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Department of Economic and Social Affairs Population Division
World Population Prospects The 2004 Revision Volume I: Comprehensive Tables United Nations World Population Estimates and Projections
United Nations New York, 2005
DESA The Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat is a vital interface between global policies in the economic, social and environmental spheres and national action. The Department works in three main interlinked areas: (i) it compiles, generates and analyses a wide range of economic, social and environmental data and information on which States Members of the United Nations draw to review common problems and take stock of policy options; (ii) it facihtates the negotiations of Member States in many intergovernmental bodes on joint courses of action to address ongoing or emergmg global challenges; and (iii) it advises interested Governments on the ways and means of translating policy frameworks developed in United Nations conferences and summits into programmes at the country level and, through technical assistance, helps build national capacities.
Note The designations employed in this report and the material presented in it do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Symbols of United Nations documents are composed of capital letters combined with figures. This publication has been issued without formal editing. STIESAISER.Al244 ISBN 92-1-151406-1 UNITED NATIONS PUBLICATION Sales No. E.05.Xl11.5 Copyright United Nations 2005 All rights reserved @
PREFACE
The 2004 Revision of World Population Prospects represents the latest global demographic estimates and projections prepared by the Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat. This volume of the 2004 Revision presents the comprehensive tables of the official United Nations world population estimates and projections. Covering the 1950-2050 time period, demographic profiles and selected demographic indicators are provided for each development group, major area, region and country. In all data tables, figures for 19502005 are estimates and those thereafter are projections, presented as medium, high, low and constant-fertility variants. The tables are accompanied by an executive summary of the results and the assumptions underlying the 2004 Revision. The executive summary and the assumptions have been translated into the six official United Nations languages. The full results of the 2004 Revision are presented in a series of three volumes. In addition to the present volume, the second volume1 contains the age and sex distributions of populations for the period 1950-2050, and the third volume2 is devoted to an analysis of the results obtained. Summary findings of the 2004 Revision are also shown in a wall chart 3. In addition, data are distributed in digital form. Interested users can purchase one of the three different CD-ROMS' containing the major results of the 2004 Revision. A description of the data provided on the CD-ROMs and an order form are presented on pages 3-12 of this publication and are also posted on the Population Division's web site (www. unpopulation.org). Responsibility for the 2004 Revision rests with the Population Division. Preparation of the 2004 Revision was facilitated by the collaboration of the Regional Commissions, the specialized agencies and other relevant bodies of the United Nations with the Population Division. The Population Dvision is also grateful to the Statistics Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs for its continuing cooperation. Selected output from the 2004 Revision as well as other population information may be accessed on the website of the Population Division at www. unpopulation.org. For further information about the 2004 Revision, please contact, the Director, Population Division, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, United Nations, New York, NY 10017, USA (fax: 1-2 12-963-2147).
l World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, vol. 11, Sex and Age Distribution of the World Population (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.OS.XIII.6). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, vol. 111, Analytical Report (United Nations publication, forthcoming). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Wall Chart (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.05.XIII.4). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, CD-ROM Edition (United Nations publication, Basic Dataset, Sales No. E.OS.XIII.10; Comprehensive Dataset, Sales No. E.OS.XII1.I 1; Extended Dataset, Sales No. E.05.XII1.12).
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CONTENTS Page
...
111 Preface ................................................................................................................................................. xi Explanatory notes ................................................................................................................................. Executive Summaries English ....................................................................................................................................... xvii Arabic ......................................................................................................................................... xxvii xlv Chinese ....................................................................................................................................... French......................................................................................................................................... lix Russian ....................................................................................................................................... lxxiii Spanish .......................................................................................................................................lxxxvii
I . INTRODUCTION .............................................................................................................................. 11. ORDERINGTHE WORLDPOPULATION PROSPECTS DATA ON CD-ROM ........................................ 111. BIBLIOGRAPHY ..............................................................................................................................
IV . LISTOF PREVIOUS REVISIONS ........................................................................................................
ANNEXTABLES Demographic profiles by major area. region and special group ................................................. World ......................................................................................................................................... More developed regions .......................................................................................................... Less developed regions ........................................................................................................... Least developed countries.................................................................................................... Less developed regions. excluding least developed countries............................................. Less developed regions. excluding China............................................................................ Sub-Saharan Africa ................................................................................................................. Africa ........................................................................................................................................ Eastern Africa ......................................................................................................................... Middle Africa .......................................................................................................................... Northern Africa ....................................................................................................................... Southern Africa ....................................................................................................................... Western Africa ........................................................................................................................ Asia ............................................................................................................................................ Eastern Asia ............................................................................................................................ South-central Asia ................................................................................................................... South-eastem Asia .................................................................................................................. Western Asia ........................................................................................................................... Europe ........................................................................................................................................ Eastern Europe ........................................................................................................................ Northern Europe ..................................................................................................................... Southern Europe .....................................................................................................................
Page
Western Europe ....................................................................................................................... Latin America and the Caribbean ............................................................................................... Caribbean ................................................................................................................................ Central America ...................................................................................................................... South America ........................................................................................................................ Northern America ....................................................................................................................... Oceania ....................................................................................................................................... AustraliaINew Zealand ........................................................................................................... Melanesia ................................................................................................................................ Micronesia .............................................................................................................................. Polynesia ................................................................................................................................. A.2. Demographic profiles by country or area ................................................................................... Afghanistan ................................................................................................................................ Albania ....................................................................................................................................... Algeria ........................................................................................................................................ Angola ........................................................................................................................................ Argentina .................................................................................................................................... Armenia ..................................................................................................................................... Australia .................................................................................................................................... Austria ........................................................................................................................................ Azerbaijan .................................................................................................................................. Bahamas ..................................................................................................................................... Bahrain ....................................................................................................................................... Bangladesh ................................................................................................................................. Barbados ..................................................................................................................................... Belarus ....................................................................................................................................... Belgium ...................................................................................................................................... Belize ......................................................................................................................................... Bhutan ........................................................................................................................................ Bolivia ........................................................................................................................................ Bosnia and Herzegovina ............................................................................................................ Botswana .................................................................................................................................... Brazil .......................................................................................................................................... Brunei Darussalam ..................................................................................................................... Bulgaria ...................................................................................................................................... Burkina Faso .............................................................................................................................. Burundi ....................................................................................................................................... Cambodia ................................................................................................................................... Cameroon ................................................................................................................................... Canada ........................................................................................................................................ Cape Verde ................................................................................................................................. Central African Republic ........................................................................................................... Chad ........................................................................................................................................... Channel Islands .......................................................................................................................... Chile ........................................................................................................................................... China .......................................................................................................................................... China, Hong Kong SAR ............................................................................................................. China, Macao SAR..................................................................................................................... Colombia ................................................................................................................................
Page
Comoros ..................................................................................................................................... Congo ......................................................................................................................................... Costa Rica .................................................................................................................................. CBte d'Ivoire .............................................................................................................................. Croatia ........................................................................................................................................ Cuba ........................................................................................................................................... Cyprus ........................................................................................................................................ Czech Republic .......................................................................................................................... Democratic People's Republic of Korea .................................................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ............................................................................................ Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ........................................................................................ Denmark ..................................................................................................................................... Djibouti ...................................................................................................................................... Dominican Republic ................................................................................................................... Ecuador ...................................................................................................................................... Egypt .......................................................................................................................................... El Salvador ................................................................................................................................. Equatorial Guinea ....................................................................................................................... Eritrea ......................................................................................................................................... Estonia ........................................................................................................................................ Ethiopia ...................................................................................................................................... ... Fiji .............................................................................................................................................. Finland ....................................................................................................................................... France ......................................................................................................................................... French Guiana ............................................................................................................................ French Polynesia ...................................................................................................................... Gabon ......................................................................................................................................... Gambia ....................................................................................................................................... Georgia ....................................................................................................................................... Germany ..................................................................................................................................... Ghana ......................................................................................................................................... Greece ........................................................................................................................................ Guadeloupe ................................................................................................................................ Guam .......................................................................................................................................... Guatemala .................................................................................................................................. Guinea ........................................................................................................................................ Guinea-Bissau ............................................................................................................................ Guyana ....................................................................................................................................... Haiti ............................................................................................................................................ Honduras .................................................................................................................................... Hungary ...................................................................................................................................... Iceland ........................................................................................................................................ India ........................................................................................................................................... Indonesia .................................................................................................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) .......................................................................................................... Iraq ............................................................................................................................................. Ireland ........................................................................................................................................ Israel ........................................................................................................................................... Italy ............................................................................................................................................ Jamaica ....................................................................................................................................... Japan ........................................................................................................................................... vii
Page
Jordan ......................................................................................................................................... Kazakhstan ................................................................................................................................. Kenya ......................................................................................................................................... Kuwait ........................................................................................................................................ Kyrgyzstan ................................................................................................................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic............................................................................................ Latvia ......................................................................................................................................... Lebanon ...................................................................................................................................... Lesotho ....................................................................................................................................... Liberia ........................................................................................................................................ Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ............................................................................................................. Lithuania .................................................................................................................................... Luxembourg ............................................................................................................................... Madagascar ................................................................................................................................ Malawi ....................................................................................................................................... Malaysia ..................................................................................................................................... Maldives ..................................................................................................................................... Mali ............................................................................................................................................ Malta .......................................................................................................................................... Martinique .................................................................................................................................. Mauritania .................................................................................................................................. Mauritius .................................................................................................................................... Mexico ....................................................................................................................................... Micronesia (Federated States of)................................................................................................ Mongolia .................................................................................................................................... ..................................................................................................................................... MO~OCCO Mozambique............................................................................................................................... Myanrnar .................................................................................................................................... Namibia ...................................................................................................................................... Nepal .......................................................................................................................................... Netherlands ................................................................................................................................ Netherlands Antilles ................................................................................................................... New Caledonia ........................................................................................................................... New Zealand .............................................................................................................................. Nicaragua ................................................................................................................................... Niger ........................................................................................................................................... Nigeria ........................................................................................................................................ Norway ....................................................................................................................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ................................................................................................... Oman .......................................................................................................................................... Pakistan ...................................................................................................................................... Panama ....................................................................................................................................... Papua New Guinea ..................................................................................................................... Paraguay ..................................................................................................................................... Peru ............................................................................................................................................ Philippines.................................................................................................................................. Poland ......................................................................................................................................... Portugal ...................................................................................................................................... Puerto Rico ................................................................................................................................. Qatar ........................................................................................................................................... Republic of Korea ......................................................................................................................
Page
Republic of Moldova .................................................................................................................. Rkunion ...................................................................................................................................... Romania ..................................................................................................................................... Russian Federation ................................................................................................................ Rwanda ....................................................................................................................................... Saint Lucia ................................................................................................................................. Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .............................................................................................. Samoa ......................................................................................................................................... Sao Tome and Principe .............................................................................................................. Saudi Arabia ............................................................................................................................... Senegal ....................................................................................................................................... Serbia and Montenegro .............................................................................................................. Sierra Leone ............................................................................................................................... Singapore ................................................................................................................................... Slovakia ...................................................................................................................................... Slovenia...................................................................................................................................... Solomon Islands ......................................................................................................................... Somalia....................................................................................................................................... South Africa ............................................................................................................................... Spain........................................................................................................................................... Sri Lanka .................................................................................................................................... Sudan .......................................................................................................................................... Suriname .................................................................................................................................... Swaziland ................................................................................................................................... Sweden ....................................................................................................................................... Switzerland ................................................................................................................................. Syrian Arab Republic ................................................................................................................. Tajikistan .................................................................................................................................... Thailand ..................................................................................................................................... The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia ........................................................................... Tonga ......................................................................................................................................... Trinidad and Tobago .................................................................................................................. Tunisia ........................................................................................................................................ Turkey ........................................................................................................................................ Turlunenistan ............................................................................................................................ Uganda ....................................................................................................................................... Ukraine ....................................................................................................................................... United Arab Emirates ................................................................................................................. United Kingdom ......................................................................................................................... United Republic of Tanzania ...................................................................................................... United States of America ........................................................................................................... United States Virgin Islands ....................................................................................................... Uruguay ...................................................................................................................................... Uzbekistan .................................................................................................................................. Vanuatu ...................................................................................................................................... Venezuela ................................................................................................................................... Viet Nam .................................................................................................................................... Western Sahara........................................................................................................................... Yemen ........................................................................................................................................ Zambia .......................................................................................................................................
Page
Zimbabwe...........................................................................................,.......................................
468
SELECTED DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS
Population size and growth Total population at mid-year by major area and region: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 ...................................................................,................... ..................... Total population at mid-year by major area and region: high variant, 2005-2050 ................ Total population at mid-year by major area and region: low variant, 2005-2050 ................. Total population at mid-year by major area and region: constant-fertility variant, 2005-2050 ............................................................................................................................. Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 ................................................................................................................ Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: high variant,
472 474 475 476 478
480 Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: low variant, 2005-2050 481 Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: constant-fertility variant, 2005-2050 ............................................................................................................... Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 ................................................................................................................ Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country: high variant, 2005-2050.. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country: low variant, 2005-2050... Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country: constant-fertility variant, 2005-2050 ............................................................................................................................. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050............................................................................................ Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country: high variant, 2005-2050 ............................................................................................................................. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country: low variant, 2005-2050 ............................................................................................................................. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country: constant-fertility variant, 2005-2050 ............................................................................... Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country: estimates, 1985-2005 ............................................................................................................................. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country: medium variant, 2005-2020 .......................................................................................m........................
Fertility Crude birth rate by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 ............................................................................................................................. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country: estimates and high variant, 1950-2050 ............................................................................................................................. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country: estimates and low variant, 1950-2050 ............................................................................................................................. Total fertility by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 ............................................................................................................................. Total fertility by major area, region and country: estimates and high variant, 1950-2050 ... Total fertilitv bv maior area. region and country: estimates and low variant, 1950-2050 ....
Page
Mortality Crude death rate by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 ............................................................................................................................. Crude death rate by major area, region and country: estimates and high variant, 1950-2050. ............................................................................................................................ Crude death rate by major area, region and country: estimates and low variant, 1950-2050. ............................................................................................................................ Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country: estimates and projections, 1950-2050 ............................................................................................................................. Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country: estimates and projections, 1950-2050 ............................................................................................................................. Under-five mortality by major area, region and country: estimates and projections
Population age composition and dependency ratios Population by broad age group, major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2000 ................................................................................................................ Population in school ages by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 ................................................................................................................ Dependency ratios by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 .............................................................................................................................
Explanatory notes The following symbols have been used in the tables throughout this report:
Two dots (..) indicate that data are not available or are not separately reported. A hyphen (-) indicates that the itern is not applicable. A minus sign (-) before a figure indicates a decrease. A full stop (.) is used to indicate decimals. Years given start on 1 July. Use of a hyphen (-) between years, for example, 1995-2000, signifies the full period involved, from 1 July of the first year to 1 July of the second year. References to countries, territories and areas
The designations employed and the material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. The designation "more developed" and "less developed" regions are intended for statistical convenience and do not necessarily express a judgment about the stage reached by a particular country or area in the development process. The term "country" as used in this publication also refers, as appropriate, to territories or areas. More developed regions comprise all regions of Europe plus Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan) and Latin America and the Caribbean, as well as Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. The group of least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in 2003, comprises 50 countries, of which 34 are in Africa, 10 in Asia, 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean, and 5 in Oceania. Names and compositions of geographical areas follow those of "Standard country or area codes for statistical use" (ST/ESA/STAT/SER.M/49/Rev.3), available at http://unstats.un.org/unsd/methods/m49/m49.htm. The following abbreviations have been used
AIDS DESA HIV SAR UNAIDS UNHCR
Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome. Department of Economic and Social Affairs. Human Immunodeficiency Virus. Special administrative region. Joint United Nations Programme on HIVIAIDS. Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees.
For analytical purposes, the following country groupings have been used: CLASSIFICATION OF COUNTRIES BY MAJOR AREA AND REGION OF THE WORLD Africa Eastern Africa
Middle Africa
Northern Afi.ica
WesternAJrica
Burundi comoros5 Djibouti Eritrea Ethiopia Kenya Madagascar Malawi ~auritius~ Mozambique Rhnion Rwanda Seychelles* Somalia Uganda United Republic of Tanzania Zambia Zimbabwe
Angola Carneroon Central African Republic Chad Congo Democratic Republic of the Congo Equatorial Guinea Gabon Sao Tome and Principe
Algeria Egypt Libyan Arab Jamahiriya Morocco Sudan Tunisia Western Sahara
Benin Burkina Faso Cape Verde C6te d'Ivoire Gambia Ghana Guinea Guinea-Bissau Liberia Mali Mauritania Niger Nigeria Saint ~ e l e n *a ~ Senegal Sierra Leone Togo
Southern Africa Botswana Lesotho Namibia South Africa Swaziland
Asia Eastern Asia China China, Hong Kong SAR China, Macao SAR Democratic People's Republic of Korea Japan Mongolia Republic of Korea
Afghanistan Bangladesh Bhutan India Iran (Islamic Republic of) Kazakhstan Kyrgyzstan Maldives Nepal Pakistan Sri Lanka Tajikistan Turkmenistan Uzbekistan
South-eastern Asia
WesternAsia
Brunei Darussalam Cambodia Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste Indonesia Lao People's Democratic Republic Malaysia My anmar Philippines Singapore Thailand Viet Nam
Armenia Azerbaijan Bahrain Cyprus Georgia Iraq Israel Jordan Kuwait Lebanon Occupied Palestinian Territory Oman Qatar Saudi Arabia Syrian Arab Republic Turkey United Arab Emirates Yemen
Including the island of Mayotte. Including the islands of Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. Including the islands of Ascension and Tristan da Cunha. The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-central Asia.
...
Xlll
CLASSIFICATION OF COUNTRIES (continued) Europe Eastern Europe
Northern Europe
Southern Europe
Western Europe
Belarus Bulgaria Czech Republic Hungary Poland Republic of Moldova Romania Russian Federation Slovakia Ukraine
Channel 1slands9 Denmark Estonia Faeroe Islands*
Albania Andorra* Bosnia and Herzegovina Croatia Gibraltar* Greece Holy See* Italy Malta Portugal San Marino* Serbia and Montenegro Slovenia Spain The former Yugoslav Republic of ~ a c e d o n i a ' ~
Austria Belgium France Germany Liechtenstein* Luxembourg Monaco* Netherlands Switzerland
inland"
Iceland Ireland Isle of Man* Latvia Lithuania Norway Sweden United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern rel land l 2
''
Latin America and the Caribbean Caribbean
Central America
South America
Anguilla* Antigua and Barbuda* Aruba* Bahamas Barbados British Virgin Islands* Cayman Islands* Cuba Dominica* Dominican Republic Grenada* Guadeloupe Haiti Jamaica Martinique Montserrat* Netherlands Antilles Puerto Rico Saint Kitts and Nevis* Saint Lucia Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Turks and Caicos Islands* United States Virgin Islands
Belize Costa Rica El Salvador Guatemala Honduras Mexico Nicaragua Panama
Argentina Bolivia Brazil Chile Colombia Ecuador Falkland Islands (Malvinas)* French Guiana Guyana Paraguay Peru Surinarne Uruguay Venezuela
Including the islands of Guernsey and Jersey. Including Aland Islands. l ' Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. l2 Also referred to as United Kingdom. l 3 Also referred to as TFYR Macedonia. 'O
xiv
CLASSIFICATION OF COUNTRIES (continued) Northern America Bermuda* Canada Greenland* Saint Pierre et Miquelon* United States of America
Oceania AustralidNew Zealand
Melanesia
Micronesia
Polynesia
~ustralia'~ New Zealand
Fiji New Caledonia Papua New Guinea Solomon Islands Vanuatu
Guam Kiribati* Marshall Islands* Micronesia (Federated States of) Nauru* Northern Mariana Islands* Palau*
American Samoa* Cook Islands* French Polynesia Niue* Pitcairn* Samoa Tokelau* Tonga Tuvalu* Wallis and Futuna Islands*
Sub-Saharan Africa Angola Benin Botswana Burkina Faso Burundi Cameroon Cape Verde Central African Chad Comoros Congo
14
Cdte dlIvoire Democratic Republic of the Congo Djibouti Equatorial Guinea Eritrea Ethiopia Gabon Gambia Ghana Guinea Guinea-Bissau
Kenya Lesotho Liberia Madagascar Malawi Mali Mauritania Mauritius Mozambique Namibia Niger
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
xv
Nigeria RCunion Rwanda Saint Helena Sao Tome and Principe Senegal Seychelles Sierra Leone Somalia South Africa Sudan
Swaziland Togo Uganda United Republic of Tanzania Zambia Zimbabwe
CLASSIFICATION OF COUNTRES (continued) Least developed countries Afghanistan Angola Bangladesh Benin Bhutan Burkina Faso Burundi Cambodia Cape Verde Central African Republic Chad Comoros Democratic Republic of the Congo Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste Djibouti Equatorial Guinea Eritrea
Ethiopia Gambia Guinea Guinea-Bissau Haiti Kiribati Lao People's Democratic Republic Lesotho Liberia Madagascar Malawi Maldives Mali Mauritania Mozambique Myanmar Nepal
Niger Rwanda Samoa Sao Tome and Principe Senegal Sierra Leone Solomon Islands Somalia Sudan Togo Tuvalu Uganda United Republic of Tanzania Vanuatu Yemen Zambia
Note: Countries with a population of less than 100,000 in 2000 are indicated by an asterisk (*).
xvi
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The 2004 Revision is the nineteenth round of official United Nations population estimates and projections prepared by the Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat. These are used throughout the United Nations system as the basis for activities requiring population information. The 2004 Revision is the first to incorporate the full results of the 2000 round of national population censuses. It also takes into account the results of recent specialized surveys carried out in developing countries to provide both demographic and other information to assess the progress made in achieving the internationally agreed development goals, including the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). The comprehensive review of past worldwide demographic trends and future prospects presented in the 2004 Revision provides the population basis for the assessment of those goals. The 2004 Revision confirms the variety of demographic dynamics of our times. While the population at the global level continues to increase, that of the more developed regions as a whole is hardly changing and virtually all population growth is occurring in the less developed regions. Especially rapid population growth characterizes the group of 50 least developed countries. Underlying these varied patterns of growth are distinct trends in fertility and mortality. Below-replacement fertility prevails in the more developed regions and is expected to continue to 2050. Fertility is still high in most least developed countries and, although it is expected to decline, it will remain higher than in the rest of the world. In the rest of the developing countries, fertility has declined markedly since the late 1960s and is expected to reach belowreplacement levels by 2050 in most of these developing countries. Mortality in the established market economies of the developed world is low and continues to decline, but it has been stagnant or even increasing in a number of countries with economies in transition, largely as a result of deteriorating social and economic conditions and, in some cases, because of the spread of HIV. Mortality is also decreasing in the majority of developing countries, but in those highly affected by the HIVIAIDS epidemic, mortality has been increasing. Given the ongoing efforts to provide antiretroviral treatment to 3 million AIDS patients by 2005 and the expectation of further expansion of that treatment thereafter, the 2004 Revision assumes a longer average survivorship for people living with HIV than the 2002 Revision did and therefore projects somewhat lower future mortality levels in HIV-affected countries than the previous Revision. The HIVIAIDS epidemic continues to spread. The number of countries with a significant number of infected people in the 2004 Revision is 60, up from 53 in the 2002 Revision. Although HIV prevalence levels in some countries have been revised downward as better statistics become available. Nevertheless, the toll of the disease continues to be high and is expected to remain so, despite projected reductions in the prevalence of HIVIAIDS. Lower projected levels of HIV prevalence depend on the realization of the commitments made by Governments in the 2000 Millennium ~eclaration'and the 2001 United Nations Declaration of Commitment on HIVIAIDS~.
' See General Assembly Resolution A/Res/55/2.
See General Assembly Resolution A/Res/S-2612.
xvii
The key findings from the 2004 Revision can be summarized as follows: By July 2005, the world will have 6.5 billion inhabitants, 380 million more than in 2000 or a gain of 76 million annually. Despite the declining fertility levels projected over 2005-2050 the world population is expected to reach 9.1 billion according to the medium variant and will still be adding 34 million persons annually by mid-century. Today, 95 per cent of all population growth is absorbed by the developing world and 5 per cent by the developed world. By 2050, according to the medium variant, the population of the more developed countries as a whole would be declining slowly by about 1 million persons a year and that of the developing world would be adding 35 million annually, 22 million of whom would be absorbed by the least developed countries. Future population growth is highly dependent on the path that future fertility takes. In the medium variant, fertility is projected to decline from 2.6 children per woman today to slightly over 2 children per woman in 2050. If fertility were to remain about half a child above the levels projected in the medium variant, world population would reach 10.6 billion by 2050. A fertility path half a child below the medium would lead to a population of 7.6 billion by mid-century. That is, at the world level, continued population growth until 2050 is inevitable even if the decline of fertility accelerates. TABLE1. POPULATION OF THE WORLD, MAJOR DEVELOPMENT GROUPS AND MAJOR AREAS, 1950,1975, 2005 AND 2050, BY PROJECTlON VARlANTS Major area
Population (millions) 1950 1975 2005
Low
Population in 2050 (millions) Medium High Constant
World ................................................
2 5 19
4 074
6 465
7680
9076
10646
11658
More developed regions ................... Less developed regions ..................... Least developed countries............. Other less developed countries .....
813 1 707 20 1 1 506
1047 3 027 356 2 671
1211 5 253 759 4 494
1 057 6622 1 497 5 126
1 236 7840 1 735 6 104
1 440 9206 1 994 7213
1 195 10463 2 744 7 719
Africa................................................ Asia................................................... Europe .............................................. Latin America and the Caribbean ..... Northern America ............................. Oceania .............................................
224 1 396 547 167 172 13
416 2 395 676 322 243 21
906
1 666 4 388 557 653 375 41
1 937 5 217 653 783 438 48
2 228 6 161 764 930 509 55
3 100 6 487 606 957 454 55
3 905
728 561 331 33
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2005). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Highlights. New York:United Nations.
xviii
Figure 1. Population of the world, 1950-2050, by projection variants
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
Year
-Medium
b Low
--c+-
Htgh
- - -A-- - Constant fertili
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2005). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Highlights. New York: United Nations.
Because of its low and declining rate of growth, the population of developed countries as a whole is expected to remain virtually unchanged between 2005 and 2050, at about 1.2 billion. In contrast, the population of the 50 least developed countries is projected to more than double, passing from 0.8 billion in 2005 to 1.7 billion in 2050. Growth in the rest of the developing world is also projected to be robust, though less rapid, with its population rising from 4.5 billion to 6.1 billion between 2005 and 2050. Very rapid population growth is expected to prevail in a number of developing countries, the majority of which are least developed. Between 2005 and 2050, the population is projected to at least triple in Afghanistan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Chad, Congo, the Democratic Republic of Congo, the Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, Mali, Niger and Uganda. The population of 51 countries or areas, including Germany, Italy, Japan, the Baltic States and most of the successor states of the former Soviet Union, is expected to be lower in 2050 than in 2005. During 2005-2050, nine countries are expected to account for half of the world's projected population increase: India, Pakistan, Nigeria, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Bangladesh, Uganda, the United States of America, Ethiopia and China, listed according to the size of their contribution to population growth during that period.
xix
TABLE2. AVERAGE ANNUAL RATE OF CHANGE OF THE TOTAL POPULATION AND THE POPULATION IN BROAD AGE GROUPS, BY MAJOR AREA, 2005-2050 (MEDIUM VARIANT) Total population
Major area
0-14
15-59
60+
80+
World.. ........................................................
0.01
0.63
2.39
3.37
0.75
More developed regions.............................. Less developed regions ............................... Least developed countries....................... Other less developed countries................
-0.14 0.03 1.02 -0.29
-0.38 0.82 2.15 0.54
1.10 2.88 3.32 2.84
2.13 4.19 4.03 4.2 1
0.05 0.89 1.84 0.68
Africa .......................................................... Asia ............................................................. Europe......................................................... Latin America and the Caribbean ............... Northern America ....................................... Oceania ......................................................
0.87 -0.29 -0.36 -0.38 0.23 0.09
2.00 0.47 -0.75 0.6 1 0.37 0.65
3.12 2.70 0.90 2.98 1.67 2.1 1
3.86 4.04 1.98 3.99 2.30 2.89
1.69 0.64 -0.24 0.74 0.62 0.81
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2005). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Highlights. New York: United Nations.
Figure 2. Population dynamics by devefopment groups, 1950-2050
-More
devebped regions
*Less devebped regions
Least devebped countries
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat(2005). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Highlights. New York: United Nations.
TABLE3. TOTAL FERTILITY FOR THE WORLD, MAJOR DEVELOPMENT GROUPS AND MAJOR AREAS, 1970- 1975,2000-2005 AND 2045-2050, BY PROJECTION VARIANTS
Totalfertility (children per woman) 2045-2050 Major area
1970-1975
2000-2005
Low
Medium
High
Constant
World ................................................
4.49
2.65
1.56
2.05
2.53
3.50
More developed regions ................... Less developed regions ..................... Least developed countries ............ Other less developed countries .....
2.12 5.44 6.6 1 5.28
1.56 2.90 5.02 2.58
1.34 1.59 2.08 1.42
1.84 2.07 2.57 1.92
2.34 2.56 3.05 2.41
1.67 3.69 5.56 3.06
Africa............................................... Asia ................................................ Europe .............................................. Latin America and the Caribbean ..... Northern America.. ...........................
6.72 5.08 2.16 5.05 2.0 1
4.97 2.47 1.40 2.55 1.99
2.03 1.42 1.33 1.36 1.35
Oceania .......................................
2.52 1.91 1.83 1.86 1.85
3.00 2.41 2.33 2.36 2.35
5.50 2.98 1.45 2.69 1.99
3.23
2.32
1.42
1.92
2.42
2.72
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Sociai Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2005). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Highlights. New York:United Nations.
In 2000-2005, fertility at the world level stood at 2.65 children per woman, about half the level it had in 1950-1955 (5 children per women). In the medium variant, global fertility is projected to decline further to 2.05 children per woman by 2045-2050. Average world levels result from quite different trends by major development group. In developed countries as a whole fertility is currently 1.56 children per woman and is projected to increase slowly to 1.84 children per woman in 2045-2050. In the least developed countries, fertility is 5 children per woman and is expected to drop by about half, to 2.57 children per woman by 2045-2050. In the rest of the developing world, fertility is already moderately low at 2.58 children per woman and is expected to decline further to 1.92 children per woman by mid-century, thus nearly converging to the fertility levels by then typical of the developed world. Realization of the fertility declines projected is contingent on access to family planning? especially in the least developed countries. In 2000-2005, fertility remains above 5 children per woman in 35 of the 148 developing countries, 30 of which are least developed countries, while the pace of decline in several countries of subSaharan Africa and South-central Asia has been slower than anticipated. Overall, the countries with high fertility account for 10 per cent of the world population. In contrast, fertility has reached below-replacement levels in 23 developing countries accounting for 25 per cent of the world population. This group includes China whose fertility during 2000-2005 is estimated at 1.7 children per woman. 10. Fertility levels in the 44 developed countries, which account for 19 per cent of the world population, are currently very low. All except Albania have fertility below replacement level and 15, mostly located in Southern and Eastern Europe, have reached levels of fertility unprecedented in human history (below 1.3 children per woman). Since 1990-1995, fertility decline has been the rule among most developed countries. The few increases recorded, such as those in Belgium, France, Germany, the Netherlands and the United States, have been small.
TABLE 4. LIFEEXPECTANCY AT BIRTH FOR THE WORLD, MAJOR DEVELOPMENT GROUPS AND MAJOR AREAS,
2000-2005 AND 2045-2050
Major area
2000-2005
2045-2050
World ........................................................
65.4
75. l
More developed regions............................. Less developed regions .............................. Least developed countries ..................... Other less developed countries...............
75.6 63.4 5 1 .O 66.1
82.1 74.0 66.5 76.3
Africa ......................................................... Asia............................................................ Europe........................................................ Latin America and Caribbean ................... Northern America ...................................... Oceania .....................................................
49. f 67.3 73.7 71.5 77.6 74.0
65.4 77.2 80.6 79.5 82.7 81.2
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2005). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Highlights. New York: United Nations.
l l. Global life expectancy at birth, which is estimated to have risen from 47 years in 19501955 to 65 years in 2000-2005, is expected to keep on rising to reach 75 years in 20452050. In the more developed regions, the projected increase is from 76 years today to 82 years by mid-century. Among the least developed countries, where life expectancy today is 51 years, it is expected to be 67 years in 2045-2050. Because many of these countries are highly affected by the HIVIAIDS epidemic, the projected increase in life expectancy is dependent on the implementation of effective programmes to prevent and treat HIV infection. In the rest of the developing world, under similar conditionalities, life expectancy is projected to rise from 66 years today to 76 years by mid-century. 12. Mortality in Eastern Europe has been increasing since the late 1980s. In 2000-2005 life expectancy in the region, at 67.9 years, was lower than it had been in 1960-1965 (68.6 years). The Russian Federation and the Ukraine are particularly affected by rises in mortality resulting partly from the spread of HIV.
13. Twenty-five years into the HIWAIDS epidemic, the impact of the disease is evident in terms of increased morbidity and mortality and slower population growth. In Southern Africa, the region with the highest HIVIAIDS prevalence of the disease, life expectancy has fallen from 62 years in 1990-1995 to 48 years in 2000-2005, and is projected to decrease further to 43 years over the next decade before a slow recovery starts. As a consequence, population growth in the region is expected to stall between 2005 and 2020. In Botswana, Lesotho and Swaziland, the population is projected to decrease as deaths outnumber births. In most of the other developing countries affected by the epidemic, population growth will continue to be positive because their moderate or high fertility more than counterbalances the rise in mortality. 14. The primary consequence of fertility decline, especially if combined with increases in life expectancy, is population ageing, whereby the share of older persons in a population grows relative to that of younger persons. Globally, the number of persons aged 60 years or over is expected almost to triple, increasing from 672 million in 2005 to nearly 1.9 billion by 2050. Whereas 6 out of every 10 of those older persons live today in developing countries, by 2050, 8 out of every 10 will do so. An even more xxii
marked increase is expected in the number of the oldest-old (persons aged 80 years or over): from 86 million in 2005 to 394 million in 2050. In developing countries, the rise will be from 42 million to 278 million, implying that by 2050 most oldest-old will live in the developing world. 15. In developed countries, 20 per cent of today's population is aged 60 years or over and by 2050 that proportion is projected to be 32 per cent. The elderly population in developed countries has already surpassed the number of children (persons aged 0- 14) and by 2050 there will be 2 elderly persons for every child. In the developing world, the proportion of the population aged 60 or over is expected to rise from 8 per cent in 2005 to close to 20 per cent by 2050. 16. Increases in the median age, the age at which 50 per cent of the population is older and 50 per cent younger than that age, are indicative of population ageing. Today, just 11 developed countries have a median age above 40 years. By 2050, there will be 89 countries in that group, 45 in the developing world. Population aging, which is becoming a pervasive reality in developed countries, is also inevitable in the developing world and will occur faster in developing countries. 17. Countries where fertility remains high and has declined only moderately will experience the slowest population ageing. By 2050, about one in five countries is still projected to have a median age equal or less than 30 years. The youngest populations will be found in least developed countries, l l of which are projected to have median ages equal to or less than 23 years in 2050, including Afghanistan, Angola, Burundi, Chad, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Equatorial Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, Mali, Niger and Uganda. 18. During 2005-2050, the net number of international migrants to more developed regions is projected to be 98 million or an average of 2.2 million annually. The same number will leave the less developed regions. For the developed world, such a level of net migration will largely offset the expected excess of deaths over births during 20052050, which amounts to a loss of 73 million people. For the developing world, the 98 million emigrants represent scarcely less than 4 per cent of expected population growth. 19. Over the period 2000-2005, 74 countries were net receivers of migrants. In 64 of these countries, the net migration projected reinforces population growth and in 7 countries, it reverses the trend of population decline (Austria, Croatia, Germany, Greece, Italy, Slovakia and Slovenia) In three countries, the migration slows down population decline but does not reverse it (Czech Republic, Hungary and the Russian Federation). 20. In terms of annual averages for the period 2005-2050, the major net receivers of international migrants are projected to be the United States (1.1 million annually), Germany (202,000), Canada (200,000), the United Kingdom (13O,OOO), Italy (120,000) and Australia (100,000). The major countries of net emigration are projected to be China (-327,000 annually), Mexico (-293,000), India (-24 1,000), the Philippines (-180,000), Indonesia (-l64,OOO), Pakistan (-154,000) and the Ukraine (-100,000).
ASSUMPTIONS UNDERLYING THE 2004 REVISION To project population until 2050, the United Nations Population Division applies assumptions regarding future trends in fertility, mortality, and migration. Because future trends cannot be known with certainty, a number of projection variants are produced. The Highlights focus on the medium variant of the 2004 Revision. The assumptions of the medium variant are outlined in detail in section A of this chapter. The 2004 Revision includes five additional variants: the high, low, constant-fertility, constant-mortality, and zero-migration variants. The assumptions that differentiate these variants from the medium variant are described in section B. Detailed results of these variants will be made available in forthcoming publications. The future population of each country is projected from an estimated population for l July 2005. Because actual population data for 2005 are not yet available, the 2005 estimate is based upon the most recent population data available for each country, derived usually from a census or population register, updated to 2005 using all available data on fertility, mortality and international migration. In cases where very recent data are not available, estimated demographic trends are short term projections from the most recent available data. Population data from all sources are evaluated for completeness, accuracy and consistency, and adjusted where necessary.' A. ASSUMPTIONS OF THE MEDIUM VARIANT
l . Fertility assumptions: Convergence toward total fertility below replacement
Total fertility in all countries is assumed to converge eventually toward a level of 1.85 children per woman. However, not all countries reach this level during the projection period, that is, by 2050. The basic principle of fertility projection is the same for all countries, but projection procedures are slightly different depending on whether countries had a total fertility above or below 1.85 children per woman in 2000-2005. For those countries with total fertility above 1.85 children per woman, fertility is assumed to follow a path derived from models of fertility decline established by the United Nations Population Division on the basis of the past experience of all countries with declining fertility during 1950-2000. The models relate the level of total fertility during a period to the average expected decline in total fertility during the next period. If the total fertility projected by a model for a country falls to 1.85 children per woman before 2050, total fertility is held constant at that level for the remainder of the projection period (that is, until 2050). In all cases, the projected fertility paths yielded by the models are checked against recent trends in fertility for each country. When a country's recent fertility trends deviate considerably from those consistent with the models, fertility is projected over an initial period of 5 or 10 years in such a way that it follows recent experience. The model projection takes over after that transition period. For instance, in countries where fertility has stalled or where there is no evidence of fertility decline, fertility is projected to remain constant for several more years before a declining path sets in.
For a general description of the procedures used in revising estimates of population dynamics, see World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision, Volume III: Analytical Report, pp. 1 80- 1 82.
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For countries where total fertility was below 1.85 children per woman in 2000-2005, it is assumed that over the first 5 or 10 years of the projection period fertility will follow the recently observed trends in each country. After that transition period, fertility is assumed to increase linearly at a rate of 0.07 children per woman per quinquennium. Thus, countries whose fertility is currently very low need not reach a level of 1.85 children per woman by 2050. 2. Mortality assumptions: Increasing life expectancy except when aflected by HIV/AIDS
a. Normal mortality assumptions Mortality is projected on the basis of models of change of life expectancy produced by the United Nations Population Division. These models produce smaller gains the higher the life expectancy already reached. The selection of a model for each country is based on recent trends in life expectancy by sex. For countries highly affected by the HIVIAIDS epidemic, the model incorporating a slow pace of mortality decline has generally been used to project the reduction of general mortality risks not related to HIV/AIDS. b. The impact of HIV/AIDS on mortality For the 60 countries highly affected by the HIV/AIDS epidemic (listed in table VIII.21), estimates of the impact of HIV/AIDS are made by explicitly modelling the course of the epidemic and by projecting the yearly incidence of HIV infection. The model developed by the UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and projections4 is used to fit past estimates of HIV prevalence provided by UNAIDS so as to derive the parameters determining the past dynamics of the epidemic. For most countries, the model is fitted assuming that the relevant parameters have remained constant in the past. Beginning in 2005, the parameter PHI, which reflects the rate of recruitment of new individuals into the high-risk or susceptible group, is projected to decline by half every thirty years. The parameter R, which represents the force of infection, is projected to decline in the same manner. The reduction in R reflects the assumption that changes in behaviour among those subject to the risk of infection, along with increases in access to treatment for those infected, will reduce the chances of transmitting the virus. The rate of mother-to-child transmission is projected to decline at varying rates, depending on each country's progress in increasing access to treatment. In addition, the component of the Reference Group model relative to the survivorship of infected children has been updated: in the 2004 Revision it is assumed that 50 per cent of children infected through mother-to-child transmission will survive to age two. The 2004 Revision incorporates for the first time a longer survival for persons receiving treatment with highly active antiretroviral therapy (ART). The proportion of the HIV-positive population receiving treatment in each country is consistent with estimates prepared by the World Health Organization for the end of 2004~.Coverage is projected to reach between 40 percent and 85 per cent by 2015, depending on the current level of coverage. It is assumed that, on average, annual survival probabilities increase to at least 80 per cent for individuals receiving ART. Under this assumption, mean survival from the initiation of therapy is 3.1 years (median 4.5 years). In contrast, in the absence of treatment mean survival after progression to AIDS is assumed to be just one year. Improved methods and assumptions for estimation of the HVIAIDS epidemic and its impact: Recommendations of the UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections. AIDS, vol. 16, pp. WI-W l4 (UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections, 2002). World Health Organization. "3 by 5" Progress Report, December 20041WHO and UNAIDS.
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3. International migration assumptions
The future path of international migration is set on the basis of past international migration estimates and an assessment of the policy stance of countries with regard to future international migration flows.
B. PROJECTIONVARIANTS The 2004 Revision includes five projection variants in addition to the medium variant. Three variants-high, low and constant-fertility-differ from the medium variant only in the projected level of total fertility. In the high variant, total fertility is projected to remain 0.5 children above the total fertility in the medium variant over most of the projection period. For example, countries reaching a total fertility of 1.85 in the medium variant reach a total fertility of 2.35 in the high variant. In the low variant, total fertility is projected to remain 0.5 children below the total fertility in the medium variant. In the constant-fertility variant, total fertility remains constant at the level estimated for 2000-2005. A constant-mortality variant and a zero-migration variant have also been prepared. They both have the same fertility assumption as the medium variant. Furthermore, the constantmortality variant has the same international migration assumption as the medium variant. Consequently, the results of the constant-mortality variant can be compared with those of the medium variant to assess the effect that changing mortality has on other demographic parameters. Similarly, the zero-migration variant differs from the medium variant only with respect to the underlying assumption regarding international migration. Therefore, the zeromigration variant allows an assessment of the effect that non-zero migration has on other demographic parameters. C. METHODOLOGICAL CHANGES MADE FOR THE 2004 REVISION In the medium variant, the fertility of countries with a total fertility below 1.85 children per woman in 2000-2005 is projected first by continuing recent trends and then by increasing fertility linearly at a rate of 0.07 children per woman per quinquennium. These countries do not necessarily reach a level of 1.85 children per woman by 2050. In the 2004 Revision, additional models of mortality change have been used to capture the diversity of historical experience in the rise of life expectancy. Specifically, very slow and very fast models of change have been developed and added to the previously existing slow, medium and fast models. The impact of HIVIAIDS on mortality is modelled explicitly for all countries that had adult HIV prevalence of one per cent or greater in 2003. Treatment with antiretroviral therapy is explicitly incorporated into the projection of HIV/AIDS for affected countries. In addition, the rate of mother-to-child transmission of HIV is projected to decline at a rate consistent with projected progress in expanding access to treatment.
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V&h U l%M&h(www.unpopulation.org)
(2004 %$&-I$)) @-%fi ~ ~ ~ ~ PR%~(2004~ q @ ihT & ) R@l%-$B%4, ~ ~ i-gg , Ms. ~ Hania o Zlotnik, Director, PopulationDivision, UnitedNations, NewYork, NY 10017, USA (@S:1 212 963 2147)
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On trouvera dans le present rapport le resume des resultats de la Rkvision de 2004 des estimations et projections officielles concernant la population mondiale
Ctablies par la Division de la population du Departement des affaires Cconomiques et sociales du Secretariat de 1'ONU. En outre, le rapport donne un aperGu des hypoth5ses concernant la feconditk, la mortalit6 et les migrations utiliskes pour l'etablissement des projections ainsi qu'un resume des modifications et ajustements introduits dans la Re'vision de 2004 par rapport aux procedures suivies dans la Re'vision de 2002. La Rdvision de 2004 est fondCe sur les resultats de la dixneuvieme sCrie d'estimations et projections demographiques mondiales entreprises par la Division de la population depuis 1950. Les rksultats complets de la Rkvision de 2004 seront publies dans une serie de trois volumes. Le premier volume' contiendra les tableaux dktailles relatifs aux principaux indicateurs demographiques pour chaque pays, de 1950 a 2050; le deuxieme volume2 presentera la rCpartition par iige et par sexe de la population de chaque pays au cours de la periode 1950-2050; et le troisieme volume3 sera consacre a une analyse des resultats obtenus. Les donnees seront Cgalement disponibles sous forme numkrique. Les utilisateurs intkresses peuvent acheter un CD-ROM contenant les principaux resultats de la Rkvision de 2004. Une description des donnees contenues dans le CD-ROM et un formulaire de commande seront affichCs sur le site Web de la Division de la population a l'adresse <www.unpopulation.org>. La responsabilite de la Rkvision de 2004 incombe a la Division de la population. L'Claboration de la Rdvision de 2004 a CtC facilitie par la collaboration offerte a la Division de la population par les commissions regionales, les institutions spCcialisCes et d'autres organes pertinents des Nations Unies. En particulier, il a et6 fait appel pour l'etablissement de ces estimations et projections a une source essentielle de statistiques officielles nationales sur la population, 17Annuaire de'mographique des Nations Unies et ses bases de donnCes, ClaborCes et tenues a jour par la Division de statistique du Departement des affaires Cconomiques et sociales de I'ONU. La Division de la population remercie la Division de statistique de la cooperation qu'elle ne cesse de lui apporter. On trouvera certains rCsultats de la Re'vision de 2004 ainsi que d'autres informations dCmographiques sur le site Web de la Division de la population a l'adresse <www.unpopulation.org~.Pour tout compldment d'information au sujet de la Re'vision de 2004, veuillez entrer en contact avec Mm"Hania Zlotnik, Directrice de la Division de la population, Nations Unies, New York, NY 10017, ~ t a t s - ~ n i s (tC1Ccopie : 1 (2 12) 963-2 147).
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, vol. I, Comprehensive Tables (publication des Nations Unies, Sales No. E.05.XIII.5). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, vol. 11, Sex and Age Distribution of the World Population (publication des Nations Unies, Sales No. E.OS.XIII.6). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, vol. 111, Analytical Report (publication des Nations Unies, a paraftre).
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La Rkvision de 2004 est fondee sur les resultats de la dix-neuvieme serie d'estimations et projections demographiques officielles de 1'ONU Ctablies par la Division de la population du DCpartement des affaires economiques et sociales du Secretariat de l'organisation. Ces estimations et projections sont utilisees dans l'ensemble du systeme des Nations Unies ou elles servent de base aux activitCs pour lesquelles des informations demographiques sont necessaires. La Rkvision de 2004 est la premiere qui integre les resultats complets de la serie des recensements nationaux de la population de 2000. Elle tient Cgalement compte des resultats d'enqustes specialisees effectuees recemment dans des pays moins developpks pour recueillir des donnees demographiques et autres pennettant d7Cvaluer les progres realises en vue des objectifs de developpement convenus sur le plan international, y compris les objectifs du Millhaire pour le ddveloppement (OMD). L'inventaire detail16 des tendances passees et futures de la population mondiale present6 dans la Re'vision de 2004 constitue la base de domkes dkmographiques indispensable pour une evaluation des progres accomplis dans cette voie. La Re'vision de 2004 confix-me la diversite de la dynamique demographique de notre Cpoque. S'il est vrai que la population mondiale continue d'augmenter, il n'y a guere de changements dans la population des regions developpees du monde, et la croissance de la population a lieu en quasi-totalit6 dans les regions moins developpees. Le groupe des 50 pays les moins avancks connait une croissance demographique particulierement rapide. Ces differents schemas de croissance s'expliquent par les tendances diffkrentes de la feconditk et de la mortalitk. Des niveaux de fkconditk inferieurs au seuil de remplacement s'observent dans les regions dCveloppCes et cette tendance devrait se poursuivre jusqu'en 2050. La fkconditk est encore Clevee dans la plupart des pays les moins avances et, meme s'il faut s'attendre a une baisse, elle restera plus Clevee dans ces pays que dans le reste du monde. Dans les autres pays moins developpks, la fecondite a nettement diminue depuis la fin des annees 60 et, pour la plupart des pays inclus dans ce groupe, la feconditk devrait tomber en dessous du seuil de remplacement d'ici a 2050. Dans les Cconomies de march6 traditionnelles du monde developpe, la mortalite est faible et continue a baisser, mais elle a Ctk stationnaire ou a mdme augment6 dans bon nombre de pays a economie en transition, en grande partie sous i'effet de la degradation des conditions sociales et economiques et, dans certains cas, en raison de la propagation du VIH. La mortalit6 diminue Cgalement dans la plupart des pays moins dtveloppes, mais elle a augment6 dans ceux qui sont gravement touches par l'epidtmie de VIHlsida. htant donne les efforts entrepris actuellement pour dispenser d'ici a 2005 un traitement antiretroviral a trois millions de patients atteints du sida et compte tenu de l'expansion de ce traitement attendue par la suite, la Revision de 2004 part de l'hypothese d'une periode de survie plus longue pour les personnes vivant avec le VIH que ce n'6tait le cas dans la Rtvision de 2002 et indique en consequence pour les pays touches par le VIH des niveaux de mortalite futurs qui sont inferieurs aux niveaux prevus dans la Rkvision precedente.
L'CpidCmie de VIH/sida continue de s'itendre. Le nombre de pays comptant un effectif important de personnes atteintes est de 60 dans la Re'vision de 2004, alors qu'il Ctait de 53 dans la Re'vision de 2002. Bien que les taux de prevalence du VIH dans quelques pays aient 6tC rCvisCs en baisse a mesure que les statistiques amCliorCes devenaient disponibles, le tribut pay6 B la maladie est encore tres lourd et le restera probablement, malgrC les rCductions prevues de la prevalence du VIH/sida. La baisse attendue des taux de prevalence du VIH depend de l'exicution par les gouvernements des engagements qu'ils ont pris dans la Declaration du Millhaire4 et dans la Declaration d'engagement des Nations Unies de 2001 sur le VIH/sidaS. Les principales conclusions de la Re'vision de 2004 peuvent se resumer comme suit : En juillet 2005, le monde comptera 6,s milliards d7habitants, 380 millions de 1. plus qu'en 2000, ce qui represente un accroissement annuel de 76 millions d'etres humains. Malgre la baisse de f6conditC prCvue pour la pkriode 2005-2050, la population mondiale devrait atteindre 9,l milliards de personnes d'apres la variante moyenne et s'accroitra encore de 34 millions de personnes par an au milieu du sibcle.
2. Aujourd'hui, 95 % de toute la croissance demographique mondiale est absorbde par les rCgions moins dCveloppCes et 5 % par les regions diveloppdes. D'ici h 2050, d'aprks la variante moyenne, la population de l'ensemble des pays dCveloppCs devrait diminuer lentement, d'environ l million de personnes par an, et les rigions moins dCveloppees devraient augmenter chaque annCe de 35 millions d'habitants, dont 22 millions seraient absorb& par les pays les moins avances. 3. La croissance future de la population est largement liee aux tendances futures de la fCconditC. La variante moyenne anticipe une baisse de fecondite, allant de 2,6 enfants par femme aujourd'hui a un pew plus de 2 enfants par femme en 2050. Si la feconditC demeurait a un niveau supkrieur d'environ 0,5 enfant par femme aux niveaux prCvus dans la variante moyenne, le monde compterait 10,6 milliards d'habitants en 2050. Une Cvolution de la fCconditC se traduisant par un niveau infkrieur de 0,5 enfant par femme aux niveaux de la variante moyenne se traduirait par une population mondiale de 7,7 milliards au milieu du siecle. Cela veut dire qu'au niveau mondial la poursuite de la croissance demographique est inhitable jusqu'en 2050 m2me si la baisse de la fCconditC s'accilkre.
Voir la resolution AlRes15512 de 1'Assemblee generale. Voir la resolution AIReslS-2612 de 1'Assemblee generale.
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Tableau 1 Population mondiale selon les diffkrentes variantes de la projection, par grande rkgion, 1950,1975,2005 et 2050 Population (millions) Grande re'gion
1950
Population en 2050 (millions) Varianre Variante faible moyenne
2005
1975
Varianre Pleve'e
Variante consranre
Ensemble du monde Regions developptes Regions moins developpees Pays les moins avances Autres pays moins developpes Afrique Asie Europe Amerique latine et Carai'bes Amerique du Nord Oceanie Source : Division de la population du Departement des affaires tconomiques et sociaies du Secrttariat de I'ONU (2005). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision Highlights. New York: Nations Unies.
Figure l Population mondiale selon les diffkrentes variantes de la projection, 1950-2050
,
I
l
I o
~
1950
r
1960
!
1970
r
1980
~
r
1990
r
2000
~
2010
I
1
l
r
2020
l
2030
2040
~
r
2050
Annte Variante moyenne ~-U--- Variante faible
+Variante elevee a- -
- -
Variante constante
Source : Division de la population du Departement des affaires economiques et sociales du Secrttariat de I'ONU (2005). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision Highlights. New York: Nations Unies.
Ixii
~
l
~
4. En raison de son taux de croissance relativement faible et en declin, la population de l'ensemble des pays developpes devrait rester pratiquement inchangee entre 2005 et 2050, avec environ 1,2 milliard d'habitants. En revanche, la population des 50 pays les moins avances devrait plus que doubler, d'apres les projections, passant de 0,8 milliard en 2005 a 1,7 milliard en 2050. Les prkvisions font Cgalement apparaitre une croissance vigoureuse, mais moins rapide, pour les autres pays moins developpks, dont la population devrait passer de 4,5 milliards a 6,l milliards entre 2005 et 2050. Une tres forte croissance dtmographique est anticipie dans un certain nombre 5. de pays moins diveloppes, dont la plupart sont parmi les pays les moins avancks. Entre 2005 et 2050, la population devrait au moins tripler en Afghanistan, au Burkina Faso, au Burundi, au Congo, en Guinee-Bissau, au LibCria, au Mali, au Niger, en Ouganda, en Republique democratique du Congo, en Rkpublique democratique du Timor-Leste et au Tchad.
6 . La population de 5 1 pays ou regions, y compris 17Allemagne, l'Italie, le Japon, les ~ t a t sbaltes et la plupart des ~ t a t ssuccesseurs de 17ex-Union sovietique, sera probablement moins nombreuse en 2050 qu'en 2005. 7. En 2005-2050, neuf pays devraient etre a 170rigine de la moitiC de l'augmentation prevue de la population mondiale : l'Inde, le Pakistan, le Nigeria, la Republique democratique du Congo, le Bangladesh, 170uganda, les ~ t a t s - ~ n i s d'Amerique, 17~thiopie et la Chine, enumtrks dans 170rdreselon l'ampleur de leur contribution a la croissance de la population au cours de cette periode.
Tableau 2 Taux annuel de variation de la population selon les grands groupes d'lge, par grande dgion, 2005-2050 (variante moyenne) Grande rigion
0-14
15-59
60 +
80 +
Population rotale
Ensemble du monde Regions developpees Regions moins deveioppees Pays les moins avances Autres pays moins developpes Afrique Asie Europe Amerique latine et CaraSbes Amerique du Nord Oceanie Source : Division de la population du Departement des affaires economiques et sociales du Secretariat de I'ONU (2005). CVorld Population Prospects: The ZOO4 Revision Highlights. New York: Nations Unies.
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Figure 2 Dynamique de la population, par grande rCgion, 1950-2050 (variante moyenne)
Periode Regions developpkes
-0- Regions moins developp6es
U Pays les moins avances
Source : Division de la population du Departement des affaires 6conomiques et sociales du Secretariat de I'ONU (2005). World Population Prospects: The 2001 Revision Highlights. New York: Nations Unies.
Tableau 3 Indice synthetique de fCconditC selon les differentes variantes de la projection, par grande region, 1970-1975,2000-2005 et 2045-2050 lndice synthe'tique defe'condi~e'(nombre d'enfants par femme)
Grande region
1970-1975
2000-2005
Variante foible
Varianle moyenne
Varianle Clevie
Variante constante
Ensemble du monde Regions developpees Regions moins developpees Pays les moins avances Autres pays moins developpes Afrique Asie Europe Amerique latine et Carafbes Amerique du Nord Oceanie Source :Division de la population du Departement des affaires Cconomiques et sociales du Secretariat de I'ONU (2005). World Population Prospects: The 2001 Revision Highlights. New York: Nations Unies.
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8. En 2000-2005, la ficondite a l'echelle mondiale etait de 2,65 enfants par femme, soit environ la moitie du niveau des annees 1950-1955 (5 enfants par femme). Dans la variante moyenne, les projections indiquent que la feconditk mondiale atteindra 2'05 enfants par femme en 2045-2050. Les niveaux de fecondite a l'echelle mondiale risultent d'evolutions trks differentes parmi les pays dCveloppCs et les pays moins dCveloppCs. Dans l'ensemble des pays dkveloppes, la fecondite est aujourd'hui de 1,56 enfant par femme et devrait progresser lentement pour atteindre 1,84 enfant par femme en 2045-2050. Dans les pays les moins avancks, la fecondite est de 5 enfants par femme et devrait diminuer environ de moitiC, pour tomber a 2,57 enfants par femme en 2045-2050. Pour les autres pays moins developpks, la f6conditC est dejA relativement faible, avec 2,58 enfants par femme, et devrait diminuer davantage pour atteindre 1,92 enfant par femme d'ici le milieu du sikcle, ce qui la ferait pratiquement converger avec les niveaux de fecondite typiques observes a cette date dans les regions d~5veloppCes.Cette baisse anticipee de la feconditd presuppose un accks continu aux services de planification familiale, d'autant plus dans les pays les moins avancCs. 9. En 2000-2005, la fecondite est encore supkrieure ii 5 enfants par femme dans 35 des 148 pays moins developpes, dont 30 font partie des pays les moins avancCs, et la baisse observee dans plusieurs pays d'Afrique subsaharienne et dYAsie mdridionale et centrale a 6tC plus lente que prkvue. Dans l'ensemble, les pays a forte fecondite reprisentent 10 % de Ia population mondiale. En revanche, la f6conditC a atteint des taux inferieurs au seuil de remplacement dans 23 pays moins developpis oh vit 25 % de la population mondiale. Ce groupe comprend la Chine, ou la f6conditC pour la periode 2000-2005 est estimCe a 1,7 enfant par femme. 10. Les niveaux de fkcondite dans les 44 pays developpes, ou vit 19 % de la population mondiale, sont aujourd'hui trks bas. Tous, a l'exception de l'Albanie, ont des niveaux de fCconditC inferieurs au seuil de remplacement et 15, situCs pour la plupart en Europe meridionale et orientale, ont atteint un niveau de fecondite sans precedent dans l'histoire humaine (moins de 1,3 enfant par femme). Depuis 19901995, la baisse de la fecondite a CtC la regle dans la plupart des pays d6veloppCs. Les quelques augmentations enregistrees, par exemple en Allemagne, en Belgique, aux ~ t a t s - ~ n ien s , France et aux Pays-Bas, ont CtC minimes. 11. Pour l'ensemble ciu monde, l'esperance de vie B la naissance a augment6 de 47 ans en 1950-1955 a 65 ans en 2000-2005, et devrait continuer de progresser pour atteindre 75 ans en 2045-2050. Dans les rCgions developpees, l'accroissement prevu amknerait l'espkrance de vie de 76 ans aujourd'hui a 82 ans au milieu du siecle. Dans les pays les moins avances, l'esperance de vie est aujourd'hui de 51 ans; elle devrait atteindre 67 ans en 2045-2050. Etant donnC que bon nombre de ces pays sont gravement touches par l'tpidemie du VIHIsida, 17accroissementde l'esperance de vie indiquee par les projections depend de la mise en aeuvre de programmes efficaces de prevention et de traitement de l'infection VIH. Pour les autres pays moins developpes, et compte tenu des memes reserves, l'esperance de vie devrait passer de 66 ans aujourd'hui a 76 ans au milieu du sikcle.
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Tableau 4 Espdrance de vie a la naissance, par grande rdgion, 2000-2005 et 2045-2050 Grande rigron
2000-2005
2045-2050
Ensemble du monde Regions developpees Regions moins developpees Pays les moins avances Autres pays moins developpes Afrique Asie Europe Amdrique latine et Carafbes Amerique du Nord Oceanie Source : Division de la population du Dkpartement des affaires Cconomiques et sociales du Secretariat de 170NU(2005). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Highlights. New York: Nations Unies.
12. La mortalit6 a augmente en Europe orientale depuis la fin des annCes 80. En 2000-2005, l'espirance de vie, qui est de 67,9 ans dans la region, avait diminue par rapport au niveau de la piriode 1960-1965 (68,6 ans). La Federation de Russie et 1'Ukraine sont particulierement touchees par l'augmentation de la mortalit6 qui resulte en partie de la propagation du VIH. 13. Vingt-cinq ans apr& le declenchement de 1'CpidCmie du VIHIsida, l'impact de la maladie ressort clairement de l'accroissement de la morbidit6 et de la mortalit6 et du ralentissement de la croissance demographique. En Afiique australe, region qui connait le niveau le plus Cleve de prevalence du VIHIsida, I'espCrance de vie a diminue, tombant de 62 ans en 1990-1995 a 48 ans en 2000-2005, et devrait encore se reduire pour tomber a 43 ans au cours de la prochaine dCcennie avant d'amorcer une lente reprise. En conskquence, la croissance demographique de la region sera probablement nulle entre 2005 et 2020. Pour le Botswana, le Lesotho et le Swaziland, les projections indiquent une diminution de la population, avec des dCc& plus nombreux que les naissances. Dans la plupart des autres pays moins developpks touches par l'epidemie, la population devrait continuer B croitre car les taux de natalite modCrCs ou dynamiques compensent pour l'augmentation de la mortalitk. 14. La principale consequence d'une baisse de la fecondite, surtout lorsqu'elle s'accompagne d'un accroissement de 1'espCrance de vie, est le vieillissement de la population, selon lequel la proportion de personnes iigees dans une population augmente par rapport a la proportion de jeunes. A l'tchelle mondiale, 17effectifde personnes sigees de 60 ans ou plus devrait pratiquement tripler, passant de 672 millions de personnes en 2005 B prks de 1,9 milliard en 2050. Alors que 6 sur 10 de ces personnes igees vivent aujourd'hui dans les regions moins developpees, en 2050, on en comptera 8 sur 10. Les prCvisions indiquent une augmentation plus forte encore du nombre des personnes trks iigees (80 ans ou plus) : de 86 miIlions en 2005 a 394 millions en 2050. Dans les pays moins dCveloppes, leur nombre passera
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de 42 millions a 278 millions, ce qui signifie qu'en 2050 la plupart des personnes tres igees vivront dans les regions moins developpees. 15. Dans les pays dCveloppCs, 20 % de la population d7aujourd'hui est BgCe de 60 ans ou davantage et en 2050 cette proportion devrait etre de 32 % d'apres les projections. La population igke des pays dCveloppCs est deja plus nombreuse que les enfants (personnes %geesde 0 a 14 ans), et en 2050 il y aura 2 personnes %geespour 1 enfant. Dans les regions moins developpees, la proportion de la population 4gee de 60 ans ou plus devrait augmenter, passant de 8 % en 2005 a prks de 20 % en 2050. 16. L'augmentation de l'ige median, c7est-a-dire l'ige qui constitue la limite entre les 50 % de la population qui ont plus que cet ige et les 50 % qui ont moins que cet ige, est un signe de vieillissement de la population. Aujourd'hui, l'iige median est supirieur a 40 ans dans seulement l1 pays dCveloppCs. En 2050, il est prevu que 89 pays auront un ige median de cet ordre, dont 45 pays moins dCveloppCs. Le vieillissement de la population, phinomene qui prend actuellement beaucoup d'ampleur dans les pays dCveloppCs, est egalement inevitable dans les pays moins dCveloppCs, oh, dans l'ensemble, il se manifestera a un rythme plus accelkre. 17. Les pays oh la feconditk demeure elevee et n'a diminue que moderement sont ceux ou le vieillissement de la population se produira le plus lentement. En 2050, d'aprh les projections, il devrait y avoir encore un pays sur cinq oh l'ige median sera Cgal ou inferieur a 30 ans. Les populations les plus jeunes se trouveront dans les pays les moins avancCs, dont 11 devraient enregistrer, d'aprks les previsions, un 4ge median Cgal ou infdrieur a 23 ans en 2050, notamment l'Afghanistan, l'Angola, le Burundi, la Guinee-Bissau, la Guinie Cquatoriale, le Liberia, le Mali, le Niger, l'ouganda, la RCpublique democratique du Congo et le Tchad. 18. Pendant la pkriode 2005-2050, le solde migratoire des regions dCveloppCes devrait etre de 98 millions, soit en moyenne 2,2 millions par an. Un nombre Cgal de personnes quittera les rCgions moins dCveloppCes. Pour le monde dCveloppC, un tel niveau de migrations nettes compensera largement l'excedent des deces par rapport aux naissances prkvisibles pour la pCriode 2005-2050, qui reprksente une perte de 73 millions de personnes. Pour les regions moins dCveloppCes, les 98 millions d7Cmigrants reprksentent moins de 4 % de l'accroissement anticipe de la population. 19. Au cours de la pCriode 2000-2005, 74 pays ont CtC, en termes de migration nette, des pays d'accueil de migrants. Dans 64 de ces pays, la migration nette renforce la croissance de la population, et dans 7 autres, elle inverse la tendance au declin demographique (Allemagne, Autriche, Croatie, Grece, Italie, Slovaquie et SlovCnie). Dans trois pays, les migrations ralentissent le dCclin de la population mais ne l'inversent pas (Federation de Russie, Hongrie et Republique tcheque). 20. Sur la base des moyennes annuelles pour la periode 2005-2050, les principaux pays d'accueil de migrants internationaux devraient Btre, en chiffres nets, les ~ t a t s Unis (1,l million par an), 1'Allemagne (202 000)' le Canada (200 000)' le RoyaumeUni (130 OOO), l71talie (120 000) et lYAustralie (100 000). Les principaux pays d'kmigration nette seront, d'aprks les projections, la Chine (- 327 000 par an), le Mexique (- 293 000)' 1'1nde (- 241 OOO), les Philippines (- 180 OOO), lYIndonCsie (- l64 OOO), le Pakistan (- 154 000) et 1'Ukraine (- 100 000).
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Hypotheses sur lesquelles la R&vision de 2004 est fondbe Pour etablir ces projections de la population jusqu'en 2050, la Division de la population de l'organisation des Nations Unies applique des hypothbses concernant les tendances futures de la fecondite, de la mortalit6 et des migrations. Parce que les tendances futures ne peuvent pas &re connues avec certitude, les projections comportent plusieurs variantes. Le document met l'accent sur la variante moyenne de la Rkvision de 2004. Les hypotheses sur lesquelles la variante moyenne repose sont dicrites en detail B la section A du present chapitre. La Rivision de 2004 comporte cinq variantes supplCmentaires : les variantes fondkes sur I'hypothese d'une fkcondite elevde, faible ou constante, d'une mortalite constante et de migrations nulles. Les hypotheses qui font que ces variantes different de la variante moyenne sont decrites a la section B. Les risultats detailles de ces variantes feront l'objet de publications futures. Les projections concernant la population future de chaque pays sont Ctablies a partir du chiffre de la population estimee a la date du lerjuillet 2005. ~ t a n donne t que les donnCes relatives a la population rielle pour 2005 ne sont pas encore disponibles, l'estimation de la population repose sur les donnees demographiques les plus ricentes disponibles pour chaque pays, tirCes gCnCralement d'un recensement ou d'un registre de la population, mis B jour jusqu'en 2005 en utilisant toutes les donnies disponibles concernant la ficonditk, la mortalit6 et les migrations internationales. Lorsqu'il n'y a pas de donnees vraiment recentes disponibles, les donnkes demographiques estimhes sont des projections Q court terme Ctablies sur la base des donnCes disponibles les plus rdcentes. Les donnCes dimographiques de toutes sources sont CvaluCes du point de vue de leur exhaustivitk, de leur exactitude et de leur coherence, et ajustCes si nCcessaire6.
A. 1.
Hypoth&sessur lesquelles la variante moyenne repose HypothGses concernant la f6condit6 : convergence vers un niveau de f6conditC inf6rieur au seuil de rernplacernent L'hypothbse retenue pour tous les pays est que I'indice synthetique de fecondite converge finalement vers un niveau de 1'85 enfant par femme. Cependant, tous les pays n'atteignent pas ce niveau au cours de la pCriode de la projection, c'est-a-dire d'ici a 2050. Le principe de base de la projection concernant la feconditk est le meme pour tous les pays, mais les methodes de projection sont legerement differentes lorsque les pays ont un indice synthetique de fkcondite soit superieur ou inferieur a 1'85 enfant par femme dans la phiode 2000-2005. Pour les pays dont l'indice synthetique de fecondite est superieur a 1'85 enfant par femme, on suppose que la fecondite baissera en suivant une trajectoire tiree des modeles de la baisse de la f6conditC mis au point par la Division de la population des Nations Unies, sur la base de l'expirience passie de tous les pays oh la fecondite a diminue de 1950 a 2000. Les modeles etablissent un lien entre le niveau de feconditk au cours d'une pCriode et la baisse moyenne prCvue de la feconditk au cours de la periode suivante. Lorsque la fecondite projetie par un modele pour un Pour une description genCrale des procedures utilisees pour reviser les estimations de la dynamique de la population, voir World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision, Volume //I: Analytical Report, p. 180 a 182.
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pays atteint 1,85 enfant par femme avant 2050, la fecondite est presumee constante a ce niveau pour le reste de la pCriode couverte par la projection (c'est-a-dire jusqu'en 2050). Dans tous les cas, l'evolution prCvue de la fecondite indiquee par les modeles est comparee aux tendances recentes de la feconditk dans chaque pays. Lorsque les tendances recentes de la feconditk dans un pays donne s'icartent considCrablement des tendances compatibles avec les moddes, il est Ctabli pour une periode initiale de cinq a 10 ans une projection de la fecondite qui reflkte I'expCrience de la periode rCcente. La projection du modele prend ensuite le relais apres cette pCriode de transition. Par exemple, dam les pays ou la fdconditk a et6 stationnaire ou dans les pays pour lesquels il n'y a pas d'indications d'une baisse de la ficonditk, on presume que la ficondite demeure constante pendant quelques annCes avant d'amorcer un declin. Pour les pays dont l'indice synthetique de fecondite etait inferieur a 1,85 enfant par femme dans la periode 2000-2005, on suppose qu'au cours des cinq ou 10 dernibres annCes de la periode de la projection, la fecondite suivra I'evolution rkcemment observee dans chaque pays. A p r b cette periode de transition, on suppose que la fkcondite suivra une progression lineaire au rythme de 0,07 enfant par femme tous les cinq ans. Ainsi, les pays oii la fkondite est actuellement tres faible n'atteindront pas necessairement un niveau de 1,85 enfant par femme en 2050. 2.
Hypoth6ses concernant la mortalit6 : I'espCrance de vie progresse, sauf dans les pays touchCs par le VIHIsida
a)
HypothBsesfonde'es sur un taux de mortalit6 normal Les projections concernant la mortalite sont fondles sur des modeles de 1'Cvolution de l'esperance de vie ClaborCs par la Division de la population du Secretariat de 1'ONU. Ces rnodkles indiquent des progrks d'autant plus modestes que l'esperance de vie dCja atteinte est plus ClevCe. Le choix d'un modde pour un pays quelconque est realise en fonction des tendances rCcentes de l'esperance de vie a la naissance pour chaque sexe. Dans le cas des pays fortement touchCs par 1'CpidCmie de VIH/sida, le modele qui invoque un rythme lent de la baisse de la mortalite a generalement CtC utilise pour les projections concernant la reduction des risques gCnCraux de mortalit6 qui ne sont pas lies au VIH/sida.
b)
L 'impact du ViHhida sur la mortalit6 Pour les 60 pays fortement touches par l'epidemie de VIH/sida (dont la liste figure au tableau VIII.21), les estimations de l'impact du VIHIsida sont effectuees explicitement sur la base d'hypothkses concernant 1'Cvolution de 1'CpidCmie - c'esta-dire en Ctablissant des projections concernant le nombre annuel de nouveaux cas d'infection a VIH. Le modkle elabore par le Groupe de reference d70NUSIDA sur les estimations, les niodbles et les projections' a Cte utilise pour ajuster les estimations d'ONUSIDA sur la prevalence du VIH afin de degager les paramktres determinants de la dynamique passCe de 1'CpidCmie. Pour la plupart des pays, le modkle est ajuste en partant de l'hypothese que les parametres pertinents sont restes constants dans le passe. A partir de 2005, le parambtre PHI, qui rend compte du taux de recrutement de nouveaux individus dans le groupe a haut risque ou vulnerable, Improved methods and assumptions for estimation of the HIVIAIDS epidemic and its impact: Recommendations of the UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections. AIDS, vol. 16, p. W 1 B W 14 (Groupe de reference d'ONUSIDA sur les estimations, les moddes et Ies projections, 2002).
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devrait diminuer de moitie tous les 30 ans. Le parametre R, qui reprksente la force de l'infection, devrait diminuer dans la mCme proportion, La reduction du parametre R se fonde sur l'hypothese que les changements de comportement parmi les sujets exposes aux risques d'infection, parallelement a 17amClioration de l'acces au traitement pour les personnes infectees, reduiront les risques de transmission du virus. Le taux de transmission de la mere a l'enfant devrait diminuer dans des proportions variables, selon les progres realisks dans chaque pays en ce qui concerne l'amelioration de l'acces au traitement. De plus, 17e1ementdu modele de reference qui a trait a la survie des enfants infect& a Cte mis A jour : la Re'vision de 2004 se fonde sur l'hypothese que 50 % des enfants infect& a la suite d'une transmission de la mkre a l'enfant survivront jusqu'a 17Ggede 2 ans. La Rkvision de 2004 considere pour la premiere fois une periode de survie plus longue pour les personnes recevant un traitement de tritherapie antiretrovirale (ART). La proportion de la population seropositive bkneficiant d'un traitement dans chaque pays est compatible avec les estimations Ctablies par l9Organisation mondiale de la santk pour la fin de 20048. I1 est prevu que les taux de couverture atteindront des niveaux allant de 40 % a 85 % en 2015 selon le taux de couverture actuel. Les projections partent de 17hypoth&seque les probabilitks annuelles de survie augmentent en moyenne d'au moins 80 % pour les sujets recevant un traitement de tritherapie antiretrovirale. Sur la base de cette hypothese, la survie moyenne a partir du debut du traiternent est de 3,l ans (avec une survie rnediane de 4'5 ans). En revanche, la projection se fonde sur l'hypothese d'une survie moyenne d'un an seulement apres le passage au sida en l'absence de traitement. Hypotheses concernant les migrations internationales
L'evolution future des migrations internationales est dCterminCe sur la base des estimations passees des migrations internationales et d'une evaluation de la politique des pays en ce qui concerne les flux migratoires internationaux futurs.
Variantes de la projection La Rkvision 2004 comporte, en plus de la variante moyenne, cinq variantes de la projection. Trois variantes - fkconditC &levee,faible et constante - ne different de la variante moyenne que par l'indice synthitique de fkconditk retenu. Dans le cadre de la variante elevee, le niveau de fkconditk demeure superieur de 0,5 enfant au niveau utilise dans la variante moyenne, pour pratiquement toute la pCriode de la projection. Par exemple, les pays qui atteignent un indice synthitique de feconditC de 1,85 dans la variante moyenne ont egalement un niveau de ficondit6 de 2,35 dans la variante elevCe. Dans le cas de la variante faible, la f6conditC reste inferieure de 0'5 enfant B la fkconditk retenue dans la variante moyenne. Dans la variante a fecondite constante, la feconditi demeure constante tout au long de la pCriode de projection au niveau estirnk pour la piriode 2000-2005. Une variante avec mortalit6 constante et une variante avec migrations nulles ont egalement CtC elaborees. Dans ces deux variantes, l'hypothese retenue en ce qui concerne la feconditi est la meme que dans la variante moyenne. En outre, dans la variante a mortalite constante, l'hypothese retenue en ce qui concerne les migrations P -
Organisation mondiale de la sante. "3 by S" Progress Report, December 2004/WHO and UNAIDS.
lxx
internationales est la meme que dans la variante moyenne. Ainsi, les resultats de la variante avec mortalite constante peuvent 6tre compares avec ceux de la variante moyenne pour Cvaluer l'effet d'une variation du taux de mortalit6 sur les autres parametres dkmographiques. De meme, la variante avec migrations nulles ne differe de la variante moyenne que par l'hypothese retenue en ce qui concerne les migrations internationales. En conskquence, la variante avec migrations nulles permet d'evaluer l'effet de migrations nulles sur les autres parambtres demographiques.
Modifications m6thodologiques introduites dans la Re'vision 2004 Dans la variante moyenne, la fkcondite des pays dont la feconditC est infkrieure a 1'85 enfant par femme en 2000-2005 est projetke, dans un premier temps, en fonction des tendances rkcentes et amorce ensuite une progression liniaire au taux de 0'07 enfant par femme tous les cinq ans. Ces pays n'atteignent pas necessairement un niveau de 1,85 enfant par femme en 2050. Dans la Re'vision 2004, des modeles supplkmentaires de l'kvolution de la mortalite ont et6 utilises pour tenir compte de la diversite de I'expkrience historique en ce qui concerne l'accroissement de l'esplrance de vie. Plus prCcisCment, des modbles a taux de variation tr6s lent et tres rapide ont et6 ClaborCs et ajoutCs aux modeles a taux lent, moyen et rapide existant prCcCdemment. L'impact du VIHIsida sur la mortalite a CtC expressement incorporC aux modeles pour tous les pays oh la prkvalence du VIH dans la population adulte etait Cgale ou superieure a 1 % en 2003. Le traitement par trithkrapie antirktrovirale est expressement pris en compte dans la projection du VIHIsida pour les pays touches. De plus, les projections se fondent sur l'hypothese que le taux de transmission du VIH de la mere a l'enfant diminue a un rythme compatible avec les progres prevus en ce qui concerne l'accbs au traitement.
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lxxvi
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lxxvii
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lxxviii
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lxxix
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lxxxi
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Y C O B ~ P I I I ~ H C T B MeTOAbI OB~HH A~ AOITYweHAII I~ AJIX 0UeHKM PaCITpOCTpaHeHHX 3nkineMUU ~~8: M ~ T O A A W X K Orpynnbl ~~ K ) H ~ P ~ , Qno C BOnpOCaM BklYlCIlMAa ki ee n o c n e ~ c ~ peKOMeHAaIUUi OUeHKH, MOneJIAPOBaHHR If npOrH03HpOBaHAX (AIDS, vol. 16, pp. W l - W l 4 , UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modeling and Projections, 2002). World Health Organization. "3 by 5" Progress Report, December 2004lWHO and UNAIDS.
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Prefacio El presente informe contiene el resumen ejecutivo de 10s resultados de la Revisidn de 2004 de las estimaciones y proyecciones oficiales de poblacion en el mundo que prepara la Divisi6n de Pobfaci6n del Departamento de Asuntos Econ6micos y Sociales de la Secretaria de las Naciones Unidas. En el informe se presenta, ademas, una perspectiva general de las hipotesis de fecundidad, mortalidad y migration en que se basan las proyecciones y un resumen de 10s cambios y ajustes introducidos en la Revisidn de 2004 en relacion con 10s procedimientos seguidos en la Revisidn de 2002. La Revisidn de 2004 es la 19" serie de estimaciones y proyecciones demograficas mundiales que prepara la Divisi6n de Poblacion desde 1950. Los resultados cornpletos de la Revisidn de 2004 se publicaran en una serie de tres volGmenes. En el primer volumenl figuraran 10s cuadros cornpletos en que se recogen 10s principales indicadores demograficos correspondientes a cada pais respecto del periodo 1950-2050; en el segundo volumen2 se presentara la distribution por edad y sexo de la poblacion de cada pais respecto del periodo 1950-2050, y en el tercero3 se hara un analisis de 10s resultados obtenidos. Los datos estaran tambiCn disponibles en format0 digital. Los usuarios interesados podran adquirir un CD-ROM con 10s principales resultados de la Revisidn de 2004. En el sitio de la Division de Poblaci6n en la Web (www.unpopulation.org) se publicara una descripcih de 10s datos que contiene el CD-ROM y un formulario para encargarlo. La Revisidn de 2004 es responsabilidad de la Division de Poblacion. Las comisiones regionales, 10s organismos especializados y otros 6rganos pertinentes de las Naciones Unidas que colaboraron con la Division de Poblacion facilitaron su preparacion. Entre las fuentes mhs importantes de estadisticas de poblaci6n nacionales oficiales consultadas para la preparacion de las estimaciones y proyecciones destacan el Demographic Yearbook de las Naciones Unidas y sus bases de datos complementarias, preparadas y mantenidas por la Division de Estadistica del Departamento de Asuntos Econ6micos y Sociales de las Naciones Unidas. La Division de Poblacion agradece tambikn a la Divisi6n de Estadistica del Departamento de Asuntos Economicos y Sociales su permanente cooperaci6n. En el sitio de la Division de Poblacion en la Web (www.unpopulation.org)se pueden consultar algunos resultados de la Revisidn de 2004, asi como informacion 1
2 3
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, vol. I, Comprehensive Tables (publicacion de las Naciones Unidas, Sales No. E.OS.XIII.5). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, vol. 11, Sex and Age Distribution ofthe World Population (publicacibn de las Naciones Unidas, Sales No. E.OS.XIII.6). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, vol. 111, Analytical Report (publicacion de las Naciones Unidas, de prbxima aparicion).
lxxxvii
demografica de diversa indole. Para mas informacion acerca de la Revisibn de 2004, se ruega dirigirse a la Sra. Hania Zlotnik, Directora de la Division de Poblacion, Naciones Unidas, Nueva York, NY 100 1 7 (Estados Unidos de America) (fax: 1 2 12 963 2 147).
lxxxviii
Resumen ejecutivo La Revisidn de 2004 es la 19"erie de estimaciones y proyecciones demograficas oficiales de las Naciones Unidas que prepara la Division de Poblaci6n del Departamento de Asuntos Economicos y Sociales de la Secretaria de las Naciones Unidas. Esas estimaciones y proyecciones se utilizan en todo el sistema de las Naciones Unidas como base para actividades en que se precisa informaci6n demografica. La Revisidn de 2004 es la primera en que se incorporan 10s resultados completos de la serie de censos de poblacion nacionales de 2000. Ademas, en ella se tienen en cuenta 10s resultados de estudios especializados realizados recientemente en paises en desarrollo, a fin de proporcionar informacion demografica y de otra indole para determinar 10s avances realizados en el cumplimiento de 10s objetivos de desarrollo convenidos internacionalmente, incluidos 10s objetivos de desarrollo del Milenio. El examen exhaustivo de las tendencias demograficas mundiales hasta la fecha y las proyecciones para el futuro que se presentan en la Revisidn de 2004 ofrecen la informaci6n sobre poblacion que se necesita para evaluar el cumplimiento de esos objetivos. La Revisidn de 2004 confirma la variedad de dinamicas demograficas que existen en nuestros tiempos. Aunque la poblacion mundial continua aumentando, la del conjunto de las regiones mas desarrolladas apenas varia y practicamente todo el crecimiento demografico se esta produciendo en las regiones menos desarrolladas. El grupo de 10s 50 paises menos adelantados se caracteriza por un crecimiento demografico especialmente rapido. Detras de las distintas pautas de crecimiento hay tendencias diferenciadas de fecundidad y mortalidad. En las regiones m6s desarrolladas, predominan las tasas de fecundidad por debajo del nivel de reemplazo y se prevC que esa tendencia persista hasta 2050. La fecundidad sigue siendo alta en la mayoria de 10s paises menos adelantados y, aunque esta previsto que descienda, seguira siendo mayor que en el resto del mundo. En 10s demas paises en desarrollo, la fecundidad ha descendido notablemente desde finales de 10s afios sesenta y se prevC que en 2050 la mayoria de esos paises tendran tasas de fecundidad por debajo del nivel de reemplazo. La mortalidad en 10s paises del mundo desarrollado con economias de mercado establecidas es baja y continua descendiendo, per0 se ha estancado e incluso esta aumentando en algunos paises con economias en transici6~1,en buena parte como consecuencia del deterioro de las condiciones sociales y econ6micas y, en algunos casos, a causa de la propagation del virus de la inmunodeficiencia humana (VIH). La mortalidad esta disminuyendo tambiCn en la mayoria de 10s paises en desarrollo, per0 ha aumentado en 10s paises muy afectados por la epidemia del VIH y el sindrome de inmunodeficiencia adquirida (SIDA). Habida cuenta de 10s esfuerzos que se estan realizando para suministrar tratamiento antirretroviral a 3 millones de enfermos de SIDA antes de que concluya 2005 y de la expectativa de que posteriormente el acceso a1 tratamiento se amplie aun mas, en la Revisidn de 2004 se presupone una supervivencia media de las personas que viven con el VIH mayor que en la Revisidn de 2002; de ahi que en 10s paises afectados por el VIH se prevean unos niveles de mortalidad futuros algo mas bajos que en la Revisidn anterior.
La epidemia del VIHBIDA continua propagandose. En la Revision de 2004 aparecen 60 paises con un numero considerable de personas infectadas, frente a 53 en la Revisidn de 2002, aun cuando la prevalencia del VIH en algunos paises se revis6 a la baja despuCs de que se reunieran mejores estadisticas. De todos modos, la enfermedad sigue cobrandose muchas victimas y parece que continuara siendo asi, a pesar de la disminucion prevista de la prevalencia del VIHISIDA. Esa disminucion dependera del cumplimiento de 10s compromisos contraidos por 10s gobiernos en la Declaracion del Milenio4, aprobada en 2000, y la Declaracion de las Naciones Unidas de comprorniso en la lucha contra el VIH/SIDA5, aprobada en 2001. A continuation se resumen las principales conclusiones de la Revision de 2004: 1. En julio de 2005, el mundo tendra 6.500 millones de habitantes, 380 millones mas que en 2000, 10 que supone un increment0 de 76 millones a1 afio. Pese a que, con arreglo a las proyecciones, 10s niveles de fecundidad descenderan entre 2005 y 2050, segun la variante media, a mediados de siglo la poblaci6n mundial alcanzari 10s 9.100 millones de personas y seguira aumentando 34 millones a1 afio. 2. Actualmente, el 95% del crecimiento demografico mundial corresponde a1 mundo en desarrollo y el otro 5% a1 mundo desarrollado. Segun la variante media, en 2050 la poblacion del conjunto de 10s paises mas desarrollados estara descendiendo lentamente, esto es, disminuira en 1 millon de personas a1 afio, aproximadamente, y la del mundo en desarrollo se estara incrementando en 35 millones de personas a1 afio, de 10s cuales 22 millones corresponderan a 10s paises menos adelantados.
3. El crecimiento dernografico futuro dependera en gran medida de la evolucion de la fecundidad. En la variante media, se prevC que las tasas de fecundidad descenderin del nivel actual de 2,6 hijos por mujer a poco mas de 2 hijos por mujer en 2050. Si la fecundidad se mantuviera aproximadamente medio hijo por encima de 10s niveles previstos en la variante media, la poblacion mundial alcanzaria 10s 10.600 millones de personas en 2050. Si, en cambio, evolucionara medio hijo por debajo de 10s niveles de la variante media, la poblacion mundial a mediados de siglo seria de 7.600 millones de personas. En otras palabras, aunque el descenso de la fecundidad se acelere, el crecimiento constante de la poblaci6n mundial hasta 2050 es inevitable.
4 Vease la resolucion 55/2 de la Asamblea General. T V e a s e la resolucion S-26/2 de la Asamblea General.
Cuadro 1 Poblaci6n mundial, desglosada por principales grupos de desarrollo y zonas (1950,1975 y 2005) y por variante de proyecci6n (2050) Poblacidn (en millones de habi~antes) Zonas principales
1950
1975
2005
Poblacidn en 2050 (en mrllones de habirantes) Baja
Media
Alra
Consranre
Mundo Regiones mas desarrolladas Regiones menos desarrolladas Paises menos adelantados Otros paises menos adelantados ~frica Asia Europa America Latina y el Caribe America del Norte Oceania Fuente: Division de Poblacion del Departamento de Asuntos Econdmicos y Sociales de la Secretaria de las Naciones Unidas (2005). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Highlights. Nueva York, Naciones Unidas.
Grafico l Poblacion mundial, de 1950 a 2050, por variante de proyeccion
-
Media
Baja
Aka
- - - a.- -
Fecundidad constante
Fuente: Division de Poblacion del Departamento de Asuntos Economicos y Sociales de la Secretaria de las Naciones Unidas (2005). Norid Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Highlights. Nueva York, Naciones Unidas.
xci
4.
La tasa de crecimiento de la poblacion del conjunto de 10s paises desarrollados es baja y esta en disminucion, por 10 que se preve que el numero de habitantes de esos paises apenas variarh entre 2005 y 2050, y se mantendra en unos 1.200 millones de personas. En cambio, segun las proyecciones, la poblacion de 10s 50 paises menos adelantados aumentari mas del doble, y pasara de 800 millones de personas en 2005 a 1.700 en 2050. En el resto del mundo en desarrollo tambiin se preve un crecimiento considerable, aunque menos ripido, ya que la poblaci6n aumentara de 4.500 a 6.100 millones de habitantes entre 2005 y 2050. 5. Segtin las previsiones, se producira un crecimiento demogrifico muy rapido en algunos paises en desarrollo, la mayoria de ellos del grupo de paises menos adelantados. Se prevC que entre 2005 y 2050 la poblacion del Afganistan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, el Chad, el Congo, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, Mali, el Niger, la Republica DemocrAtica del Congo, la Repdblica Democritica de Timor-Leste y Uganda como minimo se triplicarh.
6. Por otra parte, se preve que en 2050 la poblacion de 51 paises o zonas, entre ellos Alemania, Italia, el Japon, 10s paises balticos y la mayoria de 10s Estados sucesores de la antigua Uni6n Sovietica, habr5t disminuido con respecto a 2005. 7. De acuerdo con las grevisiones, entre 2005 y 2050, la mitad del aumento proyectado de la poblacion mundial correspondera a nueve paises: la India, el Pakistan, Nigeria, la Republica Democratica del Congo, Bangladesh, Uganda, 10s Estados Unidos de AmCrica, Etiopia y China, por orden de contribucibn a1 crecimiento demografico en ese periodo. Cuadro 2 Tasa media anual de variacicin de la poblacicin total y de la poblaci6n desglosada por grupos de edad y zonas principales, 2005-2050 (variante media) Zonas principoles
Mundo Regiones mas desarrolladas Regiones menos desarrolladas Paises menos adelantados Otros paises menos desarrollados ~frica Asia Europa America Latina
)I el
Caribe
America del Norte Oceania -
p
-
p
p
Fuente: Divisi6n de Pobfacion del Departamento de Asuntos Economicos y Sociales de la Secretaria de las Naciones Unidas (2005). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Highlights. Nueva York, Naciones Unidas.
xcii
Grafico 2 Dinamica demografica por grupo de desarrollo, 1950-2050
Periodo -Regiones
mas desarrolladas
-0-Regiones menos desarrolladas
--O-paises menos adelantados
Fuente: Division de Poblacion del Departamento de Asuntos Economicos y Sociales de la Secretaria de las Naciones Unidas (2005). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Highlights. Nueva York, Naciones Unidas.
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Cuadro 3 Fecundidad mundial total, desglosada por principales grupos de desarrollo y zonas (1970-1975 y 2000-2005) y por variante de proyeccidn (2045-2050) Fecundidad rotul (nlimero de hqos por mujer)
p
Zonas principales
1970-1975 2000-2005
Baja
p
Medra
-
p
Alra
Constanre
Mundo Regiones mas desarrolladas Regiones menos desarrolladas Paises menos adelantados Otros paises menos desarrollados ~frica Asia Europa America Latina y el Caribe America del Norte Oceania
Fuente: Division de PobIacion del Departamento de Asuntos Economicos y Sociales de la Secretaria de las Naciones Unidas (2005). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Highlights. Nueva York, Naciones Unidas.
8. Entre 2000 y 2005, la tasa de fecundidad mundial h e de 2,65 hijos por mujer, practicamente la mitad de la registrada entre 1950 y 1955 (5 hijos por mujer). Segun las proyecciones de la variante media, la tasa de fecundidad mundial continuara disminuyendo y sera de 2,05 hijos por mujer en el periodo 2045-2050. Los niveles mundiales medios son resultado de tendencias muy diferentes en 10s distintos grupos de desarrollo principales. En el conjunto de 10s paises desarrollados, la tasa de fecundidad actual es de 1,56 hijos por mujer y se preve que aumentarh lentamente a 1,84 hijos por mujer en el periodo 2045-2050. En 10s paises menos adelantados, la tasa de fecundidad es de 5 hijos por mujer y esta previsto que, en el periodo 20452050, se habra reducido a casi la mitad, es decir, a 2,57 hijos por mujer. En el resto del mundo en desarrollo, la tasa de fecundidad es ya moderadamente baja, de 2,58 hijos por mujer, y se estima que seguira descendiendo hasta situarse en 1,92 hijos por mujer a mediados de siglo, con 10 cual practicamente coincidira con 10s niveles de fecundidad que se registraran en ese moment0 en el mundo desarrollado. El descenso proyectado de la fecundidad dependera de las posibilidades de acceso a la planificacion familiar, en especial en 10s paises menos adelantados. 9. En el periodo 2000-2005, la tasa de fecundidad ha seguido siendo superior a 5 hijos por mujer en 35 de 10s 148 paises en desarrollo, de 10s cuales 30 se consideran paises menos adelantados, mientras que en varios paises del Africa subsahariana y el Asia centromeridional esa tasa ha disminuido a un ritrno mas lento de 10 previsto. En conjunto, 10s paises con tasas de fecundidad altas r e h e n el 10% de la poblaci6n mundial. Por el contrario, la fecundidad se ha situado por debajo del nivel de reemplazo en 23 paises en desarrollo en 10s que vive el 25% de la poblacion
xciv
mundial. En este grupo esta China, con una tasa de fecundidad estimada de 1,7 hijos por mujer durante el periodo 2000-2005. 10. Los 44 paises desarrollados, a 10s que corresponde el 19% de la poblacion mundial, tienen actualmente unos niveles de fecundidad muy bajos. Todos, except0 Albania, presentan tasas de fecundidad por debajo del nivel de reemplazo y en 15 de ellos, casi todos del sur y el este de Europa, se han registrado niveles de fecundidad sin precedentes en la historia de la humanidad (menos de 1,3 hijos por mujer). Desde el periodo 1990-1995, el descenso de la fecundidad ha sido generalizado en 10s paises mas desarrollados. Los contados aumentos que se han producido, por ejemplo, en Alemania, BClgica, 10s Estados Unidos, Francia y 10s Paises Bajos, han sido leves. Cuadro 4 Esperanza de vida a1 nacer a nivel mundial, por principales grupos de desarrollo y zonas 2000-2005 y 2045-2050 Zonas principoles
2000-2001
2045-2030
Mundo Regiones mas desarroiladas Regiones menos desarrolladas Paises menos adelantados Otros paises menos desarrollados Africa Asia Europa America Latina y ei Caribe America del Norte Oceania Fuente: Division de Poblacion del Departamento de Asuntos Econbmicos y Sociales de la Secretaria de las Naciones Unidas (2005). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Highlights. Nueva York, Naciones Unidas.
11. Seg6n las previsiones, la esperanza de vida a1 nacer a nivel mundial, que se estima que ha pasado de 47 aiios en el periodo 1950-1955 a 65 aiios en el periodo 2000-2005, seguira aurnentando y se situara en 75 afios en el periodo 2045-2050. En las regiones m i s desarrolladas se prevC que pase de 10s 76 afios en que se sittia ahora a 82 aiios a mediados de siglo. En 10s paises menos adelantados, la esperanza de vida, que es actualmente de 51 aiios, seri de 67 aiios en el periodo 2045-2050. Dado que muchos de esos paises se ven gravemente afectados por la epidemia del VIHISIDA, el incremento proyectado de la esperanza de vida dependera de que se apliquen programas eficaces de prevenci6n y tratamiento de la infection por VIH. En el resto del mundo en desarrollo, se prevC que la esperanza de vida aumente del nivel actual, que es de 66 aiios, a 76 a mediados de siglo, aunque ese incremento estar&supeditado a condiciones similares.
xcv
12. La mortalidad en Europa oriental ha aumentado sin parar desde finales de 10s aiios ochenta. En el periodo 2000-2005, la esperanza de vida en la region era de 67,9 arios, esto es, inferior a la del periodo 1960-1965 (68,6 afios). La mortalidad ha aumentado especialmente en la Federacion de Rusia y Ucrania, como consecuencia, en parte, de la propagaci6n del VIH. 13. Tras 25 aiios de epidemia del VIHISIDA, las repercusiones de la enfermedad se sienten en el aumento de la morbilidad y la mortalidad y la ralentizaci6n del crecimiento de la poblacion. En el Africa meridional, la regi6n con mayor prevalencia del VIHISIDA, la esperanza de vida ha caido de 62 aiios en el periodo 1990-1995 a 48 aiios en el periodo 2000-2005 y, segun las previsiones, seguira descendiendo hasta situarse en 43 aiios en el proximo decenio, antes de empezar a repuntar lentamente. Como consecuencia, se preve que el crecimiento demografico en la region se estanque entre 2005 y 2020. En Botswana, Lesotho y Swazilandia esta previsto que disminuya la poblacion, debido a que el numero de defunciones supera el de nacimientos. En la mayoria de 10s demas paises en desarrollo afectados por la epidemia, el crecimiento demografico seguira siendo positivo, ya que las tasas de fecundidad son moderadas o altas y compensan sobradamente el aumento de la mortalidad. 14. La consecuencia principal del descenso de la fecundidad, especialmente si va unido a un increment0 de la esperanza de vida, es el envejecimiento de la poblacion, que hace que aumente el peso relativo de las personas de edad en el conjunto de la poblaci6n. Se prevC que, a nivel mundial, el numero de personas de 60 aiios o m6s casi se triplique y pase de 672 millones en 2005 a cerca de 1.900 millones en 2050. Si bien actualmente 6 de cada 10 personas de ese grupo de edad viven en paises en desarrollo, en 2050 la proporcion sera de 8 de cada 10. Se prevC que el aumento del numero de personas de edad muy avanzada (personas de 80 aiios o mas) sera a6n m4s pronunciado: de 86 millones en 2005 a 394 millones en 2050. En 10s paises en desarrollo, el niimero de personas de edad muy avanzada pasara de 42 a 278 millones, de manera que en 2050 la mayoria de esas personas vivira en el mundo en desarrollo.
15. En 10s paises desarrollados, la poblacion de 60 aiios o mas constituye actualmente el 20% de la poblacion y se prevC que en 2050 constituira el 32%. En 10s paises desarrollados, la poblaci6n anciana ha superado ya a la infantil (personas de 0 a 14 aiios) y en 2050 habra dos personas ancianas por cada niiio. Seglin las previsiones, en el mundo en desarrollo, la proporcion de personas de 60 aiios o mas aumentar6 de un 8% en 2005 a cerca de un 20% en 2050. 16. El aumento de la edad mediana, es decir, la edad con respecto a la cual la mitad de la poblaci6n es mayor y la otra mitad menor, es sintomatico del envejecimiento de la poblacion. Actualmente, so10 en 11 paises desarrollados la edad mediana es superior a 10s 40 aiios. En 2050 perteneceran a ese grupo 89 paises, 45 de ellos del mundo en desarrollo. El envejecimiento de la poblacion, fen6meno cada vez m4s generalizado en 10s paises desarrollados, es tambiCn inexorable en el mundo en desarrollo, donde se producira con mayor rapidez. 17. En 10s paises en que la fecundidad sigue siendo elevada y solo ha bajado moderadamente, el envejecimiento de la poblacion sera mas lento. Segim las proyecciones, en 2050, la edad mediana sera todavia igual o inferior a 30 aiios en aproximadamente uno de cada cinco paises. Las poblaciones mas jovenes se encontraran en 10s paises menos adelantados; en l l de esos paises, a saber, el Afganistan, Angola, Burundi, el Chad, Guinea-Bissau, Guinea Ecuatorial, Liberia, Mali, el Niger, la
xcvi
Republica Democratica del Congo y Uganda, se preve que la edad mediana sera igual o inferior a 23 aiios en 2050. 18. Segun las proyecciones, en el periodo comprendido entre 2005 y 2050, el numero net0 de migrantes internacionales a las regiones mas desarrolladas ascendera a 98 millones, 10 que representa un promedio de 2,2 millones a1 afio. El mismo nGmero de personas abandonara las regiones menos desarrolladas. En 10 que respecta a1 mundo desarrollado, ese nivel de migracion neta compensara sobradamente el crecimiento demografico negativo previsto para el periodo 2005-2050, que es de -73 millones de personas. En 10 que respecta a1 mundo en desarrollo, 10s 98 millones de emigrantes representaran algo menos del 4% del crecimiento demografico previsto. 19. En el periodo 2000-2005, 74 paises fueron receptores netos de migrantes. En 64 de ellos, la migracion neta prevista reforzara el crecimiento de la poblacion y en 7 paises, invertira la tendencia a la disminuci6n de la poblacion (Alemania, Austria, Croacia, Eslovaquia, Eslovenia, Grecia e Italia). En tres paises, la migracion ralentizara el descenso de la poblacih, per0 no Ilegari a invertir esa tendencia (Federaci6n de Rusia, Hungria y Republica Checa). 20. Teniendo en cuenta las medias anuales previstas para el periodo 2005-2050, 10s principales receptores netos de migrantes internacionales serdn 10s Estados Unidos (1,l millones de personas por aiio), Alemania (202.000), el Canada (200.000), el Reino Unido (130.000), Italia (120.000) y Australia (100.000). Se preve que 10s paises de 10s que saldra el mayor n6mero net0 de emigrantes seran China (327.000 por aiio), Mexico (293.000), la India (24 1.000), Filipinas (1 80.000), Indonesia (164.000), el Pakistan (1 54.000) y Ucrania (100.000).
xcvii
Hipitesis en que se basa la Revision de 2004 Para elaborar las proyecciones demograficas hasta 2050, la Division de Poblaci6n de las Naciones Unidas parte de la hipotesis sobre las tendencias futuras con respecto a la fecundidad, la mortalidad y la migraci6n. Dado que las tendencias futuras no se pueden conocer con certeza, se preparan diversas variantes de proyecci6n. Las proyecciones presentadas en Highlights se basan en la variante media de la Revisidn de 2004. Las hip6tesis de la variante media se exponen en detalle en la seccion A de este capitulo. La Revisicin de 2004 incluye otras cinco variantes: las variantes alta, baja, de fecundidad constante, de mortalidad constante y de migracion cero. Las hipotesis que diferencian a estas variantes de la variante media se describen en la seccion B. Los resultados pormenorizados de estas variantes se podran consultar en publicaciones de proxima aparicion. Las proyecciones de la poblaci6n de cada pais se realizan a partir de la poblaci6n estimada a1 1" de julio de 2005. Como aun no se dispone de datos reales de la poblacion en 2005, la estimacion correspondiente a 2005 se basa en 10s ultimos datos de poblacion que se conocen de cada pais, 10s cuales se obtienen normalmente de 10s censos o registros de poblacion y se ajustan a 2005 aplicando todos 10s datos conocidos sobre fertilidad, mortalidad y migraci6n international. Cuando no se dispone de datos muy recientes, las estimaciones de las tendencias demograficas son proyecciones a corto plazo realizadas a partir de 10s ultimos datos conocidos. Los datos sobre poblacion de todas las fuentes se analizan para determinar si son exhaustivos, exactos y coherentes, y se ajustan en caso necesario6.
A.
Hip6tesis de la variante media Hip6tesis de fecundidad: convergencia hacia una fecundidad total inferior al nivel de reemplazo
1.
Se parte del supuesto de que la fecundidad total en todos 10s paises acabara por converger en una tasa de 1,85 hijos por mujer. No obstante, no todos 10s paises alcanzaran ese nivel en el periodo de la proyecci6n, es decir, de aqui a 2050. El principio en que se basan las proyecciones en materia de fecundidad es el mismo para todos 10s paises, per0 10s procedimientos para hacer esas proyecciones son ligeramente diferentes, dependiendo de si 10s paises han tenido una tasa de fecundidad total superior o inferior a 1,85 hijos por mujer en el periodo 2000-2005. En 10 que respecta a 10s paises con una tasa de fecundidad total superior a 1,85 hijos por mujer, se supone que la fecundidad seguira una trayectoria deducida de 10s modelos de disminucion de la fecundidad establecidos por la Division de Poblaci6n de las Naciones Unidas sobre la base de 10 ocurrido en todos 10s paises en que la fecundidad se redujo entre 1950 y 2000. Los modelos relacionan el nivel de fecundidad total durante un periodo determinado con la disminuci6n media prevista de la fecundidad total en el periodo siguiente. Si la fecundidad total prevista en un mode10 para un pais desciende por debajo de 1,85 hijos por mujer antes de 2050, la tasa 6
Para una descripcibn general de 10s procedimientos empleados para examinar las estimaciones de la dinamica demografica, vCase World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision, Volume 111: Analytical Report, pags. 180 a 182.
xcviii
de fecundidad total se mantiene constante a ese nivel en el resto del periodo de la proyeccion (es decir, hasta 2050). En todos 10s casos, la evolucion prevista de la fecundidad de acuerdo con Los modelos se coteja con las tendencias recientes de la fecundidad en cada pais. Cuando las tendencias recientes de la fecundidad de un pais se desvian considerablemente de las definidas a partir de 10s modelos, se hace una proyeccion de la fecundidad para un periodo inicial de cinco o diez afios de manera que se ajuste a 10 observado recientemente. Las proyecciones a partir de 10s modelos vuelven a aplicarse despuis de ese periodo de transicion. Por ejemplo, en 10s paises en que la fecundidad se ha estancado o no hay indicios de un descenso de la fecundidad, se preve que la fecundidad se mantenga constante unos aiios antes de empezar a disminuir. En 10 que respecta a 10s paises con una tasa de fecundidad total inferior a 1,85 hijos por mujer en el periodo 2000-2005, se supone que en 10s primeros cinco o diez aiios del periodo de la proyeccion la fecundidad seguira las tendencias mas recientes observadas en cada pais. DespuCs de ese periodo de transicion, se supone que la fecundidad aumentara de forma lineal a un ritmo de 0,07 hijos por mujer y quinquenio. Asi pues, 10s paises que actualmente tienen una fecundidad muy baja quizi no hayan alcanzado el nivel de 1,85 hijos por rnujer en 2050. 2.
Hip6tesis de mortalidad: aumento de la esperanza de vida, except0 en 10s paises afectados por el VIHISIDA
a.
Hipotesis de mortalidad normal
La proyeccion de la mortalidad se realiza partiendo de 10s modelos de evoluci6n de la esperanza de vida preparados por la Division de Poblacion de las Naciones Unidas. Segun esos modelos, cuanto mas alta sea la esperanza de vida ya alcanzada, menor sera el incremento. La eleccion del modelo adecuado para cada pais se basa en las tendencias mas recientes de la esperanza de vida por sexo. En el caso de 10s paises muy afectados por la epidemia del VIHISIDA, por 10 general se ha utilizado el modelo que preve un ritmo lento de disminucion de la mortalidad para tener en cuenta la reduccion de 10s riesgos de mortalidad general no relacionados con el VIHISIDA. b.
lnfluencia del VIHISIDA en la mortalidad
En 10 que respecta a 10s 60 paises muy afectados por la epidemia del VIHISIDA (enumerados en el cuadro VIII.21), para estimar la influencia del VIWSIDA se preparan modelos explicitos de la evolucion futura de la epidemia y proyecciones de la incidencia anual de la infeccion por el VIH. El modelo desarrollado por el Grupo de Referencia del ONUSIDA sobre estimaciones, modelos y proyecciones7 se utiliza para ajustar las estimaciones previas de la prevalencia del VIH obtenidas del ONUSIDA y deducir 10s parametros que han determinado la dinarnica de la epidemia hasta el momento. En el caso de la mayoria de 10s paises, el modelo se ajusta partiendo del supuesto de que 10s parametros pertinentes se han mantenido constantes en el pasado. A partir de 2005, las proyecciones indican que el parametro Improved methods and assumptions for estimation of the HIVIAIDS epidemic and its impact: Recommendations of the UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates. Modelling and Projections. AIDS, vol. 16, pags. W1 a W14 (Grupo de Referencia del ONUSIDA sobre estimaciones, modelizacion y proyecciones, 2002).
xcix
FI[
Hip6tesis de migraci6n internacional La evoluci6n futura de la migracion intemacional se determina sobre la base de las estimaciones pasadas de la migracion intemacional y de una evaluacion de la orientation de las politicas de 10s paises con respecto a las corrientes hturas de migraci6n intemacional.
Variantes de la proyecci6n La Revision de 2004 incluye cinco variantes de proyeccion, ademas de la variante media. Tres de ellas (alta, baja y de fecundidad constante) difieren de la variante media unicamente en 10 que respecta a la tasa de fecundidad total prevista. De acuerdo con la variante alta, se prevC que la fecundidad total se mantendri 0,5 hijos por encima de la fecundidad total de la variante media durante la mayor parte del periodo que abarca la proyeccion. Por ejemplo, que 10s paises con una fecundidad total de 1,85 hijos por mujer en la variante media tienen en la variante alta una fecundidad total de 2,35 hijos por mujer. En la variante baja se prevC que la fecundidad total se mantendra 0,5 hijos por debajo de la fecundidad total de la variante media. De acuerdo con la variante de fecundidad constante, la fecundidad total se mantiene constante en el nivel estimado para el periodo 2000-2005.
8
Organizacion Mundial de la Salud. Informe sobre 10s progresos realizados en la aplicacion de la iniciativa "3 por 5": diciembre de 2004, OMS y ONUSIDA
TambiCn se han preparado una variante de mortalidad constante y una variante de migracibn cero. Ambas parten de la misma hipbtesis de fecundidad que la variante media. La variante de mortalidad constante parte ademas de la misma hipotesis de migration internacional que la variante media. En consecuencia, 10s resultados de la variante de mortalidad constante se pueden comparar con 10s de la variante media para determinar la influencia que tienen 10s cambios de la mortalidad en otros parametros demograficos. De igual manera, la variante de migracion cero difiere de la variante media unicamente en la hipotesis de base relativa a la rnigraci6n internacional. Por tanto, la variante de migraci6n cero permite evaluar la influencia que una migracion por encima o por debajo de cero tiene en otros parametros demograficos.
Cambios metodol6gicos introducidos en la Revisidn de 2004 En la variante media, las proyecciones de la fecundidad de 10s paises con una fecundidad total inferior a 1,85 hijos por mujer en el period0 2000-2005 se han hecho partiendo del supuesto de que las tendencias mas recientes se mantendran en un primer moment0 e incrementando despues la fecundidad de forrna lineal a un ritmo de 0,07 hijos por mujer y quinquenio. En esos paises no se habra alcanzado necesariamente el nivel de 1,85 hijos por mujer en 2050. En la Revisidn de 2004, se han utilizado nuevos modelos de variacion de la mortalidad, a fin de tenet. en cuenta las distintas tendencias historicas en el aumento de la esperanza de vida. En concreto, se han preparado modelos de variaciones muy lentas y variaciones rnuy rapidas, con-io complemento de 10s modelos de variacion lenta, media y rapida ya existentes. La influencia del VIHISIDA en la mortalidad se determina mediante modelos explicitos en el caso de todos 10s paises en que la prevalencia del VIH entre adultos era de un 1% o mas en 2003. La terapia antirretroviral se ha incorporado explicitamente en las proyecciones relativas a1 VIWSIDA en 10s paises afectados. Ademas, se prevC que la tasa de transm.ision del VIH de la madre a1 nifio disminuya a un ritmo paralelo a 10s avances previstos en la ampliacibn del acceso a1 tratamiento.
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I. INTRODUCTION Timely and accurate information about population trends is in high demand. Knowledge about the current size and structure of a country's population is needed for the formulation and implementation of policies and programmes in almost all areas of public life. Because policies are aimed at achieving goals in the future, knowledge about future population trends is required. What is true for individual countries also holds for the international community. United Nations activities in areas as diverse as health and environment, poverty reduction and promoting social progress and economic growth, rely on comprehensive and consistent demographic information. The population estimates and projections prepared by the Population Division of the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA) provide that information. The Population Division has been preparing the official United Nations estimates and projections of the world's population since 1951. The 2004 Revision of World Population Prospects is the nineteenth set of global estimates and projections completed by the Population Division since that date. Until 1978, revisions of the global set of population projections were published every five years, but since that date the Population Division has issued revisions of the estimates and projections for all countries and areas of the world every two years. The data produced for each revision of Wortd Population Prospects represent a unique set of comprehensive, consistent and internationally comparable estimates and projections of population by age and sex as well as estimates and projections of mortality and fertility schedules by age and sex, and estimates of net international migration for each country. Such data serve as a basis for the calculation of sectoral estimates and projections produced by the various agencies and bodies of the United Nations system. Given the numerous uses of the Population Division's estimates and projections as well as the fact that future world population trends are inherently uncertain, it is important to ensure that the official set of population estimates and projections of the United Nations system are kept as up-to-date as possible. This goal is met by revising the official set of projections every two years and, in the process, incorporating the most recent demographic information available for each country of the world: The results of the 2004 Revision are published in three volumes. Volume I presents all major demographic indicators, for all countries and their aggregates, in the form of demographic profiles and indicator-specific data tables. Volume I1 presents detailed information about the composition of populations by age and sex. Volume 111 is devoted to an analysis of the results, the methodological underpinnings and the documentation of the data sources of the 2004 Revision. In addition, the results of the 2004 Revision are available in digital form on three CD-ROMs, as well as on the Population Division's website at http://www.unpopulation.org. A wall chart showing population estimates and projections for 2005, 2025, and 2050 for all countries of the world and corresponding demographic indicators has also been issued. The 2004 Revision provides estimates and projections for 228 countries. For 192 countries of the world that had an estimated population of 100,000 inhabitants or more in the year 2000, the projections are carried out using the cohort-component method, which requires explicit assumptions on future fertility, mortality and migration trends for each country. For 36 countries that in 2000 had less than 100,000 inhabitants, projections of the total population are made on the basis of assumptions about the future rate of population growth. Such methodology does not require or produce information on future fertility, mortality and migration levels. Estimates and projections are made and presented for each country separately. The estimates cover the period 1950-2005 and the projections cover the period 2005-2050. Results are also presented for the world as a whole, its 21 regions and six major areas. In addition, countries are organized by level of
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
development. The sets of countries that constitute each region, major area and development group are in the explanatory notes. The 2004 Revision includes seven projection variants and three AIDS scenarios. The seven variants are: low, medium, high, constant-fertility, instant-replacement-fertility,constant-mortality, and zeromigration. The first five variants, namely, low, medium, high, constant-fertility and instant-replacementfertility, differ among themselves exelusively in the assumptions made regarding the future path of fertility. The sixth variant, named constant-mortality, differs from the medium variant with regard to the path followed by future mortality. The seventh variant, named zero-migration, differs from the medium variant only with regard to the path followed by future international migrations. Projection variants differ from each other only for the period 2005-2050. The low, medium and high variants constitute the core of the official projections. They encompass the likely future path of population growth for each country of the world. The low and high variants provide lower and upper bounds for that growth. The medium variant is a useful central reference for trends over the longer term. The constant-fertility, instant-replacementfertility, constant-mortality, and zero-migration variants have been produced for illustrative purposes, to permit an assessment of the effects that future assumptions on fertility, mortality and international migration in the medium variant have in relation to these scenarios. In addition, the 2004 Revision includes three AIDS scenarios named No-AIDS, high-AIDS and AIDS-vaccine. These scenarios are variations of the medium variant and differ from each other and from that variant on the path of mortality because they are based on different assumptions regarding the course of the HIVIAIDS epidemic. Note that only 60 countries are considered to be significantly affected by the epidemic. Consequently, the AIDS scenarios produce different projections only for those countries. The No-AIDS scenario applies the mortality likely to be exhibited by the non-infected population to the whole population, thus excluding the direct impacts of the epidemic. The high-AIDS scenario assumes that the AIDS modeling parameters determining the path of the HIV/AIDS epidemic remain constant at their 2005 level. The AIDS-vaccine scenario assumes that there are no new HIV infections starting in 2006. The estimates associated with the No-AIDS scenario (that is, the figures for 1980-2005) differ from the estimates of the other variants because AIDS started affecting the populations in the majority of the highly-affected countries around 1980. By comparing these results with those of the estimates and medium variant that include explicitly the effects of the HIV/AIDS epidemic, the user can infer the impact of the epidemic. The two other AIDS scenarios (high-AIDS and AIDS-Vaccine) provide alternative bounds on the possible course of the epidemic. Volumes I, I1 and I11 present results for the three main variants, medium, high and low. Additionally, projection results from the constant-fertility variant are shown in volume I. The results of the three additional variants, instant-replacement, constant-mortality and zero-migration, and the three special HIVIAIDS scenarios are not included in the volumes. However, the results of these additional variants and scenarios are contained in the CD-ROMs entitled "Comprehensive" and "Extended" (see order form, chapter 11). Data in volume I are presented in two different forms. First demographic profiles for aggregates, starting with the world and its development groups are provided, followed by alphabetically sorted major areas and their regions. That is followed by demographic profiles for individual countries in alphabetical order. Exhaustive tabulations for individual demographic indicators for all countries for which such information is calculated are presented at the end of the publication. In addition to the data tables, this report includes an executive summary of the main results and a summary of the assumptions of the 2004 Revision in all six official languages of the United Nations. A more detailed description of the assumptions is provided in volume 111.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
11. ORDERING THE WORLD POPULATION PROSPECTS DATA ON CD-ROM The 2004 Revision of the World Population Prospects, prepared by the United Nations Population Division, provides a comprehensive and consistent set of population data for the world's countries and their aggregates. The results of this Revision are available on three CDROM editions that differ with regard to the data included and their prices (table 1). All three CDs contain estimates and projections of national populations by five-year age groups and sex for 1950-2050 and demographic indicators for the same period. Data for 1950-2005 are estimates and those thereafter are projections. The Basic CD-ROM contains all essential data from the medium variant (total births, total deaths, total net number of migrants, the respective crude rates, life expectancy at birth by sex, infant and child mortality, total fertility, net reproduction rate and population growth rates for 19502050 by five-year periods). It also includes population figures by five-year age groups and sex for every fifth year, beginning in 1950, as well as interpolated annual total population. The data are tabulated in Excel worksheets and correspond to the first three datasets listed in table l. The Comprehensive CD-ROM includes all the data from the Basic CD, plus the same data for the low, high and constant-fertility projection variants, births and deaths by five-year age groups, the corresponding age-specific fertility and mortality rates and abridged life tables (survivors and life expectancies at specific ages). It also comprises a standard set of demographic indicators and population by age groups and sex for the instant-replacementfertility, constant-mortality and zero-migration variants as
well as for different AIDS scenarios. All data on this CD are presented in Excel worksheets and correspond to the datasets 1 to 3 and 5 to 13 listed in table 1. The Extended CD-ROM contains all the data from the Comprehensive CD, plus population figures by single calendar year and single age groups for 1950-2050. This CD also provides interpolated demographic indicators for single calendar years (total births and deaths, their respective crude rates, life expectancy at birth by sex, infant and child mortality, survivors to age 1, total fertility), urban population, population density and interpolated total population by main age groups and sex, and their respective percentage distributions and sex ratios. The data are presented in Excel and database formats (ASCII comma delimited format for all datasets and Microsoft Access for interpolated population by age and sex) and correspond to all datasets listed in table 1. All CDs show data for 228 countries and areas, 33 country aggregates, including the world as a whole, the more and the less developed regions, and the major areas. For the AIDS scenarios (datasets 10-13), special aggregations by region and HIV prevalence level in 2003 are provided for 60 countries affected by the HIVIAIDS epidemic. The Microsoft Excel files correspond to version 5.0195 and later of this software. For a detailed listing of the contents of each CD, see table 2. Data files in database formats are shown in table 3. All CDs include the images of volumes I and I1 of World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision in Adobe Acrobat PDF format. For information on how to order this CD-ROM please see the order form at the end.
Table 1. Summary contents of each CD-ROM Description: Datasets included on CD-ROM
1. Period indicators, five-year periods 2. Stock indicators, five-year periods (and annual population) 3. Population by five-year age groups and sex, five-year periods 4. Population by five-year age groups and sex, annual 5. Mortality indicators by age and sex, five-year periods 6. Fertility indicators by age, five-year periods 7.Zero-migration variant 8. Constant-mortality variant 9. Instant-revlacement-fertility variant 10. No-AIDS mortality scenario 11. AIDS mortality scenario (mediuddefault) 12. High-AIDS mortality scenario 13. AIDS-Vaccine mortality scenario 14. Interpolated demographic and population indicators, annual 15. Population (by sex and both sexes combined) interpolated by single years of age and single calendar years Price ($US)
Basic CD (Medium variant only) X X X
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Comprehensive CD X X X
Extended CD X X X X
X X X X X
X X X X X X X X X X
X X X X
X
$50
$250
$800
TABLE2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM Dataset and File
Projection variants or scenarios (starting in 2005) Note: Basic dataset includes only the medium variant
Indicators
Age groups
Periods covered
Dataset I. Period indicators, five-year periods Fl. F2. F3. F4. F5. F6. F7.
Total fertility Net reproduction rate Crude birth rate Births Life expectancy at birth by sex Infant mortality, q(1) ,Under-five mortality, q(5) (crude death rate Total number of deaths (both sexes) Total number of maledeaths -
1
,
I
192 192 192 192 192 192 192 192 192 192
high, constant-fertility high, constant-fertility high, constant-fertility high, constant-fertility Medium Medium l Medium I LOW,medium, high, constant-fertility ( Low, medium, high, constant-fertility Low. medium.- high. constant-fertilitv
1950-1955,.. . ,2045-2050 1950-1955,.. . ,2045-2050 1950-1955,. . . .2045-2050 1950-1955,. . . ,20452050 1950-1955,.. .,2045-2050 1950-1955,...,2045-2050 1995-2000,.. . .2045-2050 1950-1955,. .. .2045-2050 1950- 1955,.. . .2045-2050 1950-1955.... .2045-2050
Low, medium, Low, medium, Low, medium, Low, medium,
1
W
-
Total number of female deaths
BICE
192
Low, medium, high, constant-fertility
1950-1955,. ...2045-2050
Net migration rate Net number of migrants (both sexes) Average annual rate of population change Rate of natural increase Sex ratio at birth
BICE BICE BICE B/C/E BICIE
192 192 228 192 192
Low, medium, high, constant-fertility Medium 1 LOW,medium, high, constant-fertility l Low, medium, high, constant-fertility Medium
1950-1955,. .. ,2045-2050 1950-1955.. .. ,2045-2050 1950-1955,. . . ,2045-2050 1950-1955.. . . ,20452050 2000-2005.. . . .2045-2050
228 192 192 192 192 192
Low, medium, high, constant-fertility Low, medium, high, constant-fertility Low, medium, high, constant-fertility ]LOW, medium, high, constant-fertility 1 Low, medium, high, constant-fertility Low, medium, high, constant-fertility
1950, 1951, .. .2049, 2050 1950, 1951 ,.. .2049, 2050 1950, 1951,.. .2049, 2050 1950, 1955,... .2045,2050 1950, 1955,.. . ,2045,2050 1950, 1955.. . . .2045. 2050
i
F 12. F 13.
,
BICIE BICE BICE BICIE B/C/E B/C/E BICE BICIE BICIE BICE
1
---
---
------, (
1
-Total fiuiation (both sexes), annual Male population, annual Female population, annual Isex ratio of the population Dependency ratio (0-14 and 65+ by 15-64) Total population by main age groups
F8.
Percentage total population by main age groups
F9.
Sex ratio and feminity ratio by main age groups
F 10.
Population density
BICE BICIE BICE ( BICE B/C/E B/C/E BICE
1
1
192
I
Low, medium, high, constant-fertility
I
1950, 1955, . 2 0 4 5 , 2050 -
-------------
-------
---
Dataset 2. Stock indicators F 1. F2. F3. F4.
---
1
1
---------
-----
0-4, 5- l4,-0- 14, 15-24, 15-59, 15-64. 60+, 65+. 80+, 90+ 0-4, 5-14, 0-14, 15-24. 15-59, 15-64,60+, 65+, 80+, 90+ 0-4, 5-14,O-14, 15-24, 15-59, 15-64, 60+, 65+, 80+, 90+
192
Low, medium, high, constant-fertility
1950, 1955,. . . ,2045, 2050
B/C/E
192
Low, medium, high, constant-fertility
1950, 1955,....2045,2050
BICIE
228
Low, medium, high, constant-fertility
1950, 1955,... .2045, 2050
---
BICE
192
Low, medium, high, constant-fertility
1950, 1955,. . . .1985, 1990 1995, 2000,. . .,2045, 2050
0-4, 5-9,. . .75-79, 80+ 0-4, 5-9, . ..95-99, loo+
Dataset 3. Population by age and sex, five-year periods
F 1.
Population by five-year age groups (both sexes)
TABLE2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM
F2.
Male population by five-year age groups
BICE
192
Projection variants or scenarios (starting in 2005) Note: Basic dataset includes only the medium variant Low, medium, high, constant-fertility
F3.
Female population by five-year age groups
BICIE
192
Low, medium, high, constant-fertility
Da tase t and File
Number of
Indicators
1
Periods covered
Age groups
1950, 1955,.. . .1985, 1990 1995, 2000,. . . ,2045, 2050 1950, 1955,.. . ,1985, 1990
1
0-4, 5-9,. . .75-79, 80+ 0-4, 5-9,. . . .95-99, loo+ 0-4, 5-9,. . .75-79, 80+ 0-4. 5-9,. . . .95-99, loo+
1
0-4, 5-9,. . .75-79, 80+ 0-4, 5-9,. . ..95-99, l OO+ 0-4, 5-9,. ..75-79, 80+ 0-4, 5-9,. . . .95-99, loo+ 0-4, 5-9,. . .75-79, 80+ 0-4, 5-9,. . . .95-99, loo+
1995,2000,. . . ,2045, 2050
Dataset 4. Population by age and sex, annual F 1. F2. F3.
1
Population by five-year age groups (both sexes) Population by five-year age groups (male)
E
192
Medium
E
192
Medium
Population by five-year age groups (female)
E
Dataset S. Mortality indicators by age and sex, five-year periods F 1. F2. F3. F4. F5.
l ~ e a t h bys five-year age groups (both sexes) I Deaths by five-year age groups (male) Deaths by five-year age groups (female) Life table l(x) values by sex Life expectancy at age (X)by sex
CIE CIE CIE CE C/E
I
I
192
192 192 192 192 192
1
.
Medium
1 LOW,medium, high, constant-fertility1
1950, 1951,....1994 1995, 1996,... .2050 1950, 1951,....1994 1995, 1996,. . . ,2050 1950, 1951,.... 1994 1995, 1996,.. . ,2050
Low, medium, high, constant-fertility Low, medium, high, constant-fertility Medium Medium
1995-2000,. .. .2045-2050 1995-2000,... .2045-2050 1995-2000,... .2045-2050 1995-2000,.. . ,2045-2050 1995-2000,.. . ,2045-2050
1
0-4, 5-9,. ...90-94, 95-t 0-4, 5-9,. . . .90-94, 95+ 0-4, 5-9,. . . .90-94, 95+ 0, 1, 5, 10,.... 80, 85 0, 1, 5, 10,.... 95, 100
Dataset 6. Fertility indicators by age, five-year periods F 1. F2.
Births by five-year age groups of mother Age-specific fertility rates
C/E C/E
192 192
Medium Medium
1995-2000,.. . ,2045-2050 1995-2000,... ,2045-2050
15-19, 20-24,. . .45-49 15-19, 20-24,. . .45-49
CE C/E CIE CIE CIE CIE C/E
192 192 192 192 192 192 192
Zero-migration Zero-migration Zero-migration Zero-migration Zero-migration Zero-migration Zero-migration
2010,2015, ... 2045,2050 1950, 1955,.. . 2045, 2050 1950, 1955,.. . 2045, 2050 1950, 1955,. .. 2045, 2050 1950-1955, ... 2045-2050 1950-1955, . .. 2045-2050 1950-1955, ... ,2045-2050
0-4, 5-9, ...95-99, 1OO+
CIE CIE CE C/E
192 192 t 192 192
Constant-mortality a Constant-mortality Constant-mortality Constant-mortality
2010,2015, ... 2045,2050 G 1950, 1955,....2045, ~ 2050 1950, 1955,....2045, 2050 1950, 1955,.. . .2045, 2050
0-4, 5-9, ...95-99, loo+ ~
Dataset 7. Zero-migration variant F 1. F2. F3. F4. F5. F6. F7.
Population by five-year age groups and sex Total population (both sexes) Median age of the population Dependency ratio (0-14 and 65+ by 15-64) Crude birth rate Crude death rate Average annual rate of population change
---
-------
---
Dataset 8. Constant-mortality variant F 1. F2. F3. F4.
Population by five-year age groups and sex ~ o Median age of the population Dependency ratio (0- 14 and 65+ by 15-64)
-----
~
TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM -
Dataset and File
1
F5.
IF^.
P
F7. F8. F9.
Indicators l ~ e a t h by s five-year aae arouvs and sex l ~ i f &~ectancv e at birth bv sex Crude birth rate Crude death rate Average annual rate of population change -
p
-
p
P
Dataset 9. Instant-replacement-fertility variant
I I
F 1, F2.
F
p -
F4. F5. F6. F7. F8.
l~opulationby five-year age groups and sex l ~ o t a ~opulation l (both sexes) T1 ~ e d l Gage of the vovulation ~ e ~ e i d e ratio n c ~(0- 14 and 65+ by 1 5-64) Total fertility Crude birth rate Crude death rate Average annual rate of population change
Number of countries or areas
CD-ROM
I C E 1 C/E 1 CE CE C/E
I
1 I I
C/E C/E C/E CE CE C/E CE CIE
1 1 1
192 192 192 192 192 192 192 192 192 192 192 192 192
1
1
(
1 1
Projection variants or scenarios (starting in 2005) Note: Basic dataset includes only the medium variant Constant-mortality Constant-mortalitv Constant-mortality Constant-mortality Constant-mortality Instant-replacement-fertility Instant-replacement-fertility Instant-replacement-fertility Instant-replacement-fertility Instant-replacement-fertility Instant-replacement-fertility Instant-replacement-fertility Instant-replacement-fertility
Age groups
Periods covered
1 1
2005-2010, .. . 2045-2050 1950-1955,. ,2045-2050 1950-1955, ... ,2045-2050 1950-1955, . .. .2045-2050 1950-1955, ... .2045-2050
1
2010,2015,. . . 2045,2050
1 1
0-4, 5-9, ...95+
--------
0-3, 5-9, ...95-99, loo+
AIDS Scenarios for 60 countries affected by the HIV/AIDS epidemic and 13 special aggregation~(by region and HIV prevalence level in 2003) Dataset 10. No-AIDS scenario 10.1 F2. F3. F4. F5. F6.
I
I
1
F7. F8. F8. F8. F 11. F 12. 10.2 F 1. F2. F3. F4.
Period indicators l ~ ereproduction t rate Crude birth rate Births Life expectancy at birth by sex Infant mortality, q(1) Under-five mortality, q(5) krude death rate Total number of deaths (both sexes) Total number of male deaths Total number of female deaths Average annual rate of population change l ~ a t of e natural increase Stock indicators Total population (both sexes), annual Male population, annual Female population, annual Sex ratio of the population
I
I
I
C/E C/E CE CE C/E CE C/E CE CE CE C/E c/E C/E CE CIE CE
I
1
1
60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60
1
1
No-AIDS No-AIDS No-AIDS No-AIDS No-AIDS No-AIDS No-AIDS No-AIDS No-AIDS No-AIDS No-A IDS No-AIDS No-AIDS No-AIDS No-AIDS No-AIDS
1
1
1
1980-1985.. . . ,2045-2050 1980-1985,....2045-2050 1980-1985,.. ..2045-2050 1980-1985,... ,2045-2050 1980-1985,... .2045-2050 1995-2000,... ,2045-2050 1980-1985,... .2045-2050 1980-1985,... .2045-2050 1980-1985,... ,2045-2050 1980-1985,.. .,2045-2050 1980-1985,.. ..2045-2050 1980-1985,....2045-2050 1980, 1981,.. ..2049, 2050 1980, 1981,... .2049, 2050 1980, 1981,... .2049,2050 1980, 1985,... .2045, 2050
1
-----
---
---
--
1
---
-----
--
1
---
--
------
TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM Dataset and File
I
[
F5. F6. 10.3 F 1.
60 60
Projection variants or scenarios (starting in 2005) Note: Basic dataset includes only the medium variant No-AIDS No-AIDS
CIE
60
No-AIDS
C/E
60
No-AIDS
CE
60
No-AIDS
Number of
Indicators
1 I
CIE CE
I
1 1
1980, 1985,... .2045, 2050 1980, 1985,... .2045, 2050
Age groups
1 1
-----
F2.
l ~ e p e n d e n ratio c ~ (0-14 and 65+ by 15-64) I ~ e d i a nage of the population Population by age and sex, five-year periods Population by five-year age groups (both sexes) Male population by five-year age groups
F3.
Female population by five-year age groups
10.4 F 1.
CE
60
No-AIDS
F2.
Population by age and sex, annual Population by five-year age groups (both sexes) Population by tive-year age groups (male)
CE
60
No-AIDS
F3.
Population by five-year age groups (female)
C/E
60
No-AIDS
10.5 Fl . F2. F3. F4. F5. 10.6 F 1. F2.
Mortality indicators by age and sex, five-year periods Deaths by five-year age groups (both sexes) C/E CIE Deaths by five-year age groups (male) CIE Deaths by five-year age groups (female) CE Life table I(x) values by sex Life expectancy at age (X)by sex CIE Fertility indicators by age, five-year periods C/E Births by five-year age groups of mother Age-specific fertility rates CE
60 60 60 60 60
No-AIDS No-AIDS No-AIDS No-AIDS No-AIDS
1980-1985,.. . .2045-2050 1980-1985,.. . .2045-2050 1980-1985,... ,2045-2050 1995-2000,.. . .2045-2050 1995-2000,....2045-2050
0-4, 5-9,.. . .90-94, 95+ 0-4, 5-9,. . . .90-94, 95+ 0-4, 5-9,. .. .90-94, 95+ 0, 1, 5, 10,.... 80, 85 0, 1, 5, 10,....95, 100
60 60
No-AIDS No-AIDS
1995-2000,....2045-2050 1995-2000,.. . .2045-2050
15- l9,20-24,. ..45-49 15-19,20-24,. ..45-49
1980, 1985,.... 1985, 1990 1995, 2000,. . .,2045, 2050 1980, 1985,.. ..2045, 2050 1980, 1985,....2045, 2050 1980, 1985,.. ..2045, 2050 1980, 1985,... .2045, 2050 1980-1985, .. . .2045-2050 1980-1985, . .. .2045-2050 1980-1985, . . . ,2045-2050
0-4,5-9,. . .75-79, 80+ 0-4. 5-9.. ...95-99, loo+
(
I
I
Periods covered
1980, 1985,.... 1985, 1990 1995, 2000,. . . .2045, 2050 1980, 1985,.... 1985, 1990 1995,2000,. ...2045, 2050 1980, 1985,.... 1985, 1990 1995,2000,.. . .2045, 2050
0-4, 5-9,. . .75-79. 80+ 0-4, 5-9,. .. .95-99, loo+ 0-4,5-9,. ..75-79, 80+ 0-4, 5-9,. . . .95-99, loo+ 0-4, 5-9,. ..75-79, 80+ 0-4, 5-9,. . . .95-99, loo+
1980, 1981,....1994 1995, 1996,... .2050 1980, 1981,.... 1994 1995, 1996.... ,2050 1980, 1981,....l994 1995, 1996,.. ..2050
0-4, 5-9,. . .75-79, 80+ 0-4, 5-9,. ...95-99, loo+ 0-4, 5-9,. . .75-79, 80+ 0-4, 5-9,. .. .95-99, loo+ 0-4, 5-9,. . .75-79, 80+ 0-4, 5-9,. . . .95-99, loo+
Dataset I l. AIDS scenario (medium/default) F 1.
Population by five-year age groups and sex
CIE
60
AIDS (medium)
F2. F3. F4. F5. F6. F7. F8.
Total population (both sexes) Median age of the population Dependency ratio (0- 14 and 65+ by 15-64) Deaths by five-year age groups and sex Life expectancy at birth by sex Crude birth rate Crude death rate
C/E CE CIE CE CE CE CE
60 60 60 60 60 60 60
AIDS (medium) AIDS (medium) AIDS (medium) AIDS (medium) AIDS (medium) AIDS (medium)
5
p
-----
---
0-4, 5-9, ...95+
-------
p -
TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM Dataset and File F9.
Indicators
!E ;:;
Periods covered
Age groups
60
1980-1985, . . . ,2045-2050
---
60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60
High-AIDS High-AIDS High-AIDS High-AIDS High-AIDS High-AIDS High-AIDS High-AIDS High-AIDS
2010, 2015,. . . 2045, 2050 1980, 1985,... ,2045,2050 1980, 1985,....2045, 2050 1980, 1985,....2045, 2050 1980, 1985,.. . ,2045, 2050 1980-1985, .. . ,2045-2050 1980-1985, .. . .2045-2050 1980-1985, . . . .2045-2050 1980-1985, .. . .2045-2050
0-4, 5-9, ...95-99, loo+
60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60
AIDS-Vaccine AIDS-Vaccine AIDS-Vaccine AIDS-Vaccine AIDS-Vaccine AIDS-Vaccine AIDS-Vaccine AIDS-Vaccine AIDS-Vaccine
2010, 2015,.. . 2045, 2050 1980, 1985,.. . ,2045, 2050 1980, 1985,....2045, 2050 1980, 1985,.. . ,2045, 2050 1980, 1985,.. . ,2045,2050 1980-1985, . . . ,2045-2050 1980-1985, ....2045-2050 1980-1985, . . . .2045-2050 1980-1985, . . . .2045-2050
0-4, 5-9, ...95-99, loo+
192 192 192 192 192 192 192 192 192 192 192
Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium
1950, 1951,. ...2029, 2030 1950, 1951,.. . ,2029,2030 1950, 1951,... .2029, 2030 1950, 1951,.. . ,2029, 2030 1950, 1951,... ,2029, 2030 1950, 1951,....2029,2030 1950, 1951,. ...2029, 2030 1950, 1951,... ,2029, 2030 1950. 1951.... ,2029. 2030 1950, 6 5 1 , . .. .2029,2030 1950, 1951,... .2029,2030
;;;;:;
C/E
Average annual rate of population change
Projection variants or scenarios (starting in 2005) Note: Basic dataset includes only the medium variant AIDS (medium)
Number of
Dataset 12. High-AIDS scenario (2005 situation constant until 2050) F 1. F2. F3. F4. F5. F6. F7. F8. F9.
CE CIE CE C/E C/E C/E CE C/E C/E
Population by five-year age groups and sex Total population (both sexes) Median age of the population Dependency ratio (0-14 and 65+ by 15-64) Deaths by five-year age groups and sex Life expectancy at birth by sex Crude birth rate Crude death rate Average annual rate of population change
-
---
-----
0-4, 5-9, ...95+
---
-----
I
Dataset 13. AIDS-Vaccine scenario (no new HIV infection starting in 2006) F1. F2. F3. F4. F5. F6. F7. F8. F9.
C/E CE C/E C/E C/E C/E CE C/E CE
Population by five-year age groups and sex Total population (both sexes) Median age of the population Dependency ratio (0-14 and 65+ by 15-64) Deaths by five-year age groups and sex Life expectancy at birth by sex Crude birth rate Crude death rate Average annual rate of population change
-----
I
0-4, 5-9, ...95+
-----
---
Dataset 14. Interpolated annual Indicators (SUPPLEMENT)
I
I
I
F1 . F 1. F 1. F l. F 1. F 1. F 1. F1. F1. F 1. F 1.
Total number of deaths (both sexes) Crude death rate [ ~ i fexpectancy e at birth by sex Infant deaths (under age I ) Infant mortality, q(1) Survivors to age 1 Under-five mortality, 4 5 ) IBirths krude birth rate -~otalfertilit~ Rate of natural increase
]
E E E E E
(
E
I
I
E E E E E
1 1
1 1
1
1 1
(
---------
1
1
-------------
I
I P
TABLE2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM Dataset and File
Indicators
F2.
F2. F2. F2.
l
Interpolated female population in reproductive ages " InterpoIated total population Interpolated urban population
Percentage of total population by main age groups
F3. F3.
Percentage of female population in reproductive ages in total population InterpoIated percentage urban population interpolated population density
l
192
E
interpolated population by main age groups
F3.
F3'
Number of
I
E E E
1 I
I l
192 192 192
E
192
E
192
1
l
Projection variants or scenarios (starting in 2005) Note: Basic dataset includes only the medium variant Medium
1950, 1951,... 2029, 2030
Medium Medium
1950, 195 1... . 2029, 2030 1950, 1951,.. . 2029, 2030
Periods covered
Age groups
Medium p
I
E E
l
192 192
Medium
I
Medium Medium
-
p
1950, 195l,.. . 2029,2030
1
1950, 1951,... 2029, 2030 1950, 1951,... 2029, 2030 p
-
p p -
p -
Dataset 15. Interpolated annual populations by single age (INTERPOLATED)
F1.
Population by single age (both sexes)
E
192
Medium
F2.
Population by single age (male)
E
192
Medium
F3.
Population by single age (female)
E
192
Medium
1950, 1951,.... 1994 1995, 1996,.. . .2050 1950, 1951,....1994 1995, 1996,.. . .2050 1950. 1951..... 1994 1995, 1996,... ,2050
0, 1, 2,... 79, 80+ 0, 1, 2,. .. 98, 99, loo+ 0, 1, 2,... 79, 80+ 0, 1, 2,.. . 98, 99, loo+ 0, 1, 2,... 79, 80+ 0, 1, 2,... 98, 99, loo+
Note: (1) CD-ROM editions are: B = Basic, C = Comprehensive, E = Extended Datasets 10 to 13 present, in addition to the default AIDS mortality scenario (medium), three other AIDS scenarios for 60 countries affected by the HIVIAIDS epidemic: ( l ) the No-AIDS scenario applies the mortality likely to be exhibited by the non-infected population to the whole population, thus excluding the direct impacts of the epidemic; (2) the High-AIDS scenario assumes that the AIDS modelling parameters determining the path of the HIVIAIDS epidemic remain constant at their 2005 level; and (3) the AIDS-Vaccine scenario assumes that there are no new HIV infections starting in 2006. The estimates associated with the No-AIDS scenario (that is, the figures for 1980-2005) differ from the estimates of the other variants because AIDS started affecting the populations in the majority of the highly-affected countries around 1980. By comparing these results with those of the estimates and medium variant that include explicitly the effects of the HIVIAIDS epidemic, the user can infer the impact of the epidemic. The two other AIDS scenarios (HighAIDS mortality and AIDS-Vaccine mortality) provide alternative bounds on the possible course of the epidemic.
TABLE 3. DATAFILES IN DATABASE FORMAT INCLUDED IN THE EXTENDED CD-ROM EDITION Data file
Description
Topic / Data file DBOI. Period indicators
--
DB03. Population by age and sex, five-year periods
DB03~Population~Quinquennial.csv DB03~Population~By~Sex~Qu~nquennial.csv DB03~Population~By~Age~Quinquennia1.csv
I
DB04. Population by age and sex, annual
DB04~Population~Annual.csv - DB04~Population~By~Sex~Annual.csv DB04-Population-By-Age-AnnuaLcsv
(
I
I
DB05. Mortality indicators by age and sex
I
DBO5-Deaths.csv DBO5-Deaths-By-Sex.csv DBOS-Deaths-By-Age.csv
p p
-
- -
p
p
P -
p
All period indicators (total fertility, net reproduction rate, crude birth rate, births, life expectancy at birth, infant mortality, under-five mortality, crude death rate, number of deaths (by sex), net migration rate, net numbkr of migrants, average annual rate of population change, rate of natural increase, sex ratio at birth) by major area, region and country, for estimates and all 10 projection variants or scenarios, 1950-2050. Data only for 1980-2050 for AIDS scenarios.
DBO 1-period-lnd~ators.~~
I
Total population (by sex and both sexes combined) and average annual rate of 4 125,744 CSV population change, by major area, region and country, for estimates and all 10 projection variants or scenarios, annually for 1950-2050. Data only for 19802050 for AIDS scenarios. 22,452 Total population by main age groups (by sex and both sexes combined) by 54 CSV major area, region and country, for estimates and all 10 projection variants or scenarios, 1950-2050. Data only for 1980-2050 for AIDS scenarios. All stock indicators (total population by sex, dependency ratio, sex ratio, 92 22,452 CSV median age, population density, percentage by main age groups, sex ratio (MIF) and feminity ratio (FIM) by main age groups), by major area, region and country, for estimates and all 10 projection variants or scenarios, 19502050. Data only for 1980-2050 for AIDS scenarios. Population by age group and sex, by major area, region and country, for estimates and all 10 projection variants or scenarios, 1950-2050. Data only for 1980-2050 for AIDS scenarios. Database format with sex and age in rows. CSV 1 1,430,136 Database format with sex in column and age in row. 3 476,712 CSV Database format with sex in row and age from 0 to 100+ in column. 21 70,020 CSV Population by age group and sex, by major area, region and country, annually for 1950-2050 (estimates and 6 projection variants or scenarios: Medium, Instant-replacement-fertility, and 4 AIDS mortality scenarios). Data only for 1980-2050 for AIDS scenarios. Database format with sex and age I CSV I 1 1 3.229.434 - in rows. , , Database format with sex in column and age in row. CSV 3 1,076,478 Database format with sex in row and age from 0 to 100+ in column. CSV 21 163,374 Total deaths by age group and sex, by major area, region and country, for estimates and all 10 projection variants or scenarios, 1995-2050. Data only for 1980-2050 for AIDS scenarios. Database format with sex and age in rows. I 1,203,240 CSV Database format with sex in column and age in row. 3 40 1,080 CSV Database format with sex in row and age from 0 to 100+ in column. CSV 21 60,162
I
I
1
1 I
I I
1 1
I
I
1
I
1
TABLE3. DATAFILES IN DATABASE FORMAT INCLUDED IN THE EXTENDED CD-ROM EDITION Topic / Data file
Description l
I
Life Table (by sex and both sexes combined) by major area, region and country, 1995-2050 (estimates, medium variant and No-AIDS scenario). DBO5-Life-Table.csv
DBO5-Life-Table-lx-By-Age.csv DB05-Life-Table-ex-By-Age.csv DB06. Fertility indicators by age
DBO6-Fertility-1ndicators.c~~ DBO6~Fertility~Indicators~By~Age.csv
Life table survivors, (I(x)), and life expectancy at exact age, e(x) (by sex and CSV 2 2 17,074 both sexes combined). Database format with sex and age in rows. 18 Life table survivors, (l(x)), at exact age (X)(by sex and both sexes CSV 9,867 combined). Database format with sex in row and age from 0 to 85 in column. Life expectancy at exact age, e(x) (by sex and both sexes combined). 21 CSV 9,867 Database format with sex in row and age from 0 to 100 in column. . Births by age group of mother and age-specific fertility rates, by major area, region and country, for estimates and all 10 projection variants or scenarios, 1995-2050. Data only for 1980-2050 for AIDS scenarios. Database format with indicators in column and age groups in row. CSV 2 140,378 Database format with indicators by age groups in column. CSV 14 20.054
DB14. Interpolated annual indicators
WPP2004_SUP-F3-Annual Indicators-Percentage.csv
Population
DB15. Interpolated annual populations by single age
Interpolated demographic indicators by major area, region and country, annually for 1950-2050 (estimates and medium variant). Interpolated total population by main age groups and urban population, by major area, region w d country, annually for 1950-2050 (estimates and medium variant). Percentage of total population by main age groups, percentage urban and population density, by major area, region and country, annually for 19502050 (estimates and medium variant).
I
CSV
16
22,725
CSV
21
22,725
CSV
/
I9
1
p
-
22,725
Population (by sex and both sexes combined) interpolated by single years of age and single calendar years, by major area, region and country, annually for 1950-2050 (estimates and medium variant). Microsoft Access 2000 database tables, with simple user interface for querying and downloading data for population interpolated by single years of age and single calendar years, by major area, region and country, annually for 1950-2050 (estimates and medium variant). Database format with sex and age in rows. Database format with sex in column and age in row. Database format with sex in row and age from 0 to 100+ in column.
I
-
MDB
CSV CSV CSV -
I
101
I
I 3 101
241MB
6.278.175 , , 2,092,725 68,175 -
p
p
(1) File format is: CSV for ASCII comma delimited data files (.csv) with field names in header, or MDB for Microsoft Access 2000 compatible database files. (2) Number of indicators does not include descriptive fields like codes and names for location, projection variant/scenario, calendar year or period, age group
andlor sex.
UNITED NATIONS
NATIONS UNIES POPULATION DIVISION Department of Economic and Social Affairs
World Population Prospects: Tl?e 2004 Revision - CD-ROM Edition
Date: Order Form CD-ROM requested CD Description
Price in US$ $50
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[ ]
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1. Data contained in the abovedatasets are copyrighted by the United Nations. No portion of the data files contained on diskettes or CD-ROMs can be reproduced, distributed or used to prepare derivative works or for any other purpose without the express permission of the United Nations, to be obtained from the Secretary of the United Nations Publications Board. For further information, please contact the Director, Population Division/DESA, United Nations, New York, NY 10017, U.S.A., telephone no. 1-212-963-3179; fax no. 1-212-9632147. 2.
The order form should be accompanied by a cheque or an international money order in US dollars drawn on a United States Bank for the correct amount, payable to the UNITED NATIONS POPULATION DIVISION and mailed to: The Director, Population DivisionIDESA, United Nations, DC2-1950, New York, NY 10017, U.S.A. Credit cards are not accepted. United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
111. BIBLIOGRAPHY
United Nations (2000). United Nations Millennium Declaration. General Assembly Resolution ARes15512 on its Fifty-fifth Session, Agenda item 60 (b), 18 September 2000. United Nations (200 1). United Nations Declaration of Commitment on HIV/AIDS. General Assembly Resolution AIReslS-2612 on its Twenty-sixth Special Session, Agenda item 8 on 2 August 2001. United Nations (2005). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Highlights. ESAPIWP. 193. United Nations (2003). World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision, vol. 3, Analytical Report (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.03.XII. 10). UNAIDS (2002). Improved methods and assumptions for estimation of the HIVIAIDS epidemic and its impact: Recommendations of the UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections. AIDS (Geneva, Switzerland), vol. 16, pp. W1-W 14. World Health Organization (2005). "3 by 5 Progress Report, December 2004. World Health Organization and Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS. "
United Nations Department o f Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
IV. LIST OF PREVIOUS REVISIONS OF THE WORLD POPULATION PROSPECTS "The past and future growth of world population-a long-range view", Population Bulletin of the United Nations, No. I -December 1951 (United Nations publication, Sales No. 52.XIII.2), pp. 1- 12. "The past and future population of the world and its continents" and "Framework for the future population estimates, 1950- 1980, by world regions", Proceedings of the World Population Conference, 1954, vol. I11 (United Nations publication, Sales No. 55.XIII.8), pp. 265-282 and 283-328. The Future Growth of World Population (United Nations publication, Sales No. 66.XI11.2). World Population Prospects as Assessed in 1973 (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.76.XIII.4 and corrigenda). World Population Trends and Prospects by Country, 1950-2000: Summary Report of the 1978 Assessment (ST/ESA/SER.R/33). Selected Demographic Indicators by Country, 1950-2000: Demographic Estimates and Projections as Assessed in 1978 (STfESAISER.Rl38). World Population Prospects as Assessed in 1980 (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.8 1.XII1.8). Demographic Indicators of Countries: Estimates and Projections as Assessed in 1980 (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.82.XIII.5 and corrigendum). World Population Prospects: Estimates and Projections as Assessed in l982 (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.83 .XIIIS). World Population Prospects: Estimates and Projections as Assessed in 1984 (United Nations pubiication, Sales No. E.86.XIII.3). World Population Prospects l988 (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.88.XIII.7). The Sex and Age Distributions of Population: The 1990 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.90.XIII.33). World Population Prospects: The 1990 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.9 1.XIII.4). The Sex and Age Distribution of the World Populations: The 1992 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.93.XIII.3). World Population Prospects: The 1992 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.93.XII1.7). The Sex and Age Distribution of the World Populations: The 1994 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.95.XIII.2). World Population Prospects: The 1994 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.95.XIII. 16). The Sex and Age Distribution of the World Populations: The 1996 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.98.XIII.2). World Population Prospects: The 1996 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.98.XIII S). World Population Prospects: The 1998 Revision, vol. I, Comprehensive Tables (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.99.XIII.9). World Population Prospects: The 1998 Revision, vol. 11, Sex and Age Distribution of the World Population (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.99.XIII.8). World Population Prospects: The 1998 Revision, vol. 111, Analytical Report (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.99.XIII. 10). World Population Prospects: The 2000 Revision, vol. I, Comprehensive Tables (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.0 l .XIII.8 and corrigendum). World Population Prospects: The 2000 Revision, vol. 11, Sex and Age Distribution of the World Population (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.01 .XIII.9 and corrigendum). World Population Prospects: The 2000 Revision, vol. 111, Analytical Report (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.O1 .XIII.20). World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision, vol. 1, Comprehensive Tables (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.03.XIII.6). World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision, vol. 11, Sex and Age Distribution of the World Population (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.03.XII1.7). United Nations Department o f Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Popularion Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision, vol. 111, Analytical Report (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.03.XIII.10).
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
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ANNEXTABLES
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A. ESTIMATES Indicator 19%
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per l.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
WORLD
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 6 464 750 6 903 276 7 382 434 7 873 172 8 336 867 8 784 155 9 237 907 9 709 446 10 184 739 10 646 31 1 Males ................................................... 3 248 919 3 467 899 3 707 364 3 952 21 1 4 182 374 4 403 317 4 627 451 4 861 127 5 097 576 5 328 002 Females ............................................... 3 215 831 3 435 377 3 675 070 3 920 961 4 154 493 4 380 838 4 610 457 4 848 319 5 087 163 5 318 309 Age distribution 9.5 10.0 Percentage aged 0-4............................ 10.2 9.9 9.3 8.9 8.8 8.8 8.7 8.5 Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... 18.6 17.4 17.4 18.0 18.1 17.5 16.6 16.2 16.3 16.3 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 17.9 17.4 16.1 15.1 15.2 16.0 16.2 15.7 15.0 14.7 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 10.4 11.1 12.1 13.1 14.3 15.6 16.6 17.2 17.8 18.5 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 7.4 7.6 8.2 9.1 10.0 11.0 12.0 12.8 13.3 13.8 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.6 3.0 3.3 3.7 Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... 51.9 51.3 47.9 49.8 47.1 47.1 47.0 46.3 45.8 45.8 29.0 Median age (years) ................................ 28.1 29.7 30.4 31.1 31.8 32.3 32.5 32.7 33.1
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
87 705 1.31 22.1 9.0 0.0 2.80 1.20
95 832 1.34 22.3 8.8 0.0 2.86 1.25
98 148 1.29 21.6 8.7 0.0 2.88 1.28
92 739 1.15 20.0 8.6 0.0 2.80 1.25
89 458 1 .05 19.0 8.6 0.0 2.73 1.23
90 751 1.01 18.7 8.6 0.0 2.66 1.21
94 308 1.00 18.7 8.8 0.0 2.62 1.20
18 868 0.25 12.2 9.7 0.0 1.67 0.76
8 264 0.11 11.3 10.2 0.0 1.64 0.75
95 059 0.96 18.4 8.9 0.0 2.57 1.19
92 314 0.89 17.8 9.0 0.0 2.53 1.18
.2 387
.12 419
2040
2045
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over ................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
63 336 0.96 18.4 8.9 0.0 2.30 0.98
54 631 0.79 16.7 8.8 0.0 2.07 0.89
45 1 l3 0.63 15.2 8.9 0.0 1.88 0.82
38 256 0.52 14.2 9.0 0.0 1.81 0.80
29 331 0.39 13.2 9.3 0.0 1.74 0.78
0.03 10.5 10.8 0.0 1.60 0.73
0.16 9.9 11.5 0.0 1.56 0.72
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................6 464 750 6 881 529 7 337 041 7 819 287 8 321 838 8 855 299 9 439 779 10 092 723 10 827 058 1 1 657 999 Males ................................................... 3248919 3456536 3683482 3923447 4172909 4437450 4727713 5053102 5420605 5838110 3 215 831 3 424 994 3 653 560 3 895 840 4 148 930 4 417 850 4 712 066 5 039 621 5 406 453 5 819 889 Females .............................................. Median age (years) ................................. 28.1 29.1 29.9 30.5 30.9 31.2 31.3 31.1 30.8 30.2
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1.25 21.5 9.0
1.28 21.7 8.9
1.27 21.6 8.8
1 .25 21.2 8.8
1 .24 21.2 8.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.28 21.6 8.8
1.34 22.3 8.9
1.41 22.9 8.9
1.48 23.6 8.8
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (*) A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950 Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... 812 772 387 257 Males ................................................. Females .............................................. 425 515 Sex ratio (males per l00 females) ........... 91.0 Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ 10.0 Percentage aged 514 ........................... 17.3 Percentageaged 15-24........................ 17.0 IJercentageaged 60 or over .................. 11.7 Percentageaged 65 or over .................. 7.9 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 10 Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... 51.3 Median age (years) ................................. 29.0 Population density (per sq km) ................ 15
.
1955
1960
863 220 412 835 450 385 91.7
915 300 439 115 476 185 92.2
10.1 17.3 16.1 12.1 8.2 1.2 50.1 29.4 16
9.8 18.3 15.2 12.6 8.5 1.3 48.1 29.8 17
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
966 633 1 007 673 1 047 196 1 082 539 1 114 785 1 148 572 1 173 983 1 193 354 465 232 485 738 505 725 523 379 !S821 569 773 578 859 539 588 575 197 501 402 521 935 541 471 559 161 591 752 604 210 614 495 92.8 93.1 93.4 93.6 93.8 94.1 94.3 94.2 9.2 18.2 15.4 13.4 9.0 1.4 47.3 30.0 18
8.2 17.8 16.5 14.5 9.9 1.6 48.3 30.5 19
7.7 16.5 16.8 15.4 10.7 1.8
68.7
31.0 20
7.2 15.2 16.6 15.5 11.6 2.0 48.8 32.0 20
7.0 14.4 15.7 16.4 11.6 2.3 49.1 33.2 21
6.8 13.8 14.6 f 7.6 12.5 2.7 48.9 34.6 22
6.1 13.5 14.0 18.4 13.6 3.0 49.3 36.0 22
5.5 12.8 13.7 19.5 14.3 3.1 48.9 37.3 22
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... 80th sexes combined ............................
Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrrbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... b e n t a g e aged W or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. percent& 6 school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... bfixntage in schod ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. aoputatiw,density (per sq km}................
20052010 Populationchange per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ........ Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fwtilty (per woman)........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) Life expectancy at birth &ears) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.... .
...
2 882 13 375 12 794 2 301 0.24 11.0 10.5 1.9 1.59 0.76 7 9 72.6 79.9 76.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tabbs
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (*)
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Totat .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Wcentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Medim age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 20452050 tion peryear(th0Usands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate @er 1,000 popuktion) Net nrigfation rate (per "1,000 populatm) . Totalfertility(perwoman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
..
4949 0.40 12.6 10.5 l.9 1.83 0.88
5364 0.43 13.2 10.6 l7 2.00 0.96
.
5343 0.42 13.1 10.7 1.7 2.14 1.02
4544 0.35 12.6 10.7 1.7 2.17 1.04
4181 0.32 12.4 10.9 l.6 2.21 1.06
4434 0.33 12.8 11.1 1.6 2.26 1.08
5132 0.38 13.5 11.4 1.6 2.29 1.10
5754 0.41 14.0 11.5 1.5 2.33 1.12
6015 0.42 14.1 11.4 1.5 2.34 1.13
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... M* ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15.24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 W over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Population change per year (thousands) gnwRhmte@ercent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 poputation) Total fertitity (pw woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.. .
.1 038
802 0.07 9.3 10.5 1.9
-0.09 8.2 10.9 1.8 1.21 0.58
1.34 0.64
.
.
E CONSTANT6ERTILT17IVARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 1211 265 Males ................................................... 587 635 Females ............................................. 623 630 Median age (years) ................................. 38.6
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population)
..
1224603 1233679 593 983 598 253 630 620 635 426 39.8 41.0
0.22 10.8 10.5
0.15 10.5 10.8
0.08 10.0 11.0
1238658 1239736 600 488 600 725 638 170 639 010 42.1 43.3
0.02 9.7 11.2
1237269 1231 312 1221875 1209441 1195081 585 624 579 258 599 159 595 980 591 358 638 111 635 332 630 516 623 836 615 824 44.4 45.4 46.1 46.4 46.6
-0.04 9.5 11.6
.AustralilirRJew Zeafend and Japan.
1')Mont developed regions comprise Europe. Northern America
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division Wodd Popul81ion Prospects: The 2004 Rev&ion. V o / u m I: Comprehensive Tables
5.10 9.4 12.1
-0.15 9.3 12.6
-0.21 9.2 13.1
-0.24 9.2 13.4
LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (*) A,
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
ESTIMATES 1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... 1706698 1894179 2108512 2371340 2688915 3026543 3359755 3729162 4130947 4518369 4892218 Males ................................................... 869844 964103 1072701 1206558 1368228 1541134 1710501 1897357 2101469 2295742 2481479 Females ............................................. 836 854 930 076 1 035 810 1 164 782 1 320 687 1 485 409 1 649 254 1 831 805 2 029 478 2 222 627 2 410 740 Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... 103.9 103.7 103.6 103.6 103.6 103.8 103.7 103.6 103.5 103.3 102.9 Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ 15.0 16.5 16.1 16.4 16.3 15.2 13.7 13.5 13.3 12.2 11.2 Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... 22.6 22.7 24.5 25.3 25.3 25.9 25.5 23.6 22.5 22.5 21.7 Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... 18.8 18.3 17.5 17.3 18.5 19.2 19.7 20.5 20.2 19.0 18.5 Percentageaged 60 or over .................. 6.4 6.4 6.2 6.1 6.2 6.2 6.4 6.6 6.9 7.2 7.7 Percentageaged 65 or over ................. 3.9 3.9 4.0 3.8 3.8 3.9 4.1 4.2 4.4 4.7 5.1 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... 48.5 47.3 46.2 45.3 45.7 46.1 47.6 49.4 50.6 51.3 52.2 Median age (years) ................................. 21.4 20.8 20.3 19.5 19.1 19.4 20.2 21.0 21.8 23.0 24.3 Population density (per sq km) ................ 21 23 25 29 32 37 41 45 50 55 59
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Fernales ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
B. MEDIUM VARIANT Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 5 253 484 Males ................................................... 2 661 284 Females ............................................... 2 592 200 102.7 Sex ratio (mares per 100 females) ........... Age distribution 10.5 Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... 20.3 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... 18.9 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 8.2 Percentageaged 65 or over .................. 5.5 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.8 Percentage in school ages 6 1 1 ............ 12.2 Percentagein school ages 12-14 .......... 6.1 Percentage in school ages 1517 .......... 6.0 11.2 Percentage in schod ages 18-23 Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... 52.9 Median age (years) ................................. 25.6 63 Population density (per sq km) ................
..........
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per l. 000 poputatbn) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy a t birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Bdh sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division Wotfd Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (*)
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age distributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-34 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
XK)3-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035.2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per l,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 popuhtion) . Tdalfertiiity(perw0man) ........................ Net reproducttonrate (per woman) ..........
82 756 1 .52 24.2 8.7 -0.4 3.00 1.27
90 467 1.54 24.2 8.5 -0.4 3.03 1.31
92 804 1.46 23.2 8.3 -0.3 3.02 1.32
88 195 1.30 21.4 8.2 -0.3 2.91 1.29
85 277 1.18 20.2 8.l -0.3 2.81 1.26
86 316 1.13 19.8 8.2 -0.3 2.72 1.23
89 176 1.10 19.6 8.3 -0.3 2.66 1.22
89 305 1.05 19.2 8.5 -0.3 2.62 1.20
86 300 0.96 18.4 8.6 -0.2 2.56 1.19
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005.2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Populationgrowlh rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 populatjon) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 popuiation) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
62 534 1.16 20.5 8.5 -0.4 2.50 1.05
55 669 0.98 18.5 8.4 -0.4 2.23 0.95
41 015 0.66 15.5 8.5 -0.3 1 .91 0.84
47 370 0.80 16.7 8.4 -0.4 2.02 0.87
32 676 0.51 14.2 8.8 -0.3 1.82 0.81
23 016 0.35 13.0 9.2 -0.3 1.74 0.78
13 395 0.20 12.0 9.7 -0.3 1.68 0.76
3 715 0.06 11.1 10.3 -0.3 1.63 0.75
.5 641
-0.09 10.4 10.9 -0.3 1 S9 0.73
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILW VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 5 253 484 5 656 926 6 103 363 6 580 629 7 082 103 7 618 030 8 208 467 8 870 848 9 617 618 10 462 918 Males ................................................... 2 661 284 2 862 553 3 085 229 3 322 959 3 572 183 3 838 291 4 131 733 4 461 744 4 834 981 5 258 852 Females ......................... .................. 2 592 200 2 794 373 3 018 134 3 257 670 3 509 919 3 779 739 4 076 735 4 409 105 4 782 637 5 204 065 Median age (years) ................................. 25.6 26.8 27.6 28.3 28.7 29.0 29.2 29.1 28.8 28.4
. .
Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 popufaw)..
1.48 23.9 8.7
1.52 24.1 8.6
1 .51 23.8 8.4
1.47 23.3 8.3
1.46 23.2 8.3
.
1.49 23.5 8.3
.
l .62 24.7 8.3
1.55 24.1 8.4
.
(') Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia Micronesia and Polynesia
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division Wodd Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tabfes
1.69 25.3 8.3
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (*) A ESTIMATES
Indicator
19s
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1%
2000
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km)................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per f 000 poputation) .. Total ferlility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 w over .................. Percentage aged 65 M over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ..... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Emornic and Social AffaiWopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
.
2015
2020
2025
24 650 2.39
26 l58
27 755 2.15 31.3 9.7 -0.2 4.00 1 .66
Populmtion (thousand8) Total ..................................................... Males .................................................. Females Age dirnbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................
...............................................
5-14........................... 15.24 ......................... 60or over .................. 65 orover ..................
Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1599 ......... W i n age (years)
.................................
.. ............. ....
Populationchange per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate @er 1.000 ) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) Net reproductionrate (per woman)
. ........................
..........
19 759 2.45 38.0 13.5 -0.1 4.93 l .84
22 387 2.45 37.3 12.6 -0.2 4.79 1.83
2.26 33.3 10.5 -0.2 4.28 1.74
35.7
11.5 -0.3 4.58 1.81
29 518 2.06 29.7 9.0 -0.2 3.72 1.58
31 195 1.97 28.2 8.4 -0.2 3.47 1.50
32 401 1.86 26.7 8.0 -0.2 3.25 1.43
33 034 1.73 25.0 7.6 -0.1 3.05 1 36
.
D LOW VARIANT
PoPU~on
.
1
..................................................... ................................................... ............................................... on ged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... PeKtentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Petcentage aged 80 or ater .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Total Males Fsmafes
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040.2045 2045-2050
PopuIationchangeperyear(thousands)..
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 ) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migrationrate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
.... .. .
17112 2.14 34.6 13.2 -0.1 4.45 1.65
17384 1 .96 32.0 12.2 -0.3 3.99 1 S2
17530 1 80 29.6 11.3 -0.3
18002 1.69 27.7 10.6 -0.3 3.28 1.32
.
3.58
1 A0
17892 1.55 25.6 9.9 -0.2 3.01 1 .24
17109 1.38 23.4 9.4 -0.2 2.74 1.16
15797 1.19 21-1 9.0 -0.2 2.49 1.07
14192 1.02 19.1 8.8 5.2 2.27 1.00
12413 0.85 17.3 8.7 5.2 2.08 0.93
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT Population(thousandr) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. age (years)
759 389 380048 379 341 18.9
861 277 431532 429 745 19.3
............ .... ..
2.52 38.7 13.5
2.62 39.1 12.7
.................................
Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) Crude death rate (per 1,000population)
p
981 828 1 123 449 1 289 321 1 485 160 1 718 949 1 999 779 2 337 641 2 744 221 647800 746585 864440 1005947 1176165 1380972 492470 564041 993 831 1 161 476 1 363 250 738 575 854 509 489 358 559 408 641 521 19.4 19.4 19.3 19.2 19.1 19.0 18.8 18.6 . .
2.70 38.9 11.7
2.75 38.5 10.8
2.83 38.3 9.9
2.92 38.5 9.1
3.03 38.8 8.4
3.12 39.1 7.8
(^)The least developed countries. as defhed by the United Nations Qeneral Awembly in 2003. included 50 oountries. of which 34 are in AMca. 10 h M.
1hLatkrAm.ericadthe
.
.andSlnOcerani
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/PopulationDivision World Population Prospects: The 2004 R e v b h . Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
3.21 39.3 7.2
LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS. EXCLUDING LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Aga distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
..................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... LW expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.............
..
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dimtributlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6 11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentagein school ages 15-17 .......... Percentagein school ages 18-23 .......... Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
..................
..
Populationchange per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate @erwoman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
....
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS. EXCLUDING LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
2010
62 997 1.36 21.8 7.8 .0.5 2.69 1.18
68 080 1.37 21.8 7.7 -0.4 2.73 1.22
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population(thousands) Total ...................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age didributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dldrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
45 422 0.99 18.0 7.7 .0.5 2.19 0.96
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... 4 494 095 4 795 649 5 121 534 5 457 180 5 792 782 6 132 870 6 489 518 6 871 070 7 279 977 7 718 696 Males ................................................... 2 281 237 2 431 M1 2 592 759 2 758 917 2 924 383 3 091 706 3 267 293 3 455 797 3 658 816 3 877 880 Femabs ............................................. 2 212 859 2 364 629 2 528 775 2 698 263 2 868 399 3 041 164 3 222 226 3 415 273 3 621 160 3 840 816 Median age (years) ................................. 26.8 28.2 29.2 30.1 30.8 31.4 31.8 32.0 32.0 31.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 popuiation) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1 .30 21.3 7.8
1 .32 21.3 7.8
1.27 20.8 7.8
1.19 20.1 7.8
1.14 19.7 7.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.13 19.7 8.1
1.14 20.1 8.3
1.16 20.3 8.5
1.17 20.6 8.6
A ESTIMATES
. Population (thoumnds) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Ago dlrblbution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 w over .................. Percentaged women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
.
Populationchange per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (yearn) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT Popularon(thouunda) Total .................................................... Mates ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... 4 0 dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 514 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percenta* aged 80 or over .................. Percentagein school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 1517 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populatii density (per sq km) ................ Popuiatii change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per l.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertili (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... LH.expectancy at birU, (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaitsPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2004 RevPSion. Volume I: Comprehmsive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... 3 930 140 4 292 547 4 686 135 5 094 950 5 496 051 5 893 663 6 298 166 6 715 087 7 135 374 7 548 087 Males ................................................... 1 981 897 2 163 234 2 360 405 2 565 127 2 765 462 2 963 453 3 164 372 3 371 253 3 579 677 3 784 177 Females ........................................ 1948242 2129313 2325730 2529824 2730589 2930210 3133794 3343834 3555697 3763910 Age di8trlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ 11.9 12.1 11.9 11.5 10.7 10.2 9.9 9.7 9.5 9.1 Percentage aged 5-14........................... 22.0 20.7 20.6 20.3 19.5 18.5 17.9 20.4 17.6 17.4 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 19.7 18.1 17.1 17.1 17.5 19.2 16.9 17.5 16.2 15.8 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 11.1 13.0 7.2 7.6 9.2 10.1 12.1 14.0 15.0 8.3 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 4.8 5.1 5.4 6.0 6.8 7.6 8.4 9.2 9.9 10.8 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 1 .0 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.3 50.0 49.7 49.8 Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... 51.7 51.7 50.9 49.6 49.0 48.4 48.1 Median age (years) ................................. 23.3 24.2 25.1 25.9 26.8 27.6 28.3 29.1 29.9 30.7
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman)........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
..
72 481 1.76 27.3 9.2 -0.5 3.35 1.40
78 718 1.76 26.7 8.8 -0.4 3.29 1.40
81 763 1.67 25.5 8.4 -0.4 3.21 1.39
80 220 1 .52 23.5 8.0 -0.4 3.05 1.34
79 522 1.40 22.1 7.8 -0.3 2.91 1 .30
80 901 1.33 21.3 7.8 -0.3 2.80 1.26
83 384 1.28 20.9 7.8 -0.3 2.73 1.24
84 057 1.21 20.2 7.8 -0.3 2.66 1.22
82 543 1.13 19.4 7.9 -0.3 2.60 1 .20
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
57 176 1.40 23.5 9.0 -0.5 2.85 1.19
51 893 1.19 21 .0 8.6 -0.4 2.49 1.05
45 895 1.00 18.8 8.4 -0.4 2.21 0.95
41 868 0.87 17.4 8.3 -0.4 2.05 0.89
36 053 0.72 16.0 8.4 -0.4 1.92 0.85
28 846 0.56 14.5 8.6 -0.4 1.82 0.81
21 378 0.40 13.3 8.9 -0.4 1.75 0.79
13 564 0.25 12.2 9.3 -0.4 1.69 0.77
5 793 0.11 11.3 9.9 -0.4 1.63 0.75
2040
2045
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... 3930140 4296462 4709568 5162727 5653051 6190224 6791 582 7472888 8246807 9127596 Males ................................................... 1 981 897 2 165 234 2 372 365 2 599 702 2 845 522 3 1 14 623 3 415 784 3 757 217 4 145 531 4 588 052 Females ........................................ 1948242 2131228 2337203 2563024 2807529 3075602 3375798 3715671 4101276 4539544 Median age (years) ................................. 23.3 24.2 25.0 25.5 25.8 26.0 26.1 26.0 25.9 25.7
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.78 27.5 9.2
1 .84 27.6 8.8
1.84 27.2 8.5
1.82 26.6 8.2
1.82 26.4 7.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.85 26.6 7.8
1 .91 27.0 7.7
1.97 27.5 7.5
2.03 27.9 7.4
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA A. ESTIMATES
Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age d i ~ b ~ n Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
...........
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
179 956 88 745 91 210 97.3
200 707
225 790
99 106 101 601 97.5
111 632 114 158 97.8
255 825 126 567 129 258 97.9
292004 144 662 147 343 98.2
335 017 166 141 168 875 98.4
386 979 192 172 194 807 98.6
448 051 222 669 225 383 98.8
517 253 257 066 260 187 98.8
592 126 294 348 297 778 98.8
670 317 333 624 336 693 99.1
17.2 25.0 18.9 5.2 3.2 0.3 46.5 18.9 7
17.8 25.1 18.7 5.0 3.1 0.3 46.2 18.6 8
18.0 25.6 18.6 5.0 3.0 0.3 45.8 18.2 9
18.2 26.1 18.4 4.9 3.0 0.3 45.2 17.9 11
18.3 26.5 18.6 4.8 2.9 0.3 44.9 17.6 12
18.4 26.8 18.8 4.8 2.9 0.3 44.7 17.4 14
18.4 27.0 18.9 4.7 2.9 0.3 44.6 17.2 16
18.5 27.2 19.0 4.7 2.9 0.3 44.6 17.1 18
18.1 27.5 19.2 4.7 2.9 0.3 44.8 17.1 21
17.6 27.5 19.6 4.7 2.9 0.3 45.4 17.4 24
17.0 27.3 20.2 4.8 3.0 0.3 46.0 17.6 28
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) Popuktbn growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1 O00 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortaiii rate (per 1,OOO births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (yews) Males ...................................................
................... .............
..
Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
4 150 9 265 5 097 2.18 48.7 26.8 6.69 1.89 177
5 017 10 334 5 299 2.36 48.5 24.9 6.72 I .98 166
6 007 11 610
7 236 13 086
5532
5806
2.50 48.2 23.0 6.78 2.09 154
36.0 38.7 37.4
38.0 40.8 39.3
39.9 42.9 41.4
2.65 47.8 21.2 6.79 2.18 144
8 602 14 904 6 135 2.75 47.5 19.6 6.81 2.27 134
10 392 16 966 6552 2.88 47.0 18.1 6.75 2.31 125
12 215 19 456 7 123 2.93 46.6 17.1 6.65 2.34 118
13 840 21 862 7 845 2.87 45.3 16.3 6.43 2.28 112
14 974 24 191 9 149 2.70 43.6 16.5 6.10 2.14 109
15 638 26 381 10 660 2.48 41.8 16.9 5.76 1.98 106
16 191 28 760 12 304 2.28 40.5 17.3 5.47 1.88 101
41.9 44.9 43.4
43.8 46.9 45.3
45.6 48.8 47.2
46.9 50.2 48.6
47.6 51.2 49.4
46.5 50.0 48.2
45.7 48.3 47.0
45.2 46.6 45.9
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
.
PopuWon ~ ~ 0 Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Femates ............................................... Sex ratii (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrtbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Petcentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Petcentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in s c M agss 18-23.......... Fkwcentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
~
)
751 273 374 877 376 397 99.6
839 012 419 849 419 163 100.2
16.6 26.9 20.7 4.9 3.1 0.3 16.4 7.4 6.9 12.1 46.5 18.0 31
16.2 26.4 20.9 5.0 3.2 0.4 16.2 7.3 6.8 12.2 47.1 18.4 35
934 263 1 034 722 1139564 1 248 262 1359719 1472 119 1583371 1 691 763 628 802 685 262 741 972 797 839 851 930 468 644 520 043 573 540 465 619 514 680 566 024 619 460 674 457 730 147 785 532 839 834 101.4 101.6 101.6 101.6 101.3 101.5 100.6 101.0 15.6 26.1 20.7 5.2 3.3 0.4 16.0 7.2 6.7 12.2 47.8 18.8 39
14.8 25.6 20.6 5.3 3.5 0.4 15.7 7.2 6.7 12.1 48.9 19.5 43
13.9 24.9 20.7 5.5 3.6 0.5 15.2 7.1 6.7 12.1 50.2 20.3 47
13.1 23.9 20.6 5.7 3.8 0.5 14.5 6.9 6.6 12.2 51.4 21.2 52
12.4 22.9 20.4 6.0 4.0 0.6 13.9 6.6 6.4 12.1 52.3 22.3 56
11.6 21.9 19.8 6.6 4.3 0.6 13.3 6.4 6.2 11.8 52.9 23.4 61
10.9 20.9 19.3 7.3 4.7 0.7 12.6 6.1 6.0 11.5 53.3 24.6 65
10.1 19.9 18.8 8.3 5.4 0.8 12.0
5.9 5.8 11.2 53.5
26.0 70
200!5-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 20-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2o35-2040 2o40-2045 2Q45-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year ~ t ................... ~ Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Cntde death rate (per 1.OOO ~ l a t.. ~ Net migration rate (per 1 OOO population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mrtality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1 O00 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males FsmaEss ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.............
.
..........
.
...................................................
32
17 548 30 993 13 25 ~1 . 194 2.21 39.0 ) 16.7 -0.2 5.14 1.80 96 1 63
19 050 32 803 13 628 ) . 125 2.15 37.0 15.4 -0.1 4.76 1.73 88 148
20 092 34 021 13 766 . 163 2.04 34.6 14.0 -0.2 4.35 1.64 a1 133
20 968 34944 13 814 . 161 1.93 32.1 12.7 -0.1 3.96 1.54 74 119
21 740 35 738 13 837 . 161 1.82 29.9 11.6 -0.1 3.61 1.45 67 106
46.2 47.1 46.7
48.1 49.0 48.6
50.3 51.3 50.8
52.4 53.8 53.1
56.2 55.4
54.5
22 292 36 357 13 904 . 161 1.71 27.9 10.7 -0.1 3.31 1.37 61 93
22480 36 637 13 996 * 1 61 1.59 25.9 9.9 -0.1 3.03 1.28 55 82
22 250 36 527 14 116 . 161 1.46 23.9 9.2 -0.1 2.80 1.21 49 72
21 679 36 157 14 317 . 161 1.32 22.1 8.7 -0.1 2.60 1.14 44 63
56.6 58.5 57.5
58.5 60.8 59.6
60.4 62.9 61.6
62.2 64.9 63.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
2010
18 682 2.34 40.4 16.8 -0.2 5.36 1.88
21 298 2.38 39.4 15.5 -0.1 5.13 1.06
2020
2015
2025
2030
2035
2045
2040
2050
P~p~lrtlo (thouund~) n Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Ag. didrtbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 514 ........................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentegeof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands).. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 populatbn) Net mfgmtionrate (per 1.000 population) . T W ferHlity (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
..
.
D LOW VARIANT Population (thownda) Total ..................................................... IvlakS
...................................................
Females ............................................... Ag.dlstrtldon Fwcenta~ aged 0-4 ............................ Fmentage aged 514 ........................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Penxntage aged 60 or over .................. Pemtage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentaged wamn aged 1549 ......... Meclian age (years) .................................
..................
Populationchangeperyear(thousands) . Popdatlon growlh rate (per cent) ............ Cnrde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
16224 2.05 37.2 16.5 -0.2 4.89 1.72
16664 1.91 34.4 15.2 -0.1 4.36 1.58
16697 1.75 31.5 13.8 -0.2 3.85 1.45
Median age (years) .................................
751273 374 877 376 397 18.0
847927 424 370 423 557 18.1
484 274 480 822 18.1
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude Mrth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Cnrde death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.42 41.3 16.9
2.59 41.7 15.7
2.71 41.6 14.4
..
Population (thousand.) Total ..................................................... Males ...................................................
Females ..............................................
17045 1.64 29.2 12.7 -0.2 3.46 1.35
965096 1105083 1271615 1470980 1711705 2003665 2357813 2786867 640 447 555 699 741 631 863 556 1 011 195 1 190 058 1 408 486 549 384 631 168 729 349 848 149 992 469 1 167 755 1 380 381 17.9 17.7 17.6 17.6 17.5 17.4 17.3
.
2.81 41.2 13.0
2.91 40.9 11.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division WorM Population Prodpcts: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
3.03 40.9 10.6
3.15 41.1 9.5
3.26 41.2 8.6
.
.
3.34 41.2 7.8
AFRICA
A. ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
224 068 110 844 113 224 97.9
250 253 123 948 126 305 98.1
281 659 139 724 141 935 98.4
318937 158357 160580 98.6
363535 180530 183005 98.6
415824 206717 209107 98.9
478824 238358 240466 99.1
553255 275604 277651 99.3
635685 316691 318993 99.3
722669 360039 362630 99.3
812466 405067 407399 99.4
17.1 24.9 18.9 5.3 3.2 0.3 46.7 19.0 7
17.6 25.0 18.7 5.1 3.1 0.3 46.3 18.7 8
17.9 25.6 18.4 5.0 3.1 0.3 45.8 18.3 9
18.1 26.3 18.2 5.1 3.1 0.3 45.0 17.8 11
18.0 26.7 18.6 5.1 3.2 0.3 44.8 17.6 12
18.2 26.8 19.0 5.0 3.1 0.3 44.7 17.4 14
18.1 26.8 19.1 5.0 3.1 0.3 44.8 17.5 16
18.0 27.0 19.1 4.9 3.1 0.3 44.8 17.4 18
17.5 27.3 19.3 4.9 3.1 0.3 45.2 17.5 21
16.7 27.1 19.7 5.0 3.1 0.3 46.2 17.9 24
16.0 26.6 20.4 5.1 3.3 0.4 47.2 18.4 27
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2OOO 2000-2005
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1 OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Total fertilii (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.OOO births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
..........
7 705 2.82 45.8 17.2 6.60 2.31 123
14 886 23 264 8 225 2.89 45.1 15.9 6.45 2.32 114
16 486 25 625 8 802 2.78 43.1 14.8 6.11 2.24 107
17397 27687 10032 2.57 40.8 14.8 5.67 2.05 103
17959 29721 11 482 2.34 38.7 15.0 5.26 1.88 99
18 694 32 288 13 140 2.18 37.6 15.3 4.97 1.77 94
47.1 50.2 48.7
48.7 51.9 50.3
49.8 53.2 51.5
49.1 52.5 50.8
48.5 51.3 49.9
48.2 49.9 49.1
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
5 237 11 572 6 230 2.21 48.8 26.3 6.72 1.94 179
6 281 12 830 6 423 2.36 48.2 24.1 6.79 2.05 167
7 456 14436 6 710 2.49 48.1 22.3 6.86 2.16 156
8 920 1I6 086 6 997 2.62 47.1 20.5 6.81 2.24 146
10 458 18 156 7 292 2.69 46.6 18.7 6.72 2.29 133
12 600 20485
37.1 39.7 38.4
39.1 41.8 40.5
41.2 44.0 42.6
43.2 46.1 44.6
45.2 48.2 46.7
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT 2005
Population (thousends) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
905 936 452 505 453 431 99.8 15.7 25.8 20.8 5.2 3.4 0.4 15.7 7.2 6.8 12.2 47.8 18.9 30
2010
2015
2020
2025
1006905 1115358 1 228276 1 344491 1 463493 1584258 1 704 870 1 823062 1 936952 973 525 675 951 916 880 857 749 616 892 736 208 797 136 504 029 559 357 a47 121 906 182 963 426 787 121 668 540 727 285 611 384 502 875 556 002 101.2 101.0 101.3 101-3 101.1 101.2 100.9 100.2 100.6 15.3 25.2 20.6 5.4 3.5 0.4 15.4 7.0 6.6 12.1 48.3 19.5 33
14.7 24.9 20.2 5.7 3.7 0.5 15.3 6.9 6.5 11.9 48.7 20.2 37
13.9 24.5 20.0 6.0 3.9 0.5 15.0 6.9 6.5 11.7 49.5 20.9 41
13.1 23.8 20.0 6.4 4.2 0.6 14.4 6.8 6.5 11.8 50.6 21.8 44
12.3 22.8 20.0 6.7 4.5 0.6 13.8 6.6 6.4 11.8 51.5 22.8 48
11.7 21.8 19.7 7.2 4.8 0.7 13.2 6.3 6.2 11.7 52.0 23.8 52
11.0 20.9 19.2 7.9 5.2 0.8 12.6 6.1 6.0 11.4 52.3 24.9
56
10.3 20.0 18.6 8.9 5.8 0.9 12.1 5.9 5.8 11.1 52.5 26.1 60
9.7 19.0 18.1 10.0 6.7 1.0 11.5 5.7 5.6 10.8 52.6 27.4 64
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
..
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands)......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.OOO births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1 OOO births) ... Lib expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
.
.
34
14 126 . 366 2.11 36.3 14.8 -0.4 4.68 1.70 89 149
21 691 36 539 14 557 . 292 2.05 34.4 13.7 -0.3 4.35 1.63 82 136
22 584 37 669 14 760 . 325 1.93 32.1 12.6 -0.3 4.00 1.55 75 122
49.3 50.6 49.9
51.1 52.5 51.8
53.1 54.6 53.9
20 194
34686
23 243
38464 14 899 . 322 1A1 29.9 11.6 -0.3 3.68 1.47 69 110
55.0 56.8 55.9
23 800 39 168 15 045 -322 1.70 27.9 10.7 5.2 3.39 1.39
63 98 56.9 59.0
58.0
24 153 39 743 15 268 . 322 1.59 26.1 10.0 5.2 3.13 1.31 57 87
24 123 39 983 15 538 . 322 1.47 24.3 9.4 5.2 2.90 1.24 51 76
23 638 39 803 15 843 . 322 1.34 22.6 9.0 -0.2 2.69 1.17 46 67
22 778 39 328 16 228 . 322 1.21 20.9 8.6 -0.2 2.52 1.12 41 59
58.7 61.1 59.9
60.5 63.2 61.8
62.2 65.1 63.6
63.8 67.0 65.4
United Nations Departmentof Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Vofurne I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
p
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
P
21 652 2.26 37.8 14.9 .0.4 4.90 1.78
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years)
.................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
18 545 1.95 34.5 14.6 -0.4 4.43 1.61
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT . .
p p
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
.
pp-
905936 1017254 1150494 1307096 1490304 1706604 1965071 2275903 2649999 3099865 452 505 509 283 577 184 656 868 749 888 859 457 990 166 1 147 163 1 335 950 1 562 772 650 228 740 416 847 147 974 906 1 128 740 1 314 049 1 537 092 453 431 507 971 573 310 18.9 19.3 19.4 19.3 19.2 19.1 19.0 18.9 18.8 18.6
2.32 38.5 15.0
2.46 38.9 14.0
2.55 38.7 12.9
2.62 38.3 l l .9
2.71 38.1 10.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revbion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.82 38.3 9.9
2.94 38.6 9.1
3.04 38.9 8.3
3.14 39.1 7.6
A 1950
1955
ESTIMATES
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
m
Popufrtion (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age diatrlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 Percentageaged W or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) Population density (per sq km) ................
.........................
.................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Bifths per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... L b expectancy at birth (yearn) Males ................................................... Females Both sexes combined
.....................
.... ..
............................................... ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population(thoumndr) Total Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentagein school ages 6-11 ............ Percentagein school ages 12-14 .......... Percentagein school ages 15-17 .......... Percentagein school ages 18-23 Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) Populationdensity (per sq km)
.....................................................
........... ............................
.......... ................................. ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... L b expectancy at birth (years) Males Females ............................................... Both sexes combined
..................... ...................
........................ ......
................................................... ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2004 RevMon. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
EASTERN AFRICA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
7 595 2.48 41.0 16.0 -0.2 5.46 1.95
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
6 650 2.19 37.8 15.8 -0.2 4.99 1.78
6 935 2.05 34.8 14.2 -0.1 4.42 1.64
6 978 1.87 31.7 12.9 -0.1 3.88 1 .50
7 112 1.74 29.2 11.7 -0.1 3.46 1.39
7 099 1.60 26.8 10.8 -0.1 3.10 1.29
6 903 1.44 24.5 10.0 -0.1 2.79 1.19
6 519 1.27 22.2 9.4 -0.1 2.52 1.10
5 989 1.10 20.1 9.0 .0.1 2.29 1 .01
5 359 0.94 18.1 8.7 -0.1 2.09 0.94
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 287 707 Males ................................................... 142 825 Females ............................................... 144 883 Median age (years) ................................. 17.5
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.54 41.6 16.1
326 669 162 706 163 962 17.7
374 261 186 926 187 335 17.7
431 220 215 857 215 363 17.5
498 929 250 140 248 789 17.4
579 909 291 006 288 903 17.3
677 590 340 182 337 408 17.4
795 789 399 593 396 196 17.3
2.72 42.0 14.7
2.83 41.7 13.3
2.92 41.1 11.9
3.01 40.7 10.6
3.11 40.7 9.6
3.22 40.8 8.6
3.30 40.8 7.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
938 699 1 1 1 1 157 557 882 471 356 553 276 467 343 17.3 17.2
3.37 40.7 7.1
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Mates ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant rnortali rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 1W females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration fate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revbion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
328 270 163 944 164326 15.9
393 008 196 367 198640 15.8
472 720
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Aga distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or aver .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... M e d i i age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total M i (per woman) ........................ Net mpmdmth rate (per woman) ..........
.. .
3 233 2.75 46.4 18.9 0.0 6.19 2.10
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thouunda) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Ago dirtrlbutlon Piercentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over Percentageaged 65 or over .................. P m w a g e aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 1 5-49......... Median age (years) .................................
..................
Pqnila1'ionchenge per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 976 2.55 44.1 18.7 0.0 5.85 1 .98
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Popu-(-) Total ....................................................
Males ...................................................
Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
109 641 54 313 55329 16.8
125 981 62 538 63444
16.8
145 578 72 382 73196 16.6
169 240 84 255 84985 16.4
197 898 98 625 99273 16.2
232 840 1 16 134 116706 16.1
275 656 137 586 138070 16.0
205-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.78 46.7 19.0
2.89 46.9 17.8
3.01 46.7 16.5
3.13 46.4 15.0
3.25 46.2 13.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
3.38 46.1 12.4
3.49 46.1 11.2
3.60 46.0 10.1
3.69 46.0 9.1
236 280
236440 15.6
NORTHERN AFRICA A. ESTlMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Mates ..................................................
Females ...............................................
Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 Percentageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over Percentageaged 65 or m r Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) Populationdensity (per sq km)................
............................
.................. .................. .................. ......... .................................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
53 302
26621 100.2
59 797 29954 29843 100.4
67 381 33835 33546 100.9
76 075 38261 37814 101.2
86 229 43214 43015 100.5
97 863 49111 48752 100.7
11 1 816 56194 55621 101.0
128 585 64669 63916 101.2
144 498 M719 71779 101.3
159 895 80446
101.3
175 051 87992 87059 101.1
16.7 24.5 19.0 5.6 3.5 0.3 46.9 19.3 6
17.3 24.9 18.7 5.4 3.3 0.3 46.6 19.0 7
17.6 25.8 18.1 5.3 3.3 0.3 45.7 18.5 8
17.8 26.8 17.5 5.7 3.6 0.4 44.2 17.8 9
17.2 27.3 18.5 6.1 3.9 0.5 44.4 17.6 10
17.4 26.7 19.4 5.7 3.8 0.4 45.0 17.7 11
16.8 26.4 19.5 5.8 3.8 0.4 45.5 18.2 13
16.4 26.5 19.4 5.6 3.6 0.4 45.8 18.4 15
14.9 26.6 19.5 5.8 3.7 0.4 46.9 19.0 17
13.1 25.8 20.3 6.1 3.9 0.4 49.2 20.1 19
11.9 23.7 21.2 6.5 4.3 0.5 51.8 21.5 21
26681
7944!3
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year ( t d n d s ) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility {per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined
........................ ..........
............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Taai ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlsblbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1l ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 Percentagein school ages 15-17.......... Permtage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
...............................................
...........................
..........
Papuk~onchange per year ( t w n d s ) .
Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... m a t i o n growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 m u l a t h ) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Alkwtality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.............
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulatim Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
C. HtGH VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2030
2025
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population(thoumands) Total
..................................................... ................................................ .................................... 0-4 ............................ PercBntageaged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025.2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
per Year 1.. rate @er m) CNde birth rate (per 1,000population) C& death rate (per 1.000populatb) Net migration rate (per 1,000population) Total fertility (per woman) Net mpreptoduction rate (per woman)
............. .... .. . ........................ ..........
3842 1.92 26.3 6.5 -0.6 3.16 1.42
4087 1.86 25.5 6.3 -0.6 3.09 1.41
4106 1.71 23.9 6.2 -0.7 3.01 1.39
3932 1.51 21.8 6.0 -0.7 2.88 1.33
3824 1.37 20.4 6.1 -0.6 2.76 1.29
3835 1.28 19.7 6.3 -0.6 2.66 1.25
3883 1.22 19.2 6.5 -0.5 2.58 1.22
3857 1.14 18.7 6.8 -0.5 2.51 1.19
3711 1.04 17.9 7.0 -0.5 2.46 1.17
D. LOW VARIANT 1
..................................................... Males ...................................................
Females Ago distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Pemnta$e aged 5-14........................ Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged W or wer Petcentage aged 65 or wer .................. ..a............................................
...
.................. .................. 15-49 ......... ....................
.
Popuiatkwr change per year (thousands) Populpltin growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,000population) C& death rate (per 1,000population) Net migration rate (per 1,000populatbn) Total fertility(per woman) Nst rate (per m)
............ .... .. . ..................,. .. ..........
3 057 1.54 22.4 6.4 -0.6 2.66 l .X)
CONSTMT-RWLTTY
VARIANT
Population(thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................ FemIes ............................................... Median age (years)
.................................
190 895 95863 95032 23.0
210 204 105506 104698 24.2
231 379 116103 115276 25.2
253 532 127185 126348 25.9
276 480 138646 137834 26.4
300 542 150649 149893
326 441 163564 162878 27.1
354 706 177673 177033 27.4
385 467 193082 192404 27.6
............. .... ..
1.93 26.4 6.5
1.92 26.2 6.4
1 .83 25.2 6.2
1.73 24.0 6.1
1.67 23.4 6.1
1.65 23.2 6.2
1.66 23.4 6.3
1.66 23.5 6.4
1 .S5 23.4 6.5
Poputaffongrowth rate @er cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1,000population)
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
26.7
418 682 209720 208961 27.7
SOUTHERN AFRICA Indicator Population (thousands) Total Males Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females)
..................................................... ................................................... ...........
W ............................ 5-14 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentageaged 80 or over Percentage of women aged lS-49 Median age (years) Populationdensity (per sq km)
...........................
.................. .................. ......... ................................. ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thorrsands) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (p# 1.000 population) .. Total fertitity (per wonsan) Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) Life e*pedsncy a M m Males
..................... ................... .............
....
........................ .......... ...... ................................................... ............................ ............................
Poputaron(thou(Ull\ds)
..................................................... ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentagein school ages 6-11 ............ Percentagein school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................ Total Males
l a t h change per year Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) Net migration per year (thoosands) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Cnrde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 birttts) Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males Females Both sexes combined
...................
.........
. ..........
...... ... ................................................... ...............................................
............................
United N&ons nt of E AffaitsaJaputationDivisron World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
..................................................... ...................................................
Total Males Females ............................................... Age distribution aged 0-4 P e w a g e aged 5-14 Percentageaged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over Percentageaged 65 or over Percentageaged 80 Mover Percentageof wo~nenaged 15-49 Median age (years)
............................ ........................... ......................... .................. .................. .................. ......... .................................
ion -W Per Year (thousands) ion growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Cnrde death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) woman) rate (per woman)
187 0.34 24.5 21 .1 0.0 2.96
............. .... .. . ........................ a.
..........
1 .05
196 0.35 24.4 20.9 0.0 2.94
1.07
278 0.49 24.3 19.4 0.0 2.89 1.10
289 0.50 23.2 18.3 0.0 2.77 1.10
297 0.50 22.2 17.2 0.0 267 1.10
327 0.54 21.7 16.3 0.0 2.58 1.09
379 0.60 21.4 15.4 0.0 2.50 1 .08
432 0.67 21.0 14.4 0.0 2.43 1.07
479 0.71 20.4 13.3 0.0 2.38 1.07
.
D LOW VARIANT
. Populaion(thousands) Total Males
..................................................... ................................................... Females ............................................... AgeMbution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60or over .................. Permage aged 65M over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over ..................
.........
Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025.2030 2030.2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate @er 1.000 populat'in) ~ n a t i o n r a t e @ e t000 l. Total fertDIi (per wonran) Net reproduction rate (per woman)
.............
.... ..
........................ ..........
Population(thousands) Totai ...............................................
............................................... Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................
............. .... ..
Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population)
-26 -0.05
20.6 21.1 0.0 2.46 0.87
-149 -0.28 18.4 21.2 0.0 2.14 0.78
-167 -0.32 17.1 20.2 0.0 1.89 0.72
-175 -0.34 16.5 19.9 0.0 1.77 0.70
-211 -0.41 15.5 19.6 0.0 1 .67 0.69
-254 -0.51 14.2 19.3 0.0 1S8 0.67
-278 .0.57 12.9 18.7 0.0 1 .50 0.65
-277 -0.59 11.9 17.8 0.0 1.43 0.63
-258 -0.56 11.3 16.9 0.0 1 .38 0.62
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
54841
55885
56977
58565
62618 31796 30 822 23.9
65289 33204 32 085 24.1
68502 34873
0.84 23.4 15.1
0.96 23.5 14.0
1 .08 23.5 12.7
54055 26498
27 557 23.0
0.29 24.0 21.1
nos1
27 780 23.2
27709 27 975 23.5
0.31 23.9 20.9
0.46 24.0 19.5
28%
29539
28 413 23.8
29 026 23.9
60417 3om 29 817 23.9
0.55 23.8 18.3
0.62 23.5 17.3
0.72 23.4 16.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairstPopulation Division W& Population Prospects: The 2004 Rwbion. Vohrme 1: Comprehensive Tables
33 629
24.3
WESTERN AFRICA A ESTIMATES
Indicator Populatlon(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
.........
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
63823 31 712 32 111 98.8
71 153 35 756 99.0
79 834 39 769 40 065 99.3
89827 44800 45 027 99.5
101 716 50805 50910 99.8
115861 57909 57 952 99.9
133564 66932 66631 100.5
154402 77393 '77009 100.5
178483 89551 88933 100.7
204949 102969 101980 101.0
233624 117575 116049 101.3
17.1 25.1 18.9 5.1 3.0 0.2 46.7 18.9 10
17.7 24.9 18.8 5.1 3.0 0.2 46.4 18.7 12
17.9 25.3 18.7 5.0 3.0 0.2 46.1 18.4 13
18.0 25.9 18.5 4.9 3.0 0.2 45.5 18.1 15
18.1 26.1 18.6 4.9 3.0 0.2 45.3 17.8 17
18.3 26.3 18.8 4.9 3.0 0.3 45.0 17.6 19
18.4 26.5 18.9 4.8 3.0 0.3 44.9 17.5 22
18.9 26.8 18.7 4.8 2.9 0.3 44.3 17.1 25
18.6 27.4 18.8 4.7 2.9 0.3 44.2 17.0 29
18.1 27.8 19.2 4.7 2.9 0.3 44.4 17.0 33
17.5 27.7 20.0 4.7 3.0 0.3 45.2 17.2 38
35398
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 11965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 19S1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) Crude death rate (per 1.OOO population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.OOO births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sems combined
....
..........
............................
1466 3 316 1 865 2.17 49.1 27.6 6.79 1.85 188
1736 3 699 1977 2.30 49.0 26.2 6.82 1.92 179
1999 4 132 2 097 2.36 48.7 24.7 6.89 2.01 169
2 378 4 654 2 228 2.49 48.6 23.3 6.97 2.10 160
2 829 5 281 2 366 2.60 48.5 21.7 7.03 2.20 151
3540 6 014 2 521 2.84 48.2 20.2 7.04 2.27 140
4 168 7 005 2 729 2.90 48.7 19.0 7.01 2.35 131
4 816 7 905 2 980 2.90 47.5 17.9 6.86 2.34 124
5 293 8 772 3 353 2.77 45.8 17.5 6.59 2.24 121
5 735 9 599 3834 2.62 43.8 17.5 6.20 2.09 117
6 002 10 471 4343 2.42 42.1 17.5 5.83 1.96 114
35.1 37.7 36.4
36.6 39.2 37.9
38.2 40.8 39.5
39.9 42.5 41.2
41.7 44.3 43.0
43.6 46.3 44.9
45.2 47.9 46.5
46.3 49.1 47.7
46.3 48.9 47.6
45.9 47.7 46.8
45.8 46.8 46.3
2040
2045
2050
550968 280224 270744 103.5
586 989 298 356 288 634 103.4
10.4 20.1 18.8 7.7 4.9 0.6 12.1 5.9 5.8 11.2 53.7 25.6
9.7 19.0 18.2 8.8 5.6 0.7 11.4 5.7 5.6 10.8 53.7 27.0
90
96
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populaion (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) Population density (per sq km) ................
.................. ..........
.................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
263 636 133005 130 631 101.8
295 344 149 321 146 023 102.3
329 514 166 880 162 634 102.6
365010 185126 179883 102.9
401 381 203812 197569 103.2
438506 222866 215640 103.4
476139 242146 233993 103.5
16.9 27.2 20.7 4.8 3.0 0.3 16.7 7.5 6.9 12.0 46.1 17.6 43
16.3 26.7 20.9 4.8 3.1 0.3 16.3 7.3 6.9 12.2 47.1 18.2 48
15.4 26.1 20.8 5.0 3.2 0.4 16.0 7.3 6.8 12.2 48.2 18.9 54
14.5 25.4 20.8 5.2 3.3 0.4 15.5 7.2 6.8 12.2 49.6 19.6 59
13.5 24.5 20.7 5.4 3.5 0.4 14.9 7.0 6.7 12.2 51.0 20.6 65
12.7 23.4 20.5 5.7 3.7 0.5 14.1 6.8 6.5 12.1 52.3 21.7 71
11.9 22.2 20.1 6.1 3.9 0.5 13.4 6.5 6.3 11.9 53.1 22.9 78
513830 261 381 25%449 103.5 11.1 21.1 19.5 6.7 4.3 0.6 12.8 6.2 6.1 11.6 53.5 24.2 84
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
..
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1 OOO population) Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) Net migration rate (per 1 OOO population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.OOO births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.OOO births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
44
.
............. .... ..
6 341 11 150 4 612 . 196 2.27 39.9 16.5 -0.7 5.35 1.84 108 182
6834 11 667 4 736 -96 2.19 37.3 15.2 -0.3 4.84 1.72 101 167
7 099 11 986 4 794 . 93 2.05 34.5 13.8 -0.3 4.35 1.60 93 152
7 274 12 168 4 800 . 93 1.90 31.8 12.5 -0.2 3.91 1.49 86 137
7 425 12 306 4 787 . 93 1.77 29.3 11.4 -0.2 3.54 1.39 79 123
7 527 12 402 4 782 . 93 1.65 27.1 10.5 -0.2 3.24 1.31 72 110
7 538 12 410 4 778 . 93 1.52 25.1 9.7 5.2 2.98 1.23 66 98
7 428 12 309 4 788 . 93 1.40 23.1 9.0 5.2 2.76 1.17
87
7 204 12 126 4 828 .93 1.27 21.3 8.5 -0.2 2.57 1.11 55 77
46.9 47.8 47.4
48.7 49.6 49.1
50.7 51.6 51.2
52.8 53.8 53.3
55.0 56.1 55.6
57.1 58.4 57.8
59.2 60.7 59.9
61.2 62.9 62.0
63.0 65.2 64.1
60
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Popdation Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
WESTERN AFRICA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2020
2015
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
6 794 2.42 41.6 16.7 -0.7 5.60 1.93
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ..............................;..
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... 263 636 Males ................................................... 133 005 Females ........................................ 130 631 Median age (years) ................................. 17.6
299 560 151 472 148 087 17.9
343 592 174 064 169 528 17.9
396 127 201 008 195 1 1 9 17.7
458 433 232 939 225 494 17.5
532 896 271 068 261 828 17.5
622 766 317 038 305 728 17.5
731 849 372 749 359 100 17.4
864 324 1 025 012 440 292 522 073 424 032 502 939 17.4 17.3
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.56 43.0 16.8
2.74 43.4 15.7
2.85 43.1 14.5
2.92 42.5 13.1
3.01 42.0 11 .8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
3.12 41.9 10.6
3.23 41.9 9.6
3.33 41.9 8.6
3.41 41.9 7.8
.
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Aga dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median a@ (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
.....................................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per w m n ) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Llk 8xp.Ctrncy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
Population (thousando) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 1W females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage In school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentagein s c h d ages 15-17 .......... Percentagein school ages 16-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity @er sq km) ................ . .
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 bi!ths) ... L b expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
....
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
ASIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... 3905415 4168227 4453009 4737350 4994396 5230880 5464680 5704887 5940910 6160528 Males ................................................... 1 989 639 2 120 156 2 261 527 2 402 138 2 528 142 2 643 061 2 756 616 2 873 851 2 989 657 3 097 998 Females ............................................... 1915776 2048071 2191482 2335212 2466254 2587819 2708064 2831036 2951253 3062530 Age distribution 9.1 9.6 Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ 9.7 9.4 8.6 8.1 8.1 8.2 8.1 7.9 Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... 18.7 17.0 16.7 17.3 16.6 15.6 17.3 15.1 15.2 15.3 Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... 18.2 16.2 17.7 14.9 14.8 15.1 14.2 13.9 15.6 15.7 Percentageaged 60 or wer .................. 9.3 10.2 11.4 12.6 14.1 15.9 17.4 18.2 19.0 20.0 Percentageaged 65 or over .................. 6.4 6.8 10.9 12.4 13.5 14.1 14.8 7.5 8.6 9.6 Percentageaged 80 or over .................. 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.3 3.8 51.6 49.1 47.8 Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... 53.7 53.3 47.7 46.3 45.4 45.1 47.3 Median age (years) ................................. 27.7 29.1 30.0 30.9 31.9 32.9 33.5 33.9 34.1 34.6 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude bifth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
52 562 1.30 20.9 7.6 -0.3 2.60 1.15
56 957 1.32 21 0 7.5 -0.3 2.66 1.20
.
51 409 1.06 18.4 7.6 -0.2 2.59 1.19
56 868 1.24 20.1 7.5 -0.3 2.67 1.21
47 297 0.93 17.2 7.8 -0.2 2.52 1.16
46 760 0.88 17.0 8.0 -0.2 2.47 1.15
48 041 0.86 17.2 8.4 .0.2 2.44 1.14
47 205 0.81 17.0 8.7 -0.2 2.43 1.14
43 924 0.73 16.4 8.9 -0.2 2.41 1.14
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thouwnd8) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlrMbuHon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of mwnen aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) . Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
P
37 401 0.94 17.1 7.4 -0.3 2.10 0.93
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT P
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 3 905 415 4 155 360 4 423 623 4 697 473 4 968 027 5 239 168 5 521 769 5 822 867 6 143 947 6 486 638 Males ................................................... 1989639 2113364 2245933 2380770 2513332 2645843 2784130 2932166 3091064 3261925 Females ........................................ 1915776 2041 996 2177691 2316703 2454696 2593325 2737639 2890700 3052883 3224713 Median age (years) ................................ 27.7 29.2 30.2 31.1 31.8 32.5 32.9 33.0 33.0 32.8 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude Mrth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.24 20.3 7.6
1.25 20.3 7.6
1.20 19.9 7.6
1.12 19.2 7.7
1.06 18.7 7.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.05 18.9 8.1
1.06 19.2 8.4
1.07 19.5 8.6
1.09 19.8 8.7
Indicator
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Populalon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distdbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C& death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... L l k expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populrtion (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlatribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Bitths per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... L l k o x m n c y at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nlions Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HtGH VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... 1524380 1579159 1641 M3 1698715 1740039 1769409 1796748 1826229 1853309 1872926 Males ................................................... Females Ago distribution Percentageaged 0-4 Percentageaged 5-14 Percentage 15-24 Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over Percentagedwomen aged 15-49 Median age (years)
............................................... ............................ ........................... ......................... .................. ......... .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Populationchange per year (thousands) ~opulationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) Net reproduction rate (per m n )
. ........................ ..........
10 956 0.71 14.5 7.3 -0.2 1 95 0.89
12 373 0.77 15.6 7.7 -0.2 2.17 0.99
11 538 0.69 15.3 8.3 -0.1 2.31 1 06
8 265 0.48 13.7 8.8 -0.1 2.32 1 .07
.
5 874 0.34 12.9 9.4 -0.1 2.32 1 08
.
5 468 0.31 13.3 10.1 -0.1 2.33 1.09
5 896 0.33 14.1 10.8 -0.1 2.34 1.09
5 416 0.29 14.4 11.3 -0.1 2.34 1.10
3 923 0.21 13.9 11.7 -0.1 2.S 1.10
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population(thousands) Total Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Ago distribution Percentage aged 04 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 1524 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over Percentageaged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentaged nromen aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
.....................................................
.................. ..................
Populatbn change per year (thousands) .. PopulaHongrowth rate (per cent) Crude Mrth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 *tion) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per waman) ..........
............. .... ..
5 356 0.35 10.9 7.2 -0.2 1.45 0.66
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Popuktlon (thousmds) Total ..................................................... 1524380 1563144 1596713 1619751 1628702 1624163 1608918 1584802 1551743 1509783 754 523 776 433 808 790 794 575 823 859 818 928 821 869 812 334 796 977 Males ................................................... 778 496 775309 755259 790227 805235 800128 804843 784379 797882 766167 Females ........................................ 745884 44.8 46.1 47.0 47.6 Median age (years) 33.5 35.8 37.5 39.2 40.9 43.0
................................. ............. .... ..
Population growth rate (per cent) C& Mrth rate (per 1.000 population) Cnrde death rate (per 1.000 population)
0.50
12.4 7.2
0.43 12.2 7.8
0.29 11.5 8.5
0.11 10.4 9.2
-0.06 9.6 10.1
United Nations Department of Ewnornic and Social AffairsPopulation Division WorM Population Praspects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
-0.19 9.3 11 0
.
-0.30 9.2 12.1
-0.42 9.0 13.1
-0.55 8.7 14.1
SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
2030
2035
2040
2045
1995
2OOO
Population (thounndr) Total ..................................................... Males Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
...................................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per women) .......... Infant mortaliity rate (per 1.000 Wrths) ...... L i k expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females Both sexes combined ............................
....
a.............................................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
Popuirtion (thouunda) Total ..................................................... 1610896 1738693 1865884 1987494 2098694 2197640 2286126 2367026 2437637 Males ................................................... 823 953 887 356 950 322 1 010 265 1 064 703 1 112 670 1 155 084 1 193 500 1 226 667 Females ........................................ 786943 851337 915562 977228 1033991 1084971 1131042 1173527 1210969 Sexratio (males per 100females) ........... 104.7 104.2 103.8 103.4 103.0 102.6 102.1 101.7 101.3 Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 11.3 10.6 10.0 9.3 8.5 7.8 7.4 7.1 6.8 Percentage aged 5-14........................... 21.8 20.3 19.2 18.4 17.4 16.3 15.2 14.2 13.7 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 19.8 19.6 18.6 17.5 16.9 16.5 15.9 15.0 14.1 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 7.4 8.7 9.8 11.1 12.5 13.9 15.4 17.2 7.9 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 4.9 5.6 6.4 7.3 10.8 12.0 5.2 8.5 9.6 2.0 2.4 Percentage aged 80 or over 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.6 Percentagein s c M ages 6-11 ............ 13.1 12.2 11.6 11 1 10.5 9.8 9.0 8.5 8.2 4.3 4.1 5.0 4.7 Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... 6.5 6.0 5.7 5.4 5.2 5.0 4.7 4.4 4.1 6.3 5.6 5.3 5.2 Percentage in school ages 15-1 7 .......... 6.1 9.6 9.1 8.5 11.7 11.2 10.5 10.1 9.8 Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... 11.7 52.7 51.9 50.5 48.9 51.9 Percentageof women aged 15-49......... 52.9 53.1 53.0 52.8 Median age (years) ................................. 23.5 24.8 26.3 27.8 29.4 31.1 32.7 34.1 35.6 Populationdensity (per sq km) ................ 149 161 1 73 184 194 204 212 219 226
............................
..................
.
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) C& birth rate (per 1.000 population) CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman)........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (yean) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexss combined ............................
.....................
............. ....
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
2010
2020
2015
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
7 738 0.38 12.0 7.9 -0.3 1.54 0.71
4 756 0.23 11.0 8.4 -0.3 1.51 0.70
1 604 0.08 10.1 9.1 -0.3 1.48 0.69
.1 644
2050
Populaion (thousands) Total ...................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged W ............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Cnrde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertili (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman)
28 773 1.71 25.8 8.3 -0.4 3.14 1.36
....
.
..........
.
D LOW VARIANT .
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dirtrlbutlon Percentage aged W Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24 Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years)
............................ .........................
.................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per l. 000 population) . Total fertilii (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman)
..........
22 371 1 .34 21.9 8.1 -0.4 2.64 1.14
19 845 1.12 19.2 7.6 -0.4 2.24 0.98
16 856 0.90 16.8 7.4 -0.3 1 .94 0.86
14 391 0.74 15.2 7.4 -0.3 1.78 0.80
1 1 156
0.56 13.5 7.6 -0.3 1.63 0.74
-0.08 9.3 9.8 -0.3 1.45 0.68
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ...................................................
Females ........................................
M e d i i age (years) .................................
1610896 1758071 1923704 2102144 2289238 2487805 2704147 2942043 3202124 3485230 823 953 897 289 979 964 1 069 027 1 162 331 1 281 286 1 369 098 1 487 779 1 617 783 1 759 565 943741 1033118 1126907 1226520 1335049 1454263 1584341 1725665 786943 860781 27.3 27.4 27.5 23.5 24.5 25.4 26.2 26.7 27.0 27.1 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.75 26.2 8.3
1 .80 26.2 7.9
l .77 25.6 7.5
1.71 24.6 7.2
1.66 24.0 7.1
United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revbion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.67 23.9 7.0
1.69 24.1 7.0
1.69 24.1 7.0
1.69 24.1 6.9
SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1-
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1985
2OOo
Pupuktion (thoumds) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females Sex ratb (males per 100 females) ........... Ago dlrtribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................ S .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... PPpuletion growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude Mrth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per wman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... LH.mxp.chncy at birth (yam) Maki ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes comMned
............................
.
8 MEDIUM VARIANT
Populdion (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratb (males per 100 females) ........... Agodktributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 Percentagein school ages 12-14 .......... Percentap in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentagein school ages 18-23 .......... Percentageof w ~ e aged n 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
............
.
Populationchange per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) Net migration per year (ttxursands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C& Mrth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per mwnan) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) Uk mxpactancy at birth ( p m ) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both s e m combined ............................
...................
.........
......
...
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division
WO& Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Mediin age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Cnrde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
8 171 1.42 21.6 6.8 -0.6 2.56 1.17
.
D LOW VARIANT Populrtion (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlatrlbution Percentage aged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Medin age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
5 865 1.03 17.6 6.7 .0.6 2.06 0.94
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT Population (thoumnds) Total ..................................................... 555 815 Males ................................................... 277 230 Females ........................................ 278 585 Median age (years) ................................. 25.7
596 154 297 200 298 953 27.2
638 311 318 158 320 153 28.5
680 980 339 434 341 547 29.6
722 922 360 327 362 595 30.6
764 299 380 879 383 421 31.4
806 024 401 540 404 484 31.9
848 510 422 615 425 895 32.3
891 801 444 146 447 655 32.7
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1.40 21.4 6.8
1.37 21.0 6.7
1.29 20.2 6.7
1.20 19.3 6.8
1.11 18.6 7.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.06 18.3 7.2
1.03 18.3 7.6
1.00 18.2 7.9
0.96 18.2 8.2
935 766 466 143 469 624 33.0
WESTERN ASIA Indicator Popuiation(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
.........................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C W birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
. Population(thou8ands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migrationper year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expactancy at birth (yean) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Socid AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
WESTERN ASIA Indicator
C. HIGH VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
447 512 227 197 220315 26.0
498 280 252 702 245577 25.8
555 859 281 694 274166 25.6
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per l.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
4 662 2.07 26.5 6.1 0.3 3.36 1 .52
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age diatlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Populatkm change per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
3 809 1.70 22.8 6.0 0.3 2.86 1.29
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
214 323 109 959 104364 23.6
237 991 121 897 116094 24.5
264 895 135 476 129419 25.1
294 597 150 441 144156 25.5
327 165 166 815 160350 25.7
362 901 184 752 178149 25.9
402 680 204 702 197978 26.0
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.10 26.8 6.2
2.14 26.9 5.7
2.13 26.6 5.4
2.10 26.1 5.2
2.07 25.9 5.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
2.08 26.0 5.3
2.1 1 26.4 5.4
2.15 26.9 5.4
2.19 27.3 5.5
EUROPE Indicator
A. ESTIMATES 1950
1960
1965
1970
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... 547 405 Males .................................................. 255 320 Females ............................................... 292 085 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... 87.4 Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ 9.2 Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... 17.0 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... 17.3 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 12.1 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 8.2 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 1.1 Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... 51.8 29.7 Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................ 24
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
EUROPE
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
.4 104
.4 555
.5 020
.5 346
2050
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Ag. dldribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands).. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude Mrth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
..
732 0.10 11.8 11.9 1 .1 1.68 0.80
.
D LOW VARIANT Population(thourmds) Total ..................................................... Males ...................................................
Females ...............................................
Ag. distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
..................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. CNde Mrth fate (per 1,000 population) .... Ctude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. . 1 783
-0.25 8.4 12.0 1 .1 1 .18 0.56
.2 834
-0.40 7.4 12.4 1 .0 1.08 0.51
.3 406
.3 543
-0.49 6.8 12.7 1 .0 1.04 0.50
-0.52 6.9 13.1 1 .0 1.10 0.53
.3 764
-0.57 6.9 13.6 1.1 1.16 0.55
-0.64 6.8 14.3 1 .1 1.21 0.58
-0.74 6.7 15.1 1 .1 1.26 0.61
-0.84 6.4 16.0 1.2 1.31 0.63
-0.94 6.1 16.7 1.2 1.33 0.64
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Meles ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) .............
Crude Mrth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
728 389 350 386 378 003 39.0
724 853 348 427 376 426 40.4
718 161 344 978 373 183 41.9
708 533 340 137 368 396 43.4
696429 334 069 362 360 44.9
682 363 327 M1 355 342 46.4
666 333
319 085 347 248 47.8
648 140 310 235 337 905 48.9
627920 300 555 327 365 49.6
-0.10 9.9 11.9
-0.19 9.4 12.2
-0.27 8.8 12.4
.0.35 8.3 12.7
-0.41 8.0 13.1
-0.48 7.9 13.6
-0.55 7.7 14.3
-0.63 7.5 15.0
.0.70 7.4 15.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division Workl Populatbn Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
606244 290 297 315 947 50.1
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Populrtion (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlrtrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ..................... ... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... L& expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT Populat3on (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or wer .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentagein s c h d ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . . . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 Mrths) Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... L b expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.............
......
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
EASTERN EUROPE
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousand.) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlrtributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
297 328 139 737 157592
293 241 137 438 155803
290 269 135 855 154414
286 987 134 257 152730
282 333 132 051 150282
277 485 129 838 147648
273 796 128 359 145437
271 591 127 809 143782
270 126 127 771 142355
268 578 127 740 140838
4.8 10.6 16.2 18.2 14.2 2.4 50.6 37.5
6.0 9.6 14.0 19.0 13.6 3.1 48.2 38.2
6.3 10.9 10.8 20.7 14.2 3.2 45.3 38.9
6.1 12.5 9.7 22.7 15.9 3.6 43.5 39.9
5.6 12.7 11.1 24.0 17.8 3.3 42.4 41.3
5.5 11.9 12.8 24.6 19.0 3.9 41.4 42.7
6.0 11.2 13.0 25.5 19.3 4.8 39.8 43.1
6.6 11.6 12.1 26.5 19.8 5.6 37.6 42.0
6.9 12.7 11.3 27.7 20.6 5.8 37.2 40.6
6.7 13.5 11.7 28.7 21.8 5.7 38.4 39.9
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
. .
817 -0.28 12.1 14.5 -0.3 1 .56 0.73
..
.595
-0.20 12.8 14.6 -0.2 1.74 0.82
.931
. 656
-0.23 12.3 14.4 -0.2 l .91 0.90
-0.33 11.2 14.2 -0.2 1 98 0.94
.
. 970
-0.35 11.0 14.2 -0.2 2.05 0.97
.738
-0.27 12.0 14.4 -0.3 2.12 1.01
. 441
-0.16 13.3 14.6 -0.3 2.20 1 .04
.293
-0.11 13.8 14.6 -0.3 2.26 1.08
.310
-0.12 13.6 14.4 -0.3 2.30 1.10
.
D LOW VARIANT . Population(thousand.) Total .................................................... , Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dhtrlbution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020.2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
. . 1 949
-0.67 8.2 14.6 -0.3 1 .06 0.50
.2 271
-0.81 7.2 15.0 -0.2 0.94 0.44
.2 445
.2 460
-0.91 6.4 15.2 -0.3 0.91 0.43
-0.95 6.3 15.5 -0.3 0.98 0.46
.2 517
.1.03 6.1 16.1 -0.3 1.05 0.50
.2 589
.1.11 6.1 16.9 -0.3 1.13 0.53
.2 670
.l22 6.0 17.9 -0.3 1 .20 0.57
.2 747
.2 773
.1.33 5.9 18.9 -0.3 1.26 0.60
.l.@ 5.7 19.8 -0.4 1 .30 0.62
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population)
..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
297 328 139737 157592 37.5
289 987 135767 154220 38.5
281 774 131494 150280 39.9
272 211
261 658 121437 140221
238 966 110487 128479 47.8
226 727 104790 121937 49.6
213 881 98914 114967 50.7
200 728
43.6
250 558 116016 134540 45.8
-0.58 9.3 14.8
-0.69 8.2 14.9
-0.79 7.4 15.0
-0.87 7.0 15.4
-0.95 6.9 16.1
.1.05 6.7 16.9
126670 145541 41.6
P
P
-0.50 9.9 14.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaiWopulation Division WoM Population Prospects: The 2004 Revhion. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
.1.17 6.4 17.7
.1.27 6.1 18.4
92932 107796 51.4
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Voiume I: Comprehensive Tables
HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2020
2025
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ....................... Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
426 0.44 12.6 10.2 2.0 1.92 0.92
531 0.54 13.4 10.1 2.0 2.10 1.01
632 0.62 14.2 10.0 1.9 2.26 1.09
632 0.60 14.1 10.0 1.9 2.31 1.12
575 0.53 13.5 10.1 1.8 2.33 1.13
541 0.49 13.3 10.2 1.8 2.34 1.13
581 0.51 13.7 10.4 1.7 2.34 1.13
666 0.57 14.4 10.4 1.7 2.34 1.13
746 0.62 14.8 10.3 1.6 2.35 1.14
.
D LOW VARIANT Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
l15 0.12 9.4 10.2 2.0 1.42 0.68
26 0.03 8.6 10.3 2.0 1.30 0.63
.2 0.00 8.8 10.8 2.0 1.32 0.63
.8 -0.01 8.4 10.5 2.0 1.27 0.61
-50 .0.05 8.7 11.3 2.0 1.33 0.64
-138 -0.14 8.3 11.8 2.1 1.34 0.65
-238 -0.25 7.8 12.4 2.1 1.34 0.65
-325 -0.35 7.3 12.9 2.1 1.35 0.65
-374
2040
2045
2050 101 162 49 699 51463 45.5
-0.41 7.2 13.4 2.l 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Median age (years) ...............................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2005
2010
2015
95 792 46 804 48988 38.9
97 11 6 47 536 49580 40.2
98 380 48 218 50162 41.1
0.27 10.9 10.2
0.26 10.8 10.2
0.24 10.7 10.3
2020
2025
2030
2035
99 586 48 851 50735 41-7
100 600 49 361 51239 42.3
101 279 49 688 51590 43.1
101 596 49 835 51760 43.9
101 624 49 856 51768 44.7
101 455 49 799 51656 45.2
0.20 1 0.5 10.4
0.13 10.2 10.8
0.06 9.9 11.2
0.01 9.7 11.6
-0.03 9.6 11.9
-0.06 9.6 12.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SOUTHERN EUROPE Indicator
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
5ulation change per year (thousands) .. fkrths per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Lib expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentagein school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (yea-) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revkion. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
538
387 0.25 11.5 10.6
262 0.17 11.1 10.9 1.6 1.99 0.95
125 0.08 10.5 11.2 1.5 2.06 0.99
91 0.06 10.5 11.5 1.5 2.13 1.02
144 0.09 11.2 11.8 1.5 2.19 1.05
223 0.14 12.1 12.2 1.5 2.25 1.08
245 0.15 12.6 12.6 l .5 2.31 1.11
1 84 0.12 12.6 12.9 l .5 2.34 1.12
141043 68 867 72 176 51.3
137485 67 040 70 445 52.3
133274 64 887 68 387 52.9
.0.51 6.9 13.7
-0.62 6.7 14.7
.0.74 6.4 15.6
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstdbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
0.36 11.6 10.1 2.1 1.64 0.79
1.6
1.84 0.88
.
D LOW VARIANT
. Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlsbibution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-11........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
20 0.01 8.2 10.2 2.2 1 .14 0.55
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population(thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................
149389 73 012 76 377 39.8
P
p -
Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per l,000 population) ..
150507 73 564 76 943 41.7
0.15 9.5 10.2
150138 73 391 76 748 43.7
146654 71 704 74 950 47.9
144064 70 408 73 656 49.8
-0.36 7.1 12.3
-0.42 7.0 12.9
. .
P
p -
-0.05 8.7 10.8
148767 72 735 76 032 45.8
-0.18 7.9 11.3
-0.29 7.3 11.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
128417 62 426 65 991 53.3
WESTERN EUROPE Indicator
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortali rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
WESTERN EUROPE Indicator
.
C HIGH VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
175 936 85 240 90 696 48.7
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
585 0.31 11.2 10.0 1.9 1.80 0.87
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
31 0.02 8.3 10.1 1.9 1.32 0.63
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... 185 879 Males ................................................... 90 833 Females ............................................... 95 047 Median age (years) ................................. 40.7
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.15 9.6 10.1
187 242 91 560 95 683 42.4
187 869 91 876 95 994 44.0
187 969 91 881 96 088 45.1
187 517 91 566 95 951 45.8
186 465 90 910 95 556 46.4
184 729 89 897 94 832 47.1
182 303 88 548 93 755 47.8
179 309 86 955 92 354 48.3
0.07 9.4 10.5
0.01 9.2 10.9
-0.05 9.0 11.3
.0.11 8.8 11.7
-0.19 8.6 12.3
-0.26 8.4 12.9
-0.33 8.3 13.5
-0.38 8.3 14.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2Ooo
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Aga distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof wwnen aged 15-49 ......... Medin age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands).. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentagein school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentageof women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertili (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortalii rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexss combined ............................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Indicator
.
C HIGH VARIANT 2005
2010
2020
2015
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
209
956 650 471 626 485024 33.1
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
8 646 1.48 22.0 6.0 .1.2 2.63 1.23
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
6 321 1.10 18.1 6.0 .1.2 2.13 1.00
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... 561 346 Males ................................................... 277 161 Females ............................................... 284185 Median age (years) ................................. 25.9
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.43 21.4 6.0
602 791 297 406 305385 27.2
645 743 318 438 327304 28.5
689 409 339 870 349539 29.6
733 059 361 291 371768 30.6
776 835 382 797 394038 31.4
820 948 404 487 416462 32.0
865 584 426 481 439102 32.5
910 788 448 836 461952 32.9
1.38 20.8 6.1
1.31 20.1 6.2
1.23 19.4 6.3
1.16 18.8 6.5
1.11 18.5 6.8
1.06 18.4 7.1
1.02 18.3 7.4
0.98 18.2 7.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ........................ ...................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
. .
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertili (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortalii under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Voiume l: Comprehensive Tables
CARIBBEAN
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
56 629 28 255 28 374 33.3
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age diatributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
..................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertilii (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
.... ..
399
1.00 20.9 8.3 .2.6 2.62 1.16
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thou~nds) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman)..........
.
248 0.63 17.2 8.3 .2.6 2.12 0.93
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
PopulaUon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) ................................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
39 129 19 405 19 724 28.0
40 962 20 314 20 647 29.4
42 890 21 278 21 611 30.6
44 822 22 248 22 574 31.5
46 708 23 196 23 512 32.1
48 573 24 138 24 435 32.6
50 457 25 095 25 362 33.1
52 411 26 092 26 320 33.4
54 464 27 143 27 321 33.5
0.92 20.1 8.4
0.92 20.0 8.3
0.88 19.5 8.3
0.82 18.9 8.4
0.78 18.6 8.5
0.76 18.5 8.7
0.76 18.6 9.0
0.77 18.8 9.2
0.78 19.0 9.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CENTRAL AMERICA A. ESTIMATES Indicator Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
37 299 18 677 18 622 100.3
42 759 21 400 21 359 100.2
49 722 24 881 24 841 100.2
58 023 29 030 28 992 100.1
67 897 33 961 33 936 100.1
79 155 39 537 39 617 99.8
90 719 45 217 45 502 99.4
101 559 50 434 51 124 98.7
112 798 !j5 852
124 623 61 506 63 118 97.4
136 039 66 942 69 096 96.9
17.3 25.0 18.4 6.5 4.1 0.4 44.5 18.9 15
18.2 25.7 18.1 6.5 4.1 0.4 43.5 18.2 17
18.6 26.7 17.9 6.3 4.2 0.5 42.8 17.4
18.5 27.6 18.2 6.1 4.1 0.6 42.6 17.0 23
18.5 27.9 18.7 5.8 4.0 0.6 43.1 16.7 27
18.3 28.1 19.2 5.5 3.8 0.6 43.5 16.7 32
16.7 28.7 19.7 5.3 3.6 0.7 44.7 17.1 37
15.0 28.1 20.4 5.5 3.6 0.7 46.7 18.0 41
14.1 26.0 21.5 5.8 3.9 0.7 49.3 19.2 45
13.3 24.2 21.5 6.2 4.2 0.7 51.3 20.6
12.0 23.2 20.2 6.7 4.6 0.8 52.5 22.3 55
20
56 946 98.1
50
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 19651970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 19952OOO 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1 OOO births) ...... Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
.
1 092 1853 715 2.73 46.3 17.9 6.87 2.43 127
1 392 2 138 699 3.02 46.2 15.1 6.93 2.60 109
1660 2436 703 3.09 45.2 13.1 6.83 2.68 96
1 975 2 814 735 3.14 44.7 11.7 6.75 2.73
47.6 50.7 49.1
51.5 54.9 53.2
54.6 58.2 56.3
2 313 3 281 714 2.73 38.6 8.4 5.48 2.37 63
2 168 3 258
688
664
654
644
680
2.26 33.9 7.2 4.53 2.01 53
2.10 31.5 6.2 3.95 1.78 44
1.99 29.3 5.5 3.47 1.59 36
1.75 26.2 4.9 2.99 1.39
86
2 252 3 200 743 3.07 43.5 10.1 6.47 2.70 75
30
1.55 23.7 4.8 2.68 1.25 24
56.6 60.5 58.5
58.8 63.4 61.0
60.5 66.5 63.5
62.5 69.0 65.7
65.1 71.2 68.1
67.4 73.0 70.2
69.7 74.9 72.3
71.0 76.1 73.6
2 248 3 373
2 365 3 479
2 283 3 420
2 198 3354
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population(thOUband8) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
147 029 72 168 74 861 96.4
157 478 77 193 80 285 96.1
167 528 82 031 85 497 95.9
177 089 86 638 90 451 95.8
185 678 90 752 94 927 95.6
193 104 94 277 98 827 95.4
199 297 97 183 102 114 95.2
204 147 99 420 104 727 94.9
207 594 100 967 106 628 94.7
209 557 101 789 107 768 94.5
11.0 21.8 19.3 7.5 5.1 1.0 13.1 6.5 6.2 11.3 53.5 24.0 59
9.9 20.2 19.0 8.4 5.8 1.2 12.1 6.0 6.0 11.2 54.2 25.7
9.2 18.5 18.3 9.6 6.6 1.4 11.7 5.6 5.6 10.9 54.3 27.5 68
8.6 17.2 17.2 11.1 7.6 1.6 10.3 5.2 5.2 10.3 53.5 29.4 71
7.9 16.2 16.1 12.8 8.9 1.9 9.7 4.9 4.8 9.6 51.8 31.4 75
7.4 15.2 15.1 14.9 10.4 2.3 9.1 4.6 4.6 9.0 50.2 33.4 78
6.9 14.3 14.5 17.5 12.2 2.7 8.5 4.4 4.4 8.7 48.8 35.3
6.5 13.4 13.8 19.9 14.5 3.4 8.0 4.1 4.1 8.3 47.2 37.2 82
6.1 12.7 13.1 22.1 16.6 4.0 7.6 3.9 3.9 7.9 45.5 38.9 84
5.8 12.1 12.5 24.2 18.4 4.9 7.2 3.7 3.7 7.5
64
80
43.8 40.5
85
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 203!j-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per iOOO population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,OOO births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
70
868 -338
1718 3 020 964
1485 2904 1080
1 239 2 797 1220
970 2 690 1382
690 2 592 1564
-338
-338
-338
-338
-338
1.11 18.1 5.0 -2.0 2.15 1.02 14 19
0.95 16.7 5.3 -1.9 2.06 0.98 12 16
0.78 15.3 5.7 -1.8 1.98 0.95 10 14
0.63 14.3 6.2 -1.7 1.94 0.93 9 12
0.48 13.3 6.9 -1.7 1.90 0.91 8 11
0.34 12.6 7.6 -1.6 1.87 0.90 7 10
392 2 494 1764 -338 0.19 12.0 8.5 -1.6 1.85 0.89 7 9
74.2 79.3 76.8
75.0 80.1 77.6
75.7 80.8 78.3
76.3 81.4 78.9
76.9 81.9 79.5
77.3 82.4 79.9
77.7 82.8 80.3
2090 3 232 724 . 418 1.37 21.2 4.8 -2.7 2.42 1.14 20 26
2 010 3 176 788 . 378 1.24 19.5 4.8 -2.3 2.27 1.07 16 22
1912 3 118
72.2 77.4 74.8
73.3 78.4 75.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaiWopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CENTRAL AMERICA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
.........................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
..
2 409 1.58 23.2 4.8 -2.7 2.67 1.25
2 547 1.54 22.5 4.8 -2.3 2.67 1.26
2 608 1.46 21.5 4.9 -1.9 2.65 1.26
2 456 1.29 19.7 5.1 .1.8 2.56 1.22
2 326 1.15 18.5 5.4 -1.7 2.48 1.18
2 238 1 .04 17.8 5.8 -1.6 2.44 1.17
2 144 0.95 17.2 6.2 -1.5 2.40 1.15
2 017 0.86 16.7 6.7 -1.4 2.37 1.14
1 843 0.75 16.2 7.3 .1.4 2.35 1.13
.
D LOW VARIANT
. Population(thousands) Total ...................................................., Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age disttibution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged W or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
P
l 770 1.17 19.2 4.7 .2.8 2.17 1.02
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thouaandm) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
147 029 72168 74 861 24.0
159 220 78083 81 137 25.4
172 262 84449 87 813 26.7
185 873 91124 94 749 27.9
199 658 97892 101 766 29.0
213 668 104779 108 888 30.0
228 065 111874 116 191 30.7
242 959 119237 123 722 31 .1
258 378 126892 131 485 31.5
274 327 134850 139 477 31.7
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.59 23.4 4.8
1 .58 22.9 4.8
1.52 22.0 4.9
1.43 21.2 5.1
1.36 20.5 5.4
1 .30 20.2 5.7
1.27 20.1 6.0
1.23 20.1 6.4
1.20 20.1 6.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
SOUTH AMERICA A ESTIMATES Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km)
................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
SOUTH AMERICA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
Populetion (thousands) Total ..................................................... 375 187 Males ................................................ 185 588 Females ............................................... 189 599 Age diarlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ 9.9 Percentage aged 5-14........................... 19.2 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 18.7 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 9.1 6.3 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 1.2 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 53.3 Median age (years) ................................. 26.4
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
404 379 199 911 204 468
434 594 214 753 219 841
464 828 229 617 235 21 1
493 519 243 683 249 836
521 187 257 236 263 952
548 085 270 390 277 695
574 515 283 321 291 194
600 091 295 855 304 236
624 658 307 938 316 720
10.2 18.1 17.4 10.0 6.9 1.5 52.3 27.6
9.9 17.9 16.4 11.2 7.6 1.6 50.7 28.7
9.5 18.0 15.6 12.6 8.6 1.8 49.2 29.7
8.9 17.6 15.6 14.1 9.8 2.0 48.5 30.6
8.5 16.9 15.9 15.5 11.2 2.4 47.7 31.4
8.3 16.1 15.7 16.7 12.3 2.9 46.9 32.1
8.2 15.6 15.2 18.0 13.3 3.4 46.1 32.8
8.0 15.4 14.6 19.3 14.4 4.0 45.6 33.5
7.9 15.2 14.3 20.2 15.4 4.4 45.2 34.3
2005-2OlO 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
..
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
5 838 1.50 21.7 6.3 -0.4 2.62 1.23
.............
6 043 1.44 21 .1 6.3 -0.3 2.65 1.25
6 047 1.35 20.1 6.4 -0.3 2.65 1.25
5 738 1.20 18.7 6.5 -0.3 2.56 1.22
5 534 1 .09 17.8 6.7 -0.2 2.48 1.18
5 380 1.01 17.3 7.0 -0.2 2.42 1.15
5 286 0.94 17.0 7.3 -0.2 2.39 1.14
5 115 0.87 16.6 7.7 .0.2 2.36 1.13
4 913 0.80 16.2 8.0 -0.2 2.36 1.13
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populetion (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-1 4 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman)
....
..........
4 302 1 .12 17.8 6.2 .0.4 2.12 0.99
3 467 0.86 15.3 6.4 -0.3 1.85 0.87
2 734 0.65 13.4 6.6 -0.3 1.65 0.78
2 235 0.52 12.4 7.0 -0.3 1 .56 0.74
1 575 0.36 11.3 7.5 -0.3 1.48 0.71
no
0.17 10.1 8.1 -0.3 1.42 0.68
10 0.00 9.1 8.8 -0.3 1.39 0.66
-714 -0.16 8.4 9.7 -0.3 1 .36 0.65
-1374 -0.31 7.8 10.6 -0.3 1.36 0.65
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT P -
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
.............
Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
375 187 185 588 189 599 26.4
402 609 199 008 203 600 27.7
430 591 212 711 217 880 29.0
458 714 226 498 232 216 30.1
486 693 240 203 246 490 31.1
514 595 253 879 260 715 31.8
1.41 20.8 6.3
1.34 20.1 6.4
1.27 19.4 6.4
1.18 18.7 6.6
1.12 18.2 6.8
1 05 17.8 7.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
.
P
542 426 267 518 274 908 32.4
570 213 281 152 289 061 33.0
597 947 294 801 303 146 33.4
1.00 17.6 7.4
0.95 17.4 7.7
0.91 17.3 8.0
625 695 308 521 317 174 33.8
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2OOo
Population (thousande) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-44 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km)
..................
................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... L l k expectancy at birth (yearn) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..........
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thou~nde) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dirtrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage in schod ages 6-1 1 Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km)
............................
.................. ............
.......... ......... ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... L l k expectancy blrth (yearn) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2004 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman)
..........
3 662 1 08 15.1 8.3 4.0 2.23 1.07
.
3 922 1.09 15.6 8.3 3.7 2.33 1.12
4 051 1.07 15.6 8.3 3.4 2.37 1.14
3889 0.98 14.9 8.4 3.3 2.33 1.12
3 820 0.92 14.7 8.6 3.1 2.33 1.12
3 856 0.88 14.8 8.9 3.0 2.34 1.13
3999 0.88 15.1 9.2 2.8 2.35 1.13
4 164 0.87 15.3 9.3 2.7 2.35 1.14
4 313 0.87 15.3 9.3 2.6 2.35 1.14
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 1549 Median age (years) .................................
..................
......... 2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populationchange per year (thowands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 520 0.75 11.8 8.4 4.0 1.73 0.83
2 015 0.58 10.5 8.5 3.8 1.53 0.73
1 586 0.44 9.6 8.8 3.6 1.37 0.66
1 334 0.37 9.2 9.1 3.6 1.33 0.64
1 059 0.29 9.0 9.7 3.5 1.33 0.64
682 0.18 8.7 10.3 3.5 1.34 0.65
P
p -
250 0.07 8.3 11.0 3.4 1.35 0.65
. 146
.413
-0.04 7.8 11.7 3.4 1.35 0.65
0.11 7.6 12.1 3.5 1.35 0.65
.
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
330608 162738 167 870 36.3
346111 170505 175 606 36.9
361658 178287 183 371 37.3
377102 185976 191 126 37.8
391975 193315 198 660 38.4
405921 200135 205 786 39.0
418879 206463 212 416 39.6
431014 212446 218 508 39.8
442615 218282 224 334 39.9
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.92 13.5 8.3
0.88 13.5 8.4
0.84 13.3 8.5
0.77 13.0 8.7
0.70 12.7 9.0
0.63 12.6 9.4
0.57 12.5 9.9
0.53 12.5 10.2
0.51 12.4 10.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revkion. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
454054 224158 229 896 40.0
A
Indicator Population(thourands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
ESTIMATES
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
12807 6 519 6288 103.7
14260 7 257 7003 103.6
15884 8 064 7820 103.1
17788 8 994 8794 102.3
19639 9 926 9713 102.2
21284 10 723 10561 101.5
22893 11 491 11402 100.8
24700 12 385 12315 100.6
26721 13 457 13264 101.4
28834 14 411 14422 99.9
30949 15 431 15518 99.4
12.1 17.8 15.6 11.1
12.2 19.8 14.4 10.9 7.4 1.0 47.4 27.6 2
12.2 21.1 15.0 10.6 7.3 1.0 46.3 26.9 2
12.3 21.1 16.8 10.4 7.2 1.1 46.2 25.6 2
11.1 21.3 17.9 10.5 7.1 1.2 47.1 25.3 2
10.8 20.5 18.1 10.9 7.3 1.2 48.0 25.6 2
9.7 19.8 18.2 11.6 8.0 1.4 49.2 26.8 3
9.7 18.4 17.9 12.1 8.4 1.4 50.7 27.7 3
9.3 17.2 17.4 12.8 9.2 1.7 52.1 29.0 3
9.4 17.3 16.1 12.7 9.4 1.9 51.9 30.0
8.9 17.3 15.1 13.2 9.7 2.2 50.8 31.2 4
7.3
1.0 49.2 28.0 1
3
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populatm growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertili (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
....
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT Population(thourmda) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... PercentageIn school ages 15-17 .......... Percentagein school ages 18-23 .......... Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdens-y (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. C m birth fate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per m n ) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at blrth (ywn) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.... ..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
Wortd Popuiation Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
OCEANIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
..
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
33 056
35 313
37 751
40 371
42 954
45 403
47 745
50 095
52 530
2050
451 1.32 17.9 7.4 2.7 2.48 1.14
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertiii (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
333
0.98 14.5 7.4 2.7 1 .98 0.91
287 0.81 13.0 7.5 2.6 1.78 0.82
258 0.70 12.3 7.7 2.5 1.65 0.76
242 0.64 12.0 8.1 2.5 1.60 0.75
206 0.53 11.4 8.6 2.4 1.56 0.73
150 0.37 10.5 9.1 2.3 1.51 0.71
86 0.21 9.6 9.8 2.3 1.48 0.70
29 0.07 8.9 10.5 2.3 1.45 0.69
. 14 .0.03 8.5 11.1 2.3 1.42 0.68
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per l,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
33 056
16490 16566 32.3
35 160 17551 17609 33.3
1.23 17.1 7.4
1.22 17.1 7.5
37 362 18662 18700 34.1
39 674 19826 19849 34.7
42 044 21014 21030 35.2
44 408 22196 22211 35.7
46 778 23383 23395 36.1
49 215 24610 24605 36.2
51 788 25918 25870 36.2
1.16 17.1 7.8
1.09 16.8 8.0
1 .04 16.6 8.3
1.02 16.8 8.6
1.02 17.1 8.8
1 .04 17.5 8.9
. .
1.20 17.2 7.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
54 548 27331 27217 35.9
AUSTRALIAfNEW ZEALAND A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thounnds) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlatribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. C& birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexss combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thounnda) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentagein school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentagein school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant nmrtality rate (per 1.000 births) Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) Llte expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
...... ...
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaitdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
24 184 11932 12251
25 584 12638 12946
27 1 16 13410 13706
28 760 14235 14526
30 337 15020 15317
31 796 15741 16054
33 171 16421 16750
34 566 17119 17447
36 048 17872 18176
37 604 18674 18930
6.3 13.6 14.1 17.2 12.6 3.4 49.8
6.9 12.4 13.7 19.1 13.5 3.7 48.1 37.5
7.2 12.3 12.7 20.8 15.1 3.8 45.8 38.0
7.5 13.1 11.6 22.5 16.6 4.0 43.3 38.3
7.2 13.8 11.6 23.9 18.1 4.5 42.0 38.7
6.8 13.8 12.4 25.0 19.4 5.4 41.8 39.2
6.7 13.3 13.1 25.6 20.3 6.2 41.9 39.5
6.9 12.9 13.2 25.8 20.7 6.9 41.7 39.2
7.1 12.9 12.7 25.9 20.6 7.4 41.4 38.6
7.3 13.3 12.3 26.0 20.7 7.6 41.5 38.3
36.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
280
1 .13
14.1 7.0 4.2 2.03 0.98
306
1.16 14.9 7.2 4.0 2.20 1 06
.
329 1.18 15.4 7.4 3.8 2.34 1.13
315 1.07 14.7 7.6 3.6 2.35 1.13
292 0.94 14.0 8.0 3.4 2.35 1.14
275 0.85 13.6 8.4 3.2 2.35 1.14
279 0.82 13.9 8.8 3.1 2.35 1.14
296 0.84 14.5 9.1 3.0 2.35 1.14
311 0.85 14.8 9.2 2.9 2.35 1.14
.
D LOW VARlANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
195 0.79 10.8 7.1 4.3 1.53 0.74
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT P p -
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
....
24 184 11932 12251 36.5 P
25 371 12529 12842 37.8
26 530 13109 13421 38.8
27 653 13667 13986 39.7
28 693 14177 14517 40.8
29 606 14618 14988 41.9
30 375 14987 15388 42.9
31 020 15300 15720 43.7
31 574 15577 15997
0.89 12.2 7.3
0.83 12.0 7.6
0.74 11.6 8.0
0.63 11.1 8.5
0.51 10.7 9.1
0.42 10.5 9.7
0.35 10.4 10.2
0.31 10.4 10.6
44.2
-
0.96 12.4 7.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
32 065 15833 16232 44.5
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Sexratio(malesper100females)........... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24 Pmentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
.........................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2289 1 207 1082 111.5
2483 1 293 1190 108.6
2735 l 418 1317 107.7
3056 1 571 1485 105.8
3426 1 761 1665 105.8
3865 1 981 1884 105.2
4363 2 234 2130 104.9
4923 2 517 2406 104.6
5475 2 852 2623 108.7
6184 3 201 2983 107.3
6935 3 576 3359 106.4
15.8 24.6 19.2 5.7 3.8 0.4 47.9 19.7
17.1 25.0 19.2 4.6 3.0 0.4 47.0 18.9 5
17.2 26.2 19.0 4.2 2.4 0.3 46.2 18.3 5
19.3 26.3 19.0 3.8 2.2 0.2 44.9 17.1 6
16.5 27.1 19.8 3.9 2.3 0.2 46.6 18.0 6
16.5 26.7 20.3 4.0 2.3 0.2 47.3 18.1 7
16.5 26.6 20.1 4.0 2.4 0.2 47.6 18.2 8
15.9 26.7 20.0 4.0 2.4 0.2 48.3 18.5 9
15.3 25.6 20.8 4.5 2.8 0.3 50.6 19.2 10
15.8 25.1 20.0 4.3 2.6 0.3 50.8 19.4 11
15.0 25.3 19.5 4.3 2.6 0.3 50.8 19.7 13
4
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... LW expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females Both sexes combined ............................
.....................
...............................................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (malesper 100females) ........... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentagein school ages 6-11 Pemtage in school ages 12-14 Percentagein school ages 15-1 7 .......... Percentage in school ages 16-23.......... Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km)
............ ..........
................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. C& birth rate (per 1. 000 population) C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... LW expectancy at birth (years)
.....................
....
Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
111 1.30 22.0 8.2 .0.8 2.72 1.16
104 1.14 20.2 8.0 -0.8 2.35 1.02
103 1.07 19.1 7.9 -0.5 2.15 0.95
91 0.90 17.5 7.9 -0.5 1.98 0.89
72 0.69 15.4 8.0 -0.5 1.84 0.83
51 0.47 13.5 8.3 -0.5 1.73 0.79
31 0.28 12.1 8.8 -0.5 1.63 0.75
15 0.13 11.2 9.4 -0.5 1.54 0.72
2050
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Cnrde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
153 1.91 28.8 8.9 .0.9 3.72 1.56
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
124 1.56 25.2 8.7 .0.9 3.22 1.35
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
7661 3941 3719 20.4
8486 4360 4125 21.1
9433 4844 4589 21.9
10518 5399 5119 22.5
11738 6023 5714 22.7
13074 6707 6367 22.8
14553 7464 7089 22.9
16214 8314 7900 23.1
18089 9272 8817 23.2
20199 10350 9849 23.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
2.05 30.3 9.0
2.12 30.4 8.4
2.18 30.5 8.0
2.19 30.0 7.6
2.16 29.2 7.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.14 28.7 6.9
2.16 28.6 6.7
2.19 28.7 6.5
2.21 28.6 6.3
MICRONESIA A ESTlMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage a m 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
148 85 63 135.1
164 91 73 124.0
184 98
242 127 115 109.7
267 138 129 107.3
301 154 147 104.4
353
114.6
211 111 99 112.0
181 172 1105.6
418 216 203 106.2
469 240 230 104.4
505 256 250 102.5
14.9 20.5 22.8 5.4 3.6 0.6 47.2 21.1 48
16.7 22.8 19.9 5.0 3.3 0.5 45.5 20.1 53
17.4 25.8 17.4 4.8 3.1 0.4 43.7 19.0 59
16.8 27.2 18.2 4.6 2.9 0.4 43.8 18.3 68
16.2 27.4 20.0 4.5 2.8 0.4 44.9 18.2 78
15.3 27.0 20.7 5.1 3.2 0.4 45.8 18.6
15.0 26.0 20.4 5.3 3.3 0.4 47.9 19.2 97
15.1 24.0 20.3 5.5 3.5 0.4 49.6 20.2 114
14.2 23.2 19.5 5.6 3.6 0.4 51.0 21.5 135
13.4 23.5 17.5 5.9 3.8 0.4 51.5 22.4 151
12.3 22.1 17.9 6.3 4.1 0.5 52.8 23.9 163
86
86
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1 OOO Population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.OOO births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
........................ ..........
3 6 2 2.01 40.0 14.0 6.30 2.45 105
4 7 2 2.30 41.2 12.4 6.49 2.60 95
5 8 2 2.73 40.9 10.9 6.51 2.68 85
6 9 2 2.77 39.2 9.6 6.07 2.53 76
5 9 2 1.95 36.2 8.3 5.37 2.29 64
7 10 2 2.45 35.2 7.7 4.89 2.12 57
11 2 3.18 34.9 7.0 4.56 1.99 52
13 13 2 3.38 32.5 6.5 4.17 1.85 47
10 13 3 2.30 30.1 6.1 3.86 1.73
7 14 3 1.48 28.3 5.6 3.66 1.67
38
33
14 3 1.90 26.0 5.4 3.44 1-58 29
51.9 54.7 53.1
53.9 56.8 55.2
56.0 58.9 57.3
57.9 60.9 59.3
59.9 63.1 61.4
61.6 65.0 63.2
62.9 66.4 64.6
64.3 68.0 66.1
65.8 69.9 67.7
67.4 71.5 69.4
68.7 73.0 70.8
10
10
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thOUaand8) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
..................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
556 280 275 101.9
603 303 300
687
344 343
724 361
757 377
363
380
100.2
99.6
99.1
787 391 396 98.6
813 403 410 98.2
834 412 421 97.9
849 419
101.3
646 324 322 100.7
97.6
12.0 21.0 18.6 6.7 4.4 0.6 12.8 5.9 6.0 11.0 52.4 24.9 179
11.0 21.0 17.9 7.8 4.8 0.7 12.9 5.9 5.5 10.7 51.2 25.9 194
10.3 20.2 17.4 9.3 5.8 0.8 12.2 6.0 5.7 10.1 50.1 26.7 208
9.6 19.0 17.8 11.1 7.1 0.9 11.4 5.7 5.7 10.5 49.5 27.8 221
8.9 17.9 17.4 13.1 8.6 1.1 10.8 5.4 5.3 10.5 49.7 29.1 233
8.4 16.9 16.6 14.9 10.2 1.5 10.1 5.1 5.1 9.9 50.0 30.6 244
8.0 16.0 15.9 15.9 11.8 2.0 9.6 4.8 4.8 9.5 49.5 32.0 254
7.6 15.3 15.2 16.6 12.5 2.5 9.2 4.6 4.6 9.1 48.7 33.4 262
7.2 14.8 14.6 17.8 13.0 3.2 8.9 4.4 4.4 8.7 48.2 34.8 269
6.7 14.1 14.2 19.2 14.0 3.7 8.4 4.3 4.3 8.5 47.4 36.1 274
430
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-203!5 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.OOO births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1 000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
.
02
3 12
9 14 3 - 1 1.63 23.6 5.3 -2.1 3.18 1.48 25 31
9 14 3 - 2 1.38 21.8 5.3 -2.7 2.94 1.38 22 27
8 13 4 - 2 1.22 20.2 5.5 -2.6 2.72 1.28 19 23
7 13 4 - 2 1.05 18.7 5.8 -2.4 2.55 1.20 17 20
7 13 5 - 2 0.90 17.5 6.2 -2.3 2.40 1.14 14 17
6 13 5 - 2 0.78 16.6 6.7 -2.2 2.27 1.08 13 14
5 13 6 - 2 0.64 15.8 7.2 -2.1 2.16 1.03 11 13
4 12 6 - 2 0.50 14.7 7.7 -2.1 2.06 0.99 10 11
0.37 13.7 8.1 -2.0 1.98 0.95 9 10
69.8 74.3 72.0
70.8 75.5 73.1
71.8 76.6 74.1
72.6 77.5 75.0
73.6 78.4 76.0
74.4 79.3 76.8
75.2 80.1 i7.6
75.9 80.8 78.3
76.5 81.4 79.0
7 - 2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division WoM Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: ComprehensiveTables
MICRONESIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
Population (thouaanda) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dl8trlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years).................................
556
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
280 275
306 302
609
661 332 329
714 358 357
765 382 383
814 406 408
862 429 433
910 453 458
957 476 481
12.0 21.0 18.6 6.7 4.4 0.6 52.4 24.9
11.9 20.8 17.7 7.7 4.7 0.7 50.7 25.6
11.5 20.6 17.0 9.1 5.6 0.8 49.0 26.0
11.0 20.4 17.1 10.7 6.8 0.9 47.7 26.5
10.2 19.8 17.2 12.4 8.1 1.0 47.8 27.4
9.7 18.9 17.3 13.9 9.5 1.4 48.4 28.4
9.5 18.0 17.1 14.5 10.8 1.8 48.4 29.2
9.3 17.4 16.4 14.8 11.2 2.3 48.0 30.0
9.0 17.2 15.7 15.5 11.3 2.7 47.9 30.7
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
11 1.82 25.5 5.3 -2.1 3.43 1 S9
11 1.66 24.5 5.3 -2.7 3.34 1.56
10 1.37 21.6 5.6 -2.3 3.05 1.44
11 1.54 23.3 5.4 -2.5 3.22 1.52
10 1.24 20.4 5.9 -2.2 2.90 1.38
10 1.16 19.8 6.2 -2.0 2.77 1.32
10 1 .09 19.4 6.6 -1.9 2.66 1.27
9 1.00 18.7 6.8 -1 .8 2.56 1.23
9 0.90 17.7 7.0 -1.7 2.48 1.19
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thouaanda) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Mediin age (years) .................................
.........................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility @erwoman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
8 1.46 21.9 5.2 .2.1 2.93 1.36
7
1.10 19.1 5.3 .2.8 2.54 1.19
5 0.72 15.7 6.0 .2.5 2.05 0.97
6 0.88 16.9 5.6 .2.6 2.22 1.04
4 0.55 14.5 6.5 .2.5 1 .90 0.90
3 0.38 13.4 7.2 .2.4 l .77 0.84
1 0.19 12.2 7.9 .2.4 1.66 0.79
0 -0.01 10.9 8.6 .2.4 1 56 0.75
.l -0.19 9.8 9.3 .2.4 1.48 0.71
1019 509 510 26.6
1113 556 557 26.4
.
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousandr) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Mediin age (years) .................................
556 280 275 24.9
609
307 303
25.6
665 334
331 25.8
725 363 362 26.1
789 395 394 26.3
859 429 430 26.6
935 467 468 26.7
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.83 25.7 5.3
1.75 25.4 5.3
1.73 25.1 5.4
1.70 24.8 5.6
1.69 24.6 5.7
United Nations Departmentof Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revhion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.70 24.8 5.9
1.73 25.1 6.1
l .77 25.4 6.1
1 .81 25.6 6.1
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
19%
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2OOO
242 124 118 105.2
276 141 135 104.4
317 162 156 103.7
368 187 181 103.4
423 215 208 103.4
445 228 217 105.2
477 246 232 105.9
507 261 246 106.2
543 281 262 107.2
581 282 106.4
619 318 301 105.8
18.2 28.0 18.8 4.1 2.5 0.3 45.6 16.9 29
19.1 27.8 18.9 3.7 2.4 0.3 44.9 16.6 33
19.1 28.4 18.9 3.6 2.1 0.2 44.4 16.3 38
19.0 29.3 18.5 3.5 2.1 0.2 43.6 15.9 44
17.6 29.5 19.3 3.6 2.1 0.2 44.6 16.3 50
15.2 29.2 21.1 4.2 2.5 0.3 46.2 17.4 53
14.6 27.2 21.7 4.5 2.8 0.3 48.0 18.5 57
14.6 24.5 22.2 5.0 3.2 0.4 50.0 19.6 60
13.7 24.2 21.3 6.1 3.8 0.5 49.6 20.5 65
12.8 24.3 19.1 6.5 4.2 0.5 50.0 21.7 69
12.6 23.4 18.5 7.0 4.6 0.7 50.6 22.5 73
300
1950-1955 19551960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2OOO 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Total fertilii (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortalii rate (per 1.OOO births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
7 12 4 2.60 46.3 14.7 6.69 2.55 98
8 14 4 2.80 46.3 12.3 6.90 2.75 83
10 16 4 2.98 45.5 10.7 6.97 2.86 74
11 17 4 2.78 41.9 9.2 6.37 2.69 65
4 16 4 1.02 36.1 8.1 5.41 2.33 57
6 15 3 1.39 33.2 7.4 4.75 2.08 51
6 16 3 1.22 33.5 6.7 4.53 2.04 39
7 17 3 1.37 33.0 6.2 4.25 1.94 31
8 16 3 1.35 28.9 5.9 3.90 1.80 25
7 16 3 1.25 27.0 5.5 3.57 1.66 22
7 15 3 1.16 23.9 5.4 3.25 1.52 19
48.6 52.4 50.3
51.9 56.1 53.8
54.1 58.4 56.1
56.3 60.8 58.4
58.4 62.9 60.5
60.0 64.9 62.2
62.5 67.7 64.9
64.4 69.9 66.9
66.4 71.6 68.8
68.0 73.2 70.4
69.3 74.5 71.7
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
656
686 351
736 375 361 1104.0
371 103.6
102.6
781 395 386 102.1
775 391
104.7
771 391 380 103.1
780 395
320 105.1
713 364 349 104.4
756
336
101.6
763 384 379 101.2
11.3 22.6 19.1 7.6 5.0 0.8 13.8 6.5 6.5 11.1 51.1 23.4 78
10.2 21.6 19.3 8.2 5.6 0.9 13.0 6.6 6.1 11.5 51.4 24.5 82
9.4 19.6 19.1 9.5 6.2 1.1 11.6 6.1 6.2 11.1 51.6 26.1 85
8.9 18.0 18.5 11.1 7.3 1.3 10.7 5.5 5.6 11.2 50.9 28.1 87
8.5 17.0 16.9 13.1 8.6 1.5 10.2 5.1 5.1 10.1 50.2 30.0 90
8.0 16.3 15.6 15.5 10.4 1.7 9.8 4.9 4.8 9.3 49.7 31.9 92
7.4 15.6 14.9 17.1 12.5 2.2 9.4 4.7 4.6 8.8 48.8 33.8 93
6.8 14.9 14.5 18.3 13.9 2.8 8.9 4.6 4.5 8.6 47.4 35.7 93
6.3 13.8 14.2 20.0 14.9 3.6 8.2 4.3 4.4 8.5 46.3 37.5 92
5.9 12.8 13.6 22.5 16.3 4.5 7.6 4.0 4.1 8.2 44.4 39.4 91
335
384
385
384
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 20452050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 OOO population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.OOO births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1 OOO births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ...................................................
..
.
Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
84
20
5 14 4 - 5 0.76 19.6 5.5 -6.5 2.72 1.28 15 18
5 13 4 - 5 0.64 18.4 5.7 -6.3 2.53 1.20 13 16
4 13 5 - 5 0.53 17.5 6.1 -6.1 2.37 1.13 12 14
3 13 5 - 5 0.40 16.5 6.6 -5.9 2.24 1.07 11 13
2 12 5 - 5 0.23 15.2 7.1 -5.9 2.13 1.02 10 12
0 11 6 - 5 0.03 13.8 7.7 -5.8 2.06 0.99 9 11
- 1 10 7 - 5 -0.16 12.7 8.5 -5.8 2.01 0.96 8 9
- 2 9 7 - 5 -0.31 12.0 9.2 -5.9 1.96 0.94 7 9
70.5 75.7 72.9
71.5 76.7 73.9
72.4 77.6 74.8
73.2 78.4 75.7
73.9 79.1 76.4
74.7 79.9 77.2
75.4 80.5 77.9
76.1 81.2 78.5
76.7 81.8 79.2
6 14 4 - 5 0.91 21.3 5.4 -6.8 2.95 1.39 17
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
POLYNESIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
7 1.09 23.1
7 1.04 22.2
-6.7 3.20 1.51
.6.4 3.12 1.47
5.4
5.4
7 1.00 21.6 5.6 -6.1 3.03 1.44
7 0.88 20.5 5.8
-5.8 2.87 1.37
6 0.76 19.3 6.2 -5.6 2.74 1.31
5 0.62 18.1 6.6 .5.4 2.63 1.26
4 0.50 17.2 7.0 -5.2 2.56 1.23
4 0.41 16.7 7.5 .5.1 2.51 1.20
3 0.33 16.2 7.9 -5.0 2.46 1.18
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 1549 ......... Medim age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
5 0.73 19.5 5.4 -6.8 2.70 1.27
3 0.47 16.8 5.5 -6.6 2.32 1.09
2 0.27 15.0 5.8 .6.5 2.03 0.96
1 0.15 14.3 6.3 .6.4 1.87 0.89
0 0.02 13.5 7.0 -6.4 1.74 0.83
.1 -0.18 12.3 7.7 .6.4 1.63 0.78
.3 -0.45 10.6 8.6 -6.5 1.56 0.75
.5 -0.73 9.0 9.6 -6.7 1.51 0.72
.6 .0.99 7.9 10.8 .7.0 1.46 0.70
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
656 336 320 23.4
694 355 339 24.2
734 375 359 25.2
778 397 381 26.5
823 419 404 27.2
869 442 427 27.6
915 465 451 27.9
963 488 474 28.2
1012 513 499 28.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.13 23.4 5.4
1.14 23.2 5.4
1.15 23.1 5.6
1.14 22.8 5.8
1.09 22.3 6.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulationDivision
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.04 21.7 6.3
1.01 21.4 6.6
1.01 21.5 6.8
1.03 21.6 7.0
A. ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thouads) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dirMbution Percentage aged 0-4 Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentageaged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
...............................................
............................ ......................... .................. ..................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
8 151 4220 3 932 107.3
8 971 4646 4 325 107.4
9966 5 162 4 805 107.4
11 158 5 778 107.4
12 596 6 520 6 076 107.3
14 319 7409 6 910 107.2
15 209 7866 7344 107.1
13 912 7 191 6 721 107.0
14 606 7 547 7 059 106.9
20 669 10 670 9 999 106.7
23 735 12 245 11 489 106.6
17.6 25.1 19.0 4.5 2.6 0.1 46.7 18.6 13
17.3 25.2 19.1 4.5 2.6 0.1 46.9 18.7 14
17.6 24.9 19.1 4.6 2.6 0.1 46.8 18.7 15
17.8 25.0 18.9 4.6 2.7 0.1 46.4 18.5 17
18.0 25.5 18.5 4.7 2.7 0.1 45.8 18.3 19
18.1 25.9 18.4 4.7 2.8 0.2 45.3 18.0 22
18.3 26.2 18.6 4.8 2.8 0.2 44.8 17.7 23
18.6 26.4 18.7 4.8 2.9 0.2 44.4 17.4 21
18.9 26.7 18.7 4.7 2.8 0.2 44.0 17.1
19.2 27.1 18.6 4.6 2.8 0.2 43.5 16.8 32
19.2 27.6 18.8 4.5 2.7 0.2 43.4 16.6 36
5380
22
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1985 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Population chaqp per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thowands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population).... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO poPu(ati0rr) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate @er 1.ooO births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (you8) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
........... ...................
.
..
164
2.10 52.2 31.1 7.70 1 83 214
238 548 310 2.26 51.9 29.3 7.70 1.92 203
287 610 323 2.42 51.4 27.2 7.70 2.03 191
345 682 337 2.57 50.7 25.1 7.70 2.14 179
33.7 33.3 33.5
35.5 35.2 35.3
37.6 37.4 37.5
39.7 39.7 39.7
446
199 494
203 1.92 52.1 33.0 7.70 1.74 225 32.1 31.6 31.9
295
.
178 739
. 259
1.21 50.1 22.9 7.70 2.26 166
735 317 -1.78 50.5 21.8 7.80 2.37 159
139 728 301 0.97 51.1 21.1 7.90 2.45 155
1213 911 361 6.94 51.7 20.5 8.00 2.54 151
613 1144 452 2.77 51.5 20.3 8.00 2.54 151
1 226 1322 525 4.59 49.3 19.6 7.48 2.40 149
42.1 42.2 42.1
43.6 43.8 43.6
44.6 44.8 44.6
45.3 45.9 45.5
45.4 45.9 45.6
45.8 46.3 46.0
338
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population(lhouaands) Total Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlrMbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 85 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in SCM ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km)
.....................................................
...........................
............
................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
29863 15 404
35 642 18 382 17 260 106.5
41 401 21 348
48032
63 424 32 693 30 732 106.4
71 759 36 985 34 773 106.4
88 831
106.5
55 443 28 581 26 862 106.4
80 267
24 764 23 269 106.4
41 362 38 905 106.3
45 757 43 074 106.2
97 324 50 101 47 223 106.1
18.2 27.6 19.7 4.3 2.7 0.2 17.0 7.5 6.7 11.3 44.0 16.9
17.9 27.2 20.0 4.3 2.7 0.2 16.7 7.3 6.7 11.6 45.6 17.3 63
17.5 27.0 19.9 4.3 2.6 0.2 16.6 7.2 6.6 11.6 46.1 17.6 74
16.8 26.8 19.7 4.4 2.7 0.2 16.5 7.2 6.6 11.4 46.8 18.0 85
15.8 26.5 19.9 4.6 2.8 0.3 16.3 7.3 6.7 11.5 47.8 18.6 97
14.6 25.7 20.3 4.8 3.0 0.3 15.7 7.2 6.7 11.8 49.2 19.5 110
13.4 24.5 20.5 5.2 3.3 0.3 14.9 7.0 6.7 12.0 50.7 20.6 123
12.4 23.1 20.4 5.7 3.6 0.3 14.0 6.7 6.5 12.0 52.1 22.0 136
11.4 21.7 19.9 6.4 4.0 0.4 13.1 6.4 6.2 11.8 53.1 23.4 149
14 459 106.5 18.5 28.0 19.2 4.4 2.7 0.2 17.3 7.4 6.6 11.0 44.0 16.7 46
55
20053
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) .. BIrths per year (thousands) ........... Death6 per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. CNde Mfth rate (per 1 OOO population) Crude death rate (per 1.OOO population) Net migration rate (pw 1 OOO populatbn) . Total fertility (per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.OOO births) Mortality under age 5 @er 1 OOO births) ... Life expctancy et birth (yurr) Males Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
. ........................ .
...................................................
86
.... ..
......
- 4 3.00 46.5 16.5 -0.1 6.67 2.29 134 220
1326 2 001 670 - 4 2.97 44.7 15.0 -0.1 6.24 2.21 126 203
1482 2 184 698 - 4 2.87 422 13.5 -0.1 5.75 2.10 119 187
1596 2 314 714 - 4 2.69 38.9 12.0 -0.1 5.21 1.96 111 171
1667 2 391 720 - 4 2.47 35.4 10.7 -0.1 4.62 1.78 103 155
1 702 2430 725 - 4 2.24 32.0 9.5 -0.1 4.04 1.60 96 139
1713 2448 731 - 4 2.03 29.0 8.7 0.0 3.54 1.44
89
83
125
112
49.2 49.8 49.5
51.1 51.7 51.4
53.0 53.7 53.3
54.9 55.7 55.3
56.9 57.6 57.2
58.7 59.6 59.2
60.5 61.5 61.0
62.1 63.4 62.8
1156 1567 590 179 3.54 47.8 18.0 5.5 7.07 2.34 142 237
1152 1791
47.4 47.9 47.7
635
1699 2 445 742 - 4 1.83
26.3 8.0 0.0 3.14 1.30
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaitdPopulation Division World Population Prwpects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
AFGHANISTAN Indicator Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
C HIGH VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
29863 15404 14 459
36015 18574 17 441
42645 21989 20 656
49893 25724 24 169
58089 29948 28 141
67167 34626 32 540
77148 39770 37 377
87845 45279 42 566
98952 50989 47 963
110322 56818 53 504
18.5 28.0 19.2 4.4 2.7 0.2 44.0 16.7
19.0 27.4 19.5 4.3 2.6 0.2 44.3 16.7
19.5 27.2 19.4 4.2 2.6 0.2 44.3 16.6
18.2 28.3 19.1 4.1 2.5 0.2 44.4 16.7
17.5 28.1 19.4 4.2 2.6 0.2 45.3 17.0
16.6 27.1 20.5 4.3 2.7 0.2 46.9 17.8
15.8 26.3 20.7 4.5 2.8 0.3 48.1 18.6
14.9 25.5 20.3 4.8 3.0 0.3 49.2 19.4
13.8 24.7 20.2 5.2 3.2 0.3 50.4 20.5
12.8 23.5 20.0 5.7 3.5 0.4 51.6 21.7
1 230 3.75 50.3 18.4 5.4 7.48 2.48
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age didributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 11 1
3.41 46.3 17.8 5.5 6.82 2.26
1 066 2.80 44.2 16.1 -0.1 6.27 2.15
1 197 2.74 42.1 14.6 -0.1 5.74 2.03
1 326 2.65 39.8 13.2 -0.1 5.25 1 .92
1 396 2.46 36.4 11.8 -0.1 4.71 1.77
1 399 2.19 32.4 10.5 -0.1 4.12 1.59
1 354
1 .92 28.6 9.4 -0.l 3.54 1.40
1 288 1.67 25.3 8.6 -0.1 3.04 1 .24
1 205 1.44 22.5 8.0 0.0 2.64 1.10
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population(th0u~ndS) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
29863 15404 14459 16.7
35955 18543 17412 16.7
42454 21890 20563 16.7
50448
60192 31032 29160 16.2
72084 37164 34920 16.0
86738
104907 54094 50813 15.9
127466 65721 61745 15.7
26009 24439 16.4
44723 42015 16.0
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025.2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
3.71 49.9 18.3
3.32 50.4 17.1
3.45 50.3 15.8
3.53 49.7 14.4
3.61 49.1 13.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
3.70 48.9 11.9
3.80 48.8 10.8
3.90 48.7 9.8
3.97 48.5 8.9
A. ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged Q-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
19%
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1215 612 603 101.4
1 379 694
1 870
101.2
1611 811 799 101.5
927 101.8
2 136 1 079 1 057 102.1
2 401 1214 1187 102.3
2 671 1 379 1 293 106.6
2957 1525 1432 106.5
3289 1687 1602 105.3
3 133 1579 1554 101.6
3062 1523 1539 98.9
14.3 24.6 18.7 10.1 7.0 0.9 44.7 20.6 42
15.9 23.3 19.2 8.5 6.4 0.9 46.1 20.2 48
17.4 23.7 18.5 7.6 5.2 0.8 45.3 19.7 56
16.9 26.0 17.1 6.8 4.7 0.8 44.0 19.0 65
15.1 27.3 17.7 6.6 4.4 0.7
14.0 25.9 19.9 6.9 4.5 0.6 47.6 19.5 84
12.9 23.0 21-5 7.7 5.2 0.8 49.1 21-3 93
12.2 22.3 20.6 7.5 5.3 0.7 50.3 22.5 103
11.8 20.9 19.5 7.8 5.3 0.8 51.8 23.8 114
10.5 21.2 16.9 9.3 6.2 0.9 50.8 25.8 109
9.2 20.8 17.0 10.9 7.3 0.9 51.2 27.1 107
685
943
45.0 18.8 74
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 I1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 19952000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortali rate (per 1,OOO births) ...... Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
5.60 2.16 145
46 62 16 3.11 41.5 10.9 5.98 2.40 125
52 68 17 2.99 39.2 9.7 5.76 2.40 99
53 69 17 2.66 34.7 8.3 5.11 2.20
53 71 18 2.34 31.4 8.1 4.66 2.04
77
54.4 56.1 55.2
58.5 60.1 59.3
63.7 66.0 64.8
65.1 67.4 66.2
33 51 19 2.53 39.3 14.4
. 31
. 14 58 19
38
73 20 -0.97 22.9 6.3 2.78 1.27 32
68.0 73.0 70.4
69.2 75.0 72.0
57 75 17 2.04 26.8 6.1 3.40 1.53 45
66 79 18 2.13 25.4 5.6 3.08 1.47
58
54 72 17 2.14 28.3 6.5 4.20 1.85 50
66.0 69.5 67.7
66.8 71.2 68.9
18.9 6.2 2.43 1.12 28
14 53 20 0.44 17.2 6.4 2.29 1.06 25
68.9 74.9 71.7
69.9 75.9 72.8
70.9 76.7 73.7
-0.46
.
6 MEDIUMVAFIIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (malesper 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage in schoot ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Popuiatfondensity (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
3 130 1552 1 578 98.3
3 216 1591 1 625 97.9
3 325 1642 1683 97.5
3 420 1685 1735 97.1
3484 1713 1771 96.7
3512 1723 1790 96.3
3520 1723 1796 95.9
3513 1718 1795 95.7
3494 1709 1785 95.7
3 458 1694 1764 96.0
8.1 18.9 18.6 12.0 0.3 1.2 11.1 6.1 6.1 11.0 52.3 28.3 109
8.0 16.4 18.6 13.0 9.1 1.4 9.6 5.3 5.6 11.3 51.0 29.4 112
8.0 15.1 16.9 14.3 9.9 1.6 9.1 4.5 4.8 10.4 50.5 30.9 116
7.6 15.1 14.7 16.6 11.0 1.9 9.2 4.4 4.2 8.9 48.7 32.6 119
6.9 14.9 13.8 18.6 13.1 2.2 9.0 4.5 4.3 8.1 48.0 34.6 121
6.2 14.1 14.1 20.2 14.9 2.5 8.4 4.4 4.4 8.3 47.7 36.6 122
5.8 12.8 14.1 21.0 16.2 3.1 7.5 4.1 4.3 8.5 46.5 38.4 122
5.8 11.9 13.5 21.8 16.9 4.1 7.0 3.7 3.9 8.2 44.4 39.9 122
5.7 11.6 12.3 23.8 17.5 4.9 6.9 3.5 3.5 7.5 42.1 40.9 122
5.5 11.6 11.4 26.5 19.3 5.3 7.0 3.5 3.4 6.8 40.5 42.0 120
2005-2010 2010.201 5 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-20s 2035-2040 2040-204s 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,OOO births) ...... Mortalily under age 5 (per 1,OOO births) ... Llfe expectancy at bltih (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sews combined ............................
.
88
22 30
22 55 23 . 10 0.67 16.8 7.1 -3.1 2.09 0.98 20 26
71.7 77.4 74.4
72.5 78.1 75.2
17
54 21
. 15 0.55 16.9 6.7 4.7 2.18 1.02
19
0.56 15.9 7.3 -3.0 2.01 0.94 17 22
13 49 27 10 0.37 14.3 7.7 -2.9 1.94 0.91 15 19
73.4 78.9 76.1
74.2 79.6 76.9
54 25
. 10
.
0.17 12.7 8.2 -2.9 1.87 0.89 13 16
1 42 31 . 10 0.04 12.0 8.7 -2.8 1.85 0.88 12 15
74.9 80.3 77.6
75.6 81.0 78.3
6 44 29
. 10
- 1 42 33 . 10
- 4 41
35
- 7 39
36
. 10
. 10
-0.1I 11.8 10.0 -2.9 1.85
13
0.88 10 12
-0.21 11.2 10.5 -2.9 1.85 0.88 10 11
76.2 81.6 79.0
76.8 82.2 79.6
77.4 82.7 80.2
-0.04 11.9 9.4 -2.8 1.85 0.88
11
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsfPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
ALBANIA Indicator
.
C HIGH VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
3 917 1 931 1 986 37.3
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
24 0.74 18.9 6.7 -4.7 2.43 1.13
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
11 0.35 15.0 6.7 -4.8 1.93 0.90
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
3 130 1 552 1 578 28.3
3 229 1 597 1 631 29.3
3 361 1 660 1 701 30.5
3 491 1 722 1 769 32.0
3 599 1 772 1 827 33.5
3 680 l 810 1 871 35.0
3 747 1 841 1 906 36.0
3 808 1 871 1 937 36.4
3 866 1 901 1 965 36.7
0.62 17.7 6.7
0.81 18.1 7.0
0.76 17.8 7.3
0.61 16.5 7.6
0.45 15.2 7.9
0.36 14.6 8.3
0.32 14.7 8.8
0.30 14.8 9.2
0.26 14.6 9.4
United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
A ESTIMATES
indicator Population(thounnde) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malespert00females)........... Age dirttibutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 1 5-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 1!+l9......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
8753 4465 4288 1W.1
9715 4927 4788 102.9
10800 5436 5364 101.3
11923 5990 5933 101.0
13746 6721 7025 95.7
16018 7901 8117 97.3
18811 9440 9371 100.7
22097 11112 10985 101.2
25291 12739 12552 101.5
28271 14255 14016 101.7
30463 15360 15103 101.7
15.9 24.2 18.6 6.8 4.4 0.4 45.6 19.9 4
16.7 24.6 18.7 6.4
18.1 25.6 18.3 5.9 3.9 0.3 45.4 18.2 5
19.5 27.0 18.1 5.1 3.3 0.2 44.1 16.7 5
19.5 28.9 17.6 6.3 4.1 0.7 41.6 15.8 6
18.8 28.8 18.5 6.1 4.2 0.6 42.2 16.2 7
17.9 28.0 19.3 5.9
17.4 27.5 20.2 5.5 3.7 0.5 44.4 17.3 9
15.2 27.9 20.4 5.5 3.6 0.5 46.1 18.2 11
12.9 26.8 21.1 5.8 3.7 0.5 49.5 19.5 12
9.9 24.2
4.1
0.3 45.9 19.3 4
4.0
0.6 43.4 16.9 8
22.6
6.3 4.2 0.6 54.2 21.8 13
Population change per year (thousands) .. BLrths per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
B. MEDIUM VARIANT Population(thou~nd.) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100females) ........... Age dl6trlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentagein school ages &l l ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentagein school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .............................. ... Population density (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertili (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortalii under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... L i k expecbncy at blrth (yenrs) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sems combined ............................
....
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HfGHVARIANt
Indicator 2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
32 854 16 577 16 277
35 781 18 058 17 723
39 083 19 727 19 356
42 449 21 423 21 026
45 502 22 957 22 545
48 145 24 272 23 873
50580 25 469 25 111
53 037 26 670 26 368
55604 27 925 27 680
58 087
9.6 20.0 22.6 6.5 4.5 0.6 57.2 24.0
10.6 17.1 20.3 6.8 4.6 0.7 57.8 26.0
10.9 17.7 16.5 7.8 4.9 0.8 55.1 27.6
10.4 18.9 14.2 8.8 5.7 0.9 52.3 29.0
9.1 19.0 15.0 10.4 6.6 0.9 50.9 30.4
8.1 17.7 16.5 12.3 8.1 1.1 50.2 31.2
7.7 15.9 16.9 14.3 9.7 1.4 49.1 31.9
7.8 14.6 15.9 16.5 11.3 1.8 47.5 32.8
8.1 14.4 14.3 18.9 13.0 2.3 45.9 33.7
8.0 14.8 13.2 20.7 15.0 2.9 45.4 34.7
2005 . Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
29 136 28 950
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2o35-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 OOO population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
585 1.71 22.9 5.0 -0.9 2.64 1.23
661 1.77 23.4 4.9 -0.8 2.67 1.25
673 1.65 22.1 4.9 -0.7 2.67 1.26
611 1.39 19.3 4.9 -0.5 2.58 1.22
529 1.13 16.9 5.2 -0.4 2.50 1.19
487 0.99 16.0 5.7 -0.4 2.43 1.16
492 0.95 16.2 6.3 -0.4 2.37 1.13
513 0.95 16.7 6.9 -0.4 2.35 1.13
496 0.87 16.6 7.5 -0.4 2.35 1.13
.
D LOWVARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
32 854 16 577 16 277
35 058 17 689 17 370
37 086 18 706 18 379
38800 19 559 19 241
40 241 20 269 19 972
41 285 20 767 20 518
41 939 21 053
20886
42 223 21 141 21 082
42 177 21 059 21 118
41 769 20 792 20 977
9.6 20.0 22.6 6.5 4.5 0.6 57.2 24.0
8.8 17.5 20.7 7.0 4.7 0.7 58.9 26.5
8.0 16.7 17.4 8.2 5.1 0.9 58.0 29.0
7.1 15.5 15.5 9.6 6.2 1.0 57.1 31.6
6.3 14.2 15.2 11.8 7.5 1.0 55.8 34.2
5.5 12.8 14.4 14.4 9.4 1.2 53.7 36.8
5.0 11.5 ? 3.4 17.3 11.6 1.7 50.5 39.3
4.6 10.3 12.3 20.7 14.2 2.3 47.3 41.3
4.4 9.5 11.2 24.9 17.2 3.0 44.3 43.3
4.2 9.1 10.3 28.8 20.9 4.0 42.6 45.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
441 1.30 18.8 4.9 -0.9 2.14 0.99
405 1.12 17.0 4.9 -0.8 1.87 0.88
288 0.73 13.1 5.3 -0.5 1.58 0.75
343 0.90 14.9 5.0 -0.8 1.67 0.79
209 0.51 11.4 5.8 -0.5 1.50 0.71
131 0.31 10.2 6.6 -0.5 1.43 0.68
57 0.14 9.4 7.6 -0.5 1.37 0.65
- 9 -0.02 8.9 8.7 -0.5 1.35 0.65
. 82 -0.19 8.4 9.9 -0.5 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populaion (thousands) Total .....................................................
M a l e s ...................................................
Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
32 854 16 577 16 277 24.0
35 609 17 970 17 639 26.1
2015 38 657 19 509 19 14% 27.9
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
41 764 21 073 20 690 29.5
44 736 22 566 22 170 30.9
47446 23 916 23 531 31.8
50 002 25 175 24 828 32.4
52 562 26 427 26 134 33.0
55 175 27 706 27 469 33.7
57 743 28 962 28 781 34.4
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) ..
1.61 21.9 5.0
1.64 22.1 4.9
1.55 21.1 4.9
1.38 19.2 5.0
1.18 17.5 5.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Popuiation Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Voiume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.05 16.7 5.8
.
1 00 16.7 6.4
0.97 17.0 6.9
0.91 17.0 7.5
91
ANGOLA A. ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
lee0
1985
1990
1905
2000
Population (thouundm) Total Males Females Sex ratio (me& per 1W females) Ago dldributlon Percentageaged 0-4 Fwxntage aged 514 Percentage aged 1524 Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over P e m t a p of mwnen aged 1549 Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km)
..................................................... ................................................... ...............................................
........... ............................ ........................... ......................... .................. .................. .........
................
PoQulation change per year (thousa&) B i W per year (thousawh) Deaths per year (thousands) Populath g r d h rate (per cent) Crude Mflh rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per women) Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 birth@ m.XP=t-v M* (v) Males Females Both s e w combined
..
..................... ................... ............. .... .. ........................ ..........
......
................................................... ............................................... ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
.
Populdion (lhourndr) Total ..................................................... Malea ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100females) 40didriknion Percentage aged 0.4 Percentage aged 514 Percentageaged 1524 Percentage aged 60 or over Percentagea g d 65 or over Percentageaged 80 or aver Percentage in school ages 6-11 Percentage in school ages 12-14 Pemtage in school ages 1517 Percentage in school eges 16-23.......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (yearn) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km)
........... ............................ ........................... ......................... .................. .................. .................. ............ .......... .......... ................
M052010 2010-2015 20152WO 2020-2025 B M 3 0 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040.2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (tlmmub) .. Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) Net migratkn per year (thousande) Populatkngrowthrate(percent) Cnrde Mrth rate (per 1.000 population) Cnde death rate (per 1.000 populatkm) Net miption rate (per 1. 000 popubtbn) Total feltitity @er mnnan) Net reproduction rate (per women) Infant moltehty rate (per 1.000 birth) Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) .W=CY M* (m) Males Females Both selgs combined ............................
..................... ................... ......... ............. .... .. . ........................ .......... ...... ...
................................................... ...............................................
477 811 381 27 2.79 47.3 21.1 1.6 6.43 2.05 l30 230
40.5 43.4 41.9
524 894 382 12 2.67 45.5 19.5 0.6
6.04
2.00 121 212
42.1 45.1 43.6
566
965 307 2 2.54 43.1 17.7 -0.1 5.61 1 .04 112 194
.
44.0 47.1 45.6
610 1020 2.42 40.3 16.1 -0.1 5.14 1.84 103 176
644 1062 416 .2 2.27 37.3 14.6 -0.l 4.63 1 .72 95 180
665 1090 423 .2 2.10 34.4 13.3 -0.1 4.12 l .58
45.9 49.1 47.5
47.8 51.2 49.5
408
.2
677 1113
144
675 1106 429 .2 1.93 31.5 12.2 -0.1 3.66 1.45 78 129
.2 1.76 28.9 11.3 -0.1 3.28 1.33 71 1 14
673 1113 438 .2 1.61 26.6 10.5 0.0 2.98 1 .24 63 l01
40.7 53.2 51.4
51.6 55.2 53.4
53.6 57.2 55.4
55.6 50.3 57.4
86
434
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division War# Population Praspects: The 2004 Revbkm. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
ANGOLA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
2010
2020
2015
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
69060 34301 34 759 15.6
Population (thousands) Tdat ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Ago dlotrlbutron Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate @er 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
503 2.93 49.0 21.3 1.6 6.68 2.13
.
D LOW VARIANT Population (lhouunds) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutfon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
..
451 2.65 45.7 20.8 1.6 6.18 1.97
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thounnds) Total ..................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
15941 7861 8 081 16.6
18467 9116 9 352 16.7
21447 10597 10 851 16.6
24956 12340 12 616 16.3
29163 14431 14732 16.1
34257 16963 17 294 16.0
40481 20059 20 422 16.0
48122 23863 24 258 15.8
57513 28543 28 970 15.7
Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. C& birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
2.94 49.1 21.3
2.99 49.2 20.0
3.03 48.7 18.4
3.12 48.0 16.9
3.22 47.6 15.4
3.34 47.5 14.1
3.46 47.4 12.8
3.57 47.2 11.6
3.66 47.0 10.5
United Nations Departmentof Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revhion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Populrtlon (thouundr) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... dlotribution Percentageaged 0 4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) Cnrde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 populatkm) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... L i h expsctrncy at birth (ymr8) Males ................................................... Females Both sexes combined ............................
..................... ................... .............
...............................................
.
B MEDIUMVARIANT
Population (ihou+mdr) Total .................................................... Mates ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Petcentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentagein school ages 6-11 Percentagein school ages 12-14 .......... Percentagein school ages 15-17 .......... Percentagein school ages 18-23 Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Poputatlondensity (per sq km) ................
............
..........
38747 18949 19799 95.7
40738 19923 20815 95.7
42676 20877 21800 95.8
44486 21767 22719 95.8
46115 22563 23552 95.8
47534 23250 24284 95.7
48727 23819 24908 95.6
49786 24319 25467 95.5
50683 24736 25947 95.3
8.6 17.8 17.0 13.9 10.2 2.3 10.7 5.4 5.3 10.1 49.1 28.9 14
8.4 16.6 16.8 14.5 10.5 2.6 9.9 5.1 5.1 10.0 49.4 30.2 15
8.1 15.9 16.1 15.3 11.1 2.8 9.5 4.7 4.8 9.7 49.6 31.4 15
7.6 15.5 15.2 16.2 11.9 2.9 9.3 4.6 4.5 9.1 49.4 32.6 16
7.2 14.8 14.7 17.1 12.7 3.1 8.9 4.5 4.5 8.7 49.0 34.0 17
6.7 14.1 14.5 18.0 13.5 3.5 8.4 4.3 4.3 8.7 47.8 35.4 17
6.3 13.3 14.0 19.4 14.4 4.0 7.9 4.1 4.2 8.5 46.9 36.8 18
6.2 12.6 13.4 21.5 15.6 4.4 7.5 3.9 3.9 8.1 45.8 38.1 18
6.0 12.1 12.8 23.2 17.5 4.8 7.3 3.6 3.7 7.7
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2o3!j-2o4o -2045
44.4 39.2 18
2045-2050
Population change per year (Ihousands) . Births per year (thousande) Deaths per year (thousands) Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growtt, rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 populatbn) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman)........................ Net reproduction rate (per warnan) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) Uh expectancy at birth (ye-) Males Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..................... ...................
... ...................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1AffairsfPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
ARGENTINA
.
C HIGH VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thwundr) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Ago dldributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-1 4 ........................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman)
.............
..........
474 1 19 19.4 7.6 0.2 2.50 1 .20
.
515 1.21 19.5 7.5 0.1 2.56 1.23
525 1.17 18.9 7.4 0.1 2.58 1.24
496 1 .04 17.6 7.3 0.1 2.50 l .20
475 0.95 16.7 7.3 0.1 2.42 1.17
464 0.89 16.2 7.5 0.1 2.35 1.14
479 0.88 16.3 7.6 0.1 2.35 1.14
486 0.85 16.2 7.8 0.1 2.35 1.14
479 0.80 15.9 8.0 0.1 2.35 1.14
.
D LOW VARIANT Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dldrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage a@ 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 M e d i i age (years) .................................
........................... .................. .........
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C h death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
322 0.82 15.7 7.7 0.2 2.00 0.96
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILKY VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
.............
Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
40884
38747 18949 19 799 28.9
19997 20 887 30.1
43119 21102 22 017 31.0
45373 22218 23 155 32.0
47592 23315 24 277 32.9
49772 24389 25 383 33.8
51930 25449 26 481 34.4
54072 26500 27 572 34.8
56197 27541 28 656 35.3
1.07 18.2 7.7
1 .07 18.1 7.6
1 .02 17.6 7.5
0.96 16.9 7.5
0.90 16.4 7.5
0.85 16.0 7.7
0.81 15.8 7.8
0.77 15.7 8.1
0.73 15.5 8.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division W& Population Praspects: The 2004 Revkhn. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
58284 28561 29 722 35.8
ARMENIA A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thoumando) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 1W females) ........... A Q dlrtribution ~ Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) Lib expectancy at birth (yarn) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
......
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thoururds) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlrtrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-1 4 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentagein school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in schad ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-1 7 .......... Percentagein school ages 18-23.......... Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thowands) .. Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... L i b expectancy at birth (ymrs) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sems combined ............................
.....................
.............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
ARMENIA
.
C HtGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2020
2015
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population(thouaandr) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dkMbutlon Percentageaged 04 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24 Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
.........................
2005.2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 m 2 0 3 5 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Cnrde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Cnrde death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman)
..
..........
0 -0.01 14.5 9.6 .5.0 1.61 0.72
8 0.28 16.1 10.1 .3.3 1.81 0.84
0 0.00 12.8 10.2 .2.6 2.05 0.97
8 0.24 15.3 10.2 .2.6 1.98 0.93
.4 .0.12 11.8 10.4 .2.6 2.12 1 .00
.2 -0.07 12.7 10.8 .2.6 2.19 1.04
1 0.03 14.3 11.4 .2.6 2.26 1.07
1 0.03 15.0 12.0 .2.6 2.33 1.11
.3 -0.09 14.1 12.3 .2.6 2.35 1.12
.
D LOW VARIANT Population(thousands) Tdal ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... dl8tribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged W or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
m
...........................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) Cm& birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman)
............. .... ..
. ........................ ..........
.
14 -0.46 10.0 9.6 .5.0 1 11 0.50
.
.
E CONSTANT-FERTIUTYVARIANT Population( t h o u d r ) Total ..................................................... Maks ................................................ Femles ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
3016 1406 1610 31.7
2979 1381 1598 33.0
2958 1368 1590 34.5
2917 1345 1572 36.8
2845 1308 1537 39.4
2755 1262 1492 42.4
2653 1213 1440 45.4
2537 1158 1379 48.0
2402 1095 1306 50.6
Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
-0.25 12.2 9.6
-0.15 12.1 10.2
-0.28 10.5 10.5
-0.50 8.6 10.9
-0.65 7.7 11.3
-0.75 7.5 12.1
-0.89 7.4 13.3
.1.10 6.9 14.7
.1.31 6.3 16.0
....
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Praspecls: The 2004 Revision. Volume l: Comprehmsive Tables
AUSTRALIA (*) A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100femaies) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
8219 4144 4075 101.7
9201 4657 4514 102.5
10276 5195 5082 102.2
11525 5807 5719 101.5
12728 6414 6315 101.6
13625 6838 6787 100.7
14638 7310 7329 99.7
15669 7816 7853 99.5
16873 8426 8448 99.7
17941 8868 9072 97.8
19071 9410 9662 97.4
10.8 15.7 14.6 12.5 8.1 11 49.9 30.4 1
10.7 18.3 13.1 12.4 8.4 1.1 47.8 30.2 1
10.6 19.5 14.0 12.2 8.5 1.2 46.8 29.6 l
10.3 19.4 16.2 12.2 8.5 1.3 47.0 28.3 1
9.5 19.3 17.5 12.3 8.3 1.4 47.8 27.6 2
9.2 18.4 17.4 12.8 8.7 1.5 48.5 28.0 2
7.7 17.6 17.5 13.7 9.6 1.7 49.8 29,4 2
7.8 15.8 17.1 14.5 10.1 1.7 51.4 30.6 2
7.3 14.6 16.2 15.5 11.2 2.2 52.7 32.2 2
7.2 14.7 14.8 15.4 11.5 2.4 52.4 33.4 2
6.8 14.4 13.7 16.2 12.1 2.8 50.8 35.1 2
.
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Llfe exp6ctancy at birth (years) Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6 11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 1517 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-29.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
2005-2010 2010-2015 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... L i b expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
209 254 1 45 100 1 .01 12.3 7.0 4.8 1.75 0.84 5 6
210 267 1 57 100 0.97 12.3 7.2 4.6 1.79 0.86 4 5
78.5 83.4 81.0
79.2 84.0 81.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
AUSTRALIA (")
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
20155 9953 10 202
21379 10567 10 811
22724 11243 1 1 481
24171 11967 12 204
25561 12657 12 904
26850 13292 13 558
28074 13895 14 179
29322 14516 14 806
30651 15188 15 463
6.2 13.4 14.0 17.3 12.7 3.4 49.8 36.6
6.8 12.2 13.6 19.2 13.6 3.8 48.1 37.6
7.2 12.2 12.5 20.9 15.1 3.9 45.9 38.2
7.5 13.0 11.4 22.5 16.6 4.0 43.4 38.5
7.2 13.7 11.4 23.9 18.1 4.5 42.1 38.9
6.8 13.8 12.3 25.0 19.3 5.4 41.8 39.4
6.7 13.3 13.0 25.6 20.2 6.2 41.8 39.6
6.9 12.8 13.1 25.8 20.6 6.9 41.7 39.3
7.1 12.9 12.6 26.0 20.6 7.3 41.5 38.6
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
245 1 18 13.9 7.0 4.8 2.00 0.96
.
269 1.22 14.8 7.2 4.5 2.19 1.05
278 1.12 14.7 7.6 4.0 2.35 1.14
290 1.24 15.4 7.3 4.3 2.34 1.13
258 0.99 13.9 7.9 3.8 2.35 1.14
245 0.89 13.6 8.3 3.6 2.35 1.14
249 0.87 13.9 8.7 3.5 2.35 1.14
266 0.89 14.5 9.0 3.3 2.35 1.14
280 0.89 14.8 9.1 3.2 2.35 1.14
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dldrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
....
174 0.84 10.6 7.0 4.9 1.50 0.72
150 0.70 9.7 7.3 4.7 1.39 0.67
1 37 0.62 9.4 7.7 4.5 1.34 0.65
126 0.55 9.3 8.2 4.4 1.35 0.65
106 0.45 9.1 8.8 4.3 1.35 0.65
77 0.32 8.6 9.6 4.2 1.35 0.65
45 0.19 8.1 10.3 4.1 1.35 0.65
17 0.07 7.6 11 .1 4.1 1.35 0.65
.2 .0.01 7.5 11.7 4.1 1.35 0.65
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
20155 9 953 10202 36.6
21198 10 475 10723 37.9
22216 10 982 l1234 39.1
23200 11 469 11731 40.0
24112 11 914 12198 41.1
24916 12 301 12616 42.2
25601 12 627 12974 43.2
26182 12 906 13276 44.0
26687 13 155 13531 44.5
Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.01 12.2 7.0
0.87 11.8 7.5
0.77 11.4 7.9
0.66 10.9 8.4
0.54 10.5 9.0
0.45 10.3 9.7
0.38 10.2 10.2
0.33 10.2 10.6
P -
p p
0.94 12.0 7.2
.
(') Including Christmas Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands. and Norfolk Island.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1990
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Ag. dirtributlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or w r .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
.........
Population change per year (thousande).. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ...................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude Mrth rate @er 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) Llfa expectancy at blrth (yean) Males ................................................... Females Both sexes combined
....
......
............................................... ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
.
Population (thwmnds) T W ..................................................... Males Females ............................................... Sex rat& (males per 100 females) ........... Ag. dirtribution Percentageaged 0-4 Percenta~e aged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 Pemntage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 Percentagein school ages 12-14 .......... Pemtage in school ages 1517 Percentagein schod ages 16-23 .......... Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
................................................... ............................ ......................... ..................
............ ..........
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025
.. ..................... ................... ......... ............. .... .. . .......... ...... ...
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (ttxxlsands) Deaths per year (thousands) Net migration per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) Crude Mrth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net tnigration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per women) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) Mohality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) LWe expectancy a birth (yoar8) Males ................................................. Females Both sems combined
...........................................
............................
12 72 81 20 0.14 8.8 9.8 2.4 1.40 0.68 4 5
8 72 84 0.10 8.7 10.1 2.4 1.44 0.70 4 5
0.08 8.9 10.5 2.4 1-51 0.73 4 5
4 74 91 20 0.05 8.9 10.9 2.4 1.58 0.76 4 5
76.9 82.4 79.7
77.7 83.1 80.4
78.5 83.7 81.1
79.3 84.3 81.8
20
6 74 87
20
W&
United Nations Deparbnent of Econom'i and Soda1 AffairdPopulation Division Population Prcaspecfs: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
8 189 4003 4186
8 310 4093 4217
8 447 4188 4259
8 597 4286 4311
8 727 4370 4357
8 829 4437 4392
8 918 4495 4423
9 022 4561 4462
9 149 4637 4512
4.7 10.8 1 1.9 22.7 16.7 4.4 47.7 40.6
5.1 9.6 11.7 23.9 18.2 4.9 46.3 42.6
5.4 9.6 10.8 25.0 19.2 5.1 42.9 44.2
5.7 10.3 9.6 26.9 20.1 5.7 39.3 45.0
5.5 10.9 9.7 29.7 21.9 6.5 37.6 45.2
5.4 11.1 10.4 32.2 24.5 7.0 37.3 45.6
5.4 10.8 11.0 33.1 26.8 7.5 37.0 45.9
5.8 10.7 11.2 32.9 27.4 8.6 36.9 45.8
6.2 ll l 10.9 32.8 27.0 10.1 36.6 45.0
. Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over Percentageaged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
.................. ..................
.
2005.2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050
. ....
Populationchange per year (thousands) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
24 0.29 10.3 9.8 2.4 1.65 0.80
.............
27 0.33 10.9 10.0 2.4 1.84 0.89
30 0.35 11.4 10.2 2.3 2.01 0.97
26 0.30 11.2 10.5 2.3 2.08 1.00
20 0.23 10.8 10.8 2.3 2.15 1.04
18 0.20 10.9 11.2 2.3 2.22 1 07
.
21 0.23 11.6 11.5 2.2 2.29 1.11
25 0.28 12.4 11.8 2.2 2.35 1.14
26 0.28 12.7 12.1 2.2 2.35 1.14
.
D LOW VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over Percentageof women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
...................................................
.........................
.................. .........
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowthrate(percent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman)
.
..........
.
1 -0.01 7.3 9.8 2.4 1 .15 0.55
.
12 -0.14 6.4 10.3 2.5 1 .04 0.50
-19 -0.24 6.4 11.3 2.5 1.08 0.52
-18 -0.22 6.1 10.8 2.5 1 .01 0.49
-23 -0.29 6.5 12.0 2.5 1.15 0.56
-29 -0.38 6.4 12.7 2.6 1.22 0.59
-37 -0.49 6.1 13.6 2.6 1.29 0.62
.
. 45 -0.60 5.8 14.5 2.7 1.35 0.65
51 -0.71 5.6 15.5 2.8 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females Median age (years) .................................
...............................................
.............
Populationgrowthrate(percent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
....
8189 4003 4186 40.6
8244 4060 4185 42.8
8270 4097 4172 44.9
8268 4118 4151 46.4
8234 4117 4117 47.6
8160 4093 4066 48.7
8045 4047 3998 49.9
7895 3982 3913 51.0
7713 3901 3813 52.1
0.13 8.7 9.8
0.06 8.3 10.2
0.00 8.l 10.5
-0.08 7.7 11.0
-0.18 7.3 11.5
-0.28 6.9 12.2
-0.38 6.7 12.9
4.47 6.5 13.7
-0.55 6.4 14.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 RevMon. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
7503 3805 3698 52.9
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (yeam) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexss combined ............................
.....................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentagein school ages 6-11 ............ Percentagein school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentagein school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per women) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortali under age 5 (per 1.000 births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sems combined ............................
.............
...
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
AZERBAlJAN
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator PopulaUon(thoueands) Total ..................................................... Males Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
...................................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
8411 4083 4 328
8833 4283 4 550
9328 4518 4 811
9811 4742 5 069
10183 4910 5 272
10461 5033 5 428
10718 5149 5 569
10997 5283 5 714
11273 5423 5 850
11496 5544 5 952
7.2 18.6 20.4 9.2 7.1 0.8 58.2 27.5
8.4 14.4 20.4 9.0 6.9 1.3 57.7 28.9
9.1 14.2 16.6 10.2 6.5 1.7 53.3 30.3
8.9 16.0 12.7 12.6 7.6 1.9 49.0 32.0
7.7 16.7 12.8 15.5 9.8 1.7 47.5 33.9
7.0 15.7 14.8 17.4 12.4 1.6 47.4 35.7
7.0 14.0 15.7 18.5 13.8 2.2 46.6 36.4
7.5 13.3 14.7 19.2 14.5 3.2 44.1 35.8
7.7 13.8 13.1 20.6 14.9 4.1 41.8 35.7
7.5 14.6 12.6 22.5 16.0 4.4 41.7 36.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertili (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman)
..
. ..........
84
0.98 18.6 7.7 -1.2 2.10 0.91
99 1 .09 20.1 8.1 -1.1 2.25 0.99
97 1.01 19.4 8.3 -1 .0 2.35 1 .06
74 0.74 16.8 8.3 -1 .0 2.35 1 .06
56 0.54 14.9 8.6 -1 .0 2.35 1 07
.
51 0.49 14.9 9.1 -0.9 2.35 1.07
56 0.51 15.9 9.8 -0.9 2.35 1.08
55 0.50 16.3 10.5 -0.9 2.35 1 08
.
45 0.39 15.8 11 .0 -0.9 2.35 1 .09
.
D LOW VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
.........
2W5-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 . -67 .7 -25 -40 -55 10 48 38 23 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. -0.82 -0.46 -0.64 -0.08 -0.28 0.26 0.11 0.56 0.43 Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. 8.0 7.7 7.5 11.0 9.6 8.6 13.3 12.0 14.2 Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... 13.0 14.4 10.2 11.5 8.7 9.3 7.8 8.3 7.4 CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. .1.1 .1.2 .1.2 -1 .l -1 .1 .1.1 .1.1 .1.2 -1 .1 Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.60 1.45 Total fertility (per woman) ........................ 0 .62 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.69 0.64 Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ......................................... Median age (years) .................................
............. ....
Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population)
..
8 41 1 4083 4328 27.5
8 745 4238 4508 29.2
9 090 4394 4696 31 1
0.78 16.5 7.6
0.77
0.63 15.7 8.3
.
9 381 4521 4861 33.2
9 575 4597 4977 35.6
9 684 4633 5050 38.0
9 740 4647 5093 40.2
9 752 4644 5108 41.4
9 705 4618 5087 41.8
0.23 12.2 8.9
0.12 11.8 9.6
0.02 11.9 10.6
-0.10 11.7 11.6
-0.24 11.2 12.6
P -
16.8 8.0
0.41 13.7 8.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
9 591 4566 5025 42.3
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
m
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortali rate (per 1.000 births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.............
......
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
323 1 57 166 94.9
344
167 177 94.3
9.4 18.9 17.6 9.3 6.2 1.2 11.4 5.7 5.2 10.7 54.4 27.6 23
8.7 17.6 17.0 10.5 7.2 1.3 10.6 5.3 5.4 10.0 53.6 29.0 25
2005-2010 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ............................
.....................
4 6
2
0 1.28 18.2 6.6 1.2 2.20 1.04 11
14 69.0 75.3 72.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revhion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population(thousends) Total .....................................................
Males ............................. . . ..................
...............................................
Females Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged W or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years)
........................... ..................
......... ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030.2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populationchange per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) Net reproductionrate (per woman)
5 1.48 20.2 6.6 1.2 2.45 1.15
............. .... .. . ........................ ..........
5 1.47 19.9 6.3 1.1 2.50 1.19
5 1.40 19.3 6.3 1 .0 2.52 1 .20
5 1.26 18.0 6.4 1.0 2.45 1.17
5 1.14 17.1 6.5 0.9 2.39 1.14
5 l .06 16.7 6.9 0.9 2.35 1.13
5 1-01 16.6 7.4 0.8 2.35 1.13
5 0.97 16.5 7.6 0.8 2.35 1.14
5 0.92 16.1 7.7 0.7 2.35 1.14
.
P LOW VARIANT Population(thousands) Total Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dldribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentageaged 15-24 Percentage aged W or over Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
.....................................................
........................... ......................... .................. .................. ..................
.........
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 -2035 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) Netreproductionrate(permnnen)
............. ....
........................ ..........
4 1.08 16.3 6.6 1.2 1 .95 0.92
3 0.87 14.1 6.5 1 .1 1.70 0.81
.
p
P
Population(thou~nds) Total ..................................................... Males Females Median age (years)
................................................... ............................................... .................................
............. ....
. .
2 0.69 12.5 6.7 1.1 1.52 0.73
. .
P P
2 0.57 11.6 7.0 1.1 1.45 0.69
2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050
2 0.43 10.6 7.4 1 .0 1.39 0.66
0.25 9.6 8.2 1.0 1.35 0.65
1
0 0.09 8.9 9.0 1 .0 1.35 0.65
8.3 9.7 1 .0 1.35 0.65
.1 -0.15 7.8 10.3 1 .0 1.35 0.65
505 242 263 35.7
0.82 15.4 8.0
0
.0.04
P
323 157 166 27.6
168 178 28.8
370 179 191 30.3
393 190 204 31.4
417 201 216 32.5
440 212 229 33.7
240 34.5
484 232 252 35.1
1.36 19.1 6.6
1.33 18.5 6.3
1.25 17.9 6.4
1.17 17.2 6.5
1.08 16.6 8.7
0.99 16.1 7.1
0.90 15.8 7.6
0.88 15.6 7.8
346
482
m
. . .
Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) Crude death rate (per 1,000 population)
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division Wow Population Prospecls: The 2004 Revhion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
526 252 274 36.2
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thoumnds) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
..................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
116 62 53 116.1
156 84 72 116.5
191 96 95 101.1
220 118 102 115.7
272 149 123 121.4
347 202 145 139.3
413 244 170 143.7
493 286 207 138.5
584
134 72 62 116.1
337 247 136.7
672 387 285 135.8
17.5 24.8 19.1 4.6 2.9 0.3 44.9 18.9 167
17.7 25.0 19.1 4.5 2.8 0.3 44.7 18.7 193
17.8 25.2 19.1 4.4 2.7 0.3 44.5 18.5 225
20.9 29.9 16.6 3.4 2.2 0.3 41.8 14.7 275
17.2 28.8 18.3 3.9 2.5 0.3 42.7 16.9 316
14.9 28.1 23.8 3.6 2.3 0.3 45.3 17.7 392
12.7 21.9 21.6 3.4 2.1 0.3 50.5 22.3
11.8 19.8 16.2 3.8 2.2 0.3 54.6 25.9 596
11.7 19.8 16.2 3.7 2.2 0.3 54.8 25.9 710
11.7 18.6 16.1 3.9 2.5 0.3 56.4 26.5 842
9.8 18.4 16.8 4.1 2.7 0.3 58.5 27.3 968
500
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000.2005
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.OOO births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sems combined ............................
.
4 6 2 2.91 45.1 16.4 6.97 2.49 175
4 7 2 3.10 45.5 15.7 6.97 2.61 150
7 8 2 4.04 47.0 13.8 7.18 2.81 110
6 9 2 2.79 43.4 10.1 6.97 2.84 78
10 9 2 4.28 36.0 7.5 5.95 2.52 52
15 11 2 4.88 34.4 6.3 5.23 2.28
13 12 2 3.51 32.8 4.5 4.63 2.14
43
49.6 52.5 50.9
52.4 55.6 53.9
55.3 58.8 56.9
58.1 62.0 59.9
61.7 65.4 63.3
22
16 14 2 3.52 31.2 4.0 4.08 1.93 21
18 14 2 3.40 26.4 3.6 3.36 1.58 20
18 14 2 2.80 21.6 3.2 2.75 1.30 16
11 13 2 1.56 18.8 3.2 2.47 1.17 14
63.9 67.8 65.6
67.1 71.4 68.9
66.6 72.9 70.4
69.9 74.0 71.6
71.8 74.9 73.1
72.9 75.8 74.2
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Aget distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in schod ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in schod ages 16-23 .......... Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
727 414 313 132.3
791
852 481 371 129.5
910 511 399 128.1
965
1016
1062
539 426 126.5
564
585
452 124.7
477 122.8
1100 602 498 120.9
1130 614 516 119.2
1155 625 530 117.8
7.1 14.6 16.4 8.2 4.4 0.6 8.7 4.6 4.6 10.0 56.7 32.0 1228
6.6 13.2 15.1 11.4 6.5 0.7 7.9 4.0 4.2 9.2 54.9 33.3 1311
6.4 12.4 13.7 15.1 9.2 0.8 7.4 3.7 3.7 8.4 53.4 34.8 1390
6.3 11.9 12.5 18.5 12.2 1.2 7.1 3.5 3.5 7.6 52.0 36.4 1464
6.1 11.7 11.9 20.6 15.0 2.1 7.1 3.4 3.4 7.2 50.4 37.8 1530
5.8 11.6 11.6 21.3 16.6 3.1 7.0 3.5 3.3 7.0 48.8 39.0 1584
5.6 11.3 11.7 22.0 17.0 4.2 6.7 3.4 3.4 7.0 46.8 39.9 1 628
5.4 10.9 11.7 23.1 17.4 5.2 6.5 3.3 3.3 7.1 45.4 40.6 1664
8.9 18.2 15.1 4.5 3.0 0.4 11.0 5.5 4.8 8.8 57.9 29.8 1047
448 343 130.9 7.7 16.4 16.4 5.8 3.3 0.5 9.8 5.0 5.1 9.7
58.2 30.8 1140
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 000 population) Net migration rate (per 1 OOO population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.OOO births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1 OOO births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
..
.
106
13 12 3 3 1.70 16.5 3.4 4.0 2.26 1.08 12 15
12 12 3 3 1.49 15.0 3.7 3.7 2.08 0.99 11 13
12 12 4 3 1.31 13.9 4.2 3.4 1.93 0.92 10 12
11 13 5 3 1.17 13.4 4.9 3.2 1.85 0.89 9 11
10 13 6 3 1.04 13.2 5.8 3.0 1.85 0.89 8 10
9 13 7 3 0.88 12.6 6.8 2.9 1.85 0.89 8 10
8 13 8 3 0.70 12.0 7.8 2.8 1.85 0.89 7 9
6 13 10 3 0.55 11.5 8.7 2.7 1.85 0.89 7 8
5 13 11 3 0.44 11.2 9.4 2.6 1.85 0.89 7 8
73.9 76.7 75.1
74.6 77.6 75.8
75.3 78.4 76.6
76.0 79.2 77.2
76.6 79.9 77.9
77.2 80.6 78.5
77.8 81.2 79.1
78.3 81.8 79.8
78.8 82.4 80.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revbion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
BAHRAIN
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Populaion (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman)..........
14 1.87 18.2 3.4 3.9 2.51 1.20
15 1.74 17.6 3.7 3.6 2.48 1.18
15 1.62 17.0 4.2 3.3 2.43 1.16
14 1.46 16.3 4.7 3.1 2.35 1.13
14 1.34 16.0 5.5 2.9 2.35 1.13
13 1.19 15.5 6.3 2.7 2.35 1.13
12 1.05 15.1 7.2 2.5 2.35 1.13
12 0.94 14.9 7.9 2.4 2.35 1.13
11 0.88 14.8 8.3 2.3 2.35 1.13
5 0.54 9.6 7.3 3.1 1.35 0.65
3 0.34 8.8 8.5 3.1 1.35 0.65
1 0.14 8.1 9.7 3.0 1.35 0.65
0 -0.01 7.6 10.7 3.0 1.35 0.65
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
12 1.53 14.7 3.4 4.0 2.01 0.96
10 1.22 12.3 3.8 3.7 1.68 0.80
8 0.85 10.2 5.1 3.4 1.35 0.65
8 0.98 10.6 4.3 3.5 1.43 0.68
7 0.72 10.1 6.1 3.2 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populaion (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
727 414 313 29.8
797 451 345 30.6
869 490
944 528 416 32.2
1020 567 453 33.2
1094 604 490 34.2
1164
1231 669 562 35.2
1295 699 596 35.3
380
31.4
638
527 34.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.84 17.9 3.4
1.74 17.5 3.7
1.65 17.4 4.2
1.54 17.1 4.7
1.41 16.7 5.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revhion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.25 16.1 6.3
1.11 15.7 7.1
1.01 15.5 7.8
0.96 15.5 8.2
A,
Indicator
1-
Population ( t h o u d ) Total Males ................................................... Females Sex ratio (males per 1W females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentageaged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49 M e d i i age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km)
..................................................... ............................................... ...........
............................ ........................... .................. .................. .................. ......... ................
Populationchange per year (thwsands).. Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) Populationg m rate @er cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) Llfa expectancy at Mrth (yews) Males Femeles Both sexes comMned
..................... ................... ............. .... . ........................ .......... ...... ................................................... ............................................... ............................
Population(thouaad8) Total ..................................................... Males Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged W Percentageaged 5-14 Percentageaged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over Percentageaged 80 or over Percentage in school ages 6-11 Percentage in school ages 12-14 Percentagein school ages 15-17 Percentagein school ages 16-23 Percentageof munen aged 15-49 Median age (years) Populationdensity (per sq km)
................................................... ........... ............................ ........................... ......................... .................. .................. ..................
............ .......... .......... .......... ......... ................................. ................
Population change per year (thousends).. Births per year (thowands) Deaths per year (thousands) Net migration per year (ttKnrsande) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) CNde Mrth rate (per 1.000 population) CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) Net reproductionrate (per wcnnan) Infant mortality rate @er 1.000 Mrths) Mortality t y r age 5 (per 1.000 Mrtha) LW 0W .t (m) Males Females Both sexes combined
..................... ................... ......... ............. .... ..
. ........................ .......... ...... ... ................................................... ............................................... ............................
19%
1-
ESTIMATES 1965
1970
1975
1960
1985
1990
1995
2OOo
BANGLADESH
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Popuktion (thouunds) Total .................................................... Males
................................................... -F ........................................ Aga distribution Percentage aged W ............................ Peccentage aged 5-1 4 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged W or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage ot women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
141 822 72459 09363
156 492 79785 76708
172 346 87691 84654
188 907 95928 92979
205 409 104095 101314
221 983 112255 109728
238 756 120479 118277
255 630 128710 126920
272 293 136807 135486
12.3 23.2 20.3 5.7 3.6 0.4 52.3 22.1
12.3 21.5 19.8 6.0 3.8 0.4 52.9 23.1
12.0 21 .0 18.8 6.7 4.1 0.5 52.4 24.0
11.5 21.0 17.6 7.5 4.7 0.5 51.6 25.0
10.8 20.5 17.4 8.5 5.4 0.6 51.3 25.8
10.2 19.7 17.7 9.6 6.2 0.7 51.3 26.6
9.9 18.7 17.5 10.7 7.0 0.9 50.9 27.5
9.6 18.1 17.0 11.7 7.9 11 50.3 28.4
9.2 17.6 16.3 13.0 8.8 1.3 49.6 29.4
.
2005.2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thowands).. Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman)
2 934 1.97 27.4 7.3 -0.4 3.21 1.42
............. ....
........................ ..........
3 171 1 .93 26.4 6.8 -0.4 3.13 1.41
3 312 1.84 25.0 6.4 -0.3 3.05 1.40
3300 1.68 23.1 6.1 -0.3 2.90 1.36
3 315 1 S5 21.8 6.0 -0.3 2.78 1.31
3 355 1.46 20.9 6.1 -0.3 2.68 1.27
3 375 1.37 20.1 6.2 -0.2 2.59 l .23
3 333 1.26 19.3 6.4 -0.2 2.51 1 20
.
3 232 1.15 18.4 6.7 -0.2 2.44 1.17
.
D LOW VARIANT Population(thouunds) Total Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Aga distribution Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged W or over Percentage aged 65 or w r Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years)
..................................................... ............................ ......................... .................. .................. ..................
................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.. ............. .... . ........................ ..........
Populationchange per year (thousands) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude MIUI rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total feltili (per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman)
2 322 1.57 23.3 7.1 -0.4 2.71 1 20
.
2 1 10 1.33 20.3 6.7 -0.4 2.33 1.05
1 896 1.12 18.0 6.4 -0.4 2.05 0.94
1 748 0.98 16.6 6.4 -0.3 1.90 0.89
1 513 0.81 15.1 6.6 -0.3 1.78 0.84
1 194 0.62 13.5 7.0 -0.3 1.68 0.80
840 0.43 12.0 7.5 -0.3 1.59 0.76
487 0.24 10.8 8.1 -0.3 1.51 0.72
140 0.07 9.8 8.9 -0.3 1.44 0.69
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT Population(thousands) Total Males ................................................... Females Median age (years) .................................
..................................................... ............................................... ............. ....
Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude Mrth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
141 822 72 459 69363 22.1
156 726 79 904 76822 23.1
173 352 88 205 85147 23.9
191 304 97 151 94153 24.6
210 471 106 675 103795 25.0
231 145 1 16 924 114221 25.2
253 642 128 062 125580 25.5
278 1 14 140 163 137951 25.8
304 621 153 279 151342 26.1
2.00 27.7 7.3
2.02 27.3 6.8
1.97 26.4 6.4
1 .91 25.5 6.1
1.87 24.9 5.9
1.86 24.7 5.9
1 .84 24.6 5.9
1.82 24.4 6.0
1 80 24.2 6.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division WonV Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
333 327 167 517 165810 26.2
Poou-(-)
..................................................... ................................................... ............................................... ........... Agodktrikrtion Percentageaged 04 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged W or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of mwnen aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Total Males Femak Sex rat& (males per 100 females)
Populath density @ersq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands).
..................... .............
Births per year (thaumxb) Deaths per yeer (thousands) ................... Populatkm growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) CM death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fe~UIity(per women) Net reproductionrate (per mnnen) .....I mortality rat. @er 1.000 births) --P.-w.tM~m) Males Females Both sexes cxnnbined
....
........................ .......... ...... ................................................... ............................................... ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT Populrtlon (thouwndr) Total ..................................................... Males Females Sex ratb (males per 100 females) A@edhbibuuon Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over fwcentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage in school ages 6-11 Percentage in school ages 12-14 Fbmtntage in school age6 15-17 Percentage in school ages 1&23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 Medianage (years) Populationd W i (per sq km) ................
................................................... ............................................... ........... ............................ ......................... .................. .................. .................. ............ .......... .......... ......... .................................
PoQulaHon chaqp per year (thousands) .. Birth8 per year (thowmb) Deatha per year (thatsands) Net migrationper year (thousands) Populatbn grovdh rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 popdatlon) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 poprdetkn) . Tdal fertility (per woman) Net reproductkn rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 M*) Mortamy under age 5 @er 1.000 births) Uh oxpdancy ai bltth ( p m )
..................... ................... ......... .............
.... .. ........................ ..........
...... ... Males ................................................... Femalee ............................................... Both semi combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division Wow Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Indicator Population (thourndr) Total .....................................................
...................................................
Males Females ............................................... M dirMbution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over Percentageof women aged 1549 Median age (years) .................................
.................. .........
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 papuletion) . Total fertility (per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman)
.. ........................ ..........
1 0.43 13.3 8.1 -0.9 1.75 0.85
.
D LOW VARIANT Population (thousando) Total Males ................................................... Females &a didribution Percentage aged 0-4 Percentageaged 5-14 Percentageaged 15-24 Percentageaged 60 or over Percentageaged 65 or over Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof mnnen aged 1549 Median age (years) .................................
..................................................... ............................................... ............................ ........................... ......................... ..................
.................. .........
Population chaqe per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population)
........................ ..........
0 0.06 9.6 8.1 -0.9 1.25 0.60
Population (thou-) Total Males Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
270 130 139 34.7
273 132 141 37.1
275 134 141
39.5
276 135 142 41.6
276 134 141 43.7
273 133 140 45.8
267 130 137 47.6
260 126 134 49.1
250 121 129 50.2
0.24 11.4 8.1
0.18 10.6 7.9
0.08 9.8 8.1
-0.05 9.1 8.7
-0.21 8.6 9.7
-0.40 8.2 11.2
4.56 7.8 12.5
4.75 7.6 14.1
-0.91 7.4 15.S
.
Total fertility (per woman) Net reproductionrate (per woman)
..................................................... ...................................................
.............
Populationgmwthrate(percent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population)
.... ..
United Nations Department of Economic and Sodal AtfairdPopulation Division World Population Praspects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Conpfehcnwrive Tables
239
l16 124 51.0
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
m
Populrtion(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... A@odlstributlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 M e d i i age (years) ................................. PopulaHondensity (per sq km)................
..................
.........
PopubNon change per year (thousands) ..
..................... ............. ....
Births per year (thwsands) Deaths per year (thousends)................... Populatbn growth rate (per cent) Crude Mrth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate @er1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) LH, X p O c m ly et birth (yrwr) Males ...................................................
.
......
Females ...............................................
Both sexes comMned
............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT Populrtion(thoumndr) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (malesper 100 females) ........... Age dlrtributlon Percentage aged W Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over P e m a g e in s c M ages 6-11 Percentagein school ages 12-14 Percentagein school ages 15-17 Percentagein s c M ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of woman aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populetion density (per sq km)
............................ ......................... .................. .................. ............ .......... .......... ................
f%pulation change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thowJands)................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate @er 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per women) ........................ Net reptoduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 Mrths) Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Llfa expmctmcy It MrIh (p) Males
.....................
.............
.... ..
.......... ......
...................................................
Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
BELARUS
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
2010
2020
2015
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thoumnds) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Ag.diatrlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Medin age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.35
-0.37 11.5 14.9 -0.2 1.47 0.70
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thoumnds) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlrtributlorr Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 1524 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
......................... ..................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C& death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman)
.............
..........
.
73 .0.76 7.6 15.0 -0.2 0.97 0.46
.81 .0.89 6.7 15.3 -0.2 0.86 0.41
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thou-d8) Total ..................................................... M W ................................................... Females Median age (years) .................................
9755 4559 5197 37.8
9492 4422 5070 38.6
9216 4283 4933 39.7
8894 4121 4773 41.2
8534 3938 4596 43.1
8157 3747 4409 45.3
7768 3554 4214 47.7
7355 3355 4000 50.0
6916 3148 3768 51.3
............ ..
-0.55 9.7 15.0
-0.59 9.4 15.1
-0.71 8.2 15.1
-0.83 7.2 15.2
-0.91 6.8 15.6
-0.98 6.7 16.2
.1.09 6.6 17.2
.1.23 6.2 18.2
.1.36 5.8 19.1
...............................................
Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population)
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revaion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Indicator
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per l00 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Popuiatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 16-23.......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per l.000 population) . Total fertili (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortali under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Lite expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Indicator
.
C HIGH VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
23 0.22 11.1 10.1 1.3 1.79 0.86
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
7 0.07 9.6 10.2 1.3 1.54 0.74
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
10 419 5112 5307 40.6
10 472 5142 5330 42.2
10 492 5158 5334 43.5
10 490 5164 5326 44.6
10 462 5154 5308 45.4
10 401 5122 5279 46.1
10 298 5065 5233 46.9
10 150 4985 5166 47.6
9 969 4889 5080 48.1
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.10 9.9 10.2
0.04 9.6 10.6
0.00 9.6 10.9
-0.05 9.4 11.2
.0.12 9.2 11.6
-0.20 8.9 12.1
-0.29 8.6 12.8
-0.36 8.5 13.4
-0.41 8.5 13.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
BELIZE A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2OOo
Populrtion (thouundr) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlmtributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof wwnen aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) ..
Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. CRIcle birth rate (per 1.000 population) C W death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total feltility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) Llt.mxpectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
....
......
MEDIUM VARIANT
Population(thouundr) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlrMbutlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
..................
Populationchange per year (thwsands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude bilth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Liia mxpect8ncy at birth (ywrr) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaiWopulation Division Wotfd Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thoumnda) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
270 136 134
299 151 148
330 1 66 164
360 180 180
389 195 195
417 208
209
444 221 223
472 235 237
499 248 251
12.5 24.3 20.9 5.9 4.3 0.9 52.2 21.2
12.3 22.1 20.5 6.3 4.3 1 .0 53.4 22.5
11.8 21 .1 19.6 6.9 4.6 1 .0 53.4 23.7
11.2 20.7 18.2 7.8 5.l 10 52.6 24.9
10.2 20.1 17.6 9.0 6.0 1 .1 52.2 26.2
9.4 19.0 17.7 10.3 7.0 1.2 51.9 27.5
8.9 17.6 17.5 11.8 8.1 1.5 51.5 28.8
8.8 16.6 16.7 13.3 9.3 1.9 50.6 30.0
8.6 16.1 15.6 14.8 10.5 2.3 49.2 31.3
.
.
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Cnrde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT .....
.
Population (thoumnds) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
270 136 134 21.2
301 151 149 22.4
334 l 68 1 66 23.3
370 185 184 24.2
407 204 204 24.9
447 223 224 25.2
490 244 246 25.7
536 267 269 26.2
292 294 26.6
Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.17 27.7 5.4
2.11 27.4 5.7
2.03 26.5 5.7
1 .93 25.4 5.6
1.87 24.6 5.4
1.83 24.2 5.5
1.81 24.0 5.6
1.78 23.8 5.6
1.76 23.6 5.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
586
640 319 322 26.9
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
-(-l
.................................................... ................................................... .............................................. ........... mPemltaga @ 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... ......................... -m15-24 Percentqpaged60orovw.................. ~ a g e d 6 6 o.................. r ~ FmmUqe aged 80 or ovw .................. -of crged 15-40 ......... M m ~ ( y e a r 8................................. ) Populetkm dendty @er sq km) ................
Total Maks -F Sexmtb(mahper100~)
1950
1856
1960
1985
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005 061 1044 Q2.1
2130 1024 1106 92.5
2316 1117 1199 93.1
2533 1226 1307 93.8
2828 1374 1454 04.6
3212 1567 1645 95.2
3709 1816 1893 95.9
4393 2162 2231 98.9
5178 2561 2617 97.8
6201 3098 3103 99.8
7197 3602 3594 100.2
15.1 21.1 15.8 13.6 8.8 0.8 40.0 23.7 18
16.7 22.7 16.4 12.6 8.2 0.7 4.0 21.1 l9
17.6 24.8 17.0 10.3 7.5 0.7 41.8 19.2 21
17.0 26.7 17.9 8.3 6.1 0.6 43.4 18.2 22
17.6 26.5 19.2 6.6 4.7 0.6 44.4 17.8 25
18.1 26.2 20.0 5.8 3.8 0.6 45.2 17.6 29
18.5 26.8 19.4 5.2 3.4 0.4 44.9 17.3 33
19.9 28.7 18.5 4.8 3.1 0.3 44.1 16.7 39
19.1 28.1 18.6 4.5 2.9 0.3 43.8 16.4 46
18.3 28.3 18.8 4.3 2.7 0.3 44.3 16.7 55
17.7 27.9 19.7 4.3 2.7 0.3 45.0 17.0
.. ..................... ................... ............. .... .. ........................ ..........
PopulaMChmP Per Year1-( Whs per year (Ihourmdr) Dealha per year (thourandr) PopulaHongrown,rate (par cent) CNde birth mte (par 1.000 populabbn) Crude death rate @er 1.000 poputatbn) Total (erHYty @er mnw) Net repFoductkn rate @er mwrw) lnfanl nwtdny rate @er 1.000 bHm)
~uP=-w~-m-)
......
................................................... ............................................... ............................
Males Funales Both~combined
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Popuktion-)
..................................................... ................................................... 0 0 ~........... ) Percentcrge aged 0-4 ............................ 5-14 ........................... m96-24 ......................... Percentage&ged60 or over .................. ~ a g e d 6 6 o r w e .................. r Percen~aged8Oorwer.................. p e r c e n t s o e b r ~ a g e a6-11 ............ In 12-14 .......... P e r c e n w in schod rger 15-17 .......... plercenteoe h rchadager 18-23 .......... Percentage d women aged 1549 ......... Median age (yeam) ................................ Populatkn demlty @er sq km) ................
Total Males Femaler Sexmtio (meler per 1 40-di
........................................S ......
Poputaakn drange W Year1-( .. BMhs per year ( t m ) Deaths per year (thousurdr) Net mlgntkn per year (thor#Mds) PopulaM growth rate (per cent) Cnrde birth rate (per 1.000 popubtkn)
..................... ................... ......... ............. .... Cnrdedeathmte(pef1.000poprAsHar).. Netmieta(knmte(per1.000~tkm). Total brwy @er tanman) ........................ Net reproductknrate @er mwnan) .......... Infant morWity rate @er 1.000 Wtb) ...... Morta#tyundsrsgeS@er1. Ooorn)
L i f a . ~ r t b b t h ~ )
...
Maks ................................................... Femaler Both serw com#nsd
. . . . .S .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
............................ United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division WoM Population Prospec&: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
64
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Populatlon (thouwndr) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
.........
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
286 3.13 41.9 11.7 1.1 5.67 2.20
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
..................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude binh rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
256 2.82 38.5 11.4 1.1 5.17 2.01
Population (thousands) Total Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
8439 4253 4186 17.6
.
.....................................................
9916 5017 4900 17.9
11647 5899 5748 17.9
13709 6949 6761 17.7
16147 8188 7959 17.6
19061 9689 9392 17.6
22578 11457 11121 17.6
26836 13623 13213 17.6
31980 16239 15740 17.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 ZWWO4!i
Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
3.23 42.9 11.8
3.22 43.0 10.7
3.26 42.4 9.7
3.27 41.6 8.8
3.32 41.2 8.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prosp8cts: The 2004 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive T a b k
3.39 41.1 7.2
3.46 41.1 6.6
3.51 41.1 6.0
3.54 40.9 5.5
38177 193Q2 18785 17.5
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Femeles ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Ag. dlrtributlon Percentage aged 04 ............................ Percentage aged 5-1 4 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 Mrths) Litr expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexss combined ............................
......
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT Populdon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Sex rat10 (males per 100 females) ........... Age dirtribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 514 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentagein school ages 8 1l ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentagein school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
2163 1 096 1 067 102.7
2414 1 223 1 191 102.7
13.5 24.8 21.2 7.0 4.6 0.6 14.9 7.4 7.0 12.3 48.3 20.1
13.0 23.0 21.2 7.2 4.8 0.7 13.9 6.6 6.6 12.6 50.6 21.5 51
46
2005-2010 2010-2015
.
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CRlde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Llk expectancy at Mrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sems combined ............................
United Nations Depattment of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revisbn. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
.
Pogul.tlm (W-) Total
..................................................... ...................................................
Males Females ...............................................
m-
aged W............................ Pmenhge aged 5-14
...........................
15-24......................... Percentege aged W or over .................. -eged65orover .................. Pemnhga aged 80 or am..................
m .
.........
Percentageofwomenaged15-49 Median ege (years)
................................. ..
Popubtbn change per year (WtoumWb) Fqxhtbn gmwth rate (per cent) Ctude bkth rate (per 1,000 populatkn) Ctude death rate (per 1,000 populatkm) Netmigmthrate(per1.000popuhUkn) TotalfectiYty(permnnan) Netreproductknrate(perw0man)
............. .... .. . ........................ ..........
54
2.35 30.5 8.0 0.9 4.08 1.77
.
D LOW VARIANT
-(l
..................................................... ...................................................
Total Males Females ...............................................
m &tmuth
............................ ........................... PercenCegeaged 15-24......................... ~ e g ) e d 6 0 o r o v e .................. r k e n t a g e aged 65 or M .................. Pemtage aged 80 or aver .................. Percentegeof women aged 1549 ......... Medianage (years) ................................. Percentage aged 0 4 Percentlrge aged 5-1 4
Popula.changeper~~(-) Population growth rate (per cent) Crude Mrth rate @er 1,000 populalkn) .... Ctude death rate (per l,000 popukth) Net m@atbn rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) Net reproductkm rate @er woman)
............. .. . ........................ ..........
Total
.....................................................
Males ...................................................
......................................... .................................
Females Median age (years)
Pppulatkml,lronRh rate (per cent) ............ Cruciebirthrate(per1.OOOpopuletkm) .... Ctude death rate (per 1.000 populatkn) ..
47
2.05
27.5 7.8 0.9 3.59 1.55
4140 2100 2 040 21.2
4689
1 585 21.4
3656 1854 1 602 21.1
2378 2 310 21.6
5327 2702 2 625 21.9
6068 3078 2 990 22.1
2.57 31.7 6.1
2.49 30.4 5.6
2.49 30.1 5.2
2.55 30.5 5.0
2.61 30.8 4.8
2.61 30.7 4.7
2163 1096 1 067 20.1
2457 1245 1 212 n.0
2815 1427 1 388 21.5
3215
2.56 7 8.1
2.72 33.8 7.4
2.66 33.2 6.7
1m
United N a t i i Oepartment d Ecomnk and Sodal Affairs/Population Division WorM Populetbn Prospects: 7W The 2004kbn. Vdume I: Co~ehevrskeT a w
BOLIVIA A ESTIMATES
Indicator Populaion (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age di8tribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2714 1353 1360 99.5
3006 1493 1513 98.7
3351 1660 1692 98.1
3748 1852 1896 97.7
4212 2077 2134 97.3
4759 2345 2414 97.1
5355 2641 2714 97.3
5964 2947 3017 97.7
6669 3304 3365 98.2
7482 3716 3765 98.7
8317 4138 4178 99.0
16.9 24.5 19.3 5.6 3.5 0.3 46.7 19.2 2
17.0 24.9 18.8 5.5 3.3 0.3 46.4 19.0 3
17.2 25.6 18.3 5.5 3.3 0.3 45.6 18.7 3
17.0 25.9 18.5 5.5 3.4 0.3 45.5 18.5 3
17.0 25.9 19.0 5.5 3.4 0.3 45.9 18.4 4
17.2 25.9 19.1 5.5 3.4 0.3 46.1 18.3 4
16.2 26.4 19.3 5.5 3.5 0.3 46.4 18.6 5
15.8 26.1 19.3 5.6 3.6 0.4 46.8 18.9 5
15.6 25.4 19.7 6.0 3.8 0.4 47.6 19.2 6
15.5 25.1 19.5 6.2 4.0 0.4 47.8 19.6 7
14.3 25.3 19.1 6.5 4.3 0.5 48.2 20.1 8
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
..
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revbion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
BOLIVIA
.
C HIGHVARIANT
Indicator Population (thourandr) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlrtribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
9 182 4 575 4 607
10 115 5046 5 069
11 090 5538 5 552
12 085 6040 6 045
13052 6527 6525
13994 7001 6993
14917 7465 7453
15815 7914 7901
16683 8347 8336
17 515 8760 8755
13.5 24.6 19.4 6.7 4.5 0.6 48.9 20.8
13.1 23.2 19.8 7.1 4.7 0.7 49.9 21.7
12.5 22.4 19.5 7.6 5.1 0.8 50.3 22.7
11.8 21.8 18.6 8.3 5.6 0.9 50.5 23.7
10.9 21.0 18.3 9.0 6.2 1.0 50.8 24.8
10.2 19.9 18.2 9.9 6.8 1.2 51.1 26.1
9.6 18.7 17.8 11.1 7.6 1.5 51.3 27.4
9.2 17.7 17.1 12.2 8.6 1.7 50.9 28.8
8.7 16.9 16.2 13.5 9.6 2.0 50.0 30.2
8.4 16.3 15.6 14.9 10.7 2.4 49.2 31.6
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Populationchange per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) CNde death rate (per 1 OOO population) Net migration rate (per 1 OOO population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
..
....
..
187 1.94 29.1 7.7 -2.1 3.75 1.65
195 1.84 27.5 7.2 -1.9 3.49 1.55
199 1.72 25.7 6.8 -1.7 3.25 1.46
193 1.54 23.5 6.5 -1.6 2.97 1.35
188 1.39 21.8 6.3 -1.5 2.76 1.27
185 1.28 20.4 6.3 -1.4 2.60 1.20
180 1.17 19.3 6.3 -1.3 2.48 1.15
174 1.07 18.3 6.4 -1.2 2.40 1.12
166 0.97 17.4 6.6 -1.2 2.35 1.10
.
D LOWVARIANT
Population (thOU80nd8) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
9182 4575 4607
9946 4960 4986
10616 5296 5320
11 186 5582 5605
11 680 5827 5853
12078 6023 6054
12364 6162 6202
12534 6240 6294
12594 6261 6333
12 550 6227 6323
13.5 24.6 19.4 6.7 4.5 0.6 48.9 20.8
11.6 23.6 20.1 7.3 4.8 0.7 50.7 22.1
10.2 21-8 20.3 8.0 5.4 0.8 52.5 23.8
8.9 19.4 20.1 8.9 6.0 1.0 54.5 25.9
8.1 17.3 19.1 10.1 6.9 1.2 55.2 28.1
7.2 15.6 17.3 11.5 7.9 1.4 55.3 30.4
6.4 14.3 15.7 13.4 9.2 1.8 54.7 33.0
5.6 12.9 14.4 15.4 10.9 2.2 53.4 35.7
5.0 11.5 13.4 17.8 12.7 2.7 51.3 38.4
4.5 10.3 12.3 20.8 14.9 3.3 48.6 41.0
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1 OOO population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1 OOO population) Net migration rate (per 1.OOO population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
..
..
153 1.60 25.6 7.5 -2.1 3.25 1.43
134 1.30 22.1 7.1 -1.9 2.69 1.20
99 0.86 17.1 6.7 -1.7 1.97 0.90
114 1.05 19.1 6.8 -1.8 2.25 1.01
79 0.67 15.2 6.8 -1.7 1.76 0.81
57 0.47 13.3 6.9 -1.6 1.60 0.74
34 0.27 11.6 7.3 -1.6 1.48 0.69
12 0.10 10.3 7.7 -1.6 1.40 0.66
- 9 -0.07 9.2 8.3 -1.6 1.35 0.64
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thoursnd8) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
9 182 4 575 4 607 20.8
10 185 5 081 5 104 21.5
11 336 5 663 5 672 22.1
12 626 6 316 6 310 22.5
14 050 7 036 7 013 22.6
15 623 7 833 7 791 22.8
17 381 8722 8 658 23.0
19 352 9720 9 632 23.2
21 567 10 841 10 726 23.4
24 048 12 097 11 952 23.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050
............. ..
Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Cntde death rate (per 1,OOO population)
2.07 30.5 7.7
2.14 30.5 7.2
2.16 30.0 6.8
2.14 29.3 6.4
2.12 28.7 6.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: ComprehensiveTables
2.13 28.4 5.9
2.15 28.2 5.7
2.17 28.1 5.5
2.18 28.0 5.4
123
BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
......
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
. Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.........
...
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affaiflopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Populllon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Ago dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
20052010
.
Populationchange per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude Mrth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C& death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
12 0.31 10.9 9.8 2.0 1.55 0.74
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Ago dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24 Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
.........................
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (percent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertili (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.1
-0.03
7.5 9.9 2.0 1.05 0.50
-19 -0.49 6.5 11.3 0.0 0.94 0.44
.
28 -0.78 6.1 13.9 0.0 0.98 0.46
-25 -0.67 6.0 12.7 0.0 0.91 0.43
. 31 -0.88 6.0 14.9 0.0 1.05 0.50
-33 .1.01 5.8 15.8 0.0 1.12 0.53
-36 .1.14 5.4 16.8 0.0 1.19 0.56
. 38 .1.27 5.2 17.9 0.0 1.26 0.60
. 38 .1.38 5.3 19.1 0.0 1.32 0.63
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
3907 1 898 2 009 38.0
3937 1 908 2 029 40.0
3892 1 886 2 006 41.8
3814 1 848 1 966 43.5
3707 1 797 1 910 45.1
3581 1 736 1 844 46.7
3438 1 667 l 771 48.3
3285 1 593 1 692 49.9
3123 1 514 1 609 51 .0
Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) ..
0.15 9.3 9.9
-0.23 8.9 11.2
-0.41 8.3 12.4
-0.56 7.7 13.4
-0.70 7.2 14.1
-0.81 6.8 14.9
-0.91 6.6 15.7
-1.02 6.4 16.5
.1.12 6.2 17.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Proipects: The 2004 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2952 1 432 1 520 52.1
A ESTIMATES Indicator Populdon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlrtribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 514 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
.........
19%
1955
1960
1965
1970
449 214 235 90.8
511 245 266 91.9
572 274 298 91.9
650 312 92.2
750 361 389 92.9
Y7.4 27.1 19.1 6.7 4.3 0.4 43.5 17.6 1
18.9 26.4 19.8 6.3 4.2 0.4 43.8 17.1 1
19.5 28.4 19.1 5.8 4.1 0.4 42.9 16.0 1
19.4 29.9 18.7 5.4 3.6 0.5 42.5 15.3 1
19.3 30.0 20.0 4.8 3.4 0.5 43.2 15.3 1
338
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
885
1236
93.9
1049 510 539 94.8
632 95.5
1429 700 729 96.1
1616 793 823 96.4
1754 859 895 96.0
19.7 29.3 20.9 4.2 2.9 0.4 43.6 15.5 2
19.2 29.3 20.5 3.9 2.5 0.4 44.2 15.6 2
18.1 29.6 20.3 4.0 2.4 0.3 45.0 16.0 2
16.1 29.2 21.0 3.9 2.6 0.3 46.9 17.0 2
14.3 27.6 22.1 4.0 2.6 0.3 49.7 18.3 3
13.3 25.8 23.0 4.4 2.8 0.3 51.7 19.4 3
428
456
604
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1 OOO population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.OOO population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.OOO births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
..
12 23 9 2.60 48.1 18.9 6.70 2.36 135
12 26 9 2.26 48.5 17.4 6.80 2.48 124
16 29 10 2.57 47.9 15.9 6.90 2.58 113
2.85 47.2 14.3 6.85 2.64 104
45.6 49.5 47.6
47.7 51.5 49.6
49.7 53.3 51.5
51.5 55.0 53.3
20 33
10
28 50 21 1.65 29.8 12.5 3.62 1.40 53
2 47 44 0.12 26.9 25.0
48
37 49 10 2.46 32.0 6.5 4.08 1.82 46
61.3 65.1 63.3
63.1 67.0 65.1
61.7 66.6 64.2
48.9 55.1 51.9
36.0 37.1 36.6
37 48 9 3.29 41.9 7.5 5.80 2.54 56
38 49 8 2.89 36.6 6.3 4.90 2.19
90
44 9 3.41 45.5 9.6 6.40 2.69 71
54.3 57.8 56.1
58.1 61.7 60.0
27 39 10 3.30 47.5 12.2 6.80 2.72
33
3.20 0.97 51
.
B MEDIUMVARIANT
Populdon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 1517 .......... Percentage in %hod ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
1765 867 898 96.6
1729 861
1690 854
1671
1655
1642
1633
856
858
858
858
869
836
99.1
102.2
815 105.0
797 107.6
784 109.5
776 110.6
1631 859 n 2 111.2
1639 864 775 111.4
1658 873 785 111.2
12.4 25.3 24.4 5.1 3.3 0.4 15.1 7.6 7.7 14.6 51.1 19.9
11.8 24.1 25.4 6.2 4.0 0.5 14.3 7.5 7.7 15.3 50.6 20.5 3
11.8 22.9 25.2 7.3 4.8 0.6 13.7 6.9 7.3 15.3 50.7 21.1 3
11.6 22.9 23.6 8.0 5.6 0.8 13.8 6.7 6.7 14.4 51.3 21.7 3
11.1 23.2 22.3 8.0 6.1 1.0 13.9 6.9 6.7 13.3 52.5 22.0 3
10.6 22.7 22.6 7.4 6.0 1.2 13.5 7.0 7.0 13.5 54.7 22.3 3
10.2 21.7 23.0 6.4 5.4 1.4 12.9 6.8 6.9 13.9 56.8 22.9 3
9.9 20.7 22.5 5.7 4.6 1.5 12.3 6.4 6.6 13.6 58.2 23.6 3
9.7 20.0 21.3 5.9 4.0 1.4 11.9 6.1 6.2 12.9 58.7 24.6 3
9.2 19.3 20.1 6.8 4.3 1.1 11.5 5.9 5.9 12.1 58.6 25.7 3
3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. CNde birth rate (per 1.ooO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 OOO population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.OOO births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.OOO births) ... uf.expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
126
98
- 8 42 48 - 1 -0.45 24.3 28.1 -0.7 2.70 0.84 31 61
42 - 1 -0.23 23.7 25.3 -0.7 2.53 0.87 24 39
- 3 38 40 - 1 -0.20 22.7 23.9 -0.7 2.39 0.89 20 28
35.0 32.7 33.9
36.7 32.9 34.8
40.8 35.8 38.4
43.9 38.3 41.2
- 7 44 50 - 1 -0.41 25.0 28.4 -0.7 2.92 0.85 43
- 4
40
18 22
- 2 34 35 - 1 -0.1 1 20.7 21.1 -0.7 2.16 0.88 16 19
0 33 32 - 1 -0.03 20.2 19.7 -0.7 2.08 0.87 14 17
2 32 29 - 1 0.09 19.6 18.0 -0.7 2.00 0.87 13 15
4 31 26 - 1 0.23 18.8 15.7 -0.7 1.93 0.86 12 13
46.5 41.0 44.0
48.1 43.7 46.1
49.6 46.5 48.1
51.7 49.5 50.6
54.6 53.2 53.8
- 3
35 37 - 1 -0.15 21.5 22.3 -0.7 2.27 0.89
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaiWopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Popuiation (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
1 765 867 898
1 747 870 877
1 737 878 859
1 755 898 857
l 777 920 858
1 809 942 866
1 851 968 883
1 910 l 000 910
1 983 1 039 945
12.4 25.3 24.4 5.1 3.3 0.4 51 .1 19.9
12.7 23.9 25.1 6.1 4.0 0.5 50.1 20.3
13.2 23.3 24.5 7.1 4.7 0.6 49.4 20.6
13.2 24.3 22.4 7.6 5.4 0.8 48.8 20.7
12.6 25.3 21.7 7.4 5.7 0.9 49.7 20.4
12.1 24.9 23.0 6.7 5.5 1.1 52.1 20.4
11.9 23.7 23.8 5.7 4.8 1.3 54.4 20.9
11.9 22.9 23.2 4.9 3.9 1.3 55.7 21.6
11.7 22.5 21.8 4.9 3.3 1.1 56.0 22.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 202G2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.4 -0.21 27.0 28.4 .0.7 3.17 0.93
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertili (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.2 -0.12 27.4 27.9 -0.7
3.10 0.96
4 0.21 27.4 24.6 .0.7 3.03 1.04
5 0.26 26.0 22.7 -0.7 2.89 1 .07
6 0.35 24.9 20.7 .0.7 2.77 1.09
9 0.47 24.5 19.2 .0.7 2.66 1.09
12 0.62 24.6 17.8 .0.6 2.58 1 .09
15 0.76 24.3 16.1 -0.6 2.50 1.08
18 0.88 23.4 14.0 .0.6 2.43 1 .08
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age diatributlon Pgrcentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. 11 -0.61 23.0 28.4 -0.7 2.67 0.78
. 14 -0.81 21.1 28.4 -0.7 2.30 0.71
.1 1 -0.71 19.0 25.3 -0.8 1.89 0.70
.11 .0.70 19.8 26.0 -0.7 2.03 0.70
.l1 .0.72 17.8 24.2 -0.8 1.77 0.70
.11 .0.76 16.6 23.4 -0.8 1.66 0.68
. l0 .0.75 15.6 22.2 -0.9 1.58 0.66
.9 .OX6 14.7 20.4 .0.9 1 .50 0.65
.7 .0.52 13.8 18.0 .0.9 1.43 0.64
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
1 765 867 898 19.9
1 747 870 877 20.3
1 739 879 860 20.6
1 761 901 860 20.6
1 796 929 867 20.1
1 850 963 887 19.9
1 924 1004 919 20.1
2 022 1056 965 20.4
2 147 1121 1 026 20.7
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
-0.20 27.1 28.4
-0.09 27.6 27.8
0.25 27.8 24.6
0.40 27.3 22.6
0.59 26.9 20.4
0.78 27.1 18.7
0.99 27.6 17.0
1 .20 27.7 15.1
l .40 27.5 13.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
Indicator
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... tlfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged W or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
BRAZIL
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2 806 1.45 21.2 6.5 -0.1 2.50 1.17
2 823 1.36 20.4 6.6 .0.1 2.55 1.20
2 769 1.25 19.3 6.7 -0.1 2.56 1.21
2 606 1 .11 18.0 6.8 .0.1 2.48 1.18
2 514 1.02 17.3 7.0 .0.1 2.42 1.15
2 451 0.94 16.9 7.3 .0.1 2.36 1.13
2 424 0.89 16.7 7.7 -0.1 2.35 1.13
2 350 0.83 16.4 8.0 .O.l 2.35 1.13
2 247 0.76 16.0 8.3 .0.1 2.35 1 .13
. 194
. 520
. 833
269 1 1 1 131800 137 312 34.4
279 352 136784 142 568 35.0
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-1 4 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
2 028 1.06 17.2 6.5 -0.1 2.00 0.94
1 537 0.77 14.5 6.7 -0.1 1.75 0.82
890 0.42 11.7 7.4 -0.1 1.48 0.71
1 145 0.55 12.6 7.0 .0.1 1.56 0.74
551 0.26 10.6 7.9 .0.1 1.42 0.68
153 0.07 9.4 8.6 -0.1 1 .36 0.65
-0.09 8.6 9.3 .0.1 1.35 0.65
-0.24 8.0 10.2 -0.1 1.35 0.65
-0.39 7.4 11.2 -0.1 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... 186 405 Males ................................................... 91870 94 535 Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................. 26.8
199 273 98065 101 207 28.4
21 1 779 104086 107 692 29.9
223 891 109936 1 1 3 955 31.2
235 675 115630 120 045 32.2
247 183 121190 125 993 33.0
258 364 126594 131 770 33.7
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.34 20.0 6.5
1 .22 19.0 6.7
1.11 18.0 6.8
1.03 17.3 6.9
0.95 16.8 7.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.89 16.5 7.5
0.82 16.1 7.9
0.75 15.8 8.3
0.69 15.6 8.6
289 1 17 141577 147 540 35.5
Indicator
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dirtributlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-1 4 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
P?pulationchange per year (thousands) .. Brths per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertili (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentagein school ages 12-14.......... Percentagein school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thowands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C& death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per l. 000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
BRUNEI DARUSSALAM
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
374 1 94 180
419 216 203
466 239 227
514 263 251
561 285 275
608 308 300
657 331 326
706 355 352
756 378 378
10.7 18.9 17.9 4.7 3.2 0.4 60.0 26.2
10.8 17.6 17.5 5.7 3.4 0.5 59.2 27.1
10.4 17.4 16.6 7.3 4.2 0.6 58.1 27.9
9.9 17.4 15.6 9.2 5.6 0.7 56.0 28.8
9.2 16.9 15.7 10.5 7.1 0.8 54.9 29.7
8.9 16.1 15.9 12.2 8.2 1 .1 53.5 30.5
8.8 15.4 15.5 13.5 9.5 1.6 52.2 31 .1
8.7 15.3 14.8 14.9 10.5 2.1 50.8 31.7
8.6 15.3 14.3 16.0 11.6 2.4 49.5 32.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
9 2.27 23.7 2.8 1 .8
2.54
1.22
9 2.14 22.7 3.0 1.6 2.51 1.21
10 1 .96 21.4 3.3 1.4 2.45 1.18
9 1.74 19.8 3.6 1.3 2.35 1.13
9 1.62 19.2 4.1 1.2 2.35 1.13
10 1.53 18.8 4.6 1.1 2.35 1.13
10 1.45 18.6 5.1 1 .0 2.35 1.13
10 1.37 18.3 5.6 1 .0 2.35 1.13
10 1.28 17.8 5.9 0.9 2.35 1.13
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
7 1.83 19.3 2.8 l .8 2.04 0.98
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILKY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
374 194 180 26.2
418 215 202 27.1
465 239 226 28.0
513 262 251 28.8
563 287 276 29.6
613 311 303 30.2
665 335 330 30.7
717 360 357 31.2
771 386 385 31.6
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
2.23 23.3 2.8
2.12 22.6 3.0
1 .99 21.7 3.3
1.85 20.8 3.6
1.72 20.1 4.1
1.61 19.5 4.6
1 .51 19.2 5.1
1.44 18.9 5.5
1.37 18.7 5.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revhion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2015
2020
2025
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
..
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
..
-43
-0.57 10.1 14.5 .1.3 1.48 0.70
-40 .0.54 10.6 14.6 .1.4 1.67 0.79
-40 -0.56 10.3 14.6 .1.4 1 .84 0.88
-44 .0.63 9.7 14.6 .1.4 1 .91 0.91
. 44 -0.64 9.7 14.7 .1.5 1 .98 0.94
. 39 .0.59 10.5 14.9 .1.5 2.05 0.98
. 32 .0.50 11.5 15.0 .1.6 2.12 1.01
. 28 .0.44 12.0 14.9 .1.6 2.19 l .05
. 26 -0.43 12.1 14.8 .1.6 2.26 1 .08
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
..
. 69 -0.91 6.8 14.6 .1.3 0.98 0.47
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
7726 3742 3 984 40.6
7446 3594 3 852 41.5
7143 3441 3 702 42.8
6814 3278 3 536 44.5
6468 3108 3 360 46.5
6114 2935 3 179 48.4
5754 2759 2 995 50.2
5386 2580 2 805 52.0
5014 2402 2 613 53.7
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
.0.74 8.5 14.5
.0.83 7.8 14.8
.0.94 7.0 15.0
-1 .04 6.4 15.3
-1 -12 6.1 15.8
.1.22 6.0 16.4
.1.32 5.7 17.1
.1.43 5.4 17.7
.1.55 5.1 18.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
3 861 2 123 1 737 122.2 17.6 25.3 19.6 4.5 2.8 0.2 47.3 18.4 14
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at blrth (yeara) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
64437 32685 31 752 15.9
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
.. ........................
440 3.07 47.5 16.0 -0.9 6.59 2.33
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thouurnds) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman)..........
.
395 2.78 44.3 15.6 -0.9 6.09 2.16
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thoussnds) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
13228 6650 6 578 16.2
15457 7789 7 668 16.4
18185 9181 9 004 16.3
21496 10869 10 627 16.1
25517 12919 12 598 16.0
30445 15429 15 016 16.1
36507
18514 17 993 16.1
43968 22306 21 662 16.0
53144 26962 26 182 16.0
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Cnrde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
3.12 48.0 16.0
3.25 48.0 14.8
3.35 47.4 13.4
3.43 46.8 12.0
3.53 46.4 10.7
3.63 46.2 9.6
3.72 46.0 8.6
3.79 45.8 7.7
3.85 45.6 7.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 RevMon. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
B. MEDIUM VARIANT . Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
.........
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulationDivision World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
BURUNDI
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
2010
2020
2015
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
32975 16448 16526 16.1
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
..
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
310 3.74 47.4 17.9 7.8 6.80 2.27
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ...................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Mediin age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
298 3.60 45.8 17.7 7.8 6.55 2.18
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
7548 3684 3863 17.0
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
3.70 46.9 17.8
9079 4462 4618 17.6
10586 5224 5363 16.9
12325 6101 6224 16.1
14312 7101 7210 16.1
16669 8285 8384 16.4
19574 9741 9833 16.6
23178 11547 11631 16.5
27601 13761 13840 16.2
3.04 46.0 15.3
2.99 44.0 13.9
3.05 43.2 12.5
3.21 43.7 11.4
3.38 44.3 10.4
3.40 44.4 9.4
3.56 44.0 8.4
p -
3.07 47.8 16.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlrMbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.... ..
. MEDIUM VARIANT
B
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Llte expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaiWopulation Division
WorM Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CAMBODIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
lndlcator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
31 250 15567 15684 22.8
35 055 17510 17545 23.0
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age didributlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
302 2.04 30.7 10.2 -0.1 3.97 1.61
.
D LOW VARIANT
PopulPtlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males Females ............................................... Age dlrtribution Percentageaged 0-4 Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 1524 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
...................................................
............................ .........................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migratii rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.............
250 1.71 27.1 9.9 -0.1 3.47 1 A1
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT .
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................
.
14 071 6801 7270 20.3
15 755 7651 8105 21.5
17 767 8673 9094 22.2
20 008
9815 10192 22.2
22 406 11045 11361 21.9
25 006 12376 12630 22.0
27 919 13865 14054 22.4
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population)
..
2.26 33.1 10.4
2.40 33.9 9.8
2.38 32.9 9.1
2.26 31.1 8.4
2.20 29.8 7.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairstPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.20 29.5 7.4
2.25 29.8 7.2
2.30 29.9 6.9
2.31 29.6 6.5
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thouaands) Total ..................................................... Males Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or ov8r Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km)
...................................................
.................. .................. ......... ................
1950
1955
1960
1985
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2OOO
4466 2 189 2 277 96.1
4846 2 375 2 470 96.2
5302 2 601 2 701 96.3
5 891 2 893 2998 96.5
6 631 3262 3 369 96.8
7563 3 728 3835 97.2
8 754 4323 4430 97.6
10 067 4 981 5086 97.9
11 651 5 774 5 877 98.2
13 302 6 598 6 705 98.4
14 856 7373 7483 98.5
15.8 23.8 18.7 5.7 3.5 0.3 48.0 20.3 9
16.0 23.8 18.6 5.7 3.4 0.3 47.9 20.2 10
16.2 23.9 18.5 5.7 3.5 0.3 47.6 20.0 11
16.9 24.1 18.2 5.7 3.5 0.3 46.8 19.7 12
17.4 24.7 17.9 5.7 3.5 0.3 45.9 19.1 14
17.9 25.5 17.7 5.7 3.6 0.3 44.8 18.5 16
18.1 26.2 17.9 5.7 3.6 0.3 44.1 17.9 18
18.2 26.8 18.3 5.6 3.5 0.3 43.8 17.5 21
17.7 27.3 18.8 5.5 3.5 0.4 44.0 17.4 25
16.9 27.4 19.5 5.5 3.5 0.4 44.9 17.6 28
15.7 27.2 20.6 5.6 3.6 0.4 46.3 18.2 31
1950.1955 1955-1980 1960-1965 19651970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Population change p e r year (thousande).. Births per year (thousands)..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1 OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) Total fertility (per women) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) Infant mortality rate @er 1.OOO births) Life expectancy at birth (yearn) Males ................................................... Females Both sems combined
..
............. .. .......... ......
............................................... ............................
76 203 127 1.83 43.6 27.3 5.68 1.57 186
91 220 129 1.80 43.4 25.4 5.68 1.64 173
118 249 131 2.1 1 44.5 23.5
34.5 37.5 36.0
36.5 39.5
38.0
148
186
238
323
1-80 158
282 135 2.37 45.1 21.6 6.10 1-95 143
139 2.63 45.5 19.5 6.30 2.12 128
370 143 2.92 45.3 17.6 6.40 2.25 115
263 422 150 2.80 44.9 15.9 6.40 2.34 103
317 467 155 2.92 43.0 14.2 6.10 2.31 92
511 179 2.65 40.9 14.4 5.70 2.14 93
39.0 42.0 40.5
41.5 44.5 42.9
44.3 47.3 45.7
47.0 50.0 48.4
49.2 52.3 50.7
51.4 54.6 52.9
5.90
311 532 221 2.21 37.8 15.7 5.10 1.83
293 559 269 1.88 35.9 17.2 4.65 1.61
94
94
50.3 53.8 52.0
47.3 50.2 48.7
45.1 46.5 45.8
330
.
8 MEDIUMVARIANT Population (thourcmds) Total ..................................................... Males Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlttrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6 11 Percentage in school ages 12-14 Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 16-23 Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km)
...................................................
......................... .................. ..................
............ .......... ..........
................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2038
2035
2040
2045
2050
16 322 8 119 8203 99.0
17 685 8 818 8 867 99.4
19 040 9511 9529 99.8
20 361 10 166 10 174 100.1
21 620 10 831 10 789 100.4
22 821 11 444 11 377 100.6
23 961 12 025 11 936 100.7
25 029 12 567 12 462 100.8
26 011 13 061 12 950 100.9
26 891 13 498 13 393 100.8
15.0 26.2 21.5 5.6 3.7 0.5 15.9 7.5 7.1 12.5 47.7 18.8 34
14.0 25.1 21.9 5.7 3.8 0.5 15.3 7.1 7.0 12.9 49.6 19.7 37
13.1 24.1 21.5 5.9 3.9 0.5 14.6 7.0 6.7 12.8 51.1 20.8 40
12.2 23.0 20.9 6.1 4.1 0.6 13.9 6.7 6.6 12.4 52.8 22.0 43
11.4 21.9 20.5 6.4 4.2 0.6 13.2 6.5 6.3 12.2 54.1 23.1 45
10.7 20.8 19.8 6.7 4.5 0.6 12.5 6.2 6.1 11.8 54.9 24.3 48
10.0 19.7 19.2 7.3 4.8 0.7 11.8 5.9 5.9 11.5 55.0 25.6 50
9.4 18.8 18.5 8.2 5.3 0.8 11.3 5.6 5.6 11.1 54.7 26.9 53
8.9 17.9 17.8 9.5 6.1 0.9 10.7 5.4 5.4 10.7 54.0 28.2 55
8.4 17.0 17.1 11.1 7.2 10 10.2 5.1 5.2 10.3 53.2 29.5 57
.
2oo5-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2o25-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.. Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migrationper year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Population change per year (thmmnd6)
Births per year (thousands) .....................
.... .. .
Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) Crude death rate (per 1.OOO population) Net migrationrate (per 1.ooO popuhtion) Total fertility (per woman) Net reproductionrate (per women) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.OOO births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.OOO births) ... LHS expectancy at blrth ( y m ) Males Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
........................
...................................................
140
196 490 292 - 2 0.77 19.2 11.4 -0.1 2.27 0.97 45 68
176 474 296 - 2 0.67 17.9 11.2 -0.1 2.17 0.95
90
214 505 289 - 2 0.87 20.6 11.8 -0.1 239 1.00 51 78
55.0 56.6 55.8
56.7 58.5 57.6
58.4 60.3 59.3
60.1 62.0 61.0
273
271
264
582
558
286 - 4 1.60 33.1 16.8 -0.2 4.08 1 44 91 156
285 - 2 1.48 30.4 15.5 -0.1 3.59 1.31 83 141
551 285 - 2 1.34 28.0 14.5 -0.1 3.20 1.21 76 127
252 541 288 - 2 1.20 25.8 13.7 -0.1 2.92 1.14 70 114
240 !i30 288 - 2 1.08 23.9 13.0 -0.1 2.70 1.08 64 102
228 518 289 - 2 0.98 22.1 12.3 -0.1 2.53 1.04 57
45.8 46.7 46.3
47.7 48.9 48.3
49.7 51.0 50.3
51.4 52.7 52.1
53.1 54.7 53.9
.
40 59
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 AffaiWPopulation Division WorM PopulationProspects: The 2004 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CAMEROON
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
35 609 17884 17725 19.6
40 393 20289 20104 19.5
45 947 23077 22869 19.5
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
303 1.78 34.9 17.0 -0.2 4.33 1.53
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
242 1.43 31.2 16.7 -0.2 3.83 1.35
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
16 322 8119 8203 18.8
18 000 8977 9023 19.3
20 026 10007 10019 19.6
22 362 11193 11169 19.6
24 993 12527 12466 19.3
28 002 14049 13953 19.3
31 506 15817 15689 19.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1.96 36.9 17.2
2.13 37.4 16.0
2.21 37.0 14.9
2.23 36.1 13.8
2.27 35.4 12.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.36 35.2 11.6
2.45 35.2 10.7
2.52 35.1 9.9
2.58 34.9 9.2
Indicator
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CANADA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age disbibutlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years)
......... .................................
2005
2610
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
32 268 15 994 16 275
33 956 16 848 17 108
35 783 17 773 18 010
37 756 18 766 18 991
39 687 19 728 19 960
41 509 20 626 20 883
43 253 21 4 2 21 771
45 051 22 370 22 681
46 961 23 326 23 635
5.3 12.3 13.5 17.9 13.1 3.5 50.0 38.6
5.7 10.9 13.2 19.9 14.1 3.9 47.9 39.8
6.1 10.9 12.2 22.1 15.9 4.1 44.9 40.5
6.5 11.6 10.9 24.5 17.8 4.3 42.6 40.9
6.4 12.3 10.8 26.7 19.9 4.8 41.4 41.3
6.2 12.6 11.5 27.6 21.9 5.8 40.8 41.6
6.2 12.4 12.2 28.0 22.6 6.9 40.5 41.9
6.5 12.2 12.5 28.1 22.7 7.9 40.3 41.5
6.8 12.5 12.3 28.1 22.6 8.7 40.0 40.4
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
337
1.02 11.6 7.4 6.0 1.72 0.83
366 1.05 12.4 7.6 5.7 1.87 0.90
395 1 .07 13.1 7.9 5.4 2.04 0.99
386 1.00 13.0 8.1 5.2 2.11 1 02
.
364 0.90 12.6 8.5 4.9 2.18 1.05
349 0.82 12.5 9.0 4.7 2.25 1 .09
360 0.82 13.1 9.5 4.5 2.32 1.12
382 0.83 13.8 9.8 4.3 2.35 1.14
403 0.84 14.1 9.9 4.2 2.35 1.14
103 0.28 7.7 10.3 5.4 1.25 0.61
62 0.17 7.4 11.2 5.4 1 .32 0.64
17 0.05 7.1 12.0 5.3 1.35 0.65
. 14 -0.04 6.9 12.6 5.3 1.35 0.65
.
D LOW VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
..................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
............. ..
227 0.69 6.3 7.5 6.1 1.22 0.59
183 0.54 7.3 7.8 5.9 1.07 0.52
154 0.43 7.5 8.8 5.6 1.11 0.54
161 0.46 7.1 8.3 5.8 1.04 0.50
1 37 0.38 7.8 9.5 5.5 1.18 0.57
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
............. ..
Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
32 268
33 729 16732 16997 40.0
35 141 17443 17698 41.1
36 477 18109 18368 42.2
37 675 18695 18980 43.2
38 683
15994 16275 38.6
19176 19507 44.3
39 485 19548 19936 45.3
40 103 19831 20272 46.3
40 575 20050 20525 46.8
0.89 10.2 7.4
0.82 10.1 7.7
0.75 9.9 8.0
0.65 9.6 8.5
0.53 9.1 9.0
0.41 8.7 9.7
0.31 8.5 10.5
0.23 8.5 11.1
0.18 8.5 11.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Papulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
40 945 20230 20715 47.1
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. C& birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertili (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 births) ...... L i h expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both s e m combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT Population (thousandr) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... A- dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentagein school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-1 7 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
2015
2020
507 243 264 92.3
567 274 93.4
628 305 323 94.3
690 336 353 95.2
14.1 25.4 22.9 5.5 4.3 0.5 15.2 7.6 7.5 13.5 50.5 1 9.3 126
13.3 23.9 21.8 4.9 3.7 0.6 14.6 6.7 6.7 13.0 51.7 20.8 141
12.4 23.3 19.8 5.1 3.3 0.7 14.2 6.6 6.1 11.7 51.8 22.2 158
11.3 22.1 18.9 5.9 3.6 0.8 13.4 6.5 6.2 11.0 52.4 23.6 171
293
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (yearn) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
CAPE VERDE
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2010
2015
2020
2025
15 2.21 27.6 4.0 .1.5 3.30 1.59
15 2.00 25.1 3.8 .1.3 3.1 1 1.50
15 1 .84 23.4 3.8 .1.2 2.95 1.43
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
p p
p
.
13 2.43 30.9 4.8 .1.9 3.62 1.73
.
14 2.36 29.6 4.3 .1.6 3.45 1.66
16 1.73 22.3 4.0 -1 .1 2.82 1.37
16 1.61 21.5 4.3 -1 .0 2.71 1 .32
16 1.47 20.4 4.8 -0.9 2.62 1.27
15 1.33 19.3 5.2 -0.9 2.53 1 .23
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
11 2.03 26.9 4.7 -1.9 3.12 1.49
10 l .75 23.6 4.3 .1.7 2.65 1.27
9 1.32 18.7 4.0 -1.5 2.1 1 1.02
9 1.49 20.6 4.1 -1.6 2.30 1.11
8 1.13 16.9 4.2 -1.4 1.95 0.94
7 0.92 15.1 4.6 .1.3 1.82 0.88
6 0.70 13.5 5.2 -1.3 1.71 0.83
4 0.48 12.0 6.0 -1.2 1.62 0.79
2 0.27 10.7 6.8 -1.2 1 .53 0.75
1 184
1 325 658 668 23.6
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
507 243 264 19.3
575 278 297 20.4
654 318 336 21.2
741 362 379 21.5
836 411 426 21.8
940 463 477 22.3
1 056 522 534 22.9
586 598 23.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
2.53 31.9 4.8
2.57 31.7 4.3
2.50 30.4 4.0
2.41 29.1 3.7
2.35 28.2 3.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPoplrlation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.32 27.9 3.8
2.29 27.7 4.0
2.26 27.6 4.2
2.23 27.3 4.4
1 481 736 745 23.8
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC A. ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thoumnds) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1314 629 685 91.8
1412 674 738 91.4
1530 730
1685
800
805
91.3
880 91.5
1871 896 976 91.8
2060 988 1 072 92.2
2329 1120 1 209 92.7
2677 1292 1 386 93.2
3000 1450 1 550 93.6
3414 1654 1 761 93.9
3777 1834 1 944 94.4
14.2 21.8 18.0 7.7 4.8 0.4 49.0 22.6 2
15.9 21.6 17.7 7.1 4.6 0.4 48.1 21.9 2
16.1 23.0 17.3 6.9 4.3 0.4 47.0 21.1 2
16.2 24.2 17.0 6.7 4.2 0.4 46.2 20.4 3
16.3 24.3 17.7 6.6 4.1 0.4 46.1 19.8 3
16.6 24.8 18.4 6.6 4.1 0.4 45.5 19.3 3
17.3 25.0 18.3 6.4 4.1 0.4 45.0 18.9 4
16.9 25.5 18.4 6.3 4.0 0.4 45.3 18.8 4
17.2 26.3 18.3 6.2 4.0 0.4 44.6 18.3 5
16.9 26.3 19.2 6.0 3.9 0.4 45.4 18.2 5
16.4 26.8 20.0 6.0 4.0 0.5 45.5 18.1 6
. Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortali rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life ex-ncy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thoumnds) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstdbutlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or wer .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentagein school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude dsath rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Llte expectancy at birth (yeara) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2015
.
2020
2025
Populatlon (thousands) Total ...................................................., Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
66
1 .58 38.0 21.9 -0.3 4.83 1.58
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. . .
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
52 1.25 34.4 21.6 -0.3 4.33 1.41
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT . . . . . .
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
4 038 1969 2 069 18.1
4 385 2150 2 235 18.2
4 821 2375 2 446 18.2
5 347 2644 2 703 18.0
5 972 2961 3 01 1 17.7
6 712 3333 3 380 17.6
7 604 3n6 3 828 17.6
8 681 4310 4 371 17.6
9 973
4949
5 024 17.6
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.65 38.7 22.0
1 .90 39.8 20.6
2.07 40.0 19.1
2.21 39.5 17.4
2.34 39.0 15.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.49 39.0 14.1
2.65 39.0 12.6
2.78 39.0 11.2
2.87 38.7 10.0
1 1 51 1 5710 5 801 17.6
Indicator
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Llfa expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dldrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentagein school ages 6-11 ............ Percentagein school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentagein school ages 18-23 .......... Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant rnoftality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortali under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (yean) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
CHAD
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thouMnd8) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
9749 4824 4925
11130 5519 5611
12901 6409 6493
15174 7549 7625
17742 8837 8904
20621 10281 10340
23823 11888 11936
27340 13650 13690
31118 15541 15577
35100 17530 17589
19.1 28.1 19.5 4.7 3.0 0.3 43.4 16.3
19.4 28.1 19.9 4.4 2.9 0.3 43.6 16.2
19.8 28.2 19.7 4.2 2.7 0.3 43.5 15.9
19.8 28.7 19.5 4.0 2.6 0.3 43.4 15.7
18.9 29.4 19.7 3.9 2.5 0.3 43.9 15.8
18.0 29.2 20.3 3.8 2.5 0.3 45.0 16.3
17.1 28.3 21.2 3.9 2.5 0.3 46.6 17.0
16.3 27.4 21.4 4.0 2.5 0.3 47.9 17.8
15.4 26.5 21.1 4.2 2.7 0.3 49.2 18.6
14.4 25.6 20.9 4.6 2.9 0.4 50.4 19.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Cnrde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
276 2.65 48.7 19.5 -2.8 6.65 2.25
354
2.95 49.1 18.0 -1.7 6.65 2.33
455 3.25 48.7 16.3 0.0 6.59 2.40
514 3.13 45.7 14.5 0.0 6.16 2.32
576 3.01 42.9 12.8 0.0 5.69 2.22
640 2.89 40.3 11 .5 0.0 5.18 2.08
703 2.75 37.8 10.3 0.0 4.67 1 .92
756 2.59 35.1 9.3 0.0 4.21 l .77
796 2.41 32.5 8.4 0.0 3.81 1.64
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age diatributlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
260 2.50 47.0 19.3 -2.8 6.40 2.17
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population ( t h o u ~ n d s ) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................
9 749 4824 4 925 16.3
11 128 5518 5 610 16.2
12 888 6402 6 486 16.0
15 167 7546 7 621 15.7
17 968 8951 9 017 15.5
21 415 10681 10 734 15.4
25 672 12817 12 855 15.3
30 946 15463 15 483 15.2
37 492 18745 18 747 15.1
Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
2.65 48.6 19.4
2.94 48.9 17.9
3.26 48.8 16.3
3.39 48.5 14.7
3.51 48.2 13.2
3.63 48.1 11.9
3.74 48.0 10.7
3.84 47.8 9.6
3.93 47.7 8.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revhion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
45 621 22818 22 803 15.0
CHANNEL ISLANDS (*) A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
....
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Popuiatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 6 ! 5 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 popuiation) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortali under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (yearn) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
CHANNEL ISLANDS (*)
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
0 -0.04 8.0 11.7 3.3 1.29 0.62
0 -0.14 7.7 12.4 3.3 1 .34 0.65
0 -0.25 7.2 13.1 3.3 1.35 0.65
0 .0.31 7.1 13.6 3.4 1.35 0.65
159 78 81 46.2
1 58
157
81 46.9
80 47.3
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 0.51 11.3 9.5 3.3 1.69 0.81
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
0 0.18 8.0 9.6 3.3 1.19 0.57
0 0.09 7.2 9.6 3.3 1.11 0.53
0 0.06 7.2 9.9 3.3 1 .08 0.52
0 0.07 7.7 10.3 3.3 1.15 0.55
0 0.04 8.1 11.0 3.3 1.22 0.59
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
1 49
73 76 39.7
152 74 77 41.5
1 54 76 78 42.9
156 77 79 43.8
158 77 80 44.2
159 78 81 44.6
159 78 81 45.5
n
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.32 9.4 9.5
0.28 9.0 9.5
0.27 9.1 9.7
0.22 9.1 10.0
0.14 8.8 10.6
(') Including the islands of Guernsey and Jersey.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.04 8.5 11.2
-0.05 8.2 11.9
.0.12 8.1 12.4
.0.16 8.l 12.9
n
CHILE A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon(thou*$) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 04 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
...........
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
6 082 3 012 3 069 98.1
6 764 3348 3 416 98.0
7 643 3 780 3 863 97.8
8 647 4 272 4 375 97.7
9 570 4 723 4 846 97.5
10 413 5 137 5 276 97.4
11 174 5 513 5 661 97.4
12 102 5 973 6 129 97.5
13179 6512 6667 97.7
14395 7121 7274 97.9
15412 7624 7707 97.9
14.3 22.5 18.2 6.9 4.3
14.8 23.3 17.3 7.3 4.5 47.2 21.7 9
10.9 19.9 21 .0 8.4 5.8 0.9 52.9 24.1 16
11.1 18.8 18.8
48.9 22.2 8
12.1 24.9 20.2 7.8 5.3 0.8 48.3 21.0 14
10.5 22.5 21.9 8.1
0.5
15.6 24.9 17.7 7.5 4.9 0.6 45.0 20.0 11
13.5 26.2 18.4 7.7
0.5
15.9 23.6 17.3 7.4 4.8 0.6 45.8 20.6 10
10.3 19.3 16.7 9.5 6.5 1.1 52.5 27.1 19
8.6 19.2 16.2 10.3 7.3 1.4 52.7 28.7 20
5.0
0.7 45.8 20.2 13
5.5
0.9 51.4 22.6 15
9.0
6.1 1.0 53.3 25.7 17
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 19952OOO 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Uk expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
136 232 87 2.13 36.1 13.6 4.95 1.92 120
176 280 96 2.44 38.8 13.3 5.49 2.18 118
201 307 100 2.47 37.7 12.2 5.44 2.23 109
185 285 94 2.03 31.3 10.3 4.44 1.90 89
52.9 56.8 54.7
53.8 58.7 56.1
55.3 61.0 57.9
57.6 63.8 60.5
169 273 1.69 27.3 8.8 3.63 1.61 69
152 248 80 1.41 23.0 7.4 2.80 1.28 45
186 272 74 1.60 23.4 6.4 2.67 1.26 24
215 298 75 1.70 23.6 5.9 2.65 1.26 18
60.5 66.8 63.4
63.9 70.6 67.1
67.4 74.2 70.6
88
2.55 1.22 14
1.37 18.0 5.2 2.21 1.06 11
177 249 79 1.12 15.7 5.0 2.00 0.97 8
69.6 75.9 72.5
71.5 77.4 74.1
72.8 78.8 75.8
74.8 80.8 77.9
243 301 76 1.77 21.9 5.5
203 269
77
.
8 MEDIUM VARIANT
Population(thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 04 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
16 295 8 061 8 234 97.9
17 134 8 474 8 660 97.9
17 926 8 861 9 065 97.7
18 639 9 205 9 435 97.6
19 266 9 502 9 765 97.3
19 779 9 737 10 041 97.0
20 167 9908 10 259 96.6
20 437 10 019 10 418 96.2
20 598 10 077 10 521 95.8
20 657 10 090 10 567 95.5
7.6 17.3 17.1 11.6 8.1 1.7 10.2 5.6
7.3 15.0 17.2 13.2 9.2 2.1 8.8 4.8 5.2 10.4 52.6 32.1 23
7.0 13.9 15.7 15.0 10.5 2.4 8.3 4.2 4.3 9.7 50.5 33.6 24
6.7 13.5 13.8 17.5 12.1 2.8 8.1 4.0 4.0 8.3 48.4 35.2 25
6.4 13.0 12.9 20.3 14.3 3.3 7.8 3.9 3.9 7.7 46.8 37.0 25
6.1 12.6 12.7 22.6 16.8 3.9 7.5 3.8 3.8 7.6 45.9 38.8 26
5.8 12.1 12.5 24.4 18.7 4.6 7.2 3.7 3.7 7.5 44.6 40.5 27
5.6 11.6 12.2 25.5 20.2 5.7 6.9 3.6 3.6 7.3 42.9 41.7 27
5.5
11.3 11.9 26.9 21.0 6.9 6.7 3.4 3.5 7.2 41.1 42.6 27
5.4 11.1 11.5 28.7 22.1 7.6 6.6 3.3 3.4 6.9 40.2 43.1 27
5.5
10.1 53.1 30.6 22
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 OOO population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Nett reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
152
32 228 202 6 0.16 11.1 9.8 0.3 1.85 0.90 4
12 225 220 6 0.06 10.9 10.6 0.3 1.85 0.90 4
12.4 7.4 0.3 1.85 0.90
78 235 163 6 0.39 11.7 8.2 0.3 1.85 0.90
5
5
5
54 230 182 6 0.27 11.3 9.0 0.3 1.85 0.90 4
7
6
6
5
5
5
77.2 83.4 80.3
n.6 83.9 80.7
78.0 84.3 81.2
78.4 84.7 81.5
78.7 85.1 81.9
79.0 85.4 82.2
168 251 90 6 1.00 15.0 5.4 0.4 1.94 0.94 7 9
158 254 101 6 0.90 14.5 5.8 0.3 1.89 0.92 6 8
143 251 114 6 0.78 13.7 6.3 0.3 1.85 0.90 6 7
125 248 129 6 0.66 13.1 6.8 0.3 1.85 0.90
75.5 81.5 78.6
76.1 82.2 79.2
76.7 82.8 79.8
102 242 145 6 0.53
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CHILE
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
2010
2020
2015
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
20198 9951 10247 38.1
20709 10184 10525 39.5
21122 10367 10755 40.4
21447 10509 10938 40.8
21686 10613 11073 41.2
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
200 1.19 16.9 5.3 0.4 2.1 9 1.06
.
D LOW VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Population change per year (thousands) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
136 0.82 13.2 5.4 0.4 1.69 0.82
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years)
16295 8061 8234 30.6
..
.................................
17171 8493 8678 32.0
18033 8915 9118 33.3
18848 9311 9537 34.8
19577 9660 9917 36.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030.2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.05 15.5 5.4
0.98 15.2 5.8
0.88 14.7 6.2
0.76 14.0 6.7
0.62 13.2 7.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.50 12.7 8.0
0.40 12.4 8.7
0.31 12.3 9.5
0.22 12.1 10.2
CHINA (*) A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2OOo
PopuiaUon (thounnda) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km)
...............................................
................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
......
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populalon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
..
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.........
..
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CHINA (*)
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
Population(thounndr) Total ..................................................... 1 315 844 1 366 745 1 425 006 1 479 739 1 519 180 Males ................................................... 675 852 701 074 729 764 756 279 774 565 Females ........................................ 639 992 665 671 695 242 723 460 744 615 Ago dlatrlbutlon Pemmtage aged 0.4 ............................ 6.4 7.1 7.7 7.6 6.8 Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... 15.0 13.1 12.7 13.9 14.5 Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... 16.5 16.0 13.8 12.0 11.8 Percentageaged 60 or over .................. 10.9 12.4 14.8 16.5 19.1 Percentageaged 65 or over .................. 7.6 8.2 9.4 11.4 13.0 Percentageaged 80 or over .................. 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.1 Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... 56.5 55.3 51.8 46.6 43.4 Median age (years) ................................. 32.6 34.6 35.6 36.5 37.8 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C& birth rate (per 1.000 population) C& death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
....
10 180 0.76 15.0 7.1 -0.3 1.99 0.90
11 652 0.84 16.2 7.6 -0.3 2.21 1.01
7 888 0.53 14.1 8.6 -0.2 2.35 1.08
10 946 0.75 15.8 8.1 -0.2 2.35 1.08
5 677 0.37 13.2 9.3 -0.2 2.35 1.09
5 342 0.34 13.6 10.0 -0.2 2.35 1.09
5 719 0.36 14.5 10.7 -0.2 2.35 1.10
5 176 0.32 14.6 11.2 -0.2 2.35 1.10
3 688 0.23 14.1 11.7 -0.2 2.35 1.10
.5 846
.7 987
.9 840
.11 415
.
D LOW VARIANT Population (thounndr) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Aga dlrMbution Percentageaged W Percentageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 1524 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over Percentageof women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
............................
..................
Population change per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. CRlde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
5 295 0.40 11.3 7.1 -0.3 1.49 0.68
3 727 0.28 10.7 7.6 -0.3 1.41 0.64
. 885
1 437 0.11 9.7 8.4 -0.2 1.35 0.62
-0.07 8.9 9.3 -0.2 1.35 0.62
.3 402
-0.25 8.0 10.3 -0.2 1.35 0.63
-0.44 7.3 11.5 -0.2 1.35 0.63
-0.62 6.9 12.8 -0.2 1.35 0.63
-0.79 6.6 14.2 -0.3 1.35 0.63
-0.95 6.3 15.6 -0.3 1.35 0.63
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population(thouwndr) Total ..................................................... 1315844 1352579 1385573 1409395 1420310 1418886 1407845 1388864 1361 723 1326304 700 360 685 301 666 688 719 544 711 789 722 600 719 287 709 013 693 614 675 852 Males ................................................... 659 616 688 504 676 422 696 057 699 343 690 107 697 710 676 559 658 965 639 992 Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................. 32.6 35.0 36.7 38.3 40.0 42.1 43.9 45.3 46.3 46.8 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population)
.... ..
0.55 12.9 7.1
0.48 12.7 7.6
0.34 11.9 8.3
0.15 10.8 9.0
-0.02 9.9 9.9
-0.16 9.5 10.9
(') For statistiml purposes. the data for China do not include H0ng Kang and Meceo. special Mminllratiua wms (SAR) d China.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division WonV Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
-0.27 9.5 12.0
-0.40 9.3 13.0
-0.53 9.0 14.0
CHINA, HONG KONG SAR (") A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dirbibutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (yean) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentageaged 04 ............................ Percentage aged 514 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 Percentagein school ages 1517 .......... Percentagein school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
........................... ..................
..........
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C& death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate @er1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortalii under age 5 (per 1.000 births) LHe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
...
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CHINA, HONG KONG SAR (*)
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Populltion(thouundo) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Ago dlrtributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof mwnen aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
.........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
7041 3313 3 728
7491 3519 3 972
7953 3730 4 222
8401 3935 4 466
8809 4119 4 690
9183 4285 4 898
9540 4445 5 095
9893 4606 5 287
10242 4773 5 468
4.2 10.3 13.0 15.4 12.0 2.8 58.7 38.9
5.1 9.1 11.4 17.5 12.3 3.5 53.7 40.8
5.3 9.4 10.2 20.5 14.1 4.0 47.9 42.4
5.3 10.5 9.1 24.6 16.8 4.3 43.5 43.8
5.0 10.7 9.5 .28.4 20.4 4.3 40.5 45.1
4.8 10.4 10.5 30.7 24.0 5.4 38.5 46.2
4.9 10.0 10.8 32.5 25.9 7.1 37.1 46.8
5.3 10.0 10.5 33.6 27.2 9.2 36.4 46.8
5.6 10.4 10.1 34.2 27.9 11.0 36.1 46.1
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousam) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birlh rate (per 1.000 populatkm) .... CNde death rate (per 1,000 populatbn) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) Net reproduction rate (per women) ..........
90
.
............. .. ........................
1 24 10.0 5.9 8.3 1.21 0.58
92 1.20 10.5 6.4 7.8 1.43 0.69
90 1-10 10.4 6.8 7.3 1.60 0.77
82 0.95 9.7 7.2 7.0 1.67 0.80
75 0.83 9.4 7.8 6.7 l 74 0.84
.
71 0.76 9.7 8.5 6.4 1.81 0.87
71 0.73 10.3 9.3 6.2 1.88 0.91
70 0.69 11.0 10.1 6.0 1 .95 0.94
67 0.65 11.4 10.7 5.8 2.02 0.97
17 0.21 4.4 9.8 7.4 0.81 0.39
6 0.07 4.3 11 .0 7.4 0.88 0.42
.5 -0.07 4.3 12.4 7.4 0.95 0.46
. 15 .0.18 4.5 13.7 7.4 1.02 0.49
.
D LOW VARIANT
.
Population (thouwnds) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females Age dlrMbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 Percentageaged 5-14 Percentageaged 15-24 Percentage aged 60or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentageaged 80 or ovar .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years)
............................................... ............................ ........................... ......................... .................. ......... .................................
.. ............. .... ..
Populationchange per year (thouamk) Populatkn growth rate @er cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) Ctude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 populatkn) . Total fertility (per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
........................
60
0.84 5.9 5.9 8.3 0.71 0.34
47 0.63 4.8 6.6 8.0 0.63 0.30
37 0.48 4.2 7.2 7.8 0.60 0.29
31 0.40 4.3 7.9 7.7 0.67 0.32
25 0.31 4.4 8.7 7.5 0.74 0.36
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT Populrtion(thouund8) Total Males .................................................. Females ........................................ M e d i i age (years) .................................
.....................................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
7 041 3 313 3 728 38.9
7 410 3 477 3 933 41.1
7 733 3 617 4 1 16 43.2
8 006 3 731 4 275 45.3
8 231 3 821 4 41 1 47.3
8 407 3 885 4 522 49.2
8 531 3 924 4 607 51.0
8 596 3 937 4 659 52.3
8 601 3 927 4 674 53.3
8 547 3 899 4 648 54.0
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationgrowth rate (per cent) .............
CNde birth rate (per 1.000 populatbn) .... Ctude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
(.)
1.02 7.8 5.9
0.85 7.1 6.5
0.70 6.4 7.0
0.55 5.8 7.6
0.42 5.4 8.4
.
As d l July 1997 Hong Kong becane a Spscid AdmhUrathre Region (SAR) d China.
United Nations Department of Economic and Sodal Affairs/Population Division World Pomlatbn Prosoects: The 2004 RevMon. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.29 5.2 9.3
0.15 5.0 10.5
0.01 4.8 11.7
.0.13 4.7 13.0
CHINA, MACAO SAR (*) A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population(thouundr) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dirtribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
..................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Ufe expectancy at birth (yeam) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populetlon (thoursnds) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 1W females) ........... Age diatrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................ 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C M birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Cnrde death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortalii rate (per 1.000 births) Mortality under age 5 (per 1,000 births) ... Ufe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.........
..
......
3 3 2 2 0.69 7.4 4.8 4.3 0.90 0.43 7 8
3 4 3 2 0.69 8.1 5.3 4.1 0.97 0.47 7 7
3 4 3 2 0.65 8.4 5.9 4.0 1.04 0.50 6 7
3 4 3 2 0.52 8.0 6.7 3.9 1.11 0.54 6 6
2 4 4 2 0.31 7.0 7.8 3.8 1.18 0.57 5 6
0 3 5 2 0.09 6.4 9.3 3.8 1.25 0.61 5 6
0 3 6 2 -0.08 6.4 11 0 3.8 1 32 0.64 5 5
.1
.1
7 2 -0.18 7.0 12.6 3.8 1.39 0.67 5 5
7 2 -0.25 7.6 13.9 3.8 1.46 0.71 4 5
78.6 82.7 80.7
79.4 83.3 81.3
80.1 83.9 82.0
80.8 84.5 82.6
81.4 85.0 83.2
82.0 85.5 83.8
82.5 86.0 84.3
83.0 86.4 84.9
83.6 86.9 85.4
.
.
4
4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revhion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CHINA. MACAO SAR (*)
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlrtrlbution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5 14 ........................... Percentageaged 1524 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
.........
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Cnrde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
4 0.89 9.4 4.8 4.3 1.15 0.56
.
D LOW VARIANT Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlrtrlbution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... M e d i i age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 0.49 5.4 4.8 4.3 0.65 0.31
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Medin age (years) .................................
460 221 239 36.6
475 228 247 39.4
489 233 256 41.8
501 238 263 44.0
510 240 269 46.0
512 240 273 48.3
509 236 273 50.8
500 229 271 53.2
487 222 265 55.6
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.64 6.9 4.8
0.58 7.0 5.3
0.50 6.9 6.0
0.33 6.2 6.8
0.10 5.1 8.0
-0.14 4.4 9.6
-0.35 4.1 11.5
-0.54 4.1 13.5
-0.68 4.1 15.1
(')
.
As of 20 December 1999 Maceo became a Special AdminWrathre Regkn (SAR) of China.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
471 213 257 57.5
COLOMBIA Indicator
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
45 600 22530 23 070 97.7
48 930 24184 24 746 97.7
52 086 25742 26 344 97.7
55 046 27193 27 854 97.6
57 738 28499 29 239 97.5
60 153 29684 30 468 97.4
62 146 30652 31 493 97.3
10.4 20.6 18.3 7.5 5.1 1.0 12.5 6.1 5.7 10.8 53.6 25.4 40
9.6 19.2 18.2 8.6 5.6 1.1 11.5 5.8 5.8 10.7 53.4 26.9 43
8.9 17.9 17.8 10.1 6.5 1.2 10.7 5.4 5.4 10.7 52.5 28.4 46
8.4 16.8 16.8 11.9 7.8 1.3 10.1 5.1 5.1 10.1 51.2 29.9 48
7.9 16.0 15.9 13.9 9.3 1.5 9.6 4.8 4.8 9.5 50.3 31.5 51
7.3 15.1 15.2 16.3 11.3 2.1 9.1 4.6 4.6 9.1 49.2 33.3 53
6.9 14.3 14.6 18.1 13.3 2.8 8.5 4.4 4.4 8.7 48.2 35.0 55
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
COLOMBIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
763 1.61 22.3 5.4 -0.8 2.72 1.27
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertilii (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
570 1.21 18.4 5.4 -0.9 2.22 1.04
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
45 600 22 530 23 070 25.4
49 235 24 340 24 895 26.7
52 984 26 201 26 784 27.8
56 793 28 085 28 708 28.9
60 586 29 955 30 631 30.0
64 399 31 853 32 545 30.9
68 158 33 721 34 436 31.6
71 887 35 572 36 315 32.1
75 591 37 410 38 181 32.5
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1.53 21.6 5.4
1.47 21.0 5.6
1.39 20.4 5.8
1.29 19.6 6.0
1.22 19.0 6.1
1.14 18.5 6.6
1.07 18.3 7.0
1.01 18.0 7.4
0.96 17.8 7.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
19%
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
200
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km)................
Fulation change per year (thousands) .. lkrths per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
. Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 temales) ........... Age di.MbuUon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentagein school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
..
Populationchange per year (thwsands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... L l h expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
COMOROS (')
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
23 2.75 35.1 6.5 -1.2 4.55 2.03
25 2.57 32.4 5.7 -1.0 4.16 1.90
26 2.38 29.9 5.2 -0.9 3.84 1.78
27 2.20 27.6 4.8 -0.8 3.52 1.65
29 2.08 26.1 4.6 .0.7 3.28 1.55
30 1.98 24.9 4.5 -0.7 3.09 1.47
31 1.85 23.7 4.6 -0.6 2.94 1.40
31 1.70 22.3 4.7 -0.5 2.81 1.34
31 1.55 21.0 4.9 -0.5 2.70 1.30
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
20 2.40 31.5 6.4 -1.2 4.05 1.80
19 2.04 27.0 5.6 -1.1 3.36 1.53
18 1.58 21.6 5.0 -0.9 2.52 1.18
18 1.74 23.5 5.2 -1.0 2.84 1.31
17 1.43 20.0 4.9
-0.8
2.28 1.08
16 1.25 18.3 5.0 -0.8 2.09 0.99
14 1.03 16.3 5.3 -0.7 1.94 0.92
12 0.80 14.4 5.7 -0.7 1.81 0.87
9 0.60 12.9 6.3 -0.7 1.70 0.82
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population(thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
798 400 398 18.7
924 464 460 19.0
1072 539 534 19.1
1243 625 619 19.2
1439 723 716 19.3
1665 837 828 19.5
1929 970 959 19.7
2237 1126 1112 19.8
2596 1307 1289 19.8
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.94 37.1 6.6
2.98 36.6 5.9
2.96 35.6 5.2
2.93 34.7 4.8
2.92 34.2 4.4
2.94 34.1 4.2
2.96 34.1 4.0
2.97 34.0 3.9
2.96 33.8 3.9
(') lncludiig the island of Mayotte.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division W o w Ponulatian Pros~ects:The 2004 Revkion Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
3010 1517 1494 19.8
Indicator
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Pe~entageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 16-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005-2010 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migrationper year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Llfe expectancy at blrth (yearn) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexss combined ............................
127 190 53
. l1
2.94 44.1 12.2 .2.5 6.29 2.49 68 1 02 52.2 54.8 53.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CONGO HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2020
2025
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age diarlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
127 2.94 44.1 12.2 .2.5 6.29 2.49
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-1 4 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
120 2.79 42.5 12.1 -2.6 6.04 2.39
148 2.99 41.0 11.1 0.0 5.69 2.30
183 2.78 36.7 9.0 0.0 4.69 2.01
165 2.87 38.7 10.1 0.0 5.16 2.15
1 96 2.60 34.1 8.1 0.0 4.19 1.84
201 2.35 30.9 7.4 0.0 3.68 1.65
199 2.08 27.7 6.9 0.0 3.21 1.46
194 1.84 24.9 6.5 0.0 2.82 1 .30
188 1 .64 22.6 6.3 0.0 2.51 1.17
13429 6721 6709 15.8
16249 8136 8113 15.8
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
3999 1983 2016 16.3
4629 2300 2329 16.1
5455 2715 2740 16.1
6471 3226 3245 16.1
7723 3855 3868 15.9
9257 4626 4631 15.8
11132 5567 5565 15.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.93 43.9 12.2
3.29 44.0 11.3
3.42 44.3 10.2
3.54 44.4 9.1
3.62 44.2 8.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
3.69 43.9 7.1
3.75 43.8 6.3
3.81 43.7 5.7
3.86 43.6 5.1
19711 9874 9837 15.8
COSTA RlCA A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100femaies) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
966 493 473 104.2
1129 575 554 103.9
1334 679 655 103.6
1582 778 103.4
1821 924 897 103.1
2051 1 039 1 011 102.8
2347 1 196 l 151 104.0
2697 1 373 1 323 103.8
3076 1 565 1 511 103.6
3475 1 768 1 707 103.5
3929 1 998 l 931 103.5
16.1 22.4 17.1 7.6 4.8 0.5 45.4 21.6 19
18.3 23.5 16.3 7.4 4.8 0.5 43.2 19.7 22
18.7 26.2 16.0 7.2 4.7 0.6 41.4 18.0 26
18.5 28.0 16.5 6.9 4.6 0.6 40.6 16.9 31
15.7 29.1 18.9 6.8 4.6 0.7 42.5 17.4 36
13.6 27.8 21.4 6.9 4.6 0.7 46.3 18.7 40
13.6 24.2 22.8 7.1 4.7 0.8 49.7 20.0 46
13.6 22.3 21.8 7.0 5.0 0.8 51.4 21.4
13.4 22.5 19.0 7.1 4.9 0.8 51.2 22.5 60
11.6 22.8 18.0 7.3 5.1 0.9 52.1 23.5
10.1 21.7 19.1 7.7 5.4 1.2 53.8 24.5
804
53
68
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (yearn) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dintributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1. 000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ............................
68 80
64
18 6 1.50 17.8 4.1 1.3 2.10 1.01 10 11
78 21 6 1.32 16.2 4.3 1.2 1 .94 0.93 9 11
59 76 24 6 1.14 14.9 4.6 1.2 1.85 0.89 9 10
55 76 28 6 1.01 14.1 5.1 1.1 1 .85 0.89 8 9
49 75 32 6 0.87 13.3 5.7 1.1 1 .85 0.89 8 9
43 74 38 6 0.72 12.6 6.4 1 .0 1 .85 0.89 7 8
35 73 44 6 0.58 12.0 7.2 1 .0 1 .85 0.89 7 8
28 72 50 6 0.45 11.6 8.1 1 .0 l .85 0.89 6 7
20 71 57 6 0.32 11.2 9.0 0.9 1 .85 0.89 6 7
76.5 81.2 78.8
77.0 81.9 79.4
77.5 82.4 79.9
78.0 82.9 80.4
78.4 83.4 80.8
78.7 83.8 81.2
79.0 84.1 81.5
79.3 84.4 81.8
79.5 84.7 82.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
n
HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2020
2025
PopulPtion(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) .................................
............................................... ............................
.........
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
....
77 1.70 19.7 4.1 1.3 2.35 1.13
.
D LOW VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distdbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
.................. .........
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) C& death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migratian rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fenility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
.... ..
58 1 .30 15.8 4.1 1.3 1.85 0.89
48 1.01 13.2 4.4 1.3 1.54 0.74
34 0.66 10.7 5.3 1.2 1.35 0.65
38 0.77 11.3 4.8 1.2 1.35 0.65
27 0.51 9.9 6.0 1 .1 1.35 0.65
l8 0.33 9.0 6.9 11 1.35 0.65
.
7 0.14 8.2 8.0 11 1.35 0.65
.
-3 -0.05 7.6 9.2 11 1.35 0.65
-12 -0.22 7.2 10.4 1.1 1.35 0.65
6827 3436 3391 35.6
7128 3581 3547 36.2
.
.
E CONSTANT-FERTIUTY VARIANT . .
Population (thouaandr) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
4327 2200 2127 26.1
4699 2386 2313 27.8
5084 2578 2505 29.5
5464 2768 2696 31.2
5828 2948 2880 32.8
6175 3119 3056 34.1
6509 3282 3227 35.0
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) C& death rate (per 1.000 population)
.... ..
l .65 19.2 4.1
1.57 18.8 4.3
1.44 17.8 4.6
1 .29 16.8 4.9
1.16 16.0 5.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revhion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.05 15.5 6.0
0.96 15.3 6.6
0.86 15.0 7.3
0.77 14.8 7.9
COTE D'IVOIRE Indicator
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
m
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Llte expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortalii rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (y6ars) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
C m D'IVOIRE
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
59594 29855 29739 19.0
Population (thouand.)
Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... A g . diatrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
....
357 1.88 37.2 16.9 .1.5 4.71 1.66
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distdbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... M e d i i age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
.... ..
........................
292 1.55 33.5 16.5 .1.5 4.21 1.48
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thouwnds) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
............. ....
Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
18154 9230 8924 18.5
20122 10191 9931 18.9
22661 11445 11217 19.1
25674 12944 12730 19.0
29178 14691 14487 18.7
33293 16745 16548 18.7
38203 19196 19007 18.8
44105 22141 21964 18.9
51175 25665 25510 18.9
2.06 39.2 17.1
2.38 40.1 16.4
2.50 39.8 15.1
2.56 38.8 13.5
2.64 38.1 12.0
2.75 37.9 10.6
2.87 37.9 9.3
2.97 37.8 8.2
3.05 37.5 7.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prusp~cts:The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
............................ .........................
Population change per year (thwsands) .. Births per year (thowands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 Mrths) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
....
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Popuiatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km)
..........
......... ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migrationper year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
............. ....
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division Wodd Population Prosp8cts: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CROATlA
.
C HIGH VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males Females ............................................... A* dlrMbution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24 Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
...................................................
.........................
.................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Populationchange per year (thousands) Populationgrowthrate(percent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman)
.............
..
..........
4 0.08 10.6 12.0 2.2 1.60 0.77
.4 9.09 l l .6 12.5 0.0 1.82 0.87
.4 -0.09 11.8 12.8 0.0 1.99 0.95
.7 -0.16 11.3 129 0.0 2.06 0.99
.9 -0.21 11.0 13.1 0.0 2.13 1.02
.9 9.20 11.4 13.4 0.0 2.20 l .06
.6 -0.13 12.4 13.7 0.0 2.27 1 .09
.2 -0.05 13.3 13.8 0.0 2.33 1.12
.l -0.03 13.4 13.7 0.0 2.35 1.13
.
D LOW VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males Females ............................................... Agm dlatdbutlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentageaged 15-24 Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
................................................... ........................... .........................
.................. ..................
.
Populationchange per year (thacsande) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 populatkn) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman)
.............
..
..........
. 11 -0.25 7.4 12.1 2.2 1.10 0.53
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females Median age (years) .................................
4551 2191 2361 40.6
4532 2182 2350 41.9
4443 2141 2302 43.1
4336 2091 2245 44.4
4212 2032 2180 45.9
4072 1965 2107 47.5
3916 1889 2027 49.0
3747 1807 1940 50.3
3570 1723 1847 51.3
Populationgrowthrate(percent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population)
-0.09 9.0 12.1
-0.40 8.7 12.7
-0.49 8.3 13.2
-0.58 7.8 13.6
-0.68 7.3 14.1
.0.78 7.0 14.8
-0.88 6.8 15.6
-0.97 6.7 16.4
.1.05 6.5 17.0
........................................
....
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2004 RevMon. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
3386 1636 1750 52.1
CUBA Indicator
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
l980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per l .000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 births) ...... Llte expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migrationper year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Socii AffairsPopulation Division WO& Population Prospecls: The 2004 Revbion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Indicator
.
C HIGH VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
. 88 -0.86 6.1 11.9 .2.7 1.23 0.59
. 107
. 123
. 138
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
42 0.37 13.1 7.0 .2.5 1.88 0.90
.
D LOW VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-1 4 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowthrate(percent)............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 0.02 9.7 7.0 .2.5 1.38 0.66
. 18 -0.16 8.3 7.5 .2.5 1.25 0.60
. 51 .0.47 7.2 9.3 .2.6 1.19 0.57
. 36 -0.33 7.5 8.2 .2.5 1.17 0.56
. 68 -0.64 6.7 10.5 .2.6 1.21 0.58
.1.10 5.5 13.6 .2.9 1.25 0.60
.l.% 5.2 15.6 .3.1 l .27 0.61
.1.62 5.0 17.9 .3.3 1 .30 0.63
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
11269 5 639 5630 35.6
11371 5 689 5683 38.3
11414 5 708 5706 41.0
11388 5 693 5695 43.0
11278 5 635 5643 44.5
11078 5 533 5545 45.9
10790 5 387 5403 47.6
10416 5 198 5218 49.3
9964 4 971 4993 50.5
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
0.18 11.3 7.0
0.08 10.6 7.4
-0.05 10.0 8.0
-0.20 9.5 8.9
.0.36 8.9 10.0
-0.53 8.4 11.2
-0.71 8.1 12.5
-0.89 7.9 14.0
.1.09 7.7 15.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
9435 4 706 4729 51.3
CYPRUS A ESTIMATES Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population(thoumnds) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (yearn) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CYPRUS C. HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
1 100 539 561 44.3
1 123 550 572 45.0
1 141 561 581 45.3
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertili (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.............
11 125 14.0 7.3 5.8 1.85 0.89
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population(thouunds) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 Mediin age (years) .................................
.........
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertilii (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
8 0.88 10.3 7.3 5.9 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERllLfTY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Mediin age (years) .................................
835
406 429 35.3
882 430 452 36.3
929 453 476 37.4
974 475 498 38.7
1013 495 518 40.2
1046 512
535
41.7
1075 526 549 43.1
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030.2035 2035-2040 20402045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) .............
Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.09 12.4 7.3
1.04 12.3 7.5
0.94 11.9 7.7
0.79 11.0 8.1
0.64 10.1 8.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 RevrSion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.54 9.8 9.1
0.47 9.7 9.7
0.40 9.7 10.1
0.34 9.5 10.5
CZECH REPUBLIC
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Popuiatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per women) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) Life exp-ncy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
...................
......
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 1W females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 16-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (yews) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
....
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revhion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CZECH REPUBLIC
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Populaion (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
6 0.06 10.7 11.1 1.0 1.47 0.71
.
D LOW VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowthrate(percent) Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman)
............. ..........
. 31 -0.30 7.1 11.2 1.0 0.97 0.47
. 46 -0.46 6.2 11.7 1.0 0.89 0.43
. 57 -0.59 5.5 12.4 1.0 0.86 0.41
. 63 -0.67 5.5 13.2 1.1 0.93 0.45
. 70 -0.78 5.4 14.3 1.1 1.00 0.48
. 78 -0.90 5.3 15.5 1.2 1.07 0.51
. 84 .1.02 5.3 16.6 1.2 1.14 0.55
. 88 .1.12 5.2 17.6 1.3 1.21 0.58
. 89 .1.21 5.1 18.5 1.3 1.28 0.62
.
E CONSTANTIFERTlLlTY VARIANT Population (thousandr) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population)
..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
10220 4 975 5245 39.0
10138 4 934 5204 40.5
9998 4 863 5134 42.6
9795 4 759 5036 44.8
9532 4 623 4908 47.3
9210 4 459 4751 49.6
8842 4 274 4568 51.4
8440 4 075 4365 53.1
8015 3 866 4149 54.7
-0.16 8.5 11.1
-0.28 7.8 11.6
-0.41 7.1 12.2
-0.55 6.4 12.9
-0.69 5.9 13.8
-0.82 5.7 14.9
-0.93 5.5 16.0
.1.03 5.3 16.8
.1.14 5.0 17.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2050
.
DEM PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF KOREA A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
.........................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
....
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 16-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division WoM Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
DEM PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF KOREA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2020
2015
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
. 74 -0.33 9.1 12.4 0.0 1.35 0.63
. 113
. 139
. 154
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
1 24 0.55 16.2 10.7 0.0 2.18 0.99
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
44
0.19 12.6 10.6 0.0 1.68 0.76
12 0.05 11.3 10.7 0.0 1.47 0.67
.3 -0.02 10.9 11 .0 0.0 1.35 0.62
. 10 -0.04 11.0 11.4 0.0 1.35 0.63
.35 -0.15 10.3 11.9 0.0 1.35 0.63
-0.52 8.0 13.2 0.0 1.35 0.64
-0.65 7.6 14.1 0.0 1.35 0.64
-0.75 7.6 15.2 0.0 1.35 0.64
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) ..
11233 11255 31.1
22 964 11431 11533 32.3
23 466 11647 11819 33.1
24 022 11897 12125 34.0
24 553 12140 12413 34.9
24 942 12312 12630 36.2
25 170 12402 12769 37.3
25 309 12446 12863 38.2
25 432 12487 12945 38.5
0.42 14.9 10.7
0.43 15.0 10.7
0.47 15.5 10.8
0.44 15.2 10.9
0.31 14.2 11.0
0.18 13.1 11.3
0.11 12.7 11.6
0.10 13.0 12.1
0.09 13.3 12.5
22 488
. . .
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2050
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Ag. distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) Uk expectancy at birth (yews) Males ................................................... Females Both sexes combined ............................
..................... .............
......
...............................................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT Populrtlon(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Al). distributlon Percentageaged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentagein schod ages 6-11 ............ Percentagein schod ages 12-14 .......... Percentagein s c M ages 15-17 .......... Percentagein school ages 16-23 .......... Percentageof women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................ Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Cnrde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... l&expectancy at Mrth (yews) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thoumnde) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. C& birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 916 3.08 49.6 19.2 0.3 6.70 2.27
.
D LOW VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate @ercent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 817 2.93 48.0 19.0 0.3 6.45 2.18
1 999 2.80 45.7 17.6 -0.2 6.09 2.12
2 141 2.62 42.4 16.1 -0.2 5.53 1.99
2 321 2.50 39.6 14.5 -0.2 5.02 1.86
2 433 2.32 36.4 13.1 .0.1 4.45 1.71
2 429 2.08 32.7 11.9 -0.1 3.86 1.53
2 323 1 .80 28.9 10.8 -0.1 3.31 1.35
2 161 1.54 25.5 10.0 -0.1 2.85 1.19
1 969 1.31 22.6 9.5 -0.1 2.48 1.06
186 988 93429 93 559 15.1
226 254 113107 1 1 3 146 15.0
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
57 549 28542 29 007 16.3
67 109 33348
33 761 16.1
78 427 39027 39 401 15.8
92 138 45898 46 240 15.7
108 957 54324 54 633 15.5
129 694 64713 64 981 15.4
155 305 77548 77 757 15.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C& death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
3.07 49.6 19.2
3.12 49.3 18.0
3.22 49.0 16.7
3.35 48.9 15.3
3.49 48.7 13.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairstPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revbion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
3.60 48.5 12.5
3.71 48.3 11.2
3.81 48.2 10.1
3.90 48.0 9.1
274 984 137523 137 461 15.0
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF TlMOR-LESTE A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km)................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
433 219 214 102.5
462 234 228 103.0
501 254 246 103.1
549 279 270 103.4
604 308 297 103.8
672 342 330 103.5
581 296 285 103.9
659 335 324 103.6
740 383 357 107.2
848 436 412 105.7
722 383 339 112.8
16.3 24.3 19.5 5.6 3.3 0.2 47.4 19.6 29
16.4 24.5 19.3 4.7 3.1 0.2 47.4 19.4 31
16.6 24.8 19.1 4.5 2.6 0.2 47.8 19.2 34
16.8 25.0 19.0 4.5 2.6 0.2 47.8 19.0 37
16.4 25.5 19.1 4.4 2.7 0.2 47.7 18.9 41
16.6 25.4 19.1 4.5 2.7 0.2 47.4 18.9 45
13.3 26.3 23.5 3.8 2.4 0.1 52.4 19.0 39
17.7 22.2 22.0 3.6 2.2 0.2 52.6 19.5 44
18.0 23.5 19.2 3.6 2.0 0.1 50.4 19.3 50
14.6 27.3 16.8 3.8 2.3 0.2 48.7 20.0 57
13.9 31.7 17.6 4.9 2.8 0.2 40.8 16.8 49
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Cmde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
. Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortali under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
......... ............. ..
..........
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF TIMOR-LESTE Indicator
.
C HIGH VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
43 2.00 25.9 5.9 0.0 3.17 1.46
45 1.88 24.3 5.6 0.0 2.74 1.28
41 1.58 21.1 5.3 0.0 2.39 1.13
35 1.25 17.8 5.3 0.0 2.1 1 1.00
Population (thourcmds) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dl~trlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
61 5.60 52.8 11.8 14.5 7.42 3.00
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thou~nds) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
57 5.28 49.3 11.5 14.7 6.92 2.80
44 3.32 39.6 9.4 3.0 5.49 2.28
39 2.23 29.2 7.0 0.0 4.28 1.88
40 2.60 33.9 8.0 0.0 4.86 2.08
40 2.04 26.7 6.3 0.0 3.69 1.66
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Popuiatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
947 492 455 18.4
1 266 649 617 18.3
1 596 815 781 14.8
1 949 994 955 14.2
2 372 1 209 1164 14.6
2929 1 491 1439 14.9
3675 1 869 1807 14.6
4 647 2 361 2286 14.0
5 881 2 987 2895 13.8
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
5.81 55.1 11.9
4.63 53.6 10.3
4.00 48.3 8.5
3.93 46.4 7.2
4.22 48.2 6.2
4.54 50.6 5.4
4.69 51.3 4.6
4.71 50.8 3.9
4.71 50.3 3.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2050
DENMARK A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thoumnda) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Cnrde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertili (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... ............... Females ...................... Both sexes combined ............................
..........
.
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dishlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortali rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) Llfe expectancy et birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.........
...
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division Worfd Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
DENMARK
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
m
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousand.) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females A- distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
...............................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
....
23 0.41 12.5 10.6 2.2 2.01 0.97
.
D LOW VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlatributlon Percentage aged 04 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
..................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) Cnrde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertili (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
.............
6 0.1 1 9.5 10.7 2.2 1.51 0.73
.
E CONSTANT-fERTILITY VARIANT .
.
.
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
5431 2 688 2 743 39.5
5499 2 724 2 775 40.7
5550 2 749 2 801 41.9
5598 2 771 2 827 42.6
5649 2 793 2 856 42.6
5692 2 810 2 882 42.4
5713 2 816 2 897 42.6
5714 2 814 2 900 43.1
5703 2 807 2 896 43.6
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.25 10.9 10.6
0.18 10.3 10.7
0.17 10.4 10.9
0.18 10.9 11.2
0.15 11.0 11.6
0.08 10.7 12.0
0.00 10.3 12.4
-0.04 10.1 12.5
-0.03 10.1 12.5
United Nlions Department of Economic and Social AffaiMopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentageaged 0 4 Percentage aged 5-14 Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over Percentageof m n aged 15-49 Median age (years) Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
.
............................ ...........................
.................. .................. .........
.................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per women) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Lib ex-ncy at birth (yean) Males Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.....................
................... ....
..........
...................................................
.
B MEDlUM VARIANT Populatlon(thouwnd.) Total ..................................................... Males Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentageaged 80 or over Percentagein schod ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 Percentagein school ages 15-17 PercentageIn school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of woman aged 15-49 Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km)
................................................... ...........
.................. .................. .......... .......... ......... ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Cnrde death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 Mrths) ...... Mortali under age 5 (per 1.000 Mrths) Life expectany at birth (yews) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..................... ...................
.. ........................ ..........
...
Unled Nations Departmentof Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Ditision WorM Population Prospects: The 2004 Revkion. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
15 1.77 34.5 12.0 -4.8 4.75 1.83
16 1.82 32.5 11 .1 -3.3 4.33 1.73
21 2.06 30.7 10.1 0.0 3.97 1.63
22 2.03 28.6 9.2 0.9 3.62 1.53
23 1 .92 26.8 8.5 0.8 3.35 1.46
24 1.81 25.3 7.9 0.7 3.15 1.40
25 1 .72 24.1 7.6 0.7 2.98 1 .36
26 1.63 22.9 7.3 0.6 2.85 1.31
26 1.53 21.8 7.1 0.6 2.74 1.28
Population (thousands) Total .....................................................
Males ...................................................
Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertilii (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlrtribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-1 4 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
12 1.45 31 .1 11.8 -4.9 4.25 1.64
12 1.31 27.3 10.8 -3.4 3.53 1.41
14 1.44 24.3 10.0 0.0 2.97 1.22
14 1.42 22.5 9.3 1 .0 2.62 1.11
14 1.28 20.7 8.8 0.9 2.35 1 .03
13 1.11 18.7 8.5 0.9 2.15 0.96
11 0.92 16.8 8.4 0.8 1.98 0.90
9 0.75 15.1 8.4 0.8 1 .85 0.85
8 0.59 13.7 8.6 0.8 1.74 0.81
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
793 396 397 18.9
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.95 36.5 12.2
874
437 19.3
977 490 487 19.6
l116 560 556 19.6
1282 644 638 19.4
1474 741 733 19.4
1696 853 844 19.4
1956 984 973 19.5
2263 1 138 1 126 19.6
2.23 36.8 11.3
2.64 36.7 10.4
2.78 36.2 9.3
2.79 35.5 8.4
2.81 35.0 7.6
2.86 34.9 6.9
2.91 35.0 6.4
2.96 35.0 5.9
438
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Indicator
A. ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5 1 4 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Socid AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
14115 7 052 7062 29.4
14922 7 453 7469 29.9
15741 7 861 7880 30.3
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dirtrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertili (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
144 1S6 24.9 6.3 -3.0 2.81 1.29
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
107 1.16 20.9 6.2 -3.1 2.31 1.06
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
8895 4 490 4405 23.3
9585 4 826 4759 24.5
10311 5 181 5130 25.7
11045 5 541 5504 26.7
11780 5 901 5879 27.5
12539 6 274 6265 28.2
13319 6 659 6660 28.8
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.49 24.3 6.3
1.46 23.5 6.1
1.38 22.4 6.0
1.29 21.5 6.1
1.25 20.9 6.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.21 20.6 6.4
1.16 20.3 6.6
1.11 19.9 6.9
1.07 19.6 7.1
ECUADOR A ESTIMATES 1950
19%
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2ooo
Popuktlon(thou-) Total Males ................................................... Females Sex ratb (males per 100females) ...........
.....................................................
..S ............................................
~dlrbibution Percentageaged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24.........................
..................
Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1599 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populatii density (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands)..................... Deaths per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. CNde birth rate (per 1.000 populatiion) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per m n ) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Wa ex(nctmcy at birth (m) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sems combined ............................
....................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thouundm)
Total ..................................................... Males Females Sex ratb (malesper 100 females) ........... dkblbuUon Percentage aged W Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... hrcentage aged 60 or over .................. Permtage aged 65 or aver .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in sdrod ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
................................................... ............................................... ............................
Populatbn change per year (thousands).. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) Populatbngrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per l. 000 population) Crude death rate (per l.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) Net reproductionrate (per woman) Infant mortaUty rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) exlnctmw 1M m (W-) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes COmMned ............................
......... ............. ....
........................ .......... ...
United Nations Deparbnent of Ecmmic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division W o w Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
ECUADOR
.
C HIGH VARIANT
lndkator 2005
2010
2020
2015
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
24672 12291 12381 30.9
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ...............................................
m dlolrbution
Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentegeaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or aver .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. f%rcmtage of women aged t5-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude Mrth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
..
219 1.59 23.1 5.1 .2.2 2.83 1.33
.
D LOW VARIANT PopukUon (thousands)
Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distdbution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
.........................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migrationrate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 66 1 .22 19.4 5.0 .2.2 2.33 1 .09
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C& death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
13228 6633 6595 24.0
14317 7172 7144 25.3
15514 7765 7749 26.5
16749 8376 8374 27.5
18003 8995 9008 28.4
19275 9622 9652 29.2
20575 10264 10311 29.6
21908 10922 10986 30.l
23274 11598 11676 30.5
1.58 23.1 5.1
1.61 22.6 5.2
1.53 21.9 5.4
l .44 21.1 5.6
1.37 20.5 5.8
1.31 20.1 6.0
1.26 19.8 6.3
1.21 19.6 6.6
1.17 19.4 6.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division W o M Population Prospmts: The 2004 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
P
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-1 4 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
..................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
1 263 1 .64 23.0 5.6 -1 .0 2.74 1.28
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
74 033 37 120 36 913 22.8
82 025 41 071 40 954 23.8
90 828 45 429 45 399 24.7
100 048 49 989 50 059 25.0
109 633 54 727 54 906 25.3
119 871 59 797 60 075 25.6
131 089 65 369 65 720 26.1
143 359 71 486 71 873 26.5
156 583 78 104 78 479 26.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.05 27.2 5.7
2.04 26.8 5.5
1.93 25.5 5.3
1.83 24.3 5.3
1.79 23.9 5.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.79 24.0 5.5
1.79 24.0 5.6
l .77 23.8 5.6
1.73 23.4 5.6
170 705 85 196 85 510 27.0
EL SALVADOR A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1951 975 976 99.9
2224 1113 1111 100.3
2578 1293 1285 100.6
3012 1512 1500 100.8
3598 1810 1788 101.2
4120 2070 2049 101.0
4586 2288 2298 99.6
4769 2345 2424 96.8
5110 2502 2608 95.9
5669 2776 2892 96.0
6280 3082 3198 96.4
17.9 25.1 19.5 4.8 3.1 0.4 47.2 18.3 93
18.4 26.1 18.7 4.4 2.8 0.3 46.0 17.8 106
19.0 27.2 17.9 4.3 2.6 0.3 44.4 17.0 123
18.8 27.8 18.4 4.3 2.6 0.3 44.0 16.6 143
18.3 28.1 19.1 4.5 2.8 0.3 44.0 16.7 171
17.5 28.1 19.4 4.7 3.0 0.3 44.4 17.0 196
16.8 28.1 19.7 5.1 3.2 0.3 44.8 17.3 218
14.7 28.9 19.4 5.8 3.7 0.4 45.7 17.9 227
13.8 27.0 20.8 6.5 4.2 0.5 47.8 18.9 243
13.4 24.0 22.4 6.9 4.6 0.6 50.7 20.2 269
12.7 22.9 21.2 7.3 5.0 0.8 51.6 21.8 298
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Cnrde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... LHe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
6881 3 382 3 499 96.7
7461 3 671 3 790 96.9
8017 3 948 4 069 97.0
8550 4 212 4 337 97.1
9052 4 461 4 591 97.2
9517 4 690 4 827 97.2
9935 4 896 5 039 97.2
11.7 22.3 19.2 7.6 5.4 1.0 13.6 6.4 6.0 11.3 52.3 23.3 327
10.8 21.2 18.7 8.2 5.7 1.2 12.8 6.2 6.0 11.0 53.0 24.6 355
10.0 19.8 18.6 8.9 6.2 1.3 11.9 5.9 5.8 11.1 53.7 26.0 381
9.3 18.5 18.0 9.7 6.8 1.5 11.1 5.5 5.5 10.8 53.4 27.5 406
8.7 17.4 17.1 10.7 7.5 1.6 10.4 5.2 5.2 10.2 52.4 29.1 430
8.1 16.4 16.2 12.3 8.4 1.9 9.8 4.9 4.9 9.7 50.7 30.9 452
7.6 15.5 15.5 14.5 9.8 2.2 9.3 4.7 4.7 9.3 49.7 32.6 472
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migrationper year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Ufe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaiMopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
131 1.82 25.1 5.8 -1.1 2.93 1 .36
1 37 1.74 24.1 5.7 -1 .0 2.91 1.36
140 1.63 22.9 5.6 -0.9 2.87 1.35
137 1.48 21 -2 5.6 -0.9 2.75 1 .30
135 1.36 20.1 5.7 .0.8 2.65 1.26
1 34 1.26 19.2 5.8 -0.8 2.57 1.22
131 1.17 18.4 6.1 -0.7 2.49 1.19
126 1.06 17.6 6.4 .0.7 2.42 1.16
119 0.95 16.9 6.8 -0.6 2.36 1.13
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dl8trlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
101 1.42 21.0 5.7 -1 .1 2.43 1.13
86 1.13 18.1 5.7 -1 .1 2.11 0.99
73 0.92 16.0 5.9 -1 .0 1.87 0.88
65 0.78 14.8 6.0 -1 .0 1.75 0.83
53 0.62 13.4 6.3 -0.9 1.65 0.78
39 0.44 12.0 6.7 .0.9 1.57 0.74
23 0.25 10.7 7.3 -0.9 1.49 0.71
6 0.06 9.5 8.0 .0.9 1.42 0.68
. 11 -0.12 8.6 8.9 -0.9 1 .36 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .............................................. Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
6881 3382 3499 23.3
7521 3702 3819 24.4
8195 4039 4156 25.3
8897 4390 4507 26.3
9624 4753 4871 27.2
10377 5130 5247 28.0
11162 5523 5639 28.6
11978 5931 6047 29.2
12823 6354 6469 29.7
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per l. 000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1.78 24.7 5.8
1.72 23.9 5.7
1.65 23.0 5.7
1.57 22.2 5.6
1.51 21.5 5.7
1.46 21 .1 5.8
1.41 20.7 5.9
1.36 20.4 6.2
1.31 20.2 6.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsfPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2050
EQUATORIAL GUINEA Indicator
.
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
EQUATORIAL GUINEA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
504 249 254
563 280 283
631 315 316
708 355 353
790 398 392
879 444 436
976 492 483
1 079 544 535
1 190 599 591
17.6 26.8 19.4 6.0 3.9 0.5 43.9 17.6
17.9 27.2 20.1 5.8 3.9 0.5 43.4 17.3
18.3 27.6 20.4 5.8 3.8 0.5 43.0 16.8
18.2 28.4 20.6 5;6 3.8 0.5 43.0 16.5
17.3 29.2 21.1 5.3 3.7 0.5 43.9 16.6
16.4 28.8 22.0 5.0 3.5 0.5 46.0 17.0
15.6 27.7 22.9 4.7 3.3 0.6 48.4 17.7
15.0 26.6 22.8 4.3 3.1 0.6 50.3 18.5
14.3 25.8 22.2 4.2 2.9 0.6 51.7 19.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
12 2.23 43.2 20.9 0.0 5.89 1.93
14 2.29 43.6 20.8 0.0 5.89 1.95
15 2.30 42.8 19.8 0.0 5.70 1.94
16 2.20 39.9 18.0 0.0 5.19 1.86
18 2.14 37.3 16.0 0.0 4.68 1.76
19 2.08 35.2 14.5 0.0 4.21 1.65
21 2.02 33.5 13.2 0.0 3.82 1.55
22 1.95 31.6 12.2 0.0 3.51 1.47
23 1.85 29.7 11.2 0.0 3.27 1.40
.
D LOW VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
11 2.07 41.5 20.8 0.0 5.64 1.85
11 1 92 39.7 20.6 0.0 5.27 1.75
.
11 1.72 36.8 19.6 0.0 4.70 1.60
11 1.63 34.5 18.2 0.0 4.19 1.50
12 1.53 31.8 16.5 0.0 3.68 1.39
11 1.37 29.0 15.3 0.0 3.21 1.26
10 1.20 26.2 14.2 0.0 2.82 1.15
10 1.05 23.8 13.3 0.0 2.51 1.05
9 0.92 21.7 12.5 0.0 2.27 0.97
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
504 249 254 17.6
563 280 283 17.3
630 315 315 16.9
710 357 354 16.4
809 407 401 16.0
931 470 461 15.8
1 083 546 537 15.6
1 271 641 630 15.4
1 503 757 746 15.3
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
2.22 43.1 20.9
2.27 43.5 20.8
2.39 43.8 19.9
2.59 44.0 18.2
2.82 44.3 16.1
3.03 44.6 14.4
3.20 44.7 12.8
3.35 44.7 11.3
3.47 44.6 10.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Indicator Population (thounndr) Total .....................................................
Males ...................................................
Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Ag. dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populafbn density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1 140 565 575 98.2
1 262 625 637 98.1
18.7 26.6 19.0 5.l 3.2 0.3 44.6 17.3 10
17.6 27.0 19.5 4.8 3.0 0.3 45.6 17.5 11
Popuhtii change per year (thousands) ..
Births per year (thowands)..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per wainan) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 Mrths) ......
(Y-m ................................................... ............................
@x(nctny at
Males Females ............................................... Both semi combined
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT Population(thounnda) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Ag. distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 514 ........................... Percenta~aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageagecl 65 or over .................. Petcentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentagein schod ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentagein school ages 15-17 .......... Percentagein school ages 10-23 .......... Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
..............................................
2005
2010
4 401 2 161 2 241 96.4
5 128 2 528 2 600 97.2
17.2 27.5 20.6 4.0 2.3 0.2 17.0 7.4 6.7 12.0 46.5 17.4 37
16.5 27.4 20.4 4.1 2.4 0.3 16.9 7.4 6.8 11.8 47.3 17.7 44
.
Populafion change per year (thwsands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thwsands) ................... Net migretbn per year (thousands)......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Cnrde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) Net reproduction rate (per wainan) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) @W birth (m) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sems combined ............................
........................ ...
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopuiation Division Wow Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
ERITREA
.
C HIGH VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Popul.tion (thouunds)
Total .....................................................
Males ...................................................
...............................................
Females Ag. distribution Percentage aged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Medan age (years)
.................. ......... ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 populetion) . Total fertility (per woman) Net reproductionrate (per woman)
............. .. ........................ ..........
152 3.18 39.2 10.2 2.7 5.30 2.19
155 2.81 37.3 9.0 -0.2 4.94 2.09
178 2.46 32.2 7.4 -0.1 4.09 1.81
1 68 2.65 34.8 8.2 .0.2 4.53 1.97
1 88 2.31 30.1 6.9 -0.1 3.72 1.67
1 99 2.19 28.5 6.5 -0.1 3.43 1 .56
208 2.06 27.0 6.3 -0.1 3.21 1.48
215 1.93 25.5 6.2 -0.1 3.03 1 A1
219 l .79 24.0 6.1 -0.1 2.89 1.35
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populrtion (thwnndr) Total Meles ................................................... Females Ago didrlbution Percentage aged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-1 4 Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 80or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years)
.....................................................
....a ..........................................
........................... .........................
.................................
Popula* change per year1-( .. Populawn growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude Mrth rate (per 1.000 populatkm) Crude death rate (per l.000 populetion) Net migration rate (per l.000 popdatkn) . Total fertility (per woman) Net reproduction rate (per wainan) ..........
.... .. ........................
139 2.93 36.5 10.1 2.7
4.80 1 99
.
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT
Populrtion (lhourrmk) Total ..................................................... Males Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
4401 2161 2241 17.4
5189 2559 2630 17.5
6059 3000 3058 17.5
7086 3522 3564 17.5
8295 4136 4158 17.5
9722 4860 4861 17.7
l1413 5717 5695 17.8
13420 6733 6687 17.9
15802 7937 7865 17.9
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Cfude birth rate (per 1.000 population) C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) ..
3.29 40.4 10.2
3.10 40.2 9.1
3.13 39.7 8.3
3.15 39.0 7.4
3.17 38.6 6.8
3.21 38.3 6.2
3.24 38.2 5.8
3.27 38.1 5.4
3.29 37.9 5.1
...................................................
....
United Nations Department of Eamomic and Social AffairsiPopulation Division WorM Population Pruspects: The 2004 Revkion. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
18623 9382 9261 18.0
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
19%
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
......
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
.
2 -0.1 3 12.2 13.5 0.0 1.68 0.81
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
.6 .0.49 8.7 13.6 0.0 1 18 0.57
.
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
1330 611 718 38.9
1306 600 706 39.6
1282 590 692 40.7
1252 578 675 41.9
1217 563 654 43.5
1178 547 631 45.4
1137 529 608 47.4
1094 511 583 49.3
1048 491 557 50.3
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
.0.35 10.0 13.6
-0.38 9.9 13.6
.0.47 9.0 13.7
-0.58 8.1 13.8
.0.65 7.5 14.1
.0.71 7.4 14.5
-0.77 7.4 15.1
.0.85 7.2 15.7
-0.94 6.9 16.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (mates per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertili (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
. Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
.,
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revbion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
ETHIOPIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
213876 107 386 106490 17.3
251734 126 418 125315 17.3
297356 149 325 148031 17.2
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
2 044 2.48 40.6 15.6 .0.2 5.67 2.01
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 783 2.18 37.3 15.3 -0.2 5.17 1.83
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
77431 38 514 38917 17.5
88160 43 923 44236 17.8
101086 50 458 50628 17.8
116513 58 268 58244 17.6
134808 67 522 67286 17.4
156536 78 494 78042 17.3
182537 91 605 90932 17.3
2005-2OlO 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
2.60 41.8 15.7
2.74 42.3 14.9
2.84 42.2 13.8
2.92 41.6 12.4
2.99 41-0 11.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
3.07 40.7 10.0
3.17 40.7 9.0
3.26 40.7 8.1
3.33 40.6 7.4
Indicator
.
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population(thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
8 0.90 23.5 6.4 -8.1 2.95 1 .38
8 0.84 22.8 6.6 -7.7 2.93 1.37
7 0.72 21.6 7.0 -7.4 2.89 1 .36
7 0.75 19.9 7.3 -5.l 2.77 1 .30
6 0.61 18.6 7.6 -4.9 2.67 1.26
5 0.52 17.8 7.8 -4.8 2.58 1.22
5 0.45 17.3 8.l -4.7 2.50 1.19
4 0.39 16.9 8.4 -4.6 2.43 1.16
3 0.30 16.2 8.7 -4.5 2.37 1.13
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT
Poputatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
4 0.52 19.7 6.4 .8.2 2.45 1.15
2 0.24 17.1 6.7 -8.0 2.13 1 .00
0 -0.01 15.1 7.3 .8.0 1.89 0.89
0 0.04 14.1 8.0 .5.7 l .77 0.83
.1 -0.11 13.2 8.6 .5.7 1.67 0.79
.2 -0.27 12.1 9.1 .5.7 1 .58 0.75
.4 -0.51 10.6 9.9 .5.9 1.50 0.71
.6 4.77 9.2 10.8 .6.0 1.43 0.68
.8 .1.02 8.0 11.9 .6.3 1.37 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
848
1226 621 605 30.9
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
431 417 24.5
887 451 436 25.9
926 470 455 27.0
962 489 474 27.9
1006 510 496 28.6
1049 532 517 29.3
1092 553 539 29.6
1136 575 560 30.1
1181 598 583 30.5
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.90 23.5 6.4
0.86 22.9 6.6
0.78 22.1 7.0
0.89 21.3 7.3
0.83 20.7 7.5
0.81 20.4 7.6
0.79 20.2 7.8
0.78 20.0 7.9
0.76 19.8 8.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
A ESTIMATES 1960
1965
1970
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km)
...........
.................. .................. ......... ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expuctancy at birth (yeam) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..........
.
8 MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total Males Femdes ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage in school ages 6-11 Percentage in school ages 12-14 Percentage in school ages 1517 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km)
.................................................... ................................................... ........... ............................
.................. .................. .................. ............ .......... .......... ......... ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 Mrths) Life expectancy at birth (ysur) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.....................
............. .... .. ...
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: CompreS,ensive Tabks
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
5 164 2 558 2606 47.0
Populatbn (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5 14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
20 0.37 11.9 9.7 1.5 1.97 0.95
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Aga distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Pmentage of vvomen aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. C& birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
..
4 0.07 9.0 9.8 1.5 1.47 0.71
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT Population(thousands) Total .................................................... M W ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) .............
Cnrde birth rate (per 1.000 population) ....
Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
5 249 2 570 2679 40.9
5 308 2 606 2702 42.2
5 355 2 634 2721 43.1
5 388 2 653 2734 43.7
5 400 2 661 2739 44.4
5 386 2 654 2732 45.2
5 347 2 635 2712 45.8
5 290 2 609 2681 46.4
5 226 2 582 2644 46.8
0.22 10.5 9.8
0.18 10.4 10.1
0.12 10.3 10.6
0.05 10.1 11.1
-0.05 9.7 11.7
-0.15 9.4 12.4
-0.21 9.3 12.9
-0.24 9.3 13.2
-0.24 9.3 13.2
.
(') IncludingAIand Wands
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Indicator Poputatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
A. ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
41 829 20 105 21 723 92.6
43 428 20 971 22 457 93.4
45 684 22 162 23 522 94.2
48 758 23 737 25 021 94.9
50 772 24 792 25 980 95.4
52 699 25 807 26 892 96.0
53 880 26 312 27 568 95.4
55 284 26 956 28 329 95.2
56 735 27 622 29 113 94.9
58 203 28 300 29 903 94.6
59 278 28 847 30 431 94.8
9.5 13.2 15.2 16.2 11.4 1.7 47.3 34.5 76
9.0 15.4 13.7 16.3 11.6 1.8 44.9 32.9 79
8.8 17.6 12.4 16.8 11.6 2.0 42.6 33.0 83
8.7 16.9 14.5 17.5 12.1 2.1 43.4 32.7 .88
8.3 16.5 16.4 18.1 12.9 2.3 46.1 32.3 92
7.8 16.1 16.1 18.3 13.5 2.5 46.2 31.6 96
6.9 15.4 15.8 17.2 14.0 3.1 46.9 32.5 98
6.9 14.3 15.5 18.2 13.0 3.3 47.6 33.7 100
6.7 13.6 15.0 19.1 14.0 3.8 48.6 34.7 103
6.1 13.2 13.6 20.5 15.6 4.3 48.9 36.6 106
6.2 12.5 13.0 20.8 16.3 3.9 47.3 38.0 107
Population change per year (thousands) ..
Births per year (thousands) .....................
Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility @erwoman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infantmortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km)................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migrationper year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 popuiation) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Femates ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsfPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
FRANCE
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
306 0.50 13.5 9.5 1 .0 2.10 1.01
.
D LOW VARIANT Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
110 0.18 10.4 9.6 1 .0 1.60 0.n
8
0.01 9.1 9.9 1 .0 1.45 0.70
. 64 -0.11 8.3 10.3 1 .0 1.35 0.65
-93 -0.15 8.2 10.8 1 .0 1.35 0.65
-123 -0.21 8.2 11.2 1 .0 1.35 0.65
-169 -0.29 8.1 11.9 1 .0 1.35 0.65
-235 -0.40 7.7 12.8 1 .0 1.35 0.65
-307 -0.54 7.l 13.6 1 .1 1.35 0.65
. 358
-0.65 6.7 14.2 1 .1 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ............................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population)
..
60 496 29463 31 033 39.3
61 490 29963 31 527 40.5
62 278 30356 31 922 41.6
62 879 30655 32 224 42.6
63 333 30875 32 458 43.3
63 659 31015 32 644 44.1
63 800 31056 32 744 44.7
63 707 30992 32 715 44.9
63 406 30854 32 552 45.2
0.33 11.8 9.6
0.26 11.4 9.8
0.19 11.1 10.1
0.14 10.8 10.3
0.10 10.7 10.6
0.04 10.6 11.1
-0.03 10.5 11.7
-0.10 10.3 12.2
-0.14 10.2 12.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revkion. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
62 977 30682 32 295 45.6
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Poputation (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
........................... ..................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6 11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of w m n aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
...
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
FRENCH GUIANA C. HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
.
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
518 261 257 26.9
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-1 4 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migrationrate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
5 2.41 23.8 3.7 4.0 3.28 1.57
.
D LOW VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per l. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
4 2.07 20.3 3.7 4.1 2.78 1.33
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
187 96 91 24.0
212 108 104 24.8
240 122 118 25.4
271 1 38 133 26.2
305 155 151 26.7
341 172 1 69 26.8
380 191 188 26.7
421 212 209 26.7
467 235 232 26.8
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
2.50 24.7 3.7
2.49 25.2 3.9
2.45 25.5 4.1
2.35 25.1 4.4
2.23 24.4 4.7
2.14 24.1 4.9
2.09 24.1 5.1
2.07 24.2 5.3
2.05 24.2 5.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
A. ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio (males per 100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population densiry (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
61 31 30 105.2
36 34
69
93 48 45 105.4
111 57 54 105.5
130 68 62 109.1
151 79 72 109.8
1 74
105.3
79 41 39 105.3
91 83 108.8
195 102 94 108.5
21 6 112 104 108.1
236 122 114 106.6
17.5 27.1 17.7 4.4 2.6 0.2 45.4 17.8 15
17.4 27.1 17.6 4.4 2.6 0.2 45.4 17.8 17
17.5 27.1 17.6 4.4 2.6 0.2 45.4 17.8 20
17.6 28.4 17.2 4.3 2.4 0.2 44.5 17.0 23
17.6 28.4 17.2 4.3 2.4 0.2 44.5 17.0 28
14.2 27.8 20.3 4.9 2.9 0.5 46.8 18.7 32
13.6 26.3 20.8 4.8 2.9 0.4 48.7 19.4 38
13.5 24.0 21.1 4.8 3.0 0.3 50.9 20.5 44
12.7 22.7 20.3 5.3 3.2 0.4 52.4 22.1 49
10.1 23.8 17.9 6.0 3.7 0.5 52.8 24.0 54
10.1 21.3 17.9 6.8 4.3 0.5 54.7 25.4 59
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy et birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
FRENCH POLYNESIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
414 207 207 35.3
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dbtribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
4 1 .52 20.2 5.0 0.0 2.51 1.20
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
3
1 .14
16.4 5.0 0.0 2.01 0.96
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
257 131 125 26.9
276 141 135 28.1
295 150 145 29.4
315 160 155 31.1
333 168 165 32.3
351 177 174 33.2
367 1 84 1 83 34.0
383 192 191 34.4
399 200 1 99 34.9
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.44 19.4 5.0
1 .38 19.1 5.3
1.27 18.3 5.6
1.14 17.4 6.0
1.01 16.6 6.5
0.92 16.2 7.0
0.86 16.1 7.5
0.80 16.0 8.0
0.74 15.8 8.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
GABON
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Populrtlon(thou#ndr) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Ago diWbution Percentageaged 0-4............................ Percentaga aged 514 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude bifih rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertitii (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) Uh exp.ctMy at Mrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Bdfi sexes oombined ............................
......
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thoumds) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Ag. dlstrlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentagein school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. m l a t i o n density (per sq km) ................
2005-2010
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populath growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migratii rate (per l.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... ut.expectanay at Mrth (years) Males ................................................... F........................................ Bdh sew combined ............................
23 41 19 0 1.58 28.8 13.0 0.0 3.53 1.39 51 88
53.1 53.6
53.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
GABON
.
C HIGH VARIANT
mkator Popu-(-w Total ..................................................... Males
................................................... Females ............................................... diclblbutlon Peroentage aged 0-4 ............................
Percentege aged $1 4 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentege aged W or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentaged wwnerr aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years)
................................. ..
Populetionchange per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude Mrth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per wwnan) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
1 384 689 695
1 511 755 756
1 643 824 819
1 781 897 884
1 919 969 949
2 061 1044 1017
2 210 1122 1088
2 369 1204 1165
2 537 1290 1247
14.0 26.1 20.6 6.2 4.4 0.8 48.3 19.4
13.7 24.4 21.7 6.2 4.2 0.8 49.8 20.2
13.5 23.5 21.4 6.7 4.3 0.8 50.2 21.0
13.2 23.4 20.2 7.1 4.7 0.7 50.1 21.6
12.4 23.4 19.7 7.5 5.1 0.8 50.4 22.1
11.8 22.7 19.9 7.8 5.5 0.9 51.4 22.7
11.3 21.5 20.0 8.1 5.7 1.0 52.5 23.5
11.0 20.6 19.5 8.3 5.9 1.1 52.9 24.4
10.6 20.0 18.6 8.7 6.1 1.2 52.6 25.5
25 1.76 30.7 13.1 0.0 3.78 1.49
26 1.67 29.8 13.0 0.0 3.57 1.42
28 1.61 28.7 12.6 0.0 3.39 1.39
28 1.49 26.7 11.8 0.0 3.18 1.35
28 1.43 25.2 10.9 0.0 3.01 1.31
30 1.40 24.1 10.2 0.0 2.87 1.28
32 1.39 23.3 9.4 0.0 2.75 1.25
34 1.37 22.4 8.7 0.0 2.65 1.22
35 1.33 21.3 8.1 0.0 2.57 1.19
9 0.51 16.7 11.6 0.0 1.87 0.83
7 0.41 15.2 11.1 0.0 1.75 0.79
6 0.33 13.8 10.5 0.0 1.65 0.76
5 0.26 12.6 10.1 0.0 1.57 0.73
.
D LOW VARIANT Papuktion (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Afp di8tribution Percentaga aged 04 ............................ Percentage aged 514 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thwsands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... rate (per 1.000 population) .. C ~ d death e Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total f e t i i (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman)
..........
20 1.40 26.9 12.9 0.0 3.28 1.29
17 1.09 23.9 13.0 0.0 2.77 1.10
14 0.87 21.6 12.9 0.0 2.39 0.98
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
1384 689 695 19.4
1524 761 762 20.0
1682 844
1859 936 923 20.5
2057 1 039 1018 20.2
2284 1 156 1127 20.1
2548 1 293 1256 20.4
2859 1 451 1407 20.6
3219 1 634 1585 20.7
13 0.76 20.1 12.6 0.0 2.18 0.92
11 0.64 18.5 12.0 0.0 2.01 0.88
.
E CONSTANT-FERTIUTV VARIANT Popuktlon (thouwndo) Total ................................................ M& ...................................................
Females ...............................................
Medien age (years) .................................
838
20.4
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.............
Populetion growttr rate (per cent) C& M h rate @er 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1.93 32.4 13.1
1.98 32.8 13.1
2.01 32.5 12.4
2.02 31.7 11.5
2.09 31.2 10.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division W o M Populetion Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tab&
2.19 31.3 9.4
2.30 31.4 8.5
2.38 31.3 7.6
2.43 31 1 6.8
.
GAMBIA A. ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentagg aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
.........................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
1517 752 765
1720 854 866
1930 960 970
2148 1070 1 078
2375 1185 1 190
2613 1 1
2859
3113
3370
15.2 24.9 18.9 6.0 3.7 0.4 47.9 19.8
14.7 24.6 19.1 6.3 4.0 0.4 48.2 20.3
14.0 24.2 19.2 6.6 4.3 0.5 48.7 20.9
13.3 23.6 19.3 7.0 4.6 0.6 49.3 21.6
12.6 22.8 19.3 7.5 4.9 0.7 50.1 22.4
23.3
24.3
25.2
26.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
41 2.51 34.1 10.9 1.8 4.42 1.80
42 2.30 31.9 9.8 0.9 4.06 1.70
45 2.01 28.1 8.2 0.2 3.46 1.51
44 2.14 30.0 8.9 0.3 3.76 1.61
48 1.91 26.5 7.7 0.2 3.23 1.44
49 1.80 25.2 7.3 0.2 3.05 1.38
51 1.70 23.8 7.1 0.2 2.91 1.33
51 1.59 22.6 6.9 0.2 2.79 1.29
52 1.48 21.5 6.8 0.1 2.68 1.26
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Totat .............................. ..................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude binh rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
35 2.18 30.6 10.7 1.9 3.92 1.59
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon(thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Cmde birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1 517 752 765 19.8
1 737 862 874 20.1
1 986 988 998 20.1
2 271 1132 1139 20.0
2 600 1299 1301 19.9
2 982 1492 1490 19.8
3 429 1717 1712 19.8
3 951 1980 1971 19.8
4 562 2288 2275 19.8
2.70 36.2 11.0
2.69 36.0 10.0
2.68 35.6 9.1
2.71 35.1 8.3
2.74 34.8 7.6
2.79 34.7 7.0
2.84 34.7 6.5
2.88 34.7 6.1
2.91 34.6 5.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 RevWon. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
5 276 2646 2630 19.7
A ESTIMATES Indicator
1950
1955
1965
1960
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlddbutton Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Lits expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... LHe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division
Worid Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
GEORGIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
4474 2114 2 360
4340 2047 2 293
4286 2024 2 262
4232 2001 2 230
4149 1963 2 186
4046 1915 2 131
3938 1866 2 073
3838 1822 2 016
3744 1785 1 959
5.4 13.5 16.5 17.9 14.3 2.1 51.0 35.5
6.0 11.3 16.1 18.6 13.9 3.0 49.6 36.9
6.4 11.4 13.3 19.8 14.0 3.2 46.2 37.7
6.5 12.5 11.0 21-8 15.2 3.9 43.9 38.5
6.0 13.0 11.2 24.2 17.1 3.4 42.4 39.7
5.6 12.7 12.4 25.2 19.4 3.6 41.3 41.4
5.7 11.8 13.1 26.1 20.2 4.4 40.1 42.8
6.2 11.5 12.7 26.9 20.8 5.4 37.9 43.3
6.6 12.1 11.8 27.8 21.2 6.4 36.1 42.1
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
..
-27 .0.61 12.6 11.8 .6.8 1.64 0.74
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
-11 -0.25 13.3 12.3 .3.5 1.78 0.81
. 11 -0.26 13.5 12.5 .3.5 1.95 0.90
.l6 -0.39 12.3 12.6 .3.6 2.02 0.94
. 21 -0.51 11.5 12.9 .3.7 2.09 0.98
.22 -0.54 11.7 13.3 .3.8 2.16 1.01
-20 -0.52 12.6 13.9 .3.9 2.23 1.05
-19
.0.50
13.5 14.5 -4.0 2.30 1.08
. 19 -0.52 13.5 14.7 -4.1
2.35 1.11
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2OO!X!OlO 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowthrate(percent)............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
.43
-0.99 8.8 11.8 .6.9 1.14 0.52
. 36 .0.86 7.6 12.5 .3.6 0.98 0.45
. 39 -0.98 7.1 13.1 .3.8 0.95 0.44
-40 .1.07 7.0 13.8 -4.0 1.02 0.48
-43 .1.21 6.6 14.5 .4.2 1.09 0.51
-47 .1.40 6.0 15.6 -4.5 1.16 0.54
-51 .l65 5.5 17.1 -4.8 1.23 0.58
. 54 .1.91 5.1 18.9 .5.3 1.30 0.61
. 55 .2.16 4.9 20.7 .5.8 1.35 0.64
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
4474 2 114 2 360 35.5
4315 2 034 2 281 37.1
4214 1 987 2 228 38.3
4089 1 927 2 162 39.7
3938 1 853 2 084 41.5
3766 l 770 1 996 43.7
3577 1 679 1 898 46.0
3372 l 582 1 790 48.2
3150 1 479 1 672 50.2
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
-0.73 11.4 11.8
.0.47 11.2 12.4
.0.76 9.3 13.1
-0.89 8.5 13.5
.1.03 8.1 14.3
-1.18 7.9 15.4
-136 7.6 16.6
.1.53 7.2 17.6
.
.0.60 10.3 12.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
68 376 31 493 36 883 85.4
70 326 32 573 37 753 86.3
72 815 33 866 38 949 86.9
75 964 35 763 40 200 89.0
78 169 36 935 41 234 89.6
78 674 37 319 41 354 90.2
78 289 37 257 41 032 90.8
77 685 37 059 40 626 91.2
79 433 38 309 41 124 93.2
81 661 39 731 41 930 94.8
82 344 40 159 42 185 95.2
6.6 16.6 14.3 14.6 9.7 1.0 50.6 35.4 192
7.4 13.8 15.8 15.8 10.7 1.3 49.6 34.5 197
7.8 13.4 15.8 17.3 11.5 1.6 46.6 34.7 204
8.5 14.4 13.1 18.8 12.5 1.8 43.5 34.4 213
7.7 15.6 12.8 19.9 13.7 1.9 44.4 34.3 219
5.6 16.0 14.5 20.4 14.8 2.2 45.0 35.4 220
5.1 13.4 16.1 19.3 15.6 2.8 47.0 36.4 219
5.3 10.7 16.5 19.9 14.6 3.2 48.8 37.1 218
5.6 10.5 13.7 20.4 15.0 3.8 47.2 37.7 222
5.0 11.2 11.3 20.9 15.5 4.1 46.6 38.4 229
4.8 10.8 11.1 23.3 16.4 3.5 46.8 40.0 231
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT . Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsiPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
GERMANY
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
76 047 36682 39 365 50.2
74 086 35607 38 479 50.8
71 961 34477 37 484 51.2
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
123 0.15 9.5 10.7 2.7 1.59 0.77
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. .
118 .0.14 6.7 10.8 2.7 1.09 0.53
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
82 689 40388 42 301 42.1
82 638 40380 42 258 44.1
82 218 40157 42 060 46.1
81 553 39775 41 778 47.2
80 601 39227 41 375 47.8
79 349 38514 40 835 48.4
77 815 37659 40 156 49.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
.0.01 8.0 10.8
.0.1 0 7.9 11.3
.0.1 6 7.9 11.9
.0.24 7.6 12.4
.0.31 7.3 12.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.0.39 7.0 13.4
.0.46 6.8 14.0
.0.52 6.8 14.7
.0.58 6.8 15.4
Indicator
.
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5 1 4 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
GHANA C. HIGH VARtANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
22 113 11191 10 921
24 521 12428 12 093
27 151 13775 13 376
29 908 15183 14 726
32 667 16586 16 081
35 448 17996 17 453
38 307 19440 18 868
41 273 20932 20 341
44 306 22453 21 853
47 331 23963 23 368
14.0 25.0 21.4 5.7 3.7 0.5 49.6 19.8
13.9 23.6 20.9 6.1 3.9
13.5 23.1 19.8 6.4 4.3 0.6 50.8 21.7
12.8 22.9 18.9 6.8 4.5 0.6 51.O 22.4
11.9 22.4 18.8 7.3 4.8 0.7 51.4 23.2
11.2 21.5 19.0 7.8 5.2 0.8 52.0 24.1
10.8 20.3 18.9 8.5 5.6 0.9 52.1 25.0
10.4 19.4 18.2 9.3 6.2 1 .o 51.7 26.2
10.1 18.9 17.4 10.5 6.9 1 .I 51.1 27.2
9.6 18.4 16.8 11.7 7.9 1.2 50.8 28.3
0.5
50.5 20.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 ~
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 .OOO population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
482 2.07 31.4 10.4 -0.4 4.09 1.64
526 2.04 30.2 9.7 -0.2 3.79 1.56
552
552 1 .n 26.2 8.4 -0.1 3.31 1.43
1.94 28.5 9.0 -0.1 3.56 1.51
556 1.63 24.4 7.9 -0.1 3.12 1.38
~~
572 1.55 23.2 7.6 -0.1 2.96 1.33
593 1.49 22.4 7.4 -0.1 2.83 1.29
607 1.42 21.5 7.2 -0.1 2.72 1.25
605 1.32 20.4 7.1 -0.1 2.62 1.22
0. LOWVARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dtstribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
22113 11 191 10921
24104 12215 11 889
25 973 13 173 12 800
27 670 14 040 13 630
29 263 14 849 14 414
30 722 15 586 15 136
31 999 16 226 15 773
33 054 16 748 16 306
33 868 17 140 16 728
34 443 17 405 17 038
14.0 25.0 21.4 5.7 3.7 0.5 49.6 19.8
12.4 24.0 21.3 6.2 4.0 0.5 51.4 21.3
11.1 22.6 20.7 6.7 4.4 0.6 53.1 22.8
10.0 20.6 20.4 7.3 4.9 0.7 55.1 24.5
9.3 18.9 19.7 8.1 5.4 0.8 56.0 26.2
8.6 17.5 18.2 8.9 6.0 0.9 56.2 28.1
7.8 16.4 17.0 10.1 6.7 1.1 55.5 30.0
7.1 15.4 16.0 11.6 7.7 1.2 54.4 32.0
6.4 14.2 15.4 13.8 9.0 1.4 53.2 34.0
5.9 13.0 14.6 16.1 10.9 1.7 51.9 35.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1 ,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 ,OOO population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
398 1.72 27.8 10.2 -0.4 3.59 1.44
374 1.49 24.6 9.5 -0.2 2.99 1.23
339 1.27 21.8 9.0 -0.1 2.56 1.08
319 1.12 20.0 8.7 -0.1 2.31 1.oo
292 0.97 18.3 8.4 -0.1 2.12 0.94
255 0.82 16.6 8.3 -0.1 1.96 0.88
21 1 0.65 14.9 8.3 -0.1 1.83 0.83
I63 0.49 13.4 8.4 1.72 0.79
115 0.34 12.2 8.7 -0.1 1.62 0.76
-0.1
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
22113 1 1 191 10 921 19.8
24714 12 527 12 187 20.6
27787 14 099 13 687 21.1
31261 15 873 15 388 21.2
35125 17 840 17 285 21.1
39446 20 034 19 412 21.2
44357 22 523 21 835 21.4
49997 25 376 24 622 21.6
56476 28 650 27 827 21.7
63885 32 389 31 495 21.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 ~~
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000population) ..
2.22 33.1
10.4
2.34 33.3 9.8
2.36 32.7 9.1
2.33 31.8 8.4
2.32 31.O 7.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.35 30.7 7.2
~
2.39 30.8 6.8
~
2.44 30.8 6.4
~~
2.47 30.7 6.0
223
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
7 566 3687 3879 95.1
7 966 3889 4077 95.4
8 334 4067 4266 95.3
8 551 4158 4393 94.7
8 793 4292 4501 95.4
9 047 4432 4615 96.0
9 643 4733 4909 96.4
9 934 4887 5047 96.8
10 160 5006 5154 97.1
10 657 5264 5393 97.6
10 975 5423 5552 97.7
9.8 18.8 19.9 10.0 6.8 10 53.3 26.0 57
9.2 17.2 19.2 10.8 7.4 1.1 53.5 27.5 60
9.1 17.4 16.4 12.1 8.3 1.3 51.3 29.1 63
8.4 17.0 15.4 13.2 8.9 1.5 50.8 30.7 65
8.8 16.1 14.7 16.3 11.1 2.0 47.9 33.4 67
7.6 16.3 14.8 17.4 12.2 2.1 48.1 33.9 69
7.4 15.4 14.8 17.5 13.1 2.3 47.5 34.2 73
6.9 14.4 15.1 17.8 13.3 2.4 47.1 35.1 75
5.4 13.8 15.2 20.0 13.7 3.0 47.1 36.1 77
4.9 11.9 15.2 21-3 15.2 3.2 49.3 37.0 81
4.8 10.4 14.4 22.6 16.8 3.2 49.4 38.3 83
.
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume /: Comprehensive Tables
GREECE
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
11120 5 494 5 626
11302 5 590 5 712
11472 5 683 5 789
11616 5 766 5 850
11720 5 830 5 890
11814 5 887 5 927
11922 5 949 5 973
12058 6 024 6 034
12214 6 109 6 105
4.6 9.7 12.4 23.0 18.2 3.6 48.6 39.7
5.3 9.3 10.6 24.0 18.2 4.7 46.6 41.2
5.4 9.8 9.8 24.8 18.9 5.4 44.6 42.5
5.4 10.6 9.5 25.9 19.5 5.8 41.9 43.7
5.1 10.8 10.1 27.0 20.6 5.5 40.2 45.0
5.1 10.6 10.9 28.9 21.7 5.9 38.6 46.0
5.4 10.3 11.1 30.6 23.4 6.4 37.7 46.1
5.7 10.5 10.8 32.1 24.7 7.0 37.5 45.6
6.1 1 1 .0 10.5 32.6 26.0 7.5 37.6 44.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
36 0.33 10.6 10.5 3.1 1.50 0.72
34 0.30 10.9 1 1 .0 3.1 1.69 0.81
29 0.25 10.8 11.4 3.0 1.86 0.89
21 0.18 10.3 11.5 3.0 1.93 0.92
19 0.16 10.3 11.6 3.0 2.00 0.96
22 0.18 10.7 11.9 2.9 2.07 0.99
27 0.23 11.5 12.2 2.9 2.14 1 .M
31 0.26 12.3 12.6 2.9 2.21 1.06
32 0.26 12.6 12.9 2.8 2.28 1.09
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per I.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
.3 .0.02 7.2 10.6 3.1 1.00 0.48
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
11120 5 494 5 626 39.7
11203 5 539 5 664 41.5
11209 5 547 5 662 43.2
l1146 5 524 5 622 45.0
11036 5 477 5 560 46.9
10898 5 414 5 484 48.7
10730 5 334 5 396 50.2
10520 5 230 5 289 51.2
10260 5 101 5 159 51.8
0.15 8.9 10.5
0.01 8.2 11.2
6.11 7.5 11.7
.0.20 7.0 12.1
.0.25 6.7 12.5
-0.31 6.6 13.0
.0.40 6.5 13.7
.0.50 6.3 14.6
.0.61 6.0 15.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
210 101 109 92.7
236 115 121 95.0
275 1 35 140 96.4
300 148 1 53 96.8
320 157 163 96.4
329 161 168 95.8
327 160 1 67 95.9
355 1 74 181 95.7
391 191 200 95.6
409 199 210 94.6
430 208 222 93.8
17.1 22.4 17.1 6.7 4.3 0.5 47.7 20.9 123
16.5 24.6 16.5 6.8 4.7 0.4 45.5 20.3 1 38
16.5 26.6 15.3 7.3 5.1 0.4 43.6 19.1 161
16.4 27.9 18.6 6.5 4.2 0.7 43.0 17.6 176
15.5 27.3 19.7 7.2 4.8 0.9 43.8 18.2 188
13.6 28.3 18.4 8.7 5.8 1 .1 42.4 18.5 193
9.1 24.1 21.4 10.1 7.0 1.3 48.9 22.4 192
9.1 20.8 20.7 10.7 7.6 1.5 51.5 24.7 208
8.9 17.8 19.9 11.3 8.2 1.7 54.0 26.9 229
9.0 17.2 15.7 12.0 8.7 1.9 53.6 29.4 240
8.7 17.1 12.2 12.8 9.4 2.2 52.2 31.8 252
Pppulation change per year (thousands) .. B~rthsper year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 1 5 17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertili (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
4 0.77 15.5 6.3 .1.5 2.23 1 08
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 0.43 12.2 6.3 .1.5 1.73 0.84
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
448 216 232 34.1
463 223 240 36.3
475 228 247 37.9
486 233 254 38.7
497 237 260 39.7
505 240 265 40.8
510 242 268 42.0
512 242 270 43.3
510 240 269 44.3
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.65 14.4 6.3
0.51 13.2 6.6
0.46 13.0 7.0
0.42 13.1 7.5
0.34 12.9 8.1
0.20 12.3 8.9
0.05 11.7 9.8
-0.08 11.3 10.7
-0.18 11.2 11.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
505 238 267 45.1
GUAM
A. ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(ma1esper 100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
60 40 19 210.7
63 40 23 171.5
67 39 28 140.5
76 43 33 132.8
85 48 38 125.4
95 51 44 116.8
107 56 51 108.8
119 63 56 111.5
134 71 63 114.0
146 76 70 108.8
155 79 76 104.3
12.7 14.4 31.1 2.2 1.3 0.2 51.3 22.8 109
14.6 19.5 24.0 2.4 1.5 0.2 47.8 22.2 115
16.1 24.5 17.5 2.7 1.6 0.2 44.3 20.9 123
14.9 25.3 19.5 2.8 1.7 0.2 46.5 20.6 138
13.7 26.0 21.6 3.0 1.7 0.2 48.6 20.4 156
13.0 24.3 21.2 3.8 2.3 0.3 51.O 21.2 174
12.3 22.6 20.9 4.6 2.8 0.3 53.4 22.3 194
11.8 20.6 20.4 5.5 3.3 0.4 54.2 23.7 218
11.6 18.6 20.0 6.5 3.9 0.5 54.7 24.9 244
12.0 18.9 16.6 7.3 4.7 0.5 53.9 26.3 265
11.2 19.2 15.6 8.2 5.4 0.5 53.0 27.4 283
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant inortality rate (per 1,000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
1 2 1 1.11 31-8 8.9 5.53 2.41 83 55.4 59.7 57.0
1 2 1 1.35 34.5 7.7
5.83 2.60 71 57.9 62.2 59.5
2 3 0 2.37 36.0 6.4 6.03 2.75
60
2 3 0 2.37 32.0 5.6 4.72 2.19 50
2 3 0 2.20 31.5 4.6 4.12 1.93 41
60.4 64.7 62.1
62.6 67.1 64.5
64.6 69.2 66.6
2
34
3 3 0 2.28 26.9 3.8 3.08 1.46 29
3 3 0 2.28 26.0 3.9 3.14 1.50 24
2 4 1 1.67 26.0 4.7 3.10 1.48 12
4 1 1.30 25.6 4.6 3.20 1.53 11
3 4 1 1.76 22.3 4.7 2.95 1.41 10
66.4 71.O 68.4
67.9 72.5 69.9
69.2 73.8 71.3
70.4 75.0 72.6
71.4 76.0 73.5
72.4 77.0 74.6
3 0 2.22 29.0 4.1 3.52 1.66
2
B. MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
f 70 86 83 103.8
182 93
194 98 96 102.8
206 104 102 102.4
217 110 107 102.0
227 115 113 101.7
236 119 117 101.3
243 122 121 101.0
249 125 124 100.7
254 127 126 100.6
8.7 17.8 17.0 12.1 7.9 1.2 10.6 5.6 5.5 9.9 49.4 29.5 354
8.4 16.3 17.1 14.2 9.4 1.4 9.8 4.9 5.2 10.3 48.7 30.5 375
8.1 15.7 15.9 16.2 11.1 1.6 9.5 4.6 4.6 9.7 47.8 31.6 396
7.7 15.4 14.7 18.3 12.9 2.1 9.3 4.5 4.5 8.8 47.7 32.9 414
7.2 14.9 14.4 19.5 14.6 2.7 9.0 4.5 4.4 8.6 47.8 34.3 430
6.7 14.2 14.3 20.0 15.6 3.5 8.5 4.3 4.4 8.6 47.6 35.7 443
6.4 13.4 14.1 20.5 15.9 4.2 8.0 4.1 4.2 8.5 47.2 36.9 453
6.1 12.7 13.6 21.4 16.2 4.9 7.6 3.9 4.0 8.2 46.3 37.9 462
10.5 19.5 15.7 8.9 6.1 0.7 12.0 5.4 5.2 9.1 51.5 28.1 309
90 103.2 9.2 19.4 16.3 10.4 6.7 1.o 11.8 5.7 5.2 9.6
50.3 28.7 332
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 ~~
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1,000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
228
2
3 3 1 0 1.43 19.3 5.0 0.0 2.67 1.28 9 10
2 3 1 0 1.27 18.1 5.4 0.0 2.50 1.20 8 9
3 1 0 1.17 17.4 5.8 0.0 2.37 1.14 7 8
73.3 77.9 75.5
74.0 78.8 76.3
74.8 79.5 77.1
2 4 1 0 1.07 16.8 6.1 0.0 2.25 1.08 7 8
2 4 1 0 0.93 15.9 6.6 0.0 2.15 1.03 6 7
2 3 2 0 0.75 14.7 7.2 0.0 2.06 0.99 6 7
1 3 2 0 0.59 13.7 7.8 0.0 1.99 0.96 6 7
1 3 2 0 0.46 13.0 8.4 0.0 1.92 0.92 5 6
1 3 2 0 0.37 12.5 8.8 0.0 1.86 0.90 5 6
75.5 80.2
76.1 80.8 78.4
76.7 81.5 79.0
77.3 82.0 79.6
77.9 82.6 80.2
78.4 83.1 80.8
77.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Popuiation Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
GUAM
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2015
2020
2025
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
3 1.60 21.0 5.0 0.0 2.92 1.40
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 1.26 17.6 5.0 0.0 2.42 1.16
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
170 86 83 28.1
1 84 93 91 28.4
199 101 98 28.6
21 5 109 106 29.0
232 117 115 29.3
249 126 123 29.7
267 135 1 33 29.9
286 144 142 29.9
306 154 152 29.8
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.63 21.2 5.0
1.57 21 .0 5.3
1.54 21 .0 5.6
1.51 21 .0 5.9
1.46 20.7 6.2
1.40 20.5 6.5
1.35 20.4 6.9
1.34 20.4 7.1
1.34 20.5 7.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
327 165 162 29.8
GUATEMALA
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
GUATEMALA C. HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
12 599
14 335
16 221
18 208
20 216
22 237
24 264
26 274
28 235
2050
347 2.58 35.0 6.3 -3.0 4.40 2.00
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2OlO 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
298 2.24 31.5 6.2 -3.0 3.90 l .77
285 1.93 27.9 5.9 -2.7 3.31 1.52
247 1.42 21.9 5.5 -2.3 2.42 1.13
265 1.64 24.5 5.6 .2.5 2.79 1.30
218 1.17 19.2 5.4 .2.1 2.1 1 0.99
180 0.92 16.7 5.4 -2.0 1.85 0.87
139 0.68 14.3 5.6 -2.0 1.64 0.78
97 0.46 12.4 5.9 .1.9 1.47 0.70
56 0.26 10.8 6.3 -1.9 1.35 0.64
33 791 16623 17 167 19.4
39 072 19274 19 798 19.5
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
12 599 6139 6 460 18.1
14 435 7029 7 405 18.4
16 601 8087 8 513 18.6
19 1 1 6 9323 9 793 18.7
22 008 10751 11 257 18.8
25 352 12410 12 942 19.0
29 248 14351 14 897 19.2
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.72 36.4 6.3
2.80 36.4 5.9
2.82 35.9 5.5
2.82 35.2 5.1
2.83 34.7 4.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.86 34.5 4.4
2.89 34.3 4.2
2.90 34.1 4.0
2.91 33.9 3.9
45 192 22353 22 839 19.6
GUINEA A. ESTIMATES Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Popuiation (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................. .... ............................ Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
GUINEA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
40 575 20851 19 724 16.9
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
232 2.33 41.5 13.1 .5.1 5.75 2.17
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
201 2.03 38.2 12.8 .5.1 5.25 1 .98
252 2.28 34.7 11.7 .0.2 4.62 1.78
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
9 402 4818 4 584 18.0
10 616 5450 5 166 18.0
12 344 6347 5 997 17.8
14 412 7420 6 992 17.5
16 909 8713 8 196 17.2
19 952 10282 9 670 17.1
23 676 12196 1 1 480 17.1
28 233 14534 13 699 17.0
33 795 17382 16 413 16.9
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.43 42.5 13.2
3.02 42.6 12.3
3.10 42.3 11.2
3.20 42.0 10.0
3.31 41.9 8.8
3.42 41.9 7.7
3.52 42.0 6.8
3.60 42.0 6.0
3.66 41.9 5.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
A. ESTIMATES
Indicator Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
505 250 255 97.8
528 261 267 97.4
554 273 281 97.2
558 275 283 97.0
584 287 297 96.9
651 320 331 96.8
793 390 403 96.8
891 439 452 96.9
1016 500 515 97.0
1189 586 603 97.2
1366 674 692 97.3
14.8 22.4 18.8 5.9 3.7 0.3 50.3 21.7 14
15.6 22.2 18.3 5.5 3.4 0.3 49.8 21.5 15
15.5 22.8 17.9 5.5 3.2 0.3 49.0 21.4 15
16.3 23.2 17.5 5.5 3.3 0.3 47.4 20.8 15
17.2 23.4 17.6 5.7 3.3 0.2 46.3 19.9 16
18.4 24.3 17.4 5.9 3.4 0.2 44.6 19.0 18
18.2 25.9 17.4 5.9 3.5 0.2 43.7 18.2 22
18.2 26.5 18.0 5.7 3.5 0.2 43.5 17.6 25
18.7 26.4 18.9 5.5 3.4 0.3 43.8 17.3 28
19.1 26.7 19.0 5.2 3.3 0.3 43.8 17.0 33
19.4 27.4 18.7 5.0 3.2 0.3 43.5 16.6 38
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (yews) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division
Wodd Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
GUINEA-BISSAU
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
5 361 2674 2687 14.9
6 552 3270 3282 14.9
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 1524 .., ..................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
50 2.93 49.7 19.0 -1.4 7.10 2.41
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
47 2.77 47.9 18.8 .1.4 6.82 2.32
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
1 586 784 803 16.2
1 835 908 927 15.9
2 151 1067 1084 15.7
2 545 1264 1281 15.5
3 036 1510 1526 15.3
3 648 1816 1832 15.1
4 410 2198 2212 15.0
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.92 49.5 19.0
3.18 49.5 17.3
3.36 49.6 15.6
3.53 49.6 14.0
3.67 49.4 12.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
3.79 49.2 11.1
3.91 49.1 9.9
4.01 48.9 8.8
4.10 48.7 7.7
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per l. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1,000 births) ... Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ............................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
0
14 6
.8 0.00
19.1 8.4 -10.6 2.1 1 0.95 43
59 62.3 68.4 65.4
.2
.3
.4
.5
6
11
6
.8 4.47 14.7 8.5 -10.9 1.85 0.85 34 45
10 6 .8 4.61 14.0 8.9 -1 1.2 1.85 0.85 30 40
9 7 .8 .0.79 13.3
65.3 71.0 68.3
66.7 72.1 69.5
67.9 73.0 70.6
12
.8 .0.25 16.5 8.3 -10.7 1.95 0.89 38
52 64.0
69.9 67.0
9.6
-1 1.6 1.85 0.86 27 35
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
GUYANA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
681 332 349 38.1
646 315 331 39.6
606 296 310 41.2
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 0.22 21.2 8.5 -10.6 2.36 1.06
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.2 .0.21 16.9 8.3 -10.7 1.86 0.84
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
751 364 387 25.7
757 367 390 27.7
758 368 390 29.7
753 366 388 31.3
744 361 383 32.9
729 355 375 34.6
708 345 364 36.4
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.16 20.6 8.5
0.02 19.1 8.3
.0.12 17.7 8.4
.0.25 16.8 8.6
-0.40 16.0 9.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.0.58 15.3 10.0
.0.80 14.6 11 0
.
.1.03 13.9 12.2
.1.29 13.4 13.5
HAITI
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
3 261 1586 1675 94.7
3 508 1710 1798 95.1
3 803 1857 1946 95.4
4 143 2025 2118 95.6
4 520 2214 2306 96.0
4 920 2410 2510 96.0
5 453
2672 2781 96.1
6 129 3007 3122 96.3
6 867 3369 3498 96.3
7 391 3625 3767 96.2
7 939 3900 4038 96.6
14.6 22.2 17.3 8.2 5.2 0.5 47.3 22.4 118
15.4 22.8 17.4 8.0 5.2 0.5 46.5 21.6 126
15.6 23.8 17.4 7.8 5.0 0.5 45.7 20.8 137
15.9 24.7 17.7 7.5 4.9 0.5 45.1 19.9 149
15.6 25.4 18.4 7.2 4.7 0.5 45.4 19.5 1 63
15.5 25.6 19.0 7.0 4.6 0.5 45.9 19.3 1 77
16.6 25.2 19.3 6.6 4.3 0.5 46.1 18.9 197
17.4 25.7 19.0 6.2 4.1 0.5 45.6 18.4 221
17.2 27.2 18.6 5.8 3.8 0.5 45.0 17.8 247
14.4 28.8 20.0 5.8 3.8 0.5 46.3 18.1 266
13.8 26.7 22.2 5.9 3.9 0.6 48.6 18.8 286
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005-2010 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
123 257 112 . 21 1.40 29.1 12.7 .2.4 3.60 1.38 57 100 52.9 54.0 53.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
16104 8113 7 990 22.6
17782 8974 8 808 22.9
19674 9941 9 734 23.1
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration iate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
140 1.58 30.9 12.8 -2.4 3.85 1.47
D. LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 07 1.22 27.2 12.6 .2.4 3.35 1.28
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
8528 4202 4 326 20.0
9271 4586 4 685 21.1
10148 5040 5 108 21.4
11123 5545 5 578 21.5
12182 6092 6 090 21.5
13338 6689 6 649 21.7
14630 7356 7 275 22.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.67 31.9 12.9
1.81 32.2 12.0
1.84 31.4 11.0
1.82 30.1 10.1
1.81 29.1 9.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.85 28.6 8.6
1 .92 28.6 8.0
1 .98 28.5 7.5
2.02 28.3 7.0
HONDURAS A. ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(rnalesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1380 695 685 101.4
1610 812 799 101.6
1894 955 939 101.6
2244 1130 1114 101.4
2592 1302 1289 101.0
3016 1515 1501 101.0
3568 1793 1775 101.0
4182 2103 2079 101.2
4867 2450 2417 101.3
5625 2833 2792 101.5
6424 3236 3188 101.5
18.3 26.8 19.7 3.9 2.4 0.2 46.0 17.2 12
19.5 26.0 19.7 3.9 2.3 0.2 45.5 17.1 14
19.8 26.8 18.8 3.9 2.3 0.2 44.5 16.7 17
19.6 27.9 18.1 4.0 2.4 0.2 43.5 16.3 20
19.6 28.5 18.5 4.1 2.5 0.2 43.1 15.9 23
19.0 29.0 19.4 4.2 2.6 0.2 43.3 15.9 27
18.6 28.6 19.9 4.2 2.7 0.3 44.1 16.3 32
18.0 28.2 20.3 4.3 2.8 0.3 44.8 16.7 37
17.1 28.1 20.3 4.5 2.9 0.4 45.6 17.2 43
16.4 27.4 20.3 4.8 3.1 0.4 46.8 17.8 50
15.0 26.7 20.7 5.2 3.5 0.6 48.4 18.7 57
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT . Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1,000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
1 58 209 44
157 210
2.09 27.5 5.8 .0.8 3.31 1.49 28 43 67.2 71.4 69.2
.6
1.87 25.1 5.7 .0.7 2.95 1.34 25 39
151 209 52 .6 1.65 22.8 5.7 .0.7 2.66 1.21 22 34
141 203 56 .6 1.43 20.6 5.7 -0.6 2.42 1.11 19 30
129 196 61 .6 1.22 18.5 5.7 .0.6 2.22 1.03 17 27
11 5 186 66 .6 1.03 16.7 5.9 .0.5 2.04 0.95 15 24
99 176 71 .6 0.84 15.0 6.1 -0.5 1 .90 0.89 14 22
88 172 78 .6 0.72 14.1 6.4 .0.5 1.85 0.87 14 20
78 170 87 .6 0.62 13.5 6.9 .0.5 1.85 0.87 13 19
68.4 72.6 70.4
69.3 73.6 71.4
70.4 74.6 72.5
71.4 75.7 73.5
72.4 76.8 74.6
73.4 77.8 75.6
74.4 78.9 76.6
75.1 79.7 77.4
48
.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
HONDURAS
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
7205 3631 3 573
8070 4070 4 000
8987 4534 4 453
9924 5009 4 916
10836 5470 5 366
11722 5917 5 805
12585 6351 6 234
13416 6768 6 648
14239 7180 7 059
13.6 25.6 21.0 5.6 3.9 0.7 50.0 19.8
13.4 23.6 20.9 5.9 4.1 0.8 51.2 21.0
12.8 22.5 20.1 6.5 4.4 0.9 51.7 22.2
12.1 22.1 18.8 7.2 4.9 10 51.5 23.4
11.1 21.4 18.3 8.1 5.5 11 51.8 24.6
10.2 20.2 18.4 9.2 6.3 1.3 52.0 25.7
9.6 18.8 18.1 10.4 7.2 1.5 51.9 27.1
9.0 17.7 17.4 11.8 8.3 1.8 51.4 28.6
8.7 16.8 16.4 13.4 9.4 2.1 50.5 30.0
16050 8112 7938 23.7
17894 9045 8849 24.0
.
.
173 2.27 29.3 5.9 .0.8 3.56 1.60
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
144 1.90 25.6 5.8 .0.8 3.06 1.38
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
7205 3631 3573 19.8
8118 4094 4024 20.9
9158 4622 4537 21.7
10304 5202 5101 22.3
11542 5830 5712 22.7
12892 6514 6378 22.9
14387 7271 7116 23.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.39 30.5 5.9
2.41 30.5 5.7
2.36 29.8 5.6
2.27 28.7 5.5
2.21 27.9 5.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.20 27.6 5.2
2.19 27.4 5.2
2.18 27.2 5.1
2.15 27.0 5.1
A. ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
l960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertili (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
. Population (thousands) Total .........................................,........... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsiPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
HUNGARY
.
C HIGHVARIANT Indicator Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
10 098 4 808 5 290
10 049 4 784 5 265
10 019 4 775 5 243
9 991 4 771 5 220
9 934 4 753 5 181
9 855 4 723 5 132
9 782 4 698 5 084
9 741 4 692 5 049
9 733 4 704 5 029
9746 4725 5021
4.7 11.0
5.4 9.8 12.3 22.1 16.0 3.7 45.2 39.7
5.6 10.3 11.2 24.3 17.2 4.0 44.4 41.0
5.7 11.1 10.0 25.5 19.1 4.2 42.6 42.4
5.4 11.4 10.4 25.7 20.3 4.6 40.7 43.7
5.3 11.3 11.4 26.5 20.3 5.2 38.5 44.4
5.5 11.0 11.7 28.3 21.0 6.2 38.0 44.7
5.9 11.0 11.5 30.4 22.5 6.6 37.4 44.6
6.3 11.6 11.1 30.7 24.4 6.4 36.8 43.5
6.4 12.3 11.1 30.7 24.6 6.7 37.2 42.4
12.8 20.8 15.2 3.2 46.4 38.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
. 10 -0.10 10.9 12.8 1.0 1.53 0.74
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 OOO population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
..
- 6 -0.06 11.3 12.9 1.0 1.72 0.83
. 16 -0.16 10.7 13.3 1.0 2.03 0.98
. 11 -0.12 10.9 13.0 1.0 1.96 0.94
- 6 -0.06 11.4 12.9 1.0 1.89 0.91
. 15 -0.15 11.1 13.6 1.0 2.10 1.01
- 8 -0.08 11.9 13.8 1.0 2.17 1.04
- 2 -0.02 12.6 13.8 1.0 2.24 1.08
3 0.03 12.9 i3.7 1.0 2.31 1.11
.
D LOWVARIANT
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
10 098 4808 5 290
9 872 4 693 5 179
9584 4 552 5 031
9 261 4 397 4 864
8932 4240 4693
8587 4073 4514
8218 3896 4322
7824 3709 4115
7409 3513 3896
6989 3312 3677
4.7 11.0 12.8 20.8 15.2 3.2 46.4 38.8
3.7 10.0 12.5 22.5 16.3 3.8 45.9 40.3
3.2 8.9 11.7 25.4 17.9 4.2 46.2 42.4
2.9 7.3 10.8 27.5 20.7 4.5 45.8 44.6
3.0 6.5 9.6 28.6 22.5 5.1 43.1 47.0
3.0 6.3 8.0 30.5 23.3 6.0 39.0 49.2
3.0 6.5 7.2 33.7 25.0 7.4 36.4 50.9
2.9 6.5 7.1 37.9 28.1 8.2 34.1 52.5
2.7 6.4 7.3 40.3 32.1 8.4 31.7 54.1
2.7 6.2 7.4 42.0 34.3 9.4 30.2 55.7
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 ~
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 OOO population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
..
.45 -0.45 7.4 12.9 1.0 1.03
-58 -0.59 6.3 13.2 1.0 0.92
0.50
0.44
-66 -0.72 5.9 14.2 1.1 0.96
-65 -0.69 5.8 13.7 1.1 0.89 0.43
0.46
.
~~
~~~
. 69
.74
-0.79 5.9 15.0 1.1 1.03 0.49
-0.88 5.8 15.8 1.2 1.10
0.53
.79 -0.98 5.6 16.7 1.2 1.17 0.56
.83 -1.09 5.3 17.5 1.3 1.24 0.60
-84 -1.17 5.3 18.4 1.4 1.31 0.63
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
10 098 4 808 5 290 38.8
9 965 4 741 5 224 39.9
9 796 4 661 5 135 41.7
9 590 4 566 5 025 43.6
9 349 4 453 4 896 45.8
9 070 4 321 4 749 47.4
8 758 4 173 4 585 48.8
8 422 4 016 4 407 50.1
8 067 3 850 4 217 51.4
7 698 3 675 4 023 52.4
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050
Population growth rate(percent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) ..
.
-0.27 9.2 12.9
-0.34 8.6 13.1
-0.42 8.1 13.3
-0.51 7.5 13.7
-0.61 7.1 14.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division Wotfd Population Prospecfs: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
-0.70 6.8 14.9
-0.78 6.6 15.6
-0.86 6.4 16.2
-0.94 6.2 16.8
243
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1 43 71 72 98.6
158 80 78 102.6
176 89 87 102.3
192 97 95 102.1
204 103 101 102.3
218 110 108 102.1
228 115 113 101.7
241 121 120 101.2
255 128 127 100.8
267 1 34 133 100.6
281 141 140 100.3
12.6 18.2 16.8 10.5 7.7 1.4 48.6 26.5 1
13.3 20.3 15.2 10.8 7.0 1.3 46.2 25.8 2
13.1 21.6 14.8 11.4 8.0 1 .1 44.8 25.4
12.0 22.4 16.7 11.5 8.3 1 .0 45.3 24.3 2
10.2 22.2 18.3 12.4 8.9 1.5 46.1 24.6 2
9.8 20.2 19.3 12.7 9.2 1.9 47.8 25.4 2
9.1 18.4 19.3 13.5 9.9 2.2 49.1 26.9 2
9.1 17.3 18.3 13.9 10.1 2.4 49.9 28.0 2
8.4 16.5 16.5 14.6 10.6 2.5 51.3 30.0 2
8.5 15.9 15.7 15.1 11.2 2.6 51.3 31.5
7.6 15.7 15.2 15.0 11.6 2.7 51.1 32.8 3
2
3
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................ '
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ............................
3 4 2 0 0.84 13.7 6.4 1.1 1.93 0.93 3 4
2 4 2 0 0.74 13.0 6.7 1 .1 1.87 0.90 3 4
2 4 2 0 0.68 12.7 6.9 1 .0 1.85 0.89 3 4
2 4 2 0 0.62 12.4 7.2 1 .0 1.85 0.89 3 4
2 4 3 0 0.54 12.0 7.6 1 .0 1.85 0.89 3 3
1 4 3 0 0.42 11.5 8.2 1 .0 1.85 0.89 2 3
1 4 3 0 0.32 11.1 8.9 0.9 1.85 0.89 2 3
1 4 3 0 0.23 10.9 9.5 0.9 1.85 0.89 2 3
1 4 4 0 0.17 10.8 10.0 0.9 1.85 0.89 2 3
79.5 83.2 81.4
80.3 83.8 82.0
80.9 84.4 82.7
81.6 85.0 83.3
82.2 85.6 83.9
82.7 86.2 84.4
83.3 86.7 85.0
83.8 87.3 85.5
84.3 87.8 86.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
ICELAND
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2015
2020
2025
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
3 1.01 15.4 6.4 1 .1 2.18 1.05
3 1.01 15.6 6.6 1 .1 2.27 1.09
3 1 .00 15.6 6.7 1 .0 2.35 1.13
3 0.92 15.1 6.9 1 .0 2.35 1.13
3 0.82 14.4 7.2 0.9 2.35 1.13
3 0.74 14.1 7.6 0.9 2.35 1.13
3 0.70 14.3 8-l 0.9 2.35 1.13
3 0.69 14.6 8.5 0.8 2.35 1.13
3 0.68 14.7 8.7 0.8 2.35 1.14
372 1 84 188 41.8
378 187
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per l.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 0.66 11.9 6.5 1 .1 1.68 0.81
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
295 147 147 34.1
308 1 54 1 54 35.4
320 160 161 36.7
333 1 66 167 37.9
345 172 1 73 39.0
355 176 179 40.0
364 181 183 41.1
191
42.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.87 14.0 6.4
0.82
13.7 6.6
0.76 13.4 6.8
0.69 13.0 7.1
0.60 12.5 7.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.50 12.1 8.1
0.41 11.9 8.7
0.35 11.8 9.3
0.30 11.7 9.7
384 189 194 42.6
A. ESTIMATES Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
INDIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
18 155 1.58 24.5 8.4 .0.2 3.01 1.30
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
13 814 1.21 20.6 8.2 -0.2 2.51 1.09
11 653 0.97 17.7 7.8 .0.2 2.10 0.93
7 450 0.58 13.6 7.7 -0.2 1.61 0.73
9 333 0.74 15.3 7.6 .0.2 1.79 0.80
4 985 0.38 11.9 7.9 .0.2 1.45 0.66
2 521 0.19 10.4 8.3 -0.2 1.35 0.63
660 0.05 9.6 8.9 .0.2 1.35 0.63
.1 305 -0.10 8.8 9.6 .0.2 1.35 0.63
- 3 281 .0.25 8.2 10.4 .0.2 1.35 0.64
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) 1103371 1196370 1299081 1408336 1521579 1640104 1766911 1903272 2048653 2202951 Total .................................................... 961 786 1 034 034 1 110 882 831 436 894 192 772 803 662 639 716 760 565 778 611 765 Males ................................................... 941 485 1 014 619 1 092 070 808 668 872 719 748 776 636 443 691 576 537 593 584 605 Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................. 24.3 25.3 26.2 27.0 27.6 28.0 28.2 28.4 28.7 28.9
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.62 24.8 8.5
1.65 24.7 8.0
1.62 24.0 7.7
1.55 23.1 7.4
1.50 22.5 7.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.49 22.3 7.3
1.49 22.2 7.2
1.47 22.1 7.2
1.45 21.8 7.2
Indicator
A. ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
8 MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Bitths per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
INDONESIA Indicator
.
C HIGH VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
249 344
249 328
247 020
242 431
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
3 047 1.32 21 1 7.1 .0.8 2.45 1.13
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
222 781
233 393
240 542
244 698
247 615
2 122 0.93 17.1 7.0 -0.8 1.95 0.90
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... 222 781 111231 Males ................................................... Females .............................................. 111551 Median age (years) ................................. 26.5
Populatior~growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.26 20.5 7.1
237 277 118408 118869 28.0
251 560 125523 126037 29.4
265 267 132396 132871 30.6
278 305 138908 139397 31-6
291 007 145189 145817 32.4
303 550 151275 152274 33.1
315 663 157120 158543 33.7
327 113 162598 164516 34.3
1.17 19.5 7.1
1.06 38.5 7.2
0.96 17.6 7.4
0.89 17.1 7.6
0.84 16.8 7.8
0.78 16.5 8.2
0.71 16.2 8.6
0.65 15.9 9.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
337 841 167763 170078 34.8
IRAN (ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF) Indicator
A. ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
IRAN (ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF)
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
107 607 53 819 53 788 36.7
110 765 55 274 55 491 37.9
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 126 1S 6 22.5 5.2 -1.7 2.29 1.07
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. . . . P
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
781 1.09 17.8 5.2 .1.7 1.79 0.84
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................. Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
69 515 35 250 34 266 23.4
74 540 37 729 36 811 25.9
80 666 40 765 39 901 28.1
86 500 43 649 42 852 30.4
91 434 46 071 45 363 32.6
95 672 48 131 47 541 34.6
99 743 50 090 49 653 35.3
103808 52 028 51 780 35.8
2OO5-2OlO 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.40 20.8 5.2
1.58 21.1 5.0
1.40 19.1 4.9
1.11 16.3 5.0
0.91 14.6 5.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.83 14.4 5.9
0.80 14.7 6.6
0.72 14.6 7.2
0.58 13.8 7.9
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
5 340 2671 2 670 100.0
6 264 3139 3 126 100.4
7 332 3682 3 650 100.9
8 589 4322 4 267 101.3
10 112 5100 5 012 101.8
11 972 6051 5 921 102.2
14 093 7132 6 961 102.5
16 288 8246 8 042 102.5
18 515 9378 9 137 102.6
21 632 10956 10 676 102.6
25 075 12700 12 375 102.6
15.6 24.9 18.4 5.4 3.4 0.2 47.8 20.1 12
20.2 23.7 17.2 5.1 3.2 0.3 44.9 18.2 14
19.4 26.7 17.4 5.1 3.0 0.3 43.3 17.1 17
18.8 29.5 16.7 5.1 3.1 0.3 41.5 16.0 20
18.8 28.6 18.7 4.9 3.1 0.3 42.5 16.1 23
19.0 28.9 18.4 4.8 3.0 0.3 41.9 16.0 27
18.2 28.9 19.5 4.8 3.0 0.3 42.9 16.3 32
17.2 28.6 20.5 4.8 3.1 0.3 44.5 16.9 37
17.3 27.3 20.7 4.8 3.1 0.3 45.8 17.4 42
16.6 26.9 20.6 4.6 3.0 0.3 46.9 17.9 49
16.0 26.6 20.0 4.5 2.8 0.3 48.l 18.4 57
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
l RAQ
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
28 807 14 587 14 221
32 799 16 606 16 192
37 242 18 854 18 389
42 028 21 265 20 763
47 018 23 773 23 245
52 150 26 345 25 805
57 423 28 982 28 441
62 833 31 683 31 150
68 326 34 423 33 903
15.0 26.0 20.2 4.5 2.8 0.3 49.5 19.1
14.5 25.0 20.3 4.5 2.9 0.3 50.5 19.9
14.0 24.1 19.9 4.8 3.0 0.3 50.9 20.7
13.4 23.5 19.3 5.4 3.3 0.3 50.9 21.6
12.5 22.9 18.9 6.2 3.8 0.4 50.9 22.6
11.8 22.0 18.8 7.2 4.5 0.4 51.2 23.6
11.2 20.9 18.6 8.2 5.2 0.6 51.5 24.6
10.7 20.0 18.1 9.2 6.1 0.7 51.3 25.7
10.3 19.2 17.5 10.2 6.9 0.9 50.9 26.8
2005-2010 201 0-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
798 2.60 33.9 8.5 0.5 4.49 1 .88
889 2.54 31.7 6.4 0.1 4.11 1.82
998 2.24 27.4 4.8 .0.1 3.49 1.63
957 2.42 29.7 5.4 -0.2 3.80 1.74
1 026 2.07 25.5 4.7 .0.1 3.26 1.53
1 055 1.93 24.0 4.7 .0.1 3.07 1.45
1 082 1.80 22.9 4.8 .0.1 2.92 1.39
1 099 1.68 21.8 5.0 .0.1 2.80 1.33
1 097 1.55 20.7 5.2 .0.1 2.69 1.29
78 939 39 908 39 030 20.4
91 163 46 091 45 073 20.5
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
692 2.27 30.4 8.3 0.5 3.99 1.67
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................. Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
28 807 14 587 14 221 19.1
33 100 16 760 16 340 19.7
38 321 19 405 18 917 20.0
44 425 22 490 21 936 20.1
51 429 26 025 25 404 20.0
59 359 30 026 29 333 20.0
68 429 34 602 33 828 20.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.78 35.9 8.7
2.93 35.7 6.6
2.96 35.1 5.4
2.93 34.2 4.8
2.87 33.2 4.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.84 32.8 4.3
2.86 32.8 4.2
2.88 33.0 4.2
2.89 33.0 4.1
IRELAND
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2 969 1 511 1 458 103.6
2 921 1 475 1 446 102.0
2 834 1 424 1 410 101.0
2 876 1 446 1 430 101.1
2 954 1 484 1 469 101.0
3 177 1 591 1 587 100.3
3 401 1 710 1 691 101.1
3 539 1 777 1 762 100.8
3 515 1 755 1 759 99.8
3 609 1 792 1 817 98.7
3 801 1 888 1 913 98.7
10.6 18.3 15.0 14.8 10.7 1.5 46.0 29.6 42
10.3 19.7 14.2 14.9 10.9 1.6 44.8 29.9 42
10.7 20.4 13.9 15.8 11.2 1.9 42.7 29.8 40
11.0 20.2 15.4 15.5 11.2 1.9 42.4 28.3 41
10.5 20.6 15.9 15.7 11.2 1.9 42.2 27.6 42
11.0 20.3 16.9 15.5 11.0 1.9 42.9 26.4 45
10.2 20.4 17.4 14.8 10.7 1.8 44.8 26.4 48
10.0 19.7 17.5 14.5 10.6 1.8 46.7 26.9 50
8.0 19.3 17.1 15.2 11.4 2.1 48.2 29.1 50
7.1 17.2 17.4 15.2 11.4 2.5 50.8 30.9 51
7.0 14.7 17.4 15.1 11.2 2.6 52.2 32.0 54
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Lite expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................ 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Lite expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
55 66 31 20 1.28 15.4 7.3 4.7 1.95 0.93 5 6 75.9 81 1 78.5
.
20 1.11 13.9 7.2 4.4 1.89 0.90 5 6
44 59 35 20 0.92 12.2 7.3 4.2 1.85 0.89 4 6
38 55 38 20 0.76 11.1 7.6 4.0 1.85 0.89 4 5
33 55 42 20 0.65 10.7 8.1 3.9 1.85 0.89 4 5
31 58 46 20 0.59 10.8 8.6 3.8 1.85 0.89 4 5
29 60 51 20 0.53 11 0 9.3 3.7 1.85 0.89 4 5
24 60 56 20 0.44 10.7 9.9 3.6 1.85 0.89 3 4
17 58 61 20 0.31 10.2 10.6 3.5 1.85 0.89 3 4
76.7 81.8 79.2
77.3 82.5 79.9
78.0 83.1 80.5
78.6 83.7 81.1
79.2 84.3 81.8
79.8 84.9 82.4
80.4 85.5 82.9
81.0 86.1 83.5
50
63
33
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
IRELAND
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
5632 2791 2 841 44.2
5772 2857 2 915 44.5
5882 2907 2 975 45.0
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 20052010
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
63
1.47 17.3 7.2 4.6 2.20 1.05
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
46 1.09 13.5 7.3 4.7 1.70 0.81
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT .
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
4148 2063 2 085 34.2
4420 2201 2 219 36.1
4680 2332 2 348 37.8
4912 2447 2 465 39.7
5115 2546 2 569 41.4
5299 2634 2 664 42.8
5471 2716 2 755 43.7
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1.27 15.3 7.3
1.14 14.2 7.2
0.97 12.8 7.3
0.81 11.7 7.5
0.70 11.2 8.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.64 11.2 8.6
0.58 11.4 9.2
0.49 11.2 9.8
0.38 10.8 10.4
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1258 647 611 105.8
1748 888 860 103.3
2114 1 073 1 041 103.0
2563 1 296 1 266 102.3
2898 1 461 1 437 101.7
3358 1 682 1 676 100.4
3764 1 881 1 883 99.9
4103 2 047 2 056 99.6
4514 2 248 2 266 99.2
5374 2 651 2 723 97.3
6084 3 004 3 080 97.5
14.0 17.7 17.4 6.3 3.9 0.3 54.8 25.5 57
14.3 20.2 15.8 7.1 4.7 0.4 50.1 24.8 79
12.5 23.6 14.9 8.0 4.9 0.5 46.8 24.3 95
11.8 22.9 17.3 9.3 5.8 0.5 46.3 23.6 116
12.0 21 .1 19.9 10.6 6.7 0.9 47.7 23.4 131
12.7 20.2 19.0 11.8 7.8 0.9 47.3 24.0 152
12.1 21.1 17.2 11.7 8.6 1.2 46.6 24.8 170
11.3 21.2 16.9 12.4 8.8 1.5 47.1 25.4 185
10.8 20.5 17.5 12.4 9.1 1.8 48.6 25.8 204
10.0 19.2 17.9 13.1 9.9 2.3 50.0 27.0 243
10.2 18.1 17.1 13.2 9.9 2.1 49.1 27.9 275
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ............................
118 134 39 23 1.68 19.1 5.6 3.3 2.66 1.28 5 6
105 133 43 15 1.38 17.6 5.7 2.0 2.49 1.20 5 6
91 132 47 7 1.13 16.3 5.9 0.9 2.36 1.13 4 5
88 132 52 7 1.03 15.5 6.1 0.8 2.24 1.08 4 5
84 134 56 7 0.94 15.0 6.3 0.8 2.14 1.03 4
5
78 133 63 7 0.83 14.3 6.7 0.7 2.06 0.99 4 5
68 130 69 7 0.70 13.4 7.1 0.7 1.98 0.95 4 5
57 125 76 7 0.57 12.5 7.6 0.7 1.91 0.92 4 5
47 121 81 7 0.46 11.8 7.9 0.7 1.86 0.90 4 4
78.4 82.6 80.6
79.2 83.1 81.2
79.8 83.6 81.8
80.3 84.1 82.3
80.8 84.6 82.7
81.3 85.1 83.2
81.7 85.6 83.7
82.2 86.1 84.1
82.6 86.5 84.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
ISRAEL Indicator
C. HIGH VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
131 1.86 20.8 5.6 3.3 2.91 1.40
126 1.64 20.1 5.6 2.0 2.89 1.39
119 1.44 19.2 5.7 0.8 2.86 1.37
117 1.32 18.2 5.8 0.8 2.74 1.32
118 1.24 17.6 6.0 0.7 2.64 1.27
118 1.17 17.2 6.2 0.7 2.56 1.23
116 1.09 16.8 6.5 0.7 2.48 1.20
113 1.01 16.2 6.8 0.6 2.41 1.16
110 0.93 15.6 6.9 0.6 2.36 1.14
11210 5 638 5 572 32.3
11931 6 010 5 921 32.5
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
106 1.51 17.4 5.6 3.3 2.41 1.16
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
6725 3 327 3 398 28.9
7362 3 651 3 711 29.8
7980 3 970 4 010 30.4
8574 4 278 4 295 30.9
9190 4 598 4 593 31.2
9837 4 931 4 905 31.6
10512 5 279 5 233 32.0
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1.81 20.4 5.6
1.61 19.8 5.7
1.44 19.2 5.7
1.39 18.9 5.8
1.36 18.8 6.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.33 18.8 6.2
1.29 18.6 6.4
1.25 18.5 6.6
1.22 18.3 6.7
12682 6 397 6 285 32.7
Indicator
A. ESTIMATES 1950
1955
2005
2010
58 093 28 195 29 898 94.3
58 176 28 246 29 930 94.4
4.6 9.4 10.2 25.6 20.0 5.1 5.6 2.9 2.9 6.2 45.4 42.3 193
4.4 9.3 9.8 27.7 21.1 6.1 5.5 2.8 2.9 5.9 43.5 44.3 193
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
ITALY
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
106 0.18 10.4 10.6 2.1 1.63 0.78
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
-74 -0.13 7.3 10.7 2.1 1 13 0.54
.
-199 -0.35 5.9 11.5 2.1 1.01 0.49
-283 -0.51 5.1 12.3 2.1 0.95 0.45
-304 -0.56 5.3 13.1 2.2 1.02 0.49
-314 .0.59 5.7 13.8 2.3 1.09 0.52
-331 -0.65 5.9 14.7 2.3 1.16 0.56
-367 .0.74 5.8 15.6 2.4 1.23 0.59
-416 .0.87 5.5 16.7 2.5 1.30 0.62
-462 .1.02 5.1 17.9 2.6 1.35 0.65
50787 24 597 26 190 55.0
48833 23 609 25 224 55.6
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
58093 28 195 29 898 42.3
57987 28 148 29 838 44.4
57409 27 871 29 538 46.7
56474 27 421 29 053 48.9
55313 26 859 28 454 51.1
53994 26 208 27 785 52.8
52501 25 462 27 039 54.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populationgrowthrate(percent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
-0.04 8.2 10.7
.0.20 7.3 11.4
.0.33 6.7 12.1
-0.42 6.5 12.8
-0.48 6.4 13.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
-0.56 6.3 14.2
.OX6 6.1 15.0
.0.79 5.8 16.0
-0.91 5.5 17.1
46666 22 520 24 145 56.2
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1403 682 720 94.7
1542 750 792 94.7
1629 783 846 92.6
1760 841 919 91.5
1869 912 957 95.3
2013 984 1 029 95.7
2133 1 052 1 081 97.3
2297 1 137 1 160 98.1
2369 1 161 1 208 96.1
2484 1 224 1 260 97.2
2585 1 275 1 309 97.4
13.5 22.6 18.8 5.8 3.9 0.2 51.9 22.2 128
14.7 22.4 18.3 6.3 4.1 0.4 49.8 21.9 140
17.4 24.3 16.6 6.6 4.3 0.5 45.9 19.6 148
18.1 25.3 17.0 8.1 5.4 0.8 42.2 18.4 160
17.2 29.7 15.6 8.5 5.6 0.8 38.5 16.7 170
14.8 30.5 18.7 8.5 5.8 0.8 40.4 17.0 183
13.3 27.0 20.9 9.3 6.7 1.5 44.8 19.2 194
11.9 24.7 22.5 9.4 7.0 1.5 48.4 20.6 209
11.9 23.3 20.4 10.0 7.4 1.7 49.4 22.1 216
11.9 22.1 19.3 9.6 7.2 1.7 51.1 23.2 226
11.0 22.0 17.9 10.0 7.6 1.8 51.3 24.4 235
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2 651 1 310 1 341 97.6
2 703 1 337 1 366 97.9
2 748 1 361 1 387 98.1
2 785 1 380 1 404 98.3
2 804 1 391 1 413 98.5
2 801 1 390 1 410 98.6
2 775 1 378 1 397 98.7
2 729 1 356 1 373 98.8
2 666 1 327 1 340 99.0
9.7 21.5 19.0 10.2 7.6 1.9 12.9 6.6 6.2 11.2 52.5 24.9 241
9.2 19.5 19.8 10.6 7.8 2.1 11.5 6.2 6.4 11.7 52.9 26.0 246
8.8 17.9 19.5 11.3 8.2 2.2 10.6 5.5 5.8 11.8 52.0 27.3 250
8.4 17.1 17.7 13.0 8.8 2.2 10.3 5.2 5.2 10.7 50.4 28.8 253
7.9 16.6 16.3 15.0 10.3 2.3 9.9 5.0 5.0 9.7 49.3 30.7 255
7.2 15.8 15.8 17.1 12.2 2.5 9.4 4.9 4.9 9.4 49.1 32.6 255
6.7 14.8 15.5 18.8 14.1 2.9 8.7 4.7 4.8 9.3 48.4 34.5 252
6.3 13.7 15.0 19.8 15.6 3.8 8.1 4.3 4.5 9.0 47.0 36.1 248
6.2 13.0 14.1 21.4 16.3 4.7 7.7 4.0 4.2 8.5 44.9 37.7 243
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
JAMAICA Indicator
.
C HIGH VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
3 101 1 552 1 549 33.0
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
16 0.59 21 0 7.7 -7.4 2.56 1.19
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
5 0.19 17.1 7.7 .7.5 2.06 0.96
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
2 651 1 310 1 341 24.9
2 717 1 344 1 373 25.8
2 789 1 382 1 407 26.9
2 861 1 419 1 441 28.1
2 925 1 453 1 472 29.3
2 979 1 481 1 497 30.5
3 023 1 505 1 518 31.1
3 058 1 524 1 534 31.7
3 084 1 540 1 544 32.3
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.49 20.1 7.7
0.52 20.1 7.6
0.51 19.7 7.5
0.44 18.8 7.5
0.36 18.0 7.6
0.29 17.5 7.9
0.23 17.2 8.2
0.17 16.9 8.7
0.1 1 16.7 9.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Indicator
A. ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
275 0.21 10.5 8.7 0.4 1.62 0.78
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. 130
.0.1 0 7.4 8.8 0.4 1 12 0.54
.
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
128085 62 578 65 506 42.9
128267 62 522 65 745 44.5
127329 61 878 65 451 46.3
125370 60 708 64 661 48.4
122638 59 164 63 474 50.5
119379 57 385 61 995 52.3
115724 55 445 60 279 53.7
111701 53 378 58 323 54.9
107331 51 210 56 121 55.6
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.03 8.6 8.8
.0.1 5 7.8 9.7
.0.31 7.1 10.6
-0.44 6.7 11.5
4.54 6.6 12.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
-0.62 6.5 13.2
.0.71 6.3 13.9
.0.80 6.1 14.5
.0.88 5.8 15.1
102719 48 970 53 749 56.2
JORDAN A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
5 703 2 964 2 739 108.2
6 338 3 283 3 056 107.4
12.8 24.3 20.0 5.1 3.2 0.4 15.1 6.5 6.3 11.8 52.2 21.3 64
11.7 23.2 19.4 5.5 3.6 0.4 14.0 7.0 6.2 11.3 53.7 22.7 71
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulationDivision
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
JORDAN
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
12337 6 289 6 048 25.8
13607 6 922 6 686 26.1
14980 7 606 7 374 26.3
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
139 2.30 27.0 4.0 0.0 3.38 1.59
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
115 1.93 23.2 4.0 0.0 2.88 1.36
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
5703 2 964 2 739 21.3
6429 3 329 3 100 22.3
7230 3 732 3 499 23.1
8106 4 171 3 934 23.8
9053 4 647 4 407 24.6
10070 5 156 4 914 24.9
11161 5 702 5 459 25.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.40 28.0 4.0
2.35 27.4 3.9
2.29 26.8 3.9
2.21 26.1 4.0
2.13 25.4 4.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.06 24.8 4.3
2.00 24.5 4.5
1.96 24.4 4.8
1.92 24.3 5.1
KAZAKHSTAN Indicator
A. ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
KAZAKHSTAN
.
C HIGH VARlANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
13643 6434 7 209 40.7
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
26 0.17 18.2 11.1 .5.4 2.1 1 0.95
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. 35 .0.24 13.9 10.9 .5.4 1.61 0.72
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
14825 7102 7 723 29.4
14861 7092 7 769 30.7
14993 7134 7 860 32.1
15036 7134 7 901 33.9
14963 7082 7 881 36.1
14809 6994 7 815 37.9
14606 6888 7 719 39.1
14353 6763 7 590 39.6
14034 6614 7 420 39.9
0.05 16.9 11.0
0.18 16.8 11.0
0.06 15.5 10.9
.0.10 14.0 10.9
.0.21 13.1 11 1
.0.28 12.9 11.6
-0.35 12.9 12.2
.0.45 12.6 12.9
-0.57 12.1 13.4
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
KENYA
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratii (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................ 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ............................
4.54 1.81 57 93
1074 1 511 435 .3 2.29 32.2 9.3 .0.1 4.04 1.69 52 82
1087 1 516 427 .3 2.08 29.0 8.2 .0.1 3.59 1.55 48 74
1122 1 560 435 .3 1.94 27.0 7.5 .0.1 3.22 1.42 44 65
1157 1 613 453 .3 1.82 25.4 7.1 0.0 2.93 1.31 39 57
1159 1 637 476 .3 1.67 23.6 6.9 0.0 2.71 1.23 34 49
1119 1 625 503 .3 1.49 21.7 6.7 0.0 2.53 1 17 31 42
1058 1 601 540 .3 1.32 19.9 6.7 0.0 2.39 1.11 27 36
55.2 55.2 55.3
58.4 59.8 59.1
60.4 62.8 61.6
62.1 65.1 63.6
63.7 66.9 65.2
65.1 68.5 66.7
66.4 70.0 68.1
67.6 71.2 69.3
940 1 447 504 .3 2.57 39.5 13.8 .0.1 4.96 1.86 63 107
1048 1 515 464 .3 2.52 36.4 11.2
51.1 49.4
50.3
.O.l
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsiPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
KENYA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
126 182 63193 62 989 19.0
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 007 2.74 41.3 13.9 .0.1 5.21 1.95
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
873 2.40 37.7 13.7 .0.1 4.71 1.76
926 2.26 33.7 11.1 .0.1 4.14 1.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
34 256 17153 17 103 17.9
38 949 19586 19 363 18.3
44 769 22552 22 217 18.3
51 647 26022 25 625 18.3
59 669 30045 29 624 18.4
69 078 34747 34 331 18.7
80 157 40276 39 881 18.9
93 171 46763 46 408 18.9
108 397 54343 54 054 18.9
2.57 39.5 13.8
2.79 39.2 11.3
2.86 38.1 9.5
2.89 37.3 8.4
2.93 36.9 7.6
2.98 36.7 7.0
3.01 36.5 6.5
3.03 36.3 6.0
3.04 36.0 5.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Indicator
A. ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
KUWAIT Indicator
.
C HIGH VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
5913 3238 2675 36.1
Population (thouwnds) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... M e d i i age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
77
2.69 20.4 1.9 8.3 2.51 l .22
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
67 2.33 16.8 1.9 8.4 2.01 0.98
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2687 1612 1075 29.5
3059 1806 1253 30.6
3419 1999 1420 32.0
3774 2187 1587 33.2
4129 2373 1756 34.1
4489 2557 1932 34.6
4856 2740 2116 35.0
5221 2918 2303 35.4
5574 3084 2491 35.8
2.60 19.5
2.22 18.2 2.2
1.98 16.8 2.6
l .80 16.0 3.1
1.68 15.8 3.7
1.57 15.9 4.5
1.45 15.8 5.2
1.31 15.5 6.1
1.18 15.2 6.9
1.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
KYRGYZSTAN
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
KYRGYZSTAN
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
72 1.32 23.4 7.5 .2.8 2.72 1.23
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
50 0.92 19.3 7.3 .2.8 2.22 1 00
.
38 0.68 16.7 7.3 .2.7 1.86 0.85
13 0.23 12.3 7.4 .2.6 1.43 0.66
24 0.42 14.1 7.3 .2.6 1.58 0.72
4 0.07 11.1 7.8 .2.5 1.35 0.63
.4 -0.07 10.3 8.5 .2.5 1.35 0.63
. 15 .0.26 9.4 9.4 .2.6 1.35 0.63
. 27 -0.46 8.5 10.5 .2.6 1.35 0.63
. 37 .0.66 7.8 11.7 .2.7 1.35 0.64
7 938 3914 4 024 30.1
8 329 4111 4 218 30.8
0.96 19.5 8.0
0.90 19.0 8.3
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
5 264 2592 2 671 23.8
5 623 2770 2 853 25.0
6 016 2965 3 051 26.4
6 413 3161 3 251 27.6
6 793 3349 3 444 28.6
7 165 3532 3 634 29.2
7 546 3719 3 827 29.6
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.32 23.4 7.5
1.35 23.6 7.5
1.28 22.4 7.3
1.15 20.8 7.1
1 07 19.9 7.1
.
1.04 19.7 7.3
1 01 19.7 7.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
8 712 4306 4 406 31.3
LA0 PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1,000 births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ............................
...
1 36 208 71 .1 2.17 33.2 11.3 -0.2 4.28 1.67 80 126
140 21 1 69 .1 2.02 30.3 9.9 .0.2 3.74 1.52 70 108
142 210 67 .1 1.85 27.4 8.8 -0.2 3.30 1.38 60 91
140 207 67 .1 1.67 24.8 8.0 -0.2 2.94 1.26 52 77
1 35 204 67 .1 1.50 22.5 7.4 -0.1 2.65 1.17 44 64
129 198 68 .1 1.33 20.4 7.0 -0.1 2.41 1.08 38 52
1 18 191 71 .1 1.15 18.5 6.9 -0.1 2.21 1.01 32 42
104 1 82 76 .1 0.96 16.7 7.0 .0.1 2.04 0.95 28 36
88 171 82 .1 0.78 15.1 7.2 .0.1 1.89 0.89 25 30
55.3 57.8 56.5
57.8 60.3 59.0
60.3 62.8 61.5
62.3 65.3 63.7
64.3 67.6 65.9
66.3 69.6 67.9
67.8 71.6 69.6
69.0 73.1 71.0
70.2 74.3 72.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
LA0 PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
146 2.32 34.8 11.4 -0.2 4.53 l .77
158 2.25 32.8 10.1 .0.2 4.14 1.68
168 2.14 30.4 8.9 -0.2 3.80 1 .58
1 70 1 .96 27.7 8.0 -0.2 3.44 1 .48
173 1.81 25.5 7.3 -0.1 3.15 1.39
1 75 1.68 23.8 6.8 -0.1 2.91 1.31
175 1.55 22.2 6.6 -0.1 2.71 1.24
171 1.40 20.7 6.5 .0.1 2.54 1.18
162 1.25 19.2 6.6 -0.1 2.39 1.12
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
126 2.02 31.6 11.2 -0.2 4.03 1.58
l22 1.78 27.7 9.8 .0.2 3.34 1.36
115 1.54 24.2 8.7 -0.2 2.80 1.17
108 1.35 21.6 7.9 -0.2 2.44 1.05
98 1.15 19.2 7.5 -0.2 2.15 0.95
84 0.93 16.7 7.2 .0.1 1 .91 0.86
66 0.71 14.4 7.2 -0.1 1.71 0.78
46 0.48 12.5 7.5 -0.1 1.54 0.71
27 0.27 10.8 8.0 -0.1 1.39 0.65
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
5924 2964 2960 19.1
6709 3363 3346 19.7
7651 3843 3808 20.0
8750 4403 4347 20.0
10008 5042 4966 19.9
11458 5776 5681 19.9
13146 6632 6513 20.0
15119 7630 7490 20.1
17420 8790 8629 20.1
2.49 36.6 11.6
2.63 36.8 10.4
2.69 36.1 9.2
2.69 35.2 8.2
2.71 34.5 7.3
2.75 34.2 6.6
2.80 34.1 6.1
2.83 34.1 5.7
2.86 34.0 5.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
20096 10142 9955 20.0
Indicator
A. ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.8 .0.34 1 1 .1 13.5 .0.9 1.54 0.73
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.5 .0.23 12.2 13.6 .0.9 1.73 0.82
.9 -0.39 10.7 13.7 -0.9 1.97 0.94
.5 -0.24 12.2 13.7 .0.9 1.90 0.91
. l0 -0.47 10.0 13.8 .0.9 2.04 0.97
.9 .0.42 10.6 13.9 -1.0 2.1 1 1 .01
.6 -0.29 12.1 14.1 -1 .0 2.18 1 .04
.4 .0.21 13.1 14.2 -1 .0 2.25 1.08
.4 .0.21 13.1 14.2 -1 .0 2.32 1.11
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. 16 -0.70 7.5 13.6 -0.9 1.04 0.50
. 18 -0.82 6.8 14.0 .0.9 0.93 0.44
. 20 .1.00 6.0 15.0 -1 .0 0.97 0.46
. 19 -0.92 6.2 14.5 -1 .0 0.90 0.43
. 21 .1.10 5.7 15.6 .1.1 1 .04 0.50
. 21 .1.20 5.4 16.2 -1 .1 1.11 0.53
. 22 .1.30 5.3 17.1 .1.2 1.18 0.56
. 22 .1.43 5.2 18.2 .1.3 1.25 0.60
. 23 .1.56 5.2 19.4 .1.4 1.32 0.63
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
2307 1 055 1 252 39.5
2246 1 028 1 218 40.6
2183 1 001 1 182 41.9
2109 970 1 139 43.3
2023 934 1 089 44.8
1930 894 1 037 46.9
1834 851 983 49.1
1736 807 929 51.4
1634 760 874 53.4
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
.0.54 9.1 13.6
.0.57 9.1 13.9
.0.69 8.3 14.2
-0.83 7.2 14.5
.0.94 6.5 14.9
.1.02 6.3 15.4
-1.10 6.2 16.1
.1.21 6.1 17.0
.1.35 5.7 17.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
19%
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
3 577 1 753 1 824 96.1
3 773 1 850 1 923 96.2
9.0 19.6 18.4 10.3 7.3 10 11.9 5.8 5.6 11.0 53.4 26.8 344
8.6 17.8 18.0 10.5 7.5 1.2 10.5 5.7 5.6 10.6 53.4 28.3 363
.
2005-2010 2010-2015 20112020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
39 66 24 .3 1.07 18.0 6.6 -0.7 2.21 1.05 19 22
38 66 25 .3 0.99 17.1 6.6 .0.6 2.12 1.01 16 19
35 66 27 .4 0.86 16.2 6.6 -1.0 2.03 0.97 14 16
32 64 28 4 0.75 15.1 6.7 .0.9 1.96 0.94 13 14
26 61 30 4 0.60 13.9 7.0 .0.9 1.89 0.91 11 13
21 58 33 .4 0.46 12.9 7.5 -0.9 1.85 0.89 10 11
16 57 37 .4 0.35 12.5 8.1 .0.9 1.85 0.89 9 10
12 56 41 .4 0.25 12.1 8.8 .0.9 1.85 0.89 9 10
7 55 45 .4 0.14 11.8 9.5 .0.9 1.85 0.89 8 9
70.9 75.3 73.1
71.9 76.4 74.2
72.8 77.4 75.1
73.6 78.2 76.0
74.4 79.0 76.8
75.1 79.7 77.5
75.8 80.4 78.2
76.4 81.1 78.8
77.0 81.7 79.4
.
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulationDivision World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
LEBANON
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
5 328 2642 2687 36.0
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
47 1.26 19.9 6.6 .0.7 2.46 1.17
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
32 0.87 16.0 6.6 .0.7 1 96 0.93
.
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
3 577 1753 1824 26.8
.
1 15 18.8 6.6
3 789 1858 1931 28.2
4 011 1968 2043 29.5
4 231 2078 2153 30.8
4 445 2187 2259 32.1
4 647 2289 2357 33.3
4 834 2385 2449 34.4
5 009 2476 2534 34.9
5 174 2562 2613 35.5
1.14 18.6 6.6
1.07 18.2 6.5
0.99 17.4 6.6
0.89 16.5 6.7
0.79 15.8 7.1
0.71 15.5 7.5
0.65 15.3 8.1
0.59 15.2 8.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Indicator
A. ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
1 795 835 960 87.0
1 768 831 937 88.7
1 744 830 914 90.8
1 718 828 890 93.0
1 690 823 867 94.9
1 663 816 847 96.3
1 639 807 831 97.1
1 620 800 820 97.6
1 608 795 813 97.7
12.8 25.7 25.7 7.5 5.3 0.7 15.2 8.0 8.2 15.4 49.5 19.2 59
12.7 24.4 25.9 7.9 5.5 0.8 14.6 7.4 7.8 15.7 49.6 19.9 58
12.7 24.0 24.3 8.2 5.8 1.0 14.4 7.1 7.1 14.8 49.7 20.6 57
12.3 24.1 22.9 8.5 6.1 1.0 14.6 7.0 7.0 13.7 50.4 20.9 57
11.6 24.3 22.6 8.2 6.3 1.1 14.6 7.3 7.1 13.5 51.8 21.1 56
10.9 23.5 23.0 7.5 6.1 1.2 14.0 7.3 7.3 13.7 53.8 21.6 55
10.5 22.4 23.3 6.7 5.4 1.3 13.3 7.0 7.2 14.0 55.3 22.3 54
10.3 21.3 22.6 6.6 4.8 1.4 12.7 6.6 6.8 13.6 56.0 23.1 53
10.0 20.7 21.3 7.5 4.8 1.3 12.3 6.3 6.4 12.8 55.9 24.1 53
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
LESOTHO
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.2 .0.1 1 29.4 26.5 -4.0 3.52 1.03
1 0.06 30.1 25.4 -4.0 3.37 1.04
2 0.12 29.4 24.2 .4.0 3.24 1.06
2 0.10 27.2 22.2 .4.0 3.06 1.08
3 0.14 25.5 20.2 .4.0 2.91 1.08
5 0.25 25.0 18.6 .3.9 2.79 1.08
7 0.39 25.1 17.3 -3.9 2.68 1.08
10 0.52 24.8 15.9 .3.8 2.59 1.08
11 0.58 23.8 14.3 -3.7 2.51 1.07
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.9 .0.50 25.5 26.4 .4.1 3.02 0.88
. 10 .0.61 23.8 25.7 .4.2 2.57 0.79
. 13 .0.76 21.9 25.2 .4.3 2.24 0.73
. 13 .0.81 20.5 24.2 .4.5 2.06 0.72
. 13 .0.85 19.1 23.0 .4.7 1.91 0.71
. 13 .0.91 17.8 22.0 4.9 1.79 0.70
. 13 .0.93 16.7 20.9 .5.1 1.68 0.68
. 12 .0.91 15.6 19.4 .5.4 1.59 0.66
. 11 .0.87 14.6 17.7 .5.6 1.51 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
1 795 835 960 19.2
1 789 842 947 19.7
1 802 859 943 19.9
1 827 883 944 19.5
1 862 910 953 19.0
1 915 943 973 19.0
1 992 985 1 006 19.2
2 095 1040 1 055 19.5
2 227 1107 1 120 19.6
2 388 1188 1 200 19.7
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
.0.07 29.8 26.5
0.1 5 30.9 25.4
0.27 30.8 24.1
0.39 29.7 22.0
0.56 29.1 19.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.78 29.2 17.7
1.02 29.8 16.1
1.22 30.0 14.5
1.39 29.8 12.8
Indicator
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
LIBERIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
104 2.94 49.6 20.3 0.0 6.80 2.22
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
98 2.78 47.8 20.1 0.0 6.52 2.13
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) ................................. .
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
3283 1 638 1645 16.3
3801 1 900 1901 16.1
4416 2 212 2204 15.8
5171 2 595 2575 15.6
6109 3 071 3039 15.5
7280 3 662 3617 15.3
8737 4 399 4338 15.2
10556 5 317 5239 15.0
12830 6 463 6367 15.0
2.93 49.5 20.3
3.00 49.1 19.2
3.15 48.9 17.5
3.34 48.9 15.6
3.51 48.8 13.8
3.65 48.7 12.3
3.78 48.5 10.8
3.90 48.3 9.4
4.01 48.1 8.1
P
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................ 2005-2010 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
117 140 25 2 1.91 22.8 4.1 0.3 2.72 1.29 17 18 72.5 77.2 74.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
LIBYAN ARAB JAMAHlRlYA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
12587 6 351 6 236 31.0
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
130 2.10 24.8 4.1 0.3 2.97 1 .41
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
104 1.71 20.8 4.1 0.3 2.47 1.17
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
5853 3 020 2 834 23.9
6507 3 344 3 164 25.8
7234 3 704 3 530 27.0
7975 4 070 3 905 27.6
8690 4 423 4 267 27.9
9388 4 766 4 622 28.4
10104 5 119 4 985 29.0
10877 5 501 5 375 29.7
11713 5 916 5 797 30.5
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.12 24.9 4.1
2.12 25.1 4.2
1.95 23.5 4.3
1.72 21.4 4.5
1.55 20.0 4.7
1.47 19.5 5.0
1.47 19.9 5.4
1.48 20.3 5.7
1.44 20.3 6.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
A. ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.W 0 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
LITHUANIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2 377 1 105 1 272 54.9
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.8 -0.25 10.8 12.1 .1.2 1.51 0.72
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. 21 .0.61 7.3 12.2 .1.2 1.01 0.48
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
3 431 1 600 1 831 37.8
3 361 1 565 1 796 39.4
3 288 1 531 1 757 41.0
3 201 1 492 1 710 42.3
3 095 1 443 1 651 43.9
2 971 1 386 1 585 45.9
2 836 1 322 1 514 48.3
2 693 1 254 1 439 50.7
2 539 1 181 1 358 52.8
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
-0.41 9.2 12.2
.0.44 9.4 12.6
.0.53 8.8 12.9
.0.68 7.7 13.2
-0.82 6.8 13.6
-0.93 6.4 14.3
.1.04 6.3 15.2
.1.17 6.1 16.3
.1.32 5.8 17.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
LUXEMBOURG
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
296 148 148 100.0
305 153 152 100.7
314 155 159 97.5
332 163 169 96.7
339 167 173 96.6
359 178 181 98.7
364 178 1 86 96.0
367 178 188 94.7
378 186 192 97.2
405 200 205 97.2
435 214 221 97.1
6.4 13.5 16.2 14.5 9.8 1.3 53.4 35.0 114
6.9 12.8 14.1 15.4 10.5 1.6 50.7 35.6 1 18
8.0 13.4 13.1 16.2 10.8 1.6 47.2 35.2 121
7.7 14.8 13.3 17.6 11.8 1.7 46.0 35.3 128
7.0 15.0 14.0 18.4 12.5 1.8 46.9 35.3 131
6.4 15.2 14.6 18.6 13.1 2.2 47.3 34.4 139
5.6 13.4 15.8 17.6 13.5 2.1 49.1 34.8 141
5.8 11.5 15.3 18.1 13.2 2.6 49.8 35.7 142
6.1 11.4 13.3 18.0 12.2 2.0 50.8 35.9 146
6.7 12.0 13.0 18.4 13.4 2.5 50.4 36.1 157
6.5 12.5 11.6 18.4 13.7 2.7 49.9 37.0 168
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1. 000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
6 6 4 4 1.22 12.0 8.2 8.3 1.74 0.84 5 6
75.9 82.2 79.1
6 6 4 1.13 11.6 8.1 7.9 1.75 0.84 5 6
6 6 4 4 1.08 11.5 8.1 7.4 1.76 0.85 4 6
6 7 5 4 1 .06 11.6 8.1 7.1 1.78 0.86 4 5
6 7 5 4 1.02 11.7 8.3 6.7 1.80 0.87 4 5
6 7 5 4 0.94 11.6 8.5 6.4 1.82 0.88 4 5
6 7 6 4 0.85 11.3 8.9 6.1 1.83 0.88 4 5
5 8 6 4 0.77 11.1 9.3 5.9 1.84 0.89 3 4
5 8 7 4 0.71 11.1 9.7 5.6 1.85 0.89 3 4
76.7 83.0 79.9
77.5 83.5 80.6
78.3 84.0 81.2
78.8 84.5 81.7
79.3 85.0 82.2
79.8 85.5 82.7
80.3 86.0 83.2
80.8 86.5 83.7
4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
656 323 333
679 333 345 43.6
699 343 356 44.0
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
6 1.32 13.0 8.1 8.3 1.88 0.90
D. LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
5 1.13 1 1 .1 8.2 8.4 1.60 0.77
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
465 229 236 38.1
494 243 250 39.2
522 257 264 40.2
550 271 278 41.0
578 285 293 41.5
606 299 307 41.9
632 312 321 42.5
43.1
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1.20 11.8 8.2
1.10 11.3 8.1
1.04 11.1 8.1
1 .00 11.1 8.1
0.94 11.0 8.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.85 10.7 8.6
0.75 10.4 9.1
0.67 10.2 9.5
0.60 10.1 9.9
A. ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT . Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
MADAGASCAR
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
543 2.72 38.6 11.4 0.0 5.14 2.05
596 2.62 36.8 10.7 0.0 4.78 1.94
647 2.50 34.8 9.8 0.0 4.39 1.83
681 2.33 32.2 8.9 0.0 3.97 1.69
716 2.19 30.0 8.1 0.0 3.62 1.58
754 2.07 28.3 7.6 0.0 3.36 1.50
792 1.97 26.8 7.2 0.0 3.15 1.43
824 1.86 25.4 6.8 0.0 2.99 1.37
845 1.75 24.0 6.6 0.0 2.85 1.33
30144 15052 15091
32194 16073 l6 120
34043 16989 17054
35679 17793 17886
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
18606
20981
23326
25632
27932 13946 13986
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
475 2.40 35.1 11.1 0.0 4.64 1.85
469 2.12 31.5 10.4 0.0 3.98 1.61
461 1.89 28.4 9.6 0.0 3.39 1 .41
460 1.72 26.1 8.9 0.0 2.97 1.27
442 1 .52 23.6 8.3 0.0 2.62 1.15
410 1.32 21 .1 8.0 0.0 2.36 1.05
370 1.12 18.9 7.7 0.0 2.15 0.98
327 0.94 17.1 7.7 0.0 1.99 0.91
282 0.78 15.5 7.7 0.0 1.85 0.86
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ............................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
18 606 9255 9 351 17.8
21 463 10689 10 774 18.0
24 860 12402 12 458 18.1
28 903 14441 14 462 18.1
33 690 16851 16 839 17.9
39 354 19698 19 656 17.9
46 092 23080 23 011 17.9
54 140 27117 27 023 17.9
63 763 31939 31 824 17.9
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000.population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.86 40.0 11.5
2.94 40.2 10.9
3.01 40.1 10.0
3.07 39.6 9.0
3.11 39.2 8.2
3.16 39.0 7.4
3.22 38.9 6.8
3.27 38.9 6.2
3.32 38.8 5.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
75 265 37701 37 564 17.9
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
MALAWI
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
51 575 26 044 25 531 15.7
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
315 2.30 43.3 20.0 .0.3 5.92 1.94
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
12 884 6 397 6 487 16.3
14 510 7 245 7 265 16.2
16 554 8 305 8 249 16.4
19 098 9 621 9 477 16.2
22 198 11 215 10 983 15.9
25 960 13 133 12 827 15.7
30 554 15 459 15 095 15.7
36 194 18 303 17 891 15.7
43 112 21 787 21 326 15.7
2.38 44.1 20.1
2.64 44.8 18.2
2.86 45.4 16.6
3.01 45.2 15.0
3.13 44.7 13.3
3.26 44.6 11.9
3.39 44.6 10.7
3.50 44.6 9.6
3.59 44.4 8.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Popuiation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
MALAYSIA
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
6110 3144 2966 106.0
7000 3569 3432 104.0
8140 4138 4003 103.4
9502 4819 4683 102.9
10853 5477 5375 101.9
12258 6169 6089 101.3
13763 6929 6835 101.4
15677 7897 7780 101.5
17845 9056 8789 103.0
20362 10338 10024 103.1
22997 11680 11317 103.2
16.7 24.2 17.9 7.3 5.1 0.6 45.8 19.8 19
18.2 24.3 18.2 6.0 4.3 0.6 45.7 18.7 21
18.6 26.7 17.5 5.3 3.4 0.5 43.6 17.6 25
18.0 28.1 17.4 5.0 3.2 0.5 43.4 16.9 29
16.4 28.2 19.3 5.5 3.4 0.5 44.5 17.5 33
15.3 26.8 20.4 5.6 3.7 0.5 47.1 18.6 37
13.6 25.8 21.3 5.7 3.7 0.5 49.8 19.7 42
15.3 23.4 20.6 5.6 3.7 0.5 50.4 20.3 48
12.8 23.7 19.1 5.8 3.7 0.6 51.7 21.9 54
13.4 22.4 18.6 5.9 3.9 0.5 52.2 22.5 62
11.9 21.8 18.8 6.5 4.1 0.6 53.0 23.6 70
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
437 540 123 20 1.65 20.4 4.7 0.8 2.62 1.25 9 11
405 533 1 38 '10 1.42 18.7 4.8 0.4 2.39 1.14 8 10
383 530 157 10 1.26 17.4 5.1 0.3 2.19 1.05 7 9
350 519 179 10 1 .08 16.1 5.5 0.3 2.02 0.97 7 8
299 494 205 10 0.88 14.6 6.0 0.3 1.88 0.90 6 8
263 486 233 10 0.74 13.7 6.6 0.3 1.85 0.89 6 7
229 481 262 10 0.63 13.1 7.2 0.3 1.85 0.89 6 7
193 475 292 10 0.51 12.6 7.8 0.3 1.85 0.89 5 7
156 467 321 10 0.41 12.1 8.3 0.3 1.85 0.89 5 7
71.9 76.5 74.1
72.8 77.4 75.0
73.6 78.3 75.9
74.4 79.1 76.7
75.1 79.8 77.4
75.8 80.5 78.1
76.4 81 .1 78.7
77.0 81.7 79.3
77.6 82.3 79.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
44 924 22694 22 230 29.8
48 1 16 24308 23 808 30.2
51 479 26015 25 464 30.5
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
485 1.83 22.2 4.7 0.8 2.87 1.37
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
388 1.48 18.7 4.7 0.8 2.37 1.13
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT .
P
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................ Median age (years) .................................
.
p
P
25 347 12865 12 483 24.7
. .
27 830 14116 13 714 25.9
30 425 15418 15 007 26.8
33 179 16798 16 381 27.7
36 040 18232 17 808 28.6
38 938 19683 19 254 29.2
41 882 21161 20 721 29.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.87 22.6 4.7
1.78 22.3 4.8
1.73 22.0 5.0
1.66 21.5 5.2
1.55 20.7 5.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1 .46 20.2 5.8
1.40 19.9 6.1
1.37 19.9 6.4
1.35 19.9 6.6
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
C. HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 201 5-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
9 2.59 31.4 5.6 0.0 4.03 1.83
10 2.54 30.3 4.9 0.0 3.73 1.73
11 2.13 25.4 4.1 0.0 3.17 1.51
11 2.39 28.3 4.4 0.0 3.47 1.63
11 1.90 23.0 4.0 0.0 2.93 1.40
11 1.72 21.4 4.2 0.0 2.73 1.31
11 1.58 20.2 4.4 0.0 2.55 1.23
10 1.44 19.0 4.7 0.0 2.40 1.16
10 1.33 18.3 5.0 0.0 2.35 1.14
876 445 431 21.6
1 003 509 494 21.7
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
8 2.24 27.9 5.5 0.0 3.53 1.60
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
329 169 160 18.9
378 194 1 84 19.9
438 224 214 20.4
507 259 248 20.7
583 298 286 20.5
668 341 328 20.8
764 389 375 21.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.79 33.5 5.6
2.93 34.2 4.9
2.91 33.5 4.4
2.81 32.0 4.0
2.72 30.9 3.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.69 30.6 3.7
2.72 30.9 3.8
2.72 31 .0 3.8
2.70 30.8 3.8
1 149 583 566 21.8
A. ESTIMATES Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
B. MEDIUM VARIANT Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
MALI
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
442 3.03 49.6 16.6 .2.8 6.83 2.39
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
397 2.74 46.3 16.1 -2.8 6.33 2.22
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
13 518 6 737 6 782 15.8
15 768 7 880 7 888 15.8
18 613 9 332 9 280 15.8
22 1 18 1 1 123 10 995 15.7
26 426 13 324 13 102 15.6
31 738 16 037 15 701 15.6
38 312 19 392 18 921 15.6
46 459 23 543 22 916 15.6
56 560 28 683 27 877 15.5
3.08 50.1 16.7
3.32 50.1 15.2
3.45 49.7 13.8
3.56 49.1 12.3
3.66 48.6 11.0
3.77 48.3 9.9
3.86 48.0 8.9
3.93 47.8 8.0
4.00 47.6 7.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
A. ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
312 154 158 97.5
314 152 162 93.8
312 151 161 93.8
305 147 158 93.0
303 146 157 93.1
304 147 157 93.4
324 158 166 94.8
344 169 175 96.7
360 178 182 97.5
378 187 191 98.2
392 194 198 98.2
15.1 19.9 17.3 9.3 5.8 0.6 47.5 23.7 987
13.7 24.2 16.6 9.9 6.7 0.8 44.4 22.0 994
13.5 23.4 15.7 10.7 7.4 0.7 43.8 23.1 987
10.5 23.3 18.0 11.5 7.9 1.1 48.4 23.6 965
7.6 20.0 20.6 13.4 9.0 1.2 51.5 26.3 958
8.2 16.5 17.8 13.1 9.6 1.4 52.7 28.8 963
8.5 14.6 17.8 13.7 9.9 1.5 53.5 30.0 1026
8.1 16.0 14.8 14.3 9.9 1.7 50.8 31.7 1090
7.6 15.9 14.0 14.7 10.4 2.0 50.5 33.0 1140
6.9 15.2 14.8 15.9 11.4 2.2 49.9 35.0 1196
6.0 14.0 15.1 17.0 12.4 2.4 48.1 36.5 1240
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2OOO 2000-2005
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1 OOO births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
0 9 3 0.13 29.3 10.2 4.14 1.85 75
0 8 3 -0.13 26.7 8.8 3.74 1.67 40
- 1 7 3 -0.45 22.6 8.8 3.10 1.38
64.2 67.7 65.9
66.3 70.0 68.1
34
0 5 3 -0.15 16.6 9.2 2.17 1.38 28
67.0 70.8 68.9
67.5 71.4 69.5
0.10 17.5 9.0 2.07 1.32 22
4 6 3 1.27 17.9 8.8 2.02 0.91 15
4 6 3 1.21 17.0 9.3 1.96 0.94 13
3 6 3 0.90 15.6 7.9 2.02 0.95 9
4 5 3 0.96 14.2 7.5 2.02 0.98 9
3 5 3 0.73 12.2 7.8 1.85 0.89 8
2 4 3 0.50 10.1 7.9 1.50 0.72 7
68.5 72.8 70.6
70.0 74.3 72.2
71.3 75.8 73.5
72.7 77.3 75.0
74.0 78.4 76.3
75.0 79.8 77.4
75.8 80.7 78.3
0 5 3
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
402 199 202 98.4
411 204 207 98.6
419 208 211 98.9
426 212 214 99.1
432 215 217 99.2
434 216 218 99.1
434 216 218 98.9
432 215 217 98.8
430 214 216 98.8
428 213 215 98.9
5.0 12.6 14.6 18.8 13.5 3.0 7.4 4.1 4.3 8.8 47.4 38.1 1 271
5.1 10.8 13.7 22.3 15.1 3.4 6.2 3.6 3.9 8.4 45.9 39.2 1 299
5.2 10.0 12.3 24.9 18.3 4.0 6.0 3.0 3.4 7.6 44.7 40.7 1 326
5.3 10.2 10.6 27.5 20.5 4.5 6.2 3.0 2.9 6.6 43.7 42.2 1 349
5.2 10.5 9.9 28.9 22.8 5.3 6.3 3.1 3.1 5.8 42.1 43.7 1 366
5.0 10.5 10.3 29.4 24.0 7.1 6.3 3.2 3.1 6.1 40.3 45.1 1 374
4.8 10.3 10.6 30.5 24.2 8.1 6.1 3.2 3.2 6.4 38.8 46.3 1 373
4.7 10.0 10.8 32.2 25.1 9.1 5.9 3.1 3.2 6.5 37.6 47.3 1 368
4.8 9.7 10.6 33.8 26.6 9.5 5.8 3.0 3.1 6.4 36.7 48.0 1 361
4.9 9.8 10.3 35.2 28.2 9.3 5.9 2.9 3.0 6.2 36.2 48.0 1 355
2050
.
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1 OOO births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.OOO births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
.
6 7
1 4 4 1 0.25 10.4 10.3 2.3 1.67 0.80 6 7
1 4 5 1 0.12 10.0 11.1 2.3 1.74 0.84 5 6
0 4 5 1 -0.01 9.5 11.9 2.3 1.81 0.87 5 6
0 4 5 1 -0.08 9.4 12.5 2.3 1.85 0.89 5 6
0 4 6 1 -0.10 9.6 12.9 2.3 1.85 0.89 4 5
0 4 6 1 -0.09 9.8 13.0 2.3 1.85 0.89 4 5
78.0 82.7 80.4
78.6 83.3 81.0
79.2 83.9 81.6
79.8 84.5 82.2
80.4 85.1 82.7
80.9 85.7 83.3
81.5 86.3 83.8
2 4 3 1 0.44 10.4 8.4 2.5 1.50 0.72 7 8
2 4 4 1 0.40 10.6 9.0 2.4 1.53 0.74 6 7
1 5 4 1 0.35 10.7 9.6 2.4 1.60
76.6 81.3 79.1
77.3 82.0 79.7
0.77
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
300
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
MALTA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
402 199 202
414 206 208
428 213 215
442 220 222
454 226 227
462 231 232
469 234 235
476 237 239
485 242 243
5.0 12.6 14.6 18.8 13.5 3.0 47.4 38.1
5.9 10.7 13.6 22.1 15.0 3.4 45.6 38.9
6.4 10.6 12.1 24.4 17.9 3.9 43.8 39.9
6.6 12.0 10.3 26.5 19.8 4.3 42.2 40.9
6.3 12.7 10.2 27.5 21.6 5.0 40.9 41.9
5.9 12.7 11.6 27.6 22.5 6.6 39.9 42.8
5.9 12.1 12.5 28.3 22.4 7.5 39.3 43.4
6.2 11.7 12.5 29.2 22.8 8.3 38.8 43.3
6.6 11.9 11.9 30.0 23.6 8.4 38.3 42.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 0.61 12.1 8.4 2.5 1.75 0.84
3 0.67 13.1 8.8 2.4 1.93 0.93
3 0.65 13.5 9.3 2.3 2.10 1.01
2 0.52 12.8 9.9 2.2 2.17 1.05
2 0.37 12.0 10.5 2.2 2.24 1.08
1 0.28 11.8 11.1 2.1 2.31 1.11
1 0.31 12.5 11.5 2.1 2.35 1.13
2 0.38 13.4 11.6 2.1 2.35 1.13
2 0.44 13.8 11.4 2.0 2.35 1.13
.1 .0.30 7.3 12.8 2.5 1.31 0.63
.2 .0.44 6.8 13.7 2.5 1.35 0.65
.2 .0.55 6.3 14.4 2.6 1.35 0.65
.2 .0.60 6.2 14.9 2.7 1.35 0.65
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 0.27 8.6 8.4 2.5 1.25 0.60
1 0.13 7.9 9.1 2.4 1.13 0.54
0 0.02 7.6 9.8 2.4 1.10 0.53
0 .0.06 7.7 10.8 2.4 1.17 0.56
.1 -0.17 7.7 11.8 2.5 1.24 0.60
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
402 199 202 38.1
411 204 207 39.2
418 208 210 40.7
424 211 213 42.4
426 212 214 44.1
425 211 214 45.8
421 209 212 47.4
415 206 209 48.8
408 203 206 50.1
401 199 202 50.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
0.45 10.4 8.4
0.38 10.3 9.0
0.26 9.8 9.6
0.11 9.1 10.4
-0.06 8.4 11.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.0.19 7.9 12.2
.0.28 7.8 13.0
.0.33 7.8 13.5
.0.37 7.7 13.8
MART1NIQUE A. ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
222 106 116 91.4
246
282 138 144 96.1
31 1 150 161 93.1
325 159 166 96.1
328 159 169 93.9
326 158 168 94.1
341 165 176 93.8
360 174 I 86 93.6
375 195 92.4
386 183 203 89.8
16.1 26.3 17.5 6.9 4.5 0.7 44.2 19.2 256
16.3 28.0 15.9 7.1 4.8 0.6 42.2 17.9 283
15.0 26.4 I 8.3 7.9 5.2 0.6 44.5 19.1 295
12.2 28.0 19.4 9.3 6.2 1.1 43.4 19.0 298
a.1 22.4 22.5 11.3 8.0 1.6 49.7 23.4 296
8.4 19.1 21 .o 12.4 8.8 1 .a 51.4 26.0 309
8.5 16.2 19.4 13.4 9.6 2.1 52.9 28.2 327
8.3 16.0 15.0 14.4 10.5 2.4 52.4 30.9 341
7.3 16.1 13.3 15.7 11.7 2.8 51.3 33.8 350
15.3 22.1 17.6 7.7 5.2 0.5 48.3 21.9 201
118
128 92.3 17.1 23.3 17.5 7.0 4.9 0.8
46.2 19.9 223
1ao
I 950-1955 I 955-1960 I 960-1965 I 965-1970 I 970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 t 985-1 990 i 990-1 995 I 995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
5 9 3 2.04 39.5 12.9 5.71 2.31 65
7
6
10
11
3 2.73 39.3 9.9 5.71 2.47 56
55.0 58.I 56.6
59.0 62.3 60.8
35.6 8.5 5.45 2.44 48
3 10 2 0.89 31.1 7.5 5.00 2.27 42
I 8 2 0.18 25.8 7.2 4.08 1 .a9 35
6 2 -0.14 17.4 6.8 2.65 1.24 22
3 6 2 0.86 16.6 6.3 2.14 1.02 14
4 6 2 1.13 18.0 6.1 2.14 1.03 10
3 6 3 0.82 17.1 6.9 1.97 0.95 9
2 6 3 0.56 15.6 6.8 1.91 0.92
a
2 6 3 0.50 14.3 7.2 1.98 0.95 7
62.3 66.0 64.2
64.3 69.0 66.7
66.3 72.0 69.2
68.5 75.0 71.8
70.5 76.9 73.7
72.2 78.5 75.4
73.5 80.0 76.4
74.5 80.7 77.7
75.5 81.6 78.7
3
2.00
0
B. MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
396 1 a8 208 90.0
401 190 21 1 90.1
404 192 213 90.2
405 192 213 90.3
404 1 92 212 90.4
399 190 210 90.4
392 I 86 206 90.4
381 181 200 90.5
367 174 192 90.5
350 167 I 84 90.8
6.8 14.7 14.3 I 6.8 12.7 3.3 8.6 4.7 4.7 8.4 50.0 36.4 359
6.0 13.7 14.0 18.7 13.8 3.8 8.1 4.2 4.4 8.3 47.8 38.9 364
5.5 12.6 12.9 21.1 15.4 4.4 7.4 4.1 4.0 7.7 44.0 41.2 367
5.4 11.4 12.1 24.5 17.7 4.9 6.7 3.6 3.9 7.1 40.3 42.9 368
5.2 10.9 11.2 28.9 20.7 5.4 6.5 3.4 3.4 6.7 37.8 44.2 366
4.9 10.6 10.1 32.9 24.9 6.4 6.3 3.3 3.2 5.9 37.1 46.0 362
4.5 10.2 9.7 35.5 28.7 7.8 6.0 3.3 3.2 5.7 35.7 47.9 356
4.2 9.7 9.6 36.4 31.O 9.7 5.7 3.1 3.2 5.6 34.0 49.8 346
4.0 9.1 9.4 38.2 31.5 12.3 5.4 3.0 3.0 5.5 32.5 51.5 333
3.9 8.7 8.9 40.3 33.0 14.5 5.1 2.8 2.9 5.2 31.3 53.0 31a
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) ., Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1,000births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
1 5 3
1 5 3
- 1
- 1
0.28 12.4 7.6 -2.0 1.91 0.92 7 8
0.13 11.4
a
0 4 4 - 1 0.04 11.1 8.7 -2.0 I .a5 0.90 6 7
76.2 82.3 79.4
77.0 82.9 80.1
77.6 83.6 80.8
8.1
-2.0 1.86 0.90 6
0 4 4 - 1 -0.07 10.7 9.4 -2.0 1 .a5 0.90 6 7
78.3 84.2 81.4
- 2 3 5 - I -0.57 8.7 12.3 -2.1 I .a5 0.90 5 6
- 1
- 1
7
- 2 4 4 - 1 -0.39 9.3 11.1 -2.0 I .a5 0.90 5 6
-0.75 8.2 13.6 -2.1 1.85 0.90 5 6
-0.92 8.0 14.9 -2.2 I .a5 0.90 4 5
78.9 84.8 82.0
79.5 85.4 82.6
80.I 85.9 83.I
80.7 86.5 83.7
81.2 87.0 84.2
- 1 4 4
- 1 -0.21 10.0 10.1 -2.0 I .a5 0.90 5
- 3 3 5
- 3 3 5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
302
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
396 188 208
405 1 92 213
412 196 217
419 199 220
424 202 222
426 203 223
425 203 222
422 202 220
418 200 217
411 198 214
6.8 14.7 14.3 16.8 12.7 3.3 50.0 36.4
6.7 13.6 13.9 18.5 13.7 3.8 47.4 38.7
6.6 13.1 12.7 20.7 15.1 4.3 43.2 40.5
6.6 12.9 11.7 23.6 17.1 4.7 39.1 41.2
6.3 12.9 11.4 27.5 19.8 5.1 36.8 42.2
6.0 12.8 11.4 30.9 23.4 6.0 36.7 43.5
5.8 12.3 11.6 32.8 26.4 7.1 36.2 44.8
5.8 11.9 11.5 32.8 27.9 8.7 35.3 45.6
5.8 11.7 11.1 33.5 27.7 10.8 34.6 46.0
5.8 11.8 10.8 34.4 28.1 12.4 34.5 46.0
2005-2010 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 0.44 14.0 7.6 .2.0 2.16 1 .04
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14....................... .. Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowthrate(percent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
0 0.12 10.8 7.6 .2.0 1.66 0.80
0 .O.ll 9.1 8.2 .2.0 1.46 0.71
.1 .0.26 8.3 8.9 .2.0 1.35 0.65
.1 .0.37 8.1 9.7 .2.1 1.35 0.65
.2 .0.53 7.5 10.7 .2.1 1.35 0.66
.3 .0.75 6.6 12.0 .2.2 1.35 0.66
.4 .1.00 5.7 13.5 .2.3 1.35 0.66
.4 .1.28 4.9 15.3 .2.4 1.35 0.66
.5 .1.54 4.4 17.3 .2.6
1.35 0.66
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
396 188 208 36.4
402 191 212 38.9
406 193 214 41 .0
409 194 215 42.4
409 1 94 215 43.7
406 193 213 45.3
400 190 210 47.1
391 1 86 205 48.8
380 181 1 99 50.2
366 174 191 51.3
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.32 12.8 7.6
0.21 12.1 8.1
0.12 11.8 8.6
0.01 11.3 9.3
.0.13 10.6 10.0
.0.29 10.0 10.9
-0.45 9.5 12.0
.0.61 9.2 13.2
-0.76 9.0 14.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
MAURITANIA
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ........................................... Both sexes combined ............................
90 131 42 2 2.75 39.6 12.8 0.6 5.45 2.09 88 141 52.9 56.1 54.5
94 136 0 2.49 36.3 11.4 0.0 4.98 1.97 80 126
97 140 43 0 2.30 33.2 10.2 0.0 4.47 1.82 72 111
100 143 43 0 2.12 30.4 9.2 0.0 3.96 1.65 64 98
102 146 44 0 1.95 27.9 8.4 0.0 3.49 1.49 56 85
54.9 58.1 56.5
56.9 60.1 58.5
58.9 62.1 60.5
60.9 64.1 62.5
43
103 1 47 0 1.79 25.6 7.7 0.0 3.10 1.35 49 72
103 1 48 45 0 1.64 23.6 7.2 0.0 2.82 1.26 42 60
101 1 47 47 0 1.49 21.8 6.9 0.0 2.61 1.18 37 50
97 146 49 0 1.33 20.1 6.8 0.0 2.44 1.12 32 42
62.9 66.1 64.5
64.9 68.1 66.5
66.9 69.6 68.2
68.4 71 .1 69.7
44
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
99 3.00 42.4 13.1 0.6 5.88 2.26
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
81 2.49 36.8 12.6 0.6 5.03 1.93
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
3069 1518 1551 18.4
3575 1772 1803 18.2
4160 2065 2095 17.9
4848 2411 2438 17.8
5668 2822 2846 17.7
6657 3319 3338 17.8
7854 3921 3933 17.7
9304 4650 4654 17.6
11050 5530 5519 17.4
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
3.06 43.0 13.1
3.03 42.1 11.9
3.06 41.3 10.7
3.13 40.8 9.6
3.21 40.7 8.7
3.31 40.8 7.8
3.39 40.7 6.9
40.5 6.2
3.44
3.48 40.3 5.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2050
MAURITIUS (*) A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km)
................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
493 246 248 99.2
571 284 286 99.2
660 329 331 99.4
753 377 377 100.0
826 413 413 100.1
892 440 452 97.4
966 476 490 97.3
1016 506 510 99.4
1057 528 529 99.8
1125 561 563 99.6
1186 590 596 99.0
18.1 27.1 19.1 4.7 3.0 0.3 45.1 17.3 242
18.7 27.3 18.8 4.2 2.6 0.3 45.0 16.9 280
18.6 28.0 18.7 4.1 2.5 0.2 44.7 16.7 324
17.9 28.6 18.9 4.0 2.5 0.2 44.7 16.7 369
14.0 29.8 19.9 4.2 2.6 0.2 46.7 17.8 405
11.5 28.2 20.8 4.5 2.7 0.3 50.1 19.5 437
11.3 24.3 21.3 5.8 3.6 0.4 52.0 21.5 474
10.9 20.8 21.5 7.4 4.8 0.6 53.6 23.4 498
9.2 20.5 18.9 8.3 5.4 0.7 54.6 25.7 518
9.7 17.7 18.5 8.5 5.9 0.9 56.2 27.3 551
8.4 17.2 18.1 9.0 6.2 1.0 56.3 28.9 581
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005-2OlO 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1,000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ............................
.1
0.85 15.4 6.9 0.0 1.94 0.93 14 16
9 19 10 0 0.70 14.2 7.3 0.0 1.87 0.90 13 15
8 19 11 0 0.59 13.6 7.7 0.0 1.85 0.89 12 14
7 18 12 0 0.47 13.1 8.4 0.0 1.85 0.89 11 13
5 18 13 0 0.35 12.5 9.0 0.0 1.85 0.89 10 12
3 17 14 0 0.23 12.1 9.7 0.0 1.85 0.89 9 11
2 17 15 0 0.12 11.7 10.5 0.0 1.85 0.89 8 10
0 17 16 0 0.02 11.4 11.2 0.0 1.85 0.89 8 9
16 17 0 .0.05 11.2 11.7 0.0 1.85 0.90 7 9
69.7 76.3 73.0
70.6 77.1 73.8
71.4 77.7 74.5
72.1 78.3 75.2
73.0 79.0 76.0
73.8 79.8 76.8
74.5 80.4 77.5
75.3 81 .1 78.2
75.9 81.7 78.8
11 20 9 0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
MAURITIUS (*)
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
1 508 739
1 519 743 776 40.0
1 526 746 780 40.4
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
13 1.04 17.3 6.9 0.0 2.19 1.05
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
8 0.65 13.5 7.0 0.0 1.69 0.81
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
1 245 618 627 30.4
1 300 644 656 32.2
1 351 668 683 33.9
1 397 690 707 35.3
1 436 707 728 36.4
1 467 721 746 37.6
1 491 731 760 38.7
no
39.4
2OO!XOlO 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.87 15.6 6.9
0.77 14.9 7.3
0.67 14.4 7.7
0.55 13.8 8.3
0.43 13.2 8.9
(') Including Agalega. Rodrigues. and Saint Brandon.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.33 12.8 9.6
0.23 12.5 10.3
0.15 12.4 10.9
0.09 12.2 11.3
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
27 737 13 860 13 877 99.9
31 737 15 842 15 895 99.7
36 940 18 433 18 507 99.6
43 141 21 522 21 619 99.5
50 611 25 241 25 370 99.5
59 287 29 521 29 766 99.2
68 046 33 799 34 247 98.7
76 1 17 37 666 38 452 98.0
84 296 41 566 42 729 97.3
92 523 45 485 47 038 96.7
100 088 49 060 51 028 96.1
17.0 25.0 18.0 7.1 4.4 0.5 43.8 19.1 14
18.0 25.6 18.0 7.1 4.5 0.5 42.9 18.3 16
18.5 26.5 17.9 6.9 4.6 0.6 42.3 17.5 19
18.4 27.6 18.1 6.6 4.5 0.6 42.2 17.0 22
18.6 27.9 18.6 6.1 4.3 0.7 42.8 16.7 26
18.6 28.1 19.1 5.6 4.0 0.7 43.1 16.6 30
16.5 29.0 19.6 5.3 3.8 0.7 44.5 17.1 35
14.5 28.4 20.5 5.5 3.7 0.7 47.0 18.1 39
13.5 25.7 21.9 5.8
12.6 23.5 21.9 6.3 4.3 0.8 52.4 21.2 47
11.3 22.4 20.2 6.9 4.8 0.9 53.7 23.1 51
3.9
0.8 50.3 19.4 43
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
MEXICO C. HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
167 436 81 574 85 862 36.2
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. ...
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 485 1.34 21 .1 4.5 .3.3 2.40 1.14
LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 012 0.92 17.0 4.4 .3.3 1 .90 0.90
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
107 029 52 308 54 722 25.0
1 1 4 470 55 868 58 602 26.8
122 165 59 578 62 587 28.4
129 884 63 322 66 562 29.9
137 246 66 890 70 356 31.5
144 189 70 252 73 937 32.9
150 720 73 416 77 304 34.0
156 822 76 379 80 443 34.8
162 426 79 112 83 314 35.5
1.34 21.2 4.5
1.30 20.3 4.6
1.23 19.3 4.8
1.10 18.2 5.1
0.99 17.3 5.5
0.89 16.7 6.0
0.79 16.3 6.6
0.70 16.0 7.2
0.61 15.7 7.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
MICRONESIA (FED STATES OF) Indicator
.
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per l00 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5 14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
MICRONESIA (FED STATES OF]
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
110 56 55
1 15 57 57
119 59 60
122 61 62
124 61 63
125 61 64
125 61 64
126 61 65
126 61 65
124 59 65
14.4 24.6 22.3 4.9 3.4 0.7 50.0 19.6
14.7 24.8 20.3 5.3 3.1 0.5 48.5 20.0
14.1 25.5 18.9 6.4 3.6 0.6 47.3 20.0
12.9 25.6 19.4 7.5 4.6 0.5 46.8 20.3
11.6 24.5 20.7 8.8 5.6 0.5 48.4 21.3
11.0 22.5 21.4 9.9 6.6 0.7 50.2 22.5
11.0 20.7 20.6 10.2 7.5 1.1 49.8 23.8
11.1 20.2 18.7 10.5 7.6 1.3 49.0 25.1
10.6 20.4 17.1 12.0 7.8 1.6 48.4 26.3
9.7 20.2 16.9 13.5 9.3 1.9 48.1 27.5
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 0.78 31.5 5.9 -17.7 4.43 1.99
1 0.74 30.2 5.6 -17.1 4.26 1.93
1 0.54 27.4 5.5 -16.5 3.94 1 .80
0 0.27 24.5 5.6 -16.2 3.60 1.66
0 0.12 23.0 5.8 -16.1 3.34 1.55
0 0.10 22.9 6.0 -16.0 3.14 1.47
0 0.08 22.9 6.2 -15.9 2.98 1.40
0 .0.04 21.8 6.3 -15.9 2.84 1.34
0 .0.27 19.8 6.5 -16.0 2.73 1.29
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
0 0.38 27.6 5.8 -17.9 3.93 1.76
0 0.12 24.5 5.6 -17.7 3.46 1.56
.1 .0.50 19.0 5.9 -18.1 2.60 1.19
0 .0.21 21.2 5.6 -17.7 2.94 1.34
.1 .0.76 17.4 6.4 -18.6 2.34 1.08
.1 .0.98 16.7 7.0 -19.5 2.14 1 .00
.1 .1.27 15.6 7.7 -20.6 1.98 0.93
.2 .1.70 13.6 8.4 -22.2 1.84 0.87
.2 .2.26 11.3 9.4 -24.4 1.73 0.82
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... F emales ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
110 56 55 19.6
115 57 57 20.1
119 59 60 20.0
124 62 63 19.9
129 64 65 20.1
135 66 69 20.4
141 69 72 20.7
149 73 76 20.7
157 77 80 20.7
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.73 31.0 5.9
0.80 30.8 5.7
0.81 30.1 5.5
0.80 29.4 5.6
0.83 29.1 5.6
0.92 29.3 5.6
1.03 29.6 5.6
1.12 29.7 5.4
1.19 29.5 5.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
167 82 85 20.7
MONGOLIA Indicator
A. ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
2030
2035
2040
2045
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
MONGOLIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
39 1.44 23.3 6.8 -2.2 2.46 1.10
45 1.53 22.4 6.4 -0.7 2.44 1.10
42 1.34 20.2 6.2 -0.6 2.39 1.09
39 1.14 18.2 6.2 -0.6 2.35 1.08
37 1.04 17.4 6.4 -0.6 2.35 1.09
37 0.98 17.1 6.8 -0.5 2.35 1.10
36 0.90 16.9 7.3 -0.5 2.35 1.10
33 0.80 16.4 7.9 -0.5 2.35 1.11
29 0.68 15.8 8.5 -0.5 2.35 1 11
4 079 2 044 2 035 32.9
4 261 2 134 2 127 33.6
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
27 1.00 18.8 6.5 .2.2 1.96 0.88
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2 646 1 326 1 321 23.7
2 842 1 424 1 418 25.4
3 069 1 539 1 530 27.3
3 288 1 650 1 638 29.1
3 492 1 753 1 740 30.5
3 690 1 851 1 839 31.5
3 886 1 948 1 937 32.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.42 23.2 6.8
1.54 22.5 6.4
1.38 20.6 6.2
1.21 18.9 6.2
1.10 17.9 6.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
1.04 17.7 6.8
0.97 17.5 7.3
0.88 17.1 7.8
0.78 16.6 8.3
4 430 2 217 2 213 34.3
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
MOROCCO
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
50 875 25 237 25 639 30.5
53 786 26 673 27 113 31.1
56 713 28 128 28 585 31.5
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
530 1.62 23.9 5.6 -2.1 2.83 1.32
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
410 1.26 20.3 5.5 -2.2 2.33 1 .09
356 1.03 17.7 5.4 -1.9 2.03 0.96
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
31 478 15 646 15 833 24.2
34 052 16 916 17 136 25.7
36 810 18 286 18 524 26.9
39 629 19 688 19 941 27.9
42 418 21 070 21 348 28.8
45 189 22 437 22 751 29.4
48 000 23 821 24 179 29.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.57 23.5 5.6
1.56 22.9 5.5
1.48 21.7 5.4
1.36 20.5 5.4
1 .27 19.7 5.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.21 19.4 6.0
1.16 19.3 6.5
1 .1 1 19.2 6.9
1.06 18.9 7.2
Indicator
A. ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
B. MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
MOZAMBIQUE
.
C HIGH VARIANT
lndicatar
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
45394 22704 22690 17.6
52382 26210 26173 t 7.6
60724 30388 30336 17.6
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
399 1.92 39.4 20.0 .0.2 5.36 1.69
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Medain age (years) .................................
332 1.61 36.0 19.7 .0.2 4.86 1.54
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ................................... ............ Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................
..
19792 9580 10212 17.7
21823 10659 11164 17.8
24225 11926 12299 18.0
27118 13435 13684 18.0
30568 15212 15356 17.8
34664 17299 17366 17.7
39549 19766 19783 17.6
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
............
Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1.95 39.7 20.0
2.09 39.6 18.6
2.26 39.6 16.9
2.40 39.3 15.3
2.52 39.0 13.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
2.64 38.9 12.4
2.76 38.8 !!.!
2.86 38.7
!5."
2.96 38.5 9.0
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
IQ60
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
17 832 8 890 8 942 99.4
19 497 9 720 9 776 99.4
21 595 10 770 10 825 99.5
23 984 11 961 12 023 99.5
26 838 13 381 13 457 99.4
30 138 15 022 15 116 99.4
33 678 16 778 I6 900 99.3
37 237 18 558 18 679 99.4
40 753 20 310 20 444 99.3
44 500 22 167 22 332 99.3
47 724 23 745 23 979 99.0
16.0 21.8 18.0 5.5 3.2 0.3 49.6 21.8 26
16.3 23.4 16.7 5.7 3.4 0.3 47.3 21 .0 29
16.1 24.7 17.0 6.0 3.6 0.3 46.0 20.0 32
15.9 25.1 18.1 6.2 3.8 0.4 45.8 19.6 35
16.1 24.8 19.0 6.4 4.0 0.4 45.8 19.4 40
16.0 24.9 19.2 6.4 4.1 0.4 45.9 19.5 45
15.3 25.2 19.1 6.6 4.1 0.5 46.4 19.7 50
14.2 25.1 19.5 6.7 4.3 0.5 48.0 20.1 55
13.1 24.2 20.2 6.8 4.5 0.5 50.2 21 .0 60
12.7 22.7 20.4 6.8 4.6 0.6 51.8 22.0 66
10.4 22.0 20.2 6.9 4.7 0.7 53.6 23.6 71
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1955-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1 OOO ~~~) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.OOO births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
......
333 833 500 1.79 44.6 26.8 6.00 1.66 1 78
35.5 38.1 36.8
2.05 42.2 21.8 6.00 1.88 152
478 931 453 2.10 40.8 19.9 6.00 1.97 142
571 1 037 466 2.25 40.8 18.3 6.00 2.06 132
660 1138 478 2.32 40.0 16.8 5.75 2.05 122
708 1I210 502 2.22 37.9 15.7 5.30 1.94 117
712 1214 491 2.01 34.2 13.9 4.70 1.77 106
703 1218 488 1.81 31-2 12.5 4.18 1.62 98
749 1 267 492 1.76 29.7 11.5 3.80 1.51
41.0 43.8 42.3
43.2 46.4 44.7
45.3 48.8 47.0
47.4 51.2 49.2
48.6 52.7 50.5
51.3 54.9 53.0
420 868 448
90
645 1108 475 1.40 24.0 10.3 3.00 1.22 82
559 1023 478 1.14 20.8 9.7 2.46 1.02 75
53.2 57.0 54.9
54.8 59.0 56.7
56.2 61.1 58.6
57.4 62.9 60.1
.
6 MEDIUM VARIANT
Population(thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in shod ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. P ~ l adensity t ~ (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
50 519 25 083 25 436 98.6
52 801 26 149 26 652 98.1
54 970 27 164 27 807 97.7
57 054 28 141 28 912 97.3
59002 29059 29944 97.0
60629 29822 30807 96.8
61 862 30396 31 466 96.6
62746 30805 31 942 96.4
63338 31 077 32262 96.3
63 657 31 221 32 437 96.3
9.2 20.3 19.7 7.5 4.9 0.8 12.0 6.5 6.1 11.7 55.1 25.5 75
8.2 17.7 19.6 8.5 5.5 0.9 10.5 5.6 6.1 11.7 56.8 27.5 78
7.7 15.9 18.4 9.9 6.4 1 .0 9.4 5.0 5.1 11.4 56.9 29.4 81
7.4 14.7 16.2 11.3 7.5 1 .1 8.8 4.5 4.7 9.8 55.7 31.4
7.1 14.1 14.7 13.0 8.8 1.4 8.5 4.2 4.2 8.9 53.6 33.5 87
6.7 13.7 13.7 14.9 10.1 1.7 8.3 4.1 4.I 8.2 51.2 35.5 90
6.2 13.2 13.4 17.2 11.8 2.2 7.9 4.0 4.0 8.0 49.1 37.3 91
5.9 12.4 13.2 19.7 13.8 2.6 7.4 3.9 4.0 7.9 47.1 38.9 93
5.8 11.8 12.8 22.1 15.9 3.2 7.0 3.6 3.7 7.8 44.7 40.2 94
5.7 11.5 12.2 24.4 17.9 3.8 6.8 3.5 3.5 7.4 43.1 41.2 94
84
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 ~
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year ( t ~..................... ~ ~ Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO ~~~) Net migration rate (per 1 OOO population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.OOO births) Mortality under age 5 (per t, 000 births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
..
...... ...
318
417
98
434 915 479 - 2 0.81 17.0 8.9 0.0 1.92 0.84 59 85
485 -2 0.74 16.1 8.7 0.0 1.85 0.82 52 74
58.9 64.8 61.8
61.1 66.9 64.0
63.3 68.9 66.1
456 ~
938 )
480 -2 0.88 18.2 9.3 0.0 2.08 0.88 66
904
-2 0.67 15.4 8.6 0.0 1.85 0.83 46 65
325 849 522 - 2 0.54 14.2 8.7 0.0 1.85 0.84 41 57
247 802 553 -2 0.40 13.1 9.0 0.0 1.85 0.85 37 50
177 769 591 -2 0.28 12.3 9.5 0.0 1.85 0.86 33 44
118 754 634 -2 0.19 12.0 10.1 0.0 1.85 0.86 30 39
64 745 679 -2 0.10 11.7 10.7 0.0 1.85 0.87 27 35
65.2 70.7 67.9
67.0 72.3 69.6
68.5 73.7 71.1
69.8 75.0 72.4
71 .0 76.1 73.6
72.1 77.2 74.7
390 891 500
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division Wudd Pu~ulai~n Prospects: The 2004 R ~ v ~ i ~u ~ * ~I: ~ o lm ~ rue h ~Tables ~n s ~ e
MYANMAR
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
560 1.08 20.2 9.4 0.0 2.33 0.99
609 1.11 20.2 9.0 0.0 2.32 1.01
642 1.11 19.8 8.7 0.0 2.35 1.04
615 1.01 18.6 8.5 0.0 2.35 1-06
558 0.87 17.1 8.4 0.0 2.35 1 07
.
513 0.77 16.3 8.5 0.0 2.35 1.08
502 0.73 16.1 8.8 0.0 2.35 1.09
501 0.70 16.1 9.1 0.0 2.35 1.10
484 0.65 16.0 9.5 0.0 2.35 1.10
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Popi~lationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
352 0.69 16.1 9.2 0.0 1.83 0.78
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
50 519 25 083 25 436 25.5
53 556 26 533 27 023 27.1
56 847 28 117 28 730 28.5
60 250 29 765 30 485 29.8
63 555 31 371 32 184 31.3
66 652 32 880 33 771 32.3
69 593 34 321 35 271 33.0
72 494 35 753 36 740 33.5
75 401 37 200 38 201 34.0
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.17 21.2 9.5
1.19 21 0 9.0
1.16 20.3 8.7
1.07 19.1 8.4
0.95 17.9 8.3
0.86 17.1 8.4
0.82 16.8 8.7
0.79 16.8 8.9
0.75 16.7 9.2
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
78 269 38 638 39 631 34.5
A. ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged W ....................... ..,... Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
485 241 244 98.6
536 266 270 98.7
599 298 301 99.0
677 337 340 99.3
nl
385 386 99.6
891 445 446 99.7
987 487 500 97.3
1119 M9 569 96.4
1398 690 708 97.5
1652 818 834 98.0
1894 938 956 98.1
15.7 23.1 18.7 6.6 4.1 0.3 48.4 20.9 1
16.2 24.1 17.7 6.1 4.0 0.3 46.9 20.2 1
16.4 25.0 17.8 5.9 3.7 0.4 46.0 19.5 1
16.6 25.5 18.3 5.8 3.6 0.4 45.3 19.0 1
16.9 25.7 18.6 5.7 3.6 0.4 45.0 18.6 1
17.8 25.9 18.6 5.6 3.5 0.3 44.4 18.1 1
17.9 27.9 18.5 5.6 3.5 0.3 43.0 17.1 1
17.6 28.7 19.3 5.6 3.5 0.4 43.2 16.7 1
17.5 26.3 20.3 5.3 3.4 0.4 46.3 17.8 2
17.9 26.4 19.5 5.1 3.3 0.4 46.2 17.7 2
15.4 28.1 19.2 5.0 3.3 0.4 46.7 18.1 2
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per l.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatfon (thousands) Tot& ................................................ Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2031 1 007 1 024 98.3
2132 1 063 1 069 99.4
2248 1 129 1 120 100.8
2384 1 180 102.0
2519 1 279 1 241 103.1
2641 1 345 1 296 103.7
2747 1 401 1 346 104.0
2849 1 453 1 396 104.1
2953 1 506 1 448 104.0
3060 l 556 1 502 103.8
13.2 28.3 21 .1 5.3 3.5 0.5 17.1 8.5 7.4 12.0 47.8 18.6 2
12.2 25.2 24.5 5.8 3.8 0.5 14.8 8.0 8.3 14.3 50.5 19.6 3
12.2 22.4 25.0 6.3 4.2 0.6 13.4 6.7 7.3 15.4 52.1 21.2 3
12.4 21.8 21.9 6.8 4.6 0.6 13.3 6.2 6.2 13.4 52.2 22.3 3
11.8 22.3 19.6 7.2 5.0 0.7 13.7 6.3 5.9 I l .6 52.4 23.1 3
10.7 22.3 19.5 7.4 5.3 0.8 13.5 6.6 6.2 11.4 53.8 23.6 3
9.8 21 .1 20.3 7.5 5.5 1 .0 12.6 6.5 6.4 12.0 55.6 24.4 3
9.3 19.4 20.6 7.5 5.5 1 .1 11.5 6.0 6.2 12.4 56.5 25.4 3
9.1 18.1 19.5 8.1 5.6 1.2 10.8 5.5 5.7 11.9 55.6 26.7 4
8.8 17.4 18.0 9.4 6.0 1.3 10.5 5.2 5.2 10.9 54.3 28.1 4
1 204
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thotrsands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division Wodd Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
NAMIBIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
24 1.14 28.2 16.4 .0.4 3.72 1.35
30 1.36 28.9 15.7 0.4 3.52 1.33
38 1.48 28.0 13.5 0.3 3.15 1.33
37 1.56 29.7 14.4 0.3 3.36 1.35
37 1.32 25.4 12.5 0.3 2.99 1.30
36 1.20 23.6 11.8 0.3 2.85 1.26
38 1.20 23.1 11.3 0.3 2.74 1.22
42 1.25 23.0 10.8 0.2 2.64 1.19
44 1.25 22.4 10.2 0.2 2.55 1.17
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
16 0.79 24.6 16.4 -0.4 3.22 1.17
16 0.76 23.1 15.9 0.4 2.72 1.03
16 0.69 21.2 14.7 0.3 2.15 0.91
17 0.76 22.3 15.1 0.4 2.36 0.95
12 0.52 19.1 14.2 0.3 1.99 0.86
8 0.33 16.8 13.9 0.3 1.85 0.82
5 0.21 15.3 13.5 0.3 1.74 0.78
4 0.15 14.4 13.1 0.3 1.64 0.74
3 0.12 13.5 12.6 0.3 1.55 0.71
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2 031 1 007 1024 18.6
2 166 1 080 1086 19.3
2 349 1 180 1170 20.3
2 583 1 304 1278 20.5
2 846 1 444 1403 19.8
3 132 1 592 1540 19.5
3 449 1 755 1694 19.7
3 821 1 944 1877 20.2
4 260 2 166 2094 20.5
1.29 29.7 16.4
1.62 31.5 15.6
1.89 32.8 14.2
1.94 32.2 13.1
1.91 30.6 11.8
1.93 29.9 10.8
2.05 30.3 10.1
2.18 30.9 9.3
2.26 31.0 8.6
. . .
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
4 769 2 422 2347 20.6
Indicator
A. ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
C. HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
77288 38 470 38 819 23.0
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
609 2.13 29.8 7.8 -0.7 3.55 1.54
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
494 1.74 25.8 7.7 -0.7 3.05 1.32
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
27133 13 446 13 687 20.1
30367 15 059 15 308 20.9
34166 16 959 17 207 21.6
38476 19 099 19 377 22.1
43227 21 459 21 768 22.2
48495 24 079 24 416 22.3
54445 27 043 27 402 22.5
61191 30 411 30 779 22.8
68791 34 212 34 579 23.0
2.25 31.1 7.9
2.36 31.3 7.2
2.38 30.8 6.5
2.33 29.7 6.0
2.30 29.0 5.6
2.31 28.8 5.3
2.34 28.8 5.1
2.34 28.7 5.0
2.33 28.4 4.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
10114 5 041 5 073 99.4
10751 5 356 5 395 99.3
11487 5 720 5 766 99.2
12295 6 134 6 160 99.6
13039 6 507 6 531 99.6
13666 6 804 6 862 99.2
14150 7 021 7 128 98.5
14492 7 167 7 325 97.8
14952 7 389 7 563 97.7
15459 7 645 7 814 97.8
15898 7 879 8 019 98.3
11.9 17.4 15.9 11.5 7.7 1 .0 49.8 28.0 244
10.3 19.6 14.9 12.3 8.4 1.2 47.8 28.6 259
10.1 19.9 15.0 13.1 9.0 1.4 46.4 28.7 277
9.9 18.4 17.0 13.9 9.6 1.5 47.0 28.6 296
9.1 18.2 17.6 14.5 10.2 1.7 47.3 28.6 314
7.5 17.8 16.8 15.1 10.8 2.0 48.1 29.4 329
6.3 16.1 17.4 15.7 11.5 2.3 50.0 31.3 341
6.0 13.4 17.3 16.8 12.1 2.6 51.9 33.1 349
6.3 12.0 15.7 17.3 12.8 2.9 52.5 34.5 360
6.4 12.0 13.2 17.7 13.2 3.1 51.5 35.9 372
6.1 12.4 11.6 18.2 13.6 3.2 49.0 37.6 383
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 16-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005-2010 2010-2015 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ............................
44
59 1 78 149 30 0.36 10.8 9.1 1 .8 1.72 0.83 4 6
170 156 30 0.26 10.2 9.4 1.8 1.73 0.83 4 6
76.3 81.6 79.0
76.9 82.2 79.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
81 0.49 12.1 9.0 1.8 1.94 0.93
71 0.42 11.7 9.3 1.8 2.00 0.97
69 0.40 11.9 9.6 1.7 2.06 0.99
69 0.39 12.2 10.0 1.7 2.1 1 1.02
65 0.36 12.5 10.5 1.7 2.16 1.04
58 0.32 12.6 11.1 1.6 2.21 1.07
54 0.29 12.8 11.6 1.6 2.27 1.10
54 0.29 13.1 11.8 1.6 2.32 1.12
59 0.31 13.4 11.8 1.6 2.35 1.14
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
29 0.18 9.1 9.1 1.8 1.44 0.69
13 0.08 8.4 9.5 1.8 1.41 0.68
4 0.03 8.4 10.0 1.8 1.40 0.68
.4 .0.02 8.6 10.6 1.8 1.39 0.67
. 17 .0.10 8.6 11.4 1.8 1.38 0.67
. 38 .0.23 8.2 12.3 1.8 1.37 0.66
. 62 -0.39 7.5 13.2 1.9 1.37 0.66
. 81 .0.52 7.0 14.0 1.9 1.36 0.66
. 89 .0.58 6.8 14.6 2.0 1.35 0.65
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
16299 8 091 8 208 39.3
16529 8 211 8 317 41.3
16684 8 288 8 395 42.9
16805 8 342 8 463 44.2
16891 8 373 8 519 44.8
16916 8 369 8 548 45.1
16849 8 319 8 530 45.7
16677 8 220 8 457 46.3
16427 8 089 8 339 46.9
16149 7 949 8 200 47.5
0.19 9.5 9.4
0.14 9.5 9.8
0.10 9.7 10.4
0.03 9.6 11.1
.0.08 9.3 11.9
.0.21 8.9 12.7
.0.30 8.5 13.3
.0.34 8.5 13.8
p
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
0.28 10.0 9.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
NETHERLANDS ANTILLES
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Porcentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
183 86 97 89.1
188 89 99 89.3
193 91 102 89.5
198 94 104 89.7
202 96 106 90.1
205 97 108 90.5
206 98 108 91.0
205 98 107 91.7
204 98 106 92.6
7.1 15.7 14.9 14.0 9.5 1.8 9.1 5.2 5.0 8.8 50.2 36.2 228
6.4 13.9 16.1 16.5 10.9 2.0 8.2 4.2 4.9 9.7 48.0 37.4 235
6.2 12.9 14.8 19.2 13.1 2.3 7.6 4.1 3.9 9.3 44.6 37.4 241
6.4 12.1 13.2 22.5 15.4 2.7 7.2 3.7 3.9 7.8 42.2 37.5 247
6.4 12.2 12.3 25.7 18.3 3.4 7.4 3.5 3.5 7.6 41.3 38.4 253
6.1 12.5 11.7 27.5 21.1 4.4 7.5 3.7 3.5 6.9 42.4 39.7 256
5.7 12.4 11.9 27.5 22.6 5.5 7.4 3.8 3.7 7.1 42.3 41 .1 257
5.4 11.8 12.4 25.9 22.3 6.8 7.0 3.7 3.8 7.5 41.6 42.0 257
5.4 11.2 12.4 26.2 20.6 8.0 6.6 3.5 3.6 7.5 40.5 42.5 255
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birlh rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes cornbined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 0.74 14.6 7.1 0.0 2.29 1.10
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 0.44 11.6 7.1 0.0 1.79 0.86
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
183 86 97 36.2
189 89 100 37.2
195 92 103 36.8
201 95 106 36.8
207 98 109 37.6
21 1 101 111 38.6
214 102 112 39.7
216 104 112 39.8
218 105 113 39.8
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.66 13.7 7.1
0.65 14.0 7.5
0.64 14.5 8.1
0.56 14.3 8.7
0.41 13.6 9.4
0.27 13.0 10.2
0.19 12.8 10.9
0.16 12.9 11.3
0.17 13.1 11.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
220 107 113 39.5
A. ESTIMATES Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
C. HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
5 1.83 19.3 5.0 4.0 2.55 1.23
5 1.74 18.9
5 1.64 18.4 5.4 3.4 2.60 1.25
5.2
3.7 2.60 1.25
5 1.49 17.4 5.7 3.1 2.52 1.22
5 1.34 16.5 6.0 2.9 2.45 1.18
4 1.23 15.9 6.4 2.7 2.38 1.15
4 1.15 15.6 6.7 2.6 2.35 1.14
4 1 .09 15.5 7.1 2.4 2.35 1.14
4 1.02 15.3 7.4 2.3 2.35 1.14
.
D LOW VARIANT
. . Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
4 1.47 15.6 5.0 4.1 2.05 0.99
3 1.20 13.5 5.3 3.8 1 .80 0.86
3 1.00 12.1 5.7 3.6 1.60 0.77
3 0.87 11.4 6.2 3.4 1.52 0.73
2 0.72 10.6 6.7 3.3 1.45 0.70
2 0.54 9.6 7.4 3.2 1.38 0.67
1 0.37 8.7 8.1 3.1 1.35 0.65
1 0.23 8.1 8.9 3.1 1.35 0.65
0 0.10 7.7 9.7 3.1 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
237 122 115 28.4
258 1 33 126 29.6
280 1 44 1 37 30.6
303 155 148 31.8
326 1 67 159 32.8
348 178 170 33.7
370 189 181 34.5
392 200 192 35.1
414 21 1 203 35.5
1.75 18.4 5.0
1.63 17.8 5.2
1.54 17.4 5.5
1.45 17.0 5.8
1.24 16.1 6.5
1.15 15.8 6.8
1.09 15.6 7.2
1.03 15.5 7.6
.
P
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
P
1.34 16.5 6.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2050
A. ESTIMATES Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
35 0.86 14.8 7.4 1.2 2.20 1.06
37 0.87 15.1 7.5 1.2 2.30 1.10
39 0.88 15.3 7.6 1.1 2.35 1.13
38 0.80 14.8 7.8 1.1 2.35 1.13
34 0.69 14.1 8.2 1.0 2.35 1.13
30 0.61 13.8 8.7 1.0 2.35 1.13
30 0.57 13.9 9.2 1.0 2.35 1.13
30 0.57 14.3 9.5 0.9 2.35 1.13
31 0.58 14.5 9.7 0.9 2.35 1.13
4 838 2 394 2444 42.1
4 888 2 422 2466 42.6
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
22 0.54 11.6 7.4 1.2 1.70 0.82
15 0.36 10.1 7.7 1.2 1.50 0.72
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
4 028 1 980 2049 35.8
4 173 2 055 2119 37.0
4 314 2 127 2187 37.7
4 453 2 198 2255 38.4
4 581 2 263 2319 39.3
4 690 2 317 2372 40.4
4 774 2 360 2414 41.4
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.71 13.3 7.4
0.66 13.0 7.6
0.63 13.0 7.8
0.57 12.7 8.1
0.47 12.2 8.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revhion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.36 11.7 9.2
0.27 11.5 9.9
0.21 11.4 10.4
0.17 11.4 10.8
4 929 2 447 2481 42.8
A. ESTIMATES Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population(thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
NICARAGUA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
5 487 2 742 2 745
6 126 3 062 3 064
6 804 3 401 3 403
7 493 3 745 3 747
8 152 4 074 4 078
8 787 4 389 4 398
9 401 4 693 4 708
10 014 4 995 5 019
10 622 5 295 5 327
13.3 25.6 22.2 4.9 3.3 0.5 51.3 19.7
13.2 23.4 21.3 5.2 3.5 0.6 52.5 21.1
12.7 22.3 20.0 5.9 3.8 0.7 53.0 22.4
11.9 22.0 18.6 6.7 4.4 0.8 52.7 23.6
10.7 21.2 18.1 7.7 5.1 0.9 52.8 24.9
9.9 19.8 18.3 8.8 5.9 1.1 52.7 26.2
9.3 18.4 18.0 10.2 6.9 1.4 52.1 27.7
9.0 17.3 17.0 11.9 8.1 1.7 51 .0 29.1
8.8 16.6 15.9 13.9 9.5 2.0 49.6 30.6
9 0.12 9.5 6.8 .1.5 1.35 0.65
.5 -0.07 8.7 7.8 -1.5 1.35 0.65
2005-2010 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
128 2.20 28.9 4.8 .2.1 3.19 1.48
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
P -
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
104 1.81 24.9 4.7 -2.1 2.69 1.25
92 1.48 21.3 4.6 -1.9 2.25 1.05
78 1.18 18.2 4.6 .1.8 1 .91 0.90
67 0.95 15.9 4.8 .1.7 1.71 0.81
52 0.71 13.7 5.0 .1.6 1.54 0.73
34 0.46 11.6 5.5 .1.6 1.39 0.66
21 0.28 10.4 6.0 .1.6 1.35 0.64
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
5487 2 742 2745 19.7
6151 3 075 3076 21 .0
6895 3 448 3447 22.1
7696 3 849 3847 22.9
8541 4 273 4269 23.5
9448 4 727 4721 24.0
10433 5 220 5213 24.5
11503 5 756 5747 25.1
12658 6 335 6323 25.6
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.29 29.7 4.8
2.28 29.3 4.7
2.20 28.1 4.5
2.09 26.8 4.5
2.02 25.9 4.4
1.98 25.6 4.5
1.95 25.2 4.6
1 .91 24.9 4.8
1.86 24.5 5.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Indicator
.
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
53 018 27268 25750 14.6
65 630 33753 31877 14.5
81 627 41967 39660 14.4
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
529 3.47 54.7 19.9 .0.1 7.91 2.55
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
473 3.13 50.7 19.3 .0.1 7.26 2.34
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT .
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
P
-
13 957 7136 6821 15.5
16 606 8505 8102 15.3
19 854 10182 9672 15.3
23 875 12258 11618 15.1
28 885 14841 14044 14.9
35 160 18074 17085 14.8
43 054 22140 20914 14.7
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
3.48 54.8 19.9
3.57 54.5 18.7
3.69 54.3 17.4
3.81 54.0 16.0
3.93 53.8 14.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
4.05 53.5 13.1
4.16 53.3 11.8
4.27 53.1 10.6
4.36 52.9 9.5
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Populatlon change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
3 1 l3 2.24 41.2 18.6 .0.2 5.57 1.82
3 387 2.18 39.2 17.2 .0.2 5.14 1.74
3 540 2.05 36.3 15.6 .0.2 4.65 1 .64
3 545 1.86 32.8 14.1 -0.2 4.14 1 .51
3 607 1.73 30.2 12.7 -0.1 3.74 1.42
3 752 1.66 28.4 11.7 -0.1 3.45 1.34
3 937 1.60 26.9 10.8 .0.1 3.22 1.29
4 070 1 .53 25.4 10.0 -0.1 3.05 1.25
4 112 1.44 23.8 9.3 -0.1 2.90 1.23
1 891 0.96 21.8 12.0 .0.2 2.45 0.95
1 674 0.82 19.6 11.3 -0.1 2.22 0.89
1 435 0.67 17.6 10.7 -0.1 2.05 0.84
1 180 0.54 15.8 10.3 -0.1 1 .90 0.80
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per l. 000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 671 1.93 37.8 18.3 .0.2 5.07 1.65
2 590 1.71 34.0 16.7 -0.2 4.34 1.47
2 407 1.47 30.0 15.2 .0.2 3.65 1.28
2 253 1.28 26.9 13.9 .0.2 3.14 1.15
2 082 1.12 24.2 12.8 .0.2 2.74 1 .04
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... 131 530 Males ................................................... 66 558 Females ........................................ 64 971 Median age (years) ................................. 17.5
148 281 75 293 72 988 17.8
168 632 85 858 82 774 17.8
192 888 98 434 94 455 17.6
221 528 1 1 3 266 108 261 17.4
255 554 130 874 124 680 17.3
296 401 151 979 144 422 17.4
345 795 177 434 168 361 17.4
405 568 208 151 197 417 17.3
477 718 245 1 18 232 600 17.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.40 43.0 18.8
2.57 43.5 17.6
2.69 43.2 16.2
2.77 42.4 14.6
2.86 41.8 13.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.97 41.5 11.8
3.08 41.5 10.6
3.19 41.4 9.5
3.28 41.3 8.5
NORWAY (*) Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
3 265 1618 1647 98.2
3 427 1705 1722 99.0
3 581 1784 1797 99.3
3 723 1855 1868 99.3
3 877 1929 1949 99.0
4 007 1991 2017 98.7
4 086 2025 2061 98.2
4 153 2053 2099 97.8
4 241 2097 2144 97.8
4 359 2156 2204 97.8
4 502 2231 2271 98.2
9.8 14.7 13.3 13.9 9.7 1.7 49.8 32.7 8
8.9 16.8 12.1 14.7 10.2 1.8 47.2 33.6 9
8.6 17.3 13.1 16.2 11.1 1.9 45.3 34.4 9
8.4 16.4 15.4 17.1 12.0 2.0 45.0 34.1 10
8.5 16.0 15.9 18.2 12.9 2.2 44.0 33.0 10
7.7 16.1 15.2 19.1 13.7 2.5 43.6 32.5 10
6.4 15.8 15.3 20.3 14.8 3.0 44.9 33.3 11
6.1 13.9 15.7 21.2 15.7 3.4 47.4 34.6 11
6.6 12.3 15.4 21.0 16.3 3.7 49.2 35.4 11
7.0 12.5 13.5 20.0 15.9 4.0
6.7 13.3 12.0 19.5 15.3 4.4 47.0 37.0 12
48.8 36.1 11
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
NORWAY (*)
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
4 620 2 295 2 326
4 767 2 373 2 394
4 935 2 461 2 474
5 131 2 560 2 570
5 331 2 659 2 672
5 522 2 752 2 770
5 698 2 836 2 862
5 872 2 920 2 952
6 058 3 01 1 3 046
6.1 13.5 12.2 20.0 15.0 4.7 46.2 38.2
6.5 12.6 12.9 21.7 15.6 4.7 45.5 39.3
6.7 12.3 12.9 23.0 17.2 4.5 44.2 40.l
7.0 12.8 12.0 24.3 18.4 4.5 42.0 39.9
7.0 13.3 11.7 25.5 19.6 5.1 40.5 39.5
6.9 13.7 12.2 26.8 20.6 6.1 40.5 39.4
6.8 13.6 12.8 27.5 21.8 6.8 41.1 39.5
6.8 13.4 13.2 27.1 22.3 7.3 41.4 39.2
7.0 13.3 13.1 26.4 21.8 7.8 41.4 38.6
29 0.62 13.0 9.3 2.6 2.05 0.99
34
0.70 13.5 9.0 2.5 2.23 1.07
39 0.78 14.2 8.8 2.4 2.35 1.13
40 0.77 14.2 8.9 2.3 2.35 1.13
38 0.70 13.9 9.1 2.2 2.35 1.13
35 0.63 13.6 9.4 2.1 2.35 1.14
35 0.60 13.7 9.8 2.1 2.35 1.14
37 0.62 14.1 9.9 2.0 2.35 1.14
41 0.66 14.5 9.8 1.9 2.35 1.14
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
15 0.32 9.9 9.4 2.6 1.55 0.75
11 0.22 8.9 9.3 2.5 1.43 0.69
9 0.18 8.6 9.3 2.5 1.35 0.65
8 0.17 8.8 9.6 2.5 1.35 0.65
6 0.12 8.9 10.1 2.5 1.35 0.65
1 0.02 8.6 10.9 2.5 1.35 0.65
-6 -0.12 8.0 11.6 2.5 1.35 0.65
-11 .0.23 7.4 12.2 2.5 1.35 0.65
. 14 -0.31 7.1 12.7 2.5 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
4 620 2295 2 326 38.2
4 729 2353 2 375 39.6
4 834 2409 2 425 40.8
4 944 2464 2 480 41.5
5 055 2518 2 538 41.8
5 152 2562 2 590 42.2
5 224 2593 2 632 42.9
5 273 2612 2 661 43.6
5 308 2626 2 682 44.2
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.46 11.4 9.3
0.44 11.0 9.1
0.45 11.2 9.1
0.44 11.3 9.3
0.38 11.1 9.6
0.28 10.7 10.2
0.19 10.3 10.7
0.13 10.2 11.1
0.12 10.2 11.3
(') Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
5 339 2640 2 699 44.5
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
A. ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1005 521 483 107.9
1042 540 501 107.8
1101 571 530 107.7
1199 618 580 106.6
1096 562 534 105.2
1255 641 614 104.4
1476 762 714 106.7
1783 917 866 105.9
2154 1104 1 050 105.1
2610 1326 1 284 103.2
3150 1601 1 549 103.4
18.6 27.1 17.4 7.4 4.8 0.4 41.5 17.2 167
17.4 27.7 19.1 6.8 4.4 0.4 43.5 17.3 173
17.4 27.0 19.9 6.1 4.1 0.3 45.1 17.6 183
18.8 26.1 19.8 5.4 3.7 0.5 45.1 17.4 1 99
18.5 26.5 19.0 5.2 3.4 0.5 44.7 17.5 1 82
19.0 27.0 18.1 4.9 3.2 0.4 43.5 17.0 208
18.5 29.1 20.0 5.0 3.5 0.5 42.8 16.1 245
17.9 28.7 20.1 5.4 3.7 0.5 43.2 16.6 296
18.4 28.3 20.4 5.1 3.4 0.6 42.8 16.4 358
17.8 28.0 19.5 5.6 3.9 0.7 43.9 17.0 434
18.6 27.9 18.7 4.8 3.5 0.5 43.9 16.7 523
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Lite expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Lite expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
132 3.29 37.0 3.7 -0.5 5.25 2.49
147 3.11 34.7 3.3 -0.4 4.80 2.29
160 2.91 32.5 3.1 -0.4 4.35 2.08
170 2.69 30.2 3.0 -0.3 3.90 1.87
180 2.50 28.3 3.0 -0.3 3.57 1.71
189 2.33 26.6 3.1 -0.2 3.32 1.59
196 2.16 25.0 3.2 -0.2 3.12 1.50
201 1.99 23.5 3.4 -0.2 2.96 1.43
203 1.84 22.2 3.6 -0.2 2.83 1.36
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
119 2.97 33.8 3.7 -0.5 4.75 2.25
120 2.61 29.8 3.3 -0.4 4.00 1 .91
121 2.10 24.4 3.1 -0.3 2.90 1.39
119 2.30 26.5 3.1 -0.4 3.35 1.60
120 1.88 22.4 3.2 -0.3 2.57 1.23
114 1.64 20.1 3.4 -0.3 2.32 1 .1 1
104 1.39 17.8 3.7 -0.3 2.12 1.02
92 1.15 15.9 4.1 -0.2 1.96 0.94
80 0.95 14.3 4.6 -0.2 1.83 0.88
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
3 702 1 883 1819 17.1
4 409 2 245 2164 17.3
5 269 2 684 2585 17.5
6 31 1 3 215 3095 17.6
7 558 3 852 3706 17.5
9 039 4 607 4432 17.6
10 801 5 505 5296 17.7
12 908 6 578 6330 17.7
15 431 7 863 7568 17.8
3.49 39.1 3.7
3.57 39.3 3.3
3.61 39.4 3.1
3.61 39.1 2.9
3.58 38.7 2.8
3.56 38.5 2.7
3.56 38.4 2.7
3.57 38.4 2.7
3.57 38.4 2.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2050
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
456 232 225 103.1
505 253 252 100.1
565 280 286 98.0
642 315 327 96.6
747 367 380 96.7
917 462 455 101.7
1187 625 562 111.2
1527 825 702 117.5
1843 1 026 817 125.6
2177 1 285 893 143.9
2442 1 423 1019 139.6
17.1 25.2 18.9 5.0 3.0 0.2 46.9 18.8 1
18.6 25.8 18.8 4.8 2.9 0.2 45.7 17.7 2
18.8 27.4 18.8 4.8 2.8 0.2 44.6 16.9 2
19.1 28.4 18.9 4.7 2.9 0.2 43.7 16.2 2
19.4 28.4 19.6 4.6 2.8 0.2 43.8 16.0 2
19.6 27.5 19.5 4.3 2.7 0.2 43.9 16.4 3
19.3 26.3 18.3 3.6 2.3 0.2 44.0 17.3 4
19.1 26.1 17.1 3.2 2.1 0.2 43.3 17.6 5
17.4 26.7 16.9 3.1 1.9 0.2 42.9 18.3 6
14.8 25.6 !6.7 3.1 1.9 0.2 44.0 20.2 7
13.0 23.4 20.5 3.4 2.1 0.3 49.3 21.6 8
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
59 66 8 1 2.18 24.2 2.8 0.4 3.22 1.53 13 15 73.7 76.8 75.0
62 70 9 2.06 23.2 3.0 0.3 2.93 1.40 12 13
62 71 11 1 1.86 21.4 3.2 0.3 2.71 1.30 10 12
59 71 13 1 1.63 19.5 3.5 0.3 2.53 1.22 10 11
55 70 15 1 1.42 17.8 3.9 0.3 2.39 1.15 9 10
52 69 18 1 1.24 16.6 4.4 0.2 2.27 1.09 8 9
48 70 22 1 1 .09 15.7 5.0 0.2 2.17 1 .04 8 9
43 69 27 1 0.93 14.8 5.7 0.2 2.08 1.00 8 8
0.77 13.9 6.4 0.2 2.00 0.97 7 8
74.5 77.8 75.9
75.2 78.6 76.6
75.9 79.4 77.3
76.5 80.1 77.9
77.1 80.7 78.5
77.7 81.3 79.1
78.2 81.9 79.7
78.8 82.5 80.3
1
37 68 31 1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
OMAN
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
5 807 3055 2752 25.6
6 451 3369 3083 25.9
7 155 3710 3444 25.9
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
64
2.36 26.0 2.9 0.4 3.47 1.65
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
54
2.00 22.5 2.8 0.4 2.97 1 .41
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
2 567 1443 1124 22.3
2 913 1618 1295 23.5
3 312 1820 1492 24.3
3 746 2038 1708 24.8
4 206 2268 1938 25.0
4 693 2509 2184 24.9
5 223 2770 2453 25.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1 .000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.53 27.8 2.9
2.56 28.2 2.9
2.47 27.4 3.1
2.31 26.1 3.3
2.19 25.2 3.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.14 25.0 3.8
2.12 25.2 4.2
2.10 25.3 4.5
2.07 25.3 4.8
Indicator
.
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
3 708 2.22 30.9 7.6 -1 .1 3.98 1.69
D. LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2OlO 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
3 184 1.92 27.7 7.4 .1.1 3.48 1.48
3 135 1.73 24.9 6.8 -0.8 2.91 1.26
2 698 1.28 19.6 6.1 -0.7 2.26 1.01
2 914 1.48 21.9 6.3 .0.8 2.50 1.10
2 435 1 .09 17.6 6.1 -0.7 2.08 0.94
2 111 0.90 15.8 6.1 .0.6 1.93 0.88
1 728 0.71 14.1 6.4 .0.6 1.80 0.83
1 325 0.53 12.7 6.8 -0.6 1 .70 0.79
865 0.34 11.3 7.4 -0.6 1 .60 0.75
371 369 190 333 181 036 22.6
419 808 214 873 204 935 22.8
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................
157 935 81 283 76 653 20.0
177 946 91 571 86 376 21.2
202 074 103 973 98 101 21.8
229 395 1 1 7 999 1 1 1 395 22.0
259 21 1 133 279 125 932 21.9
291 939 149 990 141 949 22.0
328 929 168 802 160 126 22.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.39 32.7 7.8
2.54 33.5 7.3
2.54 32.8 6.8
2.44 31.3 6.3
2.38 30.2 5.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.39 30.0 5.7
2.43 30.2 5.5
2.45 30.2 5.3
2.45 30.0 5.2
474 440 242 523 231 916 22.8
PANAMA A ESTIMATES Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Popuiation (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Popuiation (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in schooi ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
PANAMA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dletributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
62 1.83 22.7 5.0 0.7 2.81 1.33
64
1.73 21.8 5.1 0.6 2.81 1.34
64 1.47 19.6 5.5 0.5 2.69 1.28
65 1.62 20.9 5.3 0.5 2.79 1.33
63 1.35 18.8 5.8 0.5 2.59 1.24
62 1.25 18.1 6.1 0.4 2.51 1.20
60 1 .14 17.5 6.5 0.4 2.44 1.17
58 1.04 16.9 6.9 0.4 2.38 1.14
55 0.95 16.4 7.3 0.4 2.35 1.13
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2OlO 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
49 1.46 18.9 5.0 0.7 2.31 1 .09
42 1.17 16.3 5.2 0.6 2.01 0.96
32 0.82 13.5 5.9 0.6 1.69 0.81
36 0.96 14.4 5.5 0.6 1.79 0.85
26 0.65 12.3 6.4 0.5 1.59 0.76
18 0.44 10.9 7.0 0.5 1.51 0.73
10 0.23 9.6 7.8 0.5 1 .44 0.69
2 0.04 8.6 8.7 0.5 1.38 0.66
.5 .0.12 8.1 9.7 0.5 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
3232 1 630 1 601 26.1
3527 l 778 1 749 27.2
3831 1 929 1 901 28.2
4143 2 085 2 058 29.2
4462 2 243 2 219 29.9
4787 2 404 2 383 30.7
5117 2 567 2 550 31.2
5452 2 733 2 719 31.7
5791 2 900 2 891 32.0
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.75 21.9 5.0
1.65 21.1 5.1
1.57 20.4 5.3
1.48 19.9 5.5
1.41 19.4 5.8
1.33 19.0 6.2
1.27 18.8 6.5
1.21 18.6 6.9
1.16 18.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
7.2
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
. Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2015
2020
2025
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 201 5-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
124 2.00 29.6 9.7 0.0 3.85 1.58
133 1.94 28.4 9.0 0.0 3.61 1.52
146 1.94 27.9 8.5 0.0 3.43 1.47
153 1.85 26.5 8.0 0.0 3.21 1.40
152 1.69 24.5 7.7 0.0 3.03 1.34
149 1.53 22.7 7.5 0.0 2.89 1.30
149 1.41 21.5 7.4 0.0 2.77 1.26
151 1.34 20.8 7.4 0.0 2.67 1.22
151 1.26 20.0 7.5 0.0 2.58 1.19
D. LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Parcentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
101 1.65 26.0 9.5 0.0 3.35 1.37
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
5 887 3 035 2852 19.7
6 558 3 375 3183 20.3
7 337 3 773 3564 21 .1
8 243 4 237 4006 21.7
9 261 4 759 4502 21.9
10 381 5 333 5048 21.9
1 1 624 5 969 5654 22.l
13 025 6 686 6338 22.3
14 613 7 499 7114 22.5
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
2.16 31.3 9.8
2.25 31.5 9.1
2.33 31.8 8.5
2.33 31.2 8.0
2.28 30.3 7.5
2.26 29.7 7.1
2.28 29.6 6.8
2.30 29.6 6.6
2.32 29.5 6.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
16 408 8 415 7993 22.6
Indicator
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
PARAGUAY
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2015
2020
2025
1 76 2.14 26.7 4.7 -0.6 3.41 1.59
177 1.94 24.7 4.7 -0.5 3.19 1.50
178 1.79 23.2 4.8 -0.5 3.02 1.42
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
156 2.39 29.5 4.9 -0.8 3.79 1.76
1 68 2.28 28.2 4.7 -0.7 3.59 1.67
181 1.66 22.1 5.0 -0.5 2.88 1.36
183 1.55 21 .1 5.2 -0.4 2.76 1.31
183 1.44 20.2 5.4 -0.4 2.66 1.27
180 1.32 19.2 5.7 -0.4 2.57 1.23
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
1 33 2.05 26.0 4.8 -0.8 3.29 1.53
125 1.75 22.8 4.7 -0.7 2.79 1.30
115 1.49 20.2 4.7 -0.6 2.40 1.13
109 1.31 18.6 4.9 -0.6 2.19 1 .03
100 1.13 17.0 5.2 -0.6 2.02 0.95
86 0.93 15.4 5.5 -0.5 1.88 0.89
70 0.73 13.8 6.0 -0.5 1.76 0.84
53 0.53 12.4 6.6 -0.5 1.66 0.79
36 0.35 l l .2 7.2 -0.5 1.57 0.75
14053 7066 6 987 23.7
15721 7905 7 816 23.8
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ........................ . ........................ Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
6158 3102 3 056 20.8
6960 3505 3 454 21.7
7875 3965 3 909 22.4
8892 4477 4 416 22.8
10003 5034 4 969 22.9
11217 5643 5 575 23.1
12559 6316 6 243 23.4
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.45 30.1 4.9
2.47 30.1 4.8
2.43 29.6 4.7
2.35 28.7 4.7
2.29 28.0 4.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Populafion Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.26 27.7 4.8
2.25 27.7 4.8
2.24 27.6 4.9
2.23 27.5 4.9
17577 8839 8 738 23.9
PERU Indicator
A. ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
PERU C. HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 201 5-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
475 1.63 23.7 6.0 .1.4 2.91 1.33
518 1.64 23.2 5.9 .0.9 2.89 1.34
543 1.59 22.3 5.9 .0.6 2.86 1.33
524 1.42 20.6 5.9 .0.5 2.74 1.28
501 1.27 19.3 6.1 .0.5 2.64 1.24
486 1.16 18.4 6.4 .0.5 2.56 1.20
472 1.06 17.8 6.7 -0.5 2.48 1.17
452 0.97 17.1 7.0 .0.4 2.41 1.14
425 0.87 16.5 7.4 -0.4 2.36 1.12
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.W 0 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
363 1.26 19.9 5.9 .1.4 2.41 1.11
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARlANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
27 968 14060 13 908 24.2 p p
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1.60 23.3 6.0
30 293 15216 15 077 25.4 .
1.62 23.1 5.9
32 849 16486 16 363 26.6
35 577 17839 17 738 27.6
38 359 19217 19 142 28.6
41 159 20601 20 558 29.3
44 013 22011 22 002 29.7
46 947 23461 23 486 30.2
49 968 24955 25 013 30.6
1.60 22.4 5.9
1.51 21.5 5.9
1.41 20.7 6.1
1 .34 20.2 6.3
1.29 19.9 6.6
1.25 19.8 6.9
1.21 19.6 7.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
53 073 26494 26 580 31.0
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
19 996 9 943 10053 98.9
23 222 11 596 11626 99.7
27 054 13 558 13496 100.5
31 567 15 861 15706 101.0
36 551 18 395 18156 101.3
42 019 21 172 20847 101.6
48 088 24 241 23847 101.7
54 266 27 338 26928 101.5
61 104 30 775 30330 101.5
17.5 26.1 17.9 5.5 3.6 0.4 45.3 18.2 67
18.9 26.2 18.5 5.1 3.3 0.4 44.6 17.5 77
18.4 27.4 18.6 4.8 3.0 0.3 43.9 17.0 90
17.9 28.3 18.7 4.7 2.9 0.3 43.3 16.9 1 05
17.3 28.0 19.7 4.8 2.9 0.3 44.4 17.1 1 22
16.7 27.5 20.6 4.9 3.1 0.3 45.6 17.6 1 40
16.3 26.9 20.6 4.9 3.2 0.3 46.9 18.1 160
15.5 26.5 20.6 4.9 3.2 0.3 47.9 18.6 181
15.0 25.9 20.4 4.9 3.2 0.4 48.7 19.2 204
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ......................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
83 054
41 814 41 241
90 907 45 752 45 154
99 212 49 911 49 301
107 682 54 141 53 541
1 15 677 58 122 57 556
123 067 61 789 61 278
129 975 65 208 64 767
136 915 68 644 68 270
143 866 72 102 71 764
11.9 23.3 20.3 6.1 3.9 0.5 52.2 22.2
11.6 21.5 20.0 6.7 4.3 0.5 52.8 23.4
11.3 20.4 19.1 7.6 4.8 0.6 52.7 24.6
10.8 20.1 17.8 8.6 5.6 0.7 51.9 25.8
9.9 19.6 17.2 9.7 6.4 0.9 51.5 27.1
9.1 18.6 17.3 11 .0 7.4 1 .1 51.2 28.3
8.5 17.3 17.2 12.4 8.5 1.4 50.9 29.5
8.5 16.2 16.5 13.9 9.6 1.7 50.0 30.7
8.4 15.7 15.4 15.3 10.8 2.0 48.6 31.9
l 570 1.81 25.0 4.9 .2.1 3.09 1.45
l 661 1.75 24.1 4.8 .1.9 2.97 1.40
l 694 1.64 22.9 4.8 -1 -7 2.84 1.35
l 599 1.43 20.8 4.9 .1.6 2.65 1.26
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 227 1.43 21.1 4.8 .2.1 2.59 1.21
1 056 1.15 18.3 4.8 .2.0 2.17 1.02
877 0.91 15.9 5.0 -1.9 1 .84 0.87
730 0.73 14.3 5.3 -1.8 1.65 0.79
536 0.52 12.6 5.7 .1.7 1.49 0.71
31 1 0.29 11.0 6.4 -1.7 1.37 0.65
136 0.13 10.1 7.1 -1.7 1.35 0.65
-38 -0.04 9.3 7.9 .1.7 1.35 0.65
-216 .0.20 8.6 8.9 -1.7 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
83 054 41 814 41 241 22.2
91 355 45 982 45 373 23.3
100 586 50 614 49 971 24.2
1 1 0 535 55 603 54 932 25.0
120 925 60 811 60 1 13 25.6
131 695 66 214 65 481 26.0
143 038 71 911 71 127 26.4
155 169 78 016 77 153 26.9
168 201 84 599 83 602 27.3
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.91 26.0 4.9
1.93 25.9 4.8
1.89 25.3 4.8
1.80 24.3 4.8
1.71 23.4 4.9
1.65 23.0 5.1
1.63 22.8 5.3
1.61 22.7 5.5
1.59 22.6 5.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
A. ESTIMATES
indicator Poputation (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
24 824 11830 12994 91.0
27 281 13123 14158 92.7
29 638 14338 15300 93.7
31 445 15262 16183 94.3
32 664 15863 16801 94.4
34 015 16549 17467 94.7
35 574 17332 18242 95.0
37 202 18143 19059 95.2
38 11 1 18574 19537 95.1
38 595 18782 19813 94.8
38 649 18779 19870 94.5
11.9 17.5 19.3 8.2 5.2 0.7 53.8 25.8 77
12.9 18.0 17.2 8.5 5.5 0.7 50.8 26.1
11.8 21.6 14.1 9.4 5.8 0.7 46.5 26.5 92
9.0 22.0 15.3 11.0 6.8 0.8 47.1 27.6 97
7.8 19.2 19.3 12.8 8.2 0.9 50.6 28.2 101
8.4 15.6 20.1 13.8 9.5 1.2 51.7 28.6 105
9.1 15.1 17.2 13.2 10.1 1.5 49.9 29.5 110
9.2 16.3 14.1 13.8 9.4 1.7 48.0 30.8 115
7.7 17.4 13.9 14.9 10.1 2.0 48.1 32.3 118
6.4 16.4 15.7 15.8 11.1 2.1 50.4 33.8 119
5.2 14.0 17.0 16.6 12.1 2.0 51.6 35.2 120
84
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2015
2020
2025
Popuiation (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
41 0.11 11.6 10.1 -0.4 1.49 0.71
.
D LOW VARIANT
Popuiation (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. .
109 .0.29 7.7 10.2 .0.4 0.99 0.47
. 164
.0.44 6.7 10.7 .0.4 0.87 0.42
. 207
. 233
.0.57 6.1 11.3 -0.4 0.84 0.40
.0.66 5.9 12.0 .0.5 0.91 0.44
. 268
-0.78 5.7 13.0 -0.5 0.98 0.47
. 303
.0.92 5.4 14.2 .0.5 1.05 0.51
. 337
.1.08 5.2 15.5 .0.5 1.12 0.54
. 362 .1.23 5.0 16.7 .0.5 1.19 0.57
. 372
.1.35 5.0 17.8 .0.6 1.26 0.61
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Popuiation (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
38 530 18 685 19844 36.5
38 391 18 596 19795 38.0
38 107 18 442 19665 39.7
37 568 18 162 19406 41.8
36 743 17 734 19008 44.1
35 659 17 171 18488 46.5
34 390 16 526 17865 48.8
32 966 15 818 17148 50.8
31 41 1 15 062 16350 52.4
29 754 14 262 15493 53.6
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) ..
.0.07 9.8 10.1
.0.15 9.5 10.5
.0.29 8.6 11.0
.0.45 7.5 11.5
-0.60 6.8 12.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.0.73 6.5 13.3
.0.85 6.4 14.4
.0.97 6.2 15.4
.1.08 5.9 16.2
PORTUGAL A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
8405 4043 4362 92.7
8610 4142 4468 92.7
8858 4239 4619 91.8
8999 4293 4706 91.2
8680 4118 4563 90.2
9093 4299 4795 89.7
9766 4723 5043 93.7
10011 4831 5180 93.3
9983 4813 5170 93.1
10030 4834 5197 93.0
10225 4934 5292 93.2
10.5 18.9 18.6 10.5 7.0 10 51 0 26.2 91
10.3 18.4 17.9 10.7 7.3 1.1 50.8 27.0 94
10.1 19.0 16.3 11.7 8.0 1.2 48.8 28.0 96
10.6 18.5 16.4 12.4 8.3 1.1 48.3 28.2 98
9.9 18.9 16.6 13.7 9.2 1.2 47.9 28.6 94
9.0 18.9 16.8 14.3 9.9 1.4 47.8 28.7 99
8.6 17.4 17.7 14.6 10.5 1.4 48.5 29.1 106
7.0 16.5 16.9 17.0 12.0 2.0 47.4 31.6 109
5.6 14.8 16.3 18.8 13.4 2.5 48.4 34.2 109
5.4 12.3 16.0 20.4 14.9 3.0 49.5 36.1 109
5.4 10.8 14.6 21.5 16.1 3.3 49.2 37.7 111
. .
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
. Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
C. HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
10 495 5 072 5 422
10803 5233 5570
11 050 5363 5687
11 275 5486 5790
11 443 5 579 5 864
11 604 5 668 5 936
11 778 5762 6016
11 973 5867 6106
12166 5971 6195
12 343 6 068 6 275
5.3 10.5 12.3 22.3 17.1 3.8 47.7 39.5
5.9 10.4 10.9 23.4 17.6 4.3 45.6 40.8
5.9 10.9 10.6 24.6 18.5 4.8 43.2 42.2
5.8 11.5 10.5 26.0 19.6 5.1 41.O 43.6
5.6 11.4 11.0 27.8 21.o 5.4 39.1 44.8
5.6 11.2 11.6 29.4
5.9 11.0 11.6 31.1 23.9 6.6 36.9 45.2
6.3 11.4 11.3 32.3 25.3 7.3 36.9 44.4
6.4 11.9 11.1 32.4 26.2 8.0 37.1 43.5
6.4 12.4 11.4 31.6 26.3 8.6 37.7 42.7
22.5 6.0 37.6 45.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
62 0.58 12.0 10.9 4.7 1.72 0.82
49 0.45 12.0 11.1 3.7 1.90 0.91
45 0.40 11.7 11.3 3.6 2.07 1.oo
33 0.30 11.3 11.4 3.1 2.14 1.03
32 0.28 11.4 11.7 3.0 2.21 1.06
35 0.30 12.0 12.0 3.0 2.28 1.10
39 0.33 12.7 12.3 2.9 2.34 1.13
39 0.32 12.9 12.6 2.9 2.35 1.13
35 0.29 12.9 12.8 2.9 2.35 1.13
D. LOWVARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
10 495 5 072 5 422
10 621 5 139 5 482
10 601 5 132 5 469
10 521 5 098 5 424
10 397 5 041 5 356
10 260 4 976 5 283
10 100 4 900 5 201
9 896 4 799 5 097
9 625 4 665 4 960
9 298 4 503 4 795
5.3 10.5 12.3 22.3 17.1 3.8 47.7 39.5
4.2 10.6 11.1 23.8 17.9 4.4 46.3 41.4
3.6 9.6 11.0 25.6 19.3 5.0 44.9 43.5
3.3 8.0 11.3 27.9 21.o 5.5 43.8 45.8
3.3 7.1 10.3 30.6 23.1 5.9 41.2 47.9
3.5 6.8 8.7 33.2 25.5 6.8 38.1 49.9
3.6 7.0 7.8 36.2 27.8 7.7 35.6 51.4
3.5 7.3 7.6 39.0 30.6 8.8 34.2 52.5
3.2 7.5 7.9 40.9 33.2 10.2 33.3 53.3
3.0 7.2 8.4 41.9 34.9 11.5 32.4 54.2
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
25 0.24 8.6 10.9 4.7 1.22 0.58
- 4 -0.04 7.3 11.4 3.8 1.10 0.53
-
16 -0.15 6.6 11.9 3.8 1.07 0.52
- 25 -0.24 6.7 12.4 3.3 1.14 0.55
-
27 -0.27 6.9 13.0 3.4 1.21
0.58
-
32 -0.31 7.2 13.7 3.4 1.28 0.62
-
41 -0.41 7.0 14.6 3.5 1.34 0.65
54 -0.56 6.4 15.5 3.6 1.35 0.65
-
65 -0.69 5.9 16.5 3.7 1.35 0.65
-
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
10 495 5072 5 422 39.5
10 710 5185 5 525 41.1
10 805 5237 5 568 42.9
10 840 5262 5 578 44.9
10 808 5252 5 556 46.7
10 743 5225 5 518 48.3
10 640 5177 5 463 49.6
10 491 5105 5 386 50.2
10 290 5007 5 284 50.7
10 046 4 887 5 159 51.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
0.41 10.3 10.9
0.18 9.3 11.3
0.07 8.6 11.6
-0.06 8.1 12.0
-0.12 8.0 12.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Popuiation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
-0.19 7.9 13.1
-0.28 7.7 13.8
-0.39 7.4 14.6
-0.48 7.2 15.4
359
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
3 955 1 898 2 057 92.3
4 060 1 944 2 11 6 91.9
4 157 1 988 2 169 91.7
4 242 2 028 2 214 91.6
4 31 1 2 061 2 249 91.6
4 361 2 087 2 274 91.8
4 391 2 105 2 286 92.1
4 406 2 118 2 288 92.6
4 410 2 126 2 284 93.1
7.0 15.3 15.7 16.9 12.1 3.0 9.1 4.7 4.6 9.5 48.7 33.3 446
6.7 14.1 15.0 18.5 13.4 3.3 8.3 4.4 4.6 9.0 47.9 34.5 457
6.6 13.2 14.4 19.9 14.8 3.6 7.9 4.0 4.2 8.8 46.8 35.8 468
6.4 12.8 13.4 21.3 16.0 4.0 7.7 3.8 3.9 8.1 45.7 37.2 478
6.2 12.6 12.7 22.6 17.1 4.5 7.6 3.8 3.8 7.6 44.6 38.4 486
6.0 12.4 12.4 23.5 18.3 5.2 7.4 3.7 3.8 7.4 43.4 39.6 491
5.7 12.0 12.4 24.6 19.1 5.8 7.2 3.7 3.7 7.4 42.2 40.8 495
5.6 11.6 12.2 26.0 20.0 6.3 6.9 3.6 3.6 7.3 41.3 41.8 496
5.5 11.2 11.9 27.6 21.2 6.8 6.7 3.4 3.5 7.2 40.4 42.6 497
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division Worid Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume i: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2015
2020
2025
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
29 0.71 15.5 8.3 -0.1 2.1 1 1 .01
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Femafes ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
14 0.34 11.9 8.3 .0.2 1.61 0.77
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
3 955 1898 2 057 33.3
4 070 1949 2 121 34.4
4 177 1998 2 179 35.6
4 269 2042 2 227 36.9
4 343 2078 2 265 38.2
4 399 2106 2 292 39.3
4 439 2130 2 309 40.4
4 468 2150 2 319 41.2
4 486 2165 2 321 41.8
0.58 14.2 8.3
0.52 13.9 8.6
0.44 13.4 8.9
0.34 12.8 9.2
0.25 12.3 9.6
0.18 11.9 10.0
0.13 11.7 10.3
0.08 1.1.5 10.6
0.03 11.3 10.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
4 494 2175 2 318 42.4
Indicator
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over ................... Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged t5-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
.........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
813 547 265
901 592 309
989 637 352
1068 675 393
1145 712 433
1223 748 475
1302 784 518
1378 818 561
1449 847 602
1511 871 640
8.2 13.5 13.8 2.6 1.3 0.1 60.2 30.9
8.8 14.1 12.4 3.0 1.7 0.2 58.1 31.8
8.2 14.9 12.7 3.9 2.0 0.2 56.5 32.5
7.9 15.1 12.7 6.0 2.9 0.3 53.9 34.0
7.5 14.5 13.5 7.8 4.6 0.4 51.4 35.2
7.5 13.9 13.8 10.1 6.1 0.5 49.9 35.7
7.5 13.6 13.3 13.8 7.9 0.9 49.4 35.8
7.5 13.7 12.9 18.1 11.1 1.5 48.6 35.8
7.2 13.9 12.8 20.7 14.6 2.0 48.4 36.2
7.0 13.8 13.0 21.6 16.8 2.7 48.3 36.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
18 2.05 18.7 2.9 4.7 3.04 1.45
18 1.87 17.4 2.9 4.2 3.00 1.44
16 1.53 16.4 3.1 1.9 2.94 1.41
15 1.40 15.7 3.5 1.8 2.81 1.35
16 1.32 15.5 4.0 1.7 2.70 1.30
16 1.25 15.6 4.7 1.6 2.61 1.26
15 1.14 15.4 5.5 1.5 2.53 1.22
14 1.00 14.9 6.4 1.4 2.46 1.18
13 0.85 14.4 7.3 1.4 2.39 1.15
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
15 1.76 15.8 2.9 4.7 2.54 1.21
13 1.45 13.1 2.9 4.3 2.20 1.05
10 1.03 11.4 3.2 2.0 1.94 0.93
9 0.91 10.8 3.7 1.9 1.81 0.87
9 0.80 10.5 4.4 1.9 1.70 0.82
7 0.64 9.9 5.3 1.8 1.61 0.78
5 0.44 9.0 6.4 1.8 1.53 0.74
2 0.21 8.0 7.7 1.7 1.46 0.70
0 0.00 7.4 9.1 1.7 1.39 0.67
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
813 547 265 30.9
900 592 31.8
990 637 353 32.5
1072 677 395 33.9
1155 717 438 34.9
1242 758 484 35.1
1334 801 533 34.8
1429 844 586 34.5
1525 886 639 34.4
1621 927 694 34.1
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.05 18.7 2.9
1.90 17.7 2.9
1.58 16.9 3.1
1.50 16.6 3.5
1.46 16.9 4.0
1.43 17.4 4.6
1.38 17.7 5.4
1.30 17.8 6.1
1.22 17.8 6.9
309
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
REPUBLIC OF KOREA
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ......................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
18 859 9 528 9330 102.1
21 422 10 497 10925 96.1
25 003 12 403 12600 98.4
28 530 14 273 14256 100.1
31 922 16 057 15865 101.2
35 281 17 775 17506 101.5
38 124 19 259 18865 102.1
40 806 20 576 20230 101.7
42 869 21 568 21301 101.3
45 007 22 668 22339 101.5
46 779 23 525 23254 101.2
15.7 26.0 18.6 5.4 3.0 0.2 46.0 19.1 189
15.6 23.8 20.6 5.6 3.7 0.4 49.2 19.8 215
18.6 23.3 18.8 5.3 3.3 0.4 47.0 19.2 251
16.5 26.8 17.2 5.1 3.3 0.4 45.7 18.7 287
13.7 28.3 17.8 5.4 3.3 0.4 46.6 19.0 321
12.7 25.1 21.3 5.8 3.6 0.4 49.9 19.9 354
11.3 22.7 23.0 6.0 3.8 0.4 52.9 21.8 383
9.1 20.9 21.1 6.8 4.3 0.5 54.9 24.5 410
7.7 18.2 20.4 7.7 5.0 0.6 56.9 26.9 431
7.6 15.7 18.5 9.2 5.8 0.7 57.4 29.4 452
6.6 14.3 16.4 11.4 7.4 1.0 57.3 32.0 470
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
. Population (thouiurnds) Total .................................................... , Males ................................. ............... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
45 754 22182 23 573 52.7
43 908 21152 22 756
41 770 20004 21 766 56.2
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
242 0.50 1 1 .1 6.0 .0.1 1 .46 0.70
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
57 0.12 7.4 6.1 -0.1 0.96 0.46
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
47 817 23973 23 844 35.1
48 608 24282 24 326 37.9
49 054 24407 24 648 40.8
49 169 24357 24 812 43.4
48 968 24141 24 827 45.9
48 346 23712 24 635
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
0.33 9.4 6.0
0.18 8.6 6.7
0.05 8.0 7.4
.0.08
.0.26 6.9 9.3
.0.46 6.1 10.6
48.4
P
7.5 8.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
47 253 23047 24 206 50.7
P
P P
-0.65 5.7 12.0
.
.0.82 5.5 13.6
54.4
P p
.1.00
5.4
15.2
Indicator
.
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
C. HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 1 5-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
4206 2010 2195
4205 2013 2192
4228 2028 2199
4241 2039 2202
4216 2030 2186
4165 2008 2157
4115 1987 2128
4079 1974 2104
4050 1966 2084
4.9 13.4 19.0 13.7 10.1 1.5 54.5
6.1 10.6 17.0 14.4 10.1 1.9 52.9 34.2
6.7 10.8 13.0 16.5 10.6 2.1 50.1 35.7
6.5 12.6 10.3 19.0 12.6 2.3 48.0 37.4
5.7 13.1 10.6 20.7 14.8 2.3 46.6 39.3
5.3 12.3 12.6 21.3 16.3 2.7 45.3 41.4
5.6 11.1 13.2 22.5 16.7 3.7 43.0 42.9
6.1 10.9 12.3 24.3 17.6 4.7 39.7 43.2
6.5 11.7 11.1 26.7 19.0 5.1 38.0 41.9
33.0
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
0 0.00 12.7 10.8 -l .9 1.46 0.69
4 0.11 13.8 10.8 -1 -9 1.65 0.78
.5 .0.12 11.7 1 1 .1 .1.9 1.89 0.89
3 0.07 13.4 10.9 .1.9 1.82 0.86
. l0 .0.24 10.8 11.3 .1.9 1.96 0.93
. l0 -0.24 11.3 11.8 .1.9 2.03 0.96
.7 .0.18 12.5 12.3 .2.0 2.10 1.00
.6 .0.14 13.2 12.7 .2.0 2.17 1 .03
.7 .0.17 13.1 12.8 .2.0 2.24 1.07
. 37 .1.08 5.5 13.9 .2.3 1.03 0.49
. 41 .1.25 5.2 15.2 .2.5 1.10 0.52
. 43 .1.42 5.0 16.6 .2.6 1.17 0.56
. 45 .l58 4.9 17.9 .2.8 1.24 0.59
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. 18 .0.43 8.4 10.8 .1.9 0.96 0.45
.23 .0.57 7.4 11.1 .2.0 0.85 0.40
. 27 .0.69 6.6 11.5 .2.0 0.82 0.39
. 30 .0.79 6.4 12.2 .2.1 0.89 0.42
. 33 .0.92 5.9 12.9 .2.2 0.96 0.45
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
4206 2 010 2 195 33.0
4165 1 992 2 173 34.5
4111 1 968 2 143 36.5
4027 1 929 2 098 38.8
3908 1 872 2 037 41-4
3766 1 803 1 963 44.1
3607 1 726 1 881 46.8
3430 1 642 1 789 49.3
3236 1 549 1 687 51.4
3028 1 448 1 579 53.0
Populationgrowthrate(percent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
.0.20 10.7 10.8
.0.60 7.7 11.7
.0.74 6.9 12.3
.0.86 6.6 13.1
.1.01 6.4 14.1
.1.17 6.0 15.2
.1.33 5.5 16.3
p -
.0.26 10.3 10.9
. . . .
.0.42 9.0 11.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4.................... ........ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
12 1.48 20.4 5.6 0.0 2.69 1.32
12 l .39 19.7 5.8 0.0 2.72 1.33
12 1 .30 19.1 6.1 0.0 2.71 1.33
12 1.16 18.1 6.4 0.0 2.61 1.28
11 1.05 17.4 6.9 0.0 2.53 1.24
11 0.97 17.0 7.3 0.0 2.46 1.21
10 0.90 16.7 7.8 0.0 2.39 1.17
10 0.83 16.5 8.2 0.0 2.35 1.15
10 0.78 16.3 8.5 0.0 2.35 1.15
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
9 1 .12 16.8 5.6 0.0 2.19 1.07
7 0.84 14.4 5.9 0.0 1.92 0.94
6 0.64 12.8 6.4 0.0 1 .71 0.84
5 0.52 12.2 7.0 0.0 1.61 0.79
3 0.37 11.5 7.7 0.0 1.53 0.75
2 0.20 10.5 8.5 0.0 1.46 0.71
0 -0.01 9.4 9.5 0.0 1.39 0.68
.2 -0.19 8.5 10.4 0.0 1.35 0.66
.3 -0.33 8.1 11.4 0.0 1.35 0.66
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005 Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
P
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
-
785 384 402 29.3 P
1.34 19.0 5.6
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
840
30.0
893 435 458 30.8
947 461 486 31.8
1001 487 514 32.6
1053 512 542 33.2
1105 536 569 33.5
1155 560 595 33.9
1203 583 620 34.1
1 .24 18.3 5.8
1.17 17.9 6.2
1.10 17.6 6.6
1.02 17.3 7.0
0.95 17.0 7.5
0.88 16.8 8.0
0.83 16.7 8.4
0.79 16.6 8.7
410
430
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2050
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
.........
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
. Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaitdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
ROMANIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2015
2020
2025
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. 45 -0.21 11.4 12.6 -0.9 1.51 0.71
. 25 -0.12 11.9 12.8 -0.2 1.69 0.80
. 32 .0.15 11.6 12.8 -0.2 1.86 0.89
. 52 -0.25 10.6 12.9 -0.2 1.93 0.92
-56 -0.27 10.5 12.9 -0.2 2.00 0.96
-46 -0.22 11.2 13.2 .0.2 2.07 0.99
-34 -0.17 12.1 13.5 -0.2 2.14 1.03
. 29 .0.15 12.6 13.8 -0.2 2.21 1.06
. 31 .0.16 12.6 13.9 -0.2 2.28 1.09
. 125
. 142
. 159
. 164
. 169
. 177
. 189
. 202
. 208
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . . Populationgrowthrate(percent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
-0.59 7.7 12.6 .0.9 1.01 0.48
.0.69 6.5 13.1 .0.2 0.89 0.42
.0.80 5.8 13.6 -0.3 0.86 0.41
-0.86 5.8 14.0 -0.3 0.93 0.44
-0.92 5.6 14.6 -0.3 1.00 0.48
.1.01 5.5 15.3 -0.3 1.07 0.51
.1.14 5.3 16.4 .0.3 1.14 0.55
.1.30 5.0 17.7 -0.3 1.21 0.58
.1.43 4.9 18.9 .0.3 1.28 0.61
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... .................. Females .................... . . . Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
21711 10581 11130 36.7
21289 10352 10938 38.5
20840 10114 10726 40.3
20278 9826 10451 42.4
19625 9496 10129 44.6
18918 9136 9782 46.6
18159 8750 9409 48.7
17329 8330 9000 50.9
16428 7874 8554 52.3
15474 7399 8074 53.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationgrowthrate(percent)............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
.0.39 9.6 12.6
-0.43 8.9 13.0
-0.55 8.0 13.2
-0.65 7.2 13.5
-0.73 6.8 13.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
-0.82 6.6 14.5
.0.94 6.3 15.4
.1.07 6.0 16.3
.1.20 5.6 17.3
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Llte expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
. Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1,000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
. 635
1 580 2 265 50 -0.45 11.2 16.0 0.4 1.40 0.66 16 21 58.7 71.8 65.0
. 719
. 774
. 781
. 729
. 669
. 647
. 669
11.0 16.2 0.4 1.44 0.67 15 20
1 387 2 155 50 -0.53 10.3 16.0 0.4 1 .51 0.71 13 18
59.6 71.9 65.6
61.3 72.6 66.9
62.9 73.4 68.2
64.3 73.9 69.2
65.5 74.4 70.1
66.7 75.0 71 .0
67.8 75.7 71.9
68.9 76.5 72.9
. 666 1 521 2 237 50 -0.48
1 247 2 071 50 .0.59 9.5 15.8 0.4 1.58 0.74 12 16
1 193 2 024 50 .0.61 9.4 15.9 0.4 1.65 0.77 11 15
1 229 2 008 50 .0.59 9.9 16.3 0.4 1.72 0.81 11 14
1 279 1 998 50 -0.56 10.7 16.6 0.4 1.79 0.84 10 13
1 270 1 967 50 .0.56 10.9 16.9 0.4 1.85 0.87 9 12
1 192 1 911 50 .0.59 10.5 16.8 0.4 1.85 0.87 9 ll
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
109 761 49 941 59 820 47.9
103 999 47 442 56 557 48.3
98 169 44 937 53 232 48.5
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. 356 .0.25 13.1 16.0 0.4 1.65 0.77
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. 913
.
.0.65 9.2 16.0 0.4 1.15 0.54
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
143 202 66 447 76 754 37.3
139 609 64 445 75 165 38.0
135 487 62 246 73 241 39.1
130 708 59 805 70 904 40.6
125 635 57 283 68 352 42.5
120 509 54 814 65 695 44.5
1 15 270 52 391 62 879 46.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationgrowthrate(percent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
.0.51 10.6 16.0
.0.60 9.9 16.2
.0.72 8.6 16.2
.0.79 7.8 16.1
.0.83 7.7 16.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
.0.89 7.7 17.0
.0.98 7.4 17.7
.1.08 7.0 18.3
.1.15 6.7 18.7
A ESTIMATES
indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Modian age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division
Wotid Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
RWANDA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
31 204 15 367 15837 17.8
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 popufation) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
234 2.43 42.8 18.1 .0.4 5.45 1.83
D. LOW VARIANT Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
201 2.1 1 39.2 17.7 .0.4 4.95 1.66
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
9 038 4 379 4658 17.5
10 247 4 980 5267 18.2
11 705 5 703 6002 18.0
13 381 6 532 6849 17.7
15 278 7 471 7807 17.6
17 459 8 551 8908 17.8
20 032 9 827 10205 18.0
23 119 11 358 11761 18.1
26 818 13 193 13626 18.0
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.51 43.7 18.2
2.66 44.5 17.5
2.68 43.2 16.1
2.65 41.4 14.6
2.67 40.2 13.3
2.75 39.9 12.2
2.87 40.1 11.3
2.97 40.2 10.4
3.03 39.9 9.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (mates per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
83 41 42 97.2
87 43 43 100.0
90 43 47 92.5
96 46 50 92.4
104 50 54 92.6
110 53 57 93.9
118 58 60 95.7
127 62 65 96.2
138 68 70 96.7
148 73 75 96.6
154 76 78 96.8
14.2 24.9 19.6 5.8 3.8 0.8 49.1 20.7 1 54
15.0 25.4 19.1 4.8 3.4 0.7 48.0 20.1 161
18.0 26.7 17.6 6.7 4.3 0.6 43.7 17.7 167
18.2 29.2 17.1 6.9 4.5 0.6 41.3 16.4 179
18.5 31.6 16.5 7.0 4.6 0.6 38.7 15.0 193
15.8 30.8 19.0 7.4 4.9 0.6 41.4 16.5 204
14.1 29.7 21.3 7.7 5.1 0.6 43.5 17.5 219
13.1 27.6 21.2 8.0 5.5 0.7 46.2 18.9 235
12.5 24.2 19.9 9.6 7.1 1.3 47.1 21.5 255
12.4 23.1 19.6 9.4 7.0 1.4 48.7 22.2 274
9.2 22.4 19.4 9.9 7.2 1.7 52.1 24.4 287
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SAINT LUClA C. HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2 1.03 20.8 6.9 -3.6 2.43 1.16
2 1.08 21 .0 6.7 .3.4 2.49 1.19
2 1 .00 19.9 6.6 -3.3 2.51 1.20
2 0.81 17.9 6.7 .3.1 2.44 1.17
1 0.68 16.7 6.9 -3.0 2.38 1.14
1 0.64 16.5 7.2 .2.9 2.35 1.13
1 0.64 16.7 7.6 -2.8 2.35 1.14
1 0.59 16.6 8.0 -2.7 2.35 1 .14
1 0.50 16.1 8.4 -2.7 2.35 1.14
203 101 1 02 34.8
207 103 104 35.6
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 0.62 16.7 6.9 -3.7 1.93 0.92
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILflY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................... .. ........... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
161 79 82 25.6
1 68 83 85 27.2
175 87 89 28.8
182 90 92 30.3
189 94 95 32.1
194
W
98 33.5
1 99 99 100 34.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
0.87 19.2 6.9
0.87 19.0 6.8
0.79 18.0 6.7
0.67 16.8 6.9
0.57 16.0 7.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.50 15.5 7.5
0.43 15.2 7.9
0.36 14.9 8.5
0.27 14.6 9.0
210 104 106 36.4
SAINT VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
19%
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thouscinds) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ........................ . .................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................ 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
1 2 1 .1 0.49 19.8 6.7 .8.3 2.16 1 04 22 26
0 2 1 1 0.36 18.3 6.6 .8.1 2.08 1 00 20 23
0 2 1 1 0.16 16.3 6.7 -8.0 2.00 0.96 18 21
69.3 74.8 72.0
70.2 75.6 72.9
71 0 76.4 73.7
.
.
.
.
.
.1
.1
.1
.1
0 2 1 .1 -0.06 14.5 7.1 -8.0 1.93 0.93 16 18
0 2 1 .1 .0.25 13.2 7.7 .8.1 1.87 0.90 15 16
2 1 1 -0.42 12.6 8.6 -8.2 1.85 0.90 13 15
1 1 1 -0.62 12.1 9.9 .8.4 1.85 0.90 12 14
1 1 .1 -0.88 11.3 11.4 .8.7 1.85 0.90 11 12
1 1 .1 .1.19 10.5 13.1 .9.2 1.85 0.90 10 11
71.8 77.1 74.4
72.5 77.7 75.1
73.2 78.4 75.7
73.8 78.9 76.3
74.4 79.5 76.9
75.0 80.0 77.4
.
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SAINT VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
.
C HIGH VARIANT
lndicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
I
0.71 22.0 6.7 .8.3 2.41 1 .16
1 0.69 21.4 6.6 -8.0 2.48 1 .19
0 0.31 17.4 6.8 -7.6 2.43 1.17
1 0.53 19.6 6.6 -7.7 2.50 1.20
0 0.16 16.3 7.2 .7.5 2.37 1 .14
0 0.09 16.3 7.9 .7.4 2.35 1 .14
0 0.01 16.3 8.8 -7.4 2.35 1.14
0 .0.14 15.9 9.8 .7.4 2.35 1.14
0 .0.33 15.1 10.9 -7.5 2.35 1 .14
D. LOW VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
0 0.27 17.6 6.7 .8.3 1.91 0.92
0 0.01 15.1 6.7 .8.3 1.68 0.81
.1
0 -0.25 12.7 6.9 .8.3 1.50 0.72
.0.46 11.3 7.4 .8.5 1.43 0.69
.1 -0.70 10.0 8.2 .8.7 1.37 0.66
.1 .0.96 9.0 9.5 .9.1 1.35 0.65
.1 .1.28 8.0 11.2 .9.6 1.35 0.65
.2 .1.69 6.9 13.4 .10.4 1.35 0.66
.2 .2.16 5.9 16.1 .11.4 1.35 0.66
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
119 59 60 24.6
123 61 62 26.6
126 63 63 28.6
1 28 64 64 30.8
1 29 64 65 32.7
130 64 65 34.3
1 29 64 65 35.4
1 28 63 65 36.5
126 62 64 37.7
0.51 19.8 6.6
0.36 18.1 6.7
0.20 16.7 6.9
0.06 15.8 7.4
-0.06 15.3 8.2
.0.20 14.9 9.2
-0.38 14.5 10.4
.0.57 14.0 11.6
p p
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
0.58 20.7 6.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2050
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
1 85 96 89 108.4
189 98 91 108.4
190 99 91 108.5
190 99 91 108.5
190 99 91 108.4
189 98 91 108.2
186 97 90 107.9
179 93 87 107.4
169 87 82 106.9
13.9 26.8 18.3 6.5 4.6 0.8 16.7 7.1 6.7 10.3 46.6 19.4 65
11.7 26.9 19.8 6.7 4.7 0.9 16.3 8.1 7.0 11.3 47.5 20.1 67
10.3 24.0 22.0 7.4 5.0 1 .0 14.1 7.7 7.9 12.5 49.6 21.7 67
9.7 20.7 22.7 8.8 5.6 1.2 12.2 6.6 7.0 13.7 50.8 23.6 67
9.8 18.8 20.0 11.1 6.9 1.3 11.2 5.7 5.9 12.1 50.1 25.8 67
9.8 18.4 16.8 13.4 8.9 1.4 11.2 5.3 5.2 10.0 49.2 28.1 67
9.0 18.7 15.1 15.7 11.0 1.7 11.4 5.4 5.1 8.8 48.7 30.5 66
7.6 18.4 15.2 16.9 13.1 2.4 1 1 .1 5.6 5.3 8.7 48.0 33.1 63
6.3 16.7 16.1 18.0 14.3 3.4 9.8 5.5 5.5 9.3 47.3 36.2 60
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per l.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 0.58 26.1 5.4 -14.9 4.18 1 .94
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
0 0.27 23.0 5.3 -15.0 3.68 1.71
0 .0.13 19.0 5.3 -15.0 3.10 1.44
.1 .0.37 17.0 5.5 -15.2 2.65 1.24
.1 .0.44 16.9 5.8 -15.5 2.38 1 .1 1
.1 .0.53 17.0 6.4 -15.9 2.17 1.02
.1 .0.78 15.7 7.1 -1 6.4 2.00 0.94
.2 .1.26 12.8 8.1 -17.2 1.86 0.88
.3 .1.86 9.4 9.4 -18.6 1.75 0.82
.3 .2.49 7.0 1 1 .1 -20.7 1.65 0.78
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT P
P
P
P
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
185 96 89 19.4
192 100 92 19.7
199 104 96 20.4
208 108 100 21.4
219 1 14 105 21.8
232 120 111 21.8
245 127 118 21.6
258 1 34 124 21.6
272 141 131 21.9
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
0.74 27.6 5.4
0.74 27.0 5.2
0.88 27.7 5.2
1.04 28.7 5.2
1 .11 28.8 5.3
1.09 28.0 5.4
1 .04 27.0 5.5
1-06 26.8 5.7
1.16 27.3 5.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
288 149 139 22.2
Indicator
.
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2CW
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
PopuIatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
157 78 79 98.6
174 87 88 98.9
192 96 96 99.1
209 104 105 99.3
225 112 113 99.4
241 120 121 99.5
257 128 129 99.5
272 135 136 99.4
285 142 143 99.2
14.6 24.8 23.6 5.7 4.3 0.5 15.1 7.0 6.9 14.5 50.8 19.6 162
13.8 24.4 20.6 5.1 3.7 0.6 14.9 6.8 6.4 12.2 51-8 20.6 181
12.5 23.9 19.7 5.1 3.4 0.6 14.5 6.8 6.4 11.5 52.9 21.7 199
11.2 22.5 19.9 5.3 3.4 0.6 13.6 6.7 6.4 11.7 54.6 23.1 217
10.2 20.6 19.9 6.0 3.8 0.5 12.3 6.3 6.3 11.8 56.0 24.6 233
9.5 18.8 19.1 6.9 4.5 0.5 11.2 5.7 5.8 11.5 55.4 26.4 250
9.1 17.6 17.7 8.2 5.2 0.6 10.6 5.2 5.3 10.7 53.3 28.3 267
8.5 16.8 16.4 10.6 6.3 0.7 10.1 5.0 4.9 9.8 52.0 30.1 282
7.8 16.1 15.6 13.6 8.4 1.0 9.7 4.8 4.8 9.3 51.1 31.9 295
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
S A 0 TOME AND PRlNClPE
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
157 78 79
176 89
197 98 99
21 7 108 109
238 119 1 19
259 129 130
281 140 141
303 151 1 52
325 162 163
14.6 24.8 23.6 5.7 4.3 0.5 50.8 19.6
14.7 24.l 20.4 5.1 3.7 0.6 51.3 20.4
13.8 24.1 19.2 4.9 3.3 0.6 51.6 21.1
12.6 23.8 19.1 5.1 3.3 0.6 52.4 22.0
11.4 22.4 19.5 5.7 3.6 0.5 53.7 23.1
10.8 20.7 19.6 6.5 4.2 0.5 53.3 24.4
10.5 19.4 18.6 7.5 4.8 0.6 51.8 25.9
10.1 18.7 17.4 9.5 5.6 0.7 50.8 27.3
9.6 18.3 16.5 11.9 7.3 0.9 50.2 28.5
88
.
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................. .... ........... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
3 1.97 30.0 7.9 .2.4 3.32 l .42
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT .
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
157 78 79 19.6
89 20.2
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.54
36.1 8.3
2.54
178 88
35.2
7.7
-
pp-
202 101 101 20.4
228 1 14 1 14 20.6
256 128 1 28 21 .0
288 144 144 21.7
324 1 62 1 62 22.3
366 183 183 22.6
412 206 206 22.8
2.43 33.0 6.9
2.34 31.1 6.1
2.33 30.5 5.7
2.39 30.7 5.5
2.41 30.7 5.5
2.38 30.3 5.5
2.33 29.7 5.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4.......................... .. Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
3201 1625 1577 103.1
3593 1822 l771 102.9
4075 2065 2010 102.7
4793 2443 2350 104.0
5745 2955 2790 105.9
7251 3808 3444 110.6
9604 5188 4416 117.5
12880 7133 5748 124.1
16379 9127 7252 125.9
18682 10469 8213 127.5
21484 11686 9799 119.3
17.2 24.8 18.4 5.6 3.3 0.2 45.7 19.0 1
17.5 25.1 18.5 5.6 3.3 0.2 45.4 18.7 2
17.8 25.5 18.4 5.5 3.3 0.2 45.0 18.4 2
18.3 25.7 18.4 5.3 3.3 0.2 44.5 18.0 2
18.3 26.2 18.5 5.1 3.2 0.3 44.1 17.8 3
18.1 26.2 18.8 4.8 3.0 0.3 43.8 17.9 3
18.9 25.4 18.5 4.4 2.8 0.3 42.5 18.0 4
16.9 25.4 19.3 3.9 2.4 0.3 44.9 19.0 6
16.4 25.2 18.5 3.5 2.3 0.2 46.6 19.5 8
15.6 25.7 16.8 3.5 2.3 0.3 45.9 19.7 9
14.4 25.2 18.2 4.2 2.6 0.3 49.0 20.7 10
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
C. HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
665 2.54 27.9 3.7 1.1 3.83 1.82
721 2.43 26.9 3.6 1 .0 3.57 1.70
765 2.29 25.6 3.6 0.9 3.34 1.59
769 2.07 23.6 3.7 0.8 3.07 1.47
757 1.84 21.6 3.9 0.7 2.84 1.36
740 1.65 20.0 4.2 0.7 2.65 1.27
722 1.49 18.8 4.6 0.6 2.49 1.20
705 1.36 17.9 5.0 0.6 2.37 1.14
710 1.28 17.6 5.4 0.5 2.35 1.13
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
24 573 13 259 11314 21.6
28 100 15 033 13067 22.3
32 191 17 087 15104 23.0
36 842 19 420 17422 23.4
41 994 22 001 19993 23.5
47 635 24 821 22814 23.5
53 833 27 914 25919 23.6
60 709 31 342 29367 23.8
68 404 35 182 33222 24.0
77 033 39 498 37535 24.1
2.68 29.3 3.7
2.72 29.8 3.6
2.70 29.7 3.6
2.62 29.0 3.6
2.52 28.2 3.7
2.45 27.7 3.8
2.39 27.5 4.1
2.38 27.6 4.3
p p .
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
2.40 27.5 4.0
A. ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2 750 1 376 1 374 100.1
3 092 1 545 1 547 99.9
3 506 1 751 1 754 99.8
3 989 1 992 1 997 99.8
4 574 2 284 2 290 99.7
5 262 2 585 2 677 96.6
5 959 2 924 3 035 96.3
6 870 3 373 3 497 96.5
7 977 3 923 4 055 96.7
9 120 4 482 4 637 96.7
10 343 5 084 5 259 96.7
16.9 24.7 18.9 5.5 3.4 0.3 47.1 19.2 14
17.9 24.5 18.7 5.1 3.2 0.3 46.5 18.8 16
18.2 25.2 18.3 4.9 3.0 0.3 45.7 18.3 18
18.3 26.1 18.0 4.8 2.9 0.2 44.9 17.9 20
18.2 26.4 18.5 4.7 2.8 0.2 44.9 17.6 23
18.2 26.7 17.7 6.4 4.4 0.8 44.7 17.7 27
18.7 27.0 18.5 5.5 3.7 0.6 44.9 17.1 30
19.0 27.2 19.2 5.0 3.3 0.5 44.7 16.8 35
18.8 28.0 19.1 4.9 3.1 0.4 44.3 16.6 41
17.6 28.7 19.4 4.8 3.1 0.4 44.7 16.7 46
16.6 28.1 20.5 4.8 3.1 0.4 46.0 17.3 53
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-200O 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.00O births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
69 143 81 2.35 49.0 27.8 6.70 1.84 200
83 164 90 2.51 49.8 27.4 6.90 1.92 190
97 1 86 100 2.59 49.6 26.8 7.00 1.97 180
117 210 111 2.74 49.1 25.9 7.00 2.00 175
138 242 117 2.80 49.2 23.9 7.00 2.10 170
139 270 122 2.49 48.1 21.8 7.00 2.24 136
182 307 116 2.85 47.8 18.2 7.00 2.40 116
221 343 113 2.99 46.2 15.3 6.80 2.48 100
228 361 112 2.68 42.2 13.1 6.20 2.35 90
245 385 120 2.52 39.6 12.4 5.60 2.15 87
263 412 129 2.39 37.4 11.7 5.05 1.96 a3
33.4 35.4 34.4
34.3 36.3 35.3
35.2 37.2 36.2
36.6 38.6 37.6
39.1 41.1 40.1
43.2 45.3 44.3
47.0 49.3 48.2
50.4 52.8 51.6
52.9 55.3 54.1
53.6 55.9 54.8
54.4 56.8 55.6
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
1 1 658 5734 5924 96.8
13082 6443 6638 97.1
14538 7169 7369 97.3
15970 7882 8088 97.4
17 348 8 565 8 783 97.5
18 678 9 222 9 455 97.5
19 956 9 851 10 105 97.5
21 146 10 431 10 714 97.4
22 207 10 945 1 1 263 97.2
23 108 1 1 375 1 1 734 96.9
I 5.8 26.8 21.4 4.9 3.1 0.4 16.3 7.5 7.2 12.4 47.9 18.2 59
15.0 25.8 21.3 5.0 3.2 0.4 15.7 7.2 6.8 12.6 49.4 19.2 66
13.9 24.9 20.7 5.1 3.4 0.4 15.2 7.0 6.6 12.1 50.6 20.2 74
12.7 23.8 20.4 5.4 3.5 0.5 14.5 6.9 6.6 12.0 52.0 21.4 81
11.6 22.4 20.2 5.9 3.8 0.5 13.5 6.6 6.4 11.9 53.4 22.8 88
10.7 20.9 19.8 6.7 4.2 0.6 12.5 6.2 6.2 11.8 54.4 24.3 95
9.8 19.5 19.0 7.5 4.9 0.6 11.7 5.8 5.8 11.4 54.6 26.0 101
9.0
8.2 17.1 17.2 10.3 6.6 0.9 10.2 5.2 5.2 10.3 53.8 29.5 113
7.5 15.9 16.4 12.2 7.9 1.1 9.5 4.9 4.9 9.9 53.2 31.3 117
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
I 8.3 18.0 8.7 5.6 0.7 11.0 5.5 5.5 10.8 54.3 27.7 I 07
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Popuiation growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 ,OOO population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1,00O births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
285 432 133 . 15 2.30 10.7 -1.2 4.46 1.77 77 121
291 443 136 . 15 2.1 1 32.0 9.9 -1.1 3.90 1.59 71 111
286 441 140 . 15 1.88 28.9 9.2
55.8 58.4 57.1
57.2 60.0 58.6
35.0
-1 .0 3.42 1.42 66 101
276 434 144 . 15 1.66 26.1 8.6 -0.9 3.04 1.29 61 93
266 426 145 . 15 1.48 23.7 8.1 -0.8 2.73 1.18 54 81
256 415 145 . 15 1.32 21.5 7.5 -0.8 2.48 1.10 47 68
238 400 147 . 15 1.16 19.5 7.2 -0.7 2.27 1.03 40 56
21 2 380 153 . 15 0.98 17.5 7.1 -0.7 2.09 0.96 34 46
180 358 163 . 15 0.80 15.8 7.2 -0.7 1.94 0.90 29 38
58.5 61.5 60.0
59.6 63.0 61.3
61.3 64.9 63.1
63.3 67.2 65.2
65.2 69.3 67.2
66.9 71.2 69.0
68.3 72.8 70.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division
386
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SENEGAL
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2015
2020
2025
344 2.19 32.2 9.3 -1 .0 3.92 1.63
341 1.96 29.1 8.7 -0.9 3.54 1 .50
344 1.80 26.8 8.0 -0.8 3.23 1.40
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
p
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
307 2.47 36.8 10.9 -1.2 4.71 1.87
332 2.37 34.8 10.1 -1.1 4.30 1.75
-
354 1.70 25.1 7.4 .0.7 2.98 1.32
358 1.58 23.4 6.9 -0.7 2.77 1.25
351 1.44 21.7 6.7 .0.6 2.59 1.19
334 1.28 19.9 6.6 -0.6 2.44 1.14
165 0.93 17.8 7.6 .0.8 1 .98 0.88
132 0.71 15.4 7.5 -0.8 1.77 0.80
95 0.50 13.3 7.5 -0.8 1.59 0.73
55 0.28 11.5 7.9 -0.8 1.44 0.67
.
D LOW VARIANT
. Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
263 2.14 33.1 10.6 -1.2 4.21 1.67
251 1.85 29.2 9.7 -1.1 3.50 1.42
229 1.55 25.5 9.0 -1.0 2.92 1.21
21 1 1.33 22.8 8.6 -0.9 2.54 1.07
190 1.13 20.2 8.1 -0.9 2.23 0.97
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
1 1 658 5 734 5924 18.2
13 310 6 558 6751 18.8
15 279 7 543 7735 19.0
17 549 8 679 8870 19.0
20 125 9 966 10159 18.9
23 096 1 1 449 11647 19.1
26 597 13 196 13402 19.2
30 741 15 261 15479 19.3
35 625 17 695 17931 19.3
41 357 20 549 20808 19.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 201 5-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.65 38.7 11.0
2.76 38.9 10.3
2.77 38.2 9.7
2.74 37.2 9.0
2.75 36.4 8.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.82 36.2 7.4
2.90 36.1 6.7
2.95 36.0 6.1
2.98 35.8 5.6
A. ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2015
2020
2025
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
14 0.13 13.0 11.2 .0.6 1.83 0.86
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................ ..................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1
. 24 -0.23 9.5 11.2 -0.6 1.33 0.63
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
10 503 5 226 5 277 36.5
10 506 5 231 5 275 37.5
10 466 5 215 5 251 38.7
10 379 5 175 5 204 39.9
10 249 5 112 5 138 41.4
10 088 5 029 5 059 42.8
9 899 4 930 4 968 44.0
9 685 4 820 4 865 45.0
9 446 4 698 4 748 45.5
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
0.01 11.8 11.2
.0.08 11.5 11.7
.0.17 10.8 11.9
-0.25 10.2 12.1
.0.32 9.7 12.3
-0.38 9.6 12.8
-0.44 9.5 13.2
.0.50 9.3 13.6
.0.56 9.0 14.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
9 184 4 565 4 619 46.0
Indicator
.
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... 80th sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 1517 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
2005-2010 2010-2015 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... 80th sexes combined ............................
121 268 131 . 16 2.09 46.0 22.5 .2.7 6.47 2.01 160 278
153 291 138 0 2.35 44.6 21.1 0.0 6.16 1.97 154 266
40.5 43.3 41.9
41.7 44.7 43.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SIERRA LEONE HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2020
2025
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
122 2.10 46.2 22.5 -2.7 6.50 2.02
166 2.54 46.8 21.5 0.0 6.50 2.08
189 2.55 45.6 20.1 0.0 6.24 2.06
209 2.48 43.0 18.3 0.0 5.77 1.98
227 2.39 40.4 16.6 0.0 5.27 1 .88
245 2.29 37.8 15.0 0.0 4.76 1.75
261 2.18 35.3 13.5 0.0 4.28 1.63
274 2.06 32.8 12.2 0.0 3.88 1.52
286 1.95 30.5 1 1 .1 0.0 3.56 1.43
17060 8457 8603 17.0
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
113 1.95 44.4 22.2 -2.7 6.22 1.93
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT .
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Median age (years) .................................
5525 2725 2801 18.4
6152 3037 3116 18.3
6984 3450 3534 18.1
7977 3943 4034 17.9
9173 4537 4636 17.7
10616 5253 5363 17.5
12361 6120 6241 17.4
14480 7173 7306 17.2
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
2.15 46.8 22.6
2.54 46.9 21.6
2.66 46.9 20.3
2.79 46.8 18.9
2.92 46.6 17.5
3.04 46.5 16.1
3.16 46.3 14.7
3.28 46.1 13.4
P
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
-
.
3.39 45.9 12.1
20213 10028 10185 16.9
A. ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
2030
2035
2040
2045
5 265
2 630 100.2
5 321 2 659 2 662 99.9
5 313 2 651 2 662 99.6
5 268 2 627 2 641 99.5
4.7 9.2 8.2 34.7 26.8 5.5 5.6 2.6 2.5 4.8 37.6 47.6 7 709
4.3 9.6 8.7 36.6 30.0 7.8 5.8 2.9 2.8 5.1 36.7 48.6 7 791
3.9 9.3 9.6 37.2 31.5 10.5 5.5 3.0 3.0 5.7 35.9 49.7 7 780
4.0 8.6 10.2 37.5 31.5 12.8 5.0 2.8 3.0 6.2 34.2 51.2 7 713
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
4 326 2 l77 2 148 101.3
4 590 2 309 2 282 101.2
4 815 2 419 2 396 101.0
4 986 2 502 2 484 100.7
5 144 2 578 2 566 100.5
5.0 14.5 12.7
4.2 11.5 14.3 15.8 10.0 1.9 6.5 4.1 4.7 8.4 51.1 40.6 6 721
4.2 9.0 14.1 20.6 13.3 2.5 5.1 3.1 3.7 8.9 47.1 43.2 7 050
4.5 8.2 11.2 26.1 17.5 3.1 4.9 2.5 2.7 7.1 42.6 45.3 7 299
4.8 8.5 8.9 31 .1 22.3 3.8 5.2 2.4 2.4 5.4 39.3 46.6 7 532
12.2
8.5 1.5 8.6 4.7 4.1 7.5 53.9 37.5 6 333
2 635
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SINGAPORE
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
4924 2452 2 472 54.1
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
60 1.34 9.9 5.5 8.9 1.55 0.74
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ..................... . Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
46 1.04 6.9 5.5 9.0 1.05 0.50
34 0.72 6.0 6.3 7.5 0.97 0.46
18 0.39 6.0 7.4 5.2 0.94 0.45
16 0.32 6.7 8.6 5.1 1.01 0.48
9 0.19 6.9 10.2 5.1 1.08 0.52
.2 -0.05 6.4 11.9 5.1 1.15 0.55
. 15 .0.32 5.6 13.9 5.1 1.22 0.58
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
4326 2177 2 148 37.5
4597 2312 2 285 40.5
4820 2421 2 398 43.1
4977 2497 2 480 45.4
5109 2560 2 549 46.9
5189 2596 2 593 48.2
5199 2596 2 603 49.5
5145 2564 2 581 50.9
5046 2512 2 534 52.6
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.22 8.7 5.5
0.95 8.3 6.3
0.64 8.5 7.2
0.52 8.6 8.3
0.31 8.0 9.7
0.04 6.9 11.4
.0.21 6.2 13.1
.0.39 6.0 14.8
.0.49 6.2 16.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................ Females ........................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
3463 1681 1 782 94.4
3798 1849 1 950 94.8
4145 2023 2 122 95.4
4362 2135 2 226 95.9
4528 2235 2 294 97.4
4735 2336 2 400 97.3
4976 2446 2 531 96.6
5140 2525 2 616 96.5
5256 2570 2 686 95.7
5364 2612 2 751 94.9
5400 2625 2 775 94.6
11.0 17.9 17.0 9.9 6.7 0.9 51.7 27.3 71
12.8 18.5 15.8 9.8 6.6 0.9 48.5 26.9
11.5 21.1 14.9 10.5 6.7 1.0 46.1 26.8 85
9.8 21.8 15.8 11.7 7.5 1.1 45.6 26.9 89
8.4 18.8 18.4 14.0 9.2 1.1 49.7 28.3 92
9.5 16.7 18.9 13.8 9.6 1.2 49.9 28.1 97
9.7 16.5 16.9 13.4 10.4 1.5 48.5 29.0 101
8.9 17.8 15.2 13.7 8.9 1.7 48.4 29.9 105
7.8 17.5 15.2 14.8 10.3 2.0 49.0 31.3 107
6.7 15.9 16.9 15.1 10.9 2.1 51 1 32.5 109
5.4 14.2 17.0 15.4 11.4 1.8 52.3 34.1 110
77
.
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Depattment of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SLOVAKIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
10 0.19 11.3 9.8 0.4 1.44 0.69
13 0.24 12.0 10.0 0.4 1.62 0.78
11 0.19 11.8 10.3 0.4 1.79 0.87
3 0.05 10.8 10.6 0.4 1.86 0.90
.4 -0.08 10.1 11.2 0.4 1.93 0.93
.7 .0.12 10.4 11.9 0.4 2.00 0.97
.5 -0.10 11.3 12.6 0.4 2.07 1.00
.4 .0.07 12.0 13.1 0.4 2.14 1.04
.4 .0.08 12.3 13.4 0.4 2.21 1.07
4732 2267 2 465 51.3
4515 2159 2 356 53.1
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. 11 .0.20 7.5 9.9 0.4 0.94 0.45
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
5401 2620 2 781 35.6
5402 2617 2 785 37.6
5380 2604 2 776 39.7
5324 2574 2 750 42.1
5227 2522 2 705 44.6
5091 2450 2 641 46.9
4925 2364 2 561 49.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.00 9.5 9.8
-0.08 9.0 10.2
-0.21 8.1 10.6
.0.37 7.2 11.2
-0.53 6.5 12.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.0.66 6.1 13.2
-0.80 5.9 14.3
.0.94 5.7 15.5
.1.08 5.3 16.6
4278 2042 2 236 54.7
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Popuiation (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1 473 704 769 91.6
1 533 732 800 91.5
1 580 755 825 91.6
1 630 781 850 91.9
1 670 808 862 93.8
1 742 843 899 93.8
1 832 885 947 93.4
1 884 912 973 93.7
1 926 935 992 94.3
1 964 957 1007 95.0
1 967 959 1008 95.2
10.1 17.4 18.3 10.5 7.0 1.0 52.3 27.7 73
10.0 17.6 16.9 11.0 7.3 10 50.2 28.2 76
8.8 18.6 15.6 12.3 7.8 1.0 48.3 29.3 78
8.5 17.5 16.1 13.8 9.0 1.1 48.6 30.3 80
8.0 16.1 17.4 14.9 9.9 1.2 50.7 31.0 82
8.1 15.6 16.2 15.4 11.0 1.3 49.4 31.4 86
8.0 15.2 15.7 14.5 11.4 1.8 48.5 31.7 90
7.1 15.3 14.9 15.1 10.4 2.0 48.3 32.8 93
6.2 14.7 14.8 16.4 11.1 2.3 48.9 34.2 95
5.0 13.1 15.1 17.9 12.6 2.4 50.6 36.1 97
4.5 11.2 14.6 19.5 14.2 2.3 50.5 38.2 97
.
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Popuiation (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1l............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................ 2005-2010 2010-2015
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Femates ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.2
.3
17 20 2 .0.08 8.6 10.4 10 1.21 0.58 5 7
16 22 2 .0.17 8.3 11 1 10 1.25 0.60 5 6
73.5 80.7 77.2
74.4 81.5 78.0
.
. .
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
1 967
1 976
1 984
1 987
1 978
1 960
1 940
1 923
1 911
1 900
40.2
41.7
43.0
44.3
45.8
47.1
47.9
47.8
46.5
44.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 0.09 10.3 10.4 1 .0 1.46 0.70
2 0.09 10.8 1 1 .0 1 .0 1.65 0.79
.2 .O.W 9.8 11.7 1 .0 1.89 0.91
1 0.03 10.6 11.4 1 .0 1.82 0.88
.4 .0.18 9.4 12.2 1 .0 1.96 0.94
.4 .0.21 9.8 12.9 1 .0 2.03 0.98
.3 .0.18 10.8 13.6 1 .0 2.10 1 .01
.3 .0.13 11.7 14.0 1 .0 2.17 1.05
.2 .0.11 12.1 14.2 1.1 2.24 1.08
. 14 .0.85 5.2 14.9 1.2 1 .03 0.50
. l6 .0.98 5.2 16.2 1.2 1.10 0.53
. 17 .1.13 4.9 17.5 1.3 1.17 0.56
. 18 .1.25 4.8 18.7 1.4 1.24 0.60
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowthrate(percent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.5 .0.26 6.8 10.4 1 .0 0.96 0.46
.9 .0.45 5.8 11.3 1 .0 0.85 0.41
.11 .0.58 5.2 12.0 1 .1 0.82 0.39
. 12 .0.65 5.2 12.7 1.1 0.89 0.43
. 13 .0.74 5.2 13.7 1 .1 0.96 0.46
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
1 967 960 1 007 40.2
1 959 957 1 001 42.0
1 939 949 990 43.8
1 906 933 972 45.7
1 861 912 949 47.7
1 807 885 922 49.8
1 744 853 891 51.6
1 673 817 856 53.1
1 595 779 817 54.4
1 512 738 774 55.0
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationgrowthrate(percent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
.0.08 8.6 10.4
-0.21 8.0 11.1
.0.35 7.2 11.7
-0.48 6.5 12.3
.0.59 6.1 13.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.0.71 5.9 14.1
.0.83 5.8 15.3
.0.95 5.6 16.4
.1.07 5.4 17.4
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950 Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SOLOMON ISLANDS
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
478 247 231
542 280 262
610 315 295
679 350 329
749 386 363
819 422 397
888 457 431
955 491 464
1 019 524 495
1 080 555 526
15.0 25.6 21.0 4.2 2.4 0.2 50.6 19.2
14.5 25.1 20.1 4.3 2.6 0.2 51.0 20.0
13.6 24.3 19.8 4.6 2.7 0.2 51.8 20.8
12.7 23.4 19.8 5.0 3.0 0.2 52.4 21.9
11.8 22.3 19.5 5.6 3.4 0.3 52.7 23.1
11.1 21 1 19.2 6.4 3.9 0.3 53.0 24.3
10.4 20.0 18.6 7.7 4.5 0.4 53.1 25.6
9.7 19.0 17.9 8.9 5.6 0.5 52.9 27.0
9.1 18.1 17.3 10.2 6.5 0.6 52.8 28.3
8.7 17.1 16.7 11.6 7.6 0.8 52.3 29.6
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per wornan) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
13 2.54 32.1 6.8 0.0 4.04 1.76
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
11 2.18 28.4 6.7 0.0 3.54 1.54
10 1 7.9 24.2 6.3 0.0 2.93 1 30
.
.
8 1.29 19.2 6.3 0.0 2.17 0.98
9 1.48 21 0 6.2 0.0 2.47 1.10
.
7 1.09 17.3 6.4 0.0 1.93 0.88
6 0.84 15.0 6.6 0.0 1.73 0.79
4 0.58 12.8 7.0 0.0 1.55 0.72
3 0.33 10.9 7.6 0.0 1.41 0.65
1 0.16 10.0 8.4 0.0 1.35 0.63
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
478 247 231 19.2
547 282 265 19.8
626 323 303 20.1
714 369 346 20.5
813 419 394 20.7
924 476 448 21 0
1 050 541 509 21.3
1 193 615 578 21.5
1 356 699 657 21.6
Populat~on growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.71 33.9 6.8
2.70 33.4 6.4
2.64 32.5 6.2
2.59 31.8 6.0
2.56 31.3 5.7
2.56 31.1 5.5
2.56 30.9 5.4
2.55 30.8 5.3
2.54 30.6 5.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
SOMALIA
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
2 264 1 124 1 140 98.6
2 522 1 249 1 273 98.1
2 820 1 395 1 425 97.9
3 173 1 568 1 604 97.7
3 601 l 779 1 822 97.7
4 134 2 043 2 091 97.7
6 487 3 206 3 280 97.7
6 470 3 199 3 272 97.8
17.2 24.1 18.3 4.6 2.6 0.1 47.2 19.5 4
18.7 23.9 18.1 4.8 2.7 0.1 46.0 18.8 4
18.7 25.5 17.7 4.9 2.8 0.2 44.6 18.1 4
18.6 26.7 17.5 4.9 2.9 0.2 43.6 17.5 5
18.8 26.7 18.5 4.9 2.9 0.2 43.8 17.2 6
19.3 26.8 19.1 4.8 2.9 0.2 43.7 16.9 6
19.6 27.2 18.8 4.7 2.9 0.2 43.6 16.6 10
17.8 28.3 19.2 4.6 2.9 0.3 44.5 16.8 10
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1,000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
272 382 144 34 3.06 42.9 16.1 3.8 6.04 2.10 113 187
276 408 147 15 2.69 39.7 14.3 1.5 5.61 2.04 103 167
273 429 151 .5 2.35 36.8 12.9 .0.4 5.14 1.92 94 152
290 449 154 .5 2.23 34.4 11.8 .0.4 4.63 1.79 86 137
303 465 157 .5 2.09 32.0 10.8 .0.3 4.12 1.64 78 122
308 473 160 .5 1.92 29.4 9.9 .0.3 3.66 1.49 70 109
305 473 163 .5 1.74 26.9 9.2 -0.3 3.28 1.37 63 96
299 470 166 .5 1.57 24.6 8.7 .0.3 2.98 1.27 56 84
292 469 171 .5 1.42 22.8 8.3 .0.2 2.75 1.20 50 74
47.6 50.1 48.8
49.8 52.5 51.1
51.7 54.5 53.0
53.6 56.4 55.0
55.5 58.4 56.9
57.5 W.4 58.9
59.3 62.3 60.8
61.0 64.1 62.6
62.6 65.9 64.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World.Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
SOMALIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
24 540 12262 12278 17.3
29 005 14502 14503 17.2
34 392 17204 17188 17.1
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
286 3.20 44.5 16.3 3.8 6.29 2.19
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
259 2.92 41.2 15.9 3.8 5.79 2.01
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
8 228 4081 4147 17.9
9 681 4809 4872 17.7
11 286 5613 5674 17.6
13 067 6505 6562 17.6
15 194 7571 7623 17.6
17 751 8854 8897 17.6
20 831 10400 10431 17.4
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
3.25 45.0 16.4
3.07 44.0 14.8
2.93 43.2 13.6
3.02 42.9 12.5
3.1 1 42.8 11.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
3.20 42.6 10.4
3.28 42.4 9.5
3.34 42.2 8.7
3.41 42.0 7.9
SOUTH AFRICA Indicator
.
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SOUTH AFRICA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
56 030 28 485 27 545 24.8
58 423 29 737 28 686 25.0
61 239 31 189 30 050 25.3
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
171 0.36 24.0 20.6 0.2 2.89 1 05
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. 16 -0.04 20.0 20.6 0.2 2.39 0.86
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
47 432 23 291 24 141 23.5
48 113 23 767 24 347 23.8
48 761 24 278 24 483 24.0
49 747 24 941 24 806 24.4
50 964 25 697 25 267 24.6
52 371 26 513 25 858 24.6
54 030 27 422 26 608 24.6
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.29 23.2 20.6
0.27 23.0 20.5
0.40 23.0 19.2
0.48 22.9 18.2
0.55 22.6 17.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.62 22.4 16.4
0.73 22.4 15.3
0.84 22.4 14.2
0.94 22.3 13.1
A. ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SPAIN
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
269 0.62 12.5 9.1 2.7 1.60 0.76
191 0.43 12.3 9.4 1.3 1.82 0.87
128 0.28 11.1 9.6 1.3 1.99 0.95
71 0.15 10.0 9.8 1.3 2.06 0.99
67 0.14 10.1 10.0 1.3 2.13 1.02
102 0.22 11.2 10.3 1.3 2.20 1 .05
139 0.29 12.5 10.8 1.3 2.27 1.09
139 0.29 13.0 11.4 1.2 2.33 1.12
92 0.19 12.5 11.9 1.2 2.35 1.13
41 040 19 984 21 056 53.7
39 910 19 375 20 535 54.3
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
101 0.23 8.7 9.2 2.8 1 .10 0.53
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
43 064
21 148 21 916 38.6
43 856 21 526 22 331 40.5
44 005 21 584 22 421 42.9
43 773 21 459 22 314 45.4
43 278 21 201 22 077 47.9
42 647 20 865 21 782 50.4
41 922 20 469 21 453 52.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
0.37 10.0 9.1
0.07 8.9 9.6
.0.11 7.6 10.0
.0.23 6.7 10.4
.0.29 6.5 10.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
-0.34 6.6 11.4
.0.43 6.7 12.4
-0.56 6.4 13.5
.0.72 6.0 14.7
38 499 18 629 19 870 54.5
SRI LANKA
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (maies per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsfPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SRI LANKA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
206 0.97 17.3 6.1 -1.5 2.11 1.01
216 0.97 17.5 6.4
-1.4 2.25 1.08
204 0.88 16.8 6.7 -1.4 2.35 1.13
171 0.71 15.5 7.1 -1.3 2.35 1.14
146 0.58 14.7 7.6 -1.3 2.35 1.14
135 0.53 14.7 8.2 -1.2 2.35 1.14
133 0.50 15.0 8.8 -1.2 2.35 1.14
126 0.46 15.1 9.3 -1.2 2.35 1.14
110 0.40 14.8 9.7 -1.2 2.35 1.14
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
120 0.57 13.3 6.1 -1.5 1.61 0.77
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
20 743 10541 10202 29.6
21 648 10977 10671 31.5
22 481 11378 11103 33.3
23 188 11712 11475 35.3
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.86 16.2 6.1
0.76 15.5 6.5
0.62 14.4 6.8
0.47 13.4 7.4
23 742 11964 11778 36.9
24 159 12142 12017 38.3
24 462 12262 12200 39.6
24 655 12327 12328 40.4
24 726 12336 12391 41 .0
0.35 12.8 8.0
0.25 12.5 8.7
0.16 12.3 9.4
0.06 12.0 10.2
.0.04 11.7 10.8
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
24 675 12290 12385 41.7
A. ESTIMATES Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SUDAN
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
82 468 41 706 40 762 21.3
93 281 47 170 46 111 21.3
105 684 53 434 52 250 21.3
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
872 2.27 32.3 11.0 1.4 4.20 1.66
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
736 1.94 28.7 10.8 1.4 3.70 1.47
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
36 233 18 235 17 998 20.1
40 877 20 594 20 284 20.6
45 981 23 193 22 788 20.8
51 519 26 016 25 504 21.0
57 791 29 205 28 585 21.0
64 918 32 822 32 096 21.1
73 076 36 955 36 121 21.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.41 33.8 11.1
2.35 33.5 10.8
2.28 33.0 10.1
2.30 32.4 9.3
2.33 31.9 8.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.37 31.6 7.8
2.42 31.6 7.3
2.46 31.6 6.9
2.50 31.5 6.5
A. ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populaiion density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
215 107 108 99.1
250 126 124 101.6
290 145 145 100.0
332 165 167 99.3
372 1 86 1 86 99.6
364 1 83 182 100.6
356 177 179 98.5
383 191 192 99.5
402 201 201 99.9
415 207 207 100.1
434 217 217 99.9
17.2 22.8 18.1 8.4 6.0 0.9 45.4 20.1 1
18.8 24.4 16.8 7.2 4.8 0.8 43.5 18.9 2
20.3 27.2 15.5 6.2 4.1 0.7 41.4 16.5 2
19.3 29.0 16.3 6.0 4.0 0.6 41.2 16.0 2
17.1 31.2 18.0 5.7 3.9 0.5 41.5 15.8 2
15.5 32.2 18.9 5.8 3.9 0.4 42.2 16.0 2
13.3 27.8 22.4 6.3 4.5 1 .0 47.3 18.3 2
13.9 23.7 23.5 6.4 4.2 0.9 50.1 20.1 2
12.1 23.1 21.1 7.0 4.5 0.9 51.6 22.0 2
10.8 23.3 18.7 7.9 5.1 0.8 51.7 23.5 3
11.2 21.1 19.3 8.5 5.8 0.8 53.0 24.1 3
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
449 224 225 99.7
462 230 231 99.6
472 235 236 99.5
478 238 239 99.6
480 240 240 99.8
479 239 240 99.8
473 236 237 99.8
462 231 232 99.7
448 223 224 99.5
429 214 215 99.5
10.1 20.0 19.7 9.0 6.4 1 .0 12.2 5.6 5.8 12.1 53.5 25.1 3
9.5 19.3 17.5 9.5 6.7 1.2 11.6 5.8 5.2 10.5 52.5 27.1 3
8.8 17.9 16.8 10.7 7.2 1.4 10.7 5.3 5.5 9.7 51.2 29.0 3
8.1 16.9 16.5 12.4 8.2 1.6 10.2 5.0 4.9 10.0 49.8 31 .0 3
7.5 15.8 15.4 15.4 9.8 1.7 9.4 4.8 4.7 9.1 48.8 32.8 3
7.0 14.6 14.7 17.9 12.4 1.9 8.8 4.4 4.5 8.8 48.2 34.7 3
6.5 13.7 13.8 20.0 14.6 2.5 8.2 4.1 4.1 8.3 45.7 36.9 3
6.0 12.9 12.9 21.6 16.4 3.2 7.7 3.9 3.9 7.7 43.9 39.1 3
5.6 12.1 12.2 24.8 17.8 4.5 7.2 3.7 3.7 7.3 42.8 41.2 3
5.3 11.4 11.5 27.6 20.7 5.4 6.8 3.5 3.5 6.9 40.7 43.3 3
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
3 0.75 21.7 7.2 -7.0 2.70 1.25
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OM) population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 0.36 17.9 7.2 .7.1 2.20 1.02
1 0.11 15.4 7.4 .7.0 1.92 0.89
.1 .0.12 13.4 7.6 .7.0 1.71 0.80
.1 .0.28 12.3 8.1 .7.0 1.61 0.76
.2 .0.47 11.2 8.7 .7.2 1.53 0.72
.3 .0.72 9.9 9.7 .7.4 1.46 0.69
.4 .1.02 8.5 11.0 .7.7 1.39 0.66
.5 .1.33 7.3 12.5 .8.2 1.35 0.64
.6 .1.64 6.5 14.0 4.8 1.35 0.64
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Popuiation (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
449 224 225 25.1
465 232 233 26.9
480 239 240 28.5
493 246 247 29.9
504 252 252 30.9
513 257 256 32.2
519 260 259 33.2
524 263 261 34.0
527 264 262 34.7
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.68 21.0 7.2
0.63 20.4 7.3
0.54 19.3 7.3
0.44 18.3 7.5
0.35 17.6 7.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.26 17.1 8.3
0.18 16.9 8.9
0.10 16.5 9.5
0.02 16.2 9.9
A. ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
273 133 140 94.6
310 150 160 93.9
353 171 182 93.9
398 190 208 91.5
454 216 238 90.5
528 251 277 90.7
616 293 323 90.6
717 339 378 89.6
865 408 458 89.0
953 456 497 91.7
1023 490 533 91.9
17.8 25.2 19.0 4.6 2.7 0.2 46.9 18.4 16
18.6 26.1 18.5 4.5 2.7 0.2 45.7 17.7 18
18.5 27.4 18.3 4.4 2.7 0.2 44.7 17.1 20
18.8 28.3 18.4 4.4 2.7 0.2 44.3 16.4 23
19.3 28.4 19.2 4.4 2.6 0.2 44.2 16.0 26
19.7 28.6 19.1 4.4 2.6 0.2 43.8 15.7 30
19.5 29.4 19.3 4.4 2.7 0.2 43.6 15.5 35
19.3 29.3 19.3 4.3 2.7 0.2 44.5 15.6 41
18.3 28.9 20.1 4.2 2.7 0.2 46.4 16.3 50
16.5 29.8 20.1 4.4 2.8 0.3 46.4 16.6 55
14.4 29.5 22.3 4.8 3.1 0.3 48.0 17.4 59
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005 Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
1
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.3 .0.25 29.9 31.2 .1.2 3.73 0.93
0 .0.04 31 .0 30.2 .1.2 3.53 0.94
2 0.23 31.1 27.6 .1.2 3.36 1.01
3 0.28 28.8 24.9 .1.2 3.16 1.07
4 0.41 26.9 21.6 -1 .1 2.99 1.11
6 0.60 26.4 19.3 -1 .1 2.86 1.12
9 0.81 26.8 17.6 -1 .1 2.74 1.12
11 0.98 26.7 15.9 -1 .0 2.64 1.12
13 1.08 25.5 13.8 -1 .0 2.56 1.13
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.6 .0.62 26.1 31.1 .1.2 3.23 0.80
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
1 032 498 535 18.1
1 025 502 523 18.8
1 033 514 519 19.2
1 059 535 525 18.7
1 096 559 537 17.8
1 149 590 560 17.8
1 223 629 594 18.1
1 321 679 642 18.4
1 445 742 703 18.6
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
.0.14 31.0 31.3
0.16 32.9 30.1
0.49 33.4 27.3
0.68 32.2 24.3
0.95 31.2 20.6
1.25 31.5 18.0
1.54 32.4 16.1
1.79 32.9 14.2
1.98 32.6 12.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Indicator
.
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
SWEDEN
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
9 459 4 724 4 735 46.4
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
39 0.43 12.2 10.1 2.2 1.97 0.95
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
11 0.13 9.2 10.1 2.2 1.47 0.71
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT p
. . .
p
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) ................................
9 041 4 486 4 555 40.1
9 145 4 549 4 596 41.2
9 251 4 610 4 641 42.2
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
0.23 10.2 10.1
0.23 10.1 10.0
0.24 10.3 10.0
9 363 4 671 4 692 42.9
9 458 4 719 4 739 43.3
9 511 4 744 4 767 43.9
9 520 4 747 4 773 44.8
9 505 4 740 4 765 45.8
9 482 4 732 4 751 46.2
0.20 10.1 10.2
0.1 1 9.6 10.6
0.02 9.2 11 1
-0.03 9.1 11.5
-0.05 9.1 11.6
.0.05 9.1 11.7
. .
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulationDivision World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
4 694 2262 2 432 93.0
4 980 2407 2 573 93.5
5 362 2630 2 732 96.3
5 857 2853 3 004 95.0
6 187 3022 3 164 95.5
6 339 3090 3 249 95.1
6 319 3074 3 245 94.7
6 536 3185 3 351 95.1
6 834 3371 3 463 97.3
7 003 3426 3 577 95.8
8.7 14.8 14.4 14.0 9.6 1.2 50.4 33.3 114
8.1 16.1 13.5 14.5 9.9 1.3 48.5 33.3 121
8.2 15.5 15.4 14.9 10.1 1.5 48.1 32.5 130
8.8 15.3 16.5 15.5 10.5 1.6 47.8 31.6 142
8.1 15.7 15.4 16.4 11.4 1.8 48.2 31.9 150
6.7 15.8 14.6 17.5 12.6 2.1 48.4 33.1 154
5.6 14.1 15.3 18.3 13.8 2.8 49.1 34.8 153
5.7 11.8 15.5 19.2 14.2 3.2 50.2 36.2 158
5.9 11.0 14.0 19.1 14.3 3.7 50.7 36.4 166
6.0 11.5 11.9 19.3 14.5 3.8 49.4 37.3 170
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SWliZERLAND
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
21 0.29 10.5 8.7 1.1 1.65 0.80
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.2 .0.02 7.5 8.8 1.1 1.15 0.56
. 11 .0.16 6.6 9.3 1.1 1.03 0.50
. 17 .0.24 7.0 10.6 1.1 1.07 0.52
. 16 .0.23 6.5 9.9 1.1 1 00 0.48
.
. 20 .0.28 7.4 11.4 11 1.14 0.55
.
. 25 .0.37 7.4 12.2 1.2 1.21 0.59
. 32 .0.48 7.1 13.1 1.2 1.28 0.62
. 39 .0.59 6.8 13.9 1.2 1.34 0.65
. 42 .0.67 6.6 14.5 1.3 1.35 0.65
7 079 3321 3 758 48.2
6 935 3237 3 699 49.0
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
7 252 3512 3 740 40.8
7 302 3525 3 777 42.7
7 330 3525 3 805 44.4
7 343 3516 3 827 45.5
7 333 3495 3 838 46.1
7 288 3456 3 832 46.7
7 200 3396 3 804 47.4
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
0.14 9.0 8.8
0.08 8.8 9.1
0.04 8.9 9.6
.0.03 8.8 10.2
.0.13 8.5 10.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.0.24 8.1 11.6
.0.34 7.8 12.3
-0.41 7.7 13.0
.0.45 7.8 13.4
6 783 3151 3 632 49.4
A. ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100fernales) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
3 495 1 806 1689 106.9
3 997 2 048 1949 105.0
4 620 2 354 2266 103.9
5 404 2 742 2662 103.0
6 378 3 228 3150 102.5
7 538 3 799 3739 101.6
8 978 4 504 4473 100.7
10 836 5 435 5401 100.6
12 843 6 446 6397 100.8
16.7 24.8 18.8 6.8 4.4 0.4 46.1 19.2 19
18.7 24.9 18.4 6.3 4.0 0.4 44.9 18.2 22
18.9 26.8 17.9 5.7 3.7 0.4 43.6 17.3 25
19.3 28.1 17.6 5.1 3.3 0.4 42.4 16.3 29
19.3 28.5 18.7 4.7 3.0 0.4 42.5 16.0 34
19.5 29.0 19.4 4.4 2.8 0.3 42.4 15.7 41
19.9 29.2 19.5 4.3 2.7 0.3 42.2 15.4 48
19.9 29.5 19.6 4.2 2.6 0.3 42.3 15.3 59
17.8 30.3 20.0 4.2 2.7 0.3
43.7 15.9 69
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SYRIAN ARAB REPUBLIC
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
19 043 9585 9459
21 638 10904 10734
24 382 12296 12086
27 120 13685 13435
29 720 15002 14718
32 239 16275 15964
34 728 17530 17199
37 214 18779 18436
39 707 20027 19680
42 093 21216 20876
13.3 23.6 22.9 4.7 3.1 0.4 53.4 20.6
13.3 22.4 20.4 5.0 3.3 0.5 53.5 22.1
12.7 22.1 18.4 5.6 3.5 0.5 53.0 23.2
11.6 22.0 17.8 6.4 4.1 0.6 52.6 24.2
10.3 20.9 18.1 7.6 4.8 0.7 52.8 25.4
9.5 19.2 18.4 8.9 5.8 0.8 52.8 26.8
9.0 17.6 17.8 10.5 6.9 1 .1 51.8 28.3
8.8 16.6 16.6 12.5 8.3 1.3 50.4 29.9
8.6 16.1 15.4 14.7 9.9 1.7 49.4 31.4
8.3 15.8 14.7 16.6 11.7 2.1 48.4 32.7
519 2.56 28.8 3.4 0.0 3.33 1.59
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
436 2.17 25.0 3.3 0.1 2.83 1.35
398 1.79 21.3 3.3 -0.1 2.36 1.13
342 1.42 17.7 3.4 -0.1 2.01 0.96
300 1.17 15.5 3.7 -0.1 1.79 0.86
260 0.96 13.7 4.1 -0.1 1.61 0.77
209 0.74 12.1 4.6 -0.1 1.45 0.70
155 0.53 10.7 5.3 -0.1 1.35 0.65
108 0.36 9.8 6.1 -0.1 1.35 0.65
55 0.18 9.0 7.1 -0.1 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
19 043 9585 9459 20.6
21 754 10963 10791 21.9
24 783 12501 12282 22.7
27 991 14131 13860 23.3
31 335 15828 15506 23.8
34 893 17634 17259 24.3
38 796 19612 19184 25.0
43 106 21794 21311 25.7
47 777 24158 23620 26.1
2.66 29.9 3.4
2.61 29.4 3.3
2.44 27.7 3.3
2.26 26.0 3.3
2.15 25.0 3.5
2.12 24.9 3.7
2.11 25.1 4.0
2.06 24.9 4.2
1.98 24.3 4.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
52 751 26672 26079 26.3
Indicator
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsiPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TAJIKlSTAN
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
112 1.65 29.8 7.5 -5.9 3.60 1.54
149 2.01 30.0 7.3 -2.7 3.38 1.47
158 1.93 28.7 7.0 -2.4 3.18 1.40
147 1.64 25.3 6.6 -2.2 2.94 1.30
133 1.38 22.2 6.4 -2.1 2.74 1.22
125 1.21 20.4 6.4 -1.9 2.56 1.16
123 1.13 19.6 6.6 -1.8 2.41 1.10
124 1.07 19.3 6.8 -1.7 2.35 1.08
119 0.98 18.6 7.1 -1.6 2.35 1.08
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
83 1.24 25.4 7.1 .6.0 3.10 1.33
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
6507 3230 3 277 19.3
7107 3514 3 594 20.7
7959 3933 4 026 21.8
8926 4411 4 515 22.3
9943 4914 5 029 22.5
10997 5436 5 561 22.6
12142 6005 6 137 23.1
13437 6652 6 786 23.6
14901 7386 7 515 24.0
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.77 31 .1 7.6
2.26 32.7 7.5
2.29 32.5 7.2
2.16 30.5 6.8
2.02 28.6 6.5
1 .98 27.9 6.4
2.03 28.2 6.4
2.07 28.4 6.4
2.06 28.1 6.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
16514 8198 8 316 24.1
THAILAND
A ESTlMATES
Indicator Populati~n(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of womeri aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
19 626 9845 9781 100.7
22 759 11397 11362 100.3
26 603 13308 13295 100.1
31 209 15605 15604 100.0
36 257 18118 18138 99.9
41 292 20617 20675 99.7
46 334 23111 23223 99.5
50 612 25215 25396 99.3
54 639 27188 27451 99.0
58 336 28932 29404 98.4
61 438 30301 31137 97.3
16.4 25.7 20.1 5.0 3.2 0.4 47.2 18.6 38
17.9 24.7 19.8 4.8 3.0 0.4 46.9 18.4
18.2 26.2 18.4 4.8 2.9 0.3 45.1 18.0 52
18.1 27.5 17.6 4.8 2.9 0.3 44.1 17.3 61
16.9 28.0 18.8 4.9 3.0 0.3 44.9 17.4 71
15.0 27.8 20.4 5.0 3.2 0.3 46.9 18.2 80
13.3 26.1 21.6 5.2 3.3 0.3 49.5 19.5 90
11.6 24.0 22.0 5.6 3.5 0.4 52.3 21.3 99
10.1 21.8 21.5 6.3 3.9 0.4 54.8 23.4 106
9.1 19.3 19.6 7.6 4.8 0.5 56.4 26.1 1 14
8.2 17.4 17.9 9.3 6.0 0.7 56.4 28.9 120
44
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
B. MEDIUM VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in schaol ages 6-1l............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005-2010 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year {thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ............................
510 993 472 . 10 0.78 15.2 7.2 .0.2 1.87 0.89 17 21 68.5 75.0 71.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
THAILAND
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
76 934 37 496 39 438 41.4
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
641 0.97 17.1
7.2
.0.2 2.12 1.01
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
380 0.58 13.2 7.2 .0.2 1.62 0.77
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT P
-
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
64 233 31 543 32 690 30.5
. .
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
66 945 32 786 34 158 32.3
69 423 33 932 35 491 33.9
71 600 34 937 36 663 35.6
73 397 35 758 37 640 37.0
74 829 36 400 38 429 38.4
75 900 36 903 38 997 39.4
76 580 37 237 39 342 40.2
76 901 37 425 39 477 40.8
0.73 14.9 7.4
0.62 14.0 7.7
0.50 13.3 8.2
0.39 12.8 8.8
0.28 12.5 9.5
0.18 12.2 10.3
0.08 11.9 10.9
0.01 11.7 11.5
. .
0.83 15.6 7.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TFYR MACEDONIA (*)
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1 230 616 613 100.5
1354 681 672 101.4
1392 703 689 102.0
1481 750 731 102.6
1568 795 773 102.7
1676 849 826 102.7
1795 909 886 102.7
1 828 920 909 101.2
1909 958 951 100.8
1963 983 981 100.2
2010 1004 1005 99.9
14.3 21 -2 19.4 11.2 8.5 1.4 47.0 22.3 48
14.3 22.2 18.9 8.8 6.7 1.3 48.1 22.2 53
13.4 23.9 17.3 7.8 5.3 1.2 48.1 22.4 54
12.8 23.2 18.1 7.7 4.9 0.9 49.5 22.4 58
11.0 21.6 19.7 8.9 5.8 1 .0 52.0 23.7 61
10.7 20.1 19.6 9.2 6.2 0.8 52.7 24.8 65
9.8 18.8 18.7 9.2 6.9 0.8 53.1 26.4 70
9.2 18.0 17.4 10.3 6.6 1.1 52.1 28.1 71
8.6 17.6 16.6 11.5 7.4 1 .1 51.7 29.5 74
7.9 16.8 16.3 13.3 8.7 1.2 51.5 30.9 76
6.5 15.6 16.5 14.5 10.0 1.2 52.2 32.5 78
1950-1955 11955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
25 48 22 1.92 37.4 17.2 5.32 1.95 140
8 46 18 0.56 33.8 13.2 4.53 1.77 123
18 42 14 1.25 29.1 9.6 3.95 1.62 117
17 40 12 1.14 25.9 8.1 3.42 1.46 95
22 37 13 1.33 22.5 8.2 2.96 1.30 74
24 37 12 1.38 21.6 7.0 2.72 1.22 57
7 36 13 0.37 20.1 7.1 2.33 1.01 45
16 34 15 0.87 18.1 7.8 1.99 1.01 40
11 32 15 0.56 16.4 8.0 1.92 0.83 27
9 27 16 0.46 13.4 8.2 1.74 0.81 19
5 24 17 0.24 11.8 8.4 1.53 0.72 16
55.0 55.0 55.0
58.7 59.4 59.0
61.7 62.8 62.2
64.2 66.0 65.1
66.1 68.9 67.5
67.9 71.4 69.6
67.7 71.5 69.6
68.9 72.8 70.8
69.4 74.0 71-8
70.4 74.8 72.6
71.2 76.2 73.7
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2 034 1015 1019 99.6
2 046 1 020 1 027 99.3
2 055 1 023 1 032 99.2
2 057 1 024 1 033 99.2
2 048 1019 1 028 99.1
2 027 1 009 1019 99.0
2 000 994 1 005 98.9
1 967 978 989 98.8
1 928 958 970 98.8
1884 937 948 98.9
5.8 13.8 16.0 15.5 11.1 1.7 8.1 4.6 4.7 9.7 52.0 34.2 79
5.4 12.0 15.1 16.8 11.9 2.1 7.0 3.9 4.4 9.2 51.5 36.0 80
5.6 11.0 13.5 18.8 12.9 2.6 6.5 3.4 3.6 8.4 49.9 37.7 80
5.5 10.9 11.8 20.8 14.6 2.9 6.6 3.2 3.3 7.1 47.9 39.4 80
5.3 11.0 10.9 22.6 16.4 3.1 6.6 3.3 3.2 6.6 45.9 41.2 80
5.0 10.8 10.9 24.4 18.0 3.5 6.4 3.3 3.3 6.5 43.7 42.8 79
4.9 10.4 11.1 26.2 19.6 4.4 6.2 3.2 3.3 6.7 41.6 44.3 78
5.0 10.1 11.0 28.3 21.1 5.2 6.0 3.1 3.2 6.7 39.7 45.6 76
5.0 10.1 10.6 30.5 23.0 5.9 6.0 3.0 3.1 6.4 38.0 46.3 75
5.0 10.2 10.4 32.2 24.9 6.6 6.1 3.1 3.1 6.3 37.3 46.5 73
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per I .000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
424
2 23 18 - 2 0.12 11.1 8.9 -1 .0 1.45 0.68 14 16
2 23 20 - 2 0.09 11.3 9.5 -1 .0 1.52 0.72 13 15
0 23 21 - 2 0.02 11.2 10.0 -1 .0 1.59 0.75 12 13
- 2 22 22 - 2 -0.09 10.6 10.5 -1 .0 1.66 0.78
72.0 77.0 74.5
72.7 77.6 75.2
73.4 78.3 75.8
74.0 78.8 76.4
10 12
- 4 21 23 - 2 -0.20 10.1 11.1 -1 .0 1.73 0.82 9 10
74.7 79.5 77.1
- 6 20 23 - 2 -0.28 9.9 11.6 -1 .0 1.80 0.85 9 9
- 7 20 24 - 2 -0.33 9.9 12.3 -1 .0 1.85 0.88 8 9
- 8 19 25 - 2 -0.40 10.0 12.9 -1 .0 1.85 0.88 7 8
-9 19 26 - 2 -0.46 9.9 13.5 -1 .0 1.85 0.88 7 8
75.4 80.2 77.8
76.0 80.8 78.4
76.7 81.5 79.1
77.2 82.0 79.6
United Nations Departmentof Economic and Social Aff airs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TFYR MACEDONIA (*) Indicator
C. HIGH VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
1 795 891 905 48.5
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
6 0.31 13.0 8.9 -1 0 1.70 0.80
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.1 .0.07 9.2 9.0 -1 0 1.20 0.56
.
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ...........................:....................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2 034 1 015 1 019 34.2
2 053 1 023 1 030 35.9
2 063 1 027 1 035 37.6
2 060 1 026 1 034 39.4
2 041 1 016 1 025 41.3
2 009 999 1 010 43.1
1 968 978 990 44.9
1 919 953 966 46.5
1 861 924 938 47.7
0.19 11.8 8.9
0.09 11.4 9.5
-0.03 10.7 10.0
.0.18 9.7 10.5
.0.32 9.0 11.1
.0.41 8.6 11.8
.0.51 8.5 12.5
.0.61 8.2 13.3
-0.72 7.9 14.0
(') The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
A. ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1329 655 674 97.2
1439 707 732 96.7
1572 772 800 96.5
1719 844 875 96.5
2138 1 051 1087 96.7
2446 1 204 1242 96.9
2784 1 372 1412 97.2
3355 1 655 1699 97.4
3961 1 957 2005 97.6
4512 2 229 2283 97.7
5364 2 648 2716 97.5
16.9 24.4 18.3 6.8 4.3 0.4 46.2 19.4 23
17.8 24.7 18.2 6.1 3.9 0.3 45.9 18.8 25
18.1 25.4 18.2 5.5 3.5 0.3 45.2 18.3 28
18.3 26.4 18.1 5.2 3.2 0.3 44.4 17.8 30
18.3 26.8 18.4 5.0 3.1 0.3 44.2 17.4 38
18.6 26.9 18.8 5.0 3.0 0.3 44.0 17.2 43
19.0 27.1 18.8 4.9 3.1 0.2 43.6 16.9 49
18.9 27.8 18.7 4.9 3.1 0.2 43.5 16.7 59
18.3 28.1 19.0 4.8 3.0 0.3 43.9 16.7 70
17.6 28.0 19.7 4.7 3.0 0.3 44.8 17.0 79
17.0 27.5 20.3 4.8 3.1 0.3 45.9 17.5 94
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
6145 3035 3110
7033 3476 3557
8010 3963 4047
9048 4481 4567
10111 5012 5100
11208 5559 5649
12338 6122 6216
13488 6695 6793
14633 7263 7370
15751 7816 7935
16.5 27.0 20.7 4.9 3.1 0.3 46.6 17.9
16.2 26.3 20.6 4.9 3.2 0.4 47.3 18.4
15.5 26.0 20.3 5.1 3.3 0.4 48.0 19.0
14.6 25.6 20.1 5.4 3.5 0.4 48.9 19.6
13.5 24.7 20.3 5.7 3.8 0.4 50.3 20.5
12.6 23.5 20.4 6.1 4.0 0.5 51.5 21.6
11.9 22.2 20.1 6.5 4.3 0.6 52.3 22.8
11.2 21.1 19.4 7.3 4.7 0.7 52.7 24.1
10.5 20.2 18.6 8.3 5.4 0.7 52.8 25.4
9.7 19.2 18.0 9.4 6.2 0.8 52.8 26.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
178 2.70 38.6
11.5
-0.2 5.05 2.03
195 2.60 36.4 10.4 0.0 4.62 1 .90
208 2.44 33.7 9.4 0.0 4.19 l .77
213 2.22 30.8 8.6 0.0 3.75 1.63
219 2.06 28.5 7.9 0.0 3.40 1.50
226 1.92 26.6 7.4 0.0 3.12 1.40
230 1.78 24.8 7.0 0.0 2.89 1.31
229 1.63 23.0 6.7 0.0 2.69 1.24
224 1.47 21.2 6.5 0.0 2.52 1.17
17854 8879 8974 18.3
20984 10442 10542 18.3
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
155 2.38 35.1 11.2 .0.2 4.55 1.83
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
6145 3035 3110 17.9
7089 3504 3585 18.2
8233 4074 4158 18.3
9584 4749 4835 18.2
11164 5538 5626 18.1
13022 6466 6556 18.2
15226 7567 7659 18.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
2.86 40.3 11.6
2.99 40.5 10.7
3.04 40.1 9.7
3.05 39.3 8.9
3.08 38.8 8.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
3.13 38.6 7.4
3.18 38.6 6.8
3.23 38.5 6.3
3.26 38.4 5.8
24703 12298 12405 18.3
TONGA
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005-2010 2010-2015 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ............................
0 2 1 .1 0.21 22.1 6.0 -14.0 3.17 1.49 19 22
0 2 1 .1 0.03 20.4 6.2 -13.9 2.89 1.36 17 20
71.7 74.4 73.0
72.4 75.3 73.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TONGA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
0 0.40 24.0 6.1 -13.9 3.42 1.60
0 0.33 23.1 6.2 -13.7 3.29 1.55
0 0.22 22.0
0 0.04 20.3 6.5 -13.4 3.01 1.43
6.3
-13.5 3.18 1.50
0 .0.14 18.8 6.8 -13.4 2.87 1.36
0 .0.34 17.5 7.2 -13.6 2.75 1.31
.1 .0.52 16.5 7.8 -13.9 2.65 1.27
.1 .0.71 15.8 8.6 -14.3 2.57 1.23
.1 .0.95 14.9 9.5 -14.9 2.49 1.19
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
0 0.01 20.2 6.0 -14.1 2.92 1.37
0 .0.28 17.6 6.3 -14.2 2.49 1.17
.1 .0.74 14.5 7.0 -14.9 2.01 0.95
.1 .0.54 15.7 6.6 -14.5 2.18 1.03
.1 .0.97 13.5 7.7 -15.6 1.87 0.89
.1 .1.29 12.1 8.6 -16.5 1.75 0.83
.1 .1.76 10.0 9.8 -17.8 1.65 0.79
.2 .2.35 7.7 11.5 -19.7 1.57 0.75
.2 .3.08 5.7 13.9 -22.5 1.49 0.71
1 16 60 56 26.9
117 60 57 27.5
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
102 52 50 21.8
105 54 51 22.8
107 55 52 23.6
110 56 53 24.5
112 57 54 25.3
1 14 58 55 25.6
115 59 56 26.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.47 24.7 6.1
0.48 24.5 6.2
0.46 24.0 6.2
0.39 23.2 6.3
0.30 22.2 6.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.22 21.6 6.8
0.18 21.4 7.1
0.15 21.4 7.5
0.12 21.4 7.9
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
B. MEDIUM VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2Q40
2045
1 305
644 662
1 338 658 680
1 375 675 700
1 408 690 718
1 429 699 730
1 442 704 738
1 452 708 744
1 463 713 750
1 475 719 756
6.9 14.6 20.7 10.7 7.4 1.6 57.6 29.4
8.0 13.0 17.1 12.3 8.3 1.7 55.0 31.1
8.3 14.0 13.4 14.2 9.6 1.8 50.5 33.0
8.1 15.4 11.9 16.5 11.3 2.1 47.4 34.9
7.3 15.7 13.0 19.0 13.3 2.5 46.0 36.6
6.9 14.9 14.6 20.4 15.5 3.1 44.8 37.7
7.0 13.9 15.0 21.7 16.6 3.9 42.5 37.8
7.3 13.5 14.2 23.3 17.5 4.8 40.7 36.9
7.5 13.9 13.2 25.6 18.7 5.7 40.1 36.6
2005-2010 2010-2015 201 5-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude binh rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
7 0.50 16.5 8.5 .3.0 1.86 0.87
7 0.55 17.2 8.7 -2.9 2.05 0.96
6 0.47 16.6 9.0 .2.9 2.22 1 .04
4 0.30 15.0 9.2 -2.8 2.29 1 .08
3 0.18 14.1 9.5 .2.8 2.34 1.11
2 0.14 14.2 10.0 -2.8 2.35 1 .11
2 0.15 14.8 10.5 .2.7 2.35 1.12
2 0.16 15.2 10.8 .2.7 2.35 1.12
2 0.13 15.0 11 .0 -2.7 2.35 1.13
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 201 5-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 0.06 12.2 8.5 .3.1 1.36 0.64
..
.2 .0.12 10.9 9.0 .3.1 1.25 0.59
.4 .0.29 9.8 9.6 .3.1 1.22 0.57
.5 .Q.40 9.3 10.1 .3.1 1.29 0.61
.7 .0.53 8.7 10.8 .3.2 1.34 0.63
.9 .0.71 8.0 11.8 .3.3 1.35 0.64
. l0 .0.89 7.5 12.9 .3.5 1.35 0.64
. 12 .1.07 7.0 14.1 .3.6 1.35 0.65
. 13 .1.24 6.6 15.1 .3.8 1.35 0.65
1 243 601 642 45.1
1 202
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
1 305 644 662 29.4
1 324 651 673 31.5
1 336 655 681 33.8
1 336 653 603 36.3
1 325 646 679 38.9
1 305 635 671 41.4
1 277 619 658 43.5
580 622 45.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.28 14.4 8.5
0.18 13.7 8.9
0.01 12.4 9.3
-0.17 1 1 .1 9.7
.0.31 10.2 10.3
United Nations Depaflrnent of Economic and Social AffairsiPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
.0.43 9.9 11.1
.0.55 9.7 12.0
.0.67 9.4 12.8
.0.79 9.0 13.5
1 155
557 598 46.7
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
3 530 1759 1771 99.3
3 860 1916 1944 98.6
4 221 2131 2090 101.9
4 630 2364 2266 104.3
5 127 2537 2590 98.0
5 668 2873 2794 102.8
6 454 3270 3184 102.7
7 332 3710 3622 102.4
8 219 4155 4064 102.2
8 977 4535 4441 102.1
9 563 4824 4740 101.8
16.3 22.6 18.2 8.0 5.7 0.9 46.1 20.9 22
16.5 24.4 17.4 6.8 4.6 0.8 45.7 20.0 24
18.1 25.2 16.2 6.3 4.2 0.6 44.7 18.9 26
18.5 27.8 14.9 5.6 3.6 0.7 43.0 17.2 28
17.1 29.2 17.6 6.2 3.8 0.3 42.3 16.8 31
16.0 27.8 19.9 5.8 3.5 0.5 45.8 17.7 35
15.5 26.5 21.1 5.9 3.8 0.3 47.0 18.5 39
14.7 25.3 20.9 6.3 4.0 0.4 48.0 19.5 45
13.4 24.6 20.1 7.1 4.5 0.5 48.9 20.8 50
11.0 23.5 20.1 8.0 5.3 0.7 51.7 22.6 55
8.8 21.5 20.8 8.5 5.8 0.7 55.3 24.5 58
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TUNISIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
129 1.24 18.3 5.5 -0.4 2.12 0.99
138 1.24 18.3 5.6 -0.4 2.13 1.00
130 1.04 16.6 5.9 -0.3 2.27 1.07
140 1.19 17.9 5.7 -0.3 2.20 1 .04
115 0.88 15.3 6.2 .0.3 2.33 1.11
101 0.74 14.5 6.8 -0.3 2.35 1.12
96 0.68 14.6 7.5 .0.3 2.35 1.12
94 0.64 14.9 8.2 -0.3 2.35 1.12
88 0.58 15.0 8.9 .0.3 2.35 1.12
13527 6 789 6738 39.3
13768 6 905 6863 39.8
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
85 0.83 14.1 5.5 .0.4 1.62 0.76
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
10102 5 090 5013 26.8
10697 5 386 5312 28.9
11323 5 699 5624 30.9
l1928 6 003 5925 32.9
12459 6 268 6191 35.0
12890 6 481 6409 36.8
13237 6 650 6588 38.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1 .14 17.3 5.5
1.14 17.3 5.6
1.04 16.5 5.7
0.87 15.0 6.0
0.68 13.5 6.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.53 12.7 7.0
0.43 12.5 7.9
0.35 12.6 8.7
0.26 12.5 9.6
13949 6 993 6956 40.4
TURKEY
A. ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males .............................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
21 484 10722 10 762 99.6
24 610 12351 12 259 100.8
28 233 14328 13 905 103.0
31 997 16328 15 669 104.2
36 207 18398 17 809 103.3
41 21 1 21048 20 163 104.4
46 316 23434 22 881 102.4
52 150 26400 25 751 102.5
57 300 28985 28 315 102.4
62 620 31640 30 980 102.1
68 234 34437 33 798 101.9
15.9 24.1 20.4 5.8 3.2 0.3 47.3 19.4 27
16.9 24.0 18.9 5.9 3.3 0.3 45.8 19.8 31
16.8 25.6 16.6 6.1 3.4 0.3 44.6 19.5 36
15.9 27.0 16.8 6.2 3.9 0.2 43.8 18.8 41
15.7 25.9 18.6 6.8 4.3 0.3 45.9 19.0 46
15.4 26.0 19.4 6.7 4.4 0.3 46.5 19.0 53
14.9 25.5 19.7 6.3 4.6 0.7 46.9 19.5 59
13.5 25.0 20.0 6.2 4.2 0.6 48.1 20.5 67
11.8 23.9 20.4 6.7 4.0 0.6 50.4 21.8 73
11.2 21.8 20.6 7.3 4.5 0.6 52.8 23.2 80
10.7 20.0 19.9 7.7 5.1 0.5 54.4 24.7 87
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
. Population (thousands) Total ...................................................., Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
978 1 486 499 . l0 1.29 19.7 6.6 .0.1 2.31 1.07 36 42
912 1 450 528 -10 1.14 18.0 6.6 .0.1 2.21 1 .03 31 35
827 1 416 559 -30 0.98 16.7 6.6 .0.4 2.11 1 .00 25 29
758 1 385 597 . 30 0.86 15.6 6.7 .0.3 2.03 0.96 22 24
662 1 347 655 . 30 0.72 14.6 7.1 .0.3 1.96 0.93 18 21
539 1 299 729 . 30 0.57 13.6 7.7 .0.3 1.89 0.90 16 18
415 1 258 813 . 30 0.43 12.9 8.3 .0.3 1.85 0.89 14 15
67.5 72.1 69.7
68.7 73.5 71.0
70.0 74.8 72.3
71.1 75.9 73.5
72.1 77.0 74.5
73.0 77.9 75.4
73.8 78.7 76.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TURKEY
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
73193 36 878 36 314
78853 39 682 39 171
84682 42 569 42 113
90443 45 409 45 034
95921 48 085 47 836
101118 50 599 50 519
106111 52 997 53 114
110966 55 324 55 642
115680 57 590 58 089
120136 59 749 60 387
9.9 19.3 18.4 8.0 5.4 0.6 54.5 26.3
10.0 18.3 17.1 8.5 5.6 0.7 53.9 27.7
9.8 17.8 16.6 9.5 6.1 0.9 52.7 28.8
9.4 17.8 15.8 10.8 6.9 0.9 51.1 29.6
8.8 17.5 15.6 12.4 8.0 1.0 49.8 30.5
8.4 16.7 15.9 14.0 9.4 1.2 48.7 31.5
8.2 15.9 15.7 15.7 10.7 1.6 47.7 32.2
8.1 15.4 15.2 17.3 12.1 2.0 47.1 32.8
8.0 15.2 14.5 18.5 13.3 2.4 46.4 33.5
7.9 15.2 14.2 19.2 14.3 2.8 45.8 34.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 132 1.49 21.7 6.6 .0.1 2.56 1.19
1 166 1.43 21 .0 6.6 -0.1 2.61 1.22
1 152 1.32 20.0 6.5 -0.3 2.61 1.23
1 095 1.18 18.6 6.5 -0.3 2.53 1.20
1 039 1.06 17.6 6.7 .0.3 2.46 1.17
999 0.96 17.1 7.1 -0.3 2.39 1.14
971 0.90 16.8 7.6 -0.3 2.35 1.13
943 0.83 16.6 8.0 -0.3 2.35 1.13
891 0.76 16.2 8.4 .0.3 2.35 1.13
.
D LOW VARIANT
. Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2OO5-2OIO 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
823 1.09 17.6 6.5 -0.1 2.06 0.96
658 0.83 15.0 6.6 .0.1 1.81 0.85
501 0.61 13.2 6.7 -0.4 1.61 0.76
423 0.50 12.4 7.0 .0.4 1.53 0.73
302 0.35 11.4 7.5 -0.3 1.46 0.69
132 0.15 10.1 8.3 .0.3 1.39 0.66
-45 .0.05 9.0 9.2 .0.3 1.35 0.65
-196 .0.23 8.4 10.3 -0.3 1.35 0.65
-324 .0.38 7.9 11.4 .0.4 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... 73193 Males ................................................... 36 878 36 314 Females ........................................ Median age (years) ................................. 26.3
78509 39 507 39 003 27.8
83858 42 148 41 709 29.1
89114 44 731 44 383 30.1
94343 47 280 47 063 31.1
99471 49 760 49 712 32.1
104468 52 160 52 308 32.8
109309 54 481 54 828 33.3
113978 56 725 57 254 33.8
118501 58 918 59 583 34.1
1.32 19.9 6.6
1.22 19.0 6.5
1.14 18.3 6.6
1.06 17.7 6.8
0.98 17.3 7.2
0.91 17.0 7.7
0.84 16.8 8.2
0.78 16.6 8.5
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.40 20.8 6.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
A. ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1211 594 617 96.1
1356 664 691 96.0
1594 782 812 96.3
1890 929 961 96.7
2189 1 077 1111 96.9
2520 1 241 1279 97.0
2861 1 406 1455 96.6
3230 1 587 1642 96.7
3668 1 809 1859 97.3
4193 2 069 2124 97.4
4502 2 220 2282 97.3
11.7 21 .1 20.1 9.5 5.9 0.6 52.1 23.5 2
15.3 18.3 19.7 8.6 6.0 0.6 51.1 23.2 3
18.0 21.5 16.2 7.8 5.2 0.7 45.4 21.9 3
18.6 25.8 13.4 7.4 4.7 0.7 40.9 18.8 4
16.2 28.8 15.9 7.2 4.7 0.7 41.3 17.6 4
15.8 27.6 19.8 6.8 4.5 0.7 43.5 17.9 5
15.3 26.1 21.7 6.0 4.3 0.7 45.4 18.7 6
15.4 25.1 21 .0 5.9 3.9 0.7 46.8 19.5 7
15.8 24.7 19.5 6.2 3.8 0.7 47.1 19.7 8
14.1 25.4 19.1 6.2 4.2 0.6 49.2 20.2 9
10.8 25.4 20.0 6.7 4.4 0.6 52.4 21.7 9
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ............................
66 109 41 .2 1.32 21.8 8.2 .0.4 2.50 1.10 75 95
67 111 43 .2 1.26 20.9 8.0 .0.4 2.29 1 .01 69. 86
63 108 43 .2 1.11 19.1 7.7 .0.4 2.10 0.94 62 77
51 98 45 .2 0.87 16.5 7.5 .0.3 1.95 0.88 56 70
59.0 67.5 63.2
60.5 68.9 64.6
62.1 70.4 66.2
63.7 71.7 67.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
77 1.53 24.1 8.4 .0.4 2.75 1.21
86 1.58 24.3 8.1 .0.4 2.69 1.19
87 1.48 22.9 7.7 .0.3 2.60 1.17
75 1.19 19.6 7.4 .0.3 2.45 1.11
65 0.98 17.5 7.4 -0.3 2.35 1.08
65 0.94 17.4 7.8 .0.3 2.35 1.08
68 0.94 17.9 8.2 -0.3 2.35 1.09
68 0.89 17.8 8.6 .0.3 2.35 1.09
60 0.76 16.8 9.0 .0.3 2.35 1.10
D. LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
55 1.12 19.6 8.1 .0.4 2.25 0.99
48 0.92 17.4 7.8 .0.4 1.89 0.83
28 0.50 13.0 7.6 -0.4 1.45 0.65
39 0.71 15.1 7.6 .0.4 1.60 0.72
17 0.30 11.3 8.0 .0.3 1.35 0.62
9 0.15 10.5 8.6 .0.3 1.35 0.62
0 .0.01 9.8 9.5 .0.3 1.35 0.62
. 10 .0.18 9.1 10.5 -0.3 1.35 0.63
. 20 .0.35 8.5 11.6 .0.4 1.35 0.63
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
4833 2 380 2 453 23.3
5214 2 564 2 650 24.8
5651 2 776 2 875 26.4
6114 3 000 3 114 27.8
6558 3 215 3 343 28.9
6978 3 417 3 561 29.4
7398 3 620 3 778 29.7
7840 3 836 4 005 30.2
8305 4 065 4 239 30.7
1.52 23.9 8.4
1.61 24.6 8.2
1.58 23.9 7.8
1.40 21-8 7.5
1.24 20.1 7.4
1.17 19.6 7.6
1.16 19.9 8.0
1.15 20.1 8.3
1.10 19.7 8.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Indicator
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 6 5-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 RevMon. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
UGANDA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
187 691 94 400 93 291 14.4
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 151 3.64 51.0 13.5 .1.2 7.10 2.71
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 099 3.49 49.4 13.3 .1.2 6.85 2.62
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
28 816 14 416 14 400 14.8
34 546 17 304 17 242 14.8
42 080 21 097 20 984 14.6
51 566 25 869 25 697 14.5
63 440 31 843 31 597 14.5
78 363 39 352 39 011 14.5
97 176 48 819 48 356 14.5
120 816 60 717 60 099 14.5
150 485 75 664 74 821 14.4
3.63 50.8 13.4
3.95 50.8 11.4
4.07 50.3 9.7
4.1 5 49.7 8.4
4.23 49.4 7.2
4.30 49.1 6.3
4.36 48.9 5.5
4.39 48.7 5.0
4.42 48.6 4.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
A. ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
C. HIGH VARIANT
Indicator
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
28 905 12 767 16 138 51.8
26 279 1 1 563 14 716 54.1
23 657 10 366 13 291 56.1
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. . 385
.0.85 10.6 16.8 .2.2 1.40 0.66
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. 556 .1.23 6.8 16.9 .2.2 0.90 0.42
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
46 481 21 310 25 171 39.0
44 090 20 074 24 015 39.9
41 696 18 871 22 826 41.3
39 213 17 651 21 562 42.8
36 638 16 407 20 231 44.7
34 060 15 178 18 882 46.9
31 494 13 969 17 524 49.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationgrowthrate(percent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
.1.06 8.5 16.9
.1.12 8.3 17.1
.1.23 7.3 17.1
.1.36 6.4 17.3
.1.46 5.9 17.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.1.57 5.7 18.3
.1.72 5.5 19.3
.1.91 5.1 20.5
.2.10 4.7 21.7
Indicator
A. ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
UNITED ARAB EMIRATES
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
8 900 5 529 3372 35.9
9 562 5 866 3696 36.3
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
116 2.42 17.0 1.3 8.4 2.61 1.26
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
100 2.1 1 13.9 1.2 8.4 2.1 1 1.02
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT .
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
4 496 3 063 1433 29.0
5 060 3 393 1667 30.7
.
P p
5 660 3 740 1920 31.8
6 287 4 098 2188 33.0
6 927 4 460 2467 34.0
7 577 4 820 2756 34.9
8 235 5 178 3057 35.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.36 16.5 1.3
2.24 16.3 1.3
2.10 15.8 1.5
1.94 15.1 1.8
1.79 14.6 2.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/PopulationDivision World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.67 14.3 2.7
1.55 14.2 3.3
1.44 14.2 4.1
1.31 14.1 5.0
UNITED KINGDOM
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
49 816 24 187 25 629 94.4
50 399 24 340 26 059 93.4
51 572 24 885 26 687 93.2
53 550 25 980 27 570 94.2
54 832 26 675 28 157 94.7
55 426 27 013 28 413 95.1
55 530 27 046 28 484 95.0
56 008 27 277 28 731 94.9
56 761 27 318 29 443 92.8
57 670 27 900 29 771 93.7
58 670 28 513 30 156 94.6
8.6 13.7 13.6 15.5 10.7 1.5 49.2 34.6 205
7.5 15.3 12.9 16.2 11.3 1.7 47.1 35.0 207
7.9 15.3 13.3 16.9 11.7 1.9 45.3 35.4 212
8.7 14.5 14.6 17.6 12.0 2.0 44.6 34.8 220
8.1 16.1 14.7 18.7 12.9 2.2 43.6 33.7 226
7.1 16.3 14.3 19.6 14.0 2.4 43.6 33.9 228
6.0 14.9 15.5 20.1 15.1 2.8 45.3 34.6 229
6.4 12.9 16.4 20.7 15.1 3.2 47.5 35.3 231
6.7 12.3 14.0 21.1 15.9 3.7 48.1 36.5 234
6.5 12.7 12.5 20.8 15.9 3.9 47.9 37.0 237
6.0 13.0 12.2 20.7 15.9 4.1 46.9 37.7 242
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
170 654 614 130 0.28 10.9 10.2 2.2 1.66 0.80 5 6
180 671 621 130 0.30 11.0 10.2 2.1 1.70 0.82 5 6
215 717 632 130 0.35 11.6 10.2 2.1 1.77 0.85 4 6
234 753 649 130 0.37 11.9 10.3 2.1 1.83 0.89 4 5
206 749 673 130 0.32 11.7 10.5 2.0 1.85 0.89 4 5
156 727 701 130 0.24 11.2 10.8 2.0 1.85 0.89 4 5
118 715 728 130 0.18 10.9 11 .1 2.0 1.85 0.90 4 5
104 724 749 130 0.16 10.9 11.3 2.0 1.85 0.90 3 4
113 747 764 130 0.17 11.2 11.4 1.9 1.85 0.90 3 4
76.7 81.2 79.0
77.3 81.8 79.6
78.0 82.4 80.2
78.6 82.9 80.8
79.2 83.5 81.4
79.8 84.0 81.9
80.4 84.5 82.5
81 .0 85.0 83.0
81.5 85.4 83.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
C. HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
266 0.44 12.5 10.2 2.2 1.91 0.92
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
73 0.12 9.3 10.3 2.2 1.41 0.68
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
59 668 29153 30 515 39.0
60 518 29619 30 899 40.3
61 358 30064 31 294 41.0
62 201 30497 31 704 41.4
62 956 30870 32 085 41.8
63 518 31140 32 378 42.6
63 861 31304 32 557 43.5
64 028 31392 32 637 44.2
64 077 31435 32 642 44.6
0.28 10.9 10.2
0.28 10.8 10.2
0.27 10.9 10.2
0.24 10.7 10.4
0.18 10.4 10.6
0.11 10.0 1 1 .0
0.05 9.9 11.4
0.02 9.8 11.7
.0.01 9.8 11.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
64 051 31453 32 599 44.9
UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIA
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
771 1 .92 37.1 16.4 -1.5 4.70 1.67
877 1 .98 35.3 15.4 0.0 4.29 1.57
911 1.87 33.0 14.3 0.0 3.92 1.49
910 1.71 30.1 13.0 0.0 3.54 1.39
916 1.58 27.8 11.9 0.0 3.23 1.31
925 1.48 25.9 11.1 0.0 2.98 1.24
928 1.38 24.2 10.4 0.0 2.77 1.18
910 1.27 22.5 9.8 0.0 2.59 1.12
870 1.14 20.8 9.3 0.0 2.43 1.07
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
632 1.59 33.4 16.1 .1.5 4.20 1.49
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
38 329 19 071 19 258 18.2
42 589 21 259 21 330 18.6
47 986 24 023 23 963 18.7
54 285 27 250 27 035 18.7
61 576 30 978 30 598 18.5
70 097 35 323 34 775 18.5
80 182 40 450 39 732 18.6
92 152 46 520 45 633 18.6
106 294 53 674 52 620 18.7
2.1 1 39.2 16.7
2.39 39.7 15.8
2.47 39.3 14.6
2.52 38.5 13.2
2.59 37.9 11.9
2.69 37.7 10.8
2.78 37.6 9.8
2.86 37.5 9.0
2.91 37.3 8.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
122 931 62 074 60 857 18.7
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
157 813 78830 78983 99.8
171 074 84911 86163 98.5
186 158 92132 94026 98.0
199 796 98543 101252 97.3
210 1 1 1 103108 107003 96.4
220 165 108140 112025 96.5
230 917 113165 117752 96.1
243 056 119176 123880 96.2
255 539 125396 130143 96.4
269 603 132388 137215 96.5
284 154 139643 144511 96.6
10.9 16.1 14.9 12.5 8.3 1.1 50.1 30.0 16
11.3 18.2 13.0 13.1 8.8 1.3 47.2 30.2 18
11.2 19.6 13.6 13.3 9.2 1.4 45.5 29.6 19
10.2 20.2 15.7 13.4 9.5 1.6 45.3 28.3 21
8.5 19.9 17.4 14.1 9.8 1.8 46.5 28.2 22
7.5 17.6 18.7 14.8 10.5 2.1 48.4 28.8 23
7.3 15.2 18.6 15.6 11.2 2.4 50.3 30.1 24
7.5 14.1 16.7 16.3 11.7 2.4 51.5 31.4 25
7.7 14.0 14.6 16.5 12.2 2.6 51.7 32.8 27
7.6 14.5 13.7 16.2 12.4 2.8 51.2 34.1 28
7.0 14.6 13.8 16.2 12.3 3.2 50.1 35.3 30
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility @erwoman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
3 324 1.09 15.5 8.4 3.8 2.29 1.10
3 556 1.10 15.9 8.4 3.4 2.38 1.14
3 655 1.07 15.8 8.4 3.2 2.41 1.16
3 502 0.97 15.1 8.4 3.1 2.36 1.13
3 455 0.92 14.9 8.6 2.9 2.35 1.13
3 507 0.89 15.0 8.9 2.8 2.35 1.13
3 639 0.88 15.3 9.2 2.7 2.35 1.13
3 782 0.88 15.5 9.3 2.6 2.35 1.14
3 910 0.87 15.4 9.2 2.4 2.35 1.14
390 774 192 548 198226 39.1
401 903 198 164 203739 39.2
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 293 0.75 12.2 8.5 3.8 1.79 0.86
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
298 213 146 680 151533 36.1
312 253 153 708 158545 36.6
326 387 160 779 165608 36.9
340 492 167 800 172692 37.3
354 165 174 553 179612 37.9
367 101 180 891 186210 38.5
379 257 186 847 192410 39.0
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.92 13.9 8.4
0.89 13.8 8.5
0.85 13.7 8.5
0.79 13.4 8.7
0.72 13.1 9.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.65 13.0 9.4
0.60 12.9 9.8
0.56 12.9 10.0
0.54 12.8 10.1
412 971 203 861 209111 39.4
Indicator
.
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
2015
2020
112 53 59 90.7
112 53 59 90.0
111 52 58 89.4
109 51 58 88.9
7.1 17.0 16.0 16.6 10.7 2.0 10.0 5.6 5.2 9.5 46.1 35.0 322
6.5 14.6 17.0 20.6 13.9 2.4 8.5 4.8 5.4 10.1 45.0 36.1 322
6.4 13.3 16.1 23.7 17.6 3.3 7.8 4.2 4.4 10.0 42.5 35.8 319
6.5 12.7 13.8 26.5 20.2 4.4 7.6 3.9 4.0 8.3 40.6 36.8 315
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
UNITED STATES VIRGIN ISLANDS
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2015
2020
2025
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
0 0.12 14.9 6.6 -7.1 2.38 1.14
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
0 -0.20 11.8 6.6 .7.2 1.88 0.90
0 .0.43 10.6 7.6 .7.3 1.64 0.79
.1 .0.62 10.1 8.8 .7.5 1.47 0.71
.1 -0.79 9.9 10.0 .7.8 1.40 0.67
.1 .1.03 9.2 11.4 .8.1 1.35 0.65
.1
.l.%
8.2 12.8 .8.6 1.35 0.65
.1 -1.64 7.0 14.1 .9.3 1.35 0.65
.2 .1.95 6.0 15.3 .10.1 1.35 0.65
.2 .2.22 5.4 16.3 .11.3 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
112 53 59 35.0
112 53 59 35.8
112 53 59 35.0
112 53 59 35.9
111 52 59 36.9
108 51 57 38.3
105 50 56 39.9
102
98 47 51 40.5
94 45 49 40.4
48
54 40.6
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
0.04 14.1 6.6
0.01 14.7 7.5
-0.05 15.1 8.4
.0.20 14.6 9.3
-0.41 13.5 10.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.0.60 12.6 11.2
-0.71 12.4 11.8
.0.75 12.7 12.2
-0.76 12.9 12.2
Indicator
A. ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
URUGUAY
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
4558 2247 2 311 37.3
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
28 0.81 17.6 9.0 .0.6 2.46 1.18
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
p p . .
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
P
16 0.46 14.2 9.0 .0.6 1.96 0.94
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
3463 1680 1 783 32.1
3586 1743 1 843 33.0
3710 1808 1 903 33.8
3836 1873 1 962 34.3
3962 1939 2 022 34.9
4087 2005 2 082 35.5
4211 2069 2 142 36.1
4332 2131 2 200 36.6
4448 2191 2 257 37.0
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.70 16.5 9.0
0.68 16.2 8.9
0.66 16.0 8.8
0.65 15.7 8.7
0.63 15.4 8.7
0.60 15.1 8.7
0.56 14.9 8.8
0.53 14.8 9.0
0.49 14.6 9.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
UZBEKISTAN A. ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Feniales ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ayes 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
UZBEKISTAN
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
50 617 25 149 25 468 31.0
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
456 1.65 24.7 6.9 .1.4 2.74 1.23
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
338 1.23 20.4 6.7 .1.5 2.24 1.01
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
26 593 13 224 13 369 22.6
28 877 14 362 14 515 24.0
31 557 15 695 15 862 25.5
34 288 17 051 17 236 26.9
36 887 18 337 18 550 28.1
39 451 19 601 19 849 28.7
42 133 20 925 21 208 29.1
44 956 22 325 22 632 29.7
47 813 23 747 24 066 30.4
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.65 24.8 6.9
1.78 25.2 6.8
1.66 23.7 6.5
1.46 21.6 6.4
1.34 20.4 6.5
1.32 20.4 6.7
1.30 20.5 7.1
1.23 20.2 7.4
1.14 19.5 7.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (per sq km) ................
.
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 201 5-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
4 2.02 30.7 5.1 -5.4 3.94 1.81
5 2.00 29.5 4.7 -4.9 3.70 1.72
5 1.77 26.1 4.4 -4.0 3.26 1 .54
5 1.93 28.1 4.5 -4.4 3.50 1.64
5 1.63 24.3 4.4 -3.7 3.07 1.45
5 1.51 23.0 4.5 -3.4 2.92 1.39
5 1.42 22.1 4.7 -3.2 2.80 1.33
5 1.33 21.2 4.9 -3.0 2.69 1.28
5 1.21 20.1 5.2 -2.8 2.60 1 .24
468 236 231 22.2
525 266 260 22.4
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
4 1.66 27.0 5.0 -5.4 3.44 1.58
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
21 1 108 104 19.6
235 120 116 20.5
264 134 130 21 .1
296 150 146 21.4
332 168 164 21.4
372 188 1 84 21.6
417 21 1 206 21.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.16 32.1 5.1
2.28 32.3 4.7
2.32 31.9 4.4
2.29 31.0 4.3
2.26 30.2 4.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.27 29.9 4.1
2.30 29.8 4.2
2.32 29.7 4.2
2.32 29.5 4.2
590 298 291 22.5
VENEZUELA A. ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ............................
465 598 140 8 1.67 21.4 5.0 0.3 2.55 1.20 16 26
451 599 156 8 1.49 19.8 5.2 0.3 2.39 1.13 14 24
424 591 174 8 1.31 18.2 5.4 0.2 2.26 1.07 13 21
391 578 195 8 1.14 16.8 5.7 0.2 2.15 1.02 12 19
354 566 220 8 0.98 15.6 6.1 0.2 2.05 0.98 10 17
312 553 249 8 0.82 14.6 6.6 0.2 1.97 0.94 9 16
264 537 281 8 0.67 13.6 7.1 0.2 1 .91 0.91 9 14
213 519 314 8 0.53 12.8 7.7 0.2 1.85 0.89 8 13
174 513 347 8 0.42 12.3 8.3 0.2 1.85 0.89 7 11
70.9 76.8 73.7
71.8 77.7 74.7
72.6 78.6 75.5
73.4 79.4 76.3
74.1 80.2 77.1
74.8 80.9 77.8
75.4 81.6 78.4
76.0 82.2 79.0
76.5 82.7 79.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
VENEZUELA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
26 749 13442 13 307
29 349 14727 14 622
32 074 16072 16 002
34 817 17423 17 395
37 451 18714 18 737
40 014 19965 20 048
42 532 21193 21 340
44 983 22386 22 597
47 327 23528 23 799
49 614 24645 24 969
10.7 20.5 19.4 7.6 5.1 0.8 53.3 24.7
10.9 19.1 18.4 8.7 5.7 1 .0 52.7 25.9
10.7 18.8 17.0 10.0 6.6 1.2 51.2 27.1
10.1 18.9 16.0 11.3 7.7 1.3 49.8 28.2
9.4 18.5 16.0 12.9 8.8 1.6 49.4 29.2
9.0 17.6 16.4 14.3 10.2 2.0 48.8 30.0
8.7 16.7 16.2 15.4 11.3 2.5 48.2 30.7
8.4 16.2 15.6 16.6 12.1 2.9 47.3 31.6
8.2 15.8 15.0 17.8 13.2 3.4 46.6 32.6
8.0 15.4 14.6 19.0 14.1 3.8 46.3 33.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
520 1.86 23.3 5.0 0.3 2.80 1.32
545 1.78 22.7 5.2 0.3 2.79 1.32
549
527 1.46 19.8 5.5 0.2 2.65 1.26
1 .64
21.5 5.3 0.2 2.76 1.31
512 1.32 18.8 5.8 0.2 2.55 1.22
504 1.22 18.2 6.1 0.2 2.47 1.18
490 1.12 17.6 6.5 0.2 2.40 1.15
469 1.02 16.9 6.9 0.2 2.35 1.13
457 0.94 16.6 7.3 0.2 2.35 1.13
.
D LOW VARIANT
. Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
410 1.48 19.5 5.0 0.3 2.30 1.08
356 1.20 16.9 5.2 0.3 1.99 0.94
256 0.78 13.5 5.9 0.2 1.65 0.78
298 0.95 14.7 5.5 0.3 1.76 0.84
202 0.60 12.1 6.4 0.2 1.55 0.74
137 0.40 10.8 7.1 0.2 1.47 0.70
70 0.20 9.6 7.8 0.2 1.40 0.67
5 0.01 8.6 8.7 0.2 1.35 0.65
.47 .0.13 8.1 9.7 0.2 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
26 749 13 442 13 307 24.7
29 268 14 686 14 582 26.0
31 910 15 988 15 922 27.3
34 607 17 315 17 292 28.4
37 331 18 652 18 678 29.3
40 095 20 007 20 088 29.9
42 916 21 390 21 526 30.4
45 799 22 805 22 994 30.9
48 738 24 251 24 487 31.3
51 734 25 731 26 003 31.7
1.80 22.7 5.0
1.73 22.2 5.2
1.62 21.3 5.3
1.52 20.4 5.5
1.43 19.9 5.8
1 .36 19.5 6.1
1 .30 19.3 6.5
1.24 19.1 6.8
1.19 18.8 7.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
WET NAM
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
27367 13 610 13 757 98.9
30052 14 960 15 092 99.1
33648 16 755 16 894 99.2
38099 18 966 19 133 99.1
42898 21 338 21 560 99.0
47974 23 824 24 150 98.7
53005 26 342 26 663 98.8
59136 29 414 29 722 99.0
66206 32 991 33 215 99.3
73163 36 504 36 659 99.6
78671 39 275 39 396 99.7
12.4 19.4 18.9 7.0 4.2 0.3 52.5 24.6 83
16.3 18.6 17.3 7.2 4.4 0.4 48.9 23.7
17.6 21.8 14.7 7.4 4.5 0.4 44.9 22.2 101
18.1 25.4 13.8 7.6 4.6 0.4 41.3 19.4 115
17.1 27.0 16.2 7.5 4.9 0.4 41.3 18.0 129
16.0 27.1 19.2 7.5 4.9 0.5 42.6 18.2 145
15.4 26.3 20.7 7.4 5.0 0.6 44.5 18.6 160
14.7 25.4 21 .0 7.3 4.9 0.6 46.3 19.5 178
14.4 24.5 20.4 7.3 5.0 0.7 48.2 20.2 200
12.8 24.3 20.0 7.5 5.0 0.8 50.7 21.3 221
9.9 23.5 20.2 7.5 5.4 0.9 54.0 23.1 237
91
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population(thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005-2010 201 0-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1,000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
1 096 1 642 506 . 40 1.26 18.9 5.8 .0.5 2.14 0.99 25 32
1 062 1 626 523 . 40 1.15 17.6 5.7 .0.4 1.97 0.93 22 27
980 1 567 548 . 40 1.01 16.1 5.6 -0.4 1.86 0.88 19 23
883 1 51 1 588 . 40 0.87 14.8 5.8 .0.4 1.85 0.88 17 20
757 1 448 651 . 40 0.71 13.6 6.1 -0.4 1.85 0.88 16 18
635 1 417 742 . 40 0.58 12.9 6.8 .0.4 1.85 0.88 14 16
505 1 399 854 . 40 0.45 12.4 7.6 .0.4 1.85 0.88 13 15
360 1 376 977 . 40 0.31 12.0 8.5 .0.3 1.85 0.89 12 14
206 1 340 1 094 . 40 0.18 11.5 9.4 .0.3 1.85 0.89 11 12
69.9 73.9 71.9
71.2 75.2 73.2
72.4 76.3 74.3
73.4 77.3 75.3
74.2 78.1 76.2
75.0 78.9 76.9
75.7 79.7 77.6
76.3 80.3 78.3
76.9 81 .0 78.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
WET NAM
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
126 802 63 313 63 488 34.5
131 895 65 830 66 065 35.2
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 291 1.48 21.1 5.9 -0.5 2.39 1.11
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
908
1.05
16.8 5.8 .0.5 1.89 0.88
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
84 238
42 068 42 171 24.9
90 446 45 185 45 261 26.6
97 172 48 564 48 609 28.3
103 953 51 962 51 991 30.1
1 10 241 55 105 55 136 31.8
1 1 5 984 57 962 58 022 33.1
121 458 60 672 60 786 33.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.42 20.5 5.8
1.44 20.4 5.7
1.35 19.4 5.5
1.18 17.7 5.6
1.02 16.3 5.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.92 15.9 6.3
0.86 15.9 7.0
0.79 15.8 7.7
0.69 15.5 8.3
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
341 176 165 107.0
429 222 207 107.4
526 272 253 107.5
627 325 302 107.3
680 350 330 106.1
728 373 355 105.0
771 393 378 104.1
814 413 401 103.2
857 433 423 102.3
12.2 22.1 20.0 6.0 3.6 0.3 13.4 6.3 6.2 12.0 51.3 22.7 1
11.7 19.4 19.1 6.7 3.9 0.4 11.7 5.5 5.5 11.6 53.3 24.9 2
11.6 18.3 17.1 7.6 4.4 0.4 11.2 4.9 4.9 10.4 54.1 26.5 2
10.8 18.4 15.6 8.4 5.2 0.5 11.4 4.9 4.5 9.4 54.2 27.9 2
9.8 19.2 14.8 9.2 6.1 0.6 11.8 5.4 4.8 8.6 53.4 29.l 3
8.6 18.5 16.0 10.1 6.8 0.8 1 1 .1 5.6 5.3 9.3 53.2 30.2 3
8.0 16.7 17.0 11.1 7.5 1.1 9.9 5.2 5.3 10.2 52.2 31.0 3
7.8 15.2 16.6 12.9 8.3 1.3 9.1 4.6 4.9 10.1 50.6 31.8 3
7.7 14.6 15.2 15.5 9.8 1.5 8.8 4.3 4.3 9.2 49.0 32.9 3
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
WESTERN SAHARA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
P~pulation(thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
18 4.75 28.6 7.1 25.8 3.69 1.66
21 4.31 28.9 6.6 20.6 3.50 1.61
23 3.81 27.3 6.1 16.8 3.34 1.56
13
1 .94
23.8 5.9 1.5 3.14 1.48
12 1.62 20.8 5.9 1.3 2.98 1.42
12 1.48 19.6 6.0 1.2 2.84 1.36
13 1.47 19.7 6.2 1.2 2.73 1 .31
14 1 .46 19.9 6.4 1 .1 2.63 1.27
14 1.37 19.3 6.6 1 .0 2.55 1.23
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per l .000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
341 176 165 22.7
225 210 24.5
545 282 263 25.6
669 346 323 26.0
754 388 366 25.5
840 430 410 24.5
933 475 458 24.3
1 039 527 512 24.5
1 161 588 574 24.8
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
4.86 29.8 7.2
4.51 31.1 6.6
4.09 30.4 6.1
2.38 28.2 5.8
2.17 26.0 5.7
2.10 25.5 5.6
2.15 26.1 5.6
2.23 27.0 5.6
2.25 27.3 5.6
435
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1 300 656 643 24.9
YEMEN A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
4 316 2179 2137 102.0
4 733 2391 2342 102.1
5 223 2637 2586 102.0
5 800 2926 2874 101.8
6 327 3171 3156 100.5
6 968 3469 3499 99.1
8 197 4101 4097 100.1
9 951 5005 4946 101.2
12 086 6102 5983 102.0
15 219 7731 7487 103.3
17 937 9104 8832 103.1
17.5 24.8 18.5 6.2 3.9 0.3 45.2 18.9 8
18.7 25.7 18.5 5.4 3.4 0.3 44.5 17.8 9
18.9 27.2 18.6 4.8 3.0 0.3 43.8 16.9 10
19.1 28.2 19.0 4.3 2.7 0.2 43.5 16.3 11
19.5 29.1 19.9 4.1 2.5 0.2 43.1 15.6 12
20.2 29.7 20.6 3.9 2.4 0.2 42.5 15.0 13
20.8 29.2 20.7 3.6 2.2 0.2 42.9 15.0 16
22.0 29.0 19.8 3.4 2.1 0.2 42.2 14.6 19
21.3 30.4 19.0 3.1 2.0 0.2 41.8 14.3 23
19.4 30.4 18.4 3.9 2.6 0.3 42.5 15.1 29
18.3 29.9 20.2 3.7 2.4 0.3 44.0 15.8 34
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1,000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
705 895 170 . 20 3.11 39.4 7.5 .0.9 5.65 2.42 59 79
796 985 1 70 . 20 3.01 37.2 6.4 -0.8 5.10 2.24 49 64
851 1040 169 . 20 2.78 34.0 5.5 .0.7 4.50 2.03 41 51
872 1063 171 . 20 2.50 30.5 4.9 .0.6 3.94 1.81 34 41
881 1081 180 . 20 2.24 27.5 4.6 .0.5 3.47 1.61 28 34
894 1110 196 . 20 2.05 25.4 4.5 .0.5 3.12 1.46 25 29
908 1145 216 . 20 1.88 23.7 4.5 .0.4 2.85 1.35 21 25
908 1169 241 . 20 1.72 22.2 4.6 .0.4 2.65 1.26 19 22
881 1173 272 . 20 1.54 20.5 4.7 .0.3 2.49 1.18 17 19
61.3 64.1 62.7
63.3 66.5 64.9
65.2 68.7 66.9
66.9 70.7 68.7
68.2 72.2 70.1
69.2 73.3 71.2
70.1 74.3 72.2
71 .0 75.2 73.0
71.8 76.0 73.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
YEMEN
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
742 3.26 40.9 7.5 .0.9 5.90 2.53
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rats (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
669 2.96 37.8 7.4 .0.9 5.40 2.32
723 2.77 34.8 6.3 .0.8 4.70 2.07
741 2.49 31.0 5.5 .0.7 4.00 1.80
741 2.22 27.7 4.9 -0.6 3.44 1 58
.
721 1.94 24.6 4.7 .0.5 2.97 1.38
694 1.71 22.2 4.6 .0.5 2.62 1.23
660 1.50 20.2 4.7 -0.5 2.35 1 11
.
612 1.30 18.3 4.9 .0.4 2.15 1.02
547 1 09 16.5 5.2 -0.4 1.99 0.95
.
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
20 975 10 635 10 340 16.5
24 888 12 609 12 279 16.9
29 811 15 094 14 717 16.9
35 821 18 129 17 692 16.6
43 010 21 760 21 250 16.5
51 604 26 102 25 502 16.6
61 989 31 354 30 635 16.8
74 635 37 753 36 881 16.8
90 023 45 544 44 479 16.8
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
3.42 42.6 7.6
3.61 43.4 6.7
3.67 43.0 5.7
3.66 42.0 5.0
3.64 41.2 4.5
3.67 41.1 4.1
3.71 41.2 3.9
3.75 41.3 3.6
3.76 41.2 3.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
108 657 54 987 53 670 16.8
Indicator
A. ESTIMATES 19%
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males .................................................. Females ........................................ Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
11668 5843 5 826
12759 6412 6 346
14084 7101 6 982
15602 7890 7 712
17172 8700 8 472
18812 9534 9 278
20545 10402 10 143
22386 11314 11 072
24316 12263 12 053
26307 13238 13 069
17.2 28.6 22.0 4.6 3.0 0.3 44.7 16.7
17.3 27.8 22.6 4.7 3.1 0.4 45.5 17.0
17.1 27.5 22.3 4.6 3.1 0.4 46.5 17.3
16.4 27.7 21.6 4.4 3.1 0.4 47.6 17.6
15.4 27.6 21.6 4.2 3.0 0.5 49.0 18.0
14.5 26.7 22.2 4.0 2.8 0.5 50.8 18.7
13.9 25.4 22.4 4.1 2.7 0.5 52.4 19.6
13.3 24.3 21.9 4.3 2.8 0.5 53.2 20.5
12.8 23.5 21 .0 4.8 3.1 0.5 53.5 21.4
12.1 22.8 20.3 5.6 3.5 0.5 53.6 22.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
218 1.79 41.1 21.3 -1.9 5.43 1.70
265 1.98 40.0 19.4 -0.9 5.07 1.68
304 2.05 38.0 17.5 -0.1 4.66 1.65
314 1.92 35.0 15.8 -0.1 4.20 1.57
328 1.82 32.5 14.3 -0.1 3.81 1.49
347 1.76 30.8 13.1 -0.1 3.50 1.42
368 1.72 29.4 12.2 0.0 3.26 1 .36
386 1.65 27.9 11.3 0.0 3.08 1.32
398 1.57 26.3 10.5 0.0 2.93 1.28
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
184 1 .51 38.1 21 .1 -1.9 4.93 1.56
201 1.54 35.4 19.1 .0.9 4.27 1.44
210 1.49 32.3 17.4 -0.1 3.66 1.32
201 1.33 29.4 16.1 -0.1 3.20 1.21
1 87 1.16 26.6 14.9 .0.1 2.81 1.12
169 1.00 24.0 14.0 -0.1 2.50 1.03
152 0.86 21.9 13.3 -0.1 2.26 0.96
135 0.73 19.9 12.6 .0.1 2.08 0.90
116 0.61 18.1 12.0 -0.1 1.93 0.85
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
11668 5843 5826 16.7
12833 6450 6383 16.9
14379 7250 7129 16.9
16337 8260 8077 16.6
18675 9457 9218 16.3
21489 10881 10608 16.2
24903 12594 12309 16.3
29062 14672 14390 16.3
34113 17191 16922 16.3
40218 20233 19985 16.3
2.55 43.2 17.6
2.68 42.6 15.8
2.81 42.0 14.0
2.95 42.0 12.5
3.09 42.1 11.2
3.21 42.0 10.0
3.29 41.8 9.0
p -
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.90 42.3 21.4
2.28 43.2 19.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (per sq km) ................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... ~opulationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 births) ...... Mortality under age 5 (per 1.000 births) ... Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
C. HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
102 0.77 30.9 23.1 .0.2 3.44 1.12
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
p P
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (per woman) ........................ Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
54 0.41 27.2 22.9 -0.2 2.94 0.97
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT P
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
13 010 6453 6 557 18.7
13 577 6784 6 792 19.5
14 303 7198 7 105 20.0
15 098 7649 7 449 19.8
15 975 8130 7 845 19.5
17 012 8673 8 339 19.6
18 271 9310 8 961 19.8
19 771 10057 9 714 20.1
21 512 10919 10 592 20.2
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.85 31.8 23.1
1 .04 32.5 21.9
1.08 31.8 20.8
1.13 30.5 19.1
1.26 30.0 17.3
1.43 30.2 15.8
1.58 30.4 14.5
1.69 30.2 13.3
1.78 29.9 12.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
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Table A.3. Total population at mid-year by major area and region: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands) Major area and region
1950 WORLD
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2519470 2757399 3023812 3337974 3696588 4073740 4442295 4843947 5279519 5692353 6085572
W R E DEVELOPED REGIONS (*) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries
812772 863220 915300 966633 1007673 1047196 1082539 1114785 1148572 1173983 1193354 1706698 1894179 2 108512 2371 340 2688915 3026543 3359755 3729162 4130947 4518369 4892218 200 789 221 538 246 910 277 308 314 107 355 870 402 902 457 958 521 816 596 962 673 524 1 505 909 1 672 641 1 861 602 2 094 033 2 374 809 2 670 674 2 956 853 3 271 204 3 609 131 3 921 407 4 218 694
Less developed regions, excluding China
1 149 774 1 282 503 1 447 772 1 638 248 1 854 045 2 094 087 2 355 588 2 653 225 2 969 565 3 292 439 3 61 1 159
Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA Eastern Africa ...................... .................. Middle Africa ........................................ Northern Africa ........................................ Southern Africa ....................................... Western Africa ........................................
179 956
200 707
225 790
255 825
292 004
335 017
386 979
448 051
517 253
592 126
670 317
224 068 64 986 26 332 53 302 15 624 63 823
250 253 72 872 28 902 59 797 17 529 71 153
281 659 82 487 32 184 67 381 19 773 79 834
318 937 94 360 36 102 76 075 22 572 89 827
363 535 l08 818 41 104 86 229 25 668 101 716
415 824 125 81 1 46 987 97 863 29 302 1 1 5 861
478 824 145 906 54 357 1 1 1 816 33 182 133 564
553 255 l69 622 62 926 128 585 37 720 154 402
635 685 197 630 72 913 144 498 42 161 l78 483
722 669 224 430 85 589 159 895 47 806 204 949
812 466 255 681 96 040 175 051 52 069 233 624
ASIA 1396254 1539784 1699137 1896875 2 140425 2395218 2630386 2887969 3 168616 3430323 3675799 Eastern Asia ........................................... 670 985 734 105 792 228 874 284 986 777 1 096 726 1 177 958 1 257 927 1 349 695 1 419 717 1 479 233 Southcentral Asia ................................... 496 092 549 611 616 999 693 602 780 020 876 102 978 034 1 096 754 1 225 578 1 356 969 1 484 624 South-eastern Asia .................................. 178 073 197 592 222 799 252 018 285 793 321 293 357 948 398 420 439 846 481 081 518 867 Western Asia .......................................... 51 104 58 477 67 1 1 1 76 970 87 835 101 097 1 1 6 446 134 867 153 498 172 556 193 075 EUROPE Eastern Europe ....................................... NorthemEurope ..................................... Southern Europe .................... ................ . Western Europe ......................................
547 405 220 199 77293 108 996 140 916
575 186 237 123 78835 1 13 588 145 640
604 406 253 475 80962 1 1 8 067 151 902
634 032 266 945 84128 122 979 159 981
655 862 276 419 86526 127 244 165 674
675 548 285 700 88211 132 472 169 165
692 435 294 976 89093 137 905 170 462
706 017 303 395 90201 140 566 171 855
721 390 310 854 91712 142 737 176 087
727 885 309 904 92901 144 1 03 180 977
728 463 304 636 94157 l46 081 183 589
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Caribbean ............................................... Central America ...................................... South America ......... ............. ..................
167 321 17 027 37 299 1 12 995
191 034 18 604 42 759 129 671
218 577 20 423 49 722 l48 432
250 774 22 655 58 023 170 096
285 196 24 832 67 897 192 467
322 449 27 121 79 155 216 173
362 210 29 215 90 719 242 276
402 992 31 564 101 559 269 870
443 747 33 823 1 1 2 798 297 l26
483 615 35 707 124 623 323 284
522 929 37 456 l36 039 349 434
NORTHERN AMERICA
171 615
186 882
204 149
219 567
231 931
243 417
255 545
269 015
283 361
299 028
314 968
12807 10127 2 289 1 48 242
14260 11337 2 483 164 276
15884 12648 2 735 184 317
17788 14153 3 056 21 1 368
19639 15548 3 426 242 423
21284 16708 3 865 267 445
22893 17751 4 363 301 477
24700 18916 4 923 353 507
26721 20284 5 475 418 543
28834 21598 6 184 469 581
30949 22890 6 935 505 619
OCEANIA Australia/NewZealand ............................ Melanesia ........................................ Micronesia ....... .......... ........................ ..... Polynesia ................................................
More developed regions comprise Europe. Northem America, AustralialNew Zealand and Japan.
+ Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asin (except Japan). Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesia and Polynesia.
# The least developed countries, as defined by the Unled Nations General Assembly in 2003, included 50 countries, of which 34 are in Africa, 10 in Asia, 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean, and 5 in Oceania.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.3. Total population at mid-year by major area and region (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Major area and region
W R E DEVELOPED REGIONS (') LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions, excluding China SubSaharan Africa AFRICA Eastern Africa ......................................... Middle Africa ........................................... Northern Africa ........................................ Southern Africa ....................................... Western Africa ........................................ ASIA Eastern Asia ........................................... Southcentral Asia ................................... South-eastem Asia .................................. Western Asia .......................................... EUROPE Eastern Europe ....................................... Northern Europe ...................................... Southern Europe ..................................... Western Europe ...................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Caribbean ............................................... Central America ...................................... South America ........................................ NORTHERN AMERICA OCEANIA AustralidNew Zealand ............................ Melanesia ............................................... Micronesia .............................................. Polynesia ................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
High variant
Table A.4. Total population at mid-year by major area and region: high variant, 2005-2050 Population (thousands)
Major area and region
2005 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS C) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions, excluding China
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
6464750 6903276 7382434 7873 172 8336867 8784155 9237907 970944610 l8473910646311 1211 265 1236012 1262834 1289550 1312272 5253484 5667265 6119600 6583622 7024595 759389 8S183 970119 1093369 1224160 4494095 4809081 5149481 5490253 5800434
1333175 7450980 1362935 6088044
1355347 7882561 1510525 6372036
1381 006 8328440 1666501 6661 939
1409776 8774963 1828505 6946458
1439850 9206461 1993676 7212786
3930140 4292547 4686135 5094950 5496051 5893663 6298166 6715087 7135374 7548087
SubSaharan Africa AFRICA Eastern Africa ......................................... Middle Africa ......................................... Northern Africa ......... ............................... Southern Africa ....................................... Western Africa ........................................
751 273
844 681
951 170 1 068 632 1 193 073 1 325 680 1 467 672 1 618 814 1 776 855 1 939 041
905936 1014194 1 136732 1270382 l410045 1557193 1713638 1879362 2051 804 2227675 287 707 325 684 369 284 417 499 468 593 523 178 581 923 644 701 710 473 777 989 109 641 125 806 144 879 167 029 191 301 217 786 246 405 276 963 309 045 342 l48 190 895 210 105 230 541 251 071 270 732 289 854 309 029 328 444 347 732 366 287 54 055 54 991 55 973 57 364 58 809 60 294 61 929 63 825 65 985 68 378 263 636 297 608 336 055 377 418 420 609 466 081 514 352 565 428 618 570 672 873
ASIA 3905415 4168227 4453009 4737350 4994396 5230880 5464680 5704887 5940910 6160528 Eastern Asia ........................................... 1 524 380 1 579 159 1 641 023 1 698 715 1 740 039 1 769 409 1 796 748 1 826 229 1 853 309 1 872 926 Southcentral Asia ...................................1 610 896 1 754 761 1 910 305 2 069 126 2 219 849 2 364 246 2 508 914 2 658 045 2 806 355 2 948 052 South-eastern Asia .................................. 555 815 596 673 638 686 680 127 718 901 755 610 791 290 826 439 860 462 892 526 Western Asia .......................................... 214 323 237 634 262 996 289 382 315 608 341 614 367 727 394 173 420 784 447 025 EUROPE Eastern Europe ....................................... NorthernEurope ...................................... Southern Europe ..................................... Western Europe .....................................
728 389 297 328 95792 149 389 185 879
732 049 293 241 97924 l52 081 l88 803
736 773 290 269 100577 154 013 191 914
741 277 286 987 103738 155 323 195 229
743 369 282 333 106897 155 949 198 l89
744 424 277 485 109774 l56 404 200 760
746 559 273 796 112481 157 124 203 157
751 058 271 591 115387 l58 238 205 843
757 434 270 126 118719 159 461 209 l28
764 242 268 578 122451 l60 382 212 832
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 561 346 Caribbean ............................................... 39 129 Central America .... .................................. 147 029 South America ........................................ 375 187
604 577
41 124 159 073 404 379
649 643 43 239 171 810 434 594
695 013 45 334 184 851 464 828
737 878 47 230 197 129 493 519
778 928 48 983 208 758 521 187
818 679 50 649 219 945 548 085
857 442 52 262 230 665 574 515
894 637 53 797 240 749 600 091
929 846 55 223 249 965 624 658
NORTHERN AMERICA
330 608
348 916
368 525
388 779
408 225
427 327
446 607
466 602
487 424
508 991
33 056 24 184 7661 556 656
35 313 25 584 8428
37 751 27 1 l6 9244 661 729
40371 28 760 10130 714 767
42 954 30 337 11050 765 801
45 403 31 796 11961 814 832
47 745 33 171 12853 862 858
50 095 34 566 13739 910 880
52 530 36 048 14627 957 898
55 029 37 604 15510 1 001 913
OCEANIA AustraliaJNew Zealand ............................ Melanesia ............................................... Micronesia ........................................ Polynesia ................................................
609
692
* More developed regions comprise Europe. NorthernAmerica, AustraliaINewZealand and Japan. + Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan). Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. # The least developed countries, as defined by the Unled Nations General Assembly in 2003, included 50 countries, of which 34 are in Africa, 10 in Asia, 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean, and 5 in Oceania.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.5. Total population at mid-year by major area and region: low variant, 2005-2050 Low variant Population (thousands)
Major area and region
2005 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (') LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+)
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
6464750 6781 431 7054584 7280148 7471 426 7618083 7712423 7753745 7741 810 7679714
Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries
1211 265 1215277 1210085 1198800 5 253 484 5 566 154 5 844 499 6 081 348 759389 844949 931868 1019517 4494095 4721 204 4912631 5061 831
Less developed regions, excluding China
3930140 4216021 4475488 4704963 4914304 5094568 5238800 5345691 5413510 5442474
Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA
Eastern Africa ......................................... Middle Africa ........................................ NorthernAfrica ........................................ Southern Africa ....................................... Western Africa ........................................
ASIA
915 714
1185003 6 286 423 1109526 5176896
1168279 6 449 804 1198987 5250817
1147542 6 564 881 1284532 5280349
1121 890 6 631 856 1363517 5268338
1091 378 6 650 432 1434476 5215956
1057485 6 622 229 1496542 5125687
751 273
832 395
999 198 1 084 421 1 169 376 1 251 383 1 328 074 1 397 994 1 460 338
905 936 287 707 109 641 190895 54 055 263 636
998 659 1 092 313 1 184 495 1 277 247 1 368 390 1 454 977 1 534 382 1 605 112 1 666 475 320 959 355 633 390 522 426 080 461 574 496 091 528 684 558 627 585 423 124 523 140 681 157 833 176 228 195 325 214 283 232 390 249 264 264 703 206179 219690 231047 241 133 249728 256432 260872 262976 262887 53 926 53 183 52 350 51 474 50 421 49 154 47 765 46 381 45 092 293 071 323 127 352 744 382 333 41 1 342 439 018 464 671 487 865 508 371
3905415 4092422 4249014 4369930 4461 882 4518542 4537392 4521 131 4470610 4387784 524 380 1 551 162 1 568 145 1 572 172 1 563 822 1 542 070 1 507 142 1 460 492 1 403 628 1 338 194 610 896 1 722 753 1 821 980 1 906 259 1 978 2'14 2 033 994 2 072 686 2 096 468 2 104 490 2 096 268 555 815 585 141 607 682 624 097 637 223 646 252 650 047 648 013 640 268 627 439 214 323 233 366 251 208 267 401 282 623 296 225 307 517 316 158 322 224 325 883
Eastern Asia ...........................................1 South-central Asia ................................... 1 South-eastern Asia .................................. Western Asia ........................................
EUROPE
728 389
719 473 287 584 96 365 149 487 186 036
705 302 276 231 96 497 147 699 184 874
688 271 264 006 96 455 144 863 182 947
670 554 251 706 96 446 141 647 180 755
651 734 239 122 96 198 138 213 178 202
631 212 226 176 95 509 134 499 175 028
608 439 212 825 94 317 130 272 171 025
583 337 199 090 92 691 125 341 166 21 5
556 608 185 224 90 822 1 19 726 160 836
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
561 346
592 949 40 372 155 882 396 696
618 519 41 255 163 234 414 029
638 791 41 795 169 296 427 700
655 199 42 096 174 229 438 874
666 549 42 110 177 691 446 748
671 815 41 767 179 451 450 598
671 086 41 063 179 376 450 647
664 628 40 025 177 525 447 078
652 858 38 697 173 956 440 205
NORTHERN AMERICA
330 608
343 208
353 283
361 215
367 887
373 182
376 593
377 841
377 1 1 1
375 046
33056 24 184 7 661 556 656
34720 25 161 8 282 598 680
36153 25 987 8 839 632 696
37446 26 721 9 359 660 706
38657 27 390 9 872 684 71 1
39686 27 942 10 328 703 712
40434 28 322 10 690 717 705
40866 28 509 10 944 724 690
41012 28 523 1 1 100 723 665
40942 28 420 1 1 173 716 633
Eastern Europe ....................................... 297 328 Northern Europe ...................................... 95 792 Southern Europe ..................................... 149 389 Western Europe .................................. 185 879 Caribbean ........................................ 39 129 Central America ...................................... 147 029 South America ........................................ 375 187
OCEANIA
AustralidNew Zealand ............................ Melanesia ........................................ Micronesia .............................................. Polynesia ................................................
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America. AustralialNew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesiaand Polynesia. # The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in 2003, included 50 countries, of which 34 are in Africa, 10 in Asia, 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean, and S in Oceania.
+
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table 116.Total population at mid-year by major area and region: constant-fertility variant, 2005-2050 Constant-fertility variant Population (thousands)
Major area and region
WORLD
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS C) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions, excluding China
6 464 750 6 881 529 7 337 041 7 819 287 8 321 838 8 855 299 9 439 779 10 092 723 10 827 058 11 657 999 1 21 1 265 1 224 603 1 233 679 1 238 658 5253484 5656926 6 103363 6580629 759 389 861 277 981 828 1 123 449 4494095 4795649 5121 534 5457180
1 239 736 7082 103 1 289 321 5792782
1 237 269 7618030 1 485 160 6132870
1 231 312 8208467 1 718 949 6489518
1 221 875 8870848 1 999 779 6871 070
1 209 441 1 195 081 961761810462918 2 337 641 2 744 221 7279977 7718696
3930140 4296462 4709568 5162727 5653051 6190224 6791582 7472888 8246807 9127596
Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA Eastern Africa ........................................ Middle Africa ...........................................
Northern Africa ........................................ Southern Africa ....................................... Western Africa ........................................
751 273
847 927
965 096 1 105 083 1 271 615 1 470 980 1 71 1 705 2 003 665 2 357 813 2 786 867
905 936 1 017 254 1 150 494 1 307 096 1 490 304 1 706 604 1 965 071 2 275 903 2 649 999 3 099 865 287 707 326 669 374 261 431 220 498 929 579 909 677 590 795 789 938 699 1 111 157 109 641 125 981 145 578 169 240 197 898 232 840 275 656 328 270 393 008 472 720 190 895 210 204 231 379 253 532 276 480 300 542 326 441 354 706 385 467 418 682 54 055 54 841 55 685 56 977 58 565 60 417 62 618 65 289 68 502 72 293 263 636 299 560 343 592 396 127 458 433 532 896 622 766 731 849 864 324 1 025 012
ASIA 3905415 4155360 4423623 4697473 4968027 5239168 5521769 5822867 6143947 6486638 Eastern Asia ........................................ 1 524 380 1 563 144 1 596 713 1 619 751 l 628 702 1 624 163 1 608 918 1 584 802 1 551 743 1 509 783 South-central Asia ...................................1 610 896 1 758 071 1 923 704 2 102 144 2 289 238 2 487 805 2 704 147 2 942 043 3 202 124 3 485 230 South-eastern Asia .................................. 555 815 596 154 638 31 1 680 980 722 922 764 299 806 024 848 510 891 801 935 766 Western Asia ........................................ 214 323 237 991 264 895 294 597 327 165 362 901 402 680 447 512 498 280 555 859 EUROPE Eastern Europe ....................................... Northern Europe ...................................... Southern Europe ..................................... Western Europe ..................................
728 389 297 328 95 792 149 389 185 879
724 853 289 987 97 116 150 507 187 242
718 161 281 774 98 380 150 138 187 869
708 533 272 21 1 99 586 148 767 187 969
696 429 261 658 100 600 146 654 187 517
682 363 250 556 101 279 144 064 186 465
666 333 238 966 101 596 141 043 184 729
648 140 226 727 101 624 137 485 182 303
627 920 213 881 101 455 133 274 179 309
606 244 200 728 101 162 128 417 175 936
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 561 346 Caribbean ........................................ 39 129 Central America ...................................... 147 029 South America ........................................ 375 187
602 791 40 962 159 220 402 609
645 743 42 890 172 262 430 591
689 409 4 4 822 185 873 458 714
733 059 46 708 199 658 486 693
776 835 48 573 213 668 514 595
820 948 50 457 228 065 542 426
865 584 52 41 1 242 959 570 213
910 788 54 464 258 378 597 947
956 650 56 629 274 327 625 695
NORTHERNAMERICA
330 608
346 111
361 658
377 102
391 975
405 921
418 879
431 014
442 615
454 054
33 056 24 184 7661 556 656
35 160 25 371 8486 609 694
37 362 26 530 9433 665 734
39 674 27 653 10518 725 778
42 044 28 693 11738 789 823
44 408 29 606 13074 859 869
46 778 30 375 14553 935 915
49 215 31 020 16214 1019 963
51 788 31 574 18089 1113 1 012
54 548 32 065 20199 1218 1 066
OCEANIA AustraliaINew Zealand ............................ Melanesia ........................................ Micronesia ........................................ Polynesia ................................................
More developed r e g h s comprise Europe, Northern America, AustraliaINewZealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa,Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. # The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in 2003,included 50 countries, of w h ' i 34 are in Africa, 10 in Asia, 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean, and 5 in Oceania.
+
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
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Table A.7. Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area and region
Annual rate of change (per cent)
WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (*) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA Eastern Africa ......................................... Middle Africa ........................................... Northern Africa ........................................ Southern Africa ....................................... Western Africa ........................................ ASIA Eastern Asia ........................................... South-central Asia ................................... South-eastern Asia .................................. Western Asia .......................................... EUROPE Eastern Europe ....................................... Northern Europe ...................................... Southern Europe ..................................... Western Europe ......................................
LATIN AULERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Caribbean ............................................... Central America ...................................... South America ........................................ NORTHERN AMERICA OCEANIA AustraliaJNewZealand ............................ Melanesia ............................................... Micronesia .............................................. Polynesia ................................................
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, AustraliaNew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. # The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in 2003, included 50 countries, of which 34 are in Africa, 10 in Asia, 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean, and 5 in Oceania.
+
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.7. Average annual rate of population change by major area and region (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Annual rate of change (per cent) Major area and region
2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (') LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA Eastern Africa ......................................... Middle Africa ........................................... Northern Africa ........................................ Southern Africa ....................................... Western Africa ........................................ ASIA Eastern Asia ........................................... South-central Asia ................................... South-eastern Asia .................................. Western Asia .......................................... EUROPE Eastern Europe ....................................... Northern Europe ...................................... Southern Europe ..................................... Western Europe ...................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Caribbean ............................................... Central America ...................................... South America ........................................ NORTHERN AMERiCA OCEANIA AustraliaINew Zealand ............................ Melanesia ............................................... Micronesia .............................................. Polynesia ................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
High variant
Table A.8. Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: high variant, 2005-2050
Major area and region
Annual rate of change (per cent)
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (') LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions, excluding China
Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA
Eastern Africa ......................................... Middle Africa ........................................... Northern Africa ........................................ Southern Africa ....................................... Western Africa ........................................
ASIA
Eastern Asia ........................................... South-central Asia ................................... South-eastern Asia ................................. Western Asia ..........................................
EUROPE
Eastern Europe ....................................... Northern Europe ..................................... Southern Europe ..................................... Western Europe ......................................
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Caribbean ............................................... Central America ...................................... South America ........................................
NORTHERN AMERICA OCEANIA
AustraliaINew Zealand ............................ Melanesia ............................................... Micronesia .............................................. Polynesia ................................................
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. # The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in 2003, included 50 countries, of which 34 are in Africa, 10 in Asia, 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean, and 5 in Oceania.
+
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.9. Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: low variant, 2005-2050 Low variant -
Major area and region
Annual rate of change (per cent) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS C ) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions, excluding China
Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA Eastern Africa ......................................... Middle Africa ........................................... Northern Africa ........................................ Southern Africa ....................................... Western Africa ........................................ ASIA Eastern Asia ........................................... South-central Asia ................................... South-eastern Asia .................................. Western Asia .......................................... EUROPE Eastern Europe ....................................... Northern Europe ...................................... Southern Europe ..................................... Western Europe ...................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Caribbean ............................................... Central America ...................................... South America ........................................ NORTHERN AMERICA OCEANIA AustraliaJNew Zealand ............................ Melanesia ............................................... Micronesia .............................................. Polynesia ................................................
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, AustraliaINew Zealand and Japan.
+ Less develaped regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesia and Polynesia. #
The least developed countries, as defined by the Unled Nations General Assembly in 2003, included 50 countries, of which 34 are in Africa, 10 in Asia, 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean, and 5 in Oceania.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A10. Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: constant-fertility variant, 2005-2050 Constant-fertilityvariant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area and region
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 WORLD W R E DEVELOPED REGIONS (.) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA Eastern Africa ......................................... Middle Africa ........................................... Northern Africa ........................................ Southern Africa ....................................... Western Africa ........................................ ASIA Eastern Asia ........................................... Southcentral Asia ................................... South-eastern Asia .................................. Western Asia .......................................... EUROPE Eastern Europe ....................................... Northern Europe ...................................... Southern Europe ..................................... Western Europe ...................................... LATIN AllMRlCA AND THE CARIBBEAN Caribbean ............................................... Central America ...................................... South America ........................................ NORTHERN AKRICA OCEANIA AustralidNew Zealand ............................ Melanesia ............................................... Micronesia .............................................. Polynesia ................................................
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, AustraliaINew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Lath America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesiaand Polynesia. # The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in 2003, included 50 countries, of which 34 are in Africa, 10 in Asia, 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean, and 5 in Oceania.
+
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
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Estimates: 1950-2005
Table A.ll. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country: estimates and medium variant. 1950-2050 Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 1950 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS C) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions. excluding China
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2519470 2757399 3023812 3337974 3696588 4073740 4442295 4843947 5279519 5692353 6085572 812772 863220 915300 966633 1007673 1047196 1082539 1114785 1148572 1173983 1193354 1706698 1894179 2 108512 2371 340 2688915 3026543 3359755 3729162 4130947 4518369 4892218 200 789 221 538 246 910 277 308 314 107 355 870 402 902 457 958 521 816 596 962 673 524 1505909 1672641 1861602 2094033 2374809 2670674 2956853 3271204 3609131 3921407 4218694 1 149774 1282503
Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA Burundi ................................................. Comoros (1).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2)......................................... Mozambique ......................................... R6union ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United RBpublic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C6te d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population ~ r o s ~ e c t The s : 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.ll. Total population at midyear by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
6464750 6842923 7219431 7577889 7905239 8199104 8463265 8701319 8907417 9075903
WORLD
1 236 200 7 839 702 1 735 368 6 104 334
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (*) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries
3 930 140 4 254 820 4 581 633 4 900 947 5 205 974 5 492 853 5 761 032 6 01 1 289 6 238 434 6 437 641
Less developed regions, excluding China
1 21 1 265 1 225 678 1 236 561 5 253 484 5 617 246 5 982 871 759 389 852 025 951 610 4 494 095 4 765 221 5 031 261
751 273
839 012
1 244 413 6 333 475 1 057 086 5 276 389
1 248 954 6 656 285 1 167 461 5 488 825
1 250 658 6 948 446 1 281 335 5 667 1 1 1
1 249 903 7 213 362 1 397 057 5 816 304
1 247 071 7 454 248 1 512 643 5 941 605
1 242 398 7 665 019 1 626 025 6 038 994
934 263 1 034 722 1 139 564 1 248 262 1 359 719 1 472 1 1 9 1 583 371 1 691 763
905 936 1 006 905 1 115 358 1 228 276 1 344 491 1 463 493 1 584 258 1 704 870 1 823 062 1 936 952
Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA Burundi ................................................. Comoros (1).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2).......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara ....................................
54055 1 765 1 795 2 031 47 432 1032
54459 1 729 1 768 2 132 47 819 1010
54578 1 690 1 744 2 248 47 902 992
54 857 1 671 1 718 2 384 48 100 983
55 136 1 655 1 690 2 519 48 297 975
55 323 1 642 1 663 2 641 48 405 973
55 425 1 633 1 639 2 747 48 430 976
55 531 1 631 1 620 2 849 48 445 985
55 710 1 639 1 608 2 953 48 507 1 003
56 004 1 658 1 601 3 060 48 660 1 026
SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... CBte d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.ll. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country Mauritania ............................................. Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Saint Helena (3).................................... Senegal ................................................ SierraLeone ........................................ Togo ..................................................... ASIA
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
825 2612 32 769 5 2 750 1944 1329
900 3019 36 520 5 3 092 2085 1439
1001 3446 40 866 5 3 506 2256 1572
1122 3969 45 935 5 3 989 2458 1719
1262 4587 51 857 5 4 574 2697 2138
1423 5325 58 950 5 5 262 2945 2446
1609 6205 68 447 5 5 959 3236 2784
1812 7245 78 435 6 6 870 3580 3355
2030 8472 90 557 5 7 977 4078 3961
2300 9929 103 914 5 9 120 4137 4512
2645 11782 1 17 608 5 10 343 4509 5364
1396254 1539784 1699137 1896875 2 140425 2395218 2630386 2887969 3168616 3430323 3675799
EASTERN ASlA China (4).............................................. China. Hong Kong SAR (5).................... China. Macao SAR (6).......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan .................... .... .............. Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Met Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................ lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.ll. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
Mauritania ............................................. Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Saint Helena (3) .................................... Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (4) ............................................... China, Hong Kong SAR (5) .................... China, Macao SAR (6) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanrnar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Wet Nam .............................. .............
. .
WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A . l l . Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE Channel Islands (7)............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (8)............................................ Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (9)............................................ Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERNEUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Gibraltar ................................................ Greece ................................................. Holy See (10)........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (11)........................... WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Liechtenstein ........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................. Antigua and Barbuda ............................. Aruba .................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin Islands .............................. Cayman Islands .................................... Cuba ....................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.11. f otal population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Major area, region and country 2035
2040
2045
2050 EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine .................................................
NORTHERN EUROPE Channel lslands (7)............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe lslands ...................................... Finland (8)............................................ Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (9)............................................ Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Gibraltar ................................................ Greece ................................................. Holy See (10)........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (11)...........................
WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Liechtenstein ........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................. Antigua and Barbuda ............................. Aruba .................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin Islands .............................. Cayman lslands .................................... Cuba ....................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.ll. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Meico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda ............................................... Canada ................................................. Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre et Miquelon ........................ United States of America .......................
AUSTRALIAJNEW ZEALAND Australia (12) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshall Islands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ...................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A . l l . Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Major area, region and country 2035
2040
2045
2050 Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint K i s and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos lslands ...................... United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland lslands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ..................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda ............................................... Canada ................................................. Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre et Miquelon ........................ United States of America .......................
AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Australia (12) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon lslands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshall Islands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ...................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.ll. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area, region and country
Population (thousands) 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Northern Mariana Islands ...................... Palau .................................................... POLYNESIA American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcairn ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................. Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu ................................................... Wallis and Futuna Islands .....................
+ #
1 2 3 4
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, AustralidNew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General h e m b l y in 2003, included 50 countries, of which 34 are in Africa, 10 in Asia, 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean, and 5 in Oceania. Including the island of Mayotte. lncluding Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. Including Ascension and Tristan da Cunha. For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsfPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.ll. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
81 20
91 21
98 21
104 22
110 22
116 22
120 22
124 22
128 22
130 21
Northern Mariana Islands ...................... Palau ....................................................
POLYNESIA
American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcairn ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................. Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu .................................................. Wallis and Futuna lslands .....................
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. lncluding the islands of Guernsey and Jersey. lncluding hand Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. Refers to the Vatican C ity State. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
United Nations D e p a r t m e n t of Economic and Social A f f a i r d P o p u l a t i o n Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
High variant
Table A.12. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country: high variant. 2005-2050 Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country
2005 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (') LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions. excluding China
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
6464750 6903276 7382434 7873172 8336867 8784155 9237907 97094461018473910646311 1211 265 1236012 1262834 1289550 5253484 5667265 6119600 6583622 759 389 858 183 970 1 19 1 093 369 4494095 4809081 5149481 5490253
1312272 7024595 1 224 160 5800434
1333175 7450980 1 362 935 6088044
1355347 7882561 1 510 525 6372036
1381 006 8328440 1 666 501 6661 939
1409776 8774963 1 828 505 6946458
1439850 9206461 1 993 676 7212786
3930140 4292547 4686135 5094950 5496051 5893663 6298166 6715087 7135374 7548087
Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA Burundi ................................................. Comoros (1).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2)......................................... Mozambique ......................................... R6union ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C6te d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: comprehensive Tables
Table A.12. Total population at midyear by major area. region and country (continued) High variant Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Mauritania ............................................. 3 069 Niger ..................................................... 13 957 Nigeria .................................................. 131 530 Saint Helena (3).................................... 5 Senegal ................................................ 11 658 Sierra Leone ........................................ 5 525 Togo ..................................................... 6145
3 566 16 601 147 096 5 13 192 6 137 7033
4 093 19 833 164 029 6 14 851 6 967 8010
4 647 23 419 181 729 6 16 571 7 914 9048
5 230 27 590 199 457 6 18 274 8 957 10111
5 847 32 398 217 491 7 19 994 10 093 11208
6 503 37 810 236 254 7 21 764 1 1 317 12338
7 198 43 703 255 938 7 23 555 12 620 13488
7 915 49 922 276 289 7 25 312 13 991 14633
8 640 56 402 296 848 8 26 981 15 423 15751
ASIA
3905415 4168227 4453009 4737350 4994396 5230880 5464680 5704887 5940910 6 160528
EASTERN ASIA 1 China (4)........................................ 1 China. HongKongSAR(5) .................... China. Macao SAR (6).......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ........................................ RepublicofKorea .................................
524 380 1 579 159 1 641 023 1 698 715 1 740 039 1 769 409 1 796 748 1 826 229 1 853 309 1 872 926 315 844 1 366 745 1 425 006 1 479 739 1 519 180 1 547 562 1 574 273 1 602 869 1 628 749 1 647 189 7041 7491 7953 9893 10242 10578 8401 8809 9183 9540 460 481 506 532 555 571 582 591 599 607 26 813 27 405 28 079 28 800 22 488 23 109 23 834 24 696 25 536 26 230 128 085 129 462 130 419 130 734 130 340 129 628 129 009 128 780 128 870 129 013 3 844 4 021 4 185 2 646 2 843 3 070 3 282 3 475 3 660 4 330 47817 49027 50236 51332 52145 52574 52687 52671 52586 52409
SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA 1 610 896 Afghanistan ........................................ 29 863 Bangladesh ........................................... 141 822 Bhutan .................................................. 2 163 India ..................................................... 1 103 371 Iran (Islamic Republic 09 ....................... 69 515 Kazakhstan ........................................... 14 825 Kyrgyzstan ............................................ 5 264 Maldives ............................................... 329 Nepal .................................................... 27 133 Pakistan ............................................... 157 935 Sri Lanka ........................................ 20 743 Tajikistan ........................................ 6 507 Turkmenistan ........................................ 4 833 Uzbekistan ........................................ 26 593 SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait ................................................ Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Temtory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.12. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country (continued) High variant Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
1 1 269
1 1 478
1 1 684
1 1 856
1 1 946
1 1 970
1 1 948
1 1 888
1 1 787
1 1 638
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE Channel Islands (7)............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands .................................... Finland (8)............................................ Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Noway (9)............................................ Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERNEUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia ................................................. Gibraltar ............................................... Greece ................................................. Holy See (10)........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (1 l)........................... WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Liechtenstein........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................. Antigua and Barbuda ............................. Aruba .................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin Islands .............................. Cayman Islands .................................... Cuba ....................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table 8.12. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country (continued) High variant Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
NORTHERN AMERICA 330 608 Bermuda ............................................... 64 Canada ................................................. 32 268 Greenland ............................................. 57 Saint Pierre et Miquelon ........................ 6 United States of America ....................... 298 213
348 916 65 33 956 58 6 314 831
368 525 67 35 783 60 7 332 609
388 779 68 37 756 62 7 350 886
408225 69 39 687 63 7 368 398
Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela .............................................
AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Australia (12) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshal1Islands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ...................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Table A.12. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued) High variant Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Northem Mariana Islands ...................... Palau .................................................... POLYNESIA American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcaim ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................. Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu ................................................... Wallis and Futuna Islands .....................
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America. AustraliaMew Zealand and Jepan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), LaUn America and the -bean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. # The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in 2003, included 50 countries, of which 34 are in Africa, 10 in Asie, 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean, and 5 in Oceania. 1 lncluding the island of Mayotte. 2 lncluding Agalega, Rodrigues, and Salnt Brandon. 3 lncluding Ascension and Trlstan da Cunha. 4 For statistical purposes, the data for China do n d indude Hmg Kmg and Macao. Special Administrative R e g i i s (SAR) of China 5 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administratiw Region (SAR) of China. 6 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special AdministrativeRegion (SAR) of Chlna. 7 lncluding the islands of Guernsey and Jersey. 8 lncluding Aand Islands. 9 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. 10 Refers to the Vatican City State. 11 The former Yugoslav Republic of Mecedonie. 12 lnduding Christmas Island, Cows (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
+
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
This page intentionally left blank
Table A.13. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country: low variant. 2005-2050 Low variant Population (thousands) Major area. region and country
WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (") LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions. excluding China
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
6464750 6781 431 7054584 7280148 7471 426 7618083 7712423 7753745 7741 810 7679714 1211 265 1215277 1210085 1198800 5253484 5566154 5844499 6081348 759 389 844 949 931 868 1 019 517 4494095 4721 204 4912631 5061 831
1185003 6286423 1 109 526 5176896
1168279 6449804 1 198 987 5250817
1147542 6564881 1 284 532 5280349
1121 890 6631856 1 363 517 5268338
1091 378 6650432 1 434 476 5215956
1057485 6622229 1 496 542 5125687
3930140 4216021 4475488 4704963 4914304 5094568 5238800 5345691 5413510 5442474
Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA
751 273
832 395
915 714
999 198 1 084 421 1 169 376 1 251 383 1 328 074 1 397 994 1 460 338
905936
998659 1092313 1184495 1277247 1368390 1454977 1534382 1605112 1666475
EASTERN AFRICA Burundi ................................................. Comoros (1).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2)......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Rhnion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa ........................................ Swaziland ........................................
54 055 1 765 1 795 2 031 47 432 1 032
53 926 1 712 1 750 2 113 47 349 1 001
53 183 1 644 1 698 2 195 46 679 967
52 350 1 588 1 635 2 280 45 911 936
51 474 1 533 1 570 2 359 45 105 906
50 421 1 479 1 505 2 421 44 136 881
49 154 1 424 1 438 2 462 42 973 857
47 765 1 371 1 372 2 488 41 697 837
46 381 1 327 1 31 1 2 507 40 415 821
45 092 1 293 1 255 2 522 39 21 1 811
WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C6te d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.13. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country: low variant. 2005-2050 Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country
Mauritania ............................................. Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Saint Helena (3).................................... Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ........................................ Togo ..................................................... ASIA
Low variant
2005
2010
3 069 13 957 131 530 5 1 1 658 5 525 6 145
3 475 16 322 144 885 5 12 972 6 091 6 920
2015
2020
2025
3905415 4092422
EASTERN ASIA 1 524 380 China (4)........................................ 1 315 844 China. Hong Kong SAR (5).................... 7 041 China. Macao SAR (6).......................... 460 Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... 22 488 Japan ................................................... 128 085 Mongolia ........................................ 2 646 Republic of Korea .................................. 47 817 SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................ lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Low variant
Table A.13. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country: low variant. 2005-2050 Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE Channel Islands (7) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (8) ............................................ Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (9) ............................................ Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Gibraltar ................................................ Greece ................................................. Holy See (10)........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (11)........................... WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Liechtenstein........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................. Antigua and Barbuda ............................. Aruba .................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin Islands .............................. Cayrnan lslands .................................... Cuba ....................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.13. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country: low variant. 2005-2050 Low variant Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin lslands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda ............................................... Canada ................................................. Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre et Miquelon ........................ United States of America ....................... OCEANIA AUSTRALlAlNEW ZEALAND Australia (12) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshall Islands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ...................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Low variant
Table 1113. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country: low variant, 2005-2050 Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Northern Mariana Islands ...................... Palau ....................................................
POLYNESIA
American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcairn ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................. Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu .................................................. Wallis and Futuna Islands .....................
+
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northem America, AustraliatNew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa,Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesia and Pd)
# The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in 2003, included 50 countries, of which 34 are in Africa, 10 in 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean, and 5 in Oceania.
1 lncluding the island of Mayotte. lncluding Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. lncluding Ascension and Tristan da Cunha. For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao. Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China. As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. lncluding the islands of Guernsey and Jersey. lncluding hand Islands. 9 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. ity State. 10 Refers to the Vatican C 11 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 12 lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island. 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
This page intentionally left blank
Table A.14. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country: constant-fertility variant. 2005-2050 Constant-fertility variant Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country
2005 WORLD AllORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (*) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions. excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
6464750 6881 529 7337041 7819287 8321 838 8855299 9439779100927231082705811 657999 1 21 1 265 1 224 603 1 233 679 1 238 658 5253484 5656926 6 103363 6580629 759 389 861 277 981 828 1 123 449 4494095 4795649 5121 534 5457180
1 239 736 7082 103 1 289 321 5792782
1 237 269 7618030 1 485 160 6132870
1 231 312 8208467 1 718 949 6489518
1 221 875 8870848 1 999 779 6871 070
1 209 441 1 195 081 961761810462918 2 337 641 2 744 221 7279977 7718696
3930140 4296462 4709568 5162727 5653051 6190224 6791582 7472888 8246807 9127596 751 273
847 927
965 096 1 105 083 1 271 615 1 470 980 1 71 1 705 2 003 665 2 357 813 2 786 867
905936 1017254 1150494 1307096 1490304 1706604 1965071 2275903 2649999 3099865
EASTERN AFRICA Burundi ................................................. Comoros (1).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2).......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Reunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana ........................................ Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland .............................................
54 055
1 765 1 795 2031 47 432 1 032
54 841 1 747 1 789 2166 48 113 1 025
55 685 1 739 1 802 2349 48 761 1 033
56 977 1 761 1 827 2583 49 747 1 059
58 565 1 796 1 862 2846 50 964 1 096
60 417 1 850 1 915 3132 52 371 1 149
62 618 1 924 1 992 3449 54 030 1 223
65 289 2 022 2 095 3821 56 030 1 321
68 502 2 147 2 227 4260 58 423 1 445
72 293 2 303 2 388 4769 61 239 1 595
WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... C618 d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.14. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country (continued) Constant-fertility variant Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Mauritania ........................................ 3 069 Niger ..................................................... 13 957 Nigeria .................................................. 131 530 Saint Helena (3).................................... 5 Senegal ................................................ 1 1 658 Sierra Leone ........................................ 5 525 Togo .................................................... 6145
3 575 16 606 148 281 5 13 310 6 152 7089
4 160 19 854 168 632 6 15 279 6 984 8233
4 848 23 875 192 888 6 17 549 7 977 9584
5 668 28 885 221 528 6 20 125 9 173 11164
6 657 35 160 255 554 6 23 096 10 616 13022
7 854 43 054 296 401 7 26 597 12 361 15226
9 304 53 018 345 795 7 30 741 14 480 17854
11 050 65 630 405 568 7 35 625 17 060 20984
13 149 81 627 477 718 7 41 357 20 213 24703
ASIA
3905415 4155360 4423623 4697473 4968027 5239168 5521 769 5822867 6143947 6486638
EASTERN ASlA China (4)............................................... China. Hong Kong SAR (5).................... China. Macao SAR (6).......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA 1 Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................ Bhutan .................................................. India .................................................... 1 Iran (Islamic Republic 09 ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................ Kyrgyzstan ........................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ......................................... Sri Lanka ........................................ Tajikistan ........................................ Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ........................................
610 896 29 863 141 822 2 163 103 371 69 515 14 825 5 264 329 27 133 157 935 20 743 6 507 4 833 26 593
SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Wet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. Iraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.14. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country (continued) Constant-fertility variant Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
728 389
724 853
718 161
708 533
696 429
682 363
666 333
648 140
627 920
606 244
EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgarla ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine .................................................
297 328 9 755 7 726 10 220 10 098 38 530 4 206 21 711 143 202 5 401 46 481
289 987 9 492 7 446 10 138 9 965 38 391 4 165 21 289 139 609 5 402 44 090
281 774 9 216 7 143 9 998 9 796 38 107 4 111 20 840 135487 5 380 41 696
272 211 8 894 6 814 9 795 9 590 37 568 4 027 20 278 130 708 5 324 39 213
261 658 8 534 6 468 9 532 9 349 36 743 3 908 19 625 125 635 5 227 36 638
250 556 8 157 6 114 9 210 9 070 35 659 3 766 18 918 120 509 5 091 34 060
238 966 7 768 5 754 8 842 8 758 34 390 3 607 18 159 115 270 4 925 31 494
226 727 7 355 5 386 8 440 8 422 32 966 3 430 17 329 109 761 4 732 28 905
213 881 6 916 5 014 8 015 8 067 31 411 3 236 16 428 103 999 4 515 26 279
200 728 6460 4640 7571 7698 29 754 3028 15 474 98 169 4278 23 657
NORTHERN EUROPE Channel Islands (7) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (8) ............................................ Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (9) ............................................ Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .....................................
95 792 149 5 431 1330 47 5 249 295 4 148 77 2 307 3 431 4 620 9 041 59 668
97 116 152 5 499 1 306 49 5 308 308 4 420 76 2 246 3 361 4 729 9 145 60 518
98 380 154 5 550 1 282 50 5 355 320 4 680 76 2 183 3 288 4 834 9 251 61 358
99 586 156 5 598 1 252 52
100 600 158 5 649 1217 54
5388
5400 345 5 115 74 2 023 3 095 5 055 9 458 62 956
101 596 159 5 713 1137 58 5 347 364 5 471 71 1834 2836 5 224 9 520 63 861
101 624 159 5 714 1 094 59 5 290 372 5 632 70 1 736 2 693 5 273 9 505 64 028
101 455 158 5 703 1048 61 5 226 378 5 772 68 1634 2 539 5 308 9 482 64 077
101 162 157 5694 1000 63 5164
333 4 912 75 2 109 3 201 4 944 9 363 62 201
101 279 159 5 692 1178 56 5 386 355 5 299 73 1930 2 971 5 152 9 511 63 518
SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Gibraltar ................................................ Greece ................................................. Holy See (10) ........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (11) ...........................
149 389 3 130 67 3 907 4 551 28 11 120 1 58 093 402 10 495 28 10 503 1 967 43 064 2 034
150 507 3 229 68 3 937 4 532 28 11 203 1 57 987 411 10 710 29 10 506 1 959 43 856 2 053
150 138 3 361 67 3 892 4 443 28 11 209 1 57 409 418 10 805 30 10 466 1 939 44 005 2 063
148 767 3 491 66 3 814 4 336 28 11 146 1 56 474 424 10 840 10 379 1906 43 773 2 060
146 654 3 599 65 3 707 4 212 28 11 036 1 55 313 426 10 808 30 10 249 1 861 43 278 2 041
144 064 3 680 64 3 581 4 072 27 10 898 1 53 994 425 10 743 30 10 088 1 807 42 647 2 009
141 043 3 747 62 3 438 3 916 27 10 730 1 52 501 421 10 640 30 9 899 1744 41 922 1 968
137 485 3 808 59 3 285 3 747 26 10 520 1 50 787 415 10 491 29 9 685 1 673 41 040 1919
133 274 3 866 56 3 123 3 570 26 10 260 1 48 833 408 10 290 29 9 446 1 595 39 910 1 861
128 417 3917 53 2952 3386 25 9952 1 46 666 401 10 046 28 9184 1512 38 499 1795
WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. BeIgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Liechtenstein ........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ...........................................
185 879 8 189 10 419 60 496 82 689 35 465 35 16 299 7 252
187 242 8 244 10 472 61 490 82 638 36 494 37 16 529 7 302
187 869 8 270 10 492 62 278 82 218 37 522 40 16 684 7 330
187 969 8 268 10 490 62 879 81 553 39 550 42 16 805 7343
187 517 8 234 10 462 63 333 80 601 40 578 44 16 891 7 333
186 465 8 160 10 401 63 659 79 349 606 46 16 916 7 288
184 729 8 045 10 298 63 800 77 815 41 632 49 16 849 7 200
182 303 7 895 10 150 63 707 76 047 41 656 51 16 677 7 079
179 309 7 713 9 969 63 406 74 086 41 679 53 16 427 6 935
175 936 7503 9768 62 977 71 961 41 699 55 16 149 6783
561 346
602 791
645 743
689 409
733 059
776 835
820 948
865 584
910 788
956 650
39 129 12 81 99 323 270 22 45 11 269
40 962 13 87 104 346 273 23 48 11 371
42 890 14 92 107 370 275 25 51 11 414
44 822 15 98 110 393 276 26 52 11 388
46 708 16 103 113 417 276 27 54 11 278
48 573 17 108 115 440 273 29 55 11 078
50 457 17 112 117 462 267 30 56 10 790
52 411 18 117 118 484 260
54 464 19 121 119 505 250 31 55 9 964
56 629 19 124 119 526 239 32 54 9 435
EUROPE
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................. Antigua and Barbuda ............................. Aruba .................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Bart>ados .............................................. British Virgin Islands .............................. Cayman Islands .................................... Cuba ....................................................
508
30
40
30 56 10 416
384 5882 66 1527 2377 5339 9459 64 051
United Nations Departmentof Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.14. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country (continued) Constant-fertility variant Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland lslands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ..................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda ............................................... Canada ................................................. Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre et Miquelon ........................ United States of America .......................
AUSTRALIAiNEW ZEALAND Australia (12) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshall Islands .................................... Micronesia(Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ...................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Table A.14. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued) Constant-fertility variant Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
Northern Mariana Islands ...................... Palau ....................................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
81 20
91
21
98 21
106 22
112 22
118 22
124 22
129 22
133 22
1 37 21
POLYNESIA American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcaim ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................. Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu ................................................... Wallis and Futuna Islands .....................
More developed regionscomprise Europe. Northern America, AustraliaMew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. # The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in 2003, included 50 countries, of which 34 are in Africa, 10 in Asia, 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean. and 5 in Oceania. 1 lncluding the island of Mayotte. 2 lncluding Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. 3 lncluding Ascension and Tristan da Cunha. 4 For statistical purposes, the data fw China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China. 5 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong becarne a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. 6 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. 7 lncluding the islands of Guernsey and Jersey. 8 Including Aland Islands. 9 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. 10 Refers to the Vatican Ci State. 11 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 12 Including Christmas Island. Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
+
United Nations D e p a r t m e n t o f Economic and Social A f f a i r d P o p u l a t i o n Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
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Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country: estimates and medium variant. 1950-2050 Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
Annual rate of change (per cent) 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-20002000-2005
WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (') LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions. excluding China Sub-Saharan Afrlca AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA Burundi ................................................. Comoros (1).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2).......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Reunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Westem Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C6te d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population ~ r o s ~ e c ' tThe s : 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country 2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (') LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries
Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA B u ~ n d................................................. i Comoros (1).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2).......................................... Mozambique ......................................... R6union ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C6te d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 195012005 P
p -
Major area, region and country
-
P
Annual rate of change (per cent)
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 IWO-l995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Mauritania ............................................. Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Saint Helena (3) .................................... Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (4) ............................................... China. Hong Kong SAR (5) .................... China. Macao SAR (6) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic 09 ........................ Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldiies ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Mauritania ............................................. Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Saint Helena (3) .................................... Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (4) ............................................... China, Hong Kong SAR (5) .................... China, Macao SAR (6) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic 09 ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territoty ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
Annual rate of change (per cent) 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERNEUROPE Channel Islands (7) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (8) ............................................ Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (9) ............................................ Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERNEUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia ................................................. Gibraltar ................................................ Greece ................................................. Holy See (10) ........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (11) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Liechtenstein ........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................. Antigua and Barbuda ............................. Aruba .................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin Islands .............................. Cayman Islands .................................... Cuba ....................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-20352035-20402040-2045 2045-2050 EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE Channel lslands (7)............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe lslands ...................................... Finland (8)............................................ Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (9)............................................ Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Gibraltar ................................................ Greece ................................................. Holy See (10)........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (11)........................... WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Liechtenstein ........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................. Antigua and Barbuda ............................. Aruba .................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin Islands .............................. Cayman lslands .................................... Cuba ....................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 p p
P
P
.
P p
. . . P
P
P
. P
P
p
p
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-19751975-19801980-1985l985-199O 1990-1995 1995-20002000-2005 Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mehco .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. NOR1HERN AMERICA Bermuda ............................................... Canada ................................................. Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre et Miquelon ........................ United States of America .......................
AUSTRALIA!NEW ZEALAND Australia (12) ........................... . ......... New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MCRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshall Islands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States 09 ................... Nauru ...................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 201 5-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland lslands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda ............................................... Canada ................................................. Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre et Miquelon ........................ United States of America .......................
AUSTRALIAJNEW ZEALAND Australia (12) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon lslands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshall lslands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ...................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-20002000-2005 Northern Mariana Islands ...................... Palau ....................................................
2.67 2.45
4.46 2.82
1 .g1 1.72
3.34 1.28
2.87 1.34
2.29 0.35
8.05 2.60
11.35 1.79
5.06 2.64
3.99 2.07
2.95 0.67
POLYNESIA
American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcairn ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................ Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu ................................................... Wallis and Futuna Islands .....................
+ #
1 2 3 4
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, AustraliaINew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in 2003, included 50 countries, of which 34 are in Africa, 10 in Asia, 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean, and 5 in Oceania. Including the island of Mayotte. Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. Including Ascension and Tristan da Cunha. For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 201 5-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-2045 2045-2050 Northern Mariana Islands ...................... Palau .................................................... POLYNESIA American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcairn ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................. Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu ................................................... Wallis and Futuna Islands .....................
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
As of 1July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
lncluding the islands of Guernsey and Jersey. lncluding hand Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. Refers to the Vatican C i State. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.16. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country: high variant. 2005-2050 High variant ~
~~
~~~
Annual rate of change (per cent) Major area. region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
1.31
1.34
1.29
1.15
1.05
1.01
1.00
0.96
0.89
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS C) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries
0.40 1.52 2.45 1.36
0.43 1.54 2.45 1.37
0.42 1.46 2.39 1.28
0.35 1.30 2.26 1.10
0.32 1.18 2.15 0.97
0.33 1.13 2.06 0.91
0.38 1.10 1.97 0.89
0.41 1.05 1.86 0.84
0.42 0.96 1.73 0.75
Less developed regions. excluding China
1.76
1.76
1.67
1.52
1.40
1.33
1.28
1.21
1.13
Sub-Saharan Africa
2.34
2.38
2.33
2.20
2.1 1
2.04
1.96
1.86
1.75
2.26
2.28
2.22
2.09
1.99
1.92
1.85
1.76
1.65
EASTERN AFRICA Burundi ................................................. Comoros (I) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2) .......................................... Mozambique ......................................... R6union ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe .............................................
2.48 3.74 2.75 1.77 3.18 2.48 2.74 2.72 2.30 1.04 1.92 1.48 2.43 1.07 3.20 3.64 1.92 1.79 0.77
2.51 3.19 2.57 1.82 2.81 2.44 2.78 2.62 2.41 0.98 1.92 1.39 2.37 1.15 2.89 3.97 1.98 1.98 0.87
2.45 3.16 2.38 2.06 2.65 2.33 2.58 2.50 2.44 0.92 1.93 1.30 2.14 1.13 2.59 4.03 1.87 2.05 0.84
2.31 2.88 2.20 2.03 2.46 2.16 2.36 2.33 2.34 0.79 1.85 1.16 1.87 0.95 2.46 3.85 1.71 I92 0.77
2.20 2.79 2.08 1.92 2.31 2.00 2.25 2.19 2.20 0.69 1.77 1.05 1.73 0.75 2.34 3.69 1.58 1.82 0.78
2.1 3 2.85 1.98 1.81 2.19 1.89 2.18 2.07 2.08 0.63 1.71 0.97 1.70 0.63 2.21 3.51 1.48 1.76 0.84
2.05 2.87 1.85 1.72 2.06 1.80 2.08 1.97 1.99 0.60 1.67 0.90 1.66 0.61 2.07 3.29 1.38 1.72 0.89
1.94 2.72 1.70 1.63 1.93 1.73 1.92 1.86 1.91 0.56 1.62 0.83 1.57 0.62 1.94 3.03 1.27 1.65 0.91
1.82 2.48 1.55 1.53 1.79 1.63 1.76 1.75 1.82 0.53 1.55 0.78 1.42 0.58 1.82 2.75 1.14 1.57 0.90
MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe .........................
2.75 2.93 1.78 1.58 2.65 2.94 3.08 2.23 1.76 2.36
2.82 2.88 1.74 1.66 2.95 3.34 3.13 2.29 1.67 2.22
2.05 2.78 1.67 1.63 3.25 3.43 3.14 2.30 1.61 2.01
2.71 2.65 1.52 1.53 3.13 3.29 2.98 2.20 1.49 1.80
2.59 2.52 1.43 1.47 3.01 3.13 2.83 2.14 1.43 1.70
2.47 2.41 1.37 1.46 2.89 2.95 2.66 2.08 1.40 1.63
2.34 2.28 1.32 1.45 2.75 2.80 2.49 2.02 1.39 1.53
2.19 2.15 1.25 1.41 2.59 2.64 2.31 1.95 1.37 1.39
2.04 2.01 1.16 1.35 2.41 2.47 2.12 1.85 1.33 1.21
NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara ....................................
1.92 1.71 2.02 2.10 1.62 2.27 1.24 4.75
1.86 1.77 1.96 2.02 1.60 2.05 1.24 4.31
1.71 1.65 1.79 1.77 1.50 1 84 1.19 3.81
1.51 1.39 1.59 1.43 1.31 1.72 1.04 1.94
1.37 1.13 1.48 I 20 1.16 1.64 0.88 1.62
1.28 0.99 1.42 1.13 1.07 1.56 0.74 1.48
1.22 0.95 1.34 1.14 1.00 1.48 0.68 1.47
1.14 0.95 1.23 1 10 0.91 1.39 0.64 1.46
1.04 0.87 1.11 0.99 0.81 1.30 0.58 1.37
0.34 -0.21 -0.11 1.14 0.36 -0.25
0.35 -0.12 0.06 1.36 0.34 -0.04
0.49 0.21 0.12 1.56 0.47 0.23
0.50 0.26 0.10 1.48 0.48 0.28
0.50 0.35 0.14 1.32 0.48 0.41
0.54 0.47 0.25 1.20 0.51 0.60
0.60 0.62 0.39 1.20 0.57 0.81
0.67 0.76 0.52 1.25 0.63 0.98
0.71 0.88 0.58 1.25 0.67 1.08
2.42 3.13 3.07 2.43 1.88 2.51 2.07 2.33 2.93 2.94 3.03
2.43 2.94 3.08 2.36 1.98 2.30 2.04 2.74 3.21 3.03 3.15
2.32 2.78 3.02 2.21 1.91 2.14 1.94 2.62 3.26 3.07 3.13
2.17 2.55 2.87 2.00 1.78 2.01 1.77 2.45 3.19 3.04 3.01
2.05 2.37 2.71 1.84 1.69 1.91 1.63 2.31 3.09 2.99 2.88
1.97 2.25 2.56 1.73 1.65 1.80 1.55 2.21 2.95 2.90 2.71
1.89 2.14 2.41 1.61 1.63 1.70 1.49 2.1 1 2.77 2.77 2.54
1.80 2.00 2.27 1.47 1.58 1.59 1.42 2.00 2.59 2.61 2.37
1.68 1.86 2.13 1.33 1.51 1.48 1.32 1.88 2.43 2.46 2.21
WORLD
AFRICA
SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C6te d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................
522
.
.
.
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revlsion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.16. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country (continued)
High variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area. region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Mauritania ............................................. Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Saint Helena (3) .................................... Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASIA EASTERN ASlA China (4) ............................................... China. Hong Kong SAR (5) .................... China. Macao SAR (6) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA B ~ n eDarussalam i ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASIA Armenia ................................................ Azetttaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied PalestinianTerritory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.16. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country (continued) High variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area. region and country
2005-20102010-2015 201 5-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE Channel Islands (7)............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (8) ............................................ Iceland .................................................. lreland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (9) ............................................ Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Gibraltar ................................................ Greece ................................................. Holy See (10)........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (11)........................... WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Liechtenstein........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................. Antigua and Barbuda ............................. Aruba .................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin lslands .............................. Cayman Islands .................................... Cuba ...................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.16. Average annual rate of populationchange by major area. region and country (continued)
High variant P -
Major area. region and country
Annual rate of change (per cent) 200!5-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. NOR1HERN AMERICA Bermuda ............................................... Canada ................................................. Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre et Miquelon ........................ United States of America .......................
AUSTRALINNEW ZEALAND Australia (12) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshall Islands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ...................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.16. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued) High variant Major area, region and country
Annual rate of change (per cent) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Northern Mariana islands ...................... Palau .................................................... POLYNESIA
American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcairn ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................. Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu ................................................... Wallis and Futuna Islands .....................
+
More developed regions comprise Europe, NorthernAmerica, AustraliaINew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia.
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
lncluding Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. lncluding Ascension and Tristan da Cunha. For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China. As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. lncluding the islands of Guernsey and Jersey. lncluding hand Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. Refers to the Vatican Ci State. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. lncluding Christmas island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
# The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in 2003, included 50 countries, of which 34 are in Africa, 10 in Asia, 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean, and 5 in Oceania. 1 lncluding the island of Mayotte.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
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Table A.17. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country: low variant. 2005-2050 Low variant P
P
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area. region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
WORLD
c)
MoRE DEVELOPED REGIONS LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions. emluding China SubSaharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA Burundi ................................................. Comoros (1) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2) .......................................... Mozambique ......................................... R6union ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Carneroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ EquatorialGuinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan A& Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C8te d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division WolJd Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table A1 7 Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country (continued) Low variant Major area. region and country
Annual rate of change (per cent) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025.2025-20302030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Mauritania ............................................. Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Saint Helena (3) .................................... Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASIA EASTERN ASlA China (4) ............................................... China. Hong Kong SAR (5) .................... China. Macao SAR (6) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ..................................
...........
SOUTHCENTRAL ASIA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Tirnor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. Iraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopuIation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.17. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country (continued)
Low variant P
P
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area. region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERNEUROPE Channel Islands (7) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (8) ............................................ Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (9) ............................................ Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .....................................
SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Gibraltar ................................................ Greece ................................................. Holy See (10) ........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (11) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium ..................... ..... .................. France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Liechtenstein ........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ...........................................
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................. Antigua and Barbuda ............................. Aruba .................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin Islands .............................. Cayman Islands .................................... Cuba ....................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revhion. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.17. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country (continued)
Low variant p -
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area. region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ............................................... Martinique ..................................... .. ..... Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos lslands ...................... United States Virgin lslands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda ............................................... Canada ................................................. Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre et Miquelon ........................ United States of America .......................
AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Australia (12) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon lslands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshall lslands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States 09 ................... Nauru ...................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table 1117. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued) Low variant Major area, region and country
Annual rate of change (per cent) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Northem Mariana Islands ...................... Palau .................................................... POLYNESIA American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcaim ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................. Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu ................................................... Wallis and Futuna Islands .....................
More developed regions compriie Europe, Northern America, AustralialNewZealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesiaand Polynesia. The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in 2003, included 50 countries, of which 34 are in Africa, 10 in Asia, 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean, and 5 in Oceania. 1 lncluding the island of Mayotte. 2 lncluding Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. 3 lncluding Ascension and Tristan da Cunha. 4 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China. 5 As of lJuly 1997,Hong Kong became a Special AdministrativeRegion (SAR) of China. 6 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. 7 lncluding the islands of Guernsey and Jersey. 8 lncluding Aand Islands. 9 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. l0 Refers to the Vatican City State. 11 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 12 lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
United Nations D e p a r t m e n t of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
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Table A.18. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country: constant-fertility variant. 2005-2050 Constant-fertility variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area. region and country
2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (") LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions. excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA Burundi ................................................. Comoros (1).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2).......................................... Mozambique ....................... ........... Rbunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe .............................................
. . .
MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C6te d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Aflairs/Population Division World Population ~rospects:The 2004 Revision. Volume I: ~ompr-ehensiveTables
Table A.18. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country (continued) Constant-fertility variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area. region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-20352035-20402040-2045 2045-2050 Mauritania ............................................. Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Saint Helena (3).................................... Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (4) ............................................... China. Hong Kong SAR (5).................... China. Macao SAR (6) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic 09 ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied PalestinianTerritory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.18. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country (continued) Constant-fertility variant Major area. region and country
Annual rate of change (per cent)
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-2045 2045-2050 EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERNEUROPE Channel Islands (7)............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (8)............................................ Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (9)............................................ Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Gibraltar ................................................ Greece ................................................. Holy See (10)........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain ............................. ,...................... TFYR Macedonia (11)........................... WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Liechtenstein ........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................. Antigua and Barbuda ............................. Aruba .................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin Islands .............................. Cayman lslands .................................... Cuba ....................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.18. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country (continued) Constant-fertility variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area. region and country
2005-20102010-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kilts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda ............................................... Canada ................................................. Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre et Miquelon ........................ United States of America .......................
AUSTRALIMEW ZEALAND Australia (12) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon lslands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshall Islands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ...................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.18. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued) Constant-fertility variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 Northern Mariana Islands ...................... Palau ....................................................
2.36 0.58
1.58 0.54
1.40 0.49
1.23 0.37
1.07 0.17
0.92 -0.03
0.78 -0.21
0.68 -0.31
0.60 -0.36
POLYNESIA
American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia ................................ Niue ...................................................... Pitcairn ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................. Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu ................................................... Wallis and Futuna Islands .....................
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northem America, AustralidNewZealand and Japan.
+ Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean ptus Melanesia, Micronesiaand Polynesia.
# The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in 2003, included 50 countries, of which 34 are in Africa, 10 in Asia, 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean, and 5 in Oceania. 1 lncluding the island of Mayotte.
2 3 4 5 6
lncluding Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. lncluding Ascension and Tristan da Cunha. For statisticalpurposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China. As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999. Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. 7 lncluding the islands of Guemsey and Jersey. 8 lncluding hand Islands. 9 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. 10 Refers to the Vatican C ity State. 11 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 12 lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
This page intentionally left blank
Table A.19. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area. region and country: estimates. 1985-2005 Estimates Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country
WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (*) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions. excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA Burundi ................................................. Comoros (1) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2) .......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Reunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C6te d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.19. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates Population (thousands)
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
Major area, region and country
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
5692353 5772436 5851781 5930405 6008324 6085572 6162164 6238181 6313807 6389272 6464750 1 173 983 1 l78 202 1 l82 173 1 185 966 1 l89 672 1 193 354 1 197 046 1 200 735 1 204 376 1 207 903 1 21 1 265 4 518 369 4 594 234 4 669 608 4 744 439 4 818 652 4 892 218 4 965 118 5 037 447 5 109 430 5 l81 368 5 253 484 596 962 612 089 627 128 642 236 657 646 673 524 689 919 706 776 724 035 741 597 759 389 3921407 3982145 4042480 4102203 4161006 4218694 4275199 4330670 4385395 4439771 4494095 32924393356553342039434840323547588361115936747483738351380205338659593930140
WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (*) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Otherlessdevelopedcountries Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA Burundi ................................................. Comoros (1).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2).......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Reunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C6te d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.19. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
Mauritania ......................................... 1 812 Niger ..................................................... 7 245 Nigeria .................................................. 78 435 Saint Helena (3).................................... 6 Senegal ................................................ 6 870 Sierra Leone ........................................ 3 580 Togo ..................................................... 3 355
1 854 7 474 80 688 6 7 080 3 682 3 478
1 896 7 712 83 043 6 7 299 3 797 3 603
1 939 7 958 85 488 6 7 523 3 911 3 727
1 984 8 21 1 87 998 5 7 750 4 009 3 847
2 030 8 472 90 557 5 7 977 4 078 3 961
2 079 8 741 93 161 5 8 204 4 1 16 4 068
2 130 9 018 95 809 5 8 430 4 127 4 168
ASIA
1993 1994 . . 2 184 9 306 98 491 5 8 657 4 124 4 270
2 241 9 609 101 196 5 8 886 4 123 4 382
2887969 2943219 2999617 3056519 3113066 3 168616 3222903 3276012 3328097 3379460
EASTERN ASIA 1 257 927 1 275 985 China (4) ............................................... 1 070 175 1 086 770 China. Hong Kong SAR (5) .................... 5 456 5 509 China. Macao SAR (6).......................... 306 320 Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... 18 438 1 8 688 Japan ................................................... 120 837 121 472 Mongolia ........................................ 1 909 1 970 Republic of Korea .................................. 40 806 41 256 SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA 1 096 754 1 121 945 1 147 492 1 173 328 1 199 379 1 225 578 1 251 890 l 278 271 1 304 637 1 330 893 Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Met Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.19. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates Population (thousands) 1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
Major area, region and country 2001
2002
2003
2004
2005 Mauritania ............................................. Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Saint Helena (3) .................................... Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (4) ............................................... China, Hong Kong SAR (5) .................... China, Macao SAR (6) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic 09 ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ...................................... .. ....... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Met Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Populatjon Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.19. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE Channel Islands (7) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (8) ............................................ Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (9) ............................................ Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERNEUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Gibraltar ................................................ Greece ................................................. Holy See (10) ........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (11) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Liechtenstein ........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................. Antigua and Barbuda ............................. Aruba .................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin Islands .............................. Cayman Islands .................................... Cuba ....................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.19. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates Population (thousands) 1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
Major area, region and country 2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE Channel Islands (7) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (8) ............................................ Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (9) ............................................ Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Gibraltar ................................................ Greece ................................................. Holy See (10) ........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (11) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Liechtenstein........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................. Antigua and Barbuda ............................. Aruba .................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin lslands .............................. Cayman lslands .................................... Cuba ....................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.19. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexko .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda ............................................... Canada ................................................. Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre et Miquelon ........................ United States of America .......................
AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Australia (12) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshall Islands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States 09 ................... Nauru ...................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.19. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates p -
p -
P
Population (thousands)
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
Major area, region and country
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005 Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin lslands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda ............................................... Canada ................................................. Greenland ........................................... Saint Pierre et Miquelon ........................ United States of America .......................
AUSTRALlAlNEW ZEALAND Australia (12)........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Sofornon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshall lslands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States 09 ................... Nauru ...................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.19. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country 1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
Northern Mariana Islands ...................... Palau ....................................................
POLYNESIA
...................................
American Samoa Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcairn ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................. Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu ................................................... Wallis and Futuna Islands .....................
+ #
1 2 3 4
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northem America, AustralialNew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. The least developed countries, as defined by the Unled Nations General Assembly in 2003, included 50 countries, of which 34 are in Africa, 10 in Asia, 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean, and 5 in Oceania. lncluding the island of Mayotte. lncluding Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. lncluding Ascension and Tristan da Cunha. For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.19. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates p
-
p
p p -
Population (thousands) 1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
57 17
60 18
62 18
65 19
67 19
70 19
72 20
74 20
77
79 20
81 20
20
Major area, region and country
Northern Mariana Islands ...................... Palau .................................................... POLYNESIA American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcaim ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................. Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu ................................................... Wallis and Futuna Islands .....................
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. lncluding the islands of Guernsey and Jersey. Including hand Islands. Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. Refers to the Vatican Ci State. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.20. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area. region and country: medium variant. 2006-2025 Medium variant Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 2006
WORLD
2007
2008
20639
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
6540283 6615852 6691 482 6767180 6842923 6918707 6994457 7069985 7145046 7219431
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (*) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries
1 214 453 1 217 484 1 220 359 1 223 088 1 225 678 1 228 125 1 230 427 1 232 593 1 234 635 1 236 561 5325830 5398368 5471 123 5544092 5617246 5690583 5764031 5837392 5910411 5982871 777397 795647 814153 832940 852025 871405 891068 911000 931185 951610 4548432 4602721 4656970 4711 151 4765221 4819177 4872963 4926393 4979226 5031 261
Less developed regions. excluding China
3994612 4059352 4124331 4189504 4254820 4320257 4385771 4451 255 4516579 4581 633
Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA
768 209
785 443
802 986
820 843
839 012
857 504
876 311
895 402
914 731
934 263
925 477
945 346
965 544
986 066 1 006 905 1 028 063 1 049 532 1 071 271 1 093 227 1 115 358
112643
115726
118889
122137
EASTERN AFRICA Burundi ................................................. Comoros (1) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2) .......................................... Mozambique ......................................... R6union ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. UDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe .........................
125472
128892
132393
135972
139624
143346
NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... CBte d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Rissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.20. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Medium variant -
-
Population (thousands)
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
Major area, region and country 2022
2023
2024
2025 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (') LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA Burundi ................................................. Comoros (1).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2).......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... EquatorialGuinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... Cdte d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.20. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area. region and country (continued) Medium variant Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country
Mauritania ............................................. Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Saint Helena (3).................................... Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ........................................ Togo .....................................................
ASIA
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
201 1
2012
2013
2014
2015
3 158 14 426 134 375 5 1 1 936 5 679 6 306
3 247 14 907 137 243 5 12 218 5 802 6 470
3 338 15 401 140 135 5 12 504 5 908 6 637
3 429 15 908 143 051 5 12 792 6 013 6 806
3 520 16 430 145 991 5 13 082 6 132 6 977
3 613 16 968 148 953 5 13 372 6 268 7 148
3 705 17 521 151 936 5 13 664 6 416 7 322
3 799 18 091 154 932 5 13 956 6 573 7 496
3 893 18 678 157 933 5 14 247 6 735 7 672
3 988 19 283 160 931 5 14 538 6 897 7 847
3950606 3995674 4040651 4085556 4130383 4175133 4219743 4264058 4307869 4351 001
EASTERN ASIA 1 532 681 1 540 865 1 548 982 China (4)............................................... 1 323 636 1 331 356 1 339 053 China. Hong Kong SAR (5).................... 7 1 18 7 194 7 269 China. Macao SAR (6).......................... 463 466 470 Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... 22 583 22 670 22 752 Japan ................................................... 128 21 9 128 325 128 402 Mongolia .............................................. 2 679 2 71 1 2 745 Republic of Korea .................................. 47 983 48 142 48 292 SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA 1 636 335 1 661 857 1 687 444 Afghanistan ......................................... 31 082 32 254 33 392 Bangladesh ........................................... 144 437 147 059 149 687 2 260 2 31 1 Bhutan ................................................. 2 21 1 India ..................................................... 1119538 1135614 1151 598 Iran (Islamic Republic 09 ....................... 70 324 71 220 72 193 Kazakhstan ........................................ 14 812 14 802 14 796 Kyrgyzstan ......................................... 5 325 5 386 5 447 337 346 354 Maldives ............................................... 27 678 28 226 28 777 Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ......................................... 161 209 164 594 168 071 Sri Lanka ........................................ 20 912 21 078 21 241 Tajikistan .............................................. 6 591 6 682 6 779 4 965 5 031 Turkmenistan ........................................ 4 899 Uzbekistan ........................................ 26 980 27 371 27 767 SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ kerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................ lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.20. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Medium variant Population (thousands)
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
Major area, region and country 2022
2023
2024
2025 Mauritania ............................... . . ......... Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Saint Helena (3) .................................... Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (4)............................................... China, Hong Kong SAR (5).................... China, Macao SAR (6) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. C y p ~ s.................................................. Georgia ................................................. lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table A20 Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area. region and country (continued) Medium variant Major area. region and country
Population (thousands) 2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine
.................................................
NORTHERNEUROPE Channel Islands (7) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (8) ............................................ Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (9) ............................................ Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Gibraltar ................................................ Greece ................................................. Holy See (10) ........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (11) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Liechtenstein ........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................. Antigua and Barbuda ............................. Aruba .................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin Islands .............................. Cayman lslands .................................... Cuba ....................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.20. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area. region and country (continued) Medium variant Population (thousands)
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
Major area. region and country
2022
2023
2024
2025 EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERNEUROPE Channel Islands (7)............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe lslands ...................................... Finland (8)............................................ Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (9)............................................ Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia ................................................. Gibraltar ................................................ Greece ................................................. Holy See (10)........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (ll) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Liechtenstein........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................. Antigua and Barbuda ............................. Aruba .................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin lslands .............................. Cayman lslands .................................... Cuba ....................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.20. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area. region and country (continued) Medium variant Major area. region and country
Population (thousands) 2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint K i s and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin Islands ...................
CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOU1H AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Pew ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda ............................................... Canada ................................................. Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre et Miquelon ........................ United States of America .......................
AUSTRALINNEW ZEALAND Australia (12) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................
MCRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshall Islands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... ................................................... N~UN
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.20. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Medium variant Population (thousands) 2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
Major area, region and country 2022
2023
2024
2025
Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines ......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos lslands ...................... United States Virgin lslands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Bebe ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda ............................................... Canada ................................................. Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre et Miquelon ........................ United States of America .......................
AUSTRALIA/NEW ZEALAND Australia (12) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshal1Islands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ...................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.20. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Medium variant Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
Northem Mariana Islands ...................... Palau
....................................................
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
83 20
85 20
87 20
89 20
91 21
92 21
94 21
95 21
96 21
98 21
POLYNESIA American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands .........................................
.................................. ...................................................... ................................................. ..................................................
French Polynesia Niue Pitcaim Samoa Tokelau ................................................. Tonga Tuvalu Wallii and Futuna Islands .....................
................................................... ...................................................
+ #
1 2 3 4
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northem America, AustralidNew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asii (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia The least developedcountries, as defined by the Unled Nations General Assembly in 2003,included 50 countries, of which 34 are in Africa, 10 in Asia, 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean, and 5 in Oceania. Includingthe island of Mayotte. IncludingAgalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. IncludingAscension and Tristan da Cunha. For statisticalpurposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao. Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehenske Tables
Table A.20. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Medium variant Population (thousands) 2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
Major area, region and country 2022
2023
2024
2025
Northern Mariana Islands ...................... Palau .................................................... POLYNESIA American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcairn ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................. Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu ................................................... Wallis and Futuna Islands .....................
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. lncludingthe islands of Guernsey and Jersey. lncluding hand Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. Re!ers to the Vatican Ci State. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
United Nations D e p a r t m e n t of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area. region and country: estimates and medium variant. 1950-2050 Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude birth rate (births per 1.000 population)
Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 33.7
30.9
28.1
27.6
26.9
24.6
22.5
21.1
19.7 41.8 47.8 41.0
17.3 40.1 47.3 39.1
16.2 36.2 46.6 34.8
15.0 32.5 45.5 30.8
14.5 31.6 45.2 29.7
13.9 30.6 43.5 28.8
12.3 27.9 42.0 25.8
11.2 25.3 39.6 23.1
11.0 23.5 37.9 21.1
44.9
43.6
41.7
39.6
37.3
36.3
34.0
31.5
28.7
27.0
48.7
48.5
48.2
47.8
47.5
47.0
46.6
45.3
43.6
41.8
40.5
48.8
48.2
48.1
47.1
46.6
45.8
45.1
43.1
40.8
38.7
37.6
EASTERN AFRICA (1)
Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) .......................................... Mozambique ......................................... R6union ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe .............................................
50.4 48.4 46.5 50.0 48.4 51.6 51.4 50.5 52.3 47.3 48.7 39.4 51.8 53.4 50.6 48.9 50.1 48.2
49.9 46.6 48.4 50.7 49.2 50.1 51.6 49.6 53.2 44.7 48.5 41.0 52.8 52.1 49.7 49.3 49.9 47.9
49.5 45.3 50.2 51.2 48.5 49.7 51.2 48.5 54.7 42.5 48.1 39.8 52.8 51.0 49.3 49.2 49.4 48.1
49.1 44.5 50.4 50.2 47.6 48.8 50.6 47.5 55.8 32.2 47.5 35.2 52.7 50.8 50.4 48.8 49.6 48.7
48.8 44.0 49.3 47.7 46.1 48.2 50.8 46.6 56.7 26.1 47.5 30.7 52.6 51.3 49.9 47.9 50.8 48.7
48.1 44.7 48.7 45.2 45.1 47.9 49.7 46.1 57.2 26.7 46.0 25.3 53.5 51.7 49.6 47.3 46.9 46.8
47.3 47.3 48.7 44.0 44.9 47.9 48.4 45.1 52.2 22.0 45.8 23.6 53.9 46.4 49.7 45.9 46.1 44.9
46.2 47.9 42.5 43.2 42.8 47.6 45.0 44.8 51.2 19.8 43.8 23.0 51.9 46.4 50.0 45.0 46.6 40.3
44.2 46.1 39.3 41.7 42.1 46.7 38.5 43.7 50.0 20.4 44.6 21.6 43.7 45.7 49.8 42.4 45.7 36.1
42.3 43.2 38.5 39.0 40.9 43.7 37.5 43.0 48.1 17.6 42.9 20.2 41.4 47.7 49.6 40.2 43.0 32.1
40.8 43.7 36.5 36.2 39.9 41.1 38.8 39.7 44.6 16.4 40.4 20.1 41. 0 45.8 50.2 38.1 41.3 30.0
MDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... EquatorialGuinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe .........................
46.8 54.0 43.6 43.4 45.0 42.3 47.3 41.7 30.5 41.5
47.2 54.4 43.4 43.1 45.5 42.5 48.0 41.1 30.1 48.3
47.6 54.3 44.5 42.7 46.0 43.3 48.3 40.7 31.3 50.5
47.7 53.2 45.1 42.5 47.2 44.0 48.1 41.5 32.4 49.7
47.7 51.8 45.5 42.6 48.3 43.9 48.2 41.8 37.7 43.9
47.9 52.4 45.3 43.6 47.9 43.4 48.5 42.2 39.8 42.9
48.0 52.9 44.9 42.4 47.8 43.4 48.6 43.3 39.7 42.0
47.7 53.1 43.0 42.2 43.8 48.5 43.8 39.8 39.0
47.3 52.4 40.9 41.5 48.4 43.9 48.6 43.4 38.3 35.5
46.4 48.9 37.8 39.8 48.1 44.1 49.0 43.0 34.3 34.8
46.2 48.5 35.9 37.8 48.2 44.1 49.5 42.9 31.6 34.2
NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara ....................................
48.9 51 0 48.6 48.0 50.4 47.2 46.4 47.7
47.4 50.8 44.8 48.5 50.4 47.5 46.7 49.3
47.5 50.4 45.4 49.0 50.1 47.6 46.5 49.9
45.1 48.9 41.5 49.5 48.2 47.5 41.8 48.5
43.4 48.0 39.8 49.0 45.6 47.0 37.1 44.3
41.5 45.4 39.6 47.3 39.4 45.2 36.5 44.4
39.5 41.2 38.4 45.6 36.9 43.2 33.8 44.0
34.8 34.8 34.7 31.9 31.6 39.8 30.3 38.9
29.9 28.8 28.9 24.8 27.3 37.8 24.1 33.4
26.6 21.6 26.9 23.3 24.2 35.9 18.6 30.2
25.6 20.8 26.3 23.3 23.3 33.5 16.8 27.5
SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland .............................................
43.4 48.1 42.1 42.8 43.3 49.9
42.8 48.5 42.3 42.1 42.5 48.7
42.0 47.9 42.3 41.7 41.6 48.5
39.3 47.2 41.9 41.7 38.6 49.5
38.3 47.5 42.5 43.2 37.4 49.8
36.7 45.5 42.8 42.0 35.6 48.2
35.0 41.9 41.5 41.0 34.0 46.8
31.3 36.6 37.8 41.7 30.2 43.8
28.8 32.0 33.2 41.5 27.8 38.6
26.2 29.8 30.2 35.1 25.4 33.1
24.4 26.9 28.5 29.1 23.8 29.6
WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... C8te d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
49.1 46.0 45. I 50.9 53.0 47.6 45.6 45.5 43.8 48.8 54.5 44.4
49.0 47.9 45.2 51.4 52.5 49.6 45.6 45.8 42.9 49.0 54.8 46.7
48.7 45.4 46.1 48.5 51.5 51.3 45.7 48.8 44.9 49.1 54.3 46.8
48.6 46.5 48.7 42.5 50.5 50.2 45.7 49.9 47.4 49.4 54.8 46.3
48.5 47.5 50.2 38.8 51.0 49.0 45.5 49.2 50.3 49.5 54.9 45.4
48.2 48.0 47.6 35.4 50.7 48.2 45.1 47.7 49.3 49.7 53.7 44.8
48.7 51.4 48.1 41.5 50.8 47.4 43.9 46.7 49.0 49.8 52.7 43.2
47.5 48.6 50.3 40.7 46.6 45.0 41.3 45.9 49.4 49.8 50.3 42.6
45.8 46.3 49.7 36.3 42.5 41.0 37.7 44.9 50.0 50.0 50.8 42.4
43.8 43.9 48.3 31.7 39.2 38.8
42.1 42.1 47.1 30.9 37.5 36.0 32.1 42.2 49.8 49.8 49.7 41.8
WORLD
37.5
35.7
22.4 44.6 48.2 44.1
21.3 42.1 48.0 41.4
Less developed regions. excluding China
45.0
Sub-Saharan Africa
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (') LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries
AFRICA
560
.
35.3
48.0
34.0 43.7 50.1 49.7 51.2 42.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000population)
Major area, region and country
2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (*) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) ......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Rdunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... EquatorialGuinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia ............................... ............... Western Sahara ....................................
..
SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... CBte d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 19!%-2005 Major area. region and country
Crude birth rate (births per 1.000 population)
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 l97!%19801980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 l99!%2OOO2000-2005
Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) ............................................... China. Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China. Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic 09 ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan............................................ Maklives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERNASIA Brunei Darussalarn ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia ............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanrnar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ............................................... Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. Iraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ........................ .... ...................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Major area, region and country
Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) ............................................... China, Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTHCENTRAL ASlA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanrnar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territoty ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 195012005 Major area. region and country
Crude birth rate (births per 1.000 population) 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Channel Islands (9) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (10) .......................................... Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (11) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (13) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (14) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (15) Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Channel Islands (9)............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (10).......................................... Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (11).......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (13)........................... WESTERN EUROPE (14) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (15) Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. NetherlandsAntilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude birth rate (births per 1.000 population)
MJor area. region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA (16) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Surinarne .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. NORTHERN AMERICA (17) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................
AUSTRALIANEW ZEALAND Australia (18) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... WLANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MCRONESIA (19) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... POLYNESIA (20) French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ...................................................
+ #
1 2 3 4
5 6 7 8
W e developed regions comprise Europe. Northem America. Australia/New Zealand and Japan. Less developed regionscomprise all regions of Africa. Asia (except Japan) Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesia and Pol)mesia. The least developed countries. as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in 2003. included 50 countries. of which 34 are in Africa. 10 in Asia. 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean. and 5 in Oceania. lncluding Seychelles. lncludingthe island of Mayotte Including Agalega. Rodrigues. and Saint Brandon. lncluding Saint Helena. Ascension and Tristan da Cunha. For statistical purposes. the data for China do not indude Hong Kong and Macao. Speciel Administrative Regions (SAR) of China. & of 1 July 1997. Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999. Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. Including Faeroe Islands and Isle of Man .
.
.
United Nations D e p a r t m e n t o f Economic and Social A f f a i r d P o p u l a t i o n Division World Popillation Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 20052050: Medium variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................
SOUTH AMERICA (16) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. NORTHERN AMERICA (17) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................
AUSTRALIAJNEW ZEALAND Australia (18) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA (19) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States 09 ................... POLYNESIA (20) French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ...................................................
9 10 11 12 13 14 15
16 17 18 19 20
lncluding the islands of Guernsey and Jersey. lncluding hand Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. Including Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See and San Marino. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. lncluding Liechtenstein and Monaco. lncluding Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, B r i t i i Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands. Dominica. Grenada, Montserrat. Saint Kitts and Nevis, and Turks and Caiios Islands. lncluding Falkland Islands (Malvinas). lncluding Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint P i n e et Mquelon. lncluding Christmas Island. Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norlolk Island. Including Kiribati. Marshatl Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau. lncluding American Samoa,Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcaim. Tokelau, Tuvalu and Wallis, and Futuna Islands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Populatjon Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Estimates: 1950-2005
Table A.22. Crude birth rate by major area. region and country: estimates and high variant. 1950-2050
Major area. region and country
Crude birth rate (births per 1.000 population) 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
WORLD hWRE DEVELOPED REGIONS (') LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries
Less developed regions. excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) .......................................... Mozambique ......................................... R6union ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C8te d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.22. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major ama, region and country
2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-2030 2030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS C ) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions, excluding China SubSaharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) .......................................... Mozambique ......................................... R6union ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. W estem Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C6te d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.22. Crude birth rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
Crude birth rate (births per 1.000 population) 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) ............................................... China. Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China. Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTHCENTRAL ASlA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Wet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.22. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
2005-2050:High variant P-
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Major area, region and country
Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) ............................................... China, Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of lirnor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanrnar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Met Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASIA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.22. Crude birth rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 19S2005 Crude birth rate (births per 1.000 population)
Major area. region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-196!5 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Channel Islands (9) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (10) .......................................... Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (11) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (13) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (14) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (15) Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.22. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-2030 2030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................ Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Channel Islands (9)............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (10).......................................... Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (11).......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (13)........................... WESTERN EUROPE (14) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (15) Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.22. Crude birth rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 .
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area. region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA (16) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. NORTHERN AMERICA (17) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................
AUSTRALIA/NEW ZEALAND Australia (18) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA (19) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... POLYNESIA (20) French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ...................................................
+ #
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
.
More developed regions comprise Europe NorthernAmerica. AustralidNew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa. Asia (except Japan). Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesia and Polynesia. The least developed countries. as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in 2003. included 50 countries. of which 34 are in Africa. 10 in Asia. 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean. and 5 in Oceania lncluding Seychelles. Including the Wand of Mayotte Including Agalega. Rodrigues. and Saint Brandon. lncluding Saint Helena. Ascension and Tristan da Cunha. For statistical purposes. the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao. Special Administrative Regions (SW) of China. As of 1 July 1997. Hcmg Kong became a Special Administrative Regim (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999. Macao became a Special Administrathre Region (SAR) of China lncluding Faeroe Islands and Isle of Man .
.
.
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.22. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Major area, region and country El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA (16) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Surinarne .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. NORTHERN AMERICA (17) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................
AUSTRALIANEW ZEALAND Australia (18) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA (19) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... POLYNESIA (20) French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ...................................................
9 lncluding the islands of Guernsey and Jersey. 10 lncluding &and Islands.
11 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. 12 lncluding Andorra, Gibraltar. Holy See and San Marino. 13 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 14 Including Liechtenstein and Monaco. 15 lncluding Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, British Virgin Wands, Cayman Islands. Dominica, Grenada, Montserrat, Saint K i s and Nevis, and TUGSand C a i i klands. 16 lncluding Falkland lslands (Malvinas). 17 lncluding Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre et Miquelm. 18 Including Christmas Island, Coax (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Mand. 19 lncluding Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Marhna Islands, and Palau. 20 lncluding American Samoa. Cook Islands, Niue. Pltcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu and Walls, and Futuna Islands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Estimates: 1950-2005
Table A.23. Crude birth rate by major area. region and country: estimates and low variant. 1950-2050 Crude birth rate (births per 1.000 population)
Major area. reglon and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 l99O-l995 1995-2000 2000-2005 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (') LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions. excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3).......................................... Mozambique ......................................... R6union ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C6te d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.23. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Low variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000population)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-20202020-20i25 2025-20302030-20352035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (') LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Butundi ................................................. Comoros (2) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) .......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Rbunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C6te d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.23. Crude birth rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 195012005 p p
Major area. region and country
Crude birth rate (births per 1.000 population) 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo .....................................................
EASTERN ASlA China (5) ............................................... China. Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China. Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic 09 ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERNASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ................................ ....... Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. Iraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. UnitedArab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.23. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050:Low variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) ............................................... China, Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ..................................
...........
SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic 09 ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Tirnor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Viet Narn ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon Occupied Palestinian Tenitoty ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
...............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.23. Crude birth rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude birth rate (births per 1.000 population)
Major area. region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 EUROPE EASTERNEUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Channel Islands (9) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (10) .......................................... Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (11) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (13) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (14) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (15) Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Wncent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AM€RICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.23. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050:Low variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Channel Islands (9) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (10) .......................................... Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (11) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (13) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (14) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (15) Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.23. Crude birth rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude birth rate (births per 1.000 population)
Major area. region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................
SOUTH AMERICA (16)
Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ...................................... Guyana Paraguay Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay Venezuela .............................................
..............................................
................................................. ..............................................
................................................
NORTHERN AMERICA (17)
Canada ................................................. United States of America
.......................
AUSTRALlAlNEW ZEALAND Australia (18) ........................................ New Zealand .........................................
MELANESIA
Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia Papua New Guinea Solomon Islands Vanuatu
...................................... ............................... ................................... ................................................
MlCRONESlA (19)
................................................... . ...................
Guam Micronesia (Fed States 09
POLYNESIA (20)
French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga
...................................................
+ #
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
More developed regions comprise Europe. Northern America. AustraliNew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regiMIs of A f h . Asia (except Japan). M m America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia Micronesia and Pdynesia. The least developed countries. as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in 2003. included 50 countries. d which 34 are in Africa, 10 in Asia. 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean. and 5 in Oceania. lncluding Seychelles. lncluding the island of Mayotte lncluding Agalega. Rodrigues. and Saint Brandon lncluding Saint Helena. Ascension and Tristan da Cunha For statisticalpurposes. the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao. Special MministmthmRegions (SAR) of China. As of 1 July 1997 Hong Kong became a Special Administratii Region (SAR) of China As of 20 December 1999. Macao became a Special Administratii Region (SAR) of China. lncluding Faeroe Islands and Isle of Man.
.
.
.
.
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.23. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Low variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA (16) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ..................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. NORTHERN AMERICA (17) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................
AUSTRALIANEW ZEALAND Australia (18) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA (19) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... POLYNESIA (20) French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ...................................................
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
lncluding the islands of Guernsey and Jersey. lncluding &and Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. lncluding Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See and San Marino. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. lncluding Liechtenstein and Monaco. lncluding Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, h b a , British Virgin Islands. Cayman Islands, Dominica, Grenada, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis. and Turks and Caiios Islands. lnduding Falkland Islands (Malvinas). lncluding Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre et Miquelon. lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfdk Island. lncluding Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau. lncluding American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Picairn. Tokelau, Tuvalu and Wallis, and Futuna Islands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Estimates: 1950-2005
Table A.24. Total fertility by major area. region and country: estimates and medium variant. 1950-2050
Major area. region and country
Total fertility (children per woman)
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1 985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions. excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) .......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Rdunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... C6te d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.24. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued)
2005-2050:Medium variant Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country
2005-20102010-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (') LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3).......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Rdunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Carneroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C6te d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table A24 Total fertility by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 195012005 Major area. region and counw
Total fertility (children per woman)
1950-1955 l95!j-l960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 l995-2OOO 2000-2005
Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) .............................................. China. Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China. Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. Iraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied PalestinianTerritory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.24. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Total fertility (children per woman) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Major area, region and country
Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) ............................................... China, Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic.of) Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................
.......................
SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Tirnor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.24. Total fertility by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area. region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Channel Islands (9) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (10) .......................................... Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (11) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (13) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (14) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (15) Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................
United Nations De~artrnentof Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population ~ r o s ~ & t sThe : 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.24. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued)
2005-2050: Medium variant ~~
~~~
Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 1.43
1.47
1.53
1.59
1.65
1.71
1.76
1 .a1
1.83
1.31 1.22 1.23 1.22 1.28 1.24 1.21 1.26 1.40 1.19 1.15
1.34 1.26 1.27 1.29 1.32 1.27 1.25 1.29 1.44 1.22 1.18
1.41 1.33 1.34 1.36 1.39 1.34 1.32 1.36 1.51 1.29 1.25
1.48 1.40 1.41 1.43 1.46 1.41 1.39 1.43 1.58 1.36 1.32
1.55 1.47 1.48 1.50 1.53 1.48 1.46 1.50 1.65 1.43 1.39
1.63 1.54 1.55 1.57 1.60 1.55 1.53 1.57 1.72 1.50 1.46
1.70 1.61 1.62 1.64 1.67 1.62 1.60 1.64 1.79 1.57 1.53
1.76 1.68 1.69 1.71 1.74 1.69 1.67 1.71 1.85 1.64 1.60
1 .a0 1.75 1.76 1.78 1 .a1 1.76 1.74 1.78 1.85 1.71 1.67
EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine .................................................
1.67 1.44 1.76 1.43 1.72 1.93 1.95 1.29 1.26 1 .a0 1.72 1.66
1.70 1.51 1 .a0 1.50 1.75 1.87 1 .a9 1.33 1.30 1.83 1.79 1.70
1.76 1.58 1.85 1.57 1.82 1.85 1.85 1.40 1.37 1.85 1.85 1.77
1.82 1.65 1.85 1.64 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.47 1.44 1.85 1.85 1.83
1.83 1.72 1.85 1.71 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.54 1.51 1 .85 1.85 1.85
1 .84 1.79 1.85 1.78 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.61 1.58 1.85 1.85 1.85
1.84 1.84 1.85 1 .84 1 .85 1.85 1.85 1.68 1.65 1 .85 1.85 1.85
1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.75 1.72 1.85 1 .85 1.85
1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.82 1.79 1.85 1.85 1.85
NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Channel Islands (9)............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (10).......................................... Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (11).......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .....................................
1.39 2.18 1.30 1.35 1.25 1.38 1.50 1.47 1.58 1.21 1.35 1.45
1.44 2.09 1.34 1.42 1.29 1.41 1.53 1.50 1.58 1.25 1.42 1.52
1.49 2.01 1.41 1.49 1.36 1.45 1.60 1.57 1.65 1.32 1.49 1.59
1.56 1.94 1.48 1.56 1.43 1.52 1.67 1.64 1.72 1.39 1.56 1.66
1.63 1.87 1.55 1.63 1.50 1.59 1.74 1.71 1.79 1.46 1.63 1.73
1.69 1.85 1.62 1.70 1.57 1.66 1 .a1 1.78 1.85 1.53 1.70 1 .a0
1.75 1.85 1.69 1 .77 1.64 1.73 1.85 1 .84 1.85 1.60 1.77 1.85
1.81 1.85 1.76 1.83 1.71 1 .a0 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.67 1.83 1.85
1 .a4 1.85 1.82 1.85 1.78 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.74 1.85 1.85
SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Hetzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (13)...........................
1.56 1.40 1.66 1.85 1.34 1.74 1.72 1.40
1.60 1.44 1.67 1.85 1.41 1.75 1.73 1.43
1.64 1.51 1.70 1.85 1.48 1.76 1.75 1.50
1.68 1.58 1.73 1.85 1.55 1.78 1.77 1.57
1.72 1.65 1.76 1.85 1.62 1 .a0 1.79 1.64
1.76 1.72 1.78 1.85 1.69 1.82 1 .a0 1.71
1.80 1.79 1.81 1.85 1.76 1 .a3 1.82 1.78
1 .84 1.85 1.84 1.85 1.83 1 .a4 1 .a4 1 .84
1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85
WESTERN EUROPE (14) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ...........................................
2.38
2.26
2.15
2.06
1.99
1.93
1 A9
1.87
1.86
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
2.37 2.20 1.50 1.63 2.56 1.98 3.60 2.31 1.91 2.04 1.86 2.18 2.16 1.61 2.13
2.27 2.10 1.54 1.65 2.41 1.91 3.23 2.20 1.86 1.97 1.85 2.09 2.08 1.65 2.04
2.20 2.02 1.61 1.67 2.29 1.86 2.94 2.11 1.85 1.90 1.85 2.01 2.00 1.72 1.97
2.14 1.95 1.68 1.69 2.18 1.85 2.72 2.03 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.94 1.93 1.79 1.90
2.09 1 .a9 1.75 1.71 2.09 1.85 2.54 1.95 1.85 1.85 1.85 1 .a8 1.87 1.84 1.85
2.03 1.85 1.82 1.73 2.01 1.85 2.39 1 .a9 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85
1.98 1.85 1.85 1.75 1.94 1.85 2.27 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85
1.94 1.85 1.85 1.77 1 .a8 1.85 2.17 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85
1.91 1.85 1.85 1 .a0 1.85 1.85 2.08 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85
CARIBBEAN (15) Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ...................
2.42 2.82 2.10
2.27 2.55 1.94
2.15 2.33 1.85
2.06 2.14 1.85
1.98 1.98 1.85
1.94 1.86 1.85
1.90 1.85 1.85
1.87 1.85 1.85
1.85 1.85 1.85
CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
EUROPE
589
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Table A.24. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Total fertility (children per woman) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Major area, region and country
El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA (16) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil ................................................. .:. Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................ NORTHERN AMERICA (17) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................
AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Australia (18) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA (19) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... POLYNESIA (20) French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ...................................................
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
lncluding the islands of Guernsey and Jersey. lncluding Aland Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. lncluding Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See and San Marino. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. lncluding Liechtenstein and Monaco. lncluding Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, h b a , British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Grenada, Montserrat, Saint K i s and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos Islands. lncluding Falkland Islands (Malvinas). lncluding Bermuda. Greenland, and Saint Pierre et Mquelon. lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island. lncluding Kiribati, Marshall Islands, N~uN,Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau. lncluding American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Picairn. T&dau, Tuvalu and Walls, and Futuna Islands.
United Nations D e p a r t m e n t of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.25. Total fertility by major area. region and country: estimates and high variant. 1950-2050 Estimates: 1950-2005 Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area. region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-20002000-2005 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (') LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions. excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) .......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C6te d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.25. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (') LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries
Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) .......................................... Mozambique ......................................... R6union ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe .........................
.............................................
NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jarnahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOU1HERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C6te d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.25. Total fertility by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
Total fertility (children per woman)
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 l97!i-l980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 l995-2OOO 2000-2005
Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) ............................................... China. Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China. Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dern. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic 09 ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Da~ssalarn................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprw .................................................. Georgia ................................................. lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.25. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Total fertility (children per woman) 2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050
Major area, region and country
Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) ............................................... China, Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Damssalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar ..................................... ....... Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Wet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.25. Total fertility by major area.
region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2005
Major area. region and country
Total fertility (children per woman) 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2OOO 2000-2005
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Channel Islands (9) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (10) .......................................... Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (11) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (13) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (14) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (15) Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Rterto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.25. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country
2005-20102010-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-2045 2045-2050
EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Channel Islands (9) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (10).......................................... Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (11 ) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Henegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (13)........................... WESTERN EUROPE (14) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (15) Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.25.
Total fertility
by major area. region and country (continued)
Estimates: 195012005
Total fertility (children per woman)
Major atea. region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 lWO-I995 1995-2000 2000-2005
El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Menico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA (16) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. NORTHERN AMERICA (17)
Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................
AUSTRALINNEW ZEALAND Australia (1 8) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA (19) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... POLYNESIA (20) French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ...................................................
More developed regions comprise Europe. NorthernAmerica. Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
+ L e s s developed regionscomprise all regions of Afrlca. Asii (except Japan). Latin Amenrt and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesiaand Polynesia. # The least developed countries. as defined by the Unled Nations General Assembly in 2003. included 50 countries. of which 34 are in Africa. 10 in Asia. 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean. and 5 in Oceania. 1 Including Seychelles. 2 Including the island of Mayotte. 3 lncluding Agalega. Rodrigues. and Salnt Brandon. 4 lncluding Salnt Helena. Ascension and Tristan da Cunha. 5 For statistical purposes. the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao Special Administrative R e g i i s (SAR) of China 6 As of 1 July 1997 Hong Kong became a Special AdrninistraHve Region (SAR) of China. 7 As of 20 December 1999. Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. 8 lncluding Faeroe Islands and Isle of Man
.
.
.
.
United Nations Department o f Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.25. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 201 0-2015 201 5-20202020-20252025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA (16) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. NORTHERN AMERICA (17) Canada ................................................. United States of America ....................... OCEANIA AUSTRALIAJNEW ZEALAND Australia (18) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ UCRONESIA (19) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... POLYNESIA (20) French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ...................................................
lncluding the islands of Guernsey and Jersey. lncluding hand Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. lncluding Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See and San Marino. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. lncluding Liechtenstein and Monaco. lncluding Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba. British Wrgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Grenada, Montserrat, Saint K i s and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos Islands. 16 lncluding Falkland Islands (Malwnas). 17 lncluding Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre et Miquelon. 18 lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island. 19 lncluding Kiribati. Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Paiau. 20 lncluding American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu and Wallis, and Futuna Islands. 9 10 l1 12 13 14 15
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Estimates: 1950-2005
Table A.26. Total fertility by major area. region and country: estimates and low variant. 1950-2050 Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area. region and country
1950-1955 1 955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1 995-20002000-2005 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (') LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions. excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3).......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C6te d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division
World Population ~ r o s ~ k t The s : 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.26. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 20052050: Low variant Total fertitity (children per woman)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-20352035-20402040-2045 2045-2050 WORLD W R E DEVELOPED REGIONS C) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less China developed regions, excluding Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3).......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... EquatorialGuinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C6te d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.26. Total fertility by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 . . -
.
Major area, region and country
Total fertility (children per woman) 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) .............................................. China. Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China. Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTHCENTRAL ASlA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic 09 ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikitan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Da~SSalam................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Wet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA A m n i a ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................ lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia .......................... . . . ....... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.26. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Low variant Total fertility (children per woman) 2OO5-2OlO 201 0-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Major area, region and country
Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo .....................................................
ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) ............................................... China, Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic 09 ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .................... . . .................... Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Wet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. lraq ....................................................... Israel ................................ ...............-.Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.26. Total fertility by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
Total fertility (children per woman) 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 l97!j-l98O 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 l99!j-2OOO 2000-2005
EUROPE EASTERNEUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova ................... . . ....... Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Channel Islands (9) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (10) .......................................... Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (1 1) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (13) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (14) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (15) Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prespects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
Table A.26. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Low variant Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 EUROPE
1.18
1.08
1.04
1.10
1.16
1.21
1.26
1.31
1.33
1.06 .97 .98 .97 1.03 .99 .96 1.01 1.15 -94 .90
.94 .86 .87 -89 .92 .87 .a5 .89 1.04 .a2 .78
.91 .83
.98
.84
.91 -93 .96 .91 .89 .93 1.08 .86 .82
1.05 .97 .98 1-00 1.03 .98 .96 1 .oo 1.15 -93 .89
1.13 1.04 1.05 I .07 1.10 1.05 1.03 1.07 1.22 1 .oo .96
1.20 1.11 1.12 1.14 1.17 1.12 1.10 1.14 1.29 1.07 1.03
1.26 1.18 1.19 1.21 1.24 1.19 1.17 1.21 1.35 1.14 1.10
1.30 1.25 1.26 1.28 1.31 1.26 1.24 1.28 1.35 1.21 1.17
EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine .................................................
1.42 1.19 1.51 1.18 1.47 1.68 1.70 1.04 1.01 1.55 1.47 1.41
1.30 1.11 1.40 1.10 1.35 1.47 1.49 .93 .90 I .43 1.39 1.30
1.27 1.08 1.35 1.07 1.32 1.35 1.35 .87 1.35 1.35 1.27
1.32 1.15 1.35 1.14 1.35 1.35 1.35 .97 .94 1.35 1.35 1.33
1.33 1.22 1.35 1.21 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.04 1.01 1.35 1.35 1.35
1.34 1.29 1.35 1.28 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.11 1.08 1.35 1.35 1.35
1.34 I .34 1.35 1.34 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.18 1.15 1.35 1.35 1.35
1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.25 1.22 1.35 1.35 1.35
1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.32 1.29 1.35 1.35 1.35
NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Channel Islands (9)............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (10) .......................................... Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (11).......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .....................................
1.14 1.93 1.05 1.10 1 .oo 1.13 1.25 1.22 1.33 .96 1.10 1.20
1.04 1.69 .94 1.02 .a9 1.01 1.13 1.10 1.18 .85 1.02 1.12
.99 1.51 .91 .99 .86 .95 1.10 1.07 1 .I5 .82 .99 1.09
1.06 1.44 .98 1.06 .93 1.02 1.17 1.14 1.22 .89 1.06 1.16
1.13 1.37 1.05 1.13 1 .oo 1.09 1.24 1.21 1.29 .96 1.13 1.23
1.19 1.35 1 .I2 1.20 1.07 1.16 1.31 1.28 1.35 1.03 1.20 1.30
1.25 1.35 1 .I9 1.27 1.14 1.23 1.35 1.34 1.35 1.10 1.27 1.35
1.31 1.35 1.26 1.33 1.21 1.30 1.35 1.35 I .35 1.17 1.33 1.35
1.34 1.35 1.32 1.35 1.28 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.24 1.35 1.35
SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (13)...........................
1.32 1.15 1.54 1.60 1.09 1.60 1.44 1.15
1.22 1.04 1.49 1.45 1.01 1.58 1.41 1.03
1.17 1.01 1.47 1.35 .98 1.55 1.40 1 .oo
1.21 1.08 1.45 1.35 1.05 1.51 1.39 1.07
1.24 1.15 1.43 1.35 1.12 1.47 1.38 1.14
1.28 1.22 1.41 1.35 1.19 1.43 I .37 1.21
1.31 1.29 1.39 1.35 1.26 1.40 1.37 1.28
1.34 1.35 1.36 1.35 1.33 1.35 1.36 1.34
1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35
WESTERN EUROPE (14) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ...........................................
2.13
I .86
1.65
1.56
1.49
1.43
1.40
1.37
1.36
2.12 1.95 1.25 1.38 2.31 1.73 3.35 2.06 1.66 1.79 1.61 1.93 1.91 1.36 1.88
1.87 1.70 1.14 1.25 2.01 1.51 2.83 1.80 1.46 1.57 1.45 1.69 1.68 1.25 1.64
1.70 1.52 1.11 1.17 1.79 1.36 2.44 1.61 I .35 1.40 1.35 1.51 1.50 1.22 1.47
1.64 1.45 1.18 1.19 1.68 1.35 2.22 1.53 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.44 1.43 1.29 1.40
1.59 1.39 1.25 1.21 1.59 1.35 2.04 1.45 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.38 1.37 1.34 1.35
1.53 1.35 1.32 1.23 1.51 1.35 I .a9 1.39 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35
1.49 1.35 1.35 1.25 1.44 I .35 1.77 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35
1.44 1.35 1.35 1.27 1.37 1.35 1.67 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35
1.42 1.35 1.35 1.30 1.35 1.35 1.58 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35
CARIBBEAN (15) Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ...................
2.17 2.57 1.85
1.87 2.15 1.54
1.65 1.83 1.35
1.56 1.64 1.35
1.48 1.48 1.35
1.44 1.36 1.35
1.40 1.35 1.35
1.37 1.35 1.35
1.35 1.35 1.35
CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................
-86 .89 .84
.82 .86 1.01 .79 .75
.!XI
.90
United Nations Departmentof Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
605
.
Table A26 Total tertilfty by major area. mgkn and country (continued) Estimates: 1950.2005 Total fertility (childrenper woman)
Major m.region and country
1950-1955 1955.1960 1960-1965 1-1
970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 lQ95-2OOO2000-2005
...........................................
El Salvador Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico ..................................................
. .
Nicsra~ua................................ ........ Panema ................................................
SOUTH AMERICA (16) Argentina .............................................. WMa ................................................... Brad1 .................................................... C h i ..................................................... C* .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Pen, ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. U~guay................................................ Venezwla ............................................. NORTHERN m R I C A (17) Canada ................................................. United States of America
.......................
AUSTRALWNEW ZEALAND Australia (18) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji
........................................................
New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Sdomon islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ YCRONESIA (19)
Gum ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...................
POLYNESIA (20) French Polynesia
..................................
Samoa .................................................. Tonga ...................................................
+ #
t 2 3 4 5
.
More deveicQed regions
.
Eumpe Narthem h w k a , AwbalMNw Zealand and japan Lees developed regkm8 earpriee all regions d AMca, &h (exapt 3apan). LatinAmerica and the Ceribbew plus Melanesia. Maonesie end Polynesia The least developed countries, as deRned by the United NationsGenend Assembly in 2003. hcluded 50 a n I n W . at whW 34 am In AMca. 10 h Asia 1 inLetirlhrerics~dtheCaribbean.and5hOceenia hcludhg Seychelles Indudhg the M d d Meydte lndudhg Ageleee Rodrlgues. md Saht Brandon lndudhg Saint Helena. Aecenakn and T&sn d.C m ha. Fa 8taWkd pufpoma. the data for Chha do not hdude Hmg Kong and Mecao. Spede) Admhtatrethre Regkns (SW)of Chhe As of 1 July 1997. Hong Kmg became a Speolel MmlntStratkeRegbn (M) at China
.
.
.
.
6 7 Asd20DecemberlesB.MecaobecameaSpedelAbnhletrathreRegkn(SAR)afChha 8 M u d h g Faem Ldands and lule d Msn .
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsfPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.26. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Low variant Total fertility (children per woman) 2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Major area, region and country El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMEREA (16) Argentina .............................................. B o r i ................................................... Brazil
....................................................
Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ............................................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. NORTHERN AMERICA (17) Canada ................................................. United States of America ....................... OCEANIA AUSTRALIAMEW ZEALAND Australia (18) ........................................ New Zealand ........................................ MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA (19) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... POLYNESIA (20) French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ...................................................
9 lnduding the idands of Guemsey and Jersey. 10 lncludiig &and Islands. 11 Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Wands. 12 lnduding Andorra, Gibraltar,Holy See and San Marino. 13 The fomw Yugoslav Republk of Macedonia. 14 Including Uechtensteh and Monaco. 15 lndudhg Anguilla. Antigua and Bafbuda, Atuba, British Vkgh Lelands. Cayman Wends, Dominica, Grenada, Montsenat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, and Turks and Ceicos Islands. 16 lnduding FelWand Islands (Malvinas). 17 lndudhg Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Piemr e4 Miquelon. 18 lndutimg Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Mand. l 0 lnduding Kiribatl. Marshall idands, Nauru, Northem Mariene M,and Pdau. 20 Including Arnefkan Samoa, Cook klands. Niue, Pitcairn, Tokeleu, Tuvalu and Wallis, end Futuna Idmds.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prcxspecls: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
Table A.27. Crude death rate by major area. region and country: estimates and medium variant. 1950-2050 Crude death rate (deaths per 1.000 population) 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (^) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions. excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) .......................................... Mozambique ......................................... ROunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. YDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C6te d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population ~ r o s ~ e c t The s : 2004 Revision. Volume I: ~ompr-ehensiveTables
Table 1127. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000population)
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-20402040-2045 2045-2050
Major area, region and country
WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (') LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3).......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... Cdte d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table 1127 Crude death rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: lgW2OOS Crude death rate (deaths per 1.000 population)
Major a m . region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 19651970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) ............................................... China. Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China. Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Wet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. UnitedArab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.27. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: W i u m variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) ............................................... China, Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic 09 ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Vet Nam ...............................................
WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.27. Crude death rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude death rate (deaths per 1.000 population)
Major area. region and country
1950-1955 1955-19601960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-20002000-2005 EUROPE EASTERNEUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Channel Islands (9)............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (10).......................................... Iceland .................................................. lreland ................................................ Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (ll).......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia ................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (13) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (14) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (15) Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AM€RlCA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ...........................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.27. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Channel Islands (9) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (10) .......................................... Iceland .................................................. lreland ..................................................
Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (11) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .....................................
SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (13) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (14) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (15) Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republk .............................. Guadetoupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaiWopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table A27 Crude death rate by major area. m g h aml country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2005
.
Crude death rate (deaths per 1 00 population) Major area, region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2OOO 2000-2005
El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................
19.9 22.3 22.8 17.0 23.0 13.3
17.4 20.2 20.6 14.1 19.9 11.1
14.8 18.0 17.8 12.2 17.1 9.8
12.5 15.9 15.7 11.0 14.6 8.6
11.1 13.5 13.4 9.6 12.6 7.5
11.4 12.2 11.1 7.7 11.3 6.3
11.1 11.0 9.1 6.4 10.1 5.7
8.0 9.5 7.4 5.7 8.4 5.4
6.7 8.5 6.7 5.1 6.3 5.3
6.0 7.3 6.2 4.6 5.5 5.0
5.8 6.6 6.2 4.5 5.0 5.0
FrenchGuiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela .............................................
14.9 9.1 24.4 15.4 13.6 16.3 19.4 15.6 17.7 11.2 21.6 12.6 10.5 12.3
13.5 8.6 23.1 14.0 13.3 13.2 17.0 14.1 15.9 10.8 19.7 11.4 10.1 10.6
12.3 8.8 21.6 12.6 12.2 11.4 14.6 12.0 13.7 10.0 17.6 10.3 9.6 9.3
11.0 9.1 20.3 11.1 10.3 10.0 13.1 9.0 11.6 9.4 15.6 8.8 9.6 7.7
9.9 9.0 19.0 9.9 8.8 8.8 11.5 7.8 10.3 8.6 12.8 7.5 10.1 6.5
8.9 8.9 16.0 9.1 7.4 7.7 9.8 7.2 9.2 7.8 10.9 7.3 10.1 5.8
8.1 8.5 13.3 8.4 6.4 6.7 8.1 6.1 9.1 7.3 9.1 7.2 9.9 5.5
7.4 8.5 11.4 7.5 5.9 6.5 6.7 5.2 9.1 6.7 7.8 6.7 10.0 5.0
6.9 8.2 10.0 7.0 5.5 6.4 5.9 4.5 9.9 6.0 7.0 6.8 9.8 4.8
6.4 7.7 8.9 6.6 5.2 5.7 5.2 3.9 9.9 5.4 6.4 7.0 9.1 4.0
6.3 7.7 8.2 6.6 5.0 5.4 4.9 3.7 9.1 5.0 6.1 7.1 9.1 4.9
NORTHERNAMERICA (17) Canade ................................................. United States of Amerka .......................
9.4 8.7 9.5
9.3 8.1 9.4
9.3 7.7 9.4
9.3 7.5 9.5
9.0 7.3 9.2
8.5 7.0 8.6
8.7 6.9 8.9
8.7 7.0 8.9
8.7 7.1 8.9
8.2 7.2 8.3
8.3 7.2 8.4
12.6
11.4
10.7
10.3
9.8
8.9
8.4
8.2
7.9
7.7
7.4
AUSTRALIAMEW ZEALAND Australia (18) ........................................ New Zealand .........................................
9.4 9.4 9.3
8.9 8.8 9.1
8.7 8.7 8.9
8.8 8.9 8.7
8.5 8.5 8.4
7.8 7.7 8.2
7.5 7.3 8.1
7.4 7.3 8.2
7.1 7.0 7.6
6.9 6.8 7.5
6.8 6.7 7.3
MLANESlA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................
26.6 13.3 15.3 29.7 19.3 22.3
23.1 11.5 13.9 26.0 16.7 19.5
20.0 9.7 11.0 22.8 14.2 16.8
17.5 8.2 9.7 20.2 11.0 14.5
15.5 7.2 9.1 18.0 9.2 12.6
13.7 6.6 7.1 16.0 7.4 10.4
12.1 6.0 6.1 14.1 5.9 9.3
11.7 6.0 5.7 13.4 8.9 7.7
11.3 6.3 5.5 12.8 8.2 7.1
10.5 6.2 4.9 11.8 7.8 6.7
9.7 6.2 4.9 10.7 7.2 5.7
MCRONESIA (1s) Guam ................................................... Micronesia(Fed. States of)...................
14.0 8.9 14.2
12.4 7.7 12.5
10.9 6.4 10.9
9.6 5.6 9.6
8.3 4.6 8.8
7.7 4.1 7.8
7.0 3.8 7.2
6.5 3.9 6.7
6.1 4.7 6.4
5.6 4.6 6.3
5.4 4.7 6.2
POLYNESIA (20) French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ...................................................
14.7 16.3 17.7 8.7
12.3 12.6 15.2 7.8
10.7 11.2 13.1 6.9
9.2 9.8 11.0 6.1
8.1 0.4 9.4 5.8
7.4 7.8 8.3 5.7
6.7 6.1 7.6 5.9
6.2 5.5 6.8 6.0
5.9 5.0 6.9 6.1
5.5 4.8 6.2 5.8
5.4 4.8 5.7 5.9
SOUTH AMERICA (16) Argentina .............................................. W i a ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................
OCEANIA
More developed regions comprise Europe. Northem America. AustraliaMew Zealand and Japan. Less devefoped regions canprise all regions ot Africa, Asia (except Japan) Latin Amerlca and the Carbbean plus Melenesta M k r o n e end Polynda. # The leastdeveloped countries. as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in 2003. induded 50countries. of which 34- in Ahica 10h Asia, 1 in Latin AmericaandtheCaribbean and S i n Ocedmk
.
+
.
.
.
1 hdudhg Seychelles 2 hduding the idand of Mayme 3 Including Agalega. Roddgues. and saint -don 4 lnduding Saint Mena. pscenskn and Tfistanda Cunha 5 For statktkal purposes. the data for China do not hdude Hong Kong and Meeao. Special Admhtstratkre Fkgkns (SARI of Chha 6 As of 1 July 1997. Hong Kong became a speciel AdminietrathaRegkn (W)ol China. 7 Asof 20 December 1999. MacaobecameaSpeciel Mrnintshative Fkigkm (SAFI) dChha 8 Muding Faeroe Islands and lsle ol Msn
.
.
.
.
614
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.27. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (corrtinued)
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Major a m , rogion and county El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................
Honduras ..............................................
Me#ico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama
................................................
SOUTH AMERICA (16) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ............................... . . ............... Brazil Chile Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana Guyana ................................................. Paraguay Peru Suriname .............................................. Uruguay Venezuela
.................................................... .....................................................
...................................... .............................................. ...................................................... ................................................ .............................................
NORTHERN AMERICA (17)
Canada .................................................
United States of America .......................
AUSTRALINNEW ZEAUND Australia (18) New Zealand .........................................
........................................
MEUNESlA
Fi)I ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................
MCRONESlA (W)
Guam ...................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...................
POLYNESIA (20) French Pdynesia
.................................. Tonge ...................................................
Samoa ..................................................
9 lnduding the Wands of Guernsey and Jersey. 10 lndudhg h n d Islands. 11 lndudhg Svalbard and Jan Meyen Islands. 12 Including Andorra. Gibraltar. Holy See and San Mafino. 13 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 14 lncluding Uechtenstein end Mm-. m i c a , Gfeneda. Marts-, 15 IncludingAnguilla. Antigua and Ba~buda,h b a , Br#Lsh Vhgh Wands, and TUG arid Caicos tslands. 16 Including Falkland lslands (Malvhas). 17 Including Wmuda, Greenland, end Saht Piene eI Mquelon. 18 lnduding Chrisbnas bland, Cocos (Keeling) lslmb, and W k Wand. 19 lnduding Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northem Meriana Islands, and Paleu. 20 lnduding American Samoa, Cook Islands, m e , Picakn,Tokeleu, Tuvelu and Wallis, and Futuna Islmds.
m
United Nations Department of Eamomic and Social Affairs/Population Division
W o w Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
Seht
and
Estimates: 1950-2005
Table A.28. Crude death rate by major area. region and country: estimates and high variant. 1950-2050 Crude death rate (deaths per 1.000 population)
Major area. region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1 965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 l995-2OOO 2000-2005
WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (') LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions. excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) B ~ ~ n................................................. d i Comoros (2) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) .......................................... Mozambique ......................................... R6union ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C6te d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population prosp&ts: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.28. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Major area, region and country
WORLD
c)
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) .......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... Cbte d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania ......................................;......
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A28.Crude death rate by major area. region and country (continued)
Estimates: 195012005
.
Crude death rate (deaths per 1 OOO population)
Major area. region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo .....................................................
27.3
29.1 26.3 27.4 32.7 24.7
28.4 24.8 26.8 31.6 22.0
27.8 23.1 25.9 30.4 19.4
27.5 21.6 23.9 28.5 17.1
27.2 20.2 21.8 27.1 15.0
26.5 19.3 18.2 25.8 13.2
26.4 18.6 15.3 25.2 12.1
24.8 18.4 13.1 26.1 11.3
22.9 19.0 12.4 24.6 11.9
21.2 19.4 11.7 23.7 12.3
23.5
20.3
17.6
14.0
11.2
10.3
9.6
8.9
8.5
7.9
7.6
EASTERN ASIA China (5) ............................................... China. Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China. Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ..................................
22.7 25.1 8.9 13.5 14.8 9.4 21.7 16.9
18.8 20.7 7.2 11.6 12.8 8.2 19.3 14.9
15.7 17.1 6.2 10.6 11.5 7.3 17.0 12.5
10.4 10.9 5.5 8.1 10.3 6.9 14.8 10.4
6.4 6.3 5.0 7.2 8.1 6.5 13.1 8.3
6.6 6.7 5.0 6.6 6.3 6.1 11.4 7.1
6.6 6.6 4.8 6.5 7.0 6.1 10.0 6.5
6.6 6.7 4.9 5.4 7.6 6.3 8.7 6.1
7.3 7.3 5.6 4.5 8.9 7.0 8.9 5.6
7.0 7.0 5.1 4.2 10.1 7.6 8.1 5.5
6.9 6.8 5.3 4.3 10.7 8.0 7.3 5.5
SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................
24.9 33.0 27.2 27.5 25.4 22.8 14.4 16.4 27.3 28.1 23.1 15.4 12.2 16.2 14.7
22.1 31.1 25.6 26.1 22.2 20.2 12.9 15.1 24.0 26.4 21.3 13.3 13.4 15.5 13.8
19.8 29.3 23.9 24.8 19.8 18.0 11.3 13.2 20.8 24.6 19.3 11.1 13.1 13.9 12.2
17.7 27.2 21.5 23.5 17.7 15.4 9.6 11.1 18.1 22.5 17.3 9.4 11.1 11.7 10.3
15.9 25.1 19.6 22.1 15.9 13.2 9.2 10.4 15.9 20.2 15.6 8.0 9.4 10.3 9.1
14.1 22.9 17.8 20.7 13.9 11.7 8.8 9.6 13.9 18.0 14.2 7.1 8.9 9.6 8.5
12.9 21.8 15.5 18.8 12.9 10.7 8.3 8.7 11.8 15.9 12.9 6.4 8.0 8.7 7.8
11.5 21.1 13.2 15.0 11.6 8.3 8.0 7.7 9.9 13.9 11.6 5.9 7.0 8.2 7.2
10.3 20.5 11.1 12.2 10.4 6.5 9.0 8.1 9.1 11.9 9.8 5.9 9.0 8.4 7.4
9.3 20.3 9.1 10.1 9.4 5.5 10.6 7.8 7.5 9.8 9.2 5.7 8.1 8.0 6.7
8.7 19.6 8.0 8.7 8.8 5.3 10.8 7.5 6.3 8.7 8.3 6.0 7.6 8.3 6.8
SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Brunei DaNSSalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of limor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. La0 People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Met Nam ...............................................
23.3 11.6 23.8 34.5 26.1 25.3 19.9 26.8 18.4 10.6 14.7 23.9
21.0 10.4 22.1 31.2 24.2 22.8 16.5 21.8 15.3 8.6 13.0 22.9
18.5 9.0 20.4 28.3 21.5 22.7 13.3 19.9 12.7 7.1 11.3 21.1
16.3 7.5 19.4 25.3 18.6 22.7 10.4 18.3 11.5 5.6 9.9 18.8
14.3 5.9 22.5 23.0 15.9 22.7 8.8 16.8 10.4 5.2 8.6 16.6
12.6 5.4 40.0 45.0 13.4 20.7 7.7 15.7 9.2 5.1 7.5 12.9
10.4 4.1 16.2 23.0 11.3 18.7 6.2 13.9 8.2 5.4 6.8 11.0
8.9 3.6 14.5 20.4 9.3 18.2 5.6 12.5 7.2 5.2 6.1 9.0
7.9 3.2 12.4 15.5 8.3 15.8 5.1 11.5 6.3 4.9 6.0 7.5
7.3 2.9 11.1 12.1 7.6 14.1 4.8 10.3 5.5 4.8 6.6 6.4
7.1 2.8 10.8 12.6 7.5 12.6 4.6 9.7 5.1 4.9 7.3 6.1
WESTERN ASIA A m n i a ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. Iraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied PalestinianTerritory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
21.8 11.1 12.0 16.4 10.5 14.4 20.7 6.9 26.0 11.2 18.7 26.0 27.1 22.2 25.9 20.5 23.5 22.8 34.2
18.9 9.5 10.9 15.7 10.5 13.0 18.0 6.2 23.0 10.5 12.9 23.0 24.6 19.4 23.7 18.3 19.8 20.7 31.9
15.8 6.2 7.0 13.8 10.5 6.8 15.3 6.0 22.0 9.0 10.8 22.0 21.7 16.7 21.3 16.6 16.4 17.3 30.0
13.8 5.3 6.7 10.1 10.0 9.7 13.1 6.7 19.0 6.3 9.2 21.0 18.5 14.1 19.2 13.9 13.5 12.3 27.6
11.9 5.2 6.5 7.5 9.7 7.6 11.5 7.1 13.0 5.0 7.7 16.8 14.6 11.6 16.9 11.3 11.6 9.9 24.6
10.1 5.5 6.8 6.3 8.7 8.1 9.4 6.8 9.6 4.2 7.7 13.5 11.0 9.4 10.7 9.0 10.2 7.4 20.8
8.9 5.6 6.8 4.5 8.6 8.9 8.3 6.8 8.9 3.2 7.8 9.1 7.7 4.9 7.6 7.2 9.3 4.0 17.0
7.8 6.8 6.6 4.0 8.9 8.7 6.9 6.6 7.1 2.4 7.6 6.3 5.1 3.5 5.7 5.7 8.6 3.2 13.7
7.2 8.3 7.5 3.6 7.7 9.8 9.6 6.3 5.8 2.1 7.3 6.9 3.6 3.4 4.6 4.6 7.2 2.3 11.8
6.7 8.4 6.9 3.2 7.1 10.2 10.0 6.3 4.6 1.8 7.0 5.1 3.1 3.3 4.1 3.9 6.6 1.6 10.4
6.4 8.8 7.0 3.2 7.2 11.1 9.7 5.7 4.2 1.8 6.7 4.2 2.8 3.2 3.9 3.5 6.6 1.3 8.7
ASIA
618
29.7 27.7 27.8
34.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.28. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000population)
Major area, region and country
2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-2045 2045-2050 Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5)............................................... China, Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Damssalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia.............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied PalestinianTerritory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.28. Crude death rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
Crude death rate (deaths per 1.000 population) 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .................... . . ..... Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Channel Islands (9) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (10) .......................................... Iceland .................................................. lreland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (11) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal................................................ Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (13) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (14) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (15) Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.28. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
EUROPE EASTERNEUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Channel Islands (9) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (10) .......................................... Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (11) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (13) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (14) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (15) Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. hrerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table A28 Crude death rate by major area. mgion and country (continued) Estimates: 195012005 Crude death rate (deaths per 1.000 population)
Major a m . region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-196519651970 1970-1975 l97Sl980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1 995 l995-ZOOO2000-2005
El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................
..................................................
SOUTH AMERICA (16) Argentina .............................................. BolMa ................................................... Brazil
....................................................
Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador
................................................
French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Pen, ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela
.............................................
NORTHERN AMERICA (17) Canada ................................................. United States of America
.......................
AUStRALIA/NEW ZEAUND Australia (18) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MCRONESIA (19)
Guam ...................................................
Micronesia (Fed.States of) ...................
POLYNESIA (20) French Polynesia
.................................. Tongs ................................................... Samoa ..................................................
.
.
Mwe developed reghs comprise Europe. Northem Pmerica. AustdirJNew Z d m d and Japan + Less developed regionscanprise all regions ot Atrioe. Asia (smxpiJapan). Latin Amedca and the Caribbean plus hlehesla Mcrcnesiaand Pdyneala # The least developedcountries. as defined by the Unked Naths Generel Assembly h 2003. hduded 50 countries. of whlch 34 are in Airica, 10 h Asia. 1 h lath h w k a and the Caribbean. and 5 h Oceanla.
.
1 M u d h g Seychelles
.
lndudingthe islandc4 Mayotte hdudhg Agalega. Rodrigues. and Saint Brandon. lndudingSeht Xetena. ABcenskm and lrislan da Cunha For ststieticel purposes. the data for China do nd hclude h g Kmg and Macao. Speccel AdminiPtrativeRegkns (SAR)of Chha As d 1 July 1997 Hong Kong becsme a Spedel M m h i s t Region ~ (SAA) of Chha. 7 As d 20 December 1999. Wcao became a !3pedal Adrninlstrathre Regkm (SAR) d Chia 8 bldudhg Faeroe Uands and Isle of Men 2 3 4 5 6
.
.
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tabies
Table A.28. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Major area, region and country El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras Meldco Nicaragua ............................................. Panama
.............................................. .................................................. ................................................
SOUTH AMERICA (16) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. . . .S .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
NORTHERN AMERICA (17) Canada ................................................. United States of America
.......................
AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Australia (18) New Zealand .........................................
........................................
MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu
................................................
mCRONESlA (IS) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... POLYNESIA (M) French Polynesia ..................................
Samoe ..................................................
Tmga ...................................................
9 lncluding the islands of Guernsey and Jersey. 10 Includinghand Islands. 11 Including Svalbard and Jan Maym Islands. 12 lncluding Andona, Gibraltar. Holy See and San Marino. 13 The former Yugoslav Republk of Macedonta 14 Including Liechtenstein and Monaco. 15 lncludfng Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, British Vkgh Uands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Grenada, Montsemrt, Saint KMs and Nevfs, and Turks and Caicos Islands. 16 Including Falkland Islands (Malvinas). 17 lncluding Bermuda. Greenland, and Saint Pierre et Miqudon. 18 lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Wand. 19 lncluding Kiribati, Marshall Islands. Nauru, Northem Meriana Wands, and Palm. 20 lndudig American Samoa, Cook Islands, Nbe, Pitcahn, Tokelau, Tuvslu and Wallis, end Futuna Uands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.29. Crude death rate by major area. region and country: estimates and low variant. 1950-2050 Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
Crude death rate (deaths per 1.000 population) 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (.) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries
Less developed regions. excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comros (2).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3).......................................... Mozambique ......................................... R6union ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Carneroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ EquatorialGuinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOU1HERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C6te d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.29. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Low variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
20052010 2010-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-2045 2045-2050
Major area, region and country
WORLD W R E DEVELOPED REGIONS (*) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) B u ~ n d................................................. i Comoros (2).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3).......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... EquatorialGuinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C6te d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population ~rospects:The 2004 Revision, Volume I: comprehensive Tables
Table A.29. Crude death rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major erea. region and country
Crude death rate (deaths per 1.000 population) 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Siena Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) .............................................. China. Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China. Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic 09 ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Tirnor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................ lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied PalestinianTerritory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. UnitedArab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.29. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Low variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-20252025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-2045 2045-2050 Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5)............................................... China, Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic 09 ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Met Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar ................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.29. Crude death rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude death rate (deaths per 1.000 population)
Major area. region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Channel Islands (9) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (10) .......................................... Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (11) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia ................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (13) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (14) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (15) Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................
United Nations Department of Economic a n d Social AffairsJPopulation Divisior World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.29. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Low variant -
C ~ d death e rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
-
--
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Channel Islands (9)............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (10).......................................... Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (11).......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia ................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (13) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (14) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (15) Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.29. Crude death rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude death rate (deaths per 1.000 population)
Major area. region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Melco .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA (18) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. NORTHERN AMERICA (17) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................
AUSTRALIAMEW ZEALAND Australia (18) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA (19) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... POLYNESIA (20) French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ....................................................
More developed regbns comprise Europe. Northern America. Australia/NewZealand and Jepan.
.
+ Less developed regions comprise all regions al Africa. Asla (except Japan) Latin America and the Caribbeanplus Melanesia. Micronesiaand Polynesia. # The least developed countries. as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in 2003. Included50 countries. of w h i i 34 are in Africa. 10 in Asii. 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean. and 5 in Oceania.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
.
IncludingSeychelles Includingthe idand of Mayotte IncludingAgalega. Rodrigues. and Saint Brandon. Including Saint Helena. Ascension and Tristan de Cunha For s t a t i i i purposes the data for Chha do not include Hong Kong and Maceo. Special Adrnhistratii Regions (SAR) of Chine. As of 1 July 1997 Hong Kong became a Special Adrninistratii Region (SAR) of China As of 20 December 1999 Macao became a Special Adrnmstrative Region (SAR) of China Including Faeroe Islands and Isleof Man
. ..
.
.
.
.
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.29. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-050: Low variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population) 20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Major a m , region and country El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama
..............................................
. . . . . .S .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
SOUTH MlERlCA (18) Argentina .............................................. BolMa ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia ..............................................
Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. NORTHERN AMERICA (17) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................
AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Australia (18) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Sdomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ UCRONESIA (19) G u m ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... POLYNESIA (20) French Mynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ...................................................
9 tndudhg the islands d Guernsey end Jersey. 10 Induding&and Mands. 11 Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen lsl8nUs. 12 lncludhgAndona. GibreHar, Hdy See and San Marino. 13 The former Yugoslav Republic of Mecedonla. 14 Including Uechtensteinand Monaco. 15 Including AnguHla. Antigua and Babuda. Aruba, BriUsh Virgin Mands, Cayman Islands, Domhica, Grenada, Montserrat. Saint K b and Nevis. and Turks and Caicoe Ishnds. l6 Wuding Falkland Lslends (Malhrinss). 17 lndudmg Bermuda, Greenland. and Sabrt Pierre et Mlquelon. 18 lnduding Christmae Island, Cocos (Keelhg) Idands, and Norfolk Wand. l9 lndudhg Kkibati, Matshall Mends, Nauru, Nolthem Mariena Mands, and Palau. 20 lndudmg American Samoa, Cook Wands, Niue. Wcakn, Tokelau. Tuvalu and Walls, and Futuna Islands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2004 Revkion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Estimates: 1950-2005
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country: estimates and projections. 1950-2050 Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area. region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
WORLD Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (') Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Least developed countries (#) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Less developed regions. excluding least developed countries Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Less developed regions. excluding China Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Sub-Saharan Africa Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... AFRICA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... EASTERN AFRICA (1) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Burundi Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Comoros (2) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Djlbouti Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Eritrea Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Ethiopia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Kenya Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Madagascar Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
WORLD Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... MoRE DEVELOPED REGIONS C) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Least developed countries (W) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Less developed regions, excluding least developed countries Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Less developed regions, excluding China Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Sub-Saharan Africa Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... AFRICA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... EASTERN AFRICA (1) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Burundi Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Comoros (2) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Djibouti Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Eritrea Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Ethiopia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Kenya Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Madagascar Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area. region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Malawi Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Mauritius(3) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Mozambique Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Rdunion Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Rwanda Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Somalia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Uganda Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... United Republic of Tanzania Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Zambia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Zimbabwe Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... MDDLE AFRICA Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
Angola Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Cameroon Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Central African Republic Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Chad Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Congo Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Democratic Republic of the Congo Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 200!5-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years) 2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050
Major area, region and country
Malawi Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Mauritius (3) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Mozambique Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... ROunion Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Rwanda Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Somalia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Uganda Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... United Republic of Tanzania Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Zambia Males ........................................... Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Zimbabwe Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... MIDDLE AFRICA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Angola Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Cameroon Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Central African Republic Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Chad Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Congo Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Democratic Republic of the Congo Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. L i e expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 195012005 Major area. region and country
Life expectancy at birth (years) 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Equatorial Guinea Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Gabon Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... SWTome and Principe Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... NORTHERN AFRICA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Algeria Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Egypt Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Morocco Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Sudan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Tunisia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Western Sahara Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Botswana Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... L-tho Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Namibia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... South Africa Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Swaziiand Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life ewectancy at birth (years)
Major area, region and country
2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-2030 2030-20352035-20402040-2045 2045-2050 Equatorial Guinea Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Gabon Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Sao 1ome and Prlncipe Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... NORTHERN AFRICA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Algeria Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Egypt Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Libyan Arab Jamahirlya Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Morocco Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Sudan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Tunisia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Western Sahara Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Botswana Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Lesotho Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Namibia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... South Africa Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Swaziland Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table A30 Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area. region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
WESTERN AFRICA (4) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Benin Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Burkina Faso Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Cape Verde Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... C8te d'lvoire Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Gambia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Ghana Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guinea Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guinea-Bissau Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Liberia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Mali Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Mauritania Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Niger Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Nigeria Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Senegal Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Sierra Leone Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Togo Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Lie expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections p p
-
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
WESTERN AFRICA (4) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Benin Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Burkina Faso Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Cape Verde Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Cdte d'lvoire Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Gambia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Ghana Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guinea Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guinea-Bissau Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Liberia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Mali Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Mauritania Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Niger Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Nigeria Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Senegal Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Sierra Leone Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Togo Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/PopulationDivision World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Life expectancy at birth (pars)
Major area. region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
EASTERN ASIA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... China (5) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... China. Hong Kong SAR (6) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... China. Macao SAR (7) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Dem People's Republic of Korea Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Japan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Mongolia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Republic of Korea Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
.
SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Afghanistan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bangladesh Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bhutan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... India Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Kazakhstan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Kyrgyzstan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 201 5-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 ASlA
Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
EASTERN ASIA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... China (5) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... China, Hong Kong SAR (6) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... China, Macao SAR (7) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Japan Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Mongolia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Republic of Korea Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Afghanistan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bangladesh Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bhutan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... India Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Kazakhstan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Kyrgyzstan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area. region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1 965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-19901990-1995 1995-20002000-2005 Msldlves Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... N-1 Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Pakistan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Sri Lanka Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... lajlkistan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... lurkmenistan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Uzbekistan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Brunei Darusaalam Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Cambodia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... DemocmUc Republicof Tlmor-Leste Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Indonesia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sems combined ...................... La0 People's DemocraticRepublic Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
40.1 37.6 38.9
43.3 40.7 42.0
46.4 43.9 45.2
49.6 47.0 48.3
52.7 50.1 51.4
55.9 53.2 54.6
58.4 55.8 57.1
61.0 58.3 59.6
62.3 59.8 61.0
64.8 63.0 63.9
66.9 65.8 66.3
36.8 35.5 36.2
38.1 37.3 37.7
39.6 39.2 39.4
41.5 41.4 41.5
44.2 43.7 44.0
47.0 46.5 46.7
49.9 49.3 49.6
52.9 52.1 52.5
56.0 55.8 55.9
59.1 59.6 59.4
60.9 61.7 61.4
44.8 42.1 43.4
46.7 45.6
48.6 46.8 47.7
50.5 49.1 49.8
52.4 51.5 51.9
54.4 53.7 54.0
56.4 56.0 56.2
58.5 58.1 58.2
60.6 61.4 60.9
60.9 61.7 61.3
62.7 63.1 62.9
54.2 52.3 53.2
56.1 54.9 55.5
57.8 58.1 57.9
59.6 61.5 60.4
61.9 64.7 63.1
64.3 67.8 65.8
66.5 70.9 68.4
68.2 72.9 70.2
69.1 74.3 71.4
70.5 75.8 73.0
71.3 76.7 73.9
50.8 55.7 53.1
52.8 57.7 55.2
54.8 59.7 57.2
56.9 61.7 59.3
58.4 63.2 60.9
59.5 64.2 61.9
60.2 65.3 62.8
61.0 66.2 63.6
60.5 65.7 63.1
60.7 66.0 63.3
61.0 66.3 63.5
47.9 55.1 51.3
49.9 57.1 53.4
52.0 59.1 55.5
54.0 61.2 57.6
55.5 62.7 59.1
56.6 63.7 60.2
58.1 65.3 61.7
59.3 66.3 62.8
59.2 67.6 63.3
58.8 67.2 62.9
58.2 66.7 62.4
52.4 59.5 55.8
54.4 61.5 57.9
56.5 63.5 60.0
58.5 65.5 62.1
60.0 67.1 63.6
61.1 68.1 64.7
62.6 69.6 66.2
64.0 70.5 67.3
63.0 69.4 66.2
63.3 69.7 66.5
63.3 69.7 66.5
39.9 42.1 41-0
42.8 45.2 44.0
45.4 48.1 46.7
48.0 51.1 49.5
50.3 53.8 52.0
53.2 56.6 54.8
56.4 60.2 58.3
59.6 63.4 61-5
61.8 65.8 63.8
63.5 68.0 65.7
64.9 69.6 67.2
59.6 61.1 60.4
61.0 62.0 61.5
62.5 63.5 63.0
64.0 66.0 64.9
66.9 69.9 68.3
68.1 71.4 69.7
70.1 73.6 71.6
71.5 75.3 73.2
72.4 77.1 74.5
73.4 78.1 75.5
74.2 78.9 76.3
38.1 40.8 39.4
40.0 42.8 41.4
42.0 44.9 43.4
44.0 46.9 45.4
39.0 41.7 40.3
30.0 32.5 31.2
49.8 54.3 52.1
51.6 55.5 53.6
52.9 56.9 55.0
52.2 58.5 55.5
52.1 59.6 56.0
29.6 30.4 30.0
31.9 33.1 32.5
34.4 35.6 35.0
36.9 38.1 37.5
39.2 40.7 40.0
30.0 32.5 31.2
39.2 40.7 39.9
42.6 44.5 42.5
47.1 48.7 47.8
51.7 53.6 52.6
54.1 56.3 55.1
36.9 38.1 37.5
39.2 40.7 39.9
41.7 43.4 42.5
45.0 47.0 46.0
48.0 50.5 49.2
51.5 54.0 52.7
54.5 58.0 56.2
58.5 62.0 60.1
61.0 64.5 62.6
63.0 66.8 64.9
64.6 68.6 66.5
36.5 39.2 37.8
39.1 41.8 40.4
39.1 41.8 40.4
39.1 41.8 40.4
39.1 41.8 40.4
42.1 45.0 43.5
44.5 47.0 45.8
47.0 49.5 48.3
49.5 52.0 50.8
51.3 53.8 52.5
53.3 55.8 54.5
47.0 48.5
50.6 53.7 52.1
54.2 57.4 55.7
57.8 61.0 59.4
61.4 64.7 63.0
63.5 67.I 65.3
66.0 70.0 68.0
67.5 71.6 69.5
68.7 73.1 70.7
69.6 74.5 71.9
70.8 75.5 73.0
35.5 38.1 36.8
41.0 43.8 42.3
43.2 46.4 44.7
45.3 48.8 47.0
47.4 51.2 49.2
48.6 52.7 50.5
51.3 54.9 53.0
53.2 57.0 54.9
54.8 59.0 56.7
56.2 61.I 58.6
57.4 62.9 60.1
46.0 49.6 47.8
49.6 53.1 51.3
52.9 56.7 54.8
54.6 58.3 56.4
56.4 59.9 58.1
58.3 62.0 60.1
60.2 64.2 62.1
62.2 66.4 64.2
64.5 68.7 66.5
66.5 70.7 68.6
68.1 72.4 70.2
58.8 62.1 60.4
61.5 64.9 63.2
64.1 67.6 65.8
66.0 70.0 67.9
67.4 71.8 69.5
68.6 73.1 70.8
69.2 74.6 71.8
71 .1 76.2 73.6
73.9 78.3 75.8
75.1 79.3 77.2
76.7 80.5 78.6
44.5
Mslaysla
Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Myanmar Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Phllippinw Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Singapore Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
642
50.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005.2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major a m , region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-2045 2045-2050 Meldlves Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Nepal Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Pakistan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Sri Lanka Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Tajikistan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Turkmenistan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Uzbekistan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Brunei Darussabm Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Cambodia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Democratic Republic of Tlmor-Leste Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Indonesia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Lao People's Democratic Republic Males .................... ... ................... Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Malaysia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Myanmar Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Philippinw Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Singapore Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table 1130 Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area. region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Thailand Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Viet Nam Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... WESTERN ASIA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Armenia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Azerbaijan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bahrain Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Cyprus Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Georgia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Iraq Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Israel Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Jordan Mates ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Kuwait Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Lebanon Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Occupied PalestinianTerritory Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Oman Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Qatar Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Saudi Arabia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Major area, region and country
Thailand Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Viet Nam Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... WESTERN ASIA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Armenia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Azerbaijan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bahrain Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Cyprus Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Georgia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Iraq Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Israel Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Jordan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Kuwait Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Lebanon Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Occupied PalestinianTerritory Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Oman Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Qatar Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Saudi Arabia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Popufation Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area. region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Syrian Arab Republic Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Turkey Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... United Arab Emirates Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Yemen Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... EUROPE .Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... EASTERN EUROPE Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Belarus Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bulgaria Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Czech Republic Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Hungary Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Poland Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Republic of Moldova Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Romania Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Russian Federation Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Slovakia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Ukraine Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopuIation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Major area, region and country
Syrian Arab Republic Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Turkey Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... United Arab Emirates Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Yemen Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... EASTERN EUROPE Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Beiarus Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bulgaria Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Czech Republic Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Hungary Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Poland Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Republic of Moidova Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Romania Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Russian Federation Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Slovakia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Ukraine Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area. region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1%5-2OoO 2000-2005 NORTHERN EUROPE (8)
Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Channel Islands (9) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
66.8 71.5 69.2
68.0 73.2 70.6
68.3 73.9 71.2
68.7 74.8 71.8
69.2 75.5 72.4
69.9 76.2 73.1
70.9 77.3 74.1
71.9 78.1 75.0
72.5 78.6 75.6
73.9 79.6 76.7
75.2 80.5 77.9
67.4 73.7 70.6
67.7 74.3 71 .0
68.1 75.0 71.5
68.4 75.6 72.0
68.7 76.3 72.4
69.3 76.9 73.1
70.7 77.5 74.1
72.5 78.3 75.4
74.4 79.1 76.8
75.2 79.9 77.6
75.9 80.8 78.3
69.6 72.4 71 .0
70.3 73.7 72.0
70.3 74.4 72.3
70.6 75.3 72.9
70.9 76.4 73.6
71.3 77.3 74.2
71.6 77.6 74.6
72.1 77.9 74.9
72.5 77.8 75.2
73.4 78.3 75.9
74.8 79.4 77.1
61.7 68.3 65.3
64.2 71.4 67.7
65.0 73.4 69.8
65.7 74.2 70.4
65.7 74.6 70.5
64.5 74.4 69.7
64.8 74.5 69.6
65.9 75.0 70.4
63.2 74.4 68.7
64.5 75.6 70.1
65.4 76.9 71.2
63.2 69.6 66.3
64.8 71.4 68.0
65.4 72.5 68.9
65.9 73.5 69.6
66.6 75.0 70.7
68.0 76.6 72.2
70.0 77.9 73.9
70.7 78.8 74.6
72.0 79.6 75.8
73.4 80.7 77.2
75.0 81.7 78.4
70.0 74.1 72.0
70.8 75.4 73.0
70.8 76.1 73.4
70.7 76.3 73.4
71.4 77.4 74.3
73.4 79.3 76.3
73.9 79.8 76.8
75.3 80.3 77.8
76.3 80.8 78.6
77.1 81-4 79.3
78.7 82.5 80.6
65.7 68.2 66.9
67.3 70.6 68.9
68.4 72.3 70.3
68.9 73.4 71 . I
68.9 73.8 71.3
69.6 74.6 72.0
70.4 75.9 73.1
71.6 77.3 74.4
72.6 78.1 75.5
73.5 78.8 76.1
75.1 80.3 77.7
62.5 69.0 66.0
65.0 72.2 68.9
66.3 73.8 70.3
66.0 74.3 70.4
65.3 74.5 70.1
64.1 74.1 69.2
64.5 74.2 69.3
65.7 74.9 70.2
61.8 73.8 67.7
64.0 75.6 69.9
65.6 76.9 71.4
61.5 67.8 64.8
64.5 71 .0 67.8
67.0 73.5 70.4
67.6 74.8 71.3
67.0 75.4 71.3
66.0 75.4 70.8
66.1 75.7 70.8
67.2 76.4 71.7
64.1 75.4 69.7
65.5 76.5 71 .0
66.5 77.8 72.2
70.9 74.5 72.7
71.3 75.5 73.3
71 .1 75.9 73.4
71 .1 76.7 73.8
71.4 77.6 74.4
72.2 78.6 75.3
72.9 79.5 76.0
73.1 79.8 76.3
74.3 80.3 77.4
75.2 81 .1 78.2
76.7 81.8 79.3
70.4 73.3 71.8
70.9 74.5 72.7
71.6 75.6 73.5
71.9 76.5 74.1
72.1 77.5 74.7
72.3 78.3 75.2
73.5 79.5 76.3
74.3 80.1 77.3
75.5 80.9 78.2
76.8 81.8 79.3
77.8 82.3 80.1
66.7 71.8 69.2
67.7 73.3 70.4
67.9 73.8 70.8
68.3 74.6 71.4
69.0 75.2 72.0
70.1 75.9 72.8
71.2 77.2 74.0
72.3 78.0 75.0
73.6 79.0 76.4
74.7 79.7 77.2
75.9 80.6 78.3
61.5 65.2 63.3
64.4 68.6 66.5
66.3 70.9 68.6
67.5 72.6 70.1
68.7 74.2 71.5
70.0 76.0 73.0
71 .0 77.1 74.1
72.0 78.5 75.3
72.7 79.3 76.0
74.1 80.5 77.3
75.2 81.6 78.4
54.4 56.1 55.2
58.5
60.1 59.3
63.7 66.0 64.8
65.1 67.4 66.2
66.0 69.5 67.7
66.8 71.2 68.9
68.0 73.0 70.4
69.2 75.0 72.0
68.9 74.9 71.7
69.9 75.9 72.8
70.9 76.7 73.7
52.6 54.8 53.8
56.9 59.8 58.5
60.1 63.6 61.9
62.6 66.7 64.8
65.2 69.5 67.5
67.4 72.1 69.9
68.0 73.4 70.7
69.2 74.5 71 .1
69.5 75.1 72.2
70.5 75.9 73.3
71.3 76.7 74.1
59.0 63.2 61.2
62.4 66.9 64.8
64.5 69.6 67.1
65.3 71.4 68.5
66.2 72.9 69.6
67.1 74.1 70.6
66.4 74.6 70.5
67.0 75.5 71.5
68.3 76.5 72.5
69.8 77.5 73.7
71.3 78.4 74.9
64.3 67.5 65.9
66.3 69.5 67.9
67.9 71.2 69.5
69.3 72.8 71 .0
70.6 74.2 72.3
71.7 75.8 73.7
72.8 77.5 75.2
74.0 78.8 76.7
74.8 79.7 77.0
75.3 80.4 77.9
75.6 80.8 78.2
Denmark
Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
Estonia
Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Finland (10) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
Iceland
Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
Ireland
Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
Latvia
Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
Lithuania
Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Norway (11) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
Sweden
Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Kingdom
Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
SOUTHERN EUROPE (12)
Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
Albania
Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
8osnia and Henegovina
Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
Croatia
Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
Greece
Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
648
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Channel islands (9) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Denmark Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Estonia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Finland (10) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... icdand Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Ireland Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Latvla Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Lithuania Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Norway (11) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Sweden Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... United Kingdom Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Albania Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bosnia and Henegovina Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Croatia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Greece Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopuIation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table A30 Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
~
Life expectancy at birth (years) 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
I Y Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
Molta
Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Portugal Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Serbia and Montenegro Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Slovenia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Spain Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... TFYR Macedonia (13) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
WESTERN EUROPE (14) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Austria Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Belgium Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... France Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Germany Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Luxembourg Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Netherlands Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Swilzerland Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaiMopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years)
2005-20102010-2015 2015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-2045 2045-2050
Major area, region and country
Italy Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Malta Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Portugal Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Serbia and Montenegro Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Slovenia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Spain Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... TFYR Macedonia (13) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... WESTERN EUROPE (14) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Austria Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Belgium Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... France Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Germany Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Luxembourg Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Netherlands Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Switzerland Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 195012005 Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area. region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... CARIBBEAN (15) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bahamas Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Barbados Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Cuba Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Dominican Republic Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ................ Guadeloupe Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Halti Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Jamaica Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Martinique Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... NetherlandsAntilles Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Puerto RICO Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes cotnbined ...................... Saint Lucla Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... 1rlnidad and Tobago Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... United States Virgin islands Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 20052050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
LATIN ANRRiCA AND THE CARIBBEAN Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... CARiBBEAN (15) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bahamas Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Barbados Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Cuba Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Dominican Republic Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guadeioupe Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Haiti Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Jamaica Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Martinique Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Netherlands Antilles Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Puerto Rico Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Saint Lucla Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Saint Vincent and the Grenadine8 Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Trinidad and Tobago Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... United States Virgin Islands Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. L i e expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area. region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
CENTRAL AMERICA Males .............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Belize Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Costa Rica Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... El Salvador Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guatemala Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Honduras Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Mexico Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Nicaragua Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Panama Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... SOUTH AMERICA (16) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Argentina Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bolivla Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Brazil Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Chile Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Colombia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Ecuador Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... French Guiana Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopuiation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Lie expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections p
-
P -
-
-
-
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
CENTRAL AMERICA Males ........................................... Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bellze Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Costa Rlca Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... El Salvador Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guatemala Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Honduras Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Allexico Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Nicaragua Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Panama Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... SOUTH AMERICA (16) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Argentina Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bolivia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Brazil Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Chile Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Colombia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Ecuador Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... French Guiana Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaiMopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Ltfe expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major a m . region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Guyana Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Paraguay Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Peru Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Surlname Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexss combined ...................... Uruguay Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Venezuela Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... NORTHERN AMRICA (17) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Canada Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... United States of America Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... OCEANIA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... AUSTRALIA/NEW ZEALAND Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Australia (18) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... New Zealand Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... MELANESIA Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Fiji Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... New Caledonia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 RevMon. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Guyana Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Paraguay Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Peru Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Suriname Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Uruguay Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Venezuela Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... NORTHERN AMERICA (17) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Canada Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... United States of America Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... OCEANIA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... AUSTRALINNEW ZEALAND Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Australia (18) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... New Zealand Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... MELANESIA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Fiji
Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... New Caledonia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: l9SO-2OOS Major area, region and country
Life expectancy at birth (pars) 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Papua New Gulnea Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Solomon Islands Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Vanuatu Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... MICRONESIA (19) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guam Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Ycronesia (Fed. Statem of) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... POLYNESIA (20) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... French Polyneda Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Samoa Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... 1onga Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
+ #
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Mcfe developed regions cunprise Europe, Northem America, AustrallalNew Zealand and Japan. Less dewloped regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in 2003,included 50 countries, of w h i 34 are in Africa, 10 in Asia, 1 In M m America and the Caribbean, and 5 in Oceania. lndudimg Seychelles. Includingthe island af Mayotte. lnduding Pgalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandm. Including Saint Helena. Ascension and Tristan da Cunha. For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hmg Kmg and Meceo, Special AdministrativeRegions (SAR) of China. As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kmg became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special AdministrativeRegion (SAR) of China. Including Feeroe Islands and Isle of Man.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
9 10 11 12 13 14 15
16 17 18 19 20
56.6 57.8 57.1
58.5 59.7 59.1
60.3 61.7 60.9
61.9 63.6 62.7
63.5 65.4 64.4
64.9 67.1 66.0
66.3 68.7 67.5
67.5 70.2 68.8
68.5 71.6 70.0
62.6 64.3 63.4
63.6 65.6 64.6
64.5 66.9 65.6
65.4 68.0 66.7
66.5 69.4 67.8
67.6 70.8 69.1
68.7 72.0 70.3
69.7 73.2 71.4
70.6 74.2 72.3
68.3 72.1 70.0
69.6 73.6 71.5
70.7 75.0 72.7
71.8 76.1 73.8
72.7 77.1 74.8
73.5 78.0 75.6
74.3 78.8 76.5
75.0 79.5 77.2
75.7 80.2 77.9
Papua New Guinea Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Solomon Islands Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Vanuatu Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
69.8 74.3 72.0
70.8 75.5 73.1
71.8 76.6 74.1
72.6 77.5 75.0
73.6 78.4 76.0
74.4 79.3 76.8
75.2 80.1 77.6
75.9 80.8 78.3
76.5 81.4 79.0
MICRONESIA (19) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
73.3 77.9 75.5
74.0 78.8 76.3
74.8 79.5 77.1
75.5 80.2 77.8
76.1 80.8 78.4
76.7 81.5 79.0
77.3 82.0 79.6
77.9 82.6 80.2
78.4 83.1 80.8
67.7 69.2 68.5
68.4 70.3 69.4
69.1 71.2 70.2
69.8 72.1 71.O
70.7 73.2 72.0
71.7 74.6 73.2
72.6 75.8 74.3
73.5 76.8 75.3
74.3 77.7 76.2
70.5 75.7 72.9
71-5 76.7 73.9
72.4 77.6 74.8
73.2 78.4 75.7
73.9 79.1 76.4
74.7 79.9 77.2
75.4 80.5 77.9
76.1 81.2 78.5
76.7 81.8 79.2
71.7 76.8 74.1
72.6 77.7 75.0
73.5 78.6 75.9
74.2 79.3 76.6
75.0 80.0 77.4
75.6 80.7 78.1
76.3 81.3 78.7
76.9 81.9 79.4
77.5 82.5 79.9
68.5 74.9 71.5
69.8 76.0 72.7
71.O 77.0 73.7
72.0 77.9 74.7
72.9 78.7 75.5
73.7 79.5 76.3
74.5 80.2 77.0
75.2 80.8 77.7
75.8 81.4 78.4
71.7 74.4 73.0
72.4 75.3 73.7
73.1 76.1 74.5
73.7 76.8 75.2
74.3 77.5 75.8
74.9 78.1 76.4
75.4 78.7 76.9
76.0 79.2 77.4
76.5 79.8 77.9
Guam Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Micronesia(Fed. States of) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... POLYNESIA (20) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... French Polynesia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Samoa Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Tonga Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
Including the islands of Guernsey and Jersey. Including hand Islands. Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. Including Andorra, Gibraltar, Hdy See and San Marino. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. Including Liechtensteinand Monaco. Including Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, British Virgin Islands, Cayrnan Islands, Dominica. Grenada, Montsenat, Saint K b and Nevis, and Turks and Cairn Islands. Including Falkland Islands (Malvinas). Including Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre et Miquelon. Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands. and Norfdk Island. Including Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northem Mariana Islands, and Palau. Including American Samoa. Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu and Wallis, and Futuna Islands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
659
Estimates: 1950-2005 p
p -
Major area. region and country
Table A.31. Infant mortality rate by major area. region and country: estimates and projections. 1950-2050 p p
.
p
p
Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births) 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
WORLD W R E DEVELOPED REGIONS C) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries
Less developed regions. excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) .......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Rbunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Camerwn ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... EquatorialGuinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jarnahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Westem Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4)
Benin ....................................................
Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C6te d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.31. Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country (continued) 20052050: Projections Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
WORLD W R E DEVELOPED REGIONS C) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) .......................................... Mozambique ......................................... R6union ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Carneroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... EquatorialGuinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... C6te d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table 1131 Infant mortality rate by major area. region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
lnfant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1.000 live births) 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo .....................................................
ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) ............................................... China. Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China. Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Tirnor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASIA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied PalestinianTerritory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.31. Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
2OO5-2OlO 201 0-2015 201 5-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Major area, region and country
Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) .............................................. China, Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Utbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Tirnor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. Iraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.31. Infant mortality rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 p
p
P
p p
.-
p
.
. .
Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
Major area, region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-20002000-2005 EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Channel Islands (9)............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (10).......................................... Iceland .................................................. lfeland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (ll ) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (13) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (14) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (15) Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.31. Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
Major area, region and country
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Channel Islands (9) ............................... Denmark .............................................. Estonia ................................................. Finland (10) .......................................... Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (11) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ Sehia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (13) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (14) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (15) Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopuiation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.31. Infant mortality rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1.000 live births)
Major area. region and country
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA (16) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ..................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. NORTHERN AMERICA (17) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................
AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Australia (18) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA (19) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States 09 ................... POLYNESIA (20) French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ...................................................
+ #
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
59
More developed regionscomprise Europe. Norihem America. AustraliaMew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa. Asia (except Japan). Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesiaand Polynesia. The least developed cwntries. as defined by me United Nations General Assembly in 2003. included 50 countries. of w h i 34 are in Africa. 10 in Asia. 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean. and 5 in Oceania. lncluding Seychelles. lncludingthe island of Mayotte Including Agalega. Rodrigues. and Saint Brandon. lnduding Saint Helena. Ascension and Ttistan da Cunha. For statistical purposes. the data for China do not indude Hong Kong and Macao. Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China. PS of 1July 1997. Hcmg Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China As of 20 December 1999 Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. lncluding Faeroe Islands and Isle of Man .
.
.
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.31. Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 liw births)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexko .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA (16) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................ .... ......... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela ............................................. NORTHERN AMERICA (17) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................
AUSTRALIANEW ZEALAND Australia (18) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA (19) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... POLYNESIA (20) French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ...................................................
9 lncluding the islands of Guernsey and Jersey. 10 lncluding hand Islands. 11 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. 12 lncluding Andona, Gibraltar. Holy See and San Marino. 13 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 14 lncluding Liechtenstein and Monaco. 15 lncluding Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands. Dominica. Grenada, Montsemt, Saint K i s and Nevis, &d Caicos &nds. and TUG 16 lncluding Falkland Islands (Malvinas). 17 lncluding Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre et Miquelon. 18 lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island. 19 lncluding Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau. 20 lncluding American Samoa,Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu and Wallis, and Futuna Islands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.32. Under-five mortality by major area. region and country: estimates and projections. 1995-2050 Estimates (1995-2005) and projections (2005-2050) Major area. region and country
Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per 1.000 live births) 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
WORLD MoRE DEVELOPED REGIONS C) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Least developed countries (#) Other less developed countries Less developed regions. excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) .......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Rdunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Carneroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C6te d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.32. Under-five mortality by major area. region and country (continued)
Estimates (1995-2005) and projections (2005-2050) Major area. region and country
Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per 1.000 live births) 1995-2OOO 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) ............................................... China. Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China. Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste ...... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied PalestinianTerritory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.32. Under-five mortality by major area. regbn and country (continued)
Estimates (1995-2005) and projections (2005-2050) Major area. mgion and country
Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per 1.000 live births)
1995-20002000-2W5 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-20352035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Poland .................................................. Republic of Moldova .............................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Channel Islands (9)............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (l0).......................................... Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (11).......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia and Montenegro ......................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (13)........................... WESTERN EUROPE (14) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN C u m e E A N (15) Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belie ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A32. Under-five mortality by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates (1995-2005) and projections(2005-2050) Major area, reglon and country
Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per 1,000 live births) 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................
..............................................
SOUTH ARER1CA (16) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Penr ...................................................... Suriname Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela .............................................
..............................................
NORTHERN AMERICA (17) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................
AUSTRALIAlNEW ZEALAND Australia (18) ........................................ New Zealand
.........................................
MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ...............................................
...............................
WCRONESlA (19) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of)
...................
POLYNESIA(20) French Polynesia Samoa .................................................. Tonga ...................................................
..................................
More developed regions comprise Europe. Northern America. Australia/New Zealand and Japan. Legs developed r&kns com&e all regions d Africa, Asia (except Japan). Lath Americe and the Caribbeanplus Melanesia, Micronesiaand Polynesia. # The least dewloped countries, as defined by the United NaNons General Assembly in 2003, included 50 countries, of which 34 are in Africa, 10 in Ask, 1 in Latin Amerka and the Caribbean, and 5 in Oceania. 1 lncluding Seychelles. 2 Includingthe island of Mayotte. 3 lncluding Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. 4 IncludingSaint Helena. Ascension and Tristan da Cunha. 5 For statisticalpurposes, the data for Chiia do not include Hmg Kong and Meceo,Special Administratii Regions (SAR) of China. 6 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) d China. 7 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Speclal Administrative Region (SAW of Chiia. 8 lncluding Faeroe Islandsand Isle of Man. 9 lncluding the islands of Guernsey and Jersey. 10 lncluding Aland Islands. 11 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. 12 lncluding Andorra. Gibraltar, Holy See and San Marino. 13 The former Yugoslav Republlc of Macedonia. 14 lncluding Liechtenstein and Monaco. 15 lncluding Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, h b a , BritishVhgm Islands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Grenada. Montserrat. Saint K i s and Nevis. and Turks and Caicas Islands. 16 lncluding Falkland Islands (Malvinas). 17 Including Bermuda. Greenland, and Saint PLemr et Miquelon. 18 lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Idands, and Norfolk Idand. 19 Including Kiribatl, Marshall Islands. Nauru, NolZhern Marlana Lslands, and Paiau. 20 Including American Samoa, Cook Islands. Niue. Pitcairn, Tdcelau, Tuvalu and Wallis, and Futuna Islands.
+
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
Estimates: 1950-2005
Table A.33. Population by broad age group. major area. region and country: estimates and medium variant. 1950-2000
Major area. region and country
Population (thousands) 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
WORLD PopulationagedO-14 ...................... 864139 978545 1114009 1255094 1380732 1497564 1560973 1624089 1712629 1794903 1827902 Populationaged15-64..................... 1524456 1633262 1748209 1904531 2112742 2344516 2617375 2932294 3241 483 3525686 3836319 Population aged 65 or over .............. MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (*) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Least developed countries (#) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Less developed regions. excluding least developed countries Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Less developed regions. excluding China Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Sub-Saharan Africa Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. AFRICA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. EASTERN AFRICA (1) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Burundi Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Comoros (2) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Djlbouti Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Eritrea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Ethiopia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Kenya Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Madagascar Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Major area, region and country
WORLD Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (*) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Least developed countries (#) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Less developed regions, excluding least developed countries Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Less developed regions, excluding China Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Sub-Saharan Africa Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. AFRICA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. EASTERN AFRICA (1) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Burundi Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Comoros (2) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Djibouti Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Eritrea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Ethiopia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Kenya Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Madagascar Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group. major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country
Malawi Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Mauritius (3) Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Mozambique Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Rdunion Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Rwanda Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Somalia Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Uganda Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. United Republic of Tanzania Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Zambia Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Zlm babwe Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1317 1 476 88
1445 1634 89
1613 1 824 92
1 820 2 059 96
2 108 2 305 105
2 477 2 654 113
2 936 3 107 140
3 451 3 627 172
4 414 4 802 243
4 508 5 294 309
5 318 5 850 344
223 256 15
263 293 15
307 336 17
350 384 19
362 443 21
354 514 24
344 587 35
322 645 48
313 686 57
308 750 67
304 808 74
2 687 3 579 I76
2 903 3 861 190
3 198 4 200 21 2
4 054 5 056 275
4 628 5 624 317
5 267 6 415 366
5 899 6 909 410
6 234 6 760 436
7 050 8 308 496
7 912 9 423 576
98 140 10
127 154 10
151 173 12
178 198 13
21 1 235 15
202 262 19
188 296 22
185 341 29
188 383 33
198 427 39
205 474 45
1003 1111 49
1154 1 275 56
1 355 1 467 65
1 524 1 605 73
1 821 1 868 86
2 139 2 171 100
2 518 2 562 116
2 980 2 946 135
3 547 3 390 159
2 723 2 601 115
3 790 4 050 184
934 1 272 59
1 074 1 380 68
1 246 1 494
ao
1 437 1643 92
1 639 1 856 106
1 904 2 109 122
3 032 3 267 188
2 985 3 300 186
3 030 3 455 189
2 750 3 392 170
3 087 3 743 182
2 242 2 659 153
2 641 2 956 162
3 055 3 389 176
3 630 3 986 205
4 378 4 660 240
5 171 5 319 276
6 104 6 155 319
7 161 7 239 372
8 661 8 646 451
10 388 9 964 541
12 226 1 1 445 638
3 516 3 966 168
3 974 4 535 198
4 569 5 209 235
5 292
6 056 280
6 248 7 010 336
7 398 8 239 406
8 703 9 666 489
10 229 1 1 447 591
1 1 969 13 548 714
13 892 16 160 878
15 305 18 403 1 055
1 096 1 278 66
1 237 1446 69
1 420 1 646 74
1 695 1 882 87
2 032 2 164 106
2 463 2 557 131
2 898 3 003 158
3 376 3 585 189
3 893 4 261 223
4 474 4 826 260
4 974 5 423 306
1150 1 505 89
I 397 1694 106
1 690 1 927 125
2 101 2 162 144
2 522 2 529 164
3 041 2 985 186
3 605 3 492 21 3
4 260 4 365 262
4 859 5 398 308
5 286 6 171 362
5 361 6 813 421
10 830 14 506 996
12 050 15 875 977
13 626 17 524 1034
15 610 19 357 1136
18 106 21 716 1 283
21 066 24 462 1 458
24 753 27 929 1 676
28 970 32 041 1915
33 786 36 940 2 187
39 731 43 328 2 529
44 311 48 908 2 821
1 708 2 312 127
1 920 2 488 124
2 193 2 686 133
2 497 2 862 146
2 798 3 122 162
3 149 3 481 183
3 643 3 983 209
4 346 4 688 243
4 981 5 284 267
5 832 6 144 304
6 506 6 993 342
1 771 2 541 155
1 930 2 749 167
2 127 2 991 183
21 416 3 269 206
2 794 3 603 234
3 283 4 011 269
3 884 4 558 312
4 532 5 178 357
5 244 5 995 412
5 896 6 937 469
6 368 7 954 535
474 777 64
531 817 64
598 867 65
680 934 71
760 1034 77
853 1121 85
985 1 248 96
1136 1 434 108
1 305 1 575 120
1 475 1 805 134
1 632 1 995 150
1000 1543 114
1 098 1634 113
1 224 1 746 114
1 391 1 865 123
1 589 2 034 135
1 823 2 214 148
2 066 2 404 161
2 364 2 673 178
2 771 3 082 202
3 263 3 542 228
3 854 4 101 260
324 456 28
364 499 31
416 553 34
484 620 39
578 700 45
692 800 51
819 924 59
964 1 082 68
1138 1 268 77
1351 1 475 89
1 602 1 732 103
5 322 6 400 461
5 963 7 206 432
6 806 8 189 456
7 850 9 310 502
9 263 10 705 575
10 920 12 324 667
12 951 14 264 781
15 112 16 337 897
17 732 18 995 1 037
21 203 22 568 1 227
23 562 25 143 1 348
3 580 4.596 240
MDDLE AFRICA
Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Angola Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cameroon Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Central African Republic Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Chad Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Congo Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. DemocraticRepublicof the Congo Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
674
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Major area, region and country 2035
2040
2045
2050
Malawi Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Maurltlus (3) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Mozamblque Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. R6unlon Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Rwanda Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Somalia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Uganda Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Unlted Republlc of Tanzanla Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Zambia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Zimbabwe Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. MlDDLE AFRICA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Angola Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cameroon Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Central African Republlc Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Chad Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Congo Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Democratic Republic of the Congo Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group. major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Equatorial Guinea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Gabon Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Sao Tome and Prlncipe Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. NORTHERN AFRICA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Algeria Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Egypt Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Libyan Arab Jamahiriya Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Morocco Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Sudan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Tunisia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Western Sahara Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. SOUTHERN AFRICA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Botswana Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Lesotho Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Namibia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. South Africa Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Swazlland Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Major area, region and country 2035
2040
2045
2050 Equatorial Guinea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Gabon Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Sao Tome and Principe Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. NORTHERN AFRICA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Algeria Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Egypt Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Libyan Arab Jamahiriya Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Morocco Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Sudan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Tunisia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Western Sahara Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. SOUTHERN AFRICA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Botswana Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Lesotho Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Namibia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. South Africa Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Swazlland Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Tabte A.33. Population by broad age group. major area. regkn and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
Population (thousands) 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
WESTERN AFRICA (4) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Benin Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Burkina Faso Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cape Verde Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. C6te d'lvoire Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Gambia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Ghana Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Guinea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Guinea-Bisscru Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Liberia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Meli Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Meuritank Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Niger Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Nigeria Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Senegal Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Sierra Leone Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. 1ogo Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revbbn. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 20052050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Major area, region and country 2035
2040
2045
2050
WESTERN AFRICA (4) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over Benin Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Burkina Faso Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or over .............. Cape Verde Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cbte d'ivoire Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Gambia Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Ghana Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Guinea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Guinea-Bissau Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Libia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over Meii Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or over .............. Meuritania Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Niger Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Nigeria Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Senegal Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over Sierra Leone Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. To90 Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over
..............
.....................
......................
..............
.....................
......................
......................
.............. ......................
..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group. major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
Population (thousands)
. 1960
ASlA
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
EASTERN ASlA Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. China (5) Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. China. Hong Kong SAR (6) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. China. Macao SAR (7) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Dem People's Republic of Korea Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Japan Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Mongolia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Republic of Korea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
.
SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Afghanistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Bangladesh Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Bhutan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. India Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Iran (Islamic Republic of) Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Kazakhstan Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Kyrgyzstan Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Major area, region and country 2035
2040
2045
2050
ASIA
Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
EASTERN ASIA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. China (5) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. China, Hong Kong SAR (6) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. China, Mecao SAR (7) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Dem. People's Republic of Korea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Japan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Mongolia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Republic of Korea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Afghanistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bangladesh Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bhutan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. India Poputation aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Iran (Islamic Republic of) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Kazakhstan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Kyrgyzstan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group. major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Alleldives Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Nepal Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Pakistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Sri Lanka Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. TaJikistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Turkmenistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Uzbekistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Brunei Darussalam Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cambodia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Democratic Republic of Tlmor-Leste Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Indonesia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Lao People's DemocraticRepublic Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Malaysia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Myanmar Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Philippines Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Singapore Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Popr~lationProspects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Major area, region and country 2035
2040
2045
2050 Maldives Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Nepal Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Pakistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Sri Lanka Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Tajikistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Turkmenistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Uzbekistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Brunei Darussalam Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cambodia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Indonesia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Lao People's Democratic Republic Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Malaysia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Myanmar Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Philippines Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Singapore Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group. major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Thailand Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Vlet Nam Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. WESTERN ASIA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Armenla Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Azerbaijan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bahrain Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cyprus Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Georgia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Iraq Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Israel Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Jordan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Kuwait Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Lebanon Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Occupied PalestinianTerritory Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Oman Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Qatar Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Saudi Arabia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Major area, region and country
Thailand Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Viet Nam Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. WESTERN ASIA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Armenia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. kerbaijan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bahrain Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cyprus Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Georgia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Iraq Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Israel Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Jordan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Kuwait Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Lebanon Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Occupied PalestinianTerritory Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Oman Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Qatar Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Saudi Arabia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Populationby broad age group. major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands) Major area. region and country
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Syrian Arab Republic Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Turkey Populationaged 0-14 Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. United Arab Emirates Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Yemen Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over ..............
......................
EUROPE Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. EASTERN EUROPE Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Beiarus Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Bulgaria Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Czech Republic Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Hungary Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Poland Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Republic of Moldova Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Romania Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Russian Federation Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Slovakia Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Ukraine Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Major area, region and country
Syrian Arab Republic Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Turkey Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. United Arab Emirates Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Yemen Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. EUROPE Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. EASTERN EUROPE Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Belarus Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bulgaria Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Czech Republic Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Hungary Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Poland Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Republic of Moidova Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Romania Population aged 0- 14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Russian Federation Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Siovakia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Ukraine Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group. major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 1950
1955
1960
1985
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Channel Islands (9) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Denmark Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Estonia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Finland (10) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Iceland Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Ireland Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Latvia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Lithuania Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Norway (11) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Sweden Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. United Kingdom Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Albania Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bosnia and Herzegovina Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Croatia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Greece Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Major area, region and country 2035
2040
2045
2050
NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Channel Islands (9) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Denmark Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Estonia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Finland (10) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Iceland Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Ireland Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Latvia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Lithuania Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Norway (11) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Sweden Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. United Kingdom Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Albania Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bosnia and Henegovina Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Croatia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Greece Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group. rnajor area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
Population (thousands) 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Italy Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Malta Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Portugal Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Serbia and Montenegro Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Slovenia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Spain Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. TFYR Macedonia (13) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. WESTERN EUROPE (14) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Austria Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Belgium Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. France Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Germany Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Luxembourg Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Netherlands Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Switzerland Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 Italy Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Malta Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Portugal Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Serbia and Montenegro Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Slovenia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Spain Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. TFYR Macedonia (13) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. WESTERN EUROPE (14) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Austria Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Belgium Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. France Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Germany Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Luxembourg Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Netherlands Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Switzerland Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group. major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
Population (thousands) 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. CARIBBEAN (15) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bahamas Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Barbados Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cuba Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Dominican Republic Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Guadeloupe Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Haiti Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Jamaica Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Martinique Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. NetherlandsAntilles Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Puerto Rico Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Saint Lucia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Trlnidad and Tobago Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. United States Virgin islands Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Major area, region and country
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. CARIBBEAN (15) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bahamas Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Barbados Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Cuba Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Dominican Republic Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Guadeloupe Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Haiti Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Jamaica Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Martinique Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Netherlands Antilles Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Puerto Rico Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Saint Lucia Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Trinidad and Tobago Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. United States Virgin Islands Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group. major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 .
.
.
.
.
-
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country 1950
1955
1960
1!365
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
CENTRAL AMERICA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Belize Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Costa Rica Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. El Salvador Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Guatemala Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Honduras Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Mexico Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Nicaragua Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Panama Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. SOUTH AMERICA (16) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Argentina Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bolivia Population aged 0-14 ...................... PopuOation aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Brazil Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Chile Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Colombia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Ecuador Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. French Guiana Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Pop~ulationProspects: The 2004 Revrision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
Major area, region and country
2030
2035
22040
2045
2050
CENTRAL AMERICA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Belize Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Costa Rica Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. El Salvador Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Guatemala Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Honduras Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Mexico Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Nicaragua Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Panama Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
7
10
14
19
24
31
38
42
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2004 Revkion, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
45
51
SOUTH AMERICA (16) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Argentina Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bolivia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Brazil Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Chile Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Colombia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Ecuador Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. French Guiana Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
Table A.33. Population by broad age group. major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Guyana Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Paraguay Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Peru Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Suriname Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Uruguay Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Venezuela Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. NORTHERN AMERICA (17) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Canada Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. United States of America Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. OCEANIA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. AUSTRALlAlNEW ZEALAND Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Australia (18) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. New Zealand Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. MELANESIA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Fiji Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. New Caledonia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Major area, region and country
Guyana Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Paraguay Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Peru Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Suriname Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Uruguay Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Venezuela Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. NORTHERN AMERICA (17) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Canada Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. United States of America Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. OCEANIA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. AUSTRALlAlNEW ZEALAND Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Australia (18) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. New Zealand Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
58
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation IDivision World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
64
70
MELANESIA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Fiji Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. New Caledonia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... population aged 65 or over ..............
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area, region and country
Population (thousands) 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Papua New Guinea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Solomon Islands Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Vanuatu Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. MICRONESIA (19) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Guam Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Micronesia (Fed. States of) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. POLYNESIA (20) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. French Polynesia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Samoa Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Tonga Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
+ #
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, AustralialNew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesia and Polynesia. The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in 2003, included 50 countries, of which 34 are in Africa, 10 in Asia, 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean, and 5 in Oceania. lncluding Seychelles. lncludingthe island of Mayotte. lncluding Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. lncluding Saint Helena, Ascension and Tristan da Cunha. For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China. As of 1July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. lncluding Faeroe Islands and Isle of Man.
United Nations D e p a r t m e n t of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Major area, region and country
Papua New Guinea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Solomon Islands Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Vanuatu Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. MCRONESIA (19) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Guam Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Micronesia (Fed. States of) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. POLYNESIA (20) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. French Polynesla Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Samoa Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Tonga Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
9 10 11 12 13 14
15 16 17
18 19 20
lncluding the islands of Guernsey and Jersey. lncluding hand Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. lncluding Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See and San Marino. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. lncluding Liechtenstein and Monaco. lncluding Anguilla, Antigua and Berbuda, Aruba, British Virgin Islands, Cayrnan Islands, Domirii, Grenada, Montsenat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos Islands. lncluding Falkland Islands (Malvinas). lncluding Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre et Miquelon. lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island. lncluding Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru. Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau. lncluding American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Picairn. Tokelau, Tuvalu and Wallis, and Futlana Islands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revbion, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Estimates: 1950-2005
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area. region and country: estimates and medium variant. 1950-2050 Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country
1950 WORLD Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (') Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Populationaged 18-23..................... Least developed countries (#) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Less developed regions. excluding least developed countries Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Lees developed regions. excluding China Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... SubSaharan Africa Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... AFRICA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... EASTERN AFRICA (l) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Burundl Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Comoros (2) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Djibouti Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Eritrea Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23.....................
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
475 348 216 502 190 522 319 925 1 OS 680 51 446 50 008 84 954
368 668 165 055 140 514 234 971 44 351
19 136 li' 044 20 534
324 317 145 919 129 470 205 437
250 872 110 180 97 011 167 048 4'1 307
l ;7 687 1 !j 770 27 316 5'1 925 22 142 l9 571 33 428
l5 625 6 633 5 904 10 041 543 241 202 340 39 16 16 27 19 8 8 14 257 109 105 184
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/PopulationDivision World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Major area, region and country 2035
2040
2045
2050 WORLD Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (') Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Least developed countries (#) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ...................... Less developed regions, excluding least developed countries Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-34 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Less developed regions, excluding China Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Sub-Saharan Africa Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... AFRICA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... EASTERN AFRICA (1) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 16-23 ..................... Burundi Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Comoros (2) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Djibouti Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Eritrea Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A34 Population in school ages by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands) Major area. region and country
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Ethiopia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Kenya Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Madagascar Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Malawi Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... hburitlus (3) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... hbzamblque Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... R6union Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Rwanda Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Somalia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Uganda Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... United Republic of Tanzania Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Zambia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Zimbabwe Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Divisic World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Table
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Major area, region and country
Ethiopia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Kenya Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Madagascar Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Malawi Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Mauritius (3) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Mozamblque Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... RBunion Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Rwanda Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Somalia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Uganda Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... United Republic of Tanzania Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Zambia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Zimbabwe Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
Population (thousands) 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
MDDLE AFRICA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Angola Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Cameroon Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Central African Republic Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Chad Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Congo Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Democratic Republic of the Congo Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Equatorial Guinea Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Gabon Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Sao Tome and Prlncipe Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... NORTHERN AFRICA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Algeria Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Egypt Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Libyan Arab Jamahirlya Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Poputation in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Major area, region and country 2035
2040
2045
2050 MIDDLE AFRICA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Angola Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Cameroon Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Central African Republic Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Chad Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Congo Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Democratic Republic of the Congo Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Equatorial Guinea Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Gabon Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Sao Tome and Principe Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... NORTHERN AFRICA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Algeria Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Egypt Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Llbyan Arab Jamahirlya Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 ~
~~
~~~
Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country
Morocco Population aged 6-1I...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Sudan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 1 5 17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Tunisia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Western Sahara Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Botswana Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Losotho Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Namibia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... South Africa Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 1 5 17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Swazlimd Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... WESTERN AFRICA (4) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Benin Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Burkina Faso Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 1517 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
706
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1464 576 993
1 669 724 655 1127
1921 831 754 1 295
2306 907 778 1337
2 791 1139 952 1411
3 028 1 378 1 207 1 867
3 195 1 406 1284 2 325
3 592 1 608 1 476 2 578
3 937 1 802 1 678 2 943
4 005 1984 1 865 3 326
3915 1986 2000 3702
1459 632 575 1001
1658 715 650 1128
1833 818 739 1 276
2 062 891 833 1449
2 373 1014 912 1 623
2 794 1188 1 070 1830
3 330 1413 1268 2 162
3 914 1 694 1517 2 574
4 339 1911 1 743 2 969
4 682 2 157 1981 3448
5084 2303 2201 3921
485 217 205 378
588 238 218 392
673 258 221 401
805 331 251 379
932 395 347 496
967
1135 514 495 900
1234 569 528 975
1 285 615 588 1 051
1220
399 647
1 039 486 454 794
630 1177
2 1 1 2
3 1 1 3
4 2 2 5
6 3 3 7
10 5 5 10
13 5 5 9
18 9 9 19
23 9 9 18
34 12 10 18
41 18 14 22
43 21 20 31
2 250 1002 941 1687
2 566 1135 1036 1 858
3 049 1 285 1182 2 061
3 612 1559 1360 2 341
4 161 1810 1658 2 757
4 761 2 095 1905 3 323
5385 2 392 2 198 3 810
5 978 2 713 2 507 4 411
6 603 2 991 2 816 5 003
6 904 3 341 3 121 5 738
7146 3436 3420 6262
83
102 41 36 64
121 51 43 69
138 60
159 69 63 107
191 73 125
227 97 85 144
257 115 104 171
271 130 121 207
272 136 133 236
138 63 55 91
153 68
190
101
172 76 69 117
78 129
216 95 88 147
251 109 99 165
283 125 112 175
300 142 I29 198
293 150 145 243
172 71 63 105
198 87 75 123
225 101 95 165
271 112 105 189
335 138 121 211
635
74 34 30 49
36 35 58
54 84
436
80
648
110 49 44 77
125
69
80
54
34 31 55
92 40 36 61
106 46 42 72
122
30
83
142 61 56 96
1 955 871 822 1477
2 228 989 903 1630
2 657 1116 1 032 1809
3 162 1364 1185 2 059
3 649 1586 1 455 2 423
4 176 1839 1 673 2 932
4 693 2 100 1 932 3 365
5 171 2364 2 199 3 901
5 683 2 585 2 445 4 392
5 886 2 879 2 699 5 035
6063 2925 2939 5443
42 19 17 30
50 21 19 33
60
70
30
22 37
26 41
79 35 31 49
94
25
35 58
113 47 42 68
130 56 49 79
155 66 60 100
176 77 68 109
183 89 82 129
9 821 4 337 3 983 7 028
10 848 4843 4435 7 785
12 473 5309 4 937 8 694
14 362 6 184 5 491 9634
16 382 7088 6438 10 865
18 819 8 087 7 316 12 610
21 878 9 345 8450 14 575
25 553 10 903 9 773 16 681
30 361 12 689 11 429 19 374
35 199 15 209 13 414 22 626
39 750 17 564 16 039 26 820
258 116 104 185
298 127 118 202
357 149 132 228
419 178 157 259
457 211 188 310
518 225 216 372
614 261 232 422
723 310 276 466
913 360 327 554
1 082 471 396 670
1235 541 503 805
597 265 248
674 293 267
605
728
338
330 333
444
465
826 362 326 615
972 409 371 619
1156 485 425 699
1 276 583 512 815
1441 632 601 1001
1 743 721 650 1161
2047 880 772 1297
28
54 49 81
302 507
64
572
53 48
85
40
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
MJor area, region and country 2035
2040
2045
2050
Morocco Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Sudan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Tunisia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... W-n Sahara Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Botswana Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Lesotho Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Namlbia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... South Africa Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Swazliand Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... WESTERN AFRICA (4) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Benin Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Burkina Faso Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
I
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revkion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Cape Verde Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... C6te d'ivoire Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Gambia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Ghana Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Gulnea Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Guinea-Bissau Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Liberia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Mali Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Mauritania Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Nlger Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Nigeria Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Senegal Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Sierra Leone Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Togo Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Tabb A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Major area, region and country 2035
2040
2045
2050 Cape Verde Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... CBte d'ivoire Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Gambia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Ghana Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Guinea Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Guinea-Bissau Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Liberia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Meii Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Mauritania Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Niger Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Nigeria Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Senegal Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Sierra Leone Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... logo Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table 1134 Population in school ages by major area. region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
ASlA
Population (thousands) 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
EASTERN ASlA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... China (5) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... China. Hong Kong SAR (6) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... China. Macao SAR (7) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Dem People's Republic of Korea Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Japan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Mongolia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Republic of Korea Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
.
SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Afghanistan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ........; ........... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Bangladesh Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Bhutan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 ASlA
Population aged 6-1l ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23.....................
EASTERN ASlA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... China (5) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... China, Hong Kong SAR (6) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23.................... China, Macao SAR (7) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23..................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Japan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Mongolia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Republic of Korea Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23.................... SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23.................... Afghanistan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Bangladesh Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Bhutan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23.....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area. region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2005 ...
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
India Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Iran (Islamlc Republic of) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Kazakhstan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Kyrgyzstan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Maldlves Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Nepal Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Pakistan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Sri Lanka Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Tajikistan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Turkmenistan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Uzbeklstan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Brunei Darussalam Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Cambodia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .............A..... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A34 Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 200!52050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Major area, region and county 2035
2040
2045
2050
India Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Kazakhstan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Kywzstan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Maldives Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Nepal Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Pakistan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Sri Lanka Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Tajikistan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Turkmenistan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Uzbekistan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 Population aged 18-23 .....................
.....................
SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Brunei Darussaiam Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Cambodia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area. region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
Population (thousands) 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
DemocraticRepublic of Timor-Lmte Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Indonesia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Lao People's DemocraticRepublic Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Malaysia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Myanmar Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Philippines Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Singapore Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Thailand Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Viet Nam Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... WESTERN ASIA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Armenia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Azerbaijan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Bahrain Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Cyprus Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Depament of Economic and Social AffairsiPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Major area, region and country
Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Indonesia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Lao People's Democratic Republic Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Malaysia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 Population aged 18-23 ..................... Myanmar Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Philippines Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Singapore Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Thailand Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Viet Nam Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
.....................
WESTERN ASIA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Armenia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Azerbaijan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Bahrain Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Cyprus Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World PopulationProspects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Georgia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... irsq Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Israel Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Jordan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Kuwait Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Lebanon Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Occupied Paiestinlanferritory Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Oman Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Qatar Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Saudi Arabia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Sydan Arab Republic Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Turkey Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... United Arab Emirates Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Yemen Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Major area, region and country 2035
2040
2045
2050
Georgia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Iraq Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Israel Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Jordan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Kuwait Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Lebanon Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Occupied Palestinian Territory Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Oman Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Qatar Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Saudi Arabia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Syrian Arab Republic Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Turkey Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... United Arab Emirates Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Yemen Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands) Major area. region and country
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
EUROPE Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... EASTERN EUROPE Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Beiarus Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Bulgaria Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Czech Republic Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Hungary Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Poland Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Republic of Moldova Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Romania Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Russlan Federation Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Slovakia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Ukraine Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Major area, region and country
EUROPE Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... EASTERN EUROPE Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 1 517 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Belarus Population aged 6-1l ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Bulgaria Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Czech Republic Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Hungary Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Poland Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Republic of Moldova Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Romania Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Russian Federation Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Slovakia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Ukraine Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23.....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Channel Islands (9) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Denmark Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Estonia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Finland (10) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Iceland Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Ireland Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Latvia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Lithuania Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Norway (11) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Sweden Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... United Kingdom Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 1517 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Major area, region and country
NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Channel Islands (9) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Denmark Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Estonia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Finland (10) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... lcdand Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 Population aged 18-23 ..................... Ireland Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Labia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Lithuania Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Norway (11) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 16-23 ..................... Sweden Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... United Kingdom Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 16-23
.....................
.....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Albania Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Bosnia and Henegovlna Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Croatia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
Greece
Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... M~Y Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Malta Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 1517 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Portugal Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Serbia and Montenegro Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Slovenia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Spain Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... TFYR Macedonia (13) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Major area, region and countly 2035
2040
2045
2050
SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Albania Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Bosnia and Herzegovina Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Croatia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Greece Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Italy Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Malta Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Portugal Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Serbia and Montenegro Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Slovenla Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Spain Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... TFYR Macedonia (13) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table 1134 Population in school ages by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 195012005 Major area. region and country
Population (thousands) 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
WESTERN EUROPE (14) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Austria Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Belgium Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... France Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Germany Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Luxembourg Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Netherlands Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Switzerland Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... CARIBBEAN (15) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Bahamas Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Barbados Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Major area, region and country
WESTERN EUROPE (14) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Austria Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
Belgium
Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... France Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Germany Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Luxembourg Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Netherlands Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-44 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Switzerland Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... CARIBBEAN (15) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Bahamas Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Barbados Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands) Major area. region and country
19%
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Cuba Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 1517 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Dominican Republic Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Guadeloupe Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Haiti Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Jamaica Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Wrtinlque Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Netherlands Antilles Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Puerto Rico Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Saint Lucia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Saint Vincent and the Grenadine8 Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Trinidad and Tobago Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... United States Virgin Islands Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 RevMon. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Major area, region and country
Cuba Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Dominican Republic Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Guadeloupe Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Haiti Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Jamaica Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Martinique Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Netherlands Antilles Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Puerto Rico Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Saint Lucia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Trinidad and 1obago Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... United States Virgin islands Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
CENTRAL AMERICA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Belize Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Costa Rica Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... El Salvador Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Guatemala Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Honduras Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Mexico Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Nicaragua Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Panama Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... SOUTH AMERICA (16) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Argentina Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Bolivia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Brazil Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
Major area, region and country 2045
2050
CENTRAL AMERICA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Belize Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Costa Rica Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... El Salvador Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Guatemala Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Honduras Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 16-23 ..................... Mexlco Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Nicaragua Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Panama Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... SOUTH AMERICA (16) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Pqhlation aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Argentina Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Bolivla Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Brazll Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area. region and country (continued)
Estimates: 195012005 Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Chlle Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Colombla Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Ecuador Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... French Gulana Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Guyana Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Paraguay Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Peru Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 16-23 .................... Surlname Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Uruguay Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Venezuela Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... NORTHERN AMERICA (17) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Canada Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... United States of America Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant -
p -
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Chile Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Colombia Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ................... Ecuador Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... French Guiana Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ................... Guyana Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Paraguay Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Peru Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ................... Suriname Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Uruguay Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Venezuela Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... NORTHERN AMERICA (17) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Canada Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... United States of America Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
OCEANIA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... AUSTRALIAJNEW ZEALAND Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Australia (18) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... New Zealand Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... MELANESIA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Fiji Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... New Caledonia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Papua New Guinea Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Solomon Islands Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Vanuatu Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... MICRONESIA (19) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Guam Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region andxountry (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 OCEANIA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... AUSTRALlAlNEW ZEALAND Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Australia (18) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... New Zealand Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... MELANESIA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Fiji Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... New Caledonia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Papua New Guinea Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Populat~onaged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Solomon Islands Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Vanuatu Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... MICRONESIA (19) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Guam Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
POLYNESIA (20) Population Population Population Population
aged 6-11 ...................... aged 12-14 .................... aged 15-17 .................... aged 18-23 ....................
French Polynesia Population Population Population Population
Samoa Population Population Population Population
Tonga Population Population Population Population
+
aged 6-11 ...................... aged 12-14 ..................... aged 15-17 ..................... aged 18-23 ..................... aged 6-11 ...................... aged 12-14 ..................... aged 15-17 ..................... aged 18-23 ..................... aged 6-11 ...................... aged 12-14 ..................... aged 15-17 ..................... aged 18-23 .....................
b r e developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, AustralidNew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia.
# The least developed countries, as defined by the Unled Nations General Assembly in 2003, included 50 countries, of which 34 are in Africa, 10 in Asia,
1 in Latin America and the Caribbean, and 5 in Oceania. 1 lncluding Seychelles. 2 Including the island of Mayotte.
3 4 5 6 7 8
lncluding Agalega. Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. lncluding Saint Helena, Ascension and Tnstan da Cunha. For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China. As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. lncluding Faeroe Islands and Isle of Man.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Major area, region and country
POLYNESIA (20) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... French Polynetsla Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Samoa Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Tonga Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 16-23 ....................
9 lncluding the Wands of Ouemsey and Jersey. 10 lncluding hand Islands. 11 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. 12 lncluding Andorra, Gibraltar, Hdy See and San Marino. 13 The f m r Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 14 lncluding Liechtensteinand Monaco. 15 lncluding Anguilla. Antigua and Bahuda, Aruba, British Virgin tslands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Grenada, Mmtaenat, Saint Kitts and Nevis. and Turks and Ca)cos Islands. 16 Including Falkland Islands (Melvinas). 17 lncluding Bermuda, Gmland, and Saint Piem et Mquelm. 18 lncluding ChrMmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island. 19 lncluding Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariane Islands, and Palau. 20 lncluding American Samoa, Cook Mands, Nkre, Pltcaim, Tokelau, Tuvalu and Wallis, and Futuna klands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaitdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Estimates: 1950-2005
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area. region and country: estimates and medium variant. 1950-2050 P
P-
Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major area. region and country
19%
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2OOo
WORLD Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (.) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Least developed countries (#) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratii .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Less developed regions. excluding least developed countriets Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Less developed regions. excluding China Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Sub-Saharan Africa Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... AFRICA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... EASTERN AFRICA (1) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Burundi Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Comoros (2) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Djibouti Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Eritrea Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Ethiopia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Kenya Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Madagascar Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Divisil World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tabll
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area, region and country
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 WORLD Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (') Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .....,............. Old-age dependency ratio ............... LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (+) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Least developed countries (#) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Less developed regions, excluding least developed countries Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Less developed regions, excluding China Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Sub-Saharan Africa Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... AFRICA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... EASTERN AFRICA (1) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Burundi Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Comoros (2) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Djiboutl Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Eritrea Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Ethiopia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Kenya Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Madagascar Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table A35 Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
Dependency ratio (per 1W) 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Malawl Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Mauritius(3) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Mozambique Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... R6unlon Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Rwanda Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Somalia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Uganda Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... United Republic of Tanzania Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Zambia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Zlm babwe Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... MIDDLE AFRICA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Angola Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Cametwn Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratii ............... Central African Republic Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Chad Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Congo Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Democratic Republic of the Congo Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Major area, region and country
Malawi Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Mauritius (3) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Mozambique Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Reunion Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Rwanda Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Somalia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Uganda Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... United Republic of Tanzania Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Zambia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Zimbabwe Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... MIDDLE AFRICA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Angola Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Camerson Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Central African Republic Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Chad Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Congo Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Democratic Republic of the Congo Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revbion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table 1135 Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
Dependency ratio (per 100) 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Equatorial Guinea Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Gabon Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Sao Tome and Principe Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... NORTHERN AFRICA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Algeria Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Egypt Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Morocco Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Sudan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Tunisia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Oldage dependency ratio ............... Western Sahara Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... SOUTHERN AFRICA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Botswana Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Lesotho Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Namibia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... South Africa Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Swaziland Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area, region and country
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 Equatorial Guinea Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Gabon Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Sao Tome and Principe Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... NORTHERN AFRICA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Algeria Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Egypt Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Morocco Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Sudan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Tunisia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Western Sahara Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... SOUTHERN AFRICA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Botswana Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Lesotho Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Namibia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... South Africa Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Swaziland Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulationDivision World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table A35 Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 19W2005 Major area. region and country
Dependency ratio (per 100) 19%
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
WESTERN AFRICA (4) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Benin Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Burklna Faro Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Cape Verde Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... C6te d'lvolre Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Gambla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Ghana Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Guinea Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Guinea-Bissnu Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Llberla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Uli Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Mnurltanla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Nlgw Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Oldage dependency ratio ............... Nigeria Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Senegal Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Sierra Leone Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Okl-age dependency ratio ............... Togo Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
2005-2050: Medium varlant Dependency ratio (per 100) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
Major area, region and country 2045
20% WESTERN AFRICA (4) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Benln Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Burkina Faso Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Cape Verde Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... C8te d'ivoire Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Gambia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Oldage dependency ratio ............... Ghana Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Guinea Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Guinea-Bisrau Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Liberia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... hli Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Mauritania Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Niger Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... W-age dependency ratio ............... Nigeria Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Senegal Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Sierra Leone Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Togo Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revkion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2005 Dependency ratio (per 1W)
Major area. region and country 1950
ASlA
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
EASTERN ASlA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... China (5) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... China. Hong Kong SAR (6) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... China. Macao SAR (7) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Dem People's Republic of Korea Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Japan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Mongolia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Republic of Korea Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
.
SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Afghanistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bangladesh Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bhutan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... India Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Iran (Islamic Republic of) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Kazakhstan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Kyrgyzstan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revbion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
Major area, region and country 2045
2050 ASlA
Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
EASTERN ASlA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... China (5) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... China, Hong Kong SAR (6) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... China, Macao SAR (7) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Dem. People's Republic of Korea Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Japan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Mongolia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Republic of Korea Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... SOUTHGENTRAL ASlA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Afghanistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bangladesh Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bhutan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... India Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Iran (Islamic Republic of) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Kazakhstan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Kyrgyzstan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/PopulationDivision World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and countv
Dependency ratio (per 100) 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Maldives Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Nepal Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Pakistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Sri Lanka Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Tajikistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Turkmenistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Uzbekistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Brunei Darussalam Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Cambodia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste Tdal dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Indonesia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Lao People's Democratic Republic Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Malaysia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... hflyanmar Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Philippines Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Singapore Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 1W) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Major area, region and country 2035
2040
2045
2050
Maldives Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Nepal Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Pakistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Sri Lanka Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Tajikistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... f urkmenistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Uzbekistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Brunei Darussalam Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Cambodia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Indonesia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Lao People's DemocraticRepublic Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Malaysla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Myanmar Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Philippines Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Singapore Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
Dependency ratio (per 100)
Thailand Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Vlet Nam Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... WESTERN ASIA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Armenia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Arerbaijan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bahrain Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Cyprus Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Georgia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Iraq Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Israel Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Jordan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Kuwait Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Lebanon Totaf dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Occupied PalestinianTerritory Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Oman Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Qatar Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Saudi Arabia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependencyratio (per 100) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Major area, region and country 2035
2040
2045
2050
Thailand Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Viet Nam Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... WESTERN ASIA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Armenia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Azerbaijan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bahrain Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Cyprus Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Georgia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Iraq Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Israel Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Jordan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Oldage dependency ratio ............... Kuwait Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Lebanon Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Occupied Palestinian Territory Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Oman Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Qatar Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Saudi Arabia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaitsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revkion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
Dependency ratio (per 100)
Syrian Arab Republic Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Turkey Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... United Arab Emirates Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Yemen Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio ...............
....................
EUROPE Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... EASTERN EUROPE Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Belarus Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bulgaria Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Czech Republic Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Hungary Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Poland Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Republic of Moldova Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Romania Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Russian Federation Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Slovakia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Ukraine Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio
...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division WoM Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: W i u m variant P
P
P
Dependency ratio (per 100) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Major area, region and country 2035
2040
2045
2050
Syrian Arab Republic Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Turkey Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... United Arab Emirates Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Yemen Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
....................
EUROPE Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... EASTERN EUROPE Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Belarus Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bulgaria Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Czech Republic Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Hungary Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Poland Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Republic of Moldova Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Romania Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Russian Federation Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Slovakia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Ukraine Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaitdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A
S.Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued)
Estimates: 195012005 Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major area. region and county
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2O00
NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... OkJ-age dependency ratio Channel Islands (9) Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Denmark Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio W-age dependency ratio Estonia Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio Olbage dependency ratio Finland (10) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio Icdand Total depemlency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio Inland Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio btvla Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio Lithuania Total dependency ratii Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio Nomay (11) Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratii Old-age dependency ratio Sweden Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratb United Kingdom Total dependency ratii .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio
.................... ............... ....................
....................
............... .................... .................... ...............
.................... ...............
.................... ............... .................... ............... .................... ............... ....................
...............
.................... .................... ............... .................... .................... ............... ...............
SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio ............... Albania Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio Okl-age dependency ratio ............... Bosnia and ~ o v i n a Total dependency ratii Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio Croatia Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio
....................
....................
.................... ............... .................... ............... amace Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division WwM Population Praspects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table 1135. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Major area, region and country 2035
2040
2045
2050
NORTHERN EUROPE (8) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Channel Islands (9) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Denmark Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Estonia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio ............... Finland (10) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Iceland Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Ireland Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Latvia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Lithuania Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Norway (11) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Sweden Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... United Kingdom Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
....................
SOUTHERN EUROPE (12) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Albania Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bosnia and Herzegovlna Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Croatia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Greece Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major area. region and country 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Italy Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Malta Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Portugal Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Serbia and Montenegro Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Slovenla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Spain Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... TFYR Macedonia (13) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... WESTERN EUROPE (14) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Austria Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Belgium Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... France Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Germany Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Luxembourg Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Netherlands Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Switzerland Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaiMopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
Major area, region and country
2040
2045
2050
~
I Y Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Melta Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Portugal Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Serbia and Montenegro Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Slovenia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Spain Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... TFYR Macedonia (13) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
WESTERN EUROPE (14) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Austria Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Belgium Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... France Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Germany Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Luxembourg Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Olbage dependency ratio ............... Netherlands Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Switzerland Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Oldage dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
Dependency ratio (per 100) 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2CXlo
LATIN AMERICA AND 1HE CARIBBEAN Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... CARIBBEAN (15) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bahamas Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Barbados Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Cuba Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Dominlcan Republic Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Guadeioupe Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Halti Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Jamaica Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Martlnique Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Netherlands Antilles Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Puerto Rico Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Saint Lucia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Saint Vincent and the Grenadine8 Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Trinidad and Tobago Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... United States Virgin islands Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division Wodd Population Prospects: The 2004 Revfsion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table 1135. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 20052050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Major area, region and country 2035
2040
2045
2050
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... CARIBBEAN (15) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bahamas Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Barbados Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Cuba Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Dominican Republic Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio ............... Guadeloupe Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Haiti Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Jamaica Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Martinique Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Netherlands Antilles Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Puerto Rico Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Saint Lucia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Saint Vincent and the Grenadine8 Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Trinidad and Tobago Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... United States Virgin islands Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/PopulationDivision World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major area. region and country 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
CENTRAL AMERICA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Belize Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Costa Rica Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... El Salvador Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Guatemala Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Honduras Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Mexico Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Nicaragua Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Panama Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... SOUTH AMERICA (16) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Argentina Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bolivia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Brazil Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Chile Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Colombia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Ecuador Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... French Guiana Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... OM-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revbion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Major area, region and country 2035
2040
2045
2050
CENTRAL AMERICA Total dependency ratio .................... Chifd dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Belize Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Costa Rlca Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... El Salvador Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Guatemala Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Honduras Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Mexico Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Nicaragua Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Panama Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... SOUTH AMERICA (16) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Argentina Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bolivia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Brazil Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Chile Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Colombia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Ecuador Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... French Guiana Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
Dependency ratio (per 100) 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Guyana Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Paraguay Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Peru Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Surlname Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Uruguay Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Venezuela Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... NORTHERN AMERICA (17) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Canada Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... United States of America Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... OCEANIA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... AUSTRALIANEW ZEALAND Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Australia (18) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... New Zealand Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... MELANESIA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Fiji Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... New Caledonia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 1W) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Major area, region and country
Guyana Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Paraguay Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Peru Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Suriname Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Uruguay Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Venezuela Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... NORTHERN AMERICA (17) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Canada Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... United States of America Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... OCEANiA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... AUSTRALIAJNEW ZEALAND Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Australia (18) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... New Zealand Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... MELANESIA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Fiji Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... New Caledonia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revhion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A35.Dependency ratios by major a m , region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area, region and country
Dependency ratio (per 1W) 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Papua New Guinea Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Solomon Islands Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Vanuatu Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... WCRONEslA (19) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Guam Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Mlcroneda (Fed. States of) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... OM-age dependency ratio ............... POLYNESIA (20) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... French Polynesia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Samoa Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Tonga Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
+ #
1 2 3 4 5 6
7 8
More developed regions comprise Europe. Northern America, AustralWNw Zealand and Japm. Leas developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (e-t Japan), Lath America and the Caribbean plus Melanesb, Micronesia and Polynesia. The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Arsembly h'2003,Muded 50 cwntries, of w h ' i 34 are h Africa, 10 in Ada. 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean, and 5 In Oceania. lncluding Seychelles. lncluding the island of Mayotte. lncluding Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. lncluding Saint Helena. Asconsion and Trtstan da Cunha. For statistical purposes, the data for Chma do not include Hong Kong and Meceo,Special AdmhietrativeRegions (W)of China. As of 1 July 1997, Hmg Kong became a Special Administrative Regkm (SAR) of Chha As of 20 December 1999, Maceo became a Special AdrnlnistrathreRegkm (SAR) d Chha lncluding Faeroe Islands and Isle of Man.
United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social AffaiWopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant --
Dependency ratio (per 100) 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Major area, region and country 2035
2040
2045
2050
Papua New Guinea
Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
Solomon Islands
Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
Vanuatu
Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
MCRONESIA (19)
Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
Guam
Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
Micronesia (Fed. States of)
Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... POLYNESIA (20) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
French Polynesia
Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
Samoa
Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
Tonga
Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
9 10 11 12 13 14 15
16 17 18 19 20
lncludingthe klands of Guernsey and Jersey. lncludingAand klands. lncludingSvalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. lncludingAndorra, Gibraltar. Holy See and San Marino. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. lncluding Liechtensteinand Monaco. lncludingAnguilla. Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Grenada, Montsmt, Saint Kms and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos Islands. lncluding Falkland Islands (Malvinas). lncluding Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre et Miquelon. lncluding Christmas Island. Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island. lncluding Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau. lncluding American Samoa, Codc Islands, Niue, Picaim. Tokelau, Tuvalu and Wallis, and Futuna Islands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
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