. John Ried (Calcutta: Bengal Secretariat Press, 1912), 128. 57. Final Report on the Settlement of the Kolhan Government Estate in the District of Singhbhum, Bengal Land Records and Agriculture Department (Calcutta: Bengal Secretariat Press, 1898), 51. 58. In Ranchi District, even in the jungles of Samsera and Malsara, the game was rapidly being driven out by the exploitations of timber contractors und the unrestricted depredations of shikaris. 59. F. B. Bradley-Birt, Chota Nagpur: A Little-Known Province of the Empire (London: Smith, Elder, & Co., 1903), 80. 60. Henry Haselfoot Haines, A Forest Flora of Chota Nagpur, including Gangpur and the Santal-Parganahs (Calcutta: Superintendent Government Printing, India, 1910), 3.

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61. Ranchi District Gazetteer (Calcutta, 1917), 121. 62. J. F. K. Hewitt noted that “the denudation of the hills is followed by the soil being wasted away by rain; and the hills changed from valuable forest into bare rock, while the riverbeds must be filled up by the denuded earth and gravel and the rainfall decreased by the loss of trees” (“Forests of Chotanagpore,” Indian Forester 10 [1884]: 590–91). 63. Ranchi District Gazetteer. This makes it clear that much of the denudation of the forest had taken place in the last decades of the nineteenth century; consequently, by the 1897 famine the disruption in the lives of the local people had been relatively recent. 64. Annual Progress Report of the Forest Administration in Bengal, 1896–97 (Calcutta, 1898). 65. Annual Progress Report . . . 1896–97. 66. Annual Progress Report . . . 1896–97, 223. 67. J. F. Richards, James R. Hagen, and Edward S. Haynes, “Changing Land Use in Bihar, Punjab and Haryana, 1850–1970,” Modern Asian Studies 19, no. 3 (1985): 699–732. 68. On colonial forest policy, see Ramachandra Guha and Madhav Gadgil, “State Forestry and Social Conflict in British India,” Past and Present 123 (May 1989): 141–77. 69. Final Report on the Survey and Settlement Operations in the District of Ranchi, 1902–1910. 70. Final Report on . . . Operations in the District of Ranchi, 1902–1910. 71. The Santhals of the Santhal parganas had viewed the railways as evil and demonic. In a similar fashion in south India, famine was specifically linked to the ecological and administrative changes associated with British rule. In Madurai, in Tamil Nadu, the local peasants attributed famine to the disturbing activities of the survey department and to the railway, which had stopped the rain by the “skies taking fright at the thundering noises of the locomotive” (David Arnold, “Famine in Peasant Consciousness and Peasant Action: Madras 1876–8,” Subaltern Studies 3 [1984]: 62–115). 72. For an interesting study on the redefinition of the landscape in America under the plantation economy, see Mart A. Stewart, “Rice, Water, and Power: Landscapes of Domination and Resistance in the Low Country, 1790–1880,” Environmental History Review 15, no. 3 (1991): 46–64. 73. I quote the lyrics of this folksong from the transcription in Sarat Chandra Roy and E. A. Gait, The Mundas and Their Country (Calcutta: The City Book Society, 1912), 60. 74. Hunter, Famine Aspects of the Bengal Districts (London: Trübner, 1874), 148. 75. Valentine Ball, “On Jungle Products Used as Articles of Food in Chutia Nagpur,” Journal of the Asiatic Society of Bengal 36 (1867): 47. 76. Hunter, Famine Aspects of the Bengal Districts, 164–68. 77. Ranchi District Gazetteer. 78. Such periods of harvest failure were not uncommon, especially in a region where artificial irrigation was poorly developed. However, in earlier

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times when cultivation was rudimentary, a failure of the harvest did not signal acute hardship as the cultivators could always fall back on the proceeds of the jungle especially in the villages with access to forests. He could also trade lac, tusser, or other forest produce for grain in times of shortage. By the 1860s the first effects of deforestation and the rapid extension of cultivation were being felt in the lower regions of the plateau. In the 1890s these changes had reached catastrophic proportions and ordinary periods of scarcity were enough to push the people across the critical resource level into famine. 79. Bengal Revenue Proceedings, December 1896. 80. In the Santhal parganas the district officer R. Carstairs also recorded that even in the case of mahua the Santhals valued it as food much more than the local Hindu and Muslim population. According to his calculations, five chittaks of mahua and four and a half chittaks of grain was the average daily diet of the Santhal. In addition to Carstairs’s notes on the food supply in the lower provinces, see his letter to the commissioner of Bhagalpur, dated March 17, 1897, both in Bengal Revenue Proceedings, January–March 1897. 81. They had always done that. Periods of scarcity had inevitably followed the failure of rains in the past, destroying their meager crops grown on tanr lands close to the village. In the past, however, the jungle had been sufficiently copious to help them replenish their stocks and provide them with necessary foods for their survival. This time their traditional survival strategies had been gravely threatened. The preceding period had seen the destruction of the forests of Ranchi and Hazaribagh. The large plateau was a monotonous expanse of dried-up fields with scarcely any vegetation. The once jungle-covered scarps had been reduced to scrub and the tops of the flat-topped mountains, which were once the hunting grounds for the Nilgai deer, were devoid of all game. Haines, A Forest Flora of Chota Nagpur, 3. 82. “Selection of Papers Regarding the Famine of 1896–97 in Bengal,” Bengal Revenue Proceedings, December 1896 (Calcutta, 1898), hereafter cited as “Famine Report.” [cf. note 79] 83. “Famine Report,” vol. 2:193. 84. “Famine Report,” vol. 2:193. 85. “Famine Report,” vol. 3. 86. “Famine Report,” vol. 1:337. 87. Forest Administration in Bengal, 1895–96. 88. Letter from E. M. Konstam to the conservator of forests in Bengal, dated December 7, 1896, in “Famine Report,” vol. 2:191. 89. See letter from W. B. Oldham to the chief secretary of the Government of Bengal, dated April 25, 1897, in Bengal Revenue Proceedings, May–June 1897. 90. See letter from A. Forbes, commissioner of the Chotanagpur Division to the chief secretary of the Government of Bengal, in Bengal Judicial Proceedings, July 1897. 91. Letter from the political chief of Jashpur to the commissioner of Chotanagpur Division, dated October 11, 1896, in Bengal Revenue Proceedings, October–November 1896.

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92. Letter from the political chief of Jashpur to the commissioner of Chotanagpur Division, dated October 11, 1896, 7. 93. Letter from the political chief of Jashpur to the commissioner of Chotanagpur Division, dated October 11, 1896, 4. 94. Quoted in a letter from A. Forbes to the secretary of the government of Bengal, dated January 27, 1897, in “Famine Report,” vol. 4. 95. “Famine Report,” vol. 5. 96. Tour diary of A. Forbes, January 1897, in “Famine Report,” vol. 4. 97. “Famine Report,” vol. 5. 98. “Famine Report,” vol. 7:401. 99. See Arnold, “Famine in Peasant Consciousness and Peasant Action,” passim. 100. See Bihar Judicial Proceedings, April 1897. 101. “Famine Report,” vol. 7:427. 102. See the tour diary of A. Forbes, Palamau, 1897, in Bengal Revenue Proceedings, April–June 1897. 103. Tour diary of A. Forbes, 1897. 104. Letter from W. B. Oldham, commissioner of Santhal parganas to the secretary, Bengal Revenue Department, in Bengal Revenue Proceedings, April–June. 105. A comparison with Chitrapur village in the same area is interesting. Here the ten Oraon households were better off and had more stocks of paddy, as the quality of their paddy lands was good. 106. Tour diary of A. Forbes, January 13–18, 1897, in Bengal Revenue Proceedings, April-June 1897. 107. “Famine Report,” vol. 7:379. 108. “Famine Report,” vol. 7:379. 109. “Famine Report,” vol. 4:5. 110. “Famine Report,” vol. 5:296. 111. “Famine Report,” vol. 7:394. 112. “Famine Report,” vol. 5:16. 113. “Famine Report,” vol. 12:386. De Waal has argued that the excess deaths in Darfur, Sudan, in the 1984 famine were not a result of starvation but of disease, and in his list of the different ways of saving lives the nutritional issue is listed as the final one, priority being given to improving health care. He thus fails to link famine and disease. This argument clearly gives the lie to the commonsense notion that undernourishment, especially during an intense subsistence crisis, weakens the body, leaving it prey to various fevers and diseases, and I have found little evidence to support this theory in Chotanagpur. See De Waal, Famine that Kills, 193. 114. David Arnold argues that the relationship between famine and epidemic disease has remained rather problematic, and while linkages exist, it is a mistake to attribute all excess mortality to famine as if epidemics had no etiologies and rhythms of their own. However, in the case of Chotanagpur, I would argue for strong linkages between disease and famine, as it is quite clear that the scarcity was directly responsible for the diminished resistance against

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disease. See David Arnold, “Famine: Vulnerability, Coping, and Recovery”; and Elizabeth Whitcombe, “Famine deaths,” both papers presented at the University of London’s School of Oriental and African Studies’ Workshop on Famine, September 1989. 115. “Famine Report,” vol. 12. 116. “Famine Report,” vol. 12:401. 117. “Famine Report,” vol. 12:401. 118. “Famine Report,” vol. 12:401.

9

“Heaven-Sent Disasters” in Late Imperial China The Scope of the State and Beyond Andrea Janku

“The frequency of disasters in China is hardly equaled by any other country. From the eighteenth century BCE until the twentieth century CE there was hardly a year without calamities (zai), and thus also hardly a year without famine (huang).” This is how Deng Yunte begins his comprehensive study on the history of famine relief in China, which echoes Walter Mallory’s characterization of China as a “Land of Famine.”1 Then, as if to confirm how deeply rooted disasters are in Chinese culture, Deng enumerates all the major calamities of mythological times that are documented in the classical literature: the nine-year deluge at the time of the cultural heroes Yao and Shun, which the Great Yu, first ruler of the Xia dynasty (considered to have lasted from ca. 2100 BC to ca. 1600 BC), finally brought under control; the tremendous earthquakes during the last years of that dynasty; the seven-year drought under Tang, first ruler of the Shang dynasty (ca. 1600 BC–ca. 1100 BC); successive floods during that dynasty, leading to five relocations of the capital city; and the devastating earthquake at the close of the Shang, which brought to an end the rule of the evil Zhou, the last Shang king.2 The moral reading of disasters that is apparent in the brief account reproduced above was firmly established by the time of the Western Han dynasty (206 BC–8 AD). Floods and droughts were seen as “heaven-sent disasters” (tianzai) that could be understood within the theory of the “Mandate of Heaven” (tianming), which gave rulers

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their legitimacy. The history of disasters was thence subsumed under the paradigm of the dynastic cycle, according to which the increased incidence of natural disasters constituted a cosmic portent announcing the current dynasty’s loss of this mandate. But, as the examples just mentioned show, the heavenly punishments did by no means always coincide with the end of a dynasty. A disaster could thus also be viewed as a heaven-sent trial of a ruler’s ability to deal with crisis, or as a warning for him to examine his moral integrity and accept his personal responsibility for the people’s welfare. In these cases, a disaster offered a ruler an opportunity to reaffirm his legitimacy and to consolidate his authority. A disaster successfully overcome was one of the ingredients that could produce a cultural hero, as in the case of the Great Yu. Despite the occasional emergence of skeptical voices, these interpretations proved to be quite useful and prevailed into the modern era, as demonstrated in strong Chinese reluctance to publicize the “silent famine” in the early 1960s and in how the authorities chose to represent the Tangshan earthquake of 1976.3 The account, repeated in many ancient sources, of the seven-year drought under Tang and his resolve to offer himself as a human sacrifice for the welfare of the people is paradigmatic. Tang was a moral hero who had overthrown Jie, the evil last ruler of the Xia dynasty. But the first years of his reign were marked by drought. After five years of failed harvests, Tang expressed his willingness to sacrifice himself to appease heaven’s anger and exonerate his people: “I am the only one who is guilty; the people should not be affected. If the people have done any wrong, then it is because of me. Do not ask the spirits and demons of the Lord on High to damage the people’s livelihood because of the lacking understanding of one single person.” In a mulberry grove, he prepared for his self-sacrifice, cutting his hair and fingernails and erecting an altar.4 Reportedly, he beseeched heaven with the following questions: Has my rule been immoderate? Have I brought distress to the people? Why do the rains fail to such a severe extent? Is my palace too lofty? Have the visits of women been too plenteous? Why do the rains fail to such a severe extent? Have presents and bribes been common? Has slander been flourishing? Why do the rains fail to such a severe extent?5

Before he could take his life, heaven showed mercy: it began to rain abundantly, and the people were overjoyed.6 A later commentator explained the drought as a leftover consequence of Jie’s evil; even though Tang could hardly have been guilty of the faults he enumer-

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ated, he still had to perform this act of filial piety in utter sincerity to demonstrate his devout obedience to heaven.7 With hindsight, the apparent pervasiveness of natural disasters during the final century of the last dynasty, the Manchu-Qing (1644–1911), certainly could encourage the interpretation of calamities as a sign of dynastic decline. A recent compilation of extant records on all the floods, droughts, locust plagues, earthquakes, and storms, along with the ensuing famines and epidemics that struck every part of China from 1840 to 1919, confirms their exceptional frequency during this period.8 The notorious Yongding River in Zhili (modern Hebei Province), for example, flooded in eight successive years from 1867 to 1874, due to the neglect of control works, causing great devastation. A drought followed in 1875 and 1876, which was the precursor of the Great Drought that afflicted large parts of northern China from 1876 to 1879. Another series of annual floods began in 1885 and lasted to 1898, again followed by severe drought in 1899–1900.9 The southern part of the country was similarly affected. In 1876, for example, when the first waves of famine refugees from the north began to flood the south, especially the rich Jiangnan (lower Yangtze) region, devastating floods afflicted the provinces of Jiangxi, Fujian, and Zhejiang; torrential rains, tsunamis, and typhoons haunted the coastal provinces and Taiwan; and earthquakes were recorded in the interior provinces of Yunnan and Guizhou.10 This series of catastrophes, also associated with food riots, continued through the Wuchang Uprising that led to the foundation of the Republic of China in 1912. The ongoing disintegration of political rule and traditional social structures resulting from war and economic disruption amplified the effects of these multiple disasters on the populace. These events appear to corroborate the image of an empire in decay. Although it is tempting to adopt the notion of dynastic decline in our attempt to conceptualize the history of disasters in late imperial China, it also easily leads to a superficial reading of the historical evidence and tends to obfuscate the intricacies of human history. Responses to disasters and their long-term impact were complex and deserve thorough historical treatment. The geographical and climatic conditions of China have always made the country liable to floods, droughts, earthquakes, and other calamities. Yet this very circumstance also stimulated the development of a sophisticated culture of coping with these disasters, most apparent in the large number of manuals, both official and private, on famine relief and disaster prevention.11 Residents of flood-prone areas found ways to adapt to—and

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indeed profit from—these frequent calamities, although there is little evidence on popular responses to the “everyday disaster” in the conventional historical sources.12 By contrast, extraordinary disasters that affected large areas over an extended period of time, bringing great damage and incredible loss of life, were relatively rare and could have a profound impact on China’s social and political fabric. It is certainly true that the effects of natural hazards became more drastic, especially in the last two centuries of Qing rule. The population had expanded at an unprecedented pace in the eighteenth century, putting a strain on ecological and economic resources that grew only greater in the nineteenth century.13 Large parts of the rural population lived on the subsistence level and were extremely vulnerable. At the same time, an astonishing array of forces still could be mobilized to support areas regarded as strategically, politically, or economically important. Under peaceful conditions, extensive disaster preparations limited the scope of many calamities. Moreover, long-established strategies of disaster management were continuously adapted to changing circumstances, especially with disasters of unprecedented magnitude (as in 1720–1722 and again in 1876–1879). Despite all adaptations, though, one principle remained basically unchanged, at least at the level of political discourse: the belief that the welfare of the people ultimately depended on the state. Here, of course, the maintenance of a political myth went together with the maintenance of political control. It kept the management of severe disasters within the purview of the state and required that additional forces, should they be necessary, be integrated into the state. This principle was first challenged during the Great North-China Famine of the 1870s, when foreigners became involved in the administration of famine relief. The evaluation of the famine and official relief by south Chinese elites, foreign missionaries, and their reporting to the world—beyond the afflicted areas in the north, outside of bureaucratic channels of communications, and outside of China—entirely changed the perception of the famine from within the state as well. Due to the extensive use of the modern press, which emerged in the extraterritorial environment of the treaty ports in the second half of the nineteenth century, the crisis grew from a regional to a national and even international event, and thus its consequences went far beyond the scope and control of the imperial state. The aim of the following case study of disasters in the north Chinese province of Shanxi, preceded by a brief outline of major trends in recent research on the history of natural disasters in China, is to illustrate this process.

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STUDYING CHINESE DISASTERS: PROBLEMS AND ISSUES Despite the apparent pervasiveness of disasters in China’s modern history, historical research on disasters is a relatively new field in Chinese studies. Interestingly, famine has been the point of departure for scholars both in and outside of China.14 Perhaps the highly symbolic reading of disasters curbed such research, or the ready availability of the dynastic-cycle approach effectively handicapped any meaningful writing of a social history of disasters. In any case, it remains a sensitive field, especially when it comes to more recent disasters. It also is a complex one, requiring a broad interdisciplinary approach. It calls upon such diverse disciplines as social, economic, and institutional history; climatology, environmental history, and historical epidemiology; historical demography and geography; the study of philanthropic traditions and state-society relations; and modern environmental studies.15 It also requires an openness to anthropological approaches and a perceptive consideration of sociopsychological aspects of disasters, including individual and collective trauma and memory. Two important works deal primarily with institutional history and official disaster management. The first is Bureaucratie et famine en Chine au 18e siècle, Pierre-Étienne Will’s seminal study of famine and famine relief. His examination of a famine in 1743 in the capital province of Zhili shows Qing famine-relief administration at its best.16 To “nourish the people” was one of the most important means for the Qing government to bolster its political legitimacy. Nourish the People is the title of a study of the sophisticated system of civilian granaries the Qing established (following old precedents) to equalize grain prices and mitigate the consequences of food shortages.17 The study grew out of a workshop on “Food, Famine, and the Chinese State,” which focused on political legitimacy, social security, and economic stability.18 Economic and social historians took a central role here, examining the development of markets, grain prices, and statesociety relations. Studies of famine relief in Ming times (1368–1644) observe a gradual shift of responsibilities from the state to society toward the end of the dynasty.19 The same seems to have been true for the Qing. In the People’s Republic of China (PRC), historical research into disasters and famine is also relatively new because these were sensitive topics until the political climate became more open after 1979. Two basic goals then directed research. The first was to study disasters, especially floods, droughts, and earthquakes, to develop an ad-

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equate policy of disaster management and prevention in the present.20 In the 1990s, the UN International Decade for Disaster Reduction was crucial to intensifying research and strengthening international cooperation, particularly in the natural sciences. The second aim of historical disaster research in the PRC was a didactic one: to study the past as a warning for the future.21 One of the first publications of the Research Group for the Study of Disasters in Modern China, established in 1985 at the People’s University in Beijing, was a middleschool textbook explicitly designed to introduce students to the past sufferings of their people so that they would “never forget.”22 It aimed to transform the memory of past experiences of disaster into the spiritual powers needed to build a future China.23 Subsequent research by the same group explored the relationship between the occurrence of natural disasters and the history of late Qing China.24 The majority of publications of this early period, however, reflect the concentration on the compilation of selected source materials.25 Research that analyzes the history of disasters and famine relief in China thus began in the field of Qing studies. Richard Bohr and He Hanwei did pioneering work on the Great North-China Famine (1876– 1879), which soon became a major focus of research. Bohr’s study, based on missionary materials, pointed to the crucial role the famine had played for Timothy Richard, the central figure in missionary relief. Richard’s experience of the famine spurred his reformatory thought and ensuing political engagement. Reacting to Bohr, He Hanwei began to study the extensive relief measures taken by the Chinese state.26 In the 1990s, a major achievement of the Beijing research group was to introduce the issue of private relief into the Chinese discourse on famine relief and discuss the foreign missionary contribution in positive terms.27 This group also concentrated on famine as a motivating factor in modernization.28 The Historical Geography Research Center at Fudan University in Shanghai, in contrast, focused on environmental history and historical demography in their analyses of historical disasters.29 Finally, Kathryn Edgerton recently added another important dimension to disaster research in her study of the North-China Famine of the late 1870s. Her examination of cultural responses to the famine, inspired by studies on the Irish potato famine, was based on new local sources, including stele inscriptions, local history documents, and even interviews with elderly people who could tell their grandparents’ stories about the famine. Comparing Chinese and Western representations of the famine, she explored whether and how responses to the famine were culturally determined.30

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FAMINE IN SHANXI: INTEGRATING THE BODY POLITIC Shanxi, situated in the Chinese heartland north of the Yellow River, is a landlocked province with no easy access to the main water-transport routes and with a high mountain range separating it from the coastal provinces to the east. It was the province most severely hit, especially in its southern part, by the drought-induced famine of 1876–1879. The following analysis focuses on Pingyang prefecture in the southern part of the province, and particularly on the two counties of Xiangling and Fenxi within it, examining the records on disasters and famine relief prepared under the auspices of the local and provincial governments. This official perspective provides a basis that will allow us to explore how strategies for coping with disaster changed over time. The most obvious source of information on the disasters in these two counties is the record of auspicious and inauspicious portents regularly included in the county gazetteers. The brief preface to this record in the gazetteer of Xiangling County compiled in 1881 explicitly states that it provides a good basis for evaluating the moral standard of the social customs and the successes and failures of the government.31 However, a quick examination of this document (see appendix) shows that natural disasters cannot readily be associated with dynastic decline. Instead, the records emphasize the government’s achievements in coping with crisis situations and supporting reconstruction work. Even though one may assume that the compilers sincerely tried to report events accurately, the bias toward the official view of things is readily apparent. In general, far fewer severe calamities are listed than one might expect. During the Qing Dynasty twenty-three calamities were documented over a period of 228 years, including two major rebellions. Eleven were so severe that tax exemptions (often tax reductions or postponement of payment) or relief distributions were granted; six were major subsistence crises, three of which occurred in the early years of the dynasty; and only two of these were extraordinarily severe, as is evident in the tropes used to describe them, including “people eating the bark of trees and grassroots” (1720–1722 and 1877–1879). Only in the latter of these was cannibalism mentioned, a trope that indicates the greatest possible disaster, the utter disruption of the moral order—a true catastrophe.32 Before that, this trope had appeared only in the record of a famine at the end of the preceding Ming Dynasty,33 suggesting that the compilers, in using it here, may have been expecting the demise of the dynasty. Nevertheless, they compiled it within two years of the famine’s end to show that the crisis had been overcome.34

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From the early years of the dynasty, the Qing rulers had made famine-relief policies their major concern. The state granaries they established throughout the empire were the most visible sign of this.35 The containment of the famine of 1743 in Zhili—the core of PierreÉtienne Will’s study—impressively illustrates the success of these imperial relief policies. The Qing had learned the importance of such policies from the famines and epidemics that marred the last years of the preceding Ming Dynasty. Their most significant adaptation in relief policy was to make tax exemptions or reductions in years of bad harvests the rule—often before actual famine was reported. Thus accurate information about the weather was strategic and crucial to political stability.36 County magistrates fulfilled an essential function in reporting impending calamities and could be severely punished for inaccuracies. During most years of the Kangxi emperor’s long reign (1662–1722), no major calamities were reported in the Shanxi provincial gazetteer, and territorially limited crises were kept under control with relative ease. The geographical isolation of Shanxi, however, made efficient relief policies difficult to implement, especially in widespread famines. Nevertheless, the central government had a strong interest in the stability of Shanxi: it belonged to the heartland of China, its northern part occupied a strategic position on the Mongolian border, and it served as a thoroughfare to the western territories of the Qing empire. Very few severe crises were recorded there in the eighteenth century, but tax exemptions and postponement of rent payments were granted almost every other year.37 When Xiangling County reported its first “great famine” under Qing rule in 1691–1692, the imperial government intervened immediately. Granaries in the provincial capital Taiyuan and Datong and Wutai counties farther north distributed grain,38 and taxes were remitted to various degrees. Nevertheless, the provincial government viewed the drought of these years, accompanied by a locust plague, as a territorially limited event, affecting eight of the eleven districts and counties of just one prefecture. The local people most likely suffered tremendously, yet the authorities managed to contain the crisis and did not portray it as a threat to social peace and political stability. The drought famine beginning in 1720 in the last years of the Kangxi emperor’s reign, by contrast, was exceptionally widespread.39 In its geographical scope, it was comparable to the later famine of 1876–1879, affecting the provinces of Shanxi, Shaanxi, Shandong, Zhili, and parts of Henan.40 The Xiangling gazetteer reported heavy sand storms in spring, drought and crop failures in autumn, and then drought again persisting until the summer of the following year. As a

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result, grain prices rose, forcing the poor to resort to so-called famine foods like tree bark and the roots of wild herbs. Even these were reported to have been nearly exhausted.41 In Hongtong County it was reported that people had eaten “dry earth,” also known as Guanyin earth after the popular goddess of mercy. People left their homes; families were torn apart.42 The gazetteer of Fushan County also reported “great drought” and “red earth over an extension of several thousand square miles,” as well as relief distributions from the government and from members of the local elite.43 According to another county gazetteer, “heaven was weeping.”44 The government responded to the crisis by taking the usual relief measures. Yet it also adapted these measures to meet the requirements of this unprecedented situation. The imperial censor Zhu Shi was dispatched to evaluate the situation; high-ranking officials were asked to propose adequate relief measures. The government disbursed five hundred thousand Tls (i.e., taels, or ounces) of silver from the imperial treasury in the two provinces of Shanxi and Shaanxi and urged wealthy households to sell rice (instead of hoarding it) and distribute relief. Moreover, Zhu Shi suggested that the court ask wealthy households to make contributions (juanzhu) to the relief funds and join the merchants in purchasing grain from the southern provinces. This was reportedly the first time during Qing rule that members of the local elite were asked to engage in famine relief in this way.45 Obviously, there was a disjunction between the official representation of smoothly operating imperial relief and the actual condition of the starving people. The formalized reports in the local gazetteers allow us to perceive but not really envision their suffering. Using a variety of local materials, Edgerton was able to discover many fascinating details about responses to the 1876–1879 famine, such as the conflicts that arose between officials and members of the local elite, salt merchants, and salt-workers at Hedong.46 But comparably rich sources for this earlier period are harder or impossible to find. Without them, the story of the eighteenth-century famine, unfolded so masterfully by Pierre-Étienne Will using official or semi-official documents, remains incomplete. After the famine of 1720–1722, the remainder of the eighteenth century appears to have been a time of prosperity. Perhaps the Qing had learned their lesson,47 or maybe the climate was just more favorable. The gazetteers frequently reported years of plenty and even tax exemptions as a reward for repeated abundant harvests; sometimes drought is noted, but hardly a famine. Yet it is also possible that the representation of prosperity was exaggerated, consciously or not, in

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order to maintain the standing of the Qing state. One thing is certain: the Manchu rulers tried to uphold the perception that the state was the one and only force capable of providing large-scale relief for its people, even after it compelled wealthy households to contribute to relief. For example, the Qianlong emperor in the seventeenth year of his reign (1752) disapproved of a monument to honor the people of Pingyang for their contributions to the official treasury of the Hedong circuit south of Pingyang when this area had experienced a drought. In an edict, he declared that this proposal was “absolutely despicable and mistaken” and further explained that, although wealthy local people were allowed to do good deeds when a province encountered partial disaster—e.g., distribute grain or money to the poor—that differed from contributing to official funds. He further underscored that the several hundred thousand Tls the state used for relief all came from regular treasury stocks, concluding: “And how much have the wealthy people contributed?”48 In other words, private contributions were to remain within the scope of “good deeds,” and private engagement was not to extend beyond the local area. Anything more would have been perceived as encroaching on the sphere of the state. With the state so reluctant to allow substantial private famine relief, one would expect foreign aid to be frowned upon even more. But both private and foreign relief aid would be important in the Great North-China Famine that haunted the early years of the Guangxu reign (1875–1908).

THE NORTH-CHINA FAMINE OF 1876–1879 As mentioned above, the province of Shanxi was the most severely affected by the famine of 1876–1879. According to the official count, the province lost one-half of its population, about ten million people.49 It is hard to imagine the degree of social disruption and disintegration a calamity of this magnitude caused. The demographic and economic impact of the famine persisted into the 1950s; even then the population had not regained its prefamine level, and the once-prosperous region, rich with coal and iron ore and famous for its bankers and merchants, remained impoverished. In the 1860s, Rev. Alexander Williamson, traveling there, had found the province remarkable for its populous cities and numerous villages “full of . . . people giving not a few indications of wealth and prosperity.”50 But the famine had transformed it into one of China’s poorest areas. Generally speaking, there are two distinct perspectives on the famine: an internal (Chinese) one and an outside (foreign) one. To be

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sure, these perspectives are not uniform in themselves. Even the official Chinese accounts used here, for example, present a variety of views on the famine experience. However, although the documents reveal the shortcomings of the relief effort, they generally emphasize the positive aspects of the process of social and moral, and thus also political, reintegration. Foreign accounts—especially those published in newspapers, but also missionary sources—tend to do the opposite. They generally denigrate the official relief effort.51 While this is perhaps an unduly simplified juxtaposition of the different perspectives, we will follow this approach here. In the case of Xiangling County, the gazetteer compiled immediately after the famine supported political cohesion by depicting the local administration in the best possible light. It has a voluminous chapter on famine relief that begins, as is typical, praising the emperor’s kindness: “Those reading this compilation will know that among the poor people, there is not one who is not present in the kindly thoughts of the Son of Heaven.” This chapter includes all the documents that demonstrate the state’s concern for the people: provincial governor Zeng Guoquan’s memorials to the court, magistrate Qian Yong’s report on the state of relief work to the provincial government, a petition for the postponement of taxes until the wheat harvest of the coming year, and regulations for mitigating the consequences of the drought, examining famine conditions, and distributing relief. It also gives the results of the investigations and a record of grain and money distributions. A list of contributions by the local wealthy at the end of the account shows how local people supported the official relief effort.52 This official source inadvertently yields insight into the desperate condition of the people in Xiangling County, as the detailed information on the relief distributions analyzed below will show. It also lays bare the basic agenda of the official relief scheme: ensuring the continued existence of households (rather than individual survival), maintaining the general social order, and preserving political legitimacy. The government sought—at least according to the rhetoric—to demonstrate that imperial kindness was poured equally over all those in need.53 These goals took precedence over ensuring the actual survival of the greatest possible number of people, and they were largely achieved. This account gives the impression that merely preparing for official relief—by investigating disaster conditions, drawing up relief registers, and establishing relief centers—helped keep society “peaceful and quiet.”54 One could even say that official activism gave the people a misleading sense of security, hindering them from leaving while they still could.

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Official relief efforts in Xiangling County did not begin until the summer of 1877, even though drought conditions already prevailed in 1876, as recorded in some counties of Pingyang prefecture. According to the report of the Xiangling magistrate, this relief relied entirely on local forces, consisting in squeezing the “wealthy households and big merchants” as much as possible on the principle that “everybody relieves his own village.” In the seventh month (August according to the Western calendar), officials examined disaster conditions and determined how long “village relief” would suffice. About half of the villages indicated that their reserves would be exhausted by the end of the tenth month,55 so official relief distributions began in the eleventh month.56 Adults classified as poor originally were to receive fifteen sheng (approximately one liter) of rice per month, and children half that amount, to ensure their survival. But in the winter of 1877, when government relief replaced village relief, the twenty-eight thousand poor people, adults, and children entitled to official relief received only six sheng and an insubstantial sum of money. Moreover, relief distributions grew farther apart and smaller from the spring of 1878. Local reserves were nearly exhausted, but officials sincerely tried to distribute the little that remained evenly. The county government might have hoped for additional supplies from the central government (which came, although late), or that the next harvest would be bountiful. But when the rains failed again in the spring and summer of 1878, the famine became an unprecedented disaster. This is when the missionaries based in Pingyang prefecture began to distribute relief aid. Despite all these efforts, Xiangling County’s population diminished from 25,990 households (155,261 people) in the mid-1870s to 20,417 households (97,261 people) in 1880,57 a loss of roughly 20 percent of households and about 37 percent, a much higher ratio, of individuals. Notwithstanding the utter despair implied in these figures, the Xiangling County gazetteer continued to appraise imperial power positively. The chapter on relief affairs in its entirety is designed to highlight the joint effort of the government and the people to overcome the calamity. To be sure, it openly critiques the shortcomings of the system, forthrightly admitting cases of embezzlement or outright waste of relief funds. But at the same time, it assures the reader that such crimes were duly reported and severely punished. The local contributors might have been forced to give, but the final record preserves their names for future generations as generous benefactors. On a symbolic level, at least, this candid criticism worked to strengthen the credibility of the government. Even the

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missionary David Hill, based in the prefectural city of Pingyang during the famine, was glad to report “that with all the ‘squeezing’ that is going on, I have not heard one word said against either the present District Magistrate, or Prefect, both of whom have shown us no little courtesy and rendered us very much aid.”58 It was not accidental that a local gazetteer was compiled in Xiangling County immediately after the famine—and in most of the more than one hundred counties and districts of Shanxi. Upon the first signs of recovery, the provincial governor ordered the production of local gazetteers, so that the provincial gazetteer could consolidate their data and bear witness to the extraordinary achievement of the provincial government in administering relief.59 Political stability had been maintained, indeed. These gazetteers themselves have to be seen as part of the larger project to rebuild the social and moral order, and thus to reintegrate the body politic. Fenxi County, located in the north of Pingyang prefecture in the mountainous region to the west of the Fen River, suffered even greater losses from the famine. Fenxi was a poor county, indicated not least by the poor quality of its gazetteer. None had been compiled since 1674, leaving a gap in the record of auspicious and inauspicious events from this date to the time living memory could cover when the new gazetteer was put together in 1881. Heavy reliance on people’s memories seems to have led to the inclusion of a greater number of famines than in counties with records based on official material. According to the Fenxi gazetteer, the drought of 1876–1879 could already be felt as early as 1875; it produced successive harvest failures until the autumn of 1879. By 1878, the situation had grown so dire that “the streets were strewn with corpses, no domestic animal survived, people ate each other, and the villages were in ruins.”60 County magistrate Yu Zhongde was so desperate that, according to the gazetteer record, he saw no alternative but to “plead with his death for the life of the people.”61 In this account, the county magistrate does not appear to be a selfassured administrator of relief but rather the embodiment of utmost despair. A jinshi (a graduate of the metropolitan examination) from Kunming in the southwestern province of Yunnan, Yu Zhongde had taken up his post in Fenxi in the summer of 1877, when famine conditions had already set in throughout the southern part of the province. He is portrayed as a model official of moral excellence and upright devotion to his duties. He put an end to corrupt practices, personally investigated famine conditions and established relief offices, and placed “upright people from among the local worthies” (i.e., the village head-

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men) in charge of relief distributions. Moreover, he reportedly gave all the available official relief to the people, leaving nothing for himself, and even used private funds to build a small militia of about twenty “braves” to stop the raids of a gang of “vicious people.” But the hardships of the people left him in great distress. He saved everything he could, eating only a poisonous diet of noodles mixed with waste rock and coarse rice gruel himself, saying: “My people have nearly eaten up the roots of wild herbs and the bark of trees; they ask for more but get nothing. Eating this is already inappropriate. Even if I had the finest delicacies, how could I enjoy them?!” Yu blamed himself for using funds from the imperial treasury to no avail and for being ungrateful for the governor’s kindness: “Where are those who have been saved?!” Desperate about the meager results of his work—and certainly also physically exhausted—he took his life, as it was meticulously recorded in the gazetteer, in the Confucian temple within the city walls “on the morning of the twelfth day of the fourth month in the spring of the fourth year of the Guangxu reign” (1878). Refusing to speak or eat, his wife followed him into death about ten days later.62 In 1882, three years after the end of the famine, a temple was built in Fenxi County to honor this former county magistrate. The temple consists of a small yard and a three-room main building of simple brick construction. A tablet hanging from the eaves of the building bears the inscription “He gave his life for the people.” Yu Zhongde’s story is recorded on a stele in the courtyard.63 The gazetteer account makes it obvious that official relief measures did little to help, but the depiction of Yu’s heroic self-sacrifice—very much in the vein of the mythological Tang—served to reconcile the people with the government. It implied that the government did its utmost, even though the relief effort failed. The gazetteer account and the building of the temple effectively transformed a desperate magistrate into a local—and officially sponsored—deity who continued to be worshiped in the twentieth century.64 Different as the cases of Xiangling and Fenxi are, it is striking that people in both counties continued to pledge allegiance to their government. Mischievous local clerks and corrupt officials might have been blamed for obvious failures, but ultimately, the people believed in the good intentions of the imperial government and the sincerity of the official relief effort—as long as it was not disturbed by outside perceptions.65 Or was it disturbing outside perceptions that strengthened this belief? It seems to have remained solid even though depictions of the destitution were so candid and people personally experienced the inadequacy of the official relief measures and witnessed all kinds of abuse.

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VIEWS FROM THE OUTSIDE: THE FAMINE OF 1876–1879 AS A CATALYST FOR CHANGE One reason the reports were so candid is that conditions really had deteriorated significantly since the eighteenth century, the golden age of Qing rule. The overall conditions then had been much more favorable than in the nineteenth, when the stress on state finances was severe, population figures had exploded, and local granary reserves had been exhausted—by neglect or raids of the Taiping and Nian rebels. Even so, if foreigners had not gotten involved, it is unlikely the official sources would have been so detailed. The surviving picture of the famine would likely have been similar to those of the severe famines of the early 1720s and 1804–1805. As it was, a small number of Western missionaries active as fundraisers and relief administrators, as well as the treaty port press, were spreading a rather different picture of government relief that provincial authorities had to counteract. Indeed, foreign relief aid is mentioned once in the provincial gazetteer: it was reported that “foreigners happily opened their purses” in support of the governor who was so committed and whose work was so efficient.66 In an obvious effort to bring even foreign aid into the scope of the state, the provincial gazetteer stressed the exceptional character of the official relief effort, manifested most clearly in the wide range of sources of funds for the relief scheme. As usual, support came in the form of grants from the imperial treasury, tribute grain transfers, and tax exemptions, but for the first time, contributions also came from ten other provinces, mostly in the form of funds raised through the sale of official titles. Moreover, these provincial funds formed the largest share (78.4 percent) of relief funds (about 11,576,209 Tls out of 14,761,893 Tls total).67 The sheer sum of these contributions shows that all of China had grown exceedingly attentive to the famine in the north. The foreign presence, in particular, played a major role in this process and certainly encouraged southern elite groups to organize relief for their compatriots in the north.68 In 1877, Timothy Richard, a young Baptist missionary residing in Qingzhou, Shandong Province, discovered the missionary potential of famine relief work and lobbied the foreign community in the treaty port settlement in Tianjin. A famine relief office was established there, and conjointly with prominent members of the Western community, he launched a widely publicized fundraising campaign. It was the first time the modern press accompanied and supported a famine relief campaign in China. The role of the press grew greater a year later,

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when Richard moved his base to Taiyuan in the province of Shanxi, which he considered an even more fertile field for his work. In 1878, a foreign-relief office was established in Shanghai, and the focus of the fundraising campaign moved there and then to London, where a China Famine Relief Fund was also founded.69 Both Western and Chinese newspapers, foremost the Shanghai daily Shenbao, were full of detailed reports on the afflicted areas by outside and inside observers, reprints of official documents relating to the famine, and discussions on methods of relief and disaster prevention. Moreover, the press also served as a medium for organizing fundraising and relief campaigns. The relief campaign in 1878 was certainly the first time people in England made a major effort to rescue starving Chinese, and this was regarded with some ambivalence. The Chinese ambassador in London, Guo Songtao, betrayed this sentiment in a note of gratitude that was published in the Times: I regret that it should be necessary for China to appeal to the sympathies of other countries, and I desire publicly through the medium of The Times to give expression to the gratitude which I feel. I would add that that which the English nation is now doing for a far distant country is an act of disinterested kindness for which the people of China will ever remain its debtors.70

Even though committees in Shanghai and London raised considerable sums, it is safe to assume that the symbolic impact of foreign aid largely outweighed its material effects.71 Incorporated into an international context, the famine was no longer restricted to distinct localities but had become a national experience. While the Chinese acknowledged and even somehow admired Western contributions, they resented them, too. The new national and international publicity the Chinese famine received raised a variety of questions that had more to do with Chinese and Western attitudes, as well as China’s place in the world, than with the starving people in Shanxi and other northern Chinese provinces. The Chinese public (which made its voice heard in the treaty port press) distrusted the West; Western motivations were deemed suspicious, their reports questionable, their independence doubtful. For example, some people suspected that Timothy Richard did not act out of charity but was employed by Zeng Guoquan, governor of Shanxi, as a relief administrator.72 More importantly, Chinese public opinion was very critical of British relief policies in colonial India, as discussed in Shenbao from the Bihar famine of 1874,73 and the “relief for work” programs the British had adopted during the Madras famine

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in 1877, especially, were frequently debated.74 But debates in the press were most concerned with the impact the foreign presence could have on the national economy. On the one hand, they suspected that the very presence of the British in India and their free-trade experiments had exacerbated the famines, but they also realized that the increasing integration into the world market was a process that could not be averted. Although the Chinese situation was decidedly different from the Indian one, India’s example made obvious the challenges China faced as it began its struggle to become an equal member in the international community of nations. In London, on the other hand, publicity about the famine corroborated a negative image of China. A Chinese fundraising pamphlet, for example, depicted China as one of the destitute and backward Asian countries—an image that already dominated the discourse about Asia in the Western press. The China Famine Relief Fund organized a reprint of the pamphlet and described the situation in China in the preface: We have received from China a grotesque but pathetic little picture book, painting the horrors undergone in the famine districts, the stripping off the trees of bark as well as leaves, the eating of the thatch of the houses, the feeding on the dead, the selling of boys and girls into slavery, each rough print accompanied by an explanation of its drift in Chinese. . . . A great multiplication of this little book with the Chinese explanations and English interpretations, and the appeal of the Committee for help on the cover, would, we are persuaded, touch more minds and hearts than any mere circular. It brings home what famine means, at once vividly and with that pathos which is all the deeper for its quaint and grotesque character.75

The phrase “It brings home what famine means” suggests that such a severe famine was a remote experience for the British public. The Irish potato famine of the late 1840s had taken place more than a generation before. And although the “last severe peacetime subsistence crisis in Western Europe” had occurred as recently as the 1860s in preindustrial Finland, the “civilized” Western European countries largely ignored it.76 They had no interest in the “backward” northern country, and perhaps thought it more closely linked to Russia than to Western Europe. This seems to suggest that starving people in China did not motivate British relief as much as the British presence and interests there. Starving people helped them to justify a somewhat differently conceived civilizing mission. Western discourse on Asia and China had changed. A view of the Chinese state as uncivilized, corrupt, and at least partly to blame for

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the crisis had emerged. The following reference to the North-China Famine in an article about environmental decay is symptomatic: “Such catastrophes as the famine in Shandong and the general scarcity in the north of China recall the melancholy fact that the entire continent of Asia may be said to be in a changing state, and that this decay is not moral alone but physical.”77 The Times of London, too, in comparing the famines of India and China after the Great Famine had unfolded to its full scale, highlighted the Chinese government’s role in exacerbating the crisis: There are various reasons, too, which make the case of China far more hopeless than that of India. An exceptionally dry season has in both countries been the primary cause of the disaster. But this in China has been aggravated in many ways by the faults of the Government. Incredible wastefulness, universal corruption, and a determined rejection of the expedients of modern science in the way of developing the resources of the country, or of restoring and improving the means of intercommunication, are among the charges brought against the Chinese Government by the Secretary of the Legation at Pekin [sic]. . . . We need not wonder that where such a state of things exists permanently the strokes of famine and of every other calamity should fall with especial heaviness. Famine, it must be remembered, is a thing which, in countries like India and China, must be expected from time to time to recur. . . . But is there, it will be asked, no hope for either country that these epochs should be averted? They do not occur in England, or, indeed, among any of the civilized nations of the world. Is there no prospect that this immunity from famine should be extended more widely?78

Since the occurrence of famines had come to indicate a lack of civilizational “progress” or “modernity,”79 the Chinese people exposed to these new ideas disseminated through the modern press experienced the Great Famine of the late 1870s in a distinctly different manner from earlier ones. The images of the starving Chinese spread to a world audience, once passed through the lens of Western “wealth and power,” reflected China’s poverty and weakness back on the Chinese people. This nourished a shameful and inadmissible feeling of inferiority, and with it the desire for a strong and cohesive nation that would be fit to wipe out this humiliation. The declining fortunes of the Qing dynasty and the government’s inability to respond adequately to this new aspect of Sino-Western intercourse further fueled this desire. From the early nineteenth century, we can observe a new political commitment among China’s educated elite. They grew ever more aware of the problems caused by demo-

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graphic growth, increasing poverty, and environmental decline, and ever less satisfied with the performance of the imperial bureaucracy. Moreover, they sensed an impending financial crisis. All this is documented in the growing interest in official and semi-official writings dealing with issues such as water control and famine relief, as well as with state finances and tax administration, and increasingly with environmental issues.80 These statecraft writings aimed to improve the material conditions of the country, which, in turn, would consolidate imperial legitimacy. Their general outlook remained conservative. Likewise, imperial edicts continually repeated the dictum that encapsulated the ideological basis of the state: “The people are the foundation of the state, and food is the people’s heaven” (guo yi min wei ben, min yi shi wei tian), stressing the state’s responsibility to nourish the people. The modern press, too, held this politically conservative attitude. But in the end, the incessant reiteration of this symbolic equation of the material welfare of the people and the ideological foundation of the state in the daily press, together with endless reports of disasters that threatened the very survival of the people, thoroughly subverted imperial legitimacy. A second predicament resulted from this new famine experience, one that was more difficult to grasp and that required more than an improvement of the country’s material conditions to overcome. The key to this problem was “the people,” who were at the center of imperial ideology. When we consider the central importance of the state’s responsibility for the people, it becomes clear that, from a Chinese perspective, international famine relief could only threaten the standing of the state. If the Chinese state perceived its people as passive objects of imperial relief, deprived of their own agency, then China itself was in danger of becoming a passive object of international relief. In the Western discourse, China’s poverty and backwardness legitimized economic, political, or religious imperialist ambitions. Moreover, the patronizing, even denigrating, attitude toward the people was not limited to abstract discourse about political legitimation but also found expression in very real circumstances: Chinese bodies were being sold as food on the market, and Chinese women and children were being sold into slavery.81 Images of these conditions were widely publicized in the national and international press, becoming grotesque caricatures of the commodification of a people—foremost by the people themselves. It is true that the apparent loss of imperial legitimacy and agency, as well as the encroachment of the “rich and powerful West” in the guise of Christian charity, fostered the mobilization of new social forces and the emerging sense of a Chinese nation in Shanghai

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and surrounding urban centers. But at the bottom of that lay the inadmissible realization that the people had brought this predicament upon themselves. A rather ambivalent discourse of the nation then emerged as both Western and Chinese relief agencies spread images and news of the poor condition of the state and the country. Independent of the state, Chinese gentry merchants from the new urban, commercial environments set up their own relief agencies.82 Although these could not procure significant sums or save many lives,83 they did alert a broad public to the crisis, making extensive use of modern forms of communication. Western relief agencies, too, conveyed concrete images of the starving Chinese peasants in documenting their work and justifying the call for further subscriptions, and a continuous interplay of abstract figures representing Chinese and Western donations appeared in the newspapers.84 The politics of famine relief per se did not figure prominently in reformist and increasingly nationalist writings toward the end of the century,85 but the experience of famine and poverty more generally lay at the bottom of the new national sentiment. Ever more often, as an endless succession of major and minor disasters afflicted China, people asked themselves why it did not end. One Chinese journalist, for example, found himself at a loss to explain the slow progress of China’s modernization when a Western friend pointed out the disparity between East and West in disaster aid. The friend told him that Western countries only organize relief in cases of extreme emergency, whereas extreme emergency seemed to have become the normal state of affairs in China.86 The rich provinces of Zhejiang and Jiangsu, too, fell prey to a flood disaster in 1889, and references to “the country” became more and more urgent. A Shenbao editorial twice characterized private relief as an effort “to save the people for the country”—an expression formerly used only in official contexts—urging the wealthy resident sojourners in Shanghai to contribute to the relief fund for the flood victims of their own province.87 Foreign relief did not become firmly established in China before the foundation of the Republic of China in 1912. Nevertheless, extensive foreign involvement in the relief campaign of the 1870s had aroused the cultural elite, many of whom lived in or near the politically marginalized treaty ports. The treaty port press did, indeed, nurture the impression that China was endlessly afflicted by disaster, and, more importantly, that the state could not manage on its own. The growing importance of foreign relief during the republic, a time of wars and political turmoil, reinforced this impression. Then relief work was broadly conceived and included the promotion of public

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works and infrastructure improvements, such as building roads and railways, and organizing credit organizations—functions that should have been in the scope of the state.88 Walter Mallory, the author of the influential study that stigmatized China as the Land of Famine (1926) we saw at the beginning of the present study, was himself active in famine relief work during this time. The famine of the late 1870s thus inaugurated the confrontation between the still vigorous traditional state and an ideology of societal progress, which put the conditions of human existence in China in a very different light.

CONCLUSIONS Christian Pfister’s concept of disasters as catalysts for fundamental learning can help us to formulate a conclusion from this case study of the Great North-China Famine.89 In this Chinese case, fundamental learning involved calling into question basic values and implementing radical structural innovations—all fostered by outside influences. Outside observers, both “enlightened” members of the national elite and foreign residents in China, cast doubt on basic values that had previously determined responses to disaster—such as preserving households, maintaining the general social order, and legitimizing the state on a symbolic level—and asserted others in their place, such as ensuring the individual physical survival of the greatest possible number of people, and preserving the personal dignity of women and children. These new values seriously challenged the coping strategies that had developed over centuries of experience. Radical structural innovations, such as modernization on a large scale, and far-reaching economic and institutional changes, as articulated by the British missionary Timothy Richard, would have required China to actively integrate into the (British-dominated) world economy. Just as international disaster-relief efforts in the West that began in the eighteenth century reflected the economic integration of the Atlantic world,90 international disaster relief in late nineteenth-century China reflected foreign interests there—whether economic or religious. But these interests brought with them far more radical changes in basic social and cultural values for China. Therefore, members of China’s educated elite, whose primary concern remained their country’s internal unity, reacted to these relief efforts with ambivalence. On the one hand, they were ashamed of their country, and, on the other, they grew nationalistic. In the great famine, wealthy southern elite groups witnessed the appalling condition of their

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fellow countrymen either directly or through reports publicized in the national and international press. These reports, which embedded the Chinese situation in Western values, made them feel that their country was weak and needed to be strengthened, fostering a nascent Chinese nationalism. At the same time, they became aware of the discrepancy between the symbolic creation of unity—the ultimate aim of the official relief effort—and the actual physical misery of the people, realizing that this discrepancy made China lose face abroad. In the new international environment, the goal of preserving social peace and upholding imperial power that had formerly dictated Chinese disaster response was subsumed into an even larger one: maintaining the image of the nation. No longer a self-reliant system of imperial benevolence, famine relief in China became a political battlefield in which the need for Chinese selfassertion against the Western powers competed with foreign interests. Nevertheless, the fundamental goal of Chinese relief efforts in the new environment retained some of the character of the old one: rebuilding China’s former wealth and power and restoring the country’s dignity. But which country—the Qing empire or a new Chinese nation-state?

APPENDIX: RECORD OF AUSPICIOUS AND INAUSPICIOUS PORTENTS (“XIANGYI ZHI”) IN THE XIANGLING COUNTY GAZETTEER OF 188191 This document is representative of the kind of data available on premodern disasters in China. It shows that natural disasters fell into the same category of events as rich harvests, cosmological phenomena, and rebellions, all of which were believed to portend the rising and falling fortunes of political power. Dong Zhongshu (ca. 175–105) provided the philosophical foundations of this theory, which is responsible for the preservation of much of the data on disasters meticulously recorded in the “Xiangyi zhi” and other related sources.92 1652—Shunzhi 9: Heavy rains for one month. (The Fen River burst its banks; many of the people’s dwellings were inundated.) 1654—SZ 11: Year of plenty. 1654—SZ 11: Two lotus blossoms on one stalk. (Near the Hexiang Pavillion south of the city wall, two lotus blossoms opened from one straight stalk. They had an extraordinary scent and were exceptionally beautiful. There were many successful examination candidates that year.) 1688—Kangxi 27: A gracious proclamation was received from the emperor effecting total exemption from taxes.

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1690—KX 29.9.25: The earth moved slightly. 1691—KX 30.6: Locusts. Relief distributions from the imperial treasury. 1692—KX 31: Drought and locusts, great famine. Remission of land taxes to varying degrees. 1693—KX 32: Plentiful wheat harvest. 1695—KX 34.4.6: Earthquake between the seventh and ninth hour in the evening. (It roared like thunder. The Confucian temple, the government offices, and people’s houses within the city wall were almost entirely destroyed. The dead were countless. After several days the black calamity93 appeared in the dark and most of those who were grasped were harmed. Prefect Wang reported this in detail and an imperial edict was received effecting relief distributions from the imperial treasury. Furthermore one liang [tael] of silver was given to the poor people for the reconstruction of their houses, and money was given to bury the dead and sacrifice to them, two liang for adults and seven qian five fen for children.) 1698—KX 37: Drought famine. A gracious proclamation was received from the emperor effecting total exemption from taxes. 1720—KX 59: Heavy sand storm in spring. The accumulated dust took the shape of coins. In that year there was drought in autumn and there were no crops. It did not rain until the sixth month of the sixtieth year (i.e., 1721). One dou of rice cost eight or nine qian. The bark of the trees and the roots of wild herbs were nearly all stripped off and dug out. The censor to the left Zhu received an imperial edict ordering the distribution of relief. On the twenty-seventh day of the sixth month heavy rain fell and the autumn crops were plentiful. The people showed signs of recovery. 1722—KX 61: Drought and famine. 1725—Yongzheng 3: The sun and the moon joined together and formed a perfect whole. The five planets joined together like pearls on a string. 1726—YZ 4: In the houses over the southern city gate . . . male triplets were born. 1736—Qianlong 1: Plentiful wheat harvest. 1743—QL 8.run4.8:94 During the night a big meteor moved from the east to the northwest. Its light illuminated the earth, and it roared like thunder. Only after some time was it peaceful again. There was great heat in summer. 1745—QL 10.1.12: A great star fell down from the east to the west during the daybreak and collapsed with a noise. 1755—QL 20: Year of plenty. There was double-eared wheat.

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1785—QL 50: Drought. Failure of both (summer) wheat and (autumn) crop harvest. 1793—QL 58: Year of plenty. 1804—Jiaqing 9: Drought and famine. An imperial edict was received to open the granaries for relief sales. In autumn tax collections were suspended. 1805—JQ 10: Again drought in autumn. A gracious proclamation was received from the emperor to show pity and distribute relief, and to temporarily remit land taxes. 1813—JQ 18: Earthquake. (Many houses of the common people were destroyed.) 1821—Daoguang 1: The five planets joined together like pearls on a string. 1832—DG 12: Great flood in autumn. (Tunli village in the southern suburbs of the city was rather severely damaged. Heavy snow in winter.) 1835—DG 15: Sand storm arising in all the four directions. 1837—DG 17.6: (At the Hexiang Pavilion south of the city wall two lotus blossoms opened from one stalk.) 1843—DG 23.6: (At the Hexiang Pavilion two lotus blossoms opened from one stalk.) 1845—DG 25.6.1: Heavenly drums were heard during the night. A big meteorite fell down from the northeast in a southwesterly direction. 1853—Xianfeng 3.1.19: At the hour of yin [i.e., 3:00 to 5:00 in the morning] heaven was red like blood. In the sixth month in summer, the bell in the Guandi Temple in Nanliang Village rang without being hit. That day at noon, there was a great thundershower and the river suddenly rose. In the eighth month in autumn, the rebels from Yue (i.e., the Taipings) plundered Pingyang. They attacked the prefectural city and threatened Xiangling. Only when the Fen River suddenly rose several feet did the bandits leave. 1856—XF 6: Earthquake in winter (three or four times a day). 1863—Tongzhi 2: The peach and the plum had a second blossoming. 1864—TZ 3.8: Bright halos on both sides of the sun. 1867—TZ 6, during the summer months: (The bell in the Guandi Temple in Nanliang village rang without being hit. In the eleventh winter month, the Nian rebels invaded the county and plundered the villages.) 1868—TZ 7: Plentiful wheat harvest in summer. In autumn and winter wolves attacked people. 1871—TZ 10, summer: There was double-eared wheat.

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1877—Guangxu 3: Great drought. Failure of winter wheat harvest and no crops in autumn. The price of rice and wheat was more than three liang per dou. People were starving and lacked food. The bark of trees and the roots of wild herbs were nearly all stripped off and dug out. There even were people who ate dry earth. The corpses of those who starved to death filled the fields and the streets. People ate each other. Governor Zeng received an imperial edict ordering the distribution of relief and the remission of the second land-tax rate of that year. 1878—GX 4: Great epidemic in spring. There were even more deaths among the people. No wheat in summer and again a crop failure in autumn. A gracious proclamation was received from the emperor granting total exemption from land taxes and extending relief to the calamity-stricken people. 1879—GX 5: Field mice devoured the autumn crops. An imperial edict was received ordering the remission of the second land-tax rate of that year. In winter, wolves attacked people. 1880—GX 6: Plentiful wheat harvest. Crop failure in autumn. NOTES I wish to thank Mark Elvin and Rudolf Wagner, who kindly read an earlier version of this chapter, for their comments and guidance, as well as Patricia C. Sutcliffe for her excellent editorial work. 1. Deng Yunte, Zhongguo jiu huang shi [The History of Famine Relief in China] (Beijing: Shangwu yinshuguan, 1937); Walter H. Mallory, China: Land of Famine (New York: American Geographical Society, 1926; rpt. Freeport, N.Y.: Books for Libraries Press, 1972). 2. Deng, Zhongguo jiu huang shi, 2–9. 3. After the Tangshan Earthquake: How the Chinese People Overcame a Major Natural Disaster (Beijing: Foreign Languages Press, 1976). 4. Deng, Zhongguo jiu huang shi, 273, quoting the Lü shi chunqiu (a work dating from the early second century BC). 5. Xunzi (a work dating from the third century BC), juan (chapter, henceforth j.) 27, quoted in Dong Wei, Jiu huang huo min shu [Writings on Rescuing the People from Famine], j.1: 1 (Congshu jicheng edition [Shanghai, 1936]), the first extant manual on famine relief policies dating from the Song dynasty (960–1279). 6. See Deng, Zhongguo jiu huang shi, 273. 7. Gongsun Hong (200–121 BC), quoted in Dong, Jiu huang huo min shu, j.1: 1. 8. Li Wenhai et al. reviewed a large number of documents on disasters from 1840 to 1919 and found averages of fifteen recorded disasters per year in the 1840s, sixteen per year in the 1870s, and nineteen per year in the first

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decade of the twentieth century. These figures give no indication, however, of the severity or scope of the calamities. See Li Wenhai et al., eds., Jindai Zhongguo zaihuang jinian [A Chronological Record of Disasters in Modern China] (Changsha: Hunan jiaoyu chubanshe, 1990). 9. On the possible implications of this drought for the Boxer Uprising, see Paul Cohen, History in Three Keys: The Boxers as Event, Experience, and Myth (New York: Columbia University Press, 1997), pt. 2. For a slightly different view, see Mark Elvin, “Mandarins and Millenarians: Reflections on the Boxer Uprising of 1899–1900,” in Another History: Essays on China from a European Perspective, Mark Elvin, ed. (Broadway, NSW: Wild Peony, 1996), 197–226. 10. Li et al., eds., Jindai Zhongguo zaihuang jinian, 349–64. 11. See Pierre-Étienne Will, Bureaucracy and Famine in Eighteenth-Century China, trans. Elborg Forster (Stanford, Calif.: Stanford University Press, 1990), 7–17. 12. See, e.g., Elvin, “Mandarins and Millenarians.” Elvin mentions regular seasonal migration from the flooded plains in Shandong. 13. Mark Elvin has suggested that the lack of environmental buffers was, by that time, “to some extent counterbalanced by increased technological ingenuity and improved market networks” (“The Environmental Legacy of Imperial China,” China Quarterly 156 [December 1998]: 733–56, esp. 737). 14. Li Wenhai, e.g., considers research on historical famines that started in the 1980s a way to overcome the “crisis of the historical sciences.” See Li Wenhai, “Jindai Zhongguo zaihuang shi yanjiu” [Research on the History of Disasters in Modern China], Zhongguo renmin daxue xuebao 6 (1988): 84–91. 15. Historical disaster research is also a hot topic among Chinese dissident intellectuals. See Zheng Yi, Zhongguo zhi huimie: Zhongguo shengtai bengkui jinji baogao [China’s Extermination: An Urgent Report on China’s Ecological Collapse] (Hong Kong: Mingjing chubanshe, 2001). 16. Will, Bureaucracy and Famine. This is an English translation and revised edition of the original Bureaucratie et famine en Chine au 18e siècle (Paris: École des hautes études en sciences sociales, 1980). 17. P.-E. Will and R. Bin Wong, Nourish the People: The State Civilian Granary System in China, 1650–1850 (Ann Arbor: Center for Chinese Studies, University of Michigan, 1991). 18. Lillian Li and David Kelley, “Workshop on Food and Famine in Chinese History,” Chinese Republican Studies Newsletter 6, no. 1 (1980): 1–6; appeared also in Ch’ing-shih wen-t’i 4, no. 4 (1980): 90–100. Lillian Li, “Introduction: Food, Famine, and the Chinese State,” Journal of Asian Studies 41, no. 4 (1982): 687–707, and other articles in the same issue. For an excellent review article, see R. Bin Wong and Peter C. Perdue, “Famine’s Foes in Ch’ing China,” Harvard Journal of Asiatic Studies 43 (June 1983): 291–332. For the time being, Lillian Li’s seminal study Fighting Famine in North China: State, Market, and Environmental Decline, 1690s–1990s (Stanford, Calif.: Stanford University Press, 2007) must be regarded as the final word on this topic.

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19. Jennifer E. Downs, “Famine Policy and Discourses on Famine in Ming China (1368–1644),” Ph.D. diss. (University of Minnesota, 1995); Joanna F. Handlin Smith, “Chinese Philanthropy as Seen Through a Case of Famine Relief in the 1640s,” in Philanthropy in the World’s Traditions, Warren F. Ilchman, Stanley Katz, and Edward L. Queen II, eds. (Bloomington: Indiana University Press, 1998), 133–68. 20. Among the first publications that could build on earlier work was a collection of yearly charts of flood and drought compiled by the Research Institute of the Central Meteorological Bureau: Zhongguo jin wubai nian han lao fenbu tu ji [Yearly Charts of Dryness/Wetness in China for the Last Fivehundred-year Period], Zhongyang qixiangju qixiang kexue yanjiuyuan (Beijing: Ditu chubanshe, 1981), based on data culled from local gazetteers, in general from the “records of auspicious and inauspicious events.” 21. One could also read this concern as a form of legitimation of historical disaster research. Actually, the memory of the Great Famine of 1876–1879 had already been refreshed during the famine in 1960–1961 when a document depicting the cruelest aspects of the former crisis was published in the newspaper of the party youth organization. This publication insinuated that the current hardships were nothing compared to the unspeakable suffering of people in the “old society.” See Zheng Guoqing, “Yi pian beiwen—Dingchou dahuang ji” [A Stone Inscription—A Record of the Great Famine of 1877/1878], Zhongguo Qingnian 5/6 (1961): 33. 22. Li Wenhai, Zhou Yuan, Zaihuang yu jijin, 1840–1919 [Disasters and Famine] (Beijing: Gaodeng jiaoyu chubanshe, 1991). 23. Li et al., eds., Jindai Zhongguo zaihuang jinian, preface by Dai Yi, and introduction by Li Wenhai, 8. 24. See, e.g., Li Wenhai, “Qingmo zaihuang yu Xinhai geming” [The Famines in the Late Qing Period and the 1911 Revolution], Lishi yanjiu [Historical Research], no. 5 (1991): 3–18, and his “Jiawu zhanzheng yu zaihuang” [The Sino-Japanese War of 1894–1895 and Famine], Lishi yanjiu, no. 6 (1994): 7–16. 25. Some of these include Li Xiangjun, Qingdai huangzheng yanjiu [Research in Famine Relief Policies of the Qing Dynasty] (Beijing: Zhongguo nongye chubanshe, 1995); Zhongguo lidai ziran zaihai ji lidai shengshi nongye zhengce ziliao [Materials on Agricultural Policies During Times of Natural Disasters and Prosperity Through the Dynasties] (Beijing: Nongye chubanshe, 1988), and Li et al., eds., Jindai Zhongguo zaihuang jinian and the sequel compilation (xuji) covering the years 1919 to 1949 published in 1993. Some of the regional studies published in the early 1990s also comprise compilations of historical materials rather than interpretive histories. See, e.g., Liang Biqi and Ye Jinzhao, Guangdong de ziran zaihai [Natural Disasters in Guangdong] (Guangzhou: Guangdong renmin chubanshe, 1993); Yuan Lin, Xibei zaihuang shi [The History of Disasters in the Northwest] (Lanzhou: Gansu renmin chubanshe, 1994). 26. Richard Bohr, Famine and the Missionary: Timothy Richard as Relief Administrator and Advocate of National Reform (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard

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University Press, 1972); He Hanwei, Guangxu chunian (1876–79) Huabei de da hanzai [The Great Drought in North China in the First Years of the Guangxu Reign] (Hong Kong: Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1980). 27. See the numerous publications by Li Wenhai, Xia Mingfang, and others in Qingshi yanjiu [Studies in Qing History] in the 1990s. 28. Demography and social history, on the one hand, and the reformatory potential of disasters, on the other, are also the main issues in research on the famine of the Great Leap Forward period. See Dali L. Yang, Calamity and Reform in China: State, Rural Society, and Institutional Change since the Great Leap Famine (Stanford, Calif.: Stanford University Press, 1996); Penny Kane, Famine in China, 1959–61: Demographic and Social Implications (New York: St. Martin’s Press, 1988). 29. Fudan daxue lishi dili yanjiu zhongxin, ed., Ziran zaihai yu Zhongguo shehui lishi jiegou [Natural Disasters and the Structure of Chinese Social History] (Shanghai: Fudan daxue chubanshe, 2001); Ge Jianxiong et al., eds., Zhongguo renkou shi [Studies in Chinese Population History] (Shanghai: Fudan daxue chubanshe, 2000). 30. Kathryn Edgerton, “Semiotics of Starvation in Late Qing China: Cultural Responses to the ‘Incredible Famine of 1876–1879,’” Ph.D. diss. (Indiana University, 2002). This study has now been published as Tears from Iron: Cultural Responses to Famine in Nineteenth-Century China (Berkeley: University of California Press, 2008). 31. Xiangling xian zhi [Gazetteer of Xiangling County], 1881, j. 22:1a. 32. On cannibalism as a trope, see also Edgerton, “Semiotics of Starvation,” 206–44. 33. Xiangling xian zhi, 1881, j. 22. 34. For an elaboration of this argument, which entirely reflects the official perspective, see my “Wei Huabei jihuang zuo zheng: Jiedu Xiangling xianzhi ‘zhenwu’ juan” [Documenting the North China Famine: An Interpretive Reading of the Chapter on ‘Relief Affairs’ in the Local Gazetteer of Xiangling County], in Li Wenhai, Xia Mingfang, eds., Tian you xiongnian: Qingdai zaihuang yu Zhongguo shehui [Years of Disaster: Famine and Chinese Society in the Qing Dynasty] (Beijing: Sanlian shudian, 2007), 479–508. 35. See Will and Wong, Nourish the People. 36. See Silas H. L. Wu, Communication and Imperial Control in China: Evolution of the Palace Memorial System, 1693–1735 (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 1970). 37. Shanxi tongzhi [General Gazetteer of Shanxi Province], j. 82: “Huangzheng ji” [Record of Famine-relief Policies] (1892, rpt. Beijing: Zhonghua shuju, 1990), 12:5613–76. 38. Shanxi tongzhi, 12:5615. 39. Shanxi tongzhi, 12:5623. 40. Shanxi tongzhi, 12:5615. 41. Xiangling xian zhi, 1881, j. 22. 42. Hongtong xian zhi [Gazetteer of Hongtong County], 1917 (based on a draft of 1882), j. 18.

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43. Fushan xian zhi [Gazetteer of Fushan County], 1880, j. 31. 44. Yicheng xian zhi [Gazetteer of Yicheng County], 1881, j. 16. 45. Shanxi tongzhi, 12:5657, 5659. 46. Edgerton, “Semiotics of Starvation,” ch. 4. 47. T’ung-tsu Ch’ü observed that the percentage of tax reduction was raised from 10–30 percent to 10–70 percent after the Kangxi period (1662–1722); see Local Government in China Under the Ch’ing (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 1962), 307n126. 48. Shanxi tongzhi, 12:5658. 49. Shanxi tongzhi, 12:5639. This figure is based on population registers compiled after the famine. It is impossible to determine how many people had left the province, how many actually starved, and how many died of malnutrition and disease. 50. Alexander Williamson, Joseph Edkins, and E. C. Oxenham, Journeys in North China, Manchuria, and Eastern Mongolia; with some Account of Corea (London: Smith, Elder & Co., 1870), 161. Nevertheless, it should be noted that the southern part of the province was clearly poorer and in 1870 still showed signs of destruction by the Taiping rebels. 51. Western accounts also tend to emphasize the superiority of the Western approach, whereas official Chinese accounts usually ignore foreign involvement in relief work. The mention of Western contributions in the Shanxi tongzhi and Rev. David Hill’s remark on local squeezing cited below (note 56) are rare exceptions. 52. Xiangling xian zhi, 1881, j. 23. For a more detailed analysis of this text, see my “Wei Huabei jihuang zuo zheng.” 53. This approach often resulted in the distribution of rations far too meager to ensure survival; it was decidedly different from missionary relief, which generally distributed relief to smaller groups that could then actually get enough to survive. 54. “Xiangling xian cheng bao zhenwu bing” [Report on Relief Affairs Presented by the Magistrate of Xiangling], Xiangling xian zhi, j. 23:11b, 14b. 55. The detail of these data is striking: thirty-nine villages (i.e., nearly onequarter of the entire number, one hundred fifty-nine) were said to be able to continue giving relief until the end of the twelfth or eleventh month, eightytwo until the tenth month, and thirty-eight (again about one-quarter) until the ninth month. “Xiangling xian cheng bao zhenwu bing” [Report on Relief Affairs Presented by the Magistrate of Xiangling], Xiangling xian zhi, j. 23:11b. 56. This squeezing of the “strong middle households,” as the magistrate called them in his report, led to the deadly circumstance that these were even worse off than those originally classified as poor when the drought continued in its third year: they had exhausted their own reserves by then and were not entitled to government relief, however meager it may have been. Edgerton aptly describes this dilemma in “Semiotics of Starvation,” 177–81. 57. He Hanwei, Guangxu chunian, 125, based on data from the gazetteer. 58. China Famine Relief Committee, Report of the Committee of the China Famine Relief Fund (Shanghai: American Presbyterian Mission Press, 1879), 94.

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59. See preface to the Shanxi tongzhi, 1:32. 60. “Xiangyi” [Record of Auspicious and Inauspicious Portents], in Fenxi xian zhi [Fenxi County Gazetteer], 1881, j. 7:12b. 61. Fenxi xian zhi, j. 7:12b. 62. Fenxi xian zhi, j. 4:13b–15a. 63. “Yu Zhongde xuan liang” [Yu Zhongde Hanging Himself], Fenxi wenshi ziliao [Materials on the History of Fenxi] 1 (1988): 109–10. 64. See the account in the Fenxi wenshi ziliao. 65. The people’s belief that the imperial government sincerely did all it could to help the starving people during the famine of the early years of the Guangxu reign persists among villagers in southern Shanxi even today (Edgerton, “Semiotics of Starvation,” 191). 66. Shanxi tongzhi, 12:5663. 67. Shanxi tongzhi, 12:5636–37, 5659. 68. Mary B. Rankin first described the mobilization of new social forces through the press during the Great North China Famine in her study Elite Activism and Political Transformation in China: Zhejiang Province 1865–1911 (Stanford, Calif.: Stanford University Press, 1986), 156. 69. Richard’s heart-rending “famine diary” documenting his journey through the famine districts in southern Shanxi was published in the North China Herald, March 21, 1878, 296–98. Its publication was vital to expanding the scope of the campaign. 70. The Times, February 15, 1878, emphasis added. 71. When subscriptions were closed late in 1878, a sum of more than two hundred thousand Tls altogether had been collected by the China Famine Relief Fund. Major sums came from Great Britain and Australia, from Shanghai, Hong Kong, Foochow, Canton, and Amoy, from Yokohama, Tokyo, and Kobe; minor sums from America, India, Singapore, and other Chinese cities, most of them treaty ports. At roughly the same time, a much higher sum was collected in Britain for the relief of a severe famine in India (Report of the Committee of the China Famine Relief Fund, 29–30). 72. This assumption was refuted in the article, “Lun Zeng bofu yong Li jiaoshi xiangti Jin-sheng zhenwu” [On Governor Zeng [Guoquan] Employing the Missionary Timothy Richard In Order to Support Relief Affairs in Shanxi Province], Shenbao, January 19, 1878. 73. See articles published in Shenbao on March 11, April 15, and July 4, 1874. 74. “Relief for work” was the method the British papers praised as the ultimate solution to the problem of famine, yet it was not entirely new to the Chinese. British relief policy in India, including the “relief for work” programs, seems to have been founded on rather simplistic assumptions of human behavior and market mechanisms that served the colonial power rather than the Indian population. David Hall-Matthews severely criticized this policy in his article, “Historical Roots of Famine Relief Paradigms: Ideas on Dependency and Free Trade in India in the 1870s,” Disasters 20, no. 3 (1996): 216–30.

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75. The Committee of the China Famine Relief Fund, ed., The Famine in China: Illustrations by a Native Artist (London: Kegan Paul, 1878), 10, citing the Spectator, emphasis added. 76. See Timo Myllyntaus, “Summer Frost: Hazard with Fatal Consequences in Pre-Industrial Finland,” chapter 3 in this volume, esp. 78. 77. “The Deterioration of the Soil in Asia,” The North China Herald (Shanghai), June 23, 1877. 78. The Times, March 30, 1878, emphasis added. 79. David Arnold formulated it this way: “The use of famine in China and India to demonstrate European superiority over man and nature was itself only part of the changing significance famine held for the Western world” (Famine: Social Crisis and Historical Change [Oxford: Basil Blackwell, 1988], 135). 80. See Helen Dunstan, Conflicting Counsels to Confuse the Age: A Documentary Study of Political Economy in Qing China (1644–1840) (Ann Arbor: Center for Chinese Studies, University of Michigan, 1996), for translations of selections of these statecraft writings. 81. Pan Shaoan’s famine diary, published in the Shenbao in June 1878 and vaguely reminiscent of Richard’s famine diary, gives by far the most attention to the slave trade with women and children. “Yu xing riji” [Diary of a Trip Through Henan], Shenbao, June 27, 1878. 82. The most detailed study of these is Zhu Hu, Difangxing liudong ji qi chaoyue: Wan-Qing yizhen yu jindai Zhongguo de xinchen daixie [Local Mobility and Beyond: Private Relief in the Late Qing Period and the Transformation of Modern China] (Beijing: Zhongguo renmin daxue chubanshe, 2006). 83. To be sure, it is very difficult to determine the effectiveness and faithfulness with which the funds were used on both sides with precision. 84. For details, see my “Sowing Happiness: Spiritual Competition in Famine Relief Activities in Late-Nineteenth-Century China,” Minsu quyi [Journal of Chinese Ritual, Theatre, and Folklore] 143 (March 2004): 89–118, esp. 101ff. 85. A “new” collection of statecraft writings, the Huangchao jingshiwen xinbian (Shanghai, 1898) compiled by Mai Zhonghua, lacks the category huangzheng (relief policies), which was one of the main foci of earlier collections. This also shows that the focus of activities had shifted from the economic to the political sphere. 86. “Yu Xi-you lun zhen” [Discussion with a Western Friend on the Question of Relief], Shenbao, October 22, 1889. 87. Buliumingren [The Man Who Did Not Leave Behind His Name], “Zhenjuan moyi” [Views on Relief Contributions], Shenbao, November 6, 1889. 88. The classic study on international relief during the Republican period is Andrew J. Nathan, A History of the China International Famine Relief Commission (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 1965). 89. See Christian Pfister, “Learning from Nature-induced Disasters: Theoretical Considerations and Case Studies from Western Europe,” chapter 1 in this volume. 90. See Pfister, “Learning from Nature-Induced Disasters,” 24ff.

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91. This is a part of juan (chapter) 22 of the Xiangling xian zhi [Xiangling County Gazetteer] printed in 1881. The record begins with the Ming Dynasty (1368–1644). My translation here gives only the part on the Qing Dynasty (1644–1911). The passages in parentheses were added in the original as explanatory notes to the main entries. The entries are arranged chronologically, according to the reigns, which are abbreviated here except at the first occurrence (“SZ” is “Shunzhi,” “KX” is “Kangxi,” etc.). Dates are given in the Chinese order; e.g., KX 29.9.25. “KX 29” is short for “in the twenty-ninth year of the Kangxi reign,” and “9.25” indicates “the twenty-fifth day of the ninth month” according to the Chinese calendar. 92. Yao Shan-yu, “Flood and Drought Data in the T’u-shu chi-ch’eng and the Ch’ing Shih Kao,” Harvard Journal of Asiatic Studies 8, no. 2 (1944–1945): 214–26. 93. This seems to refer to a disease of the eyes. 94. The abbreviation run4 refers to an intercalary fourth month.

10

Cultures of Disaster, Cultures of Coping Hazard as a Frequent Life Experience in the Philippines Greg Bankoff

A society’s past accommodation and constant exposure to threat is crucial to the generation of its historical development and present culture, especially in the case of states like the Philippines, which are geographically located in hazard-prone areas.1 In fact, the history of the archipelago is largely shaped by the interrelationship of the natural with the human, of the physical with the social. Susanna Hoffman and Anthony Oliver-Smith refer to this interaction between humans and their environment as “mutuality” and argue that where it is lacking, disasters are more likely to occur.2 As Susan Stonich so aptly phrases it, there is a need to “balance the cultural/social construction of nature with a meaningful consideration (and analysis) of the natural construction of the cultural and social.”3 For Filipinos, hazard and disaster are simply accepted aspects of daily life, what can be termed a frequent life experience. That is to say, disaster should be perceived not as an abnormal occurrence, as it is usually depicted through the epistemological lens of the Western social sciences, but as a normal, everyday event.4 It is so ordinary that Filipino cultures are partly the product of adaptation by communities to these phenomena through processes that permit the incorporation of threat into daily life, or what can be called the “normalization of threat.” Specifically, this chapter traces the historical evolution of how both society at the national level and communities at the local level have sought to cope with repeated hazards and the disasters those hazards spawn.5

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CULTURES OF DISASTER: SOCIETY AND NATURAL HAZARD The evidence that this common experience of disaster, this normalization of threat, may have been a significant factor influencing the development of cultures in the Philippines is expressed in a number of disparate ways on the societal or macro level. It is there in the historical record, in the design and construction of buildings, in the agricultural system, in the continual relocation of settlements, and in patterns of migration. Many of these features are themselves coping practices that have evolved in order to permit society to come to terms with the chronic threat of hazard and to mitigate the worst effects of disaster. Others are more strategies for dealing with the emotional and psychological requirements of living with uncertainty and may influence generally accepted character traits and beliefs. Whether such practices constitute a coherent body of local knowledge, separate from and in contrast to the notion of a “universal” and Western-scientific system, is a matter of considerable debate.6 They do, however, represent a distinctive pattern of activity and behavior among Filipinos, despite obvious cultural differences between ethnic communities, to that premised upon the assumptions of loss-avoidance so much favored by Western social science; they also raise important questions about previous interpretations of many cultural forms and traits and about the validity of the methodologies that produced those interpretations. Historical Adaptation The historical record provides evidence of cultural adaptation to the constancy of environmental threat that most readily conforms to accepted notions of substantiation. In particular, architecture offers a unique means of examining the human-environment interchange. The forms that structures took and the method and materials of their construction are indicative of the degree to which known seismic and meteorological hazards were considered or whether the building proceeded largely according to external codes of competency and functionality. The simple nipa palm and bamboo hut, in all its local manifestations, represents just such a case. This type of dwelling quite clearly serves as a much more suitable basis from which to develop construction techniques appropriate to local conditions. It has also proven extraordinarily resilient in historical terms despite its repeated vilification by successive colonial and national governments, who have alternately branded it as “primitive,” a “fire-hazard,” or a “squatter settlement,” banishing or removing it whenever possible. These

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indigenous architectural forms are often closely adapted to environmental conditions. Thus traditional house styles in the Batanes have low ceilings, which make such homes less vulnerable to damage from the typhoons that frequently occur in those northerly islands.7 The Spanish also initially built their cities and their numerous churches largely of wood, but fire was so constant a hazard and the necessity of rebuilding structures in its aftermath so persistent that the colonizers began to construct their houses of stone and tile regardless of the new dangers such materials exposed them to from earthquakes.8 Built on the wealth generated by early seventeenth-century galleon trade across the Pacific, the city of Manila was constructed in the style and manner of Hispanic cities everywhere and reduced to ruins by the devastating earthquake of November 30, 1645. Subsequent colonial architecture lost much of its grace of line and form along with its lavish disregard for seismic activity. The use of extensive buttresses, massive structures, and the squat bell towers found in provincial churches, especially in the Ilocos, were designed to minimize such damages. The style even became known, rather suggestively, as “earthquake baroque.”9 Domestic architecture, too, underwent a similar radical transformation. Fixed foundational posts gave way to the greater use of bamboo and of other techniques designed to increase flexibility and to accommodate a certain amount of earth movement. Solid upper stories were replaced by ones constructed of lighter materials. In fact, the style usually referred to as “Spanish” was in reality more of a syncretic adaptation of Hispanic and indigenous building techniques. Hazard has also influenced local agricultural systems, whose practices demand reevaluation not in the terms of efficiency and yield by which they are usually assessed but by their efficacy in reducing crop loss and their relative success in preventing famine. Crop diversification as an adaptive strategy is a common feature of traditional farming methods and a means of providing access to a secure food source in times of climatic adversity.10 The case of the Ivatan also raises some intriguing questions about the way in which “outside experts” may need to revise their notions of minifundia, or land fragmentation, in developing societies. Held to be the unfortunate consequence of equal inheritance among siblings, the division of land among all heirs is generally regarded as an almost feudal relic of an unreformed land system that restricts output, hinders economies of scale, and obstructs the efficient deployment of labor. On the contrary, land fragmentation in the Batanes is regarded as an important practice for ensuring food security. Planting in widely scattered parcels minimizes the likelihood that an entire harvest may be lost to hazard.11 In societies exposed

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to the constant threat of hazard, such farming strategies make good sense from the perspective of local farmers who are mainly engaged in minimizing risk rather than maximizing surplus.12 Unfortunately, the increased commercialization of agriculture and the reliance on cash crops and concomitant debt relations have adversely affected these types of adaptive strategies.13 A final response to hazard when other adaptive strategies have failed has been for the survivors of such communities to migrate and resettle in safer locations. The people of Lipa, for example, abandoned their town on the shore of Lake Taal in 1756 and moved inland. Similarly, survivors from the town of Guinobatan, which was destroyed by the eruption of Mt. Mayon in 1814, moved first to Mauraro and then to Panganiran.14 Other ethnographic literature reports resettlement and migration as strategies adopted by communities in order to minimize risks or reduce mounting losses.15 In particular, James Spillus notes how, historically, migration was one of the principal ways in which inhabitants of Tikopia, a small island in the Solomons, responded to typhoons.16 Migration was also common among Filipinos affected by the 1991 eruption of Mount Pinatubo, some of whom went overseas as contract workers.17 Emotional and Psychological Adaptation The strategies adopted by communities to reduce the impact of hazard or avoid the occurrence of disasters are known as coping practices and are based on the assumption that what has happened in the past is likely to happen again according to a familiar pattern. People’s earlier actions, therefore, constitute a reasonable framework for guidance during repeated events.18 In the Philippines, migration and relocation can be regarded as preventative coping practices in that they attempt to prevent the same set of circumstances from recurring; architectural syncretism and agricultural procedures, on the other hand, are impactminimizing practices in that they seek to limit losses and facilitate recovery. But one can also define coping practices on the macro level as cognitive or behavioral responses designed to reduce or eliminate psychological distress.19 The sheer frequency and magnitude of hazards to which all Filipinos are exposed led the anthropologist F. Landa Jocano to identify various cultural practices that he believes evolved to help Filipinos cope with living under constant threat and which are shared throughout the archipelago by peoples of all ethnic origins.20 Principal among these are the characteristics often conveyed in the Tagalog expression bahala na, which is usually, if somewhat

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erroneously, translated as “fatalism.” While the vernacular term does signify a degree of resignation to fate, it also reflects a sense of risk-taking. Bahala na also implies courage and daring and a finely calculated assessment of the odds.21 At its most extreme, it communicates the feeling that life is essentially a game of chance or one colossal gamble. In behavioral terms, bahala na is as much an active calculation of the odds as it is a passive acceptance of one’s fate. Nor is it without an element of faith—faith in the efficacy of prayer and in the intercession of divine protection. The importance of prayer and ritual as practices for propitiating angry deities and rendering an environment safe has been noted in other cultures.22 Cynthia Bautista comments on the fervor with which local people around Concepcion resorted to both Christian prayer and the shamanistic rituals of local espiritistas to strengthen the village’s defenses and protect themselves from the lahars in the wake of Mt. Pinatubo’s eruptions in the years following 1991.23 In the final analysis, however, if it is your fate, then bahala na—that is what is going to happen despite human or divine intervention. Most survivors of the 1991 Ormoc flashflood attributed the tragedy both directly and indirectly to supernatural causes.24 All in all, concludes Jocano, the perception of destiny as expressed in the concept of bahala na provides a “formidable armor against the suffering brought by disasters.”25 Another core Filipino value identified by Jocano as a culturally specific coping practice is bayanihan, or toiling on someone else’s behalf and assuming another’s burdens. The meaning behind the concept is definitely more complex than mere “unity” or “togetherness” and implies shared identity and common association. Though the emphasis is subtly different in each case, bayanihan carries many of the same connotations as other terms often used interchangeably to describe this aspect of character, such as pakikipagkapwa and pakikisama. Pakikipagkapwa connotes “being one with the other or others,” while pakikisama conveys more the notion of sanction against breaking ranks with the group.26 These concepts all attempt to express a sense of community, often defined in operational terms as neighborhoods, that guarantees support for its members especially during times of personal travail or common hardship.27 Households and neighborhoods in northern Luzon responded to the Baguio earthquake of 1990 by operating communal kitchens, providing housing for the homeless, and organizing a transportation pool.28 Volunteer and rescue teams converged from all over the nation to assist in rescue-and-recovery operations, and substantial amounts of food and other supplies were donated to help feed and shelter the survivors.29 Self-generated com-

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munity action in the form of sandbagging and dike maintenance was also observed among the tenant farmers menaced by lahar following the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo in 1991.30 The degree of interdependence, the need for cooperation and for constructing strong social support networks are important coping practices in cultures faced by continual environmental uncertainty.31 The final characteristic identified by Jocano was the particular sense of humor shared by many Filipinos and their ability to laugh in the face of even the worst calamity or disaster. Certainly, the opportunities for graft provided by the relief and rehabilitation works undertaken in the years after the Pinatubo eruption provided the basis for much merriment. Jokes were made based on the derivation of the volcano’s name: wags made much of the root tubo, meaning “to profit,” renaming the mountain Pinagtubuan, or “something from which profit has been derived.”32 Jocano explains this trait as a means of spreading pain or embarrassment in society, “so much so that when people laugh at a person who slips and falls, the victim usually laughs too.”33 Storytelling and swapping jokes with friends was perceived as an important means of dealing with angst, relieving stress, and overcoming anguish among the survivors of the Ormoc flood.34 Reports of the aftermath of the Mayon eruption of June 23, 1897, describe how survivors were heard to tell jokes while collecting the grotesquely disfigured bodies of the dead, comparing the separation of body and soul to a “slow” husband being left by his “fast” wife, or the remains of a dead coconut farmer to the oil he used to make: “They told all sorts of jokes and so instead of being sad while gathering the dead, they were all laughing. The pain in their hearts was great but the jokes were comparable to the water that extinguishes a fire. The jokes were made to defend one from getting weak, and so to be able to go on gathering the dead without shedding too many tears.”35 There is also evidence that such strategies were adopted historically as a means of incorporating episodes of great loss into a community’s collective memory in such a way that they were rendered more manageable on an individual human scale. Miguel Selga notes how disasters were often identified by the names of religious celebrations on or near the date of their occurrence. Thus the earthquake that devastated Manila on the feast of St. Andrew in 1645, in which more than six hundred people perished, was widely known as El Temblor de San Andrés.36 While the influence of views that interpret the forces of nature as at the command of a vengeful divinity should not be overstated, the ideas and values that underlie such a cultural conception pervade the very fabric of national life. The fickleness of a hazardous world, the

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unpredictability of disaster, and the random chance that determines survival or death give rise to what in Tagalog is called nasisiraan ng ulo, the fear of losing control over one’s life and of one’s destiny, perhaps even over one’s mind. Lourdes Ignacio described the psychological state of the disaster survivors she studied as exhibiting a “sense of unstable instability.”37 A similar set of anxieties has been observed in other cultures where it has been portrayed as a debilitating dependency syndrome or classified clinically as post-traumatic stress disorder.38 In the Philippines, however, this individual state of mind can coalesce into apparent outbreaks of mass hysteria, during which public concern over something that may be fact or may be pure fiction can manifest in sudden displays of frantic behavior by large numbers of people.39 While none of these attributes are in themselves peculiar to Filipino cultures, their particular configuration is indicative of a shared outlook found among the various ethnic groups who inhabit the archipelago. Certainly Alfredo Lagmay, emeritus professor of psychology at the University of the Philippines, contends that the environment has been influential in shaping society. He argues that living with the constant threat of disaster, confronting the loss of home and community, facing starvation and sickness, enduring displacement and resettlement, and often experiencing even the destruction of one’s social support system and cultural network has had a pathological effect on residents of these islands. “There is a primitivization of impulse,” he writes. “And children can feel the very severe stress. They have no vocabulary for this, but they have a continuous sense of anxiety, a fear of the unpredictable.” However, Filipinos learn to confront these apprehensions, to become psychologically ascendant, and to not be mastered by events, a trait recognized by the national hero Jose Rizal when he compared the character of a Filipino to the nature of bamboo, bending with the wind but bouncing back.40

CULTURES OF COPING: COMMUNITIES AND NATURAL HAZARD The inability of all levels of government to adequately address the problems that arise and the limitation of technology to solve what are increasingly complex issues leaves communities to their own devices to deal with the hazards that daily confront them. Most vulnerable are the poor, who possess little in the way of resources apart from an ability to organize themselves and a long-standing practice of mutual reliance. In contrast to a scholarly literature that regards the forma-

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tion of nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) as a largely modern phenomenon,41 there is a long history in the Philippines of formal and informal associations that are committed to individual and extrafamilial welfare and that enhance local people’s capacity to withstand daily misfortune and natural hazard.42 Many of these developments have gone largely unnoticed. Seeking to uncover single-purpose associations in relation to community welfare according to their own criteria of what such associations should comprise, Western social scientists have often failed to recognize the existence of multipurpose organizations that fulfill many of the same functions. Associations and Rural Communities Prior to 1898 The first evidence of mutual-aid associations are the religious fraternities known as cofradías that date from at least 1594. The religious orders promoted the establishment of these lay organizations as part of a program to deepen converts’ faith and to foster a sense of Christian community.43 While these groups were primarily religious, they also performed important charitable functions: caring for the sick and dying, providing funds in the case of illness and bereavement, and enjoining their affiliates “to aid the unfortunate and needy people in general.”44 More than just a means of expressing religious faith, these cofradías acted as mutual support-and-benefit associations on behalf of their members in times of misfortune or distress. Less formal but more prevalent than the cofradías was the manner in which extrafamilial work was organized, which had its roots in customary practice at the village level. In many cases this was simply voluntary labor rendered by all able members of a community for public improvements, or entire communities might work together till all the houses in a new or relocated barrio had been built. Alternatively, it could be a reciprocal exchange of labor between family members or a small group of neighbors. All across the archipelago, cooperative noncommercial arrangements existed that were designed to efficiently mobilize labor in areas where workers were either unavailable for hire or where money was lacking to pay them. Such arrangements were more common in newly settled areas, and aid was rendered in the expectation that it would be returned in kind.45 Need or sometimes lot determined the order in which help was received; the notion of succession suggested by the Tagalog term turnuhan derived from the Spanish word turno, meaning “a turn.” An intriguing question is the temporal origin of these organizations. Those on Palawan were said to have been in existence “since

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time immemorial.” Associations on Bohol could be traced back before 1870 and “possibly some have been in existence for an even longer period.” The ones in Antique were credited as the means by which roads, bridges, and churches were constructed “in Spanish times.”46 All this evidence suggests forms of civil society that existed from at least the nineteenth century and quite probably from much earlier. Mary Hollnsteiner argues that such cooperative arrangements were first noted by Spanish missionaries and credits Father Francisco Colin with describing them as early as 1663.47 There is also evidence that this form of community labor was resorted to in confronting natural hazards. In his report, Harvey Hostetter observed the custom of building a special house that “might be occupied by anyone whose residence would be destroyed by a typhoon.”48 An account written in Ilocos Norte recounts how after “a furious typhoon . . . the destroyed houses . . . were rebuilt quickly as soon as the storm was over because the owners could help each other by turn in spite of their lack of funds.”49 The communal construction of dams to protect communities from floods was apparently standard practice in Antique.50 In Batangas, community help might be organized by a popular or influential person as a charity measure to help some individual or family that had suffered loss through “flood, fire, or some similar disaster.”51 The purpose of cooperatives on Bohol was to assist people with burials, implying a distinctive affinity with the cofradías.52 In fact, the question of possible overlap between local religious associations and turnuhans is suggestive, especially given the Spanish predilection to look more favorably on organizations connected with the church. Local people neither expected nor saw any necessity for such associations to profess a single purpose. They could easily serve as both expressions of solidarity through faith and mechanisms of mutual assistance in time of distress. In Filipino cultures one rarely finds rigid epistemological divisions between the spiritual and the material constructions of nature.53 Decolonization and Recolonization, 1899–1945 The close link between the ideational and the practical was very much a feature of the organizations more popularly associated with the revolutionary period and the early years of U.S. colonial administration. The Katipunan, the secret society that instigated the revolt of 1896 against the Spanish was also a multipurpose organization, being simultaneously a mutual-aid association, a religious brotherhood, and a political group.54 As such, it had much in common with other mutualaid societies, many of which were also secretive, quasimilitary orga-

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nizations characterized by elaborate rituals.55 Moreover, the emphasis on mutual assistance and cooperative venture remained an important element of more “modern” organizations such as trade unions.56 The new colonial authorities, however, were determined to instill the virtues of Jeffersonian democracy in the peoples of this far-flung outpost of empire, and they enacted a Rural Credit Law in 1915 to organize small farmers into self-help cooperatives. Yet a report compiled in 1918 documented a remarkable number of what the Americans termed “recreative and civic associations.” No fewer than 575 clubs and 561 civic associations already existed, with a combined membership of 250,753 persons.57 A much more likely explanation than the benefits of American colonialism for this sudden blossoming in recreational interest is that existing mutual-benefit associations were able to obtain official approval under such a rubric to facilitate their activities. More success can be attributed to the Americans’ attempt to create agricultural credit cooperatives. There were 547 associations in 42 provinces as of December 31, 1923.58 Again, the question remains whether such rural credit associations were altogether new or were superimposed on an existing network of mutual-benefit organizations such as the turnuhans. Apart from these organizations, reciprocal exchanges of a more informal nature continued to be practiced in rural areas throughout the latter years of American administration and were variously recorded in the historical data papers that President Elpidio Quirino ordered compiled in the early 1950s. Farmers from as far afield as Sorsogon to Pampanga adhered to various practices that involved contributing labor for the benefit of others or for the community at large.59 “It is a custom of the people,” reports the local authority on Polangui, Albay, “that when a certain family plans to build a house, they . . . but only pass a word to their neighbors. . . . On that day everybody in the neighborhood offers his helping hands.”60 There is also evidence that clubs and associations already mentioned in the 1918 survey continued to flourish as secularly incorporated societies in the decades immediately preceding World War II.61 In particular, the role and function of local parent-teacher associations (PTAs) need further elaboration, as these became the most visible community organizations after their foundation in 1926.62 Though the ostensible focus of their activities was schools, the practice of locating other community services, such as clinics, at these sites and of allocating communal resources for the support of these services inevitably expanded PTAs’ local influence.63 Much as earlier village organizations had cloaked their activities in a religious guise as cofradías under Spanish colonialism, so now they sought official approval as PTAs given the emphasis placed by American authorities on educational attainments.

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As conditions in rural areas began to deteriorate during the 1920s and 1930s, especially in the densely populated regions of central and southern Luzon, organizations that complemented their social activities with more overtly political aims began to appear, such as the Tagulan Katipunan Pambangsa, a farmer’s organization that recruited residents of the barrios in Pampanga and elsewhere in surrounding areas.64 The Kapatiran Magasasaka farmers’ brotherhood, a militant antilandlord peasant union in central Luzon, shared many of the features common to mutual-aid societies but also reorganized reciprocal farm labor on a morally uplifting and more militarized basis.65 Though mutual assistance and millenarianism remained significant aspects of these movements, many rural associations fell under communist or socialist influence. As misfortune and mishap increasingly came to be seen as having their roots in human activity as much as in natural causes, so mutual assistance in the face of disaster took on more political overtones. The hardships posed by the Japanese Occupation (1942–1945) and its aftermath only further encouraged communities to help themselves. Organizations similar to the one known as Kalaoman in Polangui were established with the express aims of promoting cooperation within communities and encouraging the spread of modern agricultural techniques.66 Nationhood and the Rise of NGOs The period immediately following independence was largely dominated by events connected to the outbreak of a large-scale peasant rebellion in central Luzon known as the Huk Rebellion and the military operations involved in its suppression from 1946–1954.67 The new emphasis placed on rural development by the national government and the Catholic Church as part of a counterinsurgency strategy to thwart the spread of communist influence led to policies aimed at decentralizing government and promoting grassroots cooperative organizations. At the village level, though, formal and informal associations continued to provide communities with their only reliable form of protection against hazards and dealing with misfortunes. Fieldwork studies conducted in the 1950s and 1960s show the presence of reciprocal arrangements based on an exchange of labor or for mutual advantage. Henry Lewis points to the continued importance of zangjeras, or cooperative irrigation societies, in the Ilocos. One such group still had an agreement written in Spanish that claimed to be a copy of the “original” 1793 constitution, remarkable since none of the members could read or write in that language.68 The existence of less

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formally organized types of contractual labor was also observed by Donn Hart in the Visayas, where it was known as bolhon, and by Mary Hollnsteiner in Bulacan.69 In other parts of Luzon small neighborhood associations called puroks were responsible for overall municipal improvements.70 Many of their activities were accomplished in cooperation with local PTAs.71 In more remote areas, access roads and public buildings were also constructed through similar means, with municipal authorities sometimes setting aside funds for the purchase of materials and loaning equipment as their contribution.72 Equally interesting is the existence of rotating credit associations, especially in the Ilocos. The essential features of these savings associations, or ammong, are payment of fixed sums at given intervals and a rotational assignment of collections from and payments to members.73 Similar forms of enforced savings were observed in Leyte, where they were known as bu-bu-ay.74 Lewis also notes the existence of other organizations associated with social as opposed to financial savings. In these arayats, whose members are exclusively female, payments are in food rather than money.75 There is also evidence that money or goods traded in this manner are “often loaned to needy members.”76 Outside observers have attributed only limited value to the operation of such organizations and have tended to consider their spread as due to the failure of local government, which forced people to assume its “normal functions.”77 Such views reflect the lack of any appreciation of the role such organizations traditionally play in local communities. As certain newly radicalized sectors of the population organized to oppose the dictatorship of Ferdinand Marcos in the early 1970s, the first progressive or development-oriented NGOs emerged among Roman Catholic churchworkers, the union movement, and urban middle-class intellectuals. NGOs later formed outside of churchsponsored programs with a focus on education, health care, civil and political rights, and a commitment to funding grassroots organizations. The growing visibility of their activities, however, is deceptive in that attention has recently centered on NGOs rather than the communitybased associations on whose behalf they ostensibly operate. While a distinction is made between NGOs and people’s organizations (POs), the latter are often relegated to a more passive and supportive capacity. Two types of POs have been identified: POs that are either initiated or managed by the government and those that are genuinely autonomous.78 Associations in this latter category, now often referred to as samahans, are the modern descendants of the cofradías, turnuhans, early unions, civic clubs, and PTAs of former years. In the context of

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this argument, it is equally possible that POs represent yet another manifestation of the long tradition of community-based mutualassistance associations that first surfaced in a religious guise, then in an educational form, and now seek endorsement and support as part of a wider political movement linked to NGOs. The restoration of democratic government in 1986 led to an explosion in the number of NGOs, one fueled in part by the huge amounts of foreign aid that flowed into the country to fund reconstruction and to stabilize democratic institutions.79 By the mid-1990s there were estimated to be more than fifty thousand NGOs and POs.80 If the relationship between NGOs and POs creates a degree of ambiguity between the two, the growing significance of community-based disaster management in recent years reaffirms both the essential nature and form that mutual assistance has usually taken in communities faced with misfortune and hazard. The first NGO dedicated specifically to disaster preparedness and relief operations was the Citizens’ Disaster Response Center, established in 1984 in Manila. This organization and others like it employ an approach known as citizenry-based development-oriented disaster response (CBDO-DR). The distinguishing features of CBDO-DR are an emphasis on participatory processes in disaster management, capability-building among the people, addressing the root causes of vulnerability, and mobilizing the lessvulnerable sectors in support of those in need.81 Research carried out by Emmanuel Luna on the origins of NGO involvement in disaster management reveals the dynamics of how such organizations integrate mitigation and preparedness into their existing operations.82

CONCLUSIONS The hazards that beset the Philippines engender both cultures of disaster and cultures of coping: societies that are shaped by the interrelation of environment and extreme natural phenomena, and communities whose vulnerability fosters particular forms of resilience in the face of adversity and misfortune. It is this two-way process at the level of the macro and the micro that lends such distinctiveness to the peoples of the archipelago and has proven so integral to the formation of their character as individuals and as collectives. The resultant cultures also change over time, experiencing a slow gestation that is neither linear nor cyclical but much more an ad hoc evolution based on past events and improvisation, and typically exhibiting a sophisticated relationship between use of the physical environment and modest but painstaking

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steps to mitigate anticipated dangers.83 That is, they are borne out of disaster itself. The realization that both vulnerability and resilience to hazards are important agents in cultural formation calls for a reconsideration of the role such disturbances may actually play in society.84 As the Philippine experience shows, both society and community have been strongly influenced by the frequency and magnitude of natural hazards and the disasters they give rise to over time. At the national level, the evidence of this impact is historically visible in the forms of architecture, agriculture, and migration as practiced across cultures in the archipelago. Perhaps its role can even be discerned in the course and outcome of political events, although its effects would require more detailed studies to establish conclusively.85 Nor is the Filipino character free from the sway of disasters. The national traits that are often represented by a propensity to take calculated risks, share one another’s travails, and face danger with a sense of humor can also be at least partly attributable to a life lived under the constant threat of hazard. Filipino social psychologists go so far as to compare the harshness of life in the islands to burden-bearing, pagdadala; all have burdens to carry, but for some the load is heavier. Filipinos have had to learn how to pack their burdens correctly so as to bear its weight more lightly (magaan tayong magdala).86 At the community level, hazard as a frequent life experience manifests itself in a history of formal and informal associations committed to individual and community welfare that stretches as far back in time as the earliest written record. Cofradías, turnuhans, credit associations, civic clubs, PTAs, and even labor unions have much in common with contemporary samahans and POs. Moreover, the evident limitations of state intervention through inefficiencies of organization, corruption, and lack of resources has increasingly led its agencies to adopt (and attempt to appropriate) the rhetoric and form of local organizations to their own purposes. There is a growing convergence of shared perceptual and cultural terms that stress mutual assistance and community togetherness. A fuller appreciation of this cultural perception of disaster may prove important in explaining both the nature of the difficulties encountered and the frequent failures of even the best-intentioned agencies engaged in disaster preparedness and mitigation projects.87 While the specific ways in which disasters and people interrelate as described in this chapter may be unique to the Philippines and have only marginal relevance to other cultures, recognition of this connection has important ramifications. It affects not only how disasters are perceived but also the manner in which they should be approached or “managed.” Appreciating that there are both cultures of disaster

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and cultures of coping in all societies fosters an understanding of such events in terms of people’s vulnerabilities and their capacities to withstand them through the strengthening of existing community resources. The emphasis is less on the importance of technology as providing the only or principal means of dealing with hazards and more on enlisting people’s participation as an essential element in disaster management through the formation or support of grassroots organizations. Such an approach, moreover, contributes to a wider perspective on the root causes of people’s vulnerabilities and the structures or conditions that generate them. Perhaps even more significantly, it suggests that developed countries in the West may have as much to learn about disaster preparedness, management, and recovery from non-Western developing countries as the latter do from the former.

NOTES 1. According to the Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters, which has compiled one of the most comprehensive databases on the occurrence of extreme events in the world since 1900, the Philippines experiences more such events than any other country; see “EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database” at www.em-dat.net/disasters/list.php. 2. Susanna Hoffman and Anthony Oliver-Smith, “Anthropology and the Angry Earth: An Overview” in Anthony Oliver-Smith and Susanna Hoffman, eds., The Angry Earth: Disaster in Anthropological Perspectives (New York and London: Routledge, 1999), 6. 3. Susan Stonich, “Comments” [on Arturo Escobar, “After Nature: Steps to an Antiessentialist Political Ecology”], Current Anthropology 40, no. 1 (1999): 23–24. 4. Greg Bankoff, Cultures of Disaster: Society and Natural Hazard in the Philippines (London: RoutledgeCurzon, 2003), 179–83. 5. The material in this chapter represents a synthesis of my present research on disasters in the Philippines and is largely drawn from Bankoff, Cultures of Disaster, and Greg Bankoff, “The Dangers to Going It Alone: Social Capital and the Origins of Community Resilience in the Philippines,” Continuity and Change 22, no. 2 (2007): 327–55. A condensed version of this paper was published as Greg Bankoff, “Living with Risk, Coping with Disasters: Hazard as a Frequent Life Experience in the Philippines,” Education About Asia 12, no. 2 (2007): 26–29. 6. Kees Jansen, Political Ecology, Mountain Agriculture, and Knowledge in Honduras (Amsterdam: Thela, 1998), 171–78. 7. Raymundus Blolong, “The Ivatan Cultural Adaptation to Typhoons: A Portrait of a Self-Reliant Community from the Indigenous Perspective,” Aghamato 8 (1996): 13–24, esp. 21.

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8. Juan de Medina, “History of the Augustinian Order in the Filipinas Islands 1630,” in The Philippine Islands, 1493–1803: Explorations by Early Navigators, Descriptions of the Islands and Their Peoples, Their History and Records of the Catholic Missions, As Related in Contemporaneous Books and Manuscripts, Showing the Political, Economic, Commercial and Religious Conditions of Those Islands From Their Earliest Relations with European Nations to the Beginning of the Nineteenth Century, ed. and trans. Emma Helen Blair and James Alexander Robertson, fifty-five vols. (Cleveland, Ohio: A. H. Clark Co., 1903–1909), 24:240–42, 278. 9. Giovanni Rantucci, Geological Disasters in the Philippines: The July 1990 Earthquake and the June 1991 Eruption of Mount Pinatubo (Rome: Italian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, 1994), 64. 10. Alberto Lim, “Role of Private Companies in Disaster Mitigation,” in Natural Disaster Mitigation in the Philippines: Proceedings of National Conference on Natural Disaster Mitigation 19–21 October 1994 (Quezon City: Department of Science and Technology; Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology, 1994), 257. 11. Blolong, “Ivatan,” 17. 12. James C. Scott, The Moral Economy of the Peasant: Rebellion and Subsistence in Southeast Asia (New Haven, Conn.: Yale University Press, 1976). 13. David Alexander, “The Study of Natural Disasters, 1977–97: Some Reflections on a Changing Field of Knowledge,” Disasters 21, no. 4 (1997): 284–304, esp. 299. 14. ”La Erupción del Mayon en 1814 y el Traslado de Algunos Pueblos de la de Iraya,” Archive of the Manila Observatory, Box 13–2/4. 15. William Torry, “Natural Disasters, Social Structure and Change in Traditional Societies,” Journal of Asian and African Studies 3/4 (1978): 167–83, esp. 177–78. 16. James Spillus, “Natural Disasters and Political Crisis in a Polynesian Society,” Human Relations 10 (1957): 3–27, 113–24. 17. R. Mula, Coping with Mother Nature: Household’s Livelihood Security and Coping Strategies in a Situation of a Continuing Disaster in Tarlac, Philippines (Wageningen: n.p., 1999), 126–30. 18. Piers Blaikie, Terry Cannon, Ian Davis, and Ben Wisner, At Risk: Natural Hazards, People’s Vulnerability, and Disasters (London and New York: Routledge, 1994), 64. 19. J. Fleishman, “Personality Characteristics and Coping Patterns,” Journal of Health and Social Behaviour 25 (1984): 229–44. 20. A. Robles, “National Trauma: Prone to Calamity, Filipinos May Have Developed Their Own Coping Mechanisms,” Manila Chronicle, August 3, 1991. 21. F. Landa Jocano, Working With Filipinos: A Cross-Cultural Encounter (Manila: PUNLAD Research House, 1999), 70. 22. Torry, “Natural Disasters,” 177–78. 23. Cynthia Bautista, “Social Constructions of the Mt. Pinatubo Disaster: Preliminary Insights into the Culture and Politics of Disaster in the Philippines,” paper presented at Wageningen University (2000).

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24. Patricia Alix, “Ormoc Revisited: Initial and Long term Stress Reactions and Coping Responses of Disaster Victims,” Aghamato 8 (1996): 25–44, esp. 29–30. 25. Robles, “National Trauma,” 6. 26. Jocano, “Working With Filipinos,” 66. 27. F. Landa Jocano, Growing Up in a Philippine Barrio (New York: Holt, Rinehart and Winston, 1969), 96–98; and F. Landa Jocano, Slums as a Way of Life: A Study of Coping Behaviour in an Urban Environment (Quezon City: University of the Philippines Press, 1975), 166–87. 28. R. Cola, “The Needs of Children Following a Disaster: The 1990 Earthquake in the Philippines,” Disasters 17 (1993): 248–54, esp. 250–53. 29. F. Barros, P. Peralta and R. Chizaldo, “Disaster Preparedness Plan: Conquering Nature’s Tantrum,” New Chronicle, April 26, 1991. 30. Bautista, “Social Constructions.” 31. Blaikie et al., At Risk, 67. 32. Kelvin Rodolfo, Pinatubo and the Politics of Lahar: Eruption and Aftermath (Quezon City: University of the Philippines Press and Pinatubo Studies Program, 1995), 88. 33. Robles, “National Trauma,” 6. 34. Alix, “Ormoc Revisited,” 39–40. 35. “News About Mayong, the Volcano of Albay, 1897,” PHIVOLCS Library M036: 8. 36. Miguel Selga, “La Cronología Popular en la Designación de Temporales y Terremotos,” Urania 28, no. 206 (1938): 65–68; and 207 (1938): 73–76, esp. 66, 74. 37. Lourdes Ignacio, “From Victims to Survivors: The Basic Psycho-Social Issue in Disaster,” in Natural Disaster Mitigation in the Philippines: Proceedings of National Conference on Natural Disaster Mitigation, 19–21 October 1994 (Quezon City: Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology, 1994). 38. See Paschais Laksono, “Perception of Volcanic Hazards: Villages Versus Government Officials in Central Java,” in Michael Dove, ed., The Real and Imagined Role of Culture in Development: Case Studies from Indonesia (Honolulu: University of Hawaii Press, 1988), 192; Anthony Oliver-Smith, The Martyred City: Death and Rebirth in the Peruvian Andes (Prospect Heights, Ill.: Waveland Press, 1992); and Peter Hodgkinson and Michael Stewart, Coping with Catastrophe: A Handbook of Disaster Management (London and New York: Routledge, 1991), 18–21. 39. “Accounts of the Eruption of Various Volcanoes,” Archive of the Manila Observatory Box 13–8. 40. Robles, “National Trauma,” 6. 41. K. Constantino-David, “Intra-Civil Society Relations: An Overview,” in Miriam Coronel Ferrer, ed., Civil Society Making Civil Society (Quezon City: Third World Studies Center, 1997), 26–27; and Emmanuel M. Luna, “Disaster Mitigation and Preparedness: The Case of NGOs in the Philippines,” Disasters 25, no. 3 (2001): 216–26, esp. 216. 42. Greg Bankoff, “The Dangers to Going It Alone.”

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43. Mary Caridad Barrion, Religious Life of the Laity in Eighteenth-Century Philippines: As Reflected in the Decrees of the Council of Manila of 1771 and Synod of Calasiao of 1773 (Manila: University of Santo Tomas Press, 1961); Setsuho Ikehata, “Popular Catholicism in Nineteenth-Century Philippines: The Case of the Cofradía de San José,” in Reading Southeast Asia: Translation of Contemporary Japanese Scholarship on Southeast Asia, Cornell University Southeast Asia Program, ed. (Ithaca, N.Y.: Southeast Asia Program, Cornell University, 1990), 111–12. 44. “Estatutos que Observa los Hermanos y Hermanas de la Cofradía de Smo. Niño Jesús,” Archive of the Archdiocese of Manila 40.A.1. Folder 8, Ternate 1866; “Estatutos de la Cofradía de Jesús Nazareno,” Archive of the Archdiocese of Manila 40.A.1. Folder 9, Cofradías 1891–1897; “Articles of Incorporation of ‘The Crusade,’” Archive of the Archdiocese of Manila 40.A.1. Folder 11, Cofradías 1914–1935. 45. Julian C. Balmaceda, “‘Turnuhan’ as Practised in Various Provinces,” Philippine Agricultural Review 20, no. 4 (1927): 381–421, esp. 405. 46. Balmaceda, “‘Turnuhan,’” 386, 394, 408. 47. Mary Hollnsteiner, “Reciprocity in the Lowland Philippines,” in Frank Lynch, ed., Four Readings on Philippine Values (Quezon City: Ateneo de Manila University Press, 1969), 28. 48. Balmaceda, “‘Turnuhan,’” 387. 49. Balmaceda, “‘Turnuhan,’” 401. 50. Balmaceda, “‘Turnuhan,’” 386. 51. Balmaceda, “‘Turnuhan,’” 389–90. 52. Balmaceda, “‘Turnuhan,’” 394. 53. Greg Bankoff, “In the Eye of the Storm: The Social Construction of the Forces of Nature and the Climatic and Seismic Construction of God in the Philippines,” Journal of Southeast Asian Studies 21 (2004): 91–111. 54. On the role of the Katipunan, see Rey Ileto, Pasyon and Revolution: Popular Movements in the Philippines, 1840–1910 (Quezon City: Ateneo de Manila University Press, 1979). 55. David Wurfel, “Trade Union Development and Labor Relations Policy in the Philippines,” Industrial and Labor Relations Review 12, no. 4 (1959): 582–608, esp. 584. 56. Evidence of a mutual-aid association dates from 1851 among shipyard workers at Cavite, where the first recorded strike occurred in 1872; see Ildefonso Runes, “Toward a Militant Trade Unionism,” Philippine Journal of Industrial Relations 5, nos. 1/2 (1983): 65–76, esp. 66–67. Worker associations existed in the late nineteenth century based on craftsmen’s affiliations with a particular shop or neighborhood. The first attempts at organizing a trade-union movement occurred in 1902 with the creation of the Uníon Obrera Democrática. 57. Census of the Philippine Islands taken under the direction of the Philippine Legislature in the year 1918, four vols. in six (Manila: Bureau of Printing, 1920–1921), vol. 4, pt. 1, 16, 37 58. Julian C. Balmaceda, Agricultural Credit Cooperative Associations in the Philippines (Manila: Bureau of Printing, 1924), 18–19.

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59. “Historical Sketch of the Town of Polangui, Santicon,” Historical Data Papers Albay officially reel 3 (reel 1), 266 and “History and Cultural Life of the Municipalities of Minalin, Pampanga, Sitio Maniango,” Historical Data Papers Pampanga officially reel 52 (reel 36), 27. 60. “Historical Sketch of the Town of Polangui, Santa Cruz, Tradition, Customs and Practices in Domestic and Social Life,” Historical Data Papers Albay officially reel 3 (reel 1), 141. 61. “History and Cultural Life of the Municipalities of Minalin, Pampanga, Barrio of Santa Rita,” Historical Data Papers Pampanga officially reel 52 (reel 36), 75. 62. Generosa F. Rivera and Robert T. McMillan, The Rural Philippines (Manila: Office of Information, Mutual Security Agency, 1952), 167. 63. “Historical Sketch of the Town of Polangui, La Purisima,” Historical Data Papers Albay officially reel 3 (reel 1), 257 and “History and Cultural Life of the Town of San Simon, Pampanga, Barrio dela Paz,” Historical Data Papers Pampanga officially reel 52 (reel 36). 64. “Historical Data of the Town of San Fernando, Pampanga, Barrio of Baliti,” Historical Data Papers Pampanga officially reel 52 (reel 36), 29. 65. Michael Connolly, Church Lands and Peasant Unrest in the Philippines: Agrarian Conflicts in Twentieth-Century Luzon (Quezon City: Ateneo de Manila University Press, 1992), 94–96. 66. “Historical Sketch of the Town of Polangui, La Purisima.” 67. The full name for the Huk movement was the Hukbong Mapagpalaya ng Bayan or the People’s Army of Liberation; for more on this event, see Benedict Kerkvliet, The Huk Rebellion: A Study of Peasant Revolt in the Philippines (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1977). 68. Henry T. Lewis, Ilocano Rice Farmers: A Comparative Study of Two Philippine Barrios (Honolulu: University of Hawaii Press, 1971), 128–38. 69. Donn Vorhis Hart, The Philippine Plaza Complex: A Focal Point in Culture Change (New Haven, Conn.: Yale University, Southeast Asia Studies, 1955), 431–33; and Hollnsteiner, “Reciprocity,” 22–31. 70. Rivera and McMillan, The Rural Philippines. 71. John Romani, “The Philippine Barrio,” The Far Eastern Quarterly 15, no. 2 (1956): 229–37, esp. 235. 72. John Romani and M. Ladd Thomas, A Survey of Local Government in the Philippines (Manila: Institute of Public Administration, University of the Philippines, 1954), 132–33. 73. Lewis, Ilocano Rice Framers, 147–49. 74. A. Pal, “A Philippine Barrio: A Study of Social Organizations in Relation to Planned Cultural Change,” University of Manila Journal of East Asiatic Studies 5, no. 4 (1956): 333–473, esp. 408. 75. Lewis, Ilocano Rice Framers, 149–50. 76. Rivera and McMillan, The Rural Philippines, 168. 77. Romani, “The Philippine Barrio,” 235–36. 78. Constantino-David, “Intra-Civil Society Relations,” 24–25. 79. As a percentage of GNP, Official Development Assistance reached

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levels of between 2.3 and 3.3 percent over the period 1986–1992; see Gerard Clarke, The Politics of NGOs in South-east Asia: Participation and Protest in the Philippines (London and New York: Routledge, 1998), 71. 80. Clarke, The Politics of NGOs in Southeast Asia, 70–71. 81. Zen Delicia, “Sustainable Disaster Reduction: The Effectiveness of the Citizenry-Based Development-Oriented Disaster Response,” MSc. thesis (Oxford: Brookes University, 1997), 34–50; Annelies Heijmans and Lorna Victoria, Citizenry-Based and Development-Oriented Disaster Response: Experiences and Practices in Disaster Management of the Citizens’ Disaster Response Network in the Philippines (Quezon City: Center for Disaster Preparedness, 2001), 13–18. 82. Luna, “Disaster Mitigation,” 219–20. 83. S. Bollens, E. Kaiser, and R. Burby, “Evaluating the Effects of Local Floodplain Management Policies on Property Owner Behavior,” Environmental Management 12 (1988): 311–25. Examples of such relationships can be seen in the Stone Age cultures of the high Andes as well as among farmers in the Bangladesh delta. See Anthony-Oliver Smith, “Traditional Agriculture, Central Places, and Postdisaster Urban Relocation in Peru,” American Ethnologist 4, no. 1 (1977): 102–16; Quazi Shahabuddin and Stuart Mestelman, “Uncertainty and Disaster-Avoidance Behavior in Peasant Farming: Evidence from Bangladesh,” Journal of Development Studies 22, no. 4 (1986): 740–52. 84. David Alexander, Confronting Catastrophe: New Perspectives on Natural Disasters (Oxford and New York: Oxford University Press, 2000), 105–6; Greg Bankoff, “Vulnerability as a Measure of Change in Society,” International Journal of Mass Emergencies and Disasters 21, no. 2 (2003): 5–30. 85. Bankoff, Cultures of Disaster, 59–60. 86. Edwin Decenteceo, Rehab: Psychosocial Rehabilitation for Social Transformation, Some Programs and Concepts (Quezon City: E. T. Decenteceo, 1997), 83–101. 87. Bankoff, “In the Eye of the Storm.”

11

The Paraná River Floods during the Spanish Colonial Period Impact and Responses María del Rosario Prieto

One of the regions of South America most affected by river floods and flooding rains is northeast Argentina, an area that, from a hydrological perspective, forms part of the vast De La Plata River Basin. It includes the provinces of Misiones, Formosa, Chaco, Corrientes, Entre Ríos, and Santa Fe located on both shores of the Paraná River below its confluence with the Paraguay River. Studies of the multiple floods that have occurred in this basin, and especially those of the Paraná River, are of particular interest today: the extraordinary river floods of 1982–1983 spanned several of these provinces, inundating 4,200,000 productive hectares and leading to the evacuation of more than 350,000 people. Throughout the history of this vast region, disasters caused by severe flooding have been recorded. In spite of this, people have continued to inhabit risk zones since the times of the Spanish colony. Residents are unwilling to move to less risky sites because the floodplains—with their fertile fields for cattle ranching and agriculture, ready water supply, and waterways suitable for communication and transport—hold great appeal. Thus, since 1992, numerous studies have appeared, especially whenever exceptional floods have occurred, which describe their causes and consequences, as well as investigate ways to diminish their devastating effects on a highly vulnerable population. One of the most important of these studies is “Flooding in Greater Resistencia (Chaco Province, Argentina) 1982–1983,” which examines

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the social and economic consequences of floods in the Argentine littoral and the actions of political powers that have had to deal with them.1 In another, Elvira Gentile, connecting data from the natural sciences and insights from the social sciences, analyzes the disaster risk in northeast Argentina, taking as a base the floods of 1982–1983 and 1991–1992.2 Gentile concludes that the great vulnerability observed in these cases was attributable to the degradation of the watersoil-vegetation system resulting from poor management of renewable natural resources. These studies do not, however, just lay blame; they also offer hope. By increasing our knowledge of the recurrence of exceptional river floods and flooding rains in specific regions in the past and raising awareness of their dangerous consequences, such studies can help to prevent this type of catastrophe by providing regional authorities with historical insights, especially important in view of the population’s persistence in inhabiting risk zones. Despite the importance that other countries accord to historical studies of floods, works of this kind are rare in Argentina. The most relevant studies, which go back only to the nineteenth century, tend to focus on the province of Buenos Aires because of its economic and political preeminence.3 It must be clarified that the extraordinary river floods in the sixteenth, seventeenth, and eighteenth centuries are not comparable to those of the present day, especially with respect to the loss of human life and property. The earlier floods, while devastating, impacted only small towns and their immediate vicinities, whereas river floods of the present usually cause widespread damage. Nonetheless, the study of the magnitude and recurrence of floods in the colonial period, as well as of their impact and the strategies employed to survive them, can deepen our understanding of the phenomenon in this region. Although few, there are several important antecedents for studies of this type. Prieto and Richard, for example, investigate historic floods in the extensive De La Plata River Basin; while principally concerned with climatic and hydrological reconstruction, they do briefly explore the socioeconomic consequences of the great floods in the colonial era.4 In a more recent study, Herrera et al. research the floods of the Dulce River in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries in the Argentine Chaco from a strictly hydrological perspective.5 Prior to this, Dussel and Herrera studied the floods and changes in the course of the Salado River during the eighteenth century, but their focus was on the social and economic consequences for natives and Europeans settled along its banks.6 Considering the insufficient number of historical studies from this perspective on the area known as the Argentine littoral, this chapter

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aims to identify the most relevant floods of the Paraná River in the De La Plata River Basin between the sixteenth and eighteenth centuries in archival documents. It explores the material, economic, social, and sanitation-related consequences for the local Spanish and native populations. I especially emphasize the strategies both Spanish and indigenous people developed to address and resolve the problems these floods presented. For this analysis I consulted documents from two cities in the area that are not only the oldest but historically the most affected by recurrent flooding: Santa Fe and Corrientes, both founded on the banks of the Paraná River during the sixteenth century. This sector of the river begins where it meets the Paraguay River, its principal tributary, at latitude 27º30’S, and terminates at the latitude of the city of Rosario, 31ºS (figure 11.1). The Paraná River reaches its peak volume in the summer (from December to March) and in autumn (from March to June), when tropical rains swell the upper basin (Meseta de Mato Grosso in Brazil). Its volume is lowest in winter (from June to September). Big floods occur (1) when the volume of the tributaries increases due to greater

Figure11.1: Map Showing Confluence of Paraná, Paraguay, and Uruguay Rivers

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precipitation in the area, and (2) when regional rains further increase the river’s volume. Precipitation diminishes from east to west. From the climatic point of view, this sector of the river is located on the transitional fringe between the isohyets of one thousand millimeters to the east and seven hundred millimeters to the west. Rainfall is heaviest in autumn and summer, coinciding with the river’s increased volume.

DOCUMENTARY SOURCES Although documentary information from the Hispanic period in Latin America is valuable and abundant, it presents many gaps. This deficiency is related to characteristics of the Spanish exploration, conquest, and colonization of the territory, which occurred in various stages throughout the sixteenth century. In southern South America, the conquest began simultaneously in the areas of the De La Plata River (1536) and Peru (1532–1535), continuing somewhat later in Chile (1545). For a short period, the city of Asunción in Paraguay constituted the only settlement in the region. In 1573, Santa Fe was founded, followed by Buenos Aires and Corrientes in 1580 and 1588, respectively. Information in the historical documents of the Spanish administration in Spanish America enables us to reconstruct the relationship between climatic and hydrologic phenomena in the region, as well as social and economic ones. For this study I consulted documents from Spanish archives, including the Archivo General de Indias, Sevilla (General Archive of the Indies, Seville, hereafter cited as AGI), and from the archives of the provinces of Santa Fe (Actas del Cabildo de la Ciudad de Santa Fe, hereafter cited as ACSF) and Corrientes (Actas Capitulares de Corrientes, hereafter cited as ACC). These latter contain invaluable testimony, above all that of the chapter minutes (actas capitulares). These generally “high-resolution” climatic sources—the written records of the weekly meetings of the city council (cabildo) of each Spanish-American city—reflect the political, social, economic, agricultural, and climatic events of the corresponding interval. Climatic events that adversely affected the economy were documented, whereas floods that did not directly impact the scattered settlements established in the region often went unrecorded. Thus it is possible that many river floods remained unknown if they occurred far from urban centers.7 Other significant sources include the annual reports by priests of diverse religious orders (Franciscans, Seraphics, Jesuits) that entered

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the area to evangelize the indigenous people. These documents describe the climate and geography, as well as the culture and adaptive strategies of the natives, of each area they visited. Noteworthy among these are the annual letters (cartas anuas) of the Jesuits, annual reports on the activity of the order that began in the first years of the seventeenth century,8 as well as the Jesuit Papers (Papeles de los Jesuitas) housed in diverse archives in Spain and Argentina. These comprise a whole that includes manuscripts describing the vegetation, fauna, and regional hydrology, minutely detailed diaries of incursions into unexplored zones, and reports specifically associated with the priests’ evangelical mission.

THE GREAT FLOODS OF THE PARANÁ RIVER IN THE SEVENTEENTH AND EIGHTEENTH CENTURIES I managed to obtain a total of twenty-eight records of large or extraordinary floods from the documents from the cities of Corrientes and Santa Fe between 1598 (first data) and 1800. While it is quite likely that some floods passed unremarked, the number of those that were effectively recorded in the region over this two-hundred-year period is considerable, suggesting that catastrophes were relatively frequent. The wettest decades during this period were 1680–1710, 1740–1770, and 1790–1810.9 I do not intend to describe each of the events that took place during these two centuries here but rather to discuss the most relevant ones, especially those that caused significant material and economic damage. The analysis begins with the abundant documentation related to Don Pedro de Mendoza’s expedition and the first founding of Buenos Aires in 1536, and from subsequent explorations of the Paraná and Paraguay rivers that culminated in the official founding of Asunción in 1541. This area yielded the first record of a large flood. Having occurred in February, this flood was classified as normal, although its characteristics render it exceptional. Fernández de Oviedo relates that when Domingo de Irala was waiting for Ayolas on the Paraná River (1537), “the river began to rise and the Indians went inland on account of the waters, and with them went the Christians in the brigantines, navigating among palm tree groves and trees because the interior was becoming covered with water.”10 Specific information about the Middle Paraná begins with the establishment of the cities of Santa Fe and Corrientes. The chapter

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minutes of both cities provide testimony about the river floods and their consequences almost from the first moment of their foundation at the end of the sixteenth century. From the seventeenth century on, knowledge of the territory was much greater due to the advance and strengthening of the occupation. The Jesuits of the Guaraní Missions began to disseminate news of their progress, especially through the cartas anuas. These documents point to several catastrophic floods over the course of the seventeenth century. In 1620 and 1621 the settlements of Christianized Indians, the reducciones, situated on the shores of the upper Paraná, experienced a food shortage, or “lack of sustenance,” brought on by “the many waters.”11 In Corrientes, this happened in 1621 as well. In 1636, too, heavy rains produced floods in Itatín and Jesús María. In 1644 the same Jesuits described a flood in the Corrientes area, and more precisely in the area between this city and Santa Fe: “[S]o great were the waters that flooded those fields that for many months they prevented commerce or communication between them.”12 Coincidentally, there were also floods that year in Paraguay (Asunción and Villa Rica), in which “the whole dominion was a sea of water.”13 In 1649 the inhabitants of Santa Fe decided to relocate that city to its current site due to the extraordinary floods that affected the original settlement in Cayastá. The eighteenth century began with great rains that caused the volume of the rivers to increase. The year 1703 witnessed an extraordinary “furious” flood in Encarnación de Itapúa on the Paraí-guazú River. After several normal years, 1722–1725 marked a period of excessive wetness in every territory considered here. It culminated in November and December 1725, when strong storms precipitated floods in the Paraná: “The Paraná was very rough . . . there were a lot of southeast windstorms . . . the Paraná overflowed . . . it had been very restless, with such waves that it seemed like the ocean . . . on account of a southeaster that rose up.”14 This occurred on a smaller scale in the middle Paraná between 1729 and 1731. Sources suggest that the Paraná River “inundated the whole countryside” around the city of Corrientes in January 1745, and that an “extraordinary flood of the Paraná” occurred in December 1746 that may have lasted until 1748, as recorded in the city of Corrientes.15 Toward the end of the eighteenth century, in 1771, 1779, 1785, 1796, and 1800, big river floods and flooding rains were again recorded in Santa Fe, brought on by abundant precipitation in the whole De La Plata Basin. The “continued and frequent rains” destroyed sown fields and cattle and blighted wheat.16

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THE EFFECTS OF FLOODING ON SETTLERS ALONG THE RIVER’S SHORES The effects of river floods and flooding rains on Spaniards and natives occupy a preponderant place in the documents that I analyzed. In fact, it is possible to evaluate the magnitude of these phenomena from contemporary records of the material and symbolic damage they caused. Cattle production in areas near Spanish cities suffered severe losses, as it still does today. Heavy rains led to flooding of the fields, which reduced grazing sites and brought about the deaths of many cattle by forcing these already-starving animals to expend their dwindling energies in fleeing to higher ground, which was sometimes a great distance away. The exceptional rains and the floods damaged agriculture, too, especially when the water invaded cultivated fields, or excessive wetness during particular periods of the vegetative cycle promoted diseases in the crops. This affected the quality of wheat, but, more important, it considerably diminished the harvests: “much wheat has been lost,” chroniclers wrote in Santa Fe in 1796, “on account of being attacked by blight [polvillo].”17 Father Lozano described this disease as “like a red dust that, being born in the cane, dries it in such a manner that it dries without it being possible to seed the ear of wheat. . . . [Some] . . . attribute it to the excessive wetness.”18 Father Lozano was correct to cite excessive moisture as a catalyst for blight, also called roya. It is a disease caused by a fungal parasite, Puccinia graminis tritici, that flourishes during wet winters and springs.19 The locust was another regional plague frequently correlated with above-average precipitation.20 Some years, millions of locusts would appear, consuming and destroying the crops. They brought desolation and famine in the years following the scourge, as well, due to the lack of seeds for sowing. From 1537, when Domingo Martínez de Irala embarked on his expedition, until 1548, different Spanish explorers traversed the zone and repeatedly referred to locust plagues that devastated the land; they found entire populations moribund from the scarcity of food. In Corrientes, according to the chapter minutes of 1652, God had “seen fit to send . . . locusts and waters in abundance . . . the greatest part of the damage was [to] the wheat and cornfields . . . and it seems [that] the time for sowing is upon us and there are no seeds to sow.”21 In January of 1759, the Spanish king was informed that the region was “currently suffering from locusts and worms that fell, level, and destroy everything.”22 The immediate consequences of these catastrophic episodes were felt in the lack of food, the rise in prices, and widespread famine. The

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inhabitants of Chaco, for example, faced with a great drought, had to resort to such resources as nature provided: “The drought, the lack of grains and meat . . . [were] so extreme that they maintained their natives with hearts of palm.”23 The superior of the Jesuits, writing on the occasion of the 1723 floods of the Paraná River region, attested to these consequences: “[Y]ou have probably received the news of the great calamity that has befallen all these river towns with the heretofore unseen great flooding of towns and sown fields.”24 A prolonged river flood also isolated the nascent South American cities from other urban centers up and down the river and, crucially, reduced commercial exchange. This traffic was vital to the survival of these small European groups because they had so few economic opportunities and sometimes lacked basic necessities. But big river floods also hurt rural commerce. Among the most important livelihoods for inhabitants of Santa Fe was the sale of cattle and mules to the great mining centers of Potosí and Oruro, in present-day Bolivia. Water-covered fields prevented residents from transporting cattle to the consumer centers, and their economy suffered accordingly. A collateral, highly feared effect of the natural extremes was illness and epidemics. To be sure, the majority of epidemics in those centuries afflicted the natives, who were especially susceptible to illnesses brought from Europe, measles and smallpox in particular. Although some authors have tried to connect climatic catastrophes to the occurrence of epidemics, it is impossible to propose a positive correlation in every case. Information is often fragmentary and insufficiently detailed. Moreover, certain infectious diseases entered the area from outside and rapidly diffused into regions that may or may not have previously experienced such disasters. In addition, indigenous people usually panicked in the face of an epidemic and fled the center of infection, spreading the illness to far-flung villages. At the same time, extreme natural events could certainly facilitate epidemics because affected communities were often weakened by famine, as we have seen. Because malnutrition reduced people’s capacity to fight disease, pathologies that under normal circumstances would not have been severe were instead able to thrive—this still happens today among the poor. Illness (plagues or epidemics) and, in many cases, mass fatalities robbed affected communities of the capacity to produce adequate amounts of food, thereby exacerbating the crisis. The chroniclers, however, observed a direct connection between flooding and epidemics. Father Garriga of the Jesuit Order, in a letter about the Mojos Mission, referred to the “usual epidemics of cursos de sangre [dysentery]” that followed an unprecedented flood that “de-

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prived [the local people] of food and much livestock.”25 In the Chaco Austral and Boreal missions, the Jesuits claimed that the flooding of fields in the Tobas region, together with “the sudden occurrence of the plague,” prevented people from being “able to arrive with their families,” events that were “followed by smallpox and pujos de sangre [dysentery].”26 Obviously, the most widespread illnesses, such as dysentery (pujos or cursos de sangre) and malaria (fiebres tercianas), were linked to the wet conditions in the zone and the stagnant waters. Floods, on the other hand, left the population without potable water, causing many people to perish. When river waters “return to their courses . . . after great floods in which they overflowed their shores, extending far inland,” the chronicler M. de Flores wrote, they “drag with them all the rubbish they encounter from birds’ nests, soil beds, an immense portion of animals of all sizes, already dead or drowned in the same flood, and, finally, the fish that the flood had thrown onto land: all these, rotted by the strength of the sun . . . infest the waters.”27 It is undeniable that those principally affected by natural disasters were the indigenous groups incorporated into the dominion of the European conquistadors, be they slaves on the Portuguese haciendas, servants on the Spanish encomiendas (land and inhabitants granted to a conquistador), or Christianized Indians concentrated in the reducciones under the charge of religious orders or the Spanish state itself. The reducciones formed part of a project of sociocultural change that was propagated by the Spanish crown during the sixteenth century, in which it imposed European political, religious, and economic institutions on indigenous groups. The reducciones were designed to control aborigines, recruit their labor, and convert them to the Christian faith. For maximum results, the Indians were forced to abandon their villages and regroup in these settlements so that they would live en policía, according to the European norms. This affected all aspects—material, social, and symbolic—of indigenous culture. Thus concentrated in towns and organized for European economic gain, the aborigines suffered the destructuring of their adaptive system, which had always been linked to nature. They were forced to change both their settlement and subsistence patterns, abandoning fishing, hunting, and the agricultural practice of slash-and-burn in order to adopt European-imposed techniques and animal and vegetable products. Moreover, they lacked immunity to pathogens brought by Europeans. All these factors, together with their confined living space, to some extent condemned the aboriginal communities to death. Faced with an extraordinary flood that destroyed or substantially reduced their crops and animals, the aborigines were ill-equipped to find

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alternative means of survival in the new settlements. So they either fled and took refuge in the jungle, or they died in large numbers from malnutrition and illnesses. Father Betschau described one such distressing situation in the eighteenth century: In these regions we have thirty reducciones or cristiandades, in which last year, 1718, there was a great reduction, due to the terrible plague that left all the Europeans intact, but did away with 17,000 Indians, among whom were 8,000 baptized children. In spite of this, at the beginning of this year, 1719, we counted 107,725 souls, of which another some thousand have already died on account of the persistence of the plague.28

CULTURAL RESPONSES BY INDIGENOUS PEOPLES AND SPANIARDS TO THE FLOODS The subsistence of the natives in the region depended in great measure on the resources the Paraná River provided them. For this reason, their settlements were generally located on riverbanks, and over the centuries they generated strategies that permitted them to adapt to and survive in that climate, including its flooding rains and river floods. Following the seasonal rhythm of the river, indigenous peoples incorporated flooding into their culture and way of life. Considering that the Paraná River flooded twice annually, an exceptional river flood must not have had a greater impact on their lives than the seasonal river floods. Chroniclers and conquistadors from the early period of the conquest frequently noted the behavior of the Tupi-Guaraníes and other ethnic groups in response to a flood. In general, they simply boarded their canoes or wooden rafts with their utensils and household effects and remained in them until the waters went down, living off fish from the river. In 1536, a German navigator described the canoes used by the Indians that inhabited the coasts of the Paraná and Paraguay rivers: “[They are] small boats [barquillas] . . . made from a tree [with] a width of three feet at the bottom and a length of eighty feet. At all times up to sixteen men travel in them . . . and they have oars like those of the fishermen in Germany.”29 In the most voluminous rivers, the rafts had masts, sails, and even a house people could take shelter in if necessary.30 In the summer of 1544, the Spanish explorer Álvar Núñez described this particular adaptive system in detail, as well as the aftermath of the floods:

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the Indians native to the land . . . after going about in the canoes [that] are their houses during [the flooding], and looking for food without being able to jump to land . . . when the waters go down . . . put up their houses once again where they had them before. . . . [T]he land is left infected with pestilence and bad odors and beached fish and with the great heat that makes it very hard to bear.31

Almost two hundred years later, Father Lozano corroborated this adaptive strategy and also recorded another—the construction of platforms in the tallest trees: [T]he natives of the country, principally those on the western shore, whom the annual experiences . . . have made wise, as soon as they feel the signs of [the river’s] fury in the scrub that it brings torn up from its banks, either retire inland or embark with the greatest speed in canoes and rafts that they always have ready, in the mode of portable houses. Others climb the highest trees, whose branches they join together and on which they make their houses, and the people keep food and household effects there until, when the waters return to their normal level, the residents return to their ranches.32

For his part, the Jesuit Dobrizhoffer explained that the Abipones north of Santa Fe used “mats of straw and branches as houses,” a material that could easily be disposed of when floods occurred unexpectedly.33 References have also been found to other types of constructions designed to mitigate the consequences of a large river flood. In an Indian mission near the Paraguay River, the huts of both the natives and the priests stood on pillars about half a yard high, though it is unknown whether the priests introduced this.34 The natives also knew how to use the wet climate to advantage in their long fight against the Spanish. Aware that wet firearms were useless, they attacked them in the rainy season. They also took refuge in the higher islands of the Paraná River, knowing that the Spaniards had to wait until the flood receded to launch raids on them. At the same time, the high water also served as a defense for the Spaniards. When the river got lower, the battles began again. In September 1732, when the water level was low, the Indians killed fourteen Spaniards. Residents categorically refused to leave the city and pursue them because the low water left them feeling defenseless: “they would leave their houses and families at great risk.”35 The Spaniards, in turn, imitated some of the natives’ cultural practices and generated new ones in adapting to the wet climate. The water and floods set the rhythm of daily life for them, just as they did for the natives. Dobrizhoffer commented on the importance the river

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had for the City of Santa Fe: “[I]t is surrounded on every side by rivers that threaten to sink it every time they overflow, as much as it knows how to use them for its benefit outside the moment of flooding.”36 The priest’s words certainly ring true. Although the inhabitants of these small cities lived in constant worry about the floods, their economy and transportation depended on the rivers. One may wonder why the Spanish chose to establish cities on the banks of rivers, cognizant of the risk they ran of being periodically inundated. The “Royal Instructions for the Foundation of Cities” [Instrucciones Reales para la fundación de ciudades] of 1573 partly explain this: they stipulated that urban centers should be near the water regardless of the danger of flooding. In addition, the criteria used to select city sites neither took into account nor recognized the concept of natural risk.37 Nonetheless, the founding charter of some American cities included a clause authorizing a change of site if the chosen one proved unsuitable.

RELOCATING CITIES AS A RESPONSE TO RIVER FLOODS The relocation of cities as a consequence of natural disasters—floods, earthquakes, volcanic eruptions—was frequent in Spanish America during the first centuries of the colonial period.38 In the territory of present-day Argentina, recurrent river floods constituted the principal cause of such relocations. During the final part of the sixteenth century and throughout the seventeenth, flooding in the wet period in northern Argentina gave rise to attempts to relocate some cities, such as Corrientes (1598) and Santiago del Estero (1630). Others cities actually were relocated, such as San Miguel de Tucumán in the northwest in 1678, far from the floods of the Dulce River,39 and the city of Santa Fe, although this latter relocation would take ten years to complete. The original city of Santa Fe, the one called Ciudad Vieja (“Old City”), was founded in 1573. The site was high above the San Javier River with a branch of the Paraná River to the east. From this town, territorial occupation spread outward in the form of ranches and farms where cattle multiplied. The incipient urban nucleus had problems from the beginning because of estuaries and other rivers surrounding it. The San Javier River increased its volume every time the Paraná River rose. The sixteenth century witnessed large river floods in 1590, 1594, and 1598, and the seventeenth in 1636, 1643, 1651, and 1656– 1658. Taking constant beatings from the water, the ravine below the settlement began to erode, causing buildings and temples to collapse.

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Moreover, the periodic floods interrupted overland communication routes. In addition, the site was difficult to defend against the hostility of some of the aborigines in the region, above all the Guaycurúes and the Payaguás. Given these problems, the authorities of the town council finally resolved in 1649 to ask the Spanish crown for permission to relocate the town. Shortly after April 12, 1651, the council established as “the most suitable port for the new settlement,” “the corner of Juan Lencina’s ranch,”40 where the Grande del Salado River empties into the Saladillo River, eighty kilometers to the south. This decision inaugurated a ten-year period of failed or partial attempts to move the city. The whole decade demanded great efforts of the inhabitants who had to sustain both the old and new towns. The council minutes verify that the river floods accelerated the process. The governor of the council initiated the first advance to the new site, spurred by flooding on the Paraná River and fear of more of the same. On March 24, 1651, he dispatched a memo urging that construction begin—cutting wood, determining communal land, drawing up city plans—and that the move be carried out “immediately.”41 The agreement of April 12 also cited the threat of flooding as a motivating factor. The council sought “greater decisiveness” to escape it,42 and with good cause. The next year, 1652, was terrible: the drought destroyed the crops, and the flood inundated the principal roads, making transit to the city difficult and causing a serious economic breakdown. In August 1656, according to the April 4 minutes, council members pushed for another attempt to relocate, motivated by a native attack on the ranches of Salado and, principally, the threat of a large flood.43 The great floods of 1657 and 1658 prompted another attempt: they destroyed many Old City buildings and impeded the council in January 1658 from extracting food, canoes, wood, and other necessities for the move. The April 30 minutes state that the church of San Roque had begun to collapse so that moving it to a new site could not be postponed. Finally, in 1660, the authorities established themselves in Santa Fe de Vera Cruz, even though the relocation was not finished. An “Excerpt from the Royal Decree of the Queen” [Extracto de la Cédula Real de la Reina Gobernadora] of May 6, 1670, summarizes the reasons for the move and concedes that the authorization to carry it out was belated. The founding charter had stipulated that the town could be moved if it should be “expedient” to do so. Such a time, the queen stated, had come because “the site had ceased to be fertile and the river had destroyed the greater part of the city.” Moreover, it was feared that “the river could destroy the city entirely.” The site chosen

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in 1651 “between the Salado and Saladillo Rivers” was being built, she continued, “and the greater part of its inhabitants [is] already in it, with the clergy, its religious effects and its chapel.”44 The Old City, its ejidos, and farms were abandoned. Anything that could be reused was salvaged from old buildings, and soon these fell into ruin. The churches, town hall, and the old houses formed knolls or artificial hills between which, up to the end of the eighteenth century, vestiges of their architecture were still visible. In 1949, Dr. Agustín Zapata Gollan excavated the area, confirming oral traditions and previous studies that pointed to this site as the seat of the original city. The first excavation exposed the ruins of the churches and many of the principal houses and verified that a third of the city had been lost to the erosive action of the San Javier River. Religious orders founding new settlements repeated the errors of the Spanish conquistadors with regard to their placement. The Jesuit Priest Burgess, reporting on the foundation of the reducción of the Mocovíes on the shores of the Paraná River in 1750, testified to Europeans’ ignorance, lack of forethought, and scant precaution regarding the risks posed by the rivers of the region, even two centuries after the conquest: [N]o sooner had we finished the houses, churches and the farms, when around February of 1750 came the flood of the Paraná, so extraordinary that it was going to cover us with water; and we found ourselves forced to leave everything and flee in haste from such a furious inundation. The whole town was in the middle of the countryside for nineteen days until we found a suitable spot for the foundation of the town.45

SOME STRATEGIES FOR REDUCING THE RISKS During the colonial period, recurring floods spawned no concrete response by these poor American cities to successfully control or reverse their consequences. However, several strategies emerged for minimizing the constant risks. The town council of Santa Fe developed one of the first of these. As horses were so vital to survival in the region, the council’s first decrees issued on January 15, 1595, aimed to protect them from river floods. The horses were to be safeguarded on the islands, but should a flood occur while they were away, they would be kept on the mainland and cared for as long as the flood lasted.46 In time and with the increase in cattle, this strategy was extended to livestock in general.

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Another tactic was to adopt indigenous rafts and canoes for transportation during flooding because the big boats the Spanish regularly used to transport local and Spanish merchandise were unsuitable. One observer reported that the floods were “so great,” one could see only “treetops,” so that it was “necessary to travel with rafts from one town to another,” sometimes going for days without finding land.47 The pelota was another kind of vessel used to ford big rivers during flooding. Priests who had to use them sometimes on evangelizing expeditions described them in detail, although they considered them “dangerous and continuously frightening.” This river . . . stretches from one shore to the other . . . and, it being impossible for us to ford, we make use of the pelota . . . the whole of which comes down to a piece of cowhide given the shape of a casket whose quadrangular shape is stabilized by four pieces of wood inserted through the linings at the edges of the hide, and mutually anchored at the corners. The load is placed in the interior of the casket with the weight distributed, and it is conveyed from one shore to another by means of three ropes that are passed beforehand, by swimming, and fastened to either shore . . . a swimmer, gripping these with both hands and swimming rapidly, conveys the pelota fastened to his body to the other shore.48

Another report corroborates the use of these vessels, referring to “two rafts made of bullhide” that saved the travelers “a lot of trouble” crossing the risen Tebicuarí River.49 The Europeans also made use of timber frameworks or skeletons above the trees when flooding surprised them. The Portuguese army, for example, built these shelters in the course of their repeated attacks on reducciones aimed to enslave the natives. When the Portuguese were near the Jesuit missions (the current province of Misiones, Argentina), “the rains came and continued heavily whereby the rivers overflowed, inundating the fields; [the troops] arrived at the extreme of making their campground in the trees by joining pieces of wood together.”50 What final recourse did the Spaniards have to confront or alleviate the effects of natural disaster? The answer, found in the same documents, relates to their extreme religiousness in those centuries. They resorted to prayer and plegarias, public rituals to plead for the end of the floods, droughts, or epidemics. To be sure, in the Hispanic world, severe droughts more commonly gave rise to such rituals, but in the Paraná River area, rains and floods that ravaged the territory, as well as resulting plagues, occasioned them, too, as in Santa Fe in 1663, when

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the town council petitioned the priests for a “prayer, mass, and procession” to put an end to the epidemics.51

CONCLUSIONS As stated at the beginning, from the perspective of economic and demographic consequences, the extraordinary floods of the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries cannot be compared with those of the present day. In the colonial period, settlements constituted isolated nuclei with few inhabitants, relatively limited territory, and a subsistence economy. Today, those same cities have large populations and are surrounded by extensive fields dedicated to agriculture and the export cattle industry. A similar flood would now lead to incalculable monetary losses. Yet the floods and flooding rains in the past significantly shaped the culture of the littoral inhabitants—whether indigenous or Spanish. These cultures produced sometimes successful adaptive strategies that allowed them to survive in a harsh and difficult environment, in spite of the primitive state of technology at that time. In general, the water, the river, and the floods determined the rhythm of everyday life, public business, commerce, and transport for both ethnic groups, as well as the nature of relations—hostile or friendly—between them. Today, on the other hand, notions of risk and prevention, and even the memory of recurrent floods, have been lost. Alarm and fear reappear with each catastrophe. Therefore inhabitants no longer perceive floods as a part of nature and a part of their own culture but rather as exceptional events, unconnected to their own experience. NOTES 1. Graciela Caputo, Jorge E. Hardoy, and Hilda M. Herzer, “La inundación en el Gran Resistencia (Provincia del Chaco, Argentina) 1982–1983,” in Desastres naturales y sociedad en América Latina, G. Caputo, J. E. Hardoy, and H. M. Herzer, eds. (Buenos Aires: Grupo Editor Latinoamericano, 1985), 128–55. 2. Elvira Gentile, “El Niño no tiene la culpa: Vulnerabilidad en el Noreste Argentino,” in Desastres y Sociedad, Revista semestral de La Red de Estudios Sociales 3 (1994): 87–104. 3. Hilda M. Herzer and M. Mercedes di Virgilio, “Buenos Aires inundable del siglo XIX a mediados del XX,” Historia y desastres en América Latina 1, Virginia García Acosta, ed. (Bogotá: La Red-Ciesas, 1996), 97–136.

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4. María del R. Prieto and Rodolfo Richard, “Anomalías climáticas en la Cuenca del Plata y el NOA: Siglos XVI, XVII y XVIII,” in Leguas: Revista Argentina de Geografía 1 (1991): 41–103. 5. Roberto Herrera, María del R. Prieto, and Ricardo García, “Floods in the Semiarid Argentinean Chaco during the 17th to 19th centuries,” in Palaeofloods, Historical Data, and Climatic Variability, V. R. Thorndycraft, G. Benito, M. Barriendos, and M. C. Llasat, eds. (Madrid: Centro de Ciencias Medioambientales, 2003), 107–12. 6. Patricia Dussel and Roberto Herrera, “Repercusiones socioeconómicas del cambio de curso del río Salado en la segunda mitad del siglo XVIII,” in Estudios de historia y ambiente en América: Argentina, Bolivia, México, Paraguay, Bernardo García Martínez and Alba González Jácome, eds. (Mexico City: El Colegio de México/IPGH, 1999), 137–49. 7. Soldiers’ diaries provide a valuable complement to these records, offering personal accounts of expeditions undertaken to punish natives or to discover and take possession of new territory as early as the eighteenth century. 8. “Cartas Anuas de la Provincia del Paraguay, Chile y Tucumán de la Compañía de Jesús,” in Documentos para la Historia Argentina, vols. 19 and 20 (Buenos Aires: Facultad de Filosofía y Letras, UBA, 1927). 9. For further information from the hydro-climatological perspective, see M. del Rosario Prieto, “Enso Signals in South America: Rains and Floods in the Parana River during Colonial Times,” in “Climate and Cultural History in the Americas,” ed. Henry Díaz, special issue of Climatic Change 83, no. 1–2 (2007): 39–54. 10. Gonzalo Fernández de Oviedo, Historia General y Natural de las Indias (1535), five vols. (Madrid: Biblioteca de Autores Españoles, 1959), 1:374. 11. Audiencia de Charcas, legajo 27, Archivo General de Indias (hereafter AGI), Seville, Spain. 12. Manuscritos, Jesuitas, T. 129, Real Academia de la Historia (hereafter RAH), Madrid, Spain. 13. Manuscritos, Jesuitas, T. 129. 14. Colonial IX 45–6–15, Archivo General de la Nación Argentina (hereafter AGN). 15. Audiencia de Charcas, Legajo 215, AGI; Colonial IX 4–1–1, AGN. 16. Audiencia de Buenos Aires, legajo 21, AGI. 17. Audiencia de Buenos Aires, legajo 21, AGI. 18. Pedro Lozano, Historia de la conquista del Paraguay, Río de la Plata y Tucumán (Buenos Aires: Imprenta popular, 1874), 198. 19. A more recent source describes it as “a parasitic illness characterized by the presence of yellow, orange or black pustules that break the epidermis and release a dust of the same color.” Juan B. Marchionato, Manual de las enfermedades de las plantas (Buenos Aires: Sudamericana, 1944). 20. Pablo E. Koehler, “Ecología de la zona central y de la gregarización de la langosta en la Rep. Argentina,” IDIA, Suppl. 7 (1961). 21. Actas Capitulares de Corrientes, two vols. (Buenos Aires: Academia Nacional de la Historia, 1941), 1:474.

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22. Audiencia de Buenos Aires, legajo 48, AGI. 23. Indiferente General, legajo1559, AGI. 24. Audiencia de Charcas, legajo 159, AGI. 25. Audiencia de Charcas, legajo 264, AGI. 26. Colección Mata Linares, Papeles de los Jesuitas, T. XI, RAH. 27. Manuel D. Flores, “Carta de D. Manuel A. de Flores al Marqués de Valdelirios,” Colección Pedro de Angelis 5 (Buenos Aires: Plus Ultra, 1970). 28. Quoted by Juan Muhn, La Argentina vista por viajeros del siglo XVIII, Biblioteca Enciclopedia Argentina 7 (Buenos Aires: Huarpes, 1946), 30. 29. Ulrich Schmidel, Viaje al Río de la Plata (1536), Col. Buen Aire 7 (Buenos Aires: Heme, 1942). 30. Galvez, Guaraníes y Jesuitas. 31. Quoted here from Enrique de Gandia, Historia de la Conquista del Río de la Plata y del Paraguay (Buenos Aires: García Santos, 1932), 55. 32. Lozano, Historia de la conquista, 157. 33. Martín Dobrizhoffer, Historia de los Abipones, three vols. (Chaco: Facultad de Humanidades, Universidad del Nordeste, 1967), 3:124. 34. Audiencia de Charcas, legajo 433, AGI. 35. Colonial IX 4–1–1, AGN. 36. Dobrizhoffer, Historia de los Abipones, 1:102. 37. Alain Musset, “Mudarse o desaparecer. Traslado de ciudades hispanoamericanas y desastres,” in Historia y desastres en América Latina 1, Virginia García Acosta, ed. (Bogota: La Red-Ciesas, 1996), 41–69. 38. Musset, “Mudarse o desaparecer,” 1–22. 39. María del Rosario Prieto, Roberto Herrera, and Patricia Dussel, “Las condiciones climáticas durante la conquista y colonización del Noroeste argentino (1580–1710),” in Actas del Primer Congreso de Investigación Social: Región y Sociedad en Latinoamérica (Tucumán: Facultad de Filosofía y Letras, Universidad Nacional de Tucumán, 1996), 227–34. 40. Actas del Cabildo de la Ciudad de Santa Fe, second ser. (Santa Fe: Imprenta de la Provincia, 1942), vol. 1 of 2. 41. Quoted here from Manuel M. Cervera, Historia de la cuidad y provincial de Santa Fe, 1573–1853, two vols. (Santa Fe: Librería La Unión, 1907), 1:371. 42. Quoted here from Cervera, Historia de la cuidad y provincial de Santa Fe, 1:372–73. 43. Quoted here from Cervera, Historia de la cuidad y provincial de Santa Fe, 1:390–91. 44. Quoted here from Cervera, Historia de la cuidad y provincial de Santa Fe, 1:379. 45. Quoted here from Guillermo Furlong, Entre los Abipones del Chaco: Según noticias de los misioneros jesuitas Martín Dobrizhoffer, Domingo Muriel, José Brigniel, Joaquín Caamaño, José Jolís, Pedro Juan Andreu, José Cardiel y Vicente Olcina (Buenos Aires: Talleres Gráficos San Pablo, 1938), 28. 46. Actas del Cabildo de la Ciudad de Santa Fe, first ser., two vols. (Santa Fe, Argentina: Imp. de la provincia, 1942), vol. 2 [1590–1595].

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47. Quoted by Juan Muhn, La Argentina vista por viajeros del siglo XVIII, 77. 48. Audiencia de Charcas, legajo 433, AGI. 49. Colección Mata Linares, T.XI, RAH. 50. Manuscrito 128, Archivo del Museo Naval, Madrid, Spain. 51. Actas del Cabildo de la Ciudad de Santa Fe, second ser., vol. 1 [1661– 1666].

12

Documenting Disaster Archival Investigations of Climate, Crisis, and Catastrophe in Colonial Mexico Georgina H. Endfield, Sarah J. Davies, Isabel Fernández Tejedo, Sarah E. Metcalfe, and Sarah L. O’Hara

Disasters are as much social texts as they are material occurrences. While droughts, floods, earthquakes, and volcanic eruptions are physical, they are also socially interpreted and conceptualized. The features of any society or culture can influence the way in which a particular event is experienced, how its impacts are distributed, and how that society is able to respond to and cope with its repercussions.1 In this sense, disasters can be considered socially constructed and defined. The ways in which a particular event is perceived, experienced, and interpreted, however, determine whether it becomes inscribed into community memory as oral history, ideology, technological and physical adaptation, custom, artifact, or narrative. These different forms of remembering and recording the past represent the chief modes through which information is transferred across generations. Memory, experience, and knowledge are critical to the development of effective response mechanisms.2 Knowledge of past events can condition how contemporary society not only conceptualizes the risk connected with particular events but also anticipates the impacts of future catastrophes.3 In this way, experience or knowledge of events (disaster knowledge) in the recallable past can become part of the cultural and infrastructural fabric of thought, discourse, and practice in a society or community.4 Droughts, floods, and hurricanes, as well as earthquakes and volcanic activity, have continually tested the resilience and resourcefulness of Mexico’s population.5 The country’s co-

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lonial archives offer rich and indispensable resources for interpreting this disaster history. Investigators have drawn on a range of document groups (ramos) to reconstruct detailed descriptions of environmental conditions during past eras in order to assess the environmental effects of postconquest changes in land use and tenure,6 to explore the relationship between agricultural and economic crises and periods of drought,7 and to investigate the links between water shortage and conflict over water access and water rights.8 Recent research has also demonstrated their potential for reconstructing climatic chronologies and for investigating the implications of extreme weather.9 In this chapter a variety of primary sources preserved in both national and regional archives of Mexico are used to illustrate the effects of climate-induced crises and disasters during the colonial period from 1521 through 1821. Both direct and indirect references to droughts, floods, storms, and other natural catastrophes can be found in Mexico’s colonial records. Not all reported events, however, resulted in disaster or contributed to crisis. A community’s recovery from a flood, famine, or other disaster depended on whether that event occurred in isolation; a drought in one year could be borne if the next year’s harvest was good. If one poor harvest depleted food reserves, a second or third in succession usually proved to be devastating. Consecutive crises or a combination of different types of natural hazards occurring simultaneously can thus have amplified and cumulative effects.10 A society’s response to and recovery from such episodes is largely determined by prevailing demographic, social, and economic conditions as well as community behavior and practices.11 For example, a situation becomes a crisis only when a substantial proportion of the population is at risk or significant life and economic losses are incurred. Moreover, there are often differential impacts and losses, depending on the levels of preparedness among different sectors of population. Preparedness in turn depends on the social and economic status of a particular group, and the degree to which it can buffer itself against an event. Possessing little in the way of grain and seed reserves or fertile and irrigated lands, it was often the poorer sectors of society that were the first to suffer during such periods. For all these reasons, most of the recorded agricultural crises in Mexican history have been associated with successive droughts, or drought combined with other unusual or extreme weather events, such as frosts;12 the most devastating crises have been those where periods of inhospitable weather compounded other difficulties, specifically population pressure and resource stress.

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Yet these episodes of crisis served a number of purposes. First, experience of disaster improved the level of disaster knowledge among affected societies and increased public awareness of the differential vulnerability to extreme events and natural hazards. Secondly, periods of calamity prompted remedial or mitigating actions, coping strategies, and adaptations.13 The following sections explore these two functions of disaster by illustrating how society in different regions of colonial Mexico coped with, responded, and adapted to anomalous weather conditions and agrarian crises. The extent to which disasters contributed to both conflict and cooperation between social groups and fueled technological innovation and experimentation will be considered. How various sectors of society conceptualized, addressed, and articulated knowledge about risk, causality, and vulnerability to drought, floods, and climateinduced crop failure will also be highlighted. Attention focuses on four regions that cover a range of environmental, social, economic, and political contexts and histories and which are located at key points along a north-south rainfall gradient: Chihuahua in the arid north, Oaxaca in the wetter south, and Michoacán and Guanajuato in the central highlands. Each region developed different settlement and land-use patterns during the colonial period. Guanajuato had a long history of pre-Hispanic settlement, but by the time Spanish colonizers arrived, the area represented something of a frontier zone. Nonetheless, the combination of fertile soils and mineral wealth meant that by the second half of the sixteenth century, Guanajuato had developed into the country’s main agricultural center, specializing in the production of wheat, fruits, and vegetables. In contrast, Oaxaca and Michoacán retained their traditional indigenous character throughout the colonial period, and although livestock and Mediterranean cultivars were introduced into both areas, people there continued to focus on the production of maize, beans, and chile, employing traditional cultivation methods. Significantly, there was a good deal of land retention by indigenous populations, especially in Oaxaca.14 In Chihuahua the threat of violent attacks by the nomadic indigenous groups who occupied the northern part of Mexico delayed European colonization of the region. By the start of the seventeenth century, however, a lucrative mining and livestock economy had begun to develop. Investigating disaster history through these case studies provides a unique insight into the ways in which vulnerabilities and adaptations to disaster changed over time and across different contextual spaces. It also allows us to explore how indigenous societies, as well as those with a European structure, understood, coped with, and articulated knowledge about historical disasters.15

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CLIMATE, CRISIS, AND CONFLICT Perhaps the most significant agricultural adaptations to climatic variability and periodic drought involved water storage and the use of irrigation. Permanent and ephemeral watercourses, rivers, and arroyos had long been exploited by pre-Hispanic populations for irrigating plots of maize (milpas), garlic, and beans.16 Documents indicate that following Spanish contact, there was an increase in the tapping of groundwater but also an expansion in the area of land under irrigation, not least because of the seasonal requirements of Mediterranean wheat, which was accustomed to wetter winters and summer droughts.17 Storage of floodwater for use during the dry season, a strategy referred to in the documentation as medio riego, was also practiced, particularly in Guanajuato.18 Despite these adaptations, competition for water frequently led to legal and, in rare instances, physical conflict.19 There are literally hundreds of lawsuits (pleitos) from the colonial period charting numerous types of illegal water use—monopolization, diversion, theft, deprivation, and usurpation—along with appeals for reinstatement of water rights,20 and citizens of every social rank appear to have been involved in water disputes at some stage. Antagonism over this most essential resource, however, was evidently exacerbated by drought.21 The droughts that contributed to the so-called year of great hunger, a period of widespread famine across Mexico between 1785 and 1786, for example, stimulated disputes over shared watercourses. One document from 1785, for example, charts the accusations leveled at Juan Bacilio, resident of San Andres Apaseo by Don Joaquin Fuentes, administrator of the estates (haciendas) belonging to Captain Don Juan Antonio Fernandez de Xauregui, local councilor of the city of Querétaro. Bacilio was accused by the administrator of “modifying the course of water from its original route for twenty days and leaving none to pass to their destinations in the haciendas.”22 Similarly, a long-standing dispute between the Augustinians and the indigenous residents (or naturales) of Taretán in Michoacán over rights to a local river finally reached a climax in 1785, when drought struck the region. The naturales demanded that their access to the river that ran through the town be legally protected during this period of water scarcity.23 There seems to have been a strong element of opportunism in water litigation, and an awareness of the propensity for drought and its impacts may have been employed by litigants to reinforce or refute claims of water shortage, monopolization, deprivation, and/or restitution. Water disputes were especially common where neighboring haciendas shared the same watercourse, but drought was often cited

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as compounding problems of water shortage or deprivation. One such case, filed in 1738, charts a pleito between the owners (dueños) of the haciendas of Valdeflores and Buenavista in the southern Zimatlán Valley, Oaxaca, in connection with the use of water from the River Atoyac. Don Juan Antonio Jimino de Bohorques, resident of Antequera and owner of Valdeflores, charged Juan de Antelo, dueño of Buenavista, with the “violent and thoughtless” overextraction of water from the river that passed through de Antelo’s estate before flowing through Bohorques’s landholding. Bohorques’s case was explicitly motivated by his fear that he would face great problems in March and April, the driest months of the year, and his prediction that “a year of drought” lay ahead.24 By denouncing another’s lack of title to water, a landowner could effectively secure a grant of water for himself.25 Individual landowners would therefore often exploit this facility in water disputes, especially where their properties were dependent on a shared water source. Yet in these instances, too, drought may have been used opportunistically. One such case in 1787 concerned a mill owner and an alderman (regidor) of Atatlauca, Oaxaca, named Sebastian Gonzalez Romero. According to the pleito, the naturales of the town had deprived Romero of the water with which he hoped to irrigate his lands—a decision they justified by claiming that Romero had contravened previous water agreements by sowing his lands during a drought. Romero in turn challenged their accusation, contending that the water shortage alleged by the naturales had not been “verified.”26 Independent references to “a strong wet season” with “excessive rains” in Oaxaca suggest that Romero’s assertion should perhaps be believed.27 Such disputes multiply throughout the colonial period. This trend may reflect a more general dissent over resource access, particularly in the second half of the eighteenth century, when rising population levels sharpened the competition for natural resources—a hypothesis supported by historical studies of other Central American states.28 As knowledge about drought improved, it is likely that more droughts were recognized, recorded, and remembered.29 It is therefore possible that by the late seventeenth and eighteenth centuries, public attitudes toward drought were exploited by litigators in at least some water disputes. On a number of occasions social unrest over resource access and perceived threats to communal well-being extended beyond legal conflict. The precise causes of such unrest are complex and myriad, and uprisings are often a manifestation of multiple, compounding grievances.30 Agrarian riots and insurgency in colonial Mexico, for example,

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was a function of both cultural and structural factors. The roles of elites, states, and the agrarian masses, as well as power relationships between these entities, need to be considered.31 The significance of environmental change and climatic parameters as “triggers” or stimuli of social turmoil has also been highlighted.32 Enrique Florescano et al. and John Tutino, for example, have argued that conflict increased in northern and central Mexico due to high corn prices following drought-induced famine in the late eighteenth century and again just prior to the wars of independence.33 There are also instances of grain riots during harvest crises in late seventeenth-century Mexico City.34 In a similar vein, episodes of water scarcity in combination with an expanding population, increased land pressure, and the marginalization of the poorest sectors of society eventually provoked mass violence in Etla, Oaxaca, on several occasions in the second half of the eighteenth century.35 A series of natural catastrophes can reduce a society’s ability to sustain itself, again resulting in desperate, violent reaction. The devastating flood that inundated the city of Celaya, Guanajuato, on June 28, 1692, and in which “close to three thousand families lost their houses and livelihoods,”36 overwhelmed an already beleaguered community. A contemporary commentator notes that “the year is memorable for the suffering from the great scarcity of provisions in the majority of the country, the cause being the loss of almost all the harvests the year before.”37 Famine and disease in epidemic proportions had gripped the agrarian heartland of Guanajuato, causing massive loss of life, especially among the indigenous populations, a situation that resulted “in the emergence of popular uprisings in Guanajuato . . . and among other populations.”38 Elsewhere, social unrest appears to have been a more regular occurrence. Mexico’s northern borderlands were considered by the Spanish crown to be among the most exposed outposts of the colony. The expansion of military activities in the region during the latter part of the eighteenth century underscored the perceived threats to Spanish authority.39 Apache attacks posed a particular problem. After 1750, Apache raids penetrated deeper into the region, and parish registers indicate an increased number of deaths apparently resulting from such attacks.40 To some extent, this disorder stemmed from the exploitation of indigenous labor and pressure on limited land, mineral, and water resources. Recent research, however, has suggested that the prolonged episode of drought (“megadrought”) in the middle of the sixteenth century may have exacerbated the difficulties of a subsistence way of life and stimulated unrest among the nomadic indigenous populations.41

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Archival records suggest that some of the eighteenth-century incursions may likewise be associated with prolonged drought and subsistence crises. Severe drought in the 1750s, for example, incited “the contention of the enemies” and was “the cause of the hostilities that the barbarous indio enemies occasion[ed] with the deaths of people, the theft of horses and mules.”42 The theft and slaughter of livestock in turn inhibited the transportation of wood, charcoal, metals, and materials and food to the city (of Chihuahua).43 “Repeated invasions by enemy indios [members of indigenous society]” took place as drought continued into the second half of the 1750s, with hostile groups “robbing mules and horses, killing them and committing other atrocities.” 44 By 1772, in the middle of drought that would last for three years, “flying squads” of Spanish militia were being enlisted to provide some defense for the vulnerable populations and communities in the region.45 All such defensive activities, however, were themselves impeded by the drought.46 Attacks on settlements, military garrisons, and livestock escalated in the 1780s and over the first two decades of the nineteenth century, contributing to the abandonment of some of the region’s larger haciendas.47 As already noted, however, dissent was increasing among marginal and disenfranchised social groups across the country, a circumstance that makes it impossible for historians to attribute these attacks to drought or any other single cause. Given that Apache aggression represented a key threat to the Spanish stronghold, narratives of these attacks may also have exaggerated their scale and the losses incurred, so justifying a constant Spanish military presence in the region. Drought undoubtedly added to the general difficulties of a nomadic existence on the northern frontier and must therefore have contributed to the turmoil manifested in these incursions, thefts, and attacks.

COOPERATION, COLLABORATION, AND COMMUNITY SERVICE As Riley has recently demonstrated, the historical literature on interactions between different social strata in colonial Mexico, specifically Indian and Hispanic groups, has focused almost exclusively on conflicts and disputes over the distribution and use of natural resources. Less attention has been paid to how shared environmental concerns and losses during crises, disasters, and damaging events may have transcended unequal power relationships and promoted cooperation and collaboration.48 Community efforts and indigenous labor were,

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in fact, central to many of the disaster-response strategies adopted by local governments. Following the disastrous flood in Celaya in 1692, for example, “groups of voluntary helpers and the troops of the leading regiments . . . began the work of removing the rubbish and debris in search of victims of the flood and the residents who had died in their houses.” Only a couple of months after the event, a cross section of city representatives surveyed the local river systems “with the objective of . . . developing measures to conduct water to avoid new floods.” Ultimately, this committee concluded that “the only way to avoid flooding was the construction of a dam . . . to contain the waters that come down from the hills and to release this water, little by little into small storage areas, forming in this way a controlled water flow, so reducing the danger of large floods which have proved so dangerous for the city.” While Spanish residents were asked to subsidize the scheme with cash donations, indigenous residents were asked to provide support in the form of manual labor.49 Local community members and criminals assigned to perform community service were frequently employed in the development of public works. Repeated flooding on the Atoyac River in Oaxaca, for example, resulted in bridge-building projects between 1766 and 1774. Some of these projects helped to reduce other urban problems at the same time—crime, vagrancy, and overcrowding in the city’s jails. It was suggested that “a license be sought to apprehend all the vagrants and thieves and put them to work in the construction of the bridge.”50 Similarly, following a flood in Guanajuato in 1788, the local administration agreed “to clear the river, the eyes of the bridges, and various channels and conduits . . . so that even though the rains might be abundant, the waters will not leave the main channel.”51 The task was to be provided free of charge, “the offenders of the local prison bearing the cost of the work.”52 The expansion of land under irrigation remained a key coping strategy during times of harvest crisis and food scarcity. Community action was central to such efforts. On October 11, 1785, for example, during the drought that would contribute to the agricultural crisis of 1785–1786, the local authority in Chihuahua issued a circular suggesting that the indio laborers and other workers should be persuaded not to abandon their pueblos (towns) and haciendas, but to “provide their personal services in the cultivation of the fields.” Moreover, “being a time of calamity,” indigenous communities “were obliged to work in occupations considered useful to the Spanish, mestizos, mulatos, and other castas . . . vagabonds, and thieves ought to assist in the applications of these people to the labors of the field.” The employment of

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local inmates, many convicted of collaborating in the Apache attacks described above, was again regarded as a solution to problems of overcrowding in the city’s jails.53 Some schemes involved voluntary public participation. The flooding in Guanajuato in 1749, for example, led to the development of one such scheme, devised and promoted by local citizens and land users, particularly residents of the Calle de Alonso (Alonso Street), who regarded themselves as “being in great danger” of flooding. They proposed the adoption of preventative measures that included dredging, the construction of flood defenses in areas submerged during previous floods, and an ambitious plan to reduce the incline of the steep ravines and arroyos surrounding the town in order to lower the probability of flash flooding and mudslides. The local administration enlisted a group of “experts” to provide an opinion on the problem. These experts produced a flood-risk map showing the areas where debris had built up and which were most in need of clearing. They supported the need for regular dredging, but there were concerns about the high maintenance and costs of this endeavor and they ultimately suggested that the responsibility should lie with the local community.54 Weather-related disasters thus stimulated both reactionary and anticipatory responses. Flooding, unlike droughts or food crises, appears to have initiated collaborations among different sectors of Mexican society in the second half of the eighteenth century, perhaps because the danger and the impact of floods were experienced more universally. While famine was socially selective, floods affected people of every class and were thus a natural focus for community cooperation. The less socially selective impacts and shared losses associated with flooding may have actually transcended class divides and differences and provided something of a focus for community cooperation.

AID, TRADE, AND ADMINISTRATIVE INTERVENTION The pre-Columbian practice of maintaining emergency food reserves to sustain the population when the harvest failed continued into the colonial period.55 Large grain stores, or reales alhóndigas, were established in principal cities across Mexico but especially in mining areas and close to ports—densely populated areas that represented the engines of the colonial economy. The alhóndiga in Chihuahua was established in the early 1730s after a series of harvest failures in the mid-1720s.56 The level of “hunger and need” was such that council officials rationed bread57 and arranged for the slaughter of extra livestock

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to feed the poor. There were also calls at this time for the construction of an alhóndiga in Oaxaca where food scarcity was evidently a nearchronic condition.58 The stores also served a second function—that of price regulation. Where a real alhóndiga existed, all grain producers or merchants were obliged to sell their produce first through the public store in order to ensure that a fair price was then offered to the bakers, millers, and other purchasers. The alhóndiga in Guanajuato, for example, was established in 1772, primarily in response to growing problems of speculation and profiteering by local merchants. Indeed, one report notes that high grain prices were being charged in the region even “without the motives” of drought or frost-induced harvest loss.59 During the most widespread or prolonged agrarian crises, however, the alhóndigas provided little succor and only partially succeeded in controlling price fluctuations, speculation, and profiteering. A document recorded in Chihuahua in 1758, for example, charts how “because of the droughts experienced in all . . . areas, the transporting and trading of seeds and flour to the Real Alhóndiga of the Villa [of Chihuahua] has also dried up.”60 Moreover, in 1764, after the combined effects of drought and hail had severely affected harvests, the small quantity of maize stored in the real alhóndiga was described as being of “low quality” but was nonetheless commanding a “very high price.”61 The local administrations in Leon and the city of Guanajuato were frequently concerned about the shortage of grain and general hunger in the cities due to “the malice of many hacenderos [estate owners/managers]” and the local merchants and producers who “were hoarding produce until it reached high prices.” By artificially creating shortages in this way, producers and traders were able to drive up the price of produce, despite requests “not to stockpile it in the months from June to November” so that prices could be controlled.62 Modern historians have found “very little evidence of organised relief” for the most vulnerable communities, specifically the rural poor.63 There are, however, records of several instances in which government aid and assistance were made available. Drought-related crop failure and food scarcity occasionally led to disproportionate suffering among the poorest members of Oaxaca’s society. This placed a moral obligation on the local and, in one case, central authorities to ensure provision of some level of subsistence for the poor. Drought in the summer of 1746, for example, led to the widespread failure of the maize harvest, prompting officials to request the release of grain from the city store. Such action was partly to reduce speculation by grain suppliers who were already charging “exorbitant prices” in anticipation of maize

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shortages.64 By November, as hopes of a late rainy season dwindled, communities appealed to national leaders. In response, Don Francisco Germes del Ducasitas, the viceroy and captain general of New Spain, provided funds solely “for the purchase of maize and to assist the urgent need for the public cause” in the region.65 Elsewhere, famine stimulated charitable donations from individuals. A document dated February 15, 1786, details the donation “by hand” of fifty pesos from Ignacio Gomez Ploeo, citizen of Leon, to help the “poor, demented” residents of that city.66 Local councils in Guanajuato also began to make charitable donations the following month because of “the scarcity of maize and other grains,” and took the unusual step of circulating the names of individuals in Leon who could provide food or financial aid.67 Even during the most severe and widespread agrarian crises, there was spatial variation in the level of impact. By the middle of the eighteenth century, trade in foodstuffs from region to region and the purchase of grain and produce from less-affected areas to supply more hard-pressed communities had become an important coping strategy. Even in the disastrous year of 1785, the wheat farmers of Celaya, Guanajuato, were able to produce a bumper crop, which may have helped to alleviate the suffering of communities elsewhere in the region.68 Similarly, in Chihuahua during several drought years in the 1750s, maize remained available in nearby locations.69 Grains were again purchased from surrounding areas by the local authority of Chihuahua in 1786 and 1787,70 though the scale of crisis in these years required additional quantities of grains, seed, and flour to be transported from much greater distances in order to supply the real alhóndiga in Chihuahua.71

EXPERIMENTATION, INNOVATION, AND AGRARIAN ADAPTATION Documentary sources tend to be biased toward describing and depicting the impacts of those disasters and crises perceived to be of greatest magnitude, or which resulted in the greatest losses. Archival records may thus suggest a society disproportionately sensitive and/or poorly adapted to crises and disaster. In contrast, routine and long-term social and cultural adaptations—the most meaningful indicators of how society coped with such events—tend to be hidden.72 Nonetheless, Mexico’s colonial archives provide some clues to the innovative adaptations developed over different time periods in various regions of the country.

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Evidence indicates some degree of agricultural diversification, innovation, and experimentation in relation to agrarian crisis. Successive years of drought in Chihuahua, for example, had by January of 1758 contributed to a shortage of grazing land.73 Cattle ranchers began making use of salt flats and swamps in the area, but notwithstanding such adaptations, “total ruin among the livestock” was recorded.74 Previous experiments with pasturage had also met with problems. In 1738 a mysterious illness swept through the cattle populations of the region, and it was argued by some ranchers that the illness was related to the grazing of a poisonous grass referred to as garbansilla, though others suggested that cattle had grazed this species at other times without any adverse effects.75 Elsewhere, there was more success in the search for alternative pasture. During the agricultural crisis of 1785–1786, a drought-resistant grass species found in the district of Zamora, in northwest Michoacán, provided cattle fodder where all other plant species failed. In consequence, there was said to be “more milk than water” in this location.76 Another, perhaps more significant, indication of agrarian experimentation appears in a document dated 1782 from Leon. The manuscript details a “secret recipe” for ensuring resilience against crop loss (specifically wheat crops) to chahuistle77—a blight thought to have been related to phases of warm and damp conditions and, specifically, extreme storm events.78 Chahuistle affected wheat crops across the country on a number of occasions during the colonial period.79 The document suggests that the recipe not only “prevents chahuistle” but also “increases the amount of harvest in proportion to the quality of the land” and was based on a formula already tested in France.80 Dissemination of this hitherto “secret” information represents an important stage in the agrarian history of the country and illustrates that there may have been dialogue with other countries in connection with efforts to reduce crop losses and harvest crises. Paradoxically, some of the most catastrophic disasters stimulated only modest adaptations. The riverside location of many of the most fertile and hence most sought-after agricultural plots meant that people living in such areas were more vulnerable to floods. Yet it seemed that the perceived productivity gains and the potential for capturing water for irrigation in these areas outweighed the threat of potentially damaging flooding, not least because the most devastating floods were relatively infrequent occurrences. Indeed, because of their perceived rarity, catastrophic flood events led to very few major changes in lifestyle or behavior. A number of major floods are recorded in the archives of Guanajuato and Oaxaca. The scale of damage or loss appears

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to have been associated with the perceived low risk of high magnitude events taking place and the subsequent lack of preparedness.81 The flood that occurred in Guanajuato on the night of July 5, 1760, “resulted in turmoil . . . causing the disaster to survive in lamentable tradition as one of the most memorable that has been experienced.” The calamity prompted the local council to construct flood banks using material dredged from the riverbed, and further protective measures were recommended for the most vulnerable households, including “those residents that lived in Calle de Alonso.” Given the anxiety that these residents had voiced following the flood of 1749, it was decided that flood warnings should be “given to the people who live there using a brief alarm indicating that they must leave their homes and close the doors of their houses.” A list of the buildings perceived to be most at risk was also issued.82 These relatively minor adaptations seem to have been partially successful as “twelve years later in 1772 another flood took place . . . although it caused fewer damages because of the actions and precautions adopted in the previous flood.” This event was succeeded on July 27, 1780, by a flood regarded as “greater than that of 1772 but less than that of 1760 in its impacts because the river channel was not without some defense . . . this inundation, although big, did not cause any precise damage.”83 The impacts of flooding per se were thus reduced through adaptation. While the frequency of flooding in this area clearly presented a problem, people seem to have been prepared to live with that risk. Two floods in Oaxaca, in 1599 and 1721, were particularly catastrophic. The first took place in a year of abnormally heavy rainfall: “The town of Tehuantepec . . . was suddenly flooded. The buildings and the gates were burst open with violence, and a great body of water inundated the patios, the rooms, the storehouses, and cellars.”84 An event of similar magnitude again affected Tehuantepec 122 years later, with “a storm of great winds and rains and lasting ten hours from the night of Friday, May 29 [1721], till five o’clock in the afternoon on the Saturday [May 30].” The waters of the Tehuantepec River demolished sixty houses, “all made of adobe and with thatch roofs and in all cases taking all the goods of the residents, leaving neither clothes nor anything with which they might be helped.” The scale of destruction was, if anything, even more dramatic than the earlier flood: “Everything looked as though it had been shipwrecked . . . wild animals were left in fields, drowned and then afterwards . . . raised above the trees . . . some of the grazing stock were drowned . . . and others suffered hunger, the pasturelands being totally covered and hidden by a blanket of sand.”85

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Direct comparison was drawn between the two floods: “Such an extraordinary event had not been seen or heard of in past centuries, for although tradition knows that in the year past of 1599 the river took away 45 houses, it is because they were so close to the river.”86 The scale of losses after the 1599 event was ascribed in part to the choice of settlement location, but the fundamental difference between the impacts of the two floods relates more to their timing. The flood of 1599 took place in September toward the close of the rainy season, when the level of water in the river was high. Communities living along its banks were accustomed to store foodstuffs throughout the wet season, in case a flood should occur as the water levels rose at the end of the season.87 Thus flooding at this stage in the year was a recognized occurrence and one that was integrated into local agrarian practice. In contrast, the event of 1721 took place at the beginning of the rainy season when “the land was dry and needy,” and the population was ill-prepared. This was a time when the crops had only just been sown and food stores were depleted after the long dry season. The economic losses were correspondingly greater, and were estimated to have been in the region of thirty thousand pesos.88 Nevertheless, both floods were catastrophic and represented benchmarks in the social memory of disaster among the affected communities.

CONCLUSIONS The anatomy of a society and its economic, political, and environmental context is critical to understanding not only how a disaster or period of crisis arises but also the degrees to which that society is affected by and can respond to it. How a society experiences a disaster can condition the way in which it conceptualizes and prepares for future events. Different forms of disaster in history can thus generate a general awareness of environmental risk and can prompt remedial or mitigating actions and adaptations.89 The colonial archives of Mexico provide an important source with which to investigate these interconnected themes. Local, regional, and more widespread disasters and periods of crisis are reported. Some are representative of much broader and possibly nationwide problems. The drought-induced harvest failures of the 1730s in both Oaxaca and Chihuahua indicate widespread climatic anomalies. Similarly, the “year of great hunger” (1785–1786) is recorded as causing massive loss of life, economic retardation, and social upheaval in many different parts of the country. The floods, droughts, and har-

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vest failures reported in 1692, in contrast, seem to have been restricted to the central regions of the country. Similarly, the catastrophic floods in Oaxaca in 1599 and 1721 were localized.90 The majority of all reported incidences of disaster, however, and certainly those which are better documented, whether they represent national or local events, relate to the eighteenth century. To some extent this trend is real but reflects not so much an increase in the number of extreme events and natural hazards per se as an increase in Mexican society’s relative vulnerability at this stage. Population expansion, coupled with economic development, meant greater exposure. Yet by the eighteenth century there had also been an increase in cumulative disaster knowledge, informed by social memory and previous experience of different types of disaster. This will have contributed to people’s comprehension and conceptualization of risk and hence enhanced the likelihood of events and losses being recorded. Experience and anticipation of drought and water scarcity, for instance, often emerges in records of legal disputes over water rights and access. While drought appears to have contributed to and is certainly cited in the disputes between water users, there may have been an opportunistic use of drought as a legal tool in some of these cases. Periods of harvest crisis or cumulative disaster may have contributed to social unrest and in some instances violent conflict. Specific drought events, for instance, may have provided something of a “trigger” to already fraught social, economic, or political circumstances, rendering situations untenable for at least some sectors of society. Floods were less selective in their impacts. Concern over the potential flood damages and losses was something shared by all strata of society, a fact that may explain why citizens of every social class participated in community flood management. Archival documentation indicates that shared losses encouraged collaboration and cooperation, not only in terms of recovery and response but also with respect to the development and implementation of flood-relief schemes. In contrast, because of their perceived rarity, the most catastrophic flood events stimulated very few major adaptations or responses. Generally, periods of environmental crisis and disasters did result in some degree of government and administrative intervention. A few impressive disaster-reduction strategies and mitigation schemes were adopted, most of which were admittedly borne of desperation and implemented in a piecemeal fashion in response to specific threats. There is evidence of longer-term planning, however, specifically with respect to agrarian experimentation.

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Problems do, of course, arise when using documentary sources to reconstruct environmental history and to investigate the impacts of—vulnerability and response to—historical disasters. The impacts of particular floods or droughts may have been sensationalized in order to secure financial aid and tax relief, or to challenge existing rights of access to water. Moreover, there is no uniform and agreed definition of what constitutes a disaster or, for that matter, a flood, drought, or famine. Disastrous events are judged against what is perceived to be a normal range of variations, which is itself a function of the nature and span of an individual’s experience and the average range of variation communicated through oral histories or historical knowledge.91 Perceptions and memories are subject to selective retention. Only the most dramatic or devastating of events are recorded.92 There may, in addition, have been periods when weather-related crises themselves caused sufficient disruption in the administrative systems responsible for recordkeeping, thus leading to a critical gap in the historical record.93 While the use of these archival sources for the reconstruction of environmental history and human response to crisis and disaster is thus fraught with difficulty, the Mexican colonial archives nevertheless offer extremely valuable insights into how society was affected by, responded to, and conceptualized environmental risk and disaster. NOTES 1. See Anthony Oliver-Smith and Susannah M. Hoffman, eds., The Angry Earth: Disaster in Anthropological Perspective (London: Routledge, 2000), 73–132 (“Part III: The Cultural and Social Construction of Catastrophe”). 2. B. Schwartz, “Introduction: The Expanding Past,” Qualitative Sociology 9, no. 3 (1996): 275–82. 3. Reinhart Koselleck, Futures Past: On the Semantics of Historical Time, trans. K. Tribe (Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press, 1985). 4. Fekri Hassan, “Environmental Perception and Human Responses in History and Prehistory,” in The Way the Wind Blows: Climate, History and Human Action, Roderick J. McIntosh, Joseph A. Tainter, and Susan K. McIntosh, eds. (New York: Columbia University Press, 2000), 121–40. 5. David A. Hodell, Jason H. Curtis, and Mark Brenner, “Possible Role of Climate in the Collapse of the Classic Maya Civilisation,” Nature 375 (1995): 391–94; Diana Liverman, “Vulnerability and Adaptation to Drought in Mexico,” Natural Resources Journal 39 (1999): 99–115; Enrique Florescano, “Una historia olvidada: La sequia en Mexico,” Nexos 32 (1980): 9–13; Claus Siebe, Michael Abrams, José Luis Macías, and Johannes Obenholzner, “Repeated Volcanic Disasters in Prehispanic Time at Popocatépetl, Central Mexico: Past Key to the Future?” Geology 24 (1996): 399–402; Mauricio González, Juan J.

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Ramírez, and Carlos Navarro, “Summary of the Historical Eruptive Activity of Volcán de Colima, Mexico 1519–2000,” Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 2469 (2002): 1–26. 6. Elinor G. K. Melville, “Environmental and Social Change in the Valle del Mezquital, Mexico, 1521–1600,” Comparative Studies in Society and History 32 (1990): 24–53; Elinor G. K. Melville, A Plague of Sheep: Environmental Consequences of the Conquest of Mexico (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1994); Karl W. Butzer and Elizabeth K. Butzer, “The 16th-Century Environment of the Central Mexican Bajío: Archival Reconstruction from Colonial Land Grants and the Question of Spanish Ecological Impact,” in Culture, Form, and Place: Essays in Cultural and Historical Geography, Kent Mathewson, Geoscience and Man, vol. 32 (Baton Rouge: Louisiana State University Geoscience Publications, 1993): 89–124; Karl W. Butzer and Elizabeth K. Butzer, “The ‘Natural’ Vegetation of the Mexican Bajío: Archival Documentation of a 16th-century Savanna Environment,” Quaternary International 43–44 (1997): 161–72; Georgina H. Endfield and Sarah L. O’Hara, “Degradation, Drought and Dissent: An Environmental History of Colonial Michoacán, West Central Mexico,” Annals of the Association of American Geographers 89, no. 3 (1999): 402–19. 7. Susan C. Swan, “Mexico in the Little Ice Age,” Journal of Interdisciplinary History 12, no. 4 (1981): 633–48; Enrique Florescano, Susan C. Swan, Margarita Menegus, and Ignacio Galindo, Breve historia de la sequi´a en México (Xalapa, Mexico: Universidad Veracruzana, Dirección Editorial, 1995). 8. Sonya Lipsett-Rivera, “Puebla’s Eighteenth-Century Agrarian Decline: A New Perspective,” Hispanic American Historical Review 70, no. 3 (1990): 463–81; Sonya Lipsett-Rivera, To Defend our Water with the Blood of our Veins: The Struggle for Resources in Colonial Puebla (Albuquerque: University of New Mexico Press, 1999); Sonya Lipsett-Rivera, “Indigenous Communities and Water Rights in Colonial Puebla: Patterns of Resistance,” The Americas 48, no. 4 (1992): 463–83; Michael C. Meyer, El Agua en el suoest hispanico: Una historia social y legal 1550–1850 (Mexico City: Centro de Investigaciones y Estudios Superiores en Antropologia Social, 1997 (translated from the English title published in 1984 by the University of Arizona Press)); Georgina H. Endfield and Sarah L. O’Hara, “Conflicts over Water in ‘The Little Drought Age’ in Central Mexico” Environment and History 3, no. 3 (1997): 255–72. 9. Sarah E. Metcalfe, “Historical Data and Climatic Change in Mexico—A Review,” The Geographical Journal 153 (1987): 211–22; Sarah L. O’Hara and Sarah E. Metcalfe, “Reconstructing the Climate of Mexico from Historical Records,” The Holocene 5, no. 4 (1995): 485–90; Sarah L. O’Hara, “Historical Evidence of Fluctuations in the Level of Lake Pátzcuaro, Michoacán, Mexico over the last 600 years,” The Geographical Journal 159 (1993): 51–62; Ernesto Jauregui, “Climatic Changes in Mexico during the Historical and Instrumented Periods,” Quaternary International 43–44 (1997): 7–17; Georgina H. Endfield, Isabel Fernández Tejedo, and Sarah L. O’Hara, “Drought and Disputes, Deluge and Dearth: Climatic Variability

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and Human Response in Colonial Oaxaca, Mexico,” Journal of Historical Geography 30 (2004): 249–76; Georgina H. Endfield, Isabel Fernández Tejedo, and Sarah L. O’Hara, “Conflict and Cooperation: Water, Floods, and Social Response in Colonial Guanajuato, Mexico,” Environmental History 9, no. 2 (2004): 221–47; James D. Riley, “Public Works and Local Elites: The Politics of Taxation in Tlaxcala, 1780–1810,” The Americas 58, no. 3 (2002): 355–93. 10. Tom M. L. Wigley, “Impact of Extreme Events,” Nature 316 (1995): 106–7. 11. Diana Liverman, “Drought Impacts in Mexico: Climate, Agriculture, Technology, and Land Tenure in Sonora and Puebla,” Annals of the Association of American Geographers 80, no. 1 (1990): 49–72. 12. Florescano, “Una historia olvidada,” 9–13. 13. Hassan, “Environmental Perception and Human Responses,” 121–40. 14. William, B. Taylor, Landlord and Peasant in Colonial Oaxaca (Stanford, Calif.: Stanford University Press, 1972), 196. 15. Documents were consulted in the following archives: Archivo General de la Nación, Mexico City (AGN); Archivo General del Estado de Oaxaca (AGEO); Archivo Historico Municipal de la Ciudad de Oaxaca (AHMCO); Historico Municipal de Leon, Guanajuato (AHML), Archivo Casa de Morelos, Morelia, Michoacán (ACM); Archivo Historico Municipal de Fondo Colonial, Chihuahua (AHMCH). Archival documents will be cited as follows: the abbreviation of the archival repository; followed by the document group (ramo) consulted, the volume number, the expediente (folder, hereafter exp), legajo (bundle, hereafter leg), cuaderno (file, hereafter cuad), or caja (case or box) number; followed by the page or folio number, denoted by the abbreviation fa (single foja) or fs (multiple fojas). (Page numbers may also be accompanied by superscripted r [recto] and/or v [verso]). 16. “Relaciones Geográficas de Oaxaca” in F. Paso y Troncoso, Papeles de Nueva España, Segunda serie, Geografía y estadística: Relaciones geográficas de la Diócesis de México: Manuscritos de la Real Academia de la Historia de Madrid y del Archivo de Indias en Sevilla, años 1579–1582 (Mexico: Editorial Cosmos, 1979), vol. 4, 104–8 (Teutitlán, 1579), 29–44 (Nexapa, 1579), 119–22 (Amatlán, 1580), and 163–76 (Atatlauca, 1580). 17. There are references to “waterlifts” (norias) in AGN Historia, vol. 72, exp. 9; AGN Civil, vol. 73, exp. 3; AGN Tierras, vol. 514, exp. 1, cuad. 2, fa. 47; AGN Tierras, vol. 618, exp. 1, cuad. 3, fa. 61f–v; AGN Tierras, vol. 1353, exp. 1, fa. 69. 18. AGN Tierras, vol. 2705, exp. 3, fa. 1; AGN Mercedes, vol. 10, fa. 3. 19. Endfield and O’Hara, “Conflicts over Water,” 255–72. 20. AGN Tierras, vol. 674, exp. 1, fs. 30ff. Follow the dispute in vol. 675, exp. 1; AGN Tierras, vol. 192, exp. 1; AGN Tierras, vol. 586, exp. 8; AGN Tierras, vol. 1872, exp. 15, fs. 10ff; AGN Tierras, vol. 671, exp. 3, fs.18ff; AGN Tierras, vol. 2901, exp. 36; AGN Tierras, vol. 2959, exp. 141; AGN Tierras, vol. 988, exp. 1, 2 and 3, fs. 516ff; AGN Tierras, vol. 1110, exp. 18; AGN Tierras,

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vol. 1166, exp. 1, fa. 450; AGN Tierras, vol. 2963, exp.116, fs. 246–308; AGN Tierras, vol. 1352, exp. 1; AGN Tierras, vol. 1368. 21. Arij Ouweneel, Shadows over Anáhuac: An Ecological Interpretation of Crisis and Development in Central Mexico, 1730–1800 (Albuquerque: University of New Mexico Press, 1997), 92; Endfield and O’Hara, “Conflicts over Water,” 255–72. 22. AGN Tierras, vol. 1110, exp. 18. Unless otherwise noted, all translations from the Spanish are our own. 23. AGN Tierras, vol. 1085, exp. 1; see also AGN Tierras, vol. 1048, exp. 4. 24. AGEO Alcadías Mayores, leg. 17, exp. 23, fa. 29 25. AGN Mercedes, vol. 70, fa. 14v. 26. AGEO Real Intendencia, leg. 1, exp. 39. 27. AGN Salinas, vol. 15, exp. 14. 28. Lipsett-Rivera, “Puebla’s Eighteenth-Century Agrarian Decline,” 463– 81; Stephen Webre, “Water and Society in a Spanish American City: Santiago de Guatemala,” Hispanic American Historical Review 70, no. 1 (1990): 57–84. 29. Virginia García-Acosta, “Las sequias historicas de Mexico,” La Red, no. 1 (1993): 2–18. 30. James C. Scott, The Moral Economy of the Peasant: Rebellion and Subsistence in Southeast Asia (New Haven, Conn.: Yale University Press, 1976). 31. John Tutino, From Insurrection to Revolution in Mexico (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1988); Eric Van Young, The Other Rebellion: Popular Violence, Ideology and the Mexican Struggle for Independence, 1810–1821 (Stanford, Calif.: Stanford University Press, 2001). 32. Enrique Florescano, Origen y desarollo de los problemas agrarios de Mexico (1500–1821), Colección Problemas de Mexico (Tlalpan, Mexico: Ediciones Era, 1976); Florescano, “Una historia olvidada,” 9–13; Liverman, “Drought Impacts in Mexico,” 49–72; Liverman, “Vulnerability and Adaptation to Drought in Mexico”; García-Acosta, “La sequias historicas”; Ouweneel, Shadows over Anáhuac. 33. Florescano et al., Breve historia de la sequi´a; Tutino, From Insurrection to Revolution. 34. R. Douglas Cope, The Limits of Racial Domination: Plebeian Society in Colonial Mexico City, 1660–1720 (Madison: University of Wisconsin Press, 1995). 35. AGN Hospital de Jesus, vol. 307, exp. 18 (1755); AGN Tierras, vol. 1271, exp. 2 (1796); AGN Tierras, vol. 1877, exp. 2 (1797). 36. Lucio Marmolejo, Efemérides Guanajuatenses o datos para formar la historia de la ciudad de Guanajuato, vol. 1 (Guanajuato: Universidad de Guanajuato, 1967). 37. Marmolejo, Efemérides Guanajuatenses. 38. Marmolejo, Efemérides Guanajuatenses. See also Jean Pierre Berthe, “La peste de 1643 en Michoacán,” in Historia y Sociedad en el Nuevo Mundo de habla española, José Miranda, ed. (Mexico City: El Colegio de México, 1970), 247–61; and M. Orozco y Berra and Genaro Estrada, Historia de la

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dominación española en México, two vols. (Mexico City: Biblioteca Historica Mexicana de obras ineditas Núm 10, 1938), 242–48. 39. Cheryl E. Martin, Governance and Society in Colonial Mexico: Chihuahua in the Eighteenth Century (Stanford, Calif.: Stanford University Press, 1996). 40. William B. Griffen, Indian Assimilation in the Franciscan Area of Nueva Vizcaya (Tucson: University of Arizona Press, 1979), 24. 41. Malcolm K. Cleaveland, David W. Stahle, Matthew D. Therrell, José Villanueva-Diaz, and Barney T. Burns, “Tree-Ring Reconstructed Winter Precipitation and Tropical Teleconnections in Durango, Mexico,” Climatic Change 59 (2003): 369–88. 42. AHMCH Guerra, caja 1, exp. 8. 43. AHMCH Guerra, caja 1, exp. 13; AHMCH Guerra, caja 2, exp .1. 44. AHMCH Gobierno, caja 27, exp. 4. 45. AGN Presidios y Carceles, vol. 4, fs. 154–60. 46. AGN Presidios y Carceles, vol. 4, fs. 205–8. 47. Charles G. Curtin, Nathan F. Sayre, and Benjamin D. Lane, “Transformations of the Chihuahuan Borderlands: Grazing, Fragmentation and Biodiversity Conservation in Desert Grasslands,” Environmental Science and Policy 5 (2002): 55–68. 48. Riley, “Public Works and Local Elites.” 49. Rafael Zamarroni Arroyo, Narraciones y leyendas de Celaya y de El Bajı o, two vols. (Mexico: [s.n.], 1959–1960), 1:141–43. 50. AGN Rios y Acequias, vol. 4, exp. 4. 51. AGN Bienes de Communidad, vol. 2, exp. 153. 52. AGN Intendencias, vol. 81, exp. 1. 53. AGN Indios, vol. 91. 54. AGN Tierras, vol. 1197, exp 2. 55. García-Acosta, La sequias. 56. AHMCH caja 2, exp. 12. 57. AHMCH caja 2, exp. 12. 58. AHMCH caja 3, exp. 5; Juan Bautista de Fortuño, AHMCO Actas de Sesiones del Cabildo 1728–1733. 59. AGN Ayuntamientos, vol. 196, exp. 1. 60. AHMCH Guerra, caja 2, exp. 1. 61. AHMCH Notarias, Abastos de Grano, caja 45, exp. 4. 62. AGN Ayuntamientos, vol. 196, exp. 4. 63. See, for example,Tutino, From Insurrection to Revolution; Van Young, The Other Rebellion, 77. 64. AHMCO Actas de Sesiones del Cabildo 1746–1748, fa. 54. 65. AHMCO Actas de Sesiones del Cabildo 1746–1748, fa. 78. 66. AGN Ayuntamientos, vol. 169, fa. 9. 67. AGN Alhóndigas, vol. 10, exp. 5, fs. 250–53; AHML Alhóndiga, exp. 8. 68. ACM, leg. 841. 69. AGN Ayuntamientos, 173, cuad. 6. 70. AGN Ayuntamientos, 173, cuad. 6.

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71. AHMCH Justicia, caja 126, exp.10; Martin, Governance and Society in Colonial Mexico. 72. William B. Meyer, Karl W. Butzer, Thomas E. Downing, Billie L. Turner (II), George W. Wenzel, and James L. Westcoat, “Reasoning by Analogy,” in Human Choice and Climate Change, Steve Raynor and Elizabeth L. Malone, eds., four vols. (Columbus, Ohio: Batelle Press, 1998), 3:218–89, esp. 238. 73. AHMCH Gobierno, caja 30, exp. 23. 74. AHMCH Notarias, Abasto de Carnes, caja 42, exp. 2. 75. AHMCH Demandas de Inconformidad, caja 60, exp. 3. 76. AGN Alhóndigas 15, exp. 1. 77. Chahuistle is a folk term commonly used to describe wheat rust and, less commonly, to refer to insect or worm infestations. 78. Alexander von Humboldt, Essai politique sur le royaume de la Nouvelle-Espagne, bk. 4, ch. 9 (Paris: Chez F. Schoell, 1811), 107. 79. AGN Tierras, vol. 310, exp. 1; ACM, leg. 835 (1735), leg. 838 (1700, 1706), leg. 847 (1746), leg. 860 (1711, 1718). 80. AHML Bandos, exp. 8, 1782. 81. For further discussion of these events, see Endfield et al., “Conflict and Cooperation”; and Endfield et al., “Drought and Disputes, Deluge and Dearth.” 82. AGN Rios y Acequias, vol. 1, exp. 9, fa. 214. 83. AGN Rios y Acequias, vol. 1, exp. 9, fa. 214. 84. José Antonio Gay, Historia de Oaxaca, third ed., four vols. (Mexico, 1950), chap. 19, 276. 85. AGN Tierras, vol. 182, exp. 1, fa. 380. 86. AGN Ríos y Acequias, vol. 1, exp. 3. 87. AGN Tierras, vol. 182, exp. 1, fa. 380. 88. AGN Ríos y Acequias, vol. 1, exp. 3. 89. Hassan, “Environmental Perception and Human Responses.” 90. See Endfield et al., “Drought and Disputes, Deluge and Dearth.” 91. Hassan, “Environmental Perception and Human Responses.” 92. Hassan, “Environmental Perception and Human Responses.” 93. Helmut Landsberg, “Past Climates from Unexploited Written Sources,” Journal of Interdisciplinary History 10, no. 4 (1980): 631–42.

13

American Disasters during the Twentieth Century The Case of New Jersey1 James K. Mitchell

Perhaps we should recognize that risk of catastrophe is the underside of the human condition—a price we pay for being able to alter natural balances and to transform the face of the earth through collective effort and the use of tools. . . . Human history thus becomes an extraordinary, dynamic equilibrium in which triumph and disaster recur perpetually on an ever-increasing scale as our skills and knowledge grow.2

INTRODUCTION In this passage William H. McNeill reminds us that so-called natural disasters result from human interactions with hazardous physical environments, and their importance is likely to grow—not diminish—as societies develop. This has particular significance for residents of New Jersey, who inhabit an extensively human-transformed state, already the most densely populated in the United States and steadily becoming more so.3 However, the picture that emerges from New Jersey’s twentieth-century experience with extreme natural events is considerably more nuanced than McNeill’s vision. A dynamic equilibrium between society and nature surely exists but one hardly reducible to alternating cycles of triumph and disaster and certainly more complex in terms of the scale at which individuals, groups, and institutions feel the impacts of natural hazards.

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Drawing on research by geographers about the human ecology of natural hazards,4 this paper argues that the twentieth-century experience of New Jersey society with extremes of nature has varied widely among different types of events, different places, and different periods of time. The endlessly shifting calculus of risks and vulnerabilities that characterizes human engagement with nature complicates both the assessment of historic lessons about hazard and the formulation of successful long-term public policies for the management of hazardous environments. There is a growing need to improve the means of connecting historic experience with contemporary policy-making, not least because the temporal dimension of public decision-making is beginning to change. Scientific capacities to interrogate the past for evidence that might inform future actions are expanding, and the demand for longer forward-planning horizons is increasing as humans transform the physical world ever more rapidly, and globalization speeds other kinds of change.5 These altering rates of change destabilize and reorganize humans’ relation to nature, as does the prospect of approaching—and uncertain—limits to action that a closed terrestrial life-support system imposes. These kinds of change are not confined to particular places but are global in scope. In the midst of these complexities, it is valuable to look back at the experience of the twentieth century and to trace the contrasting ways people in one part of the world came to their current arrangements for dealing with natural hazards.

NATURAL HAZARDS OF NEW JERSEY A concern for extremes of nature is not a prominent part of New Jersey’s popular culture. This does not mean that the state has been free of natural hazards. At least five kinds of phenomena generate physical risks that periodically menace New Jersey: coastal storms, floods, wildfires, blizzards, and droughts.6 These risks fluctuate in intensity but rarely reach catastrophic levels by the standards used elsewhere. Instead, the combination of physical risks with inappropriate human uses of the New Jersey environment has often turned extreme natural events into disasters; there were at least seven large ones during the twentieth century (table 13.1). Among hazard-management specialists, it is customary to lump human factors together under the heading of “vulnerability” (as distinct from natural “risks”), but this glosses over several very different processes that combine to create vulnerability. The most important of these are (1) exposure, (2) resistance, and (3) resilience.

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Table 13.1: Major Natural Disasters in New Jersey, 1900–1999 Date

Type

Location

Impacts

October 7–10, 1903

Post-tropical storm flood

Passaic River basin (North Jersey)

$7 million damages

September 14, 1944

Coastal storm Long Beach Island, Brigantine, Atlantic City, Ocean City, Sea Isle City (South Jersey)

8 deaths, 677 buildings destroyed, 3600 buildings damaged; $25 million loss

August 7–13, 1955

Post-tropical storm flood

Delaware, Raritan & Passaic River basins (North & Central Jersey)

At least 50 deaths in New Jersey and Pennsylvania

March 6–9, 1962

Nor’easter storm

Entire oceanfront coast (South Jersey)

10 deaths; $130–400 million loss; half of Cape May’s population evacuated

April 20–22, 1963

Forest fires

Pine Barrens (South Jersey)

7 deaths, 383 buildings destroyed; 190,000 acres burned

1961–1966

Drought

Statewide

The twentieth-century drought of record but may have been surpassed by 2000–02 drought.

September 16–17, 1999

Post-tropical storm flood

Raritan and Passaic River basins (North and Central Jersey)

4 deaths and $1 billion losses

Exposure refers to the degree to which a population is at risk; awareness of physical risks, site location choices for houses and businesses, risk-seeking recreational behavior, human migration trends, and a variety of other factors contribute to it. Resistance and resilience both constitute types of human response to hazard. In this analysis, the meaningful distinction between them is temporal. Resistance refers to measures taken to prevent and reduce losses before they occur, and resilience amounts to the ability to recover after a damaging event. Risks Basin-wide floods fueled by storms and melting snow have long been a major problem on the Passaic, Raritan, and upper Delaware Rivers of northern and central New Jersey. Flooding in the wake of dying hurricanes is particularly common. Localized street flooding associated

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with inadequate urban drainage systems has also been severe in many municipalities even after modest rains. Very widespread and severe flood losses occurred in 1902, 1903, 1936 (Passaic River); 1896, 1955, 1999 (Raritan River); and 1903, 1936, and 1955 (Delaware River). Coastal storms include both summer tropical storms and winter nor’easters. They pose major threats to all coastal counties but especially the chain of low-lying sandy barrier islands and peninsulas that stretches south from Point Pleasant to Cape May. As with river flooding, New Jersey’s coastal storms are neither the largest nor the most intense to be found in the United States. For example, only one full-fledged hurricane came ashore in New Jersey (1903), although up to twenty more passed offshore or made landfall after declining to tropical storm strength (less than seventy-four mph sustained winds). Nonetheless, dying tropical storms have inflicted heavy losses, sometimes along the coast (1944), but more significantly on inland northern watersheds (1955, 1999). Hurricanes not only bring strong winds but may also generate storm surges (i.e., temporary rises in sea level) and heavy rainfall. Coastal storms are also the primary agents of beach and dune erosion. The shoreline of New Jersey has fluctuated in relation to the supply of sediment that it receives from offshore sources and from eroding portions of the coast itself.7 Nor’easters (cold core extra-tropical cyclones) are generally more erosive than hurricanes both because they are more frequent and because they are often more persistent. They give rise to short-interval steep waves that repeatedly attack the coastline over several tidal cycles, which can remove prodigious amounts of beach and dune sand. The storm of record on the New Jersey shore was a nor’easter that devastated much of the Middle Atlantic region in March 1962.8 Humans have also contributed to the erosion problem, especially in the twentieth century, partly by installing navigation aids (e.g., jetties) and building coastal protection structures that have altered natural erosion or deposition. Such structures are so prevalent in this state that elsewhere “the process of shore stabilization is sometimes disparagingly called ‘New Jerseyization.’”9 Drought has historically been a problem in northern and central parts of New Jersey, which are dependent on overburdened surface reservoirs for their water supply.10 Southern counties have been able to draw water from copious underground sources, but even here, demand is beginning to outstrip available supplies. As measured by precipitation deficits (i.e., the degree to which rainfall and snowfall are below long-term averages), the driest years (in decreasing order of aridity) were 1965 (driest), 1930, 1963, 1918 and 1957 (tied), 1916, 1941, and

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1980. Between 1895 and 2001 there were also half a dozen multiyear droughts: 1908–1910, 1916–1918, 1923–1924, 1929–1931, 1961–1966, and 1980–1982. From a meteorological standpoint, the 1960s drought was the worst in the twentieth century, but there is a weak relationship between severe meteorological droughts and droughts as problems of public policy. Their societal impacts peaked during the final decades of the century, although 1970–2000 was wetter than any comparable period since 1900. Forest fires have been important to the evolution of vegetation associations, indigenous ways of life, and land-management practices.11 The potential for large fires still remains, though it is now largely confined to the Pinelands (Pine Barrens) region of southern New Jersey. With each decade, the number of fires has grown (from approximately fifteen hundred to over sixteen thousand), but their average size has markedly declined (from 281 acres to between 3 and 4 acres). The peak decade for burning occurred early (1910–1919), when more than seven hundred thousand acres were consumed (table 13.2). Thereafter, burned areas declined more or less steadily to fewer than seventy thousand acres per decade (1991–2000). Blizzards are wind-driven snowstorms.12 They may be accompanied by subfreezing temperatures, intermittent periods of sleet or freezing rain, and floods produced by storm surges, ice jams in rivers, and runoff that fails to percolate into frozen ground. The blizzard of 1888 is the archetypal reference event for the northeastern United States.13 No comprehensive statistics on the frequency and magnitude of twentieth-

Table 13.2: Forest Fires in New Jersey by Decade, 1902–2000 Decade 1902–1909* 1910–1919 1920–1929 1930–1939 1940–1949 1950–1959 1960–1969 1970–1979 1980–1989 1991–2000 Total 1902–2000*

Fires 1,509 7,085 10,241 13,841 15,020 12,573 15,165 16,746 15,776 16,147 124,103

Burned Acres 424,984 713,215 668,751 586,176 257,619 171,418 311,540 122,718 79,580 69,497 3,405,498

Ratio Acres/Fires 281 101 65 42 17 14 21 7 5 4 27

Sources: New Jersey, Forest Fire Service, Protecting New Jersey’s Forests from Fire (Trenton: New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection, 1990); and information provided by B. Plante. *Data for 1901 and 1990 are missing.

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century New Jersey blizzards are available; long-term snow records can be found only at the measuring station in New Brunswick, and these reveal few detectable long-term trends.14 Anecdotal data and newspaper reports indicate that years in which particularly large and noteworthy snowstorms occurred include 1909, 1910, 1934, 1937, 1941, 1947, 1948, 1969, 1974, 1978, 1983, 1987, 1993, 1996, and 1997.15 This brief overview of New Jersey’s risk history shows that extreme events do constitute significant threats to society. The state’s residents should expect worse to come, for evidence points to more extreme events in the period before detailed recordkeeping began in the twentieth century,16 and researchers have deduced that ongoing climate changes may produce more threatening meteorological and hydrological regimes.17 However, the riskiness of New Jersey drives concern about natural disasters less than the degree to which humans have rendered themselves vulnerable. Exposure In New Jersey in the twentieth century, the most potent force contributing to natural disaster was ever-increasing exposure to risk. More people and investments were placed in areas at risk with each passing decade, primarily for two reasons: first, as the population grew, it generated more material possessions and required more public services—both of which are susceptible to physical damage in disasters; secondly, investors developed the safest sites first, thus placing a heavier burden on later investors who had only the more marginal places that remained to choose from. New Jersey’s population grew by 447 percent in the twentieth century (table 13.3). Today, there are about eight and a half million residents spread unevenly across the state. Most live in a corridor between New York and Philadelphia that is among the least naturally risky regions. However, riskier places including coastal counties, the fringes of the Pine Barrens, and small watersheds of northern and central New Jersey have grown dramatically. Four recently suburbanized counties (Bergen, Middlesex, Monmouth, and Ocean) now account for one-third (32.8 percent) of the state’s population, up from about oneseventh (13.8 percent) at the beginning of the century (table 13.4). Two counties that lie primarily within the flood-prone Raritan River Basin (Middlesex, Somerset) grew by 930 percent. The four oceanfront counties—those most exposed to coastal storms and beach erosion—grew by 916 percent; many of the new residents settled onto barrier islands and former wetlands that are among the state’s riskiest locations.18

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Burlington County, which contains much of the fire-susceptible Pine Barrens, grew by 727 percent. The shift to riskier locations appears in sharpest relief on the local scale. Stafford Township (Ocean County), on the fringes of the Pine Barrens and the flood- and storm-prone Barnegat Bay, grew from 1,252 in 1940 to 22,532 in 2000, while Whiting (Ocean County), deep in the pines, expanded from 4,000 to 36,000 between 1960 and 1990. A disproportionate percentage of this population consists of retirees and nursing-home residents, whose lack of mobility presents serious problems for evacuation planners and emergency managers. Of course, the relationship between population patterns and exposure to risk has never been a simple matter. For example, modes of transportation and cyclical movements of people throughout the year directly affect it, and both are subject to their own historical dynamics. During the early twentieth century, passenger trains showered sparks into fire-susceptible vegetation. After World War II, private automobiles much less likely to ignite forest fires largely displaced them. But cars, in turn, encourage people to spread out and penetrate formerly isolated fire-susceptible areas. More high-voltage electricity lines, residential subdivisions, and cigarette-smoking and campfire-building visitors pose new fire-ignition threats to the forests. Likewise, even though many flood-sensitive railroad tracks have disappeared from low-gradient routes through river valleys and barrier islands, hazards still have the capacity to dislocate mass transportation: the highway and aircraft networks that increasingly replaced railroads now carry a different suite of vulnerabilities associated with traffic bottlenecks, the insecurity of elevated structures in strong winds, and unsafe drivers whose behavior cannot be controlled as easily as train crews’. Table 13.3: New Jersey Decadal Population Changes Date 1901–1910 1911–1920 1921–1930 1931–1940 1941–1950 1951–1960 1961–1970 1971–1980 1981–1990 1991–2000

Absolute Increase

Percentage of Increase

653,498 618,733 885,434 118,318 665,164 1,241,403 1,101,382 196,659 365,365 684,162

34.7 24.4 28.1 2.9 16.0 25.7 18.0 2.7 5.0 8.9

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Table 13.4: Changes in Population by County County Atlantic Bergen Burlington Camden Cape May Cumberland Essex Gloucester Hudson Hunterdon Mercer Middlesex Monmouth Morris Ocean Passaic Salem Somerset Sussex Union Warren Statewide

1900 46,402 78,441 58,241 107,643 13,201 51,193 359,053 31,905 386,048 34,507 95,365 79,762 82,057 65,156 19,747 155,202 25,530 32.948 24,134 99.353 37,781 1,883,669

Rank 13 9 11 4 21 12 2 17 1 15 6 8 7 10 20 3 18 16 19 5 14

2000 252,552 884,118 423,394 508,931 102,326 146,438 793,633 254.673 608,975 121,989 350,761 750,162 615,301 470,212 510,916 489,049 64,285 297,490 144,166 522,541 102,467 8,414,350

Rank 15 1 11 8 20 16 2 14 5 18 12 3 4 10 7 9 21 13 17 6 19

Percentage of Increase 544 1,127 727 473 891 286 221 798 158 354 368 940 750 722 2,587 315 251 903 597 526 271

The task of preparing for emergencies became very complex among the mobile populations of New Jersey in the late twentieth century. Today, depending on when extreme events begin, the number of people at risk varies enormously. Children might be in school or on buses; adults might be in workplaces or at vacation retreats or in transit. These kinds of (short-term) population shifts complicate the assessment of human exposure but do not significantly affect the vulnerability of fixed structures and infrastructures. Resistance New Jersey residents have deployed a wide range of general strategies and specific measures to buffer themselves from extremes of nature. Clues to the capacity for resistance are readily observable in the landscape. A large proportion (39 percent) of the state’s flood-prone coastal and freshwater wetlands have been diked, drained, and filled, sometimes to create agricultural fields or waste-disposal sites, but more often to provide ostensibly secure sites for houses, sports com-

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plexes, and other urban infrastructure. On the thin, droughty soils of south New Jersey, shallow valleys have been dammed—first to facilitate cranberry farming and more recently to provide recreational and visual amenities for incoming homeowners. Elsewhere, the state’s forests have been repeatedly cut back and burned since the arrival of the first European settlers four centuries ago; now scarcely any undisturbed woodland remains, and fire climax species have come to dominate large swathes of regrowth forests. Overlooking the Hudson River, along the steep rocky cliffs of the Palisades, cascades of steelmesh netting have been installed to capture landslips and rock falls. Most striking of all is the 126-mile ocean shoreline: it is layered with generations of groins, bulkheads, sea walls, and jetties in all stages of preservation, doused with sand pumped onto depleting beaches from offshore, flanked by boardwalks that have replaced the original dune lines, and it sports occasional man-made dune replacements held in place by planted beach grasses. Not all, but most of these landscape modifications occurred in the twentieth century. Moreover, such changes now threaten to eliminate the last vestiges of unmodified natural environment, including all open-space lands not statutorily excluded from conversion to urbanized uses. At the rate of growth prevailing during the 1990s, John Hasse estimated that “in only a few generations New Jersey will be the first (US) state to reach build-out, a condition in which all non-protected land will have been consumed for development.”19 Resource-management technologies quickly become outmoded, reflecting the rapidity of land conversion. Just as important, resource-management technologies decay so that they no longer serve their original purposes, which further increased hazard in recent decades. Small dams built in the nineteenth century for power generation, milling, and fisheries-impoundment fail ever more often. For example, Tropical Storm Floyd (1999) swept several dams away; again on July 13, 2004, thirteen dams on the Rancocas Creek failed in what some National Weather Service observers described as a “1,000 year storm.”20 Although none of these failures resulted in human deaths, the cost in damage and disruptions was heavy. Other adjustments that seek to change human behavior in the event of emergencies—measures such as prediction, monitoring, tracking, warning, evacuation, and hazard-fighting systems—are much less visible but no less important. Information and education programs, too, play a role; they are designed to acquaint the public with risks and supply them with the guidance needed for them to adopt means to prevent, avoid, and reduce hazard (e.g., insurance, relocation, and reconstruction initiatives).

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Mitchell (2006) provides a more detailed description of the protective adjustments that have been practiced in New Jersey.21 This shows that New Jerseyans have considered and tried many different measures, with varying degrees of success, but that none have proven infallible; most have required major modifications as hazard management specialists continually strive to account for the changing ecology of hazard. The outcome of various resistance strategies seems to depend on circumstances peculiar to particular eras and places. Though humans are, perhaps, intrinsically disposed to seek universal and permanent solutions to hazards, New Jersey’s twentieth-century record offers little evidence of enduring success in this endeavor. Resilience Resilience is the most poorly understood and least documented aspect of vulnerability to disaster. There are no comprehensive data on rates and degrees of disaster recovery in New Jersey, so we must rely on anecdotal evidence and limited case studies. Furthermore, researchers employ different concepts and criteria for resilience, depending on whether their operative notion is individual or collective, thus complicating its interpretation. If resilience simply means the capacity for survival, it is not difficult to conclude that New Jersey has become more resilient to natural disasters in the twentieth century. Not only has the state continued to attract more people—often to hazardous locations—but few settlements have been permanently abandoned after floods, droughts, wildfires, or storms. However, a more careful assessment suggests that disaster-stricken settlements often survive because leaders invoke the “rhetoric of resilience” to encourage rebuilding—sometimes under circumstances where a dispassionate analysis might advise otherwise. This fact underscores the influence of scale, institutional hierarchies, and social differentiation in shaping patterns of recovery. Typically, local leaders of heavily damaged communities call upon citizens to dedicate themselves not just to replacing lost buildings but, preferably, to improving upon predisaster conditions. Often, as in the case of Bound Brook after Tropical Storm Floyd (1999), these initiatives draw support from grassroots groups that establish local “We will rebuild” committees. Most disaster-impacted New Jersey communities have mounted similar efforts, but not all were, in fact, rebuilt. At the beginning of the century, coastal storms and erosion removed blocks of houses in Cape May Point and other shorefront communities,22 most of the state’s shoreside railroads gave up the struggle to main-

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tain periodically flooded or undercut rights of way, and many small Pine Barrens communities were abandoned after fires, droughts, and economic disasters. In fact, for communities, by and large, to assume that they will rebuild after disasters is a relatively recent development. New kinds of insurance have contributed to it: flood insurance emerged in the late 1960s, increasingly enabling residential property owners to rebuild, and “business continuity insurance” developed in the late 1970s, enhancing commercial property owners’ capacity to ride out similar disruptions. After 1900, the spatial “reach” of New Jersey’s natural disasters expanded. At the beginning of the century, the state was a mosaic of small municipalities that each possessed a high degree of political autonomy and functional independence. Over the next one hundred years, New Jerseyans became steadily more interconnected with each other and the wider world. Ever denser networks of roads, electrical lines, telephone wires, water, gas and sewage pipes, television cables, cell-phone towers, and other paraphernalia of the information revolution extended practically everywhere, including formerly remote areas like the pine forests, coastal islands, and northwest highlands. These kinds of infrastructure had numerous effects on disaster resilience—both positive and negative. For example, better communications made it possible to disseminate information about pending disasters widely and quickly; better transportation infrastructure enabled emergency management personnel, equipment, and materials expeditiously to arrive where they were needed.23 But infrastructure investments were themselves at risk and required protection. Moreover, they attracted more users who depended on them. These users, in turn, grew progressively less tolerant of service disruptions and increasingly demanded ever-higher reliability. Interconnectedness also spread the effects of disasters beyond directly affected communities. Distant places became vulnerable through their dependence on the infrastructure. Corresponding to the expanded reach of disasters, the locus of governmental responsibilities for dealing with disaster shifted upward from local communities to state and federal entities. It was not until mid-century (1950) that the first national Disaster Relief Act was passed and not until 1968 that a governor of New Jersey issued an executive order providing state-government assistance to victims of a natural disaster.24 Since then, the scope and scale of state and federal intervention in disasters have expanded significantly. For example, between 1992 and 2001, New Jersey received twelve presidential disaster declarations; by the end of 1999, New Jersey governors had issued

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thirty-nine disaster-related executive orders. Employing these and similar mechanisms, the political system has diffused the impact of disasters, making it less likely that they will permanently extinguish communities. It would be a mistake to conclude that the increasing resilience of the state as a whole has translated into improvements for all groups within it. The costs of disasters have always fallen quite unevenly across the population. Certain groups have borne a disproportionate share of the losses and had a more difficult time rebounding from them. For example, the poor, ethnic minorities, and recent immigrants have often been least resilient. As we shall see next, spatial and temporal contexts have strongly influenced the evolution of distinctive profiles among different types of disasters in New Jersey, and every one of the state’s five signature hazards has undergone a metamorphosis. THE CHANGING HISTORICAL CONTEXT OF NATURAL HAZARDS Blizzard—A Hazard Downgraded Changes in the life-support systems of urban areas have played a particularly important role in reducing the danger posed by blizzards in twentieth-century New Jersey. Early in the century, snow and ice frequently prevented cities like New York or Newark from being able to provide heat and food for their inhabitants.25 Stockpiles of coal were often inadequate to sustain urban heating plants for more than a few days, and perishable foods needed constant replenishment from rural areas. Northern New Jersey cities depended on frequent coal deliveries from Pennsylvania. Some of these came across the state by rail or the Delaware and Raritan Canal; others arrived by barge trains or individual lighters that traveled along the coast. Snowdrifts sometimes blocked rail links,26 but waterborne transportation systems were even more susceptible to disruption. Blizzards prevented barges from sailing on open water because strong winds, superstructure icing, and floating ice endangered navigation, the last often clogging landing stages. Delays to city-bound milk trains spread anxiety since bakeries depended on regular milk supplies. Passenger trains also stalled in snow banks or could not proceed when rail switches had frozen.27 In the first two decades of the century, many people died from exhaustion and exposure in blizzards. For example, three died on the streets of Jersey City in a January 1905 blizzard and three others in

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Paterson in February 1920.28 However, some groups were more vulnerable than others. Although the following extract describes conditions in New York, the same problems occurred in Jersey City, Newark, and other parts of New Jersey. Homeless men, scantily clad, and overburdened horses, poorly shod, suffered more from yesterday’s storm than in any they had experienced this winter. The men sought refuge in the City’s Lodging House when they found other places closed to them. The horses, more than six thousand, according to a police estimate, fell on the ice-coated pavements in various parts of the city, blocking traffic on the car lines of the principal thoroughfares and choking the side streets with heavily laden trucks and wagons, so that for hours at a time in many parts of the city it was utterly impossible to move a vehicle of any sort any distance.29

By the 1920s, bridges and tunnels replaced waterborne crossings, greatly alleviating ice delays on passenger ferries.30 Today, while blizzards still disrupt travel and imperil the homeless, they are unlikely to trigger a general loss of food or fuel, and the specter of traffic jams caused by fallen horses has completely passed into history. Now, municipal budgets, school schedules, and sporting venues routinely plan for snow. Snow removal products, tire chains, and studded tires are seasonal staples, and snow clearance teams demonstrate their skills in competitive snow “rodeos.”31 In suburban communities, especially, teenagers often become snow-shovelers for hire to earn extra money.32 New Jersey even sustains a number of ski resorts. The economic costs of excessive snow are still worrisome, but there is at least as much concern about lack of snow. A pair of editorials in the New York Times best expresses the distance that separates late nineteenth-century and late twentiethcentury perceptions of snowstorms. Speaking of the paper’s failure to gather significant news about the blizzard of 1888, the writer muses about what the future might hold: The time may not come within the present century when the newspaper will not be hampered in its work of news collecting by storms of such intemperate violence as that which swept the earth yesterday, but progress is making in that direction, and ultimately no doubt the telegraphic system of the entire country will be secure from damage by wind and storm.33

Just over a hundred years later, the emphasis had moved from the risk posed to overhead communications lines, which might still be at risk, to the cathartic qualities of blizzards:

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Similar sentiments now frequently accompany blizzards in urban America, suggesting that snow is no longer a major public policy problem. As observed by one expert, “snow in most cities is not a serious disruption of life but an excuse to go to the store, to socialize, and to record and later share memories of the latest ‘blizzard.’”35 At least in New Jersey, material connotations of severe winter storms seem to have given way to metaphorical ones. Forest Fires: Smaller, More Numerous, and Still Potentially Catastrophic Throughout the twentieth century, New Jersey’s forest fires have been considered almost entirely anthropogenic, but the human causes have changed dramatically (table 13.5). In the 1890s, sparks from railroad locomotives were thought to be the leading ignition source, followed by a variety of other human factors lumped under the general heading of accidents or carelessness (e.g., the firing of meadows to enrich pasture; precautionary burning of fire breaks; improperly tended cooking and trash-disposal fires, discarded cigarettes). Arson also accounted for a significant but small percentage of fires, whereas lightning—the primary “natural” culprit—was barely mentioned. By 1990, the proportion of accidental fires remained more or less unchanged, but locomotive sparks had ceased to be a major problem, and arson now kindled about half of all fires. It seems that appropriate technological fixes successfully mitigated the risks of a dangerous mechanical system (i.e., spark arrestors became mandatory, and the number of rail lines in operation declined as alternative means of transportation developed) whereas society proved unable to curb burgeoning social pathologies that increased fire risks.

Table 13.5: Perceived Changes in Causes of Forest Fires Causal Agent

1895

1990

Locomotives Accidents/carelessness Incendiary Other

49% 41% 6% 2%

<1% 39% 50% 10%

Source: Report of the (NJ) State Geologist, 1899, and NJ-DEP, 1990.

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However, closer examination of newspaper reports and official documentary sources gives rise to a considerably more nuanced interpretation. First, these reports tended to blame marginal members of society for fires. Describing a fire that affected parts of Atlantic and Cumberland Counties in late April of 1900, the New York Times noted that “many of the sufferers are poor Italians, who obtained small clearings and enlarged them by degrees.”36 During September 1895, another fire was purportedly “set by an Italian back-firing in the wrong way,” and yet another was “set accidentally by Italians cooking in the woods.”37 Secondly, officials found it difficult to convince people to take steps to reduce fire-related losses. Some tried to persuade landowners that they might reap financial rewards from better fire protection. Failure to protect themselves, they argued, would jeopardize fresh water supplies (e.g., too many fires would prohibit the Pine Barrens from supplying Camden and Philadelphia with fresh water).38 Moreover, it would encourage various kinds of antisocial behavior. The fires have been so abundant that the people have come to look upon them as inevitable, and there is a deplorable lack of real interest among land owners in regard to any attempt to introduce State protection. Large tracts of land are owned by nonresident capitalists, and timber-stealing is very common, especially after fires. Where the timber is killed many persons consider it better to use the dead trees for cordwood than to allow them to rot on the ground, and they cut such timber on tracts of land to which they have no right. There is no doubt that forest fires encourage a spirit of lawlessness and a disregard of property rights.39

Third, many observers lamented the lack of state-coordinated action. In response to an 1894 fire, a Tuckerton resident complained: Why should boatmen and laborers spend a night in severe and dangerous toil without compensation, fighting fire for absent owners? And again, why should absent owners pay men to fight fire when they go out, an undisciplined mob under impromptu leadership, and when it is often too late to save the property? And again, who shall telegraph the owners and get them to act? . . . This fire could have been put out a dozen times by a small State force, paid, officered, disciplined and known to have authority.40

These sentiments were typical of one strain of conservationist thinking in the early twentieth century—much identified with Gifford Pinchot, Progressivism, and the scientific management of forest resources.41 This philosophy combined analytic principles of scientific

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inquiry, economic efficiency, and utilitarian rationality with elitist prescriptions for expert management of natural resources by public organizations, especially those that operated at higher (nonlocal) levels of government. In this view, both greedy capitalists and uneducated immigrants could be cast as villains who imperiled others, while the redemptive powers of education, good government, and belief in the perfectibility of institutions occupied the positive side of the ledger. Plans for so-called forest farms were typical: Suppose a person possesses one hundred acres of woodland, out of which he wishes to make a combination forest and farm. The first step is to clear a fire-lane around the whole of it, at least two hundred feet in width. This lane should constitute the cultivated portion of the farm. On this no inflammable crop should be planted. . . . If the whole area of woodland in southern New Jersey were treated in this way, sixty-five percent would be left in wood, and the whole would be cut up in such a way that extensive fires would be impossible.42

These extracts illustrate that the concept of natural disaster has long been open to negotiation and for use in discourse wars of one kind or another. Early twentieth-century scientists clearly attributed some of the responsibility for natural disasters to the shortcomings of marginalized humans. Conversely, humanists have often noted a tendency in western culture to “naturalize” explanations of complex phenomena that have troubling societal implications. Historians like Steinberg have elevated this notion to a general theory wherein the practice of labeling disasters “natural” constitutes a diversion that allows those in power to camouflage behaviors they would prefer to hide from general scrutiny.43 Accordingly, state policy-makers should remember that “natural” disasters are never neutral, however much they may appear to offer a nonpartisan basis for uniting public constituencies behind government decisions. Twentieth-century changes in the human ecology of forest fires suggest that forest fire is a less destructive public problem now than in 1900 (table 13.2). But is it a less troublesome hazard? Here the picture is murkier. Assuming that all fires are accurately recorded, a more than tenfold increase in their number implies that firefighting services now receive more calls than in the past. It may also signal that fire detection and suppression systems are more efficient than heretofore; although more fires occur, the amount of burned land has declined dramatically. However, great conflagrations like those of 1963 are still possible when existing firefighting systems fail, perhaps in the face of unexpectedly vigorous fires. During a three-day period in 1963 (April 20–22), thirty-

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seven separate fires burned over 190,000 acres in the Pine Barrens. The volume of burned forest was equivalent to 61 percent of the total burned area during the entire decade of the 1960s, surpassing annual burned area totals for all but one year (1930) since records began in 1872. This review of the historical context of forest fires in New Jersey reveals that statistics alone provide insufficient information for managing the problem. Qualitative changes that accompany shifts in fire-loss patterns and sensitivity to human dimensions are just as important. We now need a forest-fire management system that can cope with many small and dispersed blazes (the norm) and with rare catastrophic ones. We need to see forest fires as acts of nature (driven by risks) and as acts of man (driven by changes in vulnerability). We need to recognize the human capacity to ignite and extinguish fires. Finally, we need to remember that fire intimately shapes and threatens the forest—a landscape that attracts its potential victims. It is not easy to sort among the varied roles humans play in relation to risk and hazard. As we have seen, some early twentieth-century scientists attributed hazards to certain groups of humans based on stereotypes. Other groups may be similarly stigmatized today. Coastal Storms: Shore-dwellers Wait for “The Big One” Coastal storms became increasingly central to New Jersey life and politics in the twentieth century. Initially, they were problems of the state’s periphery, chiefly of concern to seafarers and fisherfolk, or those—like lighthouse keepers and members of lifesaving services—charged with ensuring the safety of maritime resource users. Later, they became the focus of debates about the state’s burgeoning beach-erosion problems and the constraints that erosion placed on the development prospects and municipal budgets of coastal communities. After the 1962 Ash Wednesday nor’easter, the public grew more aware that storms might threaten the economic viability of the entire shorefront and the safety of its occupants. In the last third of the century, state leaders and emergency managers recognized the potential for catastrophe of all storms—but especially hurricanes. They worried about the narrowing margins of safety available from warning and evacuation systems operating near the limits of their effectiveness. This period was also marked by a meteorological shift toward more frequent and more extreme storms.44 After scientific evidence of climate change and sea-level rise appeared in the 1980s and 1990s, the specter of bigger and more frequent hurricanes loomed over discussions about the regulation of land use in densely settled coastal high-

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hazard zones. Such storms came to be not just the premier worry of public officials in the coastal zone but a touchstone in debates about the entire state’s sensitivity to problems of increasing hazard. In 1900, seafarers and fisherfolk were among the most numerous, most exposed, and most vulnerable users of the New Jersey coast. Storms took a heavy toll of fishing boats, coal barges, coastal freighters, ferries, and transoceanic passenger ships. Even at mid-century, autumnal storms could still imperil a wide range of shipping.45 However, after World War II, the number of small vessels vulnerable to storms began to decline, coal barges disappeared, the commercial inshore fishing industry contracted, passenger liner traffic gradually tapered off, and coasting vessels came under pressure from competitors on land. Navigation improvements, the growing scale of oceangoing vessels, and the shrinking size of their crews reduced ship losses and minimized fatalities. As these kinds of seaborne risks declined, so, too, did the provisions made onshore to aid the victims. The mid-century closure and decommissioning of New Jersey lifesaving stations that had been established a century earlier reflected this trend.46 As the perception of risks to seafarers lessened, the salience of storm-related erosion hazards on land increased. At first, few nonexperts believed erosion could be successfully managed. Newspaper commentators offered only wistful (if forlorn) hope that people would forget about the last storm before the next one occurred.47 However, with the creation of the New Jersey Board on Commerce and Navigation (1922), scientific and technical research picked up speed, and more hopeful notions took root. Throughout the 1930s and 1940s, the media embraced stories about proposed erosion-control schemes, as well as reports about erosion damage. Initially, debate focused on increased spending for storm-rehabilitation work, especially after the Great New England Hurricane of 1938.48 Ever larger and more ambitious engineering works were popular.49 Few foresaw problems with building structural defenses, even if it encouraged more investment in exposed areas. Around mid-century, erosion managers began supplementing the supply of sand on beaches (i.e., beach nourishment), supplanting the previously exclusive emphasis on structural engineering works.50 In the 1950s, as New Jersey leaders learned about Robert Moses’s success in building new oceanfront parks on erosion-prone parts of neighboring Long Island51 and shore-zone recreation began to boom,52 possibilities for creating land by pumping dredged materials onto eroding beaches attracted even more attention. A notable milestone in this debate was the publication of a state Shore Protection Master Plan (1981) that favored a mix of structural and nonstructural adjustments. However,

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since storms caused most sand-loss from beaches, many trenchantly objected that nourishment would continuously drain public resources. New Jersey became a reference point in national debates about coastal protection, inspiring a wide range of views, from the conservative stance that there was no immediate need to alter coastal real estate investment and land-use trends to the more radical belief that a general “retreat” from eroding shores was required.53 Although many New Jerseyans now recognize the destructive potential of nor’easters, most still regard hurricanes as greater threats. Headlines like “New Jersey overdue for a major hurricane” are common in newspapers and on websites.54 Short stories feature state residents facing fictional hurricanes.55 Insurance companies have modified their coverage of hurricane losses to make it more difficult to obtain insurance and have reduced their liability for reimbursements.56 Emergency managers also continue to plan for a major hurricane above all other coastal risks.57 Despite a twentieth-century record of false alerts and less-than-catastrophic coastal damage from these storms,58 in contemporary New Jersey they have become the East Coast equivalent of California’s seismic “big one.” Floods: Ubiquitous and Worsening Today, the Federal Emergency Management Agency considers flooding the primary natural hazard in New Jersey.59 Yet floods were already a major problem in 1900. Five of the state’s seven signature disasters involved some flooding, including the most expensive to date—in September 1999 (table 13.1). Places like Paterson, Bound Brook, and Trenton that have traditionally been trouble spots on the main stems of larger rivers continue to experience inundation, but floods now occur in newly urbanized lands almost everywhere. A recent map of developed flood hazard areas indicates that almost all of the state’s 566 municipalities must contend with flooding to some degree. As flooding became more widespread, public policy also changed. By century’s end, policy-makers no longer aimed to eliminate floods but to find sustainable development strategies that might allow humans to adjust to flood regimes; small-scale alternatives took precedence over large-scale structural engineering control works, and flooding was subsumed into the larger conceptual framework of river basin management. Following every major flood on the Passaic River after 1902, people/residents called for the construction of large floodcontrol dams and reservoirs, but none were ever built.60 By 1999, the Delaware River also remained the largest nondammed river in the

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eastern United States despite many proposals to the contrary, especially the proposed Tocks Island Dam.61 The twentieth-century history of flood control in the lower Hackensack River’s Meadowlands (wetlands) district offers similar lessons. In these cases (and many others besides), influential local residents opposed land acquisition or land conversion as a nonlocal environmental conservation movement grew more vigorous, especially after 1970, spelling the demise of large-scale flood-control engineering projects. Today, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers has a long list of New Jersey–based flood-control projects in various stages of planning and development. Some of these have been on the books for many decades without coming to fruition because of high cost, lack of economic justification, major environmental impacts, or lack of public acceptance. Following the example of Pennsylvania’s Brandywine River region, locally supported Watershed Associations began springing up across New Jersey in the 1940s. The Delaware River Basin Commission (1955) and a variety of other multigovernmental entities that addressed a wide range of water-management issues in addition to flooding later joined them. The latter groups derived strong support from suburban dwellers increasingly concerned about a nexus of issues including water quality and supply, species preservation, recreation, and flood control. In the future, New Jersey’s landscapes will continue to become more urbanized, and this will greatly affect hydrological regimes as well as the structures of municipal governments. At present, the small size of many local governments (for municipalities of typically fewer than ten thousand) hampers coordinated efforts to deal with flooding because they tend to have restricted economic bases, limited municipal budgets, narrow visions of government responsibility, and inward-looking public agendas. Sociopolitical differentiation has produced the large number of municipal governments, and it has also given rise to segregated housing patterns that disproportionately subject the poor, recent immigrants, and ethnic minorities (sometimes all three) to the dangers of flooding. In summary, flooding in New Jersey has become a constant and ubiquitous problem. A large, heterogeneous population tightly constrains the range of responses with its many competing demands, existing complex land-use patterns, and perception that the state’s natural environment is both limited and close to its carrying capacity. Drought: Emergence of a Universal Hazard Before 1900, newspapers rarely carried stories about drought in New Jersey. In the first third of the century, drought reports referred almost

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exclusively to crop damage and other rural impacts. In the 1930s, the focus shifted to urban drought issues but mostly in anticipation of future problems. In the words of one commentator: “A few years of such dry summers as that of 1930 and the communities of Northern New Jersey would lack sufficient potable water, unless relief in the meantime had been contrived.”62 Subsequently, analysts increasingly perceived links between drought and new suburbs that were proliferating without much attention to water supply needs: “The basic problem is how to atone for lack of foresight and inadequate distribution facilities in the suburbs. The outward thrust into the suburbs since 1950 appears to have caught water plants there unprepared.”63 From mid-century onward, New Jerseyans sought federal assistance with drought emergencies ever more often. At first, national leaders anxious to discourage local dependence on national government resources rejected their entreaties; President Eisenhower turned down calls to issue a drought disaster declaration for New Jersey in 1957. But less than a decade later (1965), President Johnson acceded to similar requests and officially declared New Jersey’s first federally recognized drought disaster. Thereafter, urban droughts grew considerably more salient, and governors began to include drought planning on the state’s public agenda; only since 1974 have New Jersey governors issued drought-related executive orders. At the same time, official perceptions of the causes of drought also underwent striking changes. More and more often, human use of water supply systems was cited as a factor: “[T]he largest municipalities in New Jersey . . . depend on reservoirs in the heavily populated areas, where runoffs after heavy rains and snowfalls are considerably reduced because of the development of open spaces.”64 By the end of the century, human agency in drought had taken on a preeminent role: drought was no longer regarded as a natural but a man-made phenomenon. State leaders began to interpret the causes of droughts as a complex mixture of factors that included climate change, population growth, land conversion and development practices, and reluctance to engage in long-range planning (either for water use or for drought emergencies), as well as unequal access to existing water supplies, among many others. A new era of water-resource planning and development was clearly emerging. In a pivotal period, between 1975 and 1982, state leaders engaged in preparing a Statewide Water Supply Master Plan, shifting the task of coping with drought from individuals (e.g., farmers, local water purveyors) to large institutions (e.g., multinational water conglomerates; a state and interstate water-planning bureaucracy), and opening it up to a much wider range of actors and interest groups. People came to realize that the problem demanded a broad public discourse with input from

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many “stakeholders.” Moreover, they came to see drought as one among many contingencies that required new approaches to governance. There has long been a contrast in the role drought has played in northern and southern parts of New Jersey. Most of south New Jersey lacks water-retaining soils or large rivers, and it has depended heavily on large underground water supplies with centuries-long replenishment cycles rather than smaller rain-fed surface reservoirs. As these aquifers were widely regarded as inexhaustible, drought was a muted issue in southern New Jersey for most of the twentieth century except as a factor in forest fires. But even here, the seeds of a new conceptualization of drought are sprouting. Beginning in the 1960s, the Delaware River Basin Commission became concerned about localized overpumping and saltwater intrusion into coastal aquifers of Cape May County, Atlantic County, and Ocean County.65 The protection of aquifer recharge areas was also a major consideration for state legislators during the 1970s. At that time, federal and state governments enacted legislation to limit development of the Pinelands region that lies over New Jersey’s premier underground water supplies. By century’s end, many drought analysts had come to the conclusion that water crises loomed for all regions of New Jersey, whether they relied on reservoirs or underground supplies. One commentator summarized the new, broader context as follows: [S]tate and local governments and the news media have failed to recognize drought as a complex set of phenomena that demand long range regional planning and hard decisions after the inevitable rains come and the emergency decrees fade away. . . . In general there should be a more robust public debate about how the government functions in a liberal democracy in times of emergency.66

Hand in hand with the changing assessment of drought came a suite of water-engineering innovations and institutional changes in drought management.67 Most recently, these have included the creation of regional drought and water management agencies. These evolving hazard assessments and societal adjustments show that drought went from being an intermittent (mainly rural) problem to a permanent challenge for all residents of a highly urbanized state. SUMMARY AND IMPLICATIONS During the twentieth century, natural hazards became more salient in New Jersey, the perception of causes shifted, and the meanings that

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people attached to them changed. The margins of safety once provided by keeping people and investments away from the physically riskier parts of the state, or by using those areas less intensively than elsewhere, narrowed. These trends continue in the twenty-first century. Though it remains unlikely that New Jerseyans will lose their lives in acute natural disasters, it has become quite likely that they will experience hazard in some form—whether directly as victims or indirectly as helpers, taxpayers, and spectators. However, different kinds of natural hazards have had rather varied effects on the state and its population. Broadly speaking, since 1900 people in New Jersey have become more vulnerable to floods, droughts, and coastal storms—mostly through increased exposure but also because protective measures have often failed to meet the challenges jointly produced by physical risks and new societal arrangements. The same trends can also be observed in other highly developed environments such as Western Europe.68 New Jerseyans may also be more frequently exposed to wildfires, though their average size has generally declined and their social meaning has been transformed as the values that humans attach to forested land have changed. Forests that were once viewed as resources for the lumber, paper, and glass industries are now valued primarily for their ecological, recreational, and amenity attributes. Only with respect to blizzards does there appear to have been an unambiguous trend toward greater security. The spatial burden of hazard has also grown and shifted repeatedly within New Jersey as the state has added population and investments at different rates in various areas with contrasting levels of exposure to natural risks. Such heterogeneous outcomes lend weight to the recent notions about shifting patterns of risk in social science. Though these have generally emphasized the rising prevalence of technological risks vis-à-vis natural ones,69 the historical evidence from New Jersey suggests that natural risks also undergo transition without disappearing from the public agenda. Unevenness is the norm, both in time and space. As a consequence, we must interpret the lessons of previous decades very carefully in order to appreciate their contemporary significance. It is clear that there are complex temporal and spatial distributional effects of natural hazards and of the policies devised in response to them. As societies struggle to design a better fit between uncertain environments and restless people, these effects are worthy of close inspection. Although deliberate efforts on the part of hazard-management agencies and institutions have had some impact on New Jerseyans’ experience of disaster, many important changes in hazard ecology

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have resulted from fortuitous societal trends. In other words, the recent history of human engagement with hazards illustrates the limitations, as well as the strengths, of strategies that seek to control and direct environmental processes. This raises a variety of questions that are pertinent to public policy. For example, to what extent should new policies be predicated on searching, retrospective assessments of existing or preexisting policies that test the validity of underlying assumptions? Also, what are the relative merits of public strategies that take advantage of societal trends and those that run counter to them? As science and politics now renegotiate their relationship, and many different interest groups establish partnerships indispensable to public policy, there is a pressing need to maximize exchanges of experience. Finally, having established that fluidity and dynamism are signal characteristics of natural hazards in twentieth-century New Jersey, we may appropriately ask whether applying a historical lens to a longer span of human engagement with natural extremes in this location would be fruitful. The further back the historical record of hazards is extended, the more likely it is that larger extremes come into view. In other words, whereas a twentieth-century perspective may lend weight to the argument that humans have created increasing vulnerability to natural extremes, a pre-twentieth-century analysis would undoubtedly turn up evidence of natural events that exceed the scope of those that have confronted us recently. It is well to remember that humankind’s engagement with the physical world is a complex process and that the shocks that drive communities to the thresholds of disaster have both social and natural roots.

NOTES 1. See also the companion paper: James K. Mitchell, “A Century of Natural Disasters in a State of Changing Vulnerability,” in New Jersey’s Environments: Past, Present, and Future, ed. Neil M. Maher (New Brunswick, N.J.: Rutgers University Press, 2006), 164–98. 2. William H. McNeill, The Global Condition: Conquerors, Catastrophes, and Community (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1992), 135–36. 3. According to the U.S. Bureau of the Census and the New Jersey Department of Labor and Workforce Development, the state’s population density in 2000 was approximately 1,130 persons per square mile or 438 per square kilometer. This is about 12 percent more crowded than the Netherlands. 4. David Alexander, Confronting Catastrophe: New Perspectives on Natural Disasters (New York: Oxford University Press, 2000); Ian Burton, Robert W. Kates, and Gilbert F. White, The Environment as Hazard (New York: Ox-

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ford University Press, 1978); Kenneth Hewitt, Regions of Risk: A Geographical Introduction to Disasters (Harlow, UK: Longman, 1997); Ben Wisner, Piers Blaikie, Terry Cannon, and Ian Davis, At Risk: Natural Hazards, People’s Vulnerability, and Disasters, second ed. (New York: Routledge, 2004). 5. Myles R. Allen, Peter A. Stott, John F. B. Mitchell, Reiner Schnur, and Thomas L. Delworth, “Quantifying the Uncertainty in Forecasts of Anthropogenic Climate Change,” Nature 407, no. 6804 (2000): 617–20; Thomas Glade, Paola Albini, and Félix Francés, eds., The Use of Historical Data in Natural Hazard Assessments (Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 2001). 6. Other risks, such as lightning, hail, and tornadoes also exist, and are sometimes locally serious, but none have inflicted losses on the scale of these five. See David M. Ludlum, The New Jersey Weather Book (New Brunswick, N.J.: Rutgers University Press, 1983). 7. Norbert P. Psuty and Douglas D. Ofiara, Coastal Hazard Management: Lessons and Future Directions from New Jersey (New Brunswick, N.J.: Rutgers University Press, 2002), 84–87. 8. Karl F. Nordstrom, Paul A. Gares, Norbert P. Psuty, Orrin H. Pilkey Jr., William J. Neal, and Orrin H. Pilkey Sr., Living with the New Jersey Shore (Durham, N.C.: Duke University Press, 1986), 43–47. 9. Michael Craghan, “The New Jersey Shore: The Developed Coast,” in From the Hudson to the Hamptons: Snapshots of the New York Metropolitan Area, ed. Ines M. Miyares, Marianna Pavlovskaya, and Gregory A. Pope (Washington, D.C.: Association of American Geographers, 2001), 134–39. 10. For historical data on droughts and precipitation in New Jersey since 1895, see the climate tables developed by David A. Robinson, New Jersey State Climatologist, Department of Geography, Rutgers University, at climate.rutgers.edu/stateclim/?section=menu6%20target=drought_task (accessed December 1, 2008); and Keith W. Harrington, “Climate Change and Urban Drought in Northern New Jersey,” Ph.D. diss. (Rutgers University, 1996). See also U.S. Geological Survey, National Water Summary 1988–1989—Hydrologic events and floods and droughts, U.S. Geological Survey WaterSupply Paper 2375 (U.S. Geological Survey, 1991), wi.water.usgs.gov/pubs /water_supply_papers.htm (accessed December 1, 2008). 11. Stephen J. Pyne, Fire in America: A Cultural History of Wildland and Rural Fire (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1982), 34–65; Jonathan Berger and John W. Sinton, Water, Earth, and Fire: Land Use and Environmental Planning in the New Jersey Pine Barrens (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1985), 107–40, 120–21. 12. The U.S. Weather Service’s technical definition of a blizzard combines the following elements: winds of thirty-five mph or greater; temperatures near 20 degrees Fahrenheit or lower over the period of the storm; and visibility of less than 0.25 miles (due to blowing snow). The word blizzard first came into widespread use in the United States to describe winter snowstorms in the 1880s. 13. Mary Cable, The Blizzard of ‘88 (New York: Atheneum, 1988). 14. See climate.rutgers.edu/stateclim_v1/climreportcard/climate_report_ card.html (accessed December 1, 2008).

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15. Paul J. Kocin and Louis W. Ucelline, Snowstorms along the Northeastern Coast of the United States: 1955 to 1985 (Boston: American Meteorological Society, 1990). 16. Patricia A. Lockridge, Lowell S. Whiteside, and James F. Lander, “Tsunamis and Tsunami-like Waves of the Eastern United States,” Science of Tsunami Hazards 20, no. 3 (2002): 120–51; Jeffrey P. Donnelly, Stuart Roll, Micah Wengren, Jessica Butler, Richard Lederer, and Thompson Webb III, “Sedimentary Evidence of Intense Hurricane Strikes from New Jersey,” Geology 29, no. 7 (2001): 615–18; Jeffrey P. Donnelly, Jessica Butler, Stuart Roll, Micah Wengren, and Thompson Webb III, “A Backbarrier Overwash Record of Intense Storms from Brigantine, New Jersey,” Marine Geology 210, no. 1 (September 15, 2004): 107–21. 17. E. Robert Thieler and Erika S. Hammar-Klose, National Assessment of Coastal Vulnerability to Sea Level Rise: Preliminary Results for the U.S. Atlantic Coast (Woods Hole, Mass.: U.S. Geological Survey, 1999); U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1997. 18. U.S. Department of the Interior, The Impact of Federal Programs on Wetlands: A Report to Congress by the Secretary of the Interior, two vols. (Washington, D.C., 1994). Vol. 2, The Everglades, Coastal Louisiana, Galveston Bay, Puerto Rico, California’s Central Valley, Western Riparian Areas, Southeastern and Western Alaska, The Delmarva Peninsula, North Carolina, Northeastern New Jersey, Michigan, and Nebraska, www.doi.gov/oepc /wetlands2/index.html (accessed December 1, 2008). 19. John Hasse, “Sprawl,” The Encyclopedia of New Jersey, ed. Maxine N. Lurie and Marc Mappen (New Brunswick, N.J.: Rutgers University Press, 2004), 764–65. 20. See nj.usgs.gov/special/flood0704/ (accessed December 1, 2008). 21. Mitchell, “A Century of Natural Disasters.” 22. New York Times, September 5, 1959; New York Times, July 16, 1966. 23. George W. Carey, L. Zobler, M. Greenberg, and R. Hordon, Urbanization, Water Pollution, and Public Policy (New Brunswick, N.J.: Center for Urban Policy Research, 1972). 24. New Jersey Governors’ Executive Orders, 1941 to January 1990, Rutgers-Newark Law Library, New Jersey Digital Law Library, njlegallib.rutgers .edu/eo/eolist.php (accessed December 1, 2008); State of New Jersey Executive Orders, www.state.nj.us /infobank/circular/eoindex.htm (accessed December 1, 2008). 25. New York Times, March 6, 1902; New York Times, January 26 and 27, 1905; New York Times, March 8, 1920. 26. New York Times, March 8, 1920. 27. New York Times, February 6, 1920. 28. New York Times, January 26 and 27, 1905; February 20, 1920. 29. New York Times, January 4, 1905. 30. New York Times, March 29, 1925. 31. See, for example, www.state.nj.us/turnpike/pr092702.htm (accessed December 1, 2008).

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32. New York Times, January 10, 1996. 33. New York Times, March 13, 1888. 34. New York Times, January 9, 1996. 35. Bernard Mergen, Snow in America (Washington, D.C.: Smithsonian Institution Press, 1997), 241. 36. New York Times, April 30, 1900. 37. New Jersey State Geologist, Geological Survey of New Jersey: Annual Report of the State Geologist for the Year 1895 (Trenton, N.J.: Murphy Publishing, 1896), 164. 38. New York Times, March 16, 1902. 39. New Jersey State Geologist, Geological Survey of New Jersey: Annual Report, 21. 40. New Jersey State Geologist, Geological Survey of New Jersey: Annual Report, 171. 41. Robert H. Nelson, “Rethinking Scientific Management,” Discussion Paper No. 99–07 (Washington, D.C.: Resources for the Future, 1998), www .rff.org/documents/RFF-DP-99-07.pdf (accessed December 1, 2008); Robert H. Nelson, “The Religion of Forestry: Scientific Management,” Journal of Forestry 97, no. 11 (1999): 4–9; Samuel P. Hayes, Conservation and the Gospel of Efficiency: The Progressive Conservation Movement, 1890–1920 (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 1959). 42. New Jersey State Geologist, Report of the State Geologist (Trenton, 1899), 289–90. 43. Ted Steinberg, Acts of God: The Unnatural History of Natural Disaster in America (New York: Oxford University Press, 2000). 44. Norbert P. Psuty and Douglas D. Ofiara, Coastal Hazard Management: Lessons and Future Directions from New Jersey (New Brunswick, N.J.: Rutgers University Press, 2002), 106–32. 45. New York Times, October 19, 1949. 46. For information on the founding of the U.S. Life Saving Service, which ultimately became the Coast Guard, see www.lehsd.k12.nj.us/seaport/Thulin/ william_newell.htm (accessed December 1, 2008). 47. New York Times, November 26, 1901. 48. New York Times, May 21, 1939. 49. Psuty and Ofiara, Coastal Hazard Management, 159. 50. Craghan, “The New Jersey Shore.” 51. New York Times, September 3, 1947, and November 27, 1949. 52. New York Times, January 18, 1959. 53. James G. Titus, “Greenhouse Effect, Sea Level Rise, and Barrier Islands: Case Study of Long Beach Island, New Jersey,” Coastal Management 18, no. 1 (1990): 65–90; Climate Institute, “New Jersey Meeting Weighs Role of Rising Seas in Coastal Erosion and Flooding,” Climate Alert 10, no. 5 (1997), www. earthscape.org/p2/ca/vol10n597/vol10n597_01.html (accessed December 1, 2008). 54. See, for example, www.hurricaneville.com/nj_overdue.html (accessed December 1, 2008).

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55. For example, E. G. Silverman, “Excelsior,” RE:AL—The Journal of Liberal Arts 28, no. 2 (Fall 2003), www.sfasu.edu/real/28_2/docs/excelsior.pdf (accessed February 23, 2007). 56. New York Times, March 8, 1996; New Jersey Office of Legislative Services, Transcription of May 26, 1999, Meeting of the Task Force on the availability of homeowners insurance in the coastal region (Trenton, 1999), www .njleg.state.nj.us/legislativepub/pubhear/052699lb.PDF (accessed December 1, 2008). 57. Philadelphia Inquirer, March 6, 2000. 58. New York Times, July 14, 1996. 59. See “Flooding: New Jersey’s #1 Natural Hazard,” a FEMA press release dated August 4, 2004, www.fema.gov/news/newsrelease.fema?id=13225 (accessed December 1, 2008). 60. Norman F. Brydon, The Passaic River: Past, Present, Future (New Brunswick, N.J.: Rutgers University Press, 1974), 214–45. 61. This proposal was first mooted in 1955 after record-setting floods along the middle reaches of the Delaware. In an effort to address the objections of many opponents, the proposal went through several changes and was finally deauthorized in 1992. Irene Traviss Thompson, “The Tocks Island Dam Controversy,” in When Values Conflict: Essays on Environmental Analysis, Discourse, and Decision, Laurence H. Tribe, Corinne S. Schelling, and John Voss, eds. (Cambridge: Ballinger Publishing Company, 1976): 35–60; Richard C. Albert, Damming the Delaware: The Rise and Fall of Tocks Island Dam (University Park: Pennsylvania State University Press, 1987). 62. New York Times, October 17, 1930. 63. New York Times, July 22, 1957. 64. New York Times, June 5, 1974. 65. New York Times, November 29, 1964. 66. New York Times, August 15, 1999. 67. Mitchell, “A Century of Natural Disasters,” 184–86. 68. James K. Mitchell, “European River Floods in a Changing World,” Risk Analysis 23, no. 3 (2003): 567–74. 69. Kirk R. Smith and Yok-Shiu Lee, “Urbanization and the Environmental Risk Transition,” Third World Cities: Problems, Policies, and Prospects, John D. Kasarda and Allan M. Parnall, eds., Sage Focus Editions No. 148 (Newbury Park, Calif.: Sage Publications, 1993), 161–79; Ulrich Beck, Risk Society: Towards a New Modernity, trans. Mark Ritter, with an introduction by Scott Lash and Brian Wynne (1986; rpt. London: Sage Publications, 1992).

Afterword Christian Pfister

In recent years questions about how societies deal with climatically or seismically induced disasters have been the focus of numerous publications in the relatively new historical discipline of “disaster studies.” According to Robert Costanza, Lisa Graumlich, and Will Steffen, disasters can be defined as disruptions in the “interdependence of humans and the rest of nature.”1 In the short term, these events concentrate public attention on processes in the natural world, initiate a corresponding discursive echo, and generate intense pressure on governmental and nongovernmental actors to mitigate or prevent future disasters. Kurt Imhof views nature-induced disasters as benchmarks, or what he calls “index fossils,” for the humanities and social sciences because they often illustrate continuities and discontinuities in how people make sense of the world by underscoring changes in contemporary social discourse.2 While nature-induced disasters are local and regional phenomena, human experience of them is universal. It therefore seems reasonable to expect that a synthesis can emerge from a careful comparison of case studies that take into account inherent cultural differences. The studies in this collection all show that environmental forces exert similar stresses on disparate societies. Nature-induced catastrophes endanger lives and property; damage vital supply, waste, communication, and transportation networks; disrupt everyday routines; and destabilize the political and social orders. Is it not possible, then, as

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Heinz-Gerhard Haupt and Jürgen Kocka suggest, to compare case studies that are widely separated in space and time or to transfer questions from one analysis to another in order to identify the parameters of a specific event or to better formulate an explanation for a particular problem?3 Comparing nature-induced disasters on different continents and in different historical periods admittedly requires an intensive dialogue between the historiographies of the respective cultures: historians already face the perennial problem of adequately representing concepts drawn from original sources in a modern vernacular. In the case of comparative cultural studies, the use of English, which is the lingua franca of scholarship, carries assumptions about the practice of translation; the reformulation of ideas in English, which invariably reflects a subjective understanding, always generates new linguistic and theoretical concepts.4 According to climate-change models developed by the IPCC, the rising concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere over the course of the twenty-first century will increase both the frequency and the magnitude of droughts, floods, and storms.5 The poorest members of the global community will suffer most from these events, which will produce “the greatest and widest-ranging market failure ever seen.”6 The IPCC models underscore the point made in 1999 by then secretary-general of the United Nations Kofi Annan, who observed that in order to minimize and manage the effects of nature-induced disasters, “we must . . . shift from a culture of reaction to a culture of prevention.”7 Can historical “disaster studies”—whether interpretations of individual events or syntheses of multiple catastrophes—help us to meet this challenge? Many historians are likely to be skeptical of such analyses because they seem to equate discussion of societal learning processes with an implicit acceptance of the progress paradigm. In contrast, one can argue that a focus on learning also includes considering both not-learning and forgetting—an argument that encompasses the complexity and inconsistency of historical processes. The essential value of historical studies may even lie in their highlighting of these differing directions or currents. Historical narratives, unlike analyses in the social sciences, have the advantage of heuristic openness, as they focus primarily on empirical evidence instead of theories. By virtue of their immediacy and naturalism, historical narratives hold “the trump of plasticity.”8 They present the only means that allows us to project into the future while we are restricted to drawing exclusively on the past and what is known. As a result of climate change dur-

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ing the century ahead, social welfare and the existing market- and government-based safety nets may reach their limits. Insurance and globally operating reinsurers have already transferred higher costs to the insurance holder,9 which are now calculated according to the risk associated with a specific location, as has happened in regions of the United States since Hurricane Katrina (2005). Many businesses in Florida and on the Gulf of Mexico lost their insurance coverage and consequently their credit ratings.10 For society as a whole, insurance solutions have only limited viability because they exclude the socially underprivileged and the residents of high-risk regions, as Nicholas Stern has asserted.11 The state will no longer act in every case as the final guarantor of social welfare: in the United States, Congress and state legislatures regulate government-funded disaster relief on a case-by-case basis. Until 1992, aid was provided to communities without any financial conditions or corresponding cuts in public-benefit programs. After Hurricane Andrew, which elevated relief costs to previously unimaginable heights, the proponents of stricter fiscal responsibility passed a law in Congress that stipulated a proportional reduction in the social-welfare budget as compensation for the disaster aid. As Mike Davis and other critics have noted, under this system the poor pay for the losses of the rich.12 It seems likely that future claims for government-funded disaster relief will encounter even more resistance. Despite the unprecedented wave of global cooperation that followed the South Asian tsunami in December 2004, the public’s willingness to absorb the costs of these catastrophes may have reached its limit. In order to contribute to the solution of present-day problems, historical disaster studies must address contemporary issues. Until now, state activities have received the most attention because the aspiring territorial states and, later, European nation-states as well as imperial China have produced a wealth of relevant sources.13 Protective measures taken by community groups and informal networks, which play a significant role in the countries of the southern hemisphere, have received less attention, though such prototypes of insurance existed in many countries in the northern hemisphere well into the nineteenth century.14 Greg Bankoff discusses such communal strategies in his study of the Philippines, where mutual-aid societies have flourished for many years. The inhabitants of this archipelago have evidently succeeded in building a social safety net that does not rely on insurance measures or government aid and still guarantees the welfare of those at risk, despite—or perhaps because of—frequent exposure to natural hazards.15

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NOTES 1. Robert Costanza, Lisa J. Graumlich, and Will Steffen, eds., Sustainability or Collapse? An Integrated History and Future of People on Earth (Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press, 2007), 3. These authors deliberately selected this formulation, underscoring the conventional juxtaposition of humanity and nature, which assumes that humans are not a part of nature but exist outside of it. 2. Kurt Imhof, “Katastrophenkommunikation in der Moderne,” in Katastrophen und Ihre Bewältigung: Perspektiven und Positionen, Christian Pfister and Stephanie Summermatter, eds. (Bern, Stuttgart, Vienna: Haupt, 2004), 146–63. 3. Heinz-Gerhard Haupt and Jürgen Kocka, “Historischer Vergleich: Aufgaben, Methoden, Probleme,” in Geschichte und Vergleich: Ansätze und -Ergebnisse international vergleichender Geschichtsschreibung, H. G. Haupt and J. Kocka, eds. (Frankfurt: Campus, 1996), 7–12. 4. Doris Bachmann-Medick, ed., Übersetzung als Repräsentation fremder Kulturen (Berlin: E. Schmidt, 1997), quoted in Monica Juneja and Franz Mauelshagen, “Disasters and Pre-Industrial Societies: Historiographic Trends and Comparative Perspectives,” The Medieval History Journal 10, no. 1–2 (2007): 1–41, esp. 27. 5. G. A. Meehl et al., “Global Climate Projections,” in Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Susan Solomon et al., eds. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2007), 783; Nicholas Stern, The Economics of Climate Change (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2006), xxii. 6. Stern, The Economics of Climate Change, i, xxii; Parry et al., Climate Change 2007, 364. 7. Kofi Annan, “Despite Dedicated Efforts, Number and Cost of Natural Disasters Continue To Rise,” speech delivered on July 5, 1999, and published in a UN press release, www.un.org/News/Press/docs/1999/19990706 .SGSM7060.html (accessed May 1, 2008). 8. This phrase is borrowed from Hartmut Berghoff, Moderne Unternehmensgeschichte: Eine Themen- und Theoriegeleitete Einführung (Paderborn, Germany: Schöningh, 2004), 16. 9. Stern, The Economics of Climate Change, 135. 10. Evan Mills and Eugene Lecomte, From Risk to Opportunity: How Insurers Can Proactively and Profitably Manage Climate Change (Boston: Ceres, 2006), quoted in Stern, The Economics of Climate Change, 136. 11. Stern, The Economics of Climate Change, xxii. 12. Mike Davis, Ecology of Fear: Los Angeles and the Imagination of Disaster (New York: Henry Holt, 1998), 64–66. 13. See, for example, the chapter by Andrea Janku in this volume, and René Favier, “Une aide instrumentalisée: L’Impôt et l’indemnisation des catastrophes naturelles dans la France du XVIIIe siècle,” Les modalités de

AFTERWORD

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paiement de l’Etat moderne: Adaptation et blocage d’un système comptable, Journée d’études du 3 décembre 2004, Marie-Laure Legay, ed. (Paris: Comité d’Histoire économique et financière de la France, 2007), 107–31. 14. Christian Pfister, “Disasters, Interregional Solidarity and Nation-Building: Reflections on the Case of Switzerland, 1806–1914,” in Solidarité et assurance: Les sociétés européennes face aux catastrophes (17e–21e s.), René Favier and Christian Pfister, eds. (Grenoble: CNRS-MSH-Alpes, 2008), 117–42; Margarete Wagner-Braun, “Building Fire Insurance in Europe: Origin as a Cluster and Development from the Middle Ages until the Eighteenth Century,” in Favier and Pfister, eds., Solidarité et assurance, 219–46. 15. In addition to the chapter by Greg Bankoff in this volume, see Greg Bankoff, Cultures of Disaster: Society and Natural Hazard in the Philippines (London: Routledge, 2003).

Index

’Abbasid Caliphate, 166, 168, 170, 171 ’Abd al-Kabı,r, 188 Actas Capitulares de Corrientes (ACC), 288 Actas del Cabildo de la Ciudad de Santa Fe (ACSF), 288 ’A d, 188 administrative efficiencies, 33 Adolf, Johann, 54 Adriatic Sea, 31 Africa, 13, 43, 56, 137–53 Aftershock: Earthquake in New York, 1 Age of Utility, 79 Ahirs, 219–20 AIDS (Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome), 43 Alès, 114, 115 Algeria, 137–63 crisis of 1860s causes of, colonial versus indigenous, 151–52 expansion of Catholic Church in Algeria as a result of, 150–52

natural origins of, 141–42 politicization of humanitarian intervention, 143–44 religious conversions, during, 145–46 response of Catholic Church to, 142, 145–47 starvation during, 142 French colonization of, 137–38 impoverishment in as a result of colonialism, 141 property rights in, 139–40 topography of, 138–39 Algiers, 137, 140, 144–45, 150, 153 alhóndigas (grain stores), 313–15 All Saints Flood, 49 Alps, 28, 29, 47–48, 81, 82, 105 piedmonts in, 112 seismic activity in, 47 ammongs (savings associations), 276 ancient Rome, 64. See also Roman Empire Andes, 3 Angel, Hans-Ferdinand, 27

361

362

INDEX

Annales school, 5 Annan, Kofi, 356 anthropophagism. See cannibalism Antoine, Jean-Marc, 106–7 anxiety, about disasters, 104, 109, 113, 217–18, 271, 317, 338 Arab culture, 11, 143–44 politics, 11 society, 150–53 Arabian Peninsula, 183, 184 Arabs, 138, 147–48 religious conversion of, 149 stereotypes of, 148, 151 architecture, changes to decrease impact of disasters, 12, 266–67, 277–78 Archivo General de Indias Sevilla (General Archive of the Indies, Seville), 288 Argentina, 285, 286, 289, 296 Argyris, Chris, 19 Ariège, 107 Aristotle, 183, 187–93 Arles, 111 Arctic Circle, 77 Asunción, 288, 289, 290 Asia, 9, 13, 56, 197, 249–50 tsunami of 2004 in, 2, 358 Athens, earthquake in, 3–4 Atoyac River, 309, 312 Australia, 144 Austria, 48 avalanches, 27, 42, 46, 47, 103, 106, 123, 126, 128, 129 Averroes. See Ibn Rushd Avicenna. See Ibn Sı,na Avignon, 111 Awakening Movement (Erweckungsbewegung), 59 Backouche, Isabelle, 111 Baghdad, floods of tenth to thirteenth centuries, 165–78 cultural learning as a result of, 177–78

effects of hygienic, 174–75 psychological, 176–77 emergency procedures for, 172–73 interpretations of causes of, 176–78 measures implemented by authorities, 168–71 topographical causes of, 165–67 changes to Baghdad, 175–76 Baguio, earthquake in, 269–70 bahala na (“leave-it-to-fate”), 12, 268–69 Ball, Valentine, 216 Baltic region, 49, 79, 82 Baltic Sea, 49, 78, 80, 81, 87 Bam, earthquake in, 3, 193–94 Bankoff, Greg, 21, 44, 357 Barcelona, 23 Barents Sea, 77 Barker, Francis, 149 Barwe Plateau, 213–14 Basel, 24 earthquake in, 47 Batanes, 267 Bautista, Cynthia, 269 Bavaria, flood of 1954, 57 as cause of rearmament, 57 bayanihan (toiling on behalf of others), 269 Becher, Richard, 200–201 Beck, Ulrich, 5 Belgium, 48 Belgrand, Eugène, 111 Bengal, 197–225 Bengal, famines in Bengal famine of 1770, 201–210 absence of markets as a cause of, 203 as cause of depopulation, 202–3, 207–8 response of people to, 207–8 Chotanagpur famine of 1897, 210–25

INDEX absence of effective relief measures, 218–19, 222 deforestation as a cause of, 211–15, 220–22, 224 droughts as a cause of, 215–17 migration as a result of, 211 rise of “famine diseases,” 223 resulting fear of famine, 224–25 impact of colonial rule on, 198–201 Benthall, Jonathan, 142 Betschau (Father), 294 Beylik, 138 Bible, 62, 63. See also Noah, story of Big Winter, 78, 82 Bihar, 199, 201, 205, 225 Birbhum, 206, 207–10 Bisunpur, 207 Black Death, 50. See also plagues Blanc, François (la Goutte), 25, 110 Blidah, earthquake in, 141 blizzards, 13, 85, 328, 331–32, 338– 40, 349, 351n12 Bohr, Richard, 345 Book of the Cure, 187 Borst, Arno, 43–44 Bothnia, Gulf of, 78, 90, 93 Boulton, C., 219 Boysen, Matthias, 49, 63–64 Bradley-Birt, Francis Bradley, 213 Briffaud, Serge, 104, 112, 119 British East India Company, 197, 199, 200–202, 204 British Isles, 80, 82. See also England Brooks, Nick, 20–21 Buache, Philippe, 111 bu-bu-ay (enforced savings), 276 Buenos Aires, 286, 288, 289 Bureaucratie et famine en China au 18e siècle, 237 bureaux arabes, 139, 143 Bureaux de l’Oeuvre des Écoles d’Orient, 145, 146. See also conversions, religious

363

Burgess (Jesuit Priest), 298 Buridant, Jérôme, 106 Bux, Khuda, 220 Cahuzac, Monsieur de, 115 Cairo, 11, 190, 192 earthquakes in, 11, 183, 192, 193 Calcutta, 200–201, 203, 209 caliphs, 168–69, 171, 172, 175 Calvinists, 60 cameralism, rise of, 21 canals, 9, 89, 92, 168, 171–72, 175, 205 cannibalism, 82, 148, 149, 239, 251, 257 cannibals, 149 Cape May, 329, 330, 337 capitalism, influence on nature, 6 Capuchins, 60 Carte de Localisation Probable des Avalances. See Chart of the Probable Locations of Avalanches Cartier, John, 201 Castan, Nicole, 108 catastrophes historical study of, 4 learning process, resulting in, 7 origins of word, 2, 4 role of, in society, 9 transformative effects of, 6, 18 Catholic Church, 12, 142, 145, 150, 275 relief efforts of, 12, 142, 145 Catholics, 59, 60, 62, 276 in Bavaria, 59 in Ireland, 149 See also Sulpician renewal Cayastá, 290 Celaya, 310, 312, 315 Cemagraf, 128 censorship, government, 144–45 ceremonies. See rituals; rogation ceremonies Cévennes, 113, 120 chahuistle (blight), 316 Chamonix Valley, 126

364

INDEX

Chaponay, Monsieur de, 114 Chart of the Probable Locations of Avalanches (Carte de Localisation Probable des Avalances), 128 Châtelaundren, 114 chaukidari (local taxes), 219 Cher River, 118 Cheros, 199 Chihuahua, 307, 311, 312, 315, 316 Chile, 288 China, 3, 9, 11–12, 43–44, 233–57 expectation of government response to disasters, 236 floods and disasters, as “heavensent,” 233 frequency of disasters in, 233–36 relationship of disasters with dynastic cycles, 233–35 state-society relations in, 237 China, famines in Great North-China Famine of 1870s, 242–53 as cause of allegiance to government, 246 chronology of, 242–45 foreign relief efforts, in response to, 247–53 changes to coping strategies due to, 253–54 threats to state of, 250–53 state relief efforts, in response to, 243–46 Shanxi famine, 239–42 famine relief policies during, 240 state-sponsored famine relief, 242 China Famine Relief Fund, 249 Chittagong, 203 cholera, 84, 141, 142, 218, 222, 223, 223, 224 Chorier, Nicolas, 112 Chotanagpur, 11, 197–225 Chouan insurrection, 140. See also

French Revolution Christian, 49, 60, 62 chronicler, 172 cultural memory, 62 disaster interpretations, 63 faith, 293 media, 145 metaphysics, 61 “moral causation,” 66 prayer, 269 society, 60, 66, 150 tradition, 62, 185 Christian-Arab agrarian society, 153 Christianity, 61 conversions to, 149, 293 Christianized Indians, 290, 293 Christians, 41, 62, 63, 289 Algerian, 153 German, 59 Christmas Flood of 1717, 49 Chuars, 209 citizenry-based developmentoriented disaster response (CBDODR), 277 Citizens’ Disaster Response Center, 277 Clavans avalanche, 123 clear-cutting. See deforestation climate history, 44, 48 climate studies, 5, 103–4 climatic change, as explanation for disasters, 10, 81 climatic shock, awareness of vulnerability to, 23 Code Forestier of 1827. See Forest Code codes and regulations, adoption of, 10. See also dike law Coeur, Dennis, 19, 24–25, 106 cofradías (religious fraternities), 272, 273, 274, 276, 278 Colbert, Jean-Baptiste, 112–13 Colin, Francisco, 273 Cologne, 47 colonialism, 11, 12, 13, 141, 151–52, 198–201

INDEX “Commentaries on the Cataclysm of Nordstrand,” 49 Constance, Lake, 47 Constantine, 137, 138, 142, 151 consumption (disease), 84 conversions, religious, 146–47, 150 coping mechanisms/practices, 7, 27, 32, 253–54, 271–78, 305–6, 318 changes to, 13 culture of, 12, 268–71, 278 as a result of cumulative effects of disasters, 19 role of technology in, 11 See also coping strategies for disasters; insurance coping strategies for disasters, 24, 51, 107 cultural differences in, 43–45 Cordoba, earthquake in, 188 Cornwallis, Lord Charles, 200–201, 207 Corrientes, 285, 287, 288, 289–90, 291, 296 Costanza, Robert, 355 Counter-Reformation, 144 Crimean War, 84 crop diversification, strategies for preventing disasters, 12, 86 cultural differences, coping with disasters, 9, 43–45 culture of risk, 10, 107–8 culture-specific responses to catastrophes, 13 cyclones, 45–46 Czech Republic, 48 Dacca, 210 dacoits, 208–9 Dante’s Peak, 1 Danube River, 48–49 flood of, 63 Darfur, 205, 231n113 Dauphiné, 110 Davis, Mike, 197, 225, 357 Day After Tomorrow, The, 1 Day of Judgment, 184–86, 190–93

365

De La Plata River, 288 De La Plata River Basin, 285, 286– 87, 290 De Waal, Alexander, 204–5, 231n113 deforestation, 10, 11, 31, 48, 106, 108, 113, 215, 220, 225 Delaware and Raritan Canal, 338 Delaware River, 329, 329–30, 345–46 Delaware River Basin Commission, 346, 348 Delumeau, Jean, 104 Deng Yunte, 233 Denmark, 21, 48 Desplat, Charles, 105 Devil Winds, 1 dike associations, 54–55 dike construction, 50–53 impact on political culture of, 52 relationship with property rights, 53 social aspects of, 52 dike culture, 7, 10, 52, 56 shaping regional identity, 55 dike law, 52–55 as centralizing force, 53–54 forming nation-state, 54 General Dike Orders (1692), 54 General Dike Regulations (1803), 54 German dike law (Siebenhardenbeliebung), 53 North Sea dike law, 53 Prussian Law on Dikes (1848), 54 right to possess reclaimed land (Anwachsrecht), 54 dike peace (Deichfrieden), 53 dike supervisor (Deichgräfe), 53, 54 dike supervisor general (Generaldeichgraf), 54 dike technology, 51, 54, 55 dikes, 22, 27, 31, 32, 49–54, 108, 114, 117, 165, 168, 173, 174, 175 breaches of, 113, 114, 118 damage to, 50

366

INDEX

Dionysian ritual, 65 disaster culture, 109–15 disaster history. See disaster studies “disaster knowledge,” 7, 12, 305–6, 307 disaster management, 10, 13, 20, 21, 22–23, 115–19 disaster recovery, 12, 26–30 Disaster Relief Act, 337–38 disaster studies historical neglect of, 18, 41–45, 56, 103–4 multiperspectivity of, 45 need for systematic study, 33–34. disasters defining concept of, 17, 103–4 origins of, 106, 112 diseases, 78, 79, 80, 87, 88–90, 218, 223–24, 292. See also epidemics; pandemics divine, as cause of disasters, 41, 58– 61, 63–67, 95, 104–5, 112–13 anger, 176 intervention, 109, 112, 186, 193–94, 269 judgment, 9 power, 11, 59, 177, 193 retribution, 10, 25, 27, 60, 61 wrath, 108–9, 191 diwani (revenue rights), 197. See also British East India Company Diyarbakir, 168 Dong Zhongshu, 254 Dordogne River, 110, 111, 115 Drac River, 24, 106, 112 Dresden, 26 droughts, 11, 12, 13, 18, 23, 43, 81, 83, 86, 141, 151, 197, 199, 206, 212, 216, 217, 218, 225, 233–45, 255–57, 328–31, 337, 346–49, 356 Dubs, Jakob, 29 Ducasitas, Don Francisco Grumesdel, 315 Dulce River, 286, 296 Dumka, 214

Dussel, Patricia, 286 Dust Bowl, 5 Dutt, R. P., 198 dykes. See dikes dysentery, 88, 88, 137, 222, 223, 292–93 early warning systems, 4, 7, 24, 25, 26, 32 earthquakes, 1, 2, 3, 5, 9, 12, 18, 19, 41, 42, 43, 47, 58, 233, 235, 237, 267, 296, 305 in Athens, 3–4 in Baguio, 269–70 in Bam, 3, 193–94 in Basel, 47 in Blidah, 141 in Cairo, 11, 183, 190, 192, 193 in Cordoba, 188 in Germany, 47 in Indian Ocean (2004), 2, 3, 18, 43, 357 in Italy, 43 in Lisbon, 47 in Mexico City, 3 in San Francisco, 47 in Shaanxi, 3 in Tangshan, 43, 234 in Turkey, 3–4 in Villach, 43 in Yokohama-Tokyo, 43, 47 earthquakes, interpretations of in medieval texts, 183–94. See also Islamic (medieval) texts Earthquakes in France in the 17th and 18th centuries, 105 East India Company. See British East India Company École Nationale des Ponts et Chaussées, 25 Egypt, 183 ten plagues of, 62 Eiderstedt, 52 Eiderstedter Dike Orders of 1595, 53 El Mokrani family revolt, 141 El Niño, 13, 226n15

INDEX Elbe River, 25, 48 flood of 2002, 17, 46, 57, 62–63 pre-twentieth-century floods, 25–26, 30, 48–49 Elm landslide, 29–30 Emilia-Romaga Valley, 31 Emmanuelli, Xavier, 142 England, 248 Enlightenment, 42, 58, 59, 66, 79, 108 Enquête te Permanente des Avalanches. See Permanent Enquiry into Avalanches enteritis, 137 Epic of Gilgamesh, 9 epidemics, 18, 42, 43, 56, 80, 84, 85, 88, 89, 104, 137, 144, 153, 235, 240, 292, 299–300. See also pandemics Euphrates River, 165–66 Eurasian plate, 46 European floodplains changes to, 31–32 settlement in, 63 “European Sonderweg,” 56 “Excerpt from the Royal Decree of the Queen” (Extracto de la Cédula Real de la Reina Gobernadora), 297 experts, increased reliance on, in response to disasters, 7, 31, 52, 55, 59, 119, 127–30, 267, 313 famine, 3, 10, 11, 12, 18, 59, 71, 78– 80, 84–86, 141–52, 175, 197–225, 233–56, 268, 291, 306, 308, 310, 313, 315, 320 famine, causes of mortality due to, 87–89, 95 fatalism, 12, 49, 61, 66, 108, 152, 268–69 Faubourg St.-Etienne, 111 Fauré, André, 110 Fear in Western Europe (La peur en Occident), 104 Federal Emergency Management Agency, 345 Federal Republic of Germany, 46, 57 Fen River, 245, 254, 256

367

Fenxi, 239, 245–46 Figeac, 115 Filipinos, 12, 265, 266, 268–73, 278 Finland, 77–96 climate for growing grain in, 81, 86 effects of weather disturbances in, 88 growing season in, 77 major crop failures in, 83, 94 See also Great Famine of 1860s (Finland) Finland, causes of crop failures in (nineteenth century), 84–86, 90, 92–93, 94. See also Great Famine of 1860s (Finland) fire response, as precursor to management of other hazards, 33 fires, as avoidable disasters, 23 flood insurance, 8, 337. See also insurance flood kindergartens, 13, 16n22 “Flooding in Greater Resistencia (Choa Province, Argentina) 1982– 1983,” 285–86 Flores, M. de, 293 Florescano, Enrique, 310 Florida, 7, 357 fluvial hydraulics, 31 fluvial regime, 31 Forbes, A., 209, 221–22, 223, 224 Forest Code of 1827 (Code Forestier), 128–29 France, disasters in, 103–31 culture of risk as a result of, 107–8, 125–26 explanations of, 112–13 history of, 103–4 management practices to prevent, 115–19 memory of complexities of distortion of, 130 early warning, absence of, 113–15 (see also Grenoble, floods in)

368

INDEX

historical, 122–24 modern, 120–22 oversimplicity of, 119–20, 130 practical use of, 126–30 Francis, Sir Philip, 206 Franciscans, 60, 288–89 Frankfurt, 47 French Revolution, 27, 140 Frisia, 54 frost. See summer frost Gadd, Peter Adrian, 80 Galilean approach, 31 Galtung, Johan, 18 Gard at Alès River, 113 Garnier, Emmauel, 106 Garonne River, 108, 110, 112 Garriga (Father), 292–93 Gauls, 143 Gawronski, Vincent T., 6 Gaya, 222 General Archive of the Indies, Seville (Archivo General de Indias, Sevilla), 288 Gera, 47 German Democratic Republic, 46, 57 Germans, 62, 66, 141 Germany, 7, 10, 17, 21, 41–67 changing political entities, 46, 57 earthquakes in, 47 expense of disasters in, 46 flood chronology of, 48–49 frequency of disasters in, 46 geomorphic hazards in, 47–48 Ghatsheela, 209 glaciers, 81 Glaris, 28 global climate change, threats of, 2 global warming, effects of, 2, 17, 43, 44, 48, 105 Gobindpour, 214 Goldau, 28 Gollan, Augustín Zapata, 298 Goy, Jospeh, 122

Gráda, Cormac Ó, 78 Graumlich, Lisa, 355 Grand Trunk Road, 214, 220 Great Drought (China), 235 Great Famine, Europe (1315–1322), 80 Great Famine of 1840s (Ireland), 78– 79, 95, 96, 141, 151, 238, 249 Great Famine of 1860s (Finland), 10, 78–79, 85, 87–90 as cause of collapse of agrarian society, 96 causes of extent of, 90–91, 94 compared to other European famines, 78, 95, 96 creation of public works projects during, 85, 89, 92 deterioration of sanitary conditions as a result of, 89 historical neglect of, 79 migration as a result of, 85, 89 relationship between malnutrition, infectious disease, and social turmoil, 89–90 societal changes as a result of, 10, 96 spread of infectious disease during, 89 Great Frost (British Isles) (1739– 1741), 82 Great New England Hurricane of 1938, 344 Great North-China Famine of 1870s, 236, 238, 243–57 Great Yu, 9, 233, 234 Greece, 3–4, 47 greenhouse effects, 105. See also global warming, effects of Grenoble, floods in, 19, 24–27, 106, 109, 110, 111, 112–14, 117–19, 123 “Grenoblo Melherou” (Unhappy Grenoble), 25, 110 Grove, Richard, 226n15 Guanajuato, 307, 310, 312, 313, 314, 315, 317

INDEX Guangxu reign, 242, 246, 257 Guo Songtao, 248 hadı,ths (narratives), 188, 191, 193 Haines, Henry Haselfoot, 213 Haldipukur, 212 Hamburg, 27 federal state of, 55 Hanwei, He, 238 Hart, Donn, 275–76 Hasse, John, 335 Hastings, Warren, 203 Haupt, Heinz-Gerhard, 355–56 Hazaribagh, 210–13, 214, 217–20, 222, 223, 224 heat wave, Europe (2003), 3, 46 “heaven-sent” (tianzai, Chinese term for “natural disaster”), 11, 233–34 Hebraeus, Bar, 172 Hedong, 242 Helsinki, 77, 85, 90 Herodotus, 5 Herrera, Roberto, 286 Hindus, 200, 210, 216, 221 Historical Geography Research Center, 238 Histoire humaine compareée du climat, 103–4 Hof, 47 Hoffman, Susanna, 265 Hollsteiner, Mary, 273, 275–76 Hollywood, 1, 2 Holocaust, 57 holy scripture, 62, 184, 186 Holy See, 150 Hos, 199 Hostetter, Harvey, 273 huang (famine), 233 Hu d, 185 Hudson River, 335 Huk Rebellion, 275 Hulme, Peter, 149 human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). See AIDS Hunter, William Wilson, 201–2

369

Hurricane Andrew, 357 Hurricane Katrina, 8, 357 hurricanes, 2, 12, 305–6, 330, 343–45 husbandry, 93, 94, 15–51, 198, 204, 225 hydraulic engineering, 31, 32, 63 Hydraulic Society of the North Sea, 13 hydrographic society, 10, 51, 53 Ibn al-’Alqamı,, 169, 176 Ibn al-Dawwamı,, 169 Ibn al-Jazzar, 182, 189–93 Ibn al-Mu‘tazz, 176 Ibn Rushd, 187–88, 189 Ibn Sı,na, 187 Iceland, 81 Ignacio, Lourdes, 271 Imhof, Kurt, 355 Imperial Diet in Regensburg (Immerwährender Reichstag), 57 India, 11, 43, 143, 197–225, 248–50 Indian Ocean earthquake, 2, 3, 18, 43, 357 Indo-Gangetic Plain, 199 Industrial Revolution, 51 influenza pandemic. See pandemics Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI), 3 insurance, 336, 357 availability of fire insurance, 27 compensation for hurricane property loss, 7 difficulty obtaining, 345 eligibility for, 21 pooling of risk by communities for flood repairs, 30 rural fire cooperatives, 27 timing of availability for nonfire hazards, 27, 33 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 356 Internet, 1–2, 122 Irala, Domingo Martínez de, 289, 291 Irish famine. See Great Famine of 1840s (Ireland)

370

INDEX

IPCC. See Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Isar River, 48 Isère River, 106, 110 Islam, 138, 143, 149, 183 Islamic heritage, 193 texts, 183–94 theology, 11 tradition, 11 Islamic (medieval) texts causes of earthquakes in, 183–87 as punishment for specific groups, 184–87, 189–90, 191–92, 193 as sign of apocalypse, 184– 87, 188, 193 influence of Aristotle on Arabic earthquake literature, 187–89 Italy, 31, 43, 47 Ivatan, 13, 267–68 Japan, 9, 43, 44 Jashpur, 219 Jesuit Papers (Paples de los Jesuitas), 289 Jesuits, 12, 60, 288–89, 290, 292, 293 Jews, 63, 138, 139 Jiangsu, 252 Jie, 234–35 Jocano, F. Landa, 268, 269, 270 Johnson, Lyndon B. (president), 347 Jomaron, Jean-Antoine, 109 Jomhuri-ye Eslami, 193 Joutard, Phillipe, 121 Judeo-Christian tradition, 9, 62 Juesheng, 57 Kabyles (tribesmen), 138 Kabylia, 138, 139, 140, 147 Kaiserreich, 46 Käkisalmi province, 82 kalaoman (assistance organizations), 275 Kalikapur, 212 Kangxi reign, 240, 254

Kapatiran Magasasaka (farmer’s brotherhood), 275 Kashf al-salsalah ‘an wasf al-zalzalah, 183 historical interpretation of, 189–94 Kates, Robert W., 19 Katipunan, 273 Kehdingen, 50, 54 Khan, Ghulam Husain, 202 Khan, Jafar, 200 Khan, Reza, 200, 201 Khan, Suja, 200 Kharwars, 199, 221 Khuria, 219 Killer Flood (film), 1 killing frost (English), 78 Kocka, Jürgen, 355–56 Konds, 199 Koran, 183–87, 188–94 Körner, Martin, 19 Korwas, 219–20 Ku fa, 173 Ku fa Gate, 171 Kumar, Maharaja Nand, 200 Kuopio, 85 Lachiver, Marcel, 104 Ladurie, Emmanuel Le Roy, 103–4, 107 Laghouat, 137 Lagmay, Alfredo, 271 La Goutte, 25, 110 Lake Constance, 47 Lake Geneva, 32 Lake Pielinen, 78 Lake Taal, 268 land development, 113 land management, 106, 129–30 landslides, 29–30, 42, 46, 47, 103, 113, 128 Languedoc region, 104 Laon region, 106 Lapland, 86 Late Maunder Minimum (LMM), 82 Lausitzer Neiße river, 48

INDEX Lavigerie, Charles de, 142, 145–50, 152–53 learning, as part of disaster studies, 18 learning, cumulative versus fundamental, 20 learning, definition of, 19–20 learning, innovative mode, 21 learning about catastrophes, related to experiences, 10 learning and coping strategies, differences, 32, 107 learning process, 7, 19–21, 23 “leave-it-to-fate” (bahala na), 12, 268–69. See also fatalism Le Hon, Comte, 151–52 Leiden, 191 Leipzig, 47 Lemberg (Lvov), 82 Leroy-Beaulieu, Paul, 152 Lez River, 113 Liliencron, Detlev, 64–65 Lisbon, earthquake in, 47 Little Ice Age, 5, 44, 48, 55, 80–81, 106, 108 Lohardaga, 218, 220–22, 223, 224 locusts, plagues of, 141, 151, 255 Loire Plan, 105 Loire River, 113 flood of 1856, 105 Los Angeles, 9 Lothar (cyclone), 45–46 Lozano (Father), 291 Lübken, Uwe, 32 Luna, Emmanuel, 277 Lutherans, 60, 88 Lyon, 111 Lyons, 117, 118 M. A. von Rothschild and Söhne, 91 Macaulay, Thomas Babington, 199 Mac-Mahon, Marshall, 143, 149 malaria, 84, 137 Mallory, Walter, 233, 253 malnutrition, 10, 12, 79, 85, 87, 294 as cause of death, 78, 84

371

combined with infectious diseases, 89–90, 96, 292, 294 not as major cause of death, 88 strategies for avoiding, 87 Malthusian evangelicalism, 150 ideas, 197 Manbhum, 212, 216, 217, 218, 220, 221, 222, 223, 224 Manchu-Qing dynasty, 235, 242 Mandelot, Monsieur de, 117 Manila, 267, 270 earthquake in, 270 Manosque, 105 “Marcellus flood,” grote Mandränke, Great Man-Drowning, 49, 50, 64 Marchand, Jean-François, 111 Marcus, Ferdinand, 276 Mauelshagen, Franz, 7 McAlpin, Michelle, 198, 204 McLane, John, 199, 200–201, 207 McNeill, William H., 327 measles, 84, 88, 292 Mecca, 184, 185 Médecins sans Frontières (Doctors without Borders), 148 media coverage of disasters, 2, 4, 62, 66, 148, 344, 348 exploitation of, 57 by French press on Algeria, 142, 144–45, 150 post-disaster reduction in, 3 medieval Islamic texts. See Islamic (medieval) texts Medina, 184 Mediterranean, 3, 120–21, 140, 307, 308 Meinecke, Friedrich, 57 memory of disasters, 3, 43–44, 108, 109–12, 119–30, 305–6, 320 Mendoza, Don Pedro de, 289 Merderon River, 113 Merriam-Webster online dictionary, 17 Mesopotamia, 11, 165, 166, 177, 178 Messina tsunami, 43

372

INDEX

Meteorology, 183, 187, 188, 189 Mexico, 3, 7, 9 Mexico (colonial), disasters in, 12, 305–20 “disaster knowledge” as a result of, 305–6, 307 effects of, 306–7 social unrest, 310–11, 319 water litigation, 308–9, 319 memory of, 305–6, 320 responses to adaptations in, 315–18 administrative, 313–15, 319–20 cooperative efforts in, 311– 13, 319 coping strategies in, 305–6, 318 Mexico City, 310 Michoacán, 307, 308, 316 Middle Ages, 7, 31, 33, 41, 48, 51, 55, 106 Middle East, 9 Midnapore, 200 Midnapur, 201, 209 Midnapur Zamindari Company, 213 migration, caused by disasters, 85, 211, 268, 270, 296–98 Millau, 115 Miller, Max, 20 Ming dynasty, 237 missionaries, 145, 147, 214, 236, 243, 244, 247, 253, 273 Mississippi River, flooding of, 8 Mitchell, James K., 8, 336 Mjödh, Herman, 80 modernization, 8, 58–59, 252, 253 as cause of disasters, 11, 19, 140–41, 198, 204, 225 as a result of disasters, 6–8, 10, 238 Mokyr, Joel, 20, 31 Mongols, 166 monsoon, 165, 203 absence of, 198, 201, 205, 217 Montpellier, 113

Montserrat, 23 Morin, Louis, 104 Moses, Robert, 344 Mosul, 174 Mount Mayon, eruption of, 268, 270 Mount Pinatubo, eruption of, 268, 269, 270 Mount Tambora, eruption of, 59 Mount Vesuvius, eruption of, 42 Mughal, 199 Mughal Empire, 199, 205 Müller, Reto, 29 Muhammed, 183–86, 193 Munda, 212 Mundas, 199 Murshidabad, 203 Muslim East, 187 Muslims, 63, 139, 183, 186, 189–90, 193 Napoleon III, 139, 143, 144 National Forestry Department (Office National des Forêts), 128 National Hurricane Center, 7 National Weather Service, 335 natural, definition of, 17–18 natural disasters, compared with man-made disasters, 43 Natural and Environmental Disaster Information Exchange System (NEDIES), 18 natural risks, 10 nature, as “actor,” 1 nature-induced disaster, definition of, 17–18 Nature on the Rampage, 1 Nazi Reich, 46 Neckar River, flooding of, 49 Netherlands, 31, 48, 50, 51, 55 Neue Zürcher Zeitung, 28 Neulize, 113 New England, hurricane of 1938, 344 New Jersey, 13 natural hazards in, 328–32 blizzards, 338–40 coastal storms, 343–45

INDEX droughts, 346–48 fires, 340–43 floods, 345–46 impact of natural hazards in increased risk-exposure, 348–50 soil erosion, 344 societal experiences of hazards in exposure to hazards, 332–34 resilience as a result of hazards, 336–38 resistance to hazards, 334–36 New Jersey Board on Commerce and Navigation, 344 New Orleans, flood of 2005, 2, 8, 357 New York Times, 339, 341 NGOs. See nongovernmental organizations night frost. See summer frost Noah, story of, 9, 62, 63, 185 nongovernmental organizations (NGOs), 271–72, 275–77 Norderstedt, 63 Nordstrad, Island of, 49, 63–65 nor’easters, 330, 345 North Africa, 9, 141, 142 North America, 6 North Atlantic Drift, 77 North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), 57 North Frisia, 49, 52 North Korea, famine and flooding in, 13 North Sea region, 7, 10, 13, 45, 49– 55, 58, 63, 65 flood chronology of, 49–50 land loss in, due to floods, 50 storm tides of, 50, 58, 62 Northern War, 82 Norway, 90 Nourish the People, 237 Núñez, Álvar, 294–95 Oaxaca, 307, 309, 310, 312, 314, 317, 319

373

O’Donnell, C. J., 221 Odra River, 48–49 flood of 1997, 46, 48, 57–58 Office National des Forêts. See National Forestry Department Oisans avalanche, 123 Old Reich, 46 Old Testament, 62, 143 Oliver-Smith, Anthony, 43, 265 Olson, Richard Stuart, 6 Oraons, 199, 221 Oran, 137, 140 Orissa, 199, 201 Orléans, 113, 115, 116 Ostrobothnia, 84 Oulu, 85–86, 90 Oviedo, Fernández de, 289 Pacific Ocean, 77 pagdadala (burden bearing), 278 paikhast, 206 pakikipagkapwa (being one with others), 269 pakikisama (sanction against breaking ranks), 269 Palamau, 210, 212, 214, 218, 219, 220, 221–23, 224 Paleolithic era, 17 pandemics, 43, 50, 56, 141. See also epidemics Papeles de los Jesuitas (Jesuit Papers), 289 Paraguay, 288, 290 Paraguay River, 285, 287, 288, 289, 294, 295 Paraná River, 12, 285–300 floods of seventeenth and eighteenth centuries, 289–90 cultural response to, 294–96 effects of, 291–94 migration as a result of, 296–98 reducing risks of, 298–300 Parasnath, 214 parent-teacher associations (PTAs), 274, 276, 278

374

INDEX

Paris, 111 Passaic River, 329, 330, 334, 345 Paterson, 345 people’s organizations (POs), 276–77 People’s Republic of China (PRC), 235, 237, 252 People’s University in Beijing, 238 Permanent Enquiry into Avalanches (Enquête Permanente des Avalanches), 128 Pfister, Christian, 5, 7, 107, 253 Philadelphia, 332, 341 Pichard, Georges, 106 Pielinen, Lake, 78 Pietists, 59, 60 Philippines, disasters in, 12, 13, 265–79 adaptive response to, 265–66, 277–78 agricultural, 267–68 architectural, 266–67, 278 migrational, 268 psychological, 268–71, 278 development of culture of coping, 271–77, 278 emergence of associations, 272–75, 276 rise of NGOs, 276–77 rise of political organizations, 275 relationship between culture of disaster and culture of coping, 277–79 pilgrimages as causes of epidemics, 137 discouraged to reduce impact of disasters, 177 in response to disasters, 23, 59 Pinchot, Gifford, 341–42 Pine Barrens, 329, 331, 332, 333, 337, 341, 343 Pinelands, 321 Pingyang, 239, 242, 244, 245 Pitkänen, Kari, 95 Place Confort, 111 plagues, 42, 43, 50, 56, 104, 114,

175–76, 292–93, 294, 299 bubonic, 137 measures against, 60 ten plagues of Egypt, 62 See also locusts, plagues of Pliny, 42 Plümer, Hans-Christoph, 63 Poland, 48, 95 political authority, erosion due to disasters, 17, 233–35, 250–53 Poliwoda, Guido, 19, 33 pollution, 48 poverty, 79, 84, 87, 94, 250–52. See also famine; subsistence crisis Poverty and Famines, 204 Pre-Enlightenment narratives, 108 societies, 61 preventative measures, 7, 268, 313 Progressivism, 341 property rights, 341 Algerian rules for, 138–39, 151, 152 water litigation in colonial Mexico, 308–9, 319 See also dike law protective forests (Schutzwälder), 47 Protestants, 59, 60, 62, 63 Provence, 106 floods in, 120 puroks (neighborhood associations), 276 Purnea, 201 Purulia, 217 Pyrenees, 105, 106, 112 Qaf (mountain), 189 Qianlong emporer, 242 Qing dynasty, 236, 237–42 “The Quaking” (Sura 99 of Koran), 184 Quenet, Grégory, 105, 119 Queyra, floods of (1957), 124 Quirino, Elpidio, 274 Quradj Canal, 169–70 raiyats, 207, 212–15, 216, 217, 222

INDEX Ranchi, 210, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217, 222 Ranchi District Gazetter, 216, 217 Rancocas Creek, 335 Raritan River, 329, 329–30, 332 Raynal, Abbe, 206 reconstruction phase after natureinduced disasters, 31–33 reforestation, as flood mitigation measure, 31 regions of disaster, identification of, 10 reinsurance, 33, 357 religion, as factor in perceptions of disasters, 58 religions interpretations of disasters. See divine, as cause of disasters religious ceremonies. See rituals; rogation ceremonies Renaissance, 41–42 Réole, La, 110 Repgow, Eike von, 53 Republic of China, 235, 237, 252 Research Group for the Study of Disasters in Modern China, 238 Restauration des Terrains de Montagne, La (RTM) (Department of the Restoration of Mountain Territory), 128–29 Reykjavik, 77 Rhine River, 24, 31, 47, 48, 57 flood monitoring of, 24 flooding of, 48–49 Rhône River, 32, 105, 108, 111 Richard, Rodolfo, 286 Richard, Timothy, 238, 247–48, 253 Richter scale, 9 Riihimäki, 85 riparian floods, 107–8 causes of, 108 as threat to French towns, 107–8 risk pool, 30. See also insurance risk management plans, 106, 107 “risk-society” (Risikogesellschaft), 5 risk-taking, tolerance for, 5, 7–8, 329

375

settlement in risk-prone areas, 5, 48 rituals, 23, 109, 269, 273, 299. See also rogation ceremonies rockfalls/rockslides, 41–42, 46, 47 Goldau rockslide, 28 Rodez, 115 rogation ceremonies, 23–24, 27, 108–9 to soothe anxieties and prevent social unrest, 23–24, 109 See also rituals Rokassovski, Platon (governor general), 90 Rollwagen, Johann Claussen, 52, 54 Roman Empire, 23 Romanche Valley, 113 Rosario Prieto, María del, 286 Round City, 171 roya (blight), 291 “Royal Instructions for the Foundation of Cities,” 296 Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, 79 Rungholt saga, 63–65 Rural Credit Law, 274 Russia, 21, 82, 84, 86, 93, 95, 96, 249 Saale river, 48 Sachsenspiegel, 53 Sahara, 137–38, 141, 143, 149 St. Burchard’s Flood, 49 Saint Cyprien, 153 St. Petersburg, 79, 85 Saint-Brieuc region, 114 Sainte Anne canal, 118 Sainte Monique, 153 Saladillo River, 297–98 Salado River, 286, 297, 298 Salih, 185 Salghati, 219 samahans (autonomous associations), 276–77, 278 Samory Kingdom, 149 San Francisco, 7–8, 36n29 earthquake in, 47

376

INDEX

San Javier River, 296, 298 Sankh River, 213–14 Santa Fe, 285, 287–92, 295, 296, 298, 299 Santiago del Estero, 296 Saône River, 111 Sari, Djilali, 142 Saxony, 19, 26, 30, 33, 54, 55 Schama, Simon, 10, 51, 55 Schenk, Gerrit Jasper, 18 Schleswig-Holstein, 27, 54, 55 Schön, Donald A., 19 Schröder, German Chancellor, 43 Scientific Revolution, 42, 58 Scotland, 80 Scott, Hamish Marshall, 21 Second Empire (French), 137, 143, 144 Seine River, 111 Selga, Miguel, 270 Sen, Amartya, 18, 204, 209 September 11, 2001, attacks in United States, 18 Seraphics, 288–89 Shaanxi, China, earthquake in, 3 Shahabad, 220, 222 Shang dynasty, 233 Shanghai, 238, 248, 251–52 Shanxi, famine in, 236, 239–42, 245, 248 Shenbao, 248–49, 252 Shore, John, 202 Shore Protection Master Plan, 344–45 Shun, 233 Sidi Yaya Ben Chalib (Tebessa circle), 149 Singhbhum, 213, 214, 216, 223 Sinha, Dharamjit (Dharma), 219–20 Sisai, 221 Slovakia, 48 sluice construction, 51 smallpox, 3, 88, 202, 292, 293 Smith, Adam, 204 Snellman, Johan Vilhelm, 91, 92 soil erosion, measures to prevent, 47

South America, 9, 13, 285, 288, 292 “spade-land law” (Spadelandrecht), 53. See also dike law Spadelandbrief, 53–54 Spillus, James, 268 starvation, 11, 80, 85, 87–89, 142, 144, 148, 201, 218, 222, 223–24, 271. See also famine Statewide Water Supply Master Plan, 347–48 Steffen, Will, 355 Steinberg, Ted, 6, 342 Stern, 63 Stockholm, 79 Stonich, Susan, 265 Storm of the Century, 1 storm tides, 18, 49, 50, 51, 54, 55, 58, 60 Strachey, Henry, 200 A Study of the Watercourses in the Hautes-Alpes, 129 Stuttgart, 47 subsistence crisis, 59, 68, 70, 104, 197, 198, 204, 210, 311. See also famine Sulpician renewal, 144 Sumatra-Andaman earthquake (2004), 2, 3, 18, 43, 357 summer frost (kesähalla), 10, 77–79, 81–86, 92, 95. See also Great Famine of 1860s (Finland) Summermatter, Stephanie, 23, 29 superstitions, regarding disasters, 49, 63–64, 108, 113, 126, 152 Surrell, Alexandre, 129 al-Suyu tı,, Abu ‘l-Fadl, 183, 189–93 Sweden, 48, 50, 79, 84, 93, 95–96 Swiss Alps 2005 flood in, 29 nineteenth century floods in, 28–29 Swiss Confederation, 28, 47 Swiss Federal Council, 30 Swiss national disaster relief efforts cooperation in, 29

INDEX disaster fundraising strategies for, 28–29 federal coordination of, 29 nation-building as a result of, 27–30 quasi-military mobilization of, 29 relating to perceived affluence of victims, 29–30 Swiss national identity, as a result of participation in national relief efforts, 27–28 promoted by creation of private Swiss clubs and societies, 28 as tradition of successful disaster relief, 30 as unifying force of natureinduced disasters, 28 Switzerland, 9–10, 27–28, 45, 47, 48, 107 early warning systems for floods, 24 Tabarı,, 186 tafsı,r (interpretation), 186, 193 Tagulan Katipunan Pambangsa (farmer’s organization), 275 Tang, 233, 234, 246 Tangshen, earthquake in, 43, 234 Tahsı,n al-mana,zil min hawl al-zala,zil, 183, 189–94 Tehuantepec River, 317 Testament. See Old Testament Tetens, Johann Nicolaus, 54 Thirty Years War, 50, 55, 57 “Thuringian Deluge,” 62 tianming (“Mandate of Heaven”), 233–34 tianzai (“natural disaster”), 11, 233–34 Tigris River, 165–66, 168, 169, 172– 74, 175, 176, 177, 178 Times, The, 250 Times of Feast, Times of Famine, 103 Tocks Island Dam, 345–46

377

Toulouse, 108, 110, 111, 114, 115, 116, 117, 118 Trenton, 345 Tropical Storm Floyd, 335, 336 Trutz, blanke Hans (Now obstinate, bare Hans), 64–65 tsunamis, 2, 18, 42, 43, 103. See also Sumatra-Andaman tsunami tuberculosis, 88 Tunisia, 141, 152 turnuhans (“a turn”), 272, 273, 274, 276, 278 Turkey, 3–4, 47 Turku/Åbo, 79 Turpeinen, Oiva, 88 Tutino, John, 310 Twister, 1 typhus, 88, 89, 141, 142 Uekötter, Frank, 18–19 Umeå, 78 UN International Decade for Disaster Reduction, 237–38 “Unfortunate (Unhappy) Grenoble,” 25, 110 United States, 5, 7, 8, 11, 13, 43, 327–50, 357 University of Turku/Åbo, 80 Upper Engadin, 24 Uppsala, 79 Ur, myth of, 9 Urbain, Ismaÿal, 143 U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, 8, 346 Vaasa, 78, 85 Valais, 32 Valence, 109 Veneto River Valley, 31 The Verbal, 115 Verelst, Harry, 200–201 Villefranche, 115 Virilio, Paul, 18 Vivarais region, 105 Vogtland, 47 volcanoes, eruptions of, 18, 296, 305 in Crete, 3

378

INDEX

Mount Pinatubo, 268, 269, 270 Mount St. Helens, 3 Mount Tambora, 59 Mount Vesuvius, 42 Vosges, 106 vulnerability, changes to as a result of engineering projects, 32 vulnerability, of humans to catastrophes, 7, 13, 94, 107 vulnerability, social versus biophysical, 20–21 Wagner, Christian Friedrich, 26 war, role in formation of nation states, 56–58 war and disease, role of, 56–58 War of Finland, 93 warnings to rulers, interpretation of catastrophes, 11 Warthe River, 48 Was the Killer Hunger or Disease? (dissertation), 88 water litigation, 308–9, 319 weather, study of, 79 Weather Channel, 1 Weber, Max, 58 Weikinn, Curt, 48 Weimar Republic, 46 Western Han dynasty, 233 whooping cough, 88 Wild, A. E., 219 Will, Pierre-Étienne, 237 Williamson, Alexander, 242

windstorms, 18, 42, 290 World Trade Center attacks, 18 World War I and II, role in formation of German nation state, 56 World War II, 32, 56–57, 141 Worster, Donald, 6, 17 Wuchang Uprising, 235 Xia dynasty, 233, 234 Xiangling, 239, 240, 244, 245, 246, 254–56 Xiangling County Gazetteer, 254–57 Yangtze River, flood of 1998, 57–58, 235 Yao, 233 Yellow River, 239 Yokomaha-Tokyo, earthquake in, 43, 47 Yongding River, 235 Yu the Great, 9, 233, 234 Yu Zhongde, 245–46 Zagros Mountains, 164 zai (calamities), 233 zamindars (revenue collectors in Mughal Empire), 199, 200, 205, 209, 213, 220 zangjeras (cooperative irrigation societies), 275 Zeng Guoquan, 243, 248, 257 Zhou, 233 Zhu Shi, 241

About the Contributors

Anna A. Akasoy, lecturer in Oriental studies at the University of Oxford, is the author of Philosophie und Mystik in der späten Almohadenzeit: Die Sizilianischen Fragen des Ibn Sab’ìn (2006) as well as the coeditor of Islamic Crosspollinations: Interactions in the Medieval Middle East (2007) and The Arabic Version of the Nicomachean Ethics (2005). Greg Bankoff, professor of modern history at the University of Hull (UK), is the author of Crime, Society and the State in the Nineteenth-Century Philippines (1996) and Cultures of Disaster: Society and Natural Hazard in the Philippines (2003). He is also coeditor, with Georg Frerks and Dorothea Hilhorst, of Mapping Vulnerability: Disasters, Development, and People (2004). His most recent publications include a volume coedited with Peter Boomgaard, A History of Natural Resources in Asia: The Wealth of Nature (2007), and a book coauthored with Sandra Swart, Breeds of Empire: The “Invention” of the Horse in Maritime Southeast Asia and Southern Africa, 1500–1950 (2007). Vinita Damodaran, senior lecturer in South Asian history at the University of Sussex (UK), is the author of Broken Promises, Indian Nationalism and the Congress Party in Bihar (1992) and the coeditor of Nature and the Orient: Essays on the Environmental History of

379

380

ABOUT THE CONTRIBUTORS

South and South-East Asia (1998) and of Postcolonial India: History, Politics, and Culture (2000). She also directs the Center for World Environmental History at the University of Sussex. Sarah J. Davies is a lecturer in the Institute of Geography and Earth Sciences at the University of Wales, Aberystwyth, and has published articles on environmental changes in Mexican lakes over the past millennium. Georgina H. Endfield, reader in environmental history at the University of Nottingham (UK), is the author of Climate and Society in Colonial Mexico: A Study in Vulnerability (2008) and the editor of the journal Environment and History. René Favier is professor of modern history at the Université Pierre Mendès France in Grenoble and the director of the Sociétés, Entreprises, et Territoires unit at the Laboratoire de Recherche Historique Rhône-Alpes. A few of his most recent publications are Solidarité et assurance: Les sociétés européennes face aux catastrophes (17e–21e siècles) (2008), Nouvelle Histoire du Dauphiné: Une province face à sa mémoire (2007), Gestion sociale des risques naturels (2007), and Pierre-Philippe Candy: Orgueil et narcissisme. Journal d’un notaire dauphinois au XVIIIe siècle (2006). Isabel Fernández Tejedo is an independent scholar with interests in the pre- and post-Hispanic agricultural populations of Mexico and their interactions with the physical environment. Anne-Marie Granet-Abisset, professor of contemporary history at the Université Pierre Mendès France in Grenoble, is the author of Fabriquer une histoire des sociétés alpines: Récit, patrimoine, territoire (2007) and the coeditor of Avalanches et risques: Regards croisés d’ingénieurs et d’historiens (2002) and Histoire et mémoire des risques naturels (2001) as well as numerous articles in journals and edited collections. She is also a member of the Sociétés, Entreprises, et Territoires unit at the Laboratoire de Recherche Historique RhôneAlpes. Andrea Janku, lecturer in the School of Oriental and African Studies at the University of London, is the author of Nur leere Reden: Politischer Diskurs und die Shanghaier Presse im China des späten 19. Jahrhunderts (2003), as well as numerous articles.

ABOUT THE CONTRIBUTORS

381

Christof Mauch is professor of North American cultural, social, and political history and holds the chair in transatlantic relations at the Amerika-Institut, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität, Munich, Germany. He is the former director of the German Historical Institute in Washington, D.C., and the author or coeditor of more than twenty books in the fields of German history and literature, U.S. history, and environmental history. His most recent publications include Berlin—Washington, 1800– 2000: Capital Cities, Cultural Representation, and National Identities (2005), Shades of Green: Environmental Activism Around the Globe (2006), The World Beyond the Windshield: Roads and Landscapes in the United States and Europe (2008), and Rivers in History: Perspectives on Waterways in Europe and North America (2008). Franz Mauelshagen, professor of history at the University of Zürich, Switzerland, is the coeditor, with Dieter Groh and Michael Kempe, of Naturkatastrophen: Beiträge zu ihrer Deutung, Wahrnehmung und Darstellung in Text und Bild von der Antike bis ins 20. Jahrhundert (2003). He is currently working on a study titled Johann Jakob Wicks Wunderbücher: Reformierter Wunderglaube im Wandel der Geschichtsschreibung Sarah E. Metcalfe is professor of earth and environmental dynamics in the School of Geography at the University of Nottingham. Her current research interests include paleoenvironmental reconstructions from Mexican lakes and the effects of climatic change over the Late Quaternary, among many others. James K. Mitchell, professor of geography at Rutgers University, New Jersey, researches the human dimensions of hazards and disasters. His research encompasses how societies assess and manage hazards, the unevenness of public interest in disasters, and lessons that can be learned from catastrophes such as the 2004 Sumatra-Andaman earthquake and tsunami. Timo Myllyntaus, professor of Finnish history at the University of Turku, Finland, is also the secretary general of ICOHTEC (International Committee for the History and Technology) and regional representative of the Nordic countries for the European Society of Environmental History. He is the coeditor, with Margrit Müller, of Pathbreakers: Small European Countries Responding to Globalisation and Deglobalisation (2008) and is currently preparing another book-length manuscript on global environmental history.

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ABOUT THE CONTRIBUTORS

Sarah L. O’Hara is professor of geography at the University of Nottingham. Her research interests include recent and long-term environmental change in Mexico and human-environmental interactions in dry-land environments, including Central Asia. Christian Pfister, professor of economic, social, and environmental history at the University of Bern, Switzerland, is the author, editor, and coeditor of numerous works. Among his recent publications are Bevölkerungsgeschichte und historische Demographie 1500–1800 (2007) and Am Tag danach: Zur Bewaältigung von Naturkatastrophen in der Schweiz 1500–2000 (2002). He has participated in studies conducted by the research branch of the Swiss National Science Foundation, and he contributed to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, published in 2007. María del Rosario Prieto is professor of history at the Universidad Nacional de Cuyo in Mendoza, Argentina. She is also a senior researcher at the Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Cientificas y Técnicas (CONICET) and the author of many books and articles on the environmental history of South America. Bertrand Taithe is professor of cultural history in the School of Arts, Histories, and Cultures at the University of Manchester. His publications include Citizenship and Wars: France in Turmoil 1870–1871 (2001), Defeated Flesh: Welfare, Warfare and the Making of Modern France (1999), and edited works on war and propaganda, along with numerous contributions to journals and essay collections. His current research interests are the history of humanitarianism, including the new forms of humanitarian medicine practiced in postcolonial environments. His latest book, The Bloodiest of Ironies, is forthcoming from Oxford University Press. Otfried Weintritt earned his doctorate in Islamic Studies at Freiburg University in Germany. His special fields of interest are Arabic historiography and the history of Islamic civilization. His publications include Familie im Islam (coedited with Rolf Peter Sieferle and Helga Breuninger [2001]), Transport in Vergleich (2004), and contributions to several edited collections and reference works, as well as articles on historiography and literature. He is currently preparing a study titled Arabische Geschichtsschreibung in den arabischen Provinzen des osmanischen Reiches (16th–18th centuries).